2018 Tennessee gubernatorial election
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The Tennessee gubernatorial election of 2018 will take place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next Governor of Tennessee, concurrently with the election of Tennessee's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various statewide and local elections. The primaries will take place on August 2.[1]
Incumbent Republican Governor Bill Haslam is term-limited and is prohibited by the Constitution of Tennessee from seeking a third consecutive term.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Diane Black, U.S. Representative[2]
- Randy Boyd, former Commissioner of the Tennessee Department of Economic and Community Development[3]
- Beth Harwell, Speaker of the Tennessee House of Representatives[4]
- Bill Lee, businessman[5]
- Basil Marceaux, perennial candidate[6]
- Kay White, realtor[7]
Withdrawn
- Mae Beavers, former State Senator[8][9] (running for Wilson County Mayor, endorsed Lee)[10]
- Mark Green, State Senator (running for TN-07)[11]
Declined
- Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Representative (running for U.S. Senate)[12][13]
- Tim Burchett, Knox County Mayor (running for U.S. House)[14][15][16]
- Joe Carr, former State Representative (ran for State Senate - lost Primary, endorsed Lee)[17][18]
- Bob Corker, U.S. Senator[19][20][21]
- Stephen Fincher, former U.S. Representative[19][22]
- Alberto Gonzales, Dean of the Belmont University School of Law and former U.S. Attorney General (endorsed Diane Black)[23]
- Bill Hagerty, United States Ambassador to Japan and former Commissioner of Economic and Community Development[18]
- Tre Hargett, Tennessee Secretary of State[24]
- Rob Mitchell, Rutherford County Property Assessor[25][26]
- Mark Norris, Majority Leader of the Tennessee Senate; nominated by President Trump as Judge on the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Tennessee[27][18][28]
- Andy Ogles, Director of Tennessee chapter of Americans for Prosperity[18] (ran and withdrew for the U.S. Senate)
- Ron Ramsey, former Lieutenant Governor of Tennessee and candidate for Governor in 2010[19][29][30]
Endorsements
Beth Harwell
- Representative Harry Brooks, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Education Administration and Planning Committee Chair
- Representative Dale Carr, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Local Government Subcommittee Chair
- Representative Mike Carter, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Civil Justice Subcommittee Chair
- Representative Jim Coley, Tennessee House of Representatives
- Representative Jeremy Faison, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Government Operations Committee Chair
- Representative Andrew Farmer, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Civil Justice Committee Chair
- Representative John Forgety, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Education Instruction and Programs Committee Chair
- Representative Patsy Hazlewood, Tennessee House of Representatives
- Representative Gary Hicks, Tennessee House of Representatives
- Representative John Holsclaw Jr., Tennessee House of Representatives, House Business and Utilities Subcommittee Chair
- Representative Dan Howell, Tennessee House of Representatives, Joint Judiciary and Government Committee Chair, House Local Government Committee Vice-Chair
- Representative Curtis Johnson, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Speaker Pro Tempore
- Representative Pat Marsh, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Business and Utilities Committee Chair
- Representative Steve McDaniel, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Rules Committee Chair, House Ethics Committee Chair, House Finance, Ways, and Means Study Subcommittee Chair
- Representative Tim Rudd, Tennessee House of Representatives
- Representative Charles Sargent, Tennessee House of Representatives, Finance, Ways, and Means Committee Chair
- Representative Mike Sparks, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Calendar and Rules Committee Vice-Chair
- Representative Rick Tillis, Tennessee House of Representatives
- Representative Tim Wirgau, Tennessee House of Representatives, House Local Government Committee Chair
- Senator Frank Niceley, Tennessee State Senate, Senate Energy, Agriculture, and Natural Resources 1st Vice-Chair, Senate Transportation and Safety Committee 2nd Vice-Chair
