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2020 United States Senate election in Texas

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2020 United States Senate election in Texas
← 2014 November 3, 2020 2026 →
 
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

John Cornyn
Republican



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The 2020 United States Senate election in Texas will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Texas, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

John Cornyn
Federal officials
U.S. Senators
Statewide officials

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Cornyn (incumbent)
Republican Dwayne Stovall
Republican Mark Yancey
Total votes 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Potential

  • Beto O'Rourke, former U.S. Congressman and failed Presidential and Senate candidate[26][20]

Declined

Endorsements

MJ Hegar
Organizations
Sema Hernandez
Statewide officials
Royce West
Federal officials
State officials
Local officials

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Colin
Allred 		Chris
Bell 		Joaquin
Castro 		Michael
Cooper 		Wendy
Davis 		Amanda
Edwards 		Veronica
Escobar 		MJ
Hegar 		Sema
Hernandez 		Kim
Olson 		Cristina
Ramirez 		Royce
West 		Other Undecided
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Oct 18-29, 2019 541 ± 4.21% – 3% – 0% – 4% – 12% 6% – 4% 5% 3%[a] 57%
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Aug 29-Sept 8 2019 550 ± 4.17% – 2% – 2% – 2% – 11% 3% – 3% 5% – 66%
Ragnar Research Sep 3-5, 2019 600 (LV) ± 3.9% – 9% – – – 10% – 12% – – 10% 10% – 49%
Change Research Apr 18–22, 2019 1,578 ± 2.5% – 5% 43% – – 0% 3% 3% – 3% 3% – 8%[b] 33%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] Mar 5–7, 2019 608 ± 4.0% – – 42% 4% 19% – – 4% 2% – – – – 29%

Head-to-head Polling

with Chris Bell and MJ Hegar
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Chris
Bell 		MJ
Hegar 		Undecided
Ragnar Research Sep 3-5, 2019 600 (LV) ± 3.9% 21% 28% 50%
with MJ Hegar and Royce West
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		MJ
Hegar 		Royce
West 		Undecided
Ragnar Research Sep 3-5, 2019 600 (LV) ± 3.9% 26% 24% 50%

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Bell
Democratic Michael Cooper
Democratic Amanda Edwards
Democratic Jack Daniel Foster, Jr.
Democratic Victor Hugo Harris
Democratic MJ Hegar
Democratic Sema Hernandez
Democratic Adrian Ocegueda
Democratic Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez
Democratic Royce West
Total votes 100.0%

Libertarian candidates

Declared

Independent candidates

Withdrew

  • Dwayne Stovall, bridge construction contractor, school board member from Cleveland, candidate for the State House of Representatives in 2012, and Candidate for United States Senate in 2014 as a Republican[39]; switched to Republican primary.[40][41][42]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[43] Solid R August 16, 2019
Sabato's Crystal Ball[44] Likely R July 8, 2019
Inside Elections[45] Likely R June 28, 2019

Polling

with MJ Hegar
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		John
Cornyn (R) 		MJ
Hegar (D) 		Other Undecided
Emerson College Apr 25–28, 2019 799 ± 3.4% 29% 12% 16% 44%
with Beto O'Rourke
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		John
Cornyn (R) 		Beto
O'Rourke (D) 		Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University Feb 20–25, 2019 1,222 ± 3.4% 46% 46% 1% 6%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] Feb 13–14, 2019 743 ± 3.6% 47% 45% – 8%
Atlantic Media & Research (R)[B] Jan 5–11, 2019 504 ± 4.4% 50% 37% – –
with generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		John
Cornyn (R) 		Generic
Democrat (D) 		Undecided
Univision/UH Aug 1-Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) ± 3.4% 41% 40% 19%

Notes

Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Democracy Toolbox
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Courageous Conservatives PAC
Additional candidates
  1. ^ Jack Daniel Fost 2%; Adrian Ocegueda 1%
  2. ^ Sylvia Garcia, Clay Jenkins, and Sri Preston Kulkarni with 2%; Rafael Anchia and Lizzie Pannill Fletcher with 1%; Mark Strama with 0%

