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2016 United States Senate election in California

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United States Senate election in California, 2016

← 2010 November 8, 2016 2022 →

Incumbent U.S. senator

Barbara Boxer
Democratic



The 2016 United States Senate election in California will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of California, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Under California's nonpartisan blanket primary law, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the primary, which will be held on June 7, 2016, voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. The top two finishers — regardless of party — advance to the general election in November, even if a candidate manages to receive a majority of the votes cast in the primary election. Washington is the only other state with this system, a so-called "top two primary" (Louisiana has a similar "jungle primary").

Incumbent Democratic Senator Barbara Boxer is not running for re-election to a fifth term in office.[1] This will be the first open seat Senate election in California in 24 years.[2]

Background

Barbara Boxer was re-elected with 52.1% of the vote in 2010 against Republican Carly Fiorina. Towards the end of 2014, Boxer's low fundraising and cash-on-hand numbers led to speculation that she would retire.[3][4] On January 8, 2015, Boxer announced that she would not run for re-election.[1]

Candidates

Democratic Party

Declared

Withdrawn

Potential

Declined

Republican Party

Declared

Potential

Declined

Independent

Declared

  • Mikelis Beitiks, climate change activist[85]

Potential

Endorsements

Rocky Chávez
State politicians
Organizations
  • Deputy Sheriff’s Association of San Diego County[90]
Tom Del Beccaro
Kamala Harris
Federal politicians
Statewide politicians
Organizations
Loretta Sanchez
Federal politicians
State politicians

Primary election

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rocky
Chavez (R)
David
Dreier (R)
John
Estrada (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Adam
Schiff (D)
Ashley
Swearengin (R)
Meg
Whitman (R)
Other Unde-
cided
Emerson April 2–8, 2015 881 ± 3.2% 9% 1% 1% 23% 2% 4% 13% 7% 41%
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rocky
Chavez (R)
Del Beccaro/
Sundheim (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Adam
Schiff (D)
Ashley
Swearengin (R)
Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)
Other Undecided
USC February 18–24, 2015 1,505 ± 2.7% 6% 5.5%[118] 28% 5% 9% 19% 2% 27%
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mary
Bono (R)
David
Dreier (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Adam
Schiff (D)
Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)
Undecided
PPP[119][120] February 6–8, 2015 824 ± ? 14% 19% 34% 4% 16% 14%
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kamala
Harris (D)
Adam
Schiff (D)
Ashley
Swearengin (R)
Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)
Undecided
GHY[121][122][123] January 27–29, 2015 600 ± 4 28% 4% 31% 18% 19%
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Xavier
Becerra (D)
Rocky
Chavez (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Condoleezza
Rice (R)
Loretta
Sanchez (D)
Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)
Undecided
PPP[124] January 22, 2015 627 ± ? 3% 2% 34% 33% 4% 9% 15%
Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Eric
Garcetti (D)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Neel
Kashkari (R)
Tom
McClintock (R)
Linda
Sánchez (D)
Jackie
Speier (D)
Tom
Steyer (D)
Undecided
PPP[125] December 29–30, 2014 401 ± ? 7% 27% 12% 28% 6% 6% 14%
468 22% 12% 29% 8% 8% 4% 17%

General election

Fundraising

The following are Federal Election Commission disclosures through the reporting period ending June 30, 2015.

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Kamala Harris (D) $4,177,541 $1,227,609 $2,949,931 $241,308
Loretta Sanchez (D) $1,138,535 $45,249 $1,093,285 $7,990
Tom Del Beccaro (R) $95,991 $24,312 $71,678 $6,939
Rocky Chavez (R) $75,090 $52,182 $22,908 $6,606
Stewart Albertson (D) $30,949 $30,949 $0 $1,098
Tom Palzer (R) $2,783 $2,442 $241 $0

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kamala
Harris (D)
David
Dreier (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[119][120] February 6–8, 2015 824 ± ? 47% 42% 10%

