Jump to content

2012 United States presidential election in Tennessee

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

This is an old revision of this page, as edited by Cpotisch (talk | contribs) at 23:49, 5 September 2022 (Removed confusing sentence about East Tennessee). The present address (URL) is a permanent link to this revision, which may differ significantly from the current revision.

2012 United States presidential election in Tennessee

← 2008 November 6, 2012 2016 →
 
Nominee Mitt Romney Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Massachusetts Illinois
Running mate Paul Ryan Joe Biden
Electoral vote 11 0
Popular vote 1,462,330 960,709
Percentage 59.48% 39.08%

County Results

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2012 United States presidential election in Tennessee took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Tennessee voters chose 11 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.

Romney easily carried Tennessee's 11 electoral votes, winning 59.48% of the vote in the state to Obama's 39.08%.[1] Romney's 20.40% margin of victory was the strongest performance by any presidential candidate in the state since Richard Nixon's 1972 landslide. Tennessee has not voted for a Democratic presidential nominee since 1996, when Bill Clinton won the state and many other states of the South, and the Volunteer State has not given a majority to a Democratic nominee since fellow Southerner Jimmy Carter carried it in 1976. Thus, Tennessee has been seen as part of the modern-day red wall in the 21st century. After 1996, the state has been growing more Republican with each election.[2]

As consistent with the rest of the country, Obama carried heavily populated and diverse counties. The largest county, Shelby, was won by Obama by a 26.08% margin due to it being home to Memphis, Tennessee's largest city. In addition, the home of the state capital of Nashville, Davidson County, went to Obama by 18.58%. Hardeman and Haywood counties, both low-populated suburbs of Memphis, also went to Obama due to their high African American populations (42.2%[3] and 50.6%,[4] respectively). However, rural areas – including areas in the northwestern portion of the state that had long favored Democratic candidates – saw heavy margins for Romney, allowing him to offset Obama's wins in large cities. The eastern region of the state in Appalachia, some of the most historically Republican and Unionist counties in the country, saw margins of over 70% for the Republican ticket.[5]

Romney also flipped two counties, Houston and Jackson, to the Republican column. Both of these majority-white counties had been Democratic strongholds with their strong ties to secessionism: they had each only voted for a Republican presidential nominee once prior to this election, in 1928 and 1920, respectively.[6]

As of 2020, this is the most recent election in which Hardeman County was won by the Democratic presidential nominee. This is also the first and only time that a Democratic president has won re-election without carrying Tennessee.

Primaries

Democratic

Tennessee Democratic primary, 2012

← 2008 March 6, 2012 (2012-03-06) 2016 →
 
Candidate Barack Obama Uncommitted
Home state Illinois n/a
Delegate count 82 9
Popular vote 80,705 10,497
Percentage 88.48% 11.51%

Tennessee results by county
  Barack Obama

The 2012 democratic primary in Tennessee took place on Super Tuesday, March 6, 2012, with Barack Obama receiving 80,355 (88.5%) votes. Other candidates received a combined total of 10,411 (11.5%) votes.[7] Tennessee had a total of 91 delegates to the 2012 Democratic National Convention, of which 82 were pledged to presidential contenders depending on the popular vote. The remaining 9 super-delegates were unbound.

Tennessee Democratic primary, 2012[8]
Candidate Popular vote Delegates
Count Percentage Pledged delegates Super delegates Total delegates
Barack Obama 80,705 88.48% 82 9 91
Uncommitted 10,497 11.51% 0 0 0
John Wolfe Jr. (write-in) 7 0.00% 0 0 0
Total: 91,209 100% 91 29 251

Republican

Tennessee Republican primary, 2012

← 2008 March 6, 2012 (2012-03-06) 2016 →
 
Candidate Rick Santorum Mitt Romney
Home state Pennsylvania Massachusetts
Delegate count 29 14
Popular vote 205,809 155,630
Percentage 37.11% 28.06%

 
Candidate Newt Gingrich Ron Paul
Home state Georgia Texas
Delegate count 9 0
Popular vote 132,889 50,156
Percentage 23.96% 9.04%

Tennessee results by county
  Rick Santorum
  Mitt Romney
  Newt Gingrich

The Republican primary took place on Super Tuesday, March 6, 2012.[9][10]

