2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania
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Elections in Pennsylvania |
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The 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania will be held on November 8, 2022, concurrently with elections for all other Class 3 U.S. Senators, elections for the U.S. House of Representatives, as well as a gubernatorial election, to select a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.
The election is expected to be competitive and important to determine whether Democrats or Republicans will control the Senate in 2023. This is attributed to the seat being an open Republican-held one located in a state that President Joe Biden won in the 2020 presidential election.[1] Pennsylvania is seen by many Democrats as the best possible pickup of all the Class 3 seats.[2]
On October 5, 2020, incumbent two-term Republican Senator Pat Toomey announced that he would not run for re-election to a third term and currently plans "to go back to the private sector" at the conclusion of his term.[3][4] Previously, he had openly said he was considering running for the governorship instead of running for re-election to the Senate.[5]
Republican primary
Campaign
Incumbent Senator Pat Toomey announced that he would not run for re-election, stating that he wished to return to the private sector.[6] By October 2021, businessman Jeff Bartos, who had posted strong fund-raising totals, and veteran Sean Parnell, who had the endorsement of former President Donald Trump, emerged as the race's two front-runners.[7] Parnell's campaign was rocked in November 2021, after Parnell's ex-wife, Laurie Snell, testified in court that Parnell strangled and spit on her, abused their children, and told her to "go get an abortion".[8] Even prior to these allegations, doubts had arisen among Republicans regarding Parnell's ability to fundraise, and it became widely assumed that Parnell would suspend his campaign if he did not win custody of his children.[9] On November 22, 2021, Snell was given custody of the children and Parnell subsequently announced that he was suspending his campaign.[10] On November 30, with Parnell out of the race, Mehmet Oz, a celebrity doctor and television personality, announced his candidacy.[11] Oz's campaign entered an immediate controversy over whether Oz himself was a resident of Pennsylvania, as he had lived in Cliffside Park, New Jersey for most of his life and had only registered to vote in Pennsylvania in October 2020.[11][12] The January 2022 entrance of David McCormick prompted attacks for his past detraction of Trump and criticism of "America First" economic policies from Oz allies.[13]
Candidates
Declared
- Kathy Barnette, veteran, political commentator and nominee for Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district in 2020[14]
- George Bochetto, Pennsylvania State Boxing Commissioner (1995–2002)[15][16]
- Jeff Bartos, businessman, philanthropist and nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 2018[17]
- Sean Gale, candidate for the Montgomery County Commission in 2019[18][19]
- David McCormick, former U.S. Under Secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs (2007–2009) and CEO of Bridgewater Associates (2020–2022)[20]
- Mehmet Oz, cardiothoracic surgeon, host of The Dr. Oz Show, and member of the President's Council on Sports, Fitness, and Nutrition (2018–present)[21]
- Carla Sands, former U.S. Ambassador to Denmark (2017–2021)[22][23][24]
- Everett Stern, businessman and candidate for Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district in 2014 and U.S. Senate in 2016[25]
-
Conservative political commentator
Kathy Barnette -
-
-
-
Withdrew
- Sean Parnell, U.S. Army veteran, author, and nominee for Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district in 2020 (endorsed McCormick)[10]
- Craig Snyder, former Chief of Staff to U.S. Senator Arlen Specter[26][27][28]
Publicly expressed interest
- Kenneth Braithwaite, former U.S. Secretary of the Navy (2020–2021), former U.S. Ambassador to Norway (2018–2020), and former advisor to U.S. Senator Arlen Specter[29]
- Ryan Costello, former U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district (2015–2019)[30][31]
- Keith Rothfus, former U.S. representative from Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district (2013–2019)[32][33]
- Kiron Skinner, Taube Professor of International Relations and Politics at Carnegie Mellon University and former Director of Policy Planning at the U.S. State Department (2018–2019)[34]
Potential
- Camera Bartolotta, state senator for the 46th district (2014–present)[31]
- Charlie Dent, former U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district (2005–2018)[30]
- Michelle Kichline, Chester County Commissioner (2014–present)[30]
