2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida: Difference between revisions

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====Declared====
====Declared====
*Joesph Babits, attorney<ref>{{cite news |title=Babits Provides Strong Endorsement of President Trump in Florida 8th District |url=https://www.brproud.com/business/press-releases/ein-presswire/687511096/babits-provides-strong-endorsement-of-president-trump-in-florida-8th-district/ |publisher=BR Proud |date=February 12, 2024 |access-date=February 15, 2024 |quote=Republican candidate for Florida's 8th Congressional District and challenger to incumbent Bill Posey, joins President Trump in 'Save America' movement.}}</ref>
*Joesph Babits, attorney<ref>{{cite news |title=Babits Provides Strong Endorsement of President Trump in Florida 8th District |url=https://www.brproud.com/business/press-releases/ein-presswire/687511096/babits-provides-strong-endorsement-of-president-trump-in-florida-8th-district/ |publisher=BR Proud |date=February 12, 2024 |access-date=February 15, 2024 |quote=Republican candidate for Florida's 8th Congressional District and challenger to incumbent Bill Posey, joins President Trump in 'Save America' movement.}}</ref>
*[[Mike Haridopolos]], former [[List of presidents of the Florida Senate|president of the Florida Senate]] (2010–2012) from the 26th district (2003–2012)<ref>{{cite web|url=https://floridapolitics.com/archives/671434-mike-haridopolos-jumps-into-race-for-bill-poseys-cd-8-seat/|title=Mike Haridopolos jumps into race for Bill Posey’s CD 8 seat|last=Ogles|first=Jacob|date=April 26, 2024|access-date=April 26, 2024}}</ref>
*John Hearton, [[information assurance]] executive<ref name = "6/23 roundup"/>
*John Hearton, [[information assurance]] executive<ref name = "6/23 roundup"/>
*Brian Jones, systems engineer<ref name=Posey24/>
*Brian Jones, systems engineer<ref name=Posey24/>

Revision as of 17:09, 26 April 2024

2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

← 2022 November 5, 2024 2026 →

All 28 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Current seats 20 8

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the 28 U.S. representatives from the state of Florida, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections are scheduled for August 20, 2024. Florida's congressional districts have faced heavy accusations of partisan and racial gerrymandering due to minimizing the voting power of black Floridians. Florida's congressional map is currently being challenged in court.

Background

On September 2, 2023, a Florida judge ruled that Florida's congressional map, created by Governor Ron DeSantis, violated the Florida Constitution and cannot be used for any future House elections.[1] The issue was specifically on Florida's 5th district, then represented by Democrat Al Lawson, which was removed and replaced by a Republican-leaning district. This was controversial because the district had an African-American plurality.[1] The state's successful appeal is to be challenged in front of the Florida Supreme Court, but the court's timeline makes it unlikely a redrawn map will be created by election time. A concurrent federal lawsuit is also in progress.[2]

District 1

The incumbent is Republican Matt Gaetz, who was re-elected with 67.9% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Matt Gaetz (R) $3,734,617 $2,424,607 $1,879,444
Source: Federal Election Commission[8]

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Gay Valimont, athletic trainer[9]

Endorsements

Gay Valimont

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Gay Valimont (D) $183,452[a] $147,738 $35,714
Source: Federal Election Commission[8]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R December 5, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 2

The incumbent is Republican Neal Dunn, who was re-elected with 59.8% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

  • Neal Dunn, incumbent U.S. representative[16]
  • Rhonda Woodward, former elementary school principal[4]

Endorsements

Neal Dunn

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Neal Dunn (R) $680,748 $491,489 $434,264
Source: Federal Election Commission[17]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R December 5, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 3

The incumbent is Republican Kat Cammack, who was re-elected with 62.5% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kat Cammack (R) $1,114,236 $657,111 $496,527
Source: Federal Election Commission[21]

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Tom Wells, scientist and perennial candidate[4]

Independents and third-party candidates

Declared

  • Anthony Stebbins (Libertarian), correctional officer[22]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 4

The incumbent is Republican Aaron Bean, who was elected with 60.5% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Withdrawn

