2022 United States elections: Difference between revisions

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== Aftermath ==
== Aftermath ==
=== Results ===
=== Results ===
The race for Congress has been closer than expected.<ref>{{cite news |last=Smolar|first=Piotr|date=2022-11-09 |title=US midterm elections: Uncertainty over Congress is a nasty surprise for Republicans |work=Le Monde |url=https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2022/11/09/us-midterms-uncertainty-over-congress-a-nasty-surprise-for-republicans_6003545_4.html |access-date=2022-11-11}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last=Kamarck |first=Elaine |date=2022-11-09 |title=The 2022 midterms show some swing states are leaning Democratic |url=https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixgov/2022/11/09/what-can-the-2022-midterms-tell-us-about-2024/ |access-date=2022-11-11 |publisher=Brookings Institution}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last=Galston |first=William A. |date=2022-11-09 |title=What do the 2022 midterms mean for 2024? |url=https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixgov/2022/11/09/what-do-the-2022-midterms-mean-for-2024/ |access-date=2022-11-11 |publisher=Brookings Institution}}</ref> As of November 10, Republicans are favored to regain control of the House with a narrow majority of 3 seats (214–221) according to ''[[Decision Desk HQ]]'',<ref>{{cite web |date=2022-11-08|title=House of Representatives Midterm Election 2022: Live Updates, Results & Map |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-elections/house-results |access-date=2022-11-10 |website=NBC News}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |date=2022-11-08|title=Midterms latest: Biden says he 'gets' voter frustration but results are 'clear message to preserve democracy' |url=https://news.sky.com/story/us-midterms-latest-trump-biden-republicans-democrats-house-senate-live-12740728 |access-date=2022-11-10 |website=Sky News |quote=This first live counter shows the make-up of the House ofsi Representatives so far. The latest estimate from NBC News has the Republicans winning 221 House seats compared with the Democrats' 214, meaning they would still take control but with much less authority than the 40+ gains anticipated by some pollsters. A margin for error is attached to that estimate as well, so what it truly means is that either party could still win.}}</ref><ref name="Italy 24 Press News">{{cite web |date=2022-11-09 |title=US elections: the Republicans do not break through, the Senate in the balance. Biden: 'Back in the running in 2024' |url=https://news.italy24.press/world/184372.html |access-date=2022-11-10 |website=Italy 24 Press News }}</ref> while the Senate remains too close to call.<ref name="FiveThirtyEight 2022"/><ref>{{cite news |last=Ax |first=Joseph |date=2022-11-10 |title=U.S. Senate up for grabs as Republicans move toward House majority |work=Reuters |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/republicans-close-us-house-majority-senate-still-up-grabs-2022-11-10/ |access-date=2022-11-10}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Finnerty|first1=Deirdre|last2=Sheerin|first2=Jude |date=2022-11-08 |title=US election: Control of Congress hangs in balance after midterms |work=BBC News |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-63551469 |access-date=2022-11-10}}</ref> [[Joe Biden]], the incumbent president, described the results as a "strong night" for Democrats,<ref name="Kinery 2022"/> who are set to lose fewer seats than average for the president's party and made gains in the Senate, since the president's party usually lose many seats in the midterm elections;<ref name="Zurcher 2022"/> also considering his low approval ratings, it was the best performance for the president's party in a midterm election since the [[1950 U.S. elections]].<ref>{{cite web |date=2022-11-08 |title=2022 Election: Live Analysis and Results |url=https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2022-midterm-election/#349796/ |access-date=2022-11-09 |website=FiveThirtyEight |quote=... Democrats' strong showing in this district speaks to a trend that we've been seeing — that this has been a historically good midterm for Democrats. As I mentioned earlier this morning, Democrats are on track to have the best outcome for the president's party since 1950, given the president's low approval rating.}}</ref> Republican Senator [[Lindsey Graham]] commented: "It's certainly not a red wave, that's for sure. But it is clear that we will take back the House."<ref name="Italy 24 Press News"/> As of November 10, control of the House has not yet been determined, as several seats remain uncalled.<ref name="FiveThirtyEight 2022"/><ref>{{cite web |date=2022-11-09|title=2022 race calls |url=https://apnews.com/hub/2022-race-calls |access-date=2022-11-09 |website=AP News |publisher=Associated Press}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Reid |first1=Tim |last2=Ax |first2=Joseph |title=Control of U.S. Congress hangs in balance as states labor to count ballots |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/republicans-close-us-house-majority-senate-still-up-grabs-2022-11-10/ |work=Reuters |date=2022-11-11|access-date=2022-11-11}}</ref> Several tossup races were won by Democrats, including upsets in {{ushr|CO|8}} and {{ushr|NC|13}}.<ref name="FiveThirtyEight 2022"/>
The race for Congress has been closer than expected.<ref>{{cite news |last=Smolar|first=Piotr|date=2022-11-09 |title=US midterm elections: Uncertainty over Congress is a nasty surprise for Republicans |work=Le Monde |url=https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2022/11/09/us-midterms-uncertainty-over-congress-a-nasty-surprise-for-republicans_6003545_4.html |access-date=2022-11-11}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last=Kamarck |first=Elaine |date=2022-11-09 |title=The 2022 midterms show some swing states are leaning Democratic |url=https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixgov/2022/11/09/what-can-the-2022-midterms-tell-us-about-2024/ |access-date=2022-11-11 |publisher=Brookings Institution}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last=Galston |first=William A. |date=2022-11-09 |title=What do the 2022 midterms mean for 2024? |url=https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixgov/2022/11/09/what-do-the-2022-midterms-mean-for-2024/ |access-date=2022-11-11 |publisher=Brookings Institution}}</ref> As of November 10, Republicans are favored to regain control of the House with a narrow majority of 3 seats (214–221) according to ''[[Decision Desk HQ]]'',<ref>{{cite web |date=2022-11-08|title=House of Representatives Midterm Election 2022: Live Updates, Results & Map |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-elections/house-results |access-date=2022-11-10 |website=NBC News}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |date=2022-11-08|title=Midterms latest: Biden says he 'gets' voter frustration but results are 'clear message to preserve democracy' |url=https://news.sky.com/story/us-midterms-latest-trump-biden-republicans-democrats-house-senate-live-12740728 |access-date=2022-11-10 |website=Sky News |quote=This first live counter shows the make-up of the House ofsi Representatives so far. The latest estimate from NBC News has the Republicans winning 221 House seats compared with the Democrats' 214, meaning they would still take control but with much less authority than the 40+ gains anticipated by some pollsters. A margin for error is attached to that estimate as well, so what it truly means is that either party could still win.}}</ref><ref name="Italy 24 Press News">{{cite web |date=2022-11-09 |title=US elections: the Republicans do not break through, the Senate in the balance. Biden: 'Back in the running in 2024' |url=https://news.italy24.press/world/184372.html |access-date=2022-11-10 |website=Italy 24 Press News }}</ref> while the Senate remains too close to call.<ref name="FiveThirtyEight 2022"/><ref>{{cite news |last=Ax |first=Joseph |date=2022-11-10 |title=U.S. Senate up for grabs as Republicans move toward House majority |work=Reuters |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/republicans-close-us-house-majority-senate-still-up-grabs-2022-11-10/ |access-date=2022-11-10}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Finnerty|first1=Deirdre|last2=Sheerin|first2=Jude |date=2022-11-08 |title=US election: Control of Congress hangs in balance after midterms |work=BBC News |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-63551469 |access-date=2022-11-10}}</ref> [[Joe Biden]], the incumbent president, described the results as a "strong night" for Democrats,<ref name="Kinery 2022"/> who are set to lose fewer seats than average for the president's party and made gains in the Senate, since the president's party usually lose many seats in the midterm elections;<ref name="Zurcher 2022"/> also considering his low approval ratings, it was the best performance for the president's party in a midterm election since the [[1950 U.S. elections]].<ref>{{cite web |date=2022-11-08 |title=2022 Election: Live Analysis and Results |url=https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2022-midterm-election/#349796/ |access-date=2022-11-09 |website=FiveThirtyEight |quote=... Democrats' strong showing in this district speaks to a trend that we've been seeing — that this has been a historically good midterm for Democrats. As I mentioned earlier this morning, Democrats are on track to have the best outcome for the president's party since 1950, given the president's low approval rating.}}</ref> Republican Senator [[Lindsey Graham]] commented: "It's certainly not a red wave, that's for darn sure. But it is clear that we will take back the House."<ref name="Italy 24 Press News"/> As of November 10, control of the House has not yet been determined, as several seats remain uncalled.<ref name="FiveThirtyEight 2022"/><ref>{{cite web |date=2022-11-09|title=2022 race calls |url=https://apnews.com/hub/2022-race-calls |access-date=2022-11-09 |website=AP News |publisher=Associated Press}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Reid |first1=Tim |last2=Ax |first2=Joseph |title=Control of U.S. Congress hangs in balance as states labor to count ballots |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/republicans-close-us-house-majority-senate-still-up-grabs-2022-11-10/ |work=Reuters |date=2022-11-11|access-date=2022-11-11}}</ref> Several tossup races were won by Democrats, including upsets in {{ushr|CO|8}} and {{ushr|NC|13}}.<ref name="FiveThirtyEight 2022"/>


