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2022 United States Senate elections

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For related races, see 2022 United States elections.

2022 United States Senate elections
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
34 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate
51 seats needed for a majority
 
Leader Chuck Schumer Mitch McConnell
Party Democratic Republican
Leader since January 3, 2017 January 3, 2007
Leader's seat New York Kentucky
Last election 48[a][b] 50
Seats needed Steady Increase 1
Seats up 14 20
 
Party Independent
Current seats 2[b]
Seats up 0
2022 United States Senate elections in California2022 United States Senate special election in Oklahoma2022 United States Senate election in Alabama2022 United States Senate election in Alaska2022 United States Senate election in Arizona2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas2022 United States Senate elections in California2022 United States Senate election in Colorado2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut2022 United States Senate election in Florida2022 United States Senate election in Georgia2022 United States Senate election in Hawaii2022 United States Senate election in Idaho2022 United States Senate election in Illinois2022 United States Senate election in Indiana2022 United States Senate election in Iowa2022 United States Senate election in Kansas2022 United States Senate election in Kentucky2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana2022 United States Senate election in Maryland2022 United States Senate election in Missouri2022 United States Senate election in Nevada2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire2022 United States Senate election in New York2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina2022 United States Senate election in North Dakota2022 United States Senate election in Ohio2022 United States Senate election in Oklahoma2022 United States Senate election in Oregon2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania2022 United States Senate election in South Carolina2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota2022 United States Senate election in Utah2022 United States Senate election in Vermont2022 United States Senate election in Washington2022 United States Senate election in Wisconsin
Map of the incumbents:
     Democratic incumbent
     Republican incumbent      Republican retiring
     No election
Incumbent Majority Leader

Chuck Schumer
Democratic



The 2022 United States Senate elections will be held on November 8, 2022, with 34 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections, the winners of which will serve six-year terms in the United States Congress from January 3, 2023, to January 3, 2029. Senators are divided into three groups, or classes, whose terms are staggered so that a different class is elected every two years. Class 3 senators were last elected in 2016, and will be up for election again in 2022.

All 34 Class 3 Senate seats are up for election in 2022; Class 3 currently consists of 14 Democrats and 20 Republicans. If a vacancy occurs, the corresponding state might require a special election to take place during the 117th Congress, possibly concurrently with the other 2022 Senate elections.

Partisan composition

Parties style="background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/color" | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/color" | style="background-color:Template:Independent (US)/meta/color" | style="background-color:Template:Unknown/meta/color" | Total
Democratic Republican Independent Unknown
Last election (2020) 48 50 2 0 100
Before these elections 48 50 2 0 100
Not up 34 30 2 0 66
Class 1 (2018→2024) 21 10 2 0 33
Class 2 (2020→2026) 13 20 0 0 33
Up 14 20 0 0 34
Class 3 (2016→2022) 14 20 0 0 34
Special: Class 1 & 2 0 0 0 0 0
General election
Incumbent retiring TBD TBD — 0 TBD
Incumbent running TBD TBD — 0 TBD

Change in composition

Each block represents one of the one hundred seats in the U.S. Senate. "D#" is a Democratic senator, "I#" is an Independent senator, and "R#" is a Republican senator. They are arranged so the parties are separated and a majority is clear by crossing the middle.

Before the elections

Each block indicates an incumbent senator's actions going into the election.

D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8 D9 D10
D20 D19 D18 D17 D16 D15 D14 D13 D12 D11
D21 D22 D23 D24 D25 D26 D27 D28 D29 D30
D40
Hawaii
Undeclared 		D39
Ga.
Undeclared 		D38
Conn.
Running 		D37
Colo.
Running 		D36
Calif.
Running 		D35
Ariz.
Running 		D34 D33 D32 D31
D41
Ill.
Running 		D42
Md.
Running 		D43
Nev.
Undeclared 		D44
N.H.
Running 		D45
N.Y.
Undeclared 		D46
Ore.
Running 		D47
Vt.
Undeclared 		D48
Wash.
Undeclared 		I1 I2
Majority (with Independents and Vice President) ↑
R41
Mo.
Running 		R42
N.C.
Retiring 		R43
N.D.
Undeclared 		R44
Ohio
Retiring 		R45
Okla.
Undeclared 		R46
Pa.
Retiring 		R47
S.C.
Undeclared 		R48
S.D.
Undeclared 		R49
Utah
Undeclared 		R50
Wisc.
Undeclared
R40
La.
Undeclared 		R39
Ky.
Undeclared 		R38
Kans.
Running 		R37
Iowa
Undeclared 		R36
Ind.
Running 		R35
Idaho
Undeclared 		R34
Fla.
Running 		R33
Ark.
Running 		R32
Alaska
Running 		R31
Ala.
Undeclared
R21 R22 R23 R24 R25 R26 R27 R28 R29 R30
R20 R19 R18 R17 R16 R15 R14 R13 R12 R11
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10

