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2018 United States Senate election in Tennessee

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United States Senate election in Tennessee, 2018
← 2012 November 6, 2018 2024 →
 
Nominee Marsha Blackburn Phil Bredesen
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

Bob Corker
Republican



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Government

The 2018 United States Senate election in Tennessee will take place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Tennessee, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. The primary elections were won by Democrat Phil Bredesen and Republican Marsha Blackburn. [1]

Incumbent Republican Senator Bob Corker announced on September 26, 2017 that he would not seek reelection.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Aaron Pettigrew, truck driver[4]

Withdrawn

Declined

Speculation surrounding Senator Corker

Without incumbent Senator Corker running, it is widely believed that the Republican Party will have a much harder time keeping the seat. Many called on Corker to reverse his decision and rejoin the race. Former U.S. Representative Fincher dropped out of the race, calling on Corker to jump back in and challenge U.S. Representative Blackburn for the GOP nomination. Fincher said in a statement that the GOP should unite “behind a candidate who can win” the general election, implying Blackburn wouldn’t be able to beat former Governor Bredesen. Blackburn said that she would remain in the race even if Corker reversed his decision. Amid this speculation about Corker and his decision, many of Tennessee’s Republican politicians, including many in the Tennessee General Assembly, reiterated their support for Blackburn.[22] Corker’s chief of staff announced on February 27, 2018, that Corker would stick with his plan to retire.[23]

Endorsements

Marsha Blackburn
Federal officials
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U.S. Representatives
Governors
Local and statewide politicians
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers

Polling

Results

Republican primary results[48]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Marsha Blackburn 612,954 84.48
Republican Aaron Pettigrew 112,587 15.52
Total votes 725,541 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

  • James Mackler, attorney and veteran[50]
  • Bill Bailey, teaching assistant and retired UPS trailer mechanic[51]

Declined

Endorsements

Phil Bredesen
Federal officials
U.S. Senators
Individual
  • James Mackler, former candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and veteran[66]
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers

Results

Democratic primary results[70]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Phil Bredesen 348,302 91.50
Democratic Gary Davis 20,118 5.29
Democratic John Wolfe Jr. 12,232 3.21
Total votes 380,652 100.0

Independents

  • Dean Hill, US Army Veteran, Ex-Government, Business Owner, Realtor

Candidates

Potential

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[72] Tossup July 27, 2018
Inside Elections[73] Lean R July 6, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[74] Lean R May 9, 2018
Fox News[75] Tossup July 9, 2018
CNN[76] Lean R July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[77] Tossup April 19, 2018

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Marsha
Blackburn (R) 		Phil
Bredesen (D) 		Other Undecided
Emerson College July 11–14, 2018 657 ± 4.1% 37% 43% 5% 17%
Public Policy Polling (D-Duty and Country PAC) July 10–11, 2018 583 ± 4.1% 41% 44% – 15%
WPA Intelligence (R-CDP PAC) July 9–11, 2018 551 ± 4.2% 38% 35% – 11%
SurveyMonkey/Axios June 11 – July 2, 2018 1,010 ± 4.5% 55% 41% – 4%
Public Policy Polling (D-Health Care Voter) April 30 – May 1, 2018 609 ± 4.0% 43% 46% – –
SurveyMonkey/Axios April 2–23, 2018 1,638 ± 4.0% 47% 48% – 5%
Mason-Dixon April 17–19, 2018 625 ± 4.0% 43% 46% – 11%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Bredesen) April 9–11, 2018 601 ± 4.0% 41% 51% – 8%
Middle Tennessee State University March 22–29, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 35% 45% – 17%
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) March 15–16, 2018 1,014 ± 3.1% 41% 46% – 13%
WPA Intelligence (R-CDP PAC) February 13–15, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 44% 39% – 17%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) January 26–29, 2018 – – 45% 47% – 8%
Triton Research & Polling (R) January 21–24, 2018 1,003 ± 3.1% 51% 40% – 10%
WPA Intelligence (R-CDP PAC) December 13–14 and 17, 2017 500 ± 4.4% 43% 34% – 23%
Gravis Marketing December 11–12, 2017 563 ± 4.1% 40% 42% – 18%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-DSCC) October 20–22, 2017 601 ± 4.1% 41% 46% – 13%

