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Warrington South (UK Parliament constituency)

Coordinates: 53°22′N 2°33′W / 53.367°N 2.550°W / 53.367; -2.550
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Warrington South
Borough constituency
for the House of Commons
Outline map
Boundary of Warrington South in Cheshire
Outline map
Location of Cheshire within England
CountyCheshire
Electorate81,212 (December 2010)[1]
Current constituency
Created1983
Member of ParliamentDavid Mowat (Conservative)
SeatsOne
Created fromWarrington, Runcorn and Newton[2]

Warrington South is a constituency[n 1] represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since 2010 by David Mowat, a Conservative.[n 2]

Boundaries

1983-1997: The Borough of Warrington wards of Appleton and Stretton, Booths Hill, Grappenhall and Thelwall, Great Sankey North, Great Sankey South, Heatley, Latchford, Lymm, Penketh and Cuerdley, Statham, Stockton Heath, and Walton and Westy, and the Borough of Halton wards of Daresbury and Norton.

1997-2010: The Borough of Warrington wards of Appleton, Stretton and Hatton, Grappenhall and Thelwall, Great Sankey North, Great Sankey South, Howley and Whitecross, Latchford, Lymm, Penketh and Cuerdley, Stockton Heath, and Walton and Westy.

2010-present: The Borough of Warrington wards of Appleton, Bewsey and Whitecross, Grappenhall and Thelwall, Great Sankey North, Great Sankey South, Hatton, Stretton and Walton, Latchford East, Latchford West, Lymm, Penketh and Cuerdley, Stockton Heath, and Whittle Hall.

Overview

The constituency is one of two in Warrington, the other being Warrington North. It covers the parts of the town lying south of the River Mersey, including Appleton, Grappenhall and Stockton Heath, the town centre and the Penketh and Sankey areas in the west of the town. It also includes the village of Lymm.

Forerunners

The constituency was created in 1983 before which the Warrington constituency covered the central part of the town and its immediate surrounds, while the southern fringes were in the Runcorn constituency and certain close northern settlements now in Warrington North were covered by the Newton constituency.

1997–2010

The original boundaries were revised at the 1997 general election, the Fourth Periodic Review nationally, when the number of constituencies in Cheshire were increased and the new Weaver Vale seat was created.

2010–present

The current boundaries were introduced at the 2010 general election, the Fifth Periodic Review. The new boundaries were considered to be slightly more favourable to the Labour Party according to an academic, non-partisan election analysis.[3]

History

Political history

Warrington South is considered the more volatile of the two Warrington seats. While Warrington North is a safe seat for the Labour Party, Warrington South is often a bellwether and is regarded as a marginal constituency; it has been won by the largest party in each Parliament at every election with the exception of 1992, when it was taken by Labour's Mike Hall. Hall moved to the new Weaver Vale seat in 1997, but the seat was retained for the Labour party by Helen Southworth who represented the seat until her retirement at the 2010 election and successor candidate's defeat.

Prominent frontbenchers

Despite its short history, this seat was served by a former Secretary of State for Education during part of the Thatcher ministry, Mark Carlisle, who before the seat's creation had represented Runcorn.

2010 election

On 15 June 2009, Helen Southworth announced her intention to retire the next year. Largely because of its close result in 2005, the seat was considered to be one of the key seats which the Conservative Party would have to win to become the largest party in Parliament. The BBC ranked Warrington South as the 85th most marginal seat.[4]

The Liberal Democrats had also identified Warrington South as a target seat. On election day the Liberal Democrat party held 22 of the 30 Borough Council seats in the wards which made up the constituency.[5] The importance of the Warrington South seat was underlined when Nick Clegg, the Liberal Democrat party leader, chose to visit the constituency the morning after the first of the televised "leaders' debates", which he had been widely perceived as having won.[6]

While all three parties made strenuous efforts to win the seat, it was the Conservative candidate David Mowat who was elected, although fewer than 5,000 votes separated all three parties.

Members of Parliament

Election Member[7] Party
style="background-color: Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | 1983 Mark Carlisle Conservative
style="background-color: Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | 1987 Chris Butler Conservative
style="background-color: Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | 1992 Mike Hall Labour
style="background-color: Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | 1997 Helen Southworth Labour
style="background-color: Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | 2010 David Mowat Conservative

Constituency profile

Warrington is a historic and industrious town which grew significantly in economy and in population in the 20th century. Workless claimants who were registered jobseekers, were in November 2012 lower than the national average of 3.8%, at 3.3% of the population based on a statistical compilation by The Guardian. This contrasted with Warrington North at 4.3% of its population.[8]

Elections

Elections in the 2010s

General Election 2015: Warrington South[9][10]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative David Mowat 25,928 43.7 +7.9
Labour Nick Bent 23,178 39.1 +6.1
UKIP Mal Lingley 4,909 8.3 +5.3
Liberal Democrats Bob Barr 3,335 5.6 −21.9
Green Stephanie Davies 1,765 3.0 +2.2
TUSC Kevin Bennett 238 0.4 +0.4
Majority 2,750 4.6
Turnout 59,353 69.4
Conservative hold Swing
General Election 2010: Warrington South
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative David Mowat 19,641 35.8 +3.7
Labour Nick Bent 18,088 33.0 −8.3
Liberal Democrats Jo Crotty 15,094 27.5 +3.5
UKIP Derek Ashington 1,624 3.0 +1.2
Green Stephanie Davies 427 0.8 +0.8
Majority 1,553 2.8
Turnout 54,874 68.2 +6.7
Conservative gain from Labour Swing +6.0

Elections in the 2000s

General Election 2005: Warrington South
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Helen Southworth 18,972 40.5 −8.8
Conservative Fiona Bruce 15,457 33.0 0.0
Liberal Democrats Ian Marks 11,111 23.7 +7.4
UKIP Gerry Kelley 804 1.7 +0.3
Independent Paul Kennedy[n 3] 453 1.0 +1.0
Majority 3,515 7.5
Turnout 46,797 61.8 0.6
Labour hold Swing −4.4
General Election 2001: Warrington South
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Helen Southworth 22,419 49.3 −2.9
Conservative Caroline Mosley 15,022 33.0 +0.5
Liberal Democrats Roger J. Barlow 7,419 16.3 +3.2
UKIP Joan Kelley 637 1.4
Majority 7,397 16.3
Turnout 45,497 61.2
Labour hold Swing −1.7

Elections in the 1990s

General Election 1997: Warrington South
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Helen Southworth 28,721 52.1
Conservative Chris Grayling 17,914 32.5
Liberal Democrats Peter Walker 7,199 13.1
Referendum Gerald Kelly 1,082 2.0
Natural Law Steve Ross 166 0.3
Majority 10,807 19.6
Turnout 55,082 76.0
Labour hold Swing
General Election 1992: Warrington South[11]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Mike Hall 27,819 43.6 +7.8
Conservative Chris Butler 27,628 43.3 +1.4
Liberal Democrats Peter J. Walker 7,978 12.5 −9.7
Natural Law Stephen D. Benson 321 0.5 N/A
Majority 191 0.3 −5.8
Turnout 63,746 82.0 +2.4
Labour gain from Conservative Swing +3.2

Elections in the 1980s

General Election 1987: Warrington South
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Chris Butler 24,809 42.0 +0.1
Labour Albert Booth 21,200 35.9 +5.9
Liberal Ian George Marks 13,112 22.2 −5.1
Majority 3,609 6.1
Turnout 59,121 75.2
Conservative hold Swing −2.9
General Election 1983: Warrington South
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Mark Carlisle 22,740 41.9 N/A
Labour David G. Colin-Thomé 16,275 30.0 N/A
Liberal Ian George Marks 14,827 27.3 N/A
Ecology Neil Chantrell 403 0.7 N/A
Majority 6,465 11.9 N/A
Turnout 54,245 74.5 N/A
Conservative win (new seat)

See also

Notes

  1. ^ A borough constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)
  2. ^ As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.
  3. ^ Later, in 2006 Paul Kennedy joined the Conservative Party and became a local councillor in May 2008.

References

  1. ^ "Electorate Figures – Boundary Commission for England". 2011 Electorate Figures. Boundary Commission for England. 4 March 2011. Retrieved 13 March 2011.
  2. ^ "'Warrington South', June 1983 up to May 1997". ElectionWeb Project. Cognitive Computing Limited. Retrieved 14 March 2016.
  3. ^ Electoral Calculus South
  4. ^ "BBC NEWS - Election 2010 - Battlegrounds - Conservative Party Targets". bbc.co.uk.
  5. ^ "2009 - 2010 > Full Council". warrington.gov.uk.
  6. ^ "Nick Clegg makes first post TV debate appearance in Warrington". Warrington Guardian.
  7. ^ Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "W" (part 1)
  8. ^ Unemployment claimants by constituency The Guardian
  9. ^ "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  10. ^ "Warrington South". BBC News. Retrieved 10 May 2015.
  11. ^ "UK General Election results April 1992". Richard Kimber's Political Science Resources. Politics Resources. 9 April 1992. Retrieved 6 December 2010.

53°22′N 2°33′W / 53.367°N 2.550°W / 53.367; -2.550