Kansas's 4th congressional district

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Kansas's 4th congressional district
Kansas US Congressional District 4 (since 2013).tif
Kansas's 4th Congressional District – since January 3, 2013.
Current Representative Ron Estes (RWichita)
Distribution
  • 78.90% urban
  • 21.10% rural
Population (2000) 672,101
Median income $40,917
Ethnicity
Cook PVI R+15[1]

Kansas's 4th Congressional District is a Congressional District in the U.S. state of Kansas. Based in the south central part of the state, the district encompasses the city of Wichita and surrounding areas.

Political history summary[edit]

General history[edit]

The Kansas 4th Congressional District is historically a strongly Republican district,[2][3][4][5] almost exclusively represented, over the last half century, by Republicans—with the sole exception of a popular moderate Democrat, Dan Glickman (who lost his bid for re-election to a 10th term in 1994).[5][6]

As of mid-April 2017 (following a special election to fill the District seat left vacant by Mike Pompeo's resignation to become CIA Director), no other Democrat has won election to the Congressional seat lost by Glickman,[7] which has since gone to conservative, anti-abortion Republicans,[4][8][9][10] routinely, by a roughly two-to-one margin in subsequent races -- with the exception of the April 11, 2017 special election, in which Democrat James Thompson managed to narrow the gap with Republican victor Ron Estes to only 8%.[11][12][12]

Abortion issues[edit]

Since the 1980s (and peaking with the 1991 Summer of Mercy protests), the District's major city, Wichita (where most 4th District voters reside), is often referred to in national media as the center, or "ground zero," of the nation's anti-abortion movement[13][14][15][16][17][18] -- a primary factor that Glickman has credited for his defeat,[19][20][21][22][8] -- and which has remained a major influence in 4th District politics, with all three of Glickman's successors (Todd Tiahrt, Mike Pompeo and Ron Estes) claiming strong anti-abortion views.[8][9][10] In the 2017 Special Election to fill Pompeo's vacated seat, a critical factor in Estes' unusually narrow victory over the Democrat (James Thompson) was a string of last-minute ads tying Thompson to his strong pro-choice stand on abortion.[4]

Redistricting[edit]

In 2012, a feud between conservative and moderate Republicans in the Kansas Legislature stymied progress on mandatory decennial redistricting (boundary changes to reflect new demographic data from the 10-year Census). With elections approaching, the federal courts intervened and drew the district boundaries, shifting the Fourth District westward, into more conservative territory.[23][24][25]

2016 and 2017 Elections[edit]

In the 2016 general election, incumbent Republican Mike Pompeo was overwhelmingly re-elected to the 4th District Congressional seat, with a 31% (85,000-vote) lead over his Democrat rival.[2][5] However, President-elect Donald Trump then nominated him as Director of the Central Intelligence Agency, and upon Pompeo's Congressional confirmation as CIA Director in January 2017, Pompeo resigned his Congressional seat, leaving it vacant -- forcing Kansas Governor Sam Brownback to call a special election, set for April 11, 2017, to fill Pompeo's vacated Congressional seat.[26][12][27]

2016 Regular election[edit]

In the 2016 national elections, the District's Republican nominees for President (Trump) and Congressman (Pompeo) overwhelmingly defeated the Democratic nominees (Clinton and Giroux), by two-to-one margins in the 4th District.[5][28][29] (as happened with Pompeo's previous Democratic challengers[11]).

2017 Special election[edit]

Kansas Governor Sam Brownback, acting on his authority, announced a special election would be held on April 11, 2017 to fill the vacancy left by Rep. Pompeo's resignation. Republican, Democrat, and Libertarian parties would select their nominees through District caucuses, run by the respective party organizations, voting through delegates selected by their respective party rules. It would be the first Congressional election since the 2016 national election, and thus drew national attention.[5][26][12][6]

Republicans nominated Kansas State Treasurer Ron Estes. Democrats nominated civil-rights attorney James Thompson, a political novice. Libertarians nominated aviation instructor Chris Rockhold, also a political novice. [4][6][7][26][12]

Initial assumptions were that this election's outcome was a foregone conclusion: The Republican would win overwhelmingly again. However, Democrat nominee Thompson, aided with numerous energetic supporters (particularly former local campaigners for Bernie Sanders, who had taken the 2016 Kansas Democratic Presidential Caucus by 75%), began to show signs of the first serious Fourth District challenge to Republicans since Glickman's loss a quarter-century earlier.[2][5][4][6][26][12][27]

