2024 Indian general election in Bihar

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2024 Indian general election in Bihar

← 2019 19 April – 1 June 2024 2029 →

All 40 Lok Sabha seats of Bihar
Opinion polls
 
Samrat_Choudhary.jpg
Lalu Prasad Yadav.jpg
Leader Samrat Chaudhary Lalu Prasad Yadav
Party BJP RJD
Alliance NDA I.N.D.I.A
Leader since 2023 2015
Leader's seat Did not contest Did not contest
Last election 53.25%, 39 seats New group
Current seats 39 1

The 2024 Indian general election in Bihar will be held in all 7 phases from 19 April to 1 June to elect 40 members of the 18th Lok Sabha, with the results declared on 4 June.[1][2][3]

Election Schedule

Poll event Phase
I II III IV V VI VII
Notification Date 20 March 28 March 12 April 18 April 26 April 29 April 7 May
Last Date for filing nomination 27 March 4 April 19 April 25 April 3 May 6 May 14 May
Scrutiny of nomination 28 March 5 April 20 April 26 April 4 May 7 May 15 May
Last Date for withdrawal of nomination 30 March 8 April 22 April 29 April 6 May 9 May 17 May
Date of poll 19 April 26 April 7 May 13 May 20 May 25 May 1 June
Date of counting of votes/Result 4 June 2024
No. of constituencies 4 5 5 5 5 8 8

Phases wise constituencies

Phase Constituencies
I Aurangabad Gaya Nawada Jamui
II Kishanganj Purnia Katihar Bhagalpur Banka
III Jhanjarpur Supaul Araria Madhepura Khagaria
IV
V
VI
VII

Parties and alliances

  National Democratic Alliance

Party Flag Symbol Leader Contesting Seats
Bharatiya Janata Party Samrat Choudhary 17 40
Janata Dal (United) Nitish Kumar 16
Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas) Chirag Paswan 5
Hindustani Awam Morcha Jitan Ram Manjhi 1
Rashtriya Lok Morcha[4] Upendra Kushwaha 1
Rashtriya Lok Janshakti Party Pashupati Kumar Paras 0[5]

  Indian National Developmental Inclusive
      Alliance

Party Flag Symbol Leader Contesting Seats
Rashtriya Janata Dal Tejashwi Yadav TBD
Indian National Congress Akhilesh Prasad Singh TBD
Communist Party of India (Marxist–Leninist) Liberation
Shyam Chandra Chaudhary TBD
Communist Party of India (Marxist) Lalan Chaudhary TBD
Communist Party of India Ram Naresh Pandey TBD

Others

Party Flag Symbol Leader Contesting Seats
Bahujan Samaj Party TBD TBD
All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen Akhtarul Iman 11
Vikassheel Insaan Party Mukesh Sahani TBD

Candidates

Constituency
N.D.A INDIA Others
1 Valmiki Nagar
2 Paschim Champaran
3 Purvi Champaran
4 Sheohar
5 Sitamarhi
6 Madhubani
7 Jhanjharpur
8 Supaul
9 Araria AIMIM
10 Kishanganj AIMIM Akhtarul Iman
11 Katihar AIMIM ADV.Adil Hasan
12 Purnia AIMIM
13 Madhepura
14 Darbhanga AIMIM
15 Muzaffarpur AIMIM
16 Vaishali
17 Gopalganj (SC)
18 Siwan
19 Maharajganj
20 Saran
21 Hajipur (SC)
22 Ujiarpur AIMIM
23 Samastipur (SC)
24 Begusarai
25 Khagaria
26 Bhagalpur AIMIM
27 Banka
28 Munger
29 Nalanda
30 Patna Sahib
31 Pataliputra
32 Arrah
33 Buxar AIMIM
34 Sasaram (SC)
35 Karakat AIMIM
36 Jahanabad
37 Aurangabad
38 Gaya (SC) AIMIM
39 Nawada
40 Jamui (SC)