Diane Black
- Mike Pence, 48th Vice President of the United States[34]
- Stephen Fincher, former U.S. Representative[22]
- Ron Ramsey, former Lieutenant Governor of Tennessee[35]
- Rick Santorum, former U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania[36]
- Steve Scalise, U.S. Representative and House Majority Whip (R-LA)[37]
- Jordan Sekulow, radio talk show host and Executive Director of the American Center for Law & Justice[38]
- Carol M. Swain, former Vanderbilt professor and conservative commentator[39]
- Lee Beaman, businessman[40]
- Tennessee Right to Life[41]
- National Right to Life[42]
- Susan B. Anthony List[43]
- National Rifle Association[44]
- American Conservative Union[45]
- Students For Trump[46]
- Family Research Council[47]
Randy Boyd
- Mike Huckabee, former Arkansas Governor and Presidential candidate in 2008 and 2016[48]
- Joe Boyd Liggett, Mayor of Marshall County[49]
- Jake Bynum, Mayor of Weakley County[49]
- Mike Creasy, Mayor of Decatur County[49]
- J. Michael Cross, Fentress County Executive[49]
- Richard Daniel, Pickett County Executive[49]
- Ben Danner, Overton County Executive[49]
- Jim Durrett, Mayor of Montgomery County[50]
- Brent Greer, Mayor of Henry County[49]
- Denny Johnson, Mayor of Lake County[49]
- Shaun Lawson, Mayor of Hickman County[49]
- Mark Luttrell, Mayor of Shelby County[51]
- Kenny McBride, Mayor of Carroll County[49]
- Benny McGuire, Mayor of Obion County[49]
- Bill Newman, Mayor of Lincoln County[49]
- Denny Robinson, White County Executive[49]
- Richard Stewart, Mayor of Franklin County[49]
- Sloan Stewart, Lynchburg/Moore County Metro Executive[49]
- Skip Taylor, Mayor of Fayette County[49]
- Jessie Wallace, Humphreys County Executive[49]
- Bill Webb, Mayor of Lewis County[49]
- T.R. Williams, Lawrence County Executive[49]
- Tom Witherspoon, Mayor of Gibson County[49]
- Chris Young, Mayor of Dyer County[49]
Bill Lee
- U.S. Representatives
- State-level Officials
- Andy Holt, State Representative[53]
- Sheila Butt, State Representative[54]
- Jay Reedy, State Representative[55]
- Jason Zachary, State Representative[56]
- Mae Beavers, former State Senator, former gubernatorial candidate[57]
- Joe Carr, former State Representative[58]
- Notable Individuals
- Michael W. Smith, Christian Singer[59][60]
- Steven Curtis Chapman, Christian Singer[61]
- Darrell Waltrip, American motorsports analyst and former NASCAR driver[62]
- Mike Fisher, Former center for the Nashville Predators and husband of signer Carrie Underwood[63]
- Ricky Skaggs, Country Music Singer[64]
- Scott Hamilton, American Figure Skater and Olympic Gold Medalist[65]
- Newspapers
- Chattanooga Free Press[66]
- Johnson City Press[67]
- Dunlap News[68]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Diane Black |
Randy Boyd |
Beth Harwell |
Bill Lee |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMC Analytics | July 18–21, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 19% | 20% | 16% | 26% | 1%[69] | 17% |
| Emerson College | July 11–14, 2018 | 266 | ± 6.4% | 27% | 22% | 14% | 19% | 3% | 14% |
| Data Orbital | June 27–30, 2018 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 24% | 23% | 10% | 19% | – | 24% |
| Triton Research & Polling (R) | June 25–28, 2018 | 1,040 | ± 3.1% | 27% | 33% | 7% | 20% | – | 13% |
| OnMessage Inc. (R-Black) | May 14–17, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 28% | 8% | 9% | – | 15% |
| Grassroots Targeting (R-Black) | May 4–6, 2018 | 800 | – | 41% | 26% | 6% | 11% | – | 15% |
| OnMessage Inc. (R-Black) | April 2018 | – | – | 33% | 30% | 5% | 13% | – | – |
| OnMessage Inc. (R-Black) | March 2018 | – | – | 31% | 31% | 10% | 10% | – | – |
| TargetPoint/GQR | March 7–14, 2018 | 390 | ± 5.0% | 25% | 20% | 6% | 7% | 2%[70] | 37% |
| North Star Onion Research (R-Lee) | February 5–11, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 22% | 25% | 4% | 18% | – | 30% |
| Triton Research & Polling (R) | December 12–18, 2017 | 1,028 | ± 3.1% | 22% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 4%[71] | 53% |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Karl Dean, former Mayor of Nashville[72]
- Craig Fitzhugh, Minority Leader of the Tennessee House of Representatives[73]
- Mezianne Vale Payne, retired Jackson County resident[74]
Declined
