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Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election

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This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

The states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Arizona, Georgia, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, and Virginia, with Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin considered to be tossups.[1]

Forecasts

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Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings:

  • "tossup": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
  • "lean" or "leans": slight advantage
  • "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
  • "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory

Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecast to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by all forecasters are omitted for brevity.

State EVs PVI[2] 2020
result
2020
margin[3]
IE
May 8,
2024
[4]
Cook
July 9,
2024
[5]
CNalysis
August 5,
2024
[6]
Sabato
August 6,
2024
[7]
CNN
January 31,
2024
[8]
DDHQ
July 9,
2024
[9]
538
July 19,
2024
[10]
Economist
July 19,
2024
[11]
Alaska 3 R+8 52.8% R 10.06% Solid R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Likely R Likely R Solid R
Arizona 11 R+2 49.4% D 0.31% Tossup Lean R (flip) Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip) Lean R (flip)
Colorado 10 D+4 55.4% D 13.50% Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Lean D Likely D Likely D Lean D
Florida 30 R+3 51.2% R 3.36% Lean R Likely R Very Likely R Likely R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R
Georgia 16 R+3 49.5% D 0.24% Tossup Lean R (flip) Tossup Lean R (flip) Lean R (flip) Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip)
Iowa 6 R+6 53.1% R 8.20% Likely R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Likely R Likely R Safe R
Maine[a] 2 D+2 53.1% D 9.07% Likely D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Solid D Lean D Likely D Tossup
ME–02[a] 1 R+6 52.3% R 7.44% Lean R Likely R Solid R Likely R Lean R Likely R Likely R Likely R
Michigan 15 R+1 50.6% D 2.78% Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip) Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip)
Minnesota 10 D+1 52.4% D 7.11% Lean D Lean D Solid D Likely D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup
NE–02[a] 1 EVEN 52.0% D[b] 6.50% Lean D Lean D Tilt D Lean D Tossup Lean D Lean D Tossup
Nevada 6 R+1 50.1% D 2.39% Tossup Lean R (flip) Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip) Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip)
New Hampshire 4 D+1 52.7% D 7.35% Lean D Lean D Likely D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup
New Jersey 14 D+6 57.3% D 15.94% Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Likely D Likely D Lean D
New Mexico 5 D+3 54.3% D 10.79% Solid D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Lean D Likely D Likely D Lean D
North Carolina 16 R+3 49.9% R 1.35% Tilt R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R
Ohio 17 R+6 53.3% R 8.03% Likely R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Likely R Likely R Safe R
Oregon 8 D+6 56.4% D 16.08% Solid D Solid D Solid D Solid D Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D
Pennsylvania 19 R+2 50.0% D 1.16% Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip)
Texas 40 R+5 52.1% R 5.58% Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Solid R Likely R Likely R Likely R
Virginia 13 D+3 54.1% D 10.11% Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup
Wisconsin 10 R+2 49.5% D 0.63% Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean R (flip)
Overall D – 226
R – 235
77 tossups
D – 226
R – 268
44 tossups
D – 226
R – 235
77 tossups
D – 226
R – 251
61 tossups
D – 225
R – 272
41 tossups
D – 226
R – 235
77 tossups
D – 226
R – 246
66 tossups
D – 196
R – 312
30 tossups

Polling

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Alabama

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
WPA Intelligence August 23–24 & 26, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 57% 32% 12%

Alaska

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Data for Progress (D) February 23 – March 2, 2024 1,120 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 41% 6%
Alaska Survey Research October 13–18, 2023 1,375 (LV) 45% 37% 19%
Alaska Survey Research July 18–21, 2023 1,336 (LV) 43% 36% 21%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Alaska Survey Research October 13–18, 2023 1,375 (LV) 37% 29% 17% 17%

Arizona

[edit]
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 29–30, 2024 618 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 49% 4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[B] July 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 43% 48% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 24–28, 2024 804 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 4%
Emerson College July 22–23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 44% 49% 7%
800 (RV) ± 3.4% 47%[d] 53%
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his withdrawal; Harris declares her candidacy for president.
InsiderAdvantage (R) July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 48% 10%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 10–11, 2024 596 (RV) 44% 52% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 795 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 51% 7%
Emerson College February 16–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 48% 12%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 603 (RV) ± 4.4% 43% 48% 9%
603 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 48% 9%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 31 – August 3, 2024 567 (LV) 44% 43% 4% 0% 0% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 24–28, 2024 804 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 44% 5% 0% 2% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 22–24, 2024 510 (LV) 43% 46% 4% 0% 1% 6%
Emerson College July 22–23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 40% 48% 5% 1% 1% 1% 4%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] July 17–20, 2024 738 (RV) ± 3.6% 40% 46% 7% 1% 6%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] July 17–20, 2024 738 (RV) ± 3.6% 44% 50% 6%
InsiderAdvantage (R) July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 49% 7%
Emerson College[D] July 15–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 47% 13%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[E] July 5–12, 2024 1,101 (LV) ± 3.0% 41% 50% 9%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 10–11, 2024 596 (RV) 43% 51% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 1–5, 2024 781 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 48% 7%
Emerson College[D] June 30 – July 2, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 46% 12%
Remington Research Group (R) June 29 – July 1, 2024 638 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 49% 9%
North Star Opinion Research (R)[F] June 17–20, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 48% 10%
Emerson College June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 47% 10%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48%[d] 52%
Rasmussen Reports (R) June 11–13, 2024 750 (RV) ± 4.0% 40% 47% 13%
Fox News June 1–4, 2024 1,095 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 51% 3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[G] May 28 – June 4, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 50% 6%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University May 19–21, 2024 609 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 41% 18%
501 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 43% 12%
CBS News/YouGov May 10–16, 2024 1,214 (RV) ± 3.5% 47% 52% 1%
Prime Group[H] May 9–16, 2024 490 (RV) 49% 51%
Noble Predictive Insights May 7–14, 2024 1,003 (RV) ± 3.1% 41% 44% 15%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 795 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 49% 7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) May 6–13, 2024 527 (LV) ± 4.3% 44% 45% 11%
New York Times/Siena College April 28 – May 9, 2024 626 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% 49% 9%
626 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 49% 8%
Emerson College April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 48% 8%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48%[d] 52%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024 801 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 49% 9%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[I] April 7–11, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 48% 8%
The Bullfinch Group[J] March 29 – April 3, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 38% 44% 18%[e]
RABA Research March 28–31, 2024 503 (RV) ± 4.4% 36% 39% 25%[f]
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% 47% 11%
Echelon Insights[K] March 12–19, 2024 401 (LV) ± 5.7% 45% 51% 4%
North Star Opinion Research[L] March 14–17, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 46% 12%
Emerson College March 12–15, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 48% 8%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48%[d] 52%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–14, 2024 796 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 48% 9%
Fox News March 7–11, 2024 1,121 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 49% 6%
Rasmussen Reports (R) February 21–26, 2024 1,001 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 47% 13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024 798 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 49% 8%
Emerson College February 16–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 46% 11%
J.L. Partners January 29 – February 1, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 41% 45% 14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% 9%
The Bullfinch Group December 14–18, 2023 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 40% 50% 10%
VCreek/AMG (R)[M] December 1–8, 2023 694 (RV) 41% 46% 13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023 796 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 46% 12%
J.L. Partners November 27 – December 1, 2023 550 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 48% 9%
Tulchin Research (D) November 13–20, 2023 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 42% 42% 16%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023 800 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 46% 12%
Emerson College October 30 – November 4, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 43% 16%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 603 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 49% 7%
Noble Predictive Insights October 25–31, 2023 1,010 (RV) ± 3.1% 38% 46% 16%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 5–10, 2023 804 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 47% 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023 627 (RV) 39% 44% 16%
Emerson College August 2–4, 2023 1,337 (RV) ± 2.6% 43% 45% 13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) July 22–24, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 45% 44% 8%
Prime Group[N] June 14–28, 2023 500 (RV) 48% 52%
500 (RV) 31% 41% 28%[g]
Public Opinion Strategies (R) June 17–19, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 41% 11%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 15–17, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 44% 10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 11–13, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 45% 44% 11%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[O] March 13–14, 2023 1,001 (LV) ± 3.0% 39% 50% 11%
OH Predictive Insights January 31 – February 9, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 39% 37% 24%
Blueprint Polling (D) January 5–8, 2023 618 (V) ± 3.9% 35% 38% 27%
Rasmussen Reports (R) November 8–9, 2022 874 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 45% 8%
Targoz Market Research November 2–6, 2022 560 (LV) ± 4.1% 45% 53% 2%
Emerson College October 30 – November 1, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 42% 46% 12%
Emerson College September 6–7, 2022 627 (LV) ± 3.9% 41% 44% 15%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 773 (LV) ± 4.5% 43% 47% 10%
Blueprint Polling (D) May 12–16, 2022 608 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 41% 18%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[I] November 11–16, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 51% 6%
Bendixen/Amandi International June 17–23, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 44% 5%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] July 17–20, 2024 738 (RV) ± 3.6% 40% 45% 7% 2% 6%
Emerson College[D] July 15–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 36% 46% 6% 1% 1% 10%[h]
J.L. Partners July 10–11, 2024 513 (LV) ± 4.3% 40% 46% 4% 2% 8%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[E] July 5–12, 2024 1,101 (LV) ± 3.0% 37% 46% 9% 1% 1% 6%
YouGov[P] July 4–12, 2024 900 (RV) ± 3.9% 37% 44% 5% 1% 2% 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 1–5, 2024 781 (RV) ± 4.0% 38% 45% 9% 1% 0% 7%
North Star Opinion Research (R)[F] June 17–20, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 32% 42% 13% 3% 10%[i]
Emerson College June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 43% 8% 1% 1% 8%
Rasmussen Reports (R) June 11–13, 2024 750 (RV) ± 4.0% 37% 41% 10% 2% 1% 9%
Fox News June 1–4, 2024 1,095 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 46% 8% 1% 1% 3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[Q] May 28 – June 4, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 37% 45% 11% 0% 3% 4%
Prime Group[H] May 9–16, 2024 490 (RV) 40% 44% 11% 3% 2%
Noble Predictive Insights May 7–14, 2024 1,003 (RV) ± 3.1% 36% 43% 8% 1% 2% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 795 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 45% 7% 1% 2% 5%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) May 6–13, 2024 527 (LV) ± 4.3% 37% 41% 10% 2% 1% 9%
New York Times/Siena College April 28 – May 9, 2024 626 (RV) ± 4.0% 33% 42% 10% 0% 2% 13%
626 (LV) ± 4.0% 35% 44% 8% 0% 2% 11%
Emerson College April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 44% 9% 1% 1% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024 801 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 46% 7% 2% 0% 5%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[I] April 7–11, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 37% 42% 10% 2% 9%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 34% 39% 13% 2% 1% 11%[j]
Emerson College March 12–15, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 38% 46% 7% 1% 2% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–14, 2024 796 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 43% 12% 2% 1% 5%
Fox News March 7–11, 2024 1,121 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 43% 10% 1% 2% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024 798 (RV) ± 3.0% 36% 45% 9% 1% 1% 8%
Emerson College February 16–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 43% 8% 1% 1% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.0% 35% 43% 10% 1% 1% 10%
VCreek/AMG (R)[M] December 1–8, 2023 694 (RV) 32% 40% 9% 3% 2% 14%[k]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023 796 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 40% 10% 1% 1% 11%
J.L. Partners/Daily Mail November 27 – December 1, 2023 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 39% 44% 5% 1% 0% 12%[l]
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
1983 Labs June 28–30, 2024 492 (LV) ± 4.4% 33% 48% 8% 11%[m]
P2 Insights[R] June 11–20, 2024 650 (LV) ± 3.8% 36% 47% 7% 10%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University May 19–21, 2024 609 (RV) ± 4.0% 37% 39% 9% 15%
501 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 43% 7% 11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies May 2–4, 2024 625 (LV) 42% 44% 7% 7%[n]
Data Orbital April 27–29, 2024 550 (LV) ± 4.3% 38.8% 38.1% 13.5% 9.6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies March 14–17, 2024 516 (LV) 41% 44% 7% 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies December 28–30, 2023 808 (LV) 35% 41% 10% 14%
VCreek/AMG (R)[M] December 1–8, 2023 694 (RV) 35% 40% 16% 9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023 1,103 (LV) 33% 40% 10% 17%
New York Times/Siena College October 22– November 3, 2023 603 (LV) ± 4.4% 33% 33% 26% 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023 627 (LV) 37% 42% 8% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
North Star Opinion Research[L] March 14–17, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 33% 37% 18% 2% 10%
J.L. Partners November 27 – December 1, 2023 550 (LV) ± 4.4% 34% 39% 4% 1% 22%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023 800 (RV) ± 3.0% 36% 40% 11% 1% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Green
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College August 2–4, 2023 1,337 (RV) ± 2.6% 41% 42% 4% 13%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023 1,103 (LV) 33% 25% 19% 6% 17%
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 10–11, 2024 596 (RV) 44% 51% 5%
Emerson College February 16–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 34% 47% 19%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Gretchen
Whitmer
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 10–11, 2024 596 (RV) 45% 49% 6%
JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
JB
Pritzker
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 10–11, 2024 596 (RV) 41% 47% 12%
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Josh
Shapiro
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 10–11, 2024 596 (RV) 43% 46% 11%
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Pete
Buttigieg
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 10–11, 2024 596 (RV) 46% 49% 5%
Mark Kelly vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Mark
Kelly
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] July 17–20, 2024 738 (RV) ± 3.6% 43% 45% 6% 1% 5%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Other /
Undecided
VCreek/AMG (R)[M] December 1–8, 2023 694 (RV) 30% 37% 33%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 603 (RV) ± 4.4% 37% 46% 17%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023 1,103 (LV) 34% 27% 17% 6% 16%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 603 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 46% 12%
Noble Predictive Insights October 25 – 31, 2023 1,010 (RV) ± 3.1% 37% 40% 23%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) July 22–24, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 39% 46% 12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) June 17–19, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 40% 46% 12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 15–17, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 43% 47% 10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 11–13, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 48% 10%
OH Predictive Insights January 31 – February 9, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 35% 36% 29%
Blueprint Polling (D) January 5–8, 2023 618 (V) ± 3.9% 37% 43% 20%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 773 (LV) ± 4.5% 43% 43% 14%
Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Mike
Pence
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 15–17, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 45% 43% 12%

