Nuclear program of Iran: Difference between revisions
BarneyKing (talk | contribs) m ←Replaced content with 'HERRO LADIES' |
m Reverted edits by BarneyKing (talk) identified as unconstructive (HG) |
||
Line 1: | Line 1: | ||
{{mergefrom|Nuclear energy in Iran|date=December 2011}} |
|||
HERRO LADIES |
|||
{{Use dmy dates|date=March 2011}} |
|||
{{Very long|date=April 2010}} |
|||
{{See also|Iran and weapons of mass destruction}} |
|||
{{Nuclear program of Iran}} |
|||
The nuclear program of Iran was launched in the 1950s with the help of the United States as part of the [[Atoms for Peace]] program.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/nationworld/chi-061209atoms-day1-story,0,2034260.htmlstory|title=An atomic threat made in America|last=Roe|first=Sam|date=28 January 2007|work=Chicago Tribune |accessdate=1 July 2009}}</ref> The participation of the United States and Western European governments in Iran's nuclear program continued until the 1979 [[Iranian Revolution]] that toppled the [[Mohammed Reza Pahlavi|Shah]] of Iran.<ref name="iranaffairs-blasts" >{{cite web|title=Iran Affairs: Blasts from the Past: Western Support for Iran's Nuclear program|url=http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2006/05/blasts_from_the.html|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> |
|||
After the 1979 revolution, the [[Iran]]ian government temporarily disbanded elements of the program, and then revived it with less Western assistance than during the pre-revolution era. Iran's nuclear program has included several research sites, two [[uranium]] mines, a [[Nuclear reactor technology|research reactor]], and uranium processing facilities that include three known [[Enriched uranium#Gas centrifuge|uranium enrichment plants]]. |
|||
After delays, Iran's first nuclear power plant, [[Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant|Bushehr I reactor]] was complete with major assistance of Russian government agency [[Rosatom]] and officially opened on 12 September 2011.<ref>{{cite news |url=http://en.rian.ru/world/20110912/166785925.html |title=Iran launches Bushehr nuclear power plant|publisher=RIA Novosti |date= 12 September 2011 |accessdate=14 September 2011}}</ref> Iran has announced that it is working on a new 360 MW nuclear power plant to be located in [[Darkhovin]]. Iran has also indicated that it will seek more medium-sized nuclear power plants and uranium mines in the future.<ref>{{Cite news|title=Iran sees Bushehr plant at full capacity in one year|url=http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5iCbR-4ck0a5j2K7hOmNsaHH-OPmg|date=18 December 2007|agency=[[Agence France-Presse|AFP]]|accessdate=24 February 2008}}</ref> |
|||
In November 2011, the [[International Atomic Energy Agency]] (IAEA) Board of Governors rebuked Iran following an IAEA report detailing how Iran had undertaken research and experiments geared to developing a nuclear weapons capability.<ref name="reuters1">{{cite news|title=U.N. nuclear watchdog board rebukes defiant Iran|url=http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/11/18/us-nuclear-iran-iaea-idUSTRE7AG0RP20111118|accessdate=20 November 2011|newspaper=Reuters|date=18 November 2011}}</ref> For the first time, the IAEA report outlines, in depth, the country’s detonator development, the multiple-point initiation of high explosives, and experiments involving nuclear payload integration into a missile delivery vehicle.<ref>{{cite news|title=IAEA Report for military dimensions, see pages 4-12|url=http://www.isis-online.org/uploads/isis-reports/documents/IAEA_Iran_8Nov2011.pdf|accessdate=8 November 2011|Report=International Atomic Energy Agency|date=8 November 2011}}</ref> Iran rejected the details of the report and accused the IAEA of pro-Western bias<ref>{{cite news|title=Iran’s nuclear defiance finds rare common ground in fractured country|url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle-east/irans-nuclear-defiance-finds-rare-common-ground-in-fractured-country/2011/11/15/gIQAZRguON_story.html|accessdate=20 November 2011|newspaper=Washington Post|date=15 November 2011|deadurl=yes}} {{Dead link|date=January 2012|bot=RjwilmsiBot}}</ref> and threatened to reduce its cooperation with the IAEA.<ref>{{cite news|title=Iran parliament to review ties with U.N. nuclear body|url=http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/11/20/us-iran-nuclear-iaea-idUSTRE7AJ0DZ20111120|accessdate=20 November 2011|newspaper=Washington Post|date=20 November 2011}}</ref> |
|||
==Overview== |
|||
[[File:Arak heavy water reactor2.JPG|thumb|[[IR-40]] facility in [[Arak, Iran|Arak]]]] |
|||
The controversy over Iran's nuclear programs centers in particular on Iran's failure to declare sensitive enrichment and reprocessing activities to the [[International Atomic Energy Agency]] (IAEA).<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2003/gov2003-40.pdf |title=IAEA GOV/2003/40: Implementation of the NPT safeguards agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Enrichment can be used to produce uranium for reactor fuel or (at higher enrichment levels) for weapons.<ref name="nti.org" >{{cite web|url=http://www.nti.org/e_research/official_docs/norway/HEU_as_Weapons_Material.pdf |title=HEU as weapons material – a technical background |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}{{dead link|date=January 2012}}</ref> Iran says its nuclear program is peaceful,<ref>http://www.un.int/iran/facts_about_peaceful_nuclear_program.pdf</ref> and has enriched uranium to less than 5%, consistent with fuel for a civilian nuclear power plant.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.cfr.org/publication/16811/ |title=Council on Foreign Relations: Iran's Nuclear Program |publisher=Cfr.org |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Iran also claims that it was forced to resort to secrecy after US pressure caused several of its nuclear contracts with foreign governments to fall through.<ref name="googleusercontent2005">{{cite web|title=Iran needs nuclear energy, not weapons| url=http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:Wv7d_FdiMH0J:mondediplo.com/2005/11/02iran|accessdate=5 January 20011 |publisher=Le Monde diplomatique|author=Cyrus Safdari|month=November|year=2005}}</ref> After the IAEA Board of Governors reported Iran's noncompliance with its safeguards agreement to the UN Security Council, the Council demanded that Iran suspend its [[Isotope separation|nuclear enrichment]] activities<ref>{{cite web|author=ODS Team |url=http://documents-dds-ny.un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/N06/450/22/PDF/N0645022.pdf?OpenElement |title=Resolution 1696 (2006) |publisher=Daccessdds.un.org |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> while Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has argued that the sanctions are "illegal," imposed by "arrogant powers," and that Iran has decided to pursue the monitoring of its self-described peaceful nuclear program through "its appropriate legal path," the International Atomic Energy Agency.<ref>{{cite web|author= |url=http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/20969975/ |title=Ahmadinejad: Iran's nuclear issue is 'closed' |publisher=MSNBC |date=25 September 2007 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
After public allegations about Iran's previously undeclared nuclear activities, the IAEA launched an investigation that concluded in November 2003 that Iran had systematically failed to meet its obligations under its NPT safeguards agreement to report those activities to the IAEA, although it also reported no evidence of links to a nuclear weapons program. The IAEA Board of Governors delayed a formal finding of non-compliance until September 2005, and reported that non-compliance to the UN Security Council in February 2006. After the IAEA Board of Governors reported Iran's noncompliance with its safeguards agreement to the United Nations Security Council, the Council demanded that Iran suspend its enrichment programs. The Council imposed sanctions after Iran refused to do so. A May 2009 U.S. Congressional Report suggested "the United States, and later the Europeans, argued that Iran's deception meant it should forfeit its right to enrich, a position likely to be up for negotiation in talks with Iran."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.fas.org/irp/congress/2009_rpt/iran.html |title=Iran: Where We Are Today – A Report to the Committee on Foreign Relations, United States Senate, One Hundred Eleventh Congress, May 4, 2009 |publisher=Fas.org |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
In exchange for suspending its enrichment program, Iran has been offered "a long-term comprehensive arrangement which would allow for the development of relations and cooperation with Iran based on mutual respect and the establishment of international confidence in the exclusively peaceful nature of Iran's nuclear program."<ref>{{cite web|title=Security council demands iran suspend uranium enrichment by August 31, or face possible economic, diplomatic sanctions|url=http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2006/sc8792.doc.htm|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> However, Iran has consistently refused to give up its enrichment program, arguing that the program is necessary for its energy security, that such "long term arrangements" are inherently unreliable, and would deprive it of its inalienable right to peaceful nuclear technology. Currently, thirteen states possess operational enrichment or reprocessing facilities,<ref>{{cite web|title=Integrated Nuclear Fuel Cycle Information Systems (iNFCIS)|url=http://www-nfcis.iaea.org|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> and several others have expressed an interest in developing indigenous enrichment programs.<ref>[http://www.iht.com/articles/2006/09/12/opinion/edferguson.php Lining up to enrich uranium] by Charles D. Ferguson and William C. Potter, ''International Herald Tribune'', 12 September 2006</ref> Iran's position was endorsed by the Non-Aligned Movement, which expressed concern about the potential monopolization of nuclear fuel production.<ref>{{cite web|author=John Pike |url=http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/news/iran/2006/iran-060917-irna02.htm |title=''IRNA'': NAM issues statement in support of Iran nuclear case |publisher=Globalsecurity.org |date=16 September 2006 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
To address concerns that its enrichment program may be diverted to non-peaceful uses,<ref>[http://www.zarif.net/Articles/Columbia%20JIA.pdf Columbia University School of International Affairs Journal of International Affairs: Tackling the Iran-U.S. Crisis: The Need for a Paradigm Shift]<blockquote>Any nuclear activity may entail proliferation concerns. But there are internationally-agreed mechanisms to address such concerns, ... Iran has been the only country, with comparable technology, that has been prepared to implement these proposals.</blockquote></ref> Iran has offered to place additional restrictions on its enrichment program including, for example, ratifying the Additional Protocol to allow more stringent inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency, operating the uranium enrichment facility at Natanz as a multinational fuel center with the participation of foreign representatives, renouncing plutonium reprocessing and immediately fabricating all enriched uranium into reactor fuel rods.<ref>[http://www.nytimes.com/2006/04/06/opinion/06zarif.html?_r=1&scp=1&sq=zarif&st=cse "We Do Not Have a Nuclear Weapons Program"], Javad Zarif, ''New York Times'' 6 April 2006</ref> Iran's offer to open its uranium enrichment program to foreign private and public participation mirrors suggestions of an IAEA expert committee which was formed to investigate the methods to reduce the risk that sensitive fuel cycle activities could contribute to national nuclear weapons capabilities.<ref name="iaea-Bull462" >{{cite web|title=Publications: Magazines and Newsletters|url=http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Magazines/Bulletin/Bull462/nuclear_fcycle.html|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> Some non-governmental U.S. experts have endorsed this approach.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://mit.edu/stgs/irancrisis.html |title=Iran Crisis |publisher=Mit.edu |accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref><ref>{{Cite journal|url=http://www.nybooks.com/articles/21112 |title=A Solution for the US–Iran Nuclear Standoff |publisher=The New York Review of Books |volume= 55, number 4 · 2|date=0 March 2008 |accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref> The United States has insisted that Iran must meet the demands of the UN Security Council to suspend its enrichment program{{Citation needed|date=November 2011}}. |
|||
In every other case in which the IAEA Board of Governors made a finding of safeguards non-compliance involving clandestine enrichment or reprocessing, the resolution has involved (in the cases of Iraq<ref>{{cite web|author=ODS Team |url=http://documents-dds-ny.un.org/doc/RESOLUTION/GEN/NR0/596/23/IMG/NR059623.pdf |title=UN Security Council Resolution 687 |publisher=Daccessdds.un.org |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> and Libya<ref>[http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2004/gov2004-12.pdf GOV/2004/12] Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement of the Socialist People's Libyan Arab Jamahiriya, 20 February 2004.</ref><ref>[http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2004/gov2004-18.pdf GOV/2004/18], Resolution adopted by the Board on 10 March 2004.</ref><ref>[http://documents-dds-ny.un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/N04/318/57/PDF/N0431857.pdf S/PRST/2004/10 Statement by the President of the Security Council], 22 April 2004</ref>) or is expected to involve (in the case of North Korea<ref>[http://www.kedo.org/pdfs/AgreedFramework.pdf Agreed Framework] Between The United States of America And the Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Geneva, 21 October 1994.</ref><ref>[http://www.state.gov/p/eap/regional/c15455.htm Joint Statement of the Fourth Round of the Six-Party Talks], Beijing, 19 September 2005.</ref>) at a minimum ending sensitive fuel cycle activities. According to [[Pierre Goldschmidt]], former deputy director general and head of the department of safeguards at the IAEA, and [[Henry D. Sokolski]], Executive Director of the [[Nonproliferation Policy Education Center]], some other instances of safeguards noncompliance reported by the IAEA Secretariat (South Korea, Egypt) were never reported to the Security Council because the IAEA Board of Governors never made a formal finding of non-compliance.<ref name=Sokolski >"[http://www.securityaffairs.org/issues/2007/12/sokolski.php Nonproliferation, By the Numbers]". Sokolski, Henry. ''Journal of International Security Affairs''. Spring 2007 – Number 12.<blockquote>The agency's Director General and Board of Governors recognized Iran had breached its NPT safeguards obligations, but argued that it actually had a right under the treaty to make nuclear fuel ... U.S. officials and the IAEA board of governors chose in 2004 and 2005 to use this same line of reasoning to decide not to forward reports of safeguards infractions by South Korea and Egypt to the UN Security Council.</blockquote></ref><ref>"[http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/section~fulltext=713240928~dontcount=true~content=a908599294~db=all Exposing Nuclear Non-compliance]". Survival, Volume 51, Issue 1 February 2009, pp. 143–164.<blockquote>Since 2003, the IAEA Secretariat has reported specific cases of non-compliance with safeguards agreements by Iran, Libya, South Korea and Egypt to the board (Step 2). The actions taken by the board in each case were inconsistent and, if they go uncorrected, will create unfortunate precedents.</ref> Though South Korea's case involved enriching uranium to levels near weapons grade,<ref>"[http://goliath.ecnext.com/coms2/gi_0199-3549782/South-Korea-s-nuclear-surprise.html South Korea's nuclear surprise: as more and more countries adopt the IAEA's Additional Protocol, all kinds of nuclear secrets will come spilling out. Currently under microscope: South Korea.]". Kang, Jungmin ; Hayes, Peter ; Bin, Li ; Suzuki, Tatsujiro ; Tanter, Richard. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (01-JAN-05).<blockquote>South Korea publicly disclosed its past secret nuclear research activities, revealing that it had conducted chemical uranium enrichment from 1979 to 1981, separated small quantities of plutonium in 1982, experimented with uranium enrichment in 2000, and manufactured depleted uranium munitions from 1983 to 1987. The South Korean government had violated its international agreements by not declaring any of these activities to the IAEA in Vienna.</blockquote></ref> the country itself voluntarily reported the isolated activity<ref name=SKSFGate >{{Cite news|author=Barbara Demick of the Los Angeles Times |url=http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2004/09/03/MNGGU8J34J1.DTL&hw=nuclear+energy&sn=226&sc=373 |title=South Korea experimented with highly enriched uranium |work=San Francisco Chronicle |date=3 September 2004 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> and Goldschmidt has argued "political considerations also played a dominant role in the board's decision" to not make a formal finding of non-compliance.<ref name=GS_INR >[http://carnegieendowment.org/files/improve_nonpro_regime.pdf Exposing Nuclear Non-Compliance]. Pierre Goldschmidt. Survival: Global Politics and Strategy, vol. 51, no. 1, February–March 2009, pp. 143–164</ref> |
|||
iii |
|||
==History== |
|||
[[File:Atomic women Iran.JPG|thumb|right|Iranian newspaper clip from 1968 reads: "A quarter of Iran's Nuclear Energy scientists are women." The photograph shows some female Iranian PhDs posing in front of [[Tehran]]'s research reactor.]] |
|||
===1950s and 1960s=== |
|||
The foundations for [[Iran]]'s nuclear program were laid after a 1953 [[1953 Iranian coup d'état|coup]] deposed the Prime Minister [[Mohammed Mossadegh]] and installed the [[Pahlavi dynasty|Shah]] (King) [[Mohammad Reza Pahlavi]] to power.<ref name="Guardian" >{{Cite news |
|||
| url=http://www.guardian.co.uk/comment/story/0,3604,1021997,00.html |
|||
| title=The spectre of Operation Ajax |
|||
| work=Article |
|||
|work=The Guardian |location=London |
|||
| accessdate=2 April 2007 |
|||
| date=20 August 2003 |
|||
| first1=Dan |
|||
| last1=De Luce}}</ref> |
|||
A civil nuclear co-operation program was established under the U.S. [[Atoms for Peace|Atoms for Peace program]]. In 1967, the [[Tehran Nuclear Research Center]] (TNRC) was established, run by the [[Atomic Energy Organization of Iran]] (AEOI). The TNRC was equipped with a U.S.-supplied, 5-megawatt nuclear [[research reactor]], which was fueled by [[highly enriched uranium]].<ref name=IAEA-untreaty-8866>{{Cite document|url=http://treaties.un.org/doc/Publication/UNTS/Volume%20614/volume-614-I-8866-English.pdf|title=Contract between the International Atomic Energy Agency, Iran and the United States of America for the transfer of Enriched Uranium and Plutonium for a Research Reactor in Iran|work=IAEA|publisher=United Nations|date=7 June 1967|accessdate=8 April 2010}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.nnsa.doe.gov/na-20/frrsnf.shtml|archiveurl=http://web.archive.org/web/20060924034225/http://www.nnsa.doe.gov/na-20/frrsnf.shtml|archivedate=24 September 2006|title=Foreign Research Reactor Spent Nuclear Fuel Acceptance|publisher=U.S. National Nuclear Security Administration|accessdate=24 September 2006}}</ref> |
|||
Iran signed the [[Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty]] (NPT) in 1968 and ratified it in 1970, making Iran's nuclear program subject to IAEA verification. |
|||
===1970s=== |
|||
The Shah approved plans to construct, with U.S. help, up to 23 nuclear power stations by 2000.<ref>[http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/nuke/RS21592.pdf Iran's Nuclear Program: Recent Developments]: "The Shah's plan to build 23 nuclear power reactors by the 1990s was regarded as grandiose, but not necessarily viewed as a "back door" to a nuclear weapons program, possibly because Iran did not then seek the technologies to enrich or reprocess its own fuel"</ref> |
|||
In March 1974, the Shah envisioned a time when the world's oil supply would run out, and declared, "Petroleum is a noble material, much too valuable to burn ... We envision producing, as soon as possible, 23,000 megawatts of electricity using nuclear plants."<ref name="shah" >{{cite web|url=http://www.nti.org/e_research/profiles/1825_1826.html|title=Iran Profile – Nuclear Chronology 1957–1985|accessdate=18 May 2006|publisher=Nuclear Threat Initiative}}{{dead link|date=January 2012}}</ref> |
|||
[[File:Shah-nukeIran.jpg|thumb|left|Advertisement from the 1970s by American nuclear-energy companies, using Iran's nuclear program as a marketing ploy]] |
|||
Iran had deep pockets and close ties to the West. U.S. and European companies scrambled to do business in Iran.<ref name="chronology" >{{cite web|author=. Farhang Jahanpour |
|||
|publisher=Oxford Research GroupDr |
|||
|date=6 November 2006 |
|||
|title=Chronology of Iran's Nuclear Program (1957–present) |
|||
|url=http://www.oxfordresearchgroup.org.uk/work/middle_east/iranchronology.php}}</ref> [[Bushehr]] would be the first plant, and would supply energy to the inland city of [[Shiraz, Iran|Shiraz]]. In 1975, the [[Erlangen]]/[[Frankfurt]] firm [[Kraftwerk Union AG]], a joint venture of [[Siemens AG]] and [[AEG]], signed a contract worth $4 to {{Nowrap|$6 billion}} to build the [[pressurized water reactor]] nuclear power plant. Construction of the two 1,196 [[MWe]] , and was to have been completed in 1981. |
|||
The [[joint stock company]] [[Eurodif]] operating a [[uranium enrichment]] plant in France was formed in 1973 by France, Belgium, Spain and Sweden. In 1975 Sweden's 10% share in Eurodif went to Iran as a result of an arrangement between France and Iran. The French government subsidiary company [[Areva NC|Cogéma]] and the Iranian Government established the Sofidif (''Société franco–iranienne pour l'enrichissement de l'uranium par diffusion gazeuse'') enterprise with 60% and 40% shares, respectively. In turn, Sofidif acquired a 25% share in Eurodif, which gave Iran its 10% share of Eurodif. Mohammed Reza Shah Pahlavi lent {{Nowrap|1 billion}} dollars (and another {{Nowrap|180 million}} dollars in 1977) for the construction of the Eurodif factory, to have the right of buying 10% of the production of the site. |
|||
"President [[Gerald Ford]] signed a directive in 1976 offering [[Tehran]] the chance to buy and operate a U.S.-built reprocessing facility for extracting [[plutonium]] from nuclear reactor fuel. The deal was for a complete 'nuclear fuel cycle'."<ref name="wp1" >{{Cite news|author=Dafna Linzer|work=Washington Post |date=27 March 2005|title=Past Arguments Don't Square With Current Iran Policy|url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A3983-2005Mar26.html}}</ref> |
|||
At the time, [[Richard Cheney]] was the White House Chief of Staff, and [[Donald Rumsfeld]] was the Secretary of Defense. |
|||
The Ford strategy paper said the "introduction of nuclear power will both provide for the growing needs of Iran's economy and free remaining oil reserves for export or conversion to petrochemicals." |
|||
Then-[[United States Secretary of State]] [[Henry Kissinger]] recalled in 2005, "I don't think the issue of proliferation came up."<ref name="wp1" /> However, a 1974 CIA proliferation assessment stated "If [the Shah] is alive in the mid-1980s ... and if other countries [particularly India] have proceeded with weapons development we have no doubt Iran will follow suit."<ref name=SNIE-4-1-74 >{{Cite document|url=http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB240/snie.pdf|format=PDF|series=Special National Intelligence Estimate|title=Prospects for Further Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons|publisher=[[CIA]]|date=23 August 1974|id=SNIE 4-1-74|accessdate=20 January 2008|postscript=<!--None-->}}</ref> |
|||
The Shah also signed a nuclear cooperation agreement with South Africa under which Iranian oil money financed the development of South African fuel enrichment technology using a novel "jet nozzle" process, in return for assured supplies of South African (and Namibian) enriched uranium.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.since1865.com/archive/detail/11214184 |title=The Third World's Critical Mass, by Kai Bird and David Berick, Nation February 26, 1977 |publisher=Since1865.com |accessdate=20 September 2009}} {{Dead link|date=September 2010|bot=H3llBot}}</ref> |
|||
===Post-revolution, 1979–1989=== |
|||
The [[Iranian Revolution|1979 Revolution]] saw the overthrow<ref>Kurzman, ''The Unthinkable Revolution in Iran'', (2004), p.121</ref> of the [[Mohammad-Rezā Shāh Pahlavi|Shah]].<ref>[http://www.ncjrs.gov/App/publications/abstract.aspx?ID=141775 Autocracy of the Shah of Iran: Views of the Media Reporters (From Terrorism and Political Violence: Limits and Possibilities of Legal Control, pp 167–186, 1993, Henry H Han, Ed. – See NCJ-141768)]</ref><ref>Fred Halliday, Iran: Dictatorship and Development, Penguin, ISBN 0140220100</ref> During the Revolution, Iranian students took over the U.S. Embassy,<ref>{{Cite book|last=Mackey |first=Sandra |title=The Iranians: Persia, Islam and the Soul of a Nation |publisher=Plume |year=1998 |isbn=0452275636}}</ref> and [[Iran hostage crisis|held U.S. diplomats there hostage for 444 days]] lasting from 4 November 1979, to 20 January 1981.<ref>[http://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/iranians-storm-us-embassy ''History Channel'': Iranians storm U.S. embassy]</ref> In Iran, anti-American sentiment was fed by the U.S. installation and support for the repressive<ref>Abrahamian, Ervand, ''Tortured Confessions,'' (University of California 1999)</ref> Shah and "feared" [[SAVAK]],<ref>[http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,912364,00.html: SAVAK: Like the CIA]{{dead link|date=January 2012}} ''TIME Magazine''</ref> and continuing resentment over U.S. support to the [[1953 Iranian coup d'état|coup]] that overthrew Iran's democratically elected government and installed the Shah.<ref>[http://www.iranchamber.com/history/coup53/coup53p1.php A short account of 1953 Coup]</ref> The United States considered the [[Iran hostage crisis|hostage-taking]] as an outrage violating the [[sovereignty]] of diplomatic compounds.<ref>"Doing Satan's Work in Iran", ''The New York Times'', 6 November 1979</ref> |
|||
After the revolution, much nuclear cooperation with Iran was cut off. The United States stopped fulfilling contracts it had with Iran, while France, Germany, and other countries also reduced their cooperation with Iran due to pressure from the United States. Iran argues these experiences show the unreliability of working with the West on nuclear issues and place the burden on the West to restore its credibility. |
|||
====France==== |
|||
When France after 1979 refused to give any [[enriched uranium]] to Iran and also [[Eurodif]] did not return Iran's investments (see [[Nuclear program of Iran#European reactions 1979-89|European reactions 1979–89]]), Iran's government suspended its payments and tried to get refunded the loan by making pressure on France by handling militant groups, including the [[Hezbollah]] who took French citizens hostage in the 1980s.{{Citation needed|date=September 2009}} Iran was denied uranium which it was entitled to as a joint owner in the French Eurodif international enrichment facility because of U.S. pressure.<ref name=NRSBINT /><ref name=Ramazani /> |
|||
Another result of the 1979 Revolution was France's refusal to give any [[enriched uranium]] to Iran after 1979. Iran also did not get back its investment from [[Eurodif]] (see [[Nuclear program of Iran#European reactions in the 1970s|European reactions in the 1970s]]). In 1982, French president [[François Mitterrand]] refused to give any uranium to Iran, which also claimed the {{Nowrap|$1 billion}} debt.{{Citation needed|date=April 2010}} |
|||
====Germany==== |
|||
In January 1979, Kraftwerk Union stopped working at the Bushehr nuclear project with one reactor 50% complete, and the other reactor 85% complete, and fully withdrew from the project in July 1979. Kraftwerk Union said they based their action on Iran's non-payment of {{Nowrap|$450 million}} in overdue payments. The company had then received {{Nowrap|$2.5 billion}} of the total contract. The French company Framatome, a subsidiary of [[Areva]], also withdrew itself.{{Citation needed|date=April 2010}} Iran had paid Germany in full, totaling billions of dollars, for the two nuclear facilities in [[Bushehr]].<ref name="anti1" >{{cite web|url=http://www.antiwar.com/prather/?articleid=8308|title=ElBaradei Isn't Perfect|author=Gordon Prather|date=27 December 2005|publisher=Antiwar.com}}</ref> Germany halted construction of the Bushehr reactor under pressure from the United States.<ref name=NRSBINT /><ref>[http://www.nti.org/db/nisprofs/russia/exports/rusiran/react.htm Russia: Nuclear Exports to Iran: Reactors ] ''Nuclear Threat Initiative''</ref> |
|||
In April 1984, Jane's Defence Weekly cited reports from West German intelligence that Iran may have a nuclear bomb within two years with uranium from Pakistan. The Germans leaked this news in the first public Western intelligence report of a post-revolutionary nuclear weapons program in Iran.<ref>Anthony H. Cordesman, "Iran and Nuclear Weapons: A Working Draft," Center for Strategic and International Studies, 7 February 2000; "Iran Atomic Energy Agency Head Goes to Bushehr," BBC Summary of World Broadcasts, 24 June 1989.</ref> |
|||
Between 24 March 1984, to 1988, the Bushehr reactors were damaged by multiple Iraqi air strikes and work on the nuclear program came to a standstill. In 1984, Kraftwerk Union did a preliminary assessment to see if it could resume work on the project, but declined to do so while the [[Iran–Iraq War]] continued. |
|||
====United States==== |
|||
The United States cut off the supply of highly enriched uranium (HEU) fuel for the Tehran Research Reactor, which forced the reactor to shut down for a number of years, until Argentina agreed to supply replacement low-enriched uranium (LEU) fuel.<ref name="NRSBINT"/><ref name=Ramazani>[http://www.agenceglobal.com/Article.asp?Id=2187 ''Agence Global'': Making a U.S.-Iranian Nuclear Deal]</ref><ref>[http://www.iranwatch.org/wmd/wponac-nuclearhistory-0904.htm Iran's Nuclear Program] ''Iran Watch''</ref> |
|||
The United States in or after 1983 persuaded the IAEA to terminate its project to assist Iran in producing enriched uranium.<ref>{{cite web|title=US in 1983 stopped IAEA from helping Iran make UF6|url=http://www.geocities.com/thelasian/nucleafuel_iran.html|publisher=Platt's Nuclear Fuel| month=August|year=2003|author=Mark Hibbs|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/query?url=http://www.geocities.com/thelasian/nucleafuel_iran.html&date=2009-10-25+23:00:25|archivedate=26 October 2009}}</ref> |
|||
In April 1984, the U.S. State Department said, "We believe it would take at least two to three years to complete construction of the reactors at Bushehr." The spokesperson also said that the light water power reactors at Bushehr "are not particularly well-suited for a weapons program." The spokesman went on to say, "In addition, we have no evidence of Iranian construction of other facilities that would be necessary to separate plutonium from spent reactor fuel."{{Citation needed|date=April 2010}} |
|||
In June 1984, [[Assistant party leaders of the United States Senate|Minority Whip of the United States]] Senate [[Alan Cranston]] asserted that the Islamic Republic of Iran was seven years away from being able to build its own nuclear weapon.<ref>"Senator says Iran, Iraq seek N-Bomb". (1984, 27 June). ''[[The Age]]'', p. 7.</ref> |
|||
====Argentina==== |
|||
According to a report by the Argentine justice in 2006, Iran in 1987–88 signed three agreements with [[Argentina]]'s [[National Atomic Energy Commission]]. The first Iranian-Argentine agreement involved help in converting the U.S. supplied [[Tehran Nuclear Research Center]] (TNRC) research reactor from [[highly enriched uranium]] fuel to 19.75% [[low-enriched uranium]], and to supply the low-enriched uranium to Iran.<ref name=IAEA-untreaty-8865-amendment>{{Cite document|url=http://treaties.un.org/doc/Publication/UNTS/Volume%201562/volume-1562-I-8865-English.pdf|title=Amendment to Agreement between the International Atomic Energy Agency and the Government of Iran for assistance by the Agency to Iran in establishing a Research Reactor Project|work=IAEA|publisher=United Nations|date=9 December 1988|accessdate=8 April 2010|postscript=<!--None-->}}</ref> The uranium was delivered in 1993.<ref name=CNS-suppliers >{{cite web|url=http://cns.miis.edu/wmdme/flow/iran/reactor.htm|title=Foreign Suppliers to Iran's Nuclear Development|publisher=James Martin Center For Nonproliferation Studies|accessdate=26 September 2009}}</ref> The second and third agreements were for technical assistance, including components, for the building of pilot plants for uranium-dioxide conversion and fuel fabrication. Under US pressure, assistance under second and third agreements was reduced.<ref name="Argentine" >{{cite web|title=Asia Times Online:: Middle East News, Iraq, Iran current affairs|url=http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/HK15Ak03.html|accessdate=24 February 2008|date=15 November 2008}}</ref> |
|||
====IAEA==== |
|||
In 1981, Iranian governmental officials concluded that the country's nuclear development should continue. Reports to the IAEA included that a site at ENTEC would act "as the center for the transfer and development of nuclear technology, as well as contribute to the formation of local expertise and manpower needed to sustain a very ambitious program in the field of nuclear power reactor technology and fuel cycle technology." The IAEA also was informed about Entec's largest department, for materials testing, which was responsible for UO2 pellet fuel fabrication and a chemical department whose goal was the conversion of (U3O8) to nuclear grade UO2.<ref name=Hibbs83 /> |
|||
In 1983, IAEA officials were keen to assist Iran in chemical aspects of reactor fuel fabrication, chemical engineering and design aspects of pilot plants for uranium conversion, corrosion of nuclear materials, LWR fuel fabrication, and pilot plant development for production of nuclear grade UO2. The IAEA planned to provide assistance to Iran under its Technical Assistance Program to produce enriched uranium. An IAEA report stated that its aim was to "contribute to the formation of local expertise and manpower needed to sustain an ambitious program in the field of nuclear power reactor technology and fuel cycle technology."<ref name=Hibbs83 /> |
|||
The U.S. government "directly intervened" to discourage IAEA assistance in Iranian production of UO2 and UF6. A former U.S. official said "we stopped that in its tracks." The IAEA dropped plans to help Iran on fuel production and uranium conversion due to U.S. pressure. Iran later set up a bilateral cooperation on fuel cycle related issues with China, but China also agreed to drop most outstanding nuclear commerce with Iran, including the construction of the UF6 plant, due to U.S. pressure.<ref name=Hibbs83>Mark Hibbs, "US in 1983 stopped IAEA from helping Iran make UF6", Nuclear Fuel, 4 August 2003</ref> |
|||
====Iran==== |
|||
Iran has argued that these experiences indicate foreign facilities and foreign fuel supplies are an unreliable source of nuclear fuel supply.<ref name=NRSBINT>[http://books.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=12477&page=37 Internationalization of the Nuclear Fuel Cycle: Goals, Strategies, and Challenges] (2009). Nuclear and Radiation Studies Board, National Academies Press.</ref><ref name=NRSBINT2>[http://books.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=12477&page=38 Internationalization of the Nuclear Fuel Cycle: Goals, Strategies, and Challenges] (2009). Nuclear and Radiation Studies Board, National Academies Press.<blockquote>Iran argues that this experience indicates that joint ownership of foreign facilities does not solve the problem of assuring fuel supply ... The recent experience in which Russian fuel supply to Bushehr was delayed for an extended period as disputes over Iran's nuclear program continued also contributed to Iran's perception that foreign fuel supply is unreliable.</blockquote></ref> |
|||
During the Iran-Iraq war, Iran's Bushehr reactors were damaged by multiple Iraqi air strikes and work on the nuclear program came to a standstill. Iran notified the International Atomic Energy Agency of the blasts, and complained about international inaction and the use of French made missiles in the attack.<ref>[http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/Others/infcirc318.pdf International Atomic Energy Agency: Correspondence between the President of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran and the Director General (September 1984)]</ref><ref>[http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/Others/infcirc346a2.pdf International Atomic Energy Agency: TelEx Messages to the Director General (27 November 1987) from the President of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran]</ref> |
|||
After the Revolution, Iran also asserted that the American government, "contrary to the contract and its legal obligations", would not allow an American company "to refund over {{Nowrap|2 million}} dollars paid by Iran before the Islamic Revolution".<ref>[http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/2010/infcirc785.pdf International Atomic Energy Agency: Communication dated 1 March 2010 received rom the Resident Representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran to the Agency regarding assurances of nuclear fuel supply]</ref> |
|||
===1990–2002=== |
|||
From the beginning of 1990s, [[Russia]] formed a joint research organization with Iran called ''Persepolis'' which provided Iran with Russian nuclear experts, and technical information. Five Russian institutions, including the [[Russian Federal Space Agency]] helped Tehran to improve its missiles. The exchange of technical information with Iran was personally approved by the [[Foreign Intelligence Service (Russia)|SVR]] director Trubnikov.<ref name="Lunev" >[[Stanislav Lunev]]. ''Through the Eyes of the Enemy: The Autobiography of Stanislav Lunev'', Regnery Publishing, Inc., 1998. ISBN 0-89526-390-4, pp. 19–22.</ref> President [[Boris Yeltsin]] had a "two track policy" offering commercial nuclear technology to Iran and discussing the issues with Washington.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/content~db=all~content=a931346927 |title=A Review of: “John W. Parker. Persian Dreams: Moscow and Tehran Since the Fall of the Shah.” |publisher=Terrorism and Political Violence |date=Volume 23 Issue 1 2011 |accessdate=2 Jan 2011}}</ref> |
|||
In 1990, Iran began to look outwards towards new partners for its nuclear program; however, due to a radically different political climate and punitive U.S. economic sanctions, few candidates existed. |
|||
In 1991, an agreement was found for the French-Iranian disagreement since 1979 (see [[Nuclear program of Iran#Post Revolution, 1979–1989|Post Revolution, 1979–1989]]): France refunded more than {{Nowrap|1.6 billion}} dollars. Iran remained shareholder of Eurodif via [[Sofidif]], a Franco-Iranian consortium shareholder to 25% of Eurodif. However, Iran refrained from asking for the produced uranium.<ref>{{fr icon}} {{cite web|title=La république atomique|work=Le Monde |date=11 November 2001|author=Dominique Lorentz| url=http://www.politiqueglobale.org/article.php3?id_article=1967}}{{dead link|date=January 2012}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news|title=Iskandar Safa and the French Hostage Scandal|publisher=Middle East Intelligence Bulletin |date=February 2002|url=http://www.meib.org/articles/0202_l2.htm}}{{dead link|date=January 2012}}</ref> |
|||
In 1992, following media allegations about undeclared nuclear activities in Iran, Iran invited IAEA inspectors to the country and permitted those inspectors to visit all the sites and facilities they asked to see. Director General Blix reported that all activities observed were consistent with the peaceful use of atomic energy.<ref>{{cite web|title=Atomic Team Reports on Iran Probe; No Weapons Research Found by Inspectors |work=The Washington Post |publisher=HighBeam Research |
|||
|url=http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1P2-990775.html|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref><ref>Jon Wolfsthal, "Iran Hosts IAEA Mission; Syria Signs Safeguard Pact", Arms Control Today, vol. 22 (March 1992), p. 28.</ref> The IAEA visits included undeclared facilities and Iran's nascent uranium mining project at Saghand. In the same year, Argentine officials disclosed that their country had canceled a sale to Iran of civilian nuclear equipment worth {{Nowrap|$18 million}}, under US pressure.<ref>{{cite web|title=U.S. Halted Nuclear Bid By Iran; China, Argentina Agreed to Cancel Technology Transfers |work=The Washington Post |publisher=HighBeam Research |
|||
|url=http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1P2-1035214.html|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> |
|||
In 1995, Iran signed a contract with Russia to resume work on the partially complete Bushehr plant,<ref>{{cite web|title=Iran's Nuclear Program. Part I: Its History|url=http://www.payvand.com/news/03/oct/1015.html|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> installing into the existing Bushehr I building a 915 [[Watt|MWe]] [[VVER]]-1000 [[pressurized water reactor]], with completion expected in 2009. There are no current plans to complete the Bushehr II reactor. |
|||
In 1996, the U.S. convinced the People's Republic of China to pull out of a contract to construct a uranium conversion plant. However, the Chinese provided blueprints for the facility to the Iranians, who advised the IAEA that they would continue work on the program, and IAEA Director [[Mohamed ElBaradei]] even visited the construction site.<ref>Mark Hibbs, "Iran Told IAEA It Will Build Chinese UF6 Plant at Isfahan," Nuclear Fuel, 16 December 1996</ref> |
|||
According to a report by the Argentine justice in 2006, late 1980s and early 1990s the US pressured Argentina to terminate its nuclear cooperation with Iran, and from early 1992 to 1994 negotiations between Argentina and Iran took place with the aim of re-establishing the three agreements made in 1987–88.<ref name="Argentine" /> |
|||
===2002–2006=== |
|||
[[File:Hastehi.JPG|thumb|right|Seen here in this [[Iranian Students' News Agency|ISNA]] footage is [[Gholam Reza Aghazadeh]] and [[Atomic Energy Organization of Iran|AEOI]] officials with a sample of [[Yellowcake]] during a public announcement on 11 April 2006, in [[Mashad]] that Iran had managed to successfully complete the fuel cycle by itself.]] |
|||
On 14 August 2002, [[Alireza Jafarzadeh]], a spokesman for an Iranian dissident group National Council of Resistance of Iran, publicly revealed the existence of two nuclear sites under-construction: a uranium enrichment facility in [[Natanz]] (part of which is underground), and a [[heavy water]] facility in [[Arak, Iran|Arak]]. It has been strongly suggested that intelligence agencies already knew about these facilities but the reports had been classified.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.armscontrolwonk.com/517/exiles-and-iran-intel |title=ArmsControlWonk: Exiles and Iran Intel |publisher=Armscontrolwonk.com |accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref> |
|||
The IAEA immediately sought access to these facilities and further information and co-operation from Iran regarding its nuclear program.<ref>{{cite web|title=alJazeera Magazine|url=http://www.aljazeera.com/me.asp?service_ID=1002|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}} {{Dead link|date=September 2010|bot=H3llBot}}</ref> According to arrangements in force at the time for implementation of Iran's safeguards agreement with the IAEA,<ref>http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/Others/infcirc214.pdf</ref> Iran was not required to allow IAEA inspections of a new nuclear facility until six months before nuclear material is introduced into that facility. At the time, Iran was not even required to inform the IAEA of the existence of the facility. This 'six months' clause was standard for implementation of all IAEA safeguards agreements until 1992, when the IAEA Board of Governors decided that facilities should be reported during the planning phase, even before construction began. Iran was the last country to accept that decision, and only did so 26 February 2003, after the IAEA investigation began.<ref>http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2003/gov2003-40.pdf</ref> |
|||
France, Germany and the United Kingdom (the [[EU-3]]) undertook a diplomatic initiative with Iran to resolve questions about its nuclear program. On 21 October 2003, in Tehran, the Iranian government and EU-3 Foreign Ministers issued a statement known as the Tehran Declaration<ref>{{cite web|title=News Center: In Focus: IAEA and Iran|url=http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/Focus/IaeaIran/statement_iran21102003.shtml|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> in which Iran agreed to co-operate with the IAEA, to sign and implement an Additional Protocol as a voluntary, confidence-building measure, and to suspend its enrichment and reprocessing activities during the course of the negotiations. The EU-3 in return explicitly agreed to recognize Iran's nuclear rights and to discuss ways Iran could provide "satisfactory assurances" regarding its nuclear power program, after which Iran would gain easier access to modern technology. Iran signed an Additional Protocol on 18 December 2003, and agreed to act as if the protocol were in force, making the required reports to the IAEA and allowing the required access by IAEA inspectors, pending Iran's ratification of the Additional Protocol. |
|||
The IAEA reported 10 November 2003,<ref name="IAEA-GOV/2003/75" >{{Cite document|url=http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2003/gov2003-75.pdf |accessdate=25 October 2007|title=Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran|date=10 November 2003|id=GOV/2003/75|publisher=IAEA |format=PDF|postscript=<!--None-->}}</ref> that "it is clear that Iran has failed in a number of instances over an extended period of time to meet its obligations under its Safeguards Agreement with respect to the reporting of nuclear material and its processing and use, as well as the declaration of facilities where such material has been processed and stored." Iran was obligated to inform the IAEA of its importation of uranium from China and subsequent use of that material in uranium conversion and enrichment activities. It was also obligated to report to the IAEA experiments with the separation of plutonium. However, the Islamic Republic reneged on its promise to permit the IAEA to carry out their inspections and suspended the Additional Protocol agreement outlined above in October 2005.<ref>Safa Haeri, [http://www.iran-press-service.com/ips/articles-2005/october-2005/Iran_nuclear_91005.shtml "Iran confirms stopping Additional Protocol of the NPT"], "Iran Press Service", October 9, 2005</ref> |
|||
A comprehensive list of Iran's specific "breaches" of its IAEA safeguards agreement, which the IAEA described as part of a "pattern of concealment," can be found in the 15 November 2004, report of the IAEA on Iran's nuclear program.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2004/gov2004-83.pdf |title=GOV/2004/83 – Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in Iran |format=PDF |accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref> Iran attributes its failure to report certain acquisitions and activities on US obstructionism, which reportedly included pressuring the IAEA to cease providing technical assistance to Iran's uranium conversion program in 1983.<ref name="googleusercontent2005"/><ref>{{cite web|title=US in 1983 stopped IAEA from helping Iran make UF6| url=http://www.geocities.com/thelasian/nucleafuel_iran.html |publisher=Platt's Nuclear Fuel|author=Mark Hibbs|month=August|year=2003|archiveurl=http://www.webcitation.org/query?url=http://www.geocities.com/thelasian/nucleafuel_iran.html&date=2009-10-25+23:00:25|archivedate=26 October 2009}}</ref> On the question of whether Iran had a hidden nuclear weapons program, the IAEA's November 2003 report states that it found "no evidence" that the previously undeclared activities were related to a nuclear weapons program, but also that it was unable to conclude that Iran's nuclear program was exclusively peaceful. |
|||
In June 2004, construction was commenced on [[IR-40]], a 40 MW [[heavy water reactor]]. |
|||
[[File:2006 1012 eu iran 600.jpg|thumb|[[EU three]]]] |
|||
Under the terms of the [http://www.armscontrol.org/country/iran/ParisAgreement.asp Paris Agreement]{{dead link|date=January 2012}}, on 14 November 2004, Iran's chief nuclear negotiator announced a voluntary and temporary suspension of its uranium enrichment program (enrichment is not a violation of the NPT) and the voluntary implementation of the Additional Protocol, after pressure from the United Kingdom, France, and Germany acting on behalf of the [[European Union]] (EU, known in this context as the ''[[EU-3]]''). The measure was said at the time to be a voluntary, confidence-building measure, to continue for some reasonable period of time (six months being mentioned as a reference) as negotiations with the EU-3 continued. On 24 November, Iran sought to amend the terms of its agreement with the EU to exclude a handful of the equipment from this deal for research work. This request was dropped four days later. According to Seyyed Hossein Mousavian, one of the Iranian representatives to the Paris Agreement negotiations, the Iranians made it clear to their European counterparts that Iran would not consider a permanent end to uranium enrichment: |
|||
<blockquote>Before the Paris [Agreement] text was signed, Dr Rohani ... stressed that they should be committed neither to speak nor even think of a cessation any more. The ambassadors delivered his message to their foreign ministers prior to the signing of the Paris agreed text ... The Iranians made it clear to their European counterparts that if the latter sought a complete termination of Iran's nuclear fuel-cycle activities, there would be no negotiations. The Europeans answered that they were not seeking such a termination, only an assurance on the non-diversion of Iran's nuclear programme to military ends.<ref>[http://www.comw.org/pda/fulltext/06mousavian.pdf "Iran and the West: The Path to Nuclear Deadlock". Seyyed Hossein Mousavian. ''Global Dialogue'', Winter/Spring 2006.] Posted on the Commonwealth Institute website (.pdf file)</ref></blockquote> |
|||
In February 2005, Iran pressed the EU-3 to speed up talks, which the EU-3 refused to do so.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L01161464.htm |archiveurl=http://web.archive.org/web/20050207205908/http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L01161464.htm |archivedate=7 February 2005 |title="EU rejects Iran call to speed up nuclear talks" |agency=Reuters |publisher=Web.archive.org |date=1 February 2005 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> The talks made little progress because of the divergent positions of the two sides.<ref>[http://www.wagingpeace.org/articles/2005/07/00_langenbach_eu3-iran-approach.htm EU3-Iranian Negotiations: A New Approach], by Anna Langenbach, July 2005</ref> In early August 2005, after the June election of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as Iran's President, Iran removed seals on its uranium enrichment equipment in Isfahan,<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.guardian.co.uk/eu/story/0,,1541352,00.html |title=EU warns Iran: no talks if nuclear freeze ends |work=The Guardian |location=UK |author=Ian Traynor |date=4 August 2005|accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref> which UK officials termed a "breach of the Paris Agreement"<ref name="guardian1" >{{Cite news|url=http://www.guardian.co.uk/iran/story/0,12858,1545023,00.html |title=Iran resumes uranium enrichment |work=The Guardian |location=London |author=Rosalind Ryan and agencies |date=8 August 2005|accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref> though a case can be made that the EU violated the terms of the Paris Agreement by demanding that Iran abandon nuclear enrichment.<ref>[http://www.spinwatch.org/content/view/209/8/]{{Dead link|date=October 2008}}</ref> Several days later, the EU-3 offered Iran a package in return for permanent cessation of enrichment. Reportedly, it included benefits in the political, trade and nuclear fields, as well as long-term supplies of nuclear materials and assurances of non-aggression by the EU (but not the US),.<ref name="guardian1" /> Mohammad Saeedi, the deputy head of Iran's atomic energy organization rejected the offer, terming it "very insulting and humiliating"<ref name="guardian1" /> and other independent analysts characterized the EU offer as an [http://www.basicint.org/pubs/Notes/BN050811-IranEU.htm "empty box"]{{dead link|date=January 2012}}. Iran's announcement that it would resume enrichment preceded the election of Iranian President Ahmadinejad by several months. The delay in restarting the program was to allow the IAEA to re-install monitoring equipment. The actual resumption of the program coincided with the election of President Mahmoud Ahmedinejad, and the appointment of [[Ali Larijani]] as the chief Iranian nuclear negotiator.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/4131706.stm |title=Middle East | Iran restarts nuclear programme |publisher=BBC News |date=8 August 2005 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
Around 2005, Germany refused to export any more nuclear equipment or refund money paid by Iran for such equipment in the 1980s.<ref name="anti1" /> (See [[Nuclear program of Iran#European reactions 1979-89|European reactions 1979–89]].) |
|||
In August 2005, with the assistance of Pakistan<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://articles.latimes.com/2005/may/26/world/fg-pakistan26 |title=Pakistan Is Aiding in Iran Inquiry |author= Douglas Frantz |work=Los Angeles Times |date=26 May 2005 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> a group of US government experts and international scientists concluded that traces of bomb-grade uranium found in Iran came from contaminated Pakistani equipment and were not evidence of a clandestine nuclear weapons program in Iran.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/08/22/AR2005082201447.html |title=No Proof Found of Iran Arms Program; Uranium Traced to Pakistani Equipment |work=The Washington Post |date=23 August 2005|accessdate=20 September 2009|first=Dafna|last=Linzer}}</ref> In September 2005, IAEA Director General Mohammad ElBaradei reported that "most" highly enriched uranium traces found in Iran by agency inspectors came from imported centrifuge components, validating Iran's claim that the traces were due to contamination. Sources in Vienna and the State Department reportedly stated that, for all practical purposes, the [http://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/Iran-IAEA-Issues.asp HEU issue has been resolved.] |
|||
The IAEA Board of Governors deferred a formal decision on Iran's nuclear case for two years after 2003, while Iran continued cooperation with the EU-3. On 24 September 2005, after Iran abandoned the Paris Agreement, the Board found that Iran had been in non-compliance with its safeguards agreement, based largely on facts that had been reported as early as November 2003.<ref name="IAEA-GOV/2005/77" >{{Cite document|url=http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2005/gov2005-77.pdf |accessdate=25 October 2007|title=Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran|date=24 September 2005|id=GOV/2005/77|publisher=IAEA |format=PDF|postscript=<!--None-->}}</ref> |
|||
On 4 February 2006, the 35 member Board of Governors of the IAEA voted 27–3 (with five abstentions: [[Algeria]], [[Belarus]], [[Indonesia]], [[Libya]] and South Africa) to report Iran to the UN Security Council. The measure was sponsored by the United Kingdom, France and Germany, and it was backed by the United States. Two permanent council members, Russia and China, agreed to referral only on condition that the council take no action before March. The three members who voted against referral were [[Venezuela]], [[Syria]] and [[Cuba]].<ref>{{Cite news|publisher=BBC News|title=Iran reported to Security Council|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/4680294.stm|date=4 February 2006|accessdate=4 February 2006}}</ref><ref>{{Cite press release|publisher=International Atomic Energy Agency|date=2 April 2006|title=Resolution GOV/2006/14 of the Board of Governors: Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran|url=http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2006/gov2006-14.pdf |format=PDF}}</ref> In response, on 6 February 2006, Iran suspended its voluntary implementation of the Additional Protocol and all other voluntary and non-legally binding cooperation with the IAEA beyond what is required by its safeguards agreement.<ref name="IAEA-GOV/2006/15" >[http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2006/gov2006-15.pdf GOV/2006/15] Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran, 27 February 2006</ref> |
|||
In late February 2006, IAEA Director Mohammad El-Baradei raised the suggestion of a deal, whereby Iran would give up industrial-scale enrichment and instead limit its program to a small-scale pilot facility, and agree to import its nuclear fuel from Russia (see [[nuclear fuel bank]]). The Iranians indicated that while they would not be willing to give up their right to enrichment in principle, they were willing to<ref>{{cite web|url=http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2006-02/18/content_4197711.htm |title=Xinhua – English |publisher=News.xinhuanet.com |date=18 February 2006 |accessdate=20 May 2010}}</ref> consider the compromise solution. However in March 2006, the Bush Administration made it clear that they would not accept [http://www.spacewar.com/reports/No_Uranium_Enrichment_Permissible_For_Iran_Says_Bolton.html any enrichment] at all in Iran. |
|||
The IAEA Board of Governors deferred the formal report to the UN Security Council of Iran's non-compliance (such a report is required by Article XII.C of the IAEA Statute),<ref>{{cite web|title=About IAEA: IAEA Statute|url=http://www.iaea.org/About/statute_text.html#A1.12|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> until 27 February 2006.<ref>http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2006/gov2006-14.pdf</ref> The Board usually makes decisions by consensus, but in a rare non-consensus decision it adopted this resolution by vote, with 12 abstentions.<ref name=ASIL >{{cite web|url=http://www.asil.org/insights/2005/09/insights050929.html |title=ASIL Insight – Iran's Resumption of its Nuclear Program: Addendum |publisher=Asil.org |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|title=IAEA Board of Governors reports Iran's nuclear dossier to UNSC without consensus|url=http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/news/iran/2006/iran-060204-irna07.htm|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> |
|||
On 11 April 2006, Iranian President [[Mahmoud Ahmadinejad]] announced that [[Iran]] had successfully enriched uranium. President Ahmadinejad made the announcement in a televised address from the northeastern city of [[Mashhad]], where he said "I am officially announcing that Iran joined the group of those countries which have nuclear technology." The uranium was enriched to 3.5% using over a hundred centrifuges. |
|||
On 13 April 2006, after US Secretary of State [[Condoleezza Rice]] said (on 12 April 2006) the Security Council must consider "strong steps" to induce Tehran to change course in its nuclear ambition; President Ahmadinejad vowed that Iran will not back away from uranium enrichment and that the world must treat Iran as a nuclear power, saying "Our answer to those who are angry about Iran achieving the full nuclear fuel cycle is just one phrase. We say: Be angry at us and die of this anger," because "We won't hold talks with anyone about the right of the Iranian nation to enrich uranium."<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,191588,00.html |title=Iran President: We Won't Retreat 'One Iota' |publisher=Fox News |date=14 April 2006 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
On 14 April 2006, The Institute for Science and International Security ([http://www.isis-online.org/ ISIS]) published a series of analyzed satellite images of Iran's nuclear facilities at Natanz and Esfahan.<ref name="isis14apr06" >{{cite web|url=http://www.isis-online.org/publications/iran/newactivities.pdf|title=ISIS Imagery Brief: New Activities at the Esfahan and Natanz Nuclear Sites in Iran|accessdate=1 May 2006|publisher=Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS)|year=2006|author=Brannan, Paul|format=PDF}}</ref> Featured in these images is a new tunnel entrance near the Uranium Conversion Facility (UCF) at Esfahan and continued construction at the Natanz uranium enrichment site. In addition, a series of images dating back to 2002 shows the underground enrichment buildings and its subsequent covering by soil, concrete, and other materials. Both facilities were already subject to IAEA inspections and safeguards. |
|||
Iran responded to the demand to stop enrichment of uranium 24 August 2006, offering to return to the negotiation table but refusing to end enrichment.<ref name="CNN-08-31" >[http://www.cnn.com/2006/WORLD/meast/08/31/iran.deadline/index.html Bush: Iran's defiance will bring 'consequences'], 31 August 2006, [[CNN]]</ref> |
|||
Qolam Ali Hadad-adel, speaker of Iran's parliament, said on 30 August 2006, that Iran had the right to "peaceful application of nuclear technology and all other officials agree with this decision," according to the semi-official Iranian Students News Agency. "Iran opened the door to negotiations for Europe and hopes that the answer which was given to the nuclear package would bring them to the table."<ref name="CNN-08-31" /> |
|||
In Resolution 1696 July 31, 2006, the [[United Nations Security Council]] demanded that Iran suspend all enrichment and reprocessing related activities.<ref name="UN_SRES16962006_page2" >{{UN document |docid=S-RES-1696(2006) |type=Resolution |body=Security Council |year=2006 |resolution_number=1696 |highlight=rect_184,543_829,610 |page=2 |accessdate=14 September 2007|date=}}</ref> |
|||
In [[UN Security Council Resolution 1737]] of 26 December 2006, the Council imposed a series of sanctions on Iran for its non-compliance with the earlier Security Council resolution deciding that Iran suspend enrichment-related activities without delay.<ref name="UN_SRES17372006" >{{UN document |docid=S-RES-1737(2006) |type=Resolution |body=Security Council |year=2006 |resolution_number=1737 |accessdate=14 September 2007|date=23 December 2006}}</ref> These sanctions were primarily targeted against the transfer of nuclear and ballistic missile technologies<ref name="UN_S2006815" >{{UN document |docid=S-2006-815 |type=Document |body=Security Council |year=2006 |document_number=815 |date=13 October 2006|accessdate=14 September 2007}}</ref> and, in response to concerns of China and Russia, were lighter than that sought by the United States.<ref>{{Cite news|title=UN passes Iran nuclear sanctions |url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6205295.stm |publisher=BBC News |date=13 December 2006 |accessdate=23 December 2006}}</ref> This resolution followed a report from the IAEA that Iran had permitted inspections under its safeguards agreement but had not suspended its enrichment-related activities.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2007/gov2007-08.pdf |title=GOV/2007/8 – Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and Relevant Provisions of Security Council Resolution 1737 (2006) in the Islamic Republic of Iran |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
===2007–present=== |
|||
====UN Security Council==== |
|||
The [[United Nations Security Council|UN Security Council]] has passed seven [[United Nations Security Council resolution|resolutions]] on Iran: |
|||
*[[United Nations Security Council Resolution 1696|Resolution 1696]] (31 July 2006) demanded that Iran suspend its uranium enrichment activities, invoking [[Chapter VII of the United Nations Charter]] to make that demand legally binding on Iran. |
|||
*[[United Nations Security Council Resolution 1737|Resolution 1737]] (23 December 2006) imposed [[Sanctions against Iran|sanctions]] after Iran refused to suspend its enrichment activities, cutting off nuclear cooperation, demanding that Iran cooperate with the IAEA, and freezing the assets of a number of persons and organizations linked to Iran's nuclear and missile programs. It established a committee to monitor sanctions implementation.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.un.org/sc/committees/1737/index.shtml|title=Security Council Committee established pursuant to resolution 1737(2006)|publisher=United Nations|accessdate=14 September 2007}}</ref> |
|||
*[[United Nations Security Council Resolution 1747|Resolution 1747]] (24 March 2007) expanded the list of sanctioned Iranian entities and welcomed the proposal by the permanent five members of the Security Council plus Germany for resolving issues regarding Iran's nuclear program. |
|||
*In [[UN Security Council Resolution 1803|resolution 1803]] (3 March 2008), the Council decided to extend those sanctions to additional persons and entities, impose travel restrictions on sanctioned persons, and bar exports of nuclear- and missile-related dual-use goods to Iran.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2008/sc9268.doc.htm |title=Security Council Tightens Restrictions on Iran's Proliferation-Sensitive Nuclear Activities, Increases Vigilance Over Iranian Banks, Has States Inspect Cargo |publisher=United Nations |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
