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2019 European Parliament election in the United Kingdom

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2019 European Parliament election in the United Kingdom
United Kingdom
← 2014 23 May 2019
All 73 United Kingdom seats to the European Parliament
Party Leader Current seats
Labour Jeremy Corbyn
Conservative Theresa May
Brexit Party Nigel Farage
UKIP Gerard Batten
Green Jonathan Bartley & Siân Berry
SNP Nicola Sturgeon
Liberal Democrats Vince Cable
Sinn Féin Mary Lou McDonald
DUP Arlene Foster
Plaid Cymru Adam Price
UUP Robin Swann
Change UK Heidi Allen

The United Kingdom's component of the 2019 European Parliament election was held on Thursday 23 May 2019,[1] but will not be counted until Sunday 26 May after all other countries have voted.

Initially, the elections were not planned as the United Kingdom's withdrawal from the European Union (following the 2016 referendum) was set for 29 March 2019. However, at the European summit on 11 April 2019 the British government and the European Council agreed to delay British withdrawal until 31 October 2019. While it was then the default position in UK and EU law for the election to take place, the UK Government continued attempts to avoid participation by agreeing on withdrawal before 23 May.[2] On 7 May 2019, the UK government conceded that the elections would go ahead.[3]

The elections were the ninth time the United Kingdom had elected MEPs to the European Parliament (fourth for Gibraltar). Candidate nominations were submitted by 16:00 on 25 April 2019, and voter registration was completed on 7 May 2019.[4][5] It is uncertain for how long British MEPs will sit because of the uncertainties over Brexit.[6]

The UK's withdrawal from the European Union was the central issue of the election campaign,[7] with claims that it was effectively a proxy for a second Brexit referendum.[8][9]

Voting eligibility

To vote in the election, individuals must have been:

  • on the Electoral Register;[5]
  • aged 18 or over on election day;[5]
  • a British, Irish, Commonwealth or European Union citizen;[10]
  • resident at an address in the UK, or a British citizen living abroad who has been registered to vote in the UK in the 15 years before the election;[5][a][11] and
  • not legally excluded from voting[5] (for example, a convicted person detained in prison or a mental hospital, or unlawfully at large if they would otherwise have been detained,[12] or a person found guilty of certain corrupt or illegal practices)[13]

Individuals must have been registered to vote by midnight on 7 May 2019.[14] A person who has two homes, such as a university student with a term-time address but living at home during holidays, may be registered to vote at both addresses as long as they are not in the same electoral area, but can vote in only one constituency at the election.[15]

European Union citizens (except for British, Irish, Cypriot and Maltese citizens) must also have submitted a European Parliament voter registration form by midnight on 7 May 2019 to confirm that they will vote in the European Parliament election only in the UK, and not in their home country.[14][16]

Constituencies

Further information: European Parliament constituencies in the United Kingdom and List of members of the European Parliament for the United Kingdom, 2014–2019

The United Kingdom is divided into 12 multi-member constituencies: the nine regions of England, plus Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. Gibraltar is assigned to the South West England constituency. As has been the case since 1999, the English electoral constituencies are based on the government's nine English regions. The seat allocation has been the same since 2014:

Constituency MEPs On election day (2014) At the end of the Eighth European Parliament (2019)
East Midlands 5

#6D3177 #6D3177 #E4003B #0087DC #0087DC

 

#12B6CF #12B6CF #E4003B #0087DC #0087DC

 
East of England 7

#6D3177 #6D3177 #6D3177 #E4003B #0087DC #0087DC #0087DC

 

#6D3177 #12B6CF #D25469 #E4003B #0087DC #0087DC #0087DC

 
London 8

#6D3177 #E4003B #E4003B #E4003B #E4003B #0087DC #0087DC #02A95B

 

#6D3177 #E4003B #E4003B #E4003B #E4003B #0087DC #0087DC #02A95B

 
North East England 3

#6D3177 #E4003B #E4003B

 

#12B6CF #E4003B #E4003B

 
North West England 8

#6D3177 #6D3177 #6D3177 #E4003B #E4003B #E4003B #0087DC #0087DC

 

#12B6CF #DCDCDC #DCDCDC #E4003B #E4003B #E4003B #0087DC #0087DC

 
South East England 10

#6D3177 #6D3177 #6D3177 #6D3177 #E4003B #0087DC #0087DC #0087DC #02A95B #FAA61A #12B6CF #12B6CF #12B6CF #12B6CF #E4003B #0087DC #0087DC #222221 #02A95B #FAA61A

South West England1 6

#6D3177 #6D3177 #E4003B #0087DC #0087DC #02A95B

 

#12B6CF #DCDCDC #E4003B #0087DC #DCDCDC #02A95B

 
West Midlands 7

#6D3177 #6D3177 #6D3177 #E4003B #E4003B #0087DC #0087DC

 

#12B6CF #12B6CF #DCDCDC #E4003B #E4003B #0087DC #0087DC

 
Yorkshire and the Humber2 6

#6D3177 #6D3177 #6D3177 #E4003B #E4003B #0087DC

 

#6D3177 #12B6CF #0087DC

#E4003B #0087DC

 
Scotland3 6

#6D3177 #E4003B #E4003B #0087DC #FDF38E #FDF38E

 

#12B6CF #E4003B

#0087DC #FDF38E #FDF38E

 
Wales 4

#6D3177 #E4003B #0087DC #005B54

 

#12B6CF #E4003B #0087DC #005B54

 
Northern Ireland 3

#326760 #D46A4C #48A5EE

 

#326760 #D46A4C #48A5EE

 

1 Includes Gibraltar, the only British overseas territory which is part of the European Union

2 One seat in Yorkshire and the Humber has been vacant since Linda McAvan (Labour) stepped down on 18 April 2019[17]

3 One seat in Scotland has been vacant since Catherine Stihler (Labour) stepped down on 31 January 2019

The current breakdown of seats is as follows:

Key to political groups of the European Parliament (UK)[18]
Party Faction in European Parliament
Brexit Party 29 Non-Inscrits 57
DUP 1
Liberal Democrats 16 17   Renew Europe 108
Alliance 1
Green 7 11 Greens–European Free Alliance 75
SNP 3
Plaid Cymru 1
Labour 10   Socialists and Democrats 154
Conservative 4 European Conservatives and Reformists 62
Sinn Féin 1   European United Left–Nordic Green Left 41
Total 73 Total 750

Electoral method

Polling station in Moorpool, Harborne, Birmingham, within the West Midlands constituency on 23 May 2019

In Great Britain, candidates stand either on a party list, known as a closed list, in a set order of priority decided by that party, or as an independent. Voters choose a party (not an individual party candidate) or an independent candidate. The seats are then allocated proportionally to the share of votes cast for each party or individual candidate in the electoral region using the D'Hondt method of calculation. The first seat is allocated to the party or individual with the highest number of votes. After a seat is allocated to a party, that party's votes are divided by one plus the number of seats already allocated to that party. The second and subsequent seats are allocated to the party or independent candidate with the greatest number of votes.[19]

The Northern Ireland constituency uses Single Transferable Vote (STV) to allocate its three MEPs. Voters rank the candidates sequentially, in the order of their choice.

