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2018 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

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2018 United States Senate election in Massachusetts
← 2012 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2024 →
Turnout59.17%
 
Nominee Elizabeth Warren Geoff Diehl
Party Democratic Party (United States) Republican
Popular vote 1,633,371 979,210
Percentage 60.34% 36.17%
Municipality results
U.S. senator before election

Elizabeth Warren
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Elizabeth Warren
Democratic

Elections in
Massachusetts
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flag Massachusetts portal

The 2018 United States Senate election in Massachusetts took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren ran for reelection to a second term. The candidate filing deadline was June 5, 2018, and the primary election was held on September 4, 2018.[1]

Warren won reelection in a landslide, defeating her Republican opponent, Geoff Diehl.[2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Results

United States Senate Democratic primary in Massachusetts results by county, 2018:
  Warren—≥90%
Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Elizabeth Warren (incumbent) 590,835 98.08%
Write-in 11,558 1.92%
Total votes 602,393 100%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Eliminated at convention

  • Darius Mitchell[9]
  • Heidi Wellman[10]

Declined

Endorsements

Beth Lindstrom
Governors
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Newspapers
John Kingston
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Geoff
Diehl 		John
Kingston 		Beth
Lindstrom 		Other Undecided
MassINC June 22–25, 2018 399 ± 4.9% 26% 12% 15% 5% 41%

Results

Overall

Massachusetts United States Senate Republican primary results by municipality, 2018
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Geoff Diehl 144,043 55.15%
Republican John Kingston 69,636 26.66%
Republican Beth Lindstrom 46,693 17.88%
Write-in 798 0.31%
Total votes 261,170 100%

By county

Massachusetts United States Senate Republican primary results by county, 2018:
  Diehl—70–80%
  Diehl—60–70%
  Diehl—50–60%
  Diehl—40–50%
  Kingston—40–50%

Results by county. Red represents counties won by Diehl. Teal represents counties won by Kingston.

County Diehl
% 		Diehl
votes 		Kingston
% 		Kingston
votes 		Lindstrom
% 		Lindstrom
votes
Barnstable 57.0% 10,761 24.2% 4,573 18.6% 3,513
Berkshire 47.9% 1,221 37.8% 965 13.8% 352
Bristol 61.8% 11,005 23.0% 4,095 15.0% 2,669
Dukes 55.2% 347 25.9% 163 18.9% 119
Essex 53.1% 17,716 28.3% 9,428 18.3% 6,104
Franklin 41.8% 938 42.3% 949 15.3% 343
Hampden 50.5% 7,491 34.0% 5,048 15.0% 2,225
Hampshire 45.7% 1,967 36.7% 1,579 16.9% 725
Middlesex 52.5% 29,084 26.8% 14,852 20.3% 11,218
Nantucket 50.1% 168 29.6% 99 20.3% 68
Norfolk 58.9% 18,749 22.0% 7,009 18.8% 5,992
Plymouth 70.1% 23,242 19.8% 6,549 10.0% 3,316
Suffolk 53.5% 4,792 27.6% 2,471 18.2% 1,628
Worcester 44.8% 16,562 32.1% 11,856 22.8% 8,421
Total 55.2% 144,043 26.7% 69,636 17.9% 46,693

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declined

Independents

Candidates

Declared

Declined

General election

Endorsements

Elizabeth Warren (D)
State officials
Organizations
Geoff Diehl (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Governors
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Shiva Ayyadurai (I)
Individuals
Newspapers

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[116] Solid D September 28, 2018
Inside Elections[117] Solid D September 29, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[118] Safe D September 27, 2017
Fox News[119] Likely D^ July 9, 2018
CNN[120] Solid D July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[121] Safe D May 26, 2018