Arkansas

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 435 (RV) ± 4.7% 57% 24% 19%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 7.7% 58% 33% 9%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 7.7% 49% 31% 20%

California

[edit]
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[S] November 11–14, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 38% 15%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Institute of California June 24 – July 2, 2024 1,261 (LV) ± 3.7% 55% 30% 15%[o]
Public Policy Institute of California May 23 – June 2, 2024 1,098 (LV) ± 3.9% 55% 31% 14%[p]
Public Policy Institute of California March 19–25, 2024 1,089 (LV) ± 3.9% 54% 31% 14%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[S] February 24–27, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 57% 35% 8%
UC Berkeley IGS February 22–26, 2024 6,536 (LV) ± 1.5% 52% 34% 14%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[S] February 16–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 55% 33% 12%
Public Policy Institute of California February 6–14, 2024 1,075 (LV) ± 3.9% 55% 32% 13%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[S] January 11–14, 2024 1,087 (RV) ± 2.9% 54% 34% 12%
UC Berkeley IGS January 1–4, 2024 4,471 (LV) ± 2.0% 56% 37% 19%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[S] November 11–14, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 37% 13%
Public Policy Institute of California November 9–16, 2023 1,113 (LV) ± 3.2% 54% 30% 16%
UC Berkeley IGS October 24–30, 2023 4,506 (LV) ± 2.5% 46% 31% 23%
Public Policy Institute of California October 3–19, 2023 1,377 (LV) ± 4.0% 60% 29% 12%
Data Viewpoint October 1, 2023 533 (RV) ± 4.3% 67% 33%
Public Policy Institute of California August 25 – September 5, 2023 1,146 (LV) ± 3.7% 57% 26% 17%
UC Berkeley IGS August 24–29, 2023 6,030 (RV) ± 2.0% 51% 31% 18%
Public Policy Institute of California June 7–29, 2023 1,089 (LV) ± 3.8% 57% 31% 12%
Public Policy Institute of California May 17–24, 2023 1,062 (LV) ± 3.9% 58% 25% 17%
UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times February 14–20, 2023 5,149 (LV) ± 2.0% 59% 29% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[S] February 24–27, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 32% 6% 2% 1% 8%
UC Berkeley IGS February 22–26, 2024 6,536 (LV) ± 1.5% 40% 28% 11% 3% 2% 16%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[S] February 16–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 31% 8% 1% 1% 10%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[S] January 11–14, 2024 1,087 (RV) ± 2.9% 47% 32% 6% 1% 1% 13%
UC Berkeley IGS January 1–4, 2024 4,471 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 31% 7% 2% 2% 11%
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[S] November 11–14, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 31% 8% 1% 2% 15%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
UC Berkeley IGS October 24–30, 2023 4,506 (LV) ± 2.5% 43% 29% 9% 4% 15%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times February 14–20, 2023 5,149 (LV) ± 2.0% 56% 34% 10%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Data Viewpoint October 1, 2023 533 (RV) ± 4.3% 58% 42%
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[S] November 11–14, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 53% 35% 13%
Gavin Newsom vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Probolsky Research August 4–9, 2022 900 (LV) ± 3.3% 55% 38% 7%


Colorado

[edit]
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)[T] June 17–24, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 40% 10%
McLaughlin and Associates (R) June 9–11, 2024 725 (LV) 45% 43% 12%
John Zogby Strategies April 13–21, 2024 529 (LV) 49% 43% 8%
New Bridge Strategy (R)/Aspect Strategic (D)[U] March 15–19, 2024 632 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 39% 12%
Florida Atlantic University February 29 – March 3, 2024 170 (LV) 48% 44% 8%
179 (RV) 48% 43% 9%
Emerson College January 23–28, 2024 1,856 (RV) ± 2.2% 41% 35% 24%
Global Strategy Group (D)[T] January 22–28, 2024 801 (RV) ± 4.2% 49% 41% 10%
YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder December 1–18, 2023 800 (A) ± 4.2% 47% 40% 13%
Cygnal (R)/Aspect Strategies (D)[U] November 26–27, 2023 652 (LV) ± 3.8% 45% 36% 19%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 477 (LV) ± 4.4% 42% 38% 20%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 7–9, 2023 500 (LV) 49% 39% 12%
Emerson College October 26–29, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 39% 14%
Emerson College September 18–19, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 36% 18%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) July 24–26, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 43% 6%
Blueprint Polling (D) April 6–8, 2022 612 (V) ± 4.0% 43% 43% 14%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)[T] June 17–24, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 42% 36% 12% 2% 3% 5%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder December 1–18, 2023 800 (A) ± 4.2% 46% 33% 21%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 7–9, 2023 500 (LV) 44% 41% 15%
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Blueprint Polling (D) April 6–8, 2022 612 (V) ± 4.0% 43% 42% 16%

