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2016 United States presidential election in Arkansas

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Main article: 2016 United States presidential election
2016 United States presidential election in Arkansas
← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout64.65% Decrease
 
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 6 0
Popular vote 684,872 380,494
Percentage 60.57% 33.65%
County Results
President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county

The 2016 United States presidential election in Arkansas was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Arkansas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

Despite Hillary Clinton having once served as First Lady of Arkansas for 12 years as the wife of then Governor of Arkansas Bill Clinton, Donald Trump won the state with 60.57% of the vote, and Hillary Clinton received 33.65% of the vote.[1] The Republican candidate has carried Arkansas in every election since 2000. This is also the first election that the state has simultaneously voted for a Republican presidential candidate and an incumbent Republican senate candidate. Arkansas was also one of eleven states that voted twice for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 which Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.

Trump's 60.57% of the vote is tied with Mitt Romney's 60.57% in the 2012 election, making both candidates' performances the best result for the Republican Party in Arkansas since Richard Nixon in 1972, although Trump bested Romney in terms of margin, winning by 26.92% versus Romney's 23.69%.

The Prohibition Party candidate, James Hedges, had the notable achievement of finishing third in Arkansas County, ahead of the major third party candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein. It was also the only county in the country where he did so.

Primary elections

On March 1, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Arkansas voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, Green, Libertarian, Constitution, and Prohibition parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated chose any one primary in which to vote.

Democratic primary

Main article: 2016 Arkansas Democratic primary
Results of the Democratic primary by county. Bernie Sanders took Newton County and Carroll County. All others went to Hillary Clinton.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

Opinion polling

See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries § Arkansas

Results

See also: Results of the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries

Primary date: March 1, 2016
National delegates: 37


e • d 2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Arkansas
– Summary of results –
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 146,057 66.08% 22 5 27
Bernie Sanders 66,236 29.97% 10 0 10
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 2,785 1.26%
John Wolfe Jr. 2,556 1.16%
James Valentine 1,702 0.77%
Rocky De La Fuente 1,684 0.76%
Total 221,020 100% 32 5 37
Sources: [2][3]

Republican primary

Republican primary results by county.
  Donald Trump
  Ted Cruz
  Marco Rubio

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[4][5]

Arkansas Republican primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 134,744 32.79% 16 0 16
Ted Cruz 125,340 30.50% 15 0 15
Marco Rubio 101,910 24.80% 9 0 9
Ben Carson 23,521 5.72% 0 0 0
John Kasich 15,305 3.72% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 4,792 1.17% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 2,402 0.58% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 1,151 0.28% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 631 0.15% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 411 0.10% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 292 0.07% 0 0 0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) 252 0.06% 0 0 0
Bobby Jindal (withdrawn) 169 0.04% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 410,920 100.00% 40 0 40
Source: The Green Papers

Polling

See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election § Arkansas

General election

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Arkansas as of Election Day.

  1. Los Angeles Times: Strongly Trump[6]
  2. CNN: Solid Trump[7]
  3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Trump[8]
  4. NBC: Likely Trump[9]
  5. RealClearPolitics: Solid Trump[10]
  6. Fox News: Solid Republican[11]
  7. ABC: Solid Trump[12]

Statewide results

2016 United States presidential election in Arkansas[13]
Party Candidate Running mate Votes % Electoral votes
Republican Donald Trump Mike Pence 684,872 60.57% 6
Democratic Hillary Clinton Tim Kaine 380,494 33.65% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson William Weld 29,829 2.64% 0
Independent Evan McMullin Nathan Johnson 13,255 1.17% 0
Green Jill Stein Ajamu Baraka 9,473 0.84% 0
Prohibition Party Jim Hedges Bill Bayes 4,709 0.42% 0
Constitution Darrell Castle Scott Bradley 4,613 0.41% 0
Independent Lynn S. Kahn Kathleen Monahan 3,390 0.30% 0
Total 1,130,635 100.00% 6