After the elections

D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8 D9 D10
D20 D19 D18 D17 D16 D15 D14 D13 D12 D11
D21 D22 D23 D24 D25 D26 D27 D28 D29 D30
Ark.
TBD 		Ariz.
TBD 		Alaska
TBD 		Ala.
TBD 		I2 I1 D34 D33 D32 D31
Calif.
TBD 		Colo.
TBD 		Conn.
TBD 		Fla.
TBD 		Ga.
TBD 		Hawaii
TBD 		Idaho
TBD 		Ill.
TBD 		Ind.
TBD 		Iowa
TBD
Majority TBD →
Kans.
TBD
N.D.
TBD 		N.C.
TBD 		N.Y.
TBD 		N.H.
TBD 		Nev.
TBD 		Mo.
TBD 		Md.
TBD 		La.
TBD 		Ky.
TBD
Ohio
TBD 		Okla.
TBD 		Ore.
TBD 		Pa.
TBD 		S.C.
TBD 		S.D.
TBD 		Utah
TBD 		Vt.
TBD 		Wash.
TBD 		Wisc.
TBD
R21 R22 R23 R24 R25 R26 R27 R28 R29 R30
R20 R19 R18 R17 R16 R15 R14 R13 R12 R11
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10
Key:
D# Democratic
R# Republican
I# Independent, caucusing with Democrats

Predictions

Several sites and individuals published predictions of competitive seats. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent was running for reelection) and the other candidates, and the state's partisan lean (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, indicating the predicted advantage that a party had in winning that seat. Most election predictors used:

  • "tossup": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
  • "lean" or "leans": slight advantage
  • "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
  • "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
Constituency Incumbent 2022 election ratings
State PVI[1] Senator Last
election[c] 		Cook
January 25,
2021[2] 		270
January 25,
2021[3] 		IE
January 25,
2021[4]
Alabama R+14 Richard Shelby 64.0% R Solid R Safe R Solid R
Alaska R+9 Lisa Murkowski 44.4% R Solid R Safe R Solid R
Arizona R+5 Mark Kelly 51.2% D
(2020 special)[d] 		Lean D Leans D Battleground
Arkansas R+15 John Boozman 59.8% R Solid R Safe R Solid R
California D+12 Alex Padilla Appointed
(2021)[e] 		Solid D Safe D Solid D
Colorado D+1 Michael Bennet 50.0% D Solid D Likely D Solid D
Connecticut D+6 Richard Blumenthal 63.2% D Solid D Safe D Solid D
Florida R+2 Marco Rubio 52.0% R Likely R Likely R Battleground
Georgia R+5 Raphael Warnock 51.0% D
(2020 special)[f] 		Lean D Tossup Battleground
Hawaii D+18 Brian Schatz 73.6% D Solid D Safe D Solid D
Idaho R+19 Mike Crapo 66.1% R Solid R Safe R Solid R
Illinois D+7 Tammy Duckworth 54.9% D Solid D Safe D Solid D
Indiana R+9 Todd Young 52.1% R Solid R Safe R Solid R
Iowa R+3 Chuck Grassley 60.1% R Solid R Safe R Solid R
Kansas R+13 Jerry Moran 62.2% R Solid R Safe R Solid R
Kentucky R+15 Rand Paul 57.3% R Solid R Safe R Solid R
Louisiana R+11 John Kennedy 60.7% R Solid R Safe R Solid R
Maryland D+12 Chris Van Hollen 60.9% D Solid D Safe D Solid D
Missouri R+9 Roy Blunt 49.2% R Solid R Safe R Solid R
Nevada D+1 Catherine Cortez Masto 47.1% D Likely D Leans D Battleground
New Hampshire D+1 Maggie Hassan 48.0% D Likely D Leans D Battleground
New York D+11 Chuck Schumer 70.6% D Solid D Safe D Solid D
North Carolina R+3 Richard Burr
(retiring) 		51.1% R Tossup Tossup Battleground
North Dakota R+16 John Hoeven 78.5% R Solid R Safe R Solid R
Ohio R+3 Rob Portman
(retiring) 		58.0% R Lean R Leans R Solid R
Oklahoma R+20 James Lankford 67.7% R Solid R Safe R Solid R
Oregon D+5 Ron Wyden 56.6% D Solid D Safe D Solid D
Pennsylvania EVEN Pat Toomey
(retiring) 		48.8% R Tossup Tossup Battleground
South Carolina R+8 Tim Scott 60.6% R Solid R Safe R Solid R
South Dakota R+14 John Thune 71.8% R Solid R Safe R Solid R
Utah R+20 Mike Lee 68.2% R Solid R Safe R Solid R
Vermont D+15 Patrick Leahy 60.0% D Solid D Safe D Solid D
Washington D+7 Patty Murray 59.0% D Solid D Safe D Solid D
Wisconsin EVEN Ron Johnson 50.2% R Lean R Leans R Battleground
Overall[g] D - 50
R - 48
2 tossups 		D - 49
R - 48
3 tossups 		D - 46
R - 46
8 battlegrounds

