2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona
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All 9 Arizona seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic hold Republican hold
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Elections in Arizona |
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The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the State of Arizona, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on July 30, 2024.
District 1
[edit]
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Schweikert: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Shah: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No Votes | |||||||||||||||||
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This district is based in northeastern Phoenix and Scottsdale. The incumbent is Republican David Schweikert, who was re-elected with 50.4% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- David Schweikert, incumbent U.S. representative[2]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Robert Backie, medical company sales director[3]
- Kim George, global security operations investigator[3]
Endorsements
[edit]Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
David Schweikert (R) | $3,580,353 | $2,889,975 | $743,314 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[9] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Schweikert (incumbent) | 62,811 | 62.7 | |
Republican | Kim George | 27,587 | 27.5 | |
Republican | Robert Blackie | 9,854 | 9.8 | |
Total votes | 100,252 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Amish Shah, former state representative from the 5th district (2019–2024)[10]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Andrei Cherny, former chair of the Arizona Democratic Party (2011–2012), nominee for Arizona State Treasurer in 2010, and candidate for the 9th district in 2012[11]
- Marlene Galán-Woods, former KSAZ-TV news anchor and widow of former Republican Arizona Attorney General Grant Woods[12]
- Andrew Horne, orthodontist[13]
- Kurt Kroemer, former CEO of the Arizona Red Cross[14]
- Conor O'Callaghan, global trading executive[15]
Declined
[edit]- Jevin Hodge, former state representative from the 8th district (2024) and nominee for this district in 2022[16]
- Hiral Tipirneni, emergency room physician, nominee for this district[a] in 2020, and nominee for the 8th district in the 2018 special and general elections[17]
Endorsements
[edit]- U.S. executive officials
- Bill Clinton, 42nd president of the United States (1993–2001)[18]
- U.S representatives
- Seth Moulton, U.S. representative from Massachusetts's 6th congressional district (2015–present)[19]
- Local officials
- Kate Gallego, mayor of Phoenix[20]
- Organizations
- Federal cabinet officials
- Janet Napolitano, former U.S. Secretary of Homeland Security (2009–2013) and former governor of Arizona (2003–2009)[24]
- U.S. representatives
- Lois Frankel, U.S. representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district (2013–present)[25]
- Linda Sánchez, U.S. representative from California's 38th congressional district (2003–present)[26]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- Organizations
- Vote Common Good (co-endorsement with Kroemer)[33]
- Organizations
- Vote Common Good (co-endorsement with Horne)[33]
- US Representatives
- Brendan Boyle, U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district (2019–present)[34]
- Dan Goldman, U.S. representative from New York's 10th congressional district (2023–present)[34]
- Val Hoyle, U.S. representative from Oregon's 4th congressional district (2023–present)[35]
- Adam Kinzinger, former U.S. representative from Illinois's 16th congressional district (2011–2023) (Republican)[36]
- Max Rose, former U.S. representative from New York's 11th congressional district (2019–2021)[37]
- Organizations
- Individuals
- Howie Klein, former president of Reprise Records (1989–2001) and adjunct professor at McGill University[38]
- Heather Digby Parton, political blogger[38]
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Andrei Cherny (D) | $2,592,326[b] | $2,581,642 | $10,685 |
Marlene Galán-Woods (D) | $1,776,275[c] | $1,773,390 | $2,885 |
Andrew Horne (D) | $1,508,528[d] | $1,483,737 | $24,791 |
Kurt Kroemer (D) | $297,460[e] | $297,460 | $0 |
Conor O'Callaghan (D) | $2,208,809[f] | $2,077,400 | $0 |
Amish Shah (D) | $4,930,584[g] | $3,432,166 | $1,498,419 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[9] |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Andrei Cherny |
Marlene Galán-Woods |
Andrew Horne |
Kurt Kroemer |
Conor O'Callaghan |
Amish Shah |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noble Predictive Insights | June 25–27, 2024 | 420 (LV) | ± 4.78% | 16% | 14% | 8% | 1% | 11% | 16% | 36% |
