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Revision as of 20:32, 1 October 2021

For related races, see 2022 United States elections.

2022 United States Senate elections
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
34 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate
51 seats needed for a majority
 
Leader Chuck Schumer Mitch McConnell
Party Democratic Republican
Leader since January 3, 2017 January 3, 2007
Leader's seat New York Kentucky
Last election 48[a][b] 50
Seats needed Steady Increase 1
Seats up 14 20
 
Party Independent
Current seats 2[a]
Seats up 0
2022 United States Senate elections in California2022 United States Senate special election in Oklahoma2022 United States Senate election in Alabama2022 United States Senate election in Alaska2022 United States Senate election in Arizona2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas2022 United States Senate elections in California2022 United States Senate election in Colorado2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut2022 United States Senate election in Florida2022 United States Senate election in Georgia2022 United States Senate election in Hawaii2022 United States Senate election in Idaho2022 United States Senate election in Illinois2022 United States Senate election in Indiana2022 United States Senate election in Iowa2022 United States Senate election in Kansas2022 United States Senate election in Kentucky2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana2022 United States Senate election in Maryland2022 United States Senate election in Missouri2022 United States Senate election in Nevada2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire2022 United States Senate election in New York2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina2022 United States Senate election in North Dakota2022 United States Senate election in Ohio2022 United States Senate election in Oklahoma2022 United States Senate election in Oregon2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania2022 United States Senate election in South Carolina2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota2022 United States Senate election in Utah2022 United States Senate election in Vermont2022 United States Senate election in Washington2022 United States Senate election in Wisconsin
Map of the incumbents:
     Democratic incumbent
     Republican incumbent      Republican retiring
     No election
Incumbent Majority Leader

Chuck Schumer
Democratic



The 2022 United States Senate elections will be held on November 8, 2022, with 34 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections, the winners of which will serve six-year terms in the United States Congress from January 3, 2023, to January 3, 2029. Senators are divided into three groups, or classes, whose terms are staggered so that a different class is elected every two years. Class 3 senators were last elected in 2016, and will be up for election again in 2022.

All 34 Class 3 Senate seats are up for election in 2022; Class 3 currently consists of 14 Democrats and 20 Republicans. One special election for a seat held by a Democrat will be held in conjunction with the general elections, in California to fill the final weeks of Kamala Harris's term.[1]

As of September 2021, five Republican senators have announced they are not seeking re-election, 12 Republican senators are running for re-election, 13 Democratic senators are running for re-election, and no Democratic senators have announced plans for retirement. Three Republicans and one Democrat are yet to confirm whether they intend to retire or run for re-election: Ron Johnson (R) from Wisconsin,[2] Lisa Murkowski (R) from Alaska,[3] John Thune (R) from South Dakota,[4] and Patrick Leahy (D) from Vermont.[5]

Partisan composition

Parties style="background-color:Template:Democratic Party (US)/meta/color" | style="background-color:Template:Independent (US)/meta/color" | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (US)/meta/color" | style="background-color:Template:Unknown/meta/color" | Total
Democratic Independent Republican Unknown
Last election (2020) 48 2 50 0 100
Before these elections 48 2 50 0 100
Not up 34 2 30 0 66
Class 1 (2018→2024) 21 2 10 0 33
Class 2 (2020→2026) 13 0 20 0 33
Up 14 0 20 0 34
Class 3 (2016→2022) 14 0 20 0 34
Special: Class 1 & 2 0 0 0 0 0
General election
Incumbent retiring (declared) 0 — 5 TBD TBD
Incumbent running (declared) 13 — 12 TBD TBD

In contrast to 2018, where Democrats were defending 10 seats in states that Donald Trump won in 2016, Democrats hold no seats in any state that was won by Trump in 2020. Meanwhile, the GOP is defending two seats (Wisconsin and Pennsylvania) in states President Joe Biden won in 2020, compared to just one seat (Nevada won by Hillary Clinton in 2016) that was up for grabs in 2018.

Change in composition

Each block represents one of the one hundred seats in the U.S. Senate. "D#" is a Democratic senator, "I#" is an Independent senator, and "R#" is a Republican senator. They are arranged so the parties are separated and a majority is clear by crossing the middle.

Before the elections

Each block indicates an incumbent senator's actions going into the election.