Connecticut

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 19–21, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 40% 11%
Emerson College September 7–9, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 36% 15%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) July 26–27, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 39% 9%
Emerson College May 10–11, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 38% 11%

Delaware

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[V] April 13–21, 2024 310 (LV) 46% 42% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[V] April 13–21, 2024 310 (LV) 51% 40% 9%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[V] April 13–21, 2024 310 (LV) 42% 36% 22%

Florida

[edit]
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
University of North Florida July 24–27, 2024 774 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 42% 9%[q]
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for President.
InsiderAdvantage (R)[r] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 39% 12%[s]
Suffolk University September 15–18, 2022 500 (LV) 46% 44% 10%
Victory Insights September 16–18, 2021 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 51%
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 31 – August 3, 2024 976 (LV) 47% 41% 5% 0% 1% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 22–24, 2024 572 (LV) 47% 39% 5% 0% 1% 8%
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
InsiderAdvantage (R)[r] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 44% 6%[t]
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University June 8–9, 2024 883 (A) ± 3.3% 46% 42% 13%
771 (LV) ± 3.3% 49% 43% 8%
The Tyson Group (R) June 6–9, 2024 1,050 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 36% 18%
Fox News June 1–4, 2024 1,075 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 46% 4%
CBS News/YouGov May 10–16, 2024 1,209 (RV) ± 3.9% 54% 45% 1%
Prime Group[H] May 9–16, 2024 486 (RV) 53% 47%
Cherry Communications (R)[W] April 28 – May 7, 2024 609 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 42% 7%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University April 15–17, 2024 865 (RV) ± 3.3% 50% 42% 8%
815 (LV) ± 3.3% 51% 43% 6%
Emerson College April 9–10, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 56% 44%
St. Pete Polls March 11–13, 2024 1,963 (LV) ± 2.2% 48% 42% 10%
Cygnal (R) November 13–15, 2023 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 43% 9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University October 27 – November 11, 2023 946 (RV) ± 3.2% 49% 39% 12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023 1,100 (RV) 44% 39% 17%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University June 27 – July 1, 2023 933 (RV) ± 3.2% 49% 39% 2%
Metropolitan Research Services March 15–19, 2023 1,001 (RV) 47% 43% 10%
Emerson College March 13–15, 2023 1,153 (RV) ± 2.8% 44% 44% 12%
University of North Florida February 25 – March 7, 2023 1,452 (RV) ± 2.6% 50% 43% 7%
Victory Insights November 16–17, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 49% 51%
Rasmussen Reports (R) November 8–9, 2022 1,224 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 40% 11%
Florida Atlantic University October 12–16, 2022 719 (LV) ± 3.7% 45% 41% 14%
Suffolk University September 15–18, 2022 500 (LV) 47% 44% 9%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 815 (LV) ± 4.3% 49% 41% 10%
Suffolk University January 26–29, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 44% 9%
Victory Insights September 16–18, 2021 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 51%
St. Pete Polls August 16–17, 2021 2,068 (RV) ± 2.2% 47% 48% 5%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) August 4–10, 2021 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 42% 50% 8%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Fox News June 1–4, 2024 1,075 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 40% 7% 2% 1% 3%
Prime Group[H] May 9–16, 2024 486 (RV) 48% 39% 9% 3% 1%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University June 8–9, 2024 883 (A) ± 3.3% 43% 37% 10% 10%
771 (LV) ± 3.3% 45% 40% 8% 6%
Cherry Communications (R)[W] April 28 – May 7, 2024 609 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 37% 10% 7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies May 2-4, 2024 586 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 38% 6% 9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University April 15–17, 2024 865 (RV) ± 3.3% 48% 38% 7% 7%
815 (LV) ± 3.3% 49% 40% 6% 5%
USA Today/Ipsos April 5–7, 2024 1,014 (A) ± 4.1% 39% 31% 7% 23%
Emerson College April 9–10, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 35% 6% 11%[u]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies March 14–17, 2024 815 (LV) 46% 39% 7% 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies December 28–30, 2023 1,147 (LV) 45% 34% 9% 12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023 897 (LV) 44% 34% 9% 13%
Cygnal (R) November 13–15, 2023 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 44% 37% 11% 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023 1100 (LV) 44% 37% 8% 11%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Hillary
Clinton
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Suffolk University January 26–29, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 42% 9%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023 897 (LV) 27% 32% 16% 24%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023 897 (LV) 38% 34% 12% 16%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R) November 13–15, 2023 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 46% 43% 11%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University October 27 – November 11, 2023 946 (RV) ± 3.2% 47% 39% 15%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University June 27 – July 1, 2023 933 (RV) ± 3.2% 49% 36% 15%
Emerson College March 13–15, 2023 1,153 (RV) ± 2.8% 46% 43% 11%
University of North Florida February 25 – March 7, 2023 1,452 (RV) ± 2.6% 51% 42% 8%
Cherry Communications February 10–19, 2023 608 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 38% 13%
Victory Insights November 16–17, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 53% 47%
Suffolk University September 15–18, 2022 500 (LV) 52% 44% 4%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 815 (LV) ± 4.3% 51% 42% 7%
Suffolk University January 26–29, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 44% 4%
Victory Insights September 16–18, 2021 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 51%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) September 11–12, 2021 1,144 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 55%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) August 4–10, 2021 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 47% 49% 4%
Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Suffolk University September 15–18, 2022 500 (LV) 52% 40% 8%
Victory Insights September 16–18, 2021 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 51% 49%
Ron DeSantis vs. Hillary Clinton
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Hillary
Clinton
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Suffolk University January 26–29, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 53% 40% 7%