Results

General Election
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Marsha Blackburn
Democratic Phil Bredesen
none Dean Hill
none Write-Ins
Total votes

References

  1. ^ https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/08/02/us/elections/results-tennessee-primary-elections.html
  2. ^ Collins, Michael (September 26, 2017). "Sen. Bob Corker will not seek re-election next year". The Tennessean. Retrieved September 26, 2017.
  3. ^ Robillard, Kevin (October 5, 2017). "Blackburn enters Tennessee Senate race, as Haslam passes". Politico. Retrieved October 5, 2017.
  4. ^ a b c Ebert, Joel (April 6, 2018). "See who's running for statewide, federal and legislative offices in Tennessee in 2018". The Tennessean. Retrieved 16 May 2018.
  5. ^ Collins, Michael (February 27, 2018). "With Bob Corker out of the running, Tennessee Senate race now shifts focus to general election". The Tennessean. Retrieved March 14, 2018.
  6. ^ Poe, Ryan (November 1, 2017). "Former Memphis Dr. Rolando Toyos enters race for Corker's Senate seat". The Commercial Appeal. Retrieved November 2, 2017.
  7. ^ "Larry Crim Announces U.S. Senate 2018 Race For Seat Held By Corker". The Chattanoogan. November 10, 2016.
  8. ^ McReynolds, Lindsay (March 26, 2017). "U.S. Senate candidate to rally for Trump today". Herald-Citizen. Retrieved March 26, 2017.
  9. ^ Ebert, Joel; Boucher, Dave (September 14, 2017). "Conservative activist Andy Ogles launches U.S. Senate bid for seat held by Bob Corker". The Tennessean. Retrieved September 14, 2017.
  10. ^ Garrison, Joey (November 15, 2017). "Republican Andy Ogles drops out of US Senate race in Tennessee". The Tennessean. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
  11. ^ "Fincher halts U.S. Senate bid, encourages Bob Corker to seek re-election". The Tennessean. Retrieved 2018-02-16.
  12. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Ebert, Joel; Garrison, Joey (September 26, 2017). "Who will jump in race to replace U.S. Sen. Bob Corker? Intrigue starts with Haslam, Blackburn". The Tennessean. Retrieved September 26, 2017.
  13. ^ Whetstone, Tyler (May 8, 2017). "Tim Burchett will run for office, which one is anyone's guess". Knoxville News Sentinel. Retrieved June 3, 2017.
  14. ^ Whetstone, Tyler (August 2, 2017). "Tim Burchett to run for Congress". Knoxville News Sentinel. Retrieved August 4, 2017.
  15. ^ Garrison, Joey (August 23, 2017). "Joe Carr considers Republican primary challenge against Sen. Bob Corker". The Tennessean. Retrieved August 23, 2017.
  16. ^ a b Sher, Andy (September 14, 2017). "As Corker weighs third Senate term, Green and Carr seriously consider challenges". Chattanooga Times Free Press. Retrieved September 14, 2017.
  17. ^ a b Sher, Andy (October 6, 2017). "With Blackburn in Senate race, some Tennessee Republicans staying away". Chattanooga Times Free Press. Retrieved October 7, 2017.
  18. ^ Ebert, Joel; Buie, Jordan (October 5, 2017). "State Sen. Mark Green to run for congressional seat U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn is vacating". The Tennessean. Retrieved October 5, 2017.
  19. ^ Ebert, Joel; Boucher, Dave (October 5, 2017). "Gov. Bill Haslam won't run for retiring U.S. Sen. Bob Corker's seat". The Tennessean. Retrieved October 5, 2017.
  20. ^ Perticone, Joe (September 26, 2017). "Tennessee congressman says Peyton Manning might be considering a run for Senate". Business Insider. Retrieved September 26, 2017.
  21. ^ Schelzig, Erik (September 27, 2017). "Peyton Manning rules out run for Corker's Senate seat". ABC News. Retrieved September 27, 2017.
  22. ^ "Stephen Fincher halts U.S. Senate bid, encourages Corker to seek re-election". The Tennessean. Retrieved 2018-03-08.
  23. ^ "Corker decides against reelection bid, sticks with retirement". POLITICO. Retrieved 2018-03-08.
  24. ^ ".@MarshaBlackburn is a wonderful woman who has always been there when we have needed her. Great on the Military, Border Security and Crime. Loves and works hard for the people of Tennessee. She has my full endorsement and I will be there to campaign with her!". Twitter.