RMG Research[A] | June 10-19, 2024 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 12% | 12% | 11% | – | 17% | 15% | 33%[i] |
Debate
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Andrei Cherny | Marlene Galán-Woods | Andrew Horne | Kurt Kroemer | Conor O'Callaghan | Amish Shah | |||||
1 | May 17, 2024 | The Arizona Republic | Steve Goldstien Richard Ruelas |
YouTube | P | P | P | P | P | P |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Amish Shah | 17,214 | 23.5 | |
Democratic | Andrei Cherny | 15,596 | 21.3 | |
Democratic | Marlene Galán-Woods | 15,490 | 21.2 | |
Democratic | Conor O'Callaghan | 13,539 | 18.5 | |
Democratic | Andrew Horne | 8,991 | 12.3 | |
Democratic | Kurt Kroemer | 2,356 | 3.2 | |
Total votes | 73,186 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Michelle Martin[3]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[45] | Tossup | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[46] | Tilt R | October 31, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
Elections Daily[48] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2024 |
CNalysis[49] | Tossup | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[50] | Lean R | October 21, 2024 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
David Schweikert (R) |
Amish Shah (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GBAO (D)[B] | August 8–13, 2024 | (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Impact Research (D)[C] | August 1–4, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Schweikert (incumbent) | 225,538 | 51.9 | ||
Democratic | Amish Shah | 208,966 | 48.1 | ||
Total votes | 434,504 | 100 | |||
Republican hold |
District 2
[edit]
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Crane: 50-60% 60-70% Nez: 60-70% 80-90% ≥90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district encompasses much of northeastern Arizona. The incumbent is first-term Republican Eli Crane, who flipped the district and was elected with 53.9% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Jack Smith, former Arizona director for USDA Rural Development and former Yavapai County supervisor[52]
Declined
[edit]- Mark Lamb, Pinal County Sheriff (2017–present) (ran for U.S. Senate)[53]
Endorsements
[edit]- Organizations
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Eli Crane (R) | $3,935,292 | $2,625,043 | $1,376,504 |
Jack Smith (R) | $1,350 | $0 | $1,350 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[56] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Eli Crane (incumbent) | 89,480 | 80.5 | |
Republican | Jack Smith | 21,637 | 19.5 | |
Total votes | 111,117 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Jonathan Nez, former president of the Navajo Nation (2019–2023)[57]
Endorsements
[edit]- Organizations
- National Organization for Women PAC[58]
- Stonewall Democrats of Arizona[59]
- Protect Our Winters Action Fund[60]
- Labor unions
- Arizona AFL-CIO[61]
- Arizona Western States Carpenters[62]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 99[63]
- Communication Workers of America Arizona State Council[64]
- Arizona Building and Construction Trades Council[65]
- Tribes
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Jonathan Nez (D) | $380,266 | $154,214 | $226,052 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[68] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jonathan Nez | 62,033 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 62,033 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[45] | Likely R | October 22, 2024 |
Inside Elections[46] | Likely R | September 12, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] | Likely R | October 24, 2024 |
Elections Daily[48] | Likely R | October 24, 2024 |
CNalysis[49] | Very Likely R | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[50] | Safe R | October 22, 2024 |
Post-primary endorsements
[edit]- Executive branch officials
- Kamala Harris, Vice President of the United States (2021–present)[69]
- Organizations
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Eli Crane (R) |
Jonathan Nez (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noble Predictive Insights[D] | October 10–12, 2024 | 414 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 42% | 42% | 15% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Eli Crane (incumbent) | 221,413 | 54.5 | ||
Democratic | Jonathan Nez | 184,963 | 45.5 | ||
Write-in | 28 | 0 | |||
Total votes | 406,404 | 100 | |||
Republican hold |
District 3
[edit]
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Ansari: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Zink: 40–50% Tie No Votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is majority-Latino and is based in downtown and western Phoenix.[71] The incumbent is Democrat Ruben Gallego, who was re-elected with 77.0% of the vote in 2022.[1] He is not seeking re-election, instead choosing to run for U.S. Senate.
