From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
2020 United States Senate election in Michigan
The 2020 United States Senate election in Michigan will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent Michigan . It will be held concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election , as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections .
Incumbent Gary Peters is one of two Democratic U.S. Senators up for reelection in 2020 in a state President Donald Trump carried in 2016 ; the other is Doug Jones from Alabama .[1] The primary was held on August 4.[2] The filing deadline for candidates to run in the primary was April 21[3] but was extended to May 8 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.[4]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Declined
Endorsements
Results
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Disqualified
Declined
Endorsements
Polling
Hypothetical polling
with Bill Schuette
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[a]
Margin of error
John James
Bill Schuette
Undecided
Target Insyght
April 22–25, 2019
296 (LV)[b]
–
59%
15%
26%
Results
Other candidates
Green Party
Nominee
U.S. Taxpayers
Natural Law
Independents
Declared
Gregory Charles Jones[32]
Write ins
Frank Seldon Cupps, affiliated with the Communist Party[40]
General election
Predictions
Endorsements
Gary Peters (D)
Federal officials
Organizations
Labor unions
John James (R)
Individuals
Organizations
Polling
Aggregate polls
John James vs. Gary Peters
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Gary Peters
John James
Other/Undecided[c]
Margin
Real Clear Politics
July 18, 2020 – July 26, 2020
July 30, 2020
48.0%
38.6%
Peters +9.4
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[a]
Margin of error
Gary Peters (D)
John James (R)
Other/Undecided
Change Research/CNBC
August 7–9, 2020
413 (LV)
± 4.6%
48%
45%
7%
EPIC-MRA
July 25–30, 2020
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
50%
40%
10%
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 28–29, 2020
876 (V)
± 3.2%
47%
39%
13%
Change Research/CNBC
July 24–26, 2020
413 (LV)
± 4.8%
48%
44%
8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
July 19–23, 2020
811 (LV)
± 3.2%
52%
35%
13%
Morning Consult
July 17–26, 2020
1,320 (LV)
± 3.0%
49%
35%
16%
CNN/SSRS
July 18–24, 2020
927 (RV)
± 3.8%
54%
38%
8%
Gravis Marketing
July 22, 2020
754 (LV)
± 3.6%
49%
39%
11%
Marketing Resource Group (R)
July 19–21, 2020
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
41%
34%
25%
FOX News
July 18–20, 2020
756 (RV)
± 3.5%
48%
38%
15%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) (Hyperpartisan) [66]
July 13–16, 2020
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
51%
40%
9%
Spry Strategies (R)
July 11–16, 2020
600 (LV)
± 3.7%
47%
37%
15%
Change Research/CNBC
July 10–12, 2020
824 (LV)
± 2.8%
50%
43%
6%[d]
Public Policy Polling (D)
July 9–10, 2020
1,041 (V)
± 3.2%
49%
42%
9%
Change Research/CNBC
June 26–28, 2020
699 (LV)[e]
± 3.9%
49%
42%
9%[f]
Public Policy Polling (D) [A]
June 26–27, 2020
1,237 (V)
± 3.2%
47%
39%
14%[g]
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) (Hyperpartisan) [67] [69] [98] [100]
June 17–20, 2020
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
51%
38%
14%[h]
NYT Upshot/Siena College
June 8–17, 2020
610 (RV)
± 4.3%
41%
31%
29%[i]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
June 14–16, 2020
826 (LV)
± 3.4%
50%
32%
18%[j]
Marketing Resource Group (R)
June 12–15, 2020
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
36%
30%
33%[k]
American Greatness/TIPP (R)
June 9–12, 2020
907 (RV)
± 3.3%
47%
35%
17%[l]
Kiaer Research
May 31 – June 7, 2020
543 (LV)
± 6.4%
48%
32%
20%[m]
EPIC-MRA
May 30 – June 3, 2020
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
51%
36%
13%[n]
Public Policy Polling (D) [B]
May 29–30, 2020
1,582 (V)
± 2.5%
48%
39%
13%[o]
Change Research/Crooked Media
May 11–17, 2020
3,070 (LV)
± 2.6%
48%
43%
9%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) (Hyperpartisan) [68] [70] [99] [101] [96]
May 1–5, 2020
600 (LV)
± 3.0%
48%
36%
17%
Public Policy Polling (D)
April 28–29, 2020
1,270 (V)
± 3.2%
46%
37%
17%
FOX News
April 18–21, 2020
801 (RV)
± 3.5%
46%
36%
13%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) (Hyperpartisan) [69]
April 9–18, 2020
600 (LV)
± 3.0%
46%
37%
17%
Public Policy Polling (D)
March 31 – April 1, 2020
1,019 (V)
± 3.1%
45%
38%
17%
Spry Strategies (R)
March 30 – April 1, 2020
602 (LV)
± 4.0%
42%
40%
18%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC (R) (Hyperpartisan) [70] [72] [101] [103] [98]
March 12–21, 2020
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
48%
39%
13%
Marketing Resource Group (R)
March 16–20, 2020
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
42%
35%
13%
Firehouse/0ptimus
March 5–7, 2020
550 (LV)
± 5.0%
40%
41%
11%
Quinnipiac University
February 12–18, 2020
845 (RV)
± 3.4%
45%
39%
15%
Baldwin Wallace University
January 8–20, 2020
1,023 (RV)
± 3.1%
42%
32%
26%
Glengariff Group
January 3–7, 2020
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
44%
40%
16%
Restoration PAC (R) (Hyperpartisan) [71] [73] [102] [104] [99]
November 24–26, 2019
600 (LV)
± 3.0%
43%
44%
12%
Emerson College
October 31 – November 3, 2019
1,051 (RV)
± 3.5%
46%
40%
14%
Hodas & Associates Restoration PAC (R) (Hyperpartisan) [72]
October 10-16, 2019[p]
600 (LV)
± 3.0%
48%
35%
17%
Marketing Resource Group (R)
October 7–10, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
43%
40%
17%
Target-Insyght/MIRS News
September 24–26, 2019
804 (LV)
± 3.5%
53%
37%
10%
Denno Research/Vanguard PA/PSC (D)
September 21–24, 2019
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
40%
39%
21%
Target Insyght
April 22–25, 2019
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
50%
36%
14%
Emerson College
March 7–10, 2019
743 (LV)
± 3.5%
44%
43%
14%
Hypothetical polling
The following poll assumes neither Republican candidate would withdraw after their primary.
with Bob Carr and John James
with Bill Schuette
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[a]
Margin of error
Gary Peters (D)
Bill Schuette (R)
Undecided
Target Insyght
April 22–25, 2019
800 (LV)
± 3.5%
51%
32%
17%
with Gary Peters and Generic Republican
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[a]
Margin of error
Gary Peters (D)
Generic Republican
Undecided
Denno Research/Vanguard PA (D)
May 8–10, 2019
600
± 4.0%
42%
36%
21%
with Gary Peters and Generic Opponent
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[a]
Margin of error
Gary Peters (D)
Generic Opponent
Undecided
MRG
Jun 12-15, 2020
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
19.2%
30.3% [r]
50.5%
with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican
Results
Notes
^ a b c d e f g Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
^ Sample size estimated by multiplying the total sample size with the percentage of it that identifies as Republican
^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
^ Undecided with 5%; would not vote with 1%
^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
^ Undecided with 7%; "would not vote" with 2%
^ Undecided with 10%; "would not vote" with 4%
^ Undecided with 12%; "Refused" with 2%
^ Undecided with 24%; would not vote with 4%; "Another candidate" with 1%
^ Undecided with 15%; "Third party/write-in" with 3%
^ Undecided with 18.2%; "Someone else" with 13.7%; Would not vote with 1.5%
^ Not sure with 13%; "Other" with 4%; "prefer not to answer" with 0%
^ Undecided with 17%; "A different candidate" with 3%
^ Includes "refused"
^ "Third party" with 3%; Undecided with 10%
^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
^ The survey indicates the candidate is called 'Bob Barr', but this is assumed to be an error.
^ "It is time for someone new" with 30.3% as opposed to "Peters deserves to be re-elected"
^ Undecided with 15%; "Refused" with 1%
^ Includes "Independent"
^ Includes "Independent"
^ Includes "Independent"
Partisan clients
^ Progress Michigan is a non-profit that primarily supports Democratic candidates
^ Progress Michigan is a non-profit that primarily supports Democratic candidates
References
^ Pathé, Simone; Pathé, Simone (January 31, 2019). "Trump won Michigan in 2016. Does that matter for Gary Peters in 2020?" – via www.rollcall.com.