D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8 D9 D10
D20 D19 D18 D17 D16 D15 D14 D13 D12 D11
D21 D22 D23 D24 D25 D26 D27 D28 D29 D30
D40
Hawaii
Running 		D39
Ga.
Running 		D38
Conn.
Running 		D37
Colo.
Running 		D36
Calif.
Running 		D35
Ariz.
Running 		D34 D33 D32 D31
D41
Ill.
Running 		D42
Md.
Running 		D43
Nev.
Running 		D44
N.H.
Running 		D45
N.Y.
Running 		D46
Ore.
Running 		D47
Vt.
Undeclared 		D48
Wash.
Running 		I1 I2
Majority (with Independents and Vice President) ↑
R41
Mo.
Retiring 		R42
N.C.
Retiring 		R43
N.D.
Running 		R44
Ohio
Retiring 		R45
Okla.
Running 		R46
Pa.
Retiring 		R47
S.C.
Running 		R48
S.D.
Undeclared 		R49
Utah
Running 		R50
Wisc.
Undeclared
R40
La.
Running 		R39
Ky.
Running 		R38
Kans.
Running 		R37
Iowa
Running 		R36
Ind.
Running 		R35
Idaho
Running 		R34
Fla.
Running 		R33
Ark.
Running 		R32
Alaska
Undeclared 		R31
Ala.
Retiring
R21 R22 R23 R24 R25 R26 R27 R28 R29 R30
R20 R19 R18 R17 R16 R15 R14 R13 R12 R11
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10

After the elections

D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8 D9 D10
D20 D19 D18 D17 D16 D15 D14 D13 D12 D11
D21 D22 D23 D24 D25 D26 D27 D28 D29 D30
Ark.
TBD 		Ariz.
TBD 		Alaska
TBD 		Ala.
TBD 		I2 I1 D34 D33 D32 D31
Calif.
TBD 		Colo.
TBD 		Conn.
TBD 		Fla.
TBD 		Ga.
TBD 		Hawaii
TBD 		Idaho
TBD 		Ill.
TBD 		Ind.
TBD 		Iowa
TBD
Majority TBD →
Kans.
TBD
N.D.
TBD 		N.C.
TBD 		N.Y.
TBD 		N.H.
TBD 		Nev.
TBD 		Mo.
TBD 		Md.
TBD 		La.
TBD 		Ky.
TBD
Ohio
TBD 		Okla.
TBD 		Ore.
TBD 		Pa.
TBD 		S.C.
TBD 		S.D.
TBD 		Utah
TBD 		Vt.
TBD 		Wash.
TBD 		Wisc.
TBD
R21 R22 R23 R24 R25 R26 R27 R28 R29 R30
R20 R19 R18 R17 R16 R15 R14 R13 R12 R11
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10
Key:
D# Democratic
R# Republican
I# Independent, caucusing with Democrats

Predictions

Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent was running for re-election) and the other candidates, and the state's partisan lean (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assign ratings to each seat, indicating the predicted advantage that a party had in winning that seat. Most election predictors use:

  • "tossup" / "battleground": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used by some predictors): minimal, smallest advantage
  • "lean": slight advantage
  • "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
  • "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory

Election outlets currently rate North Carolina and Pennsylvania as the most likely tossup races. Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Wisconsin, and Iowa are also rated as competitive, but with more noticeable advantages toward each state's respective defending party.

Constituency Incumbent 2022 election ratings
State PVI[6] Senator Last
election[c] 		Cook
July 16,
2021[7] 		IE
August 6,
2021[8] 		Sabato
March 11,
2021[9]
Alabama R+15 Richard Shelby
(retiring) 		64.0% R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Alaska R+9 Lisa Murkowski 44.4% R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Arizona R+3 Mark Kelly 51.2% D
(2020 special)[d] 		Lean D Battleground Lean D
Arkansas R+16 John Boozman 59.8% R Solid R Solid R Safe R
California D+14 Alex Padilla Appointed
(2021)[e] 		Solid D Solid D Safe D
Colorado D+3 Michael Bennet 50.0% D Solid D Solid D Safe D
Connecticut D+7 Richard Blumenthal 63.2% D Solid D Solid D Safe D
Florida R+3 Marco Rubio 52.0% R Lean R Battleground Likely R
Georgia R+3 Raphael Warnock 51.0% D
(2020 special)[f] 		Lean D Battleground Lean D
Hawaii D+15 Brian Schatz 73.6% D Solid D Solid D Safe D
Idaho R+19 Mike Crapo 66.1% R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Illinois D+7 Tammy Duckworth 54.9% D Solid D Solid D Safe D
Indiana R+11 Todd Young 52.1% R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Iowa R+6 Chuck Grassley 60.1% R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Kansas R+11 Jerry Moran 62.2% R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Kentucky R+16 Rand Paul 57.3% R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Louisiana R+12 John Kennedy 60.7% R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Maryland D+14 Chris Van Hollen 60.9% D Solid D Solid D Safe D
Missouri R+11 Roy Blunt
(retiring) 		49.2% R Solid R Solid R Likely R
Nevada EVEN Catherine Cortez Masto 47.1% D Lean D Battleground Lean D
New Hampshire EVEN Maggie Hassan 48.0% D Lean D Battleground Lean D
New York D+10 Chuck Schumer 70.6% D Solid D Solid D Safe D
North Carolina R+3 Richard Burr
(retiring) 		51.1% R Tossup Battleground Lean R
North Dakota R+20 John Hoeven 78.5% R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Ohio R+6 Rob Portman
(retiring) 		58.0% R Lean R Solid R Likely R
Oklahoma R+20 James Lankford 67.7% R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Oregon D+6 Ron Wyden 56.6% D Solid D Solid D Safe D
Pennsylvania R+2 Pat Toomey
(retiring) 		48.8% R Tossup Battleground Tossup
South Carolina R+8 Tim Scott 60.6% R Solid R Solid R Safe R
South Dakota R+16 John Thune 71.8% R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Utah R+13 Mike Lee 68.2% R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Vermont D+15 Patrick Leahy 60.0% D Solid D Solid D Safe D
Washington D+8 Patty Murray 59.0% D Solid D Solid D Safe D
Wisconsin R+2 Ron Johnson 50.2% R Tossup Battleground Lean R
Overall[g] D - 50[b]
R - 47
3 tossups 		D - 46
R - 46
8 battlegrounds 		D - 50[b]
R - 49
1 tossup