Democratic primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Yassamin Ansari, former Phoenix city councilor (2021–2024)[72]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Raquel Terán, former Minority Leader of the Arizona Senate (2023) from the 26th district (2021–2023) and former chair of the Arizona Democratic Party (2021–2023)[73]
- Duane Wooten, pediatrician[74]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Ylenia Aguilar, member of the Central Arizona Water Conservation District Board and the Osborn School District Board[75] (endorsed Terán, ran for Corporation Commission)[76][77]
- Laura Pastor, Phoenix city councilor from the 4th district and daughter of former U.S. Representative Ed Pastor[78]
Declined
[edit]- Steve Gallardo, Maricopa County supervisor from the 5th district (2015–present) and former state senator from the 29th district (2003–2009, 2011–2015)[71] (ran for re-election)[79]
- Kate Gallego, mayor of Phoenix (2019–present)[80]
- Ruben Gallego, incumbent U.S. Representative (ran for U.S. Senate)[81]
Endorsements
[edit]- Federal legislators
- Seth Moulton, U.S. representative from Massachusetts's 6th congressional district (2015–present)[19]
- State legislators
- Adrian Boafo, Maryland state delegate from the 23rd district (2023–present) (post-primary)[82]
- Labor unions
- Arizona AFL-CIO (Co-endorsement with Terán)[27]
- Arizona Federation of Teachers[83]
- Arizona Building Trades Unions[84]
- International Association of Fire Fighters[85]
- Organizations
- Democratic Majority for Israel PAC[86]
- Everytown for Gun Safety (post-primary)[43]
- National Organization for Women PAC[83]
- U.S. senators
- Mark Kelly, U.S. senator from Arizona (2020–present)[87]
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. senator from Vermont (2007–present) (Independent)[88]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)[88]
- U.S. representatives
- Ann Kirkpatrick, former U.S. representative from Arizona's 2nd congressional district (2009–2011, 2013–2017, 2019–2023)[89]
- Labor unions
- Arizona AFL-CIO (Co-endorsement with Ansari)[27]
- Arizona Education Association[85]
- Communications Workers of America Arizona State Council[90]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 99[85]
- Organizations
- Congressional Hispanic Caucus BOLD PAC[91]
- Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC[92]
- End Citizens United[93]
- Latino Victory[94]
- League of Conservation Voters[95]
- Our Revolution[96]
- People's Action[97]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[98]
- PODER PAC[32]
- Reproductive Freedom for All[99]
- Sunrise Movement[88]
- UnidosUS[100]
- Vote Mama[101]
- Working Families Party[102]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Yassamin Ansari |
Raquel Terán |
Duane Wooten |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lake Research Partners (D)[E] | July 10–14, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 30% | 4% | – | 21% |
Target Smart[F] | April 24–28, 2024 | 404 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 20% | 30% | 7% | 6% | 37% |
Lake Research Partners (D)[E] | April 17–21, 2024 | 425 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 32% | 21% | 8% | – | 34% |
Lake Research Partners (D)[E] | October 26 – November 5, 2023 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 24% | 23% | – | – | 42% |
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Yassamin Ansari (D) | $1,408,820 | $506,411 | $902,409 |
Raquel Terán (D) | $856,888 | $408,902 | $447,986 |
Duane Wooten (D) | $36,054[j] | $25,477 | $10,576 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[103] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Yassamin Ansari | 19,087 | 44.6 | |
Democratic | Raquel Terán | 19,048 | 44.5 | |
Democratic | Duane Wooten | 4,687 | 10.9 | |
Total votes | 42,822 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Jesus Mendoza[3]
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Jeff Zink (R) | $44,132[k] | $47,898 | $15,336 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[103] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jeff Zink | 9,243 | 65.6 | |
Republican | Jesus Mendoza | 4,840 | 34.4 | |
Total votes | 14,083 | 100.0 |
Green primary
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Alan Aversa, teacher[3]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[45] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[46] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily[48] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[49] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[50] | Safe D | October 21, 2024 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Yassamin Ansari | 143,336 | 70.9 | ||
Republican | Jeff Zink | 53,705 | 26.6 | ||
Green | Alan Aversa | 5,008 | 2.5 | ||
Total votes | 202,049 | 100 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 4
[edit]
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Cooper: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Stanton: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent is Democrat Greg Stanton, who was re-elected with 56.1% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Democratic primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Greg Stanton, incumbent U.S. representative[2]
Endorsements
[edit]- Organizations
- AIPAC[4]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[105]
- Feminist Majority PAC[106]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[107]