  25. ^ Mike Pence. "PROUD to support our friend @VoteMarsha for US Senate representing Tennessee. Marsha Blackburn is a rock-ribbed conservative who has been a champion of President Trump's pro-jobs, pro-military, AMERICA FIRST agenda & will be critical ally in the Senate. She has our full support!". Twitter.
  26. ^ Lamar Alexander. "I have supported Marsha Blackburn as a candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives, and I support her again as a candidate for the United States Senate. She has served Tennesseans well. I look forward to working with her to make the Senate a more effective institution". Twitter.
  27. ^ Bob Corker. "Now that the Republican primary has essentially concluded, I am sending a contribution to Representative Marsha Blackburn's campaign and wish her well in her race for the U.S. Senate". Twitter.
  28. ^ Ebert, Joel (March 28, 2018). "Marsha Blackburn picks up Diane Black's support in U.S. Senate bid". The Tennessean.
  29. ^ http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/391591-scalise-throws-support-behind-black-blackburn-ahead-of-tennessee-primary
  30. ^ a b "Victor Ashe: Governor Bill Haslam, other big names boost Marsha Blackburn in Knox". Knoxville News Sentinel. May 14, 2018. Retrieved May 16, 2018.
  31. ^ Capps, Andrew (April 6, 2018). "Former Governor Sundquist endorses Blackburn in Senate race". Knoxville News Sentinel. Retrieved April 9, 2018.
  32. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q Ebert, Joel (February 21, 2018). "In U.S. Senate bid, Blackburn nets endorsements from 18 GOP state Senators". The Tennessean. Retrieved February 21, 2018.
  33. ^ Jack Johnson. "It's time for conservatives to rally behind @MarshaBlackburn so we can win the U.S. Senate race in November!". Twitter.
  34. ^ William Lamberth. "Now is the time for every Republican to rally behind a true conservative @MarshaBlackburn With our help, she can and will win this race in the fall. #StandWithMarsha". Twitter.
  35. ^ Randy McNally. "I've been consistently impressed by @VoteMarsha's dedication to fiscal conservatism. This dedication is needed now more than ever at the federal level. It is time for all @TNGOP to rally around @VoteMarsha for Senate". Twitter.
  36. ^ Jason Zachary. "Now is the time for Republicans from across TN to rally behind @VoteMarsha! She is the conservative leader we can count on to represent conservative principles in the @USSenate. #StandWithMarsha". Twitter.
  37. ^ Diamond and Silk. "We support @VoteMarsha for U.S. Senator representing Tennessee. She stands up for Americans, and she supports the @POTUS and his agenda. Vote Marsha Blackburn for U.S. Senator #MAGA". Twitter. {{cite news}}: line feed character in |title= at position 140 (help)
  38. ^ Bill Lee. "Brett Kavanaugh is an excellent pick for SCOTUS. He is a strong defender of the Constitution and he deserves a swift confirmation in the Senate. This is also a reminder on the importance of keeping conservatives in the Senate like @VoteMarsha to ensure confirmation". Twitter.
  39. ^ Tomi Lahren. "I'm with @MarshaBlackburn 🇺🇸". Twitter.
  40. ^ Alex Isenstadt (October 10, 2017). "Citizens United endorses Blackburn in Tennessee senate race". Politico. Retrieved October 10, 2017.
  41. ^ Stacy French. "Club for Growth PAC Endorses Congressman Marsha Blackburn for U.S. Senate". Club for Growth PAC. Retrieved October 13, 2017.
  42. ^ Matthew Boyle. "Pro-Trump Group 'Great America Alliance' Endorses Marsha Blackburn, Patrick Morrisey, Matt Rosendale for Senate". Breitbart. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  43. ^ "Maggie's List Announces 2018 National Endorsements Supporting 49 Women Candidates Running for US Congress and Statewide Executive Office". Maggie's List. May 2, 2018.
  44. ^ "Marsha Blackburn for U.S. Senate in Tennessee". Senate Conservatives Fund. December 1, 2017.
  45. ^ "Nat'l Pro-life Group Endorses Marsha Blackburn for Senate". Susan B. Anthony List. February 13, 2018.
  46. ^ Students For Trump. "We must elect @MarshaBlackburn to Senate in Tennessee. She is a terrific Congresswoman and she has our full support and endorsement!". Twitter.