The Thompson campaign raised about $254,000 by the final campaign finance-reporting deadline, and over 97% was from individual donors -- with a last-minute infusion of only $10,000 from the state party, reflecting a lack of support from his state party and national organizations.[4] By comparison, Estes raised about $318,000 -- plus another $94,000 from the Republican National Campaign Committee (RNCC) after the filing deadline -- largely from outside groups and big (over $1,000) donors.[4][6][6]

The Thompson campaign ducked mention of Thompson's liberal credentials, selling him as a "Kansas veteran" and showing images of him firing an assault rifle, saying "I'll fight for your rights." The Thompson campaign attempted to focus public attention on Estes' connections to exceptionally unpopular Governor Sam Brownback. In response, Estes and the Republican party simply branded Thompson as "too liberal for Kansas." Estes' low-key campaign included refusing to attend several debates with Thompson and Libertarian candidate Rockhold.[6][30] However, last-minute Republican ads -- with retouched photos -- depicted Thompson with House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, and focused on Thompson's abortion-rights beliefs (rather falsely, Thompson and some others argued, but essentially accurate, others have said), with apparent impact.[4]

In the last two weeks of the election, Republicans responded with a flurry of ads, especially abortion-focused ads, largely from national Republican party organizations. Robo-calls from President Trump and Vice President Mike Pence flooded the Fourth District, and Senator Ted Cruz -- who had won the 2016 Kansas Republican Presidential Caucus -- made a last-minute visit to the District to stump for Estes.[4][6][5][26][12][27]

On Election Day -- although advance voting returns indicated a substantial lead for Thompson, and Thompson narrowly secured a majority of the total Sedgwick County vote -- a final tally of the in-person votes, combined with the advance ballots, eventually sorted out to give Estes (at 53% of the vote) the victory over Democrat Thompson (with 45% - about 8,500 fewer votes) and Libertarian Rockhold (at 2%, about 1,900 votes total).[5][26][12]

It was the closest Democrats had come to retaking the seat since Glickman's 1994 loss, and though clearly the Republican won, analysts described the unusually close race as a sign of trouble for Republicans in the Fourth District, and in Kansas, and nationally.[2][3][4][26][12][27]

Thompson immediately announced plans to run for the seat, again, in 2018.[5][26][27][3]

Demographics[edit]

Most of the approximately 670,000 citizens of the Fourth District reside in the state's largest city, Wichita (approximate population 390,000), or the surrounding Sedgwick County (approximate population 511,000). Nearly all live within the Wichita MSA (approximate population 650,000). The rest live in small towns and rural areas in adjacent counties, and counties farther west and east.[31]

Following redistricting after the 2000 U.S. Census,[32] there were 672,101 people, 261,106 households, and 177,358 families residing in the district. The population density was 70.5/mi² over a land area of 9,531 square miles (24,690 km2). There were 285,830 housing units at an average density of 30.0/mi². The racial makeup of the district is 83.56% White, 6.86% Black or African American, 2.44% Asian, 1.23% Native American, 0.05% Pacific Islander, 3.28% from other races, and 2.59% from two or more races. Hispanic or Latino of any race were 6.57% of the population.

There were 261,106 households out of which 36.53% had children under the age of 18 living with them, 53.87% were married couples living together, 10.14% had a female householder with no husband present, and 32.07% were non-families. 27.62% of all households were made up of individuals and 9.99% had someone living alone who was 65 years of age or older. The average household size was 2.52 and the average family size was 3.10.

In the district the population distribution by age is 27.69% under the age of 18, 9.13% from 18 to 24, 28.98% from 25 to 44, 21.19% from 45 to 64, and 13.00% who were 65 years of age or older. The median age was 35.0 years. For every 100 females there were 97.32 males. For every 100 females age 18 and over, there were 94.67 males.

The median income for a household in the district is $40,917, and the median income for a family was $49,650. Males had a median income of $36,701 versus $25,237 for females. The per capita income for the district was $20,041. About 7.0% of families and 9.6% of the population were below the poverty line, including 12.1% of those under age 18 and 7.6% of those age 65 or over.

Among the population aged 16 years and older, 66.4% was in the civilian labor force and 0.6% were in the armed forces. Of the employed civilian workers, 12.5% were government workers and 6.7% were self-employed. Management, professional, and related occupations employed 31.5% of the work force and sales and office occupations an additional 25.5%. Only 0.5% are employed in farming, fishing, and forestry occupations. The largest employment by industry was: manufacturing, 24.1%; educational, health and social services, 20.8%; and retail trade, 11.0%. Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, and mining industries only employed 2.0%.

List of representatives[edit]

Congress Representative Party Years Electoral history
District created March 4, 1885
49th TRyan.jpg Thomas Ryan Republican March 4, 1885 –
April 4, 1889
Redistricted from the 3rd district.

