2024 Wisconsin Senate election: Difference between revisions

2024 Wisconsin Senate election
16 of 33 seats in the Wisconsin Senate; 17 seats needed for a majority
	Map of the incumbents:; Republican incumbent Republican-incumbent retiring; Democratic incumbent; No incumbent; No election
Incumbent President; Chris Kapenga; Republican	; ;

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Revision as of 18:15, 27 April 2024

The 2024 Wisconsin Senate election is scheduled to be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. Sixteen of the 33 seats in the Wisconsin Senate are up for election—the even-numbered districts. Currently, 22 Senate seats are held by Republicans, 10 seats are held by Democrats, one seat is vacant.

The primary election is scheduled for August 13, 2024. The filing deadline to appear on the ballot is June 1, 2024.^[1]

This election will be significantly affected by the legislative maps drawn as a result of the Wisconsin Supreme Court decision in Clarke v. Wisconsin Elections Commission, which declared the current legislative district map to be unconstitutional on December 22, 2023. The court was in the process of selecting a remedial plan, when the legislature chose to embrace the remedial map proposal from Governor Tony Evers. Evers signed the plan into law on February 19, 2024.^[2]

Under the new maps, Democrats are expected to gain seats in the Senate, but they are not expected to be able to win a majority because only even-numbered seats are up for election in 2024.^[3]^[4]

Summary

		Party (majority caucus shading)		Total

		Democratic	Republican
Last election (2022)		5	12	17
Total after last election (2022)		11	22	33

Total before this election		11	22	33
Up for election		6	10	16
of which:	Incumbent retiring	1	2	3
	Vacated	1		1
	Open	1	4	5
	Unopposed

Outgoing incumbents

Retiring

Robert Cowles (R–Green Bay), the longest currently-serving Wisconsin legislator, representing district 2 since 1987, is retiring.^[5]

Seeking other office

Melissa Agard (D–Madison), representing district 16 since 2020, will instead run for Dane County executive.
Dan Knodl (R–Germantown), representing district 8 since 2023, announced in February 2024 that he would not seek reelection to the district after the 2024 redistricting put him in an incumbent-vs-incumbent matchup. Instead, Knodl will run for Wisconsin State Assembly in Wisconsin's 24th Assembly district.^[6]

Special elections

There will be one special election scheduled in 2024 for the Wisconsin state Senate.

Dist.	Previous Incumbent				This Election
Dist.	Senator	Party	First elected	Status	Candidate(s)	Status
04	Lena Taylor	Dem.	2004	Incumbent resigned on January 26, 2024. New member to be elected on a date TBD.	▌Dora Drake (Dem.) ▌LaKeshia Myers (Dem.)