Georgia

[edit]
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Trafalgar Group (R)/InsiderAdvantage (R) July 29–30, 2024 – (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 49% 4%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 29–30, 2024 662 (RV) ± 3.8% 48% 47% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 24–28, 2024 799 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 47% 5%
SoCal Research (R)[X] July 25–26, 2024 505 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 50% 4%
Emerson College July 22–23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 48% 6%
800 (RV) ± 3.4% 49%[d] 51%
Landmark Communications July 22, 2024 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 47% 48% 5%
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for President.
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[Y] July 9–18, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 46% 51% 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[v] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.1% 37% 47% 16%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University July 12–15, 2024 640 (RV) ± 3.6% 42% 46% 12%
549 (LV) ± 3.6% 43% 49% 8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 795 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 49% 10%
Emerson College February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 51% 8%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 629 (RV) ± 4.5% 44% 45% 11%
629 (LV) ± 4.5% 44% 47% 9%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 31 – August 3, 2024 1,128 (LV) 44% 46% 3% 1% 0% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 24–28, 2024 799 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 45% 4% 0% 4% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 22–24, 2024 1,180 (LV) 42% 47% 3% 1% 0% 7%
Emerson College July 22–23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 43% 46% 4% 1% 1% 0% 5%
Landmark Communications July 22, 2024 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 44% 46% 4% 1% 0% 0% 5%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University July 12–15, 2024 640 (RV) ± 3.6% 37% 46% 8% 9%
549 (LV) ± 3.6% 38% 49% 6% 7%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[Y] July 9–18, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 48% 7%
Emerson College[D] July 15–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 47% 12%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[v] July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.1% 44% 47% 9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University July 12–15, 2024 981 (LV) ± 3.9% 43% 49% 8%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[E] July 5–12, 2024 1,015 (LV) ± 3.0% 43% 48% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 1–5, 2024 790 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 47% 7%
Emerson College[D] June 30 – July 2, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 47% 11%
Emerson College June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 45% 14%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48%[d] 52%
Quinnipiac University May 30 – June 3, 2024 1,203 (RV) ± 2.8% 44% 49% 7%
Prime Group[H] May 9–16, 2024 470 (RV) 49% 51%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 795 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% 9%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) May 6–13, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 47% 9%
New York Times/Siena College April 28 – May 9, 2024 604 (RV) ± 4.6% 39% 49% 12%
604 (LV) ± 4.6% 41% 50% 9%
North Star Opinion Research[L] May 1–5, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 49% 12%
Emerson College April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% 9%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 49%[d] 51%
Fox News April 11–16, 2024 1,128 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 51% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024 802 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 49% 8%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 43% 44% 13%
Echelon Insights[Z] March 12–19, 2024 400 (LV) ± 5.7% 42% 52% 6%
Marist College March 11–14, 2024 1,177 (RV) ± 3.7% 47% 51% 2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–12, 2024 788 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 49% 9%
CBS News/YouGov March 4–11, 2024 1,133 (RV) ± 3.9% 48% 51% 1%
Emerson College March 5–7, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 46% 12%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48%[d] 52%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 49% 8%
Emerson College February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 48% 10%
Fox News January 26–30, 2024 1,119 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 51% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024 798 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 49% 10%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution January 3–11, 2024 1,007 (RV) ± 3.1% 37% 45% 18%
CNN/SSRS November 30 – December 7, 2023 1,068 (RV) ± 3.3% 44% 49% 7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023 801 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 49% 8%
J.L. Partners November 27 – December 1, 2023 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 46% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023 803 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 48% 11%
Emerson College October 30 – November 4, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 47% 14%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[Y] October 30 – November 3, 2023 1,002 (LV) ± 3.1% 44% 45% 11%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 629 (RV) ± 4.5% 43% 49% 8%
Zogby Analytics October 9–12, 2023 628 (LV) ± 3.9% 49% 51%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 5–10, 2023 801 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 48% 9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023 761 (LV) 40% 43% 17%
Rasmussen Reports (R) September 8–11, 2023 1,061 (LV) ± 3.0% 38% 47% 15%
Prime Group[AA] June 14–28, 2023 500 (RV) 48% 52%
500 (RV) 36% 45% 19%[w]
Cygnal (R)[AB] June 5–7, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4% 41% 42% 17%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 15–17, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 43% 13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 25–27, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 43% 13%
Emerson College November 28–30, 2022 888 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 43% 13%
University of Massachusetts Lowell November 18–28, 2022 1,300 (LV) ± 3.2% 47% 43% 7%
Targoz Market Research November 2–6, 2022 579 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 52% 5%
Emerson College October 28–31, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% 9%
Rasmussen Reports (R) October 23–24, 2022 1,053 (LV) ± 3.0% 39% 47% 14%
Emerson College October 6–7, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 43% 45% 12%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 751 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 45% 8%
Emerson College August 28–29, 2022 600 (LV) ± 3.9% 46% 51% 3%
PEM Management Corporation (R)[AC] July 22–24, 2022 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 40% 48% 12%
East Carolina University June 6–9, 2022 868 (RV) ± 3.9% 40% 47% 13%
Blueprint Polling (D) March 2–8, 2022 662 (V) ± 3.9% 36% 50% 14%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[I] November 11–16, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 48% 7%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[D] July 15–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 44% 6% 2% 1% 8%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[E] July 5–12, 2024 1,015 (LV) ± 3.0% 39% 44% 10% 1% 0% 6%
YouGov[P] July 4–12, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.6% 40% 44% 5% 1% 1% 14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 1–5, 2024 790 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 44% 7% 1% 0% 6%
Emerson College June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 45% 6% 1% 1% 10%
Quinnipiac University May 30 – June 3, 2024 1,203 (RV) ± 2.8% 37% 43% 8% 3% 2% 7%[x]
Prime Group[H] May 9–16, 2024 470 (RV) 41% 42% 11% 5% 1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 795 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 44% 8% 1% 1% 7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) May 6–13, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 38% 42% 10% 2% 1% 7%
New York Times/Siena College April 28 – May 9, 2024 604 (RV) ± 4.6% 31% 39% 9% 0% 1% 20%[y]
604 (LV) ± 4.6% 34% 42% 8% 0% 0% 16%[z]
Emerson College April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 45% 5% 2% 2% 8%
Fox News April 11–16, 2024 1,128 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 46% 7% 1% 2% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024 802 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 45% 7% 1% 1% 6%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 35% 38% 8% 2% 1% 16%
Emerson College March 5–7, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 44% 5% 2% 1% 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–12, 2024 788 (RV) ± 3.0% 38% 45% 7% 2% 0% 8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.0% 38% 45% 6% 1% 1% 9%
Emerson College February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 36% 45% 6% 1% 1% 11%
Fox News January 26–30, 2024 1,119 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 45% 8% 3% 1% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024 798 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 44% 8% 1% 1% 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023 801 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 44% 6% 2% 1% 10%
J.L. Partners/Daily Mail November 27 – December 1, 2023 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 41% 45% 2% 1% 0% 10%[aa]
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
P2 Insights[R] June 11–20, 2024 650 (LV) ± 3.8% 35% 45% 6% 14%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[Y] June 11–20, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 38% 43% 9% 10%[ab]
North Star Opinion Research[L] May 1–5, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 33% 41% 13% 13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies May 2–4, 2024 610 (LV) 38% 43% 5% 14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies March 14–17, 2024 760 (LV) 41% 44% 6% 9%
Marist College March 11–14, 2024 1,177 (RV) ± 3.7% 40% 45% 14% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies December 28–30, 2023 953 (LV) 34% 42% 8% 16%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023 746 (LV) 35% 45% 7% 14%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 629 (LV) ± 4.5% 29% 36% 24% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023 761 (LV) 38% 41% 8% 13%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
CNN/SSRS November 30 – December 7, 2023 1068 (RV) ± 3.3% 34% 42% 15% 6% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023 803 (RV) ± 3.0% 34% 43% 10% 1% 12%
Zogby Analytics October 9–12, 2023 628 (LV) ± 3.9% 36% 44% 15% 5%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Other /
Undecided
CNN/SSRS November 30 – December 7, 2023 1,068 (RV) ± 3.3% 43% 49% 8%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[Y] October 30 – November 3, 2023 1,002 (LV) ± 3.1% 41% 43% 16%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 629 (RV) ± 4.5% 40% 45% 15%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023 746 (LV) 35% 27% 17% 5% 15%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
CNN/SSRS November 30 – December 7, 2023 1,068 (RV) ± 3.3% 48% 45% 7%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[Y] October 30 – November 3, 2023 1,002 (LV) ± 3.1% 43% 42% 15%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 629 (RV) ± 4.5% 44% 45% 11%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 15–17, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 45%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 25–27, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 47% 11%
Emerson College November 28–30, 2022 888 (LV) ± 3.2% 43% 47% 10%
University of Massachusetts Lowell November 18–28, 2022 1,300 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 47% 7%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 751 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 42% 11%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023 746 (LV) 36% 34% 14% 4% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Mike
Pence
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 15–17, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 43%
Joe Biden vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[AB] June 5–7, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4% 38% 48% 14%
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 32% 51% 17%

Idaho

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 490 (RV) ±4.4% 55% 26% 19%

Illinois

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Cor Stratagies[12] August 24–27, 2023 811 (RV) 53% 35% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 468 (RV) ± 4.5% 43% 34% 23%
Cor Stratagies[12] August 24–27, 2023 811 (RV) 55% 35% 10%
Emerson College October 20–24, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 37% 14%
Public Policy Polling October 10–11, 2022 770 (LV) ± 3.5% 51% 42% 7%
Emerson College September 21–23, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 38% 11%
J. B. Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
J. B.
Pritzker
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 10–11, 2022 770 (LV) ± 3.5% 51% 42% 7%

Indiana

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College March 2–5, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 55% 34% 11%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 462 (RV) ± 4.5% 48% 29% 24%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College March 2–5, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44.5% 28.7% 26.8%

Iowa

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[AD] July 8–9, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 39% 10%
Selzer & Co.[AE] February 25–28, 2024 640 (LV) ± 3.9% 48% 33% 19%[ac]
Cygnal (R)[AD] February 13–14, 2024 600 (LV) ± 3.9% 49% 40% 11%
John Zogby Strategies January 2–4, 2024 500 (LV) 51% 39% 10%
Emerson College December 15–17, 2023 1,094 (RV) ± 2.9% 48% 40% 12%
Emerson College May 19–22, 2023 1,064 (RV) ± 2.9% 49% 38% 13%
Emerson College October 2–4, 2022 959 (LV) ± 3.1% 47% 39% 14%
Cygnal (R)[AD] October 2–4, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 41% 8%
Cygnal (R)[AD] July 13–14, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 40% 9%
Cygnal (R)[ad][AD] February 20–22, 2022 610 (LV) ± 3.9% 53% 38% 9%
Selzer & Co. November 7–10, 2021 658 (LV) ± 3.8% 51% 40% 9%
Cygnal (R)[AD] October 18–19, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 54% 41% 5%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Selzer & Co.[AE] June 9–14, 2024 632 (LV) ± 3.9% 50% 32% 9% 2% 7%[ae]
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College May 19–22, 2023 1,064 (RV) ± 2.9% 45% 38% 17%

Kansas

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 487 (RV) ± 4.4% 47% 31% 22%
Emerson College October 27–29, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 37% 13%
Emerson College September 15–18, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 36% 12%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 392 (LV) ± 7.5% 52% 41% 7%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 392 (LV) ± 7.5% 50% 39% 11%

Kentucky

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 1–3, 2023 450 (RV) ± 4.6% 55% 26% 19%
Public Policy Polling (D) August 9–10, 2023 737 (V) 55% 34% 11%
co/efficient (R) May 18–19, 2023 987 (LV) ± 3.1% 57% 33% 10%

Louisiana

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Faucheux Strategies[AF] April 22–26, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 52% 38% 10%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 506 (LV) ± 6.5% 51% 36% 13%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Faucheux Strategies[AF] April 22–26, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 33% 10% 2% 1% 6%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 506 (LV) ± 6.5% 46% 33% 21%

Maine

[edit]
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire July 23–25, 2024 1,445 (LV) ± 2.6% 54% 45% 1%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire July 23–25, 2024 1,445 (LV) ± 2.6% 48% 40% 4% 1% 1% 1% 5%[af]
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research February 6–14, 2024 791 (LV) ± 3.5% 31% 38% 30%[ag]
Digital Research October 3 – November 2, 2023 614 (RV) ± 3.9% 36% 35% 29%[ah]
Emerson College September 19–20, 2022 1,164 (LV) ± 2.8% 51% 40% 9%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
RCV
count
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Digital Research April 8–30, 2024 809 (RV) ± 4.0% 1 40% 41% 10% 1% 6% 2%
2 41% 41% 11% 1% 6%
3 41% 42% 11% 6%
4 42% 43% 15%
5 51% 49%

Maine's 1st congressional district

[edit]
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research February 6–14, 2024 791 (LV) ± 3.5% 39% 31% 31%[ai]
Digital Research October 3 – November 2, 2023 307 (RV) 43% 27% 30%

Maine's 2nd congressional district

[edit]
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research February 6–14, 2024 791 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 25% 30%[aj]
Digital Research October 3 – November 2, 2023 307 (RV) 42% 28% 30%

