2020 United States presidential election in Hawaii

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Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in Hawaii
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Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
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The 2020 United States presidential election in Hawaii is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Hawaii voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Hawaii has 4 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

By the time that the primary elections were held in Hawaii in late May 2020, incumbent President Donald Trump was already the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, being the only viable declared major candidate left. On the Democratic Party's side, Vice President Joe Biden became the presumptive nominee after Senator Bernie Sanders, his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020. Tulsi Gabbard, the U.S. Representative for Hawaii's 2nd congressional district, was also in the race but suspended her campaign in March 2020.

Primary elections

Canceled Republican primary

Further information: 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries § Cancellation of state caucuses or primaries

On December 11, 2019, the Hawaii Republican Party became one of several state GOP parties to officially cancel their respective primaries and caucuses.[3] Donald Trump's re-election campaign and GOP officials have cited the fact that Republicans canceled several state primaries when George H.W. Bush and George W. Bush sought a second term in 1992 and 2004, respectively; and Democrats scrapped some of their primaries when Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were seeking reelection in 1996 and 2012, respectively.[4][5] Because this was the first of the cancelled Republican state races to directly bind its delegates to the national convention (as opposed to a walking subcaucus-type system), Trump automatically was awarded his first 19 pledged delegates of the nomination campaign.[3][6]

Democratic primary

Further information: 2020 Hawaii Democratic primary

The Hawaii Democratic primary was originally scheduled for April 4, 2020. On March 20, due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic, the Hawaii Democratic Party canceled in-person voting in favor of mail-in voting.[7] The deadline was then extended to May 22.[8]

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Hawaii Democratic presidential primary § Results.[edit]

The primary was conducted by ranked-choice voting. Voters were instructed to mark their top three choices on paper ballots. Any voter with a first choice other than Biden or Sanders had their ballot count in the final round if ranking one of those candidates as a second or third choice.

2020 Hawaii Democratic presidential primary[9][10]
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden 21,215 60.54 16
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) 12,337 35.20 8
Void Votes 68 0.19
Inactive votes[a] 1,424 4.06
Total 35,044 100% 24

Green primary

Green Party of Hawaii presidential primary, May 23, 2020[11]
Candidate Percentage National delegates
Dario Hunter 41.6% 2
Howie Hawkins 33.3% 2
Kent Mesplay 8.3% 0
Dennis Lambert 8.3% 0
Chad Wilson 8.3% 0
Susan Buchser-Lochocki 0% 0
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry 0% 0
David Rolde 0% 0
No Preference 0% 0
Total 100.00% 4

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Safe D July 23, 2020
Inside Elections[13] Safe D July 17, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Safe D July 14, 2020
Politico[15] Safe D July 6, 2020
RCP[16] Safe D August 3, 2020
Niskanen[17] Safe D March 24, 2020
CNN[18] Safe D August 3, 2020
The Economist[19] Safe D August 7, 2020
CBS News[20] Likely D August 9, 2020
270towin[21] Safe D August 2, 2020
ABC News[22] Safe D July 31, 2020
NPR[23] Likely D August 3, 2020
NBC News[24] Safe D August 6, 2020

Polling

with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Joe
Biden (D) 		Other Undecided
MRG Research Jul 27–30, 2020 975 (RV) ± 3.1% 29% 56% 6% 10%

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Votes which had all its 3 ranked vote-choices allocated towards eliminated candidates who did not reach the threshold of 15%.
  2. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients

References

  1. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ a b "Hawaii GOP cancels presidential preference poll, commits delegates to Trump". The Hill. December 12, 2019. Retrieved December 12, 2019.
  4. ^ Karni, Annie (September 6, 2019). "GOP plans to drop presidential primaries in 4 states to impede Trump challengers". Boston Globe. MSN. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
  5. ^ Steakin, Will; Karson, Kendall (September 6, 2019). "GOP considers canceling at least 3 GOP primaries and caucuses, Trump challengers outraged". ABC News. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
  6. ^ "Hawaii Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved February 20, 2020.
  7. ^ "Hawaii Democrats scrap in-person voting plan for primary". Associated Press. March 20, 2020.
  8. ^ "Party-run Presidential Primary UPDATE". Democratic Party of Hawaii. March 27, 2020. Retrieved March 27, 2020.
  9. ^ "Hawaii Primary Election Results 2020". The New York Times. May 23, 2020. Retrieved May 24, 2020.
  10. ^ "Ranked-Choice Results" (PDF). Democratic Party of Hawai'i. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 7, 2020. Retrieved June 6, 2020.
  11. ^ "Green Party of Hawai'i Presidential Preference Poll Results". OPAVOTE. Green Party of Hawaii. Retrieved 26 May 2020.
  12. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  13. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  14. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  15. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  16. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  17. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  18. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
  19. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved 7 July 2020.
  20. ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  21. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  22. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  23. ^ "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved 2020-08-03.
  24. ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved 2020-08-06.
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