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2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska

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Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska
← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout%
Votes counted
99%
as of Nov. 7, 2020, 4:07 PM EST[1]
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Projected electoral vote 4 1
Popular vote 544,150 362,038
Percentage 58.5% 39.1%
President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

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The 2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska is a state that donald dump stole from the real president.was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[2] Nebraska voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Nebraska has 5 electoral votes in the Electoral College, 2 from the state at large, and 1 each from the three congressional districts.[3]

By the time that the primary elections were held in Nebraska on May 12, 2020, incumbent President Donald Trump was already the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, being the only viable declared major candidate left. On the Democratic Party's side, Vice President Joe Biden became the presumptive nominee after Senator Bernie Sanders, his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020.

Primary elections

The primary elections were held on May 12, 2020.

Republican primary

Donald Trump was declared the winner in the Republican primary,[4] and thus received all of Nebraska's 36 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[5]

2020 Nebraska Republican Primary
Candidate Votes % Estimated
delegates
Donald Trump 243,721 91.4 36
Bill Weld 22,934 8.6 0
Total 266,655 100% 36

Democratic primary

Joe Biden was declared the winner in the Democratic primary.[4]

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Nebraska Democratic presidential primary § NEresults.[edit]
2020 Nebraska Democratic presidential primary[6]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[7]
Joe Biden 126,444 76.83 29
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) 23,214 14.10
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 10,401 6.32
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) 4,523 2.75
Total 164,582 100% 29

Libertarian primary

Jo Jorgensen was declared the winner of the Libertarian primary and went on to win the LP nomination. [8]

Nebraska Libertarian presidential primary, May 12, 2020 [9]
Candidate Votes Percentage
Jo Jorgensen 508 27.8%
Jacob Hornberger 444 24.3%
Adam Kokesh 263 14.4%
Lincoln Chafee (withdrawn) 254 13.9%
Max Abramson (withdrawn) 182 10.0%
Dan Behrman 177 9.7%
Total 1,828 100%

General election

Predictions

At-large

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Safe R September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[11] Safe R September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe R July 14, 2020
Politico[13] Safe R September 8, 2020
RCP[14] Safe R August 3, 2020
Niskanen[15] Safe R July 26, 2020
CNN[16] Safe R August 3, 2020
The Economist[17] Safe R September 2, 2020
CBS News[18] Likely R August 16, 2020
270towin[19] Safe R August 2, 2020
ABC News[20] Safe R July 31, 2020
NPR[21] Likely R August 3, 2020
NBC News[22] Safe R August 6, 2020
538[23] Safe R September 9, 2020

1st district

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe R October 28, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe R October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] Safe R November 2, 2020
Politico[27] Safe R November 2, 2020
RCP[28] Safe R August 3, 2020
Niskanen[29] Safe R September 15, 2020
CNN[30] Safe R June 11, 2020
The Economist[31] Safe R November 3, 2020
CBS News[32] Likely R August 16, 2020
270towin[33] Safe R November 2, 2020
ABC News[34] Likely R November 2, 2020
NPR[35] Lean R October 9, 2020
NBC News[36] Safe R August 6, 2020
538[37] Safe R November 2, 2020

2nd district

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Lean D (flip) September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Tilt D (flip) September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] Lean D (flip) September 10, 2020
Politico[27] Tossup September 8, 2020
RCP[28] Tossup August 3, 2020
Niskanen[15] Tossup July 26, 2020
CNN[30] Tossup September 20, 2020
The Economist[31] Lean R September 2, 2020
CBS News[32] Lean D (flip) August 16, 2020
270towin[33] Tossup August 2, 2020
ABC News[34] Lean D (flip) July 31, 2020
NPR[35] Lean D (flip) October 9, 2020
NBC News[36] Tossup August 6, 2020
538[37] Lean D (flip) October 8, 2020

