2012 United States presidential election: Difference between revisions
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*[[Maricopa County Sheriff's Office|Sheriff]] '''[[Joe Arpaio]]''' of [[Arizona]]<ref>Alfano, Sean (September 9, 2010) |
*[[Maricopa County Sheriff's Office|Sheriff]] '''[[Joe Arpaio]]''' of [[Arizona]]<ref>Alfano, Sean (September 9, 2010) |
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[http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/2010/09/09/2010-09-09_sheriff_joe_arpaio_will_be_in_new_hampshire_fueling_speculation_he_will_seek_201.html "Sheriff Joe Arpaio will be in New Hampshire fueling speculation he will seek 2012 GOP nomination"], New York Daily News. Retrieved September 16, 2010.</ref><ref>D'Aprile, Shane (September 9, 2010) [http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/117847-sheriff-joe-arpaio-heads-to-new-hampshire-sparking-presidential-talk "Sheriff Joe Arpaio heads to New Hampshire sparking presidential talk"], The Hill. Retrieved September 16, 2010.</ref> |
[http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/2010/09/09/2010-09-09_sheriff_joe_arpaio_will_be_in_new_hampshire_fueling_speculation_he_will_seek_201.html "Sheriff Joe Arpaio will be in New Hampshire fueling speculation he will seek 2012 GOP nomination"], New York Daily News. Retrieved September 16, 2010.</ref><ref>D'Aprile, Shane (September 9, 2010) [http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/117847-sheriff-joe-arpaio-heads-to-new-hampshire-sparking-presidential-talk "Sheriff Joe Arpaio heads to New Hampshire sparking presidential talk"], The Hill. Retrieved September 16, 2010.</ref> |
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*[[U.S. Senator]] Elect '''[[Marco Rubio]]''' of [[[Florida]]] |
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*[[Governor of Mississippi|Governor]] '''[[Haley Barbour]]''' of [[Mississippi]]<ref>Leibovich, Mark (June 20, 2010) [http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/20/us/20barbour.html?ref=politics "G.O.P. Stalwart Says Come, the Gulf’s Fine"], New York Times. Retrieved June 21, 2010.</ref><ref>Vogel, Kenneth P. (June 24, 2010) [http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0610/38943.html "Haley Barbour's fundraising takes off"], Politico. Retrieved June 25, 2010.</ref><ref name=FOIA>{{cite web|url=http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/exclusive-democrats-pentagon-information-potential-obama-challengers/story?id=11985974|title=Exclusive: Democrats Ask Pentagon for Info on Potential Obama Challengers|author=Rick Klein|date=2010-10-27|publisher=ABC News}}</ref> |
*[[Governor of Mississippi|Governor]] '''[[Haley Barbour]]''' of [[Mississippi]]<ref>Leibovich, Mark (June 20, 2010) [http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/20/us/20barbour.html?ref=politics "G.O.P. Stalwart Says Come, the Gulf’s Fine"], New York Times. Retrieved June 21, 2010.</ref><ref>Vogel, Kenneth P. (June 24, 2010) [http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0610/38943.html "Haley Barbour's fundraising takes off"], Politico. Retrieved June 25, 2010.</ref><ref name=FOIA>{{cite web|url=http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/exclusive-democrats-pentagon-information-potential-obama-challengers/story?id=11985974|title=Exclusive: Democrats Ask Pentagon for Info on Potential Obama Challengers|author=Rick Klein|date=2010-10-27|publisher=ABC News}}</ref> |
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*Former [[U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations]] '''[[John R. Bolton|John Bolton]]''' of [[Maryland]]<ref>Mooney, Alexander (August 30, 2010) [http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/08/30/2012-watch-bolton-considering-a-presidential-run/ "2012 Watch: Bolton considering a presidential run?"], CNN Politics. Retrieved August 31, 2010.</ref><ref>Condon, Stephanie (August 30, 2010) [http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-20015090-503544.html "John Bolton Suggests He Could Consider 2012 Presidential Bid"], CBS News.com. Retrieved August 31, 2010.</ref> |
*Former [[U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations]] '''[[John R. Bolton|John Bolton]]''' of [[Maryland]]<ref>Mooney, Alexander (August 30, 2010) [http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/08/30/2012-watch-bolton-considering-a-presidential-run/ "2012 Watch: Bolton considering a presidential run?"], CNN Politics. Retrieved August 31, 2010.</ref><ref>Condon, Stephanie (August 30, 2010) [http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-20015090-503544.html "John Bolton Suggests He Could Consider 2012 Presidential Bid"], CBS News.com. Retrieved August 31, 2010.</ref> |
Revision as of 17:25, 4 November 2010
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File:Electors 2012 Polidata2009.svg One projection of the Electoral College map for the 2012, 2016, and 2020 elections. | |||
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The United States presidential election of 2012 is the next United States presidential election, to be held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012. It will be the 57th quadrennial presidential election in which presidential electors, who will actually elect the President and the Vice President of the United States on December 17, 2012, will be chosen. Democratic President Barack Obama will be eligible to run for a second and final term during this election.