- Paul Mango, former Deputy Chief of Staff for Policy at the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (2019–2021), and candidate for Governor in 2018[31]
- Mike Regan, state senator for the 31st district (2017–present)[30]
- Glenn Thompson, U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district; formerly Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district (2009–present)[31]
- Martina White, state representative for the 170th district (2015–present)[30]
Declined
- Lou Barletta, former U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district (2011–2019) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018 (running for Governor)[35]
- Mike Kelly, U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district; formerly Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district (2011–present)[36][37] (endorsed Parnell)
- Scott Martin, state senator for the 13th district (2017–present)(running for Governor)[38][39]
- Doug Mastriano, state senator for the 33rd district (2019–present), former U.S. Army colonel, and candidate for Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district in 2018 (running for Governor)[40]
- Pat Toomey, incumbent U.S. senator[4]
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman and son of former President Donald Trump (endorsed Parnell)[41][42][43]
Endorsements
- Executive Branch officials
- Michael Flynn, United States National Security Advisor (2017) (Democratic)[44]
- Sebastian Gorka, Deputy Assistant to the President (2017)[45]
- U.S. Representatives
- Burgess Owens, U.S Representative for Utah's 4th congressional district (2021–present)[45]
- State legislators
- Vernon Jones, Georgia state representative (1993–2001, 2017–2021) and candidate for Governor of Georgia in 2022[45]
- Doug Mastriano, Pennsylvania state senator for the 33rd district (2019–present)[46]
- Individuals
- Tomi Lahren, conservative political commentator and former television host[45]
- John Ratzenberger, actor[46]
- U.S. Representatives
- Fred Keller, U.S. Representative for Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district (2019–present)[47]
- Statewide officials
- Stacy Garrity, Pennsylvania Treasurer (2021–present)[48]
- State legislators
- Ryan Aument, Pennsylvania State Senator from the 36th District (2015–present), Pennsylvania State Representative from the 41st district (2011-2014)[46]
- Torren Ecker, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 193st district (2019–present)[49]
- Sue Helm, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 104th district (2007–present)[46]
- John D. Hershey, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 82nd district (2018–present)[50]
- R. Lee James, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 64th district (2013–present)[51]
- Barry Jozwiak, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 5th district (2015–present)[46]
- Aaron Kaufer, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 120th district (2015–present)[52]
- Dawn Keefer, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 92nd district (2015–present)[49]
- Dan Laughlin, Pennsylvania State Senator from the 49th district (2017–present)[49]
- Wayne Langerholc, Pennsylvania State Senator from the 35th district (2017–present)[50]
- Scott Martin, Pennsylvania State Senator from the 13th district (2017–present), Member of the Lancaster County Board of Commissioners (2008-2016)[46]
- Bob Mensch, Pennsylvania State Senator from the 24th district (2009–present), Pennsylvania State Representative from the 147th district (2007–2009)[49]
- Jack Rader, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 176th district (2015–present)[46]
- Frank Ryan, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 101st district (2016–present)[46]
- Tommy Sankey, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 73rd district (2015–present), Pennsylvania State Representative from the 74th district (2013–2015)[49]
- Patrick J. Stefano, Pennsylvania State Senator from the 32nd district (2015–present)[50]
- Jesse Topper, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 78th district (2014–present)[50]
- Scott Wagner, Pennsylvania State Senator from the 28th district (2014–2018), Republican nominee for Governor in 2018[53]
- Judy Ward, Pennsylvania State Senator from the 30th district (2019–present), Pennsylvania State Representative from the 80th district (2015–2018)[49]
- Individuals
- John D. Arnold, philanthropist and founder of Arnold Ventures LLC[54]
- Kenneth Langone, billionaire businessman, investor, and philanthropist[54]
- Ross Perot Jr., real estate developer[54]
- Individuals
- Roger Stone, political consultant and lobbyist[55]
- Executive Branch officials
- Gary Cohn, Director of the National Economic Council (Democratic)[56]
- Kellyanne Conway, Senior Counselor to the President (2017–2020)[57]
- Emil Henry, Assistant Secretary for Financial Institutions (2005-2007)[56]
