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2008 United States presidential election in Kansas

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2008 United States presidential election in Kansas

← 2004 November 4, 2008 2012 →
 
Nominee John McCain Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Arizona Illinois
Running mate Sarah Palin Joe Biden
Electoral vote 6 0
Popular vote 699,655 514,765
Percentage 56.48% 41.55%

County Results

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2008 United States presidential election in Kansas took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose 6 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Kansas was won by Republican nominee John McCain by a 14.9% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. He won all but three counties and one congressional district in the state.

As of 2016, this is the last time that Crawford County went for the Democratic candidate in a presidential election.

Caucuses

Campaign

Predictions

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

Polling

McCain won every pre-election poll. Since March 16, McCain won each poll with a double-digit margin and at least 47% of the vote.[14]

Fundraising

John McCain raised a total of $1,219,074 in the state. Barack Obama raised $1,548,322.[15]

Advertising and visits

Obama spent $62,108. McCain and his interest groups spent $13,693.[16] Neither campaign visited the state.[17]

Analysis

Kansas has always been a Republican stronghold at the presidential level, voting for GOP nominees in all but seven elections since statehood. The last Democratic presidential nominee to carry the Sunflower State was Lyndon B. Johnson in his landslide in 1964. Although the state did receive attention from Barack Obama, whose mother was born in Kansas, it wasn't enough to overcome the deeply planted GOP roots in the state. John McCain carried Kansas by a comfortable 15-percent margin of victory. McCain's margin of victory in Kansas, however, was less than that of George W. Bush who carried the state in 2004 with 62% of the vote over John Kerry's 36.62% showing in the state - a 10-point swing to the Democrats in 2008.

Obama only won three counties - Crawford (home to Pittsburg), Douglas (home to Lawrence), and Wyandotte (home to Kansas City). The first two were home to large college populations, while Wyandotte had a significant African-American population. He did, however, succeed in winning 41% of the state's popular vote. Only two other Democrats have cracked the 40 percent barrier in the state since Johnson's 1964 landslide (Jimmy Carter in 1976 and Michael Dukakis in 1988).

To highlight its status as a reliably red state, former State Treasurer Lynn Jenkins, a Republican, ousted incumbent Democratic U.S. Representative Nancy Boyda to win back Kansas's 2nd Congressional District seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Jenkins received 50.80% of the vote to Boyda's 45.97%. At the same time, incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Pat Roberts was reelected with 60.06% of the vote over former Democratic U.S. Representative Jim Slattery. Republicans also made gains in the Kansas Senate, picking up one seat.

As of the 2016 presidential election, this is the last election in which Crawford County voted for the Democratic candidate.

Results

2008 United States presidential election in Kansas[18]
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican John McCain Sarah Palin 699,655 56.48% 6
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 514,765 41.55% 0
Independent Ralph Nader Matt Gonzalez 10,527 0.85% 0
Libertarian Bob Barr Wayne Allyn Root 6,706 0.54% 0
Reform Chuck Baldwin Darrell Castle 4,148 0.33% 0
Write-ins Write-ins 3,037 0.24% 0
Green Cynthia McKinney (write-in) Rosa Clemente 35 0.00% 0
Totals 1,238,873 100.00% 6
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 60.8%