*[[United Nations Security Council Resolution 1835|Resolution 1835]] (27 September 2008) reaffirmed the preceding four resolutions, the only one of the seven not to invoke Chapter VII. |
|||
*[[United Nations Security Council Resolution 1929|Resolution 1929]] (9 June 2010) imposed a complete arms embargo on Iran, banned Iran from any activities related to ballistic missiles, authorized the inspection and seizure of shipments violating these restrictions, and extended the asset freeze to the [[Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps]] (IRGC) and the [[Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines]] (IRISL). The resolution passed by a vote of 12–2, with Turkey and Brazil voting against and Lebanon abstaining. A number of countries imposed measures to implement and extend these sanctions, including the [[U.S. sanctions against Iran|United States]], the [[European Union sanctions against Iran|European Union]], Australia,<ref>[http://www.dfat.gov.au/un/unsc_sanctions/iran_autonomous_sanctions.html Australia Imposes New Broad-Ranging Sanctions Against Iran], Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Australia, 29 July 2010.</ref> Canada,<ref>[http://www.international.gc.ca/sanctions/iran.aspx Canada Passes Sanctions under the Special Economic Measures Act], 26 July 2010.</ref> Japan,<ref>[http://english.aljazeera.net/news/asia-pacific/2010/09/20109343037889453.html Japan approves new Iran sanctions], Al Jazeera, 3 September 2010.</ref> Norway,<ref>[http://www.norwaypost.no/news/norway-joins-eu-sanctions-against-iran.html Norway joins EU sanctions against Iran], ''The Norway Post'', 29 July 2010</ref> South Korea,<ref>[http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Asia-Pacific/2010/0908/South-Korea-sanctions-Iran-under-US-pressure http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Asia-Pacific/2010/0908/South-Korea-sanctions-Iran-under-US-pressure], ''The Christian Science Monitor'', 8 September 2010.</ref> and Russia.<ref>[http://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2010/09/22/Russia-pulls-plug-on-Iran-arms-deal/UPI-49941285186093/ Russia pulls plug on Iran arms deal]</ref> |
|||
*[[United Nations Security Council Resolution 1984|Resolution 1984]] (8 June 2011) extended for a further 12 months the mandate of the Panel of Experts established by [[United Nations Security Council Resolution 1929|Resolution 1929]]. |
|||
====International Atomic Energy Agency==== |
|||
*In February 2007, anonymous diplomats at the atomic energy agency reportedly complained that most U.S. intelligence shared with the IAEA had proved inaccurate, and none had led to significant discoveries inside Iran.<ref>{{Cite news|author=Bob Drogin, Kim Murphy, Los Angeles Times |url=http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2007/02/25/MNGGKOAR681.DTL&feed=rss.news |title=Most U.S. tips fingering Iran false – envoys No intelligence given UN since '02 led to big discoveries Bob Drogin, Kim Murphy, Los Angeles Times |work=San Francisco Chronicle |date=25 February 2007 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
*On 10 May 2007, Iran and the IAEA vehemently denied reports that Iran had blocked IAEA inspectors when they sought access to the Iran's enrichment facility. On 11 March 2007, Reuters quoted International Atomic Energy Agency spokesman Marc Vidricaire, "We have not been denied access at any time, including in the past few weeks. Normally we do not comment on such reports but this time we felt we had to clarify the matter ... If we had a problem like that we would have to report to the [35-nation IAEA governing] board ... That has not happened because this alleged event did not take place."<ref>{{cite web |title=IAEA denies Iran blocked nuclear site visit|url=http://www.khaleejtimes.com/DisplayArticleNew.asp?xfile=data/theworld/2007/May/theworld_May343.xml§ion=theworld|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> |
|||
*On 30 July 2007, inspectors from the IAEA spent five hours at the Arak complex, the first such visit since April. Visits to other plants in Iran were expected during the following days. It has been suggested that access may have been granted in an attempt to head off further sanctions.<ref name="Reuters300707" >[http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSDAH02145320070730 UN inspectors revisit Iran's Arak heavy-water site], ''[[Reuters]]'', published 30 July 2007. Retrieved 31 July 2007</ref> |
|||
*In late October 2007, according to the [[International Herald Tribune]], the head of the IAEA, Mohamed ElBaradei, stated that he had seen "no evidence" of Iran developing nuclear weapons. The IHT quoted ElBaradei as saying "We have information that there has been maybe some studies about possible weaponization. That's why we have said that we cannot give Iran a pass right now, because there is still a lot of question marks ... . But have we seen Iran having the nuclear material that can readily be used into a weapon? No. Have we seen an active weaponization program? No." The IHT report went on to say that "ElBaradei said he was worried about the growing rhetoric from the U.S., which he noted focused on Iran's alleged intentions to build a nuclear weapon rather than evidence the country was actively doing so. If there is actual evidence, ElBaradei said he would welcome seeing it."<ref name="IHT_IAEA_rhetoric" >{{cite web|title=UN nuclear watchdog chief expresses concern about anti-Iran rhetoric from US|work=International Herald Tribune |date=28 October 2007|url=http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/10/28/america/NA-GEN-US-Iran.php|accessdate=29 October 2007}}</ref> |
|||
*Israel criticised IAEA reports on Iran as well as the former IAEA-director ElBaradei. Israel's Minister of Strategic Affairs Avigdor Lieberman dismissed reports by the UN nuclear watchdog agency as being "unacceptable" and accused IAEA head ElBaradei of being "pro-Iranian".<ref>{{cite web|last=Katz |first=Yaakov |url=http://fr.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1195127517568&pagename=JPost/JPArticle/ShowFull |title=Israel: IAEA's report 'unacceptable' Jerusalem Post, Nov 16, 2007 |work=Jerusalem Post |location=Israel |date=16 November 2007 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
*In a February 2009 press interview, IAEA Director Mohamed ElBaradei said Iran has low enriched uranium, but "that doesn't mean that they are going tomorrow to have nuclear weapons, because as long as they are under IAEA verification, as long as they are not weaponizing, you know." ElBaradei continued that there is a confidence deficit with Iran, but that the concern should not be hyped and that "many other countries are enriching uranium without the world making any fuss about it".<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://transcripts.cnn.com/TRANSCRIPTS/0902/01/fzgps.01.html |title=Fareed Zakaria GPS Transcript |publisher=CNN |date=1 February 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
*The IAEA remains unable to draw a conclusion on whether Iran has a secret nuclear weapons program. It normally draws conclusions about the absence of undeclared nuclear activities only in countries that have an Additional Protocol in force. Iran ceased its voluntary and non-legally binding implementation of the Additional Protocol and all other voluntary cooperation with the IAEA beyond that required under its safeguards agreement after the IAEA Board of Governors decided to report its safeguards non-compliance to the UN Security Council in February 2006.<ref name="IAEA-GOV/2006/15" /> The UN Security Council then passed Resolution 1737, invoking Chapter VII of the UN Charter, obligating Iran to implement the Additional Protocol. Iran has maintained that the Security Council's engagement in "the issue of the peaceful nuclear activities of the Islamic Republic of Iran" are unlawful and malicious.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/2008/infcirc724.pdf |title=INFCIRC/724 – Communication dated March 26, 2008, received from the Permanent Mission of the Islamic Republic of Iran to the Agency |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> In its Safeguards Statement for 2007, the IAEA found no indication of undeclared nuclear material or activities in 47 of 82 states that had both NPT safeguards agreements and Additional Protocols in force, while it was unable to draw similar conclusions in 25 other states.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/OurWork/SV/Safeguards/es2007.html |title=IAEA Safeguards Statement for 2007 |publisher=Iaea.org |accessdate=20 September 2009}}{{dead link|date=January 2012}}</ref> In August 2007, Iran and the IAEA entered into an agreement on the modalities for resolving remaining outstanding issues,<ref>[http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/2007/infcirc711.pdf INFCIRC/711] Understandings of the Islamic Republic of Iran and the IAEA on the Modalities of Resolution of the Outstanding Issues, 27 August 2009</ref> and made progress in outstanding issues except for the question of "alleged studies" of weaponization by Iran.<ref>[http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2008/gov2008-59.pdf GOV/2008/59] Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and relevant provisions of Security Council resolutions 1737 (2006), 1747 (2007), 1803 (2008) and 1835 (2008) in the Islamic Republic of Iran, Report by the Director General, 19 November 2008</ref> Iran says it did not address the alleged studies in the IAEA work plan because they were not included in the plan.<ref>http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/2008/infcirc739.pdf</ref> The IAEA has not detected the actual use of nuclear material in connection with the alleged studies and says it regrets it is unable to provide Iran with copies of the documentation concerning the alleged studies, but says the documentation is comprehensive and detailed so that it needs to be taken seriously. Iran says the allegations are based on "forged" documents and "fabricated" data, and that it has not received copies of the documentation to enable it to prove that they were forged and fabricated.<ref>[http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2008/gov2008-38.pdf Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and relevant provisions of Security Council resolutions 1737 (2006), 1747 (2007) and 1803 (2008) in the Islamic Republic of Iran], (15 September 2008)</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iranconsulate.org.hk/HTML/English/An%20Assessment%20of.pdf |title=An Assessment of So-called "Alleged Studies", Islamic Republic of Iran – September 2008 |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
*In February 2009 IAEA Director General reportedly said that he believed the possibility of a military attack on Iran's nuclear installations had been ruled out. "Force can only be used as a last option ... when all other political possibilities have been exhausted," he told Radio France International.<ref name=TT022309 /><ref>{{Cite news|date=AFP 21 February 2009, {{Nowrap|02:30 am}} IST |url=http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/World/Europe/Military-strikes-against-Iran-no-longer-an-option-IAEA/articleshow/4163889.cms |title='Military strikes against Iran no longer an option: IAEA |publisher=Times of India |accessdate=20 September 2009 |deadurl=yes}} {{Dead link|date=May 2011|bot=RjwilmsiBot}}</ref> Former Director General Hans Blix criticized Western governments for the years lost by their "ineffective approaches" to Iran's nuclear program. Blix suggested the West offer "guarantees against attacks from the outside and subversive activities inside" and also suggested U.S. involvement in regional diplomacy "would offer Iran a greater incentive to reach a nuclear agreement than the Bush team's statements that 'Iran must behave itself'."<ref>{{Cite news|author=Logged in as click here to log out |url=http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2009/feb/25/iran-nuclear-weapons |title= Nuclear Options |work=Guardian |location=UK |date=24 August 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
*In July 2009, Yukiya Amano, the in-coming head of the IAEA said: "I don't see any evidence in IAEA official documents" that Iran is trying to gain the ability to develop nuclear arms.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSL312024420090703 |title=No sign Iran seeks nuclear arms: new IAEA head, |agency=Reuters |publisher=Reuters |date=3 July 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
*In September 2009, IAEA Director General Mohamed El Baradei that Iran had broken the law by not disclosing its second uranium enrichment site at [[Qom]] sooner. Nevertheless, he said, the United Nations did not have credible evidence that Iran had an operational nuclear program.<ref name="Qom" >{{Cite news|url=http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3783432,00.html|title=IAEA: Iran broke law by failing to disclose nuclear facility|publisher=Ynet News|date=30 September 2009|accessdate=20 July 2010}}</ref> |
|||
*In November 2009, the IAEA's 35-nation [[Board of Governors]] overwhelmingly backed a demand of the U.S., Russia, China, and three other powers that Iran immediately stop building its newly revealed nuclear facility and freeze uranium enrichment. Iranian officials shrugged off approval of the resolution by 25 members of the Board, but the U.S. and its allies hinted at new UN sanctions if Iran remained defiant.<ref name="George Jahn" >{{Cite news|title=Nuclear agency comes down on Iran|publisher=Associated Press via The Raleigh [[News & Observer]]|author=[[George Jahn]]|date=28 November 2009}}</ref> |
|||
*In February 2010, the IAEA issued a report scolding Iran for failing to explain purchases of sensitive technology as well as secret tests of high-precision detonators and modified designs of missile cones to accommodate larger payloads. Such experiments are closely associated with atomic warheads.<ref name="Feb2010" >{{Cite news|url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/02/18/AR2010021803378.html|title=Iran might be seeking to develop nuclear weapons capability, inspectors say|work=Washington Post |author=Joby Warrick and Scott Wilson|date=19 February 2010}}</ref> |
|||
*In May 2010, the IAEA issued a report that Iran had declared production of over 2.5 metric tons of low-enriched uranium, which would be enough if further enriched to make two nuclear weapons, and that Iran has refused to answer inspectors’ questions on a variety of activities, including what the agency called the “possible military dimensions” of Iran's nuclear program.<ref name="May2010" >{{Cite news|url=http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/01/world/middleeast/01nuke.html|title=UN Says Iran Has Fuel for 2 Nuclear Weapons|work=New York Times |date=31 May 2010|accessdate=11 August 2010|first1=David E.|last1=Sanger|first2=William J.|last2=Broad}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2010/gov2010-28.pdf|title=Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and relevant provisions of Security Council resolutions 1737 (2006), 1747 (2007), 1803 (2008) and 1835 (2008) in the Islamic Republic of Iran|date=31 May 2010|accessdate=11 August 2010}}</ref> |
|||
*In July 2010, Iran barred two IAEA inspectors from entering the country. The IAEA rejected Iran's reasons for the ban and said it fully supported the inspectors, which Tehran has accused of reporting wrongly that some nuclear equipment was missing.<ref>{{Cite news| url=http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE65K0ZO20100621|title=Iran bars two UN inspectors in nuclear dispute|date=21 June 2010|agency=Reuters }}</ref> |
|||
*In August 2010, the IAEA said Iran has started using a second set of 164 centrifuges linked in a cascade, or string of machines, to enrich uranium to up to 20% at its Natanz pilot fuel enrichment plan.<ref>{{Cite news| url=http://abcnews.go.com/Technology/wireStory?id=11359906|title=IAEA: Iran Activates Enrichment Equipment|date=9 August 2010|agency=AP }}</ref> |
|||
*In November of 2011, IAEA officials identified a "large explosive containment vessel" inside [[Parchin]].<ref>[http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/story/2011-11-11/iran-nuclear-weapons-soviet-scientist/51166144/1 New claims emerge involving scientist in Iran nuke report]</ref> The IAEA later assessed that Iran has been conducting experiments to develop nuclear weapons capability.<ref>[http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/11/17/us-nuclear-iran-iaea-idUSTRE7AG0RP20111117 Powers pressure Iran, IAEA chief "alerts world"]</ref> |
|||
====Iran==== |
|||
*Interviews and surveys show that the majority of Iranians in all groups favor their country's nuclear program.<ref>{{Cite news|author=Karl Vick|url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/01/22/AR2006012200808.html|work=Washington Post |date=23 January 2006|title=In Iran, Power Written in Stone}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.worldpublicopinion.org/pipa/articles/brmiddleeastnafricara/469.php?lb=brme&pnt=469&nid=&id=|title=Iranians Oppose Producing Nuclear Weapons, Saying It Is Contrary to Islam |publisher=World Public Opinion |date=28 February 2007 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3655909,00.html |title=BBC Poll: 94% of Iranians: We have right to develop nuclear plan |publisher=Ynetnews.com |date=20 June 1995 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Polls in 2008 showed that the vast majority of Iranians want their country to develop nuclear energy, and 90% of Iranians believe it is important (including 81% very important) for Iran "to have a full fuel cycle nuclear program."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.worldpublicopinion.org/pipa/articles/brmiddleeastnafricara/527.php?nid=&id=&pnt=527&lb=brme |title=Iranian Public Opinion on Governance, Nuclear Weapons and Relations with the United States, August 27, 2008 |publisher=Worldpublicopinion.org |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Though Iranians are not Arab, Arab publics in six countries also believe that Iran has the right to its nuclear program and should not be pressured to stop that program.<ref>[http://media.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/world/pdf/mideast_telhami_20080417.pdf 2008 Annual Arab Public Opinion Poll] – see "Key Findings"</ref> A poll in September 2010 by the International Peace Institute found that 71 percent of Iranians favored the development of nuclear weapons, a drastic hike over the previous polls by the same agency.<ref>[http://www.ipacademy.org/news/general-announcement/209-iran-lebanon-israelis-and-palestinians-new-ipi-opinion-polls.html Iran, Lebanon, Israelis and Palestinians: New IPI Opinion Polls, 5 January 2011]</ref> |
|||
*In explaining why it had left its enrichment program undeclared to the IAEA, Iran said that for the past twenty-four years it has "been subject to the most severe series of sanctions and export restrictions on material and technology for peaceful nuclear technology," so that some elements of its program had to be done discreetly. Iran said the U.S. intention "is nothing but to make this deprivation" of Iran's inalienable right to enrichment technology "final and eternal," and that the United States is completely silent on Israel's nuclear enrichment and weapons program.<ref name=IC657 /> Iran began its nuclear research as early as 1975, when France cooperated with Iran to set up the Esfahan Nuclear Technology Center (ENTC) to provide training for personnel to develop certain nuclear fuel cycle capabilities.<ref>{{cite web|title=Energy Citations Database (ECD) – Document No. 7095626|url=http://www.osti.gov/energycitations/product.biblio.jsp?osti_id=7095626|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|title=Esfahan / Isfahan – Iran Special Weapons Facilities|url=http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/world/iran/esfahan.htm|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> Iran did not hide other elements of its nuclear program. For example, its efforts at mining and converting uranium were announced on national radio,<ref>BBC Summary of World Broadcasts 11 April 1979, Wednesday Copyright 1979 The British Broadcasting Corporation<blockquote>Fereydun Sahabi, the Deputy Minister of Energy and Supervisor of the Atomic Energy Organization, in an interview with our correspondent said today ... he said that the Atomic Energy Organization's activities regarding prospecting and extraction of uranium would continue.</blockquote></ref><ref>BBC Summary of World Broadcasts 30 March 1982, Tuesday Copyright 1982 The British Broadcasting Corporation<blockquote>Iran was taking concrete measures for importing nuclear technology, while at the same time utilizing Iranian expertise in the field. He said the decision was made in the wake of discovery of uranium resources in the country and after Iran's capability for developing the industry had been established</blockquote></ref> and Iran also says that in consultation with the Agency and member states throughout the 1990s it underlined its plans to acquire, for exclusively peaceful purposes, fuel enrichment technology.<ref name=IC657 >[http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/2005/infcirc657.pdf IAEA INFCIRC657: Communication dated 12 September 2005, from the Permanent Mission of the Islamic Republic of Iran to the Agency]<blockquote>In official consultations with the Agency and member-states throughout the 1990s, Iran underlined its plan to acquire, for exclusively peaceful purposes, various aspects of nuclear technology, including fuel enrichment</blockquote></ref> Iran's contracts with other nations to obtain nuclear reactors were also known to the IAEA – but support for the contracts was withdrawn after "a U.S. special national intelligence estimate declared that while 'Iran's much publicized nuclear power intentions are entirely in the planning stage,' the ambitions of the shah could lead Iran to pursue nuclear weapons, especially in the shadow of India's successful nuclear test in May 1974".<ref>[http://www.cfr.org/publication/16811/irans_nuclear_program.html ''Washington Post'': Iran's Nuclear Program] (see "Second Thoughts on a Nuclear Iran")<blockquote>This concern led Western governments to withdraw support for Iran's nuclear program. Pressure on France, which in 1973 signed a deal to build two reactors at Darkhovin, and Germany, whose Kraftwerk Union began building a pair of reactors at Bushehr in 1975, led to the cancellation of both projects.</blockquote></ref> In 2003, the IAEA reported that Iran had failed to meet its obligations to report some of its enrichment activities, which Iran says began in 1985, to the IAEA as required by its safeguards agreement. The IAEA further reported that Iran had undertaken to submit the required information for agency verification and "to implement a policy of co-operation and full transparency" as corrective actions.<ref name="IAEA-GOV/2003/75" /> |
|||
*The Iranian government has repeatedly made compromise offers to place strict limits on its nuclear program beyond what the Non-Proliferation Treaty and the Additional Protocol legally require of Iran, in order to ensure that the program cannot be secretly diverted to the manufacture of weapons.<ref>{{cite web|title=Arms Control Association: Fact Sheets: Iranian, P5+1 Proposals to Resolve Iranian Nuclear Issue|url=http://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/Iran_Nuclear_Proposals.asp|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> These offers include operating Iran's nuclear program as an international consortium, with the full participation of foreign governments. This offer by the Iranians matched a proposed solution put forth by an IAEA expert committee that was investigating the risk that civilian nuclear technologies could be used to make bombs.<ref name="iaea-Bull462" /> Iran has also offered to renounce plutonium extraction technology, thus ensuring that its heavy water reactor at Arak cannot be used to make bombs either.<ref name="iht-quarrel" >{{cite web|title=We in Iran don't need this quarrel – International Herald Tribune|url=http://www.iht.com/articles/2006/04/05/opinion/edzarif.php|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> More recently, the Iranians have reportedly also offered to operate uranium centrifuges that automatically self-destruct if they are used to enrich uranium beyond what is required for civilian purposes.<ref>{{Cite news|title=Iran's message is softly spoken, yet clear: It will enrich uranium – Middle East, World – Independent.co.uk|url=http://news.independent.co.uk/world/middle_east/article2798521.ece|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008|work=The Independent|location=London|first=Anne|last=Penketh|date=25 July 2007}}{{dead link|date=January 2012}}</ref> However, despite offers of nuclear cooperation by the five permanent members of the UN Security Council and Germany, Iran has refused to suspend its enrichment program as the Council has demanded.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs//2006/sc8792.doc.htm|title=UN press release|year=2006}}</ref> Iran's representative asserted that dealing with the issue in the Security Council was unwarranted and void of any legal basis or practical utility because its peaceful nuclear program posed no threat to international peace and security, and, that it ran counter to the views of the majority of United Nations Member States, which the Council was obliged to represent. |
|||
*"They should know that the Iranian nation will not yield to pressure and will not let its rights be trampled on," Iranian President [[Mahmoud Ahmadinejad]] told a crowd 31 August 2006, in a televised speech in the northwestern Iranian city of [[Orumiyeh]]. In front of his strongest supporters in one of his provincial power bases, the Iranian leader attacked what he called "intimidation" by the United Nations, which he said was led by the United States. Ahmadinejad criticised a White House rebuff of his offer for a televised debate with President Bush. "They say they support dialog and the free flow of information," he said. "But when debate was proposed, they avoided and opposed it." Ahmadinejad said that sanctions "cannot dissuade Iranians from their decision to make progress," according to Iran's state-run IRNA news agency. "On the contrary, many of our successes, including access to the nuclear fuel cycle and producing of heavy water, have been achieved under sanctions." |
|||
*Iran insists enrichment activities are intended for peaceful purposes, but much of the West, including the United States, allege that Iran is pursuing nuclear weapons, or a nuclear weapons "capability". The 31 August 2006, deadline called for Iran to comply with UN Security Council Resolution 1696 and suspend its enrichment-related activities or face the possibility of economic sanctions. The United States believes the council will agree to implement sanctions when high-level ministers reconvene in mid-September, U.S. Undersecretary of State [[R. Nicholas Burns|Nicholas Burns]] said. "We're sure going to work toward that [sanctions] with a great deal of energy and determination because this cannot go unanswered," Burns said. "The Iranians are obviously proceeding with their nuclear research; they are doing things that the International Atomic Energy Agency does not want them to do, the Security Council doesn't want them to do. There has to be an international answer, and we believe there will be one."<ref name="CNN-08-31" /> |
|||
*Iran asserts that there is no legal basis for Iran's referral to the United Nations Security Council since the IAEA has not proven that previously undeclared activities had a relationship to a weapons program, and that all nuclear material in Iran (including material that may not have been declared) had been accounted for and had not been diverted to military purposes. Article XII.C of the IAEA Statute<ref>{{cite web|title=About IAEA: IAEA Statute|url=http://www.iaea.org/About/statute_text.html|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> requires a report to the UN Security Council for any safeguards noncompliance.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www-pub.iaea.org/MTCD/publications/PDF/nvs-3-cd/PDF/NVS3_prn.pdf |title=See section 2.2 (pp. 13–14) of the IAEA Safeguards Glossary |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> The IAEA Board of Governors, in a rare non-consensus decision with 12 abstentions,<ref name=ASIL /> decided that "Iran's many failures and breaches of its obligations to comply with its NPT Safeguards Agreement" as reported by the IAEA in November 2003 constituted "non-compliance" under the terms of Article XII.C of IAEA Statute.<ref name="IAEA-GOV/2005/77" /> |
|||
*Iran also minimizes the significance of the IAEA's inability to verify the exclusively peaceful nature of Iran's nuclear program, arguing the IAEA has only drawn such conclusions in a subset of states that have ratified and implemented the Additional Protocol. The IAEA has been able to verify the non-diversion of declared nuclear material in Iran,<ref name=IAEA_011308 >{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/News/2008/iran_visit.html |title=IAEA Chief Concludes Visit to Iran |publisher=Iaea.org |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> but not the absence of undeclared activities. According to the IAEA's Safeguards Statement for 2007, of the 82 states where both NPT safeguards and an Additional Protocol are implemented, the IAEA had found no indication of undeclared nuclear activity in 47 states, while evaluations of possible undeclared nuclear activity remained ongoing in 35 states.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/OurWork/SV/Safeguards/es2007.html |title=Safeguards Statement for 2007 and Background to the Safeguards Statement |publisher=Iaea.org |accessdate=20 September 2009}}{{dead link|date=January 2012}}</ref> Iran ceased implementation of the Additional Protocol and all other cooperation with the IAEA beyond that required under its safeguards agreement after the IAEA Board of Governors decided to report its safeguards non-compliance to the UN Security Council in February 2006.<ref name="IAEA-GOV/2006/15" /> Iran insisted that such cooperation had been "voluntary," but on 26 December 2006, the UN Security Council passed Resolution 1737,<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/Focus/IaeaIran/unsc_res1737-2006.pdf |title=UN Security Council Resolution 1737 (2006) |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> invoking Chapter VII of the UN Charter, which among other things required Iran to cooperate fully with the IAEA, "beyond the formal requirements of the Safeguards Agreement and Additional Protocol." The IAEA reported on 19 November 2008, that, while it is "able to continue to verify the non-diversion of declared nuclear material in Iran," it "has not been able to make substantive progress" on "key remaining issues of serious concern" because of a "lack of cooperation by Iran."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2008/gov2008-59.pdf |title=Microsoft Word – gov2008-59.doc |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Iran has maintained that the Security Council's engagement in "the issue of the peaceful nuclear activities of the Islamic Republic of Iran" are unlawful and malicious.<ref>[http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/2008/infcirc724.pdf IAEA INFCIRC/724]: Communication dated 26 March 2008, received from the Permanent Mission of the Islamic Republic of Iran to the Agency</ref> Iran also argues that the UN Security Council resolutions demanding a suspension of enrichment constitute a violation of Article IV of the Non-Proliferation Treaty which recognizes the inalienable right of signatory nations to nuclear technology "for peaceful purposes."<ref>[http://www.yournuclearnews.com/govt+holds+its+line+on+iran+and+uranium_23036.html ''Your Nuclear News'': Govt Holds Its Line On Iran And Uranium]<blockquote>In 2006, it embarked on a uranium enrichment programme, defining it as part of its civilian nuclear energy programme, which is permitted under Article IV of the NPT.</blockquote></ref><ref>[http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/2005/infcirc657.pdf]<blockquote>In accordance with Article IV of the NPT, States Parties undertook to facilitate the fullest possible exchange of equipment, materials and scientific and technological information for the peaceful uses of nuclear energy. Indeed, the inalienable right of all States Parties to nuclear technology for peaceful purposes without discrimination constitutes the very foundation of the Treaty.</blockquote></ref> |
|||
*Iran agreed to implement the Additional Protocol under the terms of the October 2003 Tehran agreement and its successor, the November 2004 Paris agreement, and did so for two years before withdrawing from the Paris agreement in early 2006 following the breakdown of negotiations with the EU-3. Since then, Iran has offered not only to ratify the Additional Protocol, but to implement transparency measures on its nuclear program that exceed the Additional Protocol, as long as its right to operate an enrichment program is recognized. The UN Security Council, however, insists that Iran must suspend all enrichment-related and reprocessing activities, and the United States explicitly ruled out the possibility that it would allow Iran to produce its own nuclear fuel, even under intense international inspection.<ref name="sanger1" >[http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/27/us/politics/27clinton.html Clinton Says Nuclear Aim of Iran Is Fruitless, by David Sanger, New York Times, 26 July 2009]</ref> |
|||
*On 9 April 2007, Iran announced that it has begun enriching uranium with 3 000 centrifuges, presumably at Natanz enrichment site. "With great honor, I declare that as of today our dear country has joined the nuclear club of nations and can produce nuclear fuel on an industrial scale", said Ahmadinejad.<ref>{{Cite news|title=Iran Asserts Expansion Of Nuclear Operation – washingtonpost.com|url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/04/09/AR2007040900290.html|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008|work=The Washington Post|first=Dafna|last=Linzer|date=10 April 2007}}</ref> |
|||
*On 22 April 2007, Iranians foreign ministry spokesman [[Mohammad Ali Hosseini]] announced that his country rules out enrichment suspension ahead of talks with EU foreign policy chief [[Javier Solana]] on 25 April 2007.<ref>{{Cite news|title=Iran rules out enrichment suspension ahead of EU talks – Forbes.com|url=http://www.forbes.com/afxnewslimited/feeds/afx/2007/04/22/afx3638613.html|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008|date=22 April 2007}}</ref> |
|||
*In March 2009 Iran announced plans to open the Bushehr nuclear power plant to tourism as a way to highlight their peaceful nuclear intentions.<ref>[http://www.presstv.ir/detail.aspx?id=87893§ionid=351020108 Iran nuclear plant to open for tourists] 8 March 2009</ref> |
|||
*Reacting to the November 2009 IAEA Board of Governors resolution demanding that Iran immediately stop building its newly revealed nuclear facility and freeze uranium enrichment, Foreign Ministry spokesman [[Ramin Mehmanparast]] described the resolution as a "show ... aimed at putting pressure on Iran, which will be useless."<ref name="George Jahn" /> The Iranian government subsequently authorized the country's Atomic Energy Organization to begin building ten more uranium-enrichment plants for enhancing the country's electricity production.<ref name="RTTNews" >{{cite web|title=Ahmadinejad: Sanctions Will Not Affect Iran's Nuclear Program|url=http://www.rttnews.com/ArticleView.aspx?Id=1144800&SMap=1|publisher=[[RTTNews]]|date=1 December 2009|accessdate=1 December 2009}}</ref> |
|||
*Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on 1 December brushed aside the threat of UN sanctions over his country's failure to accept a UN-proposed deal on its nuclear program, stating that such a move by western nations would not hinder Iran's nuclear program. Ahmadinejad told state television that he believed further negotiations with world powers over his country's nuclear program were not needed, describing warnings by Western powers that Iran would be isolated if it fails to accept the UN-proposed deal as "ridiculous."<ref name="RTTNews" /> |
|||
*Watched by senior officials from Iran and Russia, Iran began fueling [[Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant|Bushehr I]] on 21 August 2010 the nation's state media reported, in an effort to help create nuclear-generated electricity. While state media reported it will take about two months for the reactor to begin generating electricity, Russia's nuclear agency says it will take longer. Ayatollah [[Ali Khamenei]], Iran's supreme leader, recently asserted Iran's right to establish nuclear plants.<ref name="CNN.com">{{Cite news|title=Iran's first nuclear plant begins fueling|url=http://www.cnn.com/2010/WORLD/meast/08/21/iran.nuclear/?hpt=T2|date=21 August 2010|publisher=CNN |accessdate=23 August 2010}}</ref> |
|||
====United States==== |
|||
*President [[George W. Bush]] insisted on 31 August 2006, that "there must be consequences" for Iran's defiance of demands that it stop enriching [[uranium]]. He asserted "the world now faces a grave threat from the radical regime in Iran. The Iranian regime arms, funds, and advises [[Hezbollah]]."<ref name="GWB-08-31-2006" >{{cite web|url=http://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/releases/2006/08/20060831-1.html |title=President Bush's speech of 8/31/2006 |publisher=Georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov |date=31 August 2006 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> The IAEA issued a report saying Iran had not suspended its uranium enrichment activities, a United Nations official said. This report opened the way for UN Security Council sanctions against Iran. Facing a Security Council deadline to stop its uranium enrichment activities, Iran has left little doubt it will defy the West and continue its nuclear program.<ref name="CNN-08-31" /> |
|||
*A congressional report released on 23 August 2006, summarized the documentary history of Iran's nuclear program, but also made allegations against the IAEA. The IAEA responded with a strongly worded letter to then U.S. House Intelligence Committee Chairman [[Peter Hoekstra]], which labeled as "outrageous and dishonest" the report's allegation that an IAEA inspector was dismissed for violating a supposed IAEA policy against "telling the whole truth" about Iran and pointed out other factual errors, such as a claim that Iran had enriched "weapons-grade" uranium.<ref>{{Cite news|title=US Iran report branded dishonest|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/5346524.stm|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008|date=14 September 2006|publisher=BBC News}}</ref> |
|||
*[[John R. Bolton|John Bolton]], then U.S. ambassador to the United Nations on 31 August 2006, said that he expected action to impose sanctions to begin immediately after the deadline passes, with meetings of high-level officials in the coming days, followed by negotiations on the language of the sanctions resolution. Bolton said that when the deadline passes "a little flag will go up." "In terms of what happens afterward, at that point, if they have not suspended all uranium enrichment activities, they will not be in compliance with the resolution," he said. "And at that point, the steps that the foreign ministers have agreed upon previously ... we would begin to talk about how to implement those steps." The five permanent members of the Security Council, plus Germany, previously offered Iran a package of incentives aimed at getting the country to restart negotiations, but Iran refused to halt its nuclear activities first. Incentives included offers to improve Iran's access to the international economy through participation in groups such as the [[World Trade Organization]] and to modernize its telecommunications industry. The incentives also mentioned the possibility of lifting restrictions on U.S. and European manufacturers wanting to export civil aircraft to Iran. And a proposed long-term agreement accompanying the incentives offered a "fresh start in negotiations."<ref name="CNN-08-31" /> |
|||
*IAEA officials complained in 2007 that most U.S. intelligence shared with it to date about Iran's nuclear program proved to be inaccurate, and that none had led to significant discoveries inside Iran through that time.<ref>{{Cite news|title=Most U.S. tips fingering Iran false – envoys / No intelligence given UN since '02 led to big discoveries|url=http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2007/02/25/MNGGKOAR681.DTL&feed=rss.news|accessdate=24 February 2008|first1=Bob|last1=Drogin|first2=Kim|last2=Murphy|date=25 February 2007|work=The San Francisco Chronicle}}</ref> |
|||
*Through 2008, the United States repeatedly refused to rule out using nuclear weapons in an attack on Iran. The U.S. Nuclear Posture Review made public in 2002 specifically envisioned the use of nuclear weapons on a first strike basis, even against non-nuclear armed states.<ref name="WashingtonPost-ac2" >{{Cite news|title=washingtonpost.com: U.S. Nuclear Arms Stance Modified by Policy Study|url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn/A5080-2002Mar22?language=printer|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008|work=The Washington Post}}</ref> Investigative reporter Seymour Hersh reported that, according to military officials, the Bush administration had plans for the use of nuclear weapons against "underground Iranian nuclear facilities".<ref name="CNN-mull" >{{Cite news|title=Hersh: U.S. mulls nuclear option for Iran |publisher=CNN |date=April 10, 2006|url=http://www.cnn.com/2006/POLITICS/04/10/hersh.access/index.html|accessdate=24 February 2008}}</ref> When specifically questioned about the potential use of nuclear weapons against Iran, President Bush claimed that "All options were on the table". According to the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientist, Bush "directly threatened Iran with a preemptive nuclear strike. It is hard to read his reply in any other way."<ref name="USthreats" >Robert S. Norris and [[Hans M. Kristensen]], Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, September/October 2006.[http://thebulletin.metapress.com/content/5153184277k71673/?p=0b7d39728ae54091b7ef3ebf5e96e6f5&pi=14 U.S. Nuclear Threats: Then and Now]{{dead link|date=January 2012}} [http://www.nti.org/e_research/e5_publications_U.S.%20Nuclear%20Policy.html (second mirror)]{{dead link|date=January 2012}}</ref> The Iranian authorities consistently replied that they were not seeking nuclear weapons as a deterrent to the United States, and instead emphasize the creation of a nuclear-arms free zone in the Middle East.<ref>{{cite web|title=We Do Not Have a Nuclear Weapons Program – UN Security Council – Global Policy Forum|url=http://www.globalpolicy.org/security/sanction/iran/2006/0406ambassador.htm|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> The policy of using nuclear weapons on a first-strike basis against non-nuclear opponents is a violation of the [http://www.fas.org/nuke/control/npt/docs/940405-nsa.htm US Negative Security Assurance] pledge not to use nuclear weapons against non-nuclear members of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) such as Iran. Threats of the use of nuclear weapons against another country constitute a violation of [[United Nations Security Council Resolution 984]] and the [[International Court of Justice advisory opinion on the Legality of the Threat or Use of Nuclear Weapons]]. |
|||
*In December 2008, President-Elect [[Barack Obama]] gave an interview on Sunday's "Meet the Press" with host [[Tom Brokaw]] during which he said the United States needs to "ratchet up tough but direct diplomacy with Iran". He said in his view the United States needs to make it clear to the Iranians that their alleged development of nuclear weapons and funding of organizations "like Hamas and Hezbollah," and threats against Israel are "unacceptable."<ref>[http://jta.org/news/article/2008/12/07/1001383/obama-iranian-threats-against-israel-unacceptable Obama: Iranian threats against Israel 'unacceptable'], Jewish Telegraphic Agency (JTA), 7 December 2008.</ref> Obama supports diplomacy with Iran without preconditions "to pressure Iran to stop their illicit nuclear program".<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.whitehouse.gov/agenda/foreign_policy/ |title=The White House: Foreign Policy |publisher=Whitehouse.gov |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Mohamed ElBaradei has welcomed the new stance to talk to Iran as "long overdue". Iran said Obama should apologize for the [[Atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki|U.S. bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki]] in World War II and his administration should stop talking to the world and "listen to what others are saying."<ref>[http://www.boston.com/news/world/europe/articles/2009/01/29/un_nuclear_chief_supports_us_iran_talks/ ''The Boston Globe'': UN nuclear chief supports US-Iran talks]{{Dead link|date=September 2009}}</ref> In his first press interview as President, Obama told Al Arabiya that "if countries like Iran are willing to unclench their fist, they will find an extended hand from us."<ref>{{cite web|author=Dubai (AlArabiya.net) |url=http://www.alarabiya.net/articles/2009/01/27/65087.html |title=President gives first interview since taking office to Arab TV |publisher=Alarabiya.net |date=27 January 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}{{dead link|date=January 2012}}</ref> |
|||
*In March 2009 U.S. [[National Intelligence Director]] [[Dennis C. Blair]] and [[Defense Intelligence Agency]] Director Lt. Gen. [[Michael D. Maples]] told a [[United States Senate Committee on Armed Services]] hearing that Iran has only low-enriched uranium, which there were no indications it was refining. Their comments countered ones made earlier by an Israeli general and Maples said the United States was arriving at different conclusions from the same facts.<ref name="Hess" >Pamela Hess, [http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5irdDSeMH9rhchHhLaW-1Xi8j8uRQD96RAFEG1 Officials: Iran does not have key nuclear material]{{dead link|date=January 2012}}, [[Associated Press]], 10 March 2009.</ref> |
|||
*On 7 April 2009, a Manhattan district attorney charged a financier with the suspected misuse of Manhattan banks employed to transfer money between China and Iran by way of Europe and the United States.<ref>[http://www.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSTRE53709P20090408 Chinese company, exec indicted in Iran missile case] ''Reuters''</ref> The materials in question can be used for weapons as well as civilian purposes, but some of the material can potentially be used in making engine nozzles that can withstand fiery temperatures and centrifuges that can enrich uranium into atomic fuel. The charges would carry a maximum of up to a year in jail for fifth-degree conspiracy and a maximum of four years for falsifying business records.<ref>[http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/08/nyregion/08indict.html?ref=world Indictment Says Banned Materials Sold to Iran] ''New York Times''</ref> David Albright, a nuclear weapons expert who assisted in the prosecution, said that it is impossible to say how Iran used or could use the raw materials it acquired.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/04/07/AR2009040704010.html?hpid=sec-world |title=Chinese Firm Indicted in Sales to Iran |work=The Washington Post |date=8 April 2009|accessdate=20 September 2009|first=Colum|last=Lynch}}</ref> |
|||
*According to a [http://www.fas.org/irp/congress/2009_hr/index.html document] released by the US State Department's Bureau of Intelligence and Research in August 2009, Iran is unlikely to have the technical capability to produce HEU (highly enriched uranium, used for bombs) before 2013, and the US intelligence community has no evidence that Iran has yet made the decision to produce highly enriched uranium.<ref>{{cite web |date=7 August 2009 |url=http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5jFudYeSkGHysWBvP2BhoksCzf7dQ |title=Iran bomb-grade uranium not expected before 2013: State Dept – Agence France-Press |publisher=Google |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
*On 26 July 2009, Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton explicitly ruled out the possibility that the Obama administration would allow Iran to produce its own nuclear fuel, even under intense international inspection.<ref name="sanger1" /> |
|||
*Following the November 2009 IAEA Board of Governors resolution demanding Iran immediately stop building its newly revealed nuclear facility and freeze uranium enrichment, [[White House]] spokesman [[Robert Gibbs]] avoided mentioning sanctions but indicated harsher measures were possible unless Iran compromised: "If Iran refuses to meet its obligations, then it will be responsible for its own growing isolation and the consequences." Glyn Davies, the chief U.S. delegate to the IAEA, told reporters: "Six nations ... for the first time came together ...[and] have put together this resolution we all agreed on. That's a significant development."<ref name="George Jahn" /> |
|||
*A 2009 [[Congressional Research Service|U.S. congressional research]] paper said that [[United States Intelligence Community|U.S. intelligence]] believed Iran ended "nuclear weapon design and weaponization work" in 2003.<ref name=CRS09>[http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/nuke/RL34544.pdf ''Federation of American Scientists'': Iran's Nuclear Program: Status]</ref> Some advisors within the Obama administration reaffirmed the intelligence conclusions,<ref>[http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/the-newspaper/editorial/a-major-shift-999 ''Dawn'': A major shift]</ref> while other "top advisers" in the Obama administration "say they no longer believe" the key finding of the [[Nuclear program of Iran#2007 Iran National Intelligence Estimate|2007 National Intelligence Estimate]].<ref>[http://www.nytimes.com/2010/01/03/world/middleeast/03iran.html?pagewanted=print U.S. Sees an Opportunity to Press Iran on Nuclear Fuel] By David E. Sanger and William J. Broad, 3 January 2010</ref> [[Thomas Fingar]], former Chairman of the National Intelligence Council until December 2008, said that the original 2007 National Intelligence Estimate on Iran "became contentious, in part, because the White House instructed the Intelligence Community to release an unclassified version of the report's key judgments but declined to take responsibility for ordering its release."<ref>[http://iis-db.stanford.edu/evnts/5859/lecture_text.pdf Thomas Fingar: "Reducing Uncertainty: Intelligence and National Security Using Intelligence to Anticipate Opportunities and Shape the Future"]</ref> A National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) is the most authoritative written judgment concerning a national security issue prepared by the Director of Central Intelligence.<ref>[http://www.foia.cia.gov/soviet_estimates.asp Central Intelligence Agency: Declassified National Intelligence Estimates on the Soviet Union and International Communism]</ref> |
|||
*The impending opening of the [[Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant|Bushehr I]] plant in late 2010 prompted the [[White House]] to question why Iran is continuing to enrich uranium within its borders. "Russia is providing the fuel, and taking the fuel back out," White House spokesman [[Robert Gibbs]] said in August. "It, quite clearly, I think, underscores that Iran does not need its own enrichment capability if its intentions, as it states, are for a peaceful nuclear program," he said.<ref name="CNN.com"/> |
|||
*On 8 January 2012, U.S. Secretary of Defense [[Leon Panetta]] acknowledged on [[Face the Nation]] that Iran was not trying to develop a nuclear weapon, but was trying to develop a nuclear capability. He also urged Israel to work together rather than make a unilateral strike on Iran’s nuclear installations.<ref>[http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-3460_162-57354645/panetta-iran-cannot-develop-nukes-block-strait/ "Panetta: Iran cannot develop nukes, block strait".] ''CBS News, '' 8 January 2012. Retrieved: 25 January 2012.</ref> |
|||
===The August 2007 agreement with the IAEA=== |
|||
An IAEA report to the Board of Governors on 30 August 2007, stated that Iran's Fuel Enrichment Plant at Natanz is operating "well below the expected quantity for a facility of this design," and that 12 of the intended 18 centrifuge cascades at the plant were operating. The report stated that the IAEA had "been able to verify the non-diversion of the declared nuclear materials at the enrichment facilities in Iran," and that longstanding issues regarding plutonium experiments and HEU contamination on spent fuel containers were considered "resolved." However, the report added that the Agency remained unable to verify certain aspects relevant to the scope and nature of Iran's nuclear program. |
|||
The report also outlined a work plan agreed by Iran and the IAEA on 21 August 2007. The work plan reflected agreement on "modalities for resolving the remaining safeguards implementation issues, including the long outstanding issues." According to the plan, these modalities covered all remaining issues regarding Iran's past nuclear program and activities. The IAEA report described the work plan as "a significant step forward," but added "the Agency considers it essential that Iran adheres to the time line defined therein and implements all the necessary safeguards and transparency measures, including the measures provided for in the Additional Protocol."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2007/gov2007-48.pdf |title=GOV/2007/48 – Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Although the work plan did not include a commitment by Iran to implement the Additional Protocol, IAEA safeguards head [[Olli Heinonen]] observed that measures in the work plan "for resolving our outstanding issues go beyond the requirements of the Additional Protocol."<ref>{{cite web|title=Quote from Olli Heinonen, Head of IAEA Safeguards.|url=http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/News/2007/workplan_heinonen.html|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> |
|||
According to Reuters, the report was likely to blunt Washington's push for more severe sanctions against Iran. One senior UN official familiar said U.S. efforts to escalate sanctions against Iran would provoke a nationalistic backlash by Iran that would set back the IAEA investigation in Iran.<ref>{{cite web|title= Iran Says IAEA Atom Report Shows US Charges Wrong – CommonDreams.org|url=http://www.commondreams.org/archive/2007/08/30/3499/|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> In late October 2007, chief IAEA inspector Olli Heinonen described Iranian cooperation with the IAEA as "good," although much remained to be done.<ref>Reuters Canada Mon 29 October 2007, [http://ca.today.reuters.com/news/newsArticle.aspx?rpc=401&type=topNews&storyID=2007-10-29T134554Z_01_L29391675_RTRIDST_0_NEWS-IRAN-NUCLEAR-IAEA-COL.XML&archived=False "IAEA sees 'good' Iran cooperation ahead of talks"] Retrieved 29 October 2007</ref> |
|||
====The November 2007 IAEA report==== |
|||
The 15 November 2007, IAEA report found that on nine outstanding issues listed in the August 2007 workplan, including experiments on the P-2 centrifuge and work with uranium metals, "Iran's statements are consistent with ... information available to the agency," but it warned that its knowledge of Tehran's present atomic work was shrinking due to Iran's refusal to continue voluntarily implementing the Additional Protocol, as it had done in the past under the October 2003 Tehran agreement and the November 2004 Paris agreement. The only remaining issues were traces of HEU found at one location, and allegations by US intelligence agencies based on a laptop computer allegedly stolen from Iran which reportedly contained nuclear weapons-related designs. The IAEA report also stated that Tehran continues to produce LEU. Iran has declared it has a right to peaceful nuclear technology under the NPT, despite Security Council demands that it cease its nuclear enrichment.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2007/gov2007-58.pdf |title=Microsoft Word – gov2007-58.doc |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
On 18 November 2007, President Ahmadinejad announced that he intends to consult with other Arab nations on a plan, under the auspices of the [[Gulf Cooperation Council]], to enrich uranium in a neutral third country, such as Switzerland.<ref>{{cite web|title=President Ahmadinejad: Iran to consult about uranium enrichment in neutral third country|url=http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/11/18/africa/ME-GEN-Saudi-Iran-Nuclear.php|date=18 November 2007|accessdate=18 November 2007|unused_data=International Herald Tribune}}</ref> |
|||
====The February 2008 IAEA report==== |
|||
On 11 February 2008, news reports stated that the IAEA report on Iran's compliance with the August 2007 work plan would be delayed over internal disagreements over the report's expected conclusions that the major issues had been resolved.<ref>{{cite web|title=Good progress on Iran, but 'not sufficient': IAEA – Yahoo! News UK|url=http://uk.news.yahoo.com/afp/20080211/tpl-iran-nuclear-politics-iaea-b04fc5e.html|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}} {{Dead link|date=September 2010|bot=H3llBot}}</ref> French Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner stated that he would meet with IAEA Director Mohammed ElBaradei to convince him to "listen to the West" and remind him that the IAEA is merely in charge of the "technical side" rather than the "political side" of the issue.<ref>{{cite web|title=French Minister to IAEA Chief: Listen to the West |date=February 13, 2008 |work=The New York Sun|url=http://www.nysun.com/article/71234|accessdate=24 February 2008}}</ref> A senior IAEA official denied the reports of internal disagreements and accused Western powers of using the same "hype" tactics employed against Iraq before the 2003 U.S.-led invasion to justify imposing further sanctions on Iran over its nuclear program.<ref>{{Cite news|title= |
|||
IAEA denies internal row over Iran, condemns hype |
|||
| Reuters |
|||
|url=http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSL1283850220080212|accessdate=24 February 2008| date=12 February 2008}}</ref> |
|||
The IAEA issued its report on the implementation of safeguards in Iran on 22 February 2008.<ref name=IAEA_022208 >{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2008/gov2008-4.pdf |title=Microsoft Word – gov2008-4.doc |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
With respect to the report, IAEA Director Mohammad ElBaradei stated that "We have managed to clarify all the remaining outstanding issues, including the most important issue, which is the scope and nature of Iran´s enrichment programme" with the exception of a single issue, "and that is the alleged weaponization studies that supposedly Iran has conducted in the past."<ref>{{cite web|title=Latest Iran Safeguards Report Circulated to IAEA Board|url=http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/News/2008/iranreport0208.html|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> |
|||
According to the report, the IAEA shared intelligence with Iran recently provided by the US regarding "alleged studies" on a nuclear weaponization program. The information was allegedly obtained from a laptop computer smuggled out of Iran and provided to the US in mid-2004.<ref name=BloomLaptop >{{cite news|title=Bloomberg.com: Germany|url=http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601100&sid=aU.yaRBh1LXk&refer=germany|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008|date=22 February 2008}}</ref> The laptop was reportedly received from a "longtime contact" in Iran who obtained it from someone else now believed to be dead.<ref name=NYTLaptop /> A senior European diplomat warned "I can fabricate that data," and argued that the documents look "beautiful, but is open to doubt".<ref name=NYTLaptop /> The United States has relied on the laptop to prove that Iran intends to develop nuclear weapons.<ref name=NYTLaptop >{{Cite news|title=Relying on Computer, U.S. Seeks to Prove Iran's Nuclear Aims |url=http://www.nytimes.com/2005/11/13/international/middleeast/13nukes.html?_r=2&pagewanted=print&oref=slogin&oref=slogin|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008|work=The New York Times|first1=William J.|last1=Broad|first2=David E.|last2=Sanger|date=13 November 2005}}</ref> In November 2007, the United States [[National Intelligence Estimate]] (NIE) believed that Iran halted an alleged active nuclear weapons program in fall 2003.<ref name="dni.gov-NIE" /> Iran has dismissed the laptop information as a fabrication, and other diplomats have dismissed the information as relatively insignificant and coming too late.<ref>{{cite web|title=Company News Story|url=http://www.nasdaq.com/aspxcontent/NewsStory.aspx?cpath=20080221\ACQDJON200802211806DOWJONESDJONLINE001142.htm&selected=9999&selecteddisplaysymbol=9999&StoryTargetFrame=_top&mkt=WORLD&chk=unchecked&lang=&link=&headlinereturnpage=http://www.international.na|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> |
|||
The February 2008 IAEA report states that the Agency has "not detected the use of nuclear material in connection with the alleged studies, nor does it have credible information in this regard."<ref name=IAEA_022208 /> |
|||
====The May 2008 IAEA report==== |
|||
On 26 May 2008, the IAEA issued another regular report on the implementation of safeguards in Iran.<ref>http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2008/gov2008-15.pdf</ref> |
|||
According to the report, the IAEA has been able to continue to verify the non-diversion of declared nuclear material in Iran, and Iran has provided the Agency with access to declared nuclear material and accountancy reports, as required by its safeguards agreement. |
|||
Iran had installed several new centrifuges, including more advanced models, and environmental samples showed the centrifuges "continued to operate as declared", making low-enriched uranium. The report also noted that other elements of Iran's nuclear program continued to be subject to IAEA monitoring and safeguards as well, including the construction of the heavy water facility in Arak, the construction and use of hot cells associated with the Tehran Research Reactor, the uranium conversion efforts, and the Russian nuclear fuel delivered for the Bushehr reactor. |
|||
The report stated that the IAEA had requested, as a voluntary "transparency measure", to be allowed access to centrifuge manufacturing sites, but that Iran had refused the request. The IAEA report stated that Iran had also submitted replies to questions regarding "possible military dimensions" to its nuclear program, which include "alleged studies" on a so-called [[Green Salt Project]], high-explosive testing and missile re-entry vehicles. According to the report, Iran's answers were still under review by the IAEA at the time the report was published. However, as part of its earlier "overall assessment" of the allegations, Iran had responded that the documents making the allegations were forged, not authentic, or referred to conventional applications. |
|||
The report stated that Iran may have more information on the alleged studies, which "remain a matter of serious concern", but that the IAEA itself had not detected evidence of actual design or manufacture by Iran of nuclear weapons or components. The IAEA also stated that it was not itself in possession of certain documents containing the allegations against Iran, and so was not able to share the documents with Iran. |
|||
====The September 2008 IAEA report==== |
|||
According to the 15 September 2008, IAEA report on the implementation of safeguards in Iran,<ref name=0908Rep >[http://www.isis-online.org/publications/iran/IAEA_Iran_Report_15September2008.pdf ''ISIS'': Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and relevant provisions of Security Council resolutions 1737 (2006), 1747 (2007) and 1803 (2008) in the Islamic Republic of Iran] 15 September 2008</ref> Iran continued to provide the IAEA with access to declared nuclear material and activities, which continued to be operated under safeguards and with no evidence of any diversion of nuclear material for non-peaceful uses. Nevertheless, the report reiterated that the IAEA would not be able to verify the exclusively peaceful nature of Iran's nuclear program unless Iran adopted "transparency measures" which exceeded its safeguards agreement with the IAEA, since the IAEA does not verify the absence of undeclared nuclear activities in any country unless the Additional Protocol is in force. |
|||
With respect to the report, IAEA Director Mohammad ElBaradei stated that "We have managed to clarify all the remaining outstanding issues, including the most important issue, which is the scope and nature of Iran's enrichment programme" with the exception of a single issue, "and that is the alleged weaponization studies that supposedly Iran has conducted in the past."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/News/2008/iranreport0208.html |title=Latest Iran Safeguards Report Circulated to IAEA Board, Staff Report, February 22, 2008 |publisher=Iaea.org |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