Maryland

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[ak]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) June 19–20, 2024 635 (V) ± 3.9% 56% 30% 15%
Emerson College May 6–8, 2024 1,115 (RV) ± 2.9% 56% 35% 9%
Public Policy Polling (D)[AG] May 6–7, 2024 719 (V) ± 3.7% 60% 32% 8%
Emerson College February 12–13, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 55% 32% 13%
Gonzales Research January 23 – February 2, 2024 815 (RV) ± 3.5% 53% 32% 15%
Gonzales Research September 18–28, 2023 818 (LV) ± 3.5% 56% 30% 13%
Gonzales Research May 30 – June 6, 2023 841 (RV) ± 3.5% 52% 35% 13%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[ak]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College May 6–8, 2024 1,115 (RV) ± 2.9% 50% 33% 6% 4% 1% 6%
Emerson College February 12−13, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 32% 6% 1% 1% 13%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[ak]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Gonzales Research January 23 – February 2, 2024 815 (RV) ± 3.5% 45% 28% 18% 9%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[ak]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Gonzales Research January 23 – February 2, 2024 815 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 36% 14%
Gonzales Research September 18–28, 2023 818 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 36% 11%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[ak]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Gonzales Research September 18–28, 2023 818 (LV) ± 3.5% 56% 35% 9%
Gonzales Research May 30 – June 6, 2023 841 (RV) ± 3.5% 51% 37% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[ak]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Gonzales Research September 18–28, 2023 818 (LV) ± 3.5% 56% 29% 15%

Massachusetts

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Suffolk University[AH] July 16–18, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 29% 24%
University of New Hampshire May 16–20, 2024 526 (LV) ± 4.3% 68% 32%
University of Massachusetts Lowell October 18–25, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 4.1% 58% 32% 10%
Emerson College September 7–8, 2022 708 (LV) ± 3.6% 54% 34% 12%
University of Massachusetts Lowell June 7–15, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 4.0% 60% 31% 9%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire May 16–20, 2024 526 (LV) ± 4.3% 55% 26% 10% 1% 2% 6%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
YouGov/UMass Amherst May 17–30, 2024 700 (A) ± 4.4% 48% 27% 9% 16%
Suffolk University[AH] April 16–20, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 22% 8% 18%
Suffolk University February 2–5, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 26% 9% 21%
YouGov[AI] October 13–20, 2023 700 (V) ± 5.1% 43% 21% 17% 19%

Michigan

[edit]
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[B] July 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 45% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 24–28, 2024 706 (RV) ± 4.0% 53% 42% 4%
SoCal Research[AJ] July 25–26, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 49% 5%
Fox News July 22–24, 2024 1,012 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%
Emerson College July 22–23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 45% 46% 9%
800 (RV) ± 3.4% 49%[d] 51%
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for President.
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 11–12, 2024 568 (RV) 46% 48% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 704 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 47% 9%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 616 (RV) ± 4.4% 45% 47% 8%
616 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 46% 6%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 31 – August 3, 2024 771 (LV) 41% 42% 5% 1% 0% 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 24–28, 2024 706 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 39% 5% 1% 2% 2%
Fox News July 22–24, 2024 1,012 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 45% 7% 1% 1% 0% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 22–24, 2024 512 (LV) 41% 44% 7% 0% 0% 8%
Glengariff Group[AK] July 22–24, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 41% 10% 1% 1% 5%
Emerson College July 22–23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 44% 44% 5% 1% 1% 0% 5%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] July 17–18, 2024 650 (RV) ± 3.9% 41% 46% 5% 1% 7%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Civiqs[AL] July 13–16, 2024 532 (RV) ± 5.3% 46% 46% 5% 3%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] July 17–18, 2024 650 (RV) ± 3.9% 46% 49% 5%
EPIC-MRA July 13–17, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% 49% 9%
Emerson College[D] July 15–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 45% 13%
Marketing Resource Group July 11–13, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 36% 39% 25%[al]
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 11–12, 2024 568 (RV) 46% 47% 7%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[E] July 5–12, 2024 1,025 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 46% 8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 1–5, 2024 694 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 43% 9%
Emerson College[D] June 30 – July 2, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 45% 12%
Remington Research Group (R) June 29 – July 1, 2024 584 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 45% 13%
EPIC-MRA June 21–26, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 49% 6%
Emerson College June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 46% 9%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 49%[d] 51%
Mitchell Research[AM] June 3, 2024 697 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 48% 4%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University May 30–31, 2024 723 (RV) ± 3.6% 45% 45% 10%
636 (LV) ± 3.6% 47% 46% 7%
Mitchell Research[AM] May 20–21, 2024 697 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 49% 4%
KAConsulting (R)[AN] May 15–19, 2024 600 (RV) 44% 45% 11%
Prime Group[H] May 9–16, 2024 482 (RV) 52% 48%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 704 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 45% 9%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) May 6–13, 2024 606 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 47% 8%
New York Times/Siena College April 28 – May 9, 2024 616 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% 49% 9%
616 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 46% 7%
Emerson College April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 45% 11%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48%[d] 52%
CBS News/YouGov April 19–25, 2024 1,262 (LV) ± 3.1% 51% 49%
Fox News April 11–16, 2024 1,126 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 49% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024 708 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 45% 8%
Marketing Resource Group April 8–11, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 36% 42% 22%[am]
The Bullfinch Group March 29 – April 3, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% 39% 19%
Spry Strategies March 25–28, 2024 709 (LV) ± 3.7% 44% 48% 8%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 48% 7%
Echelon Insights[AO] March 12–19, 2024 400 (LV) ± 5.3% 45% 51% 4%
Emerson College March 14–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 45% 11%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 50%[d] 50%
CNN/SSRS March 13–18, 2024 1,097 (RV) ± 3.6% 42% 50% 8%
Mitchell Research[AM] March 15–16, 2024 627 (LV) ± 3.9% 44% 47% 9%
Quinnipiac University March 8–12, 2024 1,487 (RV) ± 2.5% 45% 48% 7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–12, 2024 698 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 45% 10%
North Star Opinion Research[AP] February 22–25, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 43% 13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024 702 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 46% 10%
Emerson College February 20–24, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 46% 10%
EPIC-MRA February 13–18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 45% 14%
Fox News February 8–12, 2024 1,106 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 47% 8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024 703 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% 47% 7%
Target Insyght January 4–10, 2024 800 (RV) 45% 41% 14%
Glengariff Group[AK] January 2–6, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 47% 14%
John Zogby Strategies January 2–4, 2024 602 (LV) 44% 47% 9%
CNN/SSRS November 29 – December 6, 2023 1,197 (RV) ± 3.4% 40% 50% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023 703 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% 46% 12%
EPIC-MRA November 10–16, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 46% 13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023 700 (RV) ± 4.0% 43% 43% 14%
Emerson College October 30 – November 4, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 41% 16%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 616 (RV) ± 4.4% 43% 48% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 5–10, 2023 706 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 44% 12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023 820 (LV) 41% 41% 17%
Marketing Resource Group October 2–8, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 35% 42% 22%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 468 (RV) ± 4.5% 44% 43% 8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[AQ] September 26–27, 2023 679 (RV) ± 3.8% 48% 44% 8%
Susquehanna Polling & Research September 7–12, 2023 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 46% 43% 11%
EPIC-MRA August 6–11, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 45% 9%
Emerson College August 1–2, 2023 1,121 (LV) ± 2.9% 44% 44% 13%
Mitchell Research[AM] July 11–13, 2023 639 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 43% 13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[AR] Jul 8–10, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.38% 45% 44% 9%
Prime Group[AS] June 14–28, 2023 500 (RV) 50% 50%
500 (RV) 40% 43% 17%[an]
EPIC-MRA June 8–14, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 44% 12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[AR] April 17–19, 2023 500 (V) ± 3.6% 45% 42% 12%
Public Policy Polling (D)[AT] December 6–7, 2022 763 (V) ± 3.6% 50% 43% 7%
EPIC-MRA November 30 – December 6, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 43% 10%
Emerson College October 28–31, 2022 900 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 47% 9%
Emerson College October 12–14, 2022 580 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 44% 12%
EPIC-MRA September 15–19, 2022 600 (LV) 48% 44% 8%
Blueprint Polling (D) August 15–16, 2022 611 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 41% 19%
Blueprint Polling (D) February 1–4, 2022 632 (LV) ± 3.9% 38% 40% 22%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[I] November 11–16, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 53% 6%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) July 15–17, 2024 1,091 (LV) ± 2.9% 43% 45% 4% 1% 1% 6%
EPIC-MRA July 13–17, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 36% 43% 8% 2% 2% 9%
Emerson College[D] July 15–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 43% 7% 1% 1% 8%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[E] July 5–12, 2024 1,025 (LV) ± 3.0% 43% 44% 7% 0% 1% 5%[ao]
YouGov[P] July 4–12, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.6% 40% 42% 4% 1% 1% 12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 1–5, 2024 694 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 39% 6% 2% 1% 7%[ap]
EPIC-MRA June 21–26, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 38% 42% 10% 2% 2% 6%
Emerson College June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 44% 5% 1% 1% 7%
Mitchell Research[AM] June 3, 2024 697 (LV) ± 3.7% 45% 46% 3% 1% 1% 4%
Mitchell Research[AM] May 20–21, 2024 697 (LV) ± 3.7% 45% 46% 5% 1% 1% 2%
KAConsulting (R)[AN] May 15–19, 2024 600 (RV) 41% 42% 7% 2% 1% 7%[aq]
Prime Group[H] May 9–16, 2024 482 (RV) 44% 42% 10% 2% 2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 704 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% 40% 7% 1% 2% 8%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) May 6–13, 2024 606 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 43% 7% 2% 2% 6%
New York Times/Siena College April 28 – May 9, 2024 616 (RV) ± 4.0% 36% 38% 9% 0% 1% 16%[ar]
616 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 39% 7% 0% 1% 11%[ar]
Emerson College April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 43% 5% 1% 1% 8%
Fox News April 11–16, 2024 1,126 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 42% 9% 2% 2% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024 708 (RV) ± 4.0% 43% 40% 7% 1% 1% 8%
Marketing Resource Group April 8–11, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 34% 37% 13% 2% 1% 13%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 37% 39% 12% 2% 2% 8%
Emerson College March 14–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 43% 5% 1% 1% 10%
Mitchell Research[AM] March 15–16, 2024 627 (LV) ± 3.9% 42% 44% 6% 1% 1% 6%
Quinnipiac University March 8–12, 2024 1,487 (RV) ± 2.5% 36% 41% 10% 3% 4% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–12, 2024 698 (RV) ± 4.0% 40% 40% 9% 3% 2% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024 702 (RV) ± 4.0% 40% 41% 9% 1% 1% 8%
Emerson College February 20–24, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 39% 42% 6% 1% 1% 11%
Fox News February 8–12, 2024 1,106 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 42% 11% 2% 3% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024 703 (RV) ± 4.0% 37% 43% 8% 1% 1% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023 703 (RV) ± 4.0% 35% 39% 10% 2% 1% 13%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Civiqs[AL] July 13–16, 2024 532 (RV) ± 5.3% 43% 46% 5% 6%
1983 Labs June 28–30, 2024 563 (LV) ± 4.1% 41% 45% 5% 9%[as]
P2 Insights[R] June 11–20, 2024 650 (LV) ± 3.8% 40% 43% 8% 9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University May 30–31, 2024 723 (RV) ± 3.6% 41% 39% 11% 9%
636 (LV) ± 3.6% 44% 43% 8% 5%
Spry Strategies March 25–28, 2024 709 (LV) ± 3.7% 40% 43% 9% 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies March 14–17, 2024 616 (LV) 39% 41% 6% 14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies December 28–30, 2023 832 (LV) 37% 39% 9% 15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023 874 (LV) 38% 39% 9% 13%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 616 (LV) ± 4.4% 31% 34% 26% 9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023 820 (LV) 38% 40% 7% 15%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] July 17–18, 2024 650 (RV) ± 3.9% 44% 45% 5% 3% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies May 2–4, 2024 650 (LV) 37% 43% 7% 1% 12%
CBS News/YouGov April 19–25, 2024 1,262 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 43% 9% 3% 0%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
CNN/SSRS March 13–18, 2024 1,097 (RV) ± 3.6% 34% 40% 18% 4% 4%
CNN/SSRS November 29 – December 6, 2023 1,197 (RV) ± 3.4% 31% 39% 20% 6% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023 700 (RV) ± 4.0% 38% 37% 10% 2% 13%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Green
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College August 1–2, 2023 1,121 (LV) ± 2.9% 41% 43% 4% 11%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 11–12, 2024 568 (RV) 44% 45% 11%
Glengariff Group[AK] January 2–6, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 45% 15%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Gretchen
Whitmer
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Fox News July 22–24, 2024 1,012 (RV) ± 3.0% 52% 46% 2%
Glengariff Group[AK] July 22–24, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 40% 17%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 11–12, 2024 568 (RV) 52% 45% 3%
Emerson College/The Hill Mar 14–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 45% 5%
Glengariff Group[AK] January 2–6, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 45% 6%
Marketing Resource Group October 2–8, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 40% 13%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Gretchen
Whitmer
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] July 17–18, 2024 650 (RV) ± 3.9% 46% 45% 5% 1% 3%
JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
JB
Pritzker
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 11–12, 2024 568 (RV) 39% 45% 16%
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Josh
Shapiro
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Fox News July 22–24, 2024 1,012 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 48% 5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 11–12, 2024 568 (RV) 43% 46% 11%
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Pete
Buttigieg
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 11–12, 2024 568 (RV) 43% 48% 9%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Fox News February 8–12, 2024 1,106 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 43% 15%
Glengariff Group[AK] January 2–6, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 34% 44% 22%
CNN/SSRS November 29 – December 6, 2023 1,197 (RV) ± 3.4% 38% 50% 12%
EPIC-MRA November 10–16, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 36% 47% 17%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 616 (RV) ± 4.4% 36% 46% 18%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Fox News February 8–12, 2024 1,106 (RV) ± 3.0% 35% 26% 23% 3% 3% 33%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023 874 (LV) 37% 25% 18% 20%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
CNN/SSRS November 29 – December 6, 2023 1,197 (RV) ± 3.4% 42% 49% 9%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 616 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 43% 13%
Susquehanna Polling & Research September 7–12, 2023 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 48% 42% 10%
Mitchell Research[AM] July 11–13, 2023 639 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 31% 25%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[AR] July 8–10, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.38% 44% 46% 7%
EPIC-MRA June 8–14, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 45% 11%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[AR] April 17–19, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 45% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023 874 (LV) 39% 30% 13% 2% 15%