Background

Expected cancellation and contingency planning

The United Kingdom invoked Article 50 of the Treaty on the European Union on 29 March 2017 following a referendum on 23 June 2016 to leave the European Union. As a result, the country was due to leave the EU on 29 March 2019, before the European Parliament elections took place. Nonetheless, on 27 May 2018, it was reported that the UK's Electoral Commission had set aside £829,000 for its "activities relating to a European Parliamentary election in 2019". The Commission described the money as a "precautionary measure, so that we have the necessary funds to deliver our functions at a European Parliamentary election, in the unlikely event that they do go ahead".[20][21][22]

The European Parliament resolution of 7 February 2018 on the composition of the European Parliament (2017/2054(INL) – 2017/0900(NLE)) included these clauses:

  • H7 refers to the re-allocation of some UK seats following the UK withdrawal from the EU, stating: "Underlines that the seats to be vacated by the United Kingdom upon its withdrawal from the European Union will facilitate the adoption of a new allocation of seats in Parliament, which will implement the principle of degressive proportionality; further underlines that the new allocation proposed would allow for a reduction in the size of Parliament; notes that the use of only a fraction of the seats vacated by the United Kingdom is sufficient to ensure no loss of seats for any Member State".
  • H6 has a contingency for the situation that the UK does not leave the EU before the 2019 election, stating that "in case the above mentioned legal situation concerning the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the European Union changes, the allocation of seats applied during the 2014–2019 parliamentary term should apply until the withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the European Union becomes legally effective".[23]

The European Council also drew up contingency plans allowing the UK to retain its MEPs should Brexit be postponed:[24]

However, in the event that the United Kingdom is still a Member State of the Union at the beginning of the 2019-2024 parliamentary term, the number of representatives in the European Parliament per Member State taking up office shall be the one provided for in Article 3 of the European Council Decision 2013/312/EU until the withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the Union becomes legally effective.[25]

Official preparations

After Brexit was delayed beyond its initial planned date of 29 March 2019, the possibility of a sufficiently long delay so as to require the elections to take place became more apparent. The period for withdrawal under Article 50 was first extended, with the unanimous approval of the European Council, until 12 April 2019[26][27] — the deadline for informing the EU of the intention to hold elections.[28] By early April, the House of Commons had voted again to extend the withdrawal period, and a deadline of 31 October 2019 was agreed between the UK and the Council. The UK Government therefore ordered preparations for the election,[29] with the deadline for candidate nominations on 24 April for the South West England region and 25 April for all other regions.

Nevertheless, ratification of a withdrawal agreement by the UK and European parliaments would still permit the UK to leave before October. If this occurred before 23 May, the United Kingdom and Gibraltar would not have taken part in the 2019 European Parliament elections scheduled for that day.[30] On 7 May, the UK Government announced that it would not be able to obtain ratification in time to prevent the elections, although it still aimed to ratify the withdrawal agreement before October.[31] Later in May, they also acknowledged that the MEPs elected would take up their seats, with Brexit not due to happen until after 2 July.[32]

Campaign background

The two major UK political parties, the Conservatives and Labour, saw the prospect of elections for the European Parliament (while the UK is due to leave the European Union) as problematic, with both having been keen to avoid this scenario.[33] The backdrop of ongoing debate around Brexit is expected to be very significant in how people vote, with the election expected to be seen by some as a "proxy referendum" on whether the country should leave the EU or not.[7] Commentators[who?] suggest that the vote share for the Conservatives and Labour, could fall, with voters moving towards a number of pro-Leave or pro-Remain parties.[34]

The Conservative government had made several attempts to get the Withdrawal Agreement they had negotiated with the EU approved by the House of Commons, which would have allowed for the country's exit from the EU. These all having failed, the Conservatives entered into cross-party talks with the Labour Party to see whether they could agree a withdrawal plan.[35] These talks were still ongoing as of 10 May 2019.[36]

The election is seen as being significant for two new single-issue parties: the Brexit Party (supporting Brexit), and Change UK (which supports the UK remaining in the EU).[37][7]

Between the 2014 and 2019 elections, there were many changes to the breakdown of UK members due to defections and changes in affiliation. This table shows the number of MEPs in each party:

Affiliation Members
At 2014 election At dissolution Change
Conservative 19 18 Decrease 1
Labour 20 18 Decrease 2
Brexit Party — 14 Increase 14
style="background-color:Template:Independent (politician)/meta/color"|   Independent 0 6 Increase 6
Green 3 3 Steady
UKIP 24 3 Decrease 21
SNP 2 2 Steady
Liberal Democrats 1 1 Steady
Sinn Féin 1 1 Steady
DUP 1 1 Steady
Plaid Cymru 1 1 Steady
UUP 1 1 Steady
SDP 0 1 Increase 1
Change UK — 1 Increase 1
Vacant seats 0 2 Increase 2
Total 73 73 Steady

Candidates

Nomination papers had to be submitted by 16:00 on the 19th working day before election day (25 April 2019).[38] To stand as a candidate, individuals must be aged 18 or over on the date of nomination and a British or European Union citizen, or a Commonwealth citizen possessing indefinite leave to remain or not requiring leave to enter or remain in the UK.[39]

In April 2019, Labour said it had started its process for choosing candidates.[40][41] 16 out of the 20 MEPs elected last time have applied to stand again.[2] The party's candidates were announced on 18 April and include the former Cabinet minister Andrew Adonis, the former MP Katy Clark and the national co-ordinator of campaigning group Momentum Laura Parker.[42][43]

Following the prospect of a delay to Brexit, Conservative Party MEPs were asked by their delegation leader if they would consider standing again if there were a delay that would mean the UK staying in the EU beyond the date of the next European Parliament election.[44][45] Fifteen of the party's 18 MEPs stood again as lead candidates for their respective regions.[46]

The Brexit Party is running candidates for all 70 seats in Great Britain, with leader Nigel Farage, himself a former UKIP leader, standing in the South East England region, and former Conservative candidate Annunziata Rees-Mogg standing in the East Midlands region.[37][47][48] Also standing is writer Claire Fox, formerly of the Revolutionary Communist Party, and former Conservative MP Ann Widdecombe.[49][50]

The UK Independence Party selected its three remaining MEPs as candidates, along with anti-feminist social media activist Carl Benjamin and Scottish YouTuber Mark Meechan.[51][52]

The Green Party of England and Wales and the corresponding party in Scotland began their candidate selection process in March.[53][54] The Green Party of England and Wales announced a full slate of candidates for England and Wales on 24 April 2019, including one of its three outgoing MEPs, Molly Scott Cato.[55] Also standing is former Lord Mayor of Sheffield, Magid Magid.[56] Other candidates include Catherine Rowett and Rupert Read.[57]

The Liberal Democrats announced their selected candidates for England and Wales on 17 April 2019 following a membership vote. The party's sole incumbent MEP, Catherine Bearder, was re-selected as its lead candidate for South East England, while former MEPs Chris Davies, Fiona Hall, Bill Newton Dunn and Phil Bennion were selected as lead candidates for their respective regions. Other candidates include the entrepreneur Dinesh Dhamija and the former leader of the People's Alliance of Tower Hamlets, Rabina Khan in London, and former MPs Martin Horwood and Stephen Williams in the South West. The party is also standing a full slate in Scotland.[58]

