2021 Canadian federal election: Difference between revisions
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Revision as of 00:14, 22 September 2021
![]() | This article documents a current election. Information may change rapidly as the election progresses until official results have been published. Initial news reports may be unreliable, and the last updates to this article may not reflect the most current information. (August 2021) |
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338 seats in the House of Commons 170 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Opinion polls | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reporting | 99.40% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/69/CanadianFederalElection2021PollingStation.jpg/220px-CanadianFederalElection2021PollingStation.jpg)
The 2021 Canadian federal election (formally the 44th Canadian general election) took place on September 20, 2021, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 44th Canadian Parliament. The writs of election were issued by Governor General Mary May Simon on August 15, 2021, when Prime Minister Justin Trudeau requested the dissolution of parliament for a snap election.[2]
Based on election night results,[3] Trudeau's Liberals were projected by major news media to maintain their place as the governing party but did not succeed in obtaining a parliamentary majority.[4][5][6]
Background
The 2019 federal election resulted in the Liberals, led by incumbent Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, losing both their parliamentary majority and the popular vote but nevertheless winning the most seats and remaining in office as a minority government. The Conservatives, who had gained seats and won the popular vote, continued as the Official Opposition. The Bloc Québécois regained official party status and became the third party, replacing the New Democrats in that role, with the latter party losing seats but maintaining official party status as the fourth party. Although the Greens increased their seats in the House of Commons, they ultimately failed to achieve the required number of MPs (twelve) for official party status, and no other party won any seats.[7][8]
In the immediate aftermath of the 2019 election, all leaders initially announced that they would continue as the heads of their respective parties into the next session of Parliament.[9][10][11] Elizabeth May said that she might not lead the Greens into the 44th election, and ultimately resigned as Green Party leader on November 4, 2019.[12][13] On November 6, 2019, the members of the Conservative caucus decided to not adopt a measure which would have given them the ability to remove Andrew Scheer as leader; his leadership would still have been reviewed at the party's next convention, which was scheduled for April 2020.[14][15] On December 12, Scheer announced his intention to resign as leader.[16] He stayed on until his successor Erin O'Toole was chosen and remains as the MP for Regina—Qu'Appelle.[17][18]
On August 15, 2021, after a request from Prime Minister Trudeau, the governor general dissolved parliament and called an election for September 20.[2] The election was called on the same day as the Fall of Kabul. In the first two weeks of the campaign, Trudeau received criticism for not acting fast enough in the face of the 2021 Taliban offensive to evacuate Afghans who supported Canada's military and diplomatic efforts during the War in Afghanistan.[19]
Parties and standings
The table below lists parties represented in the House of Commons after the 2019 federal election, and the standings at dissolution. An expected by-election in Haldimand—Norfolk to fill the vacant seat was rendered moot by the commencement of the general election.
Name | Ideology | Position | Leader | 2019 result | At dissolution | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||
Liberal | Liberalism Social liberalism |
Centre to centre-left | Justin Trudeau | 33.12% |
157 / 338
|
155 / 338
| |