Results by county

County Trump# Trump% Clinton# Clinton% Johnson# Johnson% McMullin# McMullin% Stein# Stein% Hedges# Hedges% Castle# Castle% Kahn# Kahn% Total votes
Arkansas 3,926 61.59% 1,939 31.21% 126 2.03% 44 0.71% 64 1.03% 133 2.14% 40 0.64% 40 0.64% 6,312
Ashley 5,338 66.04% 2,408 29.79% 156 1.93% 58 0.69% 34 0.42% 33 0.41% 31 0.38% 27 0.33% 8,085
Baxter 14,682 74.28% 4,169 21.09% 452 2.29% 158 0.80% 140 0.71% 38 0.19% 85 0.43% 42 0.21% 19,766
Benton 60,871 62.87% 28,005 28.92% 3,871 4.00% 2,313 2.39% 949 0.98% 279 0.29% 342 0.35% 194 0.20% 96,824
Boone 12,235 75.94% 2,926 18.16% 379 2.35% 186 1.15% 134 0.83% 84 0.52% 105 0.65% 62 0.38% 16,111
Bradley 2,164 59.24% 1,317 36.05% 73 2.00% 35 0.96% 16 0.44% 21 0.57% 15 0.41% 12 0.33% 3,653
Calhoun 1,556 68.58% 639 28.16% 44 1.94% 14 0.62% 3 0.13% 3 0.13% 7 0.31% 3 0.13% 2,269
Carroll 6,786 63.08% 3,342 31.07% 238 2.21% 80 0.74% 210 1.95% 43 0.40% 32 0.30% 27 0.25% 10,758
Chicot 1,716 41.09% 2,350 56.27% 35 0.84% 27 0.65% 15 0.36% 16 0.38% 4 0.10% 13 0.31% 4,176
Clark 4,404 51.65% 3,620 42.46% 196 2.30% 141 1.65% 68 0.80% 34 0.40% 42 0.49% 21 0.25% 8,526
Clay 3,781 72.71% 1,199 23.06% 100 1.92% 20 0.38% 35 0.67% 27 0.52% 19 0.37% 19 0.37% 5,200
Cleburne 9,458 78.26% 2,101 17.39% 229 1.89% 113 0.94% 63 0.52% 44 0.36% 42 0.35% 35 0.29% 12,085
Cleveland 2,462 73.40% 723 21.56% 59 1.76% 53 1.58% 8 0.24% 32 0.95% 11 0.33% 6 0.18% 3,354
Columbia 5,456 61.39% 3,140 35.33% 117 1.32% 50 0.56% 40 0.45% 18 0.20% 46 0.52% 20 0.23% 8,887
Conway 4,849 61.17% 2,656 33.51% 171 2.16% 84 1.06% 43 0.54% 69 0.87% 30 0.38% 25 0.32% 7,927
Craighead 22,892 64.35% 10,538 29.62% 1,031 2.90% 440 1.24% 304 0.85% 139 0.39% 134 0.38% 95 0.27% 35,573
Crawford 16,686 74.33% 4,488 19.81% 581 2.59% 248 1.10% 173 0.77% 119 0.53% 80 0.36% 75 0.33% 22,450
Crittenden 6,964 43.66% 8,410 52.72% 242 1.52% 97 0.61% 96 0.60% 37 0.23% 58 0.36% 48 0.30% 15,952
Cross 4,584 66.69% 1,999 29.08% 105 1.53% 32 0.47% 24 0.35% 54 0.79% 44 0.64% 32 0.47% 6,874
Dallas 1,509 54.46% 1,165 42.04% 26 0.94% 28 1.01% 12 0.43% 13 0.47% 8 0.29% 10 0.36% 2,771
Desha 1,919 45.08% 2,228 52.34% 44 1.03% 26 0.62% 4 0.09% 12 0.28% 8 0.19% 16 0.38% 4,257
Drew 3,968 60.17% 2,365 35.86% 111 1.68% 38 0.58% 43 0.65% 28 0.42% 18 0.27% 24 0.36% 6,595
Faulkner 29,346 61.75% 14,629 30.78% 1,675 3.52% 838 1.76% 511 1.08% 176 0.37% 210 0.44% 142 0.30% 47,527
Franklin 5,039 74.43% 1,376 20.32% 177 2.61% 67 0.99% 34 0.50% 21 0.31% 29 0.43% 27 0.40% 6,770
Fulton 3,471 72.74% 1,067 22.36% 107 2.24% 27 0.57% 41 0.86% 19 0.40% 18 0.38% 22 0.46% 4,772
Garland 26,087 63.69% 12,311 30.17% 989 2.42% 399 0.98% 387 0.95% 279 0.68% 171 0.42% 182 0.45% 40,805
Grant 5,725 76.90% 1,373 18.44% 177 2.38% 51 0.69% 30 0.40% 21 0.28% 36 0.48% 32 0.43% 7,445
Greene 10,720 73.42% 3,071 21.03% 404 2.77% 138 0.95% 97 0.66% 98 0.67% 35 0.24% 37 0.25% 14,600
Hempstead 4,401 62.43% 2,377 33.72% 106 1.50% 48 0.68% 22 0.31% 37 0.52% 38 0.54% 20 0.28% 7,049
Hot Spring 8,172 68.42% 3,149 26.36% 239 2.00% 94 0.79% 112 0.94% 77 0.64% 30 0.25% 71 0.59% 11,944
Howard 3,157 67.54% 1,351 28.90% 60 1.28% 37 0.79% 22 0.47% 20 0.43% 13 0.28% 14 0.30% 4,674
Independence 9,936 72.98% 2,881 21.16% 352 2.59% 155 1.14% 85 0.62% 101 0.74% 57 0.42% 47 0.35% 13,614
Izard 4,042 74.19% 1,113 20.43% 125 2.29% 49 0.90% 45 0.83% 30 0.55% 32 0.59% 12 0.22% 5,448
Jackson 3,267 63.36% 1,583 30.70% 111 2.15% 58 1.12% 26 0.50% 31 0.60% 48 0.93% 32 0.63% 5,156
Jefferson 9,250 35.72% 15,772 60.91% 296 1.14% 138 0.53% 157 0.61% 82 0.32% 106 0.41% 93 0.36% 25,894
Johnson 6,091 66.85% 2,427 26.64% 294 3.23% 89 0.98% 90 0.99% 40 0.44% 55 0.60% 26 0.29% 9,112
Lafayette 1,758 61.47% 1,032 36.08% 26 0.91% 13 0.45% 5 0.17% 14 0.49% 5 0.17% 7 0.24% 2,860
Lawrence 4,064 71.49% 1,263 22.22% 165 2.90% 56 0.99% 39 0.69% 40 0.70% 36 0.63% 22 0.39% 5,685
Lee 1,229 40.61% 1,735 57.34% 22 0.73% 16 0.53% 6 0.20% 12 0.40% 3 0.10% 3 0.10% 3,026
Lincoln 2,455 64.17% 1,252 32.72% 48 1.25% 12 0.31% 16 0.42% 8 0.21% 22 0.58% 13 0.34% 3,826
Little River 3,605 68.97% 1,397 26.73% 85 1.63% 34 0.65% 14 0.27% 24 0.46% 42 0.80% 26 0.50% 5,227
Logan 5,746 72.54% 1,715 21.65% 195 2.46% 70 0.88% 54 0.68% 62 0.78% 46 0.58% 33 0.42% 7,921
Lonoke 19,958 73.65% 5,664 20.90% 767 2.83% 243 0.90% 172 0.63% 119 0.44% 78 0.29% 99 0.37% 27,100
Madison 4,928 72.04% 1,588 23.21% 144 2.10% 47 0.69% 54 0.79% 43 0.63% 23 0.34% 14 0.20% 6,841
Marion 5,336 75.08% 1,434 20.18% 157 2.21% 61 0.86% 56 0.79% 21 0.30% 25 0.35% 17 0.24% 7,107
Miller 11,294 70.19% 4,273 26.56% 237 1.47% 75 0.47% 69 0.43% 56 0.35% 65 0.40% 22 0.14% 16,091
Mississippi 7,061 53.48% 5,670 42.94% 181 1.37% 81 0.61% 65 0.49% 49 0.37% 41 0.31% 56 0.42% 13,204
Monroe 1,489 51.63% 1,312 45.49% 37 1.28% 12 0.42% 9 0.31% 11 0.38% 6 0.21% 8 0.28% 2,884
Montgomery 2,643 74.26% 748 21.02% 52 1.46% 28 0.79% 33 0.93% 24 0.67% 10 0.28% 21 0.59% 3,559
Nevada 2,000 61.61% 1,157 35.64% 35 1.08% 15 0.46% 6 0.18% 16 0.49% 10 0.31% 7 0.22% 3,246
Newton 2,875 76.61% 699 18.63% 49 1.31% 22 0.59% 69 1.84% 13 0.35% 15 0.40% 11 0.29% 3,753
Ouachita 5,351 53.86% 4,321 43.49% 97 0.98% 48 0.48% 24 0.24% 40 0.40% 40 0.20% 34 0.34% 9,955
Perry 3,008 69.86% 1,049 24.36% 113 2.62% 49 1.14% 38 0.88% 13 0.30% 15 0.35% 21 0.49% 4,306
Phillips 2,446 35.18% 4,310 61.99% 62 0.89% 38 0.55% 20 0.29% 31 0.45% 26 0.37% 20 0.29% 6,953
Pike 3,150 79.13% 685 17.21% 73 1.83% 24 0.60% 8 0.20% 23 0.58% 10 0.25% 8 0.20% 3,981
Poinsett 5,502 71.25% 1,880 24.35% 154 1.99% 50 0.65% 34 0.44% 50 0.65% 25 0.32% 27 0.35% 7,722
Polk 6,618 80.40% 1,212 14.72% 164 1.99% 94 1.14% 56 0.68% 36 0.44% 35 0.43% 16 0.19% 8,231
Pope 16,256 72.03% 5,000 22.15% 618 2.74% 233 1.03% 225 1.00% 94 0.42% 82 0.36% 61 0.27% 22,569
Prairie 2,505 72.74% 814 23.64% 56 1.63% 36 1.05% 10 0.29% 9 0.26% 8 0.23% 6 0.17% 3,444
Pulaski 61,257 38.34% 89,574 56.06% 4,328 2.71% 1,761 1.10% 1,553 0.97% 529 0.33% 403 0.25% 371 0.23% 159,776
Randolph 4,509 70.69% 1,425 22.34% 203 3.18% 65 1.02% 53 0.83% 38 0.60% 61 0.96% 25 0.39% 6,279
Saint Francis 3,195 43.00% 4,031 54.25% 64 0.86% 18 0.24% 18 0.24% 18 0.24% 56 0.75% 30 0.40% 7,430
Saline 35,863 68.83% 13,256 25.44% 1,466 2.81% 607 1.17% 326 0.63% 193 0.37% 186 0.36% 203 0.39% 52,100
Scott 2,731 77.81% 602 17.15% 83 2.36% 22 0.63% 25 0.71% 16 0.46% 9 0.26% 22 0.63% 3,510
Searcy 2,955 79.27% 601 16.12% 68 1.82% 30 0.80% 18 0.48% 22 0.59% 16 0.43% 18 0.48% 3,728
Sebastian 29,127 65.25% 12,300 27.56% 1,630 3.65% 569 1.27% 481 1.08% 173 0.39% 232 0.52% 125 0.28% 44,637
Sevier 3,282 71.94% 1,075 23.56% 83 1.82% 44 0.96% 20 0.44% 47 1.03% 7 0.15% 4 0.09% 4,562
Sharp 5,407 74.59% 1,472 20.31% 155 2.14% 56 0.77% 49 0.68% 52 0.72% 36 0.50% 22 0.30% 7,249
Stone 4,113 73.21% 1,203 21.41% 120 2.14% 41 0.73% 62 1.10% 35 0.62% 21 0.37% 23 0.41% 5,618
Union 10,456 61.89% 5,855 34.66% 275 1.63% 97 0.57% 70 0.41% 66 0.39% 41 0.24% 34 0.20% 16,894
Van Buren 5,382 73.33% 1,549 21.11% 182 2.48% 55 0.75% 53 0.72% 51 0.69% 46 0.63% 21 0.29% 7,339
Washington 41,476 50.67% 33,366 40.76% 3,360 4.10% 1,438 1.76% 1,316 1.61% 124 0.15% 566 0.69% 215 0.26% 81,861
White 21,077 75.28% 5,170 18.46% 695 2.48% 495 1.77% 151 0.54% 148 0.53% 178 0.64% 85 0.30% 27,999
Woodruff 1,347 52.39% 1,118 43.49% 45 1.75% 16 0.62% 12 0.47% 14 0.54% 12 0.47% 7 0.27% 2,571
Yell 4,608 71.56% 1,480 22.98% 157 2.44% 34 0.53% 47 0.73% 67 1.04% 16 0.25% 30 0.47% 6,439

By congressional district

The Republican Party won all four of the state's congressional districts.[14]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 65% 30% Rick Crawford
2nd 52% 42% French Hill
3rd 62% 31% Steve Womack
4th 63% 31% Bruce Westerman

Counties that swung from Democratic to Republican

Turnout

The voter turnout in Arkansas was 64.65% with 1,137,772 ballots cast out of 1,759,974 registered voters.[15]

See also

Elections in Arkansas
Seal of Arkansas
Federal government
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections
State government
State elections
Gubernatorial elections
Lieutenant gubernatorial elections
Secretary of State elections
Attorney General elections
Treasurer elections
Senate elections
House of Representatives elections
Ballot measures
1990
Amendment 3
2004
Amendment 3
2008
Act 1
2012
Issue 1
2018
Issue 5
Little Rock
Mayoral elections
Fayetteville
Mayoral elections
Fort Smith
Mayoral elections
Springdale
Mayoral elections
Jonesboro
Mayoral elections
Rogers
Mayoral elections
Conway
Mayoral elections

References

  1. ^ "Arkansas Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 10, 2016.
  2. ^ The Green Papers
  3. ^ Official County results (provisional) Arkansas Secretary of State
  4. ^ James Jackson (2015-11-10). "Candidates file for Arkansas primaries - News - The Sun-Times - Heber Springs, AR - Heber Springs, AR". The Sun-Times. Archived from the original on 2015-11-16. Retrieved 2016-01-21.
  5. ^ "Washington County, AR : March 1, 2016 Republican Preferential Primary Sample Ballots". Co.washington.ar.us. Archived from the original on January 29, 2016. Retrieved 2016-01-21.
  6. ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  7. ^ "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  8. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  9. ^ Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  10. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  11. ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  12. ^ "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  13. ^ "2016 General ELection and Nonpartisan Runoff Election Official County Results". Arkansas Secretary of State.
  14. ^ http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/
  15. ^ "AR - Election Results". Retrieved December 2, 2016.
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