Change UK said it had had 3,700 applicants to be candidates, including former MPs from both the Labour Party and the Conservative Party.[59] Their candidates include writer Rachel Johnson (sister of Conservative MP Boris Johnson and formerly of the Liberal Democrats), former BBC journalist Gavin Esler,[49] former Conservative MPs Stephen Dorrell and Neil Carmichael, former Labour MEP Carole Tongue, former Labour MPs Roger Casale and Jon Owen Jones, former Liberal Democrat MEP Diana Wallis,[60] and former deputy Prime Minister of Poland Jacek Rostowski.[61] It is standing 70 candidates (i.e. all of Great Britain, but not Northern Ireland).[49] Two of its candidates subsequently withdrew from the ballot due to misogynistic and racist remarks.[62]

Jill Evans, Plaid Cymru's sole MEP, is standing as the party's lead candidate as part of a full slate for the Wales constituency.[63]

The Women's Equality Party is standing in the London Region,[64] with the party's co-founder Catherine Mayer as the lead candidate.[65]

Far right activist Tommy Robinson is standing as an independent for the North West England constituency.[66][67]

Further parties and independent candidates are also standing, including the English Democrats and Yorkshire Party.[68]

Nine candidates, seven in London and two in South West England, are part of the new Climate Emergency Independents group. They took part in and were inspired by the Extinction Rebellion protests. However, as they are not a registered political party, they are all listed as separate independents on the ballot paper.[69]

Patrick O'Flynn, the Social Democratic Party's sole MEP, having been elected as a UKIP candidate, stated in April 2019 that the SDP would not be standing candidates at the election.[70]

Northern Ireland

Parties with a sitting MEP European affiliation
Democratic Unionist Party NI
Sinn Féin GUE/NGL
Ulster Unionist Party ECR

Northern Ireland has a different party system to Great Britain, dominated by regional/Irish parties, and using single transferable vote rather than the party list system.

Two of the three sitting MEPs are contesting the election, Martina Anderson for Sinn Féin and Diane Dodds for the Democratic Unionist Party.[71][72] Jim Nicholson, who has represented the Ulster Unionist Party since 1989, is retiring, with Danny Kennedy running for the party.

Three parties have selected their leaders as candidates: Colum Eastwood for the SDLP,[73] Naomi Long for the Alliance Party,[74][75] and Clare Bailey for the Green Party.[72]

UKIP nominated Robert Hill as their candidate in the region on 18 April 2019.[76] The Conservative Party has also nominated a candidate,[77] making the Conservatives and UKIP the only two parties standing candidates in all regions across the UK.

In April 2019, Jane Morrice, co-founder of the Northern Ireland Women's Coalition and a former deputy speaker of the Northern Ireland Assembly, is standing as an independent on a pro-Remain platform.[78]

Parties in the election

Political party Standing in
style="background-color: Template:Alliance Party of Northern Ireland/meta/color" | Alliance Party Northern Ireland only
style="background-color: Template:Animal Welfare Party/meta/color" | Animal Welfare Party London only
style="background-color: Template:Brexit Party/meta/color" | Brexit Party All constituencies in Great Britain
style="background-color: Template:Change UK/meta/color" | Change UK All constituencies in Great Britain
style="background-color: Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | Conservative Party All constituencies in the United Kingdom
style="background-color: Template:Democratic Unionist Party/meta/color" | Democratic Unionist Party Northern Ireland only
style="background-color: Template:English Democrats/meta/color" | English Democrats East of England, North West England, South West England, Yorkshire and the Humber
style="background-color: Template:Green Party in Northern Ireland/meta/color" | Green Party in Northern Ireland Northern Ireland only
style="background-color: Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color" | Green Party of England and Wales England and Wales only
style="background-color: Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour Party All constituencies in Great Britain
style="background-color: Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color" | Liberal Democrats All constituencies in Great Britain
style="background-color: Template:Plaid Cymru/meta/color" | Plaid Cymru Wales only
style="background-color: Template:Scottish Green Party/meta/color" | Scottish Green Party Scotland only
style="background-color: Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color" | Scottish National Party Scotland only
style="background-color: Template:Sinn Féin/meta/color" | Sinn Féin Northern Ireland only
style="background-color: Template:Social Democratic and Labour Party/meta/color" | Social Democratic and Labour Party Northern Ireland only
style="background-color: Template:Socialist Party of Great Britain/meta/color" | Socialist Party of Great Britain South East England only
style="background-color: Template:Traditional Unionist Voice/meta/color" | Traditional Unionist Voice Northern Ireland only
UK European Union Party London, North West England and South East England
style="background-color: Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color" | UK Independence Party All constituencies in the United Kingdom
style="background-color: Template:Ulster Unionist Party/meta/color" | Ulster Unionist Party Northern Ireland only
style="background-color: Template:Women's Equality Party/meta/color" | Women's Equality Party London only
style="background-color: Template:Yorkshire Party/meta/color" | Yorkshire Party Yorkshire and the Humber only

Campaign

Labour

There has been debate within Labour as to what its policy should be with respect to Brexit. On 20 April, the party's deputy leader Tom Watson argued the party needed to back a second referendum on Brexit in order to present a clear alternative to and beat the Brexit Party, but that is not currently Labour's preferred option.[79] A draft of a Labour leaflet that made no reference to a second referendum provoked a public row,[80] including more than 90 Labour MPs and MEPs writing to the party's National Executive Committee (NEC) in protest.[81] On 27 April, Labour announced that the original leaflet draft was to be redrafted to include details of the party's preparations for a general election, with a referendum if necessary to avoid what it calls a "bad Tory deal".[82]

Labour's manifesto for the elections was agreed at an NEC meeting on 30 April, re-affirming its 2018 policy that it will first seek a Brexit deal on its terms (including a Customs Union), but if that is not possible, it will seek a general election, and, if that is not possible, a second referendum. Only one vote was held at the meeting, on an amendment from the TSSA union that sought to commit Labour to a referendum on any Brexit deal, but this was rejected by a what NEC sources called a "clear" margin.[83] Retiring Labour MEP Mary Honeyball criticised this as "Not good enough"[84] and some Labour party members destroyed their membership cards in protest.[85] However, some Remain-supporting Labour MPs and Labour MPs sceptical of a second referendum welcomed the decision.[84] Watson had walked out of the Shadow Cabinet meeting earlier on 30 April in protest at Shadow Cabinet members not being shown the draft manifesto.[86][87]

Labour's 9 May campaign launch stressed bringing the country together. Jeremy Corbyn talked of a "healing process" between those who supported Leave and Remain.[88] By mid-May, Watson and Labour's Shadow Brexit Secretary Keir Starmer were arguing for a second referendum, yet their shadow international trade secretary Barry Gardiner stated "Labour is not a Remain party now".[89] In some voting areas, e.g. Scotland and South West England, all Labour candidates have stated their support for a second referendum,[90] with the UK's longest-serving MEP, David Martin (Labour) among those calling for the country to stay in the EU.[91] Polling in mid-May suggested both Labour supporters and the electorate in general are split as to whether Labour support remaining or leaving the EU.[90]

Conservative

The Conservative government is hopeful of agreeing a withdrawal deal with the EU soon enough that UK MEPs would not take up their seats. The party is not spending any central money on candidate campaigning, and is not going to publish a manifesto nor hold a launch. One Conservative MEP said that the deficit of campaigning would be used as an excuse if the party does poorly in the elections. Many party activists are demotivated given the failure of the government to deliver Brexit.[34] Conservative councillors in Derbyshire are boycotting the European elections and refusing to campaign in protest.[92] A survey of 781 Conservative councillors found that 40% plan to vote for the Brexit Party.[93] Conservative MPs, including Lucy Allan, have tweeted positive comments about the Brexit Party. In response, the Conservative Party issued a warning that individuals campaigning for or endorsing other parties will be expelled from the party.[94]

The Prime Minister and leader of the Conservative Party, Theresa May, had announced her intention to resign before the next general election, but further pressure mounted on her to be clear about her timetable for departure, with May meeting the party's 1922 Committee on the matter on 16 May 2019.[95] This resulted, reportedly, in May agreeing to stand down by 30 June 2019.[96] Campaigning by possible successors accelerated after the local elections.

Brexit Party and UKIP

UKIP argues it is "the authentic party of Brexit, the true party of Leave", to quote party leader Gerard Batten.[97] Alongside the Conservatives, UKIP is one of two Brexit-supporting parties fielding a candidate in every region of the United Kingdom, including Northern Ireland.[70] Batten has criticised the rival Brexit Party as having no policies. UKIP launched its campaign on 18 April, but there was renewed criticism surrounding the second candidate on its list, Carl Benjamin, for telling Labour MP Jess Phillips "I wouldn't even rape you" and producing a video in which he used racist slurs.[98][99][100] Further controversy came as one of UKIP's sitting MEPs Stuart Agnew addressed a pro-apartheid club of expat South Africans in London that reportedly has links to the far-right.[101]

Nigel Farage, the Brexit Party and former UKIP leader, said that there was "no difference between the Brexit party and UKIP in terms of policy, [but] in terms of personnel, there's a vast difference", criticising UKIP's connections to the far right.[102] On 15 April 2019, three more sitting female UKIP MEPs defected to the Brexit Party, criticising UKIP's nomination of Benjamin as a candidate. In particular, Collins noted UKIP leader Gerard Batten's defence of Benjamin's "use of a non-rape threat as 'satire'" to be an especially compelling factor.[103] Two further UKIP MEPs moved to the Brexit Party on 17 April. On 23 April, Farage said that the Brexit Party was not "here just to get a process vote on 23 May – far from it, 23 May for us is just the beginning".[104] He also argued that the better the performance of the Brexit Party, the lower the chance of a second referendum on Brexit.[105] Farage has argued that should the Brexit Party get most votes in the elections, his party should get a seat at the UK/EU negotiations.[89] Farage also said that the party would not publish a manifesto until after the European elections[106] and objected to questions in an interview with Andrew Marr about his past policy positions.[107]

Liberal Democrats, Green Party and Change UK

The three main nationwide pro-European parties standing in the election, Liberal Democrats, Greens and Change UK, wish to treat this election as a "soft referendum" on Europe.[108] Commentators, such as Marina Hyde, have raised the concern of a split vote among pro-Remain parties reducing the number of pro-Remain MEPs being elected.[109][110] Vince Cable, the leader of the Liberal Democrats, proposed standing joint candidates with the Greens and Change UK on a common policy of seeking a second referendum on Brexit, but the other parties rejected the idea.[111] Change UK's co-founder Chuka Umunna confirmed the Lib Dem approach, but he[110] and Change UK leader Heidi Allen dismissed concerns of a split Remain vote.[112] Independent MEP Julie Girling, then supporting Change UK, said she had decided not to stand for re-election as a Change UK candidate because of the concern about maximising the Remain vote.[113] On 10 May, she endorsed the Liberal Democrats.[114][115] Change UK and Girling clarified that she had not been and was not a Change UK MEP, with Girling saying she sits as an independent MEP.[116] On 15 May, David Macdonald, the lead candidate for Change UK in Scotland, switched to endorsing the Liberal Democrats in order not to split the pro-Remain vote.[117] On 22 May, the interim leader of Change UK, Heidi Allen, said that she and another Change UK MP Sarah Wollaston wanted to advise Remain supporters to vote Liberal Democrat outside of London and South East England, but they were overruled by other party members.[118][119]

The Greens said that joint lists are not "desirable" and that there are "fundamental ideological differences" on other issues between the parties that want a second referendum.[120] The Green Party of England and Wales is campaigning on stopping climate change as well as its opposition to Brexit.

The Liberal Democrats are running with a "stop Brexit" message,[121] seeking the support of those who wish the UK to remain in the EU.[37] At his party's campaign launch on 26 April, Cable lamented that it was not standing on a common platform with other parties opposed to Brexit.[121] It launched its manifesto on 9 May, unveiling its campaign slogan "Bollocks to Brexit" which attracted considerable media debate.[122][123] Polling in the final fortnight put the Liberal Democrats ahead of the other pro-Remain parties and overtaking Labour in some polls.[124][125]

Change UK sees the elections as an important launchpad for its new party,[7] seeking to turn the election into a "proxy referendum" on Brexit.[126] On 16 April 2019, two former Conservative MEPs, who had left the party to sit as independents within the European People's Party grouping, supported Change UK.[127] The Renew Party agreed to support Change UK at the elections, and the latter has included candidates from Renew's approved list.[128] Molly Scott Cato, a sitting Green Party of England & Wales MEP, criticised Change UK as "a single-issue party with no coherent policy platform beyond opposing Brexit".[129]

Other parties

The SNP campaign launch was marred by tens of thousands of personalised letters being sent to the wrong people.[130][131] The mistake was reported to be in the data supplied by SNP HQ, run by Peter Murrell, husband of SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon. The party apologised for the error: the party referred itself to the Information Commissioner's Office[132] and may be fined.[133]

The DUP is campaigning on sending a message to "get on with Brexit".[134]

Later events

Local elections were held in most of England and all of Northern Ireland on 2 May. The results saw both Conservatives and Labour losing seats in what The Guardian called a "Brexit backlash" while the Liberal Democrats, Greens and independents made gains. The Liberal Democrats made the biggest gains which the Lib Dem leader Vince Cable put down to a rejection of the Conservatives and Labour over their Brexit approaches.[135] Stephen Bush, writing in the News Statesman argued that the Lib Dem success in the local elections make it the most likely party for Remain voters to rally around at the European elections[136] while The Independent described them as having the "momentum" leading into the European elections.[137] Alliance (the Liberal Democrats' sister party in Northern Ireland), other smaller parties and independents also made significant gains in the local elections in Northern Ireland.[138]

On 18 May, the former Conservative Deputy Prime Minister and sitting Conservative peer Michael Heseltine said he would vote for the Liberal Democrats instead of the Conservatives because of his own party's support for Brexit.[139] Heseltine subsequently had the Conservative whip suspended due to his comments.[140]

Polling after the local elections saw the Brexit Party in front, followed by Labour, with the Liberal Democrats taking third from the Conservatives.[141][142] Conservative sources predicted the party could come even lower than fourth.[34] By the weekend before the vote, the Labour Party were concerned at the increased polling for the Liberal Democrats, who came above Labour in London and in some national polls.[124]

On 17 May, Labour left talks that had been held to find a Brexit deal with the Conservative government.[143] May then proposed to bring a new deal to the House of Commons for a vote in early June, which she described as an "improved package of measures",[144] after which she is expected to step down as Prime Minister and leader of the Conservative Party.

The campaign saw multiple cases of milkshakes being thrown at controversial MEP candidates on the right.[145] The protests began against Carl Benjamin, the anti-feminist social media activist who had attracted controversy for jokes about rape,[146][147] and far right activist Tommy Robinson.[148] They later extended to Nigel Farage, leader of the Brexit Party. Police asked a Scottish fast food outlet near where a Farage rally was taking place not to sell milkshakes on the night of the event.[149]

On 21 May, the Prime Minister and Leader of the Conservative Party, Theresa May made a speech outlining her plan to introduce an EU withdrawal agreement bill in June that would allow the Commons to make amendments, e.g. in favour of a Customs Union or a second referendum, but this was received badly by much of her own party as well as by other parties.[150] There were growing calls for her to resign on 22 May, the day before the election.[150] Andrea Leadsom, the Leader of the House of Commons, resigned on the evening of 22 May. May had planned to publish the bill on Friday 24 May, but on polling day, she abandoned that plan, with publication delayed until early June.[151]

There were several reports on the day of problems encountered by EU citizens not being able to vote because their paperwork had not been processed in time, with opposition politicians raising concerns as to whether there had been systemic failures.[151][152][153]

Party Brexit positions

Party Brexit Position Withdrawal Agreement Position Details
bgcolor="Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour Leave Opposed In favour of a permanent customs union with the EU.[154] If they cannot get agreement on their Brexit plan or an early general election, the party supports "the option of a public vote".[155][156]
bgcolor="Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | Conservative Leave Supported In favour of leaving the EU with the withdrawal agreement negotiated by the current, Conservative government.
bgcolor="Template:Brexit Party/meta/color" | Brexit Party Leave Opposed In favour of "no deal" Brexit, opposes a customs union or membership of the single market.[157][158]
bgcolor="Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color" | UKIP Leave Opposed In favour of "no deal" Brexit without a formal withdrawal agreement.[159]
bgcolor="Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color" | Green (E&W) Remain Opposed In favour of a second referendum.[160]
bgcolor="Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color" | SNP Remain
Opposed In favour of Scotland remaining in the single market and customs union. Supports a second referendum and an independent Scotland within the EU.[161][161]
bgcolor="Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color" | Liberal Democrats Remain Opposed Seek to stop Brexit. In favour of a second referendum, in which they would campaign for Remain.[162][163]
bgcolor="Template:Democratic Unionist Party/meta/color" | Democratic Unionist Leave Opposed Concerns over a perceived risk to Northern Ireland's position in the United Kingdom due to the Irish border "backstop" issue.[164]
bgcolor="Template:Plaid Cymru/meta/color" | Plaid Cymru Remain Opposed In favour of a second referendum and potentially an independence referendum for Wales if Brexit occurs without continued membership of single market.[165][166]
bgcolor="Template:Sinn Féin/meta/color" | Sinn Féin Remain Supported In favour of "designated special status" for Northern Ireland remaining in the EU. Supports a border poll on Northern Ireland uniting with Ireland in the event of "no deal" Brexit.[167][168][169][170]
bgcolor="Template:Ulster Unionist Party/meta/color" | Ulster Unionist Leave Opposed Concerns based over the Northern Irish "backstop" issue.[171][172]
Change UK Remain Opposed In favour of a second referendum,[49] in which they would campaign for Remain.[163]

Among other parties, the SDLP opposed Brexit and supports a second referendum, but it supports the withdrawal agreement if Brexit is to take place.[173][174] The Alliance Party opposed Brexit[175][176] while TUV supported it.[177][178]

Debates

A livestreamed debate was held by The Daily Telegraph between Nigel Farage, leader of the Brexit Party and Vince Cable, leader of the Liberal Democrats.[179]

A debate was held by the BBC in Northern Ireland with candidates of the main regional parties represented.[180] The BBC also held a debate between the lead candidates of all parties standing in Wales.[181]

Endorsements

Newspapers

Newspaper Endorsement
Daily Mail style="background-color: Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color" | Conservative Party[182]
Evening Standard style="background-color: Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color" | Liberal Democrats[183]
The Guardian   Pro-EU candidates[184]
The News Letter (Belfast)   Unionist candidates[185]
The New Worker   No endorsement; encouraged a boycott[186]
The Observer   Pro-EU candidates[187]
Socialist Worker style="background-color: Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour Party[188]
The Sun style="background-color: Template:Brexit Party/meta/color" | Brexit Party[189]
Sunday Mail (Scotland) style="background-color: Template:Scottish Green Party/meta/color" | Scottish Green Party[190]
Sunday Mirror style="background-color: Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color" | Labour Party[191]

Online publications

Organisations

People

Brexit Party

Change UK

Conservative Party

Green Party

Labour Party

Liberal Democrats

Individual candidates

Mixed

Opinion polls

Before the April delay, a number of polls asked respondents to imagine a hypothetical scenario where European elections take place.

Great Britain

Graphical summary

The chart below depicts opinion polls conducted for the 2019 European Parliament elections in the UK; trendlines are local regressions (LOESS).