Incumbents and candidates

Dist.	2020 Pres.^[7]	Incumbent				This race
Dist.	2020 Pres.^[7]	Member	Party	First elected	Status	Declared candidate(s)^[8]
02	R +24.4	None (open seat)			New member to be elected	▌Kelly Peterson (Dem.)^[9] ▌Eric Wimberger (Rep.)^[10]
04	D +69.2	TBD^[a]		2024 (special)	Incumbent to be determined
06	D +72.2	La Tonya Johnson	Dem.	2016	Incumbent Running	▌LaTonya Johnson (Dem.)
08	R +2.2	Dan Knodl	Rep.	2023 (special)	Running for the 24th state assembly district	▌Jodi Habush Sinykin (Dem.)^[11] ▌Duey Stroebel (Rep.)
08	R +2.2	Duey Stroebel (Redistricted from the 20th district)	Rep.	2015 (special)	Incumbent Running	▌Jodi Habush Sinykin (Dem.)^[11] ▌Duey Stroebel (Rep.)
10	R +14.9	Rob Stafsholt	Rep.	2020	Incumbent Running	▌Rob Stafsholt (Rep.)
12	R +24.5	Mary Felzkowski	Rep.	2020	Incumbent Running	▌Mary Felzkowski (Rep.)^[12] ▌Andi Rich (Dem.)^[13]
14	D +7.4	Howard Marklein^[b] (Redistricted from the 17th district)	Rep.	2014	Serving as Senator until January 4, 2027	▌Joan Ballweg (Rep.)^[14] ▌Sarah Keyeski (Dem.)^[15]
16	D +31.2	None (open seat)			New member to be elected	▌Jimmy Anderson (Dem.)^[16] ▌Samba Baldeh (Dem.)^[17] ▌Melissa Ratcliff (Dem.)^[18]
18	D +10.0	None (open seat)			New member to be elected	▌Kristin Alfheim (Dem.)^[19] ▌Joseph Carman (Dem.) ▌Anthony Phillips (Rep.)^[20] ▌Blong Yang (Rep.)^[21]
20	R +34.9	Dan Feyen (Redistricted from the 18th district)	Rep.	2016	Incumbent Running	▌Joseph Gamez (Dem.) ▌Dan Feyen (Rep.)^[22] ▌Timothy Ramthun (Rep.)^[23]
22	D +13.2	Robert Wirch	Dem.	1996	Running	▌Robert Wirch (Dem.)
24	R +7.3	Patrick Testin	Rep.	2016	Incumbent Running	▌Colin McNamara (Dem.) ▌Patrick Testin (Rep.)
26	D +72.2	Kelda Roys	Dem.	2020	Incumbent Running	▌Kelda Roys (Dem.)^[24]
26	D +72.2	Melissa Agard (Redistricted from the 16th district)	Dem.	2020	Running for Dane County executive	▌Kelda Roys (Dem.)^[24]
28	R +23.7	None (open seat)			New member to be elected	▌Julian Bradley (Rep.)
30	D +4.7	Eric Wimberger	Rep.	2020	Running for the 2nd district	▌Jim Rafter (Rep.)^[25] ▌Jamie Wall (Dem.)^[26]
		Robert Cowles (Redistricted from the 2nd district)	Rep.	1987 (special)	Incumbent retiring.
		André Jacque^[c] (Redistricted from the 1st district)	Rep.	2018	Serving as Senator until January 4, 2027
32	D +9.2	Brad Pfaff	Dem.	2020	Incumbent Running	▌Stacey Klein (Rep.)^[27] ▌Brad Pfaff (Dem.)^[28]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
CNalysis^[29]	Solid R	March 16, 2024

Notes

^ Sen. Lena Taylor (D) resigned on January 26, 2024. A special election will be held on a date TBD
^ This Senator was elected to the 17th Senate district in 2022
^ This Senator was elected to the 1st Senate district in 2022