References

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  45. ^ Josh Richman (January 23, 2015). "Ellen Tauscher and Karl Rove keep it friendly in the East Bay". San Jose Mercury News. Retrieved January 26, 2015.
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  52. ^ Josh Richman (February 17, 2015). "Rocky Chávez opens Senate exploratory committee". Political Blotter. Retrieved February 17, 2015.
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  55. ^ Seema Mehta (February 24, 2015). "Tom Del Beccaro forms Senate exploratory committee". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved February 24, 2015.
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  58. ^ Hardie, Mark Charles (February 25, 2015). "Gay People Are Gods: Protecting LGBT Communities Is a Divine Right". The Huffington Post. Retrieved April 10, 2015.
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  65. ^ Seema Mehta (February 6, 2015). "New GOP name in #CASen". Twitter. Retrieved February 9, 2015.
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  67. ^ Maddaus, Gene (January 8, 2015). "Sen. Barbara Boxer Retires, And All Eyes Turn to Kamala Harris". LA Weekly. Retrieved January 9, 2015.
  68. ^ Carden, Andrew (January 9, 2015). "A possible GOP #CASen contender I've yet to see pundits mention - talk show host Larry Elder, who nearly ran in '10". Twitter. Retrieved January 9, 2015.
  69. ^ Ramirez, Al (January 10, 2015). "Since I've run twice for #CASen with @BarbaraBoxer retiring been asked by many if I will in 2016. I have not decided not too but its early". Twitter. Retrieved January 11, 2015.
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  71. ^ Christopher Cadelago (January 10, 2015). "Villaraigosa 'seriously' considering Senate run; Steyer to decide soon". The Sacramento Bee. Retrieved January 12, 2015.
  72. ^ "Faulconer 'not interested' in running for Boxer's Senate seat". Fox 5. January 8, 2015. Retrieved January 8, 2015.
  73. ^ Carla Marinucci (September 24, 2014). "Carly Fiorina won't rule out run for White House". SF Gate. Retrieved September 26, 2014.
  74. ^ Joseph, Cameron (January 8, 2015). "Issa won't run for California Senate". The Hill. Retrieved January 8, 2015.
  75. ^ Mehta, Seema (February 6, 2015). "2014 CA GOP gubernatorial candidate @neelkashkari is definitely not running for #CASen in 2016, per adviser @aaronmclear". Twitter. Retrieved February 6, 2015.
  76. ^ Josh Richman (March 18, 2015). "Shocker: Ernie Konnyu won't run for U.S. Senate". Political Blotter. Retrieved March 19, 2015.
  77. ^ Fox, Joel (February 10, 2015). "Kevin McCarthy on that Senate Seat, Shared Power, High Speed Rail and More". Fox & Hounds. Retrieved May 30, 2015.
  78. ^ Weigel, Dave (January 22, 2015). "FWIW, I asked Rep. Tom McClintock on Tuesday if he'd run for #CASen". Twitter. Retrieved January 22, 2015.
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  81. ^ Joseph, Cameron (January 8, 2015). "Condoleezza Rice won't run for Boxer seat". The Hill. Retrieved January 8, 2015.
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  84. ^ Cadelago, Christopher (February 27, 2015). "Fresno Mayor Ashley Swearengin declines U.S. Senate run". The Sacramento Bee. Retrieved February 27, 2015.
  85. ^ http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/watch/senate-candidate-focuses-on-climate-change-462586435953
  86. ^ Puente, Maria (6 November 2014). "Angelina Jolie, politico?". USA Today. Retrieved 8 November 2014.
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  88. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v "Republicans Endorse Rocky for U.S. Senate". Rocky Chavez for U.S. Senate. June 23, 2015. Retrieved July 24, 2015.
  89. ^ Finnegan, Michael (April 22, 2015). "Neel Kashkari backs Rocky Chavez in race for Barbara Boxer's Senate seat". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved April 24, 2015.
  90. ^ "Local Deputy Sheriff's Association Endorses Rocky for U.S. Senate". Rocky Chavez for U.S. Senate. June 19, 2015. Retrieved July 24, 2015.
  91. ^ Richman, Josh (May 20, 2015). "Club for Growth founder joins Del Beccaro team". IBA Buzz. Retrieved June 16, 2015.
  92. ^ Mehta, Seema (March 30, 2015). "Rep. Karen Bass endorses @kamalaharris Senate bid". Twitter. Retrieved March 31, 2015.
  93. ^ Josh Richman (February 4, 2015). "Today's endorser of @KamalaHarris for U.S. Senate in 2016 is @RepBera. #AnEndorsementADay". Twitter. Retrieved February 4, 2015.
  94. ^ a b Political Blotter, "A third U.S. Senator supports Kamala Harris," January 16, 2015
  95. ^ Josh Richman (February 3, 2015). "Today's endorsement". Twitter. Retrieved February 3, 2015.
  96. ^ Kirsten Gillibrand (January 16, 2015). "I need @KamalaHarris by my side in the US Senate. Pls join me in supporting Kamala's #CASen capaign". Twitter. Retrieved January 16, 2015.