National opinion polling

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Area Sample
size 		UKIP Lab Con Green Lib Dem SNP Plaid Cymru Change UK Brexit Party Other Lead
style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Plaid Cymru/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Change UK/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;"|
Survation/Daily Mail 22 May 2019 UK 2,029 3% 23% 14% 7% 12% 3% – 4% 31% 4% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-8%"| 8%
BMG/The Independent 20–22 May 2019 GB 1,601 2% 18% 12% 8% 17% 3% 1% 4% 35% 1% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-17%"| 17%
Ipsos MORI/The Evening Standard 20–22 May 2019 GB 1,527 3% 15% 9% 10% 20% 3% 0% 3% 35% 3% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-15%"| 15%
YouGov/The Times 19–21 May 2019 GB 3,864 3% 13% 7% 12% 19% 3% 1% 4% 37% 2% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-18%"| 18%
Number Cruncher Politics 18–21 May 2019 GB 1,005 2% 19% 15% 7% 16% 4% 1% 4% 33% 1% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-14%"| 14%
Kantar 14–21 May 2019 GB 2,316 4% 24% 13% 8% 15% 3% 0% 5% 27% 1% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-3%"| 3%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 14–21 May 2019 GB 2,033 3% 25% 12% 7% 15% 4% – 3% 30% 1% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-5%"| 5%
Opinium 17–20 May 2019 UK 2,005 2% 17% 12% 7% 15% 3% 1% 3% 38% 2% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-21%"| 21%
Survation/Daily Mail 17 May 2019 UK 1,000 3% 24% 14% 4% 12% 4% 1% 3% 30% 4%[b] style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-6%"| 6%
ComRes/Electoral Calculus/Centrum Campaign 13–17 May 2019 GB 4,161 3% 22% 12% 7% 14% 3% 1% 5% 32% 1% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-10%"| 10%
YouGov/Best for Britain/Hope Not Hate 8–17 May 2019 GB 9,260 3% 15% 9% 11% 17% 3% 1% 4% 34% 3% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-17%"| 17%
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Sunday Express 15–16 May 2019 GB 2,041 2% 23% 9% 9% 16% 4% 1% 4% 31% 1% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-8%"| 8%
Opinium/The Observer 14–16 May 2019 UK 2,009 2% 20% 12% 6% 15% 4% 1% 3% 34% 3% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-14%"| 14%
YouGov/The Times 12–16 May 2019 GB 7,192 3% 15% 9% 10% 16% 3% 1% 5% 35% 3% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-19%"| 19%
Hanbury Strategy/Politico 9–13 May 2019 GB 2,000 3% 25% 13% 6% 14% 4% – 6% 30% 0% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-5%"| 5%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph 10–12 May 2019 GB 2,028 3% 25% 15% 7% 13% 3% 0% 6% 27% 1% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-2%"| 2%
Opinium/The Observer 8–10 May 2019 UK 2,004 4% 21% 11% 8% 12% 4% 1% 3% 34% 2% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-13%"| 13%
BMG/The Independent 7–10 May 2019 GB 1,541 3% 22% 12% 10% 19% 2% 0% 4% 26% 1% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-4%"| 4%
ComRes/Brexit Express 9 May 2019 GB 2,034 3% 25% 13% 8% 14% 3% 0% 6% 27% 1% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-2%"| 2%
Survation/Good Morning Britain 8–9 May 2019 UK 1,303 4% 24% 12% 7%[c] 11% 4% 1% 4% 30% 3%[d] style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-6%"| 6%
YouGov/The Times 8–9 May 2019 GB 2,212 3% 16% 10% 11% 15% 3% 1% 5% 34% 3% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-18%"| 18%
Opinium/People's Vote 3–7 May 2019 UK 2,000 4% 26% 14% 6% 12% 5% 2% 2% 29% 1% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-3%"| 3%
ComRes/Electoral Calculus/Centrum Campaign 1–6 May 2019 GB 4,060 2% 26% 14% 6% 11% 3% 1% 8% 28% 1% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-2%"| 2%
2 May 2019 Local elections in England and Northern Ireland[273][274]
YouGov/The Times 29–30 Apr 2019 GB 1,630 4% 21% 13% 9% 10% 4% 9% 30% 1% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-9%"| 9%
YouGov/Hope Not Hate 23–26 Apr 2019 GB 5,412 5% 22% 13% 10% 7% 5% 10% 28% 1% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-6%"| 6%
Survation 17–25 Apr 2019 UK 1,999 7% 27% 16% 4% 8% 3% 1% 4% 27% 3%[b] Tie
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 18–24 Apr 2019 GB 2,030 5% 33% 20% 4% 7% 4% – 5% 20% 1% style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-13%"| 13%
Opinium/The Observer 21–23 Apr 2019 UK 2,004 3% 28% 14% 6% 7% 5% 1% 7% 28% 1% Tie
YouGov/The Times 16–17 Apr 2019 GB 1,755 6% 22% 17% 10% 9% 5% 8% 23% 1% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-1%"| 1%
ComRes/Brexit Express 16 Apr 2019 GB 1,061 5% 33% 18% 5% 9% 4% 0% 9% 17% 1% style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-15%"| 15%
YouGov/People's Vote 15–16 Apr 2019 GB 1,855 7% 22% 15% 10% 9% 4% 6% 27% 1% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-5%"| 5%
Opinium/The Observer 9–12 Apr 2019 UK 2,007 13% 29% 17% 6% 10% 6% 1% 4% 12% 2% style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-12%"| 12%
YouGov/The Times 10–11 Apr 2019 GB 1,843 14% 24% 16% 8% 8% 6% 7% 15% 1% style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-8%"| 8%
Hanbury Strategy/Open Europe 5–8 Apr 2019 GB 2,000 8% 38% 23% 4% 8% 4% 0% 4% 10% 1% style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-15%"| 15%
Opinium/The Observer 28–29 Mar 2019 UK 2,008 18% 30% 24% 8% 10% 4% 1% – – 5% style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-6%"| 6%
22 Mar 2019 Nigel Farage becomes leader of the Brexit Party[275]
Opinium/The Observer 12–15 Mar 2019 UK 2,008 17% 29% 28% 6% 11% 4% 1% – – 5% style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-1%"| 1%
Number Cruncher Politics/Politico 10–17 Jan 2019 UK 1,003 10% 37% 36% 5% 8% 3% 1% – – 1% style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-1%"| 1%
2014 European Parliament election 22 May 2014 GB – 27.5% 25.4% 23.9% 7.9%[e] 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% – – 5.3% style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 2.1%
UK 26.6% 24.4% 23.0% 7.6%[f] 6.6% 2.4% 0.7% – – 8.6% style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 2.2%

MRP and RPP estimates

ComRes, like YouGov in the 2017 United Kingdom general election, employed multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP) as well as regularised prediction and poststratification (RPP) to model voting behavior in every region in Great Britain using large numbers of survey interviews on voting intentions (an approach described as identifying "patterns in responses across [regions] that have similar characteristics, and then work[ing] out the implications of those patterns for each").[276]

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Area Sample
size 		UKIP Lab Con Green Lib Dem SNP Plaid Cymru Change UK Brexit Party Other Lead
style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Plaid Cymru/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Change UK/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;"|
ComRes/Electoral Calculus/Centrum Campaign (RPP) 13–17 May 2019 GB 3,572 2% 24% 11% 6% 15% 4% 4% 32% 0% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-8%"| 8%
ComRes/Electoral Calculus/Centrum Campaign (MRP) 1–6 May 2019 GB 3,583 3% 27% 14% 6% 11% 4% 8% 26% 0% style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-1%"| 1%
2014 European Parliament election 22 May 2014 GB – 27.5% 25.4% 23.9% 7.9%[e] 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% – – 5.3% style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 2.1%
UK 26.6% 24.4% 23.0% 7.6%[f] 6.6% 2.4% 0.7% – – 8.6% style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 2.2%

London only

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lab Con UKIP Green Lib Dem Change UK Brexit Party Other Lead
style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Conservative Party (UK)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Green Party of England and Wales/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Liberal Democrats (UK)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Change UK/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;"|
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 7–10 May 2019 1,015 24% 10% 1% 14% 17% 7% 20% 5% style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4%
2014 European Parliament election 22 May 2014 – 36.7% 22.5% 16.9% 8.9% 6.7% – – 8.3% style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14.1%

Scotland only

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		SNP Lab Con UKIP Green Lib Dem Change UK Brexit Party Other Lead
style="background:Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Scottish Labour Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Scottish Conservatives/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Scottish Green Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Scottish Liberal Democrats/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Change UK/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;"|
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 14–17 May 2019 1,021 38% 16% 11% 2% 4% 10% 2% 16% <1% style="background:Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color;color:#000000;"| 22%
YouGov/The Times 24–26 Apr 2019 1,029 40% 14% 10% 3% 7% 6% 6% 13% 0% style="background:Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color;color:#000000;"| 26%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 18–24 Apr 2019 1,018 39% 20% 16% 2% 3% 6% 4% 10% <1% style="background:Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color;color:#000000;"| 19%
2014 European Parliament election 22 May 2014 – 29.0% 25.9% 17.2% 10.5% 8.1% 7.1% – – 2.3% style="background:Template:Scottish National Party/meta/color;color:#000000;"| 3.1%

Wales only

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lab UKIP Con Plaid Cymru Green Lib Dem Change UK Brexit Party Other Lead
style="background:Template:Welsh Labour/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Welsh Conservatives/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Plaid Cymru/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Wales Green Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Welsh Liberal Democrats/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Change UK/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;"|
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 16–20 May 2019 1,009 15% 2% 7% 19% 8% 10% 2% 36% 1% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-17%"| 17%
YouGov/Plaid Cymru 10–15 May 2019 1,113 18% 3% 7% 16% 8% 10% 4% 33% 0% style="background:Template:Brexit Party/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="-15%"| 15%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 2–5 Apr 2019 1,025 30% 11% 16% 15% 5% 6% 8% 10% 1% style="background:Template:Welsh Labour/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14%
2014 European Parliament election 22 May 2014 – 28.1% 27.6% 17.4% 15.3% 4.5% 3.9% – – 3.1% style="background:Template:Labour Party (UK)/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 0.6%