  • Robert Alvero, firefighter[23]

Endorsements

Aaron Bean

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Aaron Bean (R) $683,036 $311,339 $464,561
Source: Federal Election Commission[24]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • LaShonda Holloway, former aide to U.S. Representative Carrie Meek, perennial candidate, and nominee for this district in 2022[25]

General election

Write-in candidates

  • Todd Schaefer (Independent), real estate agent[26]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 5

The incumbent is Republican John Rutherford, who was unopposed in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • James Anthony May[28]

Publicly expressed interest

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mara Macie (R) $8,158 $778 $10,255
John Rutherford (R) $361,230 $167,374 $439,478
Source: Federal Election Commission[30]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R March 21, 2024
Inside Elections[12] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 6

The incumbent is Republican Michael Waltz, who was re-elected with 75.3% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Michael Waltz (R) $1,144,071 $797,896 $1,415,344
Source: Federal Election Commission[32]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 7

The incumbent is Republican Cory Mills, who was elected with 58.5% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Derrick Brantley[33]

Endorsements

Cory Mills

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Cory Mills (R) $603,311[b] $559,431 $69,902
Source: Federal Election Commission[34]

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Tatiana Fernandez, industrial supply company owner and candidate for this district in 2022[4]
  • Allek Pastrana, cyber engineer and candidate for this district in 2022[22]

Filed paperwork

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Allek Pastrana (D) $17,535[c] $16,993 $560
Source: Federal Election Commission[34]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Likely R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 8

The incumbent is Republican Bill Posey, who was re-elected with 64.9% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Endorsements

Bill Posey
Executive branch officials
U.S. Representatives
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Hearton (R) $256,025[d] $122,152 $133,872
Bill Posey (R) $348,579 $245,723 $525,878
Source: Federal Election Commission[40]

Democratic primary

Declared

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Dan McDow (D) $22,280[e] $18,047 $4,232
Source: Federal Election Commission[40]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 9

The 9th district includes much of Greater Orlando, stretching from eastern Orlando towards Yeehaw Junction and including the cities of Kissimmee and St. Cloud. The incumbent is Democrat Darren Soto, who was re-elected with 53.6% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Darren Soto (D) $765,779 $283,742 $546,317
Source: Federal Election Commission[44]

Republican primary

Declared

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Quiñones (R) $71,899[f] $19,203 $52,696
Source: Federal Election Commission[44]

Independents

Declared

  • Marcus Carter, entrepreneur[4]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Likely D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Likely D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Likely D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 10

The incumbent is Democrat Maxwell Frost, who was elected with 59% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Maxwell Frost (D) $1,816,662 $1,214,679 $935,981
Source: Federal Election Commission[52]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Tuan Le, cafe owner and candidate for this district in 2022[53]
  • Willie Montague, life coach and candidate for this district in 2020 and 2022[53]
  • Troy Rambaransingh, courier service owner[53]
  • Sam Williams[53]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Willie Montague (R) $4,249 $3,162 $1,089
Source: Federal Election Commission[52]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 11

The 11th district consists of a portion of Central Florida, including The Villages and the western Orlando suburbs. The incumbent is Republican Daniel Webster, who was re-elected with 63.1% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Endorsements

Daniel Webster

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John McCloy (R) $78,376[g] $57,074 $21,302
Anthony Sabatini (R) $287,196 $125,800 $161,931
Daniel Webster (R) $513,188 $222,123 $518,936
Source: Federal Election Commission[57]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[h]
Margin
of error
Anthony
Sabatini
Daniel
Webster
Other/
undecided
RMG Research[A] November 14–19, 2023 300 (LV) ? 29% 35% 36%[i]

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Barbie Hall, paralegal[59]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 12

The incumbent is Republican Gus Bilirakis, who was re-elected with 70.4% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Endorsements

Gus Bilirakis

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Gus Bilirakis (R) $840,984 $522,808 $461,273
Source: Federal Election Commission[63]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 13

The 13th district includes most of Pinellas County, including the cities of Largo, Clearwater, and Palm Harbor, as well as a western portion of St. Petersburg. The incumbent is Republican Anna Paulina Luna, who flipped the district and was elected with 53.1% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Anna Paulina Luna (R) $1,122,274 $617,143 $549,966
Source: Federal Election Commission[65]

