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2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii

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2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →

All 2 Hawaii seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 2 0
Seats won 2 0
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 354,762 155,215
Percentage 67.38% 29.48%
Swing Decrease 7.93% Increase 6.63%

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the two U.S. Representatives from the state of Hawaii, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The state's primary elections were held on August 8, 2020.

Beginning with the 2020 election cycle, per Act 136, Session Laws of Hawaii 2019, all state elections are conducted by mail.[1]

District 1

The 1st district is located entirely on the island of Oahu, centering on Honolulu and the towns of, Aiea, Mililani, Pearl City, Waipahu and Waimalu. The incumbent is Democrat Ed Case, who was elected with 73.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]

2020 United States House of Representatives Elections in Hawaii's First congressional district

← 2018 November 3, 2020 (2020-11-03) 2022 →
 
Nominee Ed Case Ron Curtis
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 183,245 71,188
Percentage 72.02% 27.98%

U.S. Representative before election

Ed Case
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Ed Case
Democratic

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ed Case (incumbent) 131,802 100.0
Total votes 131,802 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Ron Curtis, engineer and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018[5]
Eliminated in Primary
  • James Dickens, salesman[6]
  • Nancy Olson, family nurse practitioner[7]
  • Arturo Reyes, perennial candidate[5]
  • Taylor Smith[5]

Primary results

Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron Curtis 13,909 41.1
Republican James Dickens 7,120 21.0
Republican Nancy Olson 6,665 19.7
Republican Arturo Reyes 4,301 12.7
Republican Taylor Smith 1,839 5.4
Total votes 33,834 100.0

Nonpartisan primary

According to election laws of Hawaii, in order for nonpartisan candidates to appear on the general election ballot, they had to receive at least 10% of votes cast (16,529 votes) or receive as many or more votes than any other candidate that won a partisan nomination (≥ 13,873 votes). Griffin failed to do either, and will not appear on the November ballot.[8]

Candidates

Disqualified
  • Calvin Griffin (Nonpartisan)[8]

Primary results

Nonpartisan primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Nonpartisan Calvin Griffin 2,324 100.0
Total votes 2,317 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[10] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[12] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[13] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[14] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[15] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

Hawaii's 1st congressional district, 2020[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ed Case (incumbent) 183,245 72.0
Republican Ron Curtis 71,188 28.0
Total votes 254,433 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

2020 United States House of Representatives Elections in Hawaii's Second congressional district

← 2018 November 3, 2020 (2020-11-03) 2022 →
 
Nominee Kai Kahele Joe Akana
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 171,517 84,027
Percentage 63.0% 30.9%

U.S. Representative before election

Tulsi Gabbard
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Kai Kahele
Democratic

The 2nd district takes in rural and suburban Oahu, including Waimanalo Beach, Kailua, Kaneohe, Kahuku, Makaha, Nanakuli, as well as encompassing all the other islands of Hawaii, taking in Maui and Hilo. The incumbent is Democrat Tulsi Gabbard, who was reelected with 77.4% of the vote in 2018 and announced that she would run for President of the United States in 2020. Hawaii law permits candidates to run for both Congress and the presidency.[17]

On October 25, 2019, Gabbard announced she would not seek reelection to focus on her presidential campaign.[18] However, she suspended her campaign on March 19, 2020 after lower result ratings in the primaries and endorsed former Vice President Joe Biden's campaign.[19] Hawaii's Office of Elections forbids candidate filing for any of the state's 2020 elections after June 2, 2020.[20]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Defeated in Primary

  • Brian Evans, singer and Republican nominee for Hawaii's 2nd congressional district in 2018[21]
  • Noelle Famera, small business owner and activist[22] (endorsed Hoomanawanui after the primary elections)[23]
  • Brenda Lee[21][24]

Withdrawn

  • David Cornejo, software engineer[21][25]
  • Ryan Meza, investor, entrepreneur, and a consultant (endorsed Famera)

Declined

Endorsements

Kai Kahele
Federal officials
State officials
State legislators
Other individuals
Organizations
Unions

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Tulsi Gabbard vs. Kai Kahele
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Tulsi
Gabbard
Kai
Kahele
Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 27–29, 2019 990 (V) ±  3.4% 48% 26% 27%
Tulsi Gabbard vs. Generic Opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Tulsi
Gabbard
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 27–29, 2019 990 (V) ±  3.4% 38% 50% 11%

Primary results

2020 Hawaii's 2nd congressional district Democratic primary results by county
Map legend
  •   Kahele—70–80%
  •   No data
Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kai Kahele 100,841 76.5
Democratic Brian Evans 12,337 9.3
Democratic Brenda Lee 10,694 8.1
Democratic Noelle Famera 7,992 6.1
Total votes 131,864 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Joe Akana, U.S. Air Force veteran[40]

