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2024 United States Senate elections

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2024 United States Senate elections

← 2022 November 5, 2024 2026 →

34 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate
51[a] seats needed for a majority
 
Leader Chuck Schumer Mitch McConnell
(retiring as leader)
Party Democratic Republican
Leader since January 3, 2017 January 3, 2007
Leader's seat New York Kentucky
Current seats 48[b] 49
Seats needed Steady Increase 2 (or 1 + VP)[c]
Seats up 20 11

 
Party Independent
Current seats 3[b]
Seats up 3

2024 United States Senate elections in California2024 United States Senate special election in Nebraska2024 United States Senate election in Arizona2024 United States Senate elections in California2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut2024 United States Senate election in Delaware2024 United States Senate election in Florida2024 United States Senate election in Hawaii2024 United States Senate election in Indiana2024 United States Senate election in Maine2024 United States Senate election in Maryland2024 United States Senate election in Massachusetts2024 United States Senate election in Michigan2024 United States Senate election in Minnesota2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi2024 United States Senate election in Missouri2024 United States Senate election in Montana2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska2024 United States Senate election in Nevada2024 United States Senate election in New Jersey2024 United States Senate election in New Mexico2024 United States Senate election in New York2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota2024 United States Senate election in Ohio2024 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania2024 United States Senate election in Rhode Island2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee2024 United States Senate election in Texas2024 United States Senate election in Utah2024 United States Senate election in Vermont2024 United States Senate election in Virginia2024 United States Senate election in Washington2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia2024 United States Senate election in Wisconsin2024 United States Senate election in Wyoming
Map of the incumbents:
     Democratic incumbent running      Democratic incumbent retiring
     Republican incumbent running      Republican incumbent retiring
     Independent incumbent running      Independent incumbent retiring
     No election
Rectangular inset (Nebraska): both seats up for election

Incumbent Majority Leader

Chuck Schumer
Democratic



The 2024 United States Senate elections are scheduled to be held on November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections. 33 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate will be contested in regular elections.[2] Senators are divided into 3 classes whose six-year terms are staggered so that a different class is elected every 2 years.[3] Class 1 senators will face election in 2024.[4]

As of November 2024, 24 senators (15 Democrats, 9 Republicans, and two independents) are seeking reelection in 2024.[citation needed] 2 Republicans (Mike Braun of Indiana and Mitt Romney of Utah), 4 Democrats (Ben Cardin of Maryland, Tom Carper of Delaware, Debbie Stabenow of Michigan, and Joe Manchin of West Virginia), and one independent (Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona) are not seeking reelection.[5][6][7][8][9][10][11] Laphonza Butler of California, a Democrat who was appointed to her current seat in 2023, is not seeking election in 2024.[12]

2 special Senate elections will take place concurrently with the 2024 regular Senate elections. 1 of those special elections will be held in California to fill the vacancy created by the death of long-time Senator Dianne Feinstein for the final 2 months of her unexpired term, and the other will be held in Nebraska following Ben Sasse's 2023 resignation.[13][10][14]

Elections analysts consider the map for these Senate elections to be highly unfavorable to Democrats. Democrats will be defending 23 of the 33 Class 1 seats.[15] 3 seats being defended by Democrats are in states won by Republican Donald Trump in both 2016 and 2020, while there are no seats in this class held by Republicans in states won by Democrat Joe Biden in 2020. In the previous 2 Senate election cycles that coincided with presidential elections (2016 and 2020), only one senator (Susan Collins in 2020) was elected in a state that was won by the presidential nominee of the opposite party.[16]

Partisan composition

All 33 Class 1 Senate seats and one Class 2 seat are up for election in 2024; Class 1 currently consists of 20 Democrats, 3 independents who caucus with the Senate Democrats (before the end of the 117th Congress, Kyrsten Sinema left the Democratic Party and became an independent. She later announced her retirement in March 2024[17]), and 10 Republicans. If another vacancy occurs in other Class 2 or Class 3 Senate seats, that state might require a special election to take place during the 118th Congress, possibly concurrently with the other 2024 Senate elections.[citation needed]

Change in composition

Each block represents one of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate. "D#" is a Democratic/active senator, "I#" is an Independent senator, and "R#" is a Republican/active senator. They are arranged so that the parties are separated, and a majority is clear by crossing the middle.

Before the elections

Each block indicates an incumbent senator's actions going into the election.