Tennessee has 58 delegates to the 2012 Republican National Convention. Three superdelegates are unbound. 27 delegates are awarded by congressional district, 3 delegates for each district. If a candidate wins two-thirds of the vote in a district, he takes all 3 delegates there; if not, delegates are split 2-to-1 between the top two candidates. Another 28 delegates are awarded to the candidate who wins two-thirds of the vote statewide, or allocated proportionately among candidates winning at least 20% of the vote if no one gets two-thirds.[11]

Former Senator from Pennsylvania Rick Santorum won the primary with a plurality, carrying 37.11% of the vote and all but four counties, awarding him 29 delegates. Former Massachusetts Governor and eventual nominee, Mitt Romney, came second with 28.06% of the vote and 19 delegates. He carried only three counties: Davidson, Loudon, and Williamson. Former Speaker of the House of Representatives, Newt Gingrich of neighboring Georgia, came third with 23.96% of the vote and 9 delegates, carrying only the county of Marion. Representative from Texas Ron Paul received 9.04% of the vote and all other candidates received under 1% of the vote.[12]

Results

Tennessee Republican primary, 2012[13]
Candidate Votes Percentage Projected delegate count
NYT
[14]
CNN
[15]
FOX
[16]
Rick Santorum 205,809 37.11% 29 27 26
Mitt Romney 155,630 28.06% 14 15 12
Newt Gingrich 132,889 23.96% 9 8 9
Ron Paul 50,156 9.04% 0 0 0
Rick Perry (withdrawn) 1,966 0.35% 0 0 0
Michele Bachmann (withdrawn) 1,895 0.34% 0 0 0
Jon Huntsman (withdrawn) 1,239 0.22% 0 0 0
Buddy Roemer (withdrawn) 881 0.16% 0 0 0
Gary Johnson (withdrawn) 572 0.10% 0 0 0
Uncommitted 3,536 0.64% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 6 8 9
Total: 554,573 100.00% 58 58 58

General election

Results

United States presidential election in Tennessee, 2012
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican Mitt Romney Paul Ryan 1,462,330 59.48% 11
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 960,709 39.08% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson Jim Gray 18,623 0.67% 0
Green Jill Stein Cheri Honkala 6,515 0.26% 0
Constitution Virgil Goode Jim Clymer 6,022 0.24% 0
Justice Rocky Anderson Luis J. Rodriguez 2,639 0.11% 0
American Third Position Merlin Miller Virginia D. Abernethy 1,739 0.07% 0
Totals 2,458,577 100.00% 11