Potentially competitive races

In contrast to 2018, where Democrats were defending 10 seats in states Donald Trump won in 2016, Democrats have no seats won by Trump in 2020 whereas the GOP is defending 2 seats in states President Joe Biden won. Potentially competitive Republican-held seats up for election in 2022 include Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio, 3 states Donald Trump won, and Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, 2 states Joe Biden won. However, the GOP is expected to have a significant edge in Florida due to a rightward shift in the state combined with a strong incumbent senator. Iowa could also become competitive if incumbent United States Senator Chuck Grassley decides to retire (he would be 89 at the start of his next term if he decided to run). Potentially competitive Democratic-held seats up for election in 2022 include Arizona, Colorado, Georgia, Nevada, and New Hampshire, all of which voted for Joe Biden.[5][6] The Democrats have an advantage in Colorado and New Hampshire (assuming their popular incumbent governor doesn't run) similar to the Republican advantages in Florida; 2020 Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden overperformed on the 2016 Democratic margin by respectively 8.59% in Colorado and 6.98% in New Hampshire.

Race summary

Note: Candidates include those who declared as well as those who only filed paperwork.

State
(linked to
summaries below) 		Incumbent Results Candidates
Senator Party Electoral history
Alabama Richard Shelby Republican 1986
1992
1998
2004
2010
2016 		Incumbent's intent unknown.
Announcement expected in January 2021.[7]
  • TBD
Alaska Lisa Murkowski Republican 2002 (Appointed)
2004
2010
2016 		Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
Arizona Mark Kelly Democratic 2020 (Special) Incumbent's intent unknown.
TBD
Arkansas John Boozman Republican 2010
2016 		Incumbent running.
California Alex Padilla Democratic 2021 (Appointed) Incumbent running.
Colorado Michael Bennet Democratic 2009 (Appointed)
2010
2016 		Incumbent running.
Connecticut Richard Blumenthal Democratic 2010
2016 		Incumbent running.
Florida Marco Rubio Republican 2010
2016 		Incumbent running.
Georgia Raphael Warnock Democratic 2020 (Special) Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
Hawaii Brian Schatz Democratic 2012 (Appointed)
2014 (Special)
2016 		Incumbent running.
Idaho Mike Crapo Republican 1998
2004
2010
2016 		Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
Illinois Tammy Duckworth Democratic 2016 Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
Indiana Todd Young Republican 2016 Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
Iowa Chuck Grassley Republican 1980
1986
1992
1998
2004
2010
2016 		Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
Kansas Jerry Moran Republican 2010
2016 		Incumbent running.
Kentucky Rand Paul Republican 2010
2016 		Incumbent's intent unknown.[25]
  • TBD
Louisiana John Kennedy Republican 2016 Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
Maryland Chris Van Hollen Democratic 2016 Incumbent running.
Missouri Roy Blunt Republican 2010
2016 		Incumbent running.
Nevada Catherine Cortez Masto Democratic 2016 Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
New Hampshire Maggie Hassan Democratic 2016 Incumbent running.
New York Chuck Schumer Democratic 1998
2004
2010
2016 		Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • Khaled Salem (Democratic)[33]
North Carolina Richard Burr Republican 2004
2010
2016 		Incumbent retiring.[34]
North Dakota John Hoeven Republican 2010
2016 		Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
Ohio Rob Portman Republican 2010
2016 		Incumbent retiring.[38]
  • Mark Pukita (Republican)[39]
Oklahoma James Lankford Republican 2014 (Special)
2016 		Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
Oregon Ron Wyden Democratic 1996 (Special)
1998
2004
2010
2016 		Incumbent running.
Pennsylvania Pat Toomey Republican 2010
2016 		Incumbent retiring.[42]
South Carolina Tim Scott Republican 2013 (Appointed)
2014 (Special)
2016 		Incumbent's intent unknown.[46]
South Dakota John Thune Republican 2004
2010
2016 		Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
Utah Mike Lee Republican 2010
2016 		Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • Allen Gines (Democrat)[47]
  • Austin Searle (Democrat)[48]
Vermont Patrick Leahy Democratic 1974
1980
1986
1992
1998
2004
2010
2016 		Incumbent’s intent unknown.
TBD
Washington Patty Murray Democratic 1992
1998
2004
2010
2016 		Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
Wisconsin Ron Johnson Republican 2010
2016 		Incumbent's intent unknown.[49]