Results breakdown

By county

County Obama% Obama# McCain% McCain# Others% Others# Total
Allen 37.36% 2,189 60.62% 3,552 2.01% 118 5,859
Anderson 32.40% 1,175 65.14% 2,362 2.45% 89 3,626
Atchison 45.07% 3,241 52.72% 3,791 2.21% 159 7,191
Barber 24.29% 598 74.45% 1,833 1.26% 31 2,462
Barton 27.38% 3,027 70.56% 7,802 2.06% 228 11,057
Bourbon 35.30% 2,394 62.53% 4,240 2.17% 147 6,781
Brown 30.10% 1,317 68.21% 2,985 1.69% 74 4,376
Butler 32.86% 9,159 65.13% 18,155 2.01% 559 27,873
Chase 27.67% 383 70.52% 976 1.81% 25 1,384
Chautauqua 21.65% 401 76.57% 1,418 1.78% 33 1,852
Cherokee 37.19% 3,594 60.90% 5,886 1.91% 185 9,665
Cheyenne 21.56% 323 76.64% 1,148 1.80% 27 1,498
Clark 21.14% 245 77.39% 897 1.47% 17 1,159
Clay 24.89% 1,009 73.95% 2,998 1.16% 47 4,054
Cloud 27.70% 1,233 70.12% 3,121 2.18% 97 4,451
Coffey 26.49% 1,121 72.16% 3,054 1.35% 57 4,232
Comanche 19.92% 194 78.54% 765 1.54% 15 974
Cowley 36.35% 5,012 61.59% 8,492 2.05% 283 13,787
Crawford 49.50% 7,957 48.12% 7,735 2.38% 383 16,075
Decatur 22.16% 343 76.81% 1,189 1.03% 16 1,548
Dickinson 27.95% 2,422 70.16% 6,081 1.89% 164 8,667
Doniphan 31.29% 1,115 66.55% 2,372 2.16% 77 3,564
Douglas 64.42% 34,398 33.58% 17,929 2.01% 1,071 53,398
Edwards 24.54% 333 73.32% 995 2.14% 29 1,357
Elk 25.31% 363 72.66% 1,042 2.02% 29 1,434
Ellis 32.22% 4,010 65.94% 8,207 1.85% 230 12,447
Ellsworth 28.97% 851 68.79% 2,021 2.25% 66 2,938
Finney 31.63% 3,275 66.89% 6,926 1.48% 153 10,354
Ford 33.74% 2,991 64.64% 5,730 1.61% 143 8,864
Franklin 37.76% 4,433 60.30% 7,079 1.93% 227 11,739
Geary 43.13% 3,491 55.50% 4,492 1.37% 111 8,094
Gove 18.41% 261 80.11% 1,136 1.48% 21 1,418
Graham 22.84% 325 74.49% 1,060 2.67% 38 1,423
Grant 23.86% 635 74.97% 1,995 1.16% 31 2,661
Gray 20.58% 436 77.54% 1,643 1.89% 40 2,119
Greeley 20.27% 151 79.33% 591 0.40% 3 745
Greenwood 27.29% 622 71.04% 1,619 1.67% 38 2,279
Hamilton 21.26% 233 77.01% 844 1.73% 19 1,096
Harper 26.32% 736 71.49% 1,999 2.18% 61 2,796
Harvey 40.47% 6,318 57.68% 9,006 1.85% 289 15,613
Haskell 17.71% 278 81.34% 1,277 0.96% 15 1,570
Hodgeman 19.25% 211 78.92% 865 1.82% 20 1,096
Jackson 36.91% 2,308 60.95% 3,811 2.14% 134 6,253
Jefferson 39.58% 3,542 58.32% 5,220 2.10% 188 8,950
Jewell 19.76% 313 77.71% 1,231 2.53% 40 1,584
Johnson 44.84% 127,091 53.85% 152,627 1.31% 3,714 283,432
Kearny 20.85% 309 78.21% 1,159 0.94% 14 1,482
Kingman 26.28% 963 71.04% 2,603 2.67% 98 3,664
Kiowa 17.62% 200 80.35% 912 2.03% 23 1,135
Labette 42.51% 3,839 55.38% 5,001 2.11% 191 9,031
Lane 18.79% 193 79.26% 814 1.95% 20 1,027
Leavenworth 43.33% 13,255 54.89% 16,791 1.78% 545 30,591
Lincoln 21.88% 347 75.91% 1,204 2.21% 35 1,586
Linn 30.86% 1,425 66.84% 3,086 2.30% 106 4,617
Logan 15.63% 225 82.43% 1,187 1.94% 28 1,440
Lyon 45.88% 5,924 51.88% 6,698 2.24% 289 12,911
Marion 29.72% 1,801 68.64% 4,159 1.63% 99 6,059
Marshall 35.42% 1,784 62.69% 3,157 1.89% 95 5,036
McPherson 31.51% 4,218 66.77% 8,937 1.72% 230 13,385
Meade 18.49% 357 79.75% 1,540 1.76% 34 1,931
Miami 37.34% 5,742 61.01% 9,382 1.65% 253 15,377
Mitchell 21.89% 701 76.18% 2,440 1.94% 62 3,203
Montgomery 31.19% 4,338 66.94% 9,309 1.87% 260 13,907
Morris 31.93% 907 66.00% 1,875 2.08% 59 2,841
Morton 16.33% 229 82.24% 1,153 1.43% 20 1,402
Nemaha 26.72% 1,432 71.23% 3,817 2.05% 110 5,359
Neosho 35.64% 2,563 62.19% 4,473 2.17% 156 7,192
Ness 18.95% 289 79.15% 1,207 1.90% 29 1,525
Norton 20.58% 497 77.76% 1,878 1.66% 40 2,415
Osage 33.59% 2,534 63.89% 4,820 2.52% 190 7,544
Osborne 20.88% 403 77.20% 1,490 1.92% 37 1,930
Ottawa 22.81% 704 75.28% 2,323 1.91% 59 3,086
Pawnee 30.64% 882 67.59% 1,946 1.77% 51 2,879
Phillips 19.69% 525 78.93% 2,105 1.39% 37 2,667
Pottawatomie 26.42% 2,599 70.44% 6,929 3.14% 309 9,837
Pratt 30.88% 1,294 67.35% 2,822 1.77% 74 4,190
Rawlins 17.62% 273 80.50% 1,247 1.87% 29 1,549
Reno 37.40% 9,916 60.77% 16,112 1.83% 484 26,512
Republic 23.96% 640 74.05% 1,978 1.98% 53 2,671
Rice 28.92% 1,163 69.14% 2,780 1.94% 78 4,021
Riley 45.64% 10,495 52.66% 12,111 1.70% 391 22,997
Rooks 18.08% 468 79.91% 2,068 2.01% 52 2,588
Rush 28.30% 504 68.78% 1,225 2.92% 52 1,781
Russell 22.35% 736 76.19% 2,509 1.46% 48 3,293
Saline 35.92% 8,186 62.16% 14,165 1.92% 437 22,788
Scott 14.73% 321 83.66% 1,823 1.61% 35 2,179
Sedgwick 42.72% 82,337 55.44% 106,849 1.83% 3,530 192,716
Seward 27.98% 1,493 71.05% 3,791 0.97% 52 5,336
Shawnee 48.99% 41,235 49.27% 41,476 1.74% 1,466 84,177
Sheridan 18.46% 254 80.52% 1,108 1.02% 14 1,376
Sherman 25.44% 688 72.45% 1,959 2.11% 57 2,704
Smith 20.24% 446 77.99% 1,719 1.77% 39 2,204
Stafford 26.13% 542 72.08% 1,495 1.78% 37 2,074
Stanton 22.73% 188 75.94% 628 1.33% 11 827
Stevens 13.31% 283 85.33% 1,815 1.36% 29 2,127
Sumner 32.44% 3,353 65.17% 6,737 2.39% 247 10,337
Thomas 21.43% 787 77.24% 2,837 1.33% 49 3,673
Trego 25.13% 420 73.31% 1,225 1.56% 26 1,671
Wabaunsee 29.42% 1,036 68.02% 2,395 2.56% 90 3,521
Wallace 11.94% 96 85.82% 690 2.24% 18 804
Washington 22.11% 659 75.44% 2,248 2.45% 73 2,980
Wichita 16.00% 163 82.43% 840 1.57% 16 1,019
Wilson 28.39% 1,170 69.16% 2,850 2.45% 101 4,121
Woodson 32.02% 512 65.98% 1,055 2.00% 32 1,599
Wyandotte 69.73% 39,865 28.87% 16,506 1.40% 798 57,169