- Hope Hicks, Counselor to the President (2020–2021), White House Communications Director (2017–2018), White House Director of Strategic Communications (2017)[57]
- Larry Kudlow, Director of the National Economic Council[13]
- Stephen Miller, Senior Advisor to the President (2017–2021), White House Director of Speechwriting (2017–2021)[57]
- Justin Muzinich, United States Deputy Secretary of the Treasury (2018-2021)[56]
- Matthew Pottinger, United States Deputy National Security Advisor (2019–2021)[58]
- Dina Powell, United States Deputy National Security Advisor for Strategy (2017–2018), Assistant Secretary of State for Educational and Cultural Affairs (2005–2007), Director of the White House Presidential Personnel Office (2003–2005) (McCormick's wife)[57]
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders, White House Press Secretary (2017–2019) White House Deputy Press Secretary (2017), 2022 candidate for Governor of Arkansas[57]
- Tony Sayegh, United States Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Public Affairs (2017–2019)[58]
- Jim Schultz, Associate White House Counsel (2017), General Counsel to the Governor of Pennsylvania (2012–2014)[57]
- Cliff Sims, Senior Advisor to the Director of National Intelligence (2020–2021), Special Assistant to the President (2017–2018)[57]
- Robert K. Steel, Under Secretary of the Treasury for Domestic Finance (2006-2008)[56]
- David Urban, Chair of the American Battle Monuments Commission (2018–2021)[57]
- U.S. Senators
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present), Solicitor General of Texas (2003–2008), candidate for President of the United States in 2016[59]
- U.S. Representatives
- Dan Meuser, U.S. Representative for Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district (2019–present)[60]
- Local officials
- Joel Klein, New York City Schools Chancellor (2002-2011), United States Assistant Attorney General for the Antitrust Division (1996-2000), Deputy White House Counsel (1993-1995) (Democratic)
- Party officials
- Robert Gleason, Chair of the Pennsylvania Republican Party (2006–2017), Secretary of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania (1985–1987)[57]
- Christine Toretti, Member of the Republican National Committee from Pennsylvania (1997–present)[57]
- Organizations
- Individuals
- John F. W. Rogers, Executive Vice President, Chief of Staff and Secretary to the Board of Goldman Sachs[56]
- Dan Senor, former political advisor to Mitt Romney[56]
- Executive Branch officials
- Wilbur Ross, United States Secretary of Commerce (2017–2021)[13]
- U.S. Representatives
- Guy Reschenthaler, U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district (2019–present) (previously endorsed Parnell)[61]
- Statewide officials
- George Pataki, Governor of New York (1995–2006)[62]
- Local officials
- Rudy Giuliani, Mayor of New York City (1994–2001)[62]
- Rudy Washington, Deputy Mayor of New York City (1994–1996)[62]
- Party officials
- Andrea Catsimatidis, Chair of the Manhattan Republican Party (2017–present)[62]
- Individuals
- John Catsimatidis, businessman and radio talk show host[62]
- Sean Hannity, conservative political commentator (Conservative Party)[13]
- Jean Shafiroff, socialite[62]
- Steve Wynn, real estate developer and art collector[13]
- Executive Branch officials
- Scott Brown, 19th United States ambassador to New Zealand and Samoa (2017–2020), former U.S. senator from Massachusetts (2010–2013)[63][non-primary source needed]
- Robert C. O'Brien, Former National Security Advisor (2019–2021)[64]
- U.S. Represeanttives
- Newt Gingrich, U.S. Representative for Georgia's 6th congressional district (1979–1999) and 50th Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives (1995–1999)[65]
- U.S. Presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[66]
- U.S. Senators officials
- Josh Hawley, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2019–present)[67]
- U.S. Representatives
- Dan Crenshaw, U.S. Representative for Texas's 2nd congressional district (2019–present)[68]
- Ronny Jackson, U.S. Representative for Texas's 13th congressional district (2021–present)[69]
- Mike Kelly, U.S. Representative for Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district (2019–present), U.S. Representative for Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district (2011–2019)[70]
Guy Reschenthaler, U.S. Representative for Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district (2019–present)(switched endorsement to Oz after Parnell withdrew)[70]
- Individuals
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman and son of former President Donald Trump[43]
- Executive Branch officials
- Miles Taylor, Chief of Staff to the United States Secretary of Homeland Security (2019)[71]
- U.S. Representatives
- James C. Greenwood, U.S. Representative for Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district (1993–2005)[27]
- Bill Kristol, Chief of Staff to the Vice President (1989–1993) and founder of The Weekly Standard and editor of The Bulwark[27]