Retirements

Democrats

No Democrats have announced their retirement as of September 2021.

Republicans

Five Republicans have announced their retirement as of September 2021.

State Senator Ref
Alabama Richard Shelby [10]
Missouri Roy Blunt [11]
North Carolina Richard Burr [12]
Ohio Rob Portman [13]
Pennsylvania Pat Toomey [14]

Race summary

Special election during the preceding Congress

In this special election, the winner's term begins immediately after their election is certified by their state's government.

Elections are sorted by date then state.

State
(linked to
summaries below) 		Incumbent Results Candidates
Senator Party Electoral history
California Alex Padilla Democratic 2021 (Appointed) Incumbent appointee running.

Elections leading to the next Congress

In these general elections, the winners will be elected for the term beginning January 3, 2023.

State
(linked to
summaries below) 		Incumbent Results Major candidates[h][i]
Senator Party Electoral history
Alabama Richard Shelby Republican 1986
1992
1998
2004
2010
2016 		Incumbent retiring.[19]
Alaska Lisa Murkowski Republican 2002 (Appointed)
2004
2010
2016 		Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • Kelly Tshibaka (Republican)[25]
Arizona Mark Kelly Democratic 2020 (Special) Incumbent running.
Arkansas John Boozman Republican 2010
2016 		Incumbent running.
California Alex Padilla Democratic 2021 (Appointed) Incumbent running.
Colorado Michael Bennet Democratic 2009 (Appointed)
2010
2016 		Incumbent running.
Connecticut Richard Blumenthal Democratic 2010
2016 		Incumbent running.
Florida Marco Rubio Republican 2010
2016 		Incumbent running.
Georgia Raphael Warnock Democratic 2021 (Special) Incumbent running.
Hawaii Brian Schatz Democratic 2012 (Appointed)
2014 (Special)
2016 		Incumbent running.
Idaho Mike Crapo Republican 1998
2004
2010
2016 		Incumbent running.
Illinois Tammy Duckworth Democratic 2016 Incumbent running.
Indiana Todd Young Republican 2016 Incumbent running.
Iowa Chuck Grassley Republican 1980
1986
1992
1998
2004
2010
2016 		Incumbent running.
Kansas Jerry Moran Republican 2010
2016 		Incumbent running.
Kentucky Rand Paul Republican 2010
2016 		Incumbent running.
Louisiana John Kennedy Republican 2016 Incumbent running.
Maryland Chris Van Hollen Democratic 2016 Incumbent running.
Missouri Roy Blunt Republican 2010
2016 		Incumbent retiring.[73]
Nevada Catherine Cortez Masto Democratic 2016 Incumbent running.
New Hampshire Maggie Hassan Democratic 2016 Incumbent running.
New York Chuck Schumer Democratic 1998
2004
2010
2016 		Incumbent running.
North Carolina Richard Burr Republican 2004
2010
2016 		Incumbent retiring.[87]
North Dakota John Hoeven Republican 2010
2016 		Incumbent running.
Ohio Rob Portman Republican 2010
2016 		Incumbent retiring.[98]
Oklahoma James Lankford Republican 2014 (Special)
2016 		Incumbent running.
Oregon Ron Wyden Democratic 1996 (Special)
1998
2004
2010
2016 		Incumbent running.
Pennsylvania Pat Toomey Republican 2010
2016 		Incumbent retiring.[117]
South Carolina Tim Scott Republican 2013 (Appointed)
2014 (Special)
2016 		Incumbent running.
South Dakota John Thune Republican 2004
2010
2016 		Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • Mark Mowry (Republican)[136]
Utah Mike Lee Republican 2010
2016 		Incumbent running.
Vermont Patrick Leahy Democratic 1974
1980
1986
1992
1998
2004
2010
2016 		Incumbent's intent unknown.
  • TBD
Washington Patty Murray Democratic 1992
1998
2004
2010
2016 		Incumbent running.
Wisconsin Ron Johnson Republican 2010
2016 		Incumbent's intent unknown.