- League of Conservation Voters[108]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[109]
- National Organization for Women PAC[110]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[111]
- Population Connection Action Fund[112]
- Sierra Club[113]
- U.S. Chamber of Commerce[114]
- Labor unions
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Greg Stanton (D) | $1,541,651 | $641,796 | $933,196 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[117] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Greg Stanton (incumbent) | 49,178 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 49,178 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Jerone Davison, pastor, former National Football League player, and candidate for this district in 2022[3]
- Dave Giles, engineer, perennial candidate, and nominee for this district in 2016 and 2020[13]
- Zuhdi Jasser, physician and Islamic reformer[119]
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Kelly Cooper (R) | $363,908[l] | $336,052 | $86,600 |
Dave Giles (R) | $69,898[m] | $65,620 | $4,278 |
Zuhdi Jasser (R) | $428,273 | $171,701 | $256,571 |
Jerone Davidson (R) | $32,121 | $31,096 | $1,024 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[117] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kelly Cooper | 18,902 | 32.0 | |
Republican | Zuhdi Jasser | 15,929 | 27.0 | |
Republican | Dave Giles | 13,575 | 23.0 | |
Republican | Jerone Davison | 10,664 | 18.1 | |
Total votes | 59,070 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[45] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[46] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily[48] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[49] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[50] | Likely D | October 21, 2024 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Greg Stanton (incumbent) | 176,428 | 52.7 | ||
Republican | Kelly Cooper | 152,052 | 45.5 | ||
Green | Vincent Beck-Jones | 6,065 | 1.8 | ||
Total votes | 334,545 | 100 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 5
[edit]
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County results Biggs: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent is Republican Andy Biggs, who was re-elected with 56.7% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Andy Biggs, incumbent U.S. Representative[3]
Endorsements
[edit]- Organizations
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Andy Biggs (R) | $901,114 | $723,897 | $412,689 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[120] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Andy Biggs (incumbent) | 91,820 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 91,820 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Katrina Schaffner, cosmetology business owner[121]
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Katrina Schaffner (D) | $5,426 | $1,627 | $7,578 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[120] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Katrina Schaffner | 42,396 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 42,396 | 100.0 |
Independents and third-party candidates
[edit]Filed paperwork
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]- Evan Olson (Independent), sales director (ran for state senate)[123]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[45] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[46] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily[48] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[49] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[50] | Safe R | October 21, 2024 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Andy Biggs (incumbent) | 255,628 | 60.4 | ||
Democratic | Katrina Schaffner | 167,680 | 39.6 | ||
Total votes | 423,308 | 100 | |||
Republican hold |
District 6
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Ciscomani: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Engel: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent is first-term Republican Juan Ciscomani, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.8% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Juan Ciscomani, incumbent U.S. representative[2]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Kathleen Winn, former member of the Maricopa County Community College District Governing Board and candidate for this district in 2022[124]
Endorsements
[edit]- Individuals
- Cindy Biggs, activist and wife of U.S. Representative Andy Biggs[131]
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Juan Ciscomani (R) | $3,358,989 | $961,074 | $2,452,350 |
Kathleen Winn (R) | $80,878 | $76,802 | $4,075 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[132] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Juan Ciscomani (incumbent) | 59,021 | 59.2 | |
Republican | Kathleen Winn | 40,625 | 40.8 | |
Total votes | 99,646 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Kirsten Engel, former state senator from the 10th district (2021) and nominee for this district in 2022[133]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Jack O'Donnell, development executive and former Trump Plaza vice president[134]
Endorsements
[edit]- U.S. senators
- Mark Kelly, U.S. senator from Arizona (2020–present)[135]
- U.S. representatives
- Lois Frankel, U.S. representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district (2013–present)[136]
- Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2007–2012)[137]