Minnesota

[edit]
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
DFL
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
August 6: Harris announces Tim Walz as her running mate
SurveyUSA[AU] July 23–25, 2024 656 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 40% 10%[at]
Fox News July 22–24, 2024 1,071 (RV) ± 3.0% 52% 46% 2%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
DFL
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 31 – August 3, 2024 538 (LV) 46% 41% 3% 0% 0% 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 22–24, 2024 475 (LV) 44% 41% 6% 1% 0% 8%
Fox News July 22–24, 2024 1,071 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 41% 7% 1% 1% 3%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
DFL
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 45% 10%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 51%[d] 49%
SurveyUSA[AU] June 12–16, 2024 626 (LV) ± 4.3% 47% 41% 12%[au]
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[I] June 9–11, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 47% 8%
SurveyUSA[AU] May 8–11, 2024 625 (LV) ± 4.3% 44% 42% 14%[av]
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[I] April 29 – May 1, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 49% 5%
SurveyUSA[AU] April 3–7, 2024 608 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 42% 14%[aw]
SurveyUSA[AU] February 23–28, 2024 1,603 (LV) ± 2.8% 42% 38% 20%
SurveyUSA[AU] January 24–29, 2024 1,594 (LV) ± 2.8% 42% 39% 19%
Embold Research/MinnPost November 14–17, 2023 1,519 (LV) ± 2.6% 45% 42% 13%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 477 (LV) ± 4.4% 40% 38% 22%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 6–8, 2023 500 (LV) 48% 40% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
DFL
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 42% 6% 1% 1% 9%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[I] June 9–11, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 37% 41% 7% 2% 2% 11%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[I] April 29 – May 1, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 40% 9% 1% 1% 9%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
DFL
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Mason-Dixon[AV] June 3–5, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 41% 6% 9%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Gretchen
Whitmer
DFL
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Fox News July 22–24, 2024 1,071 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 46% 5%
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Josh
Shapiro
DFL
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Fox News July 22–24, 2024 1,071 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 45% 6%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
DFL
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 6–8, 2023 500 (LV) 45% 43% 12%

Mississippi

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 409 (LV) ± 7.8% 54% 36% 10%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 409 (LV) ± 7.8% 49% 37% 14%

Missouri

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College June 17–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 53% 40% 7%
Emerson College January 23–28, 2024 1,830 (RV) ± 2.2% 49% 32% 19%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout October 10–11, 2023 806 (RV) ± 3.6% 52% 39% 9%
SurveyUSA October 27 – November 1, 2022 991 (RV) ± 3.7% 52% 34% 14%
Emerson College October 26–28, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 37% 9%
Emerson College September 23–27, 2022 1,160 (LV) ± 2.8% 51% 37% 12%
SurveyUSA September 14–18, 2022 830 (RV) ± 3.9% 52% 35% 13%
SurveyUSA July 24–27, 2022 1,981 (RV) ± 2.7% 51% 35% 14%
SurveyUSA May 11–15, 2022 1,412 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 35% 15%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout September 18–20, 2021 1,014 (LV) ± 2.9% 55% 36% 9%
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout April 21–22, 2021 933 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 38% 9%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College June 17–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 35% 7% 1% 1% 6%

Montana

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Remington Research Group (R) June 29 – July 1, 2024 570 (LV) ± 4.0% 56% 36% 8%
Torchlight Strategies (R)[AW] June 22–26, 2024 649 (RV) ± 3.9% 51% 35% 14%[ax]
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[AX] June 11–13, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 57% 37% 6%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[AY] June 3–5, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 54% 36% 10%
Emerson College[AZ] February 26 – March 2, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 56% 35% 9%
SurveyUSA[BA] February 12–15, 2024 549 (LV) ± 4.5% 51% 29% 20%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 447 (RV) ± 4.6% 49% 28% 23%
Change Research/Future Majority (D) September 16–19, 2023 1,451 (RV) 54% 37% 9%
J.L. Partners August 12–17, 2023 741 (LV) 51% 39% 10%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 320 (LV) ± 6.6% 49% 36% 15%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[AZ] February 26 – March 2, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 28% 8% 1% 1% 13%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Change Research/Future Majority (D) September 16–19, 2023 1,451 (RV) 51% 30% 7% 12%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Joe
Manchin
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Change Research/Future Majority (D) September 16–19, 2023 1,451 (RV) 49% 28% 6% 4% 13%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
J.L. Partners August 12–17, 2023 741 (LV) 50% 36% 14%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 320 (LV) ± 6.6% 42% 35% 23%

Nebraska

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Torchlight Strategies (R)[BB] July 8–11, 2024 698 (LV) ± 3.7% 52% 33% 15%[ay]
Public Policy Polling (D) April 24–25, 2024 737 (V) ± 3.6% 57% 34% 9%
Change Research (D)[BC] November 13–16, 2023 1,048 (LV) 53% 35% 12%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 423 (RV) ± 4.7% 47% 31% 23%