The 2012 presidential election will coincide with the United States Senate elections where 33 races will be occurring as well as the United States House of Representatives elections to elect the members for the 113th Congress. The election will also encompass eleven gubernatorial races as well as many state legislature races.
Electoral College changes
The 2010 Census will ultimately decide how the electoral map will be laid out for the 2012 election, but population projections based upon Census updates give an estimate of how the Electoral College vote apportionment will change. The Census occurs every ten years and is the basis for electoral vote reapportionment based on relative state population changes. According to a study based on the 2009 population estimates, the likely changes are as follows.[1]
Safe Democratic States (Democratic 2000, 2004, 2008)
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Safe Republican States (Republican 2000, 2004, 2008)
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Swing States
|
States in green represent states that are predicted to gain votes, due to reapportionment based on the most recent Census. States in maroon represent states that are predicted to lose votes. This would give the Democratic Party a net loss of six electoral votes in safe states, for a national total of 251; the Republican Party a net gain of six electoral votes in safe states, for a national total of 179; and swing states no net change, for a national total of 108.
Party conventions
- August 27–30, 2012: 2012 Republican National Convention to be held in Tampa, Florida.[2][3]
- September 3–6, 2012: 2012 Democratic National Convention to be held.[4] Location TBD. The Democratic National Committee has selected Charlotte,[5] Cleveland,[6] Minneapolis[7] and St. Louis[8] as the finalist cities for hosting the event.[9][10]
Declared candidates
The following are individuals who have either formally announced that they are running for president in 2012 and have filed as a candidate with the Federal Election Commission (FEC), or have formed an exploratory committee for a possible presidential run in 2012.
Republican Party
- Jon Greenspon, businessman of Montana, has filed as a Republican presidential candidate with the FEC.[11][12][13]
- Fred Karger, political consultant and gay activist of California, has formed an exploratory committee for a 2012 run for the Republican presidential nomination.[12][14][15][16]
Libertarian Party
- Former Libertarian National Committee Vice-Chair and the editor and co-founder of Liberty for All online magazine R. Lee Wrights of Texas formed an exploratory committee on July 4, 2010.[17][18][19]
Independents
- Former journalist, author, and perennial independent candidate Joe Schriner of Ohio[24][25]
Prospective candidates
The following are individuals who are or have been the subject of speculation in prominent media sources as being possible presidential contenders in the 2012 election. The speculation may stem from noted media analysts and commentators, or from actions or comments made by the individuals themselves—which suggest the possibility of a presidential run—as reported in reliable media sources.
Democratic
- President Barack Obama is eligible for a second term. Since the 22nd Amendment went into effect for the 1956 election, every incumbent President eligible for re-election has been nominated by his party, with the exception of Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968. The most recent credible primary challenge to a sitting Democratic President came from Senator Ted Kennedy against President Jimmy Carter during the 1980 United States presidential election. Responding to speculation that he might run against President Obama in the 2012 Democratic presidential primaries, Congressman Dennis Kucinich stated in August 2010 that he would not do so.[26]
Republican
None of the following has formally announced his or her candidacy for the Republican Party nomination. The following individuals are currently speculated about as possible candidates. It is common for popular individuals to wait to announce their candidacies until later in the election cycle.