Resigned to become U.S. Minister to Mexico.
50th
51st No image.svg Harrison Kelley Republican December 2, 1889 –
March 3, 1891
[Data unknown/missing. You can help!]
52nd No image.svg John G. Otis Populist March 4, 1891 –
March 3, 1893
[Data unknown/missing. You can help!]
53rd Charles Curtis-portrait.jpg Charles Curtis Republican March 4, 1893 –
March 3, 1899
Redistricted to the 1st district.
54th
55th
56th No image.svg James M. Miller Republican March 4, 1899 –
March 3, 1911
[Data unknown/missing. You can help!]
57th
58th
59th
60th
61st
62nd FredSJackson.jpg Fred S. Jackson Republican March 4, 1911 –
March 3, 1913
[Data unknown/missing. You can help!]
63rd DudleyDoolittle.jpg Dudley Doolittle March 4, 1913 –
March 3, 1919
Democratic [Data unknown/missing. You can help!]
64th
65th
66th HomerHoch.jpg Homer Hoch March 4, 1919 –
March 3, 1933
Republican [Data unknown/missing. You can help!]
67th
68th
69th
70th
71st
72nd
73rd No image.svg Randolph Carpenter March 4, 1933 –
January 3, 1937
Democratic [Data unknown/missing. You can help!]
74th
75th Edward Herbert Rees (Kansas Congressman).jpg Edward H. Rees January 3, 1937 –
January 3, 1961
Republican [Data unknown/missing. You can help!]
76th
77th
78th
79th
80th
81st
82nd
83rd
84th
85th
86th
87th Garner Shriver.jpg Garner E. Shriver January 3, 1961 –
January 3, 1977
Republican Lost re-election.
88th
89th
90th
91st
92nd
93rd
94th
95th Dan glickman.jpg Dan Glickman January 3, 1977 –
January 3, 1995
Democratic Lost re-election.
96th
97th
98th
99th
100th
101st
102nd
103rd
104th Todd Tiahrt, official portrait, 111th Congress.jpg Todd Tiahrt January 3, 1995 –
January 3, 2011
Republican First elected in 1994.
105th
106th
107th
108th
109th
110th
111th
112th Mike Pompeo Official Portrait 112th Congress.jpg Mike Pompeo January 3, 2011 –
January 23, 2017
Republican Resigned to become Director of the Central Intelligence Agency
113th
114th
115th
Vacant January 23, 2017 –
April 25, 2017
Ron Estes, 115th official photo.jpg Ron Estes April 25, 2017 –
present
Republican Elected to finish Pompeo's term.

Election results from recent president races[edit]

Year Office Results Political parties that won the district
2000 President George W. Bush 59 – Al Gore 37% Republican Party (United States)
2004 George W. Bush 64 – John Kerry 34%
2008 John McCain 58 – Barack Obama 40%
2012 Mitt Romney 62 – Barack Obama 36%
2016 Donald Trump 60 – Hillary Clinton 33%

Recent election results[edit]

2002[edit]

Kansas's 4th Congressional District Election (2002)
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Todd Tiahrt* 114,354 60.68
Democratic Carlos Nolla 69,560 36.91
Libertarian Maike Warren 4,544 2.41
Total votes 188,458 100.00
Voter turnout  %
Republican hold

2004[edit]

Kansas's 4th Congressional District Election (2004)
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Todd Tiahrt* 173,151 66.11
Democratic Michael Kinard 81,388 31.07
Libertarian David Loomis 7,376 2.82
Total votes 261,915 100.00
Voter turnout  %
Republican hold

2006[edit]

Kansas's 4th Congressional District Election (2006)
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Todd Tiahrt* 113,676 63.69
Democratic Garth J. McGinn 60,297 33.78
Reform Joy Holt 4,516 2.53
Total votes 178,489 100.00
Voter turnout  %
Republican hold

2008[edit]

Kansas's 4th Congressional District Election (2008)
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Todd Tiahrt* 177,617 63.41
Democratic Donald Betts, Jr. 90,706 32.38
Reform Susan Ducey 6,441 2.30
Libertarian Steven Rosile 5,345 1.91
Total votes 280,109 100.00
Voter turnout  %
Republican hold

2010[edit]

Kansas's 4th Congressional District Election (2010)
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Pompeo 119,575 58.79
Democratic Raj Goyle 74,143 36.46
Reform Susan Ducey 5,041 2.48
Libertarian Shawn S. Smith 4,624 2.94
Total votes 203,383 100.00
Voter turnout  %
Republican hold

2012[edit]