According to the report, Iran had increased the number of operating centrifuges at its Fuel Enrichment Plant in Isfahan, and continued to enrich uranium. Contrary to some media reports which claimed that Iran had diverted [[uranium hexafluoride]] (UF<sub>6</sub>) for a renewed nuclear weapons program,<ref>[http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/middleeast/iran/2800255/Iran-renews-nuclear-weapons-development.html ''Telegraph'': Iran renews nuclear weapons development]{{Dead link|date=September 2009}}</ref> the IAEA emphasized that all of the [[uranium hexafluoride]] was under IAEA safeguards. This was re-iterated by IAEA spokesman Melissa Fleming, who characterized the report of missing nuclear material in Iran as being "fictitious".<ref>[http://www.presstv.ir/detail.aspx?id=69374§ionid=351020104 ''PressTV'': "IAEA: No nuclear material missing in Iran"] Sun, 14 September 2008</ref> Iran was also asked to clarify information about foreign assistance it may have received in connection with a high explosive charge suitable for an implosion type nuclear device. Iran stated that there had been no such activities in Iran.<ref name=0908Rep /> |
|||
The IAEA also reported that it had held a series of meetings with Iranian officials to resolve the outstanding issues including the "alleged studies" into nuclear weaponization which were listed in the May 2008 IAEA report. During the course of these meetings, the Iranians filed a series of written responses including a 117-page presentation which confirmed the partial veracity of some of the allegations, but which asserted that the allegations as a whole were based on "forged" documents and "fabricated" data, and that Iran had not actually received the documentation substantiating the allegations. According to the August 2007 "Modalities Agreement" between Iran and the IAEA, Iran had agreed to review and assess the "alleged studies" claims, as good faith gesture, "upon receiving all related documents".<ref>[http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/2007/infcirc711.pdf Understandings of the Islamic Republic of Iran and the IAEA on the Modalities of Resolution of the Outstanding Issues] INFCIRC/711, 27 August 2007</ref> |
|||
Iran's ambassador to the IAEA, [[Ali Asghar Soltaniyeh]], accused the United States of preventing the IAEA from delivering the documents about the alleged studies to Iran as required by the Modalities Agreement, and stated that Iran had done its best to respond to the allegations but would not accept "any request beyond our legal obligation and particularly beyond the Work Plan, which we have already implemented."<ref>[http://www.presstv.com/detail.aspx?id=69533§ionid=3510302 PressTV Interview: "Ten more years of IAEA reports will say the same about Iran"] Tue, 16 September 2008</ref> |
|||
While once again expressing "regret" that the IAEA was not able to provide Iran with copies of the documentation concerning the alleged studies, the report also urged Iran to provide the IAEA with "substantive information to support its statements and provide access to relevant documentation and individuals" regarding the alleged studies, as a "matter of transparency".<ref name=0908Rep /> The IAEA submitted a number of proposals to Iran to help resolve the allegations and expressed a willingness to discuss modalities that could enable Iran to demonstrate credibly that the activities referred to in the documentation were not nuclear-related, as Iran asserted, while protecting sensitive information related to its conventional military activities. The report does not indicate whether Iran accepted or rejected these proposals.<ref name=0908Rep /> |
|||
The report also reiterated that IAEA inspectors had found "no evidence on the actual design or manufacture by Iran of nuclear material components of a nuclear weapon or of certain other key components, such as initiators, or on related nuclear physics studies ... Nor has the Agency detected the actual use of nuclear material in connection with the alleged studies" but insisted that the IAEA would not be able to formally verify the peaceful nature of Iran's nuclear program unless Iran had agreed to adopt the requested "transparency measures".<ref name=0908Rep /> |
|||
====The February 2009 IAEA report==== |
|||
In a 19 February 2009, report to the Board of Governors,<ref name=GOV20098 >{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2009/gov2009-8.pdf |title=Microsoft Word – gov2009-8.doc |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> IAEA Director General ElBaradei reported that Iran continued to enrich uranium contrary to the decisions of the Security Council and had produced over a ton of low enriched uranium. Results of environmental samples taken by the Agency at the FEP and PFEP5 indicated that the plants have been operating at levels declared by Tehran, "within the measurement uncertainties normally associated with enrichment plants of a similar throughput." The Agency was also able to confirm there was no ongoing reprocessing related activities at Iran's Tehran Research Reactor and Xenon Radioisotope Production Facility. |
|||
According to the report, Iran also continued to refuse to provide design information or access to verify design information for its IR-40 heavy water research reactor. Iran and the IAEA in February 2003 agreed to modify a provision in the Subsidiary Arrangement to its safeguards agreement (Code 3.1) to require such access.<ref>[http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2003/gov2003-40.pdf GOV/2003/40], Implementation of the NPT safeguards agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran, 6 June 2003, paragraph 6.</ref> Iran told the Agency in March 2007 that it "suspended" the implementation of the modified Code 3.1, which had been "accepted in 2003, but not yet ratified by the parliament", and that it would "revert" to the implementation of the 1976 version of Code 3.1.<ref name=GOV/2008/22 >[http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2007/gov2007-22.pdf GOV/2007/22] Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and Relevant Provisions of Security Council Resolutions in the Islamic Republic of Iran, 27 May 2007, paragraphs 12–14.</ref> The subsidiary arrangement may only be modified by mutual agreement.<ref>[http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/Others/infcirc214.pdf INFCIRC/214], Iran's NPT safeguards agreement, see paragraph 39</ref> Iran says that since the reactor is not in a position to receive nuclear material the IAEA's request for access was not justified, and requested that the IAEA not schedule an inspection to verify design information.<ref name=GOV20098 /> The Agency says its right to verify design information provided to it is a "continuing right, which is not dependent on the stage of construction of, or the presence of nuclear material at, a facility".<ref name=GOV/2008/22 /> |
|||
Regarding the "alleged studies" into nuclear weaponization, the Agency said that "as a result of the continued lack of cooperation by Iran in connection with the remaining issues which give rise to concerns about possible military dimensions of Iran's nuclear programme, the Agency has not made any substantive progress on these issues." The Agency called on member states which had provided information about the alleged programs to allow the information to be shared with Iran. The Agency said Iran's continued refusal to implement the Additional Protocol was contrary to the request of the Board of Governors and the Security Council. The Agency was able to continue to verify the non-diversion of declared nuclear material in Iran.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.armscontrolwonk.com/file_download/158/Iran.pdf |title=gov2009-8 |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Iran says that for the six years the Agency has been considering its case, the IAEA has not found any evidence to prove that Tehran is seeking a nuclear weapon.<ref name=TT022309 >{{cite web|url=http://www.tehrantimes.com/index_View.asp?code=189772 |title= Military strikes against Iran no longer an option: IAEA chief |work=Tehran Times |date=22 February 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
Regarding the IAEA report, several news reports suggested that that Iran had failed to properly report the amount of low-enriched uranium it possessed because Iranian estimates did not match the IAEA inspector's findings, and that Iran now had enough uranium to make a nuclear bomb.<ref>[http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/20/world/middleeast/20nuke.html?_r=1&scp=1&sq=iran%20uranium&st=cse "Iran Has More Enriched Uranium Than Thought" By William J. Broad and David E. Sanger, ''New York Times'' 20 February 2009]</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f367aada-fec8-11dd-b19a-000077b07658.html |title=Iran holds enough uranium for bomb, By Daniel Dombey in Washington, Financial Times, February 19, 2009 |work=Financial Times |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> The reporting was widely criticized as unjustifiably provocative and hyped.<ref>{{cite web|last=Today |first=Physics |url=http://blogs.physicstoday.org/newspicks/2009/02/iaea-report-leads-to-press-con.html |title="IAEA report leads to press confusion over Iranian nuclear program" Physics Today, February 20, 2009 |publisher=Blogs.physicstoday.org |date=20 February 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.fas.org/blog/ssp/2009/02/irans-uranium-dont-panic-yet.php |title=Federation of American Scientists: Iran's Uranium: Don't Panic Yet. February 23, 2009 |publisher=Fas.org |date=27 February 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.armscontrolwonk.com/2193/iran-panic-induced-by-lousy-reporting |title=Iran Panic Induced By Lousy Reporting, Friday February 20, 2009 |publisher=Arms Control Wonk |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> In response to the controversy, IAEA spokesman Melissa Fleming asserted that the IAEA had no reason at all to believe that the estimates of low-enriched uranium produced by Iran were an intentional error, and that no nuclear material could be removed from the facility for further enrichment to make nuclear weapons without the agency's knowledge since the facility is subject to video surveillance and the nuclear material is kept under seal.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://in.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idINIndia-38148320090222 |title="Iran cooperates after understating atom stocks-IAEA" by Mark Heinrich, Reuters Sun February 22, 2009 |publisher=In.reuters.com |date=22 February 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
Ali Asghar Soltaniyeh, Iran's Ambassador to the International Atomic Energy Agency, said the February report failed to "provide any new insight into Iran's nuclear program".<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.haber27.com/news_detail.php?id=23496 |title=''Haber27'': |publisher=Haber27.com |accessdate=20 September 2009}}{{dead link|date=January 2012}}</ref> He asserted the report was written in a way which clearly causes misunderstanding in public opinion. He suggested the reports should be written to have a section about whether Iran has fulfilled its NPT obligations and a separate section for whether "fulfillment of Additional Protocol or sub-arrangements 1 and 3 are beyond the commitment or not".<ref>{{cite web|author=John Pike |url=http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/news/iran/2009/iran-090225-irna01.htm |title=''IRNA'': IAEA's repetitious reports should be stopped: Iranian envoy |publisher=Globalsecurity.org |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
====The November 2011 IAEA report==== |
|||
In November of 2011 the IAEA released a report<ref>{{cite web|title=Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and relevant provisions of Security Council resolutions in the Islamic Republic of Iran|url=http://www.iaea.org/newscenter/focus/iaeairan/bog112011-65.pdf|work=GOV/2011/65|publisher=IAEA|accessdate=20 November 2011|date=8 November 2011}}{{dead link|date=January 2012}}</ref> stating inspectors had found credible evidence that Iran had been conducting experiments aimed at designing a nuclear bomb until 2003, and research may have continued on a lower rate since that time.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://isis-online.org/uploads/isis-reports/documents/IAEA_Iran_Report_ISIS_analysis_08Nov2011.pdf|title=ISIS Analysis of IAEA Iran Safeguards Report: Part 1|publisher=Institute for Science and International Security|accessdate=20 November 2011|coauthors=David Albright, Paul Brannan, Andrea Stricker, and Christina Walrond|date=8 November 2011}}</ref> IAEA Director [[Yukiya Amano]] said evidence gathered by the agency "indicates that Iran has carried out activities relevant to the development of a nuclear explosive device."<ref>[http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/nov/09/calls-tougher-sanctions-iran-iaea?newsfeed=true European states call for stiffer sanctions against Iran following IAEA report]</ref> Iran rejected IAEA's findings as "unbalanced, unprofessional and prepared with political motivation and under political pressure by mostly the United States."<ref>{{cite news|title=IAEA resolution to sharply criticize Iran for nuclear efforts|url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/un-resolution-to-sharply-criticize-iran-for-nuclear-efforts/2011/11/17/gIQAYPDmUN_story.html|accessdate=20 November 2011|newspaper=Washington Post|date=17 November 2011}}</ref> |
|||
The IAEA Board of Governors passed a resolution<ref>{{cite web|title=Implementation of the NPT safeguards agreement and relevant provisions of United Nations Security Council resolutions in the Islamic Republic of Iran|url=http://www.iaea.org/newscenter/focus/iaeairan/bog112011-69.pdf|work=GOV/2011/69|publisher=IAEA|accessdate=20 November 2011|date=18 November 2011}}{{dead link|date=January 2012}}</ref> by a vote of 32–2 that expressed "deep and increasing concern" over the possible military dimensions to Iran's nuclear program and calling it "essential" that Iran provide additional information and access to the IAEA.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/newscenter/news/2011/iran-resolution.html|title=IAEA Board Adopts Resolution on Iran|publisher=IAEA|accessdate=20 November 2011|date=18 November 2011}}</ref><ref name="reuters1"/> The United States welcomed the resolution and said it would step up sanctions to press Iran to change course.<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/11/18/us-nuclear-iran-whitehouse-idUSTRE7AH21N20111118|title=U.S. to keep pressure on Iran after nuclear report|publisher=Reuters|accessdate=20 November 2011|date=18 November 2011|first=Alister|last=Bull}}</ref> In response to the IAEA resolution, Iran threatened to reduce its cooperation with the IAEA, though Iranian Foreign Minister [[Ali Akbar Salehi]] played down talk of withdrawal from the NPT or the IAEA.<ref>{{cite news|title=Iran parliament to review ties with U.N. nuclear body|url=http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/11/20/us-iran-nuclear-iaea-idUSTRE7AJ0DZ20111120|accessdate=20 November 2011|newspaper=Reuters|date=20 November 2011}}</ref> |
|||
===Second enrichment plant=== |
|||
On 21 September 2009, Iran informed the IAEA that it was constructing a second enrichment facility.<!--{{Coord|34.8859|50.9958|type:landmark_region:IR}}--> The following day (22 September) IAEA Director General ElBaradei informed the United States, and two days later (24 September) the United States, United Kingdom and France briefed the IAEA on an enrichment facility under construction at an underground location at Fordo, twenty miles north of [[Qom]]. On 25 September, at the [[G-20]] Summit, the three countries criticized Iran for once again concealing a nuclear facility from the IAEA. The United States said that the facility, which was still months from completion, was too small to be useful for a civil program but could produce enough high-enriched uranium for one bomb per year.<ref>Albright, David and Brannan, Paul (30 November 2009) [http://www.isisnucleariran.org/news/detail/technicalities-and-the-fordow-enrichment-plant "Technicalities and the Fordow Enrichment Plant"] ISIS, The Institute for Science and International Security</ref> Iran said the plant was for peaceful purposes and would take between a year and a half to two years to complete, and that the notice Iran had given had exceeded the 180 days before insertion of nuclear materials the IAEA safeguards agreement that Iran was following required. Iran agreed to allow IAEA inspections.<ref name=wp-20090926 >{{Cite news|url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/09/26/AR2009092601359.html|title=Angry Reaction "Shocked" Head of Iran's Nuclear Program|author=Thomas Erdbrink|work=Washington Post |date=26 September 2009|accessdate=26 September 2009}}</ref> Iran's nuclear chief, Ali Akbar Salehi, said the site was built for maximum protection from aerial attack: carved into a mountain and near a military compound of the powerful Revolutionary Guard.<ref name=msnbc-20090926 >{{Cite news|url=http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/33074159/ns/world_news-mideastn_africa|title=Iran: Nuclear plant is sited to thwart attack |publisher=MSNBC via Associated Press|date=29 September 2009|accessdate=20 July 2010}}</ref> |
|||
Also in October, the United States, France and Russia proposed a UN-drafted deal to Iran regarding its nuclear program, in an effort to find a compromise between Iran's stated need for a nuclear reactor and international concerns that Iran harbors a secret intent on developing a nuclear weapon. After some delay in responding, on 29 October, Ahmadinejad voiced an openness towards cooperation with other world powers. "We welcome fuel exchange, nuclear co-operation, building of power plants and reactors and we are ready to co-operate," he said in a live broadcast on state television.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2009/10/2009102984633409448.html |title=Middle East – Iran 'ready for nuclear agreement' |publisher=Al Jazeera English |date=29 October 2009 |accessdate=20 May 2010}}</ref> However, he added that Iran would not retreat "one iota" on its right to a sovereign nuclear program. |
|||
<ref>{{Cite news|author=Reza Derakhshi |url=http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSLT25626120091029?pageNumber=1&virtualBrandChannel=11621 |title=Iran proposes big changes to draft atom deal: report |publisher=Reuters |date= 29 October 2009|accessdate=20 May 2010}}</ref> |
|||
In November 2009, the IAEA Board of Governors passed a resolution that criticized Iran for defying a UN Security Council ban on uranium enrichment, censured Iran for secretly building a uranium enrichment facility and demanded that it immediately suspend further construction. It noted the IAEA chief [[Mohammed El-Baradei]] cannot confirm that Iran's nuclear program is exclusively geared toward peaceful uses, and expressed "serious concern" that Iran's stonewalling of an IAEA probe means "the possibility of military dimensions to Iran's nuclear program" cannot be excluded.<ref name="George Jahn" /> |
|||
===Cooperation with Venezuela=== |
|||
In October 2009 [[Hugo Chávez]] announced that Iran was helping Venezuela in uranium exploration. He said that "We're working with several countries, with Iran, with Russia. We're responsible for what we're doing, we're in control".<ref>{{cite news | url=http://www.rferl.org/content/Chavez_Says_Iran_Aiding_Uranium_Exploration/1854807.html | title=Venezuela’s Chavez Says Iran Aiding Uranium Exploration | publisher=RFERL | date=2009-10-18 }}</ref> A number of reports suggested that Venezuela was helping Iran to obtain uranium and evade international sanctions.<ref name="radioactiverelationship">{{cite news | url=http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704869304574595652815802722.html | title=The Tehran-Caracas Nuclear Axis Ahmadinejad and Chávez: new evidence of a radioactive relationship. | publisher=Wall Street Journal | date=2009-12-15 | first=Bret | last=Stephens}}</ref><ref>Noriega, Roger F. [http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2010/10/05/chavez_s_secret_nuclear_program Chávez's Secret Nuclear Program] Foreign Policy Magazine, 5 October 2010</ref> |
|||
===Iran declares itself to be a nuclear state=== |
|||
On 9 February 2010 according to Government sources, Iran announced that it would produce uranium [[enriched uranium|enriched]] to up to 20% to produce fuel for a research reactor used to produce medical radioisotopes, processing its existing stocks of 3.5% enriched uranium.<ref name=ReutersTehran11Feb2010VeryWell>{{Cite news |
|||
|url=http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE61A4AS20100211 |
|||
|title=Exclusive: Iran says nuclear fuel production goes "very well" |
|||
|publisher=Reuters (Tehran) |
|||
|date=11 February 2010 |accessdate=11 February 2010}}</ref><ref name=Times11Feb2010AhmadinejadDeclaresNuclearState>{{Cite news |
|||
|url=http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/middle_east/article7023727.ece |
|||
|title=Mahmoud Ahmadinejad declares Iran a 'nuclear state' after producing enriched uranium |
|||
|publisher=The Times |
|||
|date=11 February 2010 |accessdate=11 February 2010 |
|||
| location=London |
|||
| first=Catherine |
|||
| last=Philp}}</ref> Two days later during the celebrations in Tehran for the 31st anniversary of the [[Iranian Revolution|1979 Iranian Islamic revolution]], the Iranian President [[Mahmoud Ahmadinejad]] announced that Iran was now a "nuclear state."<ref name=Times11Feb2010AhmadinejadDeclaresNuclearState/> [[International Atomic Energy Agency|IAEA]] officials confirmed it has enriched uranium "up to 19.8%".<ref name=IAEA2010-10>[http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2010/gov2010-10.pdf International Atomic Energy Agency: Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and relevant provisions of Security Council resolutions 1737 (2006), 1747 (2007), 1803 (2008) and 1835 (2008) in the Islamic Republic of Iran]. 18 February 2010.</ref> |
|||
Responding to criticism, President Ahmadinejad said, "Why do they think that 20 per cent is such a big deal? Right now in Natanz we have the capability to enrich at over 20 per cent and at over 80 per cent, but because we don't need it, we won't do it." He added "If we wanted to manufacture a bomb, we would announce it."<ref name=Times11Feb2010AhmadinejadDeclaresNuclearState/><ref>{{Cite news| url=http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/12/world/middleeast/12iran.html|work=The New York Times|title=Iran Boasts of Capacity to Make Bomb Fuel|first=Michael|last=Slackman|date=12 February 2010|accessdate=9 April 2010}}</ref> On the same day as the President's announcement, [[Ali Akbar Salehi]], head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, told [[Reuters]] that their 20% enrichment production, was going "very well," adding "There is no limit on enrichment. We can enrich up to 100% ... But we never had the intention and we do not have the intention to do so, unless we need (to)." He maintained that the 20% production was for a Tehran medical reactor, and as such would be limited to around 1.5 kg per month.<ref name=ReutersTehran11Feb2010VeryWell/> |
|||
===Tehran Nuclear Declaration=== |
|||
{{See|Iran–Turkey relations|Brazil–Iran relations}} |
|||
On 17 May 2010 Iran, Brazil, and Turkey issued a joint declaration "in which Iran agreed to send low-enriched uranium to Turkey in return for enriched fuel for a research reactor."<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/8686728.stm|title=Nuclear fuel declaration by Iran, Turkey and Brazil|date=17 May 2010|publisher=BBC|accessdate=28 May 2010}}</ref><ref>[http://news.xinhuanet.com/english2010/world/2010-05/17/c_13298700.htm ''Xinhua English News'': Iran to sign nuclear swap deal with Turkey, Brazil]</ref> Iran reported the joint declaration to the IAEA on 24 May 2010, asking it to inform the "Vienna Group" (the United States, Russia, France, and the IAEA), in order to conclude a written agreement and make contingent arrangements between Iran and the Vienna Group.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.presstv.ir/detail.aspx?id=127562§ionid=3510304|title=Iran's letter to the IAEA|date=24 May 2010|publisher=PressTV|accessdate=28 May 2010}}</ref> The proposal was welcomed by Arab leaders,<ref>{{cite web|url=http://arabnews.com/saudiarabia/article56993.ece |title=GCC backs efforts to solve Iran N-issue |publisher=Arab News |date=24 May 2010 |accessdate=2 August 2010}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=1&categ_id=2&article_id=115187#axzz0p9YebQlj |title=Politics – Hariri heads to Washington after visits to Egypt, Turkey |publisher=The Daily Star |date=24 May 2010 |accessdate=2 August 2010}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|last=Rebhi |first=Abdullah |url=http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5h9KwVkudAQRrSrs6770IeK56BgoA |title=AFP: Merkel urges Iran to 'carefully consider' nuclear deal |publisher=Google |date=27 May 2010 |accessdate=2 August 2010}}</ref> China and, cautiously, by Russia.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://news.xinhuanet.com/english2010/china/2010-05/25/c_13315355.htm|title=China calls for peaceful solution to Iranian nuclear issue|date=25 May 2010|publisher=Xinhua|accessdate=26 May 2010}}</ref><ref name="jpost.com">{{cite web|url=http://www.jpost.com/IranianThreat/News/Article.aspx?id=175856 |title=Gov’t rejects Iran deal as a ruse |work=Jerusalem Post |location=Israel |accessdate=2 August 2010}}</ref> France's Prime Minister called the agreement a "positive step" toward resolving the Iran nuclear program dispute, if Iran were to cease uranium enrichment altogether.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-05-18/sarkozy-calls-iran-nuclear-offer-positive-seeks-more-steps.html |title=Sarkozy Calls Iran Nuclear Offer ‘Positive,’ Seeks More Steps |work=BusinessWeek |date=18 May 2010 |accessdate=2 August 2010}}</ref> EU foreign policy chief [[Catherine Ashton]] played down the agreement, saying it was a step in the right direction but did not go far enough and left questions unanswered.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2010/05/2010517134649831836.html |title=Middle East – West 'still concerned' about Iran |publisher=Al Jazeera English |date=17 May 2010 |accessdate=2 August 2010}}</ref> U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said the proposal had "a number of deficiencies," including Iran's intention to continue enriching uranium to high levels.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www1.voanews.com/english/news/usa/Clinton-Iran-Fuel-Swap-Deal-Has-Deficiencies--94832089.html|title=Clinton: Iran Fuel Swap Deal Has 'Deficiencies'|date=25 May 2010|publisher=VOA|accessdate=28 May 2010}}</ref> |
|||
Brazil's Foreign Minister, [[Celso Amorim]], said that his government was encouraged "to implement the proposals in October, without deviation, and we did." In an 20 April 2010 letter to Brazilian President Lula, U.S. President Obama wrote "For us, Iran’s agreement to transfer 1,200 kg of Iran’s low enriched uranium (LEU) out of the country would build confidence and reduce regional tensions by substantially reducing Iran’s LEU stockpile. I want to underscore that this element is of fundamental importance for the United States... I would urge Brazil to impress upon Iran the opportunity presented by this offer to "escrow" its uranium in Turkey while the nuclear fuel is being produced."<ref>[http://www.politicaexterna.com/archives/11023#axzz0pB5f3OCQ ''Politica Externa'': Obama’s Letter to Lula Regarding Brazil-Iran-Turkey Nuclear Negotiations]</ref> Turkish President [[Recep Tayyip Erdogan]] received a similar letter. A senior U.S. official told the Washington Post that the letter was a response to Iran's desire to ship out its uranium piecemeal, rather than in a single batch, and that during "multiple conversations" U.S. officials made clear that Iran should also cease 20% enrichment, but also said "there was no president-to-president letter laying out those broader concerns".<ref>[http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/05/27/AR2010052705151.html?wprss=rss_world/mideast ''Washington Post'': U.S., Brazilian officials at odds over letter on Iranian uranium]</ref> Amorim said the terms of the deal were discussed with several countries, including the United States.<ref>[http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/90001/90777/90852/7004575.html ''People's Daily'': Brazilian FM: nuclear agreement with Iran right thing to do]</ref> Turkish Foreign Minister [[Ahmet Davutoğlu]] said “this [agreement] is a success for Turkey and Brazil, but it is also a success for President Obama’s policy of engagement.”<ref>[http://www.todayszaman.com/tz-web/news-211596-102-turkey-us-to-tackle-deepening-rift-over-iran-in-talks.html ''Today's Zaman'': Turkey, US to tackle deepening rift over Iran in talks]</ref> Ivan Oelrich and Ivanka Barzashka, writing in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists in May 2010, stated that Iran's "20 percent enrichment is likely only a show of force in an attempt to speed up a favorable fuel deal".<ref>[http://thebulletin.org/web-edition/features/deconstructing-the-meaning-of-irans-20-percent-uranium-enrichment ''Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists'': Deconstructing the meaning of Iran's 20 percent uranium enrichment]</ref> |
|||
Early analysis from the BBC stated the deal could be an "effort by President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to deflect pressure for fresh sanctions" and that "Iran watchers are already criticising Washington for moving the goal posts".<ref name="sanctions">{{Cite news|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/world/middle_east/10124238.stm|title=Iran hit by fresh UN nuclear sanctions threat|date=18 May 2010|accessdate=19 May 2010|publisher=BBC News}}</ref> A Turkish foreign ministry spokesman said that the agreement, while not a solution for the entire nuclear program conflict, was "a step forward on resolving the swap issue, which is one of the important elements of the nuclear file."<ref>{{cite web|author=(AFP) – 27 May 2010 |url=http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5hIgu4hIYOcjSjidAw0DHiSceIzXg |title=AFP: Turkey chides US in Iran row, urges support for swap deal |publisher=Google |date=27 May 2010 |accessdate=2 August 2010}}</ref> The Jerusalem Post reported that Israeli government ministers believed the deal was "a maneuver to prevent the UN Security Council from agreeing on sanctions" which would "probably succeed as the Security council will be forced to study the new proposals".<ref name="jpost.com"/> Iran's atomic energy chief said the agreement left world powers no reason to continue to pressure Iran regarding its nuclear program.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.presstv.ir/detail.aspx?id=126761§ionid=351020104 |title=Iran throws ball into West's court |publisher=Presstv.ir |date=17 May 2010 |accessdate=2 August 2010}}</ref> Iran also described the agreement as a major boost to trilateral relations with Brazil and Turkey,<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.presstv.ir/detail.aspx?id=126756§ionid=351020101 |title=Iran hails talks with Brazil, Turkey |publisher=Presstv.ir |date=17 May 2010 |accessdate=2 August 2010}}</ref> and [[Supreme Leader of Iran]] [[Ayatollah Ali Khamenei]] criticized the continuing call for sanctions, stating that the "domineering powers headed by America are unhappy with cooperation between independent countries."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.almanar.com.lb/newssite/NewsDetails.aspx?id=137806&language=en |title=Al-ManarTV:: Sayyed Khamenei to Lula: US Upset with Cooperation of Independent Countries 16/05/2010 |publisher=Almanar.com.lb|accessdate=2 August 2010}}{{dead link|date=January 2012}}</ref> |
|||
On 18 May 2010, the United States announced a "draft accord" among UN permanent Security Council members for additional sanctions on Iran, designed to pressure it to end its nuclear enrichment program.<ref name="businessweek.com">{{cite web|url=http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-05-18/clinton-says-russia-china-u-s-back-iran-sanctions-update4-.html |title=Clinton Says Russia, China, U.S. Back Iran Sanctions (Update4) |work=BusinessWeek |date=18 May 2010 |accessdate=2 August 2010}}</ref> Turkey and Brazil criticized the sanctions proposal.<ref name="businessweek.com"/> Davutoglu said that the swap agreement showed Iran's "clear political will" toward engagement on the nuclear issue. "This is not the day to muddy the waters with negative scenarios including sanctions,” he added.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/5b130342-62a4-11df-b1d1-00144feab49a.html |title=/ Iran – ‘South-south’ diplomacy put to the test |work=Financial Times |date=19 May 2010 |accessdate=2 August 2010}}</ref> Brazil's Foreign Minister also expressed frustration with the U.S. stance, saying of Brazil's vote against the sanctions resolution: “We could not have voted in any different way except against.”<ref name="todayszaman1">{{cite web|url=http://www.todayszaman.com/tz-web/news-213822-brazil-vents-frustration-with-west-over-iran-deal.html |title=Brazil vents frustration with West over Iran deal |publisher=Todayszaman.com |date=22 June 2010 |accessdate=2 August 2010}}</ref> |
|||
Graham Allison, director of the [[Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs]], says sanctions can be most effective before they go into force when the target of those measures fears their impact most. Despite the Obama administration’s tough line against new talks with Iran, Allison said the United States could build on the Turkish-Brazilian deal.<ref>[http://belfercenter.ksg.harvard.edu/analysis/inthenews/?p=4187 Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs: GRAHAM ALLISON on sanctions against Iran]</ref> Michael A. Levi, Senior Fellow for Energy and the Environment and Director of the Program on Energy Security and Climate Change, has said “the right choice for the United States may ultimately involve welcoming the announced fuel swap.”<ref>[http://www.cfr.org/publication/22144/irans_sketchy_uranium_deal.html ''Council on Foreign Relations'': Iran's Sketchy Uranium Deal ]</ref> Antonio Ramalho, Professor of International Relations at the University of Brasília, has written that that “the very fact that the Iranians have agreed to sign an agreement has already diminished Iran’s maneuverability.” He continued that “if we impose further sanctions, that will only increase the secrecy in Iran and increase the military orientation of this program.”<ref>[http://www.cfr.org/publication/22160/brazils_take_on_iran_and_npt.html ''Council on Foreign Relations'': Brazil's Take on Iran and NPT]</ref> Marina Ottoway, of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, wrote that sanctions are "unlikely to change Tehran’s policies, particularly since international solidarity is already breaking down over the prospects of harsher bilateral measures".<ref>[http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=40841 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace: The Return of the Third World]</ref> Former U.S. Secretary of State [[Colin Powell]] said that proposed stricter United Nations sanctions will not bring an end to Iran’s nuclear program and that "I’m sure that they have done their own planning and have their own counter-sanction strategy."<ref>[http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-05-30/colin-powell-says-sanctions-won-t-end-iran-s-nuclear-program.html ''Business Week'': Colin Powell Says Sanctions Won’t End Iran’s Nuclear Program]</ref> |
|||
Mohamed ElBaradei, former director general of the [[International Atomic Energy Agency]], wrote that "the only way to resolve the Iranian issue is to build trust. Moving 1200, half, or at least more than half of the Iranian nuclear material out of Iran is a confidence-building measure would defuse the crisis and enable the US and the West [to gain] the space to negotiate. I hope that it would be perceived as a win-win situation. If we see what I have been observing in the last couple of days that it is an "empty dressing", I think it is a wrong approach...we lost six years of failed policy frankly vis-à-vis Iran. And it's about time now to understand that the Iranian issue is not going to be resolved except, until and unless we sit with the Iranians and try to find a fair and equitable solution."<ref>[http://mrzine.monthlyreview.org/2010/elbaradei230510.html ElBaradei: Brazil-Iran-Turkey Nuclear Deal "Quite a Good Agreement"]</ref> "If this deal is followed up with a broader engagement of the IAEA and the international community, it can be a positive step to a negotiated settlement," UN secretary-general Ban-Ki Moon said.<ref>[http://www.foxnews.com/world/2010/05/27/ban-iran-make-clear-nuclear-program-peaceful-purposes-praises-brazil-turkey/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+foxnews%2Fworld+%28Text+-+World%29 ''Fox News'': Ban: Iran must make clear nuclear program for peaceful purposes, praises Brazil-Turkey deal]</ref> |
|||
===Violent attacks on Iranian nuclear scientists=== |
|||
In a January 2012 article in [[Salon magazine]], [[Glenn Greenwald]] noted the killing of at least five Iranian nuclear scientists during 2010 and 2011, by unknown attackers, with no apparent outcry in the Western media.<ref name=salon20120111> |
|||
{{cite news |last=Greenwald|first=Glenn |title=More murder of Iranian scientists: still Terrorism? |url=http://www.salon.com/2012/01/11/more_murder_of_iranian_scientists_still_terrorism/ |date=2012-01-11 |publisher=Salon |accessdate=2012-01-11}}</ref> [[Mark Perry (author)|Mark Perry]] in an article on foreignpolicy.com quotes claims by US intelligence officers that these attacks were actually [[false flag]] operations by [[Mossad]].<ref>{{cite web | url=http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/01/13/false_flag | title=False Flag | date=13 January 2012 | accessdate=23 January 2012 | author=Perry, Mark}}</ref> |
|||
==Laptop and "alleged studies"== |
|||
The continuing controversy over Iran's nuclear program revolves in part around allegations of nuclear studies by Iran with possible military applications until 2003, when, according to the 2007 National Intelligence Estimate, the program was ended. The allegations, which include claims that Iran had engaged in high-explosives testing, sought to manufacture "green salt" ({{chem|UF|4}}) and to design a nuclear-capable missile warhead, were based on information obtained from a laptop computer which was allegedly retrieved from Iran in 2004<ref>[http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/02/07/AR2006020702126_pf.html Strong Leads and Dead Ends in Nuclear Case Against Iran, By Dafna Linzer, Washington Post, Wednesday, 8 February 2006]</ref> The US presented some of the alleged contents of the laptop in 2005 to an audience of international diplomats, though the laptop and the full documents contained in it have yet to be given to the IAEA for independent verification. According to the New York Times: |
|||
<blockquote>Nonetheless, doubts about the intelligence persist among some foreign analysts. In part, that is because American officials, citing the need to protect their source, have largely refused to provide details of the origins of the laptop computer beyond saying that they obtained it in mid-2004 from a longtime contact in Iran. Moreover, this chapter in the confrontation with Iran is infused with the memory of the faulty intelligence on Iraq's unconventional arms. In this atmosphere, though few countries are willing to believe Iran's denials about nuclear arms, few are willing to accept the United States' weapons intelligence without question. "I can fabricate that data," a senior European diplomat said of the documents. "It looks beautiful, but is open to doubt."<ref>[http://www.nytimes.com/2005/11/13/international/middleeast/13nukes.html?_r=3&pagewanted=print&oref=slogin&oref=slogin "The Laptop: Relying on Computer, U.S. Seeks to Prove Iran's Nuclear Aims" By William J. Broad and David E. Sanger, ''New York Times'' 13 November 2005]</ref> </blockquote> |
|||
On 21 August 2007, Iran and the IAEA finalized an agreement, titled "Understandings of The Islamic Republic of Iran and the IAEA on the Modalities of Resolution of the Outstanding Issues," that listed outstanding issues regarding Iran's nuclear program and set out a timetable to resolve each issue in order. These unresolved issues included the status of Iran's uranium mine at Gchine, allegations of experiments with plutonium and uranium metal, and the use of Polonium 210.<ref>[http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/2007/infcirc711.pdf INFCIRC/711 Date: 27 August 2007]</ref> Specifically regarding the "Alleged Studies", the Modalities agreement asserted that while Iran considers the documents to be fabricated, Iran would nevertheless address the allegations "upon receiving all related documents" as a goodwill gesture. The Modalities Agreement specifically said that that aside from the issues identified in the document, there were "no other remaining issues and ambiguities regarding Iran's past nuclear program and activities." |
|||
The United States was opposed to the Modalities Agreement between Iran and the IAEA, and vehemently objected to it, accusing Iran of "manipulating" IAEA.{{Citation needed|date=November 2010}} Olli Heinonen, the IAEA Deputy Director General for safeguards underlined the importance of the Iran-IAEA agreement as a working arrangement on how to resolve the outstanding issues that triggered Security Council resolutions: |
|||
<blockquote>"All these measures which you see there for resolving our outstanding issues go beyond the requirements of the Additional Protocol ... If the answers are not satisfactory, we are making new questions until we are satisfied with the answers and we can conclude technically that the matter is resolved—it is for us to judge when we think we have enough information. Once the matter is resolved, then the file is closed."<ref>[http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/News/2007/workplan_heinonen.html Head of IAEA Safeguards Welcomes Iran Workplan, IAEA Staff Report, 30 August 2007]</ref></blockquote> |
|||
Following the implementation of the Modalities Agreement, the IAEA issued another report on the status of Iran's nuclear program on 22 Feb 2008. According to this report, the IAEA had no evidence of a current, undeclared nuclear program in Iran, and all of the remaining issues listed in the Modalities Agreement regarding past undeclared nuclear activities had been resolved, with the exception of the "Alleged Studies" issue. Regarding this report, IAEA director ElBaradei specifically stated: |
|||
<blockquote>[W]e have made quite good progress in clarifying the outstanding issues that had to do with Iran's past nuclear activities, with the exception of one issue, and that is the alleged weaponization studies that supposedly Iran has conducted in the past. We have managed to clarify all the remaining outstanding issues, including the most important issue, which is the scope and nature of Iran's enrichment programme.<ref>[http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/News/2008/iranreport0208.html Latest Iran Safeguards Report Circulated to IAEA Board, IAEA Staff Report, 22 February 2008]</ref></blockquote> |
|||
The US had made some of the "Alleged Studies" documentation available to the IAEA just a week prior to the issuance of the IAEA's Feb 2008 report on Iran's nuclear program. According to the IAEA report itself, the IAEA had "not detected the use of nuclear material in connection with the alleged studies, nor does it have credible information in this regard." Some diplomats reportedly dismissed the new allegations as being "of doubtful value ... relatively insignificant and coming too late."<ref>[http://www1.wsvn.com/news/articles/world/MI77582/ Diplomats say US again shares information on Iran's nuclear program, Associated Press, Thursday, 21 February 2008]</ref> |
|||
It was reported on 3 March 2008, that Olli Heinonen, the IAEA Deputy Director general of safeguards, had briefed diplomats about the contents of the "Alleged Studies" documents a week earlier. Reportedly, Heinonen added that the IAEA had obtained corroborating information from the intelligence agencies of several countries, that pointed to sophisticated research into some key technologies needed to build and deliver a nuclear bomb.<ref>{{Cite news| url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/03/01/AR2008030101722.html|work=The Washington Post|title=UN Says Iran May Not Have Come Clean on Nuclear Past|first1=Joby|last1=Warrick|first2=Colum|last2=Lynch|date=2 March 2008|accessdate=9 April 2010}}</ref> |
|||
In April 2008, Iran reportedly agreed to address the sole outstanding issue of the "Alleged Studies"<ref>[http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/24/world/middleeast/24iran.html Iran to Discuss Alleged Studies of Atomic Arms, Reuters, 24 April 2008]</ref> However, according to the subsequent May 2008 IAEA report, the IAEA was not able to actually provide these same "Alleged Studies" documents to Iran, because the IAEA did not have the documents itself or was not allowed to share them with Iran. For example, in paragraph 21, the IAEA report states: "Although the Agency had been shown the documents that led it to these conclusions, it was not in possession of the documents and was therefore unfortunately unable to make them available to Iran." Also, in paragraph 16, the IAEA report states: "The Agency received much of this information only in electronic form and was not authorised to provide copies to Iran." The IAEA has requested that it be allowed to share the documents with Iran. Nevertheless, according the report, Iran may have more information on the alleged studies which "remain a matter of serious concern" but the IAEA itself had not detected evidence of actual design or manufacture by Iran of nuclear weapons or components. |
|||
Iran's refusal to respond to the IAEA's questions unless it is given access to the original documents has caused a standoff. In February 2008, the New York Times reported that the U.S. refusal to provide access to those documents was a source of friction between the Bush Administration and then Director General ElBaradei.<ref>[http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/15/world/middleeast/15iran.html?pagewanted=print "U.S. to Produce Data on Iran's Nuclear Program", ''New York Times'', By David E. Sanger and Elaine Sciolino, 15 Feb 2008.]</ref> ElBaradei later noted that these documents could not be shared because of the need to protect sources and methods, but noted that this allowed Iran to question their authenticity.<ref>[http://www.newsweek.com/id/199149 Mohamed ElBaradei: 'They are not Fanatics' – Newsweek, 1 Jun 2009.]</ref></blockquote> According to Iran's envoy to the IAEA, Ali Asghar Soltanieh, "The government of the United States has not handed over original documents to the agency since it does not in fact have any authenticated document and all it has are forged documents."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.middle-east-online.com/English/?id=34135 |title=Middle East Online |publisher=Middle East Online |date=6 September 2009 |accessdate=20 May 2010}}</ref> |
|||
The IAEA has requested that third-parties{{vague|date=November 2011}} allow it to share the documents on the alleged studies with Iran. The IAEA has further stated that though it has not provided full documents containing the alleged studies, information from other countries has corroborated some of the allegations, which appear to the IAEA to be consistent and credible, and that Iran should therefore address the alleged studies even without obtaining the full documents. However, questions about the authenticity of the documents persist, with claims that the documents were obtained either from Israel or the MEK, an Iranian dissident group officially considered to be a terrorist organization by the United States, and that investigations into the alleged studies are intended to reveal intelligence about Iran's conventional weapons programs.<ref>[http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/KI22Ak01.html Iran and IAEA re-enter missile row By Gareth Porter, Asia Times, Sept 22, 2009.]</ref><ref>[http://ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=41416 POLITICS: Iran Nuke Laptop Data Came from Terror Group, By Gareth Porter, IPS News, 29 Feb 2008.]</ref><ref>[http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2007/feb/22/iran.usa US Iran intelligence 'is incorrect', by Julian Borger, The Guardian, Thursday 22 February 2007]</ref><ref>[http://www.antiwar.com/orig/sahimi.php?articleid=13559, Iran, the IAEA, and the Laptop: Where is the digital chain of custody? by Muhammad Sahimi, Antiwar.com, 7 October 2008.]</ref> Some IAEA officials have requested a clear statement be made by the agency that it could not affirm the documents' authenticity. They cite that as a key document in the study had since been proven to have been fraudulently altered, it put in doubt the entire collection.<ref>[http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/KJ08Ak05.html Leaked Iran paper exposes IAEA rift] [[Asia times]] 8 October 2009</ref> |
|||
==Nuclear power as a political issue== |
|||
===Iran's nuclear program and the NPT=== |
|||
{{Main|Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty}} |
|||
Iran says that its nuclear program is solely for peaceful purposes and consistent with the NPT.<ref>[http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5hA01f9zNaIJ4IK_Hcuwqy4zf6MWg ''AFP'':Six powers to meet soon over Iran's nuclear program]</ref> The IAEA Board of Governors has found Iran in non-compliance with its NPT safeguards agreement, concluding in a rare non-consensus decision with 12 abstentions,<ref>{{cite web|title=ASIL Insights:Iran's Resumption of its Nuclear Program: Addendum|url=http://www.asil.org/insights/2005/09/insights050929.html|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> that Iran's past safeguards "breaches" and "failures" constituted "non-compliance" with its Safeguards Agreement<ref name="IAEA-GOV/2005/77" /><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iranwatch.org/international/IAEA/iaea-%20iransafeguards-infcirc214.pdf |title=Safeguards Agreement between Iran and the IAEA (INFCIRC/214) 12-13-74 |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> In the decision, the IAEA Board of Governors also concluded that the concerns raised fell within the competence of the UN Security Council.<ref name="IAEA-GOV/2005/77" /> |
|||
Most experts recognize that non-compliance with an NPT safeguards agreement is not equivalent to a violation of the NPT or does not automatically constitute a violation of the NPT itself.<ref name=Joyner>Daniel Joyner, [http://www.asil.org/insights080428.cfm North Korean Links to Building of a Nuclear Reactor in Syria: Implications for International Law], ''American Society of International Law'', Vol. 12, No. 8 (28 April 2008):<blockquote>"[A] breach of an IAEA safeguards agreement does not ''per se'' equate to a violation of the NPT."</blockquote></ref><ref>Darryl Howlett and John Simpson [http://www.iss.europa.eu/uploads/media/cp077.pdf Nuclear Non-proliferation – how to ensure an effective compliance mechanism] in ''Effective Non-Proliferation: The European Union and the 2005 NPT Review Conference'', Burkard Schmitt, ed., Chaillot Paper No. 77, Apr. 2005, Institute for Security Studies, European Union, Paris, p. 15:<blockquote>"[A] finding by the IAEA of non-compliance with the terms of a sagefuards agreement thus does not automatically amount to non-compliance with the NPT."</ref> The IAEA does not make determinations regarding compliance with the NPT,<ref name=USState05 /> and the UN Security Council does not have a responsibility to adjudicate treaty violations.<ref name=CRS_NPTVio>[http://fpc.state.gov/documents/organization/130800.pdf Congressional Research Service: Iran's Nuclear Program: Tehran's Compliance with International Obligations]</ref> Dr. James Acton, an associate in the Nonproliferation Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, has said the 2010 NPT Review Conference could recognize that non-compliance with safeguards agreements would violate article III of the NPT.<ref name=ActonPO>[http://www.carnegieendowment.org/files/acton_policy_outlook.pdf Carnegie Endowment for International Peace: Deterring Safeguards Violations]</ref> Director of the Australian Nonproliferation and Safeguards Organization and then Chairman of IAEA Standing Advisory Group on Safeguards Implementation<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.asno.dfat.gov.au/publications/SAGSI_role_contribution_safeguards_dev.pdf |title=SAGSI: Its Role and Contribution to Safeguards Development |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> John Carlson wrote in considering the case of Iran that "formally IAEA Board of Governors (BOG) decisions concern compliance with safeguards agreements, rather than the NPT as such, but in practical terms non-compliance with a safeguards agreement constitutes non-compliance with the NPT."<ref>{{cite web|title=400 Bad Request|url=http://www.asno.dfat.gov.au/publications/2005_santa_fe_policy.pdf Safeguards in a Broader Policy Perspective: Verifying Treaty Compliance|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}} {{Dead link|date=September 2010|bot=H3llBot}}</ref> |
|||
A September 2009 [[Congressional Research Service]] paper said "whether Iran has violated the NPT is unclear."<ref>[http://fpc.state.gov/documents/organization/130800.pdf ''Congressional Research Service'': Iran's Nuclear Program: Tehran's Compliance with International Obligations]</ref> A 2005 U.S. State Department report on compliance with arms control and nonproliferation agreements concluded, based on its analysis of the facts and the relevant international laws, that Iran's extensive failures to make required reports to the IAEA made "clear that Iran has violated Article III of the NPT and its IAEA safeguards agreement."<ref name=USState05 >{{cite web|title=Adherence to and Compliance With Arms Control, Nonproliferation, and Disarmament Agreements and Commitments|url=http://www.state.gov/t/vci/rls/rpt/51977.htm#chapter6 Compliance Report|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008 |archiveurl = http://web.archive.org/web/20080213130414/http://www.state.gov/t/vci/rls/rpt/51977.htm#chapter6 <!-- Bot retrieved archive --> |archivedate = 13 February 2008}}</ref> Testimony presented to the Foreign Select Committee of the British Parliament drew the opposite conclusion:<ref name="parliament.uk-200708" >{{cite web|title=Uncorrected Evidence m10|url=http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200708/cmselect/cmfaff/memo/496/ucm1002.htm|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> |
|||
<blockquote>"The enforcement of Article III of the NPT obligations is carried out through the IAEA's monitoring and verification that is designed to ensure that declared nuclear facilities are operated according to safeguard agreement with Iran, which Iran signed with the IAEA in 1974. In the past four years that Iran's nuclear programme has been under close investigation by the IAEA, the Director General of the IAEA, as early as November 2003 reported to the IAEA Board of Governors that "to date, there is no evidence that the previously undeclared nuclear material and activities ... were related to a nuclear weapons programme." ... Although Iran has been found in non-compliance with some aspects of its IAEA safeguards obligations, Iran has not been in breach of its obligations under the terms of the NPT."</blockquote> |
|||
The 2005 U.S. State Department compliance report also concluded that "Iran is pursuing an effort to manufacture nuclear weapons, and has sought and received assistance in this effort in violation of Article II of the NPT".<ref name=USState05 /> The November 2007 United States [[National Intelligence Estimate]] (NIE) asserted that [[Tehran]] halted a nuclear weapons program in fall 2003, but that Iran "at a minimum is keeping open the option to develop nuclear weapon".<ref name="dni.gov-NIE" >{{cite web|url=http://www.dni.gov/press_releases/20071203_release.pdf |title=Iran: Nuclear Intentions and Capabilities (National Intelligence Estimate) |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Russian analyst Alexei Arbatov, said "no hard facts on violation of the NPT ''per se'' have been discovered" and also wrote that "all this is not enough to accuse Iran of a formal breach of the letter of the NPT" and "giving Iran the benefit of the doubt, there is no hard evidence of its full-steam development of a military nuclear program."<ref name=Arbatov>Alexei G. Arbatov, "The Inexorable Momentum of Escalation," in ''Double Trouble: Iran and North Korea as Challenges to International Security'', Patrick M. Cronin, ed. (Westport, CT: Praeger, 2007), pp. 64–65.</ref> |
|||
NPT Article IV recognizes the right of states to research, develop and use nuclear energy for peaceful purposes, but only in conformity with their nuclear nonproliferation obligations under Articles I and II of the NPT. |
|||
The [[United Nations Security Council|UN Security Council]] has demanded that Iran suspend its [[Isotope separation|nuclear enrichment]] activities in multiple resolutions.<ref>[http://documents-dds-ny.un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/N06/450/22/PDF/N0645022.pdf?OpenElement Resolution 1696 (2006)]</ref><ref>[http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2006/sc8792.doc.htm Security Council Demands Iran Suspend Uranium Enrichment by 31 August, or Face Possible Economic, Diplomatic Sanctions]</ref> The United States has said the "central bargain of the NPT is that if non-nuclear-weapon states renounce the pursuit of nuclear weapons, and comply fully with this commitment, they may gain assistance under Article IV of the Treaty to develop peaceful nuclear programs". The U.S. has written that Paragraph 1 of Article IV makes clear that access to peaceful nuclear cooperation must be "in conformity with Articles I and II of this Treaty" and also by extension Article III of the NPT.<ref name=USNPTRev>[http://www.state.gov/t/isn/npt/122732.htm ''US State Department'': Third Session of the Preparatory Committee for the 2005 Review Conference of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons]</ref> Rahman Bonad, Director of Arms Control Studies at the Center for Strategic Research at Tehran, has argued that demands to cease enrichment run counter to "all negotations and discussions that led to the adoption of the NPT in the 1960s and the fundamental logic of striking a balance between the rights and obligations stipulated in the NPT."<ref>[http://dermfa.ir/pdf/Fall-2007-issue/American-Approach-towards-NPT-final.pdf American approach towards the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT)] – the case study – Islamic Republic of Iran nuclear activities / Bonab, Rahman G.: (The Iranian journal of international affairs) 19(4) 2007 Fall: p. [53]–77.</ref> In February 2006 Iran's foreign minister insisted that "Iran rejects all forms of scientific and [[nuclear apartheid]] by any world power," and asserted that this "scientific and nuclear apartheid" was "an immoral and discriminatory treatment of signatories to the [[Non-Proliferation Treaty]],"<ref name=a3 >{{cite web|title=FM lashes out at big powers' nuclear apartheid|url=http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/news/iran/2006/iran-060215-irna02.htm|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> and that Iran has "the right to a peaceful use of nuclear energy and we cannot accept nuclear apartheid."<ref name=a2 >[http://www.iranpressnews.com/english/source/011081.html Iran's Mottaki quoted: will not suspend research]{{dead link|date=January 2012}} Iran Press News, 27 February 2006.</ref> |
|||
Russia has said it believes Iran has a right to enrich uranium on its soil. Former U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice suggested that there could be work toward an international [[nuclear fuel bank]] instead of indigenous Iranian enrichment,<ref>[http://moscow.usembassy.gov/transcripts_photo_bio/briefing-by-secretary-condoleezza-rice-en-route-to-london-england.html Embassy of the United States in Russia: Briefing by Secretary Condoleezza Rice En Route to London, England]{{dead link|date=January 2012}}</ref> while [[Richard Haass]], President of the Council on Foreign Relations, has said "the United States should be willing to discuss what Iran describes as its 'right to enrich' ... provided that Iran accepts both limits on its enrichment program (no HEU) and enhanced safeguards".<ref name="foreign.senate.gov">{{cite web|url=http://foreign.senate.gov/testimony/2009/HaassTestimony090303a.pdf |title=Senate Foreign Relations Committee: Statement of Richard N. Haass (March 3, 2009) |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}} {{Dead link|date=September 2010|bot=H3llBot}}</ref> Officials of the Iranian government and members of the Iranian public believe Iran should be developing its peaceful nuclear industry.<ref>{{cite web|title=Nukes a matter of pride in Iran|url=http://www.signonsandiego.com/uniontrib/20050529/news_1n29iran.html|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008|unused_data=The San Diego Union-Tribune}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|title=IRAN: Nuclear Negotiations – Council on Foreign Relations|url=http://www.cfr.org/publication/7730/iran.html|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> A March 2008 poll of 30 nations found moderate support for allowing Iran to produce nuclear fuel for electricity alongside a full program of UN inspections.<ref>[http://www.worldpublicopinion.org/pipa/pdf/mar08/BBCIran_Mar08_rpt.pdf ''BBC World Service Poll'': Declining Support for Tough Measures against Iran's Nuclear Program: Global Poll]</ref> |
|||
===Iranian statements on nuclear deterrence=== |
|||
The Iranian authorities deny seeking a nuclear weapons capacity for deterrence or retaliation since Iran's level of technological progress cannot match that of existing nuclear weapons states, and the acquisition of nuclear weapons would only spark an arms race in the Mideast. According to Ambassador Javad Zarif: |
|||
<blockquote>It is true that Iran has neighbors with abundant nuclear weapons, but this does not mean that Iran must follow suit. In fact, the predominant view among Iranian decision-makers is that development, acquisition or possession of nuclear weapons would only undermine Iranian security. Viable security for Iran can be attained only through inclusion and regional and global engagement.<ref>[http://www.un.int/iran/pressaffairs/pressreleases/1997/articles/1.html An Unnecessary Crisis: Setting the Record Straight about Iran's Nuclear Program] by Amb. Zarif, Published in New York Times (18 November 2005)</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.zarif.net/Articles/Columbia%20JIA.pdf |title=file:///C|/Users/MJZ/Desktop/Doc2.htm |format=PDF |accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref> |
|||
</blockquote> |
|||
Iran's President Ahmadinejad, during an interview with NBC anchor Brian Willians in July 2008, also dismissed the utility of nuclear weapons as a source of security and stated: |
|||
<blockquote>Again, did nuclear arms help the Soviet Union from falling and disintegrating? For that matter, did a nuclear bomb help the U.S. to prevail inside Iraq or Afghanistan, for that matter? Nuclear bombs belong to the 20th century. We are living in a new century ... Nuclear energy must not be equaled to a nuclear bomb. This is a disservice to the society of man.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/25887437/page/4/ |title=Transcript: 'Response ... will be a positive one' – Nightly News with Brian Williams – MSNBC.com |publisher=Msnbc.msn.com |date=28 July 2008 |accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref></blockquote> |
|||
And according Ali Akbar Salehi, the head of Iran's Atomic Energy Organisation: |
|||
<blockquote>In matters of national security we are not timid. We will assert our intentions. If nuclear weapons would have brought security, we would have announced to the world that we would go after them ... We do not think a nuclear Iran would be stronger ... If we have weapons of mass destruction we are not going to use them – we cannot. We did not use chemical weapons against Iraq. Secondly, we do not feel any real threat from our neighbours. Pakistan and the Persian Gulf, we have no particular problems with them, nor with Afghanistan. The only powerful country is Russia in the north, and no matter how many nuclear weapons we had we could not match Russia. Israel, our next neighbour, we do not consider an entity by itself but as part of the US. Facing Israel means facing the US. We cannot match the US. We do not have strategic differences with our neighbours, including Turkey.<ref>[http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2009/07/irans-nuclear-programme-is-peaceful--september-9-2004-----the-board-of-the-international-atomic-energy-agency-iaea.html Iran's nuclear program is peaceful-Financial Times, 9 September 2004, by Gareth Smyth]</ref></blockquote> |
|||
===Nuclear Weapon Free Zone in the Mideast=== |
|||
[[File:nwfz.svg|thumb|500px| |
|||
{{legend0|#0000FF|[[Nuclear-Weapon-Free Zone]]s}} |
|||
{{legend0|#FF0000|[[Nuclear weapons states]]}} |
|||
{{legend0|#FF8800|[[Nuclear sharing]]}} |
|||
{{legend0|#dddd00|Neither, but [[Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty|NPT]]}} ]] |
|||
Iran has consistently supported the creation of a nuclear-weapons free zone in the Mideast. In 1974, as concerns in the region grew over Israel's nuclear weapon programme, Iran formally proposed the concept of a nuclear weapon free zone in the Middle East in a joint resolution in the UN General Assembly.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.acronym.org.uk/dd/dd86/86nwfzme.htm |title=Disarmament Diplomacy, Issue No. 86, Autumn 2007, Rethinking Security Interests for a Nuclear-Weapon-Free Zone in the Middle East, Rebecca Johnson |publisher=Acronym.org.uk |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> The Shah of Iran had made a similar appeal five years earlier but had failed to attract any support.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iranaffairs.com/.shared/image.html?/photos/uncategorized/2007/08/20/irannuclearfreezone.jpg |title=Iran Asks UN Action to Keep Region Free of Nuclear Arms, New York Times, July 13, 1974 |publisher=Iranaffairs.com |date=20 August 2007 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> The call for the creation of nuclear weapons free zone in the Mideast was repeated by Iran's President Ahmadinejad in 2006.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/4756652.stm |title=Iran call for nuclear-free region |publisher=BBC News |date=27 February 2006 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> It was reiterated by Iran's Foreign Minister, Manouchehr Mottaki in 2008.<ref>[http://web-srv.mfa.gov.ir/output/english/documents/doc10356.htm Iran seeks nuclear-free Middle East, says Mottaki, Ministry of the Foreign Affairs of the Islamic Republic of Iran, 5 Feb 2008]{{Dead link|date=September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
