2014 European Parliament election in the United Kingdom: Difference between revisions
Line 470: | Line 470: | ||
|- |
|- |
||
!! style="width:100px;"| Date(s)<br>conducted !! style="width:350px;"|Polling organisation/client!! class="unsortable" style="width:65px;"| Sample size!! class="unsortable" style="background:#0087dc; width:85px;"| [[Conservative Party (UK)|<span style="color:White;">Con</span>]]!! class="unsortable" style="background:#70147a; width:85px;"| [[UK Independence Party|<span style="color:White;">UKIP</span>]]!! class="unsortable" style="background:#dc241f; width:85px;"|[[Labour Party (UK)|<span style="color:White;">Lab</span>]]!! class="unsortable" style="background:#fdbb30; width:85px;"| [[Liberal Democrats|<span style="color:Black;">Lib Dem</span>]]!! class="unsortable" style="background:gray; width:85px;"| [[List of political parties in the United Kingdom|<span]]!! style="color:White;">Others</span>]]!! class="unsortable" style="background:white; width:80px;"| Lead |
!! style="width:100px;"| Date(s)<br>conducted !! style="width:350px;"|Polling organisation/client!! class="unsortable" style="width:65px;"| Sample size!! class="unsortable" style="background:#0087dc; width:85px;"| [[Conservative Party (UK)|<span style="color:White;">Con</span>]]!! class="unsortable" style="background:#70147a; width:85px;"| [[UK Independence Party|<span style="color:White;">UKIP</span>]]!! class="unsortable" style="background:#dc241f; width:85px;"|[[Labour Party (UK)|<span style="color:White;">Lab</span>]]!! class="unsortable" style="background:#fdbb30; width:85px;"| [[Liberal Democrats|<span style="color:Black;">Lib Dem</span>]]!! class="unsortable" style="background:gray; width:85px;"| [[List of political parties in the United Kingdom|<span]]!! style="color:White;">Others</span>]]!! class="unsortable" style="background:white; width:80px;"| Lead |
||
|- |
|||
|27-30 Apr || [http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/v1aduveoca/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-300414-EU-Why-Vote-UKIP.pdf YouGov/The Sun] || 5,331 || 22% || 28% ||style="background:#F8C1BE"| '''29%''' || 9% || 13% || style="background:#DC241F; color:white;"| 1% <small>over UKIP</small> |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
|24-28 Apr || [http://www.tnsglobal.com/uk/press-release/ukip-establish-clear-lead-european-elections TNS] || 1,199 || 18% ||style="background:plum;"| '''36%''' || 27% || 10% || 9% || style="background:#70147a; color:white;"| 9% <small>over Lab</small> |
|24-28 Apr || [http://www.tnsglobal.com/uk/press-release/ukip-establish-clear-lead-european-elections TNS] || 1,199 || 18% ||style="background:plum;"| '''36%''' || 27% || 10% || 9% || style="background:#70147a; color:white;"| 9% <small>over Lab</small> |
Revision as of 10:12, 1 May 2014
![]() | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
73 seats to the European Parliament | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
![]() Map of the European Parliament constituencies in the United Kingdom. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
The United Kingdom's component of the 2014 European Parliament election is scheduled to be held on Thursday 22 May 2014,[1][2] coinciding with the 2014 local elections in England[3] and Northern Ireland.
Most of the results of the election will be announced on Sunday 25 May, after voting has closed throughout the 28 member states of the European Union.
In total, 73 Members of the European Parliament will be elected from the United Kingdom using proportional representation. England, Scotland and Wales use a closed-list party list system of PR (with the D'Hondt method), while Northern Ireland use the Single transferable vote (STV).
Current MEPs by European Political Group
Since the last election, there have been various changes to the UK MEP breakdown. A 73rd UK MEP (Anthea McIntyre, Conservative) was allocated in December 2011 to the UK because of the Treaty of Lisbon. There have been various defections:
- one Conservative MEP (Edward McMillan-Scott) defected to the Liberal Democrats (March 2010);[4]
- one Conservative MEP (Roger Helmer) defected to UKIP (March 2012);
- two UKIP MEPs (David Campbell Bannerman in May 2011;[5] and Marta Andreasen in February 2013) defected to the Conservatives;[6]
- one UKIP MEP (Nikki Sinclaire) left the party and later founded the We Demand a Referendum party;
- one UKIP MEP (Mike Nattrass) left the party in September 2013 and later founded An Independence from Europe;[7]
- one UKIP MEP (Godfrey Bloom) left the party in September 2013 and sits now as an independent;[8]
- one BNP MEP (Andrew Brons) left the party and later founded the British Democratic Party.
