Jump to content

2020 United States Senate election in Alabama: Difference between revisions

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Browse history interactively
← Previous editNext edit →
Content deleted Content added
VisualWikitext
KolbertBot (talk | contribs)
Bots
1,166,042 edits
m Task #2 : Remove link referral data
Added rating from Daily Kos Elections
Tags: Mobile edit Mobile app edit iOS app edit
Line 604: Line 604:
|style="background:#f99" |{{sort|098|Likely R}}
|style="background:#f99" |{{sort|098|Likely R}}
| February 20, 2020
| February 20, 2020
|-
| align="left" |[[Daily Kos]]<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://m.dailykos.com/stories/2020/2/27/1922458/-Daily-Kos-Elections-releases-initial-Senate-race-ratings-for-2020 | website=Daily Kos Elections | accessdate=February 28, 2020}}</ref>
|style="background:#f99" |{{sort|098|Likely R}}
| February 27, 2020
|-
|-
| align="left" |[[Politico]]<ref>{{Cite web |url= https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/senate/ |title=2020 Election Forecast|date=November 19, 2019 |publisher=[[Politico]]}}</ref>
| align="left" |[[Politico]]<ref>{{Cite web |url= https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/senate/ |title=2020 Election Forecast|date=November 19, 2019 |publisher=[[Politico]]}}</ref>

Revision as of 13:50, 2 March 2020

2020 United States Senate election in Alabama
← 2017 (special) November 3, 2020 2026 →
 
Nominee Doug Jones TBD
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. senator

Doug Jones
Democratic



Elections in Alabama
Federal government
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2016
2020
2024
Republican
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House of Representatives elections
State government
State elections
Gubernatorial elections
Lieutenant gubernatorial elections
Attorney General elections
Secretary of State elections
State Auditor elections
State Treasurer elections
Commissioner of Agriculture and Industries elections
Supreme Court elections
Public Service Commission elections
Senate elections
House of Representatives elections
Ballot measures
1999
Amendment 1
2000
Amendment 2
2006
Amendment 774
2020
Amendment 1
2024
Amendment 1 (November)
Auburn
Municipal
Birmingham
Mayoral elections
Huntsville
Mayoral elections
Lee County
Elections
Mobile
Mayoral elections
Montgomery
Mayoral elections
Government

The 2020 United States Senate election in Alabama will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alabama, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Doug Jones, first elected in a 2017 special election, will run for a full term. Jones is one of two Democratic U.S. senators facing reelection in 2020 in a state President Donald Trump carried in 2016, the other being Gary Peters from Michigan.[1]

Democratic primary

The candidate filing deadline was November 8, 2019. Doug Jones is running unopposed.[2][3]

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Doug Jones (incumbent)
Total votes 100.0%

Endorsements

Doug Jones
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representative
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Bradley Byrne
State officials
  • Arthur Orr, Alabama State Senator and Executive Vice President for Cook's Pest Control[37]
U.S. Representatives
Mayors
Arnold Mooney
U.S. Senators
Individuals
Organizations
Jeff Sessions
U.S. Senators
Other individuals
Organizations
Tommy Tuberville
Individuals
Organizations

First round

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Stanley
Adair 		Bradley
Byrne 		John
Merrill 		Arnold
Mooney 		Roy
Moore 		Jeff
Sessions 		Tommy
Tuberville 		Other Undecided
[1][A] February 18–19, 2020 607 (LV) ± 4% <1% 17% - <1% 5% 29% 32% <1% 15%
WPA Intelligence/Club for Growth[A] February 10–12, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% <1% 17% – 1% 6% 34% 29% <1%[b] 15%
Harper Polling [B] February 8–9, 2020 609 ± 3.97% – 26% – – 5% 31% 24% - 14%
AL Daily News/Mason-Dixon February 4–6, 2020 400 ± 5.0% – 17% – – 5% 31% 29% 2% 16%
OnMessage (R)[C] December 3–5, 2019 700 ± 3.7% – 14% – 1% 7% 44% 21% 1% 12%
Cherry Communications (R)[D] December 1–3, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 1% 12% – 1% 8% 35% 31% – –
December 1, 2019 Merrill withdraws from the race
WPA Intelligence (R) [E] October 29–31, 2019 511 ± 4.4% – 11% 6% 2% 11% 36% 23% – –
Cygnal (R) October 10–12, 2019 536 – 1% 18% 9% 2% 11% – 32% – 28%
Moore Information (R)[F] August 11–13, 2019 400 ± 5.0% – 17% 13% 1% 15% – 33% 3% 17%
Cygnal (R) June 22–23, 2019 612  4.0% – 21% 12% 2% 13% – 29% – 22%
Cygnal (R) – 13% 8% – 9% 29% 21% – –
Moore Information (R)[F] June 10–11, 2019 650 ± 4.0% – 16% 7% 2% 18% – 23% 6% 28%

