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2018 San Francisco mayoral special election

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San Francisco mayoral special election, 2018

← 2015 June 5, 2018 (2018-06-05) 2019 →
 
Candidate London Breed Mark Leno
Party Nonpartisan Nonpartisan
Popular vote 113,093 110,916
Percentage 50.5% 49.5%

Mayor before election

Mark Farrell
Nonpartisan

Elected Mayor

London Breed
Nonpartisan

On June 5, 2018, a special election was held for Mayor of the City and County of San Francisco. The winner of the election will serve until 2020, filling the unexpired term of Ed Lee, who was elected in 2011 and 2015, and died in office on December 12, 2017. Upon Lee's death, London Breed, the president of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors, became acting mayor, but a vote of six supervisors replaced Breed with Supervisor Mark Farrell. The mayoral election was held concurrently with the statewide direct primary election. In San Francisco, the election for District 8 Member of the Board of Supervisors was also on the ballot.

Eight candidates qualified for the ballot. The four major candidates were former Supervisor Angela Alioto, former acting mayor London Breed, Supervisor Jane Kim, and former state Senator Mark Leno.[1] All four main candidates identify as Democrats, though the position is officially nonpartisan per the California constitution.[2][3] Leno conceded the race to Breed on June 13.[4]

Background

Ed Lee, who was appointed Mayor of San Francisco in 2011 following Gavin Newsom's election as Lieutenant Governor of California, elected to a full term in 2011, and reelected in 2015, died of cardiac arrest on December 12, 2017.[5] London Breed, the President of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors, became the city's acting mayor.[6][7]

On January 23, 2018, the Board of Supervisors selected Mark Farrell to serve as interim mayor until the special election could be held. Citing Ron Conway's role as a benefactor to Breed, Supervisors Aaron Peskin and Jane Kim, considered the progressive members of the board, sought to deny Breed the benefits of incumbency going into the election.[8][9]

As San Francisco elections use ranked choice voting, Kim and Mark Leno chose to align with each other, each endorsing the other as their preferred second choice.[10]

Candidates

The filing deadline was 5 p.m. on January 9, 2018.[11]

Qualified

The following eight candidates qualified for the ballot by filing all nomination documents and paying the filing fee.[12] The deadline for a candidate to drop out of the race and remove himself or herself from the ballot was January 30, 2018.[13]

Declined

General election

Endorsements

Jane Kim
Organizations
Politicians
Mark Leno
Organizations
Politicians
London Breed
Organizations
Politicians

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
RCV
Choice
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Angela
Alioto
London
Breed
Richie
Greenberg
Jane
Kim
Mark
Leno
Other Undecided
Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates[48] April 20–23, 2018 First 600 ± 3.0% 8% 28% 6% 17% 21%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research[49] March 28 – April 3, 2018 First 610 ± 4.0% 6% 27% 17% 29% 9%
Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates[50] February 22–28, 2018 First 462 ± 4.6% 8% 29% 26% 19%
KPIX-TV/Survey USA[51] January 13–14, 2018 First 717 ± 4.3% 9% 19% 13% 22%
SurveyUSA (with RCV) January 10–14, 2018 First 462 ± 4.6% 9% 19% 4% 14% 22% 6%[52] 22%
Second 385 ± 5.1% 16% 19% 6% 10% 25% 7%[53] 16%
Third 306 ± 5.7% 13% 12% 9% 16% 15% 8%[54] 26%
Public Policy Polling[55] December 18–19, 2017 First 627 ± 4.0% 20% 5% 26% 26%[56] 23%[57]

Results

First-place votes counted on election night had Breed leading with 35.6 percent, Leno in second with 25.9 percent, and Kim with 22.8 percent. As candidates began to be eliminated, Leno took the lead the next day.[58] He maintained a small lead during the week.[59] On June 9, Breed took the lead over Leno.[60][61] On June 13, with only 8,000 ballots left to count,[62] Leno conceded defeat and congratulated Breed on her victory.[63]