Conservative | Conservatism Economic liberalism Fiscal conservatism |
Centre-right to right-wing | Erin O'Toole | 34.34% |
121 / 338
|
119 / 338
| |
Bloc Québécois | Quebec nationalism | Centre-left | Yves-François Blanchet | 7.63% |
32 / 338
|
32 / 338
| |
New Democratic | Social democracy Democratic socialism |
Centre-left to left-wing | Jagmeet Singh | 15.98% |
24 / 338
|
24 / 338
| |
Green | Green politics | Annamie Paul | 6.55% |
3 / 338
|
2 / 338
| ||
Independents | N/A | 0.41% |
1 / 338
|
5 / 338
| |||
Vacant seats | N/A | – | 0 / 338
|
1 / 338
|
Incumbents not running for reelection
The following MPs chose not to run in the 2021 federal election:
The following MP was not renominated by his party:
Member of Parliament | Electoral district | Province or territory | Date announced | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Michel Boudrias[53] | Terrebonne | Quebec | August 4, 2021 |
Timeline
Seat | Before | Change | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Member | Party | Reason | Date | Member | Party | |
Kitchener South—Hespeler | June 6, 2020[54] | Marwan Tabbara | █ Liberal | Resigned from caucus[a 1] | █ Independent | ||
Toronto Centre | August 17, 2020[55] | Bill Morneau | █ Liberal | Resigned[a 2] | October 26, 2020 | Marci Ien | █ Liberal |
York Centre | September 1, 2020[56] | Michael Levitt | █ Liberal | Resigned[a 3] | October 26, 2020 | Ya'ara Saks | █ Liberal |
Don Valley East | November 9, 2020[57] | Yasmin Ratansi | █ Liberal | Resigned from caucus[a 4] | █ Independent | ||
Hastings—Lennox and Addington | January 20, 2021[58][59] | Derek Sloan | █ Conservative | Expelled from caucus [a 5] | █ Independent | ||
Brampton Centre | January 25, 2021[60][61] | Ramesh Sangha | █ Liberal | Removed from caucus [a 6] | █ Independent | ||
Haldimand—Norfolk | May 11, 2021[62] | Diane Finley | █ Conservative | Resigned | █ Vacant | ||
Fredericton | June 10, 2021[63] | Jenica Atwin | █ Green | Changed affiliation | █ Liberal |
- ^ laying of assault charges unrelated to parliament
- ^ to pursue leadership of OECD
- ^ to become a non-profit executive
- ^ revelation of nepotism in staff hiring
- ^ accepted a political donation from white supremacist Paul Fromm
- ^ made unsupported allegations that multiple other Liberal MPs harboured support for the Khalistan movement
- August 15, 2021: Parliament is dissolved and writs of election are dropped.[64]
- September 2, 2021: 1st French language leaders' debate, organized by TVA Nouvelles.
- September 8, 2021: 2nd French language leaders' debate, organized by the Leaders' Debate Commission.
- September 9, 2021: English language leaders' debate, organized by the Leaders' Debate Commission.
- September 10–13, 2021: Advance polling.
- September 14, 2021: Last day to apply online for mail-in voting. Last day to vote by Special Ballot at a Returning Office.
- September 20, 2021: Election Day.
Endorsements
Type | Liberal | Conservative | New Democratic | Bloc Québécois | Green |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Media | Toronto Star[65] | National Post[66] Toronto Sun[67] |
Le Devoir[68] | ||
Public figures | Hillary Clinton[69] Bruce Heyman[70] Andrew Leach[70] Hazel McCallion[71] Barack Obama[69] Andrew Weaver[72] |
Conrad Black[73] Celina Caesar-Chavannes[74] Rick Hillier[75] François Legault[76] Brian Lilley[77] Mark Norman[78] |
Cindy Blackstock[79] Bernie Sanders[80] Rashida Tlaib[81] |
||
Unions and business associations | United Steelworkers[82] |
Campaign
Campaign slogans
Party | English | French (translation) |
---|---|---|
Liberal Party of Canada | "Forward. For Everyone."[83] | "Avançons ensemble." ("Let's move forward together.") |
Conservative Party of Canada | "Secure the Future"[84] | "Agir pour l'avenir." ("Act for the Future.") |
New Democratic Party | "Fighting for You"[85] | "Oser ensemble" ("Dare Together") |
Bloc Québécois | N/A
|
"Québécois" ("Quebecers") |
Green Party of Canada | "Be Daring."[86] | "Faites le saut." ("Take the Leap.") |
Policy platforms