References

  1. ^ Patrick, Svitek (September 24, 2017). "John Cornyn says he's supporting Ted Cruz for re-election in 2018". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved September 24, 2017.
  2. ^ "Stovall to Challenge Cornyn in 2020 Republican Primary". The Amarillo Pioneer. Retrieved 2019-08-20.
  3. ^ Singer, Jeff (September 26, 2019). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 9/26". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 26, 2019.
  4. ^ "Dallas investor challenges Sen. John Cornyn in Republican primary". HoustonChronicle.com. 2019-09-26. Retrieved 2019-10-07.
  5. ^ Svitek, Patrick (2019-10-10). "State Sen. Pat Fallon decides against primary challenge to Cornyn". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved 2019-10-11.
  6. ^ a b Recio, Maria (December 7, 2018). "Cruz endorses Cornyn for 2020 Senate run". Austin American-Statesman. Retrieved December 7, 2018.
  7. ^ a b Silver, Johnathan (December 11, 2018). "Dan Patrick endorses John Cornyn after speculation he'd challenge him". Austin American-Statesman. Retrieved December 11, 2018.
  8. ^ Donald J. Trump. "Senator John Cornyn has done an outstanding job for the people of Texas. He is strong on Crime, the Border, the Second Amendment and loves our Military and Vets. John has my complete and total endorsement. MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!". Twitter.
  9. ^ "Democrat Chris Bell plans to run for U.S. Senate". 2019-07-03.
  10. ^ Svitek, Patrick (March 8, 2019). "Houston City Council Member Amanda Edwards looking at Cornyn challenge". The Blast. Retrieved March 8, 2019.
  11. ^ Tribune, The Texas; Svitek, Abby Livingston and Patrick (2019-07-18). "Houston councilwoman Amanda Edwards jumps into Democratic primary in hopes of unseating Republican U.S. Sen. John Cornyn". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved 2019-07-18.
  12. ^ "Browse Candidates for Senate". FEC.gov. Retrieved 2019-10-26.
  13. ^ "HARRIS, VICTOR HUGO - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved 2019-10-26.
  14. ^ a b Svitek, Patrick (April 23, 2019). "MJ Hegar, former congressional candidate, says she's running to challenge U.S. Sen. John Cornyn". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved April 23, 2019.
  15. ^ "Sema for Texas". Retrieved 13 September 2018.
  16. ^ Doreen, Stewart (27 September 2019). "Councilman John Love III to run for US Senate". Midland Reporter-Telegram. Retrieved 28 September 2019.
  17. ^ Tribune, The Texas; Svitek, Patrick (2019-08-12). "Latina organizer Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez enters Democratic primary to challenge Cornyn". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved 2019-08-12.
  18. ^ "Houston City Councilwoman to Challenge Cornyn". The Amarillo Pioneer. Retrieved 2019-07-18.
  19. ^ "State Sen. Royce West enters Democratic primary to challenge John Cornyn". 2019-07-22.
  20. ^ Burns, Alexander (Nov 4, 2019). "Beto O'Rourke's out, but he still casts a shadow on the 2020 Texas elections". The Texas Tribunelast1=Ross. Retrieved Nov 4, 2019. {{cite news}}: Check |url= value (help); More than one of |first1= and |first= specified (help)
  21. ^ Livingston, Abby; Svitek, Patrick (May 1, 2019). "Joaquin Castro won't challenge John Cornyn for U.S. Senate seat". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved May 1, 2019.
  22. ^ Benson, Eric (February 5, 2019). "If Beto Runs for President, Where Does That Leave Texas?". Texas Monthly. Retrieved February 7, 2019.
  23. ^ Tracy, Abigail (May 31, 2017). "Meet the Kennedyesque Democrat Trying to Beat Ted Cruz". Vanity Fair. Retrieved June 12, 2017.
  24. ^ Svitek, Patrick [@PatrickSvitek] (April 5, 2019). "Davis also makes clear #txsen run isn't happening: "There's a reason I made a decision not to run for this Senate seat. ... I've been very candid about the fact that my dear friend Joaquin Castro is someone that I'd like to see run" https://www.rousertx.com/the-rabble-pod/2019/4/4/episode-13-wendy-davis-2020-zomg-is-unwanted-hair-sniffing-ok-the-tx-house-gets-as-except-stickland-no-more-guns-on-toilets-plz …" (Tweet). Retrieved April 5, 2019 – via Twitter.
  25. ^ https://www.cnn.com/2019/07/23/politics/wendy-davis-texas-congress/index.html
  26. ^ Svitek, Patrick [@PatrickSvitek] (March 23, 2019). "New: @JosephKopser emails supporters that he won't run for office in 2020. Had been considering #TXSEN campaign or #TX21 rerun" (Tweet). Retrieved March 23, 2019 – via Twitter.
  27. ^ Burns, Alexander (2019-11-01). "Beto O'Rourke Drops Out of the Presidential Race". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2019-11-05.
  28. ^ Svitek, Patrick (May 22, 2019). "Texas Tribune: End Citizens United endorses MJ Hegar against John Cornyn". End Citizens United. Retrieved June 3, 2019.
  29. ^ "VoteVets is all-in on @mjhegar for Texas! Iraq War Veteran and Chair @jonsoltz says, "Her commitment to community, to country, and to service is unrivaled, and we absolutely cannot wait to see her draw that contrast with Washington politician @JohnCornyn." #TXSen". @votevets. Twitter. April 24, 2019.
  30. ^ "Badass Women". Facebook. Retrieved 4 March 2019.
  31. ^ "Longtime state Sen. Royce West joins Democrats vying to challenge Cornyn". HoustonChronicle.com. Retrieved 23 September 2019.
  32. ^ a b c d e f ".@RoyceWestTX heading to @TexasSouthern on Friday to announce Houston-area endorsements, per his campaign". twitter. Retrieved 24 October 2019.
  33. ^ "Kirk Watson Endorsement". Facebook. Retrieved 23 September 2019.
  34. ^ "Eddie Rodriguez Endorsement". Facebook. Retrieved 23 September 2019.
  35. ^ "Clay Jenkins Endorsement". Facebook. Retrieved 23 September 2019.
  36. ^ "Dr. Elba Garcia Endorses Royce West". YouTube. Retrieved 23 September 2019.
  37. ^ "Pauline Medrano endorses Royce West". YouTube. Retrieved 23 September 2019.
  38. ^ "The Amarillo Pioneer". m.facebook.com. Retrieved 2019-10-03.
  39. ^ . Ballotpedia. May 19, 2019 https://ballotpedia.org/Dwayne_Stovall. {{cite web}}: Missing or empty |title= (help)
  40. ^ "Stovall to Challenge Cornyn in 2020 Republican Primary". The Amarillo Pioneer. Retrieved 2019-08-21.
  41. ^ "Stovall Scraps Independent Run, Challenges Cornyn in GOP Primary". Texas Scorecard. 2019-08-20. Retrieved 2019-08-21.
  42. ^ "Texans For Stovall". www.facebook.com. Retrieved 2019-08-21.
  43. ^ "2020 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  44. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 Senate". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  45. ^ "Senate Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-06-28.
Official campaign websites
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