Party Candidate Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5 Round 6 Round 7 Round 8 Round 9
Votes % Votes % Votes % Transfer Votes % Transfer Votes % Transfer Votes % Transfer Votes % Transfer Votes % Transfer Votes % Transfer
style="background-color:Template:No party preference/meta/color" | Nonpartisan London Breed 89,770 36.6 89,770 36.6 89,770 36.6 +114 89,884 36.7 +190 90,074 36.8 +1,150 91,224 37.6 +2,742 93,966 39.2 +6,244 100,210 43.2 +12,883 113,093 50.5 0
style="background-color:Template:No party preference/meta/color" | Nonpartisan Mark Leno 60,355 24.6 60,355 24.6 60,355 24.6 +112 60,467 24.7 +339 60,806 24.9 +966 61,772 25.5 +1,251 63,023 26.3 +4,501 67,524 29.1 +43,392 110,916 49.5 0
style="background-color:Template:No party preference/meta/color" | Nonpartisan Jane Kim 58,891 24.0 58,891 24.0 58,891 24.0 +85 58,976 24.0 +582 59,558 24.3 +413 59,971 24.7 +1,398 61,369 25.6 +2,716 64,085 27.6 -64,085
style="background-color:Template:No party preference/meta/color" | Nonpartisan Angela Alioto 17,153 7.0 17,153 7.0 17,153 7.0 +176 17,329 7.1 +184 17,513 7.2 +1,674 19,187 7.9 +2,308 21,495 9.0 -21,495
style="background-color:Template:No party preference/meta/color" | Nonpartisan Ellen Lee Zhou 9,385 3.8 9,385 3.8 9,385 3.8 +106 9,491 3.9 +140 9,631 3.9 +799 10,430 4.3 -10,430
style="background-color:Template:No party preference/meta/color" | Nonpartisan Richie Greenberg 6,932 2.8 6,932 2.8 6,932 2.8 +73 7,005 2.9 +114 7,119 2.9 -7,119
style="background-color:Template:No party preference/meta/color" | Nonpartisan Amy Farah Weiss 1,632 0.7 1,632 0.7 1632 0.7 +56 1,688 0.7 -1,688
style="background-color:Template:No party preference/meta/color" | Nonpartisan Michelle Bravo 859 0.4 859 0.4 859 0.4 -859
style="background-color:Template:Write-in candidate/meta/color" | Nonpartisan Antoine Roger (Write-in) 0 0
style="background-color:Template:Write-in candidate/meta/color" | Nonpartisan Write-ins