- Andy Berke, Mayor of Chattanooga and former State Senator[18]
- Bill Freeman, businessman and candidate for Mayor of Nashville in 2015[75][76]
Endorsements
Karl Dean
- Federal officials
- Jim Cooper, U.S. Representative (D-TN)[77]
- Steve Cohen, U.S. Representative (D-TN)[78]
- Bob Clement, former U.S Representative (D-TN)
- Lincoln Davis, former U.S. Representative (D-TN)
- Labor unions
- Memphis AFSCME Local 1733
- Tennessee Pipe Trades; Mid-South Carpenters Regional Council
- Road Sprinkler Fitters U.A. Local Union No. 66
- Local Division of the International Brotherhood of Teamsters
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Karl Dean |
Craig Fitzhugh |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | July 11–14, 2018 | 206 | ± 7.3% | 44% | 14% | 9% | 33% |
| TargetPoint/GQR | March 7–14, 2018 | 288 | ± 5.8% | 41% | 11% | – | 44% |
Third Parties
Candidates
Green
- Yvonne Neubert (Green)
Libertarian
- Sherry L. Clark (Libertarian)[a][80]
- Justin Cornett (Libertarian)[a][80]
- Gabriel Fancher (Libertarian)[a][80]
- Sean Bruce Fleming (Libertarian)[a][80]
- William Andrew Helmstetter (Libertarian)[a][80]
- Cory King (Libertarian)[a][80]
- Matthew Koch (Libertarian)[a][80]
- Alfred Shawn Rapoza (Libertarian)[a][80]
- Heather Scott (Libertarian)[a][80]
- George Blackwell Smith IV (Libertarian)[a][80]
- Jeremy Allen Stephenson (Libertarian)[a][80]
- Tracy Yaste Tisdale (Libertarian)[a][80]
- Mike Toews (Libertarian)[a][80]
- Vinnie Vineyard, AKA as Funkmaster V from Wrestling With Ghosts[80] (Libertarian)[a]
- Jaron D. Weidner (Libertarian)[a][80]
Independents
- Rick Tyler, candidate for TN-03 in 2016[6]
- Joe B. Wilmoth, candidate for the State Senate in 2010, candidate for US Senate in 2014 (Independent)[80]
Notes
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[81] | Likely R | July 25, 2018 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[82] | Likely R | June 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[83] | Likely R | July 19, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[84] | Likely R | July 19, 2018 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Lee (R) |
Karl Dean (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triton Research & Polling (R) | January 21–24, 2018 | 1,003 | ± 3.1% | 38% | 34% | 28% |
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Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Lee | |||
| Democratic | Karl Dean | |||
| none | Write-Ins | |||
| Total votes | ||||
References
- ^ http://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/2018-state-primary-election-dates.aspx
- ^ Garrison, Joey (August 2, 2017). "Diane Black enters race for governor of Tennessee". The Tennessean. Retrieved August 2, 2017.
- ^ staff, WATE 6 On Your Side (2017-03-06). "Randy Boyd announces plans to run for Tennessee governor". WATE 6 On Your Side. Retrieved 2017-03-06.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link) - ^ "Beth Harwell enters 2018 governor's race touting experience and leadership". The Tennessean. Retrieved 2017-07-16.
- ^ "Republican Bill Lee announces run for governor of Tennessee". The Tennessean. Retrieved 2017-04-23.
- ^ a b Sher, Andy (April 6, 2018). "Well-known unconventional hopefuls running for Tennessee governor". Chattanooga Times Free Press. Retrieved April 7, 2018.
- ^ "Kay White officially enters 2018 governor's race, makes announcement in Jonesborough". WATE 6 On Your Side. 2017-07-23. Retrieved 2017-11-12.
- ^ "Mae Beavers says she's running for governor of Tennessee". The Tennessean. Retrieved 2017-05-28.
- ^ https://www.thegreenpapers.com/G18/TN
- ^ Humbles, Andy. "Wilson County 'engaged' in Aug. 2 election, deadline reveals numerous contested races". The Tennessean. Retrieved 6 April 2018.
- ^ "Sen. Mark Green will not re-enter 2018 governor's race". The Tennessean. Retrieved 2017-06-02.
- ^ "Lee Co.'s Bill Lee exploring Republican run for governor". The Tennessean. May 3, 2016. Retrieved May 24, 2016.
- ^ Ebert, Joel (June 6, 2017). "Marsha Blackburn won't challenge Sen. Corker, will seek re-election". The Tennessean. Retrieved June 6, 2017.
- ^ Whetstone, Tyler (May 8, 2017). "Tim Burchett will run for office, which one is anyone's guess". Knoxville News Sentinel. Retrieved June 3, 2017.
- ^ Whetstone, Tyler (June 26, 2017). "Knox County Mayor Burchett rules out run for governor". Knoxville News Sentinel. Retrieved July 21, 2017.