  47. ^ Cooper, Clint (July 12, 2018). "Blackburn earns shot at Senate". Retrieved July 31, 2018.
  48. ^ "2018 Tennessee Election Results". Politico. 3 August 2018. Retrieved 4 August 2018.
  49. ^ "Former Democratic Gov. Phil Bredesen Running for Senate in Tennessee". Roll Call. December 7, 2017. Retrieved December 7, 2017.
  50. ^ "Democrat James Mackler drops out of Tennessee US Senate race". Tennessean. {{cite web}}: Cite has empty unknown parameter: |dead-url= (help)
  51. ^ Miller, Amy Beth (September 3, 2017). "Sevierville's Bill Bailey aiming for Corker's U.S. Senate seat". The Daily Times. Retrieved September 4, 2017.
  52. ^ Sher, Andy (December 7, 2017). "Berke tweets support for Bredesen in Senate race". Times Free Press. Retrieved December 7, 2017.
  53. ^ Garrison, Joey (September 27, 2015). "Is Karl Dean's next move a run for governor?". The Tennessean. Retrieved November 22, 2016.
  54. ^ Garrison, Joey (February 26, 2017). "Former Nashville Mayor Karl Dean to run for governor of Tennessee". The Tennessean. Retrieved February 26, 2017.
  55. ^ Whetstone, Tyler (September 27, 2017). "Karl Dean to show resilience in governor's race". Knoxville News Sentinel. Retrieved September 27, 2017.
  56. ^ a b c Wade Gervin, Cari (September 27, 2017). "Who might replace Corker?". Nashville Post. Retrieved September 28, 2017.
  57. ^ Garrison, Joey (October 4, 2017). "Democrat Bill Freeman rules out U.S. Senate run; pushes Phil Bredesen as candidate instead". The Tennessean. Retrieved October 4, 2017.
  58. ^ Garrison, Joey (September 27, 2017). "Democratic state Sen. Jeff Yarbro considers run for U.S. Senate to replace Corker". The Tennessean. Retrieved September 27, 2017.
  59. ^ Garrison, Joey (October 9, 2017). "Tennessee Democrats recalculate U.S. Senate race with Corker out". The Tennessean. Retrieved October 9, 2017.
  60. ^ Wade Gervin, Cari (September 28, 2017). "More considering runs for Corker's seat". Nashville Post. Retrieved September 28, 2017.
  61. ^ "Tim McGraw still considering possible future in politics". Fox News. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2017-09-28.
  62. ^ "Joe Biden swoops in to give Democrat Phil Bredesen a money boost in tight Tennessee Senate race". CNBC. CNBC. April 9, 2018.
  63. ^ "NV, AZ & TN-Sen: Sen. Tammy Duckworth (D) Helps These Democrats Win A Senate Majority". Daily Kos. Daily Kos. March 30, 2018.
  64. ^ "Also, thank you to my friend, @SenDougJones, for speaking at the dinner & letting me add myself to your autograph collection. I look forward to working together in the U.S. Senate". Twitter.
  65. ^ "TN-Sen: Sen. Ron Wyden (D. OR) Helps Former Gov. Phil Bredesen (D) Flip The Senate". Daily Kos. March 29, 2018.
  66. ^ WKRN Web Staff. "Former candidate James Mackler endorses Phil Bredesen for U.S. Senate". WKRN. Retrieved December 15, 2017.
  67. ^ Shaffer, Paul (April 19, 2018). "President's Message - Tennessee AFL-CIO Labor Council". Tennessee AFL-CIO Labor Council.
  68. ^ http://www.314action.org/endorsed-candidates/
  69. ^ Sohn, Pam (July 12, 2018). "Bredesen a Problem Solver, Blackburn a Problem Maker". Retrieved July 14, 2018.
  70. ^ "August 2, 2018 Unofficial Election Results". Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved August 3, 2018.
  71. ^ Easley, Jonathan (September 20, 2017). "Sports radio host and ESPN critic mulls Senate run in Tennessee". The Hill. Retrieved September 20, 2017.
  72. ^ "2018 Senate Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2018-07-27.
  73. ^ "Senate Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2018-07-27.
  74. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball  » 2018 Senate". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2018-07-27.
  75. ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  76. ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved 2018-07-27.
  77. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
Official campaign websites
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