Alabama

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Alabama
See also: List of United States senators from Alabama and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama

Six-term Republican Richard Shelby was easily re-elected in 2016. He is expected to make an announcement in January 2021.[51] If he chooses to run for a 7th term, he will be 88.

Alaska

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Alaska
See also: List of United States senators from Alaska

Three-term Republican Lisa Murkowski was re-elected in 2016. Former governor and vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin is considering a primary challenge to Murkowski,[52] as are others. Alaska adopted a top-four jungle primary system in 2020, with the ultimate winner being decided via ranked-choice voting. Characterizations of the state as a "Safe" or "Solid" Republican stronghold may change if Murkowski decides to change her party affiliation to Independent. The ranked choice system could mean that Murkowski would be a favorite as an Independent who would caucus with the Republicans in the Senate.

Arizona

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona
See also: List of United States senators from Arizona and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona

Incumbent Democrat Mark Kelly was elected in a 2020 special election.

Six-term senator and 2008 Republican presidential nominee John McCain was re-elected to this seat in 2016. However, he died on August 25, 2018, and former U.S. Senator Jon Kyl was appointed to replace him. Kyl resigned at the end of 2018 and was succeeded by outgoing U.S. Representative Martha McSally, who lost the 2020 special election to complete the term.

Republican governor Doug Ducey, who is term-limited, has said he will not run for Senate in 2022.[53]

Arkansas

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas
See also: List of United States senators from Arkansas and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas

Two-term Republican John Boozman was re-elected in 2016. Boozman has not publicly announced plans to run for a third term, but has filed a formal Statement of Candidacy with the Federal Election Commission.[54] Dan Whitfield, who attempted to run as an independent for Arkansas' other U.S. Senate seat in 2020 but failed to meet the ballot access requirements,[55] is running as a Democrat.[56]

California

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in California
See also: List of United States senators from California and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in California

One-term Democrat Kamala Harris was elected in 2016, but resigned her seat on January 18, 2021, to take her seat as Vice President of the United States. On December 22, 2020, Governor Gavin Newsom announced his intention to appoint outgoing California Secretary of State Alex Padilla to continue Harris's remaining term. Padilla announced his intention to run for a full term in 2022.[57]

Colorado

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Colorado
See also: List of United States senators from Colorado and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Colorado

Democrat Michael Bennet was first elected in 2010. In his most recent election in 2016, he was re-elected with 49.97% over Republican Darryl Glenn.[58]

Connecticut

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut
See also: List of United States senators from Connecticut and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut

Two-term Democrat Richard Blumenthal was first elected to this seat in 2010 with 55.2% over Republican Linda McMahon. He was then re-elected in 2016 with 63.2% over Republican Dan Carter.[59] Republican Robert F. Hyde is running.[60][61]