^Highest rating they assert

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Elizabeth
Warren (D) 		Geoff
Diehl (R) 		Shiva
Ayyadurai (I) 		Other Undecided
MassINC October 25–28, 2018 502 ± 4.4% 54% 32% 6% 3% 3%
Suffolk University October 24–28, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 56% 34% 4% – 5%
Western New England University October 10–27, 2018 402 LV ± 5.0% 57% 27% 7% – 8%
485 RV ± 4.0% 54% 27% 6% – 12%
UMass Lowell October 1–7, 2018 485 LV ± 5.6% 56% 31% 8% 3% 2%
791 RV ± 4.4% 56% 28% 9% 4% 1%
MassINC September 17–21, 2018 506 ± 4.4% 56% 30% 5% 1% 6%
Suffolk University September 13–17, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 54% 24% 6% – 16%
Suffolk University June 8–12, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 55% 33% – – 11%
MassINC May 22–26, 2018 501 ± 4.4% 54% 19% 8% 1% 15%
MassINC March 16–18, 2018 504 ± 4.4% 55% 20% 9% 1% 13%
MassINC November 9–12, 2017 503 ± 4.4% 58% 32% – 3% 7%
MassINC June 19–22, 2017 504 ± 4.4% 60% 29% – 1% 8%

Results

United States Senate election in Massachusetts general election results by county, 2018:
  Warren—70–80%
  Warren—60–70%
  Warren—50–60%
  Diehl—40–50%
United States Senate election in Massachusetts, 2018[122]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Elizabeth Warren (incumbent) 1,633,371 60.34% +6.60%
Republican Geoff Diehl 979,210 36.17% −10.02%
Independent Shiva Ayyadurai 91,710 3.39% N/A
Write-in 2,799 0.10% N/A
Total votes 2,707,090 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