==Views on Iran's nuclear power program== |
|||
{{See also|United Nations Security Council Resolution 1747|Non-aligned movement#Current activities and positions}} |
|||
===The Iranian viewpoint=== |
|||
In taking a stance that the Shah expressed decades ago, Iranians feel its valuable oil should be used for high-value products, not simple electricity generation. "Petroleum is a noble material, much too valuable to burn ... We envision producing, as soon as possible, 23,000 megawatts of electricity using nuclear plants," the Shah had previously said.<ref>{{cite web|title=World Politics Review|url=http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/article.aspx?id=524|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008|unused_data=Iran's Nuclear Program Has a Long History}}</ref> Assuming pumping rates remain steady, Iran has only enough oil to last another 75 years. Iran also faces financial constraints, and claims that developing the excess capacity in its oil industry would cost it {{Nowrap|$40 billion}}, let alone pay for the power plants.<ref>[http://www.irvl.net/iran-and-nuclear-energy/ Iran and Nuclear Energy] Iran Virtual Library</ref> Roger Stern from [[Johns Hopkins University]] partially concurred with this view, projecting that due to "energy subsidies, hostility to foreign investment and inefficiencies of its [Iranian] state-planned economy", Iranian oil exports would vanish by 2014–2015, although he notes that this outcome has "no relation to 'peak oil.'"<ref>{{cite web|author=Roger Stern |url=http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/full/104/1/377 |title=The Iranian petroleum crisis and United States national security—PNAS |publisher=Pnas.org |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Earlier, the Gerald Ford Administration had arrived at a similar assessment,<ref>{{Cite news|title=Past Arguments Don't Square With Current Iran Policy (washingtonpost.com)|url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A3983-2005Mar26.html|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008|work=The Washington Post|first=Dafna|last=Linzer|date=27 March 2005}}</ref> and independent studies conducted by the [http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/GH24Ak02.html Foreign Affairs Select Committee of the British Parliament] and the [http://www.pnas.org/cgi/reprint/0603903104v1 U.S. National Academy of Sciences] previously confirmed that Iran has a valid economic basis for its nuclear energy program. |
|||
The Iranians believe that concerns about nuclear weapons proliferation are pretextual, and any suspension of enrichment is simply intended to ultimately deprive Iran of the right to have an independent nuclear technology: |
|||
<blockquote>[W]e had a suspension for two years and on and off negotiations for three ... Accusing Iran of having "the intention" of acquiring nuclear weapons has, since the early 1980s, been a tool used to deprive Iran of any nuclear technology, even a light water reactor or fuel for the American-built research reactor ... the United States and EU3 never even took the trouble of studying various Iranian proposals: they were – from the very beginning – bent on abusing this Council and the threat of referral and sanctions as an instrument of pressure to compel Iran to abandon the exercise of its NPT guaranteed right to peaceful nuclear technology ..<ref>[http://www.un.int/iran/statements/securitycouncil/articles/Dr.%20Zarif%20Statement%20befor%20the%20Security%20Council.%20Dec.%2023.2006.pdf Statement by H.E. Dr. M. Javad Zarif Permanent Representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran before the Security Council], 23 December 2006</ref> </blockquote> |
|||
Iran says that its inalienable right to peaceful nuclear technology has been the subject of "the most extensive and intensive campaign of denial, obstruction, intervention and misinformation" and that the international community has been subject to "bias, politicized and exaggerated information" on the Iranian nuclear program and activities.<ref name=IC657 /> |
|||
After the 1979 Iranian Revolution, Iran informed the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) of its plans to restart its nuclear program using indigenously made nuclear fuel, and in 1983 the IAEA planned to provide assistance in uranium conversion (not enrichment) to Iran under its Technical Assistance Program, until the program was terminated under US pressure.<ref>[http://www.webcitation.org/query?url=http://www.geocities.com/thelasian/nucleafuel_iran.html&date=2009-10-25+23:00:25 "U.S. in 1983 stopped IAEA from helping Iran make UF6"] by Mark Hibbs, Nuclear Fuel, 4 August 2003, Vol. 28, No. 16; p. 12</ref> An IAEA report at the time stated clearly that its aim was to "contribute to the formation of local expertise and manpower needed to sustain an ambitious program in the field of nuclear power reactor technology and fuel cycle technology." Iran's enrichment program was openly discussed on national radio in the early 1980s,<ref>[http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2007/12/irans-not-so-hi.html "Iran's not-so-hidden enrichment program"] IranAffairs.com, 13 December 2007</ref> and IAEA inspectors were even invited to visit Iran's uranium mines in 1992.<ref>[http://www.unwire.org/unwire/20030210/31961_story.asp Government Mines Uranium For What It Calls Peaceful Nuclear Use, Monday, 10 February 2003]</ref></blockquote> |
|||
Iran announced plans in 1995 to build a uranium hexafluoride (UF6) conversion plant at the Nuclear Technical Centre in Esfahan, with Chinese assistance. During a November 1996 IAEA visit to Isfahan, Iran, informed the IAEA Department of Safeguards that it planned to build a uranium hexafluoride (UF6) conversion plant at the Nuclear Technology Center.<ref>[http://www.cns.miis.edu/pubs/reports/pdfs/iranrpt.pdf Iran's Nuclear Facilities: a Profile by Andrew Koch and Jeanette Wolf, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, 1998.]{{dead link|date=January 2012}}</ref> The UF6 plant was scheduled to open after 2000, but the project was abandoned by China under pressure from the United States in October 1997.<ref>[http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/world/iran/esfahan-nuke.htm Esfahan (Isfahan) Nuclear Technology Center, GlobalSecurity.org]</ref><ref>[http://meria.idc.ac.il/journal/1998/issue2/jv2n2a7.html MERIA: Chinese Arms Exports to Iran, Volume 2, No. 2 – May 1998]</ref><ref>[http://www.iranwatch.org/wmd/wmd-nukemilestones.htm Iran Nuclear Milestones, IranWatch.org]</ref> The Iranians informed the IAEA that they would complete the project nonetheless. In 2000, the Iranians completed the uranium conversion project, using the blueprints provided to them by China, and declared the facility to the IAEA. The facility was planned with the intention of supplying UO2 (Uranium dioxide) as fuel to the 40 MW Heavy Water Reactor under construction at Arak and to meet the needs of UF6 (Uranium hexafluoride) for the Natanz enrichment facility.<ref>[http://www.nti.org/e_research/profiles/Iran/3119_3150.html NTI Iran Profile, Nuclear Facilities.]{{dead link|date=January 2012}}</ref> |
|||
Iran argues that it disclosed information about its programs in which "in nearly all cases, it was not any way obliged to disclose in accordance with its obligations under its safeguards agreement with the IAEA."<ref name=IC657 /> Iran says its voluntary confidence building measures were only "reciprocated by broken promises and expanded requests" and that the EU3 "simply wanted prolonged and fruitless negotiations" to inhibit Iran from exercising its inalienable right to peaceful nuclear technology.<ref name="a2005" >{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/2005/infcirc648.pdf |title=IAEA INFCIRC648: Communication dated August 1, 2005, received from the Permanent Mission of the Islamic Republic of Iran to the Agency |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
Iran says it has suggested to the EU3 to ask the IAEA to develop monitoring modalities for Iran's enrichment program as objective guarantees to ensure that Iran's nuclear program will remain exclusively for peaceful purposes and has also provided its own set of Western suggested modalities to the Agency.<ref name=IC657 /> |
|||
However, Iran says it will not suspend its enrichment because "it would further be deprived from its inalienable right to work on nuclear fuel cycle, with the aim of producing required fuels for its research reactors and nuclear power plants."<ref name=autogenerated1>{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/2005/infcirc657.pdf |title=INFCIRC/657 – Communication dated September 12, 2005, from the Permanent Mission of the Islamic Republic of Iran to the Agency |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
Dr. [[William Beeman|William O. Beeman]], Brown University's Middle East Studies program professor, who spent years in Iran, says that the Iranian nuclear issue is a unified point of their political discussion: |
|||
:"''The Iranian side of the discourse is that they want to be known and seen as a modern, developing state with a modern, developing industrial base. The history of relations between Iran and the West for the last hundred years has included Iran's developing various kinds of industrial and technological advances to prove to themselves—and to attempt to prove to the world—that they are, in fact, that kind of country.''" |
|||
[http://www.cardiff.ac.uk/euros/contactsandpeople/profiles/mcglincheys.html Stephen McGlinchey] agrees, noting that the Islamic Republic of Iran "owes its existence to its identity as a reaction to the Western way of life and of doing business. To come to a conciliation with the international community, spearheaded by the American insistence that Iran must not ever have full mastery of the nuclear cycle is in essence dismantling the foundations and the pride of the Regime."<ref>http://www.e-ir.info/?p=2699</ref> |
|||
Iran also believes it has a legal right to enrich uranium for peaceful purposes under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty,<ref>{{cite web|date=23 December 2006|url=http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2006/sc8928.doc.htm|title=Security Council Imposes Sanctions on Iran for failure to halt Uranium Enrichment, Unanimously adopting Resolution 1737 (2006)}}</ref> a right which in 2005 the U.S. and the EU-3 began to assert had been forfeited by a clandestine nuclear program that came to light in 2002. |
|||
Iranian politicians compare its treatment as a signatory to the NPT with three nuclear-armed nations that have not signed the NPT: Israel, India, and Pakistan. Each of these nations developed an indigenous nuclear weapons capability: Israel by 1966,<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/israel/nuke/ |title=FAS on Nuclear Weapons – Israel |publisher=Fas.org |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> India by 1974, and Pakistan by 1990. |
|||
The Iranian authorities assert that they cannot simply trust the United States or Europe to provide Iran with nuclear energy fuel, and point to a long series of agreements, contracts and treaty obligations which were not fulfilled.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://english.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=8512160500 |title=Fars News Agency :: Full Text of Speech Delivered by Iran's Envoy to IAEA |publisher=English.farsnews.com |accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref> Developing nations say they do not want to give up their rights to uranium enrichment and do not trust the United States or other nuclear countries to be consistent suppliers of the nuclear material they would need to run their power plants.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://groups.google.com/group/soc.culture.iranian/browse_thread/thread/343f50f6538c33b4/824152560a6bded0?lnk=st&q=%22A+New+Global+Nuclear+Order%22&rnum=2&hl=en#824152560a6bded0 |title=The "haves" made the commitment to eliminate their nuclear arsenals and that was the basis for the NPT – soc.culture.iranian | Google Groups |publisher=Google |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
Determination to continue the nuclear program and retaliate against any Western attack is strong in Iran. [[Hassan Abbasi]], director of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps think tank, Doctrinal Analysis Center for Security without Borders (''Markaz-e barresiha-ye doktrinyal-e amniyat bedun marz,'') has announced that "approximately 40,000 Iranian ''estesh-hadiyun'' (martyrdom-seekers)" are ready to carry out suicide operations against "twenty-nine identified Western targets," should the U.S. military hit Iranian nuclear installations.<ref>''Shargh'', 20 February 2006.</ref> {{Verify source|date=August 2008}} |
|||
Some have argued that there is a double standard between the treatment of Iran, which was reported to the Security Council for undeclared enrichment and reprocessing activities, and South Korea, which had failed to report enrichment and reprocessing experiments but was not found in non-compliance.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://merln.ndu.edu/archive/MilitaryReview/hart.pdf |title="Perceptions and Courses of Actions toward Iran" MILITARY REVIEW, September–October 2005 |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> In South Korea's case, issues were reported by the IAEA Secretariat but the IAEA Board of Governors did not make a formal finding of non-compliance.<ref name=Sokolski /><ref>Kang, Jungmin; Hayes, Peter; Bin, Li; Suzuki, Tatsujiro; Tanter, Richard. [http://thebulletin.metapress.com/content/48132706720g6274/?p=0adb901f0500435a9b4108fbbc4937e5&pi=0 South Korea's Nuclear Surprise]{{dead link|date=January 2012}}. [http://thebulletin.org/ Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists]. 1 January 2005.</ref> In making its decision, the Board said "there is no indication that the undeclared experiments have continued" and observed that the "Republic of Korea has an Additional Protocol in force and that developments in the Republic of Korea demonstrate the utility of the Additional Protocol."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/News/2004/south_korea.html |title=International Atomic Energy Agency: IAEA Board Concludes Consideration of Safeguards in South Korea |publisher=Iaea.org |date=26 November 2004 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Pierre Goldschmidt, former head of the department of safeguards at the IAEA, has called on the Board of Governors to adopt generic resolutions which would apply to all states in such circumstances and has argued "political considerations played a dominant role in the board's decision" to not make a formal finding of non-compliance.<ref name=GS_INR /> |
|||
Despite its history with the West, Iran has said it would like to see a warming in relations. Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, the chairman of the [[Expediency Council]] and the [[Assembly of Experts]], has said that Iran is not seeking enmity with the U.S. and that Iran would respond to any "formal" message which contained "change in practice".<ref>[http://www.mehrnews.com/en/NewsDetail.aspx?NewsID=852456 ''MehrNews'': Rafsanjani says Obama was not honest in sending message to Iran]</ref> [[Seyed Mohammad Marandi]], a professor at [[Tehran University]], has suggested that if the United States is serious about negotiating with Iran in the future then "that the United States must take concrete steps toward decreasing tension with Iran" such as reassessing Iranian sanctions, reassessing Iranian assets frozen in the United States since the Iranian revolution,<ref>[http://www.thenation.com/blogs/dreyfuss/442563/iran_s_vote_obama_s_challenge ''The Nation'': Iran's Vote, Obama's Challenge ]</ref><ref name=FrozenAss1>[http://www.presstv.ir/detail.aspx?id=110771§ionid=351020101 ''PressTV'': Iran assets still frozen in US]</ref> and reassessing Washington's backing of Israel.<ref name=ReutTerms>[http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE52L0P120090322 ''Reuters'': Iran sets terms for U.S. ties]</ref> Professor Hamidreza Jalaiepour, a political sociology teacher in Tehran, said if the U.S. examined these options, Iran would be likely to immediately respond in a variety of ways, including helping stabilize Afghanistan, for example.<ref name=ReutTerms /> |
|||
===Middle Eastern views=== |
|||
The ''[[New York Times]]'' reported in 2007 that Iran's nuclear program had spurred interest in establishing nuclear power programs by a number of neighboring countries, including [[Saudi Arabia]], [[Turkey]] and [[Egypt]]. Many countries outside the Mideast nations are also interested in nuclear power. According to the report, "roughly a dozen states in the region have recently turned to the [[International Atomic Energy Agency]] in Vienna for help in starting" nuclear programs.<ref>"Eye on Iran, Rivals Pursuing Nuclear Power", William J. Broad and David E. Sanger, ''New York Times'', 15 April 2007.</ref> The article also described neighbouring states as very hostile to any nuclear weapons program Iran might embark on, stating "many diplomats and analysts say that the Sunni Arab governments are so anxious about Iran's nuclear progress that they would even, grudgingly, support a United States military strike against Iran." However, some Arab countries have nuclear programs that are as old as Iran's, and their interest in nuclear power corresponds to a worldwide [http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,565132,00.html nuclear renaissance] which applies also to Arab states that are seeking to conserve hydrocarbon resources, reduce carbon emissions, and provide electricity and safe drinking water for their rapidly growing populations.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m2742/is_401/ai_n32099944/ |title=Nuclear energy gains ground in Arab states | Middle East, The | Find Articles at BNET |publisher=Findarticles.com |date=2 June 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
Like Iran, Egypt refuses to implement the Additional Protocol, although Iran has signed it and implemented it for two years until it was reported for safeguards non-compliance. Egypt links its position to Israel's refusal to accept IAEA safeguards and calls the Protocol "a voluntary thing."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://wmdinsights.com/I25/I25_ME1_AlgeriaEmirates.htm |title=WMD Insights |publisher=WMD Insights |accessdate=20 September 2009}}{{dead link|date=January 2012}}</ref> On 17 May 2009, Arab League Chief Amr Moussa said that Israel's nuclear program was more worrying than Iran's. This followed a statement in March that the member states of the Arab League would abandon the NPT if Israel ever made its possession of nuclear weapons official.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1086079.html |title=Arab League: Israel's nuclear program more worrying than Iran |work=Haaretz |location=Israel |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
Recently the governments of a number of Arab countries have been using economic means to persuade Russia and China to support sanctions against Iran's controversial program.<ref>[http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/sep/23/nuclear-iran-un-gcc-sanctions Medvedev: Sanctions against Iran's nuclear programme 'may be inevitable']</ref> |
|||
Diplomatic cables leaked in 2010 revealed that Muslim countries such as Saudi Arabia and Bahrain supported a military attack against Iran aimed to stop the Iranian nuclear program.<ref>[http://www.haaretz.com/news/international/wikileaks-exposed-iran-s-weak-foreign-policies-says-opposition-1.330191 Wikileaks exposed Iran's weak foreign policies, says opposition], Ha'aretz, 12.12.10</ref> |
|||
====Israeli views==== |
|||
{{See also|Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Israel|Nuclear weapons and Israel|Opposition_to_military_action_against_Iran#Reports_of_a_potential_military_attack_on_Iran|label 3=Potential military strike on Iran}} |
|||
Some Israeli officials publicly characterize Iran's nuclear program as an "[[existential threat]]" to Israel, and Israeli leaders assert that all options are kept open in dealing with Tehran.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.reuters.com/article/latestCrisis/idUSL14267899 |title=Olmert says "all options" open against Iran, Reuters Mon January 14, 2008 |publisher=Reuters |date=14 January 2008 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.adl.org/PresRele/IslME_62/4712_62.htm |title=Iran Poses Dangerous Threat, Peres Tells ADL – ADL Press Release, May 9, 2005 |publisher=Adl.org |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> The threat has been compared to the threat the [[Jews of Europe]] faced prior to [[the Holocaust]].<ref>Goodman, Hirsh. [http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2011/09/03/hirsh-goodman-israel-has-no-margin-for-error-when-it-comes-to-iran/ "Hirsh Goodman: Israel has no margin for error when it comes to Iran."] ''National Post''. 3 September 2011. 6 September 2011.</ref> However, some Israeli officials have privately and publicly rejected such a characterization of Iran's program.<ref>[http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2009/09/17/world/international-uk-israel-iran.html Israel Defence Chief: Iran Not An Existential Threat, Reuters 17 September 2009]</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/916758.html |title=Livni behind closed doors: Iran nukes pose little threat to Israel, By Gidi Weitz and Na'ama Lanski, Haaretz October 25, 2007 |work=Haaretz |location=Israel |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.ynetnews.com/Ext/Comp/ArticleLayout/CdaArticlePrintPreview/1,2506,L-3461175,00.html |title=Israel cannot be destroyed, says former Mossad chief, YnetNews, October 18, 2007 |publisher=Ynetnews.com |date=5 April 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> According to ''[[The Economist]]'', "most of those Israeli experts willing to talk rate the chances of an Iranian nuclear attack as low. Despite Mr Ahmadinejad, most consider Iran to be a rational state actor susceptible to deterrence."<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.economist.com/specialreports/displaystory.cfm?story_id=9466890 |title=Bombs away, The Economist, July 17, 2007 |work=The Economist |date=19 July 2007 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
Israel, which is not a party to the NPT and is [[Israel and weapons of mass destruction|widely believed]] to possess the Middle East's only nuclear arsenal<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSTRE5286XA20090309 |title=''Reuters'': Arab role needed to solve Iran nuclear issue: ElBaradei |publisher=Reuters |date=9 March 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> does not believe the 2007 National Intelligence Estimate conclusion that Iran had stopped its nuclear weapons program in 2003, insisting that it has additional evidence of an active and continued Iranian nuclear weapons program.<ref>[http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/05/world/middleeast/05webreact.html?ref=world "Israel Unconvinced Iran Has Dropped Nuclear Program", By Steven Erlanger and Graham Bowley ''New York Times'', 5 December 2007]</ref><ref>{{cite web|last=Keinon |first=Herb |url=http://fr.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1196847294698&pagename=JPost/JPArticle/ShowFull |title=PM: Israel to expose Iran's nuclear arms program, By Herb Keinon ''Jerusalem Post'' December 9, 2007 |work=Jerusalem Post |location=Israel |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Israel has also rejected the IAEA's November 2007 and February 2008 reports on Iran, and Israeli officials have called for the resignation of [[Mohamed ElBaradei|IAEA Director General ElBaradei]], accusing him of being "pro-Iranian."<ref>{{cite web|last=Katz |first=Yaakov |url=http://fr.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1195127517568&pagename=JPost/JPArticle/ShowFull |title=Israel: IAEA's report 'unacceptable' – Jerusalem Post November 16, 2007 |work=Jerusalem Post |location=Israel |date=16 November 2007 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.reuters.com/article/latestCrisis/idUSL09395804 |title=Israeli minister says sack ElBaradei over Iran, Reuters Sun March 9, 2008 |publisher=Reuters |date=9 March 2008 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Senior Israeli, French British, German and American officials have reportedly pressured the IAEA to release allegedly censored evidence of an Iranian nuclear weapons program.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1108564.html |title=Sources: UN watchdog hiding evidence on Iran nuclear program, By Barak Ravid, Haaretz August 19, 2009 |work=Haaretz |location=Israel |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> IAEA spokesman Marc Vidricaire, though, issued a brief statement on the matter, characterizing the allegations against ElBaradei as "misinformation or misinterpretation" which have "no basis in fact."<ref>{{cite web|last=Barnes |first=Diane |url=http://www.globalsecuritynewswire.org/gsn/nw_20090828_8040.php |title=Iran Ducking Scrutiny of Alleged Nuclear-Weapon Studies, IAEA Says Friday, NTI Aug. 28, 2009 |publisher=Globalsecuritynewswire.org |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
In early June 2008, Israeli Deputy Prime Minister [[Shaul Mofaz]] expressed frustration with the perceived ineffectiveness of sanctions aimed at discouraging Iran from uranium enrichment. Israel believes the enrichment may be used to aid an alleged nuclear weapons program. Mofaz said that the [[United Nations Security Council]] and the international community have "a duty and responsibility to clarify to Iran, through drastic measures, that the repercussions of their continued pursuit of nuclear weapons will be devastating." In the same interview, Mofaz also made more direct threats to Iran's nuclear facilities, saying "if Iran continues with its programme for developing nuclear weapons, we will attack it."<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/7440472.stm |title=BBC NEWS | Middle East | Israeli minister threatens Iran |publisher=BBC News |date=6 June 2008<!- – 15:54 UK -->|accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref> Iranian spokesman Gholam Hoseyn Elham has dismissed Israeli attacks on its nuclear facilities as "impossible".<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/7467164.stm |title=BBC: Iran dismisses 'attack by Israel' |publisher=BBC News |date=21 June 2008 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> "The Israeli regime has been emboldened due to carelessness and silence of the Security Council," the Iranians further said in a response letter to the United Nations.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/meast/06/07/israel.iran/index.html |title=Report: Iran protests threats from Israeli official |publisher=CNN |date=7 June 2008 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> These statements came only days after Prime Minister [[Ehud Olmert]] asked for stronger sanctions, saying that "the long-term cost of a nuclear Iran greatly outweighs the short-term benefits of doing business with Iran."<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/7434845.stm |title=BBC NEWS | Middle East | Israeli warning over nuclear Iran |publisher=BBC News |date=4 June 2008<!- – 09:54 UK -->|accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref> |
|||
Israeli officials were reportedly concerned about the Bush administration's decision on 16 July 2008, to send a high-ranking diplomat to attend negotiation sessions between EU representatives and Iran's chief nuclear negotiator in Geneva. Israel sources reportedly obtained assurances from the Bush administration that there would be no compromise on the demand that Iran end uranium enrichment.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1002762.html |title=Report: U.S. to station diplomats in Iran for first time since 1979 – Haaretz – Israel News |work=Haaretz |location=Israel |accessdate=26 October 2008}}{{dead link|date=January 2012}}</ref> |
|||
The Israelis have also sought to "alert the American intelligence community to Iran's nuclear ability," in preparation for the new NIE, reportedly due in November 2008.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1005338.html |title=Israel seeks input on U.S. Iran report – Haaretz – Israel News |work=Haaretz |location=Israel |accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref> In September 2008, Yossi Baidatz, the head of the research division of Israeli military intelligence was quoted to say that Iran was "not likely" to obtain nuclear capabilities by 2010.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://english.people.com.cn/90001/90777/90854/6499971.html |title=Official: Iran "not likely" to have nuclear capabilities by 2010 – People's Daily Online |publisher=English.people.com.cn |accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref> |
|||
Walter Pincus of the ''Washington Post'' has written that Israel's stance on nuclear arms complicates efforts against Iran.<ref>[http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/05/03/AR2010050304341.html ''Washington Post'': Israel's stance on nuclear arms complicates efforts against Iran]</ref> [[Gawdat Bahgat]] of the [[National Defense University]] believes Iran's nuclear program is partially formed on the potential threat of a nuclear Israel.<ref name="Gawdat Bahgat" >"[http://taylorandfrancis.metapress.com/index/L368854758H065M1.pdf Nuclear proliferation: The Islamic Republic of Iran]", Gawdat Bahgat, ''[[Iranian Studies Journal]]'', vol. 39(3), September 2006</ref> Iran and the [[Arab League]] have proposed the that the Middle East be established as a Nuclear Weapon Free Zone.<ref name=IranDAConf>[http://missions.itu.int/~missiran/sts2007/07031301CD.htm Statement by H.E. Mr. Manouchehr Mottaki, Minister for Foreign Affairs of the Islamic Republic of Iran, before The Conference on Disarmament (March 2007)]</ref><ref name=eng20060531_269921>{{Cite news|url=http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/200605/31/eng20060531_269921.html|title=Arab League chief calls for nuclear-free Middle East|publisher=People's Daily Online|date=31 May 2006}}</ref> Israel said in May 2010 it would not consider taking part in nuclear weapon-free zone discussions or joining the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty until a lasting peace was achieved with its neighbors.<ref>[http://gsn.nti.org/gsn/nw_20100510_5990.php Nuclear Threat Initiative: Israel Will Not Change Nuclear Policy, Official Says]</ref> |
|||
Israel has repeatedly warned that it will strike Iran's nuclear facilities if its nuclear program is not stopped through diplomatic channels.{{Citation needed|date=October 2010}} In June 2008, the [[Israeli Air Force]] conducted a massive and highly publicized exercise over the [[Mediterranean Sea]], where Israeli aircraft practiced [[aerial refuelling]] and simulated attacks on targets 870 miles off the Israeli coast.{{Citation needed|date=October 2010}} Israeli Ambassador to the United States [[Sallai Meridor]] said that the window for diplomatic action was rapidly closing, and that "Israel will not tolerate a nuclear Iran."{{Citation needed|date=October 2010}} In 2010, a joint air exercise between Israel and [[Greece]] took place on [[Crete]]. Called "Minoas 2010", it was temporarily suspended by Greece in the aftermath of the [[Gaza flotilla raid]], but later resumed. Israel tested five [[F-16I Sufa]] and five [[F-15I]] fighter jets in strike missions, [[Sikorsky CH-53 Sea Stallion]] helicopters in pilot rescue missions, and a [[Boeing]] aircraft to practice aerial refuelling.{{Citation needed|date=October 2010}}<ref>[http://www.thetotalcollapse.com/israeli-greek-war-game-rehearses-iran-attack/ Israeli – Greek war game rehearses ‘Iran attack’ | The Total Collapse<!-- Bot generated title -->]</ref> Because Iranian nuclear facilities are heavily fortified and often located underground, [[Israel Military Industries]] is developing the MPR-500 [[bunker buster]] bomb,{{Citation needed|date=October 2010}} and Israeli pilots have allegedly practiced airstrikes involving low-yield nuclear weapons.<ref>[http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/article1290331.ece Revealed – Israel plans nuclear strike on Iran], Uzi Mahnaimi and Sarah Boxter, The Sunday Times, London, 7 January 2007.</ref> |
|||
In May 2010, Israel reportedly deployed [[Dolphin class submarine]]s with nuclear missiles capable of reaching any target in Iran in the [[Persian Gulf]]. Their reported missions were to deter Iran, gather intelligence, and to potentially land [[Mossad]] agents on the Iranian coast.<ref>{{Cite news| url=http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/europe/article7140282.ece|location=London|title=Israel stations nuclear missile subs off Iran|first=Uzi|last=Mahnaimi|date=30 May 2010|work=The Times}}</ref> In July, two Israeli missile boats were also deployed. |
|||
Some in Israel are worried that Iran may achieve a latent capability to produce nuclear weapons without taking any overt steps that would expose it to further international action.<ref>{{cite news|last=Karon|first=Tony|title=Is Israel Again Weighing an Attack on Iran's Nuclear Facilities? Read more: http://globalspin.blogs.time.com/2011/10/04/is-israel-again-weighing-an-attack-on-irans-nuclear-facilities/#ixzz1aL2DTU6N|url=http://globalspin.blogs.time.com/2011/10/04/is-israel-again-weighing-an-attack-on-irans-nuclear-facilities/|work=Global Spin|publisher=Time.com|accessdate=10 October 2011|date=04 October 2011}}</ref> |
|||
===US and European viewpoint=== |
|||
{{Main|Iran and weapons of mass destruction}} |
|||
:''See also: [[Opposition to military action against Iran#Reports of a potential military attack on Iran|Potential military strike on Iran]]'' |
|||
In March 2005, the New York Times reported that a bipartisan Congressional inquiry concluded that the United States had inadequate intelligence to reach any conclusions on the state of Iran's nuclear program.<ref>{{Cite news|title=Data Is Lacking On Iran's Arms, U.S. Panel Says – New York Times|url=http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9D07EEDE163CF93AA35750C0A9639C8B63&sec=&spon=&pagewanted=print|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008|work=The New York Times|first1=Douglas|last1=Jehl|first2=Eric|last2=Schmitt}}</ref> In March 2009, the US Director of National Intelligence and Defense Intelligence Agency Director both testified before Congress that Iran did not have highly enriched uranium for bomb-making and had not made the decision to produce any, and also that Iran's missile program was not related to its nuclear program.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://in.reuters.com/article/oilRpt/idINWAT01111620090310 |title=Iran lacks weapons-grade nuclear material – U.S., Reuters Tue March 10, 2009 |publisher=In.reuters.com |date=10 March 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
Much of the debate about the 'Iranian nuclear threat' is therefore driven by concern that Iran's mastery of civilian technology could provide it the means to rapidly develop a weapons capability should Iran wish to do so in the future.<ref name="parliament.uk-200708" /> President Bush claimed that Iran's pursuit of nuclear weapons could trigger "World War III", while in 2007 Undersecretary of State Nicholas Burns warned Iran may be seeking a nuclear weapons capability.<ref>{{Cite journal|title=McClatchy Washington Bureau |
|||
| url=http://www.mcclatchydc.com/227/story/21067.html|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008|issue=firm|unused_data=11/04/2007}}</ref> Steven C. Welsh, Managing Editor of FrontPage Magazine, when discussing Iran's nuclear program says that Iran "concealed this program for nearly two decades by lying, dissembling and deceiving UN inspectors".<ref>{{cite web|url=http://frontpagemag.com/articles/Read.aspx?GUID=4DC8802E-ED20-4279-B537-7BA3A4F53111 |title=''Front Page Magazine'': Iran's Nuclear Two-Step |publisher=Frontpagemag.com |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> ''[[The Economist]]'' magazine opined that "even before the election of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad Iran was negotiating in bad faith. During this period, European officials believe, it continued to work in secret on nuclear research, having promised to suspend uranium enrichment."<ref>"[http://www.economist.com/research/articlesbysubject/displaystory.cfm?subjectid=3856661&story_id=5408017 Playing soft or hard cop]," Charlemagne, ''The Economist,'' 21 January 2006. Vol.378, Iss. 8461; p. 42</ref> The Iranians attributed the concealment of portions of their nuclear program to the fact that the US repeatedly hampered their overt attempts at acquiring the necessary technology for their program, and also point out that they promised to suspend enrichment rather than cease all research.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.zarif.net/Articles/Columbia%20JIA.pdf |title=file:///C|/Users/MJZ/Desktop/Doc2.htm |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> After about two years, Iran ceased its voluntary<ref>[http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/Focus/IaeaIran/eu_iran14112004.shtml Iran-EU Agreement on Nuclear Programme]<blockquote>To build further confidence, Iran has decided, on a voluntary basis, to continue and extend its suspension ..</blockquote></ref> and temporary suspension of enrichment after receiving a "very insulting and humiliating"<ref name="guardian1" /> offer which some analysts described as an "empty box".<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.basicint.org/pubs/Notes/BN050811-IranEU.htm |title=BASIC Notes, August 11, 2005 |publisher=Basicint.org |accessdate=20 September 2009 |archiveurl = http://web.archive.org/web/20080613001242/http://www.basicint.org/pubs/Notes/BN050811-IranEU.htm |archivedate = 13 June 2008}}{{dead link|date=January 2012}}</ref> In response, the West rejected an Iranian offer for a nuclear consortium in Iran and said they would go to the Security Council for sanctions.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/low/middle_east/5403148.stm |title=''BBC'': Key powers to seek Iran sanctions |publisher=BBC News |date=3 October 2006 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Iran says its voluntary confidence building measures were only "reciprocated by broken promises and expanded requests" and that the EU3 "simply wanted prolonged and fruitless negotiations" to inhibit Iran from exercising its inalienable right to peaceful nuclear technology.<ref name="a2005" /> |
|||
Western governments say they now accept Iran's desire for nuclear power. For example, in November 2007, President Bush acknowledged Iran's sovereign right to civilian nuclear technology.<ref>{{cite web|title=ABC News: TRANSCRIPT: Gibson Interviews Bush|url=http://abcnews.go.com/WN/Vote2008/story?id=3891196|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> Independent analyses support the economic basis for an Iranian nuclear power program. A study by the UK Parliamentary Office of Science and Technology concluded in March 2004 that "some of [[John R. Bolton|John Bolton]]'s criticisms were not supported by an analysis of the facts (for example, much of the gas flared off by Iran is not recoverable for energy use), but that Iran's decision to adopt the nuclear power option could not entirely be explained by the economics of energy production."<ref>{{cite web|title=House of Commons – Foreign Affairs – Third Report|url=http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200304/cmselect/cmfaff/80/8006.htm|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/HUG251987.htm |archiveurl=http://web.archive.org/web/20050305211339/http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/HUG251987.htm |archivedate=5 March 2005 |title=Iran's arguments for nuclear power make some sense, Reuters Mar 2, 2005, By Paul Hughes |publisher=Web.archive.org |date=2 March 2005 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> An article published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences concluded that "Iran's claim to need nuclear power to preserve exports is genuine."<ref>Roger Stern, [http://www.pnas.org/content/104/1/377.full.pdf The Iranian petroleum crisis and United States national security], ''PNAS,'' Vol. 104, No. 1 (2 January 2007), pp. 377–382.</ref> |
|||
The P5 (China, France, Russia, United Kingdom, and United States) plus Germany (the P5+1) have offered benefits to Iran, including "legally binding" fuel supply guarantees.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.isis-online.org/publications/iran/Diplomatic_Offer_16June2008.pdf |title=Text of P5+1 Foreign Ministers' letter to Iran, June 12, 2008 |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> The deal offered by the P5+1 would leave Iran reliant on external sources of fuel, as is true for most countries with nuclear power programs though many of them also lack indigenous resources to produce their own fuel, or do not have the same strategic security concerns as Iran.<ref>[http://www-nfcis.iaea.org/NFCIS/NFCISMain.asp?RPage=1&RightP=List IAEA Nuclear Fuel Cycle Information System]</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/programmes/a2/ |title=Nuclear Power Plants Information |publisher=Iaea.org |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad rejected this proposal, saying that Iran had the right to process uranium for fuel and that Iran "will not retreat one iota in the face of oppressing powers."<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/7520854.stm |title=''BBC'': Iran vows no nuclear concessions |publisher=BBC News |date=23 July 2008 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
While recognizing Iran's interest in nuclear power, skeptics such as ''The Economist'' and ISIS have questioned the rationale for Iran's enrichment program. An op-ed published in January 2008 in ''The Economist'', which said the threat of force had "put some steel" into the diplomatic process, opined that "learning to enrich uranium—a hugely costly venture—still makes questionable economic sense for Iran, since it lacks sufficient natural uranium to keep them going and [they] would have to import the stuff."<ref>[http://www.economist.com/world/asia/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10601584 Iran's nuclear programme: As the enrichment machines spin on], ''The Economist''. London: 2 February 2008. Vol. 386, Iss. 8565; p. 30</ref> A February 2009 ISIS report argued there was a perceived "fundamental inconsistency" between the stated purposes and available information on the capabilities of Iran's domestic uranium production program. The report, citing data published by Iran and the IAEA on Iran's uranium resources, argued that those resources are sufficient for developing a weapons capability, but would not meet the requirements for even a single power reactor.<ref>David Albright, Jacqueline Shire and Paul Brannan, ISIS Report, [http://www.isisnucleariran.org/assets/pdf/Iran_Yellowcake.pdf Is Iran Running Out of Yellowcake?]</ref></blockquote> The Atomic Energy Organization of Iran responded to this and related stories by saying it had sufficient uranium mines. The Foreign Ministry of Iran said Western claims of a uranium shortage were "media speculation without any scientific basis"<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2009/02/11/news/ML-Iran-Raw-Uranium.php |title=''International Herald Tribune'': Official: Iran not running out of raw uranium |work=International Herald Tribune |date=29 March 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> and that Iran was not seeking uranium on international markets.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSTRE51A24A20090211 |title=''Reuters'': Iran dismisses report it faces raw uranium shortage |publisher=Reuters |date=11 February 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> The Atomic Energy Organization of Iran has said surveys had shown proven reserves of approximately 3,000 tons of uranium so far and that the expected resources of Iran could be at the range of 20,000–30,000 tons. The organization concluded that "according to all the surveys performed in power sector of Iran, nuclear option is the most competitive to fossil alternatives if the existing low domestic fuel prices are gradually increased to its opportunity costs at the level of international prices."<ref>[http://www.aeoi.org.ir/NewWeb/public%20relation/articles/archives/1384/files/ISLAMIC%20REPUBLIC%20OF%20IRAN.doc Atomic Energy Organization of Iran: Energy, Economic and Electricity Information]{{Dead link|date=September 2009}}</ref> In effect, the Bush administration took the position that Iran was too dangerous to be allowed "the technology to produce nuclear material for electricity".<ref>[http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9D02E7DE163FF930A15750C0A9639C8B63 Nuclear Power Is Good: U.S. and Iran Have No Argument There], Elaine Sciolino, ''The 'New York Times,'' 23 March 2005.]</ref> |
|||
In December 2008, the ISIS asserted that Iran had produced 425 kilograms of uranium, and that Iran had "not yet achieved a break-out capability", but that Iran may be close to a break-out capability.<ref>David Albright, Jacqueline Shire and Paul Brannan, ISIS Report, [http://www.isis-online.org/publications/iran/LEU_Iran_2December2008.pdf Has Iran Achieved a Nuclear Weapons Breakout Capability? Not Yet, But Soon.]</ref> In response to claims that Iran had enough material to make a weapon, the Arms Control Association urged the U.S. and media to exhibit greater care when making claims about Iran's nuclear program.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.armscontrol.org/node/3540 |title=ACA: Arms Experts Correct the Record on Iran Uranium Claims |publisher=Armscontrol.org |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Ivan Oelrich and Ivanka Barzashka, from the Federation of American Scientists, say that the "simplistic calculations" contained in the ISIS article were wrong because "just taking the quantity of LEU and multiplying by the U-235 concentration does not work because not all of the U-235 is recovered".<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.fas.org/blog/ssp/2009/02/irans-uranium-dont-panic-yet.php |title=Oelrich and Barzashka: Don't Panic Yet |publisher=Fas.org |date=27 February 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Cheryl Rofer, a retired 35 year researcher at Los Alamos National Laboratory and former president of the Los Alamos Committee on Arms Control and International Security,<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.aauw-sf.org/Newsletters/AAUWNov08.pdf |title=American Association of University Women: November 2008 |publisher=Aauw-sf.org |accessdate=20 September 2009}} {{Dead link|date=September 2010|bot=H3llBot}}</ref> has argued that for Iran to make a bomb from this material it would need to kick all the inspectors out of the country, reconfigure thousands of closely watched centrifuges, and then engage in years of enrichment.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20090220.wreckoning0220/BNStory/International/home?cid=al_gam_mostemail |title=''The Globe and Mail'': Iran: the enemy that almost isn't |work=The Globe and Mail |location=Canada |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref><ref>[http://whirledview.typepad.com/whirledview/cheryl_rofer/ Cheryl Rofer: "Whoo-Hoo! Atoms of Fissionable Material Everywhere! – Updated 2/22/09"]{{Dead link|date=September 2009}}</ref> According to the American Institute of Physics, the most difficult step in building a nuclear weapon is the production of fissile material.<ref>[http://scitation.aip.org/getabs/servlet/GetabsServlet?prog=normal&id=PHTOAD000061000009000040000001&idtype=cvips&gifs=yes American Institute of Physics: The gas centrifuge and nuclear weapons proliferation]{{dead link|date=January 2012}}</ref> Iran has enriched uranium to "less than 5%," consistent with fuel for a nuclear power plant and well below the purity of WEU (around 90%) typically used in a weapons program.<ref>[http://www.cfr.org/publication/16811/ Council on Foreign Relations: Iran's Nuclear Program]<blockquote>Weapons-grade uranium—also known as highly-enriched uranium, or HEU—is around 90% (technically, HEU is any concentration over 20%, but weapons-grade levels are described as being in excess of 90%).</blockquote></ref><ref>[http://www.fas.org/nuke/intro/nuke/uranium.htm Federation of American Scientists: Uranium Production]<blockquote>A state selecting uranium for its weapons must obtain a supply of uranium ore and construct an enrichment plant because the U-235 content in natural uranium is over two orders of magnitude lower than that found in weapons grade uranium (>90% U-235 U).</blockquote></ref> HEU with a purity of 20% or more is usable in a weapon, but this route is less desirable because far more material is required to obtain critical mass.<ref name="nti.org" /> "Our production of a nuclear energy program is completely within the framework or structure of international laws," said Ali Akbar Javanfekr, media adviser to President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/02/22/AR2009022201127_pf.html |title=''Washington Post'': Iran's First Nuclear Power Plant Set for Tests Before Launch |work=The Washington Post |accessdate=20 September 2009|first=Thomas|last=Erdbrink}}</ref> David Albright, president of the group which published the report, maintained that Iran's enriched uranium meant that Israel was losing control over the timing of Iran's nuclear activities and that even Iran pretending to have a bomb would be a threat.<ref>{{cite web|author=James Wray and Ulf Stabe |url=http://www.monstersandcritics.com/news/middleeast/features/article_1461375.php/Can_Iran_make_a_nuclear_bomb_No_so_fast_analysts_say__Feature__ |title=''Monsters and Critics'': Can Iran make a nuclear bomb? No so fast, analysts say |publisher=Monstersandcritics.com |date=25 February 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> The International Atomic Energy Agency said its inspectors have not found evidence to suggest that Iran is attempting to process low-enriched uranium into weapons-grade uranium.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009-02/21/content_10860981.htm |title=''Xinhua'': IAEA finds no weapons-grade enriched uranium in Iran |publisher=News.xinhuanet.com |date=21 February 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> "At the moment, I'm not very concerned," said Andreas Persbo, an analyst at the Verification Research, Training and Information Center.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://sify.com/news/fullstory.php?id=14862334&?vsv=HP1 |title=''Sify'': Can Iran make a nuclear bomb? |publisher=Sify.com |date=26 February 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
Western sources have expressed mixed views on the logic of Iran's nuclear fuel cycle investments. An op-ed published in ''The Economist'' opined that with the money spent on its nuclear program, Iran could have built "ten conventional plants of the same capacity, fired solely by the natural gas that Iran currently flares off into the sky".<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.economist.com/world/mideast-africa/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10181134 |title=Iran | They think they have right on their side |work=The Economist |date=22 November 2007 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.irannewswatch.com/2007/11/they-think-they-have-right-on-their.html |title=They think they have right on their side – Why the Iranians see themselves in a very different light |publisher=Iran News Watch |date=24 November 2007 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> David Isenberg, a senior analyst with the Washington-based British American Security Information Council (BASIC), has argued oil and gas production has its own costs, that Iran gains strategic value from being an oil and gas exporter, and that "as a sovereign nation Iran is entitled to make its own sovereign decisions as to how provide for its own energy needs".<ref>{{cite web |date=24 August 2005 |url=http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/GH24Ak02.html |title=''Asia Times'': The fuel behind Iran's nuclear drive |publisher=Atimes.com |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
Christoph Bertram, a former director of the International Institute for Security Studies, has said that a "nuclear Iran" would not be in Iran's strategic interest, and rather that a nuclear Iran would jeopardise the strenuously gained political capital that it has earned since the end of the Iran-Iraq war.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iss.europa.eu/index.php?id=18&no_cache=1&tx_ttnews%5Btt_news%5D=1099&tx_ttnews%5BbackPid%5D=1&cHash=85ef6cf6db |title=Institute for Security Studies: Rethinking Iran: from confrontation to cooperation |publisher=Iss.europa.eu |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Volker Perthes, director of the German Institute for International and Security Affairs, argues that "a strategic decision on the final aim of the Iranian nuclear programme has not been made". Perthes suggests a WMD-free zone in the Middle East is the best way to deal with the alleged nuclear ambitions of Iran.<ref>"Iran – Eine politische Herausforderung: Die prekäre Balance von Vertrauen und Sicherheit (Broschiert)" by Volker Perthes. p113.</ref> |
|||
On 31 July 2006, the Security Council passed a resolution demanding that Iran stop "all enrichment-related and reprocessing activities." (Reprocessing involves chemically separating plutonium from other nuclear waste products, a procedure that can lead to production of bomb-grade fuel.) A month later, an IAEA report indicated that "there are no indications of ongoing reprocessing activities in Iran."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2006/gov2006-53.pdf |title=GOV/2006/53 – Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
The United States failed to get any backing for military attacks on Iran to enforce the sanctions. The March resolution even restated the UN position that the Middle East region should be nuclear free.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2008/sc9268.doc.htm |title=United Nations Security Council: Resolution 1803 (2008) |publisher=United Nations |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
U.S. officials told the New York Times that the new sanctions went beyond the nuclear issue. "The new language was written to rein in what they [U.S. officials] see as Tehran's ambitions to become the dominant military power in the Persian Gulf and across the Middle East."<ref>Reese Erlich, "[http://www.fpif.org/fpiftxt/4768 U.S. Tells Iran: Become a Nuclear Power]," excerpted from "The Iran Agenda: The Real Story of U.S. Policy and The Middle East Crisis," (PoliPointPress, 2007). Used with permission.</ref> |
|||
Kouchner was not specific about what penalties Europe might impose, other than to say they could be "economic sanctions regarding financial movements." "Our German friends proposed this. We discussed it a few days ago," he said. "The international community's demand is simple: They must stop enriching uranium," Kouchner said. "Our Iranian friends want to create, they say, civilian nuclear energy. They have the right to that, but all that they are doing proves the contrary. That is why we are worried," he said.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/09/17/europe/EU-GEN-France-Iran-Nuclear.php|title=European leaders considering Iran sanctions, French foreign minister says|agency=Associated Press|work=International Herald Tribune |date=16 September 2007}}</ref> |
|||
Tensions have been raised by media reports of an Israeli air incursion over northeastern Syria on 6 September. One U.S. official said the attack hit weapons heading for the Lebanese militant group [[Hezbollah]], an ally of Syria and Iran, but there also has been speculation the Israelis hit a nascent nuclear facility or were studying routes for a possible future strike on Iran. Others suspect Israel was performing an intelligence operation for the U.S.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3450421,00.html|title=Rice's 'thank you' visit|author=Yaakov Lappin|publisher=[[Ynetnews]]|date=09.17.07}}</ref> |
|||
With Iran adding to the talk of military options, Undersecretary of State [[R. Nicholas Burns|Nicholas Burns]] called in September 2007 for UN Security Council members and U.S. allies to help push for a third round of sanctions against Iran over the nuclear program.<ref name=ap-20070919 >{{Cite news|url=http://www.usatoday.com/news/topstories/2007-09-19-74273516_x.htm|title=Iran: Retaliation for any Israeli attack|author=Ali Akbar Dareini|agency=Associated Press|date=19 September 2007|accessdate=22 January 2008|work=USA Today}}</ref> |
|||
In 2006 the Germans suggested that Iran would be able to operate their enrichment program, subject to IAEA inspections. The German Minister of Defense Franz Josef Jung stated that a ban on Iranian enrichment work was unrealistic, that "One cannot forbid Iran from doing what other countries in the world are doing in accordance with international law" and that IAEA oversight of any Iranian enrichment activities would provide the necessary assurances to the international community that Iran could not secretly divert the program of weapons use.<ref>{{cite web|title=Iran Focus-Germany can accept nuclear enrichment in Iran – Nuclear – News|url=http://www.iranfocus.com/modules/news/article.php?storyid=7755|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> Later, the Europeans reportedly also considered a compromise proposal where Iran would be allowed to continue spinning its centrifuges but would not feed any processed uranium hexafluoride (UF6) into the machines during the course of negotiations.<ref>{{Cite news|title= |
|||
Europeans weigh compromise offer for Iran-diplomats |
|||
| Reuters |
|||
|url=http://www.reuters.com/article/latestCrisis/idUSL10161072|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008 |
|||
| first=Louis |
|||
| last=Charbonneau |
|||
| date=10 February 2007}}</ref> |
|||
The Iranians had also indicated that they were willing to consider suspending large-scale enrichment for up to two years, but were not prepared to freeze enrichment entirely<ref>{{Cite news|title=USATODAY.com – Iran offers to suspend large-scale uranium enrichment|url=http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2006-03-07-iran_x.htm|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008|work=USA Today|date=7 March 2006}}</ref> |
|||
The compromise ideas were reportedly shot down by the US, and Robert Joseph, the Under-Secretary of State for Arms Control reportedly told ElBaradei: "We cannot have a single centrifuge spinning in Iran. Iran is a direct threat to the national security of the United States and our allies, and we will not tolerate it. We want you to give us an understanding that you will not say anything publicly that will undermine us."<ref>[http://www.newyorker.com/archive/2006/04/17/060417fa_fact The Iran Plans] by Seymour M. Hersh, New Yorker, 17 April 2006</ref> |
|||
In June 2007, IAEA director Mohammad ElBaradei suggested that Iran should be allowed limited uranium enrichment under strict supervision of the IAEA.<ref>{{cite web|title=Iran should continue limited enrichment, atomic watchdog says – International Herald Tribune|url=http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/05/22/africa/nuke.php|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> His remarks were formally criticised by Nicholas Burns, the US Under-Secretary of State, who said: "We are not going to agree to accept limited enrichment"<ref>{{Cite news|title=US protest at Iran remark by nuclear watchdog|url=http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/05/24/wiaea24.xml|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008|work=The Daily Telegraph|location=London|first=David|last=Blair|date=24 May 2007}}</ref> |
|||
ElBaradei later criticized the US position and [http://www.newsweek.com/id/199149 said,] |
|||
<blockquote>I have seen the Iranians ready to accept putting a cap on their enrichment [program] in terms of tens of centrifuges, and then in terms of hundreds of centrifuges. But nobody even tried to engage them on these offers. Now Iran has 5,000 centrifuges. The line was, "Iran will buckle under pressure." But this issue has become so ingrained in the Iranian soul as a matter of national pride. </blockquote> |
|||
In February 2008, Pierre Vimont, the French Ambassador to the United States, urged that the United States adopt a more flexible approach to Iran by accepting its regional role and recognizing that the nuclear issue has broad popular support among Iranians.<ref>{{cite web|title=POLITICS: Accept Iran's Regional Role, Says French Envoy|url=http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=41064|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> |
|||
The United States has claimed Iran's launching of a data processing satellite could be linked to the development of a military nuclear capability and that the activities were of "great concern".<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/7866357.stm |title=''BBC'': Iran launches homegrown satellite |publisher=BBC News |date=3 February 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> The U.S. specifically said it would continue "to address the threats posed by Iran, including those related to its missile and nuclear programs."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2009/02/115895.htm |title=U.S. Department of State: Iranian Launch of Satellite |publisher=State.gov |date=3 February 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Despite the U.S. saying it would use all elements of the national power to deal with Tehran,<ref>{{cite web|url=http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009-02/04/content_10763872.htm |title=''Xinhua'': Iran insists its satellite serves no military purpose |publisher=News.xinhuanet.com |date=4 February 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Iran criticized the West's double standards<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.tehrantimes.com/Index_view.asp?code=188790 |title=''Tehran Times'': Larijani meets top European diplomats in Munich |publisher=Tehrantimes.com |date=8 February 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> and said the launch was a step to remove the scientific monopoly certain world countries are trying to impose on the world.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.tehrantimes.com/Index_view.asp?code=188596 |title=''Tehran Times'': Iran should turn into model country: Ahmadinejad |publisher=Tehrantimes.com |date=5 February 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Iraqi National Security Advisor Muwafaq al-Rubaie said Iraq was very pleased with the launch of Iran's peaceful data-processing national satellite.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.tehrantimes.com/Index_view.asp?code=188797 |title=''Tehran Times'': Iraq pleased with Iran's launching of Omid satellite: al-Rubaie |publisher=Tehrantimes.com |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
On 26 February 2009, U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Susan Rice said that the United States "will seek to end Iran's ambition to acquire an illicit nuclear capability and its support for terrorism".<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://edition.cnn.com/2009/WORLD/meast/02/26/us.iran/ |title=Rice: U.S. will seek to end any 'illicit' nuclear ambitions by Iran |publisher=CNN |date=26 February 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Robert Wood, spokesman for the U.S. State Department, said that the U.S. believes that "Iran doesn't need to develop its own nuclear capacity" and specifically that the U.S. does not believe that Iran needs to develop an indigenous uranium enrichment capacity.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/dpb/2009/02/119782.htm |title=U.S. State Department: Daily Press Briefing – February 25, 2009 |publisher=State.gov |date=25 February 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> On 8 April 2009, Wood said that "on the basis of mutual respect and mutual interest" the U.S. would sit with the P-5+1 in discussions with Iran and ask the EU High Representative for Common and Foreign Security Policy to extend an invitation to Iran to meet with representatives of the P-5+1. Wood further said, "We hope this will be the occasion to seriously engage Iran on how to break the logjam of recent years and work in a cooperative manner to resolve the outstanding international concerns about its nuclear program".<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/dpb/2009/04/121499.htm |title=U.S. State Department: Robert Wood, Acting Department Spokesman, Daily Press Briefing (04/08/09) |publisher=State.gov |date=8 April 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has said "pursuing very careful engagement on a range of issues that affect our interests and the interests of the world with Iran makes sense".<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.state.gov/secretary/rm/2009a/04/121501.htm |title=U.S. State Department: Secretary of State Remarks With Panamanian Foreign Minister Samuel Lewis Navarro Before Their Meeting (04/08/2009) |publisher=State.gov |date=8 April 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