Florida

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Florida
See also: List of United States senators from Florida and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

Two-term Republican Marco Rubio was re-elected in 2016. He announced on November 9, 2020, via Facebook, that he would be running for re-election.[21]

Possible Democratic candidates include U.S. Representative Val Demings,[62][63][64] State Representative Anna Eskamani,[63][65] Florida Commissioner of Agriculture Nikki Fried,[66] former U.S. Representative Gwen Graham,[66] U.S. Representative Stephanie Murphy,[63] and State Senator Jason Pizzo.[63]

Former U.S. Representative David Jolly, who was previously a Republican but is now independent, is considering running.[67]

Declared NPA Candidate: Grace Granda, business consultant[68]

Georgia

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia
See also: List of United States senators from Georgia and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Georgia

Democratic senator Raphael Warnock won the 2020–2021 special election against incumbent Republican Kelly Loeffler, serving the unexpired term of Johnny Isakson, who resigned at the end of 2019. Loeffer was appointed by Governor Brian Kemp following Isakson's resignation. Warnock's term will expire in 2023.

Prior to Isakson's retirement and the Democratic Party's victory in the subsequent special election to replace him, former Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed was seen as a potential candidate to challenge him in 2022.[69]

Hawaii

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Hawaii
See also: List of United States senators from Hawaii and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii

One-term Democrat Brian Schatz was appointed to the Senate in 2012 following the death of incumbent Daniel Inouye. He won a special election to finish Inouye's term in 2014 and won his first full term in 2016.

Idaho

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Idaho
See also: List of United States senators from Idaho and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho

Four-term Republican Mike Crapo was re-elected in 2016.

Illinois

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Illinois
See also: List of United States senators from Illinois and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Illinois

One-term Democrat Tammy Duckworth was elected in 2016.

Indiana

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Indiana
See also: List of United States senators from Indiana and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana

One-term Republican Todd Young was elected in 2016.

Iowa

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Iowa
See also: List of United States senators from Iowa and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

Seven-term Republican Chuck Grassley was re-elected in 2016. When asked by the Iowa Capital Dispatch in February 2020 if he would be running for re-election and said:

You'll have to ask me a year and a half from now. Now if you'd asked me that six years ago, I'd have said I'm running for re-election. But now that I'm 86, I better make sure I can see myself to be 95 years old… Now the one thing I want to make sure of is, that I don't become a Senator Byrd, where, the last two years on office, I have to have a nurse with me. Or when [Strom] Thurmond left office at 100 years and three months, but the last couple of years, he needed a lot of help.

He also said that he would decide whether to run again "eight months to a year before the 2022 election".[70]

Should Grassley retire, potential Republican candidates include Grassley's grandson Speaker of the Iowa House of Representatives Pat Grassley and U.S. Representative Ashley Hinson[71]

Potential Democratic candidates include U.S. Representative Cindy Axne, former U.S Representative Abby Finkenauer, retired Admiral and former aide to U.S. Senator Ted Kennedy Michael T. Franken, attorney Kimberly Graham, 2020 U.S. Senate nominee Theresa Greenfield, businessman and teacher Eddie Mauro, Iowa State Auditor Rob Sand and veteran Cal Woods.[72]

Kansas

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Kansas
See also: List of United States senators from Kansas and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas

Two-term Republican Jerry Moran was re-elected in 2016. He has announced that he will be seeking re-election.[24] Former U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo may primary challenge Moran.[73]

Kentucky

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Kentucky
See also: List of United States senators from Kentucky and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

Two-term Republican Rand Paul was re-elected in 2016.

Louisiana

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana
See also: List of United States senators from Louisiana and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana

One-term Republican John Kennedy was elected in 2016.

Louisiana governor John Bel Edwards, who will be term-limited in 2023, may run in the Democratic primary.[74]

Maryland

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Maryland
See also: List of United States senators from Maryland and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland

One-term Democrat Chris Van Hollen was elected in 2016. He has not announced whether or not he will seek a second term, however he has filed papers to run again with the FEC.[75]

Missouri

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Missouri
See also: List of United States senators from Missouri and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri

Two-term Republican Roy Blunt was re-elected in 2016. He is seeking re-election.[29]

Former Governor of Missouri Eric Greitens may run in the Republican primary.[76]

Nevada

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Nevada
See also: List of United States senators from Nevada and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Nevada

One-term Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto was elected in 2016.