Defeated in Primary

  • Steven Bond[5]
  • Karla Bart Gottschalk, retired civil rights lawyer and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[41]
  • David Hamman, locksmith[42]
  • Elise Hatsuko Kaneshiro[43]
  • Nicholas Love, pastor[5]
  • Robert Nagamine, former lieutenant colonel in the Hawaii Air National Guard[5]
  • Raymond Quel, security protection specialist[5]
  • Felipe San Nicolas, former telecommunications manager[5]

Declined

  • Samuel Wilder King II, attorney[26]
  • Steve Rousseau[44]

Primary results

2020 Hawaii's 2nd congressional district Republican primary results by county
Map legend
  •   Akana—40–50%
  •   Akana—30–40%
  •   No data
Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Joe Akana 15,107 44.1
Republican Elise Kaneshiro 5,294 15.5
Republican David Hamman 3,430 10.0
Republican Robert Nagamine 2,887 8.4
Republican Nicholas Love 2,616 7.6
Republican Steven Bond 2,218 6.5
Republican Felipe San Nicolas 1,465 4.3
Republican Karla Bart Gottschalk 953 2.8
Republican Raymond Quel 305 0.9
Total votes 34,275 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Libertarian primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Michelle Rose Tippens 1,014 100.0
Total votes 1,014 100.0

American Shopping Party primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • John Giuffre, perennial candidate[46]

Primary results

American Shopping primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
American Shopping John Giuffre 134 100.0
Total votes 134 100.0

Aloha Aina Party primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Jonathan Hoomanawanui, VFW service officer[47]

Primary results

Aloha ʻĀina primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Aloha ʻĀina Jonathan Hoomanawanui 3,423 100.0
Total votes 3,423 100.0

Nonpartisan primary

According to election laws of Hawaii, in order for nonpartisan candidates to appear on the general election ballot, they had to receive at least 10% of votes cast (17,049 votes) or receive as many or more votes than any other candidate that won a partisan nomination (≥ 133 votes). Burrus fulfilled the latter requirement and was on the November ballot.[8]

Candidates

Nominee

  • Ron Burrus, analyst[48]

Eliminated in Primary

  • Byron McCorriston, entrepreneur[49]

Primary results

Nonpartisan primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Nonpartisan Ron Burrus 1,308 59.2
Nonpartisan Byron McCorriston 901 40.8
Total votes 2,209 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[9] Safe D July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[10] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[12] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[13] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[14] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[15] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

Hawaii's 2nd congressional district, 2020[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kai Kahele 171,517 63.0
Republican Joe Akana 84,027 30.9
Libertarian Michelle Rose Tippens 6,785 2.5
Aloha ʻĀina Jonathan Hoomanawanui 6,453 2.4
Nonpartisan Ron Burrus 2,659 1.0
American Shopping John Giuffre 661 0.2
Total votes 272,192 100.0
Democratic hold