References

  1. ^ 8 qualify for San Francisco mayor's race in June, Associated Press (January 9, 2018)
  2. ^ Fuller, Thomas (May 30, 2018). "San Francisco's Homeless Crisis Tests Mayoral Candidates' Liberal Ideals". New York Times. Retrieved June 12, 2018.
  3. ^ "No Party Preference Information | California Secretary of State". California Secretary of State. Retrieved June 12, 2018.
  4. ^ Fracassa, Dominic (June 13, 2018). "Mark Leno concedes SF mayor's race to London Breed". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved June 13, 2018.
  5. ^ Swan, Rachel; Sernoffsky, Evan (December 12, 2017). "San Francisco Mayor Ed Lee dead at 65". San Francisco Chronicle. Archived from the original on December 12, 2017. Retrieved December 12, 2017. {{cite news}}: Unknown parameter |deadurl= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  6. ^ Bulwa, Demian. "San Francisco Mayor Ed Lee dead at 65". SFGate. Retrieved December 12, 2017.
  7. ^ "Rules dictate how SF's next mayor may be chosen and how long they may serve". San Francisco Chronicle. December 12, 2017. Retrieved December 12, 2017.
  8. ^ Shafer, Scott (January 23, 2018). "Political Uproar as Mark Farrell Replaces London Breed as S.F. Mayor". KQED.
  9. ^ Fagone, Jason (January 28, 2018). "London Breed's sudden, short term as SF's acting mayor". San Francisco Chronicle.
  10. ^ Melendez, Lyanne (May 10, 2018). "San Francisco mayoral candidates form alliance in odd turn". abc7news.com. Retrieved June 13, 2018.
  11. ^ a b Phil Matier and Andy Ross, Curtain rises on SF's next drama, and the star is London Breed, San Francisco Chronicle (December 17, 2017).
  12. ^ a b c d e f g h Potential Candidates List - June 5, 2018 Election, City and County of San Francisco Department of Elections.
  13. ^ a b Janie Har, San Francisco mayor's race draws big names, crowded field, Associated Press (January 9, 2018).
  14. ^ Joe Fitzgerald Rodriguez, Political veteran Angela Alioto pulls papers to run for SF mayor, San Francisco Examiner (December 18, 2017).
  15. ^ [1], KTVUFOX2 (April 23, 2018).
  16. ^ Julie LIttman,[2],Bisnow(May 15, 2018) .
  17. ^ Dominic Fracassa and Rachel Swan, London Breed says she’s in the race for SF mayor, San Francisco Chronicle (January 5, 2018).
  18. ^ a b c d Dominic Fracassa, Supervisors Breed and Kim in race for SF mayor for real now; Herrera out (January 9, 2018).
  19. ^ Ida Mojadad, Jane Kim Announces Run for Mayor, SF Weekly (December 20, 2017).
  20. ^ a b Rachel Swan, Mark Leno first major candidate to enter 2018 mayor's race, San Francisco Chronicle (December 15, 2017).
  21. ^ a b Rachel Swan, David Chiu and Carmen Chu both out of race for SF mayor, San Francisco Chronicle.
  22. ^ Joshua Sabatini, Assessor-Recorder Carmen Chu decides not to run for SF mayor, San Francisco Examiner (January 8, 2018).
  23. ^ Joshua Sabatini, Supervisor Mark Farrell announces he will not run for SF mayor, San Francisco Examiner (December 21, 2017).
  24. ^ Rachel Swan, SF City Attorney Dennis Herrera signals intention to run for mayor in June, San Francisco Chronicle (January 3, 2017).
  25. ^ Joe Eskenazi, SF police union endorsement of Angela Alioto is crazy, but it also makes sense, Mission Local (April 3, 2018).
  26. ^ San Francisco Republican Party, Endorsements - SF Republican Party , SF GOP Website
  27. ^ San Francisco Log Cabin Republicans LGBT, California Elections - SF Log Cabin Republicans , SF LCR Website
  28. ^ Small Property Owners of San Francisco, SPOSF Endorsements for Mayor , SPOSF Website
  29. ^ "Our Revolution Endorses Jane Kim for Mayor of San Francisco". Our Revolution.
  30. ^ The People for Bernie Sanders [@People4Bernie] (January 10, 2018). "Jane Kim has been on the front lines in struggle with the 99% for the entire time she has been activist and elected official. We love her" (Tweet). Retrieved January 10, 2018 – via Twitter.
  31. ^ Roberts, Chris (February 27, 2018). "YIMBY-er than thou: Picking the San Francisco mayoral candidates on housing". Curbed SF. Vox Media.