Leaders' debates
In June 2020, the Leaders' Debates Commission released its report reviewing the 2019 election debates and making recommendations for future debates.[92][93] The report recommended a permanent and publicly funded commission be tasked with organizing two debates every future election. It also called for the commission, not the government, to set the criteria for participation in future election debates.[92][93] Below are the scheduled debates:
2021 Canadian general election debates | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Organizers | Location | Language | Moderator | P Participant A Absent (invited) I Invited N Not invited | Source | ||||||||||
Trudeau | O'Toole | Blanchet | Singh | Paul | ||||||||||||
September 2, 2021 | TVA Nouvelles | Montreal | French | Pierre Bruneau | P | P | P | P | N | [94][95] | ||||||
September 8, 2021 | Leaders' Debates Commission | Canadian Museum of History, Gatineau | French | Patrice Roy | P | P | P | P | P | [96][97] | ||||||
September 9, 2021 | English | Shachi Kurl | P | P | P | P | P | [96][97] |
Candidate losses
The following candidates were disavowed by their parties and/or voluntarily ceased campaigning after candidate registration closed, remaining on the ballot:
Candidate | Electoral district | Province or territory | Date announced | Reason | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Raj Saini | Kitchener Centre | Ontario | September 4, 2021 | Ongoing sexual harassment allegations[98] | |
Lisa Robinson | Beaches—East York | Ontario | September 10, 2021 | Alleged Islamophobic tweet (2018)[99][c] | |
Sidney Coles | Toronto—St. Paul's | Ontario | September 15, 2021 | Alleged antisemitic tweet (2021)[100] | |
Daniel Osborne | Cumberland—Colchester | Nova Scotia | September 15, 2021 | Alleged antisemitic tweet (2019)[100] | |
Kevin Vuong | Spadina—Fort York | Ontario | September 17, 2021 | Sexual assault charge (dropped 2019)[101] | |
Michael Lariviere | Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke | Ontario | September 20, 2021 | Unspecified; probably associating proof-of-vaccination systems with Nazism at election debate[102] |
Candidates
Opinion polls
Opinion polling for Canadian federal elections |
---|
2008 |
Opinion polls |
2011 |
Opinion polls • By constituency |
2015 |
Opinion polls • By constituency |
2019 |
Opinion polls • By constituency |
2021 |
Opinion polls • By constituency |
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/8/80/Opinion_polling_during_the_campaign_period_of_the_2021_Canadian_federal_election.svg/600px-Opinion_polling_during_the_campaign_period_of_the_2021_Canadian_federal_election.svg.png)
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/7/7e/Opinion_polling_during_the_pre-campaign_period_of_the_44th_Canadian_federal_election.svg/600px-Opinion_polling_during_the_pre-campaign_period_of_the_44th_Canadian_federal_election.svg.png)
Results
The Liberals maintained a minority government. The results were very close to those of the 2019 election.[103]
Template:Canadian federal election, 2021
Seats which changed hands
Electoral district | Province | 2021 party | 2021 MP | 2019 party | 2019 MP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Calgary_Skyview | Alberta | Lib (7.0% ahead of Con) | George Chahal | Con (24.15% ahead of Lib) | Jag Sahota |
Steveston—Richmond East | British Columbia | Lib (10.0% ahead of Con) | Parm Bains | Con (6.55% ahead of Lib) | Kenny Chiu |
Cloverdale—Langley City | British Columbia | Lib (3.0% ahead of Con) | John Aldag | Con (2.51% ahead of Lib) | Tamara Jansen |
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill | Ontario | Lib (3.0% ahead of Con) | Leah Taylor Roy | Con (2.00% ahead of Lib) | Leona Alleslev |
Markham—Unionville | Ontario | Lib (7.0% ahead of Con) | Paul Chiang | Con (10.58% ahead of Lib) | Bob Saroya |
St. John's East | Newfoundland and Labrador | Lib (9.0% ahead of NDP) | Joanne Thompson | NDP (13.72% ahead of Lib) | Jack Harris |
King—Vaughan | Ontario | Con (2.0% ahead of Lib) | Anna Roberts | Lib (1.79% ahead of Con) | Deb Schulte |
Bay of Quinte | Ontario | Con (5.0% ahead of Lib) | Ryan Williams | Lib (2.36% ahead of Con) | Neil Ellis |
Peterborough—Kawartha | Ontario | Con (5.0% ahead of Lib) | Michelle Ferreri | Lib (4.36% ahead of Con) | Maryam Monsef |
Miramichi—Grand Lake | New Brunswick | Con (5.0% ahead of Lib) | Jake Stewart | Lib (1.07% ahead of Con) | Pat Finnigan |
Cumberland—Colchester | Nova Scotia | Con (12.0% ahead of Lib) | Stephen Ellis | Lib (0.99% ahead of Con) | Lenore Zann |
South Shore—St. Margarets | Nova Scotia | Con (4.0% ahead of Lib) | Rick Perkins | Lib (13.60% ahead of Con) | Bernadette Jordan |
Edmonton Griesbach | Alberta | NDP (3.0% ahead of Con) | Blake Desjarlais | Con (26.23% ahead of NDP) | Kerry Diotte |
Nanaimo—Ladysmith | British Columbia | NDP (1.0% ahead of Con) | Lisa Barron | Green (8.64% ahead of Con) | Paul Manly |
Port Moody—Coquitlam | British Columbia | NDP (5.0% ahead of Con) | Bonita Zarrillo | Con (0.28% ahead of NDP) | Nelly Shin |
Châteauguay—Lacolle | Quebec | BQ (1.0% ahead of Lib) | Patrick O'Hara | Lib (1.22% ahead of BQ) | Brenda Shanahan |
Kitchener Centre | Ontario | Green (9.0% ahead of Con) | Mike Morrice | Lib (10.70% ahead of Green) | Raj Saini |
Maps
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f8/Canada_Election_2021_Results_Map.svg/440px-Canada_Election_2021_Results_Map.svg.png)
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/e/e1/Canadian_Federal_Election_Cartogram_2021.svg/660px-Canadian_Federal_Election_Cartogram_2021.svg.png)
Notes
- ^ Includes Kevin Vuong, who was on the ballot as a Liberal but disavowed by the party during the campaign. He is not expected to be seated as a member of the Liberal caucus.
- ^ a b c Previously elected under the Liberal banner
- ^ Robinson claims the Twitter account was fake and reported to Durham police in 2018 after the tweet was made.
References
- ^ Flanagan, Ryan (September 20, 2021). "Greens win first Ontario seat ever as national vote dries up". CTV News. Retrieved September 21, 2021.
- ^ a b Aiello, Rachel (August 15, 2021). "Trudeau calls federal election, voters to go to the polls Sept. 20". CTV News. Bell Media. Archived from the original on August 15, 2021. Retrieved August 15, 2021.
- ^ "Federal election 2021 live results". CBC. September 20, 2021. Retrieved September 21, 2021.
- ^ Boisclair, Valérie; Girard, Joëlle (September 20, 2021). "Les libéraux formeront un gouvernement minoritaire à Ottawa" [Liberals to form minority government in Ottawa]. Radio-Canada.ca (in Canadian French).
- ^ Connolly, Amanda (September 20, 2021). "Liberals projected to form minority government". Global News. Retrieved September 20, 2021.
- ^ Tasker, John Paul (September 20, 2021). "Canadians have re-elected a Liberal minority government". CBC. Retrieved September 21, 2021.
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- ^ Tasker, John Paul (October 22, 2019). "Andrew Scheer says he's staying on as leader, will fight Trudeau in the next election". CBC News. Archived from the original on October 28, 2019. Retrieved December 2, 2019.
- ^ Zimonjic, Peter (October 24, 2019). "Elizabeth May says she's staying on as leader—for now". CBC News. Archived from the original on July 6, 2021. Retrieved October 28, 2019.
- ^ Aiello, Rachel (November 4, 2019). "Elizabeth May steps down as Green Party leader". CTV News. Ottawa. Archived from the original on November 5, 2019. Retrieved November 4, 2019.
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- ^ "Today, I'm announcing that I will not be running in the next federal election". Facebook. December 30, 2020. Archived from the original on August 15, 2021. Retrieved January 2, 2021.
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- ^ "Veteran Conservative MP Diane Finley resigns seat in House of Commons". Toronto Star. The Canadian Press. May 11, 2021. Archived from the original on May 11, 2021. Retrieved May 11, 2021.
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