Alabama

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Alabama
See also: List of United States senators from Alabama and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama

Six-term Republican Richard Shelby was re-elected in 2016 with 64% of the vote. On February 8, 2021, Shelby announced that he will not seek re-election to a seventh term.[147] Just weeks later, Lynda Blanchard, who served as Donald Trump's ambassador to Slovenia, announced that she would be running. On March 22, 2021, six-term Republican representative Mo Brooks, who was the first Republican to announce that he would vote against the certification of Joe Biden's election win on January 6, has announced that he will also be running. Several months later, Katie Britt, a former Chief of Staff to Shelby, announced she would run as well. [148]

Alaska

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Alaska
See also: List of United States senators from Alaska

Three-term Republican Lisa Murkowski was re-elected in 2016 with 44.4% of the vote. Former governor and vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin is considering a primary challenge to Murkowski,[149] as are others. Alaska adopted a top-four jungle primary system in 2020, with the ultimate winner being decided via ranked-choice voting. Characterizations of the state as a "Safe" or "Solid" Republican stronghold may change if Murkowski decides to change her party affiliation to Independent as she has suggested after the Capitol Riot. If she does so, she would most likely continue to caucus with Republicans in the Senate.[150] On March 30, Former Alaska Department of Administration Commissioner Kelly Tshibaka announced that she was running against Murkowski following the state's GOP decision to censure her, with Tshibaka later receiving former President Donald Trump’s endorsement. [151] Orthopedic surgeon, commercial fisherman, and 2020 senate nominee Al Gross has expressed interest in running.[152]

Republican Governor Mike Dunleavy has announced that he will not run, opting to run for re-election[153]

Arizona

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona
See also: List of United States senators from Arizona and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona

Incumbent Democrat Mark Kelly took office on December 2, 2020 after winning a special election with 51.2% of the vote.

Six-term senator and 2008 Republican presidential nominee John McCain was re-elected to this seat in 2016. However, he died on August 25, 2018, and former U.S. Senator Jon Kyl was appointed to replace him. Kyl resigned at the end of 2018 and was succeeded by outgoing U.S. Representative Martha McSally, who lost the 2020 special election to complete the term.

Term-limited Republican governor Doug Ducey, has announced that he will not challenge Kelly in 2022.[154] Blake Masters, the chairman of the Thiel foundation, has announced his candidacy. Jim Lamon, chair of the solar power company Depcom, is running against Kelly as a Republican.[28] Arizona Attorney General Mark Brnovich has also announced his candidacy against Kelly. [155] Potential Republican candidates include US Representative Andy Biggs[156] and Arizona State Republican Party Chairwoman Kelli Ward. [157]

Arkansas

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas
See also: List of United States senators from Arkansas and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas

Two-term Republican John Boozman was re-elected in 2016 with 59.8% of the vote. Boozman has announced that he is running for a third term.[158]

Former NFL player and U.S. Army Veteran Jake Bequette, Jan Morgan, an Arkansas gun range owner and 2018 gubernatorial candidate, and Heath Loftis, a pastor from Stuttgart are all challenging Boozman in the Republican primary.[159][160][161]

A fourth challenger, Corporate analyst Michael Deel has withdrawn from the race citing a lack of viability[162]

Dan Whitfield, who attempted to run as an independent for Arkansas' other U.S. Senate seat in 2020 but failed to meet the ballot access requirements,[163] is running as a Democrat, along with Natalie James, a real estate broker from Little Rock.[37] Former Pine Bluff city alderman Jack Foster is also running for the Democratic nomination.[164]

California

Main article: 2022 United States Senate elections in California
See also: List of United States senators from California and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in California

Incumbent Democrat Alex Padilla took office on January 20, 2021, after being appointed by California Governor Gavin Newsom. His appointment came as a result of the resignation of incumbent Democrat Kamala Harris, who resigned her seat on January 18, 2021, to take her seat as Vice President of the United States.