- Joe Walsh, U.S. Representative for Illinois's 8th congressional district (2011–2013) (Independent)[71]
Polling
- Graphical summary
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kathy Barnette |
Jeff Bartos |
Sean Gale |
Mehmet Oz |
Sean Parnell |
Carla Sands |
Everett Stern |
Other | Undecided | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Trafalgar Group (R) | December 13–16, 2021 | 1,062 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 19% | – | 7% | – | 11% | 51% | ||||
Echelon Insights (R) | December 1–3, 2021 | 200 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 11% | – | 5% | 0% | 6%[c] | 63% | ||||
Parnell withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Civiqs (D) | October 31 – November 5, 2021 | 799 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 7% | 6% | 2% | – | 31% | 8% | – | – | 54% | ||||
Franklin & Marshall College | October 18–24, 2021 | 184 (RV) | ± 8.8% | 3% | 2% | 0% | – | 11% | 2% | – | 3% | 78% | ||||
OnMessage Inc. (R)[A] | October 11–14, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 7% | – | – | 27% | 4% | – | 5% | 57% | ||||
Franklin & Marshall College | August 9–15, 2021 | 154 (RV) | ± 10.9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | – | 14% | 1% | – | 7% | 66% |
Democratic primary
Campaign
The first two major Democratic candidates to announce were Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania John Fetterman and state representative Malcolm Kenyatta.[72] Both Fetterman and Kenyatta were considered to be staunchly progressive Democrats, but the two men were felt to appeal to different demographics.[72] By July 2021, Fetterman was considered the frontrunner in the Democratic primary, as a result of his high name recognition and strong fundraising.[73] U.S. Representative Conor Lamb, a moderate, center-left Democrat, entered the race on August 6, 2021.[74]
As the campaign progressed, Lamb and Fetterman became the two most prominent candidates, with Kenyatta and Montgomery County Commissioner Val Arkoosh also receiving media attention. Fetterman had maintained his frontrunner status as of December, and the other three contenders were viewed as mainly competing with each other in order to claim the anti-Fetterman mantle.[75]
Candidates
Declared
- Val Arkoosh, chair of the Montgomery County Board of Commissioners and physician[76]
- Kevin Baumlin, chief of Emergency and Urgent Care Services at Pennsylvania Hospital[77]
- John Fetterman, Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania (2019–present), former mayor of Braddock (2005–2019) and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016[36][78]
- Malcolm Kenyatta, state representative for the 181st district (2019–present)[79]
- Alexandria Khalil, member of the Jenkintown Borough Council (2019–present)[80]
- Conor Lamb, U.S. representative for PA-17, formerly PA-18 (2018–present)[81][82]
Withdrew
- John McGuigan, former president of the Norristown Municipal Council (1994–1997)[83][84]
- Eric Orts, professor at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania[85]
- Sharif Street, state senator for the 3rd district (2017–present), vice chair of the Pennsylvania Democratic Party, son of former Mayor of Philadelphia John Street and nephew of former state senator Milton Street[86]
Potential
- Eugene DePasquale, former Pennsylvania Auditor General (2013–2021) and nominee for PA-10 in 2020[38]
- Elizabeth Fiedler, state representative for the 184th district (2019–present)[29]
- Helen Gym, member of the Philadelphia City Council (2016–present)[29]
- Sara Innamorato, state representative for the 21st district (2019–present)[87]
- Joe Sestak, former U.S. representative for PA-07 (2007–2011), former Vice Admiral of the U.S. Navy, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2010, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016, and candidate for President in 2020[88]
- Joe Torsella, former Pennsylvania State Treasurer (2017–2021)[89][90]
Declined
- Brendan Boyle, U.S. representative for PA-02; formerly PA-13 (2015–present)[91]
- Madeleine Dean, U.S. representative for PA-04 (2019–present) (running for re-election)[92]
- Chrissy Houlahan, U.S. Representative for Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district (2019–present) (running for re-election)[93]
- Jim Kenney, Mayor of Philadelphia (2016–present) (endorsed Lamb)[94]
- Josh Shapiro, Pennsylvania Attorney General (2017–present) (running for Governor)[95][96]
- Susan Wild, U.S. representative for PA-07; formerly PA-15 (2018–present) (running for re-election)[97]
- Tom Wolf, Governor of Pennsylvania (2015–present)[98]
Endorsements
- State legislators
- Maria Collett, Pennsylvania State Senator from the 12th district (2019–present)[46]
- Judy Schwank, Pennsylvania State Senator from the 11th district (2011–present)[46]
- Tim Briggs, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 149th district (2009–present)[46]