Campaigns

Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance

The Indian National Congress began its Bihar section of the Bharat Jodo Nyay Yatra from Kishanganj on 28 January 2024. Congress leader Rahul Gandhi criticised chief minister Nitish Kumar for rejoining the NDA and said that the Mahagathbandhan did not need him and that it would keep fighting for social justice.[6] On 15 February, Gandhi resumed his yatra from Bihar's Aurangabad, where he promised a financial survey to assess the ground reality if his alliance comes to power.[7] The yatra resumed from Sasaram the next day, where Rashtriya Janata Dal chairperson and former state deputy CM Tejashwi Yadav joined the yatra, touring the state with Gandhi in a jeep.[8]

The Rashtriya Janata Dal began its campaign with its Jan Vishwas Yatra ("People's Trust Yatra") on 20 February 2024. RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav launched the yatra from Muzaffarpur in Bihar. The yatra will last till 1 March 2024 and will have covered 33 districts.[9][10] In Siwan on 23 February, Yadav termed the BJP "a dustbin" which takes in other parties that have become "garbage".[11][12]

Surveys and polls

Opinion polls

Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024[13] ±3-5% 33 7 0 NDA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024[14] ±5% 32 8 0 NDA
India Today-CVoter February 2024[15] ±3-5% 32 8 0 NDA
The JD(U) leaves the INDIA and joins the NDA
ABP News-CVoter December 2023[16] ±3-5% 16-18 21-23 0-2 INDIA
Times Now-ETG December 2023[17] ±3% 22-24 15-17 0 NDA
India TV-CNX October 2023[18] ±3% 24 16 0 NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023[19] ±3% 18-20 20-22 0 INDIA
August 2023[20] ±3% 22-24 16-18 0 NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023[21] ±3-5% 14 26 0 INDIA
Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024[22] ±3-5% 50.8% 39.9% 9.3% 10.9
ABP News-CVoter March 2024[14] ±5% 50% 35% 15% 15
India Today-CVoter February 2024[15] ±3-5% 52% 38% 10% 14
JD(U) joins NDA
India Today-CVoter August 2023[23] ±3-5% 43% 47% 10% 4

Exit polls

Polling agency Date published Margin of Error Lead
NDA I.N.D.I.A. Others

Results

Results by alliance or party

Alliance/Party Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Contested Won +/−
NDA BJP
JD(U)
RLJP
LJP(RV)
HAM(S)
Total
INDIA RJD
INC
CPI(M-L)L
CPI
CPI(M)
Total
AIMIM
Other parties
Independents
NOTA
Total 100% - 40 -
Vote statistics
Valid votes
Invalid votes
Votes cast/turnout
Abstentions
Registered voters

Results by constituency

Constituency Winner Runner Up Margin
No. Name Party Candidate Votes % Party Candidate Votes %
1 Valmiki Nagar
2 Paschim Champaran
3 Purvi Champaran
4 Sheohar
5 Sitamarhi
6 Madhubani
7 Jhanjharpur
8 Supaul
9 Araria
10 Kishanganj
11 Katihar
12 Purnia
13 Madhepura
14 Darbhanga
15 Muzaffarpur
16 Vaishali
17 Gopalganj (SC)
18 Siwan
19 Maharajganj
20 Saran
21 Hajipur (SC)
22 Ujiarpur
23 Samastipur (SC)
24 Begusarai
25 Khagaria
26 Bhagalpur
27 Banka
28 Munger
29 Nalanda
30 Patna Sahib
31 Pataliputra
32 Arrah
33 Buxar
34 Sasaram (SC)
35 Karakat
36 Jahanabad
37 Aurangabad
38 Gaya (SC)
39 Nawada
40 Jamui (SC)