There will be two ballot items for the same seat: a general election, to fill the Class 3 seat beginning with the 118th United States Congress beginning on January 3, 2023, and a special election, to fill that seat for the final weeks of the 117th Congress. Democrat Alex Padilla was appointed to fill the vacancy created by Kamala Harris's election to the vice presidency, and he is seeking a full term.[1][165]

Colorado

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Colorado
See also: List of United States senators from Colorado and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Colorado

Two-term Democrat Michael Bennet took office on January 21, 2009, after being appointed by then governor Bill Ritter to replace outgoing Democrat Ken Salazar, who was nominated by President Barack Obama to serve as United States Secretary of the Interior. He narrowly won an election to a full term in 2010, and to a second term in 2016, with 49.97% of the vote. Peter Yu, Republican nominee for CO-02 in 2018 has formed an exploratory committee.[166]

In August 2021, Eli Bremer, Olympic athlete, U.S. Air Force major, and former chair of the El Paso Republican Party announced his candidacy.[167]

Connecticut

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut
See also: List of United States senators from Connecticut and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut

Two-term Democrat Richard Blumenthal was re-elected in 2016 with 63.2% of the vote. Republican Robert F. Hyde is running.[168][169]

Florida

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Florida
See also: List of United States senators from Florida and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

Two-term Republican Marco Rubio was re-elected in 2016 with 52% of the vote. He announced on November 9, 2020, via Facebook, that he would be running for re-election.[170]

U.S. Representative Val Demings and former U.S. Representative Alan Grayson are running for the Democratic nomination.[42][45]

Other possible Democratic candidates include Representative Ted Deutch,[171] former Representatives Gwen Graham[172] and Debbie Mucarsel-Powell,[173] and State Senator Jason Pizzo.[174]

Former U.S. Representative David Jolly, who was previously a Republican but is now independent, is considering running.[175]

Ivanka Trump, daughter and former Senior Advisor to former President Donald Trump, was seen as a potential candidate to primary Rubio for the Republican nomination.[176] However, on February 18, 2021, it was confirmed that she would not seek the nomination.[177]

Georgia

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia
See also: List of United States senators from Georgia and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Georgia

Incumbent Democrat Raphael Warnock won the 2020–2021 special election against incumbent Republican Kelly Loeffler to fill the remainder of former Sen. Johnny Isakson's term. (Isakson had resigned at the end of 2019, and Loeffler was appointed by Governor Brian Kemp following Isakson's resignation.) No candidate in the open election on November 3 received the 50% required by Georgia law to avoid a runoff, a type of election colloquially known as a "jungle primary"[178]—Warnock received just 32.9% of the vote—and so a runoff election between Warnock and Loeffler was held on January 5, 2021, which Warnock won with 51% of the vote.

Former Republican senator David Perdue, who lost his race to Democratic challenger Jon Ossoff in 2021, filed paperwork to run for this seat.[179] A week after filing the paperwork, however, Perdue announced that he would not pursue another race for the Senate.[180] Loeffler is considering running again. U.S. Representative Drew Ferguson has stated that he is seriously considering running.[181] Banking executive Latham Saddler is another Republican challenger.[182] On April 11, 2021, Former NFL player and Georgia native Herschel Walker also stated that he is considering a run against Warnock, despite currently residing in Texas. He has been endorsed by former President Donald Trump after his suggestion.[183] In August, Walker officially announced that he would launch his candidacy for Senate. [184] Former U.S. Representative Doug Collins considered running against Warnock, but on April 26, 2021, he announced that he would not do so and then he endorsed Gary Black.[185]

Hawaii

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Hawaii
See also: List of United States senators from Hawaii and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii

One-term Democrat Brian Schatz was appointed to the Senate in 2012 following the death of incumbent Daniel Inouye. He won a special election to finish Inouye's term in 2014 and won his first full term in 2016 with 73.6% of the vote.

Idaho

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Idaho
See also: List of United States senators from Idaho and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho

Four-term Republican Mike Crapo was re-elected in 2016 with 66.1% of the vote.

Illinois

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Illinois
See also: List of United States senators from Illinois and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Illinois

One-term Democrat Tammy Duckworth was elected in 2016 with 54.9% of the vote. Former police officer, US Navy Veteran, and 2020 Senate candidate, Peggy Hubbard is running as a Republican.[186]

Indiana

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Indiana
See also: List of United States senators from Indiana and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana

One-term Republican Todd Young was elected in 2016 with 52.1% of the vote. He announced on March 2, 2021 that he is running for re-election.[187]

Iowa

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Iowa
See also: List of United States senators from Iowa and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

Seven-term Republican Chuck Grassley was re-elected in 2016 with 60.1% of the vote. He is seeking reelection to an eighth term.[65]

State Senator Jim Carlin has announced a primary challenge to Grassley.[63]

In July 2021, former U.S Representative Abby Finkenauer announced that she was running for the seat in 2022.[188] In her announcement, Finkenauer cited her working class and small town roots and criticized Grassley for not taking a strong stance against the 2021 United States Capitol attack, citing his vote against an independent commission investigating the attack. Potential Democratic candidates include retired Admiral and former aide to U.S. Senator Ted Kennedy Michael T. Franken, 2020 U.S. Senate nominee Theresa Greenfield, attorney and Broadlawns Polk County hospital board member Emily Webb, businessman and teacher Eddie Mauro, Iowa State Auditor Rob Sand, and veteran Cal Woods.[189]