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Stanley Adair
Republican Bradley Byrne
Republican Arnold Mooney
Republican Roy Moore
Republican Ruth Page Nelson
Republican Jeff Sessions
Republican Tommy Tuberville
Total votes 100.0%

Runoff

Polling

with Bradley Byrne and Gary Palmer
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Bradley
Byrne 		Gary
Palmer 		Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[G] February 10–12, 2019 500 ± 4.4% 27% 27% 46%
with Bradley Byrne and Jeff Sessions
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Bradley
Byrne 		Jeff
Sessions 		Undecided
AL Daily News/Mason-Dixon February 4–6, 2020 400 ± 5.0% 35% 48% 17%
with Jeff Sessions and Tommy Tuberville
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Jeff
Sessions 		Tommy
Tuberville 		Undecided
AL Daily News/Mason-Dixon February 4–6, 2020 400 ± 5.0% 49% 42% 9%
Hypothetical polling
with Mo Brooks and Bradley Byrne
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Mo
Brooks 		Bradley
Byrne 		Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[G] March 10–12, 2019 501 ± 4.4% 43% 32% 25%
with Mo Brooks and Roy Moore
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Mo
Brooks 		Roy
Moore 		Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[G] March 10–12, 2019 501 ± 4.4% 52% 32% 16%

Independent

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[56] Lean R February 5, 2020
Inside Elections[57] Lean R January 10, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[58] Likely R February 20, 2020
Daily Kos[59] Likely R February 27, 2020
Politico[60] Lean R November 19, 2019

Polling

With Bradley Byrne
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Doug
Jones (D) 		Bradley
Byrne (R) 		Undecided
AL Daily News/Mason-Dixon February 4–6, 2020 625 ± 4.0% 42% 51% 7%
JMC Analytics December 16–18, 2019 525 ± 4.3% 40% 44% 16%
With Arnold Mooney
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Doug
Jones (D) 		Arnold
Mooney (R) 		Undecided
JMC Analytics December 16–18, 2019 525 ± 4.3% 40% 34% 25%
With Roy Moore
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Doug
Jones (D) 		Roy
Moore (R) 		Undecided
JMC Analytics December 16–18, 2019 525 ± 4.3% 47% 33% 20%
With Tommy Tuberville
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Doug
Jones (D) 		Tommy
Tuberville (R) 		Undecided
AL Daily News/Mason-Dixon February 4–6, 2020 625 ± 4.0% 42% 50% 8%
JMC Analytics December 16–18, 2019 525 ± 4.3% 40% 47% 13%
With Jeff Sessions
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Doug
Jones (D) 		Jeff
Sessions (R) 		Undecided
AL Daily News/Mason-Dixon February 4–6, 2020 625 ± 4.0% 41% 54% 5%
JMC Analytics December 16–18, 2019 525 ± 4.3% 41% 46% 13%

Results

United States Senate election in Alabama, 2020
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Doug Jones (incumbent)
Republican TBD
Independent Mike Parrish
Independent Jarmal Sanders
Independent Marcus Williams
Total votes 100.0%

Notes

Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b The Club for Growth is a PAC supporting the Donald Trump 2020 presidential campaign
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by the Bradley Byrne campaign
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by the Jeff Sessions campaign
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by FarmPAC
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by the Club for Growth
  6. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Tommy Tuberville campaign
  7. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Club for Growth Action
Voter samples
  1. ^ a b c d e f g Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Nelson with <1%