D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8 D9 D10
D20 D19 D18 D17 D16 D15 D14 D13 D12 D11
D21 D22 D23 D24 D25 D26 D27 D28 D29
Calif.
Retiring
D30
Conn.
Running
D40
N.M.
Running
D39
N.J.
Undeclared
D38
Nev.
Running
D37
Mont.
Running
D36
Minn.
Running
D35
Mich.
Retiring
D34
Mass.
Running
D33
Md.
Retiring
D32
Hawaii
Running
D31
Del.
Retiring
D41
N.Y.
Running
D42
Ohio
Running
D43
Pa.
Running
D44
R.I.
Running
D45
Va.
Running
D46
Wash.
Running
D47
W.Va.
Retiring
D48
Wis.
Running
I1
Ariz.
Retiring
I2
Maine
Running
Majority (with Independents) ↑
R41
Miss.
Running
R42
Mo.
Running
R43
Neb. (reg)
Running
R44
Neb. (sp)
Running
R45
N.D.
Running
R46
Tenn.
Running
R47
Texas
Running
R48
Utah
Retiring
R49
Wyo.
Running
I3
Vt.
Running
R40
Ind.
Retiring
R39
Fla.
Running
R38 R37 R36 R35 R34 R33 R32 R31
R21 R22 R23 R24 R25 R26 R27 R28 R29 R30
R20 R19 R18 R17 R16 R15 R14 R13 R12 R11
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10

After the elections

D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8 D9 D10
D20 D19 D18 D17 D16 D15 D14 D13 D12 D11
D21 D22 D23 D24 D25 D26 D27 D28 Ariz.
TBD
Calif.
TBD
Minn.
TBD
Mich.
TBD
Mass.
TBD
Md.
TBD
Maine
TBD
Ind.
TBD
Hawaii
TBD
Fla.
TBD
Del.
TBD
Conn.
TBD
Mont.
TBD
Miss.
TBD
Mo.
TBD
N.D.
TBD
Neb. (reg)
TBD
Neb. (sp)
TBD
Nev.
TBD
N.J.
TBD
N.M.
TBD
N.Y.
TBD
Majority TBD →
W.Va.
TBD
Wash.
TBD
Va.
TBD
Vt.
TBD
Utah
TBD
Texas
TBD
Tenn.
TBD
R.I.
TBD
Pa.
TBD
Ohio
TBD
Wis.
TBD
Wyo.
TBD
R38 R37 R36 R35 R34 R33 R32 R31
R21 R22 R23 R24 R25 R26 R27 R28 R29 R30
R20 R19 R18 R17 R16 R15 R14 R13 R12 R11
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10
Key
D# Democratic
R# Republican
I# Independent, caucusing with Democrats

Predictions

Pie Chart showing expected seat outcomes based on the large table below.
List
  •   Democratic Party
  •   Republican Party
  •   Tossup
Map showing average polling data from the large table below. The list below shows the expected advantage.
  •   Democratic Party Safe
  •   Democratic Party Likely
  •   Democratic Party Lean
  •   Democratic Party Tilt
  •   Independent Safe
  •   Tossup
  •   Republican Party Safe
  •   Republican Party Likely
  •   Republican Party Lean

Several sites and individuals published predictions of competitive seats. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent was running for reelection) and the other candidates, and the state's partisan lean (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, indicating the predicted advantage that a party had in winning that seat. Most election predictors used:

  • "tossup": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
  • "lean" or "leans": slight advantage
  • "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
  • "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
Constituency Incumbent Ratings
State PVI[18] Senator Last
election[d]
Cook
May 17,
2024
[19]
IE
May 9,
2024
[20]
Sabato
April 17,
2024
[21]
RCP
May 15,
2024
[22]
ED
May 4,
2023
[23]
CNalysis
May 14,
2024
[24]
The Hill
March 10,
2024
[25]
Arizona R+2 Kyrsten Sinema
(retiring)
50.0% D[e] Lean D (flip) Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup
California[f] D+13 Laphonza Butler
(retiring)
Appointed
(2023)[g]
Solid D Solid D Safe D Solid D Safe D Solid D Safe D
Connecticut D+7 Chris Murphy 59.5% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Solid D Safe D Solid D Safe D
Delaware D+7 Tom Carper
(retiring)
60.0% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Solid D Safe D Solid D Safe D
Florida R+3 Rick Scott 50.1% R Likely R Solid R Likely R Lean R Likely R Very Likely R Likely R
Hawaii D+14 Mazie Hirono 71.2% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Solid D Safe D Solid D Safe D
Indiana R+11 Mike Braun
(retiring)
50.7% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R
Maine D+2 Angus King 54.3% I Safe I Safe I Likely I Solid I Safe I Solid I Likely I
Maryland D+14 Ben Cardin
(retiring)
64.9% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Tossup Safe D Solid D Safe D
Massachusetts D+15 Elizabeth Warren 60.3% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Solid D Safe D Solid D Safe D
Michigan R+1 Debbie Stabenow
(retiring)
52.3% D Lean D Tilt D Lean D Tossup Lean D Lean D Tossup
Minnesota D+1 Amy Klobuchar 60.3% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Solid D Safe D Solid D Likely D
Mississippi R+11 Roger Wicker 58.5% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R
Missouri R+10 Josh Hawley 51.4% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Safe R Solid R Safe R
Montana R+11 Jon Tester 50.3% D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup
Nebraska
(regular)
R+13 Deb Fischer 57.7% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R
Nebraska
(special)
R+13 Pete Ricketts Appointed
(2023)[h]
Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R
Nevada R+1 Jacky Rosen 50.4% D Tossup Tilt D Lean D Tossup Lean D Tilt D Tossup
New Jersey D+6 Bob Menendez 54.0% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Likely D Safe D Solid D Safe D
New Mexico D+3 Martin Heinrich 54.1% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Lean D Safe D Solid D Likely D
New York D+10 Kirsten Gillibrand 67.0% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Solid D Safe D Solid D Safe D
North Dakota R+20 Kevin Cramer 55.1% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R
Ohio R+6 Sherrod Brown 53.4% D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup
Pennsylvania R+2 Bob Casey Jr. 55.7% D Lean D Tilt D Likely D Tossup Likely D Likely D Lean D
Rhode Island D+8 Sheldon Whitehouse 61.4% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Solid D Safe D Solid D Safe D
Tennessee R+14 Marsha Blackburn 54.7% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R
Texas R+5 Ted Cruz 50.9% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Tossup Likely R Lean R Likely R
Utah R+13 Mitt Romney
(retiring)
62.6% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R
Vermont D+16 Bernie Sanders 67.4% I Safe I Safe I Safe I Solid I Safe I Solid I Safe I
Virginia D+3 Tim Kaine 57.0% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Solid D Likely D Solid D Likely D
Washington D+8 Maria Cantwell 58.3% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Solid D Safe D Solid D Safe D
West Virginia R+22 Joe Manchin
(retiring)
49.6% D Solid R (flip) Solid R (flip) Safe R (flip) Solid R (flip) Safe R (flip) Solid R (flip) Likely R (flip)
Wisconsin R+2 Tammy Baldwin 55.4% D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup Lean D Lean D Lean D
Wyoming R+25 John Barrasso 67.0% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R
Overall[i] D/I - 47
R - 50
3 tossups
D/I - 48
R - 50
2 tossups
D/I - 48
R - 50
2 tossups
D/I - 42
R - 49
9 tossups
D/I - 47
R - 50
3 tossups
D/I - 47
R - 50
3 tossups
D/I - 45
R - 50
5 tossups

Retirements

As of November 2024, eight senators have announced plans to retire. Dianne Feinstein of California announced her intent to retire at the end of her term, but she died in office on September 29, 2023. Laphonza Butler, who was appointed by California governor Gavin Newsom to continue Feinstein's term, announced on October 19 that she will not run for a full term and to finish the final two months of Feinstein's term.

State Senator Ref
Arizona Kyrsten Sinema [11]
California Laphonza Butler [12]
Delaware Tom Carper [7]
Indiana Mike Braun [5]
Maryland Ben Cardin [6]
Michigan Debbie Stabenow [10]
Utah Mitt Romney [8]
West Virginia Joe Manchin [9]

Race summary

Special elections during the preceding Congress

In each special election, the winner's term begins immediately after their election is certified by their state's government.

Elections are sorted by date then state.

State
(linked to
summaries below)
Incumbent Status Candidates
Senator Party Electoral history
California
(Class 1)
Laphonza Butler Democratic 2023 (appointed) Interim appointee retired[12]
Nebraska
(Class 2)
Pete Ricketts Republican 2023 (appointed) Interim appointee nominated

Elections leading to the next Congress

In these general elections, the winners will be elected for the term beginning January 3, 2025.

State
(linked to
summaries below)
Incumbent Candidates
Senator Party Electoral history Last race Result
Arizona Kyrsten Sinema Independent 2018[e] 50.0% D Incumbent retired[11]
  • Michael Norton (Green)[28]
  • Elizabeth Reye (Republican)[28]
California Laphonza Butler Democratic 2023 (appointed) 54.2% D[g] Interim appointee retired[12]
Connecticut Chris Murphy Democratic 2012
2018
59.5% D Incumbent running
Delaware Tom Carper Democratic 2000
2006
2012
2018
60.0% D Incumbent retired[7]
Florida Rick Scott Republican 2018 50.1% R Incumbent running
Hawaii Mazie Hirono Democratic 2012
2018
71.2% D Incumbent running
Indiana Mike Braun Republican 2018 50.7% R Incumbent retired to run for governor[5]
Maine Angus King Independent 2012
2018
54.3% I Incumbent running
Maryland Ben Cardin Democratic 2006
2012
2018
64.9% D Incumbent retired[6]
Massachusetts Elizabeth Warren Democratic 2012
2018
60.3% D Incumbent running
Michigan Debbie Stabenow Democratic 2000
2006
2012
2018
52.3% D Incumbent retired[10]
Minnesota Amy Klobuchar DFL 2006
2012
2018
60.3% DFL Incumbent running
Mississippi Roger Wicker Republican 2007 (appointed)
2008 (special)
2012
2018
58.5% R Incumbent renominated
Missouri Josh Hawley Republican 2018 51.4% R Incumbent running
Montana Jon Tester Democratic 2006
2012
2018
50.3% D Incumbent running
Nebraska Deb Fischer Republican 2012
2018
57.7% R Incumbent renominated
Nevada Jacky Rosen Democratic 2018 50.4% D Incumbent running
New Jersey Bob Menendez Democratic 2006 (appointed)
2006
2012
2018
54.0% D Incumbent's intent unknown[j]
  • Curtis Bashaw (Republican)[56]
  • Patricia Campos-Medina (Democratic)[56]
  • Nicholas Carducci (Independent)[57]
  • Christine Serrano Glassner (Republican)[56]
  • Lawrence Hamm (Democratic)[56]
  • Albert Harshaw (Republican)[56]
  • Ken Kaplan (Libertarian)[58]
  • Christina Khalil (Green)[59]
  • Andy Kim (Democratic)[56]
  • Joanne Kuniansky (Socialist Workers)[60]
  • Justin Murphy (Republican)[56]
  • Peter Vallorossi (Republican)[56]
New Mexico Martin Heinrich Democratic 2012
2018
54.1% D Incumbent running
New York Kirsten Gillibrand Democratic 2009 (appointed)
2010 (special)
2012
2018
67.0% D Incumbent running
North Dakota Kevin Cramer Republican 2018 55.1% R Incumbent running
Ohio Sherrod Brown Democratic 2006
2012
2018
53.4% D Incumbent renominated
Pennsylvania Bob Casey Jr. Democratic 2006
2012
2018
55.7% D Incumbent renominated
Rhode Island Sheldon Whitehouse Democratic 2006
2012
2018
61.4% D Incumbent running
Tennessee Marsha Blackburn Republican 2018 54.7% R Incumbent running
Texas Ted Cruz Republican 2012
2018
50.9% R Incumbent renominated
Utah Mitt Romney Republican 2018 62.6% R Incumbent retired[8]
Vermont Bernie Sanders Independent 2006
2012
2018
67.4% I Incumbent running
Virginia Tim Kaine Democratic 2012
2018
57.0% D Incumbent running
  • Hung Cao (Republican[77]
  • Jonathan Emord (Republican)[77]
  • Eddie Garcia (Republican)[77]
  • Tim Kaine (Democratic)[77]
  • Scott Parkinson (Republican)[77]
  • Chuck Smith (Republican)[77]
Washington Maria Cantwell Democratic 2000
2006
2012
2018
58.3% D Incumbent running
  • Thor Amundson (Independent)[78]
  • Maria Cantwell (Democratic)[78]
  • Henry Clay Dennison (Socialist Workers)[78]
  • Raul Garcia (Republican)[78]
  • Paul Giesick (Democratic)[78]
  • Goodspaceguy (Republican)[78]
  • Isaac Holyk (Republican)[78]
  • Chuck Jackson (Independent)[78]
  • Scott Nazarino (Republican)[78]
  • Mel Ram (Republican)[78]
  • David Tilton (Independent)[78]
West Virginia Joe Manchin Democratic 2010 (special)
2012
2018
49.6% D Incumbent retired[9]
Wisconsin Tammy Baldwin Democratic 2012
2018
55.4% D Incumbent running
Wyoming John Barrasso Republican 2007 (appointed)
2008 (special)
2012
2018
67.0% R Incumbent running

Arizona

One-term independent Kyrsten Sinema was narrowly elected in 2018 as a Democrat with 50.0% of the vote. She left the Democratic Party in December 2022.[88] Sinema announced on March 5, 2024, that she would not run for reelection.[89]

Prior to her retirement announcement, Sinema was considered vulnerable to challengers from the Democratic Party due to her opposition to some of President Joe Biden's agenda,[90] and U.S. representative Ruben Gallego launched an early bid for the Democratic nomination.[91][92]

Among Republicans, Pinal County sheriff Mark Lamb and 2022 gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake have announced their candidacies.[93][94]

California

California election

← 2018
2030 →
 
Candidate Adam Schiff Steve Garvey
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Laphonza Butler[k]
Democratic



Five-term Democrat Dianne Feinstein was reelected in 2018 with 54.2% of the vote against another Democrat. On February 14, 2023, Feinstein announced that she would not seek reelection to a sixth term.[95] However, she died on September 29, 2023, leaving the seat vacant. Democrat Laphonza Butler, president of EMILY's List, was appointed by California Governor Gavin Newsom to succeed Feinstein on October 2, 2023.[96] Butler is not running for election to a full term, or for the final two months of the current term.[12]

There were three major Democratic candidates for the seat — U.S. representatives Barbara Lee, Katie Porter, and Adam Schiff — along with former professional baseball player Steve Garvey running as a Republican.[97][98][99][100][101] Schiff was viewed as representing the establishment wing of the Democratic Party, while Porter and Lee represent the progressive wing.[102]

Adam Schiff and Steve Garvey won the non-partisan primary election which took place on March 5, 2024, during Super Tuesday, setting up a general election campaign between the two.[102]

Due to California's election rules, similar to the previous election for the other seat, there will be two ballot items for the same seat: a general election, to elect a Class 1 senator to a full term beginning with the 119th United States Congress, to be sworn in on January 3, 2025; and a special election to fill that seat for the final weeks of the 118th Congress.

Connecticut

Two-term Democrat Chris Murphy was reelected in 2018 with 59.5% of the vote. He has announced he is running for a third term.[103] Beacon Falls First Selectman Gerry Smith announced his campaign in early February 2024.[32] Lobbyist Robert F. Hyde is also a Republican candidate.[104]

Delaware

Four-term Democrat Tom Carper was reelected in 2018 with 60.0% of the vote. He announced on May 22, 2023, that he will be retiring, and will not run for a fifth term.[105]

Delaware's at-large U.S. representative Lisa Blunt Rochester is running for the Democratic nomination to succeed Carper, who endorsed her when he announced his retirement.[106][33]

Term-limited governor John Carney is also considered a possible Democratic candidate.[105][107] Carney announced that he is running for mayor of Wilmington.[108]

Among Republicans, businessman Eric Hansen has announced his candidacy.[109]

Florida

Former governor and incumbent one-term Republican Rick Scott was narrowly elected in 2018 with 50.06% of the vote. He is running for reelection to a second term.[110] Brevard County assistant district attorney Keith Gross and actor John Columbus are challenging Scott for the Republican nomination.[111][112]

Former U.S. Representatives Alan Grayson and Debbie Mucarsel-Powell are running for the Democratic nomination to challenge Scott.[113]

Hawaii

Two-term Democrat Mazie Hirono was reelected in 2018 with 71.2% of the vote. Hirono is running for a third term.[30]

Indiana

Indiana election

← 2018
2030 →
 
Nominee Jim Banks Valerie McCray
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Mike Braun
Republican



One-term Republican Mike Braun was elected in 2018 with 50.8% of the vote. Braun is retiring to prepare to run for governor of Indiana.[5] U.S. representative Jim Banks is running unopposed after his only competition, businessman John Rust, was disqualified.[114]

Psychologist Valerie McCray defeated former state Representative Marc Carmichael for the Democratic nomination.[115]

Maine

Two-term Independent incumbent Angus King was reelected in 2018 with 54.3% of the vote in a three-candidate election. He intends to run for a third term despite previously hinting that he may retire.[116]

Democratic consultant David Costello has announced he is challenging King.[117] Former Maine Republican Party chair Demitroula Kouzounas is running.[118]

Maryland

Maryland election

← 2018
2030 →
 
Nominee Angela Alsobrooks Larry Hogan
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Ben Cardin
Democratic



Three-term Democrat Ben Cardin was reelected in 2018 with 64.9% of the vote. On May 1, 2023, Cardin announced he is not running for reelection.[119]

Prince George's County executive Angela Alsobrooks defeated U.S. Representative David Trone for the Democratic nomination after a contentious primary, where Trone spent heavily from his personal wealth while Alsobrooks had the support of most elected Democrats.[120]

Former Governor Larry Hogan easily defeated conservative former state Delegate Robin Ficker for the Republican nomination.[121] A popular moderate known for his political independence, Hogan had previously declined to run,[122] but unexpectedly filed to run hours before the candidate filing deadline.[41]

Massachusetts

Two-term Democrat Elizabeth Warren was reelected in 2018 with 60.3% of the vote. On March 27, 2023, Warren announced that she is running for reelection.[123]

Software company owner Robert Antonellis is running as a Republican.[124] Former lieutenant governor Karyn Polito is seen as a potential candidate for the Republican nomination.[125]

Michigan

Four-term Democrat Debbie Stabenow was reelected in 2018 with 52.3% of the vote. She announced on January 5, 2023, that she will retire, and will not run for a fifth term.[10]

The primary will take place on Aug 6, 2024. Representative Elissa Slotkin,[126] and state representative Leslie Love[127] have announced their candidacies for the Democratic nomination. Businessman and 2006 Republican candidate for this seat Nasser Beydoun has also declared his candidacy as a Democrat.[128] Actor Hill Harper announced his campaign for the Democratic nomination in July 2023.[129]

Former U.S. representatives Mike Rogers, Justin Amash, and hedge fund manager Sandy Pensler[130] are running for the Republican nomination.[131][132][133][134]

Representative John James, the Republican nominee for this seat in 2018 and for Michigan's other Senate seat in 2020, declined to run.[135]

Minnesota

Three-term Democrat Amy Klobuchar was reelected in 2018 with 60.3% of the vote. She is running for a fourth term.[30]

Among Republicans, former NBA basketball player Royce White and, banker and retired U.S. Navy commander, Joe Fraser, have declared their candidacies.[136][137]

Third party candidates consist of guardianship advocate and Republican candidate for governor in 2022, Independence-Alliance Party candidate, Joyce Lacy.[138]

Mississippi

Mississippi election

← 2018
2030 →
 
Nominee Roger Wicker Ty Pinkins
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Roger Wicker
Republican



Two-term Republican Roger Wicker was reelected in 2018 with 58.5% of the vote. Wicker is running for a third full term. He faced a primary challenge from conservative state representative Dan Eubanks and won by a comfortable margin.[139] Wicker will be face Democratic lawyer Ty Pinkins in the general election.[140]

Missouri

One-term Republican Josh Hawley was elected in 2018 with 51.4% of the vote. He is running for reelection.[141]

Marine Veteran Lucas Kunce, who ran unsuccessfully for the Democratic nomination in 2022, has announced he is running again. State Senator Karla May[142] and December Harmon, a member of the Columbia Police Review Board,[143] have also announced their campaigns for the Democratic nomination.

Montana

Three-term Democrat Jon Tester was narrowly reelected in 2018 with 50.3% of the vote. On February 22, 2023, he announced he is running for a fourth term. Tester is one of two Democratic senators running for reelection who represent states won by Republican Donald Trump in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections.[144]

Businessman and former Navy Seal Tim Sheehy is running for the Republican nomination.[145] U.S. representative Matt Rosendale, also a Republican, announced his candidacy on February 9, 2024, [146] but withdrew his candidacy on February 16, 2024.[147]

Nebraska

There will be two elections in Nebraska, due to the resignation of Ben Sasse.

Nebraska (regular)

Nebraska general election

← 2018
2030 →
 
Nominee Deb Fischer Dan Osborn
Party Republican Independent

Incumbent U.S. senator

Deb Fischer
Republican



Two-term Republican Deb Fischer was reelected in 2018 with 57.7% of the vote. On May 14, 2021, Fischer announced she is seeking reelection, despite previously declaring an intention to retire.[148]

Dan Osborn, a union leader and steamfitter, is running as an independent. Since no Democrats have filed, the state party is considering supporting him.[149]

Nebraska (special)

Nebraska special election

← 2020
2026 →
 
Nominee Pete Ricketts Preston Love Jr.
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Pete Ricketts
Republican



Two-term Republican Ben Sasse resigned his seat on January 8, 2023, to become president of the University of Florida.[150][13] Former Governor and 2006 Senate nominee Pete Ricketts was appointed by Governor Jim Pillen and a special election for the seat will take place concurrently with the 2024 regular Senate elections. Ricketts and Air Force veteran John Glen Weaver have declared their candidacies for the Republican nomination.[151] Former University of Nebraska Omaha professor Preston Love Jr. is running as a Democrat.[152]

Nevada

One-term Democrat Jacky Rosen was elected in 2018 with 50.4% of the vote. Rosen is running for a second term.[30]

Among Republicans, former state assemblyman Jim Marchant, who ran for secretary of state in 2022, has announced his candidacy.[153] On July 9, 2023, veteran and 2022 Senate candidate Sam Brown announced that he would be a candidate.[154] Other potential Republican challengers include former ambassador to Iceland Jeffrey Ross Gunter,[155] reality television personality Rick Harrison, and venture capitalist Guy Nohra.[156][157][158][159][160] Former state attorney general Adam Laxalt, who narrowly lost to Senator Catherine Cortez Masto in 2022, has said that he is unlikely to challenge Rosen.[161]

New Jersey

Democrat Bob Menendez was reelected in 2018 with 54.0% of the vote. On July 13, 2021, The New Jersey Globe reported that Menendez planned to run for a fourth full term.[162][163] On September 22, 2023, Menendez was indicted on federal bribery charges.[164] On March 14, 2024, a week after his planned retirement, Menendez reversed his decision considering to run for re-election as an Independent candidate.[165] Numerous national and New Jersey Democrats, including New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy, called on Menendez to resign the same day, [166] including Congressman Andy Kim, who is running for the Democratic nomination.[167]

Financier and current First Lady of New Jersey Tammy Murphy also ran for the Democratic nomination but ended her campaign in March 2024.[168]

Mendham Mayor Christine Serrano Glassner[169] and real estate developer Curtis Bashaw[170] are running for the Republican nomination.[57]

New Mexico

Two-term Democrat Martin Heinrich was reelected in 2018 with 54.1% of the vote in a three-candidate race. He is running for a third term.[171] Hedge fund executive Nella Domenici, whose father served in the U.S. Senate from 1973 to 2009, announced her candidacy for the Republican nomination on January 17, 2024.[172]

New York

Two-term Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand was reelected in 2018 with 67.0% of the vote. She is running for a third full term.[173]

Former New York City Police Detective Mike Sapraico has declared his candidacy as a Republican.[174]

North Dakota

One-term Republican Kevin Cramer was elected in 2018 with 55.1% of the vote. Cramer, as of now, is running for re-election.[175]

Democrat Katrina Christiansen, an engineering professor from the University of Jamestown and candidate for the Senate in 2022 filed paperwork and announced her candidacy in early October.[176][177] Democrat Kristin Hedger, a businesswoman and nominee for North Dakota secretary of state in 2006 has filed paperwork to run for Cramer's seat, but has yet to make an official announcement.[178]

Ohio

Ohio election

← 2018
2030 →
 
Nominee Sherrod Brown Bernie Moreno
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Sherrod Brown
Democratic



Three-term Democrat Sherrod Brown was reelected in 2018 with 53.4% of the vote. Brown is running for a fourth term. He is also one of two Democratic senators running for reelection who represent states won by Republican Donald Trump in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections.[179]

The Republican nominee is businessman Bernie Moreno, who defeated state senator Matt Dolan and secretary of state Frank LaRose in the primary election.[180]

Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania election

← 2018
2030 →
 
Nominee Bob Casey Jr. David McCormick
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Bob Casey Jr.
Democratic



Three-term Democrat Bob Casey Jr., was reelected in 2018 with 55.7% of the vote. Casey is running for a fourth term.[181] He is being challenged by engineer Blaine Forkner.[182]

2022 Senate candidate David McCormick is running for the Republican nomination.[183][184][185][186][187][188] On September 30, 2023, the Pennsylvania Republican Party endorsed McCormick.[189] Conestoga Township treasurer Brandi Tomasetti is also running for the nomination.[190]

Rhode Island

Three-term Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse was reelected in 2018 with 61.4% of the vote. He is running for a fourth term. Republicans who have announced their candidacies include state Representative Patricia Morgan[191] and IT professional Raymond McKay.[67]