^ "United States Senate election in Michigan, 2020 (August 4 Democratic primary)" . ballotpedia.org . Retrieved January 13, 2020 .
^ "Filing documents" (PDF) . www.michigan.gov . Retrieved 2020-07-21 .
^ "Webpage update" (PDF) . www.michigan.gov . Retrieved 2020-07-21 .
^ Carlson, Kate (February 18, 2019). "Peters, Upton slam Trump's emergency declaration" . Holland Sentinel . Retrieved April 15, 2019 .
^ Peters, Gary [@GaryPeters] (January 3, 2020). "Incumbent Senator Gary Peters files for re-election" (Tweet ). Retrieved January 3, 2019 – via Twitter .
^ Dovere, Edward-Isaac (November 18, 2018). "How the Democrats Took Back Michigan" . The Atlantic. Retrieved November 26, 2018 .
^ a b Brady-Enerson, Mary (February 10, 2020). "Clean Water Action Endorses Gary Peters for US Senate" . Clean Water Action .
^ a b "Senate Candidates - Council for a Livable World" . Council for a Livable World .
^ a b Muller, Tiffany (August 27, 2019). "End Citizens United Endorses Four U.S. Senators for Reelection" . End Citizens United .
^ a b "2020 – Feminist Majority PAC" . feministmajoritypac.org .
^ a b "Giffords Endorses Slate of Senators Running to Bring a Gun Safety Majority to the US Senate" . Giffords . May 8, 2020.
^ a b Acosta, Lucas (January 23, 2020). "HRC Announces Senate Endorsements in Effort to Achieve Pro-Equality Majority" . Human Rights Campaign .
^ a b Society, Humane. "2020 Endorsements" . Humane Society Legislative Fund .
^ a b Burke, Holly (February 25, 2019). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Senator Gary Peters for Re-Election" . League of Conservation Voters . Retrieved March 16, 2019 .
^ a b "MDJC ENDORSES GARY PERERS FOR REELECTION" . mijewishdems .
^ a b "MEA announces initial federal candidate recommendations" . Michigan Education Association . February 10, 2020.
^ "Elections" . Michigan Realtors .
^ a b "2020 Federal Endorsements - NOW PAC" . nowpac.org .
^ "PeaceVoter 2020 Endorsements" . Peace Action .
^ a b Axelrod, Tal (October 10, 2019). "Planned Parenthood issues first wave of 2020 House, Senate endorsements" . TheHill .
^ a b "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Gary Peters for U.S. Senate - NARAL Pro-Choice America" . NARAL Pro-Choice America . June 17, 2019.
^ a b "2020 Endorsements" . Population Connection .
^ a b "PROGRESSIVE WOMEN'S ALLIANCE | Endorsements" . prowomall .
^ a b "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements" . Sierra Club .
^ a b "Candidates" . VoteVets.org .
^ a b "Endorsements - Voter Protection Project" . Voter Protection Project .
^ a b "2020 Michigan Election Results" . Michigan Secretary of State .
^ Eggert, David (June 6, 2019). "James announces Senate run against Sen. Peters in Michigan" . Associated Press. Retrieved June 6, 2019 .
^ "Carr, Bob |FEC-Candidate Overview" . FEC . Retrieved 2019-05-28 .
^ a b "2020 Michigan Official Primary Candidate Listing - 08/04/2020" . miboecfr.nictusa.com .
^ a b "Michigan 2020 Senate Race" . Open Secrets . Retrieved May 15, 2020 .
^ a b Pathé, Simone (January 31, 2019). "Trump won Michigan in 2016. Does that matter for Gary Peters in 2020?" . Roll Call. Retrieved February 1, 2019 .
^ Burke, Melissa Nann (January 29, 2019). "Poll: Peters starts re-election campaign with low name identification" . The Detroit News . Retrieved January 30, 2019 .
^ "Bill Schuette opts against Michigan Supreme Court run" . www.bridgemi.com . October 2, 2019.
^ Sahil Kapur (November 20, 2018). "Outgoing Michigan Governor Snyder Rules Out Senate Run in 2020" . Bloomberg Government . Retrieved November 20, 2018 .