Nebraska's 2nd congressional district

[edit]
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Torchlight Strategies (R)[BB] July 8–11, 2024 300 (LV) 42% 42% 16%[az]
Public Policy Polling (D) April 24–25, 2024 43% 46% 11%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) April 24–25, 2024 34% 37% 9% 4% 4% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Iron Light Intelligence[BD] May 17–22, 2024 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 42% 37% 13% 8%

Nevada

[edit]
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[B] July 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 46% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 24–28, 2024 454 (RV) ± 5.0% 47% 45% 7%
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his withdrawal; Harris declares her candidacy for president.
InsiderAdvantage (R) July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% 50% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 459 (RV) ± 5.0% 44% 47% 9%
Emerson College February 16–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 48% 13%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 611 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 48% 10%
611 (LV) ± 4.4% 42% 50% 8%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 31 – August 3, 2024 470 (LV) 40% 40% 5% 1% 0% 14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 24–28, 2024 454 (RV) ± 5.0% 43% 43% 7% 1% 3% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 22–24, 2024 435 (LV) 43% 45% 5% 1% 0% 6%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
InsiderAdvantage (R) July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 49% 9%
Emerson College[D] July 15–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 46% 13%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[E] July 5–12, 2024 761 (LV) ± 3.0% 45% 50% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 1–5, 2024 452 (RV) ± 5.0% 43% 48% 9%
Emerson College[D] June 30 – July 2, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 47% 12%
Remington Research Group (R) June 29 – July 1, 2024 601 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 47% 13%
National Public Affairs June 28 – July 1, 2024 817 (LV) ± 3.4% 39% 49% 12%[ba]
Emerson College June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 46% 11%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 50%[d] 50%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[BE] June 12–18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 48% 7%
Fox News June 1–4, 2024 1,069 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 50% 5%
The Tyson Group[BF] May 22–25, 2024 601 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 47% 9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University May 19–21, 2024 522 (RV) ± 4.3% 42% 50% 8%
494 (LV) ± 4.3% 43% 51% 6%
Prime Group[H] May 9–16, 2024 468 (RV) 50% 50%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 459 (RV) ± 5.0% 47% 47% 6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) May 6–13, 2024 402 (LV) ± 4.9% 40% 49% 11%
New York Times/Siena College April 28 – May 9, 2024 614 (RV) ± 4.0% 38% 50% 12%
614 (LV) ± 4.0% 38% 51% 11%
Emerson College April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 45% 11%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 49%[d] 51%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024 450 (RV) ± 5.0% 43% 51% 6%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 48% 8%
Echelon Insights[BG] March 12–19, 2024 400 (LV) ± 5.8% 44% 51% 5%
Emerson College March 12–15, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 44% 15%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 49%[d] 51%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–15, 2024 447 (RV) ± 5.0% 44% 46% 10%
Noble Predictive Insights February 27 – March 5, 2024 829 (RV) ± 3.4% 40% 45% 15%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024 445 (RV) ± 5.0% 42% 48% 10%
Emerson College February 16–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 46% 14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024 457 (RV) ± 5.0% 40% 48% 12%
Emerson College January 5–8, 2024 1,294 (RV) ± 2.6% 45% 47% 8%
Change Research/Future Majority (D) December 3–7, 2023 (RVs) 40% 44% 14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023 451 (RV) ± 5.0% 44% 47% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023 437 (RV) ± 5.0% 43% 46% 11%
Emerson College October 30 – November 4, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 46% 14%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 611 (RV) ± 4.4% 41% 52% 7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 5–10, 2023 503 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 43% 11%
CNN September 29 – October 3, 2023 1,251 (RV) ± 4.6% 46% 45% 9%
Vote TXT May 15–19, 2023 412 (RV) 41% 48% 11%
Prime Group[BH] June 14–28, 2023 500 (RV) 51% 49%
500 (RV) 39% 39% 22%[bb]
Noble Predictive Insights April 18–26, 2023 613 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 40% 12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 17–20, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 45% 9%
OH Predictive Insights January 30 – February 6, 2023 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 40% 42% 18%
Rasmussen Reports (R) November 8–9, 2022 679 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 45% 14%
Susquehanna Polling & Research October 24–27, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 47% 48% 5%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[BI] October 13–17, 2022 707 (LV) ± 4.0% 37% 49% 14%
Emerson College September 8–10, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 40% 43% 17%
Emerson College July 7–10, 2022 2,000 (RV) ± 2.1% 40% 43% 17%
Blueprint Polling (D) March 21–24, 2022 671 (LV) ± 3.8% 34% 44% 22%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[D] July 15–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 43% 7% 1% 1% 8%[bc]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[E] July 5–12, 2024 761 (LV) ± 3.0% 39% 47% 8% 2% 1% 3%
YouGov[P] July 4–12, 2024 800 (RV) ± 4.7% 42% 46% 3% 0% 1% 8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 1–5, 2024 452 (RV) ± 5.0% 39% 45% 6% 2% 0% 8%[bd]
National Public Affairs June 28 – July 1, 2024 817 (LV) ± 3.4% 33% 42% 12% 3% 2% 8%
Emerson College June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 42% 7% 2% 2% 8%
Fox News June 1–4, 2024 1,069 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 45% 7% 2% 2% 4%
The Tyson Group[BJ] May 22–25, 2024 601 (LV) ± 4.0% 37% 40% 9% 1% 2% 11%
Prime Group[H] May 9–16, 2024 468 (RV) 43% 44% 10% 3% 0%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 459 (RV) ± 5.0% 39% 44% 7% 2% 1% 7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) May 6–13, 2024 402 (LV) ± 4.9% 35% 43% 10% 2% 3% 7%
New York Times/Siena College April 28 – May 9, 2024 614 (RV) ± 4.0% 27% 41% 12% 0% 2% 18%[be]
614 (LV) ± 4.0% 30% 44% 11% 0% 1% 14%[be]
Emerson College April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 42% 8% 2% 1% 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024 450 (RV) ± 5.0% 34% 48% 7% 2% 3% 6%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 33% 37% 15% 2% 2% 11%[be]
Emerson College March 12–15, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 36% 41% 9% 1% 2% 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–15, 2024 447 (RV) ± 5.0% 36% 42% 11% 1% 1% 11%
Noble Predictive Insights February 27 – March 5, 2024 829 (RV) ± 3.4% 33% 40% 11% 4% 2% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024 445 (RV) ± 5.0% 37% 44% 9% 1% 0% 9%
Emerson College February 16–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 34% 44% 6% 1% 1% 14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024 457 (RV) ± 5.0% 31% 43% 12% 1% 2% 11%
Emerson College January 5–8, 2024 1,294 (RV) ± 2.6% 39% 42% 5% 1% 1% 12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023 451 (RV) ± 5.0% 37% 42% 11% 2% 1% 7%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
P2 Insights[R] June 11–20, 2024 650 (LV) ± 3.8% 37% 40% 8% 15%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[BE] June 12–18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 37% 44% 10% 9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University May 19–21, 2024 522 (RV) ± 4.3% 40% 44% 9% 7%
494 (LV) ± 4.3% 40% 46% 8% 6%
Iron Light Intelligence[BK] May 17–21, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 34% 37% 15% 14%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 611 (LV) ± 4.4% 31% 38% 23% 8%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023 437 (RV) ± 5.0% 35% 39% 11% 1% 14%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 611 (RV) ± 4.4% 37% 46% 17%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 611 (RV) ± 4.4% 41% 45% 14%
Vote TXT May 15–19, 2023 412 (RV) 36% 46% 17%
Noble Predictive Insights April 18–26, 2023 613 (RV) ± 4.0% 43% 42% 15%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 17–20, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 41% 44% 10%
OH Predictive Insights January 30 – February 6, 2023 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 36% 42% 22%
Emerson College July 7–10, 2022 2,000 (RV) ± 2.1% 38% 43% 19%
Gavin Newsom vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Susquehanna Polling & Research October 24–27, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 42% 46% 12%
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College February 16–19, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 32% 49% 19%


New Hampshire

[edit]
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College July 26–28, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 46% 4%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 52%[d] 48%
University of New Hampshire July 23–25, 2024 2,875 (LV) ± 1.8% 53% 46% 1%
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for President.
The Trafalgar Group (R) December 10–12, 2021 1,041 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 6%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College July 26–28, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 41% 6% 0% 1% 4%
Saint Anselm College July 24–25, 2024 2,083 (RV) ± 2.1% 50% 44% 3% 0% 0% 0% 3%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire July 23–25, 2024 2,875 (LV) ± 1.8% 49% 43% 4% 8%
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for President.
NHJournal/Praecones Analytica July 19–21, 2024 601 (V) 39% 40% 21%
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other/
Undecided
University of New Hampshire May 16–20, 2024 1,140 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 48%
Marist College January 15–17, 2024 1,157 (RV) ± 3.8% 52% 45% 3%
Emerson College November 10–13, 2023 917 (RV) ± 3.3% 47% 42% 11%
University of New Hampshire/CNN September 14–18, 2023 2,108 (LV) ± 2.2% 52% 40% 8%
Emerson College August 9–11, 2023 837 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 41% 11%
Saint Anselm College June 21–23, 2023 1,065 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 40% 11%
Emerson College March 3–5, 2023 1,025 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 38% 20%
co/efficient January 25–26, 2023 1,179 (LV) ± 3.2% 40% 39% 21%
Emerson College October 30 – November 1, 2022 850 (LV) ± 3.3% 45% 41% 14%
University of Massachusetts Lowell October 14–25, 2022 600 (LV) ± 5.1% 49% 43% 8%
Emerson College October 18–19, 2022 727 (LV) ± 3.6% 44% 43% 13%
Emerson College September 14–15, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 46% 43% 11%
University of New Hampshire June 16–20, 2022 845 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 43% 8%
The Trafalgar Group (R) December 10–12, 2021 1,041 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 48%
Saint Anselm College[AC] May 7–10, 2021 1,267 (RV) ± 2.8% 50% 43%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Saint Anselm College June 28–29, 2024 1,746 (RV) ± 2.3% 42% 44% 4% 1% 1% 8%
University of New Hampshire May 16–20, 2024 1,140 (LV) ± 2.9% 44% 41% 3% 1% 2% 9%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
NHJournal/Praecones Analytica July 19–21, 2024 601 (V) 39% 40% 21%
NHJournal/Praecones Analytica May 15–20, 2024 862 (RV) ± 3.3% 37% 37% 15% 11%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov May 6–14, 2024 600 (LV) ± 5.2% 42% 36% 11% 11%
Marist College January 15–17, 2024 1,157 (RV) ± 3.8% 44% 41% 12% 3%
Saint Anselm College December 18–19, 2023 1,711 (LV) ± 3.9% 49% 39% 8% 4%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College November 10–13, 2023 917 (RV) ± 3.3% 40% 37% 8% 1% 14%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Green
Other /