- ^ Whetstone, Tyler (August 2, 2017). "Tim Burchett to run for Congress". Knoxville News Sentinel. Retrieved August 8, 2017.
- ^ Ebert, Joel (February 20, 2017). "Joe Carr leaves door open to possible 2018 gubernatorial bid". The Tennessean. Retrieved February 26, 2017.
- ^ a b c d e Ebert, Joel (June 14, 2017). "Tennessee's 2018 governor's race: Who's in, out, undecided". The Tennessean. Retrieved June 14, 2017.
- ^ a b c Emily Cahn (March 5, 2014). "Senate Control Could Decide Opportunities in Tennessee". Roll Call. Retrieved November 26, 2014.
- ^ "Tennessee Gov. Bill Haslam Isn't Ruling Out Senate Run". WKMS. February 23, 2017. Retrieved February 24, 2017.
- ^ Houk, Robert (June 4, 2017). "Talking Trump with Tennessee's junior U.S. senator". Johnson City Press. Retrieved June 6, 2017.
- ^ a b Yusuf, Omer (August 14, 2017). "Stephen Fincher endorses Diane Black for governor". The Jackson Sun. Retrieved August 14, 2017.
- ^ Elliott, Stephen (December 5, 2017). "Former U.S. attorney general endorses Diane Black". nashvillepost.com. Retrieved December 14, 2017.
- ^ "Tennessee Secretary of State Tre Hargett won't seek governorship in '18". Times Free Press. November 22, 2014. Retrieved November 26, 2014.
- ^ Stockard, Sam (June 6, 2017). "Rob Mitchell considers run for governor". The Murfreesboro Post. Retrieved June 6, 2017.
- ^ "Rutherford County Property Assessor Rob Mitchell not running for Governor". WGNS. July 20, 2017. Retrieved July 21, 2017.
- ^ Ebert, Joel (January 11, 2017). "Mark Norris says he's moving toward gubernatorial bid". The Tennessean. Retrieved February 26, 2017.
- ^ "Trump nominates Senate Leader Mark Norris, three others as federal judges in Tennessee". The Tennessean. Retrieved 2017-07-13.
- ^ Erik Schelzig (November 9, 2014). "Possible Tennessee governor candidates for 2018". The Jackson Sun. Retrieved November 26, 2014.
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
Frank Caglewas invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ "Roundup: TEA, TSEA endorse Fitzhugh, Harwell". May 23, 2018.
- ^ "Roundup: TEA, TSEA endorse Fitzhugh, Harwell". May 23, 2018.
- ^ "2018 TPFFA Primary Election Candidate Endorsements".
- ^ Mike Pence. ".@DianeBlackTN is running for Governor of TN & a strong supporter of #MAGA agenda of tax cuts, military $$ & a champion of right to life policies. There are great candidates running but Diane has been my friend for years, we served together in the House, & she has my support!". Twitter.
- ^ Hayes, Hank (August 14, 2017). "Ramsey gets behind Black's gubernatorial bid". Kingsport Times-News. Retrieved August 14, 2017.
- ^ Diane Black. "Honored to receive the endorsement of @RickSantorum, a leader who is not afraid to fight for conservative values. Tennessee stood behind Rick in his 2012 race for President, and I'm proud to have him behind me in my race for Governor. #TeamBlack". Twitter.
- ^ http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/391591-scalise-throws-support-behind-black-blackburn-ahead-of-tennessee-primary
- ^ "Jordan Sekulow endorses Diane Black for Governor". Diane Black for Governor. May 24, 2018.
- ^ Diane Black. "Honored to have the endorsement of Dr. Swain, and don't forget to vote early starting tomorrow!". Twitter.
- ^ "Nashville Businessman Lee Beaman Endorses Diane Black for Governor". Tennessee Star. July 31, 2018.
- ^ "Tennessee Right to Life Endorses Pro-Life Rep. Diane Black for Governor". LifeNews.com. June 29, 2018.
- ^ "National Right to Life Endorses Diane Black for Governor". Diane Black for Governor.
- ^ "SBA List Endorses Pro-life Champion Diane Black for Governor of Tennessee". Susan B. Anthony List. April 11, 2018.
- ^ "NRA Endorses Representative Diane Black for Governor". NRA. June 21, 2018.
- ^ "ACU Endorses Diane Black". ACU.
- ^ Students For Trump. "We fully endorse @DianeBlackTN to be the next Governor of Tennessee!". Twitter.
