2020 United States Senate election in Texas
Appearance
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Elections in Texas |
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The 2020 United States Senate election in Texas will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Texas, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- John Cornyn, incumbent U.S. Senator, former Senate Majority Whip[1]
- Dwayne Stovall, bridge construction contractor [2]
- Mark Yancey, businessman and former owner of the Dallas Wings basketball team[3][4]
Declined
- Pat Fallon, state senator[5]
- Dan Patrick, Lieutenant Governor[6] (endorsed John Cornyn)[7]
Endorsements
John Cornyn
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Cornyn (incumbent) | |||
Republican | Dwayne Stovall | |||
Republican | Mark Yancey | |||
Total votes | 100.00% |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Chris Bell, former U.S. Representative for Texas's 25th congressional district, nominee for governor in 2006, and candidate for mayor of Houston in 2015[9]
- Michael Cooper, pastor and candidate for Lieutenant Governor in 2018[10]
- Amanda Edwards, Houston City Council member[11]
- Jack Daniel Foster, Jr., educator[12]
- Victor Hugo Harris[13]
- MJ Hegar, retired United States Air Force Major and nominee for Texas's 31st congressional district in 2018[14]
- Sema Hernandez, activist and organizer for the Poor People's Campaign, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[15]
- John B. Love III, Midland City Councilman[16]
- Adrian Ocegueda, financial analyst and candidate for governor in 2018[14]
- Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, labor organizer and author[17]
- Royce West, state senator[18] [19]
Potential
- Beto O'Rourke, former U.S. Congressman and failed Presidential and Senate candidate[20]
Declined
- Joaquín Castro, U.S. Representative for Texas's 20th congressional district[21]
- Julian Castro, former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (running for president)[22][23]
- Wendy Davis, former state senator and nominee for governor in 2014[24] (running for Texas's 21st congressional district)[25]
- Joseph Kopser, retired United States Army Lieutenant Colonel and nominee for Texas's 21st congressional district in 2018[26]
Endorsements
MJ Hegar
- Organizations
Sema Hernandez
- Statewide officials
- Nina Turner, former Ohio State Senator from District 25 (2008–14); President of Our Revolution[29]
Royce West
- Federal officials
- Eddie Bernice Johnson, United States Representative from Texas 30th Congressional District (1993–Present)[30]
- Al Green, United States Representative from Texas 9th Congressional District (2005–Present)[31]
- State officials
- Kirk Watson, Texas State Senator from District 14 (2007–Present)[32]
- Carol Alvarado, Texas State Senator from District 6 (2018–Present)[31]
- John Whitmire, Texas State Senator from District 15 (1983–Present)[31]
- Eddie Rodriguez, Texas House Representative from District 51 (2002–Present)[33]
- Alma Allen, Texas House of Representatives from District 131 (2004–Present)[31]
- Harold Dutton Jr., Texas House of Representatives from District 142 (1984–Present)[31]
- Ron Reynolds, Texas House of Representatives from District 37 (2010–Present)[31]
- Local officials
- Clay Jenkins, Dallas County Judge (2010–Present)[34]
- Dr. Elba Garcia, Dallas County Commissioner (2010–Present)[35]
- Pauline Medrano, Dallas County Treasurer (2015–Present)[36]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Colin Allred |
Chris Bell |
Joaquin Castro |
Michael Cooper |
Wendy Davis |
Amanda Edwards |
Veronica Escobar |
MJ Hegar |
Sema Hernandez |
Kim Olson |
Cristina Ramirez |
Royce West |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Texas/Texas Tribune | Oct 18-29, 2019 | 541 | ± 4.21% | – | 3% | – | 0% | – | 4% | – | 12% | 6% | – | 4% | 5% | 3%[a] | 57% |
University of Texas/Texas Tribune | Aug 29-Sept 8 2019 | 550 | ± 4.17% | – | 2% | – | 2% | – | 2% | – | 11% | 3% | – | 3% | 5% | – | 66% |
Ragnar Research | Sep 3-5, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | 9% | – | – | – | 10% | – | 12% | – | – | 10% | 10% | – | 49% |
Change Research | Apr 18–22, 2019 | 1,578 | ± 2.5% | – | 5% | 43% | – | – | 0% | 3% | 3% | – | 3% | 3% | – | 8%[b] | 33% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | Mar 5–7, 2019 | 608 | ± 4.0% | – | – | 42% | 4% | 19% | – | – | 4% | 2% | – | – | – | – | 29% |
Head-to-head Polling
- with Chris Bell and MJ Hegar
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Bell |
MJ Hegar |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ragnar Research | Sep 3-5, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 21% | 28% | 50% |
- with MJ Hegar and Royce West
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
MJ Hegar |