Kansas

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Kansas
See also: List of United States senators from Kansas and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas

Two-term Republican Jerry Moran was re-elected in 2016 with 62.2% of the vote. He has announced that he will be seeking re-election.[67] Former U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo may challenge Moran in the primary.[190]

Kentucky

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Kentucky
See also: List of United States senators from Kentucky and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

Two-term Republican Rand Paul was re-elected in 2016 with 56.3% of the vote. He is running for re-election to a third term.[191]

Charles Booker, former Democratic State Representative for Kentucky's 43rd legislative district and runner-up in the Democratic Senate primary in 2020, has announced that he is running against Paul.[192]

Louisiana

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana
See also: List of United States senators from Louisiana and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana

One-term Republican John Kennedy was elected in 2016 with 60.6% of the vote and has announced his intention to run for a second term.[70]

Louisiana governor John Bel Edwards, a Democrat who will be term-limited in 2023, may run in the jungle primary.[193]

Maryland

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Maryland
See also: List of United States senators from Maryland and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland

One-term Democrat Chris Van Hollen was elected in 2016 with 60.9% of the vote and is running for a second term.[72]

Incumbent Governor of Maryland Larry Hogan, who is term limited and will leave office in 2022, said he will not be pursuing the Republican nomination for the U.S. Senate [194]

Missouri

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Missouri
See also: List of United States senators from Missouri and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri

Two-term Republican Roy Blunt was re-elected in 2016 with 49.2% of the vote. He is not seeking re-election.[195]

Former Governor of Missouri Eric Greitens is running in the Republican primary.[196] Attorney General Eric Schmitt has also announced that he is running. U.S. Representative Vicky Hartzler announced her bid in June 2021.[75] In August 2021, US Representative Billy Long declared his candidacy. [197]

Though subject to speculation, US Representative Ann Wagner will not be running for the open Senate seat opting to run for re-election.[198]

Marine veteran Lucas Kunce announced his candidacy shortly after Senator Blunt announced his retirement.[199] Tech executive and LGBT rights activist Tim Shepard has declared he is running for the Democratic nomination.[200] Former state senator Scott Sifton has filed to run in the Democratic primary.[201]

Nevada

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Nevada
See also: List of United States senators from Nevada and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Nevada

One-term Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto was elected in 2016 with 47.1% of the vote. She is seeking re-election.[202]

On August 17, Former Nevada Attorney General Adam Laxalt has announced that he will be running against Cortez Masto for the seat once held by his Grandfather Paul Laxalt.[203] Nevada State Senator Heidi Gansert is seen as a potential Republican candidate[204]

New Hampshire

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire
See also: List of United States senators from New Hampshire and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

One-term Democrat Maggie Hassan was elected in 2016 with 48% of the vote. She is running for re-election.[84]

Retired U.S. Army general Don Bolduc has declared his candidacy as a Republican, having previously run in the 2020 Republican primary in New Hampshire.[205][206]

Former Senator Kelly Ayotte,[207] who narrowly lost to Hassan in 2016, and Governor Chris Sununu[208] who was reelected in 2020 with 65.2% of the vote, have also been speculated to be potential Republican candidates.

New York

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in New York
See also: List of United States senators from New York and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New York

Four-term Democrat and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer was re-elected in 2016 with 70.6% of the vote. He is seeking re-election.[209] Sam Seder, the host of The Majority Report with Sam Seder, has expressed interest in challenging Schumer for the Democratic nomination. Human rights activist Khaled Salem is challenging Schumer in the primary.[210]

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Democratic Congresswoman for New York's 14th congressional district, who successfully defeated long time incumbent Democrat Joe Crowley in an upset 2018 primary campaign, has been floated as a possible primary challenger to Schumer.[211]

North Carolina

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina
See also: List of United States senators from North Carolina and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina

Three-term Republican Richard Burr was re-elected in 2016 with 51.0% of the vote. Burr has pledged to retire in 2022.[12]

Former U.S. Representative Mark Walker is running in the Republican primary,[212] as are former Governor of North Carolina Pat McCrory and U.S. Representative Ted Budd, who has been endorsed by former President Donald Trump.[213][214][215]

Potential Republican candidates include former Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest,[216] former U.S. Representative George Holding,[217] and North Carolina House Speaker Tim Moore. [216]

Though subject to speculation, Lara Trump, daughter-in-law of former President Donald Trump has decided not to run for the seat[216][218][219]

North Carolina Lieutenant Governor Mark Robinson stated that he was seriously considering running, but on April 19 he announced that he would not run.[220]