- Sheriff Joe Arpaio of Arizona[27][28]
- U.S. Senator Elect Marco Rubio of [[[Florida]]]
- Governor Haley Barbour of Mississippi[29][30][31]
- Former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations John Bolton of Maryland[32][33]
- Former Governor Jeb Bush of Florida[34][35]
- Businessman and radio talk show host Herman Cain of Georgia[36][37]
- Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey[38][39]
- Senator John Cornyn of Texas[40][41]
- Governor Mitch Daniels of Indiana [31][42][43][44]
- Senator Jim DeMint of South Carolina[45][46]
- Former Speaker of the House of Representatives Newt Gingrich of Georgia[31][47][48]
- Former Governor Mike Huckabee of Arkansas[31][49][50]
- Governor Bobby Jindal of Louisiana[31][51][52][53][54]
- Former Governor Gary Johnson of New Mexico[55][56]
- Former Governor and 2008 vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin of Alaska[31][57][58]
- Representative Ron Paul of Texas [59][60] (Draft movement)
- Governor Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota[31][61][62]
- Representative Mike Pence of Indiana[63][64]
- Governor Rick Perry of Texas[65][66]
- Former Governor Mitt Romney of Massachusetts[31][67][68]
- Representative Paul Ryan of Wisconsin[69]
- Former Senator Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania[70][71]
- Senator John Thune of South Dakota[31][72][73]
- Businessman Donald Trump of New York[74][75]
Constitution Party
No one has formally announced his or her candidacy for the Constitution Party nomination.
Green Party
- Musician and Green Party activist Jello Biafra of California[76][77]
Libertarian
- Entrepreneur and 2008 Libertarian Party vice-presidential nominee Wayne Allyn Root of Nevada[78][79]
Independent
- Mayor Michael Bloomberg of New York[80][81] (Draft movement)
- Television journalist and commentator Lou Dobbs of New Jersey[82][83]
- Attorney, consumer advocate, and perennial presidential candidate Ralph Nader of Connecticut[84][85]
See also
- Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012
- Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012
References
- ^ "New population estimates show slight changes for 2010 Congressional apportionment, with a number of states sitting close to the edge" (PDF). Kimball W Brace. 2010-09-26. Retrieved 2010-10-10.
- ^ Barr, Andy, and Mike Allen (May 12, 2010) "Republicans pick Tampa for 2012 convention", Politico. Retrieved May 13, 2010.
- ^ Lush, Tamara (May 12, 2010) "Tampa wins bid to host 2012 GOP convention", The Associated Press. Retrieved May 13, 2010.
- ^ Smith, Ben (April 5, 2010) "DNC 2012: Mark your calendars", Politico. Retrieved April 13, 2010.
- ^ (December 2, 2009) "Blue city. Blue state. Blue convention?", News & Observer. Retrieved December 2, 2009.
- ^ (July 1, 2010) "Democrats name Cleveland a finalist", Akron Beacon Journal. Retrieved July 1, 2010.
- ^ Kessler, Pat; Brown, Heather (May 22, 2010) "Minneapolis Bids For DNC In 2012", WCCO-TV. Retrieved May 24, 2010.
- ^ Tritto, Christopher (April 16, 2010) "St. Louis City makes play for DNC convention", St. Louis Business Journal. Retrieved April 16, 2010.
- ^ Zeleny, Jeff (July 1, 2010) "Four Cities Vie for 2012 Democratic Convention", The New York Times. Retrieved July 1, 2010.
- ^ Hamby, Peter (July 1, 2010) "DNC names four cities as finalists to host 2012 convention", CNN.com. Retrieved July 1, 2010.