New Hampshire

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire
See also: List of United States senators from New Hampshire and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

One-term Democrat Maggie Hassan was elected in 2016. She is running for reelection.[32]

Retired U.S. Army general Don Bolduc has declared his candidacy as a Republican, having previously run in the 2020 Republican primary in New Hampshire.[77][78]

Former Senator Kelly Ayotte[79] and Governor Chris Sununu[80] have also been speculated to be potential Republican candidates.

New York

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in New York
See also: List of United States senators from New York and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New York

Four-term Democrat and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer was re-elected in 2016. Sam Seder, the host of The Majority Report with Sam Seder, has expressed interest in challenging Schumer for the Democratic nomination. Human rights activist Khaled Salem is challenging Schumer in the primary.[33]

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Democratic Congresswoman for New York's 14th congressional district, who successfully defeated long time incumbent Democrat Joe Crowley in an upset 2018 primary campaign, has been floated as a possible primary challenger to Schumer.[81]

North Carolina

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina
See also: List of United States senators from North Carolina and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina

Three-term Republican Richard Burr was re-elected in 2016. Burr has pledged to retire in 2022.[82]

Former U.S. Representative Mark Walker is running in the Republican primary.[83] Potential Republican candidates include U.S. Representative Ted Budd,[84] former Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest,[85] former U.S. Representative George Holding,[86] former Governor Pat McCrory,[87] North Carolina House Speaker Tim Moore,[85] and Lara Trump, daughter-in-law of former president Donald Trump.[85][88]

Former state senator and 2020 U.S. Senate candidate Erica D. Smith and State Sen. Jeff Jackson of Charlotte are running in the Democratic primary.[89][90] Potential Democratic candidates include Governor Roy Cooper,[91] North Carolina Supreme Court Associate Justice Anita Earls,[92] state representative Grier Martin,[93] U.S. Representative Deborah K. Ross,[93] and Attorney General Josh Stein.[93]

North Dakota

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in North Dakota
See also: List of United States senators from North Dakota and 2022 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota

Two-term Republican John Hoeven was re-elected in 2016.

Ohio

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio
See also: List of United States senators from Ohio and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio

Two-term Republican Rob Portman was re-elected in 2016. On January 25, 2021, he announced that he would not be running for re-election.[94]

Potential Democratic candidates include Cincinnati Mayor John Cranley,[95] Columbus City Attorney Zach Klein,[96] U.S. Representative and 2020 presidential candidate Tim Ryan,[97][95] Franklin County Treasurer Cheryl Brooks Sullivan, Ohio House Minority Leader Emilia Sykes,[98] and Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley.[95]

Oklahoma

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Oklahoma
See also: List of United States senators from Oklahoma and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma

One-term Republican senator James Lankford won the 2014 special election to serve the remainder of former senator Tom Coburn's term, and Lankford won election to his first full term in 2016.

Oregon

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Oregon
See also: List of United States senators from Oregon and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon

Four-term Democrat Ron Wyden was re-elected in 2016. He is seeking re-election.[41]

Pennsylvania

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania
See also: List of United States senators from Pennsylvania and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania

Two-term Republican Pat Toomey was re-elected in 2016. On October 5, 2020, Toomey announced that he will retire at the end of his term.[99]

Potential Democratic candidates include Montgomery County Commissioner Valerie Arkoosh,[99] U.S. Representative Brendan Boyle,[99] Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman,[100] U.S. Representative Chrissy Houlahan,[99] State Senator Sharif Street, [101] [102] State Representative Malcolm Kenyatta,[99] U.S. Representative Conor Lamb,[103] Toomey's 2010 opponent Joe Sestak,[104] and former State Treasurer Joe Torsella.[99]

On January 8, 2021, Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman filed an exploratory committee with the FEC.[105] He also tweeted a link to his campaign to solicit donations for a potential run.[106]

Potential Republican candidates include State Senator Camera Bartolotta,[99] 2018 Senate candidate Jeff Bartos,[99] former U.S. Representative Ryan Costello,[99] 2018 gubernatorial candidate Paul Mango,[99] U.S. Attorney William McSwain,[99] Chester County Commissioner Michelle H. Kichline, state Representative Martina White, and current U.S. Representatives Dan Meuser,[99] Guy Reschenthaler,[99] Lloyd Smucker,[99] and Glenn Thompson.[99]

South Carolina

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in South Carolina
See also: List of United States senators from South Carolina and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in South Carolina

One-term Republican Tim Scott was appointed in 2013, and won election to his first full term in 2016.