By county

County Obama% Obama# Romney% Romney# Others% Others# Total
Anderson 34.13% 10,122 63.95% 18,968 01.92% 569 29,659
Bedford 29.15% 4,211 69.46% 10,034 01.38% 200 14,445
Benton 36.27% 2,258 61.84% 3,850 01.90% 118 6,226
Bledsoe 29.07% 1,267 69.33% 3,022 01.61% 70 4,359
Blount 26.27% 12,934 71.98% 35,441 01.74% 859 49,234
Bradley 22.35% 8,037 76.25% 27,422 01.40% 504 35,963
Campbell 27.50% 3,328 71.10% 8,604 01.40% 169 12,101
Cannon 31.45% 1,564 66.54% 3,309 02.01% 100 4,973
Carroll 32.02% 3,475 66.58% 7,225 01.39% 151 10,851
Carter 23.23% 4,789 75.20% 15,503 01.58% 325 20,617
Cheatham 30.69% 4,659 67.63% 10,268 01.68% 255 15,182
Chester 25.34% 1,624 73.07% 4,684 01.59% 102 6,410
Claiborne 23.90% 2,433 74.84% 7,617 01.26% 128 10,178
Clay 36.77% 1,037 61.95% 1,747 01.28% 36 2,820
Cocke 24.48% 2,804 73.85% 8,459 01.67% 191 11,454
Coffee 30.48% 5,870 67.62% 13,023 01.90% 366 19,259
Crockett 30.36% 1,669 68.81% 3,783 00.84% 46 5,498
Cumberland 24.80% 6,261 73.88% 18,653 01.32% 333 25,247
Davidson 58.45% 143,120 39.87% 97,622 01.69% 4,131 244,873
Decatur 30.65% 1,303 67.61% 2,874 01.74% 74 4,251
DeKalb 33.85% 2,174 64.51% 4,143 01.64% 105 6,422
Dickson 34.95% 6,233 63.34% 11,296 01.72% 306 17,835
Dyer 27.22% 3,757 71.89% 9,921 00.88% 122 13,800
Fayette 34.17% 6,688 64.83% 12,689 01.01% 197 19,574
Fentress 22.64% 1,561 76.04% 5,243 01.32% 91 6,895
Franklin 34.76% 5,603 63.66% 10,262 01.58% 254 16,119
Gibson 33.38% 6,564 65.51% 12,883 01.12% 220 19,667
Giles 34.82% 3,760 64.03% 6,915 01.15% 124 10,799
Grainger 23.00% 1,668 75.43% 5,470 01.57% 114 7,252
Greene 26.06% 6,225 72.19% 17,245 01.75% 417 23,887
Grundy 38.78% 1,643 59.38% 2,516 01.84% 78 4,237
Hamblen 26.13% 5,234 72.49% 14,522 01.38% 276 20,032
Hamilton 41.67% 58,836 56.62% 79,933 01.71% 2,412 141,181
Hancock 23.22% 475 74.63% 1,527 02.15% 44 2,046
Hardeman 52.51% 5,482 46.60% 4,865 00.88% 92 10,439
Hardin 23.51% 2,467 75.14% 7,886 01.35% 142 10,495
Hawkins 25.70% 5,088 72.65% 14,382 01.65% 327 19,797
Haywood 60.36% 4,569 39.11% 2,960 00.53% 40 7,569
Henderson 25.03% 2,517 73.80% 7,421 01.16% 117 10,055
Henry 34.06% 4,339 64.31% 8,193 01.62% 207 12,739
Hickman 35.49% 2,698 62.59% 4,758 01.92% 146 7,602
Houston 46.25% 1,400 52.16% 1,579 01.59% 48 3,027
Humphreys 42.33% 2,905 55.85% 3,833 01.82% 125 6,863
Jackson 41.56% 1,739 56.96% 2,383 01.48% 62 4,184
Jefferson 24.10% 4,232 74.25% 13,038 01.65% 289 17,559
Johnson 23.94% 1,483 74.44% 4,611 01.61% 100 6,194
Knox 34.43% 59,399 63.60% 109,707 01.97% 3,401 172,507
Lake 42.36% 884 55.73% 1,163 01.92% 40 2,087
Lauderdale 46.16% 4,011 53.12% 4,616 00.71% 62 8,689
Lawrence 27.84% 4,237 70.77% 10,770 01.39% 212 15,219
Lewis 30.83% 1,447 66.40% 3,117 02.77% 130 4,694
Lincoln 24.80% 3,290 73.88% 9,803 01.32% 175 13,268
Loudon 22.91% 5,058 75.69% 16,707 01.40% 308 22,073
Macon 22.48% 1,552 76.18% 5,260 01.35% 93 6,905
Madison 45.13% 18,367 54.03% 21,993 00.84% 342 40,702
Marion 37.98% 3,953 60.26% 6,272 01.77% 184 10,409
Marshall 34.68% 3,725 63.61% 6,832 01.71% 184 10,741
Maury 35.83% 11,825 62.74% 20,708 01.43% 473 33,006
McMinn 25.84% 4,609 72.71% 12,967 01.45% 258 17,834
McNairy 26.98% 2,645 71.57% 7,015 01.45% 142 9,802
Meigs 29.34% 1,163 68.97% 2,734 01.69% 67 3,964
Monroe 26.76% 4,372 71.80% 11,731 01.44% 235 16,338
Montgomery 44.08% 24,499 54.41% 30,245 01.51% 840 55,584
Moore 25.19% 705 73.35% 2,053 01.46% 41 2,799
Morgan 26.52% 1,725 71.79% 4,669 01.69% 110 6,504
Obion 27.01% 3,321 71.68% 8,814 01.32% 162 12,297
Overton 36.60% 2,805 62.30% 4,775 01.10% 84 7,664
Perry 37.85% 992 60.21% 1,578 01.95% 51 2,621
Pickett 29.03% 712 69.79% 1,712 01.18% 29 2,453
Polk 30.63% 1,856 67.80% 4,108 01.57% 95 6,059
Putnam 30.60% 7,802 67.66% 17,254 01.74% 444 25,500
Rhea 24.82% 2,628 73.67% 7,802 01.51% 160 10,590
Roane 28.53% 6,018 69.82% 14,724 01.65% 348 21,090
Robertson 31.53% 8,290 67.11% 17,643 01.35% 356 26,289
Rutherford 36.84% 36,414 61.56% 60,846 01.61% 1,588 98,848
Scott 21.78% 1,452 76.74% 5,117 01.48% 99 6,668
Sequatchie 28.96% 1,489 68.86% 3,541 02.18% 112 5,142
Sevier 21.91% 7,418 76.73% 25,984 01.36% 462 33,864
Shelby 62.63% 232,443 36.55% 135,649 00.81% 3,017 371,109
Smith 34.85% 2,470 63.43% 4,495 01.72% 122 7,087
Stewart 40.45% 2,069 57.93% 2,963 01.62% 83 5,115
Sullivan 25.58% 15,321 72.74% 43,562 01.68% 1,004 59,887
Sumner 28.42% 18,579 70.38% 46,003 01.20% 784 65,366
Tipton 29.62% 7,133 69.23% 16,672 01.15% 276 24,081
Trousdale 42.69% 1,240 55.49% 1,612 01.82% 53 2,905
Unicoi 27.00% 1,913 71.01% 5,032 01.99% 141 7,086
Union 25.36% 1,478 73.47% 4,282 01.17% 68 5,828
Van Buren 38.04% 875 60.26% 1,386 01.70% 39 2,300
Warren 36.51% 4,752 61.54% 8,010 01.94% 253 13,015
Washington 29.82% 14,325 68.30% 32,808 01.87% 899 48,032
Wayne 21.20% 1,163 77.52% 4,253 01.28% 70 5,486
Weakley 28.76% 3,548 69.75% 8,605 01.49% 184 12,337
White 30.58% 2,795 67.80% 6,197 01.62% 148 9,140
Williamson 26.13% 25,142 72.59% 69,850 01.28% 1,233 96,225
Wilson 28.53% 14,695 70.12% 36,109 01.35% 695 51,499