References

^ "2024 Partisan Primary". elections.wi.gov. April 19, 2023. Retrieved June 20, 2023.
^ Kremer, Rich (February 1, 2024). "Wisconsin Supreme Court consultants say Republican-drawn legislative maps are gerrymanders, don't deserve consideration". Wisconsin Public Radio. Retrieved February 6, 2024.
^ Kremer, Rich (February 22, 2024). "What do Wisconsin's new maps mean for the Legislature's balance of power?". WPR. Retrieved February 23, 2024.
^ Karnopp, Hope (February 21, 2024). "You have questions about Wisconsin's new election maps and how they affect you? We have answers". Journal Sentinel. Retrieved February 23, 2024.
^ "Cowles, Wisconsin Senate's longest-serving member, will not seek reelection". WLUK-TV. April 8, 2024. Retrieved April 8, 2024.
^ "Knodl campaign: Announces run for 24th Assembly District". WisPolitics. February 29, 2024. Retrieved February 29, 2024.
^ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
^ "2024 Wisconsin Senate races". WisPolitics. March 5, 2024. Retrieved March 27, 2024.
^ "Peterson campaign: Launches campaign for State Senate". April 18, 2024. Retrieved April 18, 2024.
^ "WED PM Update: Wimberger moving to 2nd SD, setting up possibly GOP primary with Cowles". March 27, 2024. Retrieved March 27, 2024.
^ "Habush Sinykin campaign: Launches campaign for the 8th State Senate District". April 9, 2024. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
^ "Felzkowski campaign: Announces re-election bid for Wisconsin's 12th Senate District". March 12, 2024. Retrieved April 10, 2024.
^ "Rich campaign: Announces candidacy for 12th Senate District". April 22, 2024. Retrieved April 22, 2024.
^ "Ballweg campaign: Announces bid for re-election to State Senate". March 6, 2024. Retrieved April 10, 2024.
^ "Keyeski campaign: Rural mental healthcare provider launches campaign for the 14th Senate District". April 8, 2024. Retrieved April 8, 2024.
^ "Anderson campaign: To continue State Senate campaign under new maps". February 27, 2024. Retrieved April 10, 2024.
^ "Baldeh campaign: Samba for Senate (SD16) Campaign Kickoff". March 11, 2024. Retrieved April 10, 2024.
^ "Rep. Melissa Ratcliff running for State Senate". November 30, 2023. Retrieved April 10, 2024.
^ "Alfheim campaign: Appleton alderperson launches campaign for State Senate". February 29, 2024. Retrieved April 10, 2024.
^ "Philips campaign: Announces State Senate run". April 4, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
^ "Republican Business Leader Blong Yang Launches His Candidacy for State Senate District 18" (PDF). March 26, 2024. Retrieved March 26, 2024.
^ "Feyen campaign: Announces reelection campaign in new 20th Senate district". February 27, 2024. Retrieved April 10, 2024.
^ "Ramthun campaign: Unfinished business: Job's not done". April 17, 2024. Retrieved April 17, 2024.
^ "Roys campaign: Launches 2024 re-election campaign". April 22, 2024. Retrieved April 22, 2024.
^ "Rafter campaign: Allouez Village President Jim Rafter to run for Wisconsin state Senate in the 30th District". April 10, 2024. Retrieved April 10, 2024.
^ "Wall campaign: Green Bay small business owner announces bid for state Senate District 30". March 6, 2024. Retrieved April 8, 2024.
^ "Klein campaign: Transitions campaign from U.S. Senate to Wisconsin state Senate District 32". Wispolitics. April 9, 2024. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
^ "Pfaff campaign: Announces re-election bid for new 32nd State Senate District". April 4, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
^ "24 WI Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com. Retrieved March 17, 2024.

External links

This Wisconsin elections-related article is a stub. You can help Wikipedia by expanding it.

[11] Sen. Lena Taylor (D) resigned on January 26, 2024. A special election will be held on a date TBD

[15] This Senator was elected to the 17th Senate district in 2022

[29] This Senator was elected to the 1st Senate district in 2022

[1] "2024 Partisan Primary". elections.wi.gov. April 19, 2023. Retrieved June 20, 2023.

[2] Kremer, Rich (February 1, 2024). "Wisconsin Supreme Court consultants say Republican-drawn legislative maps are gerrymanders, don't deserve consideration". Wisconsin Public Radio. Retrieved February 6, 2024.

[3] Kremer, Rich (February 22, 2024). "What do Wisconsin's new maps mean for the Legislature's balance of power?". WPR. Retrieved February 23, 2024.

[4] Karnopp, Hope (February 21, 2024). "You have questions about Wisconsin's new election maps and how they affect you? We have answers". Journal Sentinel. Retrieved February 23, 2024.

[5] "Cowles, Wisconsin Senate's longest-serving member, will not seek reelection". WLUK-TV. April 8, 2024. Retrieved April 8, 2024.

[6] "Knodl campaign: Announces run for 24th Assembly District". WisPolitics. February 29, 2024. Retrieved February 29, 2024.

[7] "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved March 13, 2024.

[8] "2024 Wisconsin Senate races". WisPolitics. March 5, 2024. Retrieved March 27, 2024.

[9] "Peterson campaign: Launches campaign for State Senate". April 18, 2024. Retrieved April 18, 2024.