- Statewide officials
- Gretchen Whitmer, Governor of Michigan (2019–present)[138]
- Organizations
- Council for a Livable World[139]
- DCCC Red to Blue[140]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[42]
- End Citizens United[141]
- Everytown for Gun Safety[43]
- EMILY's List[142]
- Giffords[137]
- Human Rights Campaign[143]
- J Street PAC[144]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[145]
- League of Conservation Voters[95]
- National Organization for Women PAC[110]
- National Women's Political Caucus[31]
- NewDem Action Fund[146]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[98]
- Population Connection Action Fund[112]
- Reproductive Freedom for All[99]
- Sierra Club[113]
- UnidosUS[100]
- Labor unions
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Kirsten Engel (D) | $2,509,530 | $638,525 | $1,872,318 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[132] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kirsten Engel | 78,178 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 78,178 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
[edit]Declared
[edit]Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Vance Cast (L) | $50,009[n] | $36,707 | $13,301 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[132] |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[45] | Tossup | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[46] | Tossup | October 31, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
Elections Daily[48] | Lean R | November 4, 2024 |
CNalysis[49] | Tossup | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[50] | Likely R | October 21, 2024 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Juan Ciscomani (R) |
Kirsten Engel (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D)[G] | July 9–12, 2024 | 855 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[H] | May 28–30, 2024 | 300 (RV) | ± 5.7% | 50% | 39% | 11% |
- Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D)[G] | July 9–12, 2024 | 855 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Juan Ciscomani | 215,596 | 50 | ||
Democratic | Kirsten Engel | 204,774 | 47.5 | ||
Green | Athena Eastwood | 10,759 | 2.5 | ||
Write-in | 43 | 0 | |||
Total votes | 431,172 | 100 | |||
Republican hold |
District 7
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
Grijalva: 60-70% 60-70% Butierez: 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 7th district is majority-Hispanic and covers most of the Mexico–United States border in Arizona, including parts of Tucson and Yuma. The incumbent is Democrat Raúl Grijalva, who won with 64.5% of the vote in 2022.[1]
Democratic primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Raúl Grijalva, incumbent U.S. representative[2]
Endorsements
[edit]Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Raúl Grijalva (D) | $330,251 | $223,597 | $312,859 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[151] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Raúl Grijalva (incumbent) | 55,133 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 55,133 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Daniel Butierez, painting contractor[3]
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Daniel Butierez (R) | $6,757 | $11,233 | $0 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[151] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Daniel Butierez | 24,425 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 24,425 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[45] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[46] | Solid D | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily[48] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[49] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[50] | Safe D | October 21, 2024 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Raúl Grijalva | 171,954 | 63.5 | ||
Republican | Daniel Butierez | 99,057 | 36.5 | ||
Total votes | 271,011 | 100 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 8
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
Hamadeh: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Whitten: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie 40-50% No Votes | |||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent is Republican Debbie Lesko, who was re-elected unopposed in 2022 with 96% of the vote (facing only write-in opposition). Lesko announced in October 2023 that she would not seek re-election in 2024.[1]
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Abraham Hamadeh, former prosecutor in the Maricopa County Attorney's office and nominee for Attorney General in 2022[152]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Pat Briody, sales representative[3]
- Trent Franks, former U.S. Representative (2003–2017)[153]
- Anthony Kern, state senator from the 27th district (2023–present) and 2020 fake elector for Donald Trump[154]
- Blake Masters, venture capitalist and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022[155]
- Ben Toma, Speaker of the Arizona House of Representatives (2023–present) from the 27th district (2017–present)[156]
Declined
[edit]- Shawnna Bolick, state senator from the 2nd district (2023–present) (ran for re-election)[157]
- Debbie Lesko, incumbent U.S. representative[158] (ran for the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors, endorsed Toma)[159][160]
- Steve Montenegro, state representative from the 29th district (2023–present) and candidate for this seat in 2018[161]