As of November 11, control of the Senate remains unclear, as three races remained uncalled, all of which are Democratic-held;<ref name="FiveThirtyEight 2022"/> races have not yet been called in Arizona and Nevada, and Georgia will hold a [[runoff election]] after no candidate won a majority of the vote.<ref>{{cite web |last=Samuels |first=Alex |date=2022-11-09 |title=Runoffs Are Sort Of Georgia's Thing Now |url=https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/runoffs-are-sort-of-georgias-thing-now/ |access-date=2022-11-10 |website=FiveThirtyEight}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Allison |first1=Natalie| last2=Everett |first2=Burgess |last3=Levine |first3=Marianne |date=2022-11-11|title='They completely f--ked up': How the GOP lost its grip on the Senate majority |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/11/11/republicans-senate-majority-00066009 |work=Politico |access-date=2022-11-11}}</ref> Democrats must win two of these three races to maintain control of the Senate.<ref name="FiveThirtyEight 2022"/> The winner of the Senate race in Alaska has also not been determined but will remain under Republican control, as Republican incumbent [[Lisa Murkowski]] and Republican challenger [[Kelly Tshibaka]] are the two remaining potential victors of the race.<ref name="Ulloa 2022">{{cite news |last=Ulloa |first=Jazmine |date=2022-11-11|title=Despite Discontent, Midterm Voters Did Not Kick Out Incumbents |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/11/us/politics/midterm-incumbent-results.html |newspaper=The New York Times |access-date=2022-11-11|issn=0362-4331}}</ref> In Pennsylvania, Democrat [[John Fetterman]] defeated Republican [[Mehmet Oz]], gaining control of the seat held by retiring Republican Senator [[Pat Toomey]].<ref>{{cite web |date=2022-11-08 |title=Democrat John Fetterman wins US Senate race in Pennsylvania |url=https://apnews.com/article/pennsylvania-senate-race-2022-midterm-elections-93709b5b7ab4cef658f45751cd76c090 |access-date=2022-11-10 |website=AP News |publisher=Associated Press}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Krieg |first1=Gregory|last2=Merica |first2=Dan |date=2022-11-10|title=How Fetterman flipped Pennsylvania |url=https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/10/politics/how-john-fetterman-won-pennsylvania |work=CNN |access-date=2022-11-11}}</ref> If incumbents ultimately prevail in Alaska, Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada, 2022 would represent the first election since the passage of the [[Seventeenth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution]] in which no Senate incumbents lost re-election.<ref name="Ulloa 2022"/>
As of November 11, control of the Senate remains unclear, as three races remained uncalled, all of which are Democratic-held;<ref name="FiveThirtyEight 2022"/> races have not yet been called in Arizona and Nevada, and Georgia will hold a [[runoff election]] after no candidate won a majority of the vote.<ref>{{cite web |last=Samuels |first=Alex |date=2022-11-09 |title=Runoffs Are Sort Of Georgia's Thing Now |url=https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/runoffs-are-sort-of-georgias-thing-now/ |access-date=2022-11-10 |website=FiveThirtyEight}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Allison |first1=Natalie| last2=Everett |first2=Burgess |last3=Levine |first3=Marianne |date=2022-11-11|title='They completely f--ked up': How the GOP lost its grip on the Senate majority |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/11/11/republicans-senate-majority-00066009 |work=Politico |access-date=2022-11-11}}</ref> Democrats must win two of these three races to maintain control of the Senate.<ref name="FiveThirtyEight 2022"/> The winner of the Senate race in Alaska has also not been determined but will remain under Republican control, as Republican incumbent [[Lisa Murkowski]] and Republican challenger [[Kelly Tshibaka]] are the two remaining potential victors of the race.<ref name="Ulloa 2022">{{cite news |last=Ulloa |first=Jazmine |date=2022-11-11|title=Despite Discontent, Midterm Voters Did Not Kick Out Incumbents |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/11/us/politics/midterm-incumbent-results.html |newspaper=The New York Times |access-date=2022-11-11|issn=0362-4331}}</ref> In Pennsylvania, Democrat [[John Fetterman]] defeated Republican [[Mehmet Oz]], gaining control of the seat held by retiring Republican Senator [[Pat Toomey]].<ref>{{cite web |date=2022-11-08 |title=Democrat John Fetterman wins US Senate race in Pennsylvania |url=https://apnews.com/article/pennsylvania-senate-race-2022-midterm-elections-93709b5b7ab4cef658f45751cd76c090 |access-date=2022-11-10 |website=AP News |publisher=Associated Press}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Krieg |first1=Gregory|last2=Merica |first2=Dan |date=2022-11-10|title=How Fetterman flipped Pennsylvania |url=https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/10/politics/how-john-fetterman-won-pennsylvania |work=CNN |access-date=2022-11-11}}</ref> If incumbents ultimately prevail in Alaska, Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada, 2022 would represent the first election since the passage of the [[Seventeenth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution]] in which no Senate incumbents lost re-election.<ref name="Ulloa 2022"/>