- ^ Sher, Andy (June 27, 2018). "Family Research Council endorses Diane Black bid for Tennessee governor". Chattanooga Times Free Press.
- ^ Buie, Jordan (June 22, 2018). "Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee endorses Randy Boyd". The Tennessean.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u Whetstone, Tyler (July 31, 2017). "Randy Boyd announces 21 more county mayors endorse campaign". Knoxville News Sentinel. Retrieved August 2, 2017.
- ^ "Durrett endorses Boyd for governor". The Leaf-Chronicle. June 28, 2017. Retrieved August 2, 2017.
- ^ Poe, Ryan (July 26, 2017). "Shelby County Mayor Luttrell endorses Randy Boyd for governor". The Commercial Appeal. Retrieved August 2, 2017.
- ^ Sher, Andy (July 16, 2018). Chattanooga Times Free Press https://www.timesfreepress.com/news/breakingnews/story/2018/jul/16/wamp-backs-lee/475071/. Retrieved July 16, 2018.
{{cite news}}: Missing or empty|title=(help) - ^ https://twitter.com/AndyHolt4TN/status/1020358174262603778.
{{cite web}}: Missing or empty|title=(help) - ^ http://www.columbiadailyherald.com/news/20180722/state-representative-sheila-butt-endorses-bill-lee
- ^ https://tennesseestar.com/2018/06/18/state-rep-jay-reedy-endorses-bill-lee-for-governor/
- ^ https://mobile.twitter.com/JasonZacharyTN/status/1005413886265298945.
{{cite web}}: Missing or empty|title=(help) - ^ https://www.tennessean.com/story/news/politics/tn-elections/2018/06/20/former-gubernatorial-candidate-mae-beavers-has-endorsed-bill-lee/719295002/
- ^ "Carr Endorses Lee". Facebook Post.
- ^ https://www.billlee.com/release-lee-announces-community-faith-based-advisory-council/
- ^ https://www.billlee.com/press-release-businessman-bill-lee-raises-1-3-million-first-major-fundraiser/
- ^ https://www.tennessean.com/story/news/2018/02/27/bill-lee-mike-fisher-darrell-waltrip-tennessee-governors-race/378767002/
- ^ https://www.tennessean.com/story/news/2018/02/27/bill-lee-mike-fisher-darrell-waltrip-tennessee-governors-race/378767002/
- ^ https://www.tennessean.com/story/news/2018/02/27/bill-lee-mike-fisher-darrell-waltrip-tennessee-governors-race/378767002/
- ^ http://www.chattanoogan.com/2018/7/23/373256/Ricky-Skaggs-To-Headline-Bill-Lee-For.aspx
- ^ "Honored to Have the endorsement of Scott Hamilton".
- ^ "Cooper: Republican Lee the Choice for Republicans". Chattanooga Times Free Press.
- ^ Johnson City Press https://www.johnsoncitypress.com/tags/as-we-see-it.
{{cite news}}: Missing or empty|title=(help) - ^ "Dunlap News Opinion: Endorsement for Governor". Dunlap News.
- ^ Basil Marceaux 1%, Kay White <1%
- ^ Kay White 2%
- ^ Mae Beavers 4%
- ^ Garrison, Joey (February 26, 2017). "Former Nashville Mayor Karl Dean to run for governor of Tennessee". The Tennessean. Retrieved February 26, 2017.
- ^ Garrison, Joey (August 6, 2017). "Craig Fitzhugh to run for governor of Tennessee, setting up contested Democratic primary". The Tennessean. Retrieved August 8, 2017.
- ^ http://www.lebanondemocrat.com/Politics/2018/03/08/Mezianne-Payne-announces-candidacy-for-governorship.html?lp=2&ci=stream
- ^ Sher, Andy (November 9, 2015). "New names dropped in 2016 Tennessee governor's race". Chattanooga Times Free Press. Retrieved May 24, 2016.
- ^ Garrison, Joey (February 27, 2017). "Fitzhugh leaning toward run against Dean for governor; Freeman out". The Tennessean. Retrieved February 27, 2017.
- ^ Tennessean. "Nashville Congressman Jim Cooper endorses Karl Dean for Tennessee governor". Twitter.
- ^ "Turned It Around". YouTube. July 11, 2018. Retrieved July 20, 2018.
- ^ Let's turn TN into OK!
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p [1]
- ^ "2018 Governor Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
- ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
- ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.
External links
- Official campaign websites