Democratic primary

Declared

Declined

  • Ben Diamond, former state representative (2016–2022) and candidate for this district in 2022 (endorsed Fox)[70]

Endorsements

Sabrina Bousbar
Whitney Fox
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Individuals

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Whitney Fox (D) $204,077[k] $52,907 $151,169
John Liccione (D) $24,333[l] $18,460 $5,872
Mark Weinkrantz (D) $43,791[m] $19,614 $24,176
Source: Federal Election Commission[65]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Likely R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Lean R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Likely R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Likely R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Likely R November 16, 2023

District 14

The 14th district is based in western Hillsborough County and southeastern Pinellas County, including most of Tampa and some of St. Petersburg. The incumbent is Democrat Kathy Castor, who was re-elected with 56.9% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kathy Castor (D) $503,808 $296,511 $558,267
Source: Federal Election Commission[85]

Republican primary

Declared

  • Renee Marsella, elementary school teacher[86]
  • John Peters, carpet cleaning franchise owner[86]
  • Neelam Taneja Perry, physician[86]
  • Robert Rochford, retired U.S. Navy captain[86]
  • Peter Shatner, insurance salesperson[87]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Peters (R) $13,666[n] $8,702 $4,963
Neelam Taneja Perry (R) $2,040[o] $2,040 $0
Robert Rochford (R) $10,605 $7,220 $3,384
Source: Federal Election Commission[85]

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Nathaniel Snyder, mechanic[88]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 15

The incumbent is Republican Laurel Lee, who was elected with 58.5% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

On March 25, former president Donald Trump called for someone to mount a primary challenge to Lee; he did not explain why he thought that Lee should be ousted. Media sources pointed out that Lee had endorsed Ron DeSantis for president and had recently voted for a controversial spending package that the Freedom Caucus opposed.[89]

Declared

Filed paperwork

Declined

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Laurel Lee (R) $581,958 $230,980 $438,217
Source: Federal Election Commission[95]

Democratic primary

Declared

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kris Fitzgerald (D) $17,132 $13,818 $3,314
Source: Federal Election Commission[95]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Likely R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 16

The 16th district encompasses Manatee County and eastern Hillsborough County, taking in Tampa's eastern suburbs, including Riverview and parts of Brandon. The incumbent is Republican Vern Buchanan, who was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Vern Buchanan
Sheriffs
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Vern Buchanan (R) $868,237 $667,317 $1,584,270
Eddie Speir (R) $522,328[p] $93,261 $427,152
Source: Federal Election Commission[102]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[h]
Margin
of error
Vern
Buchanan
Eddie
Speir
Other/
undecided
St. Pete Polls[B] April 3, 2024 431 (LV) ± 4.7% 64% 13% 23%

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Jan Schneider, attorney, perennial candidate, and nominee for this district in 2016 and 2022[4]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 17

The incumbent is Republican Greg Steube, who was re-elected with 63.8% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Endorsements

Greg Steube

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Greg Steube (R) $774,646 $541,655 $1,200,404
Source: Federal Election Commission[103]

Democratic primary

Declared

Withdrawn

  • Andrea Doria Kale, retired tech professional and nominee for this district in 2022[104] (running in the 18th district)[4]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 18

The incumbent is Republican Scott Franklin, who was re-elected with 74.7% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Endorsements

Scott Franklin

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Scott Franklin (R) $377,663 $161,493 $568,945
Source: Federal Election Commission[105]

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Peter Braunston, tech support specialist[4]
  • Andrea Doria Kale, retired tech professional and nominee for the 17th district in 2022[4]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 19

The 19th district includes the cities of Cape Coral, Fort Myers, Bonita Springs and Naples. The incumbent is Republican Byron Donalds, who was re-elected with 68.0% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Byron Donalds

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Byron Donalds (R) $2,321,535 $2,142,959 $916,567
Source: Federal Election Commission[107]

Democratic primary

Declared

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kari Lerner (D) $16,949[q] $8,071 $8,877
Source: Federal Election Commission[107]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 20