[10] "WED PM Update: Wimberger moving to 2nd SD, setting up possibly GOP primary with Cowles". March 27, 2024. Retrieved March 27, 2024.

[12] "Habush Sinykin campaign: Launches campaign for the 8th State Senate District". April 9, 2024. Retrieved April 9, 2024.

[13] "Felzkowski campaign: Announces re-election bid for Wisconsin's 12th Senate District". March 12, 2024. Retrieved April 10, 2024.

[14] "Rich campaign: Announces candidacy for 12th Senate District". April 22, 2024. Retrieved April 22, 2024.

[16] "Ballweg campaign: Announces bid for re-election to State Senate". March 6, 2024. Retrieved April 10, 2024.

[17] "Keyeski campaign: Rural mental healthcare provider launches campaign for the 14th Senate District". April 8, 2024. Retrieved April 8, 2024.

[18] "Anderson campaign: To continue State Senate campaign under new maps". February 27, 2024. Retrieved April 10, 2024.

[19] "Baldeh campaign: Samba for Senate (SD16) Campaign Kickoff". March 11, 2024. Retrieved April 10, 2024.

[20] "Rep. Melissa Ratcliff running for State Senate". November 30, 2023. Retrieved April 10, 2024.

[21] "Alfheim campaign: Appleton alderperson launches campaign for State Senate". February 29, 2024. Retrieved April 10, 2024.

[22] "Philips campaign: Announces State Senate run". April 4, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.

[23] "Republican Business Leader Blong Yang Launches His Candidacy for State Senate District 18" (PDF). March 26, 2024. Retrieved March 26, 2024.

[24] "Feyen campaign: Announces reelection campaign in new 20th Senate district". February 27, 2024. Retrieved April 10, 2024.

[25] "Ramthun campaign: Unfinished business: Job's not done". April 17, 2024. Retrieved April 17, 2024.

[26] "Roys campaign: Launches 2024 re-election campaign". April 22, 2024. Retrieved April 22, 2024.

[27] "Rafter campaign: Allouez Village President Jim Rafter to run for Wisconsin state Senate in the 30th District". April 10, 2024. Retrieved April 10, 2024.

[28] "Wall campaign: Green Bay small business owner announces bid for state Senate District 30". March 6, 2024. Retrieved April 8, 2024.

[30] "Klein campaign: Transitions campaign from U.S. Senate to Wisconsin state Senate District 32". Wispolitics. April 9, 2024. Retrieved April 9, 2024.

[31] "Pfaff campaign: Announces re-election bid for new 32nd State Senate District". April 4, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.

[32] "24 WI Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com. Retrieved March 17, 2024.