In March 2009, the Supreme Leader of Iran questioned the sincerity so far of the U.S.'s new rhetoric,<ref>[http://www.presstv.com/detail.aspx?id=87499§ionid=351020101 ''PressTV'': Leader questions Obama's change policy], 4 March 2009.</ref> and Iran's ambassador to International Atomic Energy Agency said UN sanctions united Iranians to protect their "national interest" of enrichment.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.tehrantimes.com/index_View.asp?code=190458 |title=''Tehran Times'': Iran's nuclear issue was illegally sent to Security Council |publisher=Tehrantimes.com |date=5 March 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> In April 2009, [[Mahmoud Ahmadinejad]] said his country "welcomes a hand extended to it should it really and truly be based on honesty, justice and respect."<ref>[http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=102874961 ''NPR'': US to attend group nuclear talks with Iran]{{Dead link|date=September 2009}}</ref> Karim Sadjadpour, of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, has said Iran's leader "holds strongly that Tehran must not compromise in the face of U.S. pressure or intimidation, for it would project weakness and encourage even greater pressure."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://foreign.senate.gov/testimony/2009/SadjadpourTestimony090303a.pdf |title=Microsoft Word – Sadjadpour, Karim |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}} {{Dead link|date=September 2010|bot=H3llBot}}</ref> [[Richard Haass]], President of the Council on Foreign Relations, has said "the United States should be willing to discuss what Iran (as a signatory of the NPT) describes as its "right to enrich." It may well be necessary to acknowledge this right, provided that Iran accepts both limits on its enrichment program (no HEU) and enhanced safeguards".<ref name="foreign.senate.gov"/> Mark Fitzpatrick, a Senior Fellow for Non‐Proliferation at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, has said "a key policy challenge is how to build a barrier between a latent nuclear weapons capability and actual weapons production. This is difficult when, as in Iran's case today, the distinction is blurred almost to the point of invisibility."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://foreign.senate.gov/testimony/2009/FitzpatrickTestimony090303a.pdf |title=Senate Foreign Relations Committee: Statement of Mark Fitzpatrick (March 3, 2009) |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}} {{Dead link|date=September 2010|bot=H3llBot}}</ref> |
|||
On Tuesday, 27 July 2010 [[United Kingdom|British]] Prime Minister [[David Cameron]] made what has been described as "his most outspoken comments on the Tehran regime since becoming PM", saying "Iran is enriching uranium to 20 per cent with no Industrial logic other than producing a bomb. If Iran's nuclear program is peaceful, then why won't Iran allow the International Atomic Energy Agency to inspect? Why does Iran continue to seek to acquire military components? And why does Iran continue to threaten Israel with annihilation?" These comments were made the day after the European Union introduced sanctions which ban the sale of equipment, technology and services to Iran.<ref name="DailyMail2010-07-27">{{Cite news|title=Turkey must join EU, says Cameron: ''Critics of bid 'are playing on fears of Islam'''|last=Groves|first=Jason|date=27 July 2010|work=Daily Mail|publisher=Associated Newspapers, Ltd|page=2|accessdate=28 July 2010}}</ref> |
|||
On 1 December 2011 The [[European Union]] had agreed to impose sanctions on 180 Iranian officials and companies, EU diplomats say. The sanctions were announced after a meeting of EU foreign ministers in Brussels. The EU has yet to release details about the 180 officials and entities which will be targeted by the sanctions.<ref>{{cite news | url=http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15984216 | title=EU to put new sanctions on Iran's officials and firms |publisher=BBC | accessdate=1 December 2011 | date=1 December 2011}}</ref> |
|||
====2007 Iran National Intelligence Estimate==== |
|||
In December 2007 the United States [[National Intelligence Estimate]] (representing the consensus view of all 16 American spy agencies) "judged with high confidence" that Iran had halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003, with "moderate confidence" that the program remains frozen, and with "moderate-to-high confidence" that Iran is "keeping open the option to develop nuclear weapons." The estimate said that the enrichment program could still provide Iran with enough raw material to produce a nuclear weapon sometime by the middle of next decade but that intelligence agencies "do not know whether it currently intends to develop nuclear weapons" at some future date. Senator [[Harry Reid]], the [[Party leaders of the United States Senate|majority leader]] of the Senate in 2008, said he hoped the administration would "appropriately adjust its rhetoric and policy".<ref>{{Cite news|title=U.S. Says Iran Ended Atomic Arms Work – New York Times|url=http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/03/world/middleeast/03cnd-iran.html?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008|work=The New York Times|first=Mark|last=Mazzetti|date=3 December 2007}}</ref><ref name=2007NIE >[http://www.dni.gov/press_releases/20071203_release.pdf Iran: Nuclear Intentions and Capabilities] (National Intelligence Estimate)</ref> The conclusion that Iran had a nuclear weapons program in 2003 was reportedly mainly based on the contents of a laptop computer that was allegedly stolen from Iran and provided to US intelligence agencies by dissidents.<ref>{{Cite news|title=How Did a 2005 Estimate Go Awry? – New York Times|url=http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/04/washington/04policy.html|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008|work=The New York Times|first1=William J.|last1=Broad|first2=David E.|last2=Sanger|date=4 December 2007}}</ref> The Russians dismissed this conclusion, stating that they had not seen evidence that Iran had ever pursued a nuclear weapons program.<ref>{{cite web|title=Interfax > Politics|url=http://www.interfax.ru/e/B/politics/28.html?id_issue=11923940|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008| archiveurl = http://web.archive.org/web/20080125023509/http://www.interfax.ru/e/B/politics/28.html?id_issue=11923940| archivedate = 25 January 2008}}</ref> |
|||
The 2007 NIE report, contradicted the previous 2005 NIE conclusion which asserted that Iran had an active and on-going nuclear weapons program in 2005. According to a senior administration official, in a January 2008 conversation with [[Israel]]i Prime Minister [[Ehud Olmert]], Israeli and other foreign officials asked President Bush to explain the 2007 NIE. Bush "told the Israelis that he can't control what the intelligence community says, but that (the NIE's) conclusions don't reflect his own views".<ref>{{cite web|title=Bothersome Intel on Iran|work=Newsweek |url=http://www.newsweek.com/id/91673|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> After Bush seemed to distance himself from the report, the White House later said Bush endorses the "full scope" of the US intelligence findings on Iran.<ref>{{cite web|title=Middle East Online|url=http://www.middle-east-online.com/english/?id=23931|accessdate=24 February 2008|year=2008}}</ref> |
|||
Mohammed ElBaradei, the Director of the IAEA, noted in particular that the NIE's conclusions corresponded with the IAEA's consistent statements that it had "no concrete evidence of an ongoing nuclear weapons program or undeclared nuclear facilities in Iran."<ref>[http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/PressReleases/2007/prn200722.html Statement by IAEA Director General on New U.S. Intelligence Estimate on Iran] IAEA Press Release 2007/22, 4 December 2007</ref> |
|||
In February 2009 testimony before the U.S. Senate, Director of National Intelligence [[Dennis C. Blair|Dennis Blair]] reaffirmed the conclusions of the 2007 National Intelligence Estimate and said "although we do not know whether Iran currently intends to develop nuclear weapons, we assess Tehran at a minimum is keeping open the option to develop them." He said Iran was unlikely to achieve a nuclear weapon before 2013 because of foreseeable technical and programmatic problems, and that this would be in the case that it decided to do so.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://intelligence.senate.gov/090212/blair.pdf |title=Microsoft Word – UNCL SFR WWT SSCI 2009 FINAL2.doc |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Stephen Lendman, an American research associate of the Centre for Research on Globalization based in Canada, has argued Iran's commercial nuclear program is perfectly legal and that the U.S. has a double standard towards Iran's nuclear program.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.tehrantimes.com/index_View.asp?code=189328 |title=''Tehran Times'': Iran's nuclear program is perfectly legal: U.S. researcher |publisher=Tehrantimes.com |date=15 February 2009 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Joseph Cirincione, a nuclear weapons expert and president of the Ploughshares Fund, has said the Obama administration does not want to be drawn into a debate over Iran's intent because "when you're talking about negotiations in Iran, it is dangerous to appear weak or naive."<ref>[http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/washingtondc/la-fg-usiran12-2009feb12,0,3478184.story ''Los Angeles Times'': U.S. now sees Iran as pursuing nuclear bomb]{{Dead link|date=September 2009}}</ref> The documentary film [[Iranium]] also explores this issue. |
|||
===G8=== |
|||
Since 2003, when the IAEA began investigating Iran's previously undeclared nuclear activities, the [[G8]] (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Russia, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States) has repeatedly voiced its concerns over Iran's nuclear program. At the 2003 G8 summit in France, G8 leaders said: "We will not ignore the proliferation implications of Iran's advanced nuclear program."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.g8.fr/evian/english/navigation/2003_g8_summit/summit_documents/non_proliferation_of_weapons_of_mass_destruction_-_a_g8_declaration.html |title=Non Proliferation Of Weapons Of Mass Destruction: A G8 Declaration |publisher=G8.fr |date=2 June 2003 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> The 2004 G8 Action Plan on Nonproliferation "deplore[d] Iran's delays, deficiencies in cooperation, and inadequate disclosures, as detailed in IAEA Director General reports."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/releases/2004/06/20040609-28.html |title=G-8 Action Plan on Nonproliferation |publisher=Georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov |date=9 June 2004 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> In 2005 G8 leaders concluded that "It is essential that Iran provide the international community with objective guarantees that its nuclear program is exclusively for peaceful purposes in order to build international confidence." |
|||
In 2006, after Iran was found in non-compliance with its safeguards agreement and reported to the UN Security Council, the G8 toughened its position: "Iran not having shown willingness to engage in serious discussion of those proposals and having failed to take the steps needed to allow negotiations to begin, specifically the suspension of all enrichment related and reprocessing activities, as required by the IAEA and supported in the United Nations Security Council Presidential Statement, we supported the decision of those countries' Ministers to return the issue of Iran to the United Nations Security Council."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://en.g8russia.ru/docs/25.html |title=Chair's Summary St. Petersburg, July 17, 2006 |publisher=En.g8russia.ru |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> The following year, G8 leaders "deplore[d] the fact that Iran [had] so far failed to meet its obligations under UNSC Resolutions 1696, 1737 and 1747," and threatened "further measures, should Iran refuse to comply with its obligations," but held out the prospect that "[i]nternational confidence in the exclusively peaceful nature of the Iranian nuclear program would permit a completely new chapter to be opened in our relations with Iran not only in the nuclear but also more broadly in the political, economic and technological fields."<ref>[http://www.g-8.de/Content/EN/Artikel/__g8-summit/anlagen/heiligendamm-statement-on-non-proliferation,templateId=raw,property=publicationFile.pdf/heiligendamm-statement-on-non-proliferation Heiligendamm Statement on Non-Proliferation]{{Dead link|date=September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
At the most recent 2008 G8 summit in Japan in 2008, G8 leaders said:<ref>[http://www.g8summit.go.jp/eng/doc/doc080714__en.html G8 Hokkaido Toyako Summit Leaders Declaration, Hokkaido Toyako, 8 July 2008]</ref> <blockquote> We express our serious concern at the proliferation risks posed by Iran's nuclear programme and Iran's continued failure to meet its international obligations. We urge Iran to fully comply with UNSCRs 1696, 1737, 1747 and 1803 without further delay, and in particular to suspend all enrichment-related activities. We also urge Iran to fully cooperate with the IAEA, including by providing clarification of the issues contained in the latest report of the IAEA Director General. We firmly support and cooperate with the efforts by China, France, Germany, Russia, the United Kingdom and the United States supported by the High Representative of the EU to resolve the issue innovatively through negotiation, and urge Iran to respond positively to their offer delivered on June 14, 2008. We also commend the efforts by other G8 members, particularly the high-level dialogue by Japan, towards a peaceful and diplomatic resolution of the issue. We welcome the work of the Financial Action Task Force to assist states in implementing their financial obligations under the relevant UNSCRs. </blockquote> |
|||
===Asian viewpoint=== |
|||
====Indian viewpoint==== |
|||
India's rapidly developing ties with the United States and historically [[Indo-Iranian relations|close ties with Iran]] have created difficulties for India's foreign policy makers.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.antiwar.com/bidwai/?articleid=10501 |title=India-Iran Ties Jeopardized by US Threats – by Praful Bidwai |publisher=Antiwar.com |author=Praful Bidwai |date=10 February 2007 |accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref> India, a nuclear power which is not party to the NPT, has expressed its concern over the possibility of another nuclear weapon-armed state in its neighborhood with Indian Prime Minister [[Manmohan Singh]] stating that he was against Iran acquiring nuclear weapons.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/print.asp?page=2005\09\17\story_17-9-2005_pg4_14 |title=Daily Times – Site Edition [Printer Friendly Version] |publisher=Dailytimes.com.pk |accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref> India voted in the IAEA Board of Governors to report Iran to UN Security Council in 2005 for non-compliance with its NPT safeguards agreement.<ref name=a1>{{Cite news|url=http://www.forbes.com/finance/feeds/afx/2005/09/26/afx2243008.html |title=India defends Iran nuclear vote, denies bowing to US pressure – Forbes.com |work=Forbes |accessdate=26 October 2008 |deadurl=yes}} {{Dead link|date=May 2011|bot=RjwilmsiBot}}</ref> Despite some domestic opposition, the Indian government later voted to report Iran to the UN Security Council in 2006.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.khaleejtimes.com/DisplayArticle.asp?xfile=data/subcontinent/2006/February/subcontinent_February717.xml§ion=subcontinent&col=|title=Khaleej Times Online – India wants closer ties with Iran, despite nuclear vote |publisher=Khaleejtimes.com |accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref> Leftist parties in India have criticized the government for bowing to US pressure on the issue.<ref name=a1 /> |
|||
India quickly downplayed the incident and restated its commitment to develop closer ties with Iran.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.hindu.com/2005/10/28/stories/2005102809351200.htm |title=The Hindu: International / India & World: India clears the air with Iran |work=The Hindu |accessdate=26 October 2008 |location=Chennai, India |date=28 October 2005}}</ref> India urged international diplomacy to solve the Iranian nuclear row<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.nytimes.com/2006/03/06/international/asia/06cnd-india.html?pagewanted=all |title=India Urges Diplomacy on Iran Nuclear Issue – New York Times |work=The New York Times |author=Somini Sengupta |date=Published: 6 March 2006 |accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref> but added that it could not "turn a blind eye to nuclear proliferation in its neighborhood."<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.forbes.com/work/feeds/afx/2006/02/17/afx2534681.html |title=India concerned by escalating rhetoric on Iran nuclear program |work=Forbes |accessdate=26 October 2008 |date=17 February 2006}}</ref> |
|||
Despite heavy U.S. criticism, India has continued negotiations on the multi-billion dollar [[Iran–Pakistan–India gas pipeline]] from Iran to India through Pakistan. India is keen to secure energy supplies to fuel its rapidly growing economy and the gas pipeline may address India's energy security concerns. The United States has expressed concern that the pipeline project would undermine international efforts to isolate Iran.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.voanews.com/english/NewsAnalysis/2008-06-13-voa27.cfm |title=U.S. Concerns Over India-Iran Gas Pipeline |publisher=Voanews.com |author=Subhash Vohra |accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref> |
|||
=====In-context of the Indo-US nuclear deal===== |
|||
India is not a signatory to the [[Non-Proliferation Treaty]] (NPT). According to US Under Secretary of State [[R. Nicholas Burns|Nicholas Burns]], it was India's vote against Iran which helped clear the way for the [[Hyde Act|US-India nuclear cooperation deal]]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.indiadaily.com/editorial/5067.asp |title=Indiadaily.com – India's IAEA vote helped gain support for nuclear deal, says US official |publisher=Indiadaily.com |accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.expressindia.com/news/fullstory.php?newsid=55386 |title=India dumps old friend Iran for US nuclear carrot |publisher=Expressindia.com |accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref> Critics say the US-India nuclear cooperation deal itself undermines the Non-Proliferation Treaty at a time when Iran was accused of violating the treaty.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=20292 |title=A Nonproliferation Disaster – Carnegie Endowment for International Peace |publisher=Carnegieendowment.org |accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref> Critics argue that by promising nuclear cooperation with India, the Bush administration has reversed a legal ban on such cooperation which was in place since the passage of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Act of 1978, and violated US obligations under the Non-Proliferation Treaty which prohibits sharing nuclear technology with non-signatories such as India.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.slate.com/id/2137105/ |title=Bush's Indian fantasy. – By Fred Kaplan – Slate Magazine |publisher=Slate.com |author=Fred Kaplan |accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19506 |title=The India Nuclear Deal: The Top Rule-maker Bends the Rules – Carnegie Endowment for International Peace |publisher=Carnegieendowment.org |accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.wisconsinproject.org/countries/india/Seventeen_Myths.htm |title=Seventeen myths about the Indian nuclear deal |publisher=Wisconsinproject.org |accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.nci.org/06nci/12/nuc-india-deal.htm |title=Nuclear Deal With India: Sacrificing The Npt On An Altar Of Expediency |publisher=Nci.org |accessdate=26 October 2008}}</ref> The ''[[Harvard International Review]]'' concedes in an editorial that the Indo-US nuclear deal "undermines the world's present set of nuclear rules" but argues that the Iranian nuclear program remains an "unacceptable risk" regardless of the NPT. It reasoned that "regardless of what the NPT says, and regardless of what Iran says about the NPT, an Iranian nuclear program is still an unacceptable risk."<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.harvardir.org/articles/1363/ |title=Harvard International Review: Implications of the US-India Nuclear Deal |publisher=Harvardir.org |accessdate=26 October 2008}} {{Dead link|date=November 2010|bot=H3llBot}}</ref> |
|||
====Pakistan viewpoint==== |
|||
In a speech at [[Harvard University]] in 2010, the Pakistani foreign minister [[Shah Mehmood Qureshi]] argued that Iran had no justification to pursue nuclear weapons, citing the lack of any immediate threat to Iran, and urged Iran to embrace overtures from the United States. Qureshi also observed that Iran had signed the [[Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty]] and should respect the treaty.<ref>{{cite news|title=Iran doesn't need nuclear weapons: Qureshi|url=http://tribune.com.pk/story/64577/iran-doesnt-need-nuclear-weapons-qureshi/|accessdate=31 December 2011|newspaper=International Herald Tribune|date=19 October 2010}}</ref> |
|||
====Developing countries and the Non-Aligned Movement==== |
|||
On 16 September 2006, in [[Havana]], [[Cuba]], all of the 118 [[Non-Aligned Movement]] member countries, at the summit level, declared their support of Iran's civilian nuclear program in their final written statement.<ref name="rferl1" >{{cite web|url=http://www.rferl.org/featuresarticle/2006/9/13C06751-5872-4EC2-8AAC-A1E738B11C29.html|title=Iran Wins Backing From Nonaligned Bloc |accessdate=29 September 2006|publisher=Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty |year=2006}}</ref> The Non-Aligned Movement represents a majority of the 192 countries comprising the entire [[United Nations]]. |
|||
On 30 July 2008, the Non-Aligned Movement welcomed the continuing cooperation of Iran with the IAEA and reaffirmed Iran's right to the peaceful uses of nuclear technology. The movement further called for the establishment of a nuclear weapons free zone in the Middle East and called for a comprehensive multilaterally negotiated instrument which prohibits threats of attacks on nuclear facilities devoted to peaceful uses of nuclear energy.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/2008/infcirc733.pdf |title=XV Ministerial Conference of the Non-Aligned Movement (July 2008): Statement on the Islamic Republic of Iran's Nuclear Issue |format=PDF |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
====Other countries==== |
|||
Public opinion surveys conducted in 2006 in Iran's three neighboring countries of Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Turkey found large numbers of people favoring the possibility of a nuclear-armed Iran and even greater numbers opposed to any American military action against Iran<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1P2-13217328.html |title=Public Opinion Polls in Iran's Neighboring Countries Reveals Large Numbers Support Nuclear-Armed Iran, Also Oppose U.S. Military Action – U.S. Newswire | HighBeam Research – FREE trial |publisher=Highbeam.com |date=14 June 2006 |accessdate=20 May 2010}}</ref> |
|||
In February 2007, lawmakers from 56 member states of the [[Organisation of the Islamic Conference]], addressing Iran's nuclear program at a meeting in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, urged "full respect for equal and inalienable rights for all nations to explore modern technologies including nuclear energy for peaceful purposes."<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_kmafp/is_200702/ai_n18655076 |title=OIC supports Iran's quest to go nuclear | AFP | Find Articles at BNET |publisher=Findarticles.com |date=1 February 2007|accessdate=26 October 2008 |deadurl=yes}} {{Dead link|date=September 2010|bot=H3llBot}}</ref> |
|||
Officials in several countries have voiced support for Iran in the on-going standoff with the US over its nuclear program. These include Iraq<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.cnn.com/2006/WORLD/meast/05/26/iraq.iran/index.html |title='Every country has right' to nuclear technology, Zebari says – CNN May 26, 2006 |publisher=CNN |date=26 May 2006 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Algeria<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601116&sid=awB7OVsYWMW0&refer=africa |title=Algeria Supports Iran's Pursuit of Nuclear Power, APS Says – Bloomberg, August 12, 2008 |publisher=Bloomberg |date=12 August 2008 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> and Indonesia.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.spacewar.com/2006/060510111320.dn4qvpvl.html |title=Indonesia backs Iran's claim of peaceful nuclear program, Agence France-Presse, May 10, 2006 |publisher=Spacewar.com |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Turkey has expressed support for Iran's right to a nuclear program for peaceful energy production,<ref>{{cite web|url=http://web.israelinsider.com/Articles/Briefs/7033.htm |title=Turkey supports Iran's nuclear program for peaceful means, Associated Press, November 15, 2005 |publisher=Web.israelinsider.com |date=15 November 2005 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> and along with Egypt has urged for a peaceful solution to the standoff.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://english.people.com.cn/90001/90777/6339003.html |title=Egypt, Turkey call for peaceful solution to Iranian nuclear dispute – Xinhua People's Daily, January 16, 2008 |publisher=English.people.com.cn |date=16 January 2008 |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Former President Vladimir Putin of Russia, while urging more transparency from Iran, has said that there is no objective evidence that Iran is seeking nuclear weapons.<ref>{{Cite news|url=http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2007/oct/10/iran.russia |title=Putin: no proof Iran is trying to make nuclear weapons – Guardian, Wednesday October 10, 2007 |work=Guardian |location=UK |date=10 October 2007|accessdate=20 September 2009|location=London|first=Mark|last=Tran}}</ref> On 11 September 2009, Prime Minister Putin opposed the use of force or further sanctions against Iran.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1114003.html |title=Putin: Russia opposes force, sanctions on Iran |work=Haaretz |location=Israel |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
Support for tough measures against Iran's nuclear program has fallen in 13 out of 21 Arab countries according to a new BBC World Service Poll.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.worldpublicopinion.org/pipa/articles/international_security_bt/455.php?lb=btis&pnt=455&nid=&id=|title=Declining Support for Tough Measures against Iran's Nuclear Program: Global Poll March 11, 2008 |publisher=Worldpublicopinion.org |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> According to a 2008 global poll of Arab public opinion, the Arab public does not appear to see Iran as a major threat and does not support international pressure to force Iran to curtail the program.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://sadat.umd.edu/surveys/index.htm |title=2008 Arab Public Opinion Survey, Anwar Sadat Chair for Peace and Development, University of Maryland |publisher=Sadat.umd.edu |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> Arab League Secretary General Amr Moussa echoed remarks made by chief Palestinian negotiator Saeb Erekat, saying that Israel, not Iran, posed a nuclear threat to the Middle East.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1086079.html |title=Arab League: Israel's nuclear program more worrying than Iran, Haaretz 17/05/2009 |work=Haaretz |location=Israel |accessdate=20 September 2009}}</ref> |
|||
==Nuclear facilities in Iran== |
|||
{{Main|Nuclear facilities in Iran}} |
|||
{{colbegin|3}} |
|||
*[[Nuclear facilities in Iran#Anarak|Anarak]] |
|||
*[[Nuclear facilities in Iran#Arak|Arak]] |
|||
*[[Nuclear facilities in Iran#Ardakan|Ardakan]] |
|||
*[[Nuclear facilities in Iran#Bonab|Bonab]] |
|||
*[[Nuclear facilities in Iran#Bushehr|Bushehr]] |
|||
*[[Nuclear facilities in Iran#Chalus|Chalus]] |
|||
*[[Nuclear facilities in Iran#Darkovin|Darkovin]] |
|||
*[[Nuclear facilities in Iran#Isfahan|Isfahan]] |
|||
*[[Nuclear facilities in Iran#Karaj|Karaj]] |
|||
*[[Nuclear facilities in Iran#Lashkar Abad|Lashkar Abad]] |
|||
*[[Nuclear facilities in Iran#Lavizan|Lavizan]] |
|||
*[[Nuclear facilities in Iran#Natanz|Natanz]] |
|||
*[[Nuclear facilities in Iran#Parchin|Parchin]] |
|||
*[[Nuclear facilities in Iran#Saghand|Saghand]] |
|||
*[[Tehran Nuclear Research Center|Tehran]] |
|||
*[[Nuclear facilities in Iran#Yazd|Yazd]] |
|||
{{colend}} |
|||
==See also== |
|||
{{portal|Iran}} |
|||
{{colbegin|2}} |
|||
*[[Diplomatic tensions between Iran and the United States]] |
|||
*[[Economy of Iran]] |
|||
*[[Energy in Iran]] |
|||
*[[Fereydoon Abbasi]], current head of [[Atomic Energy Organization of Iran]] |
|||
*[[Global Nuclear Energy Partnership]] |
|||
*[[International rankings of Iran#Science and technology|International Rankings of Iran in Science and Technology]] |
|||
*[[Iran and weapons of mass destruction]] |
|||
*[[Iran-Pakistan relations]] |
|||
*[[Iran-United States relations]] |
|||
*[[Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Israel]] |
|||
*[[Oghab 2]] |
|||
*[[Opposition to military action against Iran]] |
|||
*[[Petrodollar warfare]] |
|||
*[[Stuxnet]] |
|||
*[[Tehran International Conference on Disarmament and Non-Proliferation, 2010]] |
|||
*[[Timeline of nuclear program of Iran]] |
|||
{{colend}} |
|||
==References== |
|||
{{Reflist|30em}} |
|||
==Further reading== |
|||
*''Iran's Nuclear Program: Debating Facts versus Fiction'', Kaveh L. Afrasiabi (Booksurge, 2007). |
|||
==External links== |
|||
{{Commons category|Nuclear power plants in Iran}} |
|||
*[http://www.nytimes.com/info/iran-nuclear-program/?inline=nyt-classifier NYT: Iran's nuclear program] |
|||
*[http://www.nextnobelprize.com/2011/11/iran-nuclear-program-under-attack-by-computer-virus/ Nuclear Plan Attacked with Computer Virus] |
|||
*[http://www.nytimes.com/2010/01/06/world/middleeast/06sanctions.html NYT: Iran Shielding Its Nuclear Efforts in Maze of Tunnels] |
|||
*[http://gulfnews.com/news/gulf/uae/government/uae-tightens-noose-on-front-companies-1.643960/ UAE Tightens Noose on Front Companies] |
|||
*[http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/spl/hi/sci_nat/05/nuclear_fuel/html/mining.stm The Nuclear Fuel Cycle explained] – [[BBC]] |
|||
*[http://www.aeoi.org.ir/ Iran's Atomic Energy Organization] |
|||
*[http://gulfnews.com/news/gulf/uae/crime/businessman-flees-uae-over-iran-link-1.640747/ Businessman Flees UAE over Iran Link] |
|||
*[http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/Focus/IaeaIran/index.shtml (IAEA) In Focus: IAEA and Iran] |
|||
*[http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/low/world/middle_east/3210412.stm BBC's Iran Nuclear Issue Timeline] |
|||
*[http://www.comw.org/pda/0702iran.html Confronting Iran: Critical perspectives on the current crisis, its origins, and implications] Project for Defense Alternatives. |
|||
*[http://jurist.law.pitt.edu/forumy/2006/03/iran-nuclear-standoff-legal-issues.php The Iran Nuclear Standoff: Legal Issues], Daniel Joyner, [[JURIST]], 1 March 2006. |
|||
*[http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2007/08/the-legality-of.html The Legality of the UN Security Council demands on Iran] Cyrus Safdari, IranAffairs.com 6 August 2007 |
|||
*[http://www.jpost.com/Israel/Article.aspx?id=10872 Differing views on Iran nuclear threat] |
|||
*[http://www.counterpunch.org/porter12292009.html ''The Iranian Nuke Forgeries: CIA Determines Documents were Fabricated''], Gareth Porter, CounterPunch, 29 December 2009. |
|||
*[http://web.archive.org/web/20091026213523/http://geocities.com/csafdari/ Rhetoric of War: First Iraq, then Iran?], Cyrus Safdari, Global Dialogue, Volume 8, No. 1–2, Winter-Spring 2006. |
|||
*[http://www.jcpa.org/JCPA/Templates/ShowPage.asp?DRIT=1&DBID=1&LNGID=1&TMID=111&FID=442&PID=0&IID=3074&TTL=New_Developments_in_Iran's_Missile_Capabilities:_Implications_Beyond_the_Middle_East Uzi Rubin: New Developments In Iran's Missile Capabilities], [http://www.jcpa.org/ Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs] |
|||
*[http://www.parstimes.com/nuclear/ Iran nuclear resources] |
|||
*[http://alsos.wlu.edu/adv_rst.aspx?keyword=indian*nuclear*weapons*program&creator=&title=&media=all&genre=all&disc=all&level=all&sortby=relevance&results=10&period=15 Annotated bibliography for the Iranian nuclear weapons program from the Alsos Digital Library for Nuclear Issues] |
|||
<!--========================{{No more links}}============================ |
|||
|PLEASE BE CAUTIOUS IN ADDING MORE LINKS TO THIS ARTICLE. Wikipedia | |
|||
|is not a collection of links nor should it be used for advertising. | |
|||
|| |
|||
|Excessive or inappropriate links WILL BE DELETED. | |
|||
|See [[Wikipedia:External links]] and [[Wikipedia:Spam]] for details.| |
|||
|| |
|||
|If there are already plentiful links, please propose additions or | |
|||
|replacements on this article's discussion page, or submit your link | |
|||
|to the relevant category at the Open Directory Project (dmoz.org) | |
|||
|and link back to that category using the {{dmoz}} template. | |
|||
======================={{No more links}}=====================--> |
|||
{{Energy in Iran}} |
|||
{{Nuclear power by country}} |
|||
{{DEFAULTSORT:Nuclear Program Of Iran}} |
|||
[[Category:Nuclear program of Iran| ]] |
|||
[[Category:Economy of Iran]] |
|||
[[Category:Foreign relations of Iran]] |
|||
[[Category:Government of Iran]] |
|||
[[Category:Iran–United States relations]] |
|||
[[Category:Nuclear energy in Iran]] |
|||
[[Category:Politics of Iran]] |
|||
[[Category:Science and technology in Iran]] |
|||
[[ar:برنامج إيران النووي]] |
|||
[[ca:Programa nuclear de l'Iran]] |
|||
[[cy:Rhaglen niwclear Iran]] |
|||
[[de:Iranisches Atomprogramm]] |
|||
[[es:Programa nuclear de Irán]] |
|||
[[fa:برنامه هستهای ایران]] |
|||
[[fr:Programme nucléaire iranien]] |
|||
[[ko:이란의 핵 문제]] |
|||
[[hr:Iranski nuklearni program]] |
|||
[[it:Energia nucleare in Iran]] |
|||
[[he:תוכנית הגרעין האיראנית]] |
|||
[[ka:ირანის ბირთვული პროგრამა]] |
|||
[[lv:Irānas kodolprogramma]] |
|||
[[lb:Atomprogramm vum Iran]] |
|||
[[lt:Irano branduolinė programa]] |
|||
[[ms:Program nuklear Iran]] |
|||
[[nl:Nucleair programma (Iran)]] |
|||
[[no:Irans atomprogram]] |
|||
[[pt:Programa nuclear iraniano]] |
|||
[[ru:Ядерная программа Ирана]] |
|||
[[sr:Ирански нуклеарни програм]] |
|||
[[sh:Iranski nuklearni program]] |
|||
[[fi:Iranin ydinohjelma]] |
|||
[[sv:Irans kärnkraftsprogram]] |
|||
[[tr:İran Nükleer Programı]] |
|||
[[zh:伊朗核问题]] |
Revision as of 14:47, 30 January 2012
![]() | It has been suggested that Nuclear energy in Iran be merged into this article. (Discuss) Proposed since December 2011. |
![]() | This article may be too long to read and navigate comfortably. (April 2010) |
Part of a series on the |
Nuclear program of Iran |
---|
![]() |
Timeline |
Facilities |
Organizations |
International agreements |
Domestic laws |
Individuals |
Related |
The nuclear program of Iran was launched in the 1950s with the help of the United States as part of the Atoms for Peace program.[1] The participation of the United States and Western European governments in Iran's nuclear program continued until the 1979 Iranian Revolution that toppled the Shah of Iran.[2]
After the 1979 revolution, the Iranian government temporarily disbanded elements of the program, and then revived it with less Western assistance than during the pre-revolution era. Iran's nuclear program has included several research sites, two uranium mines, a research reactor, and uranium processing facilities that include three known uranium enrichment plants.
After delays, Iran's first nuclear power plant, Bushehr I reactor was complete with major assistance of Russian government agency Rosatom and officially opened on 12 September 2011.[3] Iran has announced that it is working on a new 360 MW nuclear power plant to be located in Darkhovin. Iran has also indicated that it will seek more medium-sized nuclear power plants and uranium mines in the future.[4]
In November 2011, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors rebuked Iran following an IAEA report detailing how Iran had undertaken research and experiments geared to developing a nuclear weapons capability.[5] For the first time, the IAEA report outlines, in depth, the country’s detonator development, the multiple-point initiation of high explosives, and experiments involving nuclear payload integration into a missile delivery vehicle.[6] Iran rejected the details of the report and accused the IAEA of pro-Western bias[7] and threatened to reduce its cooperation with the IAEA.[8]
Overview
The controversy over Iran's nuclear programs centers in particular on Iran's failure to declare sensitive enrichment and reprocessing activities to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).[9] Enrichment can be used to produce uranium for reactor fuel or (at higher enrichment levels) for weapons.[10] Iran says its nuclear program is peaceful,[11] and has enriched uranium to less than 5%, consistent with fuel for a civilian nuclear power plant.[12] Iran also claims that it was forced to resort to secrecy after US pressure caused several of its nuclear contracts with foreign governments to fall through.[13] After the IAEA Board of Governors reported Iran's noncompliance with its safeguards agreement to the UN Security Council, the Council demanded that Iran suspend its nuclear enrichment activities[14] while Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has argued that the sanctions are "illegal," imposed by "arrogant powers," and that Iran has decided to pursue the monitoring of its self-described peaceful nuclear program through "its appropriate legal path," the International Atomic Energy Agency.[15]
After public allegations about Iran's previously undeclared nuclear activities, the IAEA launched an investigation that concluded in November 2003 that Iran had systematically failed to meet its obligations under its NPT safeguards agreement to report those activities to the IAEA, although it also reported no evidence of links to a nuclear weapons program. The IAEA Board of Governors delayed a formal finding of non-compliance until September 2005, and reported that non-compliance to the UN Security Council in February 2006. After the IAEA Board of Governors reported Iran's noncompliance with its safeguards agreement to the United Nations Security Council, the Council demanded that Iran suspend its enrichment programs. The Council imposed sanctions after Iran refused to do so. A May 2009 U.S. Congressional Report suggested "the United States, and later the Europeans, argued that Iran's deception meant it should forfeit its right to enrich, a position likely to be up for negotiation in talks with Iran."[16]
In exchange for suspending its enrichment program, Iran has been offered "a long-term comprehensive arrangement which would allow for the development of relations and cooperation with Iran based on mutual respect and the establishment of international confidence in the exclusively peaceful nature of Iran's nuclear program."[17] However, Iran has consistently refused to give up its enrichment program, arguing that the program is necessary for its energy security, that such "long term arrangements" are inherently unreliable, and would deprive it of its inalienable right to peaceful nuclear technology. Currently, thirteen states possess operational enrichment or reprocessing facilities,[18] and several others have expressed an interest in developing indigenous enrichment programs.[19] Iran's position was endorsed by the Non-Aligned Movement, which expressed concern about the potential monopolization of nuclear fuel production.[20]
To address concerns that its enrichment program may be diverted to non-peaceful uses,[21] Iran has offered to place additional restrictions on its enrichment program including, for example, ratifying the Additional Protocol to allow more stringent inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency, operating the uranium enrichment facility at Natanz as a multinational fuel center with the participation of foreign representatives, renouncing plutonium reprocessing and immediately fabricating all enriched uranium into reactor fuel rods.[22] Iran's offer to open its uranium enrichment program to foreign private and public participation mirrors suggestions of an IAEA expert committee which was formed to investigate the methods to reduce the risk that sensitive fuel cycle activities could contribute to national nuclear weapons capabilities.[23] Some non-governmental U.S. experts have endorsed this approach.[24][25] The United States has insisted that Iran must meet the demands of the UN Security Council to suspend its enrichment program[citation needed]. In every other case in which the IAEA Board of Governors made a finding of safeguards non-compliance involving clandestine enrichment or reprocessing, the resolution has involved (in the cases of Iraq[26] and Libya[27][28][29]) or is expected to involve (in the case of North Korea[30][31]) at a minimum ending sensitive fuel cycle activities. According to Pierre Goldschmidt, former deputy director general and head of the department of safeguards at the IAEA, and Henry D. Sokolski, Executive Director of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center, some other instances of safeguards noncompliance reported by the IAEA Secretariat (South Korea, Egypt) were never reported to the Security Council because the IAEA Board of Governors never made a formal finding of non-compliance.[32][33] Though South Korea's case involved enriching uranium to levels near weapons grade,[34] the country itself voluntarily reported the isolated activity[35] and Goldschmidt has argued "political considerations also played a dominant role in the board's decision" to not make a formal finding of non-compliance.[36] iii
History
1950s and 1960s
The foundations for Iran's nuclear program were laid after a 1953 coup deposed the Prime Minister Mohammed Mossadegh and installed the Shah (King) Mohammad Reza Pahlavi to power.[37]
A civil nuclear co-operation program was established under the U.S. Atoms for Peace program. In 1967, the Tehran Nuclear Research Center (TNRC) was established, run by the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran (AEOI). The TNRC was equipped with a U.S.-supplied, 5-megawatt nuclear research reactor, which was fueled by highly enriched uranium.[38][39]
Iran signed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) in 1968 and ratified it in 1970, making Iran's nuclear program subject to IAEA verification.
1970s
The Shah approved plans to construct, with U.S. help, up to 23 nuclear power stations by 2000.[40] In March 1974, the Shah envisioned a time when the world's oil supply would run out, and declared, "Petroleum is a noble material, much too valuable to burn ... We envision producing, as soon as possible, 23,000 megawatts of electricity using nuclear plants."[41]
Iran had deep pockets and close ties to the West. U.S. and European companies scrambled to do business in Iran.[42] Bushehr would be the first plant, and would supply energy to the inland city of Shiraz. In 1975, the Erlangen/Frankfurt firm Kraftwerk Union AG, a joint venture of Siemens AG and AEG, signed a contract worth $4 to $6 billion to build the pressurized water reactor nuclear power plant. Construction of the two 1,196 MWe , and was to have been completed in 1981.
The joint stock company Eurodif operating a uranium enrichment plant in France was formed in 1973 by France, Belgium, Spain and Sweden. In 1975 Sweden's 10% share in Eurodif went to Iran as a result of an arrangement between France and Iran. The French government subsidiary company Cogéma and the Iranian Government established the Sofidif (Société franco–iranienne pour l'enrichissement de l'uranium par diffusion gazeuse) enterprise with 60% and 40% shares, respectively. In turn, Sofidif acquired a 25% share in Eurodif, which gave Iran its 10% share of Eurodif. Mohammed Reza Shah Pahlavi lent 1 billion dollars (and another 180 million dollars in 1977) for the construction of the Eurodif factory, to have the right of buying 10% of the production of the site.
"President Gerald Ford signed a directive in 1976 offering Tehran the chance to buy and operate a U.S.-built reprocessing facility for extracting plutonium from nuclear reactor fuel. The deal was for a complete 'nuclear fuel cycle'."[43] At the time, Richard Cheney was the White House Chief of Staff, and Donald Rumsfeld was the Secretary of Defense. The Ford strategy paper said the "introduction of nuclear power will both provide for the growing needs of Iran's economy and free remaining oil reserves for export or conversion to petrochemicals."
Then-United States Secretary of State Henry Kissinger recalled in 2005, "I don't think the issue of proliferation came up."[43] However, a 1974 CIA proliferation assessment stated "If [the Shah] is alive in the mid-1980s ... and if other countries [particularly India] have proceeded with weapons development we have no doubt Iran will follow suit."[44]
The Shah also signed a nuclear cooperation agreement with South Africa under which Iranian oil money financed the development of South African fuel enrichment technology using a novel "jet nozzle" process, in return for assured supplies of South African (and Namibian) enriched uranium.[45]
Post-revolution, 1979–1989
The 1979 Revolution saw the overthrow[46] of the Shah.[47][48] During the Revolution, Iranian students took over the U.S. Embassy,[49] and held U.S. diplomats there hostage for 444 days lasting from 4 November 1979, to 20 January 1981.[50] In Iran, anti-American sentiment was fed by the U.S. installation and support for the repressive[51] Shah and "feared" SAVAK,[52] and continuing resentment over U.S. support to the coup that overthrew Iran's democratically elected government and installed the Shah.[53] The United States considered the hostage-taking as an outrage violating the sovereignty of diplomatic compounds.[54]
After the revolution, much nuclear cooperation with Iran was cut off. The United States stopped fulfilling contracts it had with Iran, while France, Germany, and other countries also reduced their cooperation with Iran due to pressure from the United States. Iran argues these experiences show the unreliability of working with the West on nuclear issues and place the burden on the West to restore its credibility.
France
When France after 1979 refused to give any enriched uranium to Iran and also Eurodif did not return Iran's investments (see European reactions 1979–89), Iran's government suspended its payments and tried to get refunded the loan by making pressure on France by handling militant groups, including the Hezbollah who took French citizens hostage in the 1980s.[citation needed] Iran was denied uranium which it was entitled to as a joint owner in the French Eurodif international enrichment facility because of U.S. pressure.[55][56]
Another result of the 1979 Revolution was France's refusal to give any enriched uranium to Iran after 1979. Iran also did not get back its investment from Eurodif (see European reactions in the 1970s). In 1982, French president François Mitterrand refused to give any uranium to Iran, which also claimed the $1 billion debt.[citation needed]
Germany
In January 1979, Kraftwerk Union stopped working at the Bushehr nuclear project with one reactor 50% complete, and the other reactor 85% complete, and fully withdrew from the project in July 1979. Kraftwerk Union said they based their action on Iran's non-payment of $450 million in overdue payments. The company had then received $2.5 billion of the total contract. The French company Framatome, a subsidiary of Areva, also withdrew itself.[citation needed] Iran had paid Germany in full, totaling billions of dollars, for the two nuclear facilities in Bushehr.[57] Germany halted construction of the Bushehr reactor under pressure from the United States.[55][58]
In April 1984, Jane's Defence Weekly cited reports from West German intelligence that Iran may have a nuclear bomb within two years with uranium from Pakistan. The Germans leaked this news in the first public Western intelligence report of a post-revolutionary nuclear weapons program in Iran.[59]
Between 24 March 1984, to 1988, the Bushehr reactors were damaged by multiple Iraqi air strikes and work on the nuclear program came to a standstill. In 1984, Kraftwerk Union did a preliminary assessment to see if it could resume work on the project, but declined to do so while the Iran–Iraq War continued.
United States
The United States cut off the supply of highly enriched uranium (HEU) fuel for the Tehran Research Reactor, which forced the reactor to shut down for a number of years, until Argentina agreed to supply replacement low-enriched uranium (LEU) fuel.[55][56][60]
The United States in or after 1983 persuaded the IAEA to terminate its project to assist Iran in producing enriched uranium.[61]
In April 1984, the U.S. State Department said, "We believe it would take at least two to three years to complete construction of the reactors at Bushehr." The spokesperson also said that the light water power reactors at Bushehr "are not particularly well-suited for a weapons program." The spokesman went on to say, "In addition, we have no evidence of Iranian construction of other facilities that would be necessary to separate plutonium from spent reactor fuel."[citation needed]
In June 1984, Minority Whip of the United States Senate Alan Cranston asserted that the Islamic Republic of Iran was seven years away from being able to build its own nuclear weapon.[62]
Argentina
According to a report by the Argentine justice in 2006, Iran in 1987–88 signed three agreements with Argentina's National Atomic Energy Commission. The first Iranian-Argentine agreement involved help in converting the U.S. supplied Tehran Nuclear Research Center (TNRC) research reactor from highly enriched uranium fuel to 19.75% low-enriched uranium, and to supply the low-enriched uranium to Iran.[63] The uranium was delivered in 1993.[64] The second and third agreements were for technical assistance, including components, for the building of pilot plants for uranium-dioxide conversion and fuel fabrication. Under US pressure, assistance under second and third agreements was reduced.[65]
IAEA
In 1981, Iranian governmental officials concluded that the country's nuclear development should continue. Reports to the IAEA included that a site at ENTEC would act "as the center for the transfer and development of nuclear technology, as well as contribute to the formation of local expertise and manpower needed to sustain a very ambitious program in the field of nuclear power reactor technology and fuel cycle technology." The IAEA also was informed about Entec's largest department, for materials testing, which was responsible for UO2 pellet fuel fabrication and a chemical department whose goal was the conversion of (U3O8) to nuclear grade UO2.[66]
In 1983, IAEA officials were keen to assist Iran in chemical aspects of reactor fuel fabrication, chemical engineering and design aspects of pilot plants for uranium conversion, corrosion of nuclear materials, LWR fuel fabrication, and pilot plant development for production of nuclear grade UO2. The IAEA planned to provide assistance to Iran under its Technical Assistance Program to produce enriched uranium. An IAEA report stated that its aim was to "contribute to the formation of local expertise and manpower needed to sustain an ambitious program in the field of nuclear power reactor technology and fuel cycle technology."[66]
The U.S. government "directly intervened" to discourage IAEA assistance in Iranian production of UO2 and UF6. A former U.S. official said "we stopped that in its tracks." The IAEA dropped plans to help Iran on fuel production and uranium conversion due to U.S. pressure. Iran later set up a bilateral cooperation on fuel cycle related issues with China, but China also agreed to drop most outstanding nuclear commerce with Iran, including the construction of the UF6 plant, due to U.S. pressure.[66]
Iran
Iran has argued that these experiences indicate foreign facilities and foreign fuel supplies are an unreliable source of nuclear fuel supply.[55][67]
During the Iran-Iraq war, Iran's Bushehr reactors were damaged by multiple Iraqi air strikes and work on the nuclear program came to a standstill. Iran notified the International Atomic Energy Agency of the blasts, and complained about international inaction and the use of French made missiles in the attack.[68][69]
After the Revolution, Iran also asserted that the American government, "contrary to the contract and its legal obligations", would not allow an American company "to refund over 2 million dollars paid by Iran before the Islamic Revolution".[70]
1990–2002
From the beginning of 1990s, Russia formed a joint research organization with Iran called Persepolis which provided Iran with Russian nuclear experts, and technical information. Five Russian institutions, including the Russian Federal Space Agency helped Tehran to improve its missiles. The exchange of technical information with Iran was personally approved by the SVR director Trubnikov.[71] President Boris Yeltsin had a "two track policy" offering commercial nuclear technology to Iran and discussing the issues with Washington.[72]
In 1990, Iran began to look outwards towards new partners for its nuclear program; however, due to a radically different political climate and punitive U.S. economic sanctions, few candidates existed.
In 1991, an agreement was found for the French-Iranian disagreement since 1979 (see Post Revolution, 1979–1989): France refunded more than 1.6 billion dollars. Iran remained shareholder of Eurodif via Sofidif, a Franco-Iranian consortium shareholder to 25% of Eurodif. However, Iran refrained from asking for the produced uranium.[73][74]
In 1992, following media allegations about undeclared nuclear activities in Iran, Iran invited IAEA inspectors to the country and permitted those inspectors to visit all the sites and facilities they asked to see. Director General Blix reported that all activities observed were consistent with the peaceful use of atomic energy.[75][76] The IAEA visits included undeclared facilities and Iran's nascent uranium mining project at Saghand. In the same year, Argentine officials disclosed that their country had canceled a sale to Iran of civilian nuclear equipment worth $18 million, under US pressure.[77]
In 1995, Iran signed a contract with Russia to resume work on the partially complete Bushehr plant,[78] installing into the existing Bushehr I building a 915 MWe VVER-1000 pressurized water reactor, with completion expected in 2009. There are no current plans to complete the Bushehr II reactor.
In 1996, the U.S. convinced the People's Republic of China to pull out of a contract to construct a uranium conversion plant. However, the Chinese provided blueprints for the facility to the Iranians, who advised the IAEA that they would continue work on the program, and IAEA Director Mohamed ElBaradei even visited the construction site.[79]
According to a report by the Argentine justice in 2006, late 1980s and early 1990s the US pressured Argentina to terminate its nuclear cooperation with Iran, and from early 1992 to 1994 negotiations between Argentina and Iran took place with the aim of re-establishing the three agreements made in 1987–88.[65]
2002–2006
On 14 August 2002, Alireza Jafarzadeh, a spokesman for an Iranian dissident group National Council of Resistance of Iran, publicly revealed the existence of two nuclear sites under-construction: a uranium enrichment facility in Natanz (part of which is underground), and a heavy water facility in Arak. It has been strongly suggested that intelligence agencies already knew about these facilities but the reports had been classified.[80]
The IAEA immediately sought access to these facilities and further information and co-operation from Iran regarding its nuclear program.[81] According to arrangements in force at the time for implementation of Iran's safeguards agreement with the IAEA,[82] Iran was not required to allow IAEA inspections of a new nuclear facility until six months before nuclear material is introduced into that facility. At the time, Iran was not even required to inform the IAEA of the existence of the facility. This 'six months' clause was standard for implementation of all IAEA safeguards agreements until 1992, when the IAEA Board of Governors decided that facilities should be reported during the planning phase, even before construction began. Iran was the last country to accept that decision, and only did so 26 February 2003, after the IAEA investigation began.[83]
France, Germany and the United Kingdom (the EU-3) undertook a diplomatic initiative with Iran to resolve questions about its nuclear program. On 21 October 2003, in Tehran, the Iranian government and EU-3 Foreign Ministers issued a statement known as the Tehran Declaration[84] in which Iran agreed to co-operate with the IAEA, to sign and implement an Additional Protocol as a voluntary, confidence-building measure, and to suspend its enrichment and reprocessing activities during the course of the negotiations. The EU-3 in return explicitly agreed to recognize Iran's nuclear rights and to discuss ways Iran could provide "satisfactory assurances" regarding its nuclear power program, after which Iran would gain easier access to modern technology. Iran signed an Additional Protocol on 18 December 2003, and agreed to act as if the protocol were in force, making the required reports to the IAEA and allowing the required access by IAEA inspectors, pending Iran's ratification of the Additional Protocol.
The IAEA reported 10 November 2003,[85] that "it is clear that Iran has failed in a number of instances over an extended period of time to meet its obligations under its Safeguards Agreement with respect to the reporting of nuclear material and its processing and use, as well as the declaration of facilities where such material has been processed and stored." Iran was obligated to inform the IAEA of its importation of uranium from China and subsequent use of that material in uranium conversion and enrichment activities. It was also obligated to report to the IAEA experiments with the separation of plutonium. However, the Islamic Republic reneged on its promise to permit the IAEA to carry out their inspections and suspended the Additional Protocol agreement outlined above in October 2005.[86]
A comprehensive list of Iran's specific "breaches" of its IAEA safeguards agreement, which the IAEA described as part of a "pattern of concealment," can be found in the 15 November 2004, report of the IAEA on Iran's nuclear program.[87] Iran attributes its failure to report certain acquisitions and activities on US obstructionism, which reportedly included pressuring the IAEA to cease providing technical assistance to Iran's uranium conversion program in 1983.[13][88] On the question of whether Iran had a hidden nuclear weapons program, the IAEA's November 2003 report states that it found "no evidence" that the previously undeclared activities were related to a nuclear weapons program, but also that it was unable to conclude that Iran's nuclear program was exclusively peaceful.
In June 2004, construction was commenced on IR-40, a 40 MW heavy water reactor.
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/e/e0/2006_1012_eu_iran_600.jpg/220px-2006_1012_eu_iran_600.jpg)
Under the terms of the Paris Agreement[dead link], on 14 November 2004, Iran's chief nuclear negotiator announced a voluntary and temporary suspension of its uranium enrichment program (enrichment is not a violation of the NPT) and the voluntary implementation of the Additional Protocol, after pressure from the United Kingdom, France, and Germany acting on behalf of the European Union (EU, known in this context as the EU-3). The measure was said at the time to be a voluntary, confidence-building measure, to continue for some reasonable period of time (six months being mentioned as a reference) as negotiations with the EU-3 continued. On 24 November, Iran sought to amend the terms of its agreement with the EU to exclude a handful of the equipment from this deal for research work. This request was dropped four days later. According to Seyyed Hossein Mousavian, one of the Iranian representatives to the Paris Agreement negotiations, the Iranians made it clear to their European counterparts that Iran would not consider a permanent end to uranium enrichment:
Before the Paris [Agreement] text was signed, Dr Rohani ... stressed that they should be committed neither to speak nor even think of a cessation any more. The ambassadors delivered his message to their foreign ministers prior to the signing of the Paris agreed text ... The Iranians made it clear to their European counterparts that if the latter sought a complete termination of Iran's nuclear fuel-cycle activities, there would be no negotiations. The Europeans answered that they were not seeking such a termination, only an assurance on the non-diversion of Iran's nuclear programme to military ends.[89]
In February 2005, Iran pressed the EU-3 to speed up talks, which the EU-3 refused to do so.[90] The talks made little progress because of the divergent positions of the two sides.[91] In early August 2005, after the June election of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as Iran's President, Iran removed seals on its uranium enrichment equipment in Isfahan,[92] which UK officials termed a "breach of the Paris Agreement"[93] though a case can be made that the EU violated the terms of the Paris Agreement by demanding that Iran abandon nuclear enrichment.[94] Several days later, the EU-3 offered Iran a package in return for permanent cessation of enrichment. Reportedly, it included benefits in the political, trade and nuclear fields, as well as long-term supplies of nuclear materials and assurances of non-aggression by the EU (but not the US),.[93] Mohammad Saeedi, the deputy head of Iran's atomic energy organization rejected the offer, terming it "very insulting and humiliating"[93] and other independent analysts characterized the EU offer as an "empty box"[dead link]. Iran's announcement that it would resume enrichment preceded the election of Iranian President Ahmadinejad by several months. The delay in restarting the program was to allow the IAEA to re-install monitoring equipment. The actual resumption of the program coincided with the election of President Mahmoud Ahmedinejad, and the appointment of Ali Larijani as the chief Iranian nuclear negotiator.[95]
Around 2005, Germany refused to export any more nuclear equipment or refund money paid by Iran for such equipment in the 1980s.[57] (See European reactions 1979–89.)
In August 2005, with the assistance of Pakistan[96] a group of US government experts and international scientists concluded that traces of bomb-grade uranium found in Iran came from contaminated Pakistani equipment and were not evidence of a clandestine nuclear weapons program in Iran.[97] In September 2005, IAEA Director General Mohammad ElBaradei reported that "most" highly enriched uranium traces found in Iran by agency inspectors came from imported centrifuge components, validating Iran's claim that the traces were due to contamination. Sources in Vienna and the State Department reportedly stated that, for all practical purposes, the HEU issue has been resolved.
The IAEA Board of Governors deferred a formal decision on Iran's nuclear case for two years after 2003, while Iran continued cooperation with the EU-3. On 24 September 2005, after Iran abandoned the Paris Agreement, the Board found that Iran had been in non-compliance with its safeguards agreement, based largely on facts that had been reported as early as November 2003.[98]
On 4 February 2006, the 35 member Board of Governors of the IAEA voted 27–3 (with five abstentions: Algeria, Belarus, Indonesia, Libya and South Africa) to report Iran to the UN Security Council. The measure was sponsored by the United Kingdom, France and Germany, and it was backed by the United States. Two permanent council members, Russia and China, agreed to referral only on condition that the council take no action before March. The three members who voted against referral were Venezuela, Syria and Cuba.[99][100] In response, on 6 February 2006, Iran suspended its voluntary implementation of the Additional Protocol and all other voluntary and non-legally binding cooperation with the IAEA beyond what is required by its safeguards agreement.[101]
In late February 2006, IAEA Director Mohammad El-Baradei raised the suggestion of a deal, whereby Iran would give up industrial-scale enrichment and instead limit its program to a small-scale pilot facility, and agree to import its nuclear fuel from Russia (see nuclear fuel bank). The Iranians indicated that while they would not be willing to give up their right to enrichment in principle, they were willing to[102] consider the compromise solution. However in March 2006, the Bush Administration made it clear that they would not accept any enrichment at all in Iran.
The IAEA Board of Governors deferred the formal report to the UN Security Council of Iran's non-compliance (such a report is required by Article XII.C of the IAEA Statute),[103] until 27 February 2006.[104] The Board usually makes decisions by consensus, but in a rare non-consensus decision it adopted this resolution by vote, with 12 abstentions.[105][106]
On 11 April 2006, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad announced that Iran had successfully enriched uranium. President Ahmadinejad made the announcement in a televised address from the northeastern city of Mashhad, where he said "I am officially announcing that Iran joined the group of those countries which have nuclear technology." The uranium was enriched to 3.5% using over a hundred centrifuges.