- ^ Boivin, Simon (July 5, 2010) "Olympics 2022: already competition for Quebec" (Section:"Big ambitions"), Cyberpresse. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ a b Lowery, Jarrod (November 2, 2010) "Get ready for the next one", Indiana Daily Student. Retrieved November 3, 2010.
- ^ Official FEC Disclosure Report: Jon Adam Greenspon, Fec.gov. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ Good, Chris (August 11, 2010) "Fred Karger: The Gay-Rights Bogeyman of the GOP Presidential Race", The Atlantic. Retrieved August 12, 2010.
- ^ Walters, Dan (November 1, 2010) "Fred Karger sets sights on presidential run", The Sacremento Bee. Retrieved November 2, 2010.
- ^ Clayworth, Jason. "Iowa Politics Insider: Corndogs, Culver and Karger" Des Moines Register August 11, 2010
- ^ Liberarian Candidates, The Green Papers. Retieved September 10, 2010.
- ^ (July 3, 2010) "Wrights forms presidential exploratory committee", Rational Review. Retrieved September 10, 2010.
- ^ (July 4, 2010) "Wrights forms presidential exploratory committee", Independent Political Report. Retrieved September 10, 2010.
- ^ (October 6, 2010) "NYC's Naked Cowboy suits up for presidential run", Associated Press. Retrieved on October 6, 2010.
- ^ Bayer, Casey (October 6, 2010) "Naked Cowboy for president: Top celebrities (past and present) who aimed for the White House", Christian Science Monitor. Retrieved October 7, 2010.
- ^ (October 6, 2010) ;"Naked Cowboy briefs NYers on his presidential bid", The Washington Post. Retrieved on October 7, 2010.
- ^ Shahid, Aliyah (October 7, 2010) "Naked Cowboy, Times Square staple, to run for President in 2012 as Tea Party candidate", New York Daily News. Retrieved October 7, 2010.
- ^ Feather, Carl E. (January 14, 2009) "In the 2008 presidential campaign, it was Joe the Plumber. In 2012, it’s going to be Joe the Painter", The Star Beacon. Retrieved February 23, 2010.
- ^ Place, Rich (August 14, 2009) "Not Your ‘Average Joe’", The Post-Journal. Retrieved February 23, 2010.
- ^ Stephanopoulos, George (August 10, 2010) "Rep. Kucinich Won't Challenge Obama in Primary", ABC News. Retrieved August 10, 2010.
- ^ Alfano, Sean (September 9, 2010) "Sheriff Joe Arpaio will be in New Hampshire fueling speculation he will seek 2012 GOP nomination", New York Daily News. Retrieved September 16, 2010.
- ^ D'Aprile, Shane (September 9, 2010) "Sheriff Joe Arpaio heads to New Hampshire sparking presidential talk", The Hill. Retrieved September 16, 2010.
- ^ Leibovich, Mark (June 20, 2010) "G.O.P. Stalwart Says Come, the Gulf’s Fine", New York Times. Retrieved June 21, 2010.
- ^ Vogel, Kenneth P. (June 24, 2010) "Haley Barbour's fundraising takes off", Politico. Retrieved June 25, 2010.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Rick Klein (2010-10-27). "Exclusive: Democrats Ask Pentagon for Info on Potential Obama Challengers". ABC News.
- ^ Mooney, Alexander (August 30, 2010) "2012 Watch: Bolton considering a presidential run?", CNN Politics. Retrieved August 31, 2010.
- ^ Condon, Stephanie (August 30, 2010) "John Bolton Suggests He Could Consider 2012 Presidential Bid", CBS News.com. Retrieved August 31, 2010.
- ^ Gormley, Michael (June 2, 2010) "Jeb Bush preaches capitalism for GOP revival", Miami Herald. Retrieved June 9, 2010.
- ^ Bai, Matt (June 22, 2010) "For Jeb Bush, Life Defending the Family Name", The New York Times. Retrieved June 25, 2010.
- ^ Blake, Aaron (April 10, 2010) "Black Republican radio host suggests he will run for president", The Hill. Retrieved July 12, 2010.
