2024 Republican Party presidential primaries: Difference between revisions

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Revision as of 02:47, 8 April 2023

2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
← 2020 February to June 2024[1] 2028 →
2,467 delegates (2,373 pledged and 94 unpledged) to the Republican National Convention[2][a]
1,234[2] votes needed to win
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First place by first-instance vote

2024 U.S. presidential election
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Presidential primaries and caucuses are being organized by the Republican Party to select the delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention scheduled to be held between February and June 2024 to determine the party's nominee for president of the United States in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. The elections will take place in all 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and five U.S. territories (these territories do not participate in the presidential election, although Guam does hold a straw poll). On November 15, 2022, at Mar-a-Lago, former president Donald Trump announced that he would run again in 2024. He is seeking to become the second president after Grover Cleveland to serve two non-consecutive terms.[3][4]

In March 2022, Trump announced that if he runs for re-election and wins the Republican presidential nomination, his former Vice President Mike Pence will not be his running mate.[5]

On February 14, 2023, former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley, who served as U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations during the Trump administration, announced her candidacy for president, making her the second major candidate in the race.[6]

On February 21, 2023, executive chairman of Strive Asset Management and former CEO of Roivant Sciences, Vivek Ramaswamy, an activist against environmental, social and corporate governance initiatives, announced his candidacy for the presidency while on Tucker Carlson Tonight.[7]

On April 2, 2023, former governor of Arkansas, Asa Hutchinson, who also served as chairman of the National Governors Association and was George W. Bush's Administrator of Drug Enforcement, announced his candidacy during an exclusive interview with ABC News' Jonathan Karl.[8]

Candidates

Declared major candidates

The candidates in this section have declared their candidacies and received substantial media coverage, hold or have held significant elected office, and/or have been included in at least five national polls.

Name Born Experience Home state Campaign
Announcement date 		Ref

Nikki Haley 		January 20, 1972
(age 52)
Bamberg, South Carolina 		Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018)
Governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)
South Carolina
Campaign
February 14, 2023
FEC filing[9] 		[10]

Asa Hutchinson 		December 3, 1950
(age 73)
Bentonville, Arkansas 		Governor of Arkansas (2015–2023)
Administrator of the Drug Enforcement Administration (2001–2003)
U.S. Representative from AR-03 (1997–2001)
Arkansas 		Campaign
April 2, 2023
FEC filing[11] 		[12]

Vivek Ramaswamy 		August 9, 1985
(age 38)
Cincinnati, Ohio 		Executive chairman of Strive Asset Management (2022–present)
CEO of Roivant Sciences (2014–2021)
Ohio
Campaign
February 21, 2023
FEC filing[13] 		[14]

Donald Trump 		June 14, 1946
(age 77)
Queens, New York 		President of the United States (2017–2021)
Chairman of The Trump Organization (1971–2017)
Florida
Campaign
November 15, 2022
FEC filing[15][16] 		[17]


Other declared candidates

The candidates in this section are otherwise noteworthy, but have not met the requirements outlined above.

Decision pending

As of April 2023, the following notable individuals are expected to make an announcement regarding their official candidacy within a set timeline.

Publicly expressed interest

As of April 2023, the following notable individuals have expressed an interest in running for president within the previous six months.

Potential candidates

As of April 2023, there has been speculation about the potential candidacy of the following notable individuals within the previous six months.

Declined to be candidates

The following notable individuals have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have publicly denied interest in running.

Vice presidential speculation

Main article: 2024 Republican Party vice presidential candidate selection

Multiple reporters, political analysts and commentators have noted that Trump selecting Pence to be his running mate once again would be highly unlikely following rifts between the two over the future of the Republican Party and Pence's attempts to distance himself from the former president.[85][86][87] In June 2022, the House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack found that Trump said Pence "deserved" calls to be hanged on the day of the attack.[88] Pence has similarly stated that he has no interest in accepting the vice presidential nomination again.[89]

Several individuals have received speculation about possible selection as vice presidential nominee in 2024 including Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina, Governor Kristi Noem of South Dakota, Governor Glenn Youngkin of Virginia, Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, Governor Ron DeSantis of Florida, Governor Kim Reynolds of Iowa, Senator Joni Ernst of Iowa, Senator Rick Scott of Florida, and Lieutenant Governor Jeanette Nuñez of Florida.[90][91] There has been speculation that former U.S. Representative Lee Zeldin of New York could become DeSantis' running mate after his strong performance in the 2022 New York gubernatorial election.[92] and both holding several rallies before and after the election together.[93][94] Some have speculated that former United Nations Ambassador and former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley could be Trump's running mate.[95] However, Haley launched a presidential campaign of her own on February 14, 2023, bringing the chances down.[96]

On March 6, 2023, multiple sources close to Donald Trump, the current Republican front runner, as reported by Axios, ran the list down to four major contenders. These were Haley; Sarah Huckabee Sanders, former White House press secretary for Trump and recently elected governor of Arkansas, who has received media attention for her executive orders; Kristi Noem, governor of South Dakota; and Kari Lake, candidate for Arizona governor in 2022 who lost narrowly to Katie Hobbs. According to Axios, Trump's major factor in the race is loyalty, something he sees strongly in Lake given her reiterations of the claims of a stolen 2020 election.[97]

Timeline

Overview

Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaignVivek Ramaswamy 2024 presidential campaignAsa Hutchinson 2024 presidential campaignNikki Haley 2024 presidential campaign
Active campaign Exploratory committee Withdrawn candidate
Primaries Midterm elections Republican National Convention

Background

After losing his re-election bid in 2020, Trump managed to remain the main front runner of the GOP by endorsing challengers to several House members who had voted to impeach him, as well as pushing several candidates through for open races. These candidates had a lackluster performance resulting in the Republicans taking control of the house with only a small majority and causing a dip in Trump's popularity within the party.[98] At the same time Ron DeSantis, the Governor of Florida, won nearly 60% of the vote in a landslide victory in his gubernatorial re-election.[99] Media coverage consistently portrayed DeSantis as Trump's main rival, despite DeSantis not having announced a presidential run.[100][101]

As DeSantis rose in the polls, Trump began to attack his former ally, using nicknames like "Meatball Ron" and "Ron DeSanctimonious", which caused a increase in Trump's poll numbers and a hit to DeSantis in the polls.[102] DeSantis took another hit in the polls during March 2023, amid the threat of Trump being indicted in a case involving hush money paid to adult film star Stormy Daniels during his 2016 campaign, Trump was indicted on March 30, [103][104] and arrested on April 4.[105]

Trump also faces challenges from Democrats may attempt to invoke the Fourteenth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution to prevent Trump from being eligible;[106] and he is currently the subject of four distinct criminal investigations into his activities while in office.[107][108][109]

Debates

The Republican National Committee (RNC) has announced that the first primary debate will be held in August 2023 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.[110] The RNC has started talks with major TV networks and other media companies seeking to host the debates.[111][110]

Endorsements

Main article: Endorsements in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries

Polling

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries

See also

Notes

  1. ^ This delegate count is accurate as of May 2024. Delegate counts are subject to change based on the number of Republicans elected to the state legislatures, governorships, U.S. House, and U.S. Senate through December 31, 2023.

References

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External links

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