On 13 April 2006, after US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said (on 12 April 2006) the Security Council must consider "strong steps" to induce Tehran to change course in its nuclear ambition; President Ahmadinejad vowed that Iran will not back away from uranium enrichment and that the world must treat Iran as a nuclear power, saying "Our answer to those who are angry about Iran achieving the full nuclear fuel cycle is just one phrase. We say: Be angry at us and die of this anger," because "We won't hold talks with anyone about the right of the Iranian nation to enrich uranium."[107]
On 14 April 2006, The Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS) published a series of analyzed satellite images of Iran's nuclear facilities at Natanz and Esfahan.[108] Featured in these images is a new tunnel entrance near the Uranium Conversion Facility (UCF) at Esfahan and continued construction at the Natanz uranium enrichment site. In addition, a series of images dating back to 2002 shows the underground enrichment buildings and its subsequent covering by soil, concrete, and other materials. Both facilities were already subject to IAEA inspections and safeguards.
Iran responded to the demand to stop enrichment of uranium 24 August 2006, offering to return to the negotiation table but refusing to end enrichment.[109]
Qolam Ali Hadad-adel, speaker of Iran's parliament, said on 30 August 2006, that Iran had the right to "peaceful application of nuclear technology and all other officials agree with this decision," according to the semi-official Iranian Students News Agency. "Iran opened the door to negotiations for Europe and hopes that the answer which was given to the nuclear package would bring them to the table."[109]
In Resolution 1696 July 31, 2006, the United Nations Security Council demanded that Iran suspend all enrichment and reprocessing related activities.[110]
In UN Security Council Resolution 1737 of 26 December 2006, the Council imposed a series of sanctions on Iran for its non-compliance with the earlier Security Council resolution deciding that Iran suspend enrichment-related activities without delay.[111] These sanctions were primarily targeted against the transfer of nuclear and ballistic missile technologies[112] and, in response to concerns of China and Russia, were lighter than that sought by the United States.[113] This resolution followed a report from the IAEA that Iran had permitted inspections under its safeguards agreement but had not suspended its enrichment-related activities.[114]
2007–present
UN Security Council
The UN Security Council has passed seven resolutions on Iran:
- Resolution 1696 (31 July 2006) demanded that Iran suspend its uranium enrichment activities, invoking Chapter VII of the United Nations Charter to make that demand legally binding on Iran.
- Resolution 1737 (23 December 2006) imposed sanctions after Iran refused to suspend its enrichment activities, cutting off nuclear cooperation, demanding that Iran cooperate with the IAEA, and freezing the assets of a number of persons and organizations linked to Iran's nuclear and missile programs. It established a committee to monitor sanctions implementation.[115]
- Resolution 1747 (24 March 2007) expanded the list of sanctioned Iranian entities and welcomed the proposal by the permanent five members of the Security Council plus Germany for resolving issues regarding Iran's nuclear program.
- In resolution 1803 (3 March 2008), the Council decided to extend those sanctions to additional persons and entities, impose travel restrictions on sanctioned persons, and bar exports of nuclear- and missile-related dual-use goods to Iran.[116]
- Resolution 1835 (27 September 2008) reaffirmed the preceding four resolutions, the only one of the seven not to invoke Chapter VII.
- Resolution 1929 (9 June 2010) imposed a complete arms embargo on Iran, banned Iran from any activities related to ballistic missiles, authorized the inspection and seizure of shipments violating these restrictions, and extended the asset freeze to the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and the Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines (IRISL). The resolution passed by a vote of 12–2, with Turkey and Brazil voting against and Lebanon abstaining. A number of countries imposed measures to implement and extend these sanctions, including the United States, the European Union, Australia,[117] Canada,[118] Japan,[119] Norway,[120] South Korea,[121] and Russia.[122]
- Resolution 1984 (8 June 2011) extended for a further 12 months the mandate of the Panel of Experts established by Resolution 1929.
International Atomic Energy Agency
- In February 2007, anonymous diplomats at the atomic energy agency reportedly complained that most U.S. intelligence shared with the IAEA had proved inaccurate, and none had led to significant discoveries inside Iran.[123]
- On 10 May 2007, Iran and the IAEA vehemently denied reports that Iran had blocked IAEA inspectors when they sought access to the Iran's enrichment facility. On 11 March 2007, Reuters quoted International Atomic Energy Agency spokesman Marc Vidricaire, "We have not been denied access at any time, including in the past few weeks. Normally we do not comment on such reports but this time we felt we had to clarify the matter ... If we had a problem like that we would have to report to the [35-nation IAEA governing] board ... That has not happened because this alleged event did not take place."[124]
- On 30 July 2007, inspectors from the IAEA spent five hours at the Arak complex, the first such visit since April. Visits to other plants in Iran were expected during the following days. It has been suggested that access may have been granted in an attempt to head off further sanctions.[125]
- In late October 2007, according to the International Herald Tribune, the head of the IAEA, Mohamed ElBaradei, stated that he had seen "no evidence" of Iran developing nuclear weapons. The IHT quoted ElBaradei as saying "We have information that there has been maybe some studies about possible weaponization. That's why we have said that we cannot give Iran a pass right now, because there is still a lot of question marks ... . But have we seen Iran having the nuclear material that can readily be used into a weapon? No. Have we seen an active weaponization program? No." The IHT report went on to say that "ElBaradei said he was worried about the growing rhetoric from the U.S., which he noted focused on Iran's alleged intentions to build a nuclear weapon rather than evidence the country was actively doing so. If there is actual evidence, ElBaradei said he would welcome seeing it."[126]
- Israel criticised IAEA reports on Iran as well as the former IAEA-director ElBaradei. Israel's Minister of Strategic Affairs Avigdor Lieberman dismissed reports by the UN nuclear watchdog agency as being "unacceptable" and accused IAEA head ElBaradei of being "pro-Iranian".[127]
- In a February 2009 press interview, IAEA Director Mohamed ElBaradei said Iran has low enriched uranium, but "that doesn't mean that they are going tomorrow to have nuclear weapons, because as long as they are under IAEA verification, as long as they are not weaponizing, you know." ElBaradei continued that there is a confidence deficit with Iran, but that the concern should not be hyped and that "many other countries are enriching uranium without the world making any fuss about it".[128]
- The IAEA remains unable to draw a conclusion on whether Iran has a secret nuclear weapons program. It normally draws conclusions about the absence of undeclared nuclear activities only in countries that have an Additional Protocol in force. Iran ceased its voluntary and non-legally binding implementation of the Additional Protocol and all other voluntary cooperation with the IAEA beyond that required under its safeguards agreement after the IAEA Board of Governors decided to report its safeguards non-compliance to the UN Security Council in February 2006.[101] The UN Security Council then passed Resolution 1737, invoking Chapter VII of the UN Charter, obligating Iran to implement the Additional Protocol. Iran has maintained that the Security Council's engagement in "the issue of the peaceful nuclear activities of the Islamic Republic of Iran" are unlawful and malicious.[129] In its Safeguards Statement for 2007, the IAEA found no indication of undeclared nuclear material or activities in 47 of 82 states that had both NPT safeguards agreements and Additional Protocols in force, while it was unable to draw similar conclusions in 25 other states.[130] In August 2007, Iran and the IAEA entered into an agreement on the modalities for resolving remaining outstanding issues,[131] and made progress in outstanding issues except for the question of "alleged studies" of weaponization by Iran.[132] Iran says it did not address the alleged studies in the IAEA work plan because they were not included in the plan.[133] The IAEA has not detected the actual use of nuclear material in connection with the alleged studies and says it regrets it is unable to provide Iran with copies of the documentation concerning the alleged studies, but says the documentation is comprehensive and detailed so that it needs to be taken seriously. Iran says the allegations are based on "forged" documents and "fabricated" data, and that it has not received copies of the documentation to enable it to prove that they were forged and fabricated.[134][135]
- In February 2009 IAEA Director General reportedly said that he believed the possibility of a military attack on Iran's nuclear installations had been ruled out. "Force can only be used as a last option ... when all other political possibilities have been exhausted," he told Radio France International.[136][137] Former Director General Hans Blix criticized Western governments for the years lost by their "ineffective approaches" to Iran's nuclear program. Blix suggested the West offer "guarantees against attacks from the outside and subversive activities inside" and also suggested U.S. involvement in regional diplomacy "would offer Iran a greater incentive to reach a nuclear agreement than the Bush team's statements that 'Iran must behave itself'."[138]
- In July 2009, Yukiya Amano, the in-coming head of the IAEA said: "I don't see any evidence in IAEA official documents" that Iran is trying to gain the ability to develop nuclear arms.[139]
- In September 2009, IAEA Director General Mohamed El Baradei that Iran had broken the law by not disclosing its second uranium enrichment site at Qom sooner. Nevertheless, he said, the United Nations did not have credible evidence that Iran had an operational nuclear program.[140]
- In November 2009, the IAEA's 35-nation Board of Governors overwhelmingly backed a demand of the U.S., Russia, China, and three other powers that Iran immediately stop building its newly revealed nuclear facility and freeze uranium enrichment. Iranian officials shrugged off approval of the resolution by 25 members of the Board, but the U.S. and its allies hinted at new UN sanctions if Iran remained defiant.[141]
- In February 2010, the IAEA issued a report scolding Iran for failing to explain purchases of sensitive technology as well as secret tests of high-precision detonators and modified designs of missile cones to accommodate larger payloads. Such experiments are closely associated with atomic warheads.[142]
- In May 2010, the IAEA issued a report that Iran had declared production of over 2.5 metric tons of low-enriched uranium, which would be enough if further enriched to make two nuclear weapons, and that Iran has refused to answer inspectors’ questions on a variety of activities, including what the agency called the “possible military dimensions” of Iran's nuclear program.[143][144]
- In July 2010, Iran barred two IAEA inspectors from entering the country. The IAEA rejected Iran's reasons for the ban and said it fully supported the inspectors, which Tehran has accused of reporting wrongly that some nuclear equipment was missing.[145]
- In August 2010, the IAEA said Iran has started using a second set of 164 centrifuges linked in a cascade, or string of machines, to enrich uranium to up to 20% at its Natanz pilot fuel enrichment plan.[146]
- In November of 2011, IAEA officials identified a "large explosive containment vessel" inside Parchin.[147] The IAEA later assessed that Iran has been conducting experiments to develop nuclear weapons capability.[148]
Iran
- Interviews and surveys show that the majority of Iranians in all groups favor their country's nuclear program.[149][150][151] Polls in 2008 showed that the vast majority of Iranians want their country to develop nuclear energy, and 90% of Iranians believe it is important (including 81% very important) for Iran "to have a full fuel cycle nuclear program."[152] Though Iranians are not Arab, Arab publics in six countries also believe that Iran has the right to its nuclear program and should not be pressured to stop that program.[153] A poll in September 2010 by the International Peace Institute found that 71 percent of Iranians favored the development of nuclear weapons, a drastic hike over the previous polls by the same agency.[154]
- In explaining why it had left its enrichment program undeclared to the IAEA, Iran said that for the past twenty-four years it has "been subject to the most severe series of sanctions and export restrictions on material and technology for peaceful nuclear technology," so that some elements of its program had to be done discreetly. Iran said the U.S. intention "is nothing but to make this deprivation" of Iran's inalienable right to enrichment technology "final and eternal," and that the United States is completely silent on Israel's nuclear enrichment and weapons program.[155] Iran began its nuclear research as early as 1975, when France cooperated with Iran to set up the Esfahan Nuclear Technology Center (ENTC) to provide training for personnel to develop certain nuclear fuel cycle capabilities.[156][157] Iran did not hide other elements of its nuclear program. For example, its efforts at mining and converting uranium were announced on national radio,[158][159] and Iran also says that in consultation with the Agency and member states throughout the 1990s it underlined its plans to acquire, for exclusively peaceful purposes, fuel enrichment technology.[155] Iran's contracts with other nations to obtain nuclear reactors were also known to the IAEA – but support for the contracts was withdrawn after "a U.S. special national intelligence estimate declared that while 'Iran's much publicized nuclear power intentions are entirely in the planning stage,' the ambitions of the shah could lead Iran to pursue nuclear weapons, especially in the shadow of India's successful nuclear test in May 1974".[160] In 2003, the IAEA reported that Iran had failed to meet its obligations to report some of its enrichment activities, which Iran says began in 1985, to the IAEA as required by its safeguards agreement. The IAEA further reported that Iran had undertaken to submit the required information for agency verification and "to implement a policy of co-operation and full transparency" as corrective actions.[85]
- The Iranian government has repeatedly made compromise offers to place strict limits on its nuclear program beyond what the Non-Proliferation Treaty and the Additional Protocol legally require of Iran, in order to ensure that the program cannot be secretly diverted to the manufacture of weapons.[161] These offers include operating Iran's nuclear program as an international consortium, with the full participation of foreign governments. This offer by the Iranians matched a proposed solution put forth by an IAEA expert committee that was investigating the risk that civilian nuclear technologies could be used to make bombs.[23] Iran has also offered to renounce plutonium extraction technology, thus ensuring that its heavy water reactor at Arak cannot be used to make bombs either.[162] More recently, the Iranians have reportedly also offered to operate uranium centrifuges that automatically self-destruct if they are used to enrich uranium beyond what is required for civilian purposes.[163] However, despite offers of nuclear cooperation by the five permanent members of the UN Security Council and Germany, Iran has refused to suspend its enrichment program as the Council has demanded.[164] Iran's representative asserted that dealing with the issue in the Security Council was unwarranted and void of any legal basis or practical utility because its peaceful nuclear program posed no threat to international peace and security, and, that it ran counter to the views of the majority of United Nations Member States, which the Council was obliged to represent.
- "They should know that the Iranian nation will not yield to pressure and will not let its rights be trampled on," Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad told a crowd 31 August 2006, in a televised speech in the northwestern Iranian city of Orumiyeh. In front of his strongest supporters in one of his provincial power bases, the Iranian leader attacked what he called "intimidation" by the United Nations, which he said was led by the United States. Ahmadinejad criticised a White House rebuff of his offer for a televised debate with President Bush. "They say they support dialog and the free flow of information," he said. "But when debate was proposed, they avoided and opposed it." Ahmadinejad said that sanctions "cannot dissuade Iranians from their decision to make progress," according to Iran's state-run IRNA news agency. "On the contrary, many of our successes, including access to the nuclear fuel cycle and producing of heavy water, have been achieved under sanctions."
- Iran insists enrichment activities are intended for peaceful purposes, but much of the West, including the United States, allege that Iran is pursuing nuclear weapons, or a nuclear weapons "capability". The 31 August 2006, deadline called for Iran to comply with UN Security Council Resolution 1696 and suspend its enrichment-related activities or face the possibility of economic sanctions. The United States believes the council will agree to implement sanctions when high-level ministers reconvene in mid-September, U.S. Undersecretary of State Nicholas Burns said. "We're sure going to work toward that [sanctions] with a great deal of energy and determination because this cannot go unanswered," Burns said. "The Iranians are obviously proceeding with their nuclear research; they are doing things that the International Atomic Energy Agency does not want them to do, the Security Council doesn't want them to do. There has to be an international answer, and we believe there will be one."[109]
- Iran asserts that there is no legal basis for Iran's referral to the United Nations Security Council since the IAEA has not proven that previously undeclared activities had a relationship to a weapons program, and that all nuclear material in Iran (including material that may not have been declared) had been accounted for and had not been diverted to military purposes. Article XII.C of the IAEA Statute[165] requires a report to the UN Security Council for any safeguards noncompliance.[166] The IAEA Board of Governors, in a rare non-consensus decision with 12 abstentions,[105] decided that "Iran's many failures and breaches of its obligations to comply with its NPT Safeguards Agreement" as reported by the IAEA in November 2003 constituted "non-compliance" under the terms of Article XII.C of IAEA Statute.[98]
- Iran also minimizes the significance of the IAEA's inability to verify the exclusively peaceful nature of Iran's nuclear program, arguing the IAEA has only drawn such conclusions in a subset of states that have ratified and implemented the Additional Protocol. The IAEA has been able to verify the non-diversion of declared nuclear material in Iran,[167] but not the absence of undeclared activities. According to the IAEA's Safeguards Statement for 2007, of the 82 states where both NPT safeguards and an Additional Protocol are implemented, the IAEA had found no indication of undeclared nuclear activity in 47 states, while evaluations of possible undeclared nuclear activity remained ongoing in 35 states.[168] Iran ceased implementation of the Additional Protocol and all other cooperation with the IAEA beyond that required under its safeguards agreement after the IAEA Board of Governors decided to report its safeguards non-compliance to the UN Security Council in February 2006.[101] Iran insisted that such cooperation had been "voluntary," but on 26 December 2006, the UN Security Council passed Resolution 1737,[169] invoking Chapter VII of the UN Charter, which among other things required Iran to cooperate fully with the IAEA, "beyond the formal requirements of the Safeguards Agreement and Additional Protocol." The IAEA reported on 19 November 2008, that, while it is "able to continue to verify the non-diversion of declared nuclear material in Iran," it "has not been able to make substantive progress" on "key remaining issues of serious concern" because of a "lack of cooperation by Iran."[170] Iran has maintained that the Security Council's engagement in "the issue of the peaceful nuclear activities of the Islamic Republic of Iran" are unlawful and malicious.[171] Iran also argues that the UN Security Council resolutions demanding a suspension of enrichment constitute a violation of Article IV of the Non-Proliferation Treaty which recognizes the inalienable right of signatory nations to nuclear technology "for peaceful purposes."[172][173]
- Iran agreed to implement the Additional Protocol under the terms of the October 2003 Tehran agreement and its successor, the November 2004 Paris agreement, and did so for two years before withdrawing from the Paris agreement in early 2006 following the breakdown of negotiations with the EU-3. Since then, Iran has offered not only to ratify the Additional Protocol, but to implement transparency measures on its nuclear program that exceed the Additional Protocol, as long as its right to operate an enrichment program is recognized. The UN Security Council, however, insists that Iran must suspend all enrichment-related and reprocessing activities, and the United States explicitly ruled out the possibility that it would allow Iran to produce its own nuclear fuel, even under intense international inspection.[174]
- On 9 April 2007, Iran announced that it has begun enriching uranium with 3 000 centrifuges, presumably at Natanz enrichment site. "With great honor, I declare that as of today our dear country has joined the nuclear club of nations and can produce nuclear fuel on an industrial scale", said Ahmadinejad.[175]
- On 22 April 2007, Iranians foreign ministry spokesman Mohammad Ali Hosseini announced that his country rules out enrichment suspension ahead of talks with EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana on 25 April 2007.[176]
- In March 2009 Iran announced plans to open the Bushehr nuclear power plant to tourism as a way to highlight their peaceful nuclear intentions.[177]
- Reacting to the November 2009 IAEA Board of Governors resolution demanding that Iran immediately stop building its newly revealed nuclear facility and freeze uranium enrichment, Foreign Ministry spokesman Ramin Mehmanparast described the resolution as a "show ... aimed at putting pressure on Iran, which will be useless."[141] The Iranian government subsequently authorized the country's Atomic Energy Organization to begin building ten more uranium-enrichment plants for enhancing the country's electricity production.[178]
- Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on 1 December brushed aside the threat of UN sanctions over his country's failure to accept a UN-proposed deal on its nuclear program, stating that such a move by western nations would not hinder Iran's nuclear program. Ahmadinejad told state television that he believed further negotiations with world powers over his country's nuclear program were not needed, describing warnings by Western powers that Iran would be isolated if it fails to accept the UN-proposed deal as "ridiculous."[178]
- Watched by senior officials from Iran and Russia, Iran began fueling Bushehr I on 21 August 2010 the nation's state media reported, in an effort to help create nuclear-generated electricity. While state media reported it will take about two months for the reactor to begin generating electricity, Russia's nuclear agency says it will take longer. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran's supreme leader, recently asserted Iran's right to establish nuclear plants.[179]
United States
- President George W. Bush insisted on 31 August 2006, that "there must be consequences" for Iran's defiance of demands that it stop enriching uranium. He asserted "the world now faces a grave threat from the radical regime in Iran. The Iranian regime arms, funds, and advises Hezbollah."[180] The IAEA issued a report saying Iran had not suspended its uranium enrichment activities, a United Nations official said. This report opened the way for UN Security Council sanctions against Iran. Facing a Security Council deadline to stop its uranium enrichment activities, Iran has left little doubt it will defy the West and continue its nuclear program.[109]
- A congressional report released on 23 August 2006, summarized the documentary history of Iran's nuclear program, but also made allegations against the IAEA. The IAEA responded with a strongly worded letter to then U.S. House Intelligence Committee Chairman Peter Hoekstra, which labeled as "outrageous and dishonest" the report's allegation that an IAEA inspector was dismissed for violating a supposed IAEA policy against "telling the whole truth" about Iran and pointed out other factual errors, such as a claim that Iran had enriched "weapons-grade" uranium.[181]
- John Bolton, then U.S. ambassador to the United Nations on 31 August 2006, said that he expected action to impose sanctions to begin immediately after the deadline passes, with meetings of high-level officials in the coming days, followed by negotiations on the language of the sanctions resolution. Bolton said that when the deadline passes "a little flag will go up." "In terms of what happens afterward, at that point, if they have not suspended all uranium enrichment activities, they will not be in compliance with the resolution," he said. "And at that point, the steps that the foreign ministers have agreed upon previously ... we would begin to talk about how to implement those steps." The five permanent members of the Security Council, plus Germany, previously offered Iran a package of incentives aimed at getting the country to restart negotiations, but Iran refused to halt its nuclear activities first. Incentives included offers to improve Iran's access to the international economy through participation in groups such as the World Trade Organization and to modernize its telecommunications industry. The incentives also mentioned the possibility of lifting restrictions on U.S. and European manufacturers wanting to export civil aircraft to Iran. And a proposed long-term agreement accompanying the incentives offered a "fresh start in negotiations."[109]
- IAEA officials complained in 2007 that most U.S. intelligence shared with it to date about Iran's nuclear program proved to be inaccurate, and that none had led to significant discoveries inside Iran through that time.[182]
- Through 2008, the United States repeatedly refused to rule out using nuclear weapons in an attack on Iran. The U.S. Nuclear Posture Review made public in 2002 specifically envisioned the use of nuclear weapons on a first strike basis, even against non-nuclear armed states.[183] Investigative reporter Seymour Hersh reported that, according to military officials, the Bush administration had plans for the use of nuclear weapons against "underground Iranian nuclear facilities".[184] When specifically questioned about the potential use of nuclear weapons against Iran, President Bush claimed that "All options were on the table". According to the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientist, Bush "directly threatened Iran with a preemptive nuclear strike. It is hard to read his reply in any other way."[185] The Iranian authorities consistently replied that they were not seeking nuclear weapons as a deterrent to the United States, and instead emphasize the creation of a nuclear-arms free zone in the Middle East.[186] The policy of using nuclear weapons on a first-strike basis against non-nuclear opponents is a violation of the US Negative Security Assurance pledge not to use nuclear weapons against non-nuclear members of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) such as Iran. Threats of the use of nuclear weapons against another country constitute a violation of United Nations Security Council Resolution 984 and the International Court of Justice advisory opinion on the Legality of the Threat or Use of Nuclear Weapons.
- In December 2008, President-Elect Barack Obama gave an interview on Sunday's "Meet the Press" with host Tom Brokaw during which he said the United States needs to "ratchet up tough but direct diplomacy with Iran". He said in his view the United States needs to make it clear to the Iranians that their alleged development of nuclear weapons and funding of organizations "like Hamas and Hezbollah," and threats against Israel are "unacceptable."[187] Obama supports diplomacy with Iran without preconditions "to pressure Iran to stop their illicit nuclear program".[188] Mohamed ElBaradei has welcomed the new stance to talk to Iran as "long overdue". Iran said Obama should apologize for the U.S. bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki in World War II and his administration should stop talking to the world and "listen to what others are saying."[189] In his first press interview as President, Obama told Al Arabiya that "if countries like Iran are willing to unclench their fist, they will find an extended hand from us."[190]
- In March 2009 U.S. National Intelligence Director Dennis C. Blair and Defense Intelligence Agency Director Lt. Gen. Michael D. Maples told a United States Senate Committee on Armed Services hearing that Iran has only low-enriched uranium, which there were no indications it was refining. Their comments countered ones made earlier by an Israeli general and Maples said the United States was arriving at different conclusions from the same facts.[191]
- On 7 April 2009, a Manhattan district attorney charged a financier with the suspected misuse of Manhattan banks employed to transfer money between China and Iran by way of Europe and the United States.[192] The materials in question can be used for weapons as well as civilian purposes, but some of the material can potentially be used in making engine nozzles that can withstand fiery temperatures and centrifuges that can enrich uranium into atomic fuel. The charges would carry a maximum of up to a year in jail for fifth-degree conspiracy and a maximum of four years for falsifying business records.[193] David Albright, a nuclear weapons expert who assisted in the prosecution, said that it is impossible to say how Iran used or could use the raw materials it acquired.[194]
- According to a document released by the US State Department's Bureau of Intelligence and Research in August 2009, Iran is unlikely to have the technical capability to produce HEU (highly enriched uranium, used for bombs) before 2013, and the US intelligence community has no evidence that Iran has yet made the decision to produce highly enriched uranium.[195]
- On 26 July 2009, Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton explicitly ruled out the possibility that the Obama administration would allow Iran to produce its own nuclear fuel, even under intense international inspection.[174]
- Following the November 2009 IAEA Board of Governors resolution demanding Iran immediately stop building its newly revealed nuclear facility and freeze uranium enrichment, White House spokesman Robert Gibbs avoided mentioning sanctions but indicated harsher measures were possible unless Iran compromised: "If Iran refuses to meet its obligations, then it will be responsible for its own growing isolation and the consequences." Glyn Davies, the chief U.S. delegate to the IAEA, told reporters: "Six nations ... for the first time came together ...[and] have put together this resolution we all agreed on. That's a significant development."[141]
- A 2009 U.S. congressional research paper said that U.S. intelligence believed Iran ended "nuclear weapon design and weaponization work" in 2003.[196] Some advisors within the Obama administration reaffirmed the intelligence conclusions,[197] while other "top advisers" in the Obama administration "say they no longer believe" the key finding of the 2007 National Intelligence Estimate.[198] Thomas Fingar, former Chairman of the National Intelligence Council until December 2008, said that the original 2007 National Intelligence Estimate on Iran "became contentious, in part, because the White House instructed the Intelligence Community to release an unclassified version of the report's key judgments but declined to take responsibility for ordering its release."[199] A National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) is the most authoritative written judgment concerning a national security issue prepared by the Director of Central Intelligence.[200]
- The impending opening of the Bushehr I plant in late 2010 prompted the White House to question why Iran is continuing to enrich uranium within its borders. "Russia is providing the fuel, and taking the fuel back out," White House spokesman Robert Gibbs said in August. "It, quite clearly, I think, underscores that Iran does not need its own enrichment capability if its intentions, as it states, are for a peaceful nuclear program," he said.[179]
- On 8 January 2012, U.S. Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta acknowledged on Face the Nation that Iran was not trying to develop a nuclear weapon, but was trying to develop a nuclear capability. He also urged Israel to work together rather than make a unilateral strike on Iran’s nuclear installations.[201]
The August 2007 agreement with the IAEA
An IAEA report to the Board of Governors on 30 August 2007, stated that Iran's Fuel Enrichment Plant at Natanz is operating "well below the expected quantity for a facility of this design," and that 12 of the intended 18 centrifuge cascades at the plant were operating. The report stated that the IAEA had "been able to verify the non-diversion of the declared nuclear materials at the enrichment facilities in Iran," and that longstanding issues regarding plutonium experiments and HEU contamination on spent fuel containers were considered "resolved." However, the report added that the Agency remained unable to verify certain aspects relevant to the scope and nature of Iran's nuclear program.
The report also outlined a work plan agreed by Iran and the IAEA on 21 August 2007. The work plan reflected agreement on "modalities for resolving the remaining safeguards implementation issues, including the long outstanding issues." According to the plan, these modalities covered all remaining issues regarding Iran's past nuclear program and activities. The IAEA report described the work plan as "a significant step forward," but added "the Agency considers it essential that Iran adheres to the time line defined therein and implements all the necessary safeguards and transparency measures, including the measures provided for in the Additional Protocol."[202] Although the work plan did not include a commitment by Iran to implement the Additional Protocol, IAEA safeguards head Olli Heinonen observed that measures in the work plan "for resolving our outstanding issues go beyond the requirements of the Additional Protocol."[203]
According to Reuters, the report was likely to blunt Washington's push for more severe sanctions against Iran. One senior UN official familiar said U.S. efforts to escalate sanctions against Iran would provoke a nationalistic backlash by Iran that would set back the IAEA investigation in Iran.[204] In late October 2007, chief IAEA inspector Olli Heinonen described Iranian cooperation with the IAEA as "good," although much remained to be done.[205]
The November 2007 IAEA report
The 15 November 2007, IAEA report found that on nine outstanding issues listed in the August 2007 workplan, including experiments on the P-2 centrifuge and work with uranium metals, "Iran's statements are consistent with ... information available to the agency," but it warned that its knowledge of Tehran's present atomic work was shrinking due to Iran's refusal to continue voluntarily implementing the Additional Protocol, as it had done in the past under the October 2003 Tehran agreement and the November 2004 Paris agreement. The only remaining issues were traces of HEU found at one location, and allegations by US intelligence agencies based on a laptop computer allegedly stolen from Iran which reportedly contained nuclear weapons-related designs. The IAEA report also stated that Tehran continues to produce LEU. Iran has declared it has a right to peaceful nuclear technology under the NPT, despite Security Council demands that it cease its nuclear enrichment.[206]
On 18 November 2007, President Ahmadinejad announced that he intends to consult with other Arab nations on a plan, under the auspices of the Gulf Cooperation Council, to enrich uranium in a neutral third country, such as Switzerland.[207]
The February 2008 IAEA report
On 11 February 2008, news reports stated that the IAEA report on Iran's compliance with the August 2007 work plan would be delayed over internal disagreements over the report's expected conclusions that the major issues had been resolved.[208] French Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner stated that he would meet with IAEA Director Mohammed ElBaradei to convince him to "listen to the West" and remind him that the IAEA is merely in charge of the "technical side" rather than the "political side" of the issue.[209] A senior IAEA official denied the reports of internal disagreements and accused Western powers of using the same "hype" tactics employed against Iraq before the 2003 U.S.-led invasion to justify imposing further sanctions on Iran over its nuclear program.[210]
The IAEA issued its report on the implementation of safeguards in Iran on 22 February 2008.[211] With respect to the report, IAEA Director Mohammad ElBaradei stated that "We have managed to clarify all the remaining outstanding issues, including the most important issue, which is the scope and nature of Iran´s enrichment programme" with the exception of a single issue, "and that is the alleged weaponization studies that supposedly Iran has conducted in the past."[212]
According to the report, the IAEA shared intelligence with Iran recently provided by the US regarding "alleged studies" on a nuclear weaponization program. The information was allegedly obtained from a laptop computer smuggled out of Iran and provided to the US in mid-2004.[213] The laptop was reportedly received from a "longtime contact" in Iran who obtained it from someone else now believed to be dead.[214] A senior European diplomat warned "I can fabricate that data," and argued that the documents look "beautiful, but is open to doubt".[214] The United States has relied on the laptop to prove that Iran intends to develop nuclear weapons.[214] In November 2007, the United States National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) believed that Iran halted an alleged active nuclear weapons program in fall 2003.[215] Iran has dismissed the laptop information as a fabrication, and other diplomats have dismissed the information as relatively insignificant and coming too late.[216]
The February 2008 IAEA report states that the Agency has "not detected the use of nuclear material in connection with the alleged studies, nor does it have credible information in this regard."[211]
The May 2008 IAEA report
On 26 May 2008, the IAEA issued another regular report on the implementation of safeguards in Iran.[217]
According to the report, the IAEA has been able to continue to verify the non-diversion of declared nuclear material in Iran, and Iran has provided the Agency with access to declared nuclear material and accountancy reports, as required by its safeguards agreement.
Iran had installed several new centrifuges, including more advanced models, and environmental samples showed the centrifuges "continued to operate as declared", making low-enriched uranium. The report also noted that other elements of Iran's nuclear program continued to be subject to IAEA monitoring and safeguards as well, including the construction of the heavy water facility in Arak, the construction and use of hot cells associated with the Tehran Research Reactor, the uranium conversion efforts, and the Russian nuclear fuel delivered for the Bushehr reactor.
The report stated that the IAEA had requested, as a voluntary "transparency measure", to be allowed access to centrifuge manufacturing sites, but that Iran had refused the request. The IAEA report stated that Iran had also submitted replies to questions regarding "possible military dimensions" to its nuclear program, which include "alleged studies" on a so-called Green Salt Project, high-explosive testing and missile re-entry vehicles. According to the report, Iran's answers were still under review by the IAEA at the time the report was published. However, as part of its earlier "overall assessment" of the allegations, Iran had responded that the documents making the allegations were forged, not authentic, or referred to conventional applications.
The report stated that Iran may have more information on the alleged studies, which "remain a matter of serious concern", but that the IAEA itself had not detected evidence of actual design or manufacture by Iran of nuclear weapons or components. The IAEA also stated that it was not itself in possession of certain documents containing the allegations against Iran, and so was not able to share the documents with Iran.
The September 2008 IAEA report
According to the 15 September 2008, IAEA report on the implementation of safeguards in Iran,[218] Iran continued to provide the IAEA with access to declared nuclear material and activities, which continued to be operated under safeguards and with no evidence of any diversion of nuclear material for non-peaceful uses. Nevertheless, the report reiterated that the IAEA would not be able to verify the exclusively peaceful nature of Iran's nuclear program unless Iran adopted "transparency measures" which exceeded its safeguards agreement with the IAEA, since the IAEA does not verify the absence of undeclared nuclear activities in any country unless the Additional Protocol is in force.
With respect to the report, IAEA Director Mohammad ElBaradei stated that "We have managed to clarify all the remaining outstanding issues, including the most important issue, which is the scope and nature of Iran's enrichment programme" with the exception of a single issue, "and that is the alleged weaponization studies that supposedly Iran has conducted in the past."[219]
According to the report, Iran had increased the number of operating centrifuges at its Fuel Enrichment Plant in Isfahan, and continued to enrich uranium. Contrary to some media reports which claimed that Iran had diverted uranium hexafluoride (UF6) for a renewed nuclear weapons program,[220] the IAEA emphasized that all of the uranium hexafluoride was under IAEA safeguards. This was re-iterated by IAEA spokesman Melissa Fleming, who characterized the report of missing nuclear material in Iran as being "fictitious".[221] Iran was also asked to clarify information about foreign assistance it may have received in connection with a high explosive charge suitable for an implosion type nuclear device. Iran stated that there had been no such activities in Iran.[218]
The IAEA also reported that it had held a series of meetings with Iranian officials to resolve the outstanding issues including the "alleged studies" into nuclear weaponization which were listed in the May 2008 IAEA report. During the course of these meetings, the Iranians filed a series of written responses including a 117-page presentation which confirmed the partial veracity of some of the allegations, but which asserted that the allegations as a whole were based on "forged" documents and "fabricated" data, and that Iran had not actually received the documentation substantiating the allegations. According to the August 2007 "Modalities Agreement" between Iran and the IAEA, Iran had agreed to review and assess the "alleged studies" claims, as good faith gesture, "upon receiving all related documents".[222]
Iran's ambassador to the IAEA, Ali Asghar Soltaniyeh, accused the United States of preventing the IAEA from delivering the documents about the alleged studies to Iran as required by the Modalities Agreement, and stated that Iran had done its best to respond to the allegations but would not accept "any request beyond our legal obligation and particularly beyond the Work Plan, which we have already implemented."[223]
While once again expressing "regret" that the IAEA was not able to provide Iran with copies of the documentation concerning the alleged studies, the report also urged Iran to provide the IAEA with "substantive information to support its statements and provide access to relevant documentation and individuals" regarding the alleged studies, as a "matter of transparency".[218] The IAEA submitted a number of proposals to Iran to help resolve the allegations and expressed a willingness to discuss modalities that could enable Iran to demonstrate credibly that the activities referred to in the documentation were not nuclear-related, as Iran asserted, while protecting sensitive information related to its conventional military activities. The report does not indicate whether Iran accepted or rejected these proposals.[218]
The report also reiterated that IAEA inspectors had found "no evidence on the actual design or manufacture by Iran of nuclear material components of a nuclear weapon or of certain other key components, such as initiators, or on related nuclear physics studies ... Nor has the Agency detected the actual use of nuclear material in connection with the alleged studies" but insisted that the IAEA would not be able to formally verify the peaceful nature of Iran's nuclear program unless Iran had agreed to adopt the requested "transparency measures".[218]
The February 2009 IAEA report
In a 19 February 2009, report to the Board of Governors,[224] IAEA Director General ElBaradei reported that Iran continued to enrich uranium contrary to the decisions of the Security Council and had produced over a ton of low enriched uranium. Results of environmental samples taken by the Agency at the FEP and PFEP5 indicated that the plants have been operating at levels declared by Tehran, "within the measurement uncertainties normally associated with enrichment plants of a similar throughput." The Agency was also able to confirm there was no ongoing reprocessing related activities at Iran's Tehran Research Reactor and Xenon Radioisotope Production Facility.
According to the report, Iran also continued to refuse to provide design information or access to verify design information for its IR-40 heavy water research reactor. Iran and the IAEA in February 2003 agreed to modify a provision in the Subsidiary Arrangement to its safeguards agreement (Code 3.1) to require such access.[225] Iran told the Agency in March 2007 that it "suspended" the implementation of the modified Code 3.1, which had been "accepted in 2003, but not yet ratified by the parliament", and that it would "revert" to the implementation of the 1976 version of Code 3.1.[226] The subsidiary arrangement may only be modified by mutual agreement.[227] Iran says that since the reactor is not in a position to receive nuclear material the IAEA's request for access was not justified, and requested that the IAEA not schedule an inspection to verify design information.[224] The Agency says its right to verify design information provided to it is a "continuing right, which is not dependent on the stage of construction of, or the presence of nuclear material at, a facility".[226]
Regarding the "alleged studies" into nuclear weaponization, the Agency said that "as a result of the continued lack of cooperation by Iran in connection with the remaining issues which give rise to concerns about possible military dimensions of Iran's nuclear programme, the Agency has not made any substantive progress on these issues." The Agency called on member states which had provided information about the alleged programs to allow the information to be shared with Iran. The Agency said Iran's continued refusal to implement the Additional Protocol was contrary to the request of the Board of Governors and the Security Council. The Agency was able to continue to verify the non-diversion of declared nuclear material in Iran.[228] Iran says that for the six years the Agency has been considering its case, the IAEA has not found any evidence to prove that Tehran is seeking a nuclear weapon.[136]
Regarding the IAEA report, several news reports suggested that that Iran had failed to properly report the amount of low-enriched uranium it possessed because Iranian estimates did not match the IAEA inspector's findings, and that Iran now had enough uranium to make a nuclear bomb.[229][230] The reporting was widely criticized as unjustifiably provocative and hyped.[231][232][233] In response to the controversy, IAEA spokesman Melissa Fleming asserted that the IAEA had no reason at all to believe that the estimates of low-enriched uranium produced by Iran were an intentional error, and that no nuclear material could be removed from the facility for further enrichment to make nuclear weapons without the agency's knowledge since the facility is subject to video surveillance and the nuclear material is kept under seal.[234]
Ali Asghar Soltaniyeh, Iran's Ambassador to the International Atomic Energy Agency, said the February report failed to "provide any new insight into Iran's nuclear program".[235] He asserted the report was written in a way which clearly causes misunderstanding in public opinion. He suggested the reports should be written to have a section about whether Iran has fulfilled its NPT obligations and a separate section for whether "fulfillment of Additional Protocol or sub-arrangements 1 and 3 are beyond the commitment or not".[236]
The November 2011 IAEA report
In November of 2011 the IAEA released a report[237] stating inspectors had found credible evidence that Iran had been conducting experiments aimed at designing a nuclear bomb until 2003, and research may have continued on a lower rate since that time.[238] IAEA Director Yukiya Amano said evidence gathered by the agency "indicates that Iran has carried out activities relevant to the development of a nuclear explosive device."[239] Iran rejected IAEA's findings as "unbalanced, unprofessional and prepared with political motivation and under political pressure by mostly the United States."[240]
The IAEA Board of Governors passed a resolution[241] by a vote of 32–2 that expressed "deep and increasing concern" over the possible military dimensions to Iran's nuclear program and calling it "essential" that Iran provide additional information and access to the IAEA.[242][5] The United States welcomed the resolution and said it would step up sanctions to press Iran to change course.[243] In response to the IAEA resolution, Iran threatened to reduce its cooperation with the IAEA, though Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi played down talk of withdrawal from the NPT or the IAEA.[244]
Second enrichment plant
On 21 September 2009, Iran informed the IAEA that it was constructing a second enrichment facility. The following day (22 September) IAEA Director General ElBaradei informed the United States, and two days later (24 September) the United States, United Kingdom and France briefed the IAEA on an enrichment facility under construction at an underground location at Fordo, twenty miles north of Qom. On 25 September, at the G-20 Summit, the three countries criticized Iran for once again concealing a nuclear facility from the IAEA. The United States said that the facility, which was still months from completion, was too small to be useful for a civil program but could produce enough high-enriched uranium for one bomb per year.[245] Iran said the plant was for peaceful purposes and would take between a year and a half to two years to complete, and that the notice Iran had given had exceeded the 180 days before insertion of nuclear materials the IAEA safeguards agreement that Iran was following required. Iran agreed to allow IAEA inspections.[246] Iran's nuclear chief, Ali Akbar Salehi, said the site was built for maximum protection from aerial attack: carved into a mountain and near a military compound of the powerful Revolutionary Guard.[247]
Also in October, the United States, France and Russia proposed a UN-drafted deal to Iran regarding its nuclear program, in an effort to find a compromise between Iran's stated need for a nuclear reactor and international concerns that Iran harbors a secret intent on developing a nuclear weapon. After some delay in responding, on 29 October, Ahmadinejad voiced an openness towards cooperation with other world powers. "We welcome fuel exchange, nuclear co-operation, building of power plants and reactors and we are ready to co-operate," he said in a live broadcast on state television.[248] However, he added that Iran would not retreat "one iota" on its right to a sovereign nuclear program. [249]
In November 2009, the IAEA Board of Governors passed a resolution that criticized Iran for defying a UN Security Council ban on uranium enrichment, censured Iran for secretly building a uranium enrichment facility and demanded that it immediately suspend further construction. It noted the IAEA chief Mohammed El-Baradei cannot confirm that Iran's nuclear program is exclusively geared toward peaceful uses, and expressed "serious concern" that Iran's stonewalling of an IAEA probe means "the possibility of military dimensions to Iran's nuclear program" cannot be excluded.[141]
Cooperation with Venezuela
In October 2009 Hugo Chávez announced that Iran was helping Venezuela in uranium exploration. He said that "We're working with several countries, with Iran, with Russia. We're responsible for what we're doing, we're in control".[250] A number of reports suggested that Venezuela was helping Iran to obtain uranium and evade international sanctions.[251][252]
Iran declares itself to be a nuclear state
On 9 February 2010 according to Government sources, Iran announced that it would produce uranium enriched to up to 20% to produce fuel for a research reactor used to produce medical radioisotopes, processing its existing stocks of 3.5% enriched uranium.[253][254] Two days later during the celebrations in Tehran for the 31st anniversary of the 1979 Iranian Islamic revolution, the Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad announced that Iran was now a "nuclear state."[254] IAEA officials confirmed it has enriched uranium "up to 19.8%".[255] Responding to criticism, President Ahmadinejad said, "Why do they think that 20 per cent is such a big deal? Right now in Natanz we have the capability to enrich at over 20 per cent and at over 80 per cent, but because we don't need it, we won't do it." He added "If we wanted to manufacture a bomb, we would announce it."[254][256] On the same day as the President's announcement, Ali Akbar Salehi, head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, told Reuters that their 20% enrichment production, was going "very well," adding "There is no limit on enrichment. We can enrich up to 100% ... But we never had the intention and we do not have the intention to do so, unless we need (to)." He maintained that the 20% production was for a Tehran medical reactor, and as such would be limited to around 1.5 kg per month.[253]
Tehran Nuclear Declaration
On 17 May 2010 Iran, Brazil, and Turkey issued a joint declaration "in which Iran agreed to send low-enriched uranium to Turkey in return for enriched fuel for a research reactor."[257][258] Iran reported the joint declaration to the IAEA on 24 May 2010, asking it to inform the "Vienna Group" (the United States, Russia, France, and the IAEA), in order to conclude a written agreement and make contingent arrangements between Iran and the Vienna Group.[259] The proposal was welcomed by Arab leaders,[260][261][262] China and, cautiously, by Russia.[263][264] France's Prime Minister called the agreement a "positive step" toward resolving the Iran nuclear program dispute, if Iran were to cease uranium enrichment altogether.[265] EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton played down the agreement, saying it was a step in the right direction but did not go far enough and left questions unanswered.[266] U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said the proposal had "a number of deficiencies," including Iran's intention to continue enriching uranium to high levels.[267]
Brazil's Foreign Minister, Celso Amorim, said that his government was encouraged "to implement the proposals in October, without deviation, and we did." In an 20 April 2010 letter to Brazilian President Lula, U.S. President Obama wrote "For us, Iran’s agreement to transfer 1,200 kg of Iran’s low enriched uranium (LEU) out of the country would build confidence and reduce regional tensions by substantially reducing Iran’s LEU stockpile. I want to underscore that this element is of fundamental importance for the United States... I would urge Brazil to impress upon Iran the opportunity presented by this offer to "escrow" its uranium in Turkey while the nuclear fuel is being produced."[268] Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan received a similar letter. A senior U.S. official told the Washington Post that the letter was a response to Iran's desire to ship out its uranium piecemeal, rather than in a single batch, and that during "multiple conversations" U.S. officials made clear that Iran should also cease 20% enrichment, but also said "there was no president-to-president letter laying out those broader concerns".[269] Amorim said the terms of the deal were discussed with several countries, including the United States.[270] Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu said “this [agreement] is a success for Turkey and Brazil, but it is also a success for President Obama’s policy of engagement.”[271] Ivan Oelrich and Ivanka Barzashka, writing in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists in May 2010, stated that Iran's "20 percent enrichment is likely only a show of force in an attempt to speed up a favorable fuel deal".[272]
Early analysis from the BBC stated the deal could be an "effort by President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to deflect pressure for fresh sanctions" and that "Iran watchers are already criticising Washington for moving the goal posts".[273] A Turkish foreign ministry spokesman said that the agreement, while not a solution for the entire nuclear program conflict, was "a step forward on resolving the swap issue, which is one of the important elements of the nuclear file."[274] The Jerusalem Post reported that Israeli government ministers believed the deal was "a maneuver to prevent the UN Security Council from agreeing on sanctions" which would "probably succeed as the Security council will be forced to study the new proposals".[264] Iran's atomic energy chief said the agreement left world powers no reason to continue to pressure Iran regarding its nuclear program.[275] Iran also described the agreement as a major boost to trilateral relations with Brazil and Turkey,[276] and Supreme Leader of Iran Ayatollah Ali Khamenei criticized the continuing call for sanctions, stating that the "domineering powers headed by America are unhappy with cooperation between independent countries."[277]
On 18 May 2010, the United States announced a "draft accord" among UN permanent Security Council members for additional sanctions on Iran, designed to pressure it to end its nuclear enrichment program.[278] Turkey and Brazil criticized the sanctions proposal.[278] Davutoglu said that the swap agreement showed Iran's "clear political will" toward engagement on the nuclear issue. "This is not the day to muddy the waters with negative scenarios including sanctions,” he added.[279] Brazil's Foreign Minister also expressed frustration with the U.S. stance, saying of Brazil's vote against the sanctions resolution: “We could not have voted in any different way except against.”[280]
Graham Allison, director of the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, says sanctions can be most effective before they go into force when the target of those measures fears their impact most. Despite the Obama administration’s tough line against new talks with Iran, Allison said the United States could build on the Turkish-Brazilian deal.[281] Michael A. Levi, Senior Fellow for Energy and the Environment and Director of the Program on Energy Security and Climate Change, has said “the right choice for the United States may ultimately involve welcoming the announced fuel swap.”[282] Antonio Ramalho, Professor of International Relations at the University of Brasília, has written that that “the very fact that the Iranians have agreed to sign an agreement has already diminished Iran’s maneuverability.” He continued that “if we impose further sanctions, that will only increase the secrecy in Iran and increase the military orientation of this program.”[283] Marina Ottoway, of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, wrote that sanctions are "unlikely to change Tehran’s policies, particularly since international solidarity is already breaking down over the prospects of harsher bilateral measures".[284] Former U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell said that proposed stricter United Nations sanctions will not bring an end to Iran’s nuclear program and that "I’m sure that they have done their own planning and have their own counter-sanction strategy."[285]
Mohamed ElBaradei, former director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency, wrote that "the only way to resolve the Iranian issue is to build trust. Moving 1200, half, or at least more than half of the Iranian nuclear material out of Iran is a confidence-building measure would defuse the crisis and enable the US and the West [to gain] the space to negotiate. I hope that it would be perceived as a win-win situation. If we see what I have been observing in the last couple of days that it is an "empty dressing", I think it is a wrong approach...we lost six years of failed policy frankly vis-à-vis Iran. And it's about time now to understand that the Iranian issue is not going to be resolved except, until and unless we sit with the Iranians and try to find a fair and equitable solution."[286] "If this deal is followed up with a broader engagement of the IAEA and the international community, it can be a positive step to a negotiated settlement," UN secretary-general Ban-Ki Moon said.[287]
Violent attacks on Iranian nuclear scientists
In a January 2012 article in Salon magazine, Glenn Greenwald noted the killing of at least five Iranian nuclear scientists during 2010 and 2011, by unknown attackers, with no apparent outcry in the Western media.[288] Mark Perry in an article on foreignpolicy.com quotes claims by US intelligence officers that these attacks were actually false flag operations by Mossad.[289]
Laptop and "alleged studies"
The continuing controversy over Iran's nuclear program revolves in part around allegations of nuclear studies by Iran with possible military applications until 2003, when, according to the 2007 National Intelligence Estimate, the program was ended. The allegations, which include claims that Iran had engaged in high-explosives testing, sought to manufacture "green salt" (UF
4) and to design a nuclear-capable missile warhead, were based on information obtained from a laptop computer which was allegedly retrieved from Iran in 2004[290] The US presented some of the alleged contents of the laptop in 2005 to an audience of international diplomats, though the laptop and the full documents contained in it have yet to be given to the IAEA for independent verification. According to the New York Times:
Nonetheless, doubts about the intelligence persist among some foreign analysts. In part, that is because American officials, citing the need to protect their source, have largely refused to provide details of the origins of the laptop computer beyond saying that they obtained it in mid-2004 from a longtime contact in Iran. Moreover, this chapter in the confrontation with Iran is infused with the memory of the faulty intelligence on Iraq's unconventional arms. In this atmosphere, though few countries are willing to believe Iran's denials about nuclear arms, few are willing to accept the United States' weapons intelligence without question. "I can fabricate that data," a senior European diplomat said of the documents. "It looks beautiful, but is open to doubt."[291]
On 21 August 2007, Iran and the IAEA finalized an agreement, titled "Understandings of The Islamic Republic of Iran and the IAEA on the Modalities of Resolution of the Outstanding Issues," that listed outstanding issues regarding Iran's nuclear program and set out a timetable to resolve each issue in order. These unresolved issues included the status of Iran's uranium mine at Gchine, allegations of experiments with plutonium and uranium metal, and the use of Polonium 210.[292] Specifically regarding the "Alleged Studies", the Modalities agreement asserted that while Iran considers the documents to be fabricated, Iran would nevertheless address the allegations "upon receiving all related documents" as a goodwill gesture. The Modalities Agreement specifically said that that aside from the issues identified in the document, there were "no other remaining issues and ambiguities regarding Iran's past nuclear program and activities."
The United States was opposed to the Modalities Agreement between Iran and the IAEA, and vehemently objected to it, accusing Iran of "manipulating" IAEA.[citation needed] Olli Heinonen, the IAEA Deputy Director General for safeguards underlined the importance of the Iran-IAEA agreement as a working arrangement on how to resolve the outstanding issues that triggered Security Council resolutions:
"All these measures which you see there for resolving our outstanding issues go beyond the requirements of the Additional Protocol ... If the answers are not satisfactory, we are making new questions until we are satisfied with the answers and we can conclude technically that the matter is resolved—it is for us to judge when we think we have enough information. Once the matter is resolved, then the file is closed."[293]
Following the implementation of the Modalities Agreement, the IAEA issued another report on the status of Iran's nuclear program on 22 Feb 2008. According to this report, the IAEA had no evidence of a current, undeclared nuclear program in Iran, and all of the remaining issues listed in the Modalities Agreement regarding past undeclared nuclear activities had been resolved, with the exception of the "Alleged Studies" issue. Regarding this report, IAEA director ElBaradei specifically stated:
[W]e have made quite good progress in clarifying the outstanding issues that had to do with Iran's past nuclear activities, with the exception of one issue, and that is the alleged weaponization studies that supposedly Iran has conducted in the past. We have managed to clarify all the remaining outstanding issues, including the most important issue, which is the scope and nature of Iran's enrichment programme.[294]
The US had made some of the "Alleged Studies" documentation available to the IAEA just a week prior to the issuance of the IAEA's Feb 2008 report on Iran's nuclear program. According to the IAEA report itself, the IAEA had "not detected the use of nuclear material in connection with the alleged studies, nor does it have credible information in this regard." Some diplomats reportedly dismissed the new allegations as being "of doubtful value ... relatively insignificant and coming too late."[295]
It was reported on 3 March 2008, that Olli Heinonen, the IAEA Deputy Director general of safeguards, had briefed diplomats about the contents of the "Alleged Studies" documents a week earlier. Reportedly, Heinonen added that the IAEA had obtained corroborating information from the intelligence agencies of several countries, that pointed to sophisticated research into some key technologies needed to build and deliver a nuclear bomb.[296]
In April 2008, Iran reportedly agreed to address the sole outstanding issue of the "Alleged Studies"[297] However, according to the subsequent May 2008 IAEA report, the IAEA was not able to actually provide these same "Alleged Studies" documents to Iran, because the IAEA did not have the documents itself or was not allowed to share them with Iran. For example, in paragraph 21, the IAEA report states: "Although the Agency had been shown the documents that led it to these conclusions, it was not in possession of the documents and was therefore unfortunately unable to make them available to Iran." Also, in paragraph 16, the IAEA report states: "The Agency received much of this information only in electronic form and was not authorised to provide copies to Iran." The IAEA has requested that it be allowed to share the documents with Iran. Nevertheless, according the report, Iran may have more information on the alleged studies which "remain a matter of serious concern" but the IAEA itself had not detected evidence of actual design or manufacture by Iran of nuclear weapons or components.
Iran's refusal to respond to the IAEA's questions unless it is given access to the original documents has caused a standoff. In February 2008, the New York Times reported that the U.S. refusal to provide access to those documents was a source of friction between the Bush Administration and then Director General ElBaradei.[298] ElBaradei later noted that these documents could not be shared because of the need to protect sources and methods, but noted that this allowed Iran to question their authenticity.[299] According to Iran's envoy to the IAEA, Ali Asghar Soltanieh, "The government of the United States has not handed over original documents to the agency since it does not in fact have any authenticated document and all it has are forged documents."[300]
The IAEA has requested that third-parties[vague] allow it to share the documents on the alleged studies with Iran. The IAEA has further stated that though it has not provided full documents containing the alleged studies, information from other countries has corroborated some of the allegations, which appear to the IAEA to be consistent and credible, and that Iran should therefore address the alleged studies even without obtaining the full documents. However, questions about the authenticity of the documents persist, with claims that the documents were obtained either from Israel or the MEK, an Iranian dissident group officially considered to be a terrorist organization by the United States, and that investigations into the alleged studies are intended to reveal intelligence about Iran's conventional weapons programs.[301][302][303][304] Some IAEA officials have requested a clear statement be made by the agency that it could not affirm the documents' authenticity. They cite that as a key document in the study had since been proven to have been fraudulently altered, it put in doubt the entire collection.[305]
Nuclear power as a political issue
Iran's nuclear program and the NPT
Iran says that its nuclear program is solely for peaceful purposes and consistent with the NPT.[306] The IAEA Board of Governors has found Iran in non-compliance with its NPT safeguards agreement, concluding in a rare non-consensus decision with 12 abstentions,[307] that Iran's past safeguards "breaches" and "failures" constituted "non-compliance" with its Safeguards Agreement[98][308] In the decision, the IAEA Board of Governors also concluded that the concerns raised fell within the competence of the UN Security Council.[98]
Most experts recognize that non-compliance with an NPT safeguards agreement is not equivalent to a violation of the NPT or does not automatically constitute a violation of the NPT itself.[309][310] The IAEA does not make determinations regarding compliance with the NPT,[311] and the UN Security Council does not have a responsibility to adjudicate treaty violations.[312] Dr. James Acton, an associate in the Nonproliferation Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, has said the 2010 NPT Review Conference could recognize that non-compliance with safeguards agreements would violate article III of the NPT.[313] Director of the Australian Nonproliferation and Safeguards Organization and then Chairman of IAEA Standing Advisory Group on Safeguards Implementation[314] John Carlson wrote in considering the case of Iran that "formally IAEA Board of Governors (BOG) decisions concern compliance with safeguards agreements, rather than the NPT as such, but in practical terms non-compliance with a safeguards agreement constitutes non-compliance with the NPT."[315]
A September 2009 Congressional Research Service paper said "whether Iran has violated the NPT is unclear."[316] A 2005 U.S. State Department report on compliance with arms control and nonproliferation agreements concluded, based on its analysis of the facts and the relevant international laws, that Iran's extensive failures to make required reports to the IAEA made "clear that Iran has violated Article III of the NPT and its IAEA safeguards agreement."[311] Testimony presented to the Foreign Select Committee of the British Parliament drew the opposite conclusion:[317]
"The enforcement of Article III of the NPT obligations is carried out through the IAEA's monitoring and verification that is designed to ensure that declared nuclear facilities are operated according to safeguard agreement with Iran, which Iran signed with the IAEA in 1974. In the past four years that Iran's nuclear programme has been under close investigation by the IAEA, the Director General of the IAEA, as early as November 2003 reported to the IAEA Board of Governors that "to date, there is no evidence that the previously undeclared nuclear material and activities ... were related to a nuclear weapons programme." ... Although Iran has been found in non-compliance with some aspects of its IAEA safeguards obligations, Iran has not been in breach of its obligations under the terms of the NPT."