- Elijah Norton, Arizona Republican Party treasurer and candidate for the 1st district in 2022[162]
- Austin Smith, state representative from the 29th district (2023–present)[157]
- Kimberly Yee, Arizona State Treasurer (2019–present)[163]
Endorsements
[edit]- U.S. Executive branch officials
- Richard Grenell, Acting Director of National Intelligence (2020), U.S. Ambassador to Germany (2018–2020)[164]
- Robert O'Brien, former National Security Adviser (2019–2021)[164]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (co-endorsement with Masters[o])[166]
- Statewide officials
- Adam Laxalt, former Nevada Attorney General (2015–2019)[164]
- Patrick Morrisey, West Virginia Attorney General (2013–present)[164]
- State legislators
- Sonny Borrelli, Majority Leader of the Arizona Senate (2023–present) from the 30th district (2017–present)[164]
- Alexander Kolodin, state representative from the 3rd district (2023–present)[164]
- Adam Kwasman, former state representative from the 11th district (2013–2015)[164]
- Wendy Rogers, state senator from the 7th district (2021–present)[164]
- Janae Shamp, state senator from the 29th district (2023–present)[164]
- Kelli Ward, former state senator from the 5th district (2013–2015) and former chair of the Arizona Republican Party (2019–2023)[164]
- Local officials
- Bernard Kerik, former New York City Police Commissioner (2000–2001)[164]
- Individuals
- Kari Lake, former KSAZ-TV news anchor[167]
- Kash Patel, former Trump aide[164]
- Organizations
- U.S. Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (co-endorsement with Hamadeh[o])[166]
- U.S. senators
- JD Vance, U.S. senator from Ohio (2023–present)[169]
- U.S. representatives
- Paul Gosar, U.S. representative from Arizona (2011–present)[170]
- U.S. representatives
- Debbie Lesko, incumbent U.S. representative for this district[160]
- Organizations
- Organizations
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Pat Briody (R) | $15,618[p] | $15,518 | $100 |
Trent Franks (R) | $277,352[q] | $69,881 | $207,470 |
Abraham Hamadeh (R) | $596,623 | $347,736 | $248,887 |
Anthony Kern (R) | $170,076[r] | $99,994 | $70,082 |
Blake Masters (R) | $6,377,314[s] | $2,026,615 | $2,724,434 |
Ben Toma (R) | $576,571 | $178,456 | $398,115 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[172] |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Trent Franks |
Abe Hamadeh |
Anthony Kern |
Blake Masters |
Ben Toma |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data Orbital (R)[I] | July 17–18, 2024 | 400 (LV) | – | 13% | 20% | 5% | 23% | 17% | – | 20% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[I] | July 8–9, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 16% | 26% | 4% | 27% | 17% | 2%[t] | 9% |
The Strategy Group Company[J] | June 10–12, 2024 | 620 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 12% | 30% | 3% | 19% | 10% | – | 26% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[I] | May 13–15, 2024 | 400 (LV) | – | 14% | 16% | 2% | 28% | 8% | 0%[u] | 32% |
SPRY Strategies[K] | April 24–26, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 9% | 16% | 3% | 26% | 9% | – | 37% |
The Tyson Group[L] | April 20–22, 2024 | 305 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 11% | 10% | 3% | 16% | 9% | 3%[v] | 48% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[I] | January 25–28, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 9% | 24% | 1% | 24% | 3% | 3%[w] | 35% |
National Public Affairs (R)[J] | December 16–17, 2023 | 418 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 6% | 37% | 3% | 14% | 7% | – | 34% |
National Public Affairs (R) | October 23–24, 2023 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.6% | – | 31% | – | 24% | 11% | – | 34% |
Data Orbital (R)[I] | October 19–21, 2023 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | 18% | 6% | 33% | 7% | 5%[x] | 32% |
- Abe Hamadeh vs. Ben Toma
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Abe Hamadeh |
Ben Toma |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
National Public Affairs (R) | October 23–24, 2023 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 41% | 12% | 47% |
- Abe Hamadeh vs. Blake Masters
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Abe Hamadeh |
Blake Masters |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
National Public Affairs (R) | October 23–24, 2023 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 36% | 27% | 38% |
- Blake Masters vs. Ben Toma
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[h] |
Margin of error |
Blake Masters |
Ben Toma |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
National Public Affairs (R) | October 23–24, 2023 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 42% | 15% | 43% |
Debate
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||||||
Briody | Franks | Hamadeh | Kern | Masters | Toma | |||||
1 | April 30, 2024 | Arizona PBS | Rick DeBruhl | YouTube | I | P | P | P | P | P |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Abraham Hamadeh | 30,686 | 29.9 | |
Republican | Blake Masters | 26,422 | 25.7 | |
Republican | Ben Toma | 21,549 | 21.0 | |
Republican | Trent Franks | 16,714 | 16.3 | |
Republican | Anthony Kern | 4,922 | 4.8 | |
Republican | Pat Briody | 2,336 | 2.3 | |
Total votes | 102,629 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Greg Whitten, biosecurity contractor and former U.S. Department of Defense official[173]
Endorsements
[edit]Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Greg Whitten (D) | $159,740[y] | $129,362 | $30,379 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[172] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Greg Whitten | 47,406 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 47,406 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Jacob Chansley, author, convicted felon, and participant in the January 6 United States Capitol attack[174]
Independents
[edit]Declared
[edit]General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[45] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[46] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily[48] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[49] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[50] | Safe R | October 21, 2024 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Abraham Hamadeh | 208,269 | 56.5 | ||
Democratic | Gregory Whitten | 160,344 | 43.5 | ||
Total votes | 368,613 | 100 | |||
Republican hold |
District 9
[edit]
| |||||||||||||||||
County results Gosar: 50–60% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent is Republican Paul Gosar, who was re-elected unopposed in 2022.[1]
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Paul Gosar, incumbent U.S. representative[176]
Endorsements
[edit]- State legislators
- Sonny Borrelli, Majority Leader of the Arizona Senate (2023–present) from the 30th district (2017–present)[177]
- Tim Dunn, state representative from the 25th district (2023–present)[177]
- John Gillette, state representative from the 30th district (2023–present)[177]
- Austin Smith, state representative from the 29th district (2023–present)[177]
- Local officials
- Rodney Glassman, former Tucson city councilor[177]
- Mark Lamb, Pinal County Sheriff (2017–present)[177]
- Individuals
- Blake Masters, former president of the Thiel Foundation[177]
- Organizations
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Paul Gosar (R) | $289,507 | $290,944 | $118,322 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[178] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Paul Gosar (incumbent) | 89,308 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 89,308 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Quacy Smith, lawyer[179]
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Quacy Smith (D) | $67,034[z] | $60,889 | $8,232 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[178] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Quacy Smith | 33,784 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 33,784 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[45] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Inside Elections[46] | Solid R | July 28, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
Elections Daily[48] | Safe R | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis[49] | Solid R | November 16, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ[50] | Safe R | October 21, 2024 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Paul Gosar | 249,583 | 65.3 | ||
Democratic | Quacy Smith | 132,640 | 34.7 | ||
Total votes | 382,223 | 100 | |||
Republican hold |
Notes
[edit]- ^ This district was numbered as the 6th district prior to the 2020 redistricting cycle.
- ^ $150,036 of this total was self-funded by Cherny
- ^ $113,178 of this total was self-funded by Galán-Woods
- ^ $1,329,537 of this total was self-funded by Horne
- ^ $145,627 of this total was self-funded by Kroemer
- ^ $1,118,112 of this total was self-funded by O'Callaghan
- ^ $194,325 of this total was self-funded by Shah
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Someone else" with 7%
- ^ $5,000 of this total was self-funded by Wooten
- ^ $30,000 of this total was self-funded by Zink
- ^ $50,214 of this total was self-funded by Cooper
- ^ $1,255 of this total was self-funded by Giles
- ^ $50,000 of this total was self-funded by Cast
- ^ a b Trump originally gave Hamadeh his sole endorsement in December 2023.[165] He later issued a dual endorsement of Hamadeh and Masters on July 28, 2024, just two days before the primary election.[166]
- ^ $15,618 of this total was self-funded by Briody
- ^ $250,000 of this total was self-funded by Franks
- ^ $50,000 of this total was self-funded by Kern
- ^ $6,000,000 of this total was self-funded by Masters
- ^ Pat Briody with 2%
- ^ Briody with 0%
- ^ Briody with 3%
- ^ Isiah Gallegos with 3%
- ^ "Refused" with 5%
- ^ $23,000 of this total was self-funded by Whitten
- ^ $40,000 of this total was self-funded by Smith
- Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by U.S. Term Limits
- ^ Poll sponsored by House Majority PAC, a Democratic group
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee
- ^ Polling was sponsored by Inside Elections
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Ansari's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Progress Arizona, which supports Terán
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Economic Security Project Action, a Democratic group
- ^ Poll sponsored by Ciscomani's campaign
- ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by Masters's campaign
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Hamadeh's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by American Principles Project, which supports Masters
- ^ Poll sponsored by Breaking Battlegrounds
References
[edit]- ^ a b c d e f g h i "2022 National House Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 28, 2023.
