2016 United States presidential election in Iowa

The 2016 United States presidential election in Iowa will take place on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 general election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participate. Iowa voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote.

Both parties' caucuses were held on February 1, 2016.^[2]

Background

The incumbent President of the United States, Barack Obama, a Democrat and former U.S. Senator from Illinois, was first elected president in the 2008 election, running with former Senator Joe Biden of Delaware. Defeating the Republican nominee, Senator John McCain of Arizona, with 52.9% of the popular vote and 68% of the electoral vote,^[3]^[4] Obama succeeded two-term Republican President George W. Bush, the former Governor of Texas. Obama and Biden were reelected in the 2012 presidential election, defeating former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 51.1% of the popular vote and 61.7% of electoral votes.^[5] Although Barack Obama's approval rating in the RealClearPolitics poll tracking average remained between 40 and 50 percent for most of his second term, it has experienced a surge in early 2016 and reached its highest point since 2012 during June of that year.^[6]^[7] Analyst Nate Cohn has noted that a strong approval rating for President Obama would equate to a strong performance for the Democratic candidate, and vice versa.^[8]

Following his second term, President Obama is not eligible for another reelection. In October 2015, Obama's running-mate and two-term Vice President Biden decided not to enter the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination either.^[9] With their term expiring on January 20, 2017, the electorate is asked to elect a new president, the 45th President and 48th Vice President of the United States, respectively.

Caucuses

Democratic caucus

Procedure

There is no ballot; instead, a unique form of debate and groupings chose delegates to county conventions supporting Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, and Bernie Sanders. The Iowa Democratic Party does not release vote counts or the numbers of these delegates.

e • d 2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Iowa
– Summary of results –
Candidate	State delegate equivalents		Estimated delegates
Candidate	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Hillary Clinton	700.47	49.84%	23	6	29
Bernie Sanders	696.92	49.59%	21	0	21
Martin O'Malley	7.63	0.54%	0	0	0
Uncommitted	0.46	0.03%	0	1	1
Total	1,405.48	100%	44	7	51
Source: The Green Papers, Iowa Democrats

County Conventions

In early March, the delegates chosen in the Caucuses met chose delegates to the Congressional District Conventions.

Republican caucus

Iowa Republican precinct caucuses, February 1, 2016
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Bound	Unbound	Total
Ted Cruz	51,666	27.64%	8	0	8
Donald Trump	45,427	24.3%	7	0	7
Marco Rubio	43,165	23.12%	7	0	7
Ben Carson	17,395	9.3%	3	0	3
Rand Paul	8,481	4.54%	1	0	1
Jeb Bush	5,238	2.8%	1	0	1
Carly Fiorina	3,485	1.86%	1	0	1
John Kasich	3,474	1.86%	1	0	1
Mike Huckabee	3,345	1.79%	1	0	1
Chris Christie	3,284	1.76%	0	0	0
Rick Santorum	1,783	0.95%	0	0	0
Other	117	0.06%	0	0	0
Jim Gilmore	12	0.01%	0	0	0
Unprojected delegates:			0	0	0
Total:	186,932	100.00%	30	0	30
Source: "Iowa". cnn.com. Retrieved 23 November 2016.

Polling

References

^ "Donald J. Trump on Twitter: "I am pleased to announce that I have chosen Governor Mike Pence as my Vice Presidential running mate. News conference tomorrow at 11:00 A.M."". Twitter. 2009-03-18. Retrieved 2016-07-16.
^ "2016 Primary Calendar and Results". nytimes.com. Retrieved January 25, 2016.
^ "United States House of Representatives floor summary for Jan 8, 2009". Clerk.house.gov. Retrieved January 30, 2009.
^ "Federal elections 2008" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
^ "President Map". The New York Times. November 29, 2012. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
^ "Election Other – President Obama Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved December 24, 2015.
^ Byrnes, Jesse (2016-06-15). "Poll: Obama approval rating highest since 2012". TheHill. Retrieved 2016-06-19.
^ Cohn, Nate (2015-01-19). "What a Rise in Obama's Approval Rating Means for 2016". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2016-06-19.
^ "Joe Biden Decides Not to Enter Presidential Race". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved October 21, 2015.

External links

RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process
Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
2016 Presidential primaries, ElectionProjection.com

[1] "Donald J. Trump on Twitter: "I am pleased to announce that I have chosen Governor Mike Pence as my Vice Presidential running mate. News conference tomorrow at 11:00 A.M."". Twitter. 2009-03-18. Retrieved 2016-07-16.

[2] "2016 Primary Calendar and Results". nytimes.com. Retrieved January 25, 2016.

[house_floor_summary2-3] "United States House of Representatives floor summary for Jan 8, 2009". Clerk.house.gov. Retrieved January 30, 2009.

[2012_election_results2-4] "Federal elections 2008" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 11, 2015.

[President_Map2-5] "President Map". The New York Times. November 29, 2012. Retrieved May 11, 2015.

[6] "Election Other – President Obama Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved December 24, 2015.

[7] Byrnes, Jesse (2016-06-15). "Poll: Obama approval rating highest since 2012". TheHill. Retrieved 2016-06-19.

[8] Cohn, Nate (2015-01-19). "What a Rise in Obama's Approval Rating Means for 2016". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2016-06-19.

[9] "Joe Biden Decides Not to Enter Presidential Race". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved October 21, 2015.

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