References

  1. ^ Simone Pathé (January 31, 2019). "Trump won Michigan in 2016. Does that matter for Gary Peters in 2020?". Roll Call.
  2. ^ "United States Senate election in Alabama, 2020 (March 3 Democratic primary)". ballotpedia.org. Retrieved January 13, 2020.
  3. ^ "Candidates file 2020 papers as Alabama qualifying window closes". WSFA 12 News. November 8, 2019. Retrieved January 13, 2020.
  4. ^ Cohen, Zach [@Zachary_Cohen] (November 13, 2018). "#ALsen Doug Jones (D) confirms he'll seek reelection in 2020. "Already off and running."" (Tweet). Retrieved November 14, 2018 – via Twitter.
  5. ^ Ross, Sean (August 21, 2019). "State Rep. John Rogers not running for U.S. Senate, says Jones showing 'conservatism' but not racist". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved August 22, 2019.
  6. ^ a b c Gore, Leada (December 14, 2017). "Alabama Senate race: Who could challenge Doug Jones in 2020?". AL.com. Retrieved December 16, 2017.
  7. ^ a b c d e f g Baldwin, Blumenthal, Brown, Coons, Cortez Masto, Menendez, and Merkley sent out emails to supporters soliciting donations to Jones.
  8. ^ Durbin, Dick [@DickDurbin] (November 8, 2019). "Deal me in, @ChrisMurphyCT & @brianschatz. We can't let Jeff Sessions or Roy Moore win this Senate seat. Chip in now to support @DougJones: http://bit.ly/2Q6Y4Yp https://twitter.com/ChrisMurphyCT/status/1192627151964659713 …" (Tweet) – via Twitter. {{cite web}}: no-break space character in |title= at position 189 (help)
  9. ^ "California's Kamala Harris raising money for Doug Jones based on Sessions opposition". November 7, 2019.
  10. ^ "Klobuchar fundraises for Doug Jones following Roy Moore Senate run". The Hill. June 20, 2019. Retrieved July 3, 2019.
  11. ^ "Doug Jones is the Senate's most vulnerable incumbent. But he doesn't seem to care". Politico. October 23, 2019. Retrieved November 7, 2019.
  12. ^ @brianschatz (November 7, 2019). "Doug Jones prosecuted the racist Birmingham bomber and is a great Senator. His opponent will be either Jeff Sessions or Roy Moore and if that doesn't make you want to send money I don't know what to tell you. But seriously please give. Thanks" (Tweet). Retrieved November 7, 2019 – via Twitter.
  13. ^ a b Vollers, Anna Claire (September 8, 2019). "Doug Jones kicks off 2020 campaign in Birmingham". al.
  14. ^ James Varney. "Stacey Abrams passes on 2020 run, turns focus to voter access with Fair Fight". The Washington Times.
  15. ^ Muller, Tiffany (August 27, 2019). "End Citizens United Endorses Four U.S. senators for Reelection". End Citizens United.
  16. ^ Acosta, Lucas (January 23, 2020). "HRC Announces Senate Endorsements in Effort to Achieve Pro-Equality Majority". Human Rights Campaign.
  17. ^ Burke, Holly (March 13, 2019). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Doug Jones for Re-Election". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved March 16, 2019.
  18. ^ "2020 Federal Endorsements - NOW PAC". nowpac.org.
  19. ^ "Endorsements - Voter Protection Project". Voter Protection Project.
  20. ^ Moseley, Brandon (November 20, 2019). "Adair says that GOP should be extremely concerned about losses in gubernatorial races in Louisiana and Kentucky". Alabama Political Reporter. Retrieved December 5, 2019.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  21. ^ "South Alabama Congressman Bradley Byrne announces run for US Senate in 2020". WPMI. February 20, 2019. Retrieved February 20, 2019.
  22. ^ Talk 99.5 [@realtalk995] (May 6, 2019). "BREAKING NEWS: Alabama State Representative Arnold Mooney (@ArnoldForAL) just announced on the @MAShow995 that he will run for Senate in 2020. #ALPolitics" (Tweet). Retrieved May 6, 2019 – via Twitter.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  23. ^ Clark, Dartunorro; Hillyard, Vaughn (June 20, 2019). "Roy Moore, who lost Alabama Senate race after allegations of sexual misconduct, announces another run for the seat". NBC News. Retrieved June 20, 2019.
  24. ^ "EDITORIAL: Sessions' entry sets up wild GOP Senate race". The Gadsen Times. November 12, 2019. Retrieved December 5, 2019.
  25. ^ James Arkin; Alex Isenstadt; Marianne Levine (November 7, 2019). "Standing between Jeff Sessions and the Senate is a certain Donald Trump". Politico. Retrieved November 7, 2019.
  26. ^ Cason, Mike (April 6, 2019). "Tommy Tuberville running for U.S. Senate". The Birmingham News. Retrieved April 6, 2019.
  27. ^ Britt, Bill (December 1, 2019). "Merrill suspends Senate campaign". Alabama Political Reporter. Retrieved December 1, 2019.
  28. ^ Howell, Ed (August 18, 2019). "GOP sets Oct. 8 as start of qualifying". Daily Mountain Eagle. Retrieved August 18, 2019.
  29. ^ Ross, Sean (April 11, 2019). "Ainsworth will not run for the U.S. Senate in 2020". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved April 11, 2019.