The Ulster Conservatives and Unionists - New Force (UCUNF) electoral pact between the Conservatives and the Ulster Unionist Party (UUP) in Northern Ireland was dissolved.
Thus, the following parties currently have MEPs representing the UK:
Party | Faction in European Parliament | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brexit Party | 29 | Non-Inscrits | 57 | |||
DUP | 1 | |||||
Liberal Democrats | 16 | 17 | Renew Europe | 108 | ||
Alliance | 1 | |||||
Green | 7 | 11 | Greens–European Free Alliance | 75 | ||
SNP | 3 | |||||
Plaid Cymru | 1 | |||||
Labour | 10 | Socialists and Democrats | 154 | |||
Conservative | 4 | European Conservatives and Reformists Group | 62 | |||
Sinn Féin | 1 | European United Left–Nordic Green Left | 41 | |||
Total | 73 | Total | 750 |
Voting system and regional representation
As has been the case since 1999, the election is conducted in a total of 12 electoral regions: using the regional Party-list proportional representation system, in each of the government's nine English regions, Scotland and Wales, but the Single transferable vote system in Northern Ireland. As a result of the Treaty of Lisbon coming into force, the UK became entitled to a 73rd MEP as from November 2011. The Electoral Commission performed a reallocation in keeping with the same procedures they used to allocate 72 MEPs and an extra Conservative MEP was allocated to the West Midlands constituency based on the 2009 vote.[10]
Electoral region | Representation in 2009 |
Representation in 2014 |
Net Gain/Loss |
---|---|---|---|
East Midlands | 5 | 5 | |
East of England | 7 | 7 | |
London | 8 | 8 | |
North East England | 3 | 3 | |
North West England | 8 | 8 | |
South East England | 10 | 10 | |
South West England1 | 6 | 6 | |
West Midlands | 6 | 7 | +1 |
Yorkshire and the Humber | 6 | 6 | |
Wales | 4 | 4 | |
Scotland | 6 | 6 | |
Northern Ireland | 3 | 3 |
1 Includes Gibraltar, the only British overseas territory which is part of the European Union.
Returning officers
The European Parliamentary Elections (Returning Officers) Order 2013 provides for the designated Returning Officer for each electoral region to be the council official responsible for elections in each of the following Westminster constituencies: Kettering for the East Midlands, Chelmsford for the Eastern region, Lewisham, Deptford for the London region, Sunderland Central for the North East region, Manchester Central for the North West region, Falkirk for Scotland, Southampton, Test for the South East region, Poole for the South West region, Preseli Pembrokeshire for Wales, Birmingham Ladywood for the West Midlands region, and Leeds Central for the Yorkshire and Humber region.[11]
Parties & candidates
39 parties are standing a total of 747 candidates. The Conservative Party and UKIP are standing candidates in every region, as are the three Green parties (the Green Party of England & Wales, the Scottish Greens, the Green Party in Northern Ireland) between them. Labour, the Liberal Democrats and the BNP are standing a full slate of candidates in all the regions in Great Britain (i.e. excluding Northern Ireland). The English Democrats and An Independence from Europe are standing a full slate of candidates in all the English regions. The Harmony Party are standing in four regions and the Christian Peoples Alliance are standing in three regions. No2EU are standing a full slate in seven regions, while Britain First and the Socialist Party of Great Britain are standing full slates in two regions each. Other parties are only standing in one region.
Retiring/resigned incumbents
Conservative
- Struan Stevenson (Scotland)[12]
- Sir Robert Atkins (North West England)[12]
- Giles Chichester (South West England and Gibraltar)[12]
- Robert Sturdy (East of England)[12]
Green
- Caroline Lucas (South East England) - Resigned 17 May 2010 & replaced by Keith Taylor
Labour
- Michael Cashman (West Midlands)[13]
- Stephen Hughes (North East England)[14]
- Arlene McCarthy (North West England)
- Brian Simpson (North West England)[15]
- Peter Skinner (South East England)[16]
Liberal Democrats
- Diana Wallis (Yorkshire and the Humber) - Resigned 31 January 2012[17] & replaced by Rebecca Taylor
- Liz Lynne (West Midlands) - Resigned 4 February 2012[18] & replaced by Phil Bennion
- Sharon Bowles - (South East England)[19]
- Rebecca Taylor (Yorkshire and the Humber)
UKIP
- John Bufton (Wales)[20]
- Trevor Colman (South West England and Gibraltar)
- Derek Clark (East Midlands)[21]
- Godfrey Bloom (Yorkshire & Humber), currently sitting as an independent[22][23]
Debates
On 20 February, the Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg used his weekly phone-in show on LBC 97.3 to challenge the leader of the UK Independence Party, Nigel Farage, to a live public debate on the UK's membership of the European Union.[24] Clegg said, "he is the leader of the party of 'out'; I am the leader of the party of 'in'. I think it's time we now have a proper, public debate so that the public can listen to the two sides of the argument and judge from themselves."[25][26] Farage accepted, but said he would also like to see Ed Miliband and David Cameron participate.[27]
The first hour-long debate between the two men was held on 26 March 2014 and was broadcast live on television by Sky News and on the BBC News Channel. The debate was hosted by LBC and moderated by Nick Ferrari.[28] After the first debate, a YouGov poll asked "Who performed better?", with 57% saying Farage did better compared to 36% for Clegg.