Kansas's 4th Congressional District Election (2012)
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Pompeo 161,094 62.2
Democratic Robert Leo Tillman 81,770 31.6
Libertarian Thomas Jefferson 16,058 6.2
Total votes 258,922 100.00
Voter turnout  %
Republican hold

2014[edit]

Kansas's 4th Congressional District Election (2014)
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Pompeo 138,757 66.66
Democratic Perry Schuckman 69,396 33.34
Total votes 208,153 100.00
Voter turnout  %
Republican hold

2016[edit]

Kansas's 4th Congressional District Election (2016)
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Pompeo 166,998 60.7
Democratic Daniel Giroux 81,495 29.6
Independent Miranda Allen 19,021 6.9
Libertarian Gordon Bakken 7,737 2.8
Total votes 275,251 100.00
Voter turnout  %
Republican hold

2017 special election[edit]

Kansas's 4th Congressional District Special Election (2017)
Republican Ron Estes 63,505 52.5
Democratic James Thompson 55,310 45.7
Libertarian Chris Rockhold 2,082 1.7
Independent - - -
Party Candidate Votes %

Historical district boundaries[edit]

2003 – 2013

In 2012, in an unusual move, the federal courts intervened in Kansas's decennial redistricting (required by law to adjust boundaries of Congressional and state legislative districts every 10 years, to reflect changing population distributions, as reported by the decennial census).[23]

Sharply criticizing the Legislature for the intractable feud between conservative and moderate factions in the Kansas Legislature (normally responsible for redistricting), and recognizing the rapidly approaching next elections, a federal three-judge panel (the Chief Justice of the 10th Circuit Court of Appeals and two judges from the Kansas City U.S. District Court) drew the Kansas state and Congressional district boundaries themselves, in rather simple and direct shapes that produced radical changes.[23][24]

In the process, the Kansas Fourth Congressional District shifted west—still centered approximately on (and demographically dominated by) Wichita, The district's previous eastern boundary — Montgomery County and part of Greenwood County — were moved into another district, while the Fourth District's western edge moved farther west, to include all of Pratt, Stafford, Barber, Kiowa, Comanche and Edwards counties, plus a slender section of southern Pawnee County. In the process, the Fourth acquired a more neatly rectangular shape, and sharply reduced the amount of counties divided between the Fourth and another district.[23][24]

The map shown here indicates prior boundaries.