- ^ Lewis, Matt (July 12, 2010) "Herman Cain: Possible 'Dark Horse' 2012 GOP Presidential Candidate", Politics Daily. Retrieved July 12, 2010.
- ^ (April 26, 2010)"Chris Christie for President?", The Washington Post. Retrieved July 11, 2010.
- ^ (May 27, 2010)"Christie for President", The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved July 11, 2010.
- ^ Moe, Alexandra; Monatanaro, Domenico (October 6, 2010) "For 2012, An Uncertain GOP Field", MSNBC.com. Retrieved October 8, 2010.
- ^ Bolton, Alexander (October 7, 2010) "Big Senate gains could put Cornyn in the 2012 White House mix", The Hill. Retrieved October 8, 2010.
- ^ Groppe, Maureen (June 15, 2010) "Daniels key critic of health care plan, may be eyeing presidential run", Louisville Courier-Journal. Retrieved June 16, 2010.
- ^ (June 20, 2010) "Ind.'s Daniels urged to run in 2012", UPI. Retrieved June 21, 2010.
- ^ Weidenbener, Lesley Stedman (July 4, 2010) "Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels mulls a run for president - sort of", The Courier-Journal. Retrieved July 12, 2010.
- ^ Bedard, Paul (September 10, 2010) "At Least 17 Republicans in 2012 Presidential Election Field", U.S. News & World Report. Retrieved September 13, 2010.
- ^ Blake, Aaron (September 13, 2010) "Daily Fix Poll: Jim DeMint, 2012 contender?", The Washington Post. Retrieved September 13, 2010.
- ^ Hamby, Peter (April 23, 2010) "Gingrich to help Iowa GOP raise money", CNN.com. Retrieved April 23, 2010.
- ^ Mark, David (May 21, 2010) "Gingrich Newt-ered for 2012?", Politico. Retrieved May 21, 2010.
- ^ Douthat, Ross (June 21, 2010) "The Secret Frontrunner", New York Times. Retrieved June 22, 2010.
- ^ Cillizza, Chris (June 28, 2010) "Could Mike Huckabee be the 2012 presidential nominee?", The Washington Post. Retrieved June 29, 2010.
- ^ "Oil Spill Could Turn Political Fortunes for Gulf Coast Politicians". Fox News. July 28, 2010. Retrieved August 30, 2010.
- ^ Sean J. Miller (August 23, 2010). "Gov. Jindal's book to be released in November". The Hill. Retrieved August 30, 2010.
- ^ Jeremy P. Jacobs (August 16, 2010). "Don't Cross Jindal Off The 2012 GOP Ticket Yet". National Journal. Retrieved August 30, 2010.
- ^ Olympia Meola (August 12, 2010). "National Governors Association to meet in Williamsburg in 2012". Richmond Times-Dispatch. Retrieved August 30, 2010.
- ^ Boerema, Jurgen (February 15, 2010) "Former N.M Gov. Johnson deflects question on 2012 bid", The Hill. Retrieved February 17, 2010.
- ^ Stanage, Niall (May 5, 2010) "The most interesting Republican you've never heard of", Salon.com. Retrieved May 25, 2010.
- ^ (April 15, 2010) "Mitt Romney-Sarah Palin in 2012? You betcha!", Boston Herald. Retrieved April 15, 2010.
- ^ Patton, Doug (June 15, 2010) "Sarah Will Have Many Markers to Call in for 2012", Canada Free Press. Retrieved June 15, 2010.
- ^ (April 15, 2010) "Rasmussen: Ron Paul Polls Even With Obama for 2012", Newsmax. Retrieved April 16, 2010.
- ^ Pappas, Alex (June 21, 2010)"Ron Paul says GOP will be more open to libertarian-minded nominee in 2012", The Daily Caller. Retrieved June 21, 2010.
- ^ (June 16, 2010) "Governor Tim Pawlenty Starts PACs in Iowa, New Hampshire, Builds for 2012", Life News. Retrieved June 30, 2010.
- ^ "Tim Pawlenty, Possible GOP 2012 Prospect, Sets up PACs in Iowa and New Hampshire". politicsdaily.com. 2010-06-16. Retrieved 2010-06-30.
- ^ Memoli, Michael A. (September 18, 2010) "Pence edges out Huckabee, Romney in conservatives' straw poll for president", The Los Angeles Times. Retrieved September 20, 2010.
- ^ Hinton, Paula (September 20, 2010) "Pence For President?", Indiana's News Center. Retrieved September 20, 2010.
- ^ Dowd, Matthew (October 9, 2010) "Lone Star Rising, Again: Don't be surprised if Texas Gov. Rick Perry is the GOP's 2012 nominee", National Journal. Retrieved October 14, 2010.
- ^ Root, Jay (October 9, 2010) "Perry, gun-toting conservative, is confident" Dallas Morning News. Retrieved October 14, 2010.
- ^ Wagner, John (June 10, 2010) "Romney headlining Md. GOP fundraising dinner", The Washington Post. Retrieved June 10, 2010.
- ^ Bennet, George "Florida 2012 groundwork? Romney endorses McCollum, 13 other GOPers", The Palm Beach Post. Retrieved June 16, 2010.
- ^ Ward, Jon (July 27, 2010). "Paul Ryan says he's trying to provide leadership for 'decentralized' GOP". Daily Caller.
- ^ Preston, Mark (June 15, 2010) "Potential 2012 Republican candidate headed to Iowa", CNN. Retrieved June 21, 2010.
- ^ (June 19, 2010) "Sunday pops", Pittsburgh Tribune-Review. Retrieved June 21, 2010.
- ^ Goldman, LeRoy (May 27, 2010) "Thune is the one to watch in GOP", The Asheville Citizen Times. Retrieved June 3, 2010.
- ^ Drucker, David M. (June 21, 2010) "Thune’s Popularity Is About to Rise", Roll Call. Retrieved June 21, 2010.
- ^ Madison, Lucy (October 4, 2010) "Donald Trump for President in 2012?", CBS News. Retrieved October 4, 2010.
- ^ Zwick, Jesse (October 4, 2010) "Donald Trump for President?", The Washington Independent. Retrieved October 4, 2010.
- ^ Borges, Christine (October 8, 2010) "Five Reasons Jello Biafra Won't Rejoin the Dead Kennedys", Broward-Palm Beach New Times. Retrieved October 29, 2010.
- ^ McCutcheon, Jody (October 22, 2010) "In Defense Of... Jello Biafra", Chart. Retrieved October 29, 2010.
- ^ Mannies, Jo (May 30, 2010) "Libertarians vote to stay true to the past", St. Louis Beacon. Retrieved June 3, 2010.
- ^ Zaitchik, Alexander (June 22, 2010) "In Its Heterodox Media Star, an Identity Crisis for Libertarian Party", The Washington Independent. Retrieved June 28, 2010.
- ^ (June 8, 2010) "Will Bloomberg run for President? He is looking at the current Political Climate", The Huffington Post. Retrieved June 9, 2010.
- ^ ""Bloomberg says to lay off BP"". Politico.com. Retrieved 2010-06-13.
- ^ Mason, Julie (May 19, 2010) "Checking in....with Lou Dobbs", The Washington Examiner. Retrieved May 20, 2010.
- ^ Edgecliffe, Andrew (May 29, 2010) "Dobbs drops anchor in Tea Party waters", Financial Times. Retrieved June 1, 2010.
- ^ Weigel, David (June 21, 2010) "Ralph Nader not ruling out 2012 presidential bid", The Washington Post. Retrieved June 24, 2010.
- ^ Zimmermann, Eric (June 21, 2010) "Nader blasts Obama, won't rule out 2012 run", The Hill. Retrieved June 24, 2010.
External links
- Mytimetovote.com - Contains voting information by State including seats repartition, poll location, and voter registration.
Official candidate websites
- Republican Party
- Libertarian Party
- Independent