The 2005 U.S. State Department compliance report also concluded that "Iran is pursuing an effort to manufacture nuclear weapons, and has sought and received assistance in this effort in violation of Article II of the NPT".[311] The November 2007 United States National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) asserted that Tehran halted a nuclear weapons program in fall 2003, but that Iran "at a minimum is keeping open the option to develop nuclear weapon".[215] Russian analyst Alexei Arbatov, said "no hard facts on violation of the NPT per se have been discovered" and also wrote that "all this is not enough to accuse Iran of a formal breach of the letter of the NPT" and "giving Iran the benefit of the doubt, there is no hard evidence of its full-steam development of a military nuclear program."[318]
NPT Article IV recognizes the right of states to research, develop and use nuclear energy for peaceful purposes, but only in conformity with their nuclear nonproliferation obligations under Articles I and II of the NPT.
The UN Security Council has demanded that Iran suspend its nuclear enrichment activities in multiple resolutions.[319][320] The United States has said the "central bargain of the NPT is that if non-nuclear-weapon states renounce the pursuit of nuclear weapons, and comply fully with this commitment, they may gain assistance under Article IV of the Treaty to develop peaceful nuclear programs". The U.S. has written that Paragraph 1 of Article IV makes clear that access to peaceful nuclear cooperation must be "in conformity with Articles I and II of this Treaty" and also by extension Article III of the NPT.[321] Rahman Bonad, Director of Arms Control Studies at the Center for Strategic Research at Tehran, has argued that demands to cease enrichment run counter to "all negotations and discussions that led to the adoption of the NPT in the 1960s and the fundamental logic of striking a balance between the rights and obligations stipulated in the NPT."[322] In February 2006 Iran's foreign minister insisted that "Iran rejects all forms of scientific and nuclear apartheid by any world power," and asserted that this "scientific and nuclear apartheid" was "an immoral and discriminatory treatment of signatories to the Non-Proliferation Treaty,"[323] and that Iran has "the right to a peaceful use of nuclear energy and we cannot accept nuclear apartheid."[324]
Russia has said it believes Iran has a right to enrich uranium on its soil. Former U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice suggested that there could be work toward an international nuclear fuel bank instead of indigenous Iranian enrichment,[325] while Richard Haass, President of the Council on Foreign Relations, has said "the United States should be willing to discuss what Iran describes as its 'right to enrich' ... provided that Iran accepts both limits on its enrichment program (no HEU) and enhanced safeguards".[326] Officials of the Iranian government and members of the Iranian public believe Iran should be developing its peaceful nuclear industry.[327][328] A March 2008 poll of 30 nations found moderate support for allowing Iran to produce nuclear fuel for electricity alongside a full program of UN inspections.[329]
Iranian statements on nuclear deterrence
The Iranian authorities deny seeking a nuclear weapons capacity for deterrence or retaliation since Iran's level of technological progress cannot match that of existing nuclear weapons states, and the acquisition of nuclear weapons would only spark an arms race in the Mideast. According to Ambassador Javad Zarif:
It is true that Iran has neighbors with abundant nuclear weapons, but this does not mean that Iran must follow suit. In fact, the predominant view among Iranian decision-makers is that development, acquisition or possession of nuclear weapons would only undermine Iranian security. Viable security for Iran can be attained only through inclusion and regional and global engagement.[330][331]
Iran's President Ahmadinejad, during an interview with NBC anchor Brian Willians in July 2008, also dismissed the utility of nuclear weapons as a source of security and stated:
Again, did nuclear arms help the Soviet Union from falling and disintegrating? For that matter, did a nuclear bomb help the U.S. to prevail inside Iraq or Afghanistan, for that matter? Nuclear bombs belong to the 20th century. We are living in a new century ... Nuclear energy must not be equaled to a nuclear bomb. This is a disservice to the society of man.[332]
And according Ali Akbar Salehi, the head of Iran's Atomic Energy Organisation:
In matters of national security we are not timid. We will assert our intentions. If nuclear weapons would have brought security, we would have announced to the world that we would go after them ... We do not think a nuclear Iran would be stronger ... If we have weapons of mass destruction we are not going to use them – we cannot. We did not use chemical weapons against Iraq. Secondly, we do not feel any real threat from our neighbours. Pakistan and the Persian Gulf, we have no particular problems with them, nor with Afghanistan. The only powerful country is Russia in the north, and no matter how many nuclear weapons we had we could not match Russia. Israel, our next neighbour, we do not consider an entity by itself but as part of the US. Facing Israel means facing the US. We cannot match the US. We do not have strategic differences with our neighbours, including Turkey.[333]
Nuclear Weapon Free Zone in the Mideast
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/6f/Nwfz.svg/500px-Nwfz.svg.png)
Iran has consistently supported the creation of a nuclear-weapons free zone in the Mideast. In 1974, as concerns in the region grew over Israel's nuclear weapon programme, Iran formally proposed the concept of a nuclear weapon free zone in the Middle East in a joint resolution in the UN General Assembly.[334] The Shah of Iran had made a similar appeal five years earlier but had failed to attract any support.[335] The call for the creation of nuclear weapons free zone in the Mideast was repeated by Iran's President Ahmadinejad in 2006.[336] It was reiterated by Iran's Foreign Minister, Manouchehr Mottaki in 2008.[337]
Views on Iran's nuclear power program
The Iranian viewpoint
In taking a stance that the Shah expressed decades ago, Iranians feel its valuable oil should be used for high-value products, not simple electricity generation. "Petroleum is a noble material, much too valuable to burn ... We envision producing, as soon as possible, 23,000 megawatts of electricity using nuclear plants," the Shah had previously said.[338] Assuming pumping rates remain steady, Iran has only enough oil to last another 75 years. Iran also faces financial constraints, and claims that developing the excess capacity in its oil industry would cost it $40 billion, let alone pay for the power plants.[339] Roger Stern from Johns Hopkins University partially concurred with this view, projecting that due to "energy subsidies, hostility to foreign investment and inefficiencies of its [Iranian] state-planned economy", Iranian oil exports would vanish by 2014–2015, although he notes that this outcome has "no relation to 'peak oil.'"[340] Earlier, the Gerald Ford Administration had arrived at a similar assessment,[341] and independent studies conducted by the Foreign Affairs Select Committee of the British Parliament and the U.S. National Academy of Sciences previously confirmed that Iran has a valid economic basis for its nuclear energy program.
The Iranians believe that concerns about nuclear weapons proliferation are pretextual, and any suspension of enrichment is simply intended to ultimately deprive Iran of the right to have an independent nuclear technology:
[W]e had a suspension for two years and on and off negotiations for three ... Accusing Iran of having "the intention" of acquiring nuclear weapons has, since the early 1980s, been a tool used to deprive Iran of any nuclear technology, even a light water reactor or fuel for the American-built research reactor ... the United States and EU3 never even took the trouble of studying various Iranian proposals: they were – from the very beginning – bent on abusing this Council and the threat of referral and sanctions as an instrument of pressure to compel Iran to abandon the exercise of its NPT guaranteed right to peaceful nuclear technology ..[342]
Iran says that its inalienable right to peaceful nuclear technology has been the subject of "the most extensive and intensive campaign of denial, obstruction, intervention and misinformation" and that the international community has been subject to "bias, politicized and exaggerated information" on the Iranian nuclear program and activities.[155]
After the 1979 Iranian Revolution, Iran informed the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) of its plans to restart its nuclear program using indigenously made nuclear fuel, and in 1983 the IAEA planned to provide assistance in uranium conversion (not enrichment) to Iran under its Technical Assistance Program, until the program was terminated under US pressure.[343] An IAEA report at the time stated clearly that its aim was to "contribute to the formation of local expertise and manpower needed to sustain an ambitious program in the field of nuclear power reactor technology and fuel cycle technology." Iran's enrichment program was openly discussed on national radio in the early 1980s,[344] and IAEA inspectors were even invited to visit Iran's uranium mines in 1992.[345]
Iran announced plans in 1995 to build a uranium hexafluoride (UF6) conversion plant at the Nuclear Technical Centre in Esfahan, with Chinese assistance. During a November 1996 IAEA visit to Isfahan, Iran, informed the IAEA Department of Safeguards that it planned to build a uranium hexafluoride (UF6) conversion plant at the Nuclear Technology Center.[346] The UF6 plant was scheduled to open after 2000, but the project was abandoned by China under pressure from the United States in October 1997.[347][348][349] The Iranians informed the IAEA that they would complete the project nonetheless. In 2000, the Iranians completed the uranium conversion project, using the blueprints provided to them by China, and declared the facility to the IAEA. The facility was planned with the intention of supplying UO2 (Uranium dioxide) as fuel to the 40 MW Heavy Water Reactor under construction at Arak and to meet the needs of UF6 (Uranium hexafluoride) for the Natanz enrichment facility.[350]
Iran argues that it disclosed information about its programs in which "in nearly all cases, it was not any way obliged to disclose in accordance with its obligations under its safeguards agreement with the IAEA."[155] Iran says its voluntary confidence building measures were only "reciprocated by broken promises and expanded requests" and that the EU3 "simply wanted prolonged and fruitless negotiations" to inhibit Iran from exercising its inalienable right to peaceful nuclear technology.[351]
Iran says it has suggested to the EU3 to ask the IAEA to develop monitoring modalities for Iran's enrichment program as objective guarantees to ensure that Iran's nuclear program will remain exclusively for peaceful purposes and has also provided its own set of Western suggested modalities to the Agency.[155]
However, Iran says it will not suspend its enrichment because "it would further be deprived from its inalienable right to work on nuclear fuel cycle, with the aim of producing required fuels for its research reactors and nuclear power plants."[352]
Dr. William O. Beeman, Brown University's Middle East Studies program professor, who spent years in Iran, says that the Iranian nuclear issue is a unified point of their political discussion:
- "The Iranian side of the discourse is that they want to be known and seen as a modern, developing state with a modern, developing industrial base. The history of relations between Iran and the West for the last hundred years has included Iran's developing various kinds of industrial and technological advances to prove to themselves—and to attempt to prove to the world—that they are, in fact, that kind of country."
Stephen McGlinchey agrees, noting that the Islamic Republic of Iran "owes its existence to its identity as a reaction to the Western way of life and of doing business. To come to a conciliation with the international community, spearheaded by the American insistence that Iran must not ever have full mastery of the nuclear cycle is in essence dismantling the foundations and the pride of the Regime."[353]
Iran also believes it has a legal right to enrich uranium for peaceful purposes under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty,[354] a right which in 2005 the U.S. and the EU-3 began to assert had been forfeited by a clandestine nuclear program that came to light in 2002.
Iranian politicians compare its treatment as a signatory to the NPT with three nuclear-armed nations that have not signed the NPT: Israel, India, and Pakistan. Each of these nations developed an indigenous nuclear weapons capability: Israel by 1966,[355] India by 1974, and Pakistan by 1990.
The Iranian authorities assert that they cannot simply trust the United States or Europe to provide Iran with nuclear energy fuel, and point to a long series of agreements, contracts and treaty obligations which were not fulfilled.[356] Developing nations say they do not want to give up their rights to uranium enrichment and do not trust the United States or other nuclear countries to be consistent suppliers of the nuclear material they would need to run their power plants.[357]
Determination to continue the nuclear program and retaliate against any Western attack is strong in Iran. Hassan Abbasi, director of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps think tank, Doctrinal Analysis Center for Security without Borders (Markaz-e barresiha-ye doktrinyal-e amniyat bedun marz,) has announced that "approximately 40,000 Iranian estesh-hadiyun (martyrdom-seekers)" are ready to carry out suicide operations against "twenty-nine identified Western targets," should the U.S. military hit Iranian nuclear installations.[358] [verification needed]
Some have argued that there is a double standard between the treatment of Iran, which was reported to the Security Council for undeclared enrichment and reprocessing activities, and South Korea, which had failed to report enrichment and reprocessing experiments but was not found in non-compliance.[359] In South Korea's case, issues were reported by the IAEA Secretariat but the IAEA Board of Governors did not make a formal finding of non-compliance.[32][360] In making its decision, the Board said "there is no indication that the undeclared experiments have continued" and observed that the "Republic of Korea has an Additional Protocol in force and that developments in the Republic of Korea demonstrate the utility of the Additional Protocol."[361] Pierre Goldschmidt, former head of the department of safeguards at the IAEA, has called on the Board of Governors to adopt generic resolutions which would apply to all states in such circumstances and has argued "political considerations played a dominant role in the board's decision" to not make a formal finding of non-compliance.[36]
Despite its history with the West, Iran has said it would like to see a warming in relations. Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, the chairman of the Expediency Council and the Assembly of Experts, has said that Iran is not seeking enmity with the U.S. and that Iran would respond to any "formal" message which contained "change in practice".[362] Seyed Mohammad Marandi, a professor at Tehran University, has suggested that if the United States is serious about negotiating with Iran in the future then "that the United States must take concrete steps toward decreasing tension with Iran" such as reassessing Iranian sanctions, reassessing Iranian assets frozen in the United States since the Iranian revolution,[363][364] and reassessing Washington's backing of Israel.[365] Professor Hamidreza Jalaiepour, a political sociology teacher in Tehran, said if the U.S. examined these options, Iran would be likely to immediately respond in a variety of ways, including helping stabilize Afghanistan, for example.[365]
Middle Eastern views
The New York Times reported in 2007 that Iran's nuclear program had spurred interest in establishing nuclear power programs by a number of neighboring countries, including Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Egypt. Many countries outside the Mideast nations are also interested in nuclear power. According to the report, "roughly a dozen states in the region have recently turned to the International Atomic Energy Agency in Vienna for help in starting" nuclear programs.[366] The article also described neighbouring states as very hostile to any nuclear weapons program Iran might embark on, stating "many diplomats and analysts say that the Sunni Arab governments are so anxious about Iran's nuclear progress that they would even, grudgingly, support a United States military strike against Iran." However, some Arab countries have nuclear programs that are as old as Iran's, and their interest in nuclear power corresponds to a worldwide nuclear renaissance which applies also to Arab states that are seeking to conserve hydrocarbon resources, reduce carbon emissions, and provide electricity and safe drinking water for their rapidly growing populations.[367]
Like Iran, Egypt refuses to implement the Additional Protocol, although Iran has signed it and implemented it for two years until it was reported for safeguards non-compliance. Egypt links its position to Israel's refusal to accept IAEA safeguards and calls the Protocol "a voluntary thing."[368] On 17 May 2009, Arab League Chief Amr Moussa said that Israel's nuclear program was more worrying than Iran's. This followed a statement in March that the member states of the Arab League would abandon the NPT if Israel ever made its possession of nuclear weapons official.[369]
Recently the governments of a number of Arab countries have been using economic means to persuade Russia and China to support sanctions against Iran's controversial program.[370]
Diplomatic cables leaked in 2010 revealed that Muslim countries such as Saudi Arabia and Bahrain supported a military attack against Iran aimed to stop the Iranian nuclear program.[371]
Israeli views
Some Israeli officials publicly characterize Iran's nuclear program as an "existential threat" to Israel, and Israeli leaders assert that all options are kept open in dealing with Tehran.[372][373] The threat has been compared to the threat the Jews of Europe faced prior to the Holocaust.[374] However, some Israeli officials have privately and publicly rejected such a characterization of Iran's program.[375][376][377] According to The Economist, "most of those Israeli experts willing to talk rate the chances of an Iranian nuclear attack as low. Despite Mr Ahmadinejad, most consider Iran to be a rational state actor susceptible to deterrence."[378]
Israel, which is not a party to the NPT and is widely believed to possess the Middle East's only nuclear arsenal[379] does not believe the 2007 National Intelligence Estimate conclusion that Iran had stopped its nuclear weapons program in 2003, insisting that it has additional evidence of an active and continued Iranian nuclear weapons program.[380][381] Israel has also rejected the IAEA's November 2007 and February 2008 reports on Iran, and Israeli officials have called for the resignation of IAEA Director General ElBaradei, accusing him of being "pro-Iranian."[382][383] Senior Israeli, French British, German and American officials have reportedly pressured the IAEA to release allegedly censored evidence of an Iranian nuclear weapons program.[384] IAEA spokesman Marc Vidricaire, though, issued a brief statement on the matter, characterizing the allegations against ElBaradei as "misinformation or misinterpretation" which have "no basis in fact."[385]
In early June 2008, Israeli Deputy Prime Minister Shaul Mofaz expressed frustration with the perceived ineffectiveness of sanctions aimed at discouraging Iran from uranium enrichment. Israel believes the enrichment may be used to aid an alleged nuclear weapons program. Mofaz said that the United Nations Security Council and the international community have "a duty and responsibility to clarify to Iran, through drastic measures, that the repercussions of their continued pursuit of nuclear weapons will be devastating." In the same interview, Mofaz also made more direct threats to Iran's nuclear facilities, saying "if Iran continues with its programme for developing nuclear weapons, we will attack it."[386] Iranian spokesman Gholam Hoseyn Elham has dismissed Israeli attacks on its nuclear facilities as "impossible".[387] "The Israeli regime has been emboldened due to carelessness and silence of the Security Council," the Iranians further said in a response letter to the United Nations.[388] These statements came only days after Prime Minister Ehud Olmert asked for stronger sanctions, saying that "the long-term cost of a nuclear Iran greatly outweighs the short-term benefits of doing business with Iran."[389]
Israeli officials were reportedly concerned about the Bush administration's decision on 16 July 2008, to send a high-ranking diplomat to attend negotiation sessions between EU representatives and Iran's chief nuclear negotiator in Geneva. Israel sources reportedly obtained assurances from the Bush administration that there would be no compromise on the demand that Iran end uranium enrichment.[390]
The Israelis have also sought to "alert the American intelligence community to Iran's nuclear ability," in preparation for the new NIE, reportedly due in November 2008.[391] In September 2008, Yossi Baidatz, the head of the research division of Israeli military intelligence was quoted to say that Iran was "not likely" to obtain nuclear capabilities by 2010.[392]
Walter Pincus of the Washington Post has written that Israel's stance on nuclear arms complicates efforts against Iran.[393] Gawdat Bahgat of the National Defense University believes Iran's nuclear program is partially formed on the potential threat of a nuclear Israel.[394] Iran and the Arab League have proposed the that the Middle East be established as a Nuclear Weapon Free Zone.[395][396] Israel said in May 2010 it would not consider taking part in nuclear weapon-free zone discussions or joining the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty until a lasting peace was achieved with its neighbors.[397]
Israel has repeatedly warned that it will strike Iran's nuclear facilities if its nuclear program is not stopped through diplomatic channels.[citation needed] In June 2008, the Israeli Air Force conducted a massive and highly publicized exercise over the Mediterranean Sea, where Israeli aircraft practiced aerial refuelling and simulated attacks on targets 870 miles off the Israeli coast.[citation needed] Israeli Ambassador to the United States Sallai Meridor said that the window for diplomatic action was rapidly closing, and that "Israel will not tolerate a nuclear Iran."[citation needed] In 2010, a joint air exercise between Israel and Greece took place on Crete. Called "Minoas 2010", it was temporarily suspended by Greece in the aftermath of the Gaza flotilla raid, but later resumed. Israel tested five F-16I Sufa and five F-15I fighter jets in strike missions, Sikorsky CH-53 Sea Stallion helicopters in pilot rescue missions, and a Boeing aircraft to practice aerial refuelling.[citation needed][398] Because Iranian nuclear facilities are heavily fortified and often located underground, Israel Military Industries is developing the MPR-500 bunker buster bomb,[citation needed] and Israeli pilots have allegedly practiced airstrikes involving low-yield nuclear weapons.[399]
In May 2010, Israel reportedly deployed Dolphin class submarines with nuclear missiles capable of reaching any target in Iran in the Persian Gulf. Their reported missions were to deter Iran, gather intelligence, and to potentially land Mossad agents on the Iranian coast.[400] In July, two Israeli missile boats were also deployed.
Some in Israel are worried that Iran may achieve a latent capability to produce nuclear weapons without taking any overt steps that would expose it to further international action.[401]
US and European viewpoint
- See also: Potential military strike on Iran
In March 2005, the New York Times reported that a bipartisan Congressional inquiry concluded that the United States had inadequate intelligence to reach any conclusions on the state of Iran's nuclear program.[402] In March 2009, the US Director of National Intelligence and Defense Intelligence Agency Director both testified before Congress that Iran did not have highly enriched uranium for bomb-making and had not made the decision to produce any, and also that Iran's missile program was not related to its nuclear program.[403]
Much of the debate about the 'Iranian nuclear threat' is therefore driven by concern that Iran's mastery of civilian technology could provide it the means to rapidly develop a weapons capability should Iran wish to do so in the future.[317] President Bush claimed that Iran's pursuit of nuclear weapons could trigger "World War III", while in 2007 Undersecretary of State Nicholas Burns warned Iran may be seeking a nuclear weapons capability.[404] Steven C. Welsh, Managing Editor of FrontPage Magazine, when discussing Iran's nuclear program says that Iran "concealed this program for nearly two decades by lying, dissembling and deceiving UN inspectors".[405] The Economist magazine opined that "even before the election of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad Iran was negotiating in bad faith. During this period, European officials believe, it continued to work in secret on nuclear research, having promised to suspend uranium enrichment."[406] The Iranians attributed the concealment of portions of their nuclear program to the fact that the US repeatedly hampered their overt attempts at acquiring the necessary technology for their program, and also point out that they promised to suspend enrichment rather than cease all research.[407] After about two years, Iran ceased its voluntary[408] and temporary suspension of enrichment after receiving a "very insulting and humiliating"[93] offer which some analysts described as an "empty box".[409] In response, the West rejected an Iranian offer for a nuclear consortium in Iran and said they would go to the Security Council for sanctions.[410] Iran says its voluntary confidence building measures were only "reciprocated by broken promises and expanded requests" and that the EU3 "simply wanted prolonged and fruitless negotiations" to inhibit Iran from exercising its inalienable right to peaceful nuclear technology.[351]
Western governments say they now accept Iran's desire for nuclear power. For example, in November 2007, President Bush acknowledged Iran's sovereign right to civilian nuclear technology.[411] Independent analyses support the economic basis for an Iranian nuclear power program. A study by the UK Parliamentary Office of Science and Technology concluded in March 2004 that "some of John Bolton's criticisms were not supported by an analysis of the facts (for example, much of the gas flared off by Iran is not recoverable for energy use), but that Iran's decision to adopt the nuclear power option could not entirely be explained by the economics of energy production."[412][413] An article published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences concluded that "Iran's claim to need nuclear power to preserve exports is genuine."[414]
The P5 (China, France, Russia, United Kingdom, and United States) plus Germany (the P5+1) have offered benefits to Iran, including "legally binding" fuel supply guarantees.[415] The deal offered by the P5+1 would leave Iran reliant on external sources of fuel, as is true for most countries with nuclear power programs though many of them also lack indigenous resources to produce their own fuel, or do not have the same strategic security concerns as Iran.[416][417] Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad rejected this proposal, saying that Iran had the right to process uranium for fuel and that Iran "will not retreat one iota in the face of oppressing powers."[418]
While recognizing Iran's interest in nuclear power, skeptics such as The Economist and ISIS have questioned the rationale for Iran's enrichment program. An op-ed published in January 2008 in The Economist, which said the threat of force had "put some steel" into the diplomatic process, opined that "learning to enrich uranium—a hugely costly venture—still makes questionable economic sense for Iran, since it lacks sufficient natural uranium to keep them going and [they] would have to import the stuff."[419] A February 2009 ISIS report argued there was a perceived "fundamental inconsistency" between the stated purposes and available information on the capabilities of Iran's domestic uranium production program. The report, citing data published by Iran and the IAEA on Iran's uranium resources, argued that those resources are sufficient for developing a weapons capability, but would not meet the requirements for even a single power reactor.[420] The Atomic Energy Organization of Iran responded to this and related stories by saying it had sufficient uranium mines. The Foreign Ministry of Iran said Western claims of a uranium shortage were "media speculation without any scientific basis"[421] and that Iran was not seeking uranium on international markets.[422] The Atomic Energy Organization of Iran has said surveys had shown proven reserves of approximately 3,000 tons of uranium so far and that the expected resources of Iran could be at the range of 20,000–30,000 tons. The organization concluded that "according to all the surveys performed in power sector of Iran, nuclear option is the most competitive to fossil alternatives if the existing low domestic fuel prices are gradually increased to its opportunity costs at the level of international prices."[423] In effect, the Bush administration took the position that Iran was too dangerous to be allowed "the technology to produce nuclear material for electricity".[424]
In December 2008, the ISIS asserted that Iran had produced 425 kilograms of uranium, and that Iran had "not yet achieved a break-out capability", but that Iran may be close to a break-out capability.[425] In response to claims that Iran had enough material to make a weapon, the Arms Control Association urged the U.S. and media to exhibit greater care when making claims about Iran's nuclear program.[426] Ivan Oelrich and Ivanka Barzashka, from the Federation of American Scientists, say that the "simplistic calculations" contained in the ISIS article were wrong because "just taking the quantity of LEU and multiplying by the U-235 concentration does not work because not all of the U-235 is recovered".[427] Cheryl Rofer, a retired 35 year researcher at Los Alamos National Laboratory and former president of the Los Alamos Committee on Arms Control and International Security,[428] has argued that for Iran to make a bomb from this material it would need to kick all the inspectors out of the country, reconfigure thousands of closely watched centrifuges, and then engage in years of enrichment.[429][430] According to the American Institute of Physics, the most difficult step in building a nuclear weapon is the production of fissile material.[431] Iran has enriched uranium to "less than 5%," consistent with fuel for a nuclear power plant and well below the purity of WEU (around 90%) typically used in a weapons program.[432][433] HEU with a purity of 20% or more is usable in a weapon, but this route is less desirable because far more material is required to obtain critical mass.[10] "Our production of a nuclear energy program is completely within the framework or structure of international laws," said Ali Akbar Javanfekr, media adviser to President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.[434] David Albright, president of the group which published the report, maintained that Iran's enriched uranium meant that Israel was losing control over the timing of Iran's nuclear activities and that even Iran pretending to have a bomb would be a threat.[435] The International Atomic Energy Agency said its inspectors have not found evidence to suggest that Iran is attempting to process low-enriched uranium into weapons-grade uranium.[436] "At the moment, I'm not very concerned," said Andreas Persbo, an analyst at the Verification Research, Training and Information Center.[437]
Western sources have expressed mixed views on the logic of Iran's nuclear fuel cycle investments. An op-ed published in The Economist opined that with the money spent on its nuclear program, Iran could have built "ten conventional plants of the same capacity, fired solely by the natural gas that Iran currently flares off into the sky".[438][439] David Isenberg, a senior analyst with the Washington-based British American Security Information Council (BASIC), has argued oil and gas production has its own costs, that Iran gains strategic value from being an oil and gas exporter, and that "as a sovereign nation Iran is entitled to make its own sovereign decisions as to how provide for its own energy needs".[440]
Christoph Bertram, a former director of the International Institute for Security Studies, has said that a "nuclear Iran" would not be in Iran's strategic interest, and rather that a nuclear Iran would jeopardise the strenuously gained political capital that it has earned since the end of the Iran-Iraq war.[441] Volker Perthes, director of the German Institute for International and Security Affairs, argues that "a strategic decision on the final aim of the Iranian nuclear programme has not been made". Perthes suggests a WMD-free zone in the Middle East is the best way to deal with the alleged nuclear ambitions of Iran.[442]
On 31 July 2006, the Security Council passed a resolution demanding that Iran stop "all enrichment-related and reprocessing activities." (Reprocessing involves chemically separating plutonium from other nuclear waste products, a procedure that can lead to production of bomb-grade fuel.) A month later, an IAEA report indicated that "there are no indications of ongoing reprocessing activities in Iran."[443]
The United States failed to get any backing for military attacks on Iran to enforce the sanctions. The March resolution even restated the UN position that the Middle East region should be nuclear free.[444]
U.S. officials told the New York Times that the new sanctions went beyond the nuclear issue. "The new language was written to rein in what they [U.S. officials] see as Tehran's ambitions to become the dominant military power in the Persian Gulf and across the Middle East."[445]
Kouchner was not specific about what penalties Europe might impose, other than to say they could be "economic sanctions regarding financial movements." "Our German friends proposed this. We discussed it a few days ago," he said. "The international community's demand is simple: They must stop enriching uranium," Kouchner said. "Our Iranian friends want to create, they say, civilian nuclear energy. They have the right to that, but all that they are doing proves the contrary. That is why we are worried," he said.[446]
Tensions have been raised by media reports of an Israeli air incursion over northeastern Syria on 6 September. One U.S. official said the attack hit weapons heading for the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah, an ally of Syria and Iran, but there also has been speculation the Israelis hit a nascent nuclear facility or were studying routes for a possible future strike on Iran. Others suspect Israel was performing an intelligence operation for the U.S.[447]
With Iran adding to the talk of military options, Undersecretary of State Nicholas Burns called in September 2007 for UN Security Council members and U.S. allies to help push for a third round of sanctions against Iran over the nuclear program.[448]
In 2006 the Germans suggested that Iran would be able to operate their enrichment program, subject to IAEA inspections. The German Minister of Defense Franz Josef Jung stated that a ban on Iranian enrichment work was unrealistic, that "One cannot forbid Iran from doing what other countries in the world are doing in accordance with international law" and that IAEA oversight of any Iranian enrichment activities would provide the necessary assurances to the international community that Iran could not secretly divert the program of weapons use.[449] Later, the Europeans reportedly also considered a compromise proposal where Iran would be allowed to continue spinning its centrifuges but would not feed any processed uranium hexafluoride (UF6) into the machines during the course of negotiations.[450]
The Iranians had also indicated that they were willing to consider suspending large-scale enrichment for up to two years, but were not prepared to freeze enrichment entirely[451]
The compromise ideas were reportedly shot down by the US, and Robert Joseph, the Under-Secretary of State for Arms Control reportedly told ElBaradei: "We cannot have a single centrifuge spinning in Iran. Iran is a direct threat to the national security of the United States and our allies, and we will not tolerate it. We want you to give us an understanding that you will not say anything publicly that will undermine us."[452]
In June 2007, IAEA director Mohammad ElBaradei suggested that Iran should be allowed limited uranium enrichment under strict supervision of the IAEA.[453] His remarks were formally criticised by Nicholas Burns, the US Under-Secretary of State, who said: "We are not going to agree to accept limited enrichment"[454]
ElBaradei later criticized the US position and said,
I have seen the Iranians ready to accept putting a cap on their enrichment [program] in terms of tens of centrifuges, and then in terms of hundreds of centrifuges. But nobody even tried to engage them on these offers. Now Iran has 5,000 centrifuges. The line was, "Iran will buckle under pressure." But this issue has become so ingrained in the Iranian soul as a matter of national pride.
In February 2008, Pierre Vimont, the French Ambassador to the United States, urged that the United States adopt a more flexible approach to Iran by accepting its regional role and recognizing that the nuclear issue has broad popular support among Iranians.[455]
The United States has claimed Iran's launching of a data processing satellite could be linked to the development of a military nuclear capability and that the activities were of "great concern".[456] The U.S. specifically said it would continue "to address the threats posed by Iran, including those related to its missile and nuclear programs."[457] Despite the U.S. saying it would use all elements of the national power to deal with Tehran,[458] Iran criticized the West's double standards[459] and said the launch was a step to remove the scientific monopoly certain world countries are trying to impose on the world.[460] Iraqi National Security Advisor Muwafaq al-Rubaie said Iraq was very pleased with the launch of Iran's peaceful data-processing national satellite.[461]
On 26 February 2009, U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Susan Rice said that the United States "will seek to end Iran's ambition to acquire an illicit nuclear capability and its support for terrorism".[462] Robert Wood, spokesman for the U.S. State Department, said that the U.S. believes that "Iran doesn't need to develop its own nuclear capacity" and specifically that the U.S. does not believe that Iran needs to develop an indigenous uranium enrichment capacity.[463] On 8 April 2009, Wood said that "on the basis of mutual respect and mutual interest" the U.S. would sit with the P-5+1 in discussions with Iran and ask the EU High Representative for Common and Foreign Security Policy to extend an invitation to Iran to meet with representatives of the P-5+1. Wood further said, "We hope this will be the occasion to seriously engage Iran on how to break the logjam of recent years and work in a cooperative manner to resolve the outstanding international concerns about its nuclear program".[464] U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has said "pursuing very careful engagement on a range of issues that affect our interests and the interests of the world with Iran makes sense".[465]
In March 2009, the Supreme Leader of Iran questioned the sincerity so far of the U.S.'s new rhetoric,[466] and Iran's ambassador to International Atomic Energy Agency said UN sanctions united Iranians to protect their "national interest" of enrichment.[467] In April 2009, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said his country "welcomes a hand extended to it should it really and truly be based on honesty, justice and respect."[468] Karim Sadjadpour, of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, has said Iran's leader "holds strongly that Tehran must not compromise in the face of U.S. pressure or intimidation, for it would project weakness and encourage even greater pressure."[469] Richard Haass, President of the Council on Foreign Relations, has said "the United States should be willing to discuss what Iran (as a signatory of the NPT) describes as its "right to enrich." It may well be necessary to acknowledge this right, provided that Iran accepts both limits on its enrichment program (no HEU) and enhanced safeguards".[326] Mark Fitzpatrick, a Senior Fellow for Non‐Proliferation at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, has said "a key policy challenge is how to build a barrier between a latent nuclear weapons capability and actual weapons production. This is difficult when, as in Iran's case today, the distinction is blurred almost to the point of invisibility."[470] On Tuesday, 27 July 2010 British Prime Minister David Cameron made what has been described as "his most outspoken comments on the Tehran regime since becoming PM", saying "Iran is enriching uranium to 20 per cent with no Industrial logic other than producing a bomb. If Iran's nuclear program is peaceful, then why won't Iran allow the International Atomic Energy Agency to inspect? Why does Iran continue to seek to acquire military components? And why does Iran continue to threaten Israel with annihilation?" These comments were made the day after the European Union introduced sanctions which ban the sale of equipment, technology and services to Iran.[471]
On 1 December 2011 The European Union had agreed to impose sanctions on 180 Iranian officials and companies, EU diplomats say. The sanctions were announced after a meeting of EU foreign ministers in Brussels. The EU has yet to release details about the 180 officials and entities which will be targeted by the sanctions.[472]
2007 Iran National Intelligence Estimate
In December 2007 the United States National Intelligence Estimate (representing the consensus view of all 16 American spy agencies) "judged with high confidence" that Iran had halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003, with "moderate confidence" that the program remains frozen, and with "moderate-to-high confidence" that Iran is "keeping open the option to develop nuclear weapons." The estimate said that the enrichment program could still provide Iran with enough raw material to produce a nuclear weapon sometime by the middle of next decade but that intelligence agencies "do not know whether it currently intends to develop nuclear weapons" at some future date. Senator Harry Reid, the majority leader of the Senate in 2008, said he hoped the administration would "appropriately adjust its rhetoric and policy".[473][474] The conclusion that Iran had a nuclear weapons program in 2003 was reportedly mainly based on the contents of a laptop computer that was allegedly stolen from Iran and provided to US intelligence agencies by dissidents.[475] The Russians dismissed this conclusion, stating that they had not seen evidence that Iran had ever pursued a nuclear weapons program.[476]
The 2007 NIE report, contradicted the previous 2005 NIE conclusion which asserted that Iran had an active and on-going nuclear weapons program in 2005. According to a senior administration official, in a January 2008 conversation with Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert, Israeli and other foreign officials asked President Bush to explain the 2007 NIE. Bush "told the Israelis that he can't control what the intelligence community says, but that (the NIE's) conclusions don't reflect his own views".[477] After Bush seemed to distance himself from the report, the White House later said Bush endorses the "full scope" of the US intelligence findings on Iran.[478]
Mohammed ElBaradei, the Director of the IAEA, noted in particular that the NIE's conclusions corresponded with the IAEA's consistent statements that it had "no concrete evidence of an ongoing nuclear weapons program or undeclared nuclear facilities in Iran."[479]
In February 2009 testimony before the U.S. Senate, Director of National Intelligence Dennis Blair reaffirmed the conclusions of the 2007 National Intelligence Estimate and said "although we do not know whether Iran currently intends to develop nuclear weapons, we assess Tehran at a minimum is keeping open the option to develop them." He said Iran was unlikely to achieve a nuclear weapon before 2013 because of foreseeable technical and programmatic problems, and that this would be in the case that it decided to do so.[480] Stephen Lendman, an American research associate of the Centre for Research on Globalization based in Canada, has argued Iran's commercial nuclear program is perfectly legal and that the U.S. has a double standard towards Iran's nuclear program.[481] Joseph Cirincione, a nuclear weapons expert and president of the Ploughshares Fund, has said the Obama administration does not want to be drawn into a debate over Iran's intent because "when you're talking about negotiations in Iran, it is dangerous to appear weak or naive."[482] The documentary film Iranium also explores this issue.
G8
Since 2003, when the IAEA began investigating Iran's previously undeclared nuclear activities, the G8 (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Russia, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States) has repeatedly voiced its concerns over Iran's nuclear program. At the 2003 G8 summit in France, G8 leaders said: "We will not ignore the proliferation implications of Iran's advanced nuclear program."[483] The 2004 G8 Action Plan on Nonproliferation "deplore[d] Iran's delays, deficiencies in cooperation, and inadequate disclosures, as detailed in IAEA Director General reports."[484] In 2005 G8 leaders concluded that "It is essential that Iran provide the international community with objective guarantees that its nuclear program is exclusively for peaceful purposes in order to build international confidence."
In 2006, after Iran was found in non-compliance with its safeguards agreement and reported to the UN Security Council, the G8 toughened its position: "Iran not having shown willingness to engage in serious discussion of those proposals and having failed to take the steps needed to allow negotiations to begin, specifically the suspension of all enrichment related and reprocessing activities, as required by the IAEA and supported in the United Nations Security Council Presidential Statement, we supported the decision of those countries' Ministers to return the issue of Iran to the United Nations Security Council."[485] The following year, G8 leaders "deplore[d] the fact that Iran [had] so far failed to meet its obligations under UNSC Resolutions 1696, 1737 and 1747," and threatened "further measures, should Iran refuse to comply with its obligations," but held out the prospect that "[i]nternational confidence in the exclusively peaceful nature of the Iranian nuclear program would permit a completely new chapter to be opened in our relations with Iran not only in the nuclear but also more broadly in the political, economic and technological fields."[486]
At the most recent 2008 G8 summit in Japan in 2008, G8 leaders said:[487]
We express our serious concern at the proliferation risks posed by Iran's nuclear programme and Iran's continued failure to meet its international obligations. We urge Iran to fully comply with UNSCRs 1696, 1737, 1747 and 1803 without further delay, and in particular to suspend all enrichment-related activities. We also urge Iran to fully cooperate with the IAEA, including by providing clarification of the issues contained in the latest report of the IAEA Director General. We firmly support and cooperate with the efforts by China, France, Germany, Russia, the United Kingdom and the United States supported by the High Representative of the EU to resolve the issue innovatively through negotiation, and urge Iran to respond positively to their offer delivered on June 14, 2008. We also commend the efforts by other G8 members, particularly the high-level dialogue by Japan, towards a peaceful and diplomatic resolution of the issue. We welcome the work of the Financial Action Task Force to assist states in implementing their financial obligations under the relevant UNSCRs.
Asian viewpoint
Indian viewpoint
India's rapidly developing ties with the United States and historically close ties with Iran have created difficulties for India's foreign policy makers.[488] India, a nuclear power which is not party to the NPT, has expressed its concern over the possibility of another nuclear weapon-armed state in its neighborhood with Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh stating that he was against Iran acquiring nuclear weapons.[489] India voted in the IAEA Board of Governors to report Iran to UN Security Council in 2005 for non-compliance with its NPT safeguards agreement.[490] Despite some domestic opposition, the Indian government later voted to report Iran to the UN Security Council in 2006.[491] Leftist parties in India have criticized the government for bowing to US pressure on the issue.[490]
India quickly downplayed the incident and restated its commitment to develop closer ties with Iran.[492] India urged international diplomacy to solve the Iranian nuclear row[493] but added that it could not "turn a blind eye to nuclear proliferation in its neighborhood."[494]
Despite heavy U.S. criticism, India has continued negotiations on the multi-billion dollar Iran–Pakistan–India gas pipeline from Iran to India through Pakistan. India is keen to secure energy supplies to fuel its rapidly growing economy and the gas pipeline may address India's energy security concerns. The United States has expressed concern that the pipeline project would undermine international efforts to isolate Iran.[495]
In-context of the Indo-US nuclear deal
India is not a signatory to the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). According to US Under Secretary of State Nicholas Burns, it was India's vote against Iran which helped clear the way for the US-India nuclear cooperation deal[496][497] Critics say the US-India nuclear cooperation deal itself undermines the Non-Proliferation Treaty at a time when Iran was accused of violating the treaty.[498] Critics argue that by promising nuclear cooperation with India, the Bush administration has reversed a legal ban on such cooperation which was in place since the passage of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Act of 1978, and violated US obligations under the Non-Proliferation Treaty which prohibits sharing nuclear technology with non-signatories such as India.[499][500][501][502] The Harvard International Review concedes in an editorial that the Indo-US nuclear deal "undermines the world's present set of nuclear rules" but argues that the Iranian nuclear program remains an "unacceptable risk" regardless of the NPT. It reasoned that "regardless of what the NPT says, and regardless of what Iran says about the NPT, an Iranian nuclear program is still an unacceptable risk."[503]
Pakistan viewpoint
In a speech at Harvard University in 2010, the Pakistani foreign minister Shah Mehmood Qureshi argued that Iran had no justification to pursue nuclear weapons, citing the lack of any immediate threat to Iran, and urged Iran to embrace overtures from the United States. Qureshi also observed that Iran had signed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and should respect the treaty.[504]
Developing countries and the Non-Aligned Movement
On 16 September 2006, in Havana, Cuba, all of the 118 Non-Aligned Movement member countries, at the summit level, declared their support of Iran's civilian nuclear program in their final written statement.[505] The Non-Aligned Movement represents a majority of the 192 countries comprising the entire United Nations.
On 30 July 2008, the Non-Aligned Movement welcomed the continuing cooperation of Iran with the IAEA and reaffirmed Iran's right to the peaceful uses of nuclear technology. The movement further called for the establishment of a nuclear weapons free zone in the Middle East and called for a comprehensive multilaterally negotiated instrument which prohibits threats of attacks on nuclear facilities devoted to peaceful uses of nuclear energy.[506]
Other countries
Public opinion surveys conducted in 2006 in Iran's three neighboring countries of Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Turkey found large numbers of people favoring the possibility of a nuclear-armed Iran and even greater numbers opposed to any American military action against Iran[507]
In February 2007, lawmakers from 56 member states of the Organisation of the Islamic Conference, addressing Iran's nuclear program at a meeting in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, urged "full respect for equal and inalienable rights for all nations to explore modern technologies including nuclear energy for peaceful purposes."[508]
Officials in several countries have voiced support for Iran in the on-going standoff with the US over its nuclear program. These include Iraq[509] Algeria[510] and Indonesia.[511] Turkey has expressed support for Iran's right to a nuclear program for peaceful energy production,[512] and along with Egypt has urged for a peaceful solution to the standoff.[513] Former President Vladimir Putin of Russia, while urging more transparency from Iran, has said that there is no objective evidence that Iran is seeking nuclear weapons.[514] On 11 September 2009, Prime Minister Putin opposed the use of force or further sanctions against Iran.[515]
Support for tough measures against Iran's nuclear program has fallen in 13 out of 21 Arab countries according to a new BBC World Service Poll.[516] According to a 2008 global poll of Arab public opinion, the Arab public does not appear to see Iran as a major threat and does not support international pressure to force Iran to curtail the program.[517] Arab League Secretary General Amr Moussa echoed remarks made by chief Palestinian negotiator Saeb Erekat, saying that Israel, not Iran, posed a nuclear threat to the Middle East.[518]
Nuclear facilities in Iran
See also
- Diplomatic tensions between Iran and the United States
- Economy of Iran
- Energy in Iran
- Fereydoon Abbasi, current head of Atomic Energy Organization of Iran
- Global Nuclear Energy Partnership
- International Rankings of Iran in Science and Technology
- Iran and weapons of mass destruction
- Iran-Pakistan relations
- Iran-United States relations
- Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Israel
- Oghab 2
- Opposition to military action against Iran
- Petrodollar warfare
- Stuxnet
- Tehran International Conference on Disarmament and Non-Proliferation, 2010
- Timeline of nuclear program of Iran
References
- ^ Roe, Sam (28 January 2007). "An atomic threat made in America". Chicago Tribune. Retrieved 1 July 2009.
- ^ "Iran Affairs: Blasts from the Past: Western Support for Iran's Nuclear program". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ "Iran launches Bushehr nuclear power plant". RIA Novosti. 12 September 2011. Retrieved 14 September 2011.
- ^ "Iran sees Bushehr plant at full capacity in one year". AFP. 18 December 2007. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ a b "U.N. nuclear watchdog board rebukes defiant Iran". Reuters. 18 November 2011. Retrieved 20 November 2011.
- ^ "IAEA Report for military dimensions, see pages 4-12" (PDF). 8 November 2011. Retrieved 8 November 2011.
{{cite news}}
: Unknown parameter|Report=
ignored (help) - ^ "Iran's nuclear defiance finds rare common ground in fractured country". Washington Post. 15 November 2011. Retrieved 20 November 2011.
{{cite news}}
: Unknown parameter|deadurl=
ignored (|url-status=
suggested) (help) [dead link] - ^ "Iran parliament to review ties with U.N. nuclear body". Washington Post. 20 November 2011. Retrieved 20 November 2011.
- ^ "IAEA GOV/2003/40: Implementation of the NPT safeguards agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ a b "HEU as weapons material – a technical background" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.[dead link]
- ^ http://www.un.int/iran/facts_about_peaceful_nuclear_program.pdf
- ^ "Council on Foreign Relations: Iran's Nuclear Program". Cfr.org. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ a b Cyrus Safdari (2005). "Iran needs nuclear energy, not weapons". Le Monde diplomatique. Retrieved 5 January 20011.
{{cite web}}
: Check date values in:|accessdate=
(help); Unknown parameter|month=
ignored (help) - ^ ODS Team. "Resolution 1696 (2006)" (PDF). Daccessdds.un.org. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Ahmadinejad: Iran's nuclear issue is 'closed'". MSNBC. 25 September 2007. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Iran: Where We Are Today – A Report to the Committee on Foreign Relations, United States Senate, One Hundred Eleventh Congress, May 4, 2009". Fas.org. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Security council demands iran suspend uranium enrichment by August 31, or face possible economic, diplomatic sanctions". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ "Integrated Nuclear Fuel Cycle Information Systems (iNFCIS)". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ Lining up to enrich uranium by Charles D. Ferguson and William C. Potter, International Herald Tribune, 12 September 2006
- ^ John Pike (16 September 2006). "''IRNA'': NAM issues statement in support of Iran nuclear case". Globalsecurity.org. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Columbia University School of International Affairs Journal of International Affairs: Tackling the Iran-U.S. Crisis: The Need for a Paradigm Shift
Any nuclear activity may entail proliferation concerns. But there are internationally-agreed mechanisms to address such concerns, ... Iran has been the only country, with comparable technology, that has been prepared to implement these proposals.
- ^ "We Do Not Have a Nuclear Weapons Program", Javad Zarif, New York Times 6 April 2006
- ^ a b "Publications: Magazines and Newsletters". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ "Iran Crisis". Mit.edu. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ "A Solution for the US–Iran Nuclear Standoff". 55, number 4 · 2. The New York Review of Books. 0 March 2008. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
{{cite journal}}
: Check date values in:|date=
(help); Cite journal requires|journal=
(help) - ^ ODS Team. "UN Security Council Resolution 687" (PDF). Daccessdds.un.org. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ GOV/2004/12 Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement of the Socialist People's Libyan Arab Jamahiriya, 20 February 2004.
- ^ GOV/2004/18, Resolution adopted by the Board on 10 March 2004.
- ^ S/PRST/2004/10 Statement by the President of the Security Council, 22 April 2004
- ^ Agreed Framework Between The United States of America And the Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Geneva, 21 October 1994.
- ^ Joint Statement of the Fourth Round of the Six-Party Talks, Beijing, 19 September 2005.
- ^ a b "Nonproliferation, By the Numbers". Sokolski, Henry. Journal of International Security Affairs. Spring 2007 – Number 12.
The agency's Director General and Board of Governors recognized Iran had breached its NPT safeguards obligations, but argued that it actually had a right under the treaty to make nuclear fuel ... U.S. officials and the IAEA board of governors chose in 2004 and 2005 to use this same line of reasoning to decide not to forward reports of safeguards infractions by South Korea and Egypt to the UN Security Council.
- ^ "Exposing Nuclear Non-compliance". Survival, Volume 51, Issue 1 February 2009, pp. 143–164.
Since 2003, the IAEA Secretariat has reported specific cases of non-compliance with safeguards agreements by Iran, Libya, South Korea and Egypt to the board (Step 2). The actions taken by the board in each case were inconsistent and, if they go uncorrected, will create unfortunate precedents.
- ^ "South Korea's nuclear surprise: as more and more countries adopt the IAEA's Additional Protocol, all kinds of nuclear secrets will come spilling out. Currently under microscope: South Korea.". Kang, Jungmin ; Hayes, Peter ; Bin, Li ; Suzuki, Tatsujiro ; Tanter, Richard. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (01-JAN-05).
South Korea publicly disclosed its past secret nuclear research activities, revealing that it had conducted chemical uranium enrichment from 1979 to 1981, separated small quantities of plutonium in 1982, experimented with uranium enrichment in 2000, and manufactured depleted uranium munitions from 1983 to 1987. The South Korean government had violated its international agreements by not declaring any of these activities to the IAEA in Vienna.
- ^ Barbara Demick of the Los Angeles Times (3 September 2004). "South Korea experimented with highly enriched uranium". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ a b Exposing Nuclear Non-Compliance. Pierre Goldschmidt. Survival: Global Politics and Strategy, vol. 51, no. 1, February–March 2009, pp. 143–164
- ^ De Luce, Dan (20 August 2003). "The spectre of Operation Ajax". The Guardian. London. Retrieved 2 April 2007.
- ^ "Contract between the International Atomic Energy Agency, Iran and the United States of America for the transfer of Enriched Uranium and Plutonium for a Research Reactor in Iran" (Document). United Nations. 7 June 1967.
{{cite document}}
: Unknown parameter|accessdate=
ignored (help); Unknown parameter|url=
ignored (help); Unknown parameter|work=
ignored (help) - ^ "Foreign Research Reactor Spent Nuclear Fuel Acceptance". U.S. National Nuclear Security Administration. Archived from the original on 24 September 2006. Retrieved 24 September 2006.
- ^ Iran's Nuclear Program: Recent Developments: "The Shah's plan to build 23 nuclear power reactors by the 1990s was regarded as grandiose, but not necessarily viewed as a "back door" to a nuclear weapons program, possibly because Iran did not then seek the technologies to enrich or reprocess its own fuel"
- ^ "Iran Profile – Nuclear Chronology 1957–1985". Nuclear Threat Initiative. Retrieved 18 May 2006.[dead link]
- ^ . Farhang Jahanpour (6 November 2006). "Chronology of Iran's Nuclear Program (1957–present)". Oxford Research GroupDr.
- ^ a b Dafna Linzer (27 March 2005). "Past Arguments Don't Square With Current Iran Policy". Washington Post.
- ^ "Prospects for Further Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons" (Document). CIA. 23 August 1974. SNIE 4-1-74.
{{cite document}}
: Unknown parameter|accessdate=
ignored (help); Unknown parameter|format=
ignored (help); Unknown parameter|series=
ignored (help); Unknown parameter|url=
ignored (help) - ^ "The Third World's Critical Mass, by Kai Bird and David Berick, Nation February 26, 1977". Since1865.com. Retrieved 20 September 2009. [dead link]
- ^ Kurzman, The Unthinkable Revolution in Iran, (2004), p.121
- ^ Autocracy of the Shah of Iran: Views of the Media Reporters (From Terrorism and Political Violence: Limits and Possibilities of Legal Control, pp 167–186, 1993, Henry H Han, Ed. – See NCJ-141768)
- ^ Fred Halliday, Iran: Dictatorship and Development, Penguin, ISBN 0140220100
- ^ Mackey, Sandra (1998). The Iranians: Persia, Islam and the Soul of a Nation. Plume. ISBN 0452275636.
- ^ History Channel: Iranians storm U.S. embassy
- ^ Abrahamian, Ervand, Tortured Confessions, (University of California 1999)
- ^ SAVAK: Like the CIA[dead link] TIME Magazine
- ^ A short account of 1953 Coup
- ^ "Doing Satan's Work in Iran", The New York Times, 6 November 1979
- ^ a b c d Internationalization of the Nuclear Fuel Cycle: Goals, Strategies, and Challenges (2009). Nuclear and Radiation Studies Board, National Academies Press.
- ^ a b Agence Global: Making a U.S.-Iranian Nuclear Deal
- ^ a b Gordon Prather (27 December 2005). "ElBaradei Isn't Perfect". Antiwar.com.
- ^ Russia: Nuclear Exports to Iran: Reactors Nuclear Threat Initiative
- ^ Anthony H. Cordesman, "Iran and Nuclear Weapons: A Working Draft," Center for Strategic and International Studies, 7 February 2000; "Iran Atomic Energy Agency Head Goes to Bushehr," BBC Summary of World Broadcasts, 24 June 1989.
- ^ Iran's Nuclear Program Iran Watch
- ^ Mark Hibbs (2003). "US in 1983 stopped IAEA from helping Iran make UF6". Platt's Nuclear Fuel. Archived from the original on 26 October 2009.
{{cite web}}
: Unknown parameter|month=
ignored (help) - ^ "Senator says Iran, Iraq seek N-Bomb". (1984, 27 June). The Age, p. 7.
- ^ "Amendment to Agreement between the International Atomic Energy Agency and the Government of Iran for assistance by the Agency to Iran in establishing a Research Reactor Project" (Document). United Nations. 9 December 1988.
{{cite document}}
: Unknown parameter|accessdate=
ignored (help); Unknown parameter|url=
ignored (help); Unknown parameter|work=
ignored (help) - ^ "Foreign Suppliers to Iran's Nuclear Development". James Martin Center For Nonproliferation Studies. Retrieved 26 September 2009.
- ^ a b "Asia Times Online:: Middle East News, Iraq, Iran current affairs". 15 November 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ a b c Mark Hibbs, "US in 1983 stopped IAEA from helping Iran make UF6", Nuclear Fuel, 4 August 2003
- ^ Internationalization of the Nuclear Fuel Cycle: Goals, Strategies, and Challenges (2009). Nuclear and Radiation Studies Board, National Academies Press.
Iran argues that this experience indicates that joint ownership of foreign facilities does not solve the problem of assuring fuel supply ... The recent experience in which Russian fuel supply to Bushehr was delayed for an extended period as disputes over Iran's nuclear program continued also contributed to Iran's perception that foreign fuel supply is unreliable.
- ^ International Atomic Energy Agency: Correspondence between the President of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran and the Director General (September 1984)
- ^ International Atomic Energy Agency: TelEx Messages to the Director General (27 November 1987) from the President of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran
- ^ International Atomic Energy Agency: Communication dated 1 March 2010 received rom the Resident Representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran to the Agency regarding assurances of nuclear fuel supply
- ^ Stanislav Lunev. Through the Eyes of the Enemy: The Autobiography of Stanislav Lunev, Regnery Publishing, Inc., 1998. ISBN 0-89526-390-4, pp. 19–22.
- ^ "A Review of: "John W. Parker. Persian Dreams: Moscow and Tehran Since the Fall of the Shah."". Terrorism and Political Violence. Volume 23 Issue 1 2011. Retrieved 2 Jan 2011.