  30. ^ Arkin, James (May 3, 2019). "Brooks closes door on Alabama Senate race". Politico Pro. Retrieved May 3, 2019. Rep. Mo Brooks (R-Ala.) shut the door on a potential Senate bid Friday morning in a local radio interview. "I will not be running for the U.S. Senate in 2020," Brooks said on WZRR-FM in Birmingham.
  31. ^ Staff Report (May 3, 2019). "Rumors and Rumblings 2nd Ed. Vol. V". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved May 3, 2019.
  32. ^ Little, Jim (April 5, 2019). "Matt Gaetz says he's not running for Alabama Senate seat against Doug Jones". Pensacola News Journal. Retrieved April 5, 2019.
  33. ^ Ross, Sean (April 22, 2019). "Del Marsh not running for U.S. Senate in 2020". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
  34. ^ Bowman, Bridget (February 20, 2019). "Alabama Republicans don't see Roy Moore redux as Senate primary kicks off". Roll Call. Retrieved February 21, 2019.
  35. ^ Ross, Sean (March 21, 2019). "Miss America '95 'praying about' Alabama U.S. Senate bid". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved March 21, 2019.
  36. ^ Ross, Sean (June 20, 2019). "Former Miss America Heather Whitestone McCallum rules out Alabama 2020 U.S. Senate bid". Yellowhammer News.
  37. ^ Poor, Jeff (June 23, 2019). "State Sen. Arthur Orr: Bradley Byrne 'would do the best job' for the state as U.S. Senator". Yellowhammer News.
  38. ^ @Liz_Cheney (February 26, 2020). "I am proud to be supporting @BradleyByrne in the #ALSenateRace. Bradley is a proven conservative fighter and steadfast supporter of @realDonaldTrump. There is no stronger member of Congress and he will be an amazing Senator. Time to fire Doug Jones and elect Bradley Byrne!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  39. ^ Ross, Sean. "Muscle Shoals mayor endorses Byrne for Senate". Yellowhammer News.
  40. ^ opelikaobserver (June 4, 2019). "Opelika Mayor Gary Fuller endorses Bradley Byrne for U.S. Senate". Opelika Observer.
  41. ^ "Utah Sen. Mike Lee endorses Mooney in Alabama's U.S. Senate race". Yellowhammer News. May 22, 2019.
  42. ^ @MikeLeeforUtah (May 22, 2019). "I am proud to endorse @ArnoldForAL for U.S. Senate. Arnold is a strong constitutional conservative and the best candidate to beat Doug Jones. He has a proven record of taking on the establishment in Alabama, and will do the same in DC" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  43. ^ "Rand Paul endorses Arnold Mooney for Senate - 'True freedom-loving conservative'". Yellowhammer News. October 31, 2019.
  44. ^ Mooney, Arnold (October 28, 2019). "Proud to receive the endorsement of a conservative hero, Senator Jim DeMint! #ALSENpic.twitter.com/BYYp3yqQUp". @ArnoldforAL.
  45. ^ McKinless, Thomas; McKinless, Thomas (November 7, 2019). "Watch: Shelby endorses Sessions for return to Senate" – via www.rollcall.com.
  46. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Frazin, Rachel (November 8, 2019). "Eleven GOP senators sign open letter backing Sessions's comeback bid". The Hill.
  47. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Pappas, Alex (November 8, 2019). "Jeff Sessions endorsed by slew of GOP senators, amid effort to make peace with Trump". Fox News.
  48. ^ Ingraham, Laura [@IngrahamAngle] (November 7, 2019). "Sessions was a terrific Senator and would be a huge help to the Trump agenda on the Hill" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  49. ^ Krikorian, Mark [@MarkSKrikorian] (November 8, 2019). "Even if that were true, it's all the more reason we need Sessions back in the Senate" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  50. ^ https://twitter.com/AnnCoulter/status/1232747270455668737
  51. ^ "Sessions strongly considering bid for old Senate seat in Alabama". POLITICO.
  52. ^ a b c "Coach Tuberville Announces Support". Tommy Tuberville for U.S. Senate. July 30, 2019.
  53. ^ Burke, Holly (March 13, 2019). "Tommy Tuberville opens up about running for U.S. Senate, Sean Spicer and the need for 'patriots'". Alabama Media Group. Retrieved April 8, 2019.
  54. ^ "Alabama Farmers Federation endorses Trump, Tuberville and Cavanaugh". Alabama Political Reporter. September 25, 2019. Retrieved September 28, 2019.
  55. ^ a b c "Alabama 2020 General Election". thegreenpapers.com.
  56. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  57. ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  58. ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  59. ^ Daily Kos Elections https://m.dailykos.com/stories/2020/2/27/1922458/-Daily-Kos-Elections-releases-initial-Senate-race-ratings-for-2020. Retrieved February 28, 2020. {{cite web}}: Missing or empty |title= (help)
  60. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
Official campaign websites
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2020_United_States_Senate_election_in_Alabama&oldid=943547072"