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@@ Line 191: / Line 191: @@
 |- valign=bottom
 ! colspan=1 rowspan=2 | Dist.
+! rowspan=2 | {{Abbr|2020<br />Pres.|2020 Presidential election margin}}<ref>{{Cite web |title=DRA 2020 |url=https://davesredistricting.org/maps |access-date=2024-03-13 |website=Daves Redistricting}}</ref>
 ! colspan=4 | Incumbent
 ! colspan=3 | This race
@@ Line 208: / Line 209: @@
 |-
 ! [[Wisconsin's 2nd Senate district|02]]
+| {{Shading PVI|R |24.4}}
 | colspan="3" | None {{Small|(open seat)}}
 | New member to be elected
@@ Line 213: / Line 215: @@
 |-
 ! [[Wisconsin's 4th Senate district|04]]
+| {{Shading PVI|D |69.2}}
 | colspan="2" | TBD{{efn|Sen. [[Lena Taylor]] (D) resigned on January 26, 2024. A special election will be held on a date TBD|name=|group=lower-alpha}}
 | align=center | 2024<br />{{Small|(special)}}
@@ Line 219: / Line 222: @@
 |-
 ! [[Wisconsin's 6th Senate district|06]]
+| {{Shading PVI|D |72.2}}
 | {{sortname|La Tonya|Johnson}}
 | {{Party shading/Democratic}} | Dem.
@@ Line 226: / Line 230: @@
 |-
 ! rowspan="2" | [[Wisconsin's 8th Senate district|08]]
+| rowspan="2" {{Shading PVI|R |2.2}}
 | {{sortname|Dan|Knodl}}
 | {{Party shading/Republican}} | Rep.
@@ Line 232: / Line 237: @@
 | rowspan="2" |{{unbulleted list||{{Party stripe|Democratic Party (US)}}Jodi Habush Sinykin (Dem.)<ref>{{Cite news |date=April 9, 2024 |title=Habush Sinykin campaign: Launches campaign for the 8th State Senate District |url=https://www.wispolitics.com/2024/habush-sinykin-campaign-launches-campaign-for-the-8th-state-senate-district/ |access-date=April 9, 2024}}</ref>|{{Party stripe|Republican Party (US)}}[[Duey Stroebel]] (Rep.)}}
 |-
-|{{sortname|Duey|Stroebel}}<br/>{{Small|(Redistricted from the 20th district)}}
+|{{sortname|Duey|Stroebel}}<br/>{{Small|(Redistricted from the 20th&nbsp;district)}}
 | {{Party shading/Republican}} |Rep.
 | align=center | 2015<br />{{Small|(special)}}
@@ Line 238: / Line 243: @@
 |-
 ! [[Wisconsin's 10th Senate district|10]]
+| {{Shading PVI|R |14.9}}
 | {{sortname|Rob|Stafsholt}}
 | {{Party shading/Republican}} | Rep.
@@ Line 245: / Line 251: @@
 |-
 ! [[Wisconsin's 12th Senate district|12]]
+| {{Shading PVI|R |24.5}}
 | {{sortname|Mary|Felzkowski}}
 | {{Party shading/Republican}} | Rep.
@@ Line 252: / Line 259: @@
 |-
 ! [[Wisconsin's 14th Senate district|14]]
+| {{Shading PVI|D |7.4}}
-| {{sortname|Howard|Marklein}}{{efn|This Senator was elected to the 17th Senate district in 2022|group=lower-alpha}}<br/>{{Small|(Redistricted from the 17th district)}}
+| {{sortname|Howard|Marklein}}{{efn|This Senator was elected to the 17th Senate district in 2022|group=lower-alpha}}<br/>{{Small|(Redistricted from the 17th&nbsp;district)}}
 | {{Party shading/Republican}} | Rep.
 | align=center | 2014
@@ Line 259: / Line 267: @@
 |-
 ! [[Wisconsin's 16th Senate district|16]]
+| {{Shading PVI|D |31.2}}
 | colspan="3" | None {{Small|(open seat)}}
 |New member to be elected
@@ Line 264: / Line 273: @@
 |-
 ! [[Wisconsin's 18th Senate district|18]]
+| {{Shading PVI|D |10.0}}
 | colspan="3" | None {{Small|(open seat)}}
 |New member to be elected
@@ Line 269: / Line 279: @@
 |-
 ! [[Wisconsin's 20th Senate district|20]]
-| {{sortname|Dan|Feyen}}<br/>{{Small|(Redistricted from the 18th district)}}
+| {{Shading PVI|R |34.9}}
+| {{sortname|Dan|Feyen}}<br/>{{Small|(Redistricted from the 18th&nbsp;district)}}
 | {{Party shading/Republican}} | Rep.
 | align=center | 2016
@@ Line 276: / Line 287: @@
 |-