^ a b Fleming, Leonard N. (June 10, 2019). "GOP chief McDaniel: Michigan winnable for Trump" . The Detroit News . Retrieved June 10, 2019 .
^ https://miboecfr.nictusa.com/election/candlist/2020GEN_CANDLIST.html
^ "Filing Requirements: Office of U.S. Senator" (PDF) . Michigan Secretary of State . Retrieved June 6, 2020 .
^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019" . The Cook Political Report . Retrieved September 20, 2019 .
^ "2020 Senate Ratings" . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved July 17, 2020 .
^ "2020 Senate race ratings" . Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved August 28, 2019 .
^ "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020" . Daily Kos Elections . Retrieved February 28, 2020 .
^ "2020 Election Forecast" . Politico . November 19, 2019.
^ "Battle for White House" . RCP . April 19, 2019.
^ "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections" . Niskanen Center . April 28, 2020.
^ "2020 Senate Map Based on Polls" . 270towin.com . August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020 .
^ https://berniesanders.com/get-involved/
^ "MI-Sen: Elizabeth Warren (D. MA) Helps Gary Peters (D) Defeat Trump's Handpicked GOPer" . Daily Kos . August 11, 2019.
^ "Congressional Black Caucus PAC Endorses Senator Gary Peters for Reelection in Michigan | Broadcast-everywhere.net" .
^ "Everytown For Gun Safety Action Fund Endorses Gary Peters for U.S. Senate In Michigan" . Everytown . June 9, 2020.
^ "Endorsements - Fems for Dems" .
^ "Meet the 2020 Candidates" . Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs .
^ "2020 PACE Endorsements" . NASW .
^ "OUR CANDIDATES- National Committee for an Effective Congress" .
^ "Candidates We Endorse and Support" . NCPSSM .
^ "U.S. Senate - Education Votes" . educationvotes.nea.org .
^ "Endorsements" . Progressive Turnout Project .
^ "2020 Endorsements" . Council 25 .
^ "2020 Endorsements - AFT Michigan" .
^ a b c "Republican Senate candidate John James ignores Michigan but galavants around the U.S. for super-conservative endorsements & cash | Eclectablog" . www.eclectablog.com . May 5, 2020.
^ "FRC Action PAC" . www.frcaction.org .
^ Jones, Sam. "U.S., Michigan chambers back James in Michigan Senate race" . Detroit News .
^ "ICYMI: Michigan Farmers Back John James" . John James for U.S. Senate . June 12, 2020.
^ https://www.opensecrets.org/news/2020/07/john-james-michigan-outraises-dem/
^ Shtrakhman, Mark (May 7, 2018). "Restoration PAC" .
^ Donahue, Allison (January 22, 2020). "Report: Big bucks already spent on ads for 2020 candidates in Michigan ⋆ Michigan Advance" .
^ "Restoration PAC Releases NEW John James Ad" . March 28, 2020.
^ Mauger, Craig. "GOP group already spending nearly $1 million against Peters in U.S. Senate race" . Detroit News .
^ "Partisan attack websites, independent groups enter Michigan Senate race" . mlive . November 7, 2019.
^ "Complaint alleges Peters solicited campaign ads from dark money group" . mlive . December 10, 2019.
External links
Official campaign websites
U.S. President U.S. Senate U.S. House (election ratings ) Governors Attorneys general Secretaries of state State treasurers State legislatures
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Maine
Massachusetts
Michigan House
Minnesota
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Puerto Rico
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming
Mayors
Bakersfield, CA
Baltimore, MD
Baton Rouge, LA
Clearwater, FL
Corpus Christi, TX
El Paso, TX
Fort Lauderdale, FL
Fresno, CA
Honolulu, HI
Irvine, CA
Lubbock, TX
Mesa, AZ
Miami-Dade County, FL
Milwaukee, WI
Phoenix, AZ
Portland, OR
Richmond, VA
Riverside, CA
Sacramento, CA
Salt Lake County, UT
San Diego, CA
San Juan, PR
Santa Ana, CA
Stockton, CA
Tulsa, OK
Virginia Beach, VA
Wilmington, DE
Winston-Salem, NC
Local
Clearwater, FL
Cook County, IL
Los Angeles, CA
Los Angeles County, CA
Orange County, CA
Portland, OR
San Diego, CA
San Diego County, CA
San Francisco, CA
Washington, DC
State-wide Related