Royce West |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ragnar Research | Sep 3-5, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 26% | 24% | 50% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Chris Bell | |||
Democratic | Michael Cooper | |||
Democratic | Amanda Edwards | |||
Democratic | Jack Daniel Foster, Jr. | |||
Democratic | Victor Hugo Harris | |||
Democratic | MJ Hegar | |||
Democratic | Sema Hernandez | |||
Democratic | Adrian Ocegueda | |||
Democratic | Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez | |||
Democratic | Royce West | |||
Total votes | 100.0% |
Libertarian candidates
Declared
- Kerry McKennon, Libertarian nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 2018[37]
Independent candidates
Withdrew
- Dwayne Stovall, bridge construction contractor, school board member from Cleveland, candidate for the State House of Representatives in 2012, and Candidate for United States Senate in 2014 as a Republican[38]; switched to Republican primary.[39][40][41]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[42] | Solid R | August 16, 2019 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[43] | Likely R | July 8, 2019 |
Inside Elections[44] | Likely R | June 28, 2019 |
Polling
- with MJ Hegar
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Cornyn (R) |
MJ Hegar (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | Apr 25–28, 2019 | 799 | ± 3.4% | 29% | 12% | 16% | 44% |
- with Beto O'Rourke
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Cornyn (R) |
Beto O'Rourke (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University | Feb 20–25, 2019 | 1,222 | ± 3.4% | 46% | 46% | 1% | 6% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | Feb 13–14, 2019 | 743 | ± 3.6% | 47% | 45% | – | 8% |
Atlantic Media & Research (R)[B] | Jan 5–11, 2019 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 37% | – | – |
- with generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Cornyn (R) |
Generic Democrat (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Univision/UH | Aug 1-Sep 6, 2019 | 1,004 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 40% | 19% |
Notes
- Partisan clients
- Additional candidates
References
- ^ Patrick, Svitek (September 24, 2017). "John Cornyn says he's supporting Ted Cruz for re-election in 2018". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved September 24, 2017.
- ^ "Stovall to Challenge Cornyn in 2020 Republican Primary". The Amarillo Pioneer. Retrieved 2019-08-20.
- ^ Singer, Jeff (September 26, 2019). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 9/26". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 26, 2019.
- ^ "Dallas investor challenges Sen. John Cornyn in Republican primary". HoustonChronicle.com. 2019-09-26. Retrieved 2019-10-07.
- ^ Svitek, Patrick (2019-10-10). "State Sen. Pat Fallon decides against primary challenge to Cornyn". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved 2019-10-11.
- ^ a b Recio, Maria (December 7, 2018). "Cruz endorses Cornyn for 2020 Senate run". Austin American-Statesman. Retrieved December 7, 2018.
- ^ a b Silver, Johnathan (December 11, 2018). "Dan Patrick endorses John Cornyn after speculation he'd challenge him". Austin American-Statesman. Retrieved December 11, 2018.
- ^ Donald J. Trump. "Senator John Cornyn has done an outstanding job for the people of Texas. He is strong on Crime, the Border, the Second Amendment and loves our Military and Vets. John has my complete and total endorsement. MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!". Twitter.
- ^ "Democrat Chris Bell plans to run for U.S. Senate". 2019-07-03.
- ^ Svitek, Patrick (March 8, 2019). "Houston City Council Member Amanda Edwards looking at Cornyn challenge". The Blast. Retrieved March 8, 2019.
- ^ Tribune, The Texas; Svitek, Abby Livingston and Patrick (2019-07-18). "Houston councilwoman Amanda Edwards jumps into Democratic primary in hopes of unseating Republican U.S. Sen. John Cornyn". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved 2019-07-18.
- ^ "Browse Candidates for Senate". FEC.gov. Retrieved 2019-10-26.
- ^ "HARRIS, VICTOR HUGO - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved 2019-10-26.
- ^ a b Svitek, Patrick (April 23, 2019). "MJ Hegar, former congressional candidate, says she's running to challenge U.S. Sen. John Cornyn". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved April 23, 2019.
- ^ "Sema for Texas". Retrieved 13 September 2018.
- ^ Doreen, Stewart (27 September 2019). "Councilman John Love III to run for US Senate". Midland Reporter-Telegram. Retrieved 28 September 2019.
- ^ Tribune, The Texas; Svitek, Patrick (2019-08-12). "Latina organizer Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez enters Democratic primary to challenge Cornyn". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved 2019-08-12.