Revision as of 02:55, 12 November 2022

2022 United States elections
2020          2021          2022          2023          2024
Midterm elections
Election dayNovember 8
Incumbent presidentJoe Biden (Democratic)
Next Congress118th
Senate elections
Seats contested35 of 100 seats
(34 seats of Class III + special elections)
2022 United States Senate elections in California2022 United States Senate special election in Oklahoma2022 United States Senate election in Alabama2022 United States Senate election in Alaska2022 United States Senate election in Arizona2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas2022 United States Senate elections in California2022 United States Senate election in Colorado2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut2022 United States Senate election in Florida2022 United States Senate election in Georgia2022 United States Senate election in Hawaii2022 United States Senate election in Idaho2022 United States Senate election in Illinois2022 United States Senate election in Indiana2022 United States Senate election in Iowa2022 United States Senate election in Kansas2022 United States Senate election in Kentucky2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana2022 United States Senate election in Maryland2022 United States Senate election in Missouri2022 United States Senate election in Nevada2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire2022 United States Senate election in New York2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina2022 United States Senate election in North Dakota2022 United States Senate election in Ohio2022 United States Senate election in Oklahoma2022 United States Senate election in Oregon2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania2022 United States Senate election in South Carolina2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota2022 United States Senate election in Utah2022 United States Senate election in Vermont2022 United States Senate election in Washington2022 United States Senate election in Wisconsin
Map of the 2022 Senate races
     Democratic gain      Republican gain
     Democratic hold      Republican hold
     Runoff      Result unknown
     No election
Rectangular inset (Oklahoma): both seats up for election
House elections
Seats contestedAll 435 voting seats
+5 of 6 non-voting seats
Map of the 2022 House races
     Democratic gain      Republican gain
     Democratic hold      Republican hold
     Result unknown
Gubernatorial elections
Seats contested39 (36 states, 3 territories)
2022 Alabama gubernatorial election2022 Alaska gubernatorial election2022 Arizona gubernatorial election2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election2022 California gubernatorial election2022 Colorado gubernatorial election2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election2022 Florida gubernatorial election2022 Georgia gubernatorial election2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election2022 Idaho gubernatorial election2022 Illinois gubernatorial election2022 Iowa gubernatorial election2022 Kansas gubernatorial election2022 Maine gubernatorial election2022 Maryland gubernatorial election2022 Massachusetts gubernatorial election2022 Michigan gubernatorial election2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election2022 Nebraska gubernatorial election2022 Nevada gubernatorial election2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election2022 New Mexico gubernatorial election2022 New York gubernatorial election2022 Ohio gubernatorial election2022 Oklahoma gubernatorial election2022 Oregon gubernatorial election2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election2022 South Carolina gubernatorial election2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election2022 Texas gubernatorial election2022 Vermont gubernatorial election2022 Wisconsin gubernatorial election2022 Wyoming gubernatorial election2022 Guam gubernatorial election2022 Northern Mariana Islands gubernatorial election2022 United States Virgin Islands gubernatorial election
Map of the 2022 gubernatorial elections
     Democratic gain      Republican gain
     Democratic hold      Republican hold
     Runoff      Result unknown
     No election

The 2022 United States elections were a set of elections that were primarily (with the exception of absentee balloting) held on November 8, 2022. During this midterm election year, all 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate were contested. Thirty-nine state and territorial gubernatorial elections, as well as numerous other state and local elections, were contested. The results will determine the 118th United States Congress. This was the first election affected by the 2022 U.S. redistricting that followed the 2020 U.S. census.[1] A predicted red wave, named after the color of the Republican Party, did not materialize and the race for U.S. Congress control has been closer than expected.[2][3][4]