References

  1. ^ "United States Senate election in Massachusetts, 2018 – Ballotpedia". Retrieved March 3, 2017.
  2. ^ Gavin, Christopher (November 6, 2018). "Here's an updating list of the 2018 Massachusetts election winners". Boston.com. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  3. ^ Hagan, Lisa (January 6, 2017). "Warren says she will run for reelection". The Hill. Retrieved January 7, 2017.
  4. ^ McGrane, Victoria (January 6, 2017). "Warren announces she's running for re-election". The Boston Globe. Retrieved January 11, 2017.
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  7. ^ O'Sullivan, Jim (August 21, 2017). "GOP's Beth Lindstrom to launch challenge to Elizabeth Warren in 2018". The Boston Globe. Retrieved August 21, 2017.
  8. ^ "Kingston formally launches US Senate bid for Republican nomination – The Boston Globe".
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  15. ^ "Libertarian Bill Weld will head up a fund-raising event . . . for the GOP – The Boston Globe".
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  27. ^ Beth Lindstrom for U.S. Senate. "Latest endorsement: "She's been actively getting to know people in the state personally – learning which issues matter most to them, what is working well, and what changes are needed." -Representative Steve Howitt #masen #mapoli #bospoli". Facebook.
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  30. ^ "Mayor Mark Hawke endorses Beth Lindstrom for U.S. Senate". Beth Lindstrom For US Senate. July 19, 2018.
  31. ^ Beth Lindstrom. "THonored to receive the endorsement of #Peabody City Councilor-at-Large Anne Manning-Martin! #masen #mapoli #bospoli". Twitter.
  32. ^ "Maggie's List Proudly Endorses Beth Lindstrom for U.S Senate". Maggie's List. March 14, 2018. Retrieved March 21, 2018.
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  34. ^ "RightNOW Women PAC Endorses Beth Lindstrom". Beth Lindstrom For US Senate. January 3, 2018.
  35. ^ Beth Lindstrom. "Today, I was formally endorsed by the New England Police Benevolent Association. The NEPBA represents close to 4,000 Law Enforcement Professionals in Massachusetts. #masen #mapoli". Twitter.
  36. ^ "Endorsement: Beth Lindstrom is clear GOP choice for Senate". The Boston Globe. August 23, 2018.
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  56. ^ "LCV Action Fund Endorses Senator Elizabeth Warren". League of Conservation Voters. April 23, 2018.
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  62. ^ "Massachusetts– Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
  63. ^ Mike Pence Endorses Elizabeth Warren’s Challenger Geoff Diehl
  64. ^ Stout, Matt (March 28, 2018). "Sean Spicer is coming to town — to raise money for a Warren opponent". Boston Globe.
  65. ^ Dumcius, Gintautas (September 8, 2018). "Massachusetts Gov. Charlie Baker says he backs GOP's November ticket, including Sen. Elizabeth Warren's opponent". masslive.com.
  66. ^ Young, Shannon (May 10, 2018). "Maine Gov. Paul LePage to campaign for US Senate candidate Geoff Diehl". masslive.com.
  67. ^ "Geoff Diehl on Twitter".
  68. ^ "Clark Endorses Diehl". Diehl for Senate. August 23, 2018. Archived from the original on October 6, 2018. Retrieved August 27, 2018.
  69. ^ "Cole endorses Diehl". Diehl for Senate. August 24, 2018. Archived from the original on October 6, 2018. Retrieved August 27, 2018.
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  78. ^ a b "POLITICAL NOTEBOOK: Housing issue gets spotlight at Dem forum". The Framingham Tab. August 26, 2018.
  79. ^ "Diehl Endorsed by Sheriff Cummings". CapeCod.com. July 25, 2018.
  80. ^ "EVANGELIDIS ENDORSES DIEHL". Diehl for Senate. September 27, 2018. Archived from the original on October 17, 2018. Retrieved October 29, 2018.
  81. ^ Geoff Diehl. "Thrilled to have the endorsement of Weymouth @MayorBobHedlund! Remember to vote Geoff Diehl for U.S. Senate on Tuesday, September 4. #TheRealDiehl #mapoli #masen #masen2018 #magop". Twitter.
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  86. ^ Geoff Diehl. "Melrose Alderman Monica Medeiros endorses Geoff Diehl for U.S. Senate!". Facebook.
  87. ^ Geoff Diehl. "Thank you to #Hanson Board of Selectman Chair Ken Mitchell for your endorsement. Together we will put our communities and all of #MassachusettsFirst! #mapoli #masen #masen2018 #magop". Twitter.
  88. ^ Battenfeld, Joe (August 15, 2018). "Herman Cain reappears in support of Diehl's 'long shot' bid [+audio]". Boston Herald.
  89. ^ Howie Carr. "Good morning everyone! Big day today. Don't forget to vote for Geoff Diehl. @DiehlForSenate". Twitter.
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  93. ^ "DIEHL WINS BIG ENDORSEMENT: Malone Endorses Diehl". Diehl for Senate. August 31, 2018. Archived from the original on October 6, 2018. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  94. ^ "Captain Dave Endorses Diehl for Senate". Diehl for Senate. August 28, 2018. Archived from the original on October 6, 2018. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
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  100. ^ a b "Everett Police Patrolman's Association Endorse Diehl for U.S. Senate". GoLocalWorcester. August 27, 2018.
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  103. ^ Geoff Diehl. "BREAKING: I am proud to have earned the endorsement of the @NRA – National Rifle Association of America ahead of our Tuesday Primary. I'll always stand with law-abiding gun owners to protect our #2A #mapoli #masen #masen2018 #magop". Twitter.
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  111. ^ "Editorial: Geoff Diehl for U.S. Senate". Boston Herald. October 23, 2018. Retrieved October 23, 2018.
  112. ^ "Fake Indian, Meet Real Indian". 3 December 2017.
  113. ^ "Dr Shiva Ayyadurai on the Hypocrisy of the Establishment Elites". YouTube. December 30, 2017. Retrieved December 30, 2017.
  114. ^ "Schilling Endorses 'My Choice' for Senate, and it Isn't Him". RollCall. 6 March 2017.
  115. ^ "New GOP option for Warren's seat breaks old mold". The Lowell Sun. April 7, 2017. Retrieved October 23, 2018.
  116. ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  117. ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
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  119. ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  120. ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  121. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  122. ^ https://www.sec.state.ma.us/ele/elepdf/2018_Return_of_Votes.pdf
Official campaign websites
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