See also

References

  1. ^ "Lok Sabha Election 2024: जदयू से अलग होने के बाद बिहार में लोकसभा सीट जीतना भाजपा के लिए कितना कठिन जानें". 19 December 2022.
  2. ^ "Opposition will unify for 2024 elections: Bihar CM Nitish Kumar". The Statesman. 3 September 2022.
  3. ^ "नीतीश कुमार 'मिशन 24' की तैयारियों में जुटे, जेडीयू ऑफिस में करेंगे बड़ी बैठक".
  4. ^ "Bihar NDA seat-sharing: BJP likely to keep lion's share of 30 Lok Sabha seats, spare 10 for its four allies". Times of India. 9 January 2024.
  5. ^ Bhelari, Amit (14 March 2024). "RLJP will remain in the NDA despite losing coveted Lok Sabha seat to rival LJP faction headed by Chirag Paswan". The Hindu. ISSN 0971-751X. Retrieved 14 March 2024.
  6. ^ Tewary, Amarnath (30 January 2024). "Nitish Kumar caved under pressure; don't need his support: Rahul Gandhi". The Hindu. ISSN 0971-751X. Retrieved 12 February 2024.
  7. ^ "After 'Caste Census', Rahul Gandhi Promises 'Financial Survey'". Free Press Journal. Retrieved 16 February 2024.
  8. ^ "Rahul Gandhi tours Bihar in jeep during yatra, Tejashwi Yadav in driver's seat". India Today. Retrieved 16 February 2024.
  9. ^ "Bihar: Tejashwi Yadav to kickstart Jan Vishwas Yatra tomorrow". The Economic Times. 19 February 2024. ISSN 0013-0389. Retrieved 25 February 2024.
  10. ^ Raj, Dev. "Tejashwi Yadav begins Jan Vishwas Yatra, slams Nitish Kumar in kickoff to Lok Sabha campaign". The Telegraph (India). Retrieved 25 February 2024.
  11. ^ Bhelari, Amit (23 February 2024). "Impressive turnout at Tejashwi's Jan Vishwas Yatra in Bihar". The Hindu. ISSN 0971-751X. Retrieved 25 February 2024.
  12. ^ Raj, Dev (23 February 2023). "Tejashwi Yadav slams BJP for giving swords in hands of people, becoming 'dustbin'". The Telegraph (India). Retrieved 25 February 2024.
  13. ^ News Bureau, ABP, ed. (16 April 2024). "ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll: BJP To Continue Its Dominance In Lok Sabha Polls In Bihar, But There's A Catch". ABP News. Retrieved 17 April 2024.
  14. ^ a b Bureau, ABP News (15 March 2024). "C-Voter Survey: NDA leads with 50% vote share in Bihar over 40 seats | Elections 2024 Opinion Poll". news.abplive.com. Retrieved 17 March 2024.
  15. ^ a b De, Abhishek (8 February 2024). "Bihar sides with NDA, shows Mood of the Nation 2024 survey". India Today. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
  16. ^ Jadhav, Abhijit, ed. (24 December 2023). "Lok Sabha Survey : आज लोकसभेच्या निवडणुका झाल्या तर इंडिया की NDA, कोण बाजी मारणार? सी-व्होटरच्या ओपिनियन पोलवरून समोर आली मोठी बातमी". ABP News (in Marathi). Retrieved 3 April 2024.
  17. ^ "ETG Survey: अगर आज हुए लोकसभा चुनाव तो किसकी बनेगी सरकार? देखें हर राज्य का गुणा-गणित". Times Now (in Hindi). 18 December 2023. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
  18. ^ Mallick, Ashesh, ed. (7 October 2023). "India TV-CNX Opinion Poll: BJP-led NDA surges ahead of INDIA in Bihar in close contest". India TV. Retrieved 2 April 2023.
  19. ^ "Who Is Likely To Win If Lok Sabha Polls Are Held Today? ETG Survey Reveals | The Newshour Debate". Youtube. Times Now. 3 October 2023. Retrieved 3 April 2024.
  20. ^ "'Phir Ek Baar, Modi Sarkar', Predicts Times Now ETG Survey if Election Held Today". Times Now. 16 August 2023.
  21. ^ "PM Modi likely to win third term in 2024 despite INDIA alliance: Mood of the Nation poll". Business Today. 26 August 2023. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
  22. ^ News Bureau, ABP, ed. (16 April 2024). "ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll: BJP To Continue Its Dominance In Lok Sabha Polls In Bihar, But There's A Catch". ABP News. Retrieved 17 April 2024.
  23. ^ Yadav, Yogendra; Sardesai, Shreyas (31 August 2023). "Here are two things INDIA alliance must do based on national surveys' results". The Print. Retrieved 2 April 2024.