The incumbent is Democrat Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, who was re-elected with 72.3% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D) $327,816 $193,157 $137,436
Source: Federal Election Commission[111]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 21

The incumbent is Republican Brian Mast, who was re-elected with 63.5% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brian Mast (R) $1,547,209 $1,571,200 $2,089,683
Source: Federal Election Commission[114]

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Thomas Witkop, neighborhood resource center manager[112]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 22

The 22nd district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of West Palm Beach, Boynton Beach, and Wellington. The incumbent is Democrat Lois Frankel, who was re-elected with 55.1% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Lois Frankel (D) $864,026 $298,367 $1,211,365
Source: Federal Election Commission[117]

Republican primary

Declared

  • Deborah Adeimy, businesswoman and candidate for this district in 2022[118]
  • Dan Franzese, investment executive and nominee for this district in 2022[118]
  • Andrew Gutmann, tech executive[119]
  • Lavern Spicer, nonprofit executive, nominee for the 24th district in 2020 and candidate in 2022[22]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Deborah Adeimy (R) $74,141[r] $9,755 $64,829
Dan Franzese (R) $294,556[s] $279,249 $23,287
Andrew Gutmann (R) $401,026[t] $93,549 $307,476
Source: Federal Election Commission[117]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 23

The 23rd district covers parts of Broward County and southern Palm Beach County, including the cities of Boca Raton, Coral Springs, and most of Deerfield Beach and Fort Lauderdale. The incumbent is Democrat Jared Moskowitz, who was elected with 51.6% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jared Moskowitz (D) $653,427 $442,081 $293,968
Source: Federal Election Commission[121]

Republican primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Steven Chess, chiropractor and candidate for this district in 2022[125]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Joe Thelusca (R) $13,400[u] $11,403 $1,996
Source: Federal Election Commission[121]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Likely D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid D November 13, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Likely D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Very Likely D November 16, 2023

District 24

The incumbent is Democrat Frederica Wilson, who was re-elected in with 71.79% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Frederica Wilson (D) $230,336 $242,248 $551,696
Source: Federal Election Commission[126]

Republican primary

Declared

  • Patricia Gonzalez, mortgage loan originator[4]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 25

The incumbent is Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who was re-elected with 55,09% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Jen Perelman
Individuals

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) $1,593,903 $1,019,654 $1,356,628
Source: Federal Election Commission[130]

Republican primary

Declared

  • Chris Eddy, Weston city commissioner[22]
  • Rubin Young, former legislative aide and perennial candidate[4]

Potential

Withdrawn

  • Carla Spalding, nurse, perennial candidate, and nominee for this district in 2022[22] (running in the 23rd district)[115]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Chris Eddy (R) $164,427[w] $78,863 $85,563
Carla Spalding (R) $331,995 $302,933 $41,981
Source: Federal Election Commission[130]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid D September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 26

The incumbent is Republican Mario Díaz-Balart, who was re-elected with 70.89% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Endorsements

Mario Díaz-Balart
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mario Díaz-Balart (R) $982,421 $677,580 $1,584,350
Source: Federal Election Commission[132]

Democraticprimary

Declared

  • Joey Atkins, attorney[4]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 27

The 27th district includes parts of southern Miami, including Downtown, Little Havana, and Kendall, as well as Palmetto Estates and parts of Fontainebleau and Westchester. The incumbent is Republican María Elvira Salazar, who was re-elected with 57.3% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
María Elvira Salazar (R) $1,310,118 $507,577 $832,420
Source: Federal Election Commission[135]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Lucia Báez-Geller
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Lucia Báez-Geller (D) $102,419 $16,505 $85,913
Source: Federal Election Commission[135]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Likely R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Likely R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Very Likely R November 16, 2023

District 28

The incumbent is Republican Carlos Giménez who was re-elected with 63.69% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary

Declared

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Carlos Giménez (R) $545,051 $358,911 $905,945
Source: Federal Election Commission[142]

Democratic primary

Declared

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Phil Ehr
U.S. representatives