The second debate was held on BBC Two on 2 April in a special programme called The European Union: In or Out, moderated by David Dimbleby. Farage was again seen as outperforming his rival, with a snap poll by YouGov showing 68% of people thought he did better in the debate compared to 27% for Clegg. A snap Guardian poll also showed that 69% thought Farage won the debate.[29]
Despite David Cameron and Ed Miliband declining to participate in the leaders' debates, the Conservative and Labour parties were represented in a lower-profile debate on the BBC. On 13 February Andrew Neil hosted a four-way debate on the BBC's Sunday Politics programme. The Conservatives were represented by Syed Kamall MEP, Labour by Richard Howitt MEP, the Liberal Democrats by Baroness Sarah Ludford MEP and the UK Independence Party by Patrick O'Flynn, the party's Director of communications and an MEP candidate.[30][31]
Opinion polls
These opinion polls are for Great Britain and generally exclude Northern Ireland. The methodology used for these polls broadly corresponds to that used for Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election; see that article for the methodology used by each polling company. YouGov have experimented with different methods of polling for these elections, using their own method for their 8–9 January 2013 poll and another corresponding to that used by Survation and ComRes for their 10–11 January 2013 poll (both below) and argue that their method gives more accurate answers.[32] Data for these polls are generally gathered at the same time as the data for General Election polling.
2014
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | UKIP | Lab | Lib Dem | <span | style="color:White;">Others]] | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27-30 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 5,331 | 22% | 28% | 29% | 9% | 13% | 1% over UKIP | |
24-28 Apr | TNS | 1,199 | 18% | 36% | 27% | 10% | 9% | 9% over Lab | |
25-27 Apr | ComRes/ITV News | 2,052 | 18% | 38% | 27% | 8% | 14% | 11% over Lab | |
24-25 Apr | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,835 | 19% | 31% | 28% | 9% | 13% | 3% over Lab | |
21-22 Apr | YouGov/The Sun | 2,190 | 22% | 27% | 30% | 10% | 11% | 3% over UKIP | |
15-17 Apr | ICM/Sunday Telegraph | 2,000 | 22% | 27% | 30% | 8% | 13% | 3% over UKIP | |
11-13 Apr | ICM/The Guardian | 1,000 | 25% | 20% | 36% | 6% | 13% | 11% over Con | |
3-7 Apr | TNS | 1,193 | 21% | 29% | 30% | 9% | 11% | 1% over UKIP | |
4-6 Apr | Populus/Financial Times | 2,034 | 27% | 25% | 31% | 10% | 7% | 4% over Con | |
3-4 Apr | YouGov/Sunday Times | 1,998 | 22% | 28% | 30% | 9% | 10% | 2% over UKIP | |
4 Apr | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 1,001 | 21% | 27% | 34% | 9% | 9% | 7% over UKIP | |
2-3 Apr | ComRes/The People[dead link] | 2,067 | 22% | 30% | 30% | 8% | 10% | Tie | |
2 Apr | Broadcast of The European Union: In or Out debate. | ||||||||
27-28 Mar | YouGov/The Sunday Times | 1,916 | 24% | 23% | 32% | 11% | 10% | 8% over Con | |
26-27 Mar | YouGov/The Sun | 2,039 | 24% | 26% | 28% | 11% | 11% | 2% over UKIP | |
26 Mar | LBC radio debate on the European Union between the Lib Dems' Nick Clegg and Nigel Farage of UKIP. | ||||||||
20-21 Mar | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 1,000 | 28% | 23% | 32% | 7% | 10% | 4% over Con | |
17-18 Mar | YouGov/Times | 2,284 | 24% | 23% | 32% | 10% | 11% | 8% over Con | |
12-13 Mar | ComRes/Independent on Sunday | 2,001 | 21% | 30% | 28% | 8% | 13% | 2% over Lab | |
7-9 Feb | ICM/The Guardian | 1,002 | 25% | 20% | 35% | 9% | 11% | 10% over Con | |
14–15 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,893 | 23% | 26% | 32% | 9% | 10% | 6% over UKIP | |
3 Jan | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 1,001 | 23% | 26% | 32% | 9% | 10% | 6% over UKIP |
