2020 United States gubernatorial elections

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2020 United States gubernatorial elections

← 2019 November 3, 2020 2021 →

13 governorships
11 states; 2 territories
  Majority party Minority party
  Greg Abbott 2015.jpg Phil Murphy for Governor (cropped 2).jpg
Leader Greg Abbott Phil Murphy
Party Republican Democratic
Leader's seat Texas New Jersey
Seats before 26 24

2020 United States gubernatorial retirements.svg
     Democratic incumbent      Republican incumbent
     Retiring or term-limited Democrat      Retiring or term-limited Republican
      No election

United States gubernatorial elections will be held on November 3, 2020, in 11 states and two territories. In addition, special elections may take place (depending on state law) if other gubernatorial seats are vacated. The last regular gubernatorial elections for nine of the eleven states took place in 2016. The last gubernatorial elections for New Hampshire and Vermont took place in 2018, as the governors of both states serve two-year terms. All state governors will be eligible for reelection except for Steve Bullock of Montana, although other governors may choose to retire. The 2020 gubernatorial elections will take place concurrently with several other federal, state, and local elections, including the presidential election.

Race summary[edit]

States[edit]

State Incumbent Party First elected Incumbent status Candidates
Delaware John Carney Democratic 2016 Running John Carney (D) (incumbent)
David Lamar Williams, Jr. (D)[1]
Indiana Eric Holcomb Republican 2016 Running Eric Holcomb (R) (incumbent)[2]
Bill Levin (L)[3]
Eddie Melton (D)[4]
Woody Myers (D)[5]
Josh Owens (D)[6]
Brian Roth (R)[7]
Missouri Mike Parson Republican 2018[a] Running La'Ondrill Brown (D)[8]
Nicole Galloway (D)[9]
Jim Neely (R)[10]
Mike Parson (R) (incumbent)[11]
Montana Steve Bullock Democratic 2012 Term-limited Mike Cooney (D)[12]
Tim Fox (R)[13]
Greg Gianforte (R)[14]
Reilly Neill (D)[15]
Albert Olszewski (R)[16]
Casey Schreiner (D)[17]
Ron Vandevender (L)[18]
Whitney Williams (D)[19]
New Hampshire Chris Sununu Republican 2016 Running Dan Feltes (D)[20]
Rich Paul (R)[21]
Chris Sununu (R) (incumbent)[22]
Andru Volinsky (D)[23]
North Carolina Roy Cooper Democratic 2016 Running Roy Cooper (D) (incumbent)[24]
Dan Forest (R)[25]
Holly Grange (R)[26]
North Dakota Doug Burgum Republican 2016 Running Doug Burgum (R) (incumbent)[27]
Michael Coachman (R)[28]
Kitty Rudd (D)
Utah Gary Herbert Republican 2009[b] Retiring Jeff Burningham (R)[29]
Spencer Cox (R)[30]
Jon Huntsman Jr. (R)[31]
Zachary Moses (D)[32]
Mark A. Smith (I)
Aimee Winder Newton (R)[33]
Vermont Phil Scott Republican 2016 Running Phill Scott (R) (incumbent)[34]
Rebecca Holcombe (D)[35]
John Klar (R)[36]
Washington Jay Inslee Democratic 2012 Running Loren Culp (R)[37]
Phil Fortunato (R)[38]
Joshua Freed (R)[39]
Jay Inslee (D) (incumbent)[40]
Anton Sakharov (R)[41]
West Virginia Jim Justice Republican 2016 Running Quintin Gerard Caldwell (I)[42]
Michael Folk (R)[43]
Rebecca Mareta Henderson (R)[44]
Jim Justice (R) (incumbent)[45]
Erika Kolenich (L)[44]
Jody Murphy (D)[44]
Ben Salango (D)[46]
David Sartin (I)[47]
Charles R. Sheedy, Sr. (R)[44]
Stephen Smith (D)[48]
Ron Stollings (D)[49]
Woody Thrasher (R)[50]
Larry Trent (C)[44]
Edwin Ray Vanover (D)[44]

Territories[edit]

State Incumbent Party First elected Incumbent Status Candidates
American Samoa Lolo Letalu Matalasi Moliga Nonpartisan/Democratic[c] 2012 Term-limited Fatumalala L.A. Al-Shehri (NP)[51]
I'aulualo Fa'afetai Talia (NP)[52]
Nuanuaolefeagaiga Saoluaga T. Nua (NP)[53]
Puerto Rico Wanda Vázquez Garced PNP/Republican[54] 2019[d] Eligible Carmen Yulín Cruz (PPD/Democratic)[55]

Election predictions[edit]

Montana, New Hampshire, and North Carolina are seen as the competitive races in this cycle. Montana's popular Democratic governor, Steve Bullock, is term-limited, but his Lieutenant Governor is the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination, making the race competitive in a state Donald Trump won by 20 points in 2016. New Hampshire is a Democratic leaning state with a Republican governor, Chris Sununu, and seeing as Democrats made major gains in the state in 2018, Sununu faces a tough reelection, despite being relatively popular. North Carolina is a Republican-leaning state with a Democratic governor, Roy Cooper, meaning that Cooper faces a tough reelection as well. Vermont is the only other race that could become competitive, however, Republican incumbent Phill Scott is ranked one of the most popular governors in the United States and there are no formidable Democratic challengers. The gubernatorial races in Delaware and Washington are seen as safe for Democrats, while Indiana, Missouri, North Dakota, Utah, and West Virginia are seen as safe for Republicans.

Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assign ratings to each seat, with the rating indicating the predicted advantage that a party has in winning that seat. Most election predictors use "tossup" to indicate that neither party has an advantage, "lean" to indicate that one party has a slight advantage, "likely" or "favored" to indicate that one party has a significant but not insurmountable advantage, and "safe" or "solid" to indicate that one party has a near-certain chance of victory. Some predictions also include a "tilt" rating that indicates that one party has an advantage that is not quite as strong as the "lean" rating would indicate.

State PVI[56] Incumbent[57] Last
race
Cook

Oct 15,
2019
[58]

I.E.

Nov 26,
2019
[59]

Sabato

Nov 18,
2019
[60]

Politico
Nov 19,
2019
[61]
Delaware D+6 John Carney 58.3% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Indiana R+9 Eric Holcomb 51.4% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Missouri R+9 Mike Parson 51.4% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Montana R+5 Steve Bullock (Term-limited) 50.2% D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup
New Hampshire D+2 Chris Sununu 52.8% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R
North Carolina R+3 Roy Cooper 49.0% D Likely D Tilt D Lean D Tilt D
North Dakota R+16 Doug Burgum 76.5% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Utah R+20 Gary Herbert (Retiring) 66.9% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Vermont D+15 Phil Scott 55.2% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R
Washington D+7 Jay Inslee 54.4% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Safe D
West Virginia R+19 Jim Justice 49.1% R[e] Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R

Gubernatorial races[edit]

American Samoa[edit]

Two-term incumbent governor Lolo Letalu Matalasi Moliga is term-limited in 2020. Announced candidates include teritorial senator Nuanuaolefeagaiga Saoluaga T. Nua, executive director of the American Samoa Government Employees’ Retirement Fund I’aulualo Fa’afetai Talia, and Fatumalala L.A. Al-Shehri.[63]

Delaware[edit]

One-term incumbent governor John Carney is running for re-election in 2020. No Republican has announced a run for governor yet.

Indiana[edit]

One-term incumbent governor Eric Holcomb is running for re-election in 2020.

Missouri[edit]

One-term incumbent governor Mike Parson, who took office upon Eric Greitens' resignation, is running for election to a full term in 2020. State Auditor Nicole Galloway is running for the Democratic nomination.[64]

Montana[edit]

Two-term incumbent governor Steve Bullock is term-limited in 2020. While Democratic lieutenant governor Mike Cooney is the current frontrunner in the Democratic primary,[65] there is speculation that former Democratic governor Brian Schweitzer will challenge Cooney for the nomination.[66] Republican candidates include Attorney General Tim Fox, state senator Albert Olszewski, and Montana at-large Representative Greg Gianforte, who pleaded guilty to body slamming a reporter during the 2017 Montana's at-large congressional district special election.[67][68][69]

New Hampshire[edit]

Two-term incumbent governor Chris Sununu has announced he will seek a third term in 2020 amongst speculation he would run for senate.[70] The frontrunner in the Democratic primary is New Hamshire Senate Majority Leader Dan Feltes.[71][72]

North Carolina[edit]

One-term incumbent governor Roy Cooper is running for re-election in 2020.

Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest and state representative Holly Grange have announced that they will be running for the Republican nomination.[73][74]

North Dakota[edit]

One-term incumbent governor Doug Burgum is running for re-election in 2020.

Puerto Rico[edit]

Incumbent governor Wanda Vázquez Garced of the New Progressive Party and the Republican Party, who became governor after Pedro Pierluisi's succession of Ricardo Rosselló was declared unconstitutional,[75] is eligible to run in 2020 for a full term. San Juan mayor Carmen Yulín Cruz of the Popular Democratic Party and the Democratic Party[76] and Alexandra Lúgaro of the Movimiento Victoria Ciudadana[77] have both announced their intention to run for governor.

Utah[edit]

Two and a half-term incumbent governor Gary Herbert is eligible for re-election in 2020, as Utah does not have gubernatorial term limits. However, he announced shortly after being re-elected in 2016 that he will not run for a third full term. He has since stated that he would "never say never" to running for reelection.[78] Josh Romney (son of Senator Mitt Romney) has expressed interest in running.[79]

Vermont[edit]

Two-term incumbent governor Phil Scott has confirmed he is seeking a third term in 2020, however, he has not publicly announced his campaign.[80] Vermont attorney general T.J. Donovan and Lieutenant Governor David Zuckerman have expressed interest in running, but are reportedly reluctant to do so if the other were to run and because the incumbent has a large lead in the polls.[81]

Washington[edit]

Two-term incumbent governor Jay Inslee is eligible to run for re-election in 2020, as Washington does not have gubernatorial term limits. Inslee is running for re-election to a third term after dropping out of the presidential race on August 21, 2019. [82][83]

West Virginia[edit]

One-term incumbent governor Jim Justice is running for re-election in 2020. Justice was elected as a Democrat, but later switched to the Republican Party.[84]

Attorney General Patrick Morrisey, retired Olympic gymnast Mary Lou Retton,[84] and Secretary of State Mac Warner were mentioned as potential general election challengers, prior to Justice's decision to re-join the Republican Party.

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Mike Parson took office in 2018 after his predecessor (Eric Greitens) resigned.
  2. ^ Gary Herbert took office in 2009 after his predecessor (Jon Huntsman Jr.) resigned.
  3. ^ The governor of American Samoa is elected on a non-partisan basis, although individuals do affiliate with national parties, in Lolo's case with the Democratic Party
  4. ^ Vázquez took office in 2019 following the resignation of her predecessor Ricardo Rosselló and the Supreme Court of Puerto Rico's ruling that Pedro Pierluisi had been improperly named Rosselló's successor.
  5. ^ Governor Jim Justice switched parties in 2017 and will run in 2020 as a Republican.[62]

References[edit]

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External links[edit]