- Joe Ciresi, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 146th district (2019–present)[46]
- Mary Jo Daley, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 148th district (2013–present)[46]
- Leanne Krueger, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 161st district (2015–present)[46]
- Steve Malagari, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 53rd district (2019–present)[46]
- Ben Sanchez, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 153rd district (2019–present)[46]
- Joe Webster, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 150th district (2019–present)[46]
- Pam DeLissio, Pennsylvania State Representative from the 194th district (2011–present)[46]
- Organizations
- U.S. Representatives
- Sharice Davids, U.S. Representative for Kansas's 3rd congressional district (2019–present)[46]
- Al Green, U.S. Representative for Texas's 3rd congressional district (2005–present)[46]
- State legislators
- Jessica Benham, Pennsylvania state representative from the 36th district (2021–present)[103]
- Matthew Bradford, Pennsylvania state representative from the 70th district (2009–present)[46]
- Donna Bullock, Pennsylvania state representative from the 195th district (2015–present)[46]
- Danilo Burgos, Pennsylvania state representative from the 197th district (2019–present)[46]
- Nancy Guenst, Pennsylvania state representative from the 152nd district (2021–present)[46]
- Joseph C. Hohenstein, Pennsylvania state representative from the 177th district (2019–present)[46]
- Stephen Kinsey, Pennsylvania state representative from the 201st district (2013–present)[46]
- Maureen Madden, Pennsylvania state representative from the 115th district (2009–present)[46]
- Jeanne McNeill, Pennsylvania state representative from the 133rd district (2018–present)[46]
- Local officials
- Kendra Brooks, Philadelphia City Councilor elected at-large (2020–present; Working Families Party[46]
- Jamie Gauthier, Philadelphia City Councilor from District 3 (2020–present)[104]
- Katherine Gilmore Richardson, Philadelphia City Councilor elected at-large (2020–present)[104]
- Mark Squilla, Philadelphia City Councilor from District 1 (2020–present) (2012–present)[46]
- Isaiah Thomas, Philadelphia City Councilor elected at-large (2020–present)[104]
- Labor unions
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees District Council #33[105]
- American Federation of Teachers[106]
- Service Employees International Union[107]
- Organizations
- Political parties
- Individuals
- Gloria Steinem, author, women's rights activist[112]
- U.S. Representatives
- Joe Neguse, U.S. Representative for Colorado's 2nd congressional district (2019–present), Co-Chair of the House Democratic Policy and Communications Committee (2021–present)[46]
- State legislators
- Amen Brown, Pennsylvania state representative from the 190th district (2021–present)[46]
- Ryan Bizzarro, Pennsylvania state representative from the 3rd district (2013–present)[113]
- Jim Brewster, Pennsylvania state Senator from the 45th district (2010–present)[114]
- Jay Costa, Democratic Leader of the Pennsylvania Senate (2011–present), Pennsylvania state Senator from the 43rd district (1996–present), Register of Wills of Allegheny County (1992–1996)[115]
- Tina Davis, Pennsylvania state representative from the 141st district (2011–present)[46]
- Frank Dermody, Democratic Leader of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives (2011–2020), Pennsylvania state representative from the 33rd district (1990–2020)[81]
- Wayne D. Fontana, Pennsylvania state Senator from the 42rd district (2005–present), Allegheny County Councilor from the 12th district (2000–2005)[114]
- Dan Frankel, Pennsylvania state representative from the 23rd district (1999–present)[46]
- William C. Kortz, Pennsylvania state representative from the 38th district (2007–2020)[46]
- Anita Kulik, Pennsylvania state representative from the 45th district (2017–present)[46]
- Robert Matzie, Pennsylvania state representative from the 16th district (2009–present)[46]
- Dan Miller, Pennsylvania state representative from the 42nd district (2013–present)[46]
- Napoleon Nelson, Pennsylvania state representative from the 154th district (2021–present)[46]
- Nick Pisciottano, Pennsylvania state representative from the 38th district (2021–present)[46]
- Pam Snyder, Pennsylvania state representative from the 50th District (2013–present)[116]
- Jake Wheatley, Pennsylvania state representative from the 19th district (2003–2022)[116]
- Dan K. Williams, Pennsylvania state representative from the 74th district (2019–present)[46]
- Local officials
- Ricky Burgess, Pittsburgh City Councilor (2008-present)[46]
- Anthony Coghill, Pittsburgh City Councilor (2018-present)[46]
- Rich Fitzgerald, Allegheny County Executive (2012–present)[82]
- Curtis J. Jones Jr., Philadelphia City Councilor from the 4th district (2008-present)[46]