South Dakota

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota
See also: List of United States senators from South Dakota and 2022 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota

Three-term Republican and Senate Minority Whip John Thune was re-elected in 2016.

Utah

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Utah
See also: List of United States senators from Utah and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah

Two-term Republican Mike Lee was re-elected in 2016.

Vermont

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Vermont
See also: List of United States senators from Vermont and 2022 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont

The most senior senator, eight-term Democrat and President Pro Tempore Patrick Leahy was re-elected in 2016. He has not indicated whether or not he will seek a ninth term.

Potential Republican candidates include Governor Phil Scott.[107]

Washington

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Washington
See also: List of United States senators from Washington and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Washington

Five-term Democrat Patty Murray was re-elected in 2016.

Wisconsin

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Wisconsin
See also: List of United States senators from Wisconsin and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin

Two-term Republican Ron Johnson was re-elected in 2016. Johnson had pledged to retire in 2022,[108] but in 2019, he said he did not know if he would in fact seek a third term or not and would not rule anything out.[49]

Kenosha County Sheriff David Beth (R) has expressed an interest in running for the Senate.[109] Former Governor Scott Walker has said that he will not run.[110]

On October 23, 2020, Tom Nelson, current County Executive of Outagamie filed a statement of candidacy as a Democrat.[50]

Other possible races

On June 26, 2020, the United States House of Representatives voted 232–180 to grant statehood to the District of Columbia,[111] but the bill, H.R. 51, failed in the Senate when the 116th Congress ended. On January 3, 2021, the District's delegate, Eleanor Holmes Norton, reintroduced the bill at the start of the 117th Congress with a record 202 co-sponsors.[112] As the Democratic Party retained its control of the House and narrowly regained that of the Senate after the 2020 elections, it is possible that the 117th Congress (2021-2023) will grant statehood to the District of Columbia. This would add two seats to the Senate, both of which would probably be filled in special elections during the 2022 election cycle. The addition of these two seats, extremely likely to be won by Democrats,[113] would have a significant effect on the nationwide partisan battle for control of the Senate.

In addition, a referendum on Puerto Rico's status was held on November 3, 2020. A majority (52.52%) of voters chose statehood.[114] It is also plausible that the 117th Congress will grant statehood to Puerto Rico. The 2020 platforms of both the Democratic[115] and Republican parties[116] (identical to the 2016 Republican Party platform as the party's National Committee readopted it by a resolution on August 22, 2020) express support for Puerto Rico's right to determine the future of its status. Both seats would likely be filled also in special elections during the 2022 election cycle. Unlike the District of Columbia, the partisan lean of Puerto Rico is somewhat unclear. While Latino Americans of Puerto Rican descent tend to vote for Democrats, many argue that Puerto Rico's heavily Catholic population[117] will result in Puerto Rico agreeing with the Republican Party on many social issues like abortion, religion in schools, and same-sex marriage.[118]

Notes

  1. ^ Democrats control the Senate since Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris has the ability to break ties.
  2. ^ a b The two independent senators, Bernie Sanders and Angus King, have caucused with the Democratic Party since joining the Senate.
  3. ^ The last elections for this group of senators were in 2016, except for those elected in a special election or who were appointed after the resignation or passing of a sitting senator, as noted.
  4. ^ Republican John McCain won with 53.7% of the vote in 2016 but died on August 25, 2018.
  5. ^ Democrat Kamala Harris won with 61.6% of the vote in 2016 but resigned on January 18, 2021, to become Vice President of the United States.
  6. ^ Republican Johnny Isakson won with 54.8% of the vote in 2016 but resigned on December 31, 2019.
  7. ^ Democratic total includes 2 Independents who caucus with the Democrats

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