- ^ a b c d Frisk, Garrett (July 21, 2023). "We Asked Every Member of the House if They're Running in 2024. Here's What They Said". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k "Candidate Nominations and Petitions filed". Arizona Secretary of State. March 30, 2024.
- ^ a b c d e "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
- ^ a b christine (January 23, 2024). "Americans for Prosperity Action Backs Arizona Fiscal Champions for Congress". AFP Action. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
- ^ "Clear Path Action Fund". Clear Path Action Fund. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
- ^ Ortega, Israel (November 29, 2023). "Largest Center-Right Latino Political Organization Announces Senate & House Candidate Endorsements". Libre Action. Retrieved January 29, 2024.
- ^ a b "RJC Announces 11 House Endorsements". Republican Jewish Coalition. Retrieved December 24, 2023.
- ^ a b "2024 Election United States House – Arizona". Federal Election Commission. Retrieved October 16, 2023.
- ^ Kavaler, Tara (April 3, 2023). "State Rep. Amish Shah announces he is running for Congress". The Arizona Republic.
- ^ Kavaler, Tara (April 6, 2023). "Democrat Andrei Cherny to challenge Rep. David Schweikert". The Arizona Republic.
- ^ "Marlene Woods joins growing crowd of Democrats trying to unseat Rep. David Schweikert". KTVK. May 24, 2023. Retrieved May 24, 2023.
- ^ a b c Frisk, Garrett (March 29, 2023). "Four Arizona House Republicans Already Have a Declared Challenger". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved April 3, 2023.
- ^ Singer, Jeff (April 12, 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 4/12". Daily Kos. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
- ^ Gordon, Amanda (August 1, 2023). "Wall Street Veteran Wants to Flip GOP Arizona Seat in 2024". Bloomberg. Retrieved August 1, 2023.
- ^ Singer, Jeff (March 31, 2024). "Indicted pol stars in new ad boosting Republican candidate for Kentucky governor". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 31, 2024.
Democrat Jevin Hodge said Friday that he would not seek a rematch with Republican Rep. David Schweikert
- ^ Singer, Jeff (April 12, 2023). "Arizona GOP's first Senate candidate is Joe Arpaio 2.0". Daily Kos. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
Democrat Hiral Tipirneni announced Monday that she would not seek a rematch against Republican incumbent David Schweikert
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- ^ "Elect Democratic Women Endorses Marlene Galán-Woods for Arizona's 1st Congressional District". Elect Democratic Women. October 27, 2023. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
- ^ a b "CHC BOLD PAC Endorses New Slate of Latina Candidates". Congressional Hispanic Caucus BOLD PAC. August 8, 2023. Retrieved August 13, 2023.
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- ^ a b c d e Unprecedented Endorsement: Stand Indivisible Backs Conor O'Callaghan For Congress Yahoo!
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- ^ Former Rep. Adam Kinzinger Endorses Conor O'Callaghan Hastings Tribune. July 24, 2024
- ^ "Former Congressman Max Rose Endorses Conor O'Callaghan". Yellow Sheet Report. Archived from the original on October 17, 2023. Retrieved October 17, 2023.
- ^ a b Klein, Howie (May 12, 2024). "AZ-01, One Of The Keys To Flipping Congress". Blue America. Retrieved May 14, 2024.
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Lamb told POLITICO that he had been asked about running against Crane but has no plans to leave the Senate race.
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External links
[edit]- Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 7th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 8th district candidates
- Jacob Chansley (L) for Congress
- Abraham Hamadeh (R) for Congress
- Jeremy Spreitzer (I) for Congress
- Greg Whitten (D) for Congress
- Official campaign websites for 9th district candidates