Tennessee

One-term Republican Marsha Blackburn was elected in 2018 with 54.7% of the vote. Blackburn has filed paperwork to run for reelection. Democratic state Representative Gloria Johnson, who avoided expulsion by one vote in April 2023, announced her candidacy in September.[192]

Texas

Texas election

← 2018
2030 →
 
Nominee Ted Cruz Colin Allred
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Ted Cruz
Republican



Two-term Republican Ted Cruz was narrowly reelected in 2018 with 50.9% of the vote. Cruz is running for a third term.[193]

The Democratic nominee is U.S. representative Colin Allred, who defeated state senator Roland Gutierrez and state representative Carl Sherman in the primary election.[194][195]

Utah

One-term Republican Mitt Romney was elected in 2018 with 62.6% of the vote. On September 13, 2023, Romney announced he would not seek reelection in 2024.[196]

Announced Republican candidates include Riverton Mayor Trent Staggs,[197] state House Speaker Brad Wilson,[198] and U.S. Representative John Curtis.[199]

Vermont

Three-term independent Bernie Sanders was reelected in 2018 with 67.4% of the vote. He is being challenged by artist Cris Ericson, an independent perennial candidate.[73]

Virginia

Two-term Democrat Tim Kaine was reelected in 2018 with 57.0% of the vote. On January 20, 2023, he confirmed he is running for reelection to a third term.[200] Governor Glenn Youngkin, who will be term-limited in 2025, was considered a possible Republican candidate.[201]

On July 18, 2023, Navy veteran Hung Cao announced he would run as a Republican. Cao unsuccessfully ran for the U.S. House of Representatives against Democrat Jennifer Wexton in 2022.[202]

Washington

Four-term Democrat Maria Cantwell was reelected in 2018 with 58.3% of the vote.

Emergency room physician Raul Garcia announced that he would run as a Republican.[203]

West Virginia

West Virginia election

← 2018
2030 →
 
Nominee Glenn Elliott Jim Justice
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Joe Manchin
Democratic



Democrat Joe Manchin was reelected in 2018 with 49.6% of the vote. On November 9, 2023, Manchin announced he would not seek reelection.[9] Since Manchin announced his retirement, all major outlets have since rated this seat as expected to flip to GOP control, which would put this seat in Republican hands for the first time in 68 years.

Wheeling Mayor Glenn Elliott, who has Manchin's endorsement,[204] defeated community organizer and U.S. Marine Corps veteran Zachary Shrewsbury and former coal executive Don Blankenship in the primary for the Democratic Party nomination.[205]

Governor Jim Justice defeated U.S. Representative Alex Mooney[206] in the Republican primary.

Wisconsin

Two-term Democrat Tammy Baldwin was reelected in 2018 with 55.4% of the vote. She is running for reelection.[81] Hedge fund manager Eric Hovde, candidate for the Senate in 2012, announced a second attempt at the Republican nomination. Former Milwaukee County sheriff David Clarke[207] is seen as a potential Republican challenger to Hovde's bid if he decides to run.[208][209]

Wyoming

Republican John Barrasso was reelected in 2018 with 67.0% of the vote.

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Majority control in an evenly divided Senate is determined by the Vice President of the United States, who has the power to break tied votes in their constitutional capacity as President of the Senate; accordingly, Senate control requires 51 seats without control of the vice presidency or 50 seats with control of the vice presidency.
  2. ^ a b All three independent senators (Bernie Sanders of Vermont, Angus King of Maine, and Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona) caucus with Senate Democrats.[1]
  3. ^ The U.S. vice president, who will be determined in 2024, breaks ties in a 50–50 Senate. Republicans need 50 seats if they win the vice presidency or 51 if they do not.
  4. ^ The last elections for this group of senators were in 2018, except for those elected in a special election or who were appointed after the resignation or death of a sitting senator, as noted.
  5. ^ a b Sinema was elected as a Democrat and switched to being an independent in December 2022.
  6. ^ In both the regular election and the special election.
  7. ^ a b Democrat Dianne Feinstein won with 54.2% of the vote in 2018 against a fellow Democrat, but died in office on September 29, 2023.
  8. ^ Republican Ben Sasse won with 62.7% of the vote in 2020, but resigned January 8, 2023, to become president of the University of Florida.
  9. ^ Democratic total includes 3 Independents who caucus with the Democrats.
  10. ^ Menendez declined to run as a Democrat, but expressed interest in running as an independent
  11. ^ In October 2023, Butler was appointed by Governor Gavin Newsom to fill the vacancy caused by the death of Senator Dianne Feinstein.

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