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. ^ "Implementing Elections by Mail". State of Hawaii Office of Elections. November 14, 2019. Retrieved May 25, 2020.
  2. ^ Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  3. ^ "Ed Case announces his candidacy for re-election in 2020". June 16, 2019. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h "PRIMARY ELECTION 2020 - State of Hawaii – Statewide" (PDF). State of Hawaii - Office of Elections. August 8, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h "Hawaii Elections 2020: Primary Election Ballot". Honolulu Civil Beat. June 3, 2020. Retrieved June 19, 2020.
  6. ^ "Candidate Q&A: U.S. House District 1 — James Dickens". Honolulu Civil Beat. July 22, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  7. ^ "Candidate Q&A: U.S. House District 1 — Nancy Olson". Honolulu Civil Beat. June 30, 2020.
  8. ^ a b c Carsella, Kate (August 14, 2020). "Hawaii voters decide August 8 congressional primaries". Ballotpedia News. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  9. ^ a b "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  10. ^ a b "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  11. ^ a b "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  12. ^ a b "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  13. ^ a b "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  14. ^ a b "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  15. ^ a b "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  16. ^ a b "GENERAL ELECTION 2020 - State of Hawaii – Statewide November 3, 2020 **FINAL SUMMARY REPORT**" (PDF). Hawaii Board of Elections. November 19, 2020. Retrieved November 22, 2020.
  17. ^ a b Lovell, Blaze (January 21, 2019). "Sen. Kai Kahele Gets A Jump On 2020 In Announcing Congressional Bid". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  18. ^ "Gabbard's decision breaks 2nd District race wide open". www.kitv.com. Retrieved October 26, 2019.
  19. ^ a b Lerer, Lisa; Astor, Maggie (March 19, 2020). "Tulsi Gabbard Drops Out of Presidential Race". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved March 20, 2020.
  20. ^ "Candidate Filing". elections.hawaii.gov. Retrieved June 4, 2020.
  21. ^ a b c "2020 Election United States House - Hawaii - District 02". FEC.gov.
  22. ^ "Candidate Q&A: U.S. House District 2 — Noelle Famera". Honolulu Civil Beat. July 10, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  23. ^ Famera, Noelle (October 5, 2020). ""Ua Mau Ke Ea O Ka ʻĀina I Ka Pono. I'm endorsing, The Aloha Aina Party Candidate Jonathan Hoomanawanui for US Congress Hawaii District 2…"". Instagram. Retrieved October 5, 2020.
  24. ^ [1]
  25. ^ https://ballotpedia.org/David_Cornejo
  26. ^ a b c d e f "Chad Blair: Handicapping Hawaii's CD2 Election". Honolulu Civil Beat. November 1, 2019. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
  27. ^ Cocke, Sophie (November 18, 2019). "Former Kauai Mayor Bernard Carvalho endorses Kai Kahele for Congress". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
  28. ^ Elfrink, Tim (October 24, 2019). "Tulsi Gabbard won't run for reelection to Congress as she seeks Democratic presidential nomination". The Washington Post. Retrieved October 24, 2019.
  29. ^ Ing, Kaniela [@KanielaIng] (November 4, 2019). "BIG ANNOUNCEMENT: Since Tulsi Gabbard announced that she would not seek re-election, a lot of people have been asking what my plans are. Learn more and join me here: https://bit.ly/34xquPf#VoteKai #Kahele2020" (Tweet). Retrieved November 4, 2019 – via Twitter.
  30. ^ a b c Singer, Jeff (October 28, 2019). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 10/28". Daily Kos. Retrieved October 28, 2019.
  31. ^ a b c Lauer, Nancy Cook (October 27, 2019). "Congressional race likely to get crowded". West Hawaii Today. Retrieved October 31, 2019.
  32. ^ "Windward Oahu representative announces plan to run for state Senate". Hawaii News Now. November 4, 2019. Retrieved November 4, 2019.
  33. ^ McAvoy, Audrey (October 25, 2019). "Gabbard drops congressional race to focus on presidential". Washington Post. AP. Retrieved November 1, 2019.
  34. ^ https://obama.medium.com/second-wave-of-2020-endorsements-981712d97a32
  35. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an "Public endorsements". kaikahele.com. Retrieved May 19, 2020.
  36. ^ a b Grube, Nick (November 25, 2019). "Hawaii Sen. Kai Kahele Finds Money, Connections In DC". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved August 20, 2020.
  37. ^ Tanden, Neera [@neeratanden] (October 18, 2019). "Hey all, @kaikahele is running in the primary against Tulsi for her congressional seat. If you'd like to support him, today is a good day to do so. And you can do so" (Tweet). Retrieved August 9, 2020 – via Twitter.
  38. ^ Connon, Courtnee (July 20, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Kai Kahele for Congress". League of Conservation Voters.
  39. ^ a b c d e f "Union Endorsements". kaikahele.com. Retrieved May 19, 2020.
  40. ^ "Coffee with a Candidate: Joe Akana, Republican Candidate for U.S. House". KHNL. June 17, 2020. Retrieved July 14, 2020.
  41. ^ "Coffee with a Candidate: Karla Bart Gottschalk, Republican Candidate for Congress". Hawaii News Now. July 13, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  42. ^ "Candidate Q&A: U.S. House District 2 — David Hamman". Honolulu Civil Beat. July 9, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  43. ^ "Coffee with a Candidate: Elise Hatsuko Kaneshiro, Republican Candidate for Congress". Hawaii News Now. June 19, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  44. ^ Harlow, Casey (December 25, 2019). "'You Still Have A Job To Do': 2nd Congressional District Candidates Voice Opinions Of Gabbard". Hawaii Public Radio. Retrieved June 19, 2020.
  45. ^ "Candidate Q&A: U.S. House District 2 — Michelle Tippens". Honolulu Civil Beat. July 9, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  46. ^ "2020 Election: Raghu aka John Giuffre". Honolulu Star Adviser. July 17, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  47. ^ "Candidate Q&A: U.S. House District 2 — Jonathan Hoomanawanui". Honolulu Civil Beat. July 10, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  48. ^ "Candidate Q&A: U.S. House District 2 — Ron Burrus". Honolulu Civil Beat. July 10, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  49. ^ "Candidate Q&A: U.S. House District 2 — Byron McCorriston". Honolulu Civil Beat. July 10, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates