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Opinion polling for the next Israeli legislative election

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In the run up to the next Israeli legislative election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Israel during the term of the twenty-fifth Knesset. This article lists the results of such polls.

The date range for these opinion polls is from the 2022 Israeli legislative election, held on 1 November, to the present day. The election is expected to be held on 2026. In keeping with the election silence tradition, no polls may be published from the end of the Friday before the election until the polling stations close on election day at 22:00.[1]

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the highest figures. When a poll has no information on a certain party, that party is instead marked by a dash (–).

Seat projections

This section displays voting intention estimates referring to the next Knesset election. The figures listed are Knesset seat counts rather than percentages, unless otherwise stated.

Polling graph

This graph shows the polling trends from the 2022 Israeli legislative election until the next election day using a 4-poll moving average. Scenario polls are not included here. For parties not crossing the electoral threshold (currently 3.25%) in any given poll, the number of seats is calculated as a percentage of the 120 total seats.

Local regression of polls conducted

Polls

Poll results are listed in the table below. Parties that fall below the electoral threshold of 3.25% are denoted by the percentage of votes that they received (N%), rather than the number of seats they would have gotten.

Legend
Date Polling firm Publisher Likud Yesh
Atid 		RZP Otzma
Yehudit 		National
Unity 		Shas UTJ Yisrael
Beiteinu 		Ra'am Hadash
–Ta'al 		Labor Meretz Balad Others Gov.
24 Feb 23 Panels Politics Maariv[2] 26 27 5 7 19 10 7 5 (2.6%) 5 5 4 (2.1%)
0.4%
Noam 0.4%
 55
20 Feb 23 Camil Fuchs Channel 13[3] 27 26 12 14 10 7 5 6 5 4 (?%) 4 – 56
3 Feb 23 Midgam HaHadashot 12[4][5] 30 24 14 14 11 7 6 5 5 (2.4%) 4 (1.8%) – 62
2 Feb 23 Direct Polls Channel 14[6] 30 24 6 8 12 12 8 6 5 5 4 – – – 64
26 Jan 23 Panels Politics Maariv[7] 31 27 5 8 15 9 7 5 (2.0%) 4 4 5 (2.4%)
0.4%
Noam 0.4%
 60
1 Jan 23 Camil Fuchs Channel 13[8] 31 26 12 12 8 7 6 6 4 4 4 – – 58
29 Dec 22 The thirty-seventh government of Israel is sworn in[9]
23 Dec 22 Panels Politics Maariv[10] 35 26 12 10 9 8 4 4 – 4 4 4 – 64
21 Dec 22 Netanyahu notified the president that he managed to form a government.[11]
1 Nov 22 Election Results[12] 32 24 14 12 11 7 6 5 5 4 (3.16%) (2.91%) (2.69%) 64

Approval ratings

Yair Lapid
Date Polling firm Publisher Approve Disapprove Undecided
20 Jan 23 Midgam HaHadashot 12[13] 30 59 11
Isaac Herzog
Date Polling firm Publisher Approve Disapprove Undecided
20 Jan 23 Midgam HaHadashot 12[13] 47 34 19

References

  1. ^ s:he:חוק הבחירות (דרכי תעמולה)#סעיף 16ה (ח) (in Hebrew)
  2. ^ Moshe Cohen (24 February 2023). "סקר מנדטים דרמטי: הליכוד מתרסק - וזו המרוויחה הגדולה ביותר". Maariv (in Hebrew). Retrieved 24 February 2023.
  3. ^ Hila Korach, Raviv Drucker, Barukh Kara, Ayala Hasson (20 February 2023). "סקר חדשות 13: 55% מהציבור נגד המהפכה המשפטית". Channel 13 (in Hebrew). Retrieved 21 February 2023.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  4. ^ "N12 - סקר מנדטים ראשון אחרי הבחירות: גנץ מתחזק, נתניהו נחלש". N12 (in Hebrew). 4 February 2023. Retrieved 7 February 2023.
  5. ^ "דפנה ליאל - הכל פוליטי". Telegram. Retrieved 7 February 2023.
  6. ^ דיגיטל 14 (2 February 2023). "סקר חדשות 14: מפת הגושים אילו הבחירות היו מתקיימות כיום". Now 14 (in Hebrew). Retrieved 7 February 2023.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  7. ^ "סקר מעריב: יותר מתנגדים מתומכים בציבור לרפורמה המשפטית". Maariv (in Hebrew). Retrieved 7 February 2023.
  8. ^ Hila Korach, Raviv Drucker (1 January 2023). "סקר חדשות 13: גוש נתניהו יורד ל-58 מנדטים, מרצ עוברת". Channel 13 (in Hebrew). Retrieved 2 January 2023.
  9. ^ Rob Picheta, Hadas Gold, Amir Tal (29 December 2022). "Benjamin Netanyahu sworn in as leader of Israel's likely most right-wing government ever". CNN. Retrieved 29 December 2022.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  10. ^ Moshe Cohen (23 December 2022). "סקר "מעריב": אילו הבחירות היו מתקיימות היום - כך הייתה נראית המפה הפוליטית". Maariv (in Hebrew). Retrieved 23 December 2022.
  11. ^ Anna Barsky (21 December 2022). "רגע לפני פקיעת המנדט, נתניהו הודיע לנשיא: "עלה בידי להקים ממשלה"". Maariv (in Hebrew). Retrieved 23 December 2022.
  12. ^ "ועדת הבחירות המרכזית לכנסת ה-25 | תוצאות ארציות". Central Elections Committee (in Hebrew). Retrieved 5 November 2022.
  13. ^ a b "N12 - סקר אולפן שישי: 63% מסכימים עם פסיקת בג"ץ בעניין דרעי". N12. 2023-01-20. Retrieved 2023-02-08.
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