  32. ^ Rodriguez, Joe Fitzgerald (January 31, 2018). "New campaign committee backing London Breed in mayor's race won't accept Ron Conway money". San Francisco Examiner.
  33. ^ a b "Our Endorsements: SF's June 5, 2018 Elections - San Francisco Bicycle Coalition". San Francisco Bicycle Coalition.
  34. ^ a b "Endorsements for June 5, 2018". Harvey Milk LGBTQ Democratic Club.
  35. ^ a b Dominic Fracassa & Rachel Swan, SF mayoral candidate Breed rips rivals Leno, Alioto for being "nasty", San Francisco Chronicle (March 29, 2018).
  36. ^ a b "Hear Why SFDSA Endorses #1 Jane Kim for Mayor & Mark Leno #2 - San Francisco Deputy Sheriffs' Association". San Francisco Deputy Sheriffs' Association. May 9, 2018.
  37. ^ "PORAC - Peace Officers Research Association of California". PORAC.
  38. ^ a b c Redmond, Tim. "Campaign trail: Kim gets progressive endorsements, Breed wants Tasers". 48hills. San Francisco Progressive Media Center.
  39. ^ Joe Fitzgerald Rodriguez, Historic San Francisco LGBT group takes a pass on endorsing gay-marriage trailblazer Gavin Newsom, San Francisco Examiner (March 17, 2018).
  40. ^ a b c d Matthew S. Bajko, Political Notebook: Leno secures LGBT backing in SF mayor's race, Bay Area Reporter (March 8, 2018).
  41. ^ a b Dominic Fracassa, In SF mayor’s race, Breed gets Wiener's endorsement, but Leno has it too, San Francisco Chronicle (April 2, 2018).
  42. ^ a b c d Swan, Rachel (December 14, 2017). "Concerns raised over Breed serving as both SF mayor, supervisor". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved January 4, 2018.
  43. ^ Nuala Sawyer, Breed Wins Firefighter Union's Support For Mayoral Run, SF Weekly (February 19, 2018).
  44. ^ Chronicle Editorial Board, Editorial: Chronicle Recommends: London Breed for San Francisco Mayor, San Francisco Chronicle (April 12, 2018).
  45. ^ "Endorsements - YIMBY Action". yimbyaction.org. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  46. ^ Laura Waxmann, California Assemblymember David Chiu endorses London Breed for mayor, San Francisco Examiner (March 10, 2018).
  47. ^ Joe Fitzgerald Rodriguez, Angela Alioto parts ways with mayoral campaign consultants, San Francisco Examiner (March 8, 2018).
  48. ^ "SF Mayor Farrell could get to stay in office for a few extra weeks". San Francisco Chronicle. May 6, 2018. Retrieved May 6, 2018.
  49. ^ "Ranked-choice voting could come into play in SF mayor's race". San Francisco Chronicle. April 15, 2018. Retrieved April 22, 2018.
  50. ^ "Jane Kim surging in SF mayor's race while Mark Leno fades, new poll shows". San Francisco Chronicle. March 11, 2018. Retrieved March 11, 2018.
  51. ^ Matier & Ross, Labor looking for a front-runner in SF mayor's race, San Francisco Chronicle (January 16, 2018).
  52. ^ First: Michelle Bravo, Amy Farah Weiss, and Ellen Lee Zhou with 2%
  53. ^ Second: Amy Farah Weiss 4%, Ellen Lee Zhou 2%, Michelle Bravo 1%
  54. ^ Third: Amy Farah Weiss 4%, Michelle Bravo 3%, Ellen Lee Zhou 1%
  55. ^ Matier, Phil; Ross, Andy (January 2, 2018). "Leno, Breed top the field in first poll of SF mayoral election". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved January 4, 2018.
  56. ^ First: David Chiu* 11%, Dennis Herrera* 10%, Carmen Chu* 5%. *Hypothetical candidate.
  57. ^ Other/Undecided 23%
  58. ^ "SF mayor's race: Ranked choice puts Mark Leno in lead over London Breed". San Francisco Chronicle.
  59. ^ "SF mayor's race: Mark Leno retains slight lead over London Breed — 144 votes". San Francisco Chronicle.
  60. ^ "As Breed regains slim lead, mayoral cliffhanger echoes Oakland's 2010 race". San Francisco Chronicle.
  61. ^ "June 5, 2018 Election Results - Detailed Reports". San Francisco Department of Elections.
  62. ^ Melendez, Lyanne. "Mark Leno concedes after close San Francisco mayor's race". abc7news.com. Retrieved June 13, 2018.
  63. ^ Name (required) (June 13, 2018). "Sources: Mark Leno To Concede In San Francisco Mayor's Race « CBS San Francisco". Sanfrancisco.cbslocal.com. Retrieved June 13, 2018.

External links