{{cite web}}
: Check date values in:|date=
(help) - ^ Template:Fr icon Dominique Lorentz (11 November 2001). "La république atomique". Le Monde.[dead link]
- ^ "Iskandar Safa and the French Hostage Scandal". Middle East Intelligence Bulletin. February 2002.[dead link]
- ^ "Atomic Team Reports on Iran Probe; No Weapons Research Found by Inspectors". The Washington Post. HighBeam Research. 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ Jon Wolfsthal, "Iran Hosts IAEA Mission; Syria Signs Safeguard Pact", Arms Control Today, vol. 22 (March 1992), p. 28.
- ^ "U.S. Halted Nuclear Bid By Iran; China, Argentina Agreed to Cancel Technology Transfers". The Washington Post. HighBeam Research. 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ "Iran's Nuclear Program. Part I: Its History". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ Mark Hibbs, "Iran Told IAEA It Will Build Chinese UF6 Plant at Isfahan," Nuclear Fuel, 16 December 1996
- ^ "ArmsControlWonk: Exiles and Iran Intel". Armscontrolwonk.com. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ "alJazeera Magazine". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008. [dead link]
- ^ http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/Others/infcirc214.pdf
- ^ http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2003/gov2003-40.pdf
- ^ "News Center: In Focus: IAEA and Iran". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ a b "Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran" (Document). IAEA. 10 November 2003. GOV/2003/75.
{{cite document}}
: Unknown parameter|accessdate=
ignored (help); Unknown parameter|format=
ignored (help); Unknown parameter|url=
ignored (help) - ^ Safa Haeri, "Iran confirms stopping Additional Protocol of the NPT", "Iran Press Service", October 9, 2005
- ^ "GOV/2004/83 – Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in Iran" (PDF). Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ Mark Hibbs (2003). "US in 1983 stopped IAEA from helping Iran make UF6". Platt's Nuclear Fuel. Archived from the original on 26 October 2009.
{{cite web}}
: Unknown parameter|month=
ignored (help) - ^ "Iran and the West: The Path to Nuclear Deadlock". Seyyed Hossein Mousavian. Global Dialogue, Winter/Spring 2006. Posted on the Commonwealth Institute website (.pdf file)
- ^ ""EU rejects Iran call to speed up nuclear talks"". Web.archive.org. Reuters. 1 February 2005. Archived from the original on 7 February 2005. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ EU3-Iranian Negotiations: A New Approach, by Anna Langenbach, July 2005
- ^ Ian Traynor (4 August 2005). "EU warns Iran: no talks if nuclear freeze ends". The Guardian. UK. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ a b c d Rosalind Ryan and agencies (8 August 2005). "Iran resumes uranium enrichment". The Guardian. London. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ [1][dead link]
- ^ "Middle East | Iran restarts nuclear programme". BBC News. 8 August 2005. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Douglas Frantz (26 May 2005). "Pakistan Is Aiding in Iran Inquiry". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Linzer, Dafna (23 August 2005). "No Proof Found of Iran Arms Program; Uranium Traced to Pakistani Equipment". The Washington Post. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ a b c d "Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran" (Document). IAEA. 24 September 2005. GOV/2005/77.
{{cite document}}
: Unknown parameter|accessdate=
ignored (help); Unknown parameter|format=
ignored (help); Unknown parameter|url=
ignored (help) - ^ "Iran reported to Security Council". BBC News. 4 February 2006. Retrieved 4 February 2006.
- ^ "Resolution GOV/2006/14 of the Board of Governors: Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran" (PDF) (Press release). International Atomic Energy Agency. 2 April 2006.
- ^ a b c GOV/2006/15 Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran, 27 February 2006
- ^ "Xinhua – English". News.xinhuanet.com. 18 February 2006. Retrieved 20 May 2010.
- ^ "About IAEA: IAEA Statute". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2006/gov2006-14.pdf
- ^ a b "ASIL Insight – Iran's Resumption of its Nuclear Program: Addendum". Asil.org. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "IAEA Board of Governors reports Iran's nuclear dossier to UNSC without consensus". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ "Iran President: We Won't Retreat 'One Iota'". Fox News. 14 April 2006. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Brannan, Paul (2006). "ISIS Imagery Brief: New Activities at the Esfahan and Natanz Nuclear Sites in Iran" (PDF). Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS). Retrieved 1 May 2006.
- ^ a b c d e Bush: Iran's defiance will bring 'consequences', 31 August 2006, CNN
- ^ United Nations Security Council Resolution 1696. S/RES/1696(2006) page 2. (2006) Retrieved 14 September 2007.
- ^ United Nations Security Council Resolution 1737. S/RES/1737(2006) 23 December 2006. Retrieved 14 September 2007.
- ^ United Nations Security Council Document 815. S/2006/815 13 October 2006. Retrieved 14 September 2007.
- ^ "UN passes Iran nuclear sanctions". BBC News. 13 December 2006. Retrieved 23 December 2006.
- ^ "GOV/2007/8 – Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and Relevant Provisions of Security Council Resolution 1737 (2006) in the Islamic Republic of Iran" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Security Council Committee established pursuant to resolution 1737(2006)". United Nations. Retrieved 14 September 2007.
- ^ "Security Council Tightens Restrictions on Iran's Proliferation-Sensitive Nuclear Activities, Increases Vigilance Over Iranian Banks, Has States Inspect Cargo". United Nations. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Australia Imposes New Broad-Ranging Sanctions Against Iran, Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Australia, 29 July 2010.
- ^ Canada Passes Sanctions under the Special Economic Measures Act, 26 July 2010.
- ^ Japan approves new Iran sanctions, Al Jazeera, 3 September 2010.
- ^ Norway joins EU sanctions against Iran, The Norway Post, 29 July 2010
- ^ http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Asia-Pacific/2010/0908/South-Korea-sanctions-Iran-under-US-pressure, The Christian Science Monitor, 8 September 2010.
- ^ Russia pulls plug on Iran arms deal
- ^ Bob Drogin, Kim Murphy, Los Angeles Times (25 February 2007). "Most U.S. tips fingering Iran false – envoys No intelligence given UN since '02 led to big discoveries Bob Drogin, Kim Murphy, Los Angeles Times". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
{{cite news}}
: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ "IAEA denies Iran blocked nuclear site visit". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ UN inspectors revisit Iran's Arak heavy-water site, Reuters, published 30 July 2007. Retrieved 31 July 2007
- ^ "UN nuclear watchdog chief expresses concern about anti-Iran rhetoric from US". International Herald Tribune. 28 October 2007. Retrieved 29 October 2007.
- ^ Katz, Yaakov (16 November 2007). "Israel: IAEA's report 'unacceptable' Jerusalem Post, Nov 16, 2007". Jerusalem Post. Israel. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Fareed Zakaria GPS Transcript". CNN. 1 February 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "INFCIRC/724 – Communication dated March 26, 2008, received from the Permanent Mission of the Islamic Republic of Iran to the Agency" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "IAEA Safeguards Statement for 2007". Iaea.org. Retrieved 20 September 2009.[dead link]
- ^ INFCIRC/711 Understandings of the Islamic Republic of Iran and the IAEA on the Modalities of Resolution of the Outstanding Issues, 27 August 2009
- ^ GOV/2008/59 Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and relevant provisions of Security Council resolutions 1737 (2006), 1747 (2007), 1803 (2008) and 1835 (2008) in the Islamic Republic of Iran, Report by the Director General, 19 November 2008
- ^ http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/2008/infcirc739.pdf
- ^ Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and relevant provisions of Security Council resolutions 1737 (2006), 1747 (2007) and 1803 (2008) in the Islamic Republic of Iran, (15 September 2008)
- ^ "An Assessment of So-called "Alleged Studies", Islamic Republic of Iran – September 2008" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ a b "Military strikes against Iran no longer an option: IAEA chief". Tehran Times. 22 February 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "'Military strikes against Iran no longer an option: IAEA". Times of India. AFP 21 February 2009, 02:30 am IST. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
{{cite news}}
: Check date values in:|date=
(help); Unknown parameter|deadurl=
ignored (|url-status=
suggested) (help) [dead link] - ^ Logged in as click here to log out (24 August 2009). "Nuclear Options". Guardian. UK. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "No sign Iran seeks nuclear arms: new IAEA head,". Reuters. Reuters. 3 July 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "IAEA: Iran broke law by failing to disclose nuclear facility". Ynet News. 30 September 2009. Retrieved 20 July 2010.
- ^ a b c d George Jahn (28 November 2009). "Nuclear agency comes down on Iran". Associated Press via The Raleigh News & Observer.
- ^ Joby Warrick and Scott Wilson (19 February 2010). "Iran might be seeking to develop nuclear weapons capability, inspectors say". Washington Post.
- ^ Sanger, David E.; Broad, William J. (31 May 2010). "UN Says Iran Has Fuel for 2 Nuclear Weapons". New York Times. Retrieved 11 August 2010.
- ^ "Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and relevant provisions of Security Council resolutions 1737 (2006), 1747 (2007), 1803 (2008) and 1835 (2008) in the Islamic Republic of Iran" (PDF). 31 May 2010. Retrieved 11 August 2010.
- ^ "Iran bars two UN inspectors in nuclear dispute". Reuters. 21 June 2010.
- ^ "IAEA: Iran Activates Enrichment Equipment". AP. 9 August 2010.
- ^ New claims emerge involving scientist in Iran nuke report
- ^ Powers pressure Iran, IAEA chief "alerts world"
- ^ Karl Vick (23 January 2006). "In Iran, Power Written in Stone". Washington Post.
- ^ "Iranians Oppose Producing Nuclear Weapons, Saying It Is Contrary to Islam". World Public Opinion. 28 February 2007. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "BBC Poll: 94% of Iranians: We have right to develop nuclear plan". Ynetnews.com. 20 June 1995. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Iranian Public Opinion on Governance, Nuclear Weapons and Relations with the United States, August 27, 2008". Worldpublicopinion.org. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ 2008 Annual Arab Public Opinion Poll – see "Key Findings"
- ^ Iran, Lebanon, Israelis and Palestinians: New IPI Opinion Polls, 5 January 2011
- ^ a b c d e IAEA INFCIRC657: Communication dated 12 September 2005, from the Permanent Mission of the Islamic Republic of Iran to the Agency
In official consultations with the Agency and member-states throughout the 1990s, Iran underlined its plan to acquire, for exclusively peaceful purposes, various aspects of nuclear technology, including fuel enrichment
- ^ "Energy Citations Database (ECD) – Document No. 7095626". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ "Esfahan / Isfahan – Iran Special Weapons Facilities". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ BBC Summary of World Broadcasts 11 April 1979, Wednesday Copyright 1979 The British Broadcasting Corporation
Fereydun Sahabi, the Deputy Minister of Energy and Supervisor of the Atomic Energy Organization, in an interview with our correspondent said today ... he said that the Atomic Energy Organization's activities regarding prospecting and extraction of uranium would continue.
- ^ BBC Summary of World Broadcasts 30 March 1982, Tuesday Copyright 1982 The British Broadcasting Corporation
Iran was taking concrete measures for importing nuclear technology, while at the same time utilizing Iranian expertise in the field. He said the decision was made in the wake of discovery of uranium resources in the country and after Iran's capability for developing the industry had been established
- ^ Washington Post: Iran's Nuclear Program (see "Second Thoughts on a Nuclear Iran")
This concern led Western governments to withdraw support for Iran's nuclear program. Pressure on France, which in 1973 signed a deal to build two reactors at Darkhovin, and Germany, whose Kraftwerk Union began building a pair of reactors at Bushehr in 1975, led to the cancellation of both projects.
- ^ "Arms Control Association: Fact Sheets: Iranian, P5+1 Proposals to Resolve Iranian Nuclear Issue". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ "We in Iran don't need this quarrel – International Herald Tribune". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ Penketh, Anne (25 July 2007). "Iran's message is softly spoken, yet clear: It will enrich uranium – Middle East, World – Independent.co.uk". The Independent. London. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
{{cite news}}
: Check date values in:|year=
/|date=
mismatch (help)[dead link] - ^ "UN press release". 2006.
- ^ "About IAEA: IAEA Statute". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ "See section 2.2 (pp. 13–14) of the IAEA Safeguards Glossary" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "IAEA Chief Concludes Visit to Iran". Iaea.org. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Safeguards Statement for 2007 and Background to the Safeguards Statement". Iaea.org. Retrieved 20 September 2009.[dead link]
- ^ "UN Security Council Resolution 1737 (2006)" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Microsoft Word – gov2008-59.doc" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ IAEA INFCIRC/724: Communication dated 26 March 2008, received from the Permanent Mission of the Islamic Republic of Iran to the Agency
- ^ Your Nuclear News: Govt Holds Its Line On Iran And Uranium
In 2006, it embarked on a uranium enrichment programme, defining it as part of its civilian nuclear energy programme, which is permitted under Article IV of the NPT.
- ^ [2]
In accordance with Article IV of the NPT, States Parties undertook to facilitate the fullest possible exchange of equipment, materials and scientific and technological information for the peaceful uses of nuclear energy. Indeed, the inalienable right of all States Parties to nuclear technology for peaceful purposes without discrimination constitutes the very foundation of the Treaty.
- ^ a b Clinton Says Nuclear Aim of Iran Is Fruitless, by David Sanger, New York Times, 26 July 2009
- ^ Linzer, Dafna (10 April 2007). "Iran Asserts Expansion Of Nuclear Operation – washingtonpost.com". The Washington Post. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
{{cite news}}
: Check date values in:|year=
/|date=
mismatch (help) - ^ "Iran rules out enrichment suspension ahead of EU talks – Forbes.com". 22 April 2007. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
{{cite news}}
: Check date values in:|year=
/|date=
mismatch (help) - ^ Iran nuclear plant to open for tourists 8 March 2009
- ^ a b "Ahmadinejad: Sanctions Will Not Affect Iran's Nuclear Program". RTTNews. 1 December 2009. Retrieved 1 December 2009.
- ^ a b "Iran's first nuclear plant begins fueling". CNN. 21 August 2010. Retrieved 23 August 2010.
- ^ "President Bush's speech of 8/31/2006". Georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov. 31 August 2006. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "US Iran report branded dishonest". BBC News. 14 September 2006. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
{{cite news}}
: Check date values in:|year=
/|date=
mismatch (help) - ^ Drogin, Bob; Murphy, Kim (25 February 2007). "Most U.S. tips fingering Iran false – envoys / No intelligence given UN since '02 led to big discoveries". The San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ "washingtonpost.com: U.S. Nuclear Arms Stance Modified by Policy Study". The Washington Post. 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ "Hersh: U.S. mulls nuclear option for Iran". CNN. 10 April 2006. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ Robert S. Norris and Hans M. Kristensen, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, September/October 2006.U.S. Nuclear Threats: Then and Now[dead link] (second mirror)[dead link]
- ^ "We Do Not Have a Nuclear Weapons Program – UN Security Council – Global Policy Forum". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ Obama: Iranian threats against Israel 'unacceptable', Jewish Telegraphic Agency (JTA), 7 December 2008.
- ^ "The White House: Foreign Policy". Whitehouse.gov. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ The Boston Globe: UN nuclear chief supports US-Iran talks[dead link]
- ^ Dubai (AlArabiya.net) (27 January 2009). "President gives first interview since taking office to Arab TV". Alarabiya.net. Retrieved 20 September 2009.[dead link]
- ^ Pamela Hess, Officials: Iran does not have key nuclear material[dead link], Associated Press, 10 March 2009.
- ^ Chinese company, exec indicted in Iran missile case Reuters
- ^ Indictment Says Banned Materials Sold to Iran New York Times
- ^ Lynch, Colum (8 April 2009). "Chinese Firm Indicted in Sales to Iran". The Washington Post. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Iran bomb-grade uranium not expected before 2013: State Dept – Agence France-Press". Google. 7 August 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Federation of American Scientists: Iran's Nuclear Program: Status
- ^ Dawn: A major shift
- ^ U.S. Sees an Opportunity to Press Iran on Nuclear Fuel By David E. Sanger and William J. Broad, 3 January 2010
- ^ Thomas Fingar: "Reducing Uncertainty: Intelligence and National Security Using Intelligence to Anticipate Opportunities and Shape the Future"
- ^ Central Intelligence Agency: Declassified National Intelligence Estimates on the Soviet Union and International Communism
- ^ "Panetta: Iran cannot develop nukes, block strait". CBS News, 8 January 2012. Retrieved: 25 January 2012.
- ^ "GOV/2007/48 – Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Quote from Olli Heinonen, Head of IAEA Safeguards". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ "Iran Says IAEA Atom Report Shows US Charges Wrong – CommonDreams.org". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ Reuters Canada Mon 29 October 2007, "IAEA sees 'good' Iran cooperation ahead of talks" Retrieved 29 October 2007
- ^ "Microsoft Word – gov2007-58.doc" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "President Ahmadinejad: Iran to consult about uranium enrichment in neutral third country". 18 November 2007. Retrieved 18 November 2007.
{{cite web}}
: Unknown parameter|unused_data=
ignored (help) - ^ "Good progress on Iran, but 'not sufficient': IAEA – Yahoo! News UK". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008. [dead link]
- ^ "French Minister to IAEA Chief: Listen to the West". The New York Sun. 13 February 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ "IAEA denies internal row over Iran, condemns hype". 12 February 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
{{cite news}}
: Text "Reuters" ignored (help) - ^ a b "Microsoft Word – gov2008-4.doc" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Latest Iran Safeguards Report Circulated to IAEA Board". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ "Bloomberg.com: Germany". 22 February 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
{{cite news}}
: CS1 maint: date and year (link) - ^ a b c Broad, William J.; Sanger, David E. (13 November 2005). "Relying on Computer, U.S. Seeks to Prove Iran's Nuclear Aims". The New York Times. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
{{cite news}}
: Check date values in:|year=
/|date=
mismatch (help) - ^ a b "Iran: Nuclear Intentions and Capabilities (National Intelligence Estimate)" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Company News Story". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2008/gov2008-15.pdf
- ^ a b c d e ISIS: Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and relevant provisions of Security Council resolutions 1737 (2006), 1747 (2007) and 1803 (2008) in the Islamic Republic of Iran 15 September 2008
- ^ "Latest Iran Safeguards Report Circulated to IAEA Board, Staff Report, February 22, 2008". Iaea.org. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Telegraph: Iran renews nuclear weapons development[dead link]
- ^ PressTV: "IAEA: No nuclear material missing in Iran" Sun, 14 September 2008
- ^ Understandings of the Islamic Republic of Iran and the IAEA on the Modalities of Resolution of the Outstanding Issues INFCIRC/711, 27 August 2007
- ^ PressTV Interview: "Ten more years of IAEA reports will say the same about Iran" Tue, 16 September 2008
- ^ a b "Microsoft Word – gov2009-8.doc" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ GOV/2003/40, Implementation of the NPT safeguards agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran, 6 June 2003, paragraph 6.
- ^ a b GOV/2007/22 Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and Relevant Provisions of Security Council Resolutions in the Islamic Republic of Iran, 27 May 2007, paragraphs 12–14.
- ^ INFCIRC/214, Iran's NPT safeguards agreement, see paragraph 39
- ^ "gov2009-8" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Iran Has More Enriched Uranium Than Thought" By William J. Broad and David E. Sanger, New York Times 20 February 2009
- ^ "Iran holds enough uranium for bomb, By Daniel Dombey in Washington, Financial Times, February 19, 2009". Financial Times. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Today, Physics (20 February 2009). ""IAEA report leads to press confusion over Iranian nuclear program" Physics Today, February 20, 2009". Blogs.physicstoday.org. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Federation of American Scientists: Iran's Uranium: Don't Panic Yet. February 23, 2009". Fas.org. 27 February 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Iran Panic Induced By Lousy Reporting, Friday February 20, 2009". Arms Control Wonk. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ ""Iran cooperates after understating atom stocks-IAEA" by Mark Heinrich, Reuters Sun February 22, 2009". In.reuters.com. 22 February 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "''Haber27'':". Haber27.com. Retrieved 20 September 2009.[dead link]
- ^ John Pike. "''IRNA'': IAEA's repetitious reports should be stopped: Iranian envoy". Globalsecurity.org. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and relevant provisions of Security Council resolutions in the Islamic Republic of Iran" (PDF). GOV/2011/65. IAEA. 8 November 2011. Retrieved 20 November 2011.[dead link]
- ^ "ISIS Analysis of IAEA Iran Safeguards Report: Part 1" (PDF). Institute for Science and International Security. 8 November 2011. Retrieved 20 November 2011.
{{cite web}}
: Unknown parameter|coauthors=
ignored (|author=
suggested) (help) - ^ European states call for stiffer sanctions against Iran following IAEA report
- ^ "IAEA resolution to sharply criticize Iran for nuclear efforts". Washington Post. 17 November 2011. Retrieved 20 November 2011.
- ^ "Implementation of the NPT safeguards agreement and relevant provisions of United Nations Security Council resolutions in the Islamic Republic of Iran" (PDF). GOV/2011/69. IAEA. 18 November 2011. Retrieved 20 November 2011.[dead link]
- ^ "IAEA Board Adopts Resolution on Iran". IAEA. 18 November 2011. Retrieved 20 November 2011.
- ^ Bull, Alister (18 November 2011). "U.S. to keep pressure on Iran after nuclear report". Reuters. Retrieved 20 November 2011.
- ^ "Iran parliament to review ties with U.N. nuclear body". Reuters. 20 November 2011. Retrieved 20 November 2011.
- ^ Albright, David and Brannan, Paul (30 November 2009) "Technicalities and the Fordow Enrichment Plant" ISIS, The Institute for Science and International Security
- ^ Thomas Erdbrink (26 September 2009). "Angry Reaction "Shocked" Head of Iran's Nuclear Program". Washington Post. Retrieved 26 September 2009.
- ^ "Iran: Nuclear plant is sited to thwart attack". MSNBC via Associated Press. 29 September 2009. Retrieved 20 July 2010.
- ^ "Middle East – Iran 'ready for nuclear agreement'". Al Jazeera English. 29 October 2009. Retrieved 20 May 2010.
- ^ Reza Derakhshi (29 October 2009). "Iran proposes big changes to draft atom deal: report". Reuters. Retrieved 20 May 2010.
- ^ "Venezuela's Chavez Says Iran Aiding Uranium Exploration". RFERL. 18 October 2009.
- ^ Stephens, Bret (15 December 2009). "The Tehran-Caracas Nuclear Axis Ahmadinejad and Chávez: new evidence of a radioactive relationship". Wall Street Journal.
- ^ Noriega, Roger F. Chávez's Secret Nuclear Program Foreign Policy Magazine, 5 October 2010
- ^ a b "Exclusive: Iran says nuclear fuel production goes "very well"". Reuters (Tehran). 11 February 2010. Retrieved 11 February 2010.
- ^ a b c Philp, Catherine (11 February 2010). "Mahmoud Ahmadinejad declares Iran a 'nuclear state' after producing enriched uranium". London: The Times. Retrieved 11 February 2010.
- ^ International Atomic Energy Agency: Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and relevant provisions of Security Council resolutions 1737 (2006), 1747 (2007), 1803 (2008) and 1835 (2008) in the Islamic Republic of Iran. 18 February 2010.
- ^ Slackman, Michael (12 February 2010). "Iran Boasts of Capacity to Make Bomb Fuel". The New York Times. Retrieved 9 April 2010.
- ^ "Nuclear fuel declaration by Iran, Turkey and Brazil". BBC. 17 May 2010. Retrieved 28 May 2010.
- ^ Xinhua English News: Iran to sign nuclear swap deal with Turkey, Brazil
- ^ "Iran's letter to the IAEA". PressTV. 24 May 2010. Retrieved 28 May 2010.
- ^ "GCC backs efforts to solve Iran N-issue". Arab News. 24 May 2010. Retrieved 2 August 2010.
- ^ "Politics – Hariri heads to Washington after visits to Egypt, Turkey". The Daily Star. 24 May 2010. Retrieved 2 August 2010.
- ^ Rebhi, Abdullah (27 May 2010). "AFP: Merkel urges Iran to 'carefully consider' nuclear deal". Google. Retrieved 2 August 2010.
- ^ "China calls for peaceful solution to Iranian nuclear issue". Xinhua. 25 May 2010. Retrieved 26 May 2010.
- ^ a b "Gov't rejects Iran deal as a ruse". Jerusalem Post. Israel. Retrieved 2 August 2010.
- ^ "Sarkozy Calls Iran Nuclear Offer 'Positive,' Seeks More Steps". BusinessWeek. 18 May 2010. Retrieved 2 August 2010.
- ^ "Middle East – West 'still concerned' about Iran". Al Jazeera English. 17 May 2010. Retrieved 2 August 2010.
- ^ "Clinton: Iran Fuel Swap Deal Has 'Deficiencies'". VOA. 25 May 2010. Retrieved 28 May 2010.
- ^ Politica Externa: Obama’s Letter to Lula Regarding Brazil-Iran-Turkey Nuclear Negotiations
- ^ Washington Post: U.S., Brazilian officials at odds over letter on Iranian uranium
- ^ People's Daily: Brazilian FM: nuclear agreement with Iran right thing to do
- ^ Today's Zaman: Turkey, US to tackle deepening rift over Iran in talks
- ^ Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists: Deconstructing the meaning of Iran's 20 percent uranium enrichment
- ^ "Iran hit by fresh UN nuclear sanctions threat". BBC News. 18 May 2010. Retrieved 19 May 2010.
- ^ (AFP) – 27 May 2010 (27 May 2010). "AFP: Turkey chides US in Iran row, urges support for swap deal". Google. Retrieved 2 August 2010.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link) - ^ "Iran throws ball into West's court". Presstv.ir. 17 May 2010. Retrieved 2 August 2010.
- ^ "Iran hails talks with Brazil, Turkey". Presstv.ir. 17 May 2010. Retrieved 2 August 2010.
- ^ "Al-ManarTV:: Sayyed Khamenei to Lula: US Upset with Cooperation of Independent Countries 16/05/2010". Almanar.com.lb. Retrieved 2 August 2010.[dead link]
- ^ a b "Clinton Says Russia, China, U.S. Back Iran Sanctions (Update4)". BusinessWeek. 18 May 2010. Retrieved 2 August 2010.
- ^ "/ Iran – 'South-south' diplomacy put to the test". Financial Times. 19 May 2010. Retrieved 2 August 2010.
- ^ "Brazil vents frustration with West over Iran deal". Todayszaman.com. 22 June 2010. Retrieved 2 August 2010.
- ^ Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs: GRAHAM ALLISON on sanctions against Iran
- ^ Council on Foreign Relations: Iran's Sketchy Uranium Deal
- ^ Council on Foreign Relations: Brazil's Take on Iran and NPT
- ^ Carnegie Endowment for International Peace: The Return of the Third World
- ^ Business Week: Colin Powell Says Sanctions Won’t End Iran’s Nuclear Program
- ^ ElBaradei: Brazil-Iran-Turkey Nuclear Deal "Quite a Good Agreement"
- ^ Fox News: Ban: Iran must make clear nuclear program for peaceful purposes, praises Brazil-Turkey deal
- ^ Greenwald, Glenn (11 January 2012). "More murder of Iranian scientists: still Terrorism?". Salon. Retrieved 11 January 2012.
- ^ Perry, Mark (13 January 2012). "False Flag". Retrieved 23 January 2012.
- ^ Strong Leads and Dead Ends in Nuclear Case Against Iran, By Dafna Linzer, Washington Post, Wednesday, 8 February 2006
- ^ "The Laptop: Relying on Computer, U.S. Seeks to Prove Iran's Nuclear Aims" By William J. Broad and David E. Sanger, New York Times 13 November 2005
- ^ INFCIRC/711 Date: 27 August 2007
- ^ Head of IAEA Safeguards Welcomes Iran Workplan, IAEA Staff Report, 30 August 2007
- ^ Latest Iran Safeguards Report Circulated to IAEA Board, IAEA Staff Report, 22 February 2008
- ^ Diplomats say US again shares information on Iran's nuclear program, Associated Press, Thursday, 21 February 2008
- ^ Warrick, Joby; Lynch, Colum (2 March 2008). "UN Says Iran May Not Have Come Clean on Nuclear Past". The Washington Post. Retrieved 9 April 2010.
- ^ Iran to Discuss Alleged Studies of Atomic Arms, Reuters, 24 April 2008
- ^ "U.S. to Produce Data on Iran's Nuclear Program", New York Times, By David E. Sanger and Elaine Sciolino, 15 Feb 2008.
- ^ Mohamed ElBaradei: 'They are not Fanatics' – Newsweek, 1 Jun 2009.
- ^ "Middle East Online". Middle East Online. 6 September 2009. Retrieved 20 May 2010.
- ^ Iran and IAEA re-enter missile row By Gareth Porter, Asia Times, Sept 22, 2009.
- ^ POLITICS: Iran Nuke Laptop Data Came from Terror Group, By Gareth Porter, IPS News, 29 Feb 2008.
- ^ US Iran intelligence 'is incorrect', by Julian Borger, The Guardian, Thursday 22 February 2007
- ^ Iran, the IAEA, and the Laptop: Where is the digital chain of custody? by Muhammad Sahimi, Antiwar.com, 7 October 2008.
- ^ Leaked Iran paper exposes IAEA rift Asia times 8 October 2009
- ^ AFP:Six powers to meet soon over Iran's nuclear program
- ^ "ASIL Insights:Iran's Resumption of its Nuclear Program: Addendum". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ "Safeguards Agreement between Iran and the IAEA (INFCIRC/214) 12-13-74" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Daniel Joyner, North Korean Links to Building of a Nuclear Reactor in Syria: Implications for International Law, American Society of International Law, Vol. 12, No. 8 (28 April 2008):
"[A] breach of an IAEA safeguards agreement does not per se equate to a violation of the NPT."
- ^ Darryl Howlett and John Simpson Nuclear Non-proliferation – how to ensure an effective compliance mechanism in Effective Non-Proliferation: The European Union and the 2005 NPT Review Conference, Burkard Schmitt, ed., Chaillot Paper No. 77, Apr. 2005, Institute for Security Studies, European Union, Paris, p. 15:
"[A] finding by the IAEA of non-compliance with the terms of a sagefuards agreement thus does not automatically amount to non-compliance with the NPT."
- ^ a b c "Adherence to and Compliance With Arms Control, Nonproliferation, and Disarmament Agreements and Commitments". 2008. Archived from Compliance Report the original on 13 February 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
{{cite web}}
: Check|url=
value (help) - ^ Congressional Research Service: Iran's Nuclear Program: Tehran's Compliance with International Obligations
- ^ Carnegie Endowment for International Peace: Deterring Safeguards Violations
- ^ "SAGSI: Its Role and Contribution to Safeguards Development" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Safeguards in a Broader Policy Perspective: Verifying Treaty Compliance "400 Bad Request". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
{{cite web}}
: Check|url=
value (help) [dead link] - ^ Congressional Research Service: Iran's Nuclear Program: Tehran's Compliance with International Obligations
- ^ a b "Uncorrected Evidence m10". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ Alexei G. Arbatov, "The Inexorable Momentum of Escalation," in Double Trouble: Iran and North Korea as Challenges to International Security, Patrick M. Cronin, ed. (Westport, CT: Praeger, 2007), pp. 64–65.
- ^ Resolution 1696 (2006)
- ^ Security Council Demands Iran Suspend Uranium Enrichment by 31 August, or Face Possible Economic, Diplomatic Sanctions
- ^ US State Department: Third Session of the Preparatory Committee for the 2005 Review Conference of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons
- ^ American approach towards the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) – the case study – Islamic Republic of Iran nuclear activities / Bonab, Rahman G.: (The Iranian journal of international affairs) 19(4) 2007 Fall: p. [53]–77.
- ^ "FM lashes out at big powers' nuclear apartheid". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ Iran's Mottaki quoted: will not suspend research[dead link] Iran Press News, 27 February 2006.
- ^ Embassy of the United States in Russia: Briefing by Secretary Condoleezza Rice En Route to London, England[dead link]
- ^ a b "Senate Foreign Relations Committee: Statement of Richard N. Haass (March 3, 2009)" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009. [dead link]
- ^ "Nukes a matter of pride in Iran". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
{{cite web}}
: Unknown parameter|unused_data=
ignored (help) - ^ "IRAN: Nuclear Negotiations – Council on Foreign Relations". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ BBC World Service Poll: Declining Support for Tough Measures against Iran's Nuclear Program: Global Poll
- ^ An Unnecessary Crisis: Setting the Record Straight about Iran's Nuclear Program by Amb. Zarif, Published in New York Times (18 November 2005)
- ^ "file:///C|/Users/MJZ/Desktop/Doc2.htm" (PDF). Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ "Transcript: 'Response ... will be a positive one' – Nightly News with Brian Williams – MSNBC.com". Msnbc.msn.com. 28 July 2008. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ Iran's nuclear program is peaceful-Financial Times, 9 September 2004, by Gareth Smyth
- ^ "Disarmament Diplomacy, Issue No. 86, Autumn 2007, Rethinking Security Interests for a Nuclear-Weapon-Free Zone in the Middle East, Rebecca Johnson". Acronym.org.uk. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Iran Asks UN Action to Keep Region Free of Nuclear Arms, New York Times, July 13, 1974". Iranaffairs.com. 20 August 2007. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Iran call for nuclear-free region". BBC News. 27 February 2006. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Iran seeks nuclear-free Middle East, says Mottaki, Ministry of the Foreign Affairs of the Islamic Republic of Iran, 5 Feb 2008[dead link]
- ^ "World Politics Review". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
{{cite web}}
: Unknown parameter|unused_data=
ignored (help) - ^ Iran and Nuclear Energy Iran Virtual Library
- ^ Roger Stern. "The Iranian petroleum crisis and United States national security—PNAS". Pnas.org. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Linzer, Dafna (27 March 2005). "Past Arguments Don't Square With Current Iran Policy (washingtonpost.com)". The Washington Post. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
{{cite news}}
: Check date values in:|year=
/|date=
mismatch (help) - ^ Statement by H.E. Dr. M. Javad Zarif Permanent Representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran before the Security Council, 23 December 2006
- ^ "U.S. in 1983 stopped IAEA from helping Iran make UF6" by Mark Hibbs, Nuclear Fuel, 4 August 2003, Vol. 28, No. 16; p. 12
- ^ "Iran's not-so-hidden enrichment program" IranAffairs.com, 13 December 2007
- ^ Government Mines Uranium For What It Calls Peaceful Nuclear Use, Monday, 10 February 2003
- ^ Iran's Nuclear Facilities: a Profile by Andrew Koch and Jeanette Wolf, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, 1998.[dead link]
- ^ Esfahan (Isfahan) Nuclear Technology Center, GlobalSecurity.org
- ^ MERIA: Chinese Arms Exports to Iran, Volume 2, No. 2 – May 1998
- ^ Iran Nuclear Milestones, IranWatch.org
- ^ NTI Iran Profile, Nuclear Facilities.[dead link]
- ^ a b "IAEA INFCIRC648: Communication dated August 1, 2005, received from the Permanent Mission of the Islamic Republic of Iran to the Agency" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "INFCIRC/657 – Communication dated September 12, 2005, from the Permanent Mission of the Islamic Republic of Iran to the Agency" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ http://www.e-ir.info/?p=2699
- ^ "Security Council Imposes Sanctions on Iran for failure to halt Uranium Enrichment, Unanimously adopting Resolution 1737 (2006)". 23 December 2006.
- ^ "FAS on Nuclear Weapons – Israel". Fas.org. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Fars News Agency :: Full Text of Speech Delivered by Iran's Envoy to IAEA". English.farsnews.com. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ "The "haves" made the commitment to eliminate their nuclear arsenals and that was the basis for the NPT – soc.culture.iranian | Google Groups". Google. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Shargh, 20 February 2006.
- ^ ""Perceptions and Courses of Actions toward Iran" MILITARY REVIEW, September–October 2005" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Kang, Jungmin; Hayes, Peter; Bin, Li; Suzuki, Tatsujiro; Tanter, Richard. South Korea's Nuclear Surprise[dead link]. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. 1 January 2005.
- ^ "International Atomic Energy Agency: IAEA Board Concludes Consideration of Safeguards in South Korea". Iaea.org. 26 November 2004. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ MehrNews: Rafsanjani says Obama was not honest in sending message to Iran
- ^ The Nation: Iran's Vote, Obama's Challenge
- ^ PressTV: Iran assets still frozen in US
- ^ a b Reuters: Iran sets terms for U.S. ties
- ^ "Eye on Iran, Rivals Pursuing Nuclear Power", William J. Broad and David E. Sanger, New York Times, 15 April 2007.
- ^ "Nuclear energy gains ground in Arab states | Middle East, The | Find Articles at BNET". Findarticles.com. 2 June 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "WMD Insights". WMD Insights. Retrieved 20 September 2009.[dead link]
- ^ "Arab League: Israel's nuclear program more worrying than Iran". Haaretz. Israel. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Medvedev: Sanctions against Iran's nuclear programme 'may be inevitable'
- ^ Wikileaks exposed Iran's weak foreign policies, says opposition, Ha'aretz, 12.12.10
- ^ "Olmert says "all options" open against Iran, Reuters Mon January 14, 2008". Reuters. 14 January 2008. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Iran Poses Dangerous Threat, Peres Tells ADL – ADL Press Release, May 9, 2005". Adl.org. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Goodman, Hirsh. "Hirsh Goodman: Israel has no margin for error when it comes to Iran." National Post. 3 September 2011. 6 September 2011.
- ^ Israel Defence Chief: Iran Not An Existential Threat, Reuters 17 September 2009
- ^ "Livni behind closed doors: Iran nukes pose little threat to Israel, By Gidi Weitz and Na'ama Lanski, Haaretz October 25, 2007". Haaretz. Israel. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Israel cannot be destroyed, says former Mossad chief, YnetNews, October 18, 2007". Ynetnews.com. 5 April 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Bombs away, The Economist, July 17, 2007". The Economist. 19 July 2007. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "''Reuters'': Arab role needed to solve Iran nuclear issue: ElBaradei". Reuters. 9 March 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Israel Unconvinced Iran Has Dropped Nuclear Program", By Steven Erlanger and Graham Bowley New York Times, 5 December 2007
- ^ Keinon, Herb. "PM: Israel to expose Iran's nuclear arms program, By Herb Keinon Jerusalem Post December 9, 2007". Jerusalem Post. Israel. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Katz, Yaakov (16 November 2007). "Israel: IAEA's report 'unacceptable' – Jerusalem Post November 16, 2007". Jerusalem Post. Israel. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Israeli minister says sack ElBaradei over Iran, Reuters Sun March 9, 2008". Reuters. 9 March 2008. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Sources: UN watchdog hiding evidence on Iran nuclear program, By Barak Ravid, Haaretz August 19, 2009". Haaretz. Israel. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Barnes, Diane. "Iran Ducking Scrutiny of Alleged Nuclear-Weapon Studies, IAEA Says Friday, NTI Aug. 28, 2009". Globalsecuritynewswire.org. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "BBC NEWS | Middle East | Israeli minister threatens Iran". BBC News. 6 June 2008<!- – 15:54 UK -->. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
{{cite news}}
: Check date values in:|date=
(help) - ^ "BBC: Iran dismisses 'attack by Israel'". BBC News. 21 June 2008. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Report: Iran protests threats from Israeli official". CNN. 7 June 2008. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "BBC NEWS | Middle East | Israeli warning over nuclear Iran". BBC News. 4 June 2008<!- – 09:54 UK -->. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
{{cite news}}
: Check date values in:|date=
(help) - ^ "Report: U.S. to station diplomats in Iran for first time since 1979 – Haaretz – Israel News". Haaretz. Israel. Retrieved 26 October 2008.[dead link]
- ^ "Israel seeks input on U.S. Iran report – Haaretz – Israel News". Haaretz. Israel. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ "Official: Iran "not likely" to have nuclear capabilities by 2010 – People's Daily Online". English.people.com.cn. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ Washington Post: Israel's stance on nuclear arms complicates efforts against Iran
- ^ "Nuclear proliferation: The Islamic Republic of Iran", Gawdat Bahgat, Iranian Studies Journal, vol. 39(3), September 2006
- ^ Statement by H.E. Mr. Manouchehr Mottaki, Minister for Foreign Affairs of the Islamic Republic of Iran, before The Conference on Disarmament (March 2007)
- ^ "Arab League chief calls for nuclear-free Middle East". People's Daily Online. 31 May 2006.
- ^ Nuclear Threat Initiative: Israel Will Not Change Nuclear Policy, Official Says
- ^ Israeli – Greek war game rehearses ‘Iran attack’ | The Total Collapse
- ^ Revealed – Israel plans nuclear strike on Iran, Uzi Mahnaimi and Sarah Boxter, The Sunday Times, London, 7 January 2007.
- ^ Mahnaimi, Uzi (30 May 2010). "Israel stations nuclear missile subs off Iran". The Times. London.
- ^ Karon, Tony (04 October 2011). "Is Israel Again Weighing an Attack on Iran's Nuclear Facilities? Read more: http://globalspin.blogs.time.com/2011/10/04/is-israel-again-weighing-an-attack-on-irans-nuclear-facilities/#ixzz1aL2DTU6N". Global Spin. Time.com. Retrieved 10 October 2011.
{{cite news}}
: Check date values in:|date=
(help); External link in
(help)|title=
- ^ Jehl, Douglas; Schmitt, Eric (2008). "Data Is Lacking On Iran's Arms, U.S. Panel Says – New York Times". The New York Times. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ "Iran lacks weapons-grade nuclear material – U.S., Reuters Tue March 10, 2009". In.reuters.com. 10 March 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "McClatchy Washington Bureau" (firm). 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
{{cite journal}}
: Cite journal requires|journal=
(help); Unknown parameter|unused_data=
ignored (help) - ^ "''Front Page Magazine'': Iran's Nuclear Two-Step". Frontpagemag.com. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Playing soft or hard cop," Charlemagne, The Economist, 21 January 2006. Vol.378, Iss. 8461; p. 42
- ^ "file:///C|/Users/MJZ/Desktop/Doc2.htm" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Iran-EU Agreement on Nuclear Programme
To build further confidence, Iran has decided, on a voluntary basis, to continue and extend its suspension ..
- ^ "BASIC Notes, August 11, 2005". Basicint.org. Archived from the original on 13 June 2008. Retrieved 20 September 2009.[dead link]
- ^ "''BBC'': Key powers to seek Iran sanctions". BBC News. 3 October 2006. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "ABC News: TRANSCRIPT: Gibson Interviews Bush". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ "House of Commons – Foreign Affairs – Third Report". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ "Iran's arguments for nuclear power make some sense, Reuters Mar 2, 2005, By Paul Hughes". Web.archive.org. 2 March 2005. Archived from the original on 5 March 2005. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Roger Stern, The Iranian petroleum crisis and United States national security, PNAS, Vol. 104, No. 1 (2 January 2007), pp. 377–382.
- ^ "Text of P5+1 Foreign Ministers' letter to Iran, June 12, 2008" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ IAEA Nuclear Fuel Cycle Information System
- ^ "Nuclear Power Plants Information". Iaea.org. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "''BBC'': Iran vows no nuclear concessions". BBC News. 23 July 2008. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Iran's nuclear programme: As the enrichment machines spin on, The Economist. London: 2 February 2008. Vol. 386, Iss. 8565; p. 30
- ^ David Albright, Jacqueline Shire and Paul Brannan, ISIS Report, Is Iran Running Out of Yellowcake?
- ^ "''International Herald Tribune'': Official: Iran not running out of raw uranium". International Herald Tribune. 29 March 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "''Reuters'': Iran dismisses report it faces raw uranium shortage". Reuters. 11 February 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Atomic Energy Organization of Iran: Energy, Economic and Electricity Information[dead link]
- ^ Nuclear Power Is Good: U.S. and Iran Have No Argument There, Elaine Sciolino, The 'New York Times, 23 March 2005.]
- ^ David Albright, Jacqueline Shire and Paul Brannan, ISIS Report, Has Iran Achieved a Nuclear Weapons Breakout Capability? Not Yet, But Soon.
- ^ "ACA: Arms Experts Correct the Record on Iran Uranium Claims". Armscontrol.org. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Oelrich and Barzashka: Don't Panic Yet". Fas.org. 27 February 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "American Association of University Women: November 2008" (PDF). Aauw-sf.org. Retrieved 20 September 2009. [dead link]
- ^ "''The Globe and Mail'': Iran: the enemy that almost isn't". The Globe and Mail. Canada. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Cheryl Rofer: "Whoo-Hoo! Atoms of Fissionable Material Everywhere! – Updated 2/22/09"[dead link]
- ^ American Institute of Physics: The gas centrifuge and nuclear weapons proliferation[dead link]
- ^ Council on Foreign Relations: Iran's Nuclear Program
Weapons-grade uranium—also known as highly-enriched uranium, or HEU—is around 90% (technically, HEU is any concentration over 20%, but weapons-grade levels are described as being in excess of 90%).
- ^ Federation of American Scientists: Uranium Production
A state selecting uranium for its weapons must obtain a supply of uranium ore and construct an enrichment plant because the U-235 content in natural uranium is over two orders of magnitude lower than that found in weapons grade uranium (>90% U-235 U).
- ^ Erdbrink, Thomas. "''Washington Post'': Iran's First Nuclear Power Plant Set for Tests Before Launch". The Washington Post. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ James Wray and Ulf Stabe (25 February 2009). "''Monsters and Critics'': Can Iran make a nuclear bomb? No so fast, analysts say". Monstersandcritics.com. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "''Xinhua'': IAEA finds no weapons-grade enriched uranium in Iran". News.xinhuanet.com. 21 February 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "''Sify'': Can Iran make a nuclear bomb?". Sify.com. 26 February 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Iran | They think they have right on their side". The Economist. 22 November 2007. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "They think they have right on their side – Why the Iranians see themselves in a very different light". Iran News Watch. 24 November 2007. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "''Asia Times'': The fuel behind Iran's nuclear drive". Atimes.com. 24 August 2005. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Institute for Security Studies: Rethinking Iran: from confrontation to cooperation". Iss.europa.eu. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Iran – Eine politische Herausforderung: Die prekäre Balance von Vertrauen und Sicherheit (Broschiert)" by Volker Perthes. p113.
- ^ "GOV/2006/53 – Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "United Nations Security Council: Resolution 1803 (2008)". United Nations. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Reese Erlich, "U.S. Tells Iran: Become a Nuclear Power," excerpted from "The Iran Agenda: The Real Story of U.S. Policy and The Middle East Crisis," (PoliPointPress, 2007). Used with permission.
- ^ "European leaders considering Iran sanctions, French foreign minister says". International Herald Tribune. Associated Press. 16 September 2007.
- ^ Yaakov Lappin (09.17.07). "Rice's 'thank you' visit". Ynetnews.
{{cite news}}
: Check date values in:|date=
(help) - ^ Ali Akbar Dareini (19 September 2007). "Iran: Retaliation for any Israeli attack". USA Today. Associated Press. Retrieved 22 January 2008.
- ^ "Iran Focus-Germany can accept nuclear enrichment in Iran – Nuclear – News". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ Charbonneau, Louis (10 February 2007). "Europeans weigh compromise offer for Iran-diplomats". Retrieved 24 February 2008.
{{cite news}}
: Check date values in:|year=
/|date=
mismatch (help); Text "Reuters" ignored (help) - ^ "USATODAY.com – Iran offers to suspend large-scale uranium enrichment". USA Today. 7 March 2006. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
{{cite news}}
: Check date values in:|year=
/|date=
mismatch (help) - ^ The Iran Plans by Seymour M. Hersh, New Yorker, 17 April 2006
- ^ "Iran should continue limited enrichment, atomic watchdog says – International Herald Tribune". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ Blair, David (24 May 2007). "US protest at Iran remark by nuclear watchdog". The Daily Telegraph. London. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
{{cite news}}
: Check date values in:|year=
/|date=
mismatch (help) - ^ "POLITICS: Accept Iran's Regional Role, Says French Envoy". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ "''BBC'': Iran launches homegrown satellite". BBC News. 3 February 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "U.S. Department of State: Iranian Launch of Satellite". State.gov. 3 February 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "''Xinhua'': Iran insists its satellite serves no military purpose". News.xinhuanet.com. 4 February 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "''Tehran Times'': Larijani meets top European diplomats in Munich". Tehrantimes.com. 8 February 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "''Tehran Times'': Iran should turn into model country: Ahmadinejad". Tehrantimes.com. 5 February 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "''Tehran Times'': Iraq pleased with Iran's launching of Omid satellite: al-Rubaie". Tehrantimes.com. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Rice: U.S. will seek to end any 'illicit' nuclear ambitions by Iran". CNN. 26 February 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "U.S. State Department: Daily Press Briefing – February 25, 2009". State.gov. 25 February 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "U.S. State Department: Robert Wood, Acting Department Spokesman, Daily Press Briefing (04/08/09)". State.gov. 8 April 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "U.S. State Department: Secretary of State Remarks With Panamanian Foreign Minister Samuel Lewis Navarro Before Their Meeting (04/08/2009)". State.gov. 8 April 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ PressTV: Leader questions Obama's change policy, 4 March 2009.
- ^ "''Tehran Times'': Iran's nuclear issue was illegally sent to Security Council". Tehrantimes.com. 5 March 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ NPR: US to attend group nuclear talks with Iran[dead link]
- ^ "Microsoft Word – Sadjadpour, Karim" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009. [dead link]
- ^ "Senate Foreign Relations Committee: Statement of Mark Fitzpatrick (March 3, 2009)" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009. [dead link]
- '^ Groves, Jason (27 July 2010). "Turkey must join EU, says Cameron: Critics of bid 'are playing on fears of Islam". Daily Mail. Associated Newspapers, Ltd. p. 2.
{{cite news}}
:|access-date=
requires|url=
(help) - ^ "EU to put new sanctions on Iran's officials and firms". BBC. 1 December 2011. Retrieved 1 December 2011.
- ^ Mazzetti, Mark (3 December 2007). "U.S. Says Iran Ended Atomic Arms Work – New York Times". The New York Times. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
{{cite news}}
: Check date values in:|year=
/|date=
mismatch (help) - ^ Iran: Nuclear Intentions and Capabilities (National Intelligence Estimate)
- ^ Broad, William J.; Sanger, David E. (4 December 2007). "How Did a 2005 Estimate Go Awry? – New York Times". The New York Times. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
{{cite news}}
: Check date values in:|year=
/|date=
mismatch (help) - ^ "Interfax > Politics". 2008. Archived from the original on 25 January 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ "Bothersome Intel on Iran". Newsweek. 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ "Middle East Online". 2008. Retrieved 24 February 2008.
- ^ Statement by IAEA Director General on New U.S. Intelligence Estimate on Iran IAEA Press Release 2007/22, 4 December 2007
- ^ "Microsoft Word – UNCL SFR WWT SSCI 2009 FINAL2.doc" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "''Tehran Times'': Iran's nuclear program is perfectly legal: U.S. researcher". Tehrantimes.com. 15 February 2009. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Los Angeles Times: U.S. now sees Iran as pursuing nuclear bomb[dead link]
- ^ "Non Proliferation Of Weapons Of Mass Destruction: A G8 Declaration". G8.fr. 2 June 2003. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "G-8 Action Plan on Nonproliferation". Georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov. 9 June 2004. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Chair's Summary St. Petersburg, July 17, 2006". En.g8russia.ru. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Heiligendamm Statement on Non-Proliferation[dead link]
- ^ G8 Hokkaido Toyako Summit Leaders Declaration, Hokkaido Toyako, 8 July 2008
- ^ Praful Bidwai (10 February 2007). "India-Iran Ties Jeopardized by US Threats – by Praful Bidwai". Antiwar.com. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ "Daily Times – Site Edition [Printer Friendly Version]". Dailytimes.com.pk. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ a b "India defends Iran nuclear vote, denies bowing to US pressure – Forbes.com". Forbes. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
{{cite news}}
: Unknown parameter|deadurl=
ignored (|url-status=
suggested) (help) [dead link] - ^ "Khaleej Times Online – India wants closer ties with Iran, despite nuclear vote". Khaleejtimes.com. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ "The Hindu: International / India & World: India clears the air with Iran". The Hindu. Chennai, India. 28 October 2005. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ Somini Sengupta (Published: 6 March 2006). "India Urges Diplomacy on Iran Nuclear Issue – New York Times". The New York Times. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
{{cite news}}
: Check date values in:|date=
(help) - ^ "India concerned by escalating rhetoric on Iran nuclear program". Forbes. 17 February 2006. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ Subhash Vohra. "U.S. Concerns Over India-Iran Gas Pipeline". Voanews.com. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ "Indiadaily.com – India's IAEA vote helped gain support for nuclear deal, says US official". Indiadaily.com. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ "India dumps old friend Iran for US nuclear carrot". Expressindia.com. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ "A Nonproliferation Disaster – Carnegie Endowment for International Peace". Carnegieendowment.org. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ Fred Kaplan. "Bush's Indian fantasy. – By Fred Kaplan – Slate Magazine". Slate.com. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ "The India Nuclear Deal: The Top Rule-maker Bends the Rules – Carnegie Endowment for International Peace". Carnegieendowment.org. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ "Seventeen myths about the Indian nuclear deal". Wisconsinproject.org. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ "Nuclear Deal With India: Sacrificing The Npt On An Altar Of Expediency". Nci.org. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
- ^ "Harvard International Review: Implications of the US-India Nuclear Deal". Harvardir.org. Retrieved 26 October 2008. [dead link]
- ^ "Iran doesn't need nuclear weapons: Qureshi". International Herald Tribune. 19 October 2010. Retrieved 31 December 2011.
- ^ "Iran Wins Backing From Nonaligned Bloc". Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty. 2006. Retrieved 29 September 2006.
- ^ "XV Ministerial Conference of the Non-Aligned Movement (July 2008): Statement on the Islamic Republic of Iran's Nuclear Issue" (PDF). Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Public Opinion Polls in Iran's Neighboring Countries Reveals Large Numbers Support Nuclear-Armed Iran, Also Oppose U.S. Military Action – U.S. Newswire | HighBeam Research – FREE trial". Highbeam.com. 14 June 2006. Retrieved 20 May 2010.
- ^ "OIC supports Iran's quest to go nuclear | AFP | Find Articles at BNET". Findarticles.com. 1 February 2007. Retrieved 26 October 2008.
{{cite news}}
: Unknown parameter|deadurl=
ignored (|url-status=
suggested) (help) [dead link] - ^ "'Every country has right' to nuclear technology, Zebari says – CNN May 26, 2006". CNN. 26 May 2006. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Algeria Supports Iran's Pursuit of Nuclear Power, APS Says – Bloomberg, August 12, 2008". Bloomberg. 12 August 2008. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Indonesia backs Iran's claim of peaceful nuclear program, Agence France-Presse, May 10, 2006". Spacewar.com. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Turkey supports Iran's nuclear program for peaceful means, Associated Press, November 15, 2005". Web.israelinsider.com. 15 November 2005. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Egypt, Turkey call for peaceful solution to Iranian nuclear dispute – Xinhua People's Daily, January 16, 2008". English.people.com.cn. 16 January 2008. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ Tran, Mark (10 October 2007). "Putin: no proof Iran is trying to make nuclear weapons – Guardian, Wednesday October 10, 2007". Guardian. London. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Putin: Russia opposes force, sanctions on Iran". Haaretz. Israel. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Declining Support for Tough Measures against Iran's Nuclear Program: Global Poll March 11, 2008". Worldpublicopinion.org. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "2008 Arab Public Opinion Survey, Anwar Sadat Chair for Peace and Development, University of Maryland". Sadat.umd.edu. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
- ^ "Arab League: Israel's nuclear program more worrying than Iran, Haaretz 17/05/2009". Haaretz. Israel. Retrieved 20 September 2009.
Further reading
- Iran's Nuclear Program: Debating Facts versus Fiction, Kaveh L. Afrasiabi (Booksurge, 2007).
External links
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Commons-logo.svg/30px-Commons-logo.svg.png)
- NYT: Iran's nuclear program
- Nuclear Plan Attacked with Computer Virus
- NYT: Iran Shielding Its Nuclear Efforts in Maze of Tunnels
- UAE Tightens Noose on Front Companies
- The Nuclear Fuel Cycle explained – BBC
- Iran's Atomic Energy Organization
- Businessman Flees UAE over Iran Link
- (IAEA) In Focus: IAEA and Iran
- BBC's Iran Nuclear Issue Timeline
- Confronting Iran: Critical perspectives on the current crisis, its origins, and implications Project for Defense Alternatives.
- The Iran Nuclear Standoff: Legal Issues, Daniel Joyner, JURIST, 1 March 2006.
- The Legality of the UN Security Council demands on Iran Cyrus Safdari, IranAffairs.com 6 August 2007
- Differing views on Iran nuclear threat
- The Iranian Nuke Forgeries: CIA Determines Documents were Fabricated, Gareth Porter, CounterPunch, 29 December 2009.
- Rhetoric of War: First Iraq, then Iran?, Cyrus Safdari, Global Dialogue, Volume 8, No. 1–2, Winter-Spring 2006.
- Uzi Rubin: New Developments In Iran's Missile Capabilities, Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs
- Iran nuclear resources
- Annotated bibliography for the Iranian nuclear weapons program from the Alsos Digital Library for Nuclear Issues
- Articles with dead external links from October 2008
- Articles to be merged from December 2011
- Use dmy dates from March 2011
- Articles that may be too long from April 2010
- Nuclear program of Iran
- Economy of Iran
- Foreign relations of Iran
- Government of Iran
- Iran–United States relations
- Nuclear energy in Iran
- Politics of Iran
- Science and technology in Iran