- ^ "Houston City Councilwoman to Challenge Cornyn". The Amarillo Pioneer. Retrieved 2019-07-18.
- ^ "State Sen. Royce West enters Democratic primary to challenge John Cornyn". 2019-07-22.
- ^ {{cite web|url=https://www.texastribune.org/2019/11/04/beto-orourkes-out-still-casts-shadow-2020-texas-elections/
- ^ Livingston, Abby; Svitek, Patrick (May 1, 2019). "Joaquin Castro won't challenge John Cornyn for U.S. Senate seat". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved May 1, 2019.
- ^ Benson, Eric (February 5, 2019). "If Beto Runs for President, Where Does That Leave Texas?". Texas Monthly. Retrieved February 7, 2019.
- ^ Tracy, Abigail (May 31, 2017). "Meet the Kennedyesque Democrat Trying to Beat Ted Cruz". Vanity Fair. Retrieved June 12, 2017.
- ^ Svitek, Patrick [@PatrickSvitek] (April 5, 2019). "Davis also makes clear #txsen run isn't happening: "There's a reason I made a decision not to run for this Senate seat. ... I've been very candid about the fact that my dear friend Joaquin Castro is someone that I'd like to see run" https://www.rousertx.com/the-rabble-pod/2019/4/4/episode-13-wendy-davis-2020-zomg-is-unwanted-hair-sniffing-ok-the-tx-house-gets-as-except-stickland-no-more-guns-on-toilets-plz …" (Tweet). Retrieved April 5, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ https://www.cnn.com/2019/07/23/politics/wendy-davis-texas-congress/index.html
- ^ Svitek, Patrick [@PatrickSvitek] (March 23, 2019). "New: @JosephKopser emails supporters that he won't run for office in 2020. Had been considering #TXSEN campaign or #TX21 rerun" (Tweet). Retrieved March 23, 2019 – via Twitter.
- ^ Svitek, Patrick (May 22, 2019). "Texas Tribune: End Citizens United endorses MJ Hegar against John Cornyn". End Citizens United. Retrieved June 3, 2019.
- ^ "VoteVets is all-in on @mjhegar for Texas! Iraq War Veteran and Chair @jonsoltz says, "Her commitment to community, to country, and to service is unrivaled, and we absolutely cannot wait to see her draw that contrast with Washington politician @JohnCornyn." #TXSen". @votevets. Twitter. April 24, 2019.
- ^ "Badass Women". Facebook. Retrieved 4 March 2019.
- ^ "Longtime state Sen. Royce West joins Democrats vying to challenge Cornyn". HoustonChronicle.com. Retrieved 23 September 2019.
- ^ a b c d e f ".@RoyceWestTX heading to @TexasSouthern on Friday to announce Houston-area endorsements, per his campaign". twitter. Retrieved 24 October 2019.
- ^ "Kirk Watson Endorsement". Facebook. Retrieved 23 September 2019.
- ^ "Eddie Rodriguez Endorsement". Facebook. Retrieved 23 September 2019.
- ^ "Clay Jenkins Endorsement". Facebook. Retrieved 23 September 2019.
- ^ "Dr. Elba Garcia Endorses Royce West". YouTube. Retrieved 23 September 2019.
- ^ "Pauline Medrano endorses Royce West". YouTube. Retrieved 23 September 2019.
- ^ "The Amarillo Pioneer". m.facebook.com. Retrieved 2019-10-03.
- ^ . Ballotpedia. May 19, 2019 https://ballotpedia.org/Dwayne_Stovall.
{{cite web}}
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(help) - ^ "Stovall to Challenge Cornyn in 2020 Republican Primary". The Amarillo Pioneer. Retrieved 2019-08-21.
- ^ "Stovall Scraps Independent Run, Challenges Cornyn in GOP Primary". Texas Scorecard. 2019-08-20. Retrieved 2019-08-21.
- ^ "Texans For Stovall". www.facebook.com. Retrieved 2019-08-21.
- ^ "2020 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 Senate". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
- ^ "Senate Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-06-28.
External links
- Official campaign websites
- Chris Bell (D) for Senate
- Michael Cooper (D) for Senate
- John Cornyn (R) for Senate
- Amanda Edwards (D) for Senate
- Jack Daniel Foster, Jr. (D) for Senate
- MJ Hegar (D) for Senate
- Sema Hernandez (D) for Senate
- Kerry McKennon (L) for Senate
- Adrian Ocegueda (D) for Senate
- Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez (D) for Texas
- Dwayne Stovall (R) for Senate
- Royce West (D) for Senate
- Mark Yancey (R) for Senate