Former Chief Justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court Cheri Beasley,[221] State senator Jeff Jackson,[222] Beaufort mayor Rett Newton[223] and former state senator Erica D. Smith are running in the Democratic primary.[224] Potential Democratic candidates include North Carolina Supreme Court Associate Justice Anita Earls,[225] state representative Grier Martin,[226] U.S. Representative Deborah K. Ross,[226] and Attorney General Josh Stein.[226]

North Dakota

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in North Dakota
See also: List of United States senators from North Dakota and 2022 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota

Two-term Republican John Hoeven was re-elected in 2016 with 78.5% of the vote. On February 4, 2021, Hoeven campaign spokesman Dan Larson has indicated Hoeven is running for re-election in 2022.[227][228]

Ohio

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio
See also: List of United States senators from Ohio and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio

Two-term Republican Rob Portman was re-elected in 2016 with 58% of the vote. On January 25, 2021, he announced that he would not be running for re-election.[98]

Josh Mandel, former Ohio State Treasurer, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2012, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 has announced his candidacy for the Republican nomination.[229] Former Ohio Republican Party chair Jane Timken is also running.[230] Venture Capitalist JD Vance officially entered the race on July 1, 2021, after months of speculation.[231]

Former senior advisor at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and 2020 candidate for Ohio's 3rd congressional district Morgan Harper along with U.S. Representative and 2020 presidential candidate Tim Ryan have announced their candidacies for the Democratic nomination.[232] Other potential Democratic candidates include Columbus City Attorney Zach Klein,[233] Franklin County Treasurer Cheryl Brooks Sullivan, and Ohio House Minority Leader Emilia Sykes.[234]

Oklahoma

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Oklahoma
See also: List of United States senators from Oklahoma and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma

One-term Republican James Lankford won the 2014 special election to serve the remainder of former senator Tom Coburn's term.[235] Lankford won election to his first full term in 2016 with 67.7% of the vote. He announced that he would be running for re-election on April 6, 2021. [236] [237]

Jackson Lahmeyer, pastor for Sheridan.Church and former Oklahoma State Coordinator for the Billy Graham Evangelistic Association, announced he would challenge Lankford in the Republican primary.[238]

Oregon

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Oregon
See also: List of United States senators from Oregon and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon

Four-term Democrat Ron Wyden was re-elected in 2016 with 56.6% of the vote. He is seeking re-election.[116] Jason Beebe, the mayor of Prineville as declared his candidacy has a Republican[239]

Pennsylvania

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania
See also: List of United States senators from Pennsylvania and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania

Two-term Republican Pat Toomey was re-elected in 2016 with 48.8% of the vote. On October 5, 2020, Toomey announced that he will retire at the end of his term.[14]

Declared candidates for the Democratic primary include Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman,[240] state representative Malcolm Kenyatta, U.S. Representative Conor Lamb,[241] Montgomery County commissioner Valerie Arkoosh,[242] and Dr. Kevin Baumlin.[243] Declared Republican candidates include 2018 Senate candidate Jeff Bartos,[244] 2018 candidate for Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district Sean Gale,[245] political commentator Kathy Barnette,[246] Former U.S. Ambassador to Denmark Carla Sands[247] and 2020 nominee for Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district Sean Parnell, who has been endorsed by former president Donald Trump.[248][249]

Given Toomey's retirement and Pennsylvania's designation as a swing state, several other Republicans and Democrats have been mentioned as potential candidates.[14]

South Carolina

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in South Carolina
See also: List of United States senators from South Carolina and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in South Carolina

One-term Republican Tim Scott was appointed in 2013 and won election to his first full term in 2016 with 60.6% of the vote. He said that while he is running for re-election in 2022, it would be his last time.[250] Democratic State Representative Krystle Matthews is challenging Scott, as is Angela Geter, chairwoman of the Spartanburg County Democratic Party.[251][252]

South Dakota

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota
See also: List of United States senators from South Dakota and 2022 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota

Three-term Republican and Senate Minority Whip John Thune was re-elected in 2016 with 71.8% of the vote. He has stated that he intends to run for a fourth term.[253] Thune has been subject to some backlash from former President Trump and his supporters in the state of South Dakota, leading to speculation of a potential primary challenge.[254] In September 2021, Thune again opened up speculation that he would retire rather than run for re-election.[4]

Utah

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Utah
See also: List of United States senators from Utah and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah

Two-term Republican Mike Lee was re-elected in 2016 with 68.2% of the vote. His campaign was launched prior to February 9, 2021.[138]

Vermont

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Vermont
See also: List of United States senators from Vermont and 2022 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont

The most senior senator, eight-term Democrat and President Pro Tempore Patrick Leahy was re-elected in 2016 with 61.3% of the vote and has signalled he is running for re-election to a ninth term.[5] If he decides to run, he will be 88 years old at the end of his ninth term, and hold the record for the longest ever time served as a United States Senator, a record currently held by former Senator Robert Byrd.