3rd district

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe R October 28, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe R October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] Safe R November 2, 2020
Politico[27] Safe R November 2, 2020
RCP[28] Safe R August 3, 2020
Niskanen[29] Safe R September 15, 2020
CNN[30] Safe R June 11, 2020
The Economist[31] Safe R November 3, 2020
CBS News[32] Likely R August 16, 2020
270towin[33] Safe R November 2, 2020
ABC News[34] Likely R November 2, 2020
NPR[35] Likely R October 9, 2020
NBC News[36] Safe R August 6, 2020
538[37] Safe R November 2, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other/
Undecided
[a] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight until October 31, 2020 November 1, 2020 42.7% 52.5% 4.8% Trump +9.8
Statewide
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian 		Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 2,423 (LV) – 53% 46% - - –
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 799 (LV) – 57% 41% - - 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 560 (LV) – 53% 47% - - 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 910 (LV) – 54% 44% - - 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 267 (LV) – 56% 42% - - 2%
in Nebraska's 1st congressional district
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian 		Other Undecided
Strategies 360/Kate Bolz[A] Jul 16–22, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 46% - - –
in Nebraska's 2nd congressional district
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian 		Other Undecided
University of Nevada Oct 30 – Nov 2, 2020 191 (LV) ± 7% 44% 50% 5% – –
Change Research Oct 29 – Nov 2, 2020 920 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 50% 2% 0%[c] 0%
Emerson College Oct 29–30, 2020 806 (LV) ± 3.5% 48%[d] 50% - 2%[e] –
FM3 Research/Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC[B] Oct 1–4, 2020 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 42% 53% - 5%[f] –
Siena College/NYT Sep 25–27, 2020 420 (LV) ± 5.3% 41% 48% 4% 1%[g] 6%[h]
Global Strategy Group/House Majority PAC[C] Sep 14–16, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 50% - 1%[i] 3%[j]
Global Strategy Group/House Majority PAC[C] Jul 27–29, 2020 400 (LV) – 45% 51% - 2%[k] 3%[l]
GQR/Kara Eastman[D] Jun 30 – Jul 5, 2020 502 (LV) ± 4.37% 44% 51% - – –
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department/Ally Mutnick[E] May 7–10, 2020 448 (LV) ± 4.6% 41% 52% - – –

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska[38]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
Write-in
Total votes

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ "Don't recall" and Would not vote with 0%
  4. ^ With voters tho lean towards a given candidate
  5. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  6. ^ "Undecided, will vote for another candidate or refused to answer" with 5%
  7. ^ would not vote with 1%; "someone else" with 0%
  8. ^ Includes "Refused"
  9. ^ "Other candidate" with 1%
  10. ^ Includes "Refused"
  11. ^ "Other candidate" with 2%
  12. ^ Includes "Refused"
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Bolz's campaign
  2. ^ The Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC exclusively supports Democratic candidates
  3. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the House Majority PAC which exclusively endorses Democratic candidates
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Eastman's campaign
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by the DCCC

See also

References

  1. ^ "Nebraska presidential election results 2020: Live results and polls". www.nbcnews.com. Retrieved November 7, 2020.
  2. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. ^ a b "Joe Biden picks up more delegates in Nebraska primary win". CBS News. May 12, 2020.
  5. ^ "Nebraska Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved May 12, 2020.
  6. ^ "Official Report of the Nebraska Board of State Canvassers: Primary Election, May 12, 2020" (PDF). Nebraska Board of State Canvassers. June 8, 2020. Retrieved October 14, 2020.
  7. ^ "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved May 13, 2020.
  8. ^ Winger, Richard (May 23, 2020). "Jo Jorgensen Wins Libertarian Presidential Nomination on Fourth Vote". Ballot Access Date. Retrieved May 24, 2020.
  9. ^ https://electionresults.nebraska.gov/resultsSW.aspx?text=Race&type=PRS&map=CTY
  10. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  11. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  12. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  13. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  14. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  15. ^ a b 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  16. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  17. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  18. ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  19. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  20. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  21. ^ "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  22. ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  23. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  24. ^ a b c "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  25. ^ a b c "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  26. ^ a b c "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  27. ^ a b c "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  28. ^ a b c "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  29. ^ a b "Niskanen Center electoral college map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved November 3, 2020.
  30. ^ a b c David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  31. ^ a b c "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  32. ^ a b c "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  33. ^ a b c "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  34. ^ a b c "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  35. ^ a b c "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes".
  36. ^ a b c "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  37. ^ a b c "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  38. ^ "Official List of Candidates" (PDF). Nebraska Secretary of State. Retrieved September 17, 2020.

Further reading

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