 ! [[Wisconsin's 22nd Senate district|22]]
+| {{Shading PVI|D |13.2}}
 | {{sortname|Robert|Wirch}}
 | {{Party shading/Democratic}} | Dem.
@@ Line 283: / Line 295: @@
 |-
 ! [[Wisconsin's 24th Senate district|24]]
+| {{Shading PVI|R |7.3}}
 | {{sortname|Patrick|Testin}}
 | {{Party shading/Republican}} | Rep.
@@ Line 290: / Line 303: @@
 |-
 ! rowspan="2" | [[Wisconsin's 26th Senate district|26]]
+| rowspan="2" {{Shading PVI|D |72.2}}
 | {{sortname|Kelda|Roys}}
 | {{Party shading/Democratic}} | Dem.
@@ Line 296: / Line 310: @@
 | rowspan="2" |{{unbulleted list||{{Party stripe|Democratic Party (US)}}[[Kelda Roys]] (Dem.)<ref>{{Cite news |date=April 22, 2024 |title=Roys campaign: Launches 2024 re-election campaign |url=https://www.wispolitics.com/2024/roys-campaign-launches-2024-re-election-campaign/ |access-date=April 22, 2024}}</ref>}}
 |-
-|{{sortname|Melissa|Agard}}<br/>{{Small|(Redistricted from the 16th district)}}
+|{{sortname|Melissa|Agard}}<br/>{{Small|(Redistricted from the 16th&nbsp;district)}}
 | {{Party shading/Democratic}} | Dem.
 | align=center | 2020
@@ Line 302: / Line 316: @@
 |-
 ! [[Wisconsin's 28th Senate district|28]]
+| {{Shading PVI|R |23.7}}
 | colspan="3" | None {{Small|(open seat)}}<!--Incumbent was redistricted into another district, but is running for the district they currently represent.-->
 | New member to be elected
@@ Line 307: / Line 322: @@
 |-
 ! rowspan="3" | [[Wisconsin's 30th Senate district|30]]
+| rowspan="3" {{Shading PVI|D |4.7}}
 | {{sortname|Eric|Wimberger}}
 | {{Party shading/Republican}} | Rep.
 | align="center" | 2020
-| {{Party shading/Hold}} | Running for the 2nd district
+| {{Party shading/Hold}} | Running for the 2nd&nbsp;district
 | rowspan="3" |{{unbulleted list||{{Party stripe|Republican Party (US)}}Jim Rafter (Rep.)<ref>{{Cite news |date=April 10, 2024 |title=Rafter campaign: Allouez Village President Jim Rafter to run for Wisconsin state Senate in the 30th District |url=https://www.wispolitics.com/2024/rafter-campaign-allouez-village-president-jim-rafter-to-run-for-wisconsin-state-senate-in-the-30th-district/ |access-date=April 10, 2024}}</ref>|{{Party stripe|Democratic Party (US)}}Jamie Wall (Dem.)<ref>{{Cite news |date=March 6, 2024 |title=Wall campaign: Green Bay small business owner announces bid for state Senate District 30 |url=https://www.wispolitics.com/2024/wall-campaign-green-bay-small-business-owner-announces-bid-for-state-senate-district-30/ |access-date=April 8, 2024}}</ref>}}
 |-
-|{{sortname|Robert|Cowles}}<br/>{{Small|(Redistricted from the 2nd district)}}
+|{{sortname|Robert|Cowles}}<br/>{{Small|(Redistricted from the 2nd&nbsp;district)}}
 | {{Party shading/Republican}} | Rep.
 | align=center | 1987<br />{{Small|(special)}}
 | {{Party shading/Hold}} | Incumbent retiring.
 |-
-|{{sortname|André|Jacque}}{{efn|This Senator was elected to the 1st Senate district in 2022|group=lower-alpha}}<br/>{{Small|(Redistricted from the 1st district)}}
+|{{sortname|André|Jacque}}{{efn|This Senator was elected to the 1st&nbsp;Senate&nbsp;district in 2022|group=lower-alpha}}<br/>{{Small|(Redistricted from the 1st&nbsp;district)}}
 | {{Party shading/Republican}} | Rep.
 | align=center | 2018
-| {{Party shading/Hold}} | ''Serving as Senator until January 4, 2027''
+| {{Party shading/Hold}} | ''Serving as Senator until January&nbsp;4, 2027''
 |-
 ! [[Wisconsin's 32nd Senate district|32]]
+| {{Shading PVI|D |9.2}}
 | {{sortname|Brad|Pfaff}}
 | {{Party shading/Democratic}} | Dem.

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