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Partisan Voting Index – Districts of the 115th Congress" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. April 7, 2017. Retrieved April 7, 2017. 
  2. ^ a b c d "Republicans' narrow win for Kansas seat embolden Democrats," April 12, 2017, PBS News Hour, retrieved April 12, 2017
  3. ^ a b c Stirewalt, Chris, "A shocker in Wichita?," published April 11, 2017, FoxNews, retrieved April 14, 2017
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Weigel, David, Analysis: "Four big lessons from Kansas’s special election," April 12, 2017, Washington Post, retrieved April 14, 2017
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i Chamberlain, Samuel, "Republican holds on in closely-watched Kansas special House election," April 12, 2017, FoxNews, retrieved April 14, 2017
  6. ^ a b c d e f g h "Dems making close race in Kansas, in 1st congressional contest under Trump," published April 11, 2017, FoxNews, retrieved April 14, 2017
  7. ^ a b "Kansas Democratic Party picks James Thompson as nominee for 4th District race," February 11, 2017, KWCH-TV News, retrieved February 12, 2017
  8. ^ a b c Hegeman, Roxanna, Associated Press, "Kansas House race divides anti-abortion community," July 20, 2014, Associated Press, in Washington Times, retrieved February 10, 2017
  9. ^ a b "Todd Tiahrt on Abortion," in "Todd Tiahrt on the Issues" page, OnTheIssues.org, retrieved February 10, 2017
  10. ^ a b "Mike Pompeo on Abortion," in "Mike Pompeo on the Issues" page, OnTheIssues.org, retrieved February 10, 2017
  11. ^ a b "Wichita attorney Dan Giroux announces challenge to Rep_ Mike Pompeo," Topeka Capital-Journal / CJonline.com, retrieved February 12, 2017
  12. ^ a b c d e f g h i Associated Press, "Republicans survive election scare, win Kansas House seat" KSN-W TV News, Kansas State Network, Wichita, Kansas; Published: April 11, 2017, 11:40 am; Updated: April 12, 2017, 12:04 am (NOTE: The date and time posted by AP/KSN for original publication precedes, by several hours, the closing of the polls, raising questions about the origins of this article, reporting the outcome of this relatively close election), retrieved April 12, 2017
  13. ^ "Drive Against Abortion Finds a Symbol: Wichita," August 4, 1991, New York Times
  14. ^ Abcarian, Robin, "Abortion doc's killer convicted," January 30, 2010, Chicago Tribune, (originally published January 29, 2010 in Los Angeles Times as "Scott Roeder convicted of murdering abortion doctor George Tiller,"), retrieved February 16, 2017; which says "...Wichita, which became a center of the anti-abortion movement in the late 1980s and 1990s."
  15. ^ Welch, William M., "Abortion provider was accustomed to threats," May 31, 2009, USA Today, retrieved February 16, 2017; which says: "His practice made him a focal point in the political struggle over abortion, and his hometown became ground zero for anti-abortion activists. In 1993, Tiller was shot in both arms.... His clinic was bombed in 1985...."
  16. ^ Ball, Karen (Kansas City) "George Tiller's Murder: How Will It Impact the Abortion Fight?," May 31, 2009, Time magazine, retrieved February 16, 2017; which says: "George Tiller long ago erased the line between his private life and his public cause, turning his Wichita, Kans., clinic into ground zero in the fight over late-term abortions.... shot in both arms in 1993 by an antiabortion activist."
  17. ^ Eligon, John, "Four Years Later, Slain Abortion Doctor’s Aide Steps Into the Void: Kansas Abortion Practice Set to Replace Tiller Clinic," January 25, 2013, New York Times, retrieved February 16, 2017; which says: "The [Wichita abortion] clinic was also the focal point of the “Summer of Mercy” protests in 1991... tens of thousands of abortion protesters... more than 2,000... arrested — in an event that transformed... into a national brawl."
  18. ^ Carmon, Irin "Kansas abortion clinic is back: Three years after George Tiller's murder by an anti-abortionist, his aide is picking up where her mentor left off," September 28, 2012, Salon, retrieved February 16, 2017; which says: "...Wichita, which has been ground zero for the abortion battle since the 1991 Summer of Mercy, when the antiabortion group Operation Rescue set up camp there."
  19. ^ Jehl, Douglas, "Man in the News - Turning Loss Into Victory - Daniel Robert Glickman," December 28, 1994, New York Times, retrieved February 11, 2017
  20. ^ Christopher J. Catizone, "Debate Addresses Abortion Politics," March 9, 2004, Harvard Crimson, retrieved February 10, 2017.
  21. ^ "Dan Glickman," Graduate School of Political Management, George Washington University, Washington, D.C., retrieved February 11, 2017
  22. ^ McNulty, Timothy J., "Incumbent's Defeat Is A Case Study In Grass-roots Politics," November 20, 1994, Chicago Tribune, retrieved February 10, 2017
  23. ^ a b c d "Court releases redistricting plans; bad news for two conservative Senate hopefuls," June 8, 2012, Wichita Eagle, retrieved February 12, 2017
  24. ^ a b c "Judges' decision moves Pratt County into 4th Congressional District," June 9, 2012, Pratt Tribune, Pratt, Kansas, retrieved February 12, 2017
  25. ^ "Political Geography: Kansas," March 9, 2012, in Five Thirty-Eight blog of the New York Times, retrieved February 12, 2017
  26. ^ a b c d e f g h Associated Press, "Estes wins special election for Kansas' 4th Congressional District," KWCH-TV News, Wichita, Kansas, Posted 3:59 PM, April 11, 2017; Updated: Wed 1:57 AM, April 12, 2017 (NOTE: The date and time posted by AP/KWCH for original publication precedes, by several hours, the closing of the polls, raising questions about the origins of this article, reporting the outcome of this relatively close election, retrieved April 12, 2017
  27. ^ a b c d e "Thompson plans another run for Congress," KWCH-TV News, Posted: Tue 11:30 PM, April 11, 2017, retrieved April 12, 2017
  28. ^ Hancock, Peter, "Former lawmaker Dennis McKinney to announce bid for Congress," January 24, 2017,, Lawrence Journal-World, retrieved February 10, 2017
  29. ^ Lowry, Bryan; Daniel Salazar and Dion Lefler, "Here’s the latest on who’s running for Pompeo’s seat in Congress," January 24, 2017, Wichita Eagle, retrieved February 10, 2017
  30. ^ "Four big lessons from Kansas’s special election," April 12, 2017, Washington Post, retrieved April 14, 2017
  31. ^ Harris, Richard, former Wichita Civil Rights Commissioner, "PEOPLE" page, Civic Affiars in Wichita website, retrieved February 10, 2017.
  32. ^ "American FactFinder". United States Census Bureau. Retrieved January 31, 2008. 

Coordinates: 37°30′N 97°12′W / 37.5°N 97.2°W / 37.5; -97.2