While midterm elections often see the president's party lose a significant number of seats in Congress,[5] preliminary results instead saw Democratic Party candidates dramatically overperform these historical trends,[6][7][8] making this the best performance for the president's party since the 1950 U.S. midterm elections.[1] Meanwhile, Republican Party candidates that were backed by Donald Trump or that denied the results of the 2020 U.S. presidential election underperformed compared to election analysts' predictions of a more Republican-leaning national environment and Republican expectations.[1][2] Both general turnout and among young voters (18–29) was the second highest (after 2018) of any midterm since 1970.[9][10]

Issues that favored Democrats included significant concern over extremism and respect for democratic norms among Republicans, abortion rights, and a potential Trump and Desaints 2024 election campaign.[3][4][11] The elections continued trends starting in 2012, in which Republicans made gains among the working-class, especially whites and since 2016 also working-class minorities like Hispanics,[12] while Democrats continued to improve among affluent and college-educated whites.[2]

Six referendums to preserve or expand abortion access uniformly won,[13][14] including in the states of Kansas,[a] Kentucky, Michigan, and Montana,[15] as did those increasing the minimum wage (Nebraska and Nevada) and expanding Medicaid coverage (South Dakota).[1] In other elections, Democrats gained full control of government in Michigan and Minnesota.[16] Democrats made further gains in the 2022 U.S. gubernatorial elections (Maryland and Massachusetts),[17] while Republicans did particularly well in Florida.[2][11][18]

Campaign

Primaries

In 2022, Democratic campaign arms aided radical-right candidates in Republican primary elections, believing they would be easier opponents in the general election.[19][20] Republican primary candidates who had been endorsed by former president Donald Trump tended to win with his support being crucial for many.[21][22] Progressives within the Democratic Party saw mixed results, with both progressives and moderates winning important races.[23][24][25]

Issues

Economy

Voters suffered from historically high consumer prices, gas prices, and interest rates, which Republicans blamed on President Biden's and Democratic policies.[26] The economy remained the top issue for voters throughout 2022.[27][28]

Abortion

Following the ruling of the U.S. Supreme Court ruling in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization that overturned Roe v. Wade in June 2022, Democrats outperformed Biden's results in the 2020 U.S. presidential election in several House special elections, with abortion cited as a major contributor to their victories.[29][30] The Dobbs ruling made abortion more important for voters,[26] with a rise in support among women for the Democratic Party coming after the decision.[31] At least six states have an abortion-related ballot initiative, the most ever in a single year.[32]

Crime and gun violence

Mass shootings made gun violence and crime more important issues for voters.[33] The Bipartisan Safer Communities Act, which passed in June 2022, provided extended gun-safety laws and was touted by Biden and Democrats.[34] Despite this, Republicans maintained a lead among voters who cite crime as a major issue.[35][36] Republicans blamed the increase in violent crime and homicides in 2020 and 2021 on progressives and liberals and attempts to "defund the police", a slogan supported by racial justice protesters but eventually rejected by Biden. Democrats pushed for stricter gun laws, including a ban on assault weapons, while Republicans sought to protect legal access to guns and the Second Amendment to the U.S. Constitution.[37]

Democracy

Democrats said that Trumpist supporters have grown increasingly authoritarian or "semi-fascist" as Biden had called them, since Trump continues to contest the results of the 2020 presidential election.[37] Democrats also said that Republicans regaining power would harm U.S. governance, citing the many Republican candidates who denied the results of the 2020 U.S. presidential election.[37]

The Democratic Party filed lawsuits to remove Green Party candidates from the ballot, most notably the North Carolina Green Party candidate Matthew Hoh in the 2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina,[38][39][40] citing an ongoing investigation into the party for fraudulant signatures.[41] Their warning that the Greens could divide progressive voters and give Republicans wins in tight races nonetheless received widespread criticism,[42] and Hoh appeared on the ballott.[43]

Education

Republicans argued for parents having more control over what their children are taught in schools, being concerned in particular with race, gender identity, and sexuality being discussed.[37] Democrats dismissed these concerns as a push for censorship, saying that it will harm LGBT students in particular.[37] At least 20 Republican candidates promulgated the litter boxes in schools hoax, which emerged largely as backlash against recognition of gender variance in schools.[44][45]

House minority leader Kevin McCarthy vowed to "recover lost learning from school closures" during the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States.[37]

Climate change

Progressive Democrats pushed for legislation to combat the negative effects of climate change, including incentives towards the adoption of renewable energy and electric cars.[37]

Immigration

An increase of over 385% in border encounters from 2020 to 2022 gave Republicans an edge over Democrats as polling tends to show voters moderately prefer Republicans over Democrats for solving immigration problems.[46][47][48] In a political stunt, Florida governor Ron DeSantis had migrants sent to Martha's Vineyard.[49][50][51]

Student loan forgiveness

Since Biden revealed a plan for student loan forgiveness, both parties sought electoral gains from the decision, with Republicans targeting blue-collar workers and Democrats potentially attracting young voters.[52] A majority of voters were found to support student loan forgiveness in the run-up to the election.[53][54]

Presidency of Joe Biden

Republicans were benefiting from Biden's low U.S. presidential approval ratings, hovering from 30–40% for much of the year.[26] His ratings briefly increased after several legislative victories in August and September 2022;[55] by October, they again plateaued when voters focused back on the state of the economy.[56][57]

Russian invasion of Ukraine

The Russian invasion of Ukraine is the major foreign policy issue, shifting support for Biden and highlighting the Republican Party's perceived support for Russia.[58][59] One day before election day, Russian entrepreneur Yevgeny Prigozhin, who was in the center of accusations of hidden propaganda activities by the Russian government, in regard to Russian interference in U.S. elections, wrote on Vkontakte: "We have interfered, we are interfering and we will continue to interfere."[60]

Campaign spending

With a total of almost 17 billion U.S. dollars in expenditure, the election campaigns for the 2022 midterm elections were the most expensive in the history of the United States.[61]

Federal elections

Senate elections

Control of Senate seats by class after the 2022 elections
Class Democratic Independent Republican TBD Next elections
1 21 2 10 0 2024
2 13 0 20 0 2026
3 11 0 19 3[b] 2028
Total 44 2 49 3
Voters at a polling location in Londonderry, New Hampshire. The 2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was tightly contested.

Thirty-five of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate were up for election, including all 34 Class 3 Senator seats. Concurrent with the regularly-scheduled Class 3 elections, a special election was held to fill a Class 2 vacancy in Oklahoma. As senators serve six-year terms, the last regularly scheduled elections for Class 3 senators were held in 2016. The winners of the Senate elections will be sworn in on January 3, 2023, for the 118th U.S. Congress. Going into the election, Democrats and Republicans both held 50 seats, but Democrats had a majority due to their control of the U.S. vice presidency, which has the power to break ties in the Senate. In the Senate elections, Republicans defended 21 seats, including six seats left open by retirements. Democrats defended fourteen seats, one of which was an open seat.[1]

Special elections

Two special elections took place in 2022 to replace senators who resigned during the 117th U.S. Congress:

House of Representatives elections

All 435 voting seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election. Fourty-nine representatives and one non-voting delegate (30 Democrats, 20 Republicans) did not seek re-election, and three seats were vacant at the time of the election. The incumbents in the 2022 elections were determined in the 2020 U.S. House of Representatives elections and subsequent special elections. These elections were the first conducted after the 2020 U.S. redistricting cycle, causing several districts to lack an incumbent or have multiple incumbents. Democrats held a 220–212 majority at the time of the election.[68]

Special elections

Nine special elections were held in 2022:

State elections

Gubernatorial elections

Elections were held for the governorships of 36 states and three territories. As most governors serve four-year terms, the last regularly-scheduled elections for most seats up for election in 2022 were held in 2018. The governors of New Hampshire and Vermont each serve two-year terms, so incumbents in these two states were determined by the 2020 gubernatorial elections.

Prior to the election, Republicans held a total of 28 seats, 20 of which were up for election in 2022, and Democrats held 22 seats, 16 of which were up for election. Democrats picked up the seats of retiring Republican incumbents in Maryland and Massachusetts, while races in Alaska, Arizona, and Nevada remain uncalled. Democratic incumbents won high-profile contests in Michigan and Wisconsin, while Democrat Josh Shapiro's defeat of Republican Doug Mastriano allowed Democrats to retain control of Pennsylvania's gubernatorial office. Democratic incumbents also prevailed in closely-contested races in Kansas and Oregon. Republican incumbents, meanwhile, won re-election in major races in Florida, Georgia, and Texas.[84] With their respective victories, Tina Kotek of Oregon and Maura Healey of Massachusetts became the first openly lesbian state governors.[85]

Other state executive elections

Incumbents' statuses for the 2022 US Attorney General elections
  Republican incumbent
  Democratic incumbent
  Term-limited or retiring Republican
  Term-limited or retiring Democrat
  No election

Various state-wide executive positions across several states held elections in 2022.

Attorneys generals were elected in thirty states, three territories, and one federal district. The previous elections for this group of states took place in 2018. The attorney general of Vermont serves two-year terms and was last elected in 2020.[86]

Secretaries of state were elected in twenty-seven states. The previous elections for this group of states took place in 2018. The secretary of state of Vermont serves two-year terms and was last elected in 2020.[87]

State treasurers and equivalents were elected in twenty-seven states, plus a special election in Utah. The previous elections for this group of states took place in 2018. The treasurer of Vermont serves two-year terms and was last elected in 2020.

State judicial elections

Numerous states held judicial elections in 2022. Republicans gained a majority on the North Carolina Supreme Court by picking up two seats, raising the possibility of mid-decade redistricting. In another election with major redistricting implications, Republicans retained a majority on the Supreme Court of Ohio.[88][89]

Legislative elections

In 2022, 46 states held regularly-scheduled elections in 88 legislative chambers, although not all seats were up in the legislatures holding elections, as some states use staggered terms. Louisiana, Mississippi, New Jersey, and Virginia did not hold regularly-scheduled state legislative elections, as those states all hold such elections in odd-numbered years. The District of Columbia and the U.S. territories of American Samoa, Guam, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands also held legislative elections in 2022. As in the U.S. House of Representatives, these elections were the first conducted after the 2020 U.S. census and the 2022 U.S. redistricting. Going into the election, Republicans controlled 61 legislative chambers, as compared to 37 for Democrats.[90]

Democrats successfully defended every legislative chamber they had held prior to the election, the first time the president's party accomplished this feat in a midterm since the 1934 U.S. elections.[91] Democrats picked up both state legislative chambers in Michigan, as well as the Minnesota Senate;[92] Democrats had not controlled the Michigan Senate since 1984.[93] As a result of victories in state legislative and gubernatorial elections, Democrats gained government trifectas in Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, and Minnesota. Though Republican governor Phil Scott won re-election, Democrats gained a veto-proof super-majority in Vermont.[91]

Referendums

Six states have an abortion‑related ballot measure in response to the U.S. Supreme Court's ruling in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization that held there was no constitutional right to abortion in the United States and gave individual states the full power to regulate any aspect of abortion: California, Kansas, Kentucky, Michigan, Montana, and Vermont.[32] During the August primaries, 59% of Kansas voters rejected their state's Value Them Both Amendment, which would have removed the right to an abortion from the Kansas Constitution.[94] California voters considered Proposition 1 during the general election,[95][96] which amended the Constitution of California to explicitly grant the right to an abortion and contraceptives.[1]

In Nebraska and Nevada, voters approved to increase of the minimum wage, which was in line with most such measures being approved regardless of red and blue state status.[1] In South Dakota, voters approved to expand Medicaid coverage as part of the Affordable Care Act.[1][97] In Tennessee, voters voted on Amendment 1,[98] which would amend the Constitution of Tennessee to make it illegal for workplaces to require employees to be members of labor unions as a condition for employment.[1]

In five states, voters were asked to make the possession and use of marijuana legal for people 21 and older.[99] In Maryland and Missouri, the measures were approved but voters in North and South Dakota, as well as in Arkansas, rejected legalization. In Colorado, voters approved the decriminalization and regulation of certain psychedelic plants and fungi.[1]

Local elections

Mayoral elections

A number of major U.S. cities have held mayoral elections in 2022:

Eligible

Ineligible or retiring

County elections

Tribal elections

Several notable Native American tribes are holding elections for tribal executive positions during 2022, including the Kaw Nation, Cheyenne River Sioux, San Carlos Apache Tribe, Wampanoag Tribe of Gay Head, and Delaware Tribe of Indians. During 2022, Osage Nation Principal Chief Geoffrey Standing Bear and Tribal Council Chief Beverly Kiohawiton Cook of the St. Regis Mohawk Tribe were both re-elected to third terms.[115][116] Chairman Marshalle Pierite of the Tunica-Biloxi Tribe, the Peoria Tribe of Indians of Oklahoma chief Craig Harper, and Prairie Band Potawatomi Nation tribal chairman Joseph Rupnik were re-elected for a second term.[117][118][119] The Central Council of the Tlingit and Haida Tribes of Alaska re-elected Tribal President Chalyee Éesh Richard Peterson to a fifth term;[120] Lynn "Nay" Valbuena was also elected to serve a fifth term as chair of the San Manuel Band of Mission Indians.[121] Also re-elected were the Peoria Tribe of Indians of Oklahoma chief Craig Harper and Salt River Pima–Maricopa Indian Community president Martin Harvier,[121] as well as the Quapaw Nation chairman Joseph Byrd.[122] Bill Sterud was re-elected as chair of the Puyallup Tribe; he first joined the Puyallup Tribal Council in 1978.[123]

Reid D. Milanovich was elected chairman of the Agua Caliente Band of Cahuilla Indians, replacing the retiring Jeff Grubbe.[124] Clayton Dumont Jr. won an open seat to become chairman of the Klamath Tribes.[125] Arden L. Kucate was elected governor of the Pueblo of Zuni.[121] In the Wabanaki Confederacy, the Passamaquoddy Tribe at Motahkmikuk re-elected William Nicholas to a fourth term as chief; chief Kirk Francis was elected to serve a sixth term as head of the Penobscot Nation; and tribal representative Rena Newell was elected chief of the Passamaquoddy Tribe at Sipayik, ousting Chief Maggie Dana.[126][127]

Several other tribal leaders were defeated when seeking re-election. Buu Nygren defeated Jonathan Nez to become president of the Navajo Nation; Nygren's running mate, Richelle Montoya, is the first woman elected as Navajo Nation vice president.[128] Lora Ann Chaisson defeated August "Cocoa" Creppel in the election for principal chief of the United Houma Nation.[129] Kasey Velasquez defeated chairwoman Gwendena Lee-Gatwood to become the second woman elected to lead the White Mountain Apache Tribe.[130] RoseMary LaClair defeated incumbent Nooksack Indian Tribe Tribal chairman Roswell Cline Sr.[131] Former Red Lake Band of Chippewa chairman Floyd "Buck" Jourdain defeated incumbent Tribal Chairman Darrell Seki Sr.[132]

Table of state, territorial, and federal results

This table shows the partisan results of president, congressional, gubernatorial, and state legislative races held in each state and territory in 2022. Note that not all states and territories hold gubernatorial, state legislative, and Senate elections in 2022. The five territories and Washington, D.C., do not elect members of the Senate, and the territories do not take part in presidential elections; instead, they each elect one non-voting member of the House. Nebraska's unicameral legislature and the governorship and legislature of American Samoa are elected on a non-partisan basis, and political party affiliation is not listed.

State/Territory 2022
PVI[133]
Before 2022 elections After 2022 elections
Governor State leg. U.S. Senate U.S. House Governor State leg. U.S. Senate U.S. House
Alabama R+15 Rep Rep Rep Rep 6–1 Rep Rep Rep Rep 6–1
Alaska R+8 Rep Split[d] Rep Dem 1–0 Rep
Arizona R+2 Rep Rep Dem Dem 5–4
Arkansas R+16 Rep Rep Rep Rep 4–0 Rep Rep Rep Rep 4–0
California D+13 Dem Dem Dem Dem 42–11 Dem Dem
Colorado D+4 Dem Dem Dem Dem 4–3 Dem Dem Dem
Connecticut D+7 Dem Dem Dem Dem 5–0 Dem Dem Dem Dem 5–0
Delaware D+7 Dem Dem Dem Dem 1–0 Dem Dem Dem Dem 1–0
Florida R+3 Rep Rep Rep Rep 16–11 Rep Rep Rep Rep 20–8
Georgia R+3 Rep Rep Dem Rep 8–6 Rep Rep Rep 9–5
Hawaii D+14 Dem Dem Dem Dem 2–0 Dem Dem Dem Dem 2–0
Idaho R+18 Rep Rep Rep Rep 2–0 Rep Rep Rep Rep 2–0
Illinois D+7 Dem Dem Dem Dem 13–5 Dem Dem Dem Dem 14–3
Indiana R+11 Rep Rep Rep Rep 7–2 Rep Rep Rep Rep 7–2
Iowa R+6 Rep Rep Rep Rep 3–1 Rep Rep Rep Rep 4–0
Kansas R+10 Dem Rep Rep Rep 3–1 Dem Rep Rep Rep 3–1
Kentucky R+16 Dem Rep Rep Rep 5–1 Dem Rep Rep Rep 5–1
Louisiana R+12 Dem Rep Rep Rep 5–1 Dem Rep Rep Rep 5–1
Maine D+2 Dem Dem Split R/I[e] Dem 2–0 Dem Split R/I[e]
Maryland D+14 Rep Dem Dem Dem 7–1 Dem Dem Dem Dem 7–1
Massachusetts D+15 Rep Dem Dem Dem 9–0 Dem Dem Dem Dem 9–0
Michigan R+1 Dem Rep Dem Split 7–7 Dem Dem Dem Dem 7–6
Minnesota D+1 Dem Split Dem Split 4–4 Dem Dem Dem Split 4–4
Mississippi R+11 Rep Rep Rep Rep 3–1 Rep Rep Rep Rep 3–1
Missouri R+10 Rep Rep Rep Rep 6–2 Rep Rep Rep Rep 6–2
Montana R+11 Rep Rep Split Rep 1–0 Rep Rep Split Rep 2–0
Nebraska R+13 Rep NP[f] Rep Rep 3–0 Rep NP[f] Rep Rep 3–0
Nevada R+1 Dem Dem Dem Dem 3–1 Dem 3–1
New Hampshire D+1 Rep Rep Dem Dem 2–0 Rep Dem Dem 2–0
New Jersey D+6 Dem Dem Dem Dem 10–2 Dem Dem Dem Dem 9–3
New Mexico D+3 Dem Dem Dem Dem 2–1 Dem Dem Dem Dem 3–0
New York D+10 Dem Dem Dem Dem 19–8 Dem Dem Dem
North Carolina R+3 Dem Rep Rep Rep 8–5 Dem Rep Rep Split 7–7
North Dakota R+20 Rep Rep Rep Rep 1–0 Rep Rep Rep Rep 1–0
Ohio R+6 Rep Rep Split Rep 12–4 Rep Rep Split Rep 10–5
Oklahoma R+20 Rep Rep Rep Rep 5–0 Rep Rep Rep Rep 5–0
Oregon D+6 Dem Dem Dem Dem 4–1 Dem Dem
Pennsylvania R+2 Dem Rep Split Split 9–9 Dem Split Dem Dem 9–8
Rhode Island D+8 Dem Dem Dem Dem 2–0 Dem Dem Dem Dem 2–0
South Carolina R+8 Rep Rep Rep Rep 6–1 Rep Rep Rep Rep 6–1
South Dakota R+16 Rep Rep Rep Rep 1–0 Rep Rep Rep Rep 1–0
Tennessee R+14 Rep Rep Rep Rep 7–2 Rep Rep Rep Rep 8–1
Texas R+5 Rep Rep Rep Rep 24–12 Rep Rep Rep Rep 25–13
Utah R+13 Rep Rep Rep Rep 4–0 Rep Rep Rep Rep 4–0
Vermont D+16 Rep Dem Split D/I[g] Dem 1–0 Rep Dem Split D/I Dem 1–0
Virginia D+3 Rep Split Dem Dem 7–4 Rep Split Dem Dem 6–5
Washington D+8 Dem Dem Dem Dem 7–3 Dem Dem
West Virginia R+22 Rep Rep Split Rep 3–0 Rep Rep Split Rep 2–0
Wisconsin R+2 Dem Rep Split Rep 5–3 Dem Rep Rep Rep 6–2
Wyoming R+25 Rep Rep Rep Rep 1–0 Rep Rep Rep Rep 1–0
United States Even Rep 28–22 Rep 29–17–3 Dem 50–50 Dem 220–212
Washington, D.C. D+43 Dem[h] Dem[h] Dem Dem[h] Dem[h] Dem
American Samoa NP/D[i] NP Rep NP/D[i] NP Rep
Guam Dem Dem Dem Dem Dem Rep
N. Mariana Islands Rep Split[j] Dem[k] Dem
Puerto Rico PNP/D[l] PDP PNP/R[m] PNP/D[l] PDP PNP/R[m]
U.S. Virgin Islands Dem Dem Dem Dem Dem Dem
State/Territory PVI Governor State leg. U.S. Senate U.S. House Governor State leg. U.S. Senate U.S. House
Before 2022 elections After 2022 elections

Election night television viewership

Aftermath

Results

The race for Congress has been closer than expected.[134][135][136] As of November 10, Republicans are favored to regain control of the House with a narrow majority of 3 seats (214–221) according to Decision Desk HQ,[137][138][139] while the Senate remains too close to call.[1][140][141] Joe Biden, the incumbent president, described the results as a "strong night" for Democrats,[7] who are set to lose fewer seats than average for the president's party and made gains in the Senate, since the president's party usually lose many seats in the midterm elections;[5] also considering his low approval ratings, it was the best performance for the president's party in a midterm election since the 1950 U.S. elections.[142] Republican Senator Lindsey Graham commented: "It's certainly not a red wave, that's for darn sure. But it is clear that we will take back the House."[139] As of November 10, control of the House has not yet been determined, as several seats remain uncalled.[1][143][144] Several tossup races were won by Democrats, including upsets in Colorado's 8th congressional district and North Carolina's 13th congressional district.[1]

As of November 11, control of the Senate remains unclear, as three races remained uncalled, all of which are Democratic-held;[1] races have not yet been called in Arizona and Nevada, and Georgia will hold a runoff election after no candidate won a majority of the vote.[145][146] Democrats must win two of these three races to maintain control of the Senate.[1] The winner of the Senate race in Alaska has also not been determined but will remain under Republican control, as Republican incumbent Lisa Murkowski and Republican challenger Kelly Tshibaka are the two remaining potential victors of the race.[147] In Pennsylvania, Democrat John Fetterman defeated Republican Mehmet Oz, gaining control of the seat held by retiring Republican Senator Pat Toomey.[148][149] If incumbents ultimately prevail in Alaska, Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada, 2022 would represent the first election since the passage of the Seventeenth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution in which no Senate incumbents lost re-election.[147]

Six referendums to preserve or expand abortion access uniformly won, including in the states of Kansas, Kentucky, Michigan, and Montana.[13][14][15] Those related to increasing the minimum wage (Nebraska and Nevada) and expanding Medicaid coverage (South Dakota) also passed, while those related to cannabis legalization, some of which for medical uses and some for recreational usage, achieved mixed results.[1] In state legislative elections, Democrats gained full control of government in Minnesota and made gains in Pennsylvania.[16][150] In Michigan, Democrats took full control of government for the first time since 1983.[151] Control of the state legislatures of Alaska,[152] Arizona, New Hampshire, and Pennsylvania has not yet been determined.[93]