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Mitt Romney swept the state and carried seven of the state's nine congressional districts, all represented by Republicans. Barack Obama carried the state's two congressional districts, the 5th and 9th, anchored by the two largest cities of Nashville and Memphis, respectively.[17]

District Romney Obama Representative
1st 72.7% 25.7%
Phil Roe
2nd 67.3% 30.9% John J. Duncan, Jr.
3rd 63.3% 35.1% Chuck Fleischmann
4th 65.3% 33.1% Scott DesJarlais
5th 42.5% 55.9% Jim Cooper
6th 69.1% 29.5% Diane Black
7th 65.7% 32.9% Marsha Blackburn
8th 66.1% 32.8% Stephen Fincher
9th 20.9% 78.3% Steve Cohen


See also

References

  1. ^ "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Tennessee". Retrieved 4 January 2013.
  2. ^ Moskowitz, Seth (March 2, 2020). "The Road to 270: Tennessee". 270toWin. Retrieved 2020-11-29.
  3. ^ "U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts: Hardeman County, Tennessee". United States Census Bureau. Retrieved November 29, 2020.
  4. ^ "U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts: Haywood County, Tennessee". United States Census Bureau. Retrieved November 29, 2020.
  5. ^ Rothenberg, Stuart (October 3, 2017). "What Happened to Mountain Republicans in the South?". Inside Elections. Retrieved November 29, 2020.
  6. ^ Skelley, Geoffrey. "County winners, 1836-2016". Google Sheets. Retrieved November 29, 2020.
  7. ^ "State of Tennessee Democratic presidential primary" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2017-02-12. Retrieved 2016-09-17.
  8. ^ "State of Tennessee March 6, 2012 Democratic Primary Presidential Preference" (PDF). Tennessee Elections. Tennessee Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on February 12, 2017. Retrieved September 17, 2016.
  9. ^ "Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar". CNN. Retrieved January 12, 2012.
  10. ^ "Presidential Primary Dates" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved January 23, 2012.
  11. ^ Nate Silver (March 4, 2012). "Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved March 5, 2012.
  12. ^ "Tennessee Republican Primary - Election Results". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2020-11-29.
  13. ^ http://state.tn.us/sos/election/results/2012-03/RepPresStateCertCountyTotals.pdf [bare URL PDF]
  14. ^ Tennessee - New York Times
  15. ^ Tennessee - CNN
  16. ^ "Tennessee - Fox News". Fox News. Archived from the original on 2012-04-07. Retrieved 2012-03-29.
  17. ^ Nir, David (November 19, 2020). "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012". Daily Kos.