2020 United States presidential election: Difference between revisions
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* [[Elizabeth Warren]], [[United States Senate|U.S. Senator]] from [[Massachusetts]] since 2013<ref>{{cite web|author=Lincoln Mitchell |url=http://observer.com/2014/12/sorry-progressives-drubbing-elizabeth-warren-is-not-going-to-move-hillary-clinton-to-the-left/ |title=Why Elizabeth Warren Would Be A Fool To Run Against Hillary Clinton |publisher=Observer |date=December 23, 2014 |accessdate=June 14, 2016}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|author=|url=http://www.forwardprogressives.com/bernie-sanders-setting-future-presidential-run-elizabeth-warren/ |title=Bernie Sanders Could Be Setting Up a Future Presidential Run by Elizabeth Warren |publisher=Forwardprogressives.com |date=August 21, 2015 |accessdate=June 14, 2016}}</ref> |
* [[Elizabeth Warren]], [[United States Senate|U.S. Senator]] from [[Massachusetts]] since 2013<ref>{{cite web|author=Lincoln Mitchell |url=http://observer.com/2014/12/sorry-progressives-drubbing-elizabeth-warren-is-not-going-to-move-hillary-clinton-to-the-left/ |title=Why Elizabeth Warren Would Be A Fool To Run Against Hillary Clinton |publisher=Observer |date=December 23, 2014 |accessdate=June 14, 2016}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|author=|url=http://www.forwardprogressives.com/bernie-sanders-setting-future-presidential-run-elizabeth-warren/ |title=Bernie Sanders Could Be Setting Up a Future Presidential Run by Elizabeth Warren |publisher=Forwardprogressives.com |date=August 21, 2015 |accessdate=June 14, 2016}}</ref> |
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File:Hillary_Clinton_by_Gage_Skidmore_2.jpg|{{center|[[United States presidential election, 2016|2016 President Nominee]]'''[[Hillary Clinton]]'''}} |
File:Hillary_Clinton_by_Gage_Skidmore_2.jpg|{{center|[[United States presidential election, 2016|2016 President Nominee]]<br>'''[[Hillary Clinton]]'''}} |
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File:Official_portrait_of_Vice_President_Joe_Biden.jpg|{{center|[[Vice President of the United States|Vice President]]<br>'''[[Joe Biden]]'''}} |
File:Official_portrait_of_Vice_President_Joe_Biden.jpg|{{center|[[Vice President of the United States|Vice President]]<br>'''[[Joe Biden]]'''}} |
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File:Cory Booker, official portrait, 114th Congress.jpg|{{center|[[United States Senate|U.S. Senator]]<br>'''[[Cory Booker]]''' <br>from [[New Jersey]]}} |
File:Cory Booker, official portrait, 114th Congress.jpg|{{center|[[United States Senate|U.S. Senator]]<br>'''[[Cory Booker]]''' <br>from [[New Jersey]]}} |
Revision as of 03:38, 13 November 2016
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538 members of the Electoral College 270 electoral votes needed to win | |||
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The United States presidential election of 2020, scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2020, will be the 59th quadrennial U.S. presidential election. Voters will select presidential electors who in turn will elect a new president and vice president through the electoral college. The series of presidential primary elections and caucuses are likely to be held during the first six months of 2020. This nominating process is also an indirect election, where voters cast ballots selecting a slate of delegates to a political party's nominating convention, who then in turn elect their party's presidential nominee.
Barring any major change in circumstances, Republican Donald Trump, who was elected in 2016, will be eligible to seek reelection. The winner of the 2020 presidential election will be inaugurated on January 20, 2021.
Background
Procedure
Article Two of the United States Constitution states that for a person to be elected and serve as President of the United States the individual must be a natural-born citizen of the United States, at least 35 years old and a United States resident for at least 14 years. Candidates for the presidency typically seek the nomination of one of the various political parties of the United States, in which case each party develops a method (such as a primary election) to choose the candidate the party deems best suited to run for the position. The primary elections are usually indirect elections where voters cast ballots for a slate of party delegates pledged to a particular candidate. The party's delegates then officially nominate a candidate to run on the party's behalf. The general election in November is also an indirect election, where voters cast ballots for a slate of members of the Electoral College; these electors then directly elect the President and Vice President.[1]
Demographic trends
The 2020 U.S. presidential election will mark the first time all members of the millennial generation will be eligible to vote.[2] The age group of what will then be persons in the 18 to 45-year-old bracket will represent 40 percent of the United States' eligible voters in 2020.[3] It has also been estimated that 15 percent of eligible voters in the 2020 U.S. presidential election will be Hispanic.
Simultaneous elections
The presidential election will occur at the same time as elections to the Senate and the House of Representatives. Several states will also hold state gubernatorial and state legislative elections. Following the election, the United States House will redistribute the seats among the 50 states based on the results of the 2020 United States Census, and the states will conduct a redistricting of Congressional and state legislative districts. In most states, the governor and the state legislature conduct the redistricting (although some states have redistricting commissions), and often a party that wins a presidential election experiences a coattail effect that also helps other candidates of that party win election.[4] Therefore, the party that wins the 2020 presidential election could also win a significant advantage in the drawing of new Congressional and state legislative districts that would stay in effect until the 2032 elections.[5]
Democratic Party
Potential candidates
- Hillary Clinton, U.S. Senator from New York since 2001-2009; 67th United States Secretary of State 2009-2013; First Lady of the United States 1993-2001; Nominee for President in 2016
- Joe Biden, Vice President of the United States 2009–2017, U.S. Senator from Delaware 1973–2009; Democratic presidential candidate in 1988 and 2008[6][7][8]
- Cory Booker, U.S. Senator from New Jersey since 2013; Mayor of Newark 2006–2013[9][10]
- Sherrod Brown, U.S. Senator from Ohio since 2007; U.S. Representative from Ohio 1993–2007; Secretary of State of Ohio 1983–1991[11][12]
- Julian Castro, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development since 2014; Mayor of San Antonio 2009–2014[13][14]
- Andrew Cuomo, Governor of New York since 2011; Secretary of Housing and Urban Development 1997–2001[15][16]
- Bill de Blasio, Mayor of New York since 2013[17][18]
- Keith Ellison, U.S. Representative from Minnesota since 2007[19][20]
- Russ Feingold, U.S. Senator from Wisconsin 1993–2011; candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016[21][22]
- Tulsi Gabbard, U.S. Representative from Hawaii since 2013; Honolulu City Council 2011–2012; Hawaii State Representative 2002–2004[23][24]
- Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. Senator from New York since 2009; U.S. Representative 2007–2009[14][25]
- Kamala Harris, Attorney General of California since 2011; elected to the U.S. Senate in 2016[26][27]
- John Hickenlooper, Governor of Colorado since 2011; Mayor of Denver 2003–2011[28][29]
- Tim Kaine, U.S. Senator from Virginia since 2013; Governor 2006–2010; Mayor of Richmond 1998–2001; Democratic nominee for Vice President in 2016[30][31]
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. Senator from Minnesota since 2007[19][32]
- Terry McAuliffe, Governor of Virginia since 2013; Chairman of the Democratic National Committee 2001–2005[19][33]
- Martin O'Malley, Governor of Maryland 2007–2015; Mayor of Baltimore 1999–2007; candidate for President in 2016[34][35]
- Deval Patrick, Governor of Massachusetts 2007–2015[36][37]
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator from Vermont since 2007; U.S. Representative 1991–2007; Mayor of Burlington 1981–1989; candidate for President in 2016[38][39]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts since 2013[40][41]
Declined candidates
- Michelle Obama, First Lady of the United States 2009–2017[42][43]
- Hillary Clinton, First Lady (1993-2001), Senator (D-NY, 2001-2007), Secretary of State (2009-2013), presidential candidate (2008, 2016)[44][45]
Potential convention sites
National polling
Poll source | Sample size | Date(s) | Margin of Error | Cory Booker | Andrew Cuomo | Tim Kaine | Elizabeth Warren | Others | Don't Know |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Politico/Morning Consult[49] | 1,989 | October 5–6, 2016 | ± 2% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 8% | 54% |
Republican Party
Presumptive incumbents
It is the tradition in both parties that potential candidates stand down in deference to the incumbent president.
President | Prior positions | State | took office | Vice President | Notes |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Donald Trump |
Chairman of The Trump Organization, 1971–2017 Republican Party presidential nominee, 2016 |
![]() |
Trump and Pence will formally take office on January 20, 2017. | ![]() Mike Pence of Indiana |
Elected in 2016 with a popular deficit. |
Potential candidates
Should President Trump decide not to seek a second term, the following people alongside Vice President Pence have been mentioned in the media:
- Greg Abbott, Governor of Texas since 2015[50][51]
- Justin Amash, U.S. Representative from Michigan since 2011[52][53]
- Kelly Ayotte, U.S. Senator from New Hampshire 2011-17[14][54]
- Charlie Baker, Governor of Massachusetts since 2015[55][56]
- Jeb Bush, Governor of Florida 1999–2007; candidate for President in 2016[57][58]
- Chris Christie, Governor of New Jersey since 2010; candidate for President in 2016[59][60]
- Bob Corker, U.S. Senator from Tennessee since 2007; Mayor of Chattanooga 2001–2005[61][62]
- Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas since 2015; U.S. Representative 2013–2015[63][64][65]
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas since 2013; candidate for President in 2016[66][67]
- Mitch Daniels, Governor of Indiana 2005–2013; Director of the Office of Management and Budget 2001–2003[68][69]
- Joni Ernst, U.S. Senator from Iowa since 2015[61][70][71][72]
- Cory Gardner, U.S. Senator from Colorado since 2015; U.S. Representative 2011–2015[73][74]
- Nikki Haley, Governor of South Carolina since 2011[75][76]
- Jon Huntsman Jr., Governor of Utah 2005-20009; candidate for President in 2012[77][78]
- John Kasich, Governor of Ohio since 2011; U.S. Representative 1983–2001; candidate for President in 2016 and 2000[79][80]
- Mike Lee, U.S. Senator from Utah since 2011 [81][82][83][84]
- Rand Paul, U.S. Senator from Kentucky since 2011; candidate for President in 2016[85]
- Mike Pence, Governor of Indiana since 2013; Vice President-elect of the United States[86][87][88]
- Rick Perry, Governor of Texas 2000-2015; candidate for President in 2008 and 2016[89][90][91]
- Rob Portman, U.S. Senator from Ohio since 2011; U.S. Representative from Ohio 1993–2005 [92][93]
- Bruce Rauner, Governor of Illinois since 2015[94][95]
- Mitt Romney, Former Governor of Massachusetts 2003–2007 and candidate for president in 2008 and the Republican nominee for President in 2012[96][97][98]
- Paul Ryan, U.S. Representative from Wisconsin since 1999; Speaker of the House since 2015; Republican nominee for Vice President in 2012[99][100]
- Rick Santorum, U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania 1995–2007; candidate for President in 2012; candidate for President in 2016[101][102]
- Ben Sasse, U.S. Senator from Nebraska since 2015[65][103]
- Jeff Sessions, U.S. Senator from Alabama since 1997
- Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina since 2013; U.S. Representative 2011–2013[19][104]
- Ivanka Trump, businesswoman from New York[105][106]
- Scott Walker, Governor of Wisconsin since 2011; candidate for President in 2016[107][108]
Declined candidates
- Ben Carson, Director of Pediatric Neurosurgery, Johns Hopkins Hospital 1984–2013; candidate for President in 2016[109]
- Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator from Florida since 2011; candidate for President in 2016[110]
Potential convention sites
National polling
Poll source | Sample size | Date(s) | Margin of Error | Tom Cotton | Ted Cruz | John Kasich | Mike Pence | Marco Rubio | Paul Ryan | Donald Trump | Others | Don't Know |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Politico/Morning Consult[49] | 1,989 | October 5–6, 2016 | ± 2% | 1% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 8% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 34% |
Third party, Independent, and unaffiliated candidates
Libertarian Party
Declared candidates
Name | Born | Current/previous positions | State | Announced | Ref |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Adam Kokesh |
February 1, 1982 (age 42) San Francisco, California |
Talk show host | ![]() Arizona |
July 22, 2013 | [113][114][115] |
Potential candidates
- Austin Petersen, activist and author from Missouri, candidate for President in 2016[116][117]
- Jesse Ventura, Governor of Minnesota 1999–2003[118]
Declined candidates
- Gary Johnson, Governor of New Mexico 1995-2003, Libertarian nominee in 2012 and 2016[119]
Independents/no party affiliation
Declared candidates
Name | Born | Current/previous positions | State | Announced | Ref | Notes |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Dan Rattiner |
1939 (age Error: Need valid year, month, day) New York City, New York |
Journalist | ![]() New York |
[120] | ||
![]() Kanye West |
June 8, 1977 (age 39) Atlanta, Georgia |
Rapper, fashion designer, and reality TV star | ![]() California |
[121][122] |
Potential candidates
- Mark Cuban, businessman from Texas[123][124]
- Paris Hilton, businesswoman from California[125][126][127]
See also
References
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(help) - ^ "Kanye West reaffirms vow to run for president". Washington Examiner. November 10, 2016. Retrieved November 10, 2016.
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