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Phil Ehr (D) $852,593 $784,994 $67,598
Source: Federal Election Commission[142]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Solid R September 7, 2023
Inside Elections[12] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[14] Safe R September 7, 2023
CNalysis[15] Solid R November 16, 2023

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[h]
Margin
of error
Carlos
Gímenez (R)
Phil
Ehr (D)
Other Undecided
Change Research (D)[C] October 13–17, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.7% 45% 32% 7%[x] 16%

Notes

  1. ^ $20,000 of this total was self-funded by Valimont
  2. ^ $79,668 of this total was self-funded by Mills
  3. ^ $13,986 of this total was self-funded by Pastrana
  4. ^ $140,000 of this total was self-funded by Hearton
  5. ^ $3,510 of this total was self-funded by Horne
  6. ^ $17,500 of this total was self-funded by Quiñones
  7. ^ $49,900 of this total was self-funded by McCloy
  8. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  9. ^ The poll's sponsor only revealed the numbers for Sabatini and Webster, and did not explain how the remaining 36% of respondents answered.
  10. ^ Numbered as the 11th from 2007–2013
  11. ^ $5,246 of this total was self-funded by Fox
  12. ^ $17,837 of this total was self-funded by Liccione
  13. ^ $20,000 of this total was self-funded by Weinkrantz
  14. ^ $8,785 of this total was self-funded by Peters
  15. ^ $2,000 of this total was self-funded by Perry
  16. ^ $501,000 of this total was self-funded by Speir
  17. ^ $3,742 of this total was self-funded by Lerner
  18. ^ $2,000 of this total was self-funded by Adeimy
  19. ^ $215,000 of this total was self-funded by Franzese
  20. ^ $110,000 of this total was self-funded by Gutmann
  21. ^ $8,200 of this total was self-funded by Thelusca
  22. ^ This district was numbered as the 23rd district prior to the 2020 redistricting cycle
  23. ^ $30,000 of this total was self-funded by Eddy
  24. ^ "Would not vote" with 7%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by US Term Limits, which supports Sabatini[58]
  2. ^ Poll commissioned by Florida Politics
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by Ehr's campaign

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  138. ^ a b Cohen, Max (December 17, 2023). "THE TALLY". Punchbowl News. Retrieved November 13, 2023. News: Lucia Báez-Geller, the Democrat running to unseat Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (R-Fla.), is receiving the endorsements of former Democratic Florida Reps. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell and Donna Shalala.
  139. ^ a b Scheckner, Jesse (April 3, 2024). "'A record of fighting for South Florida families': Shevrin Jones endorses Lucia Báez-Geller for Congress". Florida Politics. Retrieved April 10, 2024.
  140. ^ "CHC BOLD PAC Endorses Lucia Báez-Geller in Florida's 27th Congressional District". www.boldpac.com. CHC BOLD PAC. April 5, 2024. Retrieved April 10, 2024.
  141. ^ "EMILYs List Endorses Lucia Báez-Geller for Election to Florida's 27th Congressional District". EMILYs List. March 26, 2024. Retrieved March 26, 2024.
  142. ^ a b "2024 Election United States House - Florida 28th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved September 17, 2023.
  143. ^ Fineout, Gary (October 18, 2023). "Challenger to Rick Scott drops out of Florida Senate race". POLITICO. Retrieved October 18, 2023.
  144. ^ Fineout, Gary (July 17, 2023). "Florida Navy vet mounts bid to defeat Rick Scott". POLITICO. Retrieved July 17, 2023.
  145. ^ Scheckner, Jesse (February 2, 2024). "Phil Ehr outraises Carlos Giménez in Q4, but lags far behind in cash on hand". Florida Politics. Retrieved April 9, 2024. The FEC lists two other Democrats as running in CD 28...one, Marcos Reyes, dropped out of the race last month to instead challenge incumbent Miami Republican state Rep. Juan Porras
  146. ^ Fineout, Gary (October 18, 2023). "Challenger to Rick Scott drops out of Florida Senate race". Politico. Retrieved October 19, 2023. Mucarsel-Powell, who is endorsing Ehr, lost her congressional seat to Gimenez in the 2020 election.

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