- Jim Kenney, Mayor of Philadelphia (2016–present)[117]
- Thomas J. Murphy Jr., Mayor of Pittsburgh (1994–2006)[81]
- Corey O'Connor, Pittsburgh City Councilor (2012-present)[46]
- Jack Stollsteimer, Delaware County District Attorney (2020–present)[118]
- Labor unions
- Communications Workers of America[119]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local #5, #98, #269, #654[120][121]
- Operative Plasterers' and Cement Masons' International Association Local #592[120][122]
- Philadelphia Building & Construction Trades Council[120]
- Organizations
- Pennsylvania Democratic Party-Latino Caucus[46]
- VoteVets.org[123]
Polling
- Graphical summary
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Val Arkoosh |
John Fetterman |
Malcolm Kenyatta |
Conor Lamb |
Sharif Street |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GQR Research (D)[B] | December 14–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 6% | 44% | 20% | 15% | – | 2% | 12% |
GBAO (D)[C] | November 16–23, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 5% | 42% | 15% | 16% | – | – | 21% |
Civiqs (D) | October 31 – November 5, 2021 | 929 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 2% | 52% | 5% | 12% | 2% | 6% | 21% |
Franklin & Marshall College | October 18–24, 2021 | 208 (RV) | ± 8.2% | 4% | 34% | 5% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 37% |
Franklin & Marshall College | August 9–15, 2021 | 175 (RV) | ± 10.2% | 6% | 33% | 5% | 12% | 0% | 3% | 42% |
Data for Progress (D)[C] | May 7–14, 2021 | 302 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 5% | 40% | 9% | 21% | 2% | 8%[e] | 14% |
Libertarian convention
Candidates
Declared
- Erik Gerhardt, carpenter and candidate for president in 2020[126][127]
Potential
- Dan Truitt, former state representative (2011–2017)[128]
Withdrew
- Steve Scheetz, former chair of the Libertarian Party of Pennsylvania (2013–2015, 2019–2021)[126][129][130]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[131] | Tossup | November 19, 2021 |
Inside Elections[132] | Tilt R | January 7, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[133] | Tossup | November 3, 2021 |
RCP[134] | Tossup | January 10, 2022 |
Polling
- Jeff Bartos vs. John Fetterman
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Jeff Bartos (R) |
John Fetterman (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Garin-Hart-Yang (D)[D] | May 10–19, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 36% | 45% | 19% |
Data for Progress (D)[C] | May 7–14, 2021 | 310 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 38% | 48% | 14% |
- Jeff Bartos vs. Conor Lamb
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Jeff Bartos (R) |
Conor Lamb (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D)[C] | May 7–14, 2021 | 341 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 42% | 43% | 15% |
- Mehmet Oz vs. John Fetterman
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Mehmet Oz (R) |
John Fetterman (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D)[C] | December 3–5, 2021 | 581 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 44% | 13% |
- Sean Parnell vs. John Fetterman
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Sean Parnell (R) |
John Fetterman (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Garin-Hart-Yang (D)[D] | May 10–19, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
Data for Progress (D)[C] | May 7–14, 2021 | 310 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 40% | 48% | 12% |
- Sean Parnell vs. Conor Lamb
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Sean Parnell (R) |
Conor Lamb (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D)[C] | May 7–14, 2021 | 341 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 44% | 42% | 14% |
Notes
- ^ a b The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
- ^ a b c d e f g Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Jeffries with 2%; Xu with 1%
- ^ Conor Lamb received the most delegate votes of 169, but failed to reach the self-imposed threshold of a two-thirds majority vote, meaning that no candidate will receive the endorsement of the Pennsylvania Democratic Party.
- ^ Houlahan with 8%
- Partisan clients
References
- ^ Greenwood, Max (January 1, 2021). "Seven Senate races to watch in 2022". The Hill. Archived from the original on March 12, 2021. Retrieved March 9, 2021.
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External links
- Val Arkoosh (D) for Senate
- Kathy Barnette (R) for Senate
- Jeff Bartos (R) for Senate
- Kevin Baumlin (D) for Senate
- John Fetterman (D) for Senate
- Sean Gale (R) for Senate
- Erik Gerhardt (L) for Senate
- Robert "Bobby" Jeffries (R) for Senate
- Malcolm Kenyatta (D) for Senate
- Alexandria Khalil (D) for Senate
- Conor Lamb (D) for Senate
- Mehmet Oz (R) for Senate
- Carla Sands (R) for Senate
- Everett Stern (R) for Senate
- Sharif Street (D) for Senate
- David Xu (R) for Senate