In the 2022 Maryland gubernatorial election, Wes Moore, a Democrat, became the state's first African-American governor, while the 2022 Massachusetts gubernatorial election and 2022 Oregon gubernatorial election resulted in Maura Healey and Tina Kotek, both Democrats, becoming the first open lesbian governors in U.S. history. Gretchen Whitmer, the incumbent Democrat, won the 2022 Michigan gubernatorial election. On the Republican side, incumbent governors performed well. Greg Abbott won the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election, while Brian Kemp won the 2022 Georgia gubernatorial election; in both cases, they defeated opponents, Beto O'Rourke and Stacey Abrams, who had lost by narrower margins in 2018.[1][17][153] In the 2022 Florida gubernatorial election, Ron DeSantis won in a landside; early results showed he performed better than other Republicans among Hispanics.[154] Both parties elected female governors, resulting in the most female governors in U.S. history. Incumbent Laura Kelly of the Democratic Party narrowly won the 2022 Kansas gubernatorial election, while Sarah Huckabee Sanders of the Republican Party won the 2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election to became the state's first female governor.[1]

Analysis

The lack of a predicted wave election in the United States in favor of the Republican Party (concern about the status of the economy and inflation remained the highest issue with large margin over abortion, which placed second according to polls both prior to and after the elections) was attributed to issues that instead favored the Democratic Party,[6][7][8] including significant concern over extremism among Republicans and over the democratic backsliding in the United States that worsened since Donald Trump won in 2016, abortion rights and the status of abortion in the United States since June 2022 after Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization overtuned the long-held precedent since 1972 of Roe v. Wade that gave a constitutional right to abortion,[1][2] and the possible imminent announcement of the Trump 2024 election campaign.[3][4]

The elections reflected trends that approximately started in 2012, in which the white American working-class, and since 2016 also some minorities,[12] in particular those who are working class or Hispanic and Latino Americans, moved even more towards Republicans,[155] while affluent and college-educated whites continued to move towards Democrats.[2] Democrats performed better than expected in states like New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, and performed well in Colorado and New England, while Republicans made gains in Florida and New York. Redistricting and gerrymandering also affected results; in New York, where Democrats suffered major losses, a gerrymander had been rejected by the courts, while gerrymanders in Florida and Tennessee gave Republicans more seats by virtue of the redistricted map being much more Republican-leaning.[1]

Fears of democratic collapse

Democratic backsliding was a concern among voters. Polls show that many voters feared that Trump and Republicans would lead to the collapse of democracy in the United States.[156][157] Several news outlets tracked the midterm results of 2020 election deniers, including Axios,[158] the BBC,[159] Bloomberg News,[160] CNN,[161] The New York Times,[162] and The Washington Post;[163] there were hundreds of election deniers candidates among Republicans,[164] and according to one analysis 60 percent of Americans had election deniers on the ballot.[165] Many of them ran for governor or secretary of state, both of which are positions overseeing elections and certifying their results;[166] as of November 9, races in Arizona and Nevada remains too close to call.[167] While many won, most of them were incumbent members of Congress who voted to not certify the 2020 presidential election results but avoided comments after the January 6 United States Capitol attack; those who made electoral fraud claims central to their campaign, in particular those who were newcomers, lost.[1][168] In general, those Republican candidates who were backed by Trump or were 2020 election deniers underperformed.[169]

Potential 2024 DeSantis vs. Trump primary battle

Many analysts believed that the results set up a potential primary contest between DeSantis and Trump for the Republican nomination in 2024.[11][18] Despite losses, Trump called the results a "great evening", though those close to him reported him "livid" and "furious with everyone" for the losses, in particular the Senate open seat in Pennsylvania. About DeSantis, Trump stated that he was ready to reveal what he described as "bad things" about him, claiming to know him "more than anyone else, perhaps more than [his wife]."[139]

Turnout

Turnout was relatively high by midterm standards. After the blue wave of 2018, it was the second highest since the 1970 U.S. elections. The trend was confirmed by turnout among young voters (18–29), which was the highest after 2018.[9][10] According to Edison Research National Election Pool, the youth vote for the House was 63–35 in favor of Democrats. Pollster Antonio Arellano commented that young voters were the only age group in which more than 50 percent of voters supported Democrats.[139]

See also

Notes

  1. ^ The 2022 Kansas Value Them Both Amendment referendum took place on August 2, 2022.
  2. ^ Control of the Class 3 Senate seats in Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada has not yet been determined.
  3. ^ Eric Garcetti has been nominated to the post of United States Ambassador to India and it is currently unknown if he will end his term early. Should this occur, the Los Angeles City Council will appoint an interim mayor to finish the remainder of his term.
  4. ^ Republicans won a majority of seats in the state house, but Democrats formed a majority coalition with independents and some Republicans.
  5. ^ a b One of Maine's senators, Susan Collins, is a Republican. The other senator from Maine, Angus King, is an independent who has caucused with Democrats since taking office in 2013.
  6. ^ a b The unicameral Nebraska Legislature is officially nonpartisan, but a majority of its members identify as Republicans.
  7. ^ One of Vermont's senators, Patrick Leahy, is a Democrat. The other senator from Vermont, Bernie Sanders, was elected as an independent and has caucused with Democrats since taking office in 2007.
  8. ^ a b c d Washington, D.C., does not elect a governor or state legislature, but it does elect a mayor and a council. If the city attains statehood, the mayoral and council elections will be repurposed as those for the governor and House of Delegates respectively.
  9. ^ a b Although elections for governor of American Samoa are non-partisan, Governor Lemanu Peleti Mauga affiliates with the Democratic Party.
  10. ^ Republicans control the Northern Mariana Islands Senate, but no party holds a majority in the Northern Mariana Islands House of Representatives.
  11. ^ The Northern Mariana Islands' delegate to Congress, Gregorio Sablan, was elected as an Independent and has caucused with Democrats since taking office in 2009. In 2021, he rejoined the local Democratic Party and ran as a Democrat in 2022.
  12. ^ a b Puerto Rican Governor Pedro Pierluisi is a member of the Puerto Rican New Progressive Party, but affiliates with the Democratic Party at the national level.
  13. ^ a b Puerto Rico's Resident Commissioner, Jenniffer González, was elected as a member of the New Progressive Party and has caucused with Republicans since taking office in 2017.

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