2013
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | UKIP | Lab | Lib Dem | <span | style="color:White;">Others]] | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21–22 Nov | Survation/Daily Star[dead link] | 1,006 | 24% | 25% | 32% | 8% | 12% | 7% over UKIP | |
11 Oct | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 1,017 | 21% | 22% | 35% | 11% | 11% | 13% over UKIP | |
22–24 May | ComRes/Open Europe | 2,003 | 21% | 27% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 4% over Lab | |
17–18 May | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 1,000 | 20% | 30% | 31% | 8% | 11% | 1% over UKIP | |
17–18 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,912 | 30% | 12% | 38% | 13% | 7% | 8% over Con | |
10–11 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,995 | 24% | 19% | 36% | 12% | 10% | 12% over Con | |
9–10 Jan | ComRes/Sunday People | 2,002 | 22% | 23% | 35% | 8% | 12% | 12% over UKIP | |
8–9 Jan | YouGov/The Sun | 1,980 | 27% | 17% | 38% | 12% | 6% | 11% over Con | |
5 Jan | Survation/Mail on Sunday | 772 | 24% | 22% | 31% | 11% | 12% | 7% over Con | |
4 Jun 2009 | European Parliament election, 2009 (United Kingdom) Results | 15,136,932 | 27.7% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 25.6% | 11.2% over UKIP |
Scottish polls
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | SNP | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | UKIP | <span | style="color:White;">Others]] | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-22 Apr 2014 | YouGov/Edinburgh University | 1,014 | 33% (3) | 31% (2) | 12% (1) | 7% | 10% | 7% | 2% over Lab | |
14-16 Apr 2014 | ICM/Scotland on Sunday | 1,004 | 37% (3) | 28% (2) | 11% (1) | 7% | 10% | 6% | 9% over Lab | |
4-7 Apr 2014 | Survation/Daily Record | 1,002 | 39% (3) | 30% (2) | 14% (1) | 6% | 7% | 5% | 9% over Lab | |
17-21 Mar 2014 | ICM/Scotsman | 1,010 | 41% (3) | 29% (2) | 13% (1) | 5% | 6% | 6% | 12% over Lab | |
21-24 Jan 2014 | ICM/Scotsman | 1,010 | 43% (3) | 24% (2) | 14% (1) | 6% | 7% | 6% | 19% over Lab | |
4 Jun 2009 | European Parliament election, 2009 (Scotland) Results | 1,104,512 | 29.1% (2) | 20.8% (2) | 16.8% (1) | 11.5% (1) | 5.2% | 16.6% | 8.2% over Lab |
Welsh polls
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | Plaid | UKIP | Lib Dem | <span | style="color:White;">Others]] | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-22 Apr 2014 | YouGov/Cardiff University, Edinburgh University, IPPR | 1,027 | 18% (1) | 39% (2) | 11% | 20% (1) | 7% | 6% | 19% over UKIP | |
10-12 Feb 2014 | YouGov/ITV | 1,250 | 17% (1) | 39% (2) | 12% | 18% (1) | 7% | 7% | 21% over UKIP | |
2-4 Dec 2013 | YouGov/ITV | 1,001 | 20% (1) | 41% (3) | 13% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 21% over Con | |
4 Jun 2009 | European Parliament election, 2009 (Wales) Results | 684,520 | 21.2% (1) | 20.3% (1) | 18.5% (1) | 12.8% (1) | 10.7% | 16.6% | 1% over Lab |
London polls
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | UKIP | <span | style="color:White;">Others]] | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7-9 Apr 2014 | YouGov/Evening Standard | 1,209 | 25% (2) | 33% (3) | 11% (1) | 5% | 24% (2) | 3% | 8% over Con | |
4 Jun 2009 | European Parliament election, 2009 (London) Results | 1,751,026 | 27.4% (3) | 21.3% (2) | 13.7% (1) | 10.9% (1) | 10.8% (1) | 15.9% | 6.1% over Lab |
See also
- List of political parties in the United Kingdom
- Members of the European Parliament for the United Kingdom 2009–2014
- Next United Kingdom general election
- Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election
- Proposed referendum on United Kingdom membership of the European Union
- Newark by-election, 2014
References
- ^ "EU reschedules elections to boost turnout". Upi.com. 11 March 2013. Retrieved 3 May 2013.