  97. ^ Josh Richman (January 22, 2015). "Mike Honda endorses Kamala Harris for Senate". IBA Buzz. Retrieved January 28, 2015.
  98. ^ Politico, "Elizabeth Warren endorses, raises money for Kamala Harris," January 14, 2015
  99. ^ a b c d e f g h Wisckol, Martin (May 13, 2015). "Kamala Harris lists her O.C. backers as Rep. Loretta Sanchez's announcement looms". Orange County Register. Retrieved July 24, 2015.
  100. ^ Kamala Harris (February 23, 2015). "Thanks @TreasurerSF José Cisneros for the #CASen endorsement. I look fwd to continuing our fight for the middle class". Twitter. Retrieved February 24, 2015.
  101. ^ Eric Bradley (January 30, 2015). "Long Beach mayor endorses Kamala Harris for U.S. Senate". Press-Telegram. Retrieved January 31, 2015.
  102. ^ Josh Richman (February 9, 2015). "The @KamalaHarris for U.S. Senate 2016 #AnEndorsementADay cavalcade continues today with San Francisco City Attorney @DennisHerrera". Twitter. Retrieved February 9, 2015.
  103. ^ Michael Finnegan (January 27, 2015). "Los Angeles County D.A. Lacey backs Kamala Harris for Senate". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved January 31, 2015.
  104. ^ Josh Richman (January 28, 2015). "Daily endorsement rollout continues". Twitter. Retrieved January 29, 2015.
  105. ^ Josh Richman (February 2, 2015). "Endorsement du jour for @KamalaHarris' 2016 U.S. Senate campaign: Board of Equalization member @FionaMa of San Francisco". Twitter. Retrieved February 4, 2015.
  106. ^ Josh Richman (February 6, 2015). "Today's endorsement of @KamalaHarris for U.S. Senate 2016: @AsmJoseMedina, D-Riverside (a SoCal Latino Dem... hmmm...) #AnEndorsementADay". Twitter. Retrieved February 6, 2015.
  107. ^ Josh Richman (February 19, 2015). "Alameda County DA @NancyOMalley endorses @KamalaHarris for Senate 2016 as "forward thinking strategist;" might she hope to be appointed AG?". Twitter. Retrieved February 19, 2015.
  108. ^ Christopher Cadelago (March 3, 2015). "AM Alert: John A. Pérez endorses Kamala Harris, joins campaign as co-chair". Sacramento Bee. Retrieved March 4, 2015.
  109. ^ Kamala Harris (February 26, 2015). "Thank you LA Assessor @JeffreyPrang for the #CASen endorsement & your dedication to our fight for education & the middle class. #TeamKamala". Twitter. Retrieved February 26, 2015.
  110. ^ Josh Richman (January 29, 2014). "Today's entry on the @KamalaHarris for U.S. Senate endorsement hit parade: Oakland Mayor @LibbyForMayor Schaaf". Twitter. Retrieved February 4, 2015.
  111. ^ Seema Mehta (February 10, 2015). "Kamala Harris' Senate bid endorsed by ex-state party chief Art Torres". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved February 10, 2015.
  112. ^ Seema Mehta (January 26, 2015). "Wesson backs Kamala Harris' bid for U.S. Senate". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved January 27, 2015.
  113. ^ Michael Finnegan (March 5, 2015). "Rocky Chávez cites Marine background as key asset in U.S. Senate race". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved March 6, 2015.
  114. ^ Seema Mehta (March 19, 2015). "Emily's List backs Kamala Harris' Senate bid". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved March 19, 2015.
  115. ^ Michael Finnegan (February 11, 2015). "Harris endorsements help fortify her against possible Villaraigosa run". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved February 12, 2015.
  116. ^ "CSLEA Endorses Attorney General Kamala Harris For U.S. Senate". California Statewide Law Enforcement Association. Retrieved 18 April 2015.
  117. ^ Ellis, John (May 22, 2015). "Local Democrats staying neutral, for now, in U.S. Senate battle to replace Boxer". The Fresno Bee. Retrieved June 16, 2015.
  118. ^ Half of the sample were offered former state Republican Party Chairman Tom Del Beccaro and the other half were offered former state Republican Party Chairman George Sundheim instead. Del Beccaro took 6% and Sundheim 5%.
  119. ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for the Los Angeles County Young Democrats
  120. ^ a b c d e Cameron Joseph (February 10, 2015). "Harris leads Villaraigosa for Calif. Senate". The Hill. Retrieved February 11, 2015.
  121. ^ Poll for the California Latino Legislative Caucus, which supports Villaraigosa
  122. ^ Josh Richman (February 3, 2015). "Poll makes case for Latino U.S. Senate candidate". IBA Buzz. Retrieved February 3, 2015.
  123. ^ Gene Maddaus (February 3, 2015). "Poll shows hard road for Antonio Villaraigosa in Senate race". IBA Buzz. Retrieved February 3, 2015.
  124. ^ a b Internal poll for the Kamala Harris campaign
  125. ^ a b Poll for "allies of one of the potential candidates"
Official campaign websites