Governor Phil Scott has stated that he is not interested in pursuing the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in 2022.[255]

Washington

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Washington
See also: List of United States senators from Washington and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Washington

Five-term Democrat Patty Murray was re-elected in 2016 with 59.0% of the vote. She is running for re-election to a sixth term.[140]

Republican Tiffany Smiley is running.[141]

Wisconsin

Main article: 2022 United States Senate election in Wisconsin
See also: List of United States senators from Wisconsin and 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin

Two-term Republican Ron Johnson was re-elected in 2016 with 50.2% of the vote. Johnson had previously pledged to retire in 2022, but is currently undecided as to whether he'll seek re-election.[2]

Should Ron Johnson retire, Kenosha County Sheriff David Beth (R) has expressed an interest in running for the Senate.[256] Former Governor Scott Walker has said that he will not run.[257]

On October 23, 2020, Tom Nelson, current County Executive of Outagamie filed as a Democrat.[146] On February 17, 2021, Alex Lasry, senior vice president of the Milwaukee Bucks, declared his candidacy for the Democratic nomination.[258] Wisconsin Treasurer Sarah Godlewski joined the race on April 14.[259] Current Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes entered the race on July 20.[260]

Other possible races

On June 26, 2020, the United States House of Representatives voted 232–180 to grant statehood to the District of Columbia,[261] but the bill, H.R. 51, failed in the Senate when the 116th Congress ended. On January 3, 2021, D.C. Delegate Eleanor Holmes Norton reintroduced the bill at the start of the 117th Congress with a record 202 co-sponsors,[262] and on January 27, Senator Tom Carper of Delaware introduced a companion bill, S. 51, into the Senate with a record 38 co-sponsors.[263] Since the Democratic Party retained its control of the House in the November 2020 elections, they were able to pass the bill in a 216-208 vote.[264] The bill would add two seats to the Senate, both of which would probably be filled in special elections during the 2022 election cycle. The addition of these two seats, extremely likely to be won by Democrats,[265] would have a significant effect on the nationwide partisan battle for control of the Senate. However, despite narrowly regaining the Senate in 2020, the D.C. statehood bill may have to overcome a filibuster, which would make it unlikely to pass as some Democrats such as Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema have indicated that they will not support ending the legislative filibuster. In addition, Manchin came out against the bill on April 30, 2021, likely ending its chances in the Senate in the 117th Congress.[266]

In addition, a referendum on Puerto Rico's status was held on November 3, 2020. A majority (52.52%) of voters chose statehood.[267] It is also plausible that the 117th Congress will grant statehood to Puerto Rico. The 2020 platforms of both the Democratic[268] and Republican parties[269] (identical to the 2016 Republican Party platform as the party's National Committee readopted it by a resolution on August 22, 2020) express support for Puerto Rico's right to determine the future of its status. Both seats would likely be filled also in special elections during the 2022 election cycle. Unlike the District of Columbia, the partisan lean of Puerto Rico is somewhat unclear. While Latino Americans of Puerto Rican descent tend to vote for Democrats, many argue that Puerto Rico's heavily Catholic population[270] will result in Puerto Rico agreeing with the Republican Party on many social issues like abortion, religion in schools, and same-sex marriage.[271] In addition, Puerto Rico's elected non-voting member of the House of Representatives, Jenniffer González, has served leadership positions in the Republican Party.

D.C.'s incumbent Delegate Eleanor Holmes Norton is expected to run for the Senate if D.C. statehood happens.[272][273] The D.C. shadow senators are Democrats Mike Brown and Paul Strauss; their Puerto Rican counterparts are New Progressive (PNP) Republican Zoraida Buxó Santiago and PNP Democrat Melinda Romero Donnelly.

Notes

  1. ^ a b The two independent senators, Bernie Sanders and Angus King, have caucused with the Democratic Party since joining the Senate, thus increasing the size of the Democratic caucus in the 117th United States Congress to 50.
  2. ^ a b c The Democrats lead the Senate since Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris has the ability to break ties.
  3. ^ The last elections for this group of senators were in 2016, except for those elected in a special election or who were appointed after the resignation or passing of a sitting senator, as noted.
  4. ^ Republican John McCain won with 53.7% of the vote in 2016 but died on August 25, 2018.
  5. ^ Democrat Kamala Harris won with 61.6% of the vote against another Democrat in 2016 but resigned on January 18, 2021 to become Vice President of the United States.
  6. ^ Republican Johnny Isakson won with 54.8% of the vote in 2016 but resigned on December 31, 2019.
  7. ^ Democratic total includes 2 Independents who caucus with the Democrats
  8. ^ Major candidates include those who have previously held office and/or those who are the subject of media attention.
  9. ^ Those who have filed paperwork but have not declared their candidacy are not listed here.

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