By congressional district

John McCain carried three of the state’s four congressional districts.

District McCain Obama Representative
1st 68.60% 29.61% Jerry Moran
2nd 54.87% 43.20% Nancy Boyda (110th Congress)
Lynn Jenkins (111th Congress)
3rd 48.01% 50.59% Dennis Moore
4th 58.38% 39.72% Todd Tiahrt

Electors

Technically the voters of Kansas cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Kansas is allocated 6 electors because it has 4 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 6 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 6 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[19] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 6 were pledged to John McCain and Sarah Palin:[20]

  1. Tom Arpke
  2. Jeff Colyer
  3. David Kensinger
  4. Kris Kobach
  5. Mike Pompeo
  6. Helen Van Etten

References

  1. ^ "D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries". Archived from the original on 2009-01-01. Retrieved 2009-12-20.
  2. ^ Presidential | The Cook Political Report Archived May 5, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
  3. ^ Adnaan (2008-09-20). "Track the Electoral College vote predictions". The Takeaway. Archived from the original on April 22, 2009. Retrieved 2009-11-14.
  4. ^ Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily
  5. ^ a b c d Based on Takeaway
  6. ^ POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com
  7. ^ RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map
  8. ^ CQ Politics | CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008 Archived June 14, 2009, at the Wayback Machine
  9. ^ "Electoral College Map". The New York Times. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
  10. ^ "October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
  11. ^ "Winning the Electoral College". Fox News. April 27, 2010.
  12. ^ roadto270
  13. ^ Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports™
  14. ^ Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections
  15. ^ "Presidential Campaign Finance". Archived from the original on 2009-03-24. Retrieved 2009-08-20.
  16. ^ "Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
  17. ^ "Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
  18. ^ "Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". Retrieved 2013-01-13.
  19. ^ "Electoral College". California Secretary of State. Archived from the original on October 30, 2008. Retrieved 2008-11-01.
  20. ^ Kansas Secretary of State - 2008 Presidential Electors

See also