2024 United States House of Representatives elections in California: Difference between revisions

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*John Burrows (Democratic), spokesman for [[Fresno]] city councilor Nelson Esparza<ref>{{cite web |last1=Donegan |first1=John |title=Early challenger of McCarthy emerges in 20th District |url=https://www.bakersfield.com/news/early-challenger-of-mccarthy-emerges-in-20th-district/article_7a3a1e68-a341-11ed-8770-7796f5cc7cc2.html |publisher=[[The Bakersfield Californian]] |date=2 February 2023 |access-date=2 February 2023}}</ref>
*John Burrows (Democratic), spokesman for [[Fresno]] city councilor Nelson Esparza<ref>{{cite web |last1=Donegan |first1=John |title=Early challenger of McCarthy emerges in 20th District |url=https://www.bakersfield.com/news/early-challenger-of-mccarthy-emerges-in-20th-district/article_7a3a1e68-a341-11ed-8770-7796f5cc7cc2.html |publisher=[[The Bakersfield Californian]] |date=2 February 2023 |access-date=2 February 2023}}</ref>
*Ben Dewell (no party preference), meteorologist and Democratic candidate for this district in [[2022 United States House of Representatives elections in California#District 20|2022]]<ref name="6/16 roundup" />
*Ben Dewell (no party preference), meteorologist and Democratic candidate for this district in [[2022 United States House of Representatives elections in California#District 20|2022]]<ref name="6/16 roundup" />
*[[Vince Fong]] (Republican), [[California State Assembly|state assemblyman]] for the [[California's 32nd State Assembly district|32nd district]] (2016–present) ''([[2024 California State Assembly election#District 32|running for re-election]])''<ref name = Fong In>{{cite web|url=https://www.kget.com/news/politics/your-local-elections/assemblyman-vince-fong-announces-campaign-for-congress/|title=Grove out, Fong in: Assemblyman Vince Fong to run for Congress after all|last=Garcia|first=Luis|date=December 11, 2023|access-date=December 11, 2023|website=[[KGET-TV]]}}</ref>
*David Giglio (Republican), businessman and candidate for the {{ushr|CA|13|13th district}} in [[2022 United States House of Representatives elections in California#District 13|2022]]<ref>{{cite news |work=[[Politico]] |access-date=October 30, 2023 |url=https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2023/10/30/congress/mccarthys-primary-challenger-00124218 |author=Beavers, Olivia |date=October 30, 2023 |title=MAGA Republican launches primary challenge to McCarthy}}</ref>
*David Giglio (Republican), businessman and candidate for the {{ushr|CA|13|13th district}} in [[2022 United States House of Representatives elections in California#District 13|2022]]<ref>{{cite news |work=[[Politico]] |access-date=October 30, 2023 |url=https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2023/10/30/congress/mccarthys-primary-challenger-00124218 |author=Beavers, Olivia |date=October 30, 2023 |title=MAGA Republican launches primary challenge to McCarthy}}</ref>
*Andy Morales (Democratic), security officer<ref>{{cite news |url=https://gvwire.com/2023/01/27/fresno-state-grad-launches-longshot-challenge-to-speaker-kevin-mccarthy/ |title=Fresno State Grad Launches 'Longshot' Challenge to Speaker Kevin McCarthy|author=Taub, David|date=January 27, 2023|work=GV Wire}}</ref>
*Andy Morales (Democratic), security officer<ref>{{cite news |url=https://gvwire.com/2023/01/27/fresno-state-grad-launches-longshot-challenge-to-speaker-kevin-mccarthy/ |title=Fresno State Grad Launches 'Longshot' Challenge to Speaker Kevin McCarthy|author=Taub, David|date=January 27, 2023|work=GV Wire}}</ref>
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*Mike Boudreaux (Republican), [[Tulare County]] Sheriff (2013–present)<ref name = bails/>
*Mike Boudreaux (Republican), [[Tulare County]] Sheriff (2013–present)<ref name = bails/>
*Austin Ewell (Republican), former [[Fresno County, California|Fresno County]] planning commissioner<ref name=bails/>
*Austin Ewell (Republican), former [[Fresno County, California|Fresno County]] planning commissioner<ref name=bails/>
*[[Shannon Grove]] (Republican), [[California State Senate|state senator]] for the [[California's 12th State Senatorial district|12th district]] (2018–present) and former senate minority leader (2019–2021)<ref name = "politico 2023-12-06">{{cite news|last=Beavers|first=Olivia|last2=Mason|first2=Melanie|date=December 6, 2023|title=McCarthy plans to resign from Congress by end of year|work=[[Politico]]|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/06/kevin-mccarthy-resignation-congress-00130359|url-status=live|access-date=December 6, 2023}}</ref>
*Nathan Magsig (Republican), [[Fresno County]] supervisor (2017–present) and candidate for the {{ushr|CA|5|5th district}} in [[2022 United States House of Representatives elections in California#District 5|2022]] ''(currently running for re-election)''<ref name = "sac bee 2023-12-06"/>
*Nathan Magsig (Republican), [[Fresno County]] supervisor (2017–present) and candidate for the {{ushr|CA|5|5th district}} in [[2022 United States House of Representatives elections in California#District 5|2022]] ''(currently running for re-election)''<ref name = "sac bee 2023-12-06"/>
*Vong Mouanoutoua (Republican), [[Clovis, California|Clovis]] city councilor<ref name = bails/>
*Vong Mouanoutoua (Republican), [[Clovis, California|Clovis]] city councilor<ref name = bails/>
Line 1,779: Line 1,779:
*Garry Bredefeld (Republican), [[Fresno]] city councilor ''(running for the [[Fresno County]] Board of Supervisors)''<ref name = bails/>
*Garry Bredefeld (Republican), [[Fresno]] city councilor ''(running for the [[Fresno County]] Board of Supervisors)''<ref name = bails/>
*Tal Eslick (Republican), political consultant and former chief of staff for U.S. Representative [[David Valadao]]<ref name = bails/>
*Tal Eslick (Republican), political consultant and former chief of staff for U.S. Representative [[David Valadao]]<ref name = bails/>
*[[Vince Fong]] (Republican), [[California State Assembly|state assemblyman]] for the [[California's 32nd State Assembly district|32nd district]] (2016–present) ''([[2024 California State Assembly election#District 32|running for re-election]])''<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.kget.com/news/politics/your-local-elections/vince-fong-announces-he-wont-run-for-congress-in-2024/|title=Vince Fong announces he won’t run for Congress in 2024|last=Garcia|first=Luis|date=December 7, 2023|access-date=December 7, 2023|website=[[KGET-TV]]}}</ref>
*[[Shannon Grove]] (Republican), [[California State Senate|state senator]] for the [[California's 12th State Senatorial district|12th district]] (2018–present) and former senate minority leader (2019–2021)<ref name = Fong In/>
*[[Devon Mathis]] (Republican), [[California State Assembly|state assemblyman]] for the [[California's 33rd State Assembly district|33rd district]] (2014–present)<ref>{{cite web |last1=Gligich |first1=Daniel |title=Fong, Mathis bow out of sweepstakes to succeed McCarthy |url=https://sjvsun.com/news/politics/fong-mathis-bow-out-of-sweepstakes-to-succeed-mccarthy/ |publisher=The San Joaquin Valley Sun |date=8 December 2023 |access-date=December 8, 2023}}</ref>
*[[Devon Mathis]] (Republican), [[California State Assembly|state assemblyman]] for the [[California's 33rd State Assembly district|33rd district]] (2014–present)<ref>{{cite web |last1=Gligich |first1=Daniel |title=Fong, Mathis bow out of sweepstakes to succeed McCarthy |url=https://sjvsun.com/news/politics/fong-mathis-bow-out-of-sweepstakes-to-succeed-mccarthy/ |publisher=The San Joaquin Valley Sun |date=8 December 2023 |access-date=December 8, 2023}}</ref>
*[[Jim Patterson (California politician)|Jim Patterson]] (Republican), [[California State Assembly|state assemblyman]] for the [[California's 32nd State Assembly district|32nd district]] (2016–present), former mayor of [[Fresno]] (1993–2001), and candidate for this district{{efn|Numbered as the 21st district prior to the [[2010 United States redistricting cycle|2010 redistricting cycle]] and as the 22nd district from then until the [[2020 United States redistricting cycle|2020 redistricting cycle]]}} in [[2002 United States House of Representatives elections in California#District 21|2002]] and the {{ushr|CA|9|9th district}}{{efn|Numbered as the 19th district prior to the [[2020 United States redistricting cycle|2020 redistricting cycle]]}} in [[2010 United States House of Representatives elections in California#District 19|2010]]<ref>{{cite news |work=The San Joaquin Valley Sun |access-date=December 7, 2023 |url=https://sjvsun.com/news/politics/mccarthys-exiting-congress-heres-what-would-be-successors-are-saying/ |date=December 6, 2023 |title=McCarthy's exiting Congress. Here's what would-be successors are saying.}}</ref>
*[[Jim Patterson (California politician)|Jim Patterson]] (Republican), [[California State Assembly|state assemblyman]] for the [[California's 32nd State Assembly district|32nd district]] (2016–present), former mayor of [[Fresno]] (1993–2001), and candidate for this district{{efn|Numbered as the 21st district prior to the [[2010 United States redistricting cycle|2010 redistricting cycle]] and as the 22nd district from then until the [[2020 United States redistricting cycle|2020 redistricting cycle]]}} in [[2002 United States House of Representatives elections in California#District 21|2002]] and the {{ushr|CA|9|9th district}}{{efn|Numbered as the 19th district prior to the [[2020 United States redistricting cycle|2020 redistricting cycle]]}} in [[2010 United States House of Representatives elections in California#District 19|2010]]<ref>{{cite news |work=The San Joaquin Valley Sun |access-date=December 7, 2023 |url=https://sjvsun.com/news/politics/mccarthys-exiting-congress-heres-what-would-be-successors-are-saying/ |date=December 6, 2023 |title=McCarthy's exiting Congress. Here's what would-be successors are saying.}}</ref>

Revision as of 21:24, 11 December 2023

2024 United States House of Representatives elections in California

← 2022 November 5, 2024 2026 →

All 52 California seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 40 12

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in California will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the 52 U.S. representatives from the State of California, one from all 52 of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

Six incumbent representatives, Barbara Lee of the 12th district, Adam Schiff of the 30th district, Katie Porter of the 47th district, Anna Eshoo of the 16th district, Tony Cárdenas of the 29th district, and Grace Napolitano of the 31st district have announced they will not seek re-election in 2024; Lee, Schiff, and Porter will instead run for U.S. Senate.[1][2][3][4][5][6]

House Majority PAC, a super PAC affiliated with the Democratic Party, has announced that it will target four California Republicans in 2024: Mike Garcia of the 27th district, Young Kim of the 40th district, Ken Calvert of the 41st district, and Michelle Steel of the 45th district. Garcia, Kim, and Steel all represent districts that Joe Biden won in the 2020 presidential election, while Calvert's district narrowly voted for Donald Trump.[7] There are two other California Republicans who represent Biden-won districts, John Duarte of the 13th district and David Valadao of the 22nd district. However, some Democratic strategists see Valadao's seat as being out of reach due to his pattern of victories in the left-leaning district.[8]

Several California Republicans will receive assistance from Protect the House 2024, a joint fundraising committee launched by former U.S. Speaker of the House and California Republican Kevin McCarthy to support vulnerable House Republicans. Among the representatives included in the committee are Duarte, Valadao, Garcia, Calvert, and Steel, as well as Kevin Kiley of the 3rd district.[9]

District 1

Joanna Warrens
Rose Penelope Yee

The incumbent is Republican Doug LaMalfa, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 62.1% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

  • Doug LaMalfa (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[11]
  • Joanna Warrens (Democratic), farmer and teacher[12]
  • Rose Penelope Yee (Democratic), financial advisor[12]

Endorsements

Doug LaMalfa (R)
Local officials
Organizations
Rose Penelope Yee (D)

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Doug LaMalfa (R) $327,342 $166,639 $527,392
Source: Federal Election Commission[17]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe R June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 2

The incumbent is Democrat Jared Huffman, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 74.4% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

  • Chris Coulombe (Republican), cannabis executive and candidate for this district in 2022[23]

Potential

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jared Huffman (D) $362,497 $246,832 $1,044,475
Chris Coulombe (R) $27,990[a] $16,546 $11,829
Source: Federal Election Commission[30]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 3

Jessica Morse

The incumbent is Republican Kevin Kiley, who was elected with 53.2% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

Potential

  • Kevin Kiley (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Kevin Kiley (R)
Local officials
Political parties
Jessica Morse (D)

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kevin Kiley (R) $1,779,323 $306,446 $1,511,851
Jessica Morse (D) $319,606 $23,307 $500,662
Source: Federal Election Commission[37]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Likely R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Likely R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Likely R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Lean R June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Lean R November 16, 2023

District 4

Mike Thompson

The incumbent is Democrat Mike Thompson, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 67.8% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Andrew Engdahl (Democratic), community organizer and candidate for this district in 2022[38]

Endorsements

Mike Thompson (D)

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Andrew Engdahl (D) $70 $906 $2,270
Mike Thompson (D) $808,767 $1,048,258 $1,388,342
Matt Brock (R) $1,510[c] $1,532 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[40]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 5

Tom McClintock

The incumbent is Republican Tom McClintock, who has represented the district since 2009 and was re-elected with 61.3% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

  • Mike Barkley (Democratic), attorney, accountant, and perennial candidate[41]
  • Jason Kassel (Democratic), college professor[41]
  • Tom McClintock (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[11]

Endorsements

Mike Barkley (D)
Tom McClintock (R)
Local officials
Political parties
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Tom McClintock (R) $502,580 $437,150 $202,970
Mike Barkley (D) $7,938[d] $6,344 $1,672
Source: Federal Election Commission[42]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe R June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 6

The incumbent is Democrat Ami Bera, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 55.9% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

  • Chris Bish (Republican), realtor, runner-up for this district in 2020 and candidate in 2022[41]
  • Craig DeLuz (Republican), Robla school board member[43]
  • Ray Riehle (Republican), businessman[44]

Filed paperwork

  • Omba Kipuke (Democratic), policy analyst[45]

Potential

  • Ami Bera (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Craig DeLuz (R)

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ami Bera (D) $459,095 $394,786 $1,799,441
Chris Bish (R) $34,187[e] $31,391 $2,824
Bret Daniels (R)[f] $4,699 $3,314 $2,384
Craig DeLuz (R) $20,486[g] $19,281 $1,204
Marshall Martin (R) $3,615 $142 $3,472
Ray Riehle (R) $12,669[h] $6,916 $5,752
Source: Federal Election Commission[49]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 7

Doris Matsui
Max Semenenko

The incumbent is Democrat Doris Matsui, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 68.3% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

  • Doris Matsui (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[11]
  • Max Semenenko (Republican), former member of the North Highlands Recreation and Park District Board and runner-up for this district in 2022[43]
  • Tom Silva (Republican), former Galt school board trustee[50]

Endorsements

Tom Silva (R)

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Doris Matsui (D) $462,387 $309,575 $334,151
Max Semenenko (R) $910 $3,059 $8,183
Source: Federal Election Commission[51]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 8

John Garamendi

The incumbent is Democrat John Garamendi, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 75.7% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidate

Declared

  • John Garamendi (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[11]
  • Rudy Recile (Republican), businessman and runner-up for this district in 2022[41]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Garamendi (D) $250,858 $314,555 $1,057,750
Rudy Reciile (R) $3,612[i] $3,483 $622
Source: Federal Election Commission[55]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 9

Josh Harder
Kevin Lincoln

The incumbent is Democrat Josh Harder, who has represented the district since 2019 and was re-elected with 54.9% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

  • Brett Dood (Republican), pastor (endorsed Lincoln)[41][58]

Endorsements

Kevin Lincoln (R)
Local officials
Political parties

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Josh Harder (D) $1,623,754 $488,389 $2,284,967
Kevin Lincoln (R) $300,031 $114,319 $185,712
Source: Federal Election Commission[61]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[62] Likely D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Likely D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Likely D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 10

Mark DeSaulnier

The incumbent is Democrat Mark DeSaulnier, who has represented the district since 2015 and was re-elected with 78.9% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Mark DeSaulnier (D)

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mark DeSaulnier (D) $226,502 $124,252 $677,613
Nolan Chen (R) $2,850[j] $270 $2,579
Source: Federal Election Commission[64]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 11

Nancy Pelosi

The incumbent is Democrat Nancy Pelosi, who was re-elected with 84.0% of the vote in 2022.[10] Later that year, Pelosi announced she would step down from House leadership. Pelosi has announced she is seeking re-election in 2024.[65]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Elijah Blue (Libertarian)[67]

Formed exploratory committee

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Shahid Butler (D) $710 $539 $408
Nancy Pelosi (D) $3,295,587 $2,956,053 $3,933,262
Bruce Lou (R) $7,400[k] $20 $7,379
Source: Federal Election Commission[71]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 12

Tony Daysog
Lateefah Simon

The incumbent is Democrat Barbara Lee, who was re-elected with 90.5% of the vote in 2022.[10] She is not seeking re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate.[1]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Andre Todd (Democratic), businessman[76]

Declined

Endorsements

Tim Sanchez (D)
U.S. Representatives
Organizations
Jennifer Tran (D)
U.S. Representatives
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Tony Daysog (D) $3,005 $2,046 $958
Tim Sanchez (D) $97,485 $87,864 $9,621
Lateefah Simon (D) $861,281 $530,215 $331,066
Jennifer Tran (D) $94,209 $36,207 $58,001
Source: Federal Election Commission[103]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 13

Adam Gray

The incumbent is Republican John Duarte, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.2% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

Potential

  • John Duarte (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

John Duarte (R)
Local officials
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Duarte (R) $1,728,911 $517,569 $1,236,860
Phil Arballo (D) $84,596 $49,692 $34,854
Adam Gray (D) $258,181 $115,328 $197,227
Source: Federal Election Commission[108]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Tossup February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Tossup March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Tossup February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Tossup June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Tossup November 16, 2023

District 14

Eric Swalwell

The incumbent is Democrat Eric Swalwell, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 69.3% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

  • Joseph Grcar (Republican), computational scientist[31]
  • Vin Kruttiventi (Republican), engineer[109]
  • Eric Swalwell (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[11]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Eric Swalwell (D) $1,908,506 $1,554,167 $982,939
Vin Kruttiventi (R) $361,108[m] $136,371 $224,736
Source: Federal Election Commission[111]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 15

The incumbent is Democrat Kevin Mullin, who has represented the district since 2023, was elected with 55.5% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Potential

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kevin Mullin (D) $356,383[n] $312,230 $66,686
Anna Kramer (R) $5,342[o] $1,400 $3,942
Source: Federal Election Commission[112]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 16

The incumbent is Democrat Anna Eshoo, who was re-elected with 57.8% of the vote in 2022 against another Democrat.[10] She is not seeking re-election.[6]

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Declined

Endorsements

Evan Low (D)
U.S. Representatives
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Anna Eshoo (D)[q] $522,891 $444,167 $599,672
Rishi Kumar (D) $35,193[r] $13,162 $20,921
Joe Simitian (D) $133,975 $23,343 $681,003
Source: Federal Election Commission[125]

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[s]
Margin
of error
Josh
Becker (D)
Joby
Bernstein (D)
Rishi
Kumar (D)
Sam
Liccardo (D)
Sally
Lieber (D)
Evan
Low (D)
Peter
Ohtaki (R)
Karl
Ryan (R)
Joe
Simitian (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] November 2023 400 (LV) ? 4% 1% 7% 16% 7% 5% 6% 9% 12% 33%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 17

The incumbent is Democrat Ro Khanna, who was re-elected with 70.9% of the vote in 2022.[10] Khanna had expressed interest in running for U.S. Senate, but instead chose not to run and endorsed Barbara Lee.[126][127]

Candidates

Declared

  • Ritesh Tandon (Democratic), software engineer and Republican runner-up for this district in 2020 and 2022[128]

Potential

  • Ro Khanna (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ro Khanna (D) $5,094,336 $1,496,552 $8,886,305
Ritesh Tandon (D) $3,133 $2,274 $1,168
Source: Federal Election Commission[130]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 18

Peter Hernandez
Zoe Lofgren

The incumbent is Democrat Zoe Lofgren, who was re-elected with 65.8% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Zoe Lofgren (D) $1,146,752 $562,487 $995,634
Peter Hernandez (R) $41,894 $31,259 $12,933
Source: Federal Election Commission[135]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 19

The incumbent is Democrat Jimmy Panetta, who has represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 68.8% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Jeff Gorman (Republican)[136]

Potential

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jimmy Panetta (D) $1,093,630 $487,736 $2,786,303
Source: Federal Election Commission[137]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 20

The incumbent is Republican Kevin McCarthy, who was re-elected with 67.2% of the vote in 2022.[10] McCarthy will not seek re-election in 2024, and will resign by the end of December 2023.[138]

Candidates

Declared

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

John Burrows (D)
David Giglio (R)

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Burrows (D) $547,622 $449,540 $98,082
Andy Morales (D) $113,647 $97,446 $16,200
Ben Dewell (NPP) $3 $0 $565
Source: Federal Election Commission[151]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe R June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 21

Jim Costa

The incumbent is Democrat Jim Costa, who has represented the district since 2005 and was re-elected with 54.0% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

  • Jim Costa (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[11]
  • Michael Maher (Republican), aviation business owner and runner-up for this district in 2022[152]

Endorsements

Michael Maher (R)
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Political parties

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jim Costa (D) $596,031 $334,973 $650,136
Michael Maher (R) $267,859[v] $108,953 $161,129
Source: Federal Election Commission[154]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 22

Melissa Hurtado
Rudy Salas

The incumbent is Republican David Valadao, who was re-elected with 51.6% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Endorsements

Melissa Hurtado (D)
Statewide officials
State legislators
Rudy Salas (D)
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
Individuals
Political parties
Organizations
Labor unions
David Valadao (R)

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Chris Mathys (R) $0 $0 $500
David Valadao (R) $1,705,236 $561,919 $1,191,756
Melissa Hurtado (D) $43,727 $10,334 $33,392
Rudy Salas (D) $220,114 $76,730 $157,792
Source: Federal Election Commission[165]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Tossup November 16, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Tilt R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Tossup February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Tossup June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Tilt D (flip) November 16, 2023

District 23

The incumbent is Republican Jay Obernolte, who has represented the district since 2021 and was re-elected with 61.0% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

  • Miguel Arceo (Democratic), progressive activist[31]
  • Derek Marshall (Democratic), community activist and runner-up for this district in 2022[166]

Potential

Endorsements

Jay Obernolte (R)
Local officials
Political parties

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jay Obernolte (R) $528,980 $151,379 $747,755
Derek Marshall (D) $192,024 $105,077 $101,197
Source: Federal Election Commission[169]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe R June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 24

Salud Carbajal

The incumbent is Democrat Salud Carbajal, who has represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 60.7% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

  • Salud Carbajal (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[11]
  • Thomas Cole (Republican), retired real estate developer[170]
  • Helena Pasquarella (Democratic), teacher[171]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Salud Carbajal (D) $892,594 $380,019 $2,616,560
Thomas Cole (R) $8,920[w] $8,920 $8,920
Source: Federal Election Commission[173]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 25

Oscar Ortiz
Raul Ruiz

The incumbent is Democrat Raul Ruiz, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 57.4% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

  • Oscar Ortiz (Democratic), mayor of Indio[174]
  • Raul Ruiz (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[11]
  • Ceci Truman (Republican), businesswoman and candidate for this district in 2022[41]
  • Ian Weeks (Republican), financial planner[31]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Raul Ruiz (D) $936,836 $472,648 $2,050,983
Miguel Chapa (R) $4,385[x] $631 $3,754
Ceci Truman (R) $42,515 $4,768 $37,746
Ian Weeks (R) $46,846 $25,244 $21,601
Source: Federal Election Commission[176]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 26

Julia Brownley

The incumbent is Democrat Julia Brownley, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 54.5% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Michael Koslow (R)

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Julia Brownley (D) $641,744 $292,448 $698,487
Michael Koslow (R) $16,650[y] $10,211 $6,438
Source: Federal Election Commission[183]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 27

Mike Garcia
George Whitesides

The incumbent is Republican Mike Garcia, who was re-elected with 53.2% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Mike Garcia (R)
Local officials
Political parties
Organizations
George Whitesides (D)

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mike Garcia (R) $2,401,929 $965,510 $1,553,090
Franky Carrillo (D)[f] $34,034 $34,034 $0
George Whitesides (D) $2,231,536[z] $496,325 $1,735,211
Source: Federal Election Commission[195]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[196] Tossup April 18, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Tossup March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Tossup February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Lean R June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Tossup November 16, 2023

District 28

Judy Chu

The incumbent is Democrat Judy Chu, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 66.2% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Judy Chu (D) $687,560 $516,036 $3,517,917
Source: Federal Election Commission[198]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 29

Angelica Dueñas
Luz Rivas

The incumbent is Democrat Tony Cárdenas, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 58.5% of the vote in 2022.[10] On November 20, 2023, he announced that he would not seek re-election in 2024.[199]

Candidates

Declared

Potential

Declined

Endorsements

Tony Cárdenas (declined)
Luz Rivas
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Tony Cárdenas (D)[q] $615,768 $428,128 $426,911
Angelica Dueñas (D) $7,076 $7,102 $5,807
Source: Federal Election Commission[203]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 30

The incumbent is Democrat Adam Schiff, who was re-elected with 71.1% of the vote in 2022 against another Democrat.[10] He is not seeking re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate.[2]

Candidates

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 31

Mary Ann Lutz
Ricardo Vazques

The incumbent is Democrat Grace Napolitano, who was re-elected with 59.5% of the vote in 2022.[10] Napolitano decided to retire rather than seek re-election.[4]

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Bob Archuleta (D)
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
Labor unions
Gil Cisneros (D)
U.S. Representatives
Municipal officials
Local officials
Party officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Grace Napolitano (D) (declined)
Declined to endorse

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Bob Archuleta (D) $436,168[aa] $133,558 $302,609
Gil Cisneros (D) $612,024[ab] $281,130 $330,893
Greg Hafif (D) $718,310[ac] $6,788 $711,521
Mary Ann Lutz (D) $592,421[ad] $14,302 $578,118
Susan Rubio (D) $320,863 $21,847 $299,015
Source: Federal Election Commission[215]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 32

The incumbent is Democrat Brad Sherman, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 69.2% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

Potential

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brad Sherman (D) $626,712 $383,881 $3,211,603
James Shuster (R) $1,545[ae] $355 $1,189
Source: Federal Election Commission[217]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 33

The incumbent is Democrat Pete Aguilar, who has represented the district since 2015 and was re-elected with 61.3% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Potential

Withdrew

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Pete Aguilar (D) $2,390,965 $1,532,082 $2,438,639
Source: Federal Election Commission[220]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 34

David Kim

The incumbent is Democrat Jimmy Gomez, who has represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Calvin Lee (Republican)[222]

Potential

  • Jimmy Gomez (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jimmy Gomez (D) $799,731 $254,716 $1,100,517
David Kim (D) $58,824 $34,262 $24,561
Source: Federal Election Commission[224]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 35

Mike Cargile
Norma Torres

The incumbent is Democrat Norma Torres, who has represented the district since 2015 and was re-elected with 57.4% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Melissa May (D) $6,410[af] $5,836 $573
Norma Torres (D) $308,546 $323,990 $332,803
Mike Cargile (R) $20,550 $11,886 $10,036
Source: Federal Election Commission[226]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 36

The incumbent is Democrat Ted Lieu, who has represented the district since 2015 and was re-elected with 69.8% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Michael Cheaure (Democratic), creative director[227]

Potential

  • Ted Lieu (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ted Lieu (D) $898,384 $887,028 $805,746
Claire Anderson (R) $8,521[ag] $2,579 $5,941
Leah Toomim (R) $8,142[ah] $5,799 $2,490
Source: Federal Election Commission[228]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 37

The incumbent is Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove, who has represented the district since 2023, was elected with 64.0% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Potential

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Sydney Kamlager-Dove (D) $501,454 $389,397 $213,935
Source: Federal Election Commission[231]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 38

Linda Sánchez

The incumbent is Democrat Linda Sánchez, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 58.1% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Linda Sánchez (D) $594,640 $433,687 $604,097
Eric Ching (R) $8,369 $1,591 $11,641
Source: Federal Election Commission[233]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 39

The incumbent is Democrat Mark Takano, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 57.7% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Potential

  • Mark Takano (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mark Takano (D) $468,066 $434,324 $524,948
David Serpa (R) $3,423 $2,000 $1,423
Source: Federal Election Commission[236]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 40

Allyson Muñiz Damikolas
Joe Kerr
Young Kim

The incumbent is Republican Young Kim, who was re-elected with 56.8% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Joe Kerr (D)
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State senators
State assemblymembers
Local officials
Labor unions
Declined to endorse

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Young Kim (R) $2,949,207 $1,125,200 $2,223,485
Allyson Muñiz Damikolas (D) $308,223[ai] $140,728 $167,494
Joe Kerr (D) $478,304[aj] $65,513 $412,790
Source: Federal Election Commission[249]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Likely R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Likely R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Likely R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Likely R June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Lean R November 16, 2023

District 41

Ken Calvert
Brian Hawkins
Tim Sheridan

The incumbent is Republican Ken Calvert, who was re-elected with 52.3% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Ken Calvert (R)
Local officials
Political parties
Organizations
Will Rollins (D)
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Political parties
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ken Calvert (R) $2,647,993 $743,133 $1,974,662
Brian Hawkins (D) $651 $399 $251
Will Rollins (D) $1,742,151 $326,764 $1,460,319
Tim Sheridan (D) $8,316 $2,185 $6,131
Source: Federal Election Commission[266]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[62] Tossup February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Lean R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Lean R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Lean R June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Tossup November 16, 2023

District 42

The incumbent is Democrat Robert Garcia, who has represented the district since 2023, was elected with 68.4% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

  • Nicole López (Democratic), communications consultant and candidate for this district in 2022[31]

Potential

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Nicole López (D)[al] $1,152 $221 $1,231
Robert Garcia (D) $510,091 $361,317 $479,336
Source: Federal Election Commission[267]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 43

The incumbent is Democrat Maxine Waters, who has represented the district since 1991 and was re-elected with 77.3% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Maxine Waters (D) $318,435 $368,568 $185,499
Source: Federal Election Commission[269]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 44

Nanette Barragán

The incumbent is Democrat Nanette Barragán, who has represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 72.2% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Nanette Barragán (D) $424,363 $459,398 $1,468,735
Source: Federal Election Commission[270]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 45

The incumbent is Republican Michelle Steel, who was re-elected with 52.4% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Lean R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Lean R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Lean R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Lean R June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Tilt R November 16, 2023

District 46

The incumbent is Democrat Lou Correa, who has represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 61.8% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

Potential

  • Lou Correa (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative

Endorsements

Lou Correa (D)
Political parties
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Lou Correa (D) $474,752 $200,230 $1,794,664
David Pan (R) $10,000[am] $1,924 $8,075
Source: Federal Election Commission[272]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 47

The incumbent is Democrat Katie Porter, who was re-elected with 51.7% of the vote in 2022.[10] She is not seeking re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate.[3]

Candidates

Declared

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[273] Lean D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Tilt D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Tossup February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Likely D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Lean D November 16, 2023

District 48

Stephen Houlahan
Darrell Issa

The incumbent is Republican Darrell Issa, who has represented the district since 2021 and was re-elected with 60.4% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

  • Stephen Houlahan (Democratic), former Santee city councilor and runner-up for this district in 2022[41]
  • Darrell Issa (Republican), incumbent U.S. Representative[11]

Endorsements

Stephen Houlahan (D)
Darrell Issa (R)
Local officials
Political parties
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Darrell Issa (R) $638,720 $300,732 $955,578
Stephen Houlahan (D) $10,366 $8,901 $12,699
Source: Federal Election Commission[276]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid R February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid R March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe R February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe R June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 49

Mike Levin

The incumbent is Democrat Mike Levin, who was re-elected with 52.6% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Sheryl Adams (R)
U.S. Representatives
Matt Gunderson (R)
U.S. Representatives
Margarita Wilkinson (R)
Local Officials

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mike Levin (D) $1,696,326 $755,635 $1,076,141
Sheryl Adams (R) $213,210[an] $40,531 $172,678
Matt Gunderson (R) $873,610[ao] $83,698 $789,912
Kate Monroe (R) $175,965[ap] $14,789 $161,175
Margarita Wilkinson (R) $1,009,304[aq] $127,451 $881,852
Source: Federal Election Commission[288]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Likely D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Likely D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Likely D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Likely D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Very Likely D November 16, 2023

District 50

Scott Peters

The incumbent is Democrat Scott Peters, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 62.8% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Timothy Bilash (D) $19,361[ar] $16,574 $3,073
Scott Peters (D) $817,883 $539,096 $2,012,744
Source: Federal Election Commission[290]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 51

Sara Jacobs
Bill Wells

The incumbent is Democrat Sara Jacobs, who has represented the district since 2021 and was re-elected with 61.9% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

  • Stan Caplan (no party preference), businessman and Republican runner-up for this district in 2022[31]
  • Sara Jacobs (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[11]
  • Bill Wells (Republican), mayor of El Cajon[291]

Endorsements

Bill Wells (R)
Local officials
Political parties

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Sara Jacobs (D) $598,688 $552,110 $136,604
Bill Welds (R) $334,387 $107,966 $233,599
Stan Caplan (NPP) $15,463[as] $5,982 $9,480
Source: Federal Election Commission[293]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 52

Juan Vargas

The incumbent is Democrat Juan Vargas, who has represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 66.7% of the vote in 2022.[10]

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Juan Vargas (D) $348,506 $214,291 $353,759
Source: Federal Election Commission[294]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[19] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[21] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[22] Solid D November 16, 2023

Notes

  1. ^ $10,500 of this total was self-funded by Coulombe
  2. ^ Numbered as the 4th district prior to the 2020 redistricting cycle.
  3. ^ $1,460 of this total was self-funded by Brock
  4. ^ $859 of this total was self-funded by Barkley
  5. ^ $3,990 of this total was self-funded by Bish
  6. ^ a b Withdrawn candidate
  7. ^ $5,000 of this total was self-funded by DeLuz
  8. ^ $1,400 of this total was self-funded by Riehle
  9. ^ $1,014 of this total was self-funded by Reciile
  10. ^ $2,500 of this total was self-funded by Chen
  11. ^ $6,245 of this total was self-funded by Lou
  12. ^ This district was numbered as the 20th district prior to the 2010 redistricting cycle, and as the 16th district from then until the 2020 redistricting cycle.
  13. ^ $250,000 of this total was self-funded by Kruttiventi
  14. ^ $50,000 of this total was self-funded by Mullin
  15. ^ $3,400 of this total was self-funded by Kramer
  16. ^ This district was numbered as the 18th district prior to the 2020 redistricting cycle.
  17. ^ a b Declined to run
  18. ^ $15,000 of this total was self-funded by Kumar
  19. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  20. ^ Numbered as the 21st district prior to the 2010 redistricting cycle and as the 22nd district from then until the 2020 redistricting cycle
  21. ^ Numbered as the 19th district prior to the 2020 redistricting cycle
  22. ^ $5,000 of this total was self-funded by Maher
  23. ^ $8,920 of this total was self-funded by Cole
  24. ^ $800 of this total was self-funded by Chapa
  25. ^ $5,000 of this total was self-funded by Koslow
  26. ^ $800,000 of this total was self-funded by Whitesides
  27. ^ $225,000 of this total was self-funded by Archuleta
  28. ^ $502,550 of this total was self-funded by Cisneros
  29. ^ $500,000 of this total was self-funded by Hafif
  30. ^ $505,000 of this total was self-funded by Lutz
  31. ^ $100 of this total was self-funded by Shuster
  32. ^ $1,000 of this total was self-funded by May
  33. ^ $5,000 of this total was self-funded by Anderson
  34. ^ $600 of this total was self-funded by Toomim
  35. ^ $35,000 of this total was self-funded by Damikolas
  36. ^ $400,200 of this total was self-funded by Kerr
  37. ^ This district was numbered as the 42nd district prior to the 2020 redistricting cycle.
  38. ^ Has not filed for Q3
  39. ^ $10,000 of this total was self-funded by Pan
  40. ^ $160,500 of this total was self-funded by Adams
  41. ^ $500,000 of this total was self-funded by Gunderson
  42. ^ $150,000 of this total was self-funded by Monroe
  43. ^ $825,000 of this total was self-funded by Wilkinson
  44. ^ $19,000 of this total was self-funded by Bilash
  45. ^ $3,000 of this total was self-funded by Caplan
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll commissioned by supporters of Sam Liccardo

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