Northern Ireland

The following polls reflect first preferences only. LucidTalk, 4-7 May, 1,405; LucidTalk, 18-19 May, 1,482

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Sinn Féin DUP UUP SDLP TUV Alliance UKIP Green Other Lead
style="background:Template:Sinn Féin/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Democratic Unionist Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Ulster Unionist Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Social Democratic and Labour Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Traditional Unionist Voice/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Alliance Party of Northern Ireland/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:UK Independence Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Green Party in Northern Ireland/meta/color;"|
LucidTalk/The Times/U105 18–19 May 2019 1,482 26% 22% 12% 13% 9% 12% 2% 3% 1%[g] style="background:Template:Sinn Féin/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4%
LucidTalk/The Times/U105 4–7 May 2019 1,405 27% 20% 12% 13% 9% 11% 2% 5% 2%[g] style="background:Template:Sinn Féin/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7%
2014 European Parliament election 22 May 2014 – 25.5% 20.9% 13.3% 13.0% 12.1% 7.10% 3.9% 1.7% 2.3% style="background:Template:Sinn Féin/meta/color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4.6%

European Parliament seat projections

Based on polls in the UK, Politico Europe has started calculating the theoretical seat distribution in the European Parliament (see 2019 European Parliament election for a general overview). These projections are made using figures from national polls.[277]

Parties Politico Europe (23 May)
Brexit Party 25
Labour 15
Lib Dems 12
Conservatives 7
Others 14

Members of the European Parliament not standing for re-election

Brexit Party

All originally elected as UKIP:

Conservative
Greens
Independents
Labour
SDP
SNP
UUP

See also

Footnotes

  1. ^ In the case of a British citizen who moved abroad before the age of 18, if a parent or guardian had been on the on Electoral Register in the UK in the 15 years before the election.
  2. ^ a b Including the DUP with 2% and English Democrats with 1%
  3. ^ Including the Scottish Green Party with 1%
  4. ^ Including the DUP with 2%
  5. ^ a b Including the Scottish Green Party
  6. ^ a b Including the Scottish Green Party and the Green Party in Northern Ireland
  7. ^ a b Includes independent Jane Morrice with 1%

References

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  13. ^ Representation of the People Act 1983, Section 173
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  219. ^ "The reason people peddle lies about Farage". UnHerd. 17 May 2019.
  220. ^ Patrick O'Flynn [@oflynnmep] (19 May 2019). "Even though they are standing against me in Peterborough (and I oppose their Thatcherite/libertarian philosophy), I can't wait to vote for the Brexit Party on Thursday. Also well done to Nigel Farage for creating it in time to teach the establishment a massive lesson" (Tweet). Retrieved 19 May 2019 – via Twitter.
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  224. ^ Hodges))), (((Dan (23 May 2019). "Just got back. In the end I voted Change UK. Disagree 100% with their Brexit stance. But I spent years demanding Labour MPs have the courage to take a stand, and actually do something about what's happened to their party. And they did. That's more important than logos". @DPJHodges. Retrieved 23 May 2019.
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  226. ^ Zahradil, Jan (11 April 2019). "Postponing #Brexit deadline until October + flexibility to leave earlier is a reasonable compromise. I stay confident we will reach a deal that works for both sides. In the meantime, we in the @ecrgroup will of course welcome our @ConMEPs friends back if they hold #EPelections".
  227. ^ Fearnley-Whittingstall, Hugh (22 May 2019). "I'm voting #Green tomorrow for a People's Vote and a People's Planet. I.e. one that's actually worth living on. #getoutforthegreenparty #peoplesvote". @HughFW. Retrieved 22 May 2019.
  228. ^ Matt Haig [@matthaig1] (20 May 2019). "Labour are lost. Change are the Same. ... So if you're going to vote, You'd better vote GREEN" (Tweet). Retrieved 20 May 2019 – via Twitter.
  229. ^ Jones, Duncan (18 May 2019). "The beauty of proportional representation is that you don't have to fear voting for a smaller party. Your vote still has power, unlike first past the post. Unlike our national election, the EU election uses PR. This means that you voting green MAKES A REAL DIFFERENCE! Vote GREEN". @ManMadeMoon. Retrieved 18 May 2019.
  230. ^ Lustig, Robin (17 May 2019). "How I'm going to vote next Thursday -- and why: 'We're heading for some very stormy political waters. We'll need strong stomachs and clear heads – and we'll need to keep our wits about us.' https://bit.ly/2M3CZxF". @robinlustig. Retrieved 18 May 2019. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
  231. ^ Augustus Prew [@AugustusPrew] (20 May 2019). "I just voted GREEN in the EU election. Categorically remain and send a clear message that the climate crisis is my number 1 priority? Yes please! ..." (Tweet). Retrieved 20 May 2019 – via Twitter.
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  233. ^ Thorne, Jack (23 May 2019). "I've voted (Green incidentally, the first time I've not voted Labour, and it hurt). Please please please vote, these elections may not seem as important as a General Election but they are going to be a battering ram as to our future". @jackthorne. Retrieved 23 May 2019.
  234. ^ Thom Brooks [@thom_brooks] (22 May 2019). "Voting @UKLabour for #EuropeanParliament" (Tweet). Retrieved 22 May 2019 – via Twitter.
  235. ^ delaney, rob (23 May 2019). "Wish I could vote @UKLabour today! (I spent the first 4 decades of my life with the sort of "health care" system the Brexit Party, the Tories and the Lib Dems would like you to have. And it sucks!)". @robdelaney. Retrieved 23 May 2019.
  236. ^ a b c Hinsliff, Gaby; Chakrabortty, Aditya; Sodha, Sonia; Behr, Rafael; Foster, Dawn (22 May 2019). "How to vote in the European elections? Our panel's verdicts | The panel". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 22 May 2019.
  237. ^ Goyal, Nikhil (23 May 2019). "Vote Labour, folks". @nikhilgoya_l. Retrieved 23 May 2019.
  238. ^ Howden, Adam (23 May 2019). "I voted @UKLabour today in the EU election. Voting Lib Dem will solve nothing. We will not forget their coalition of shite. If you can't vote for Labour today then please vote Green". @A_HOWDZ. Retrieved 23 May 2019.
  239. ^ Owen Jones [@OwenJones84] (18 May 2019). "A bunch of racist Thatcherites are on course to win next week's elections ..." (Tweet). Retrieved 18 May 2019 – via Twitter.
  240. ^ Mark McGowan [@chunkymark] (19 May 2019). "We only have a couple of days ..." (Tweet). Retrieved 19 May 2019 – via Twitter.
  241. ^ https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1085447/labour-new-party-rachel-riley-jk-rowling-Jonathan-Powell-Philip-Collins
  242. ^ Zoe Williams (21 May 2019). "Why remainers should keep the faith and vote Labour on Thursday". The Guardian. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  243. ^ Benn  🇪🇺 🔶, Mitch (23 May 2019). "REMAINER PALS: I get that it's hard to forgive the LibDems for enabling the Tories back in 2010 but a couple of points: 1/". @MitchBenn. Retrieved 23 May 2019. {{cite web}}: line feed character in |title= at position 120 (help); no-break space character in |last= at position 6 (help)
  244. ^ Bingham, Georgie (23 May 2019). "Just did". @georgiebingham. Retrieved 23 May 2019.
  245. ^ Sam Bowman [@s8mb] (18 May 2019). "Tbh if I'd known the Lib Dems were using the slogan "Immigration is a good thing" I'd have voted for them anyway ..." (Tweet). Retrieved 18 May 2019 – via Twitter.
  246. ^ Katy Brand (15 May 2019). "Vote LibDem on May 23rd if you want to defeat Farage and his Brexit Party. It's not over yet". @KatyFBrand – via Twitter.
  247. ^ libdemvoice (20 May 2019). "Simon Callow backs Lib Dems in European elections as "only party to have offered leadership and c… http://ldv.org.uk/60863  by @caronmlindsay". {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help); no-break space character in |title= at position 123 (help)
  248. ^ a b editor, Rowena Mason Deputy political (22 May 2019). "Trio of Tory, Labour and independent peers back Lib Dems in EU elections". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 22 May 2019. {{cite news}}: |last= has generic name (help)
  249. ^ Devlin, Kate; Wright, Oliver; Zeffman, Henry (22 May 2019). "Cameron peer Lord Cooper is latest Tory to back Lib Dems". The Times. London. Retrieved 22 May 2019.
  250. ^ "Greg Dyke urges Remainers to vote Lib Dem". Liberal Democrat Voice. Retrieved 23 May 2019.
  251. ^ Eclair, Jenny (22 May 2019). "I'm voting Lib Dem tomorrow/ this isn't partic a strategic vote - I'd be voting Lib Dem anyway". @jennyeclair. Retrieved 22 May 2019.
  252. ^ Fraser, Simon (21 May 2019). "In England, best way to vote in EP election this week, both on substance and tactics, has to be Lib Dem". @SimonFraser00. Retrieved 22 May 2019.
  253. ^ a b "GSLP & Liberal Party leaders call for vote to stop Brexit in European Elections". Gibraltar Broadcasting Corporation. 17 May 2019. Retrieved 18 May 2019.
  254. ^ "Bamber Gascoigne: This is the essential moment to support the Lib Dems". Liberal Democrat Voice. Retrieved 23 May 2019.
  255. ^ "Change UK MEP urges voters to back Lib Dems in European elections". Politics Home. Dods Parliamentary Communications. 10 May 2019. Archived from the original on 10 May 2019. Retrieved 10 May 2019. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |dead-url= ignored (|url-status= suggested) (help)
  256. ^ "Julie Girling MEP - Why I will be voting for the Lib Dems in the EU Elections". Julie Girling. 10 May 2019.
  257. ^ Green, David Allen (19 May 2019). "Ok, politics. Was unhappy with what the Lib Dems did in coalition, and they nodded along with dreadful stuff in legal aid, secret courts, judicial review, etc. No excuses (and I know the excuses). But. Time to support them again, on a small l-liberal, internationalist basis". @davidallengreen. Retrieved 19 May 2019.
  258. ^ "James Hurst". {{cite web}}: Cite has empty unknown parameter: |dead-url= (help)
  259. ^ Emma Kennedy (15 May 2019). "Agree. All aboard the Lib Dem train, Remainers. Let's do this". @EmmaKennedy – via Twitter.
  260. ^ watson, iain (19 May 2019). "'Former @UKLabour MP for leave-voting Thurrock Andrew Mackinlay says he has '52 years membership if Labour' but while 'It hurts...to have reached the decision that I have today' ..'The only major party representing my beliefs in the European Union is the Liberal Democrats.'".
  261. ^ Oborne, Peter (22 May 2019). "Me toohttps://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/comment/why-i-ll-vote-lib-dem-for-the-first-time-in-my-life-9x6mj82t0 …". {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help); no-break space character in |title= at position 111 (help)
  262. ^ O'Brien, James (23 May 2019). "Me too.https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/why-i-ll-vote-lib-dem-for-the-first-time-in-my-life-9x6mj82t0 …". @mrjamesob. Retrieved 23 May 2019. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help); no-break space character in |title= at position 104 (help)
  263. ^ Parris, Matthew (21 May 2019). "Why I'll vote Lib Dem for the first time in my life". The Times. Retrieved 22 May 2019.
  264. ^ Cable, Vince (21 May 2019). "I've just heard that actress Susan Penhaligon will be voting @LibDems on Thursday. Thank you for your support! #StopBrexit".
  265. ^ Benjamin Kentish (11 May 2019). "Liberal Democrats are 'only pro-European party in Britain', Guy Verhofstadt says". The Independent. ESI Media.
  266. ^ Thomas Colson (20 May 2019). "Donald Tusk tells voters to back Change UK candidate in European elections to stop Brexit". Business Insider. Retrieved 20 May 2019.
  267. ^ Hartley-Brewer, Julia (25 April 2019). "My mate @MartinDaubney is standing for the @brexitparty_uk. He's an all round good bloke and would make an excellent MEP - whichever party he stood for!https://twitter.com/brexitparty_uk/status/1121360291084816384 …". {{cite web}}: no-break space character in |title= at position 214 (help)
  268. ^ Blanchflower, Danny (19 May 2019). "Nobody should listen to a word @jeremycorbyn says as he has supported the brexit disaster so don't vote @UKLabour vote green libdem SNL plaid change or anyone who is remain sad I have to say thishttps://twitter.com/jeremycorbyn/status/1130010449368539136 …". @D_Blanchflower. Retrieved 19 May 2019. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help); no-break space character in |title= at position 255 (help)
  269. ^ Freedland, Jonathan (17 May 2019). "Remain voters are left with no choice but to ignore Labour next week - Jonathan Freedland" – via www.theguardian.com.
  270. ^ Hopkins, Katie (22 May 2019). "BIG DAY IN BRITAIN. Britain needs your vote. Take a couple of mates with you. And vote for democracy. Vote to defend the will of the people. Vote because London is deaf and needs to hear you roar. Vote @brexitparty_ukpic.twitter.com/iTNFWaIP56". Retrieved 23 May 2019. {{cite web}}: line feed character in |title= at position 21 (help)
  271. ^ "Duty compels us to vote unionist first". newsletter.co.uk. Retrieved 19 May 2019.
  272. ^ Sugar, Lord (23 May 2019). "you can stop the communist @jeremycorbyn DONT VOTE LABOURhttps://twitter.com/jeremycorbyn/status/1131424517824360448 …". Retrieved 23 May 2019. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help); no-break space character in |title= at position 119 (help)
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  279. ^ Arnott, Jonathan (25 April 2019). "Why I won't stand for re-election as an MEP". Jonathan Arnott MEP. Retrieved 26 April 2019.
  280. ^ Parsons, Rob (13 April 2019). "Yorkshire MEPs Linda McAvan and Jane Collins won't stand in May's European Parliament elections". Yorkshire Press. JPI Media.
  281. ^ Powell, Luke (9 April 2019). "Tory MEP will not stand in European elections due to Brexit delay". Eastern Daily Press. Archant Media.
  282. ^ a b "Two MEPs won't run in Euro elections". BBC News. 15 April 2019.
  283. ^ a b Jude Kirton-Darling (14 April 2019). "Lucy Anderson, Mary Honeyball & Linda McAvan aren't restanding for Labour". @Jude_KD – via Twitter.
  284. ^ O'Flynn, Patrick (9 April 2019). "No I'm not. I won't be standing at the European election. I will stand for @TheSDPUK at the Peterborough by-election". @OFlynnMEP. Retrieved 15 April 2019 – via Twitter.
  285. ^ Gordon, Tom (18 April 2019). "Brussels vacancy opens up as SNP MEP retires". The Herald. Herald & Times Group.

Manifestos

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