- ^ "EU elections: Polling day will stay on Thursday, insists government". BBC. 13 March 2013. Retrieved 3 August 2013.
- ^ "Wards and Election Information". Elmbridge.gov.uk. Retrieved 19 April 2013.
- ^ Paul Owen. "Former leader of Tory MEPs Edward MacMillan-Scott joins Lib Dems | Politics". The Guardian. Retrieved 29 September 2013.
- ^ "UKIP MEP Campbell Bannerman defects to Conservatives". BBC News. 24 May 2011. Retrieved 29 September 2013.
- ^ James Tapsfield (23 February 2013). "Ukip MEP Marta Andreasen defects to the Tories and launches attack on Nigel Farage - UK Politics - UK". London: The Independent. Retrieved 29 September 2013.
- ^ "Mike Nattrass". Europarl.europa.eu. Retrieved 11 April 2014.
- ^ Robin Brant (24 September 2013). "BBC News - Godfrey Bloom quits as UKIP MEP after 'sluts' joke row". Bbc.co.uk. Retrieved 14 October 2013.
- ^ "Results by national party: 2019-2024 United Kingdom - Final results". European Parliament. Retrieved 28 May 2019.
- ^ Jason Groves (2 December 2011). "Woman MEP Anthea McIntyre takes post despite not a single vote". London: Dailymail.co.uk. Retrieved 3 May 2013.
- ^ "Order in Council". Legislation.gov. Retrieved 22 August 2013.
- ^ a b c d "Would you like to be a Tory MEP? There could be nine vacancies in 2014... Tory MPs". Conservativehome.blogs.com. 23 May 2012. Retrieved 3 May 2013.
- ^ Michael Cashman CBE MEP. "West Mids Michael Cashman MEP to stand down in 2014 | Michael Cashman CBE MEP". Michael-cashman.eu. Retrieved 19 April 2013.
- ^ "Hughes to leave Europe at next election | IWC2". Labour North. Retrieved 19 April 2013.
- ^ "dear member". us2.forward-to-friend.com. Retrieved 3 August 2013.
- ^ "Passing on the baton". PeterSkinnerMEP.eu. Retrieved 9 October 2013.
- ^ "MEP Diana Wallis criticised over resignation 'nepotism'". Bbc.co.uk. 19 January 2012. Retrieved 3 May 2013.
- ^ "Lib Dem MEP Liz Lynne to stand down". Bbc.co.uk. 6 November 2011. Retrieved 3 May 2013.
- ^ Jill Treanor (9 October 2012). "Lib Dem MEP Sharon Bowles applies for Bank of England governor job". London: Guardian. Retrieved 3 May 2013.
- ^ "UKIP MEP for Wales John Bufton to stand down at election". Bbc.co.uk. 24 May 2013. Retrieved 12 June 2013.
- ^ "East Midlands UKIP MEP to stand down next June". BBC News. 3 June 2013. Retrieved 3 June 2013.
- ^ "Godfrey Bloom quits as UKIP MEP after 'sluts' joke row". BBC News. 24 September 2013. Retrieved 9 October 2013.
- ^ "Ukip's Godfrey Bloom to sit as independent MEP after "sluts" row". Mirror. Retrieved 9 October 2013.
- ^ "Nick Clegg Challenges Nigel Farage To Head-To-Head EU Debate". Huffington Post. Retrieved 21 February 2014.
- ^ "Clegg Challenges Farage To In/Out EU Debate On LBC". LBC 97.3. Retrieved 21 February 2014.
- ^ "Nick Clegg challenges Nigel Farage to live debate on Britain's EU membership". Guardian Online. Retrieved 21 February 2014.
- ^ Dominiczak, Peter (21 February 2014). "Nigel Farage agrees to EU debate with Nick Clegg". London: Daily Telegraph. Retrieved 21 February 2014.
- ^ "Nick Clegg clashes with Nigel Farage in EU debate". BBC News. 26 March 2014.
- ^ "BBC News - Nick Clegg and Nigel Farage in heated BBC debate over EU". Bbc.co.uk. 3 April 2014. Retrieved 11 April 2014.
- ^ "EU election: Tory, Labour, UKIP and Lib Dem on Europe". BBC News. 13 April 2014. Retrieved 17 April 2014.
- ^ "EU referendum: Tory, Labour, UKIP and Lib Dem policy". BBC News. 13 April 2014. Retrieved 17 April 2014.
- ^ Kellner, Peter (15 January 2013). "Measuring UKIP's support". yougov.