Undecided

Emerson College August 9–11, 2023 837 (RV) ± 3.4% 44% 39% 5% 13%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Other /

Undecided

Marist College January 15–17, 2024 1,157 (RV) ± 3.8% 44% 47% 9%
Emerson College November 10–13, 2023 917 (RV) ± 3.3% 39% 45% 16%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other Undecided
Marist College January 15–17, 2024 1,157 (RV) ± 3.8% 51% 42% 7%
Emerson College November 10–13, 2023 917 (RV) ± 3.3% 46% 38% 16%
University of New Hampshire/CNN September 14–18, 2023 2,108 (LV) ± 2.2% 50% 33% 15%[bf] 5%
Saint Anselm College June 21–23, 2023 1,065 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 40% 10 2%
Emerson College March 3–5, 2023 1,025 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 37% 14% 7%
University of New Hampshire June 16–20, 2022 845 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 47% 7%
Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Republican
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire/CNN September 14–18, 2023 2,018 (LV) ± 2.2% 49% 20% 15%[bg] 5%
Joe Biden vs. Tim Scott
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Tim
Scott
Republican
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire/CNN September 14–18, 2023 2,018 (LV) ± 2.2% 47% 34% 14%[bh] 5%
Joe Biden vs. Chris Christie
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Chris
Christie
Republican
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire/CNN September 14–18, 2023 2,018 (LV) ± 2.2% 44% 20% 27%[bi] 10%
Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Mike
Pence
Republican
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire/CNN September 14–18, 2023 2,018 (LV) ± 2.2% 49% 20% 25%[bj] 5%
Joe Biden vs. Chris Sununu
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Chris
Sununu
Republican
Other Undecided
Emerson College March 3–5, 2023 1,025 (RV) ± 3.0% 36% 44% 14% 6%
co/efficient January 25–26, 2023 1,179 (LV) ± 3.15% 36% 48% 16%
Praecones Analytica April 14–16, 2022 503 (RV) ± 4.6% 36% 53% 12%
Bernie Sanders vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Bernie
Sanders
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Undecided
Emerson College November 10–13, 2023 917 (RV) ± 3.3% 47.6% 42.5% 9.8%
Elizabeth Warren vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Undecided
Emerson College November 10–13, 2023 917 (RV) ± 3.3% 45% 43% 12%

New Jersey

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
United 2024 (R) July 1–2, 2024 477 (RV) ± 4.5% 41% 43% 16%
co/efficient (R) June 26–27, 2024 810 (LV) ± 3.4% 40% 41% 20%[bk]
Emerson College March 26–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 39% 15%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
United 2024 (R) July 1–2, 2024 477 (RV) ± 4.5% 43% 43% 8% 3% 3%
Emerson College March 26–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 36% 8% 1% 1% 13%

New Mexico

[edit]
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 31 – August 3, 2024 493 (LV) 44% 37% 8% 0% 0% 11%
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
1892 Polling (R)[BL] June 19–24, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[BM] June 13–14, 2024 555 (V) ± 4.2% 48% 41% 11%
Public Policy Polling (D) August 23–24, 2023 767 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 41% 10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 6–8, 2023 500 (LV) 49% 38% 13%
Emerson College October 25–28, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 38% 14%
Emerson College September 8–11, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 41% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver vs. Randall Terry
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Randall
Terry
Constitution
Other /
Undecided
1892 Polling (R)[BL] June 19–24, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 42% 8% 3% 2% 1% 3%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) August 23–24, 2023 767 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 43% 9%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 6–8, 2023 500 (LV) 45% 43% 12%

New York

[edit]
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Siena College July 28 – August 1, 2024 1,199 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 39% 8%
SoCal Research[X] July 18–19, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 41% 7%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Siena College July 28 – August 1, 2024 1,199 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 37% 7% 1% 2% 1% 10%
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
SoCal Research[X] July 18–19, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 41% 7%
Siena College June 12–13 & 16–17, 2024 805 (RV) ± 4.1% 47% 39% 14%
Emerson College[S] May 28–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 41% 11%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 55%[d] 45%
Siena College May 13–15, 2024 1,191 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 38% 15%
Slingshot Strategies (D) May 2–3, 2024 1,059 (RV) ± 5.0% 56% 37% 17%
Siena College April 15–17, 2024 806 (RV) ± 4.1% 47% 37% 16%
Siena College February 12–14, 2024 806 (RV) ± 4.2% 48% 36% 16%
Siena College January 14–17, 2024 807 (RV) ± 4.5% 46% 37% 17%
Siena College November 12–15, 2023 803 (RV) ± 4.6% 46% 36% 18%
Siena College October 15–19, 2023 1,225 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 37% 17%
Siena College August 13–16, 2023 803 (RV) ± 4.4% 47% 34% 19%
Siena College June 20–25, 2023 817 (RV) ± 3.9% 50% 28% 21%
SurveyUSA November 3–6, 2022 918 (RV) ± 4.1% 46% 34% 20%
Emerson College[S] October 20–24, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 40% 13%
SurveyUSA October 14–18, 2022 1,018 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 37% 21%
Emerson College September 4–6, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 37% 10%
SurveyUSA August 17–21, 2022 715 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 29% 22%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) August 7–9, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 40% 8%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Siena College February 12–14, 2024 806 (RV) ± 4.2% 42% 32% 13% 6% 7%
Siena College January 14–17, 2024 807 (RV) ± 4.5% 41% 32% 13% 3% 11%
Siena College November 12–15, 2023 803 (RV) ± 4.6% 37% 28% 18% 5% 11%
Siena College October 15–19, 2023 1,225 (RV) ± 3.4% 38% 31% 13% 5% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[S] May 28–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44.1% 37.6% 5.7% 1.5% 0.7% 10.5%

North Carolina

[edit]
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 24–28, 2024 706 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 46% 6%
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for President.
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 704 (RV) ± 4.0% 50% 40% 10%
Emerson College February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 41% 9%
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 31 – August 3, 2024 714 (LV) 44% 41% 4% 0% 1% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 24–28, 2024 706 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 44% 5% 0% 4% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 22–24, 2024 586 (LV) 46% 43% 4% 0% 0% 7%
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] July 17–20, 2024 573 (RV) ± 4.1% 48% 44% 2% 2% 4%
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] July 17–20, 2024 573 (RV) ± 4.1% 50% 46% 4%
Emerson College[D] July 15–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 41% 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 1–5, 2024 696 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 43% 11%
Spry Strategies June 7–11, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 44% 8%
East Carolina University May 31 – June 3, 2024 1,332 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 43% 9%
North Star Opinion Research (R)[F] May 29 – June 2, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 41% 10%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[BN] May 26–27, 2024 1,053 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 43% 6%
Change Research (D)[BO] May 13–18, 2024 835 (LV) ± 3.8% 45% 43% 12%
Prime Group[H] May 9–16, 2024 472 (RV) 51% 49%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 704 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 42% 9%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) May 6–13, 2024 601 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 41% 11%
High Point University May 5–9, 2024 804 (RV) ± 3.2% 44% 42% 14%
Emerson College April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 42% 11%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 52%[d] 48%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024 703 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 41% 8%
Mason-Dixon April 9–13, 2024 635 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 43% 8%
Quinnipiac University April 4–8, 2024 1,401 (RV) ± 2.6% 48% 46% 6%
High Point University March 22–30, 2024 829(RV) ± 3.4% 45% 42% 14%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 43% 8%
Marist College March 11–14, 2024 1,197 (RV) ± 3.6% 51% 48% 1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–12, 2024 699 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 43% 8%
SurveyUSA[BP] March 3–9, 2024 598 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 45% 5%
Cygnal (R)[BQ] March 6–7, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 40% 15%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024 704 (RV) ± 5.0% 50% 41% 9%
Emerson College February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 44% 9%
Fox News February 8–12, 2024 1,099 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 45% 5%
Meredith College January 26–31, 2024 760 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 39% 17%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024 706 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 39% 12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023 704 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 40% 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023 702 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 39% 13%
Meredith College November 1–5, 2023 755 (RV) ± 3.5% 39% 40% 22%[bl]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 5–10, 2023 702 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 43% 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023 736 (LV) 43% 38% 20%
Change Research (D)[BR] September 1–5, 2023 914 (LV) ± 3.6% 46% 42% 12%
Prime Group[BS] June 14–28, 2023 500 (RV) 54% 46%
500 (RV) 45% 37% 18%[bm]
Opinion Diagnostics June 5–7, 2023 902 (LV) ± 3.3% 43% 40% 18%
Cygnal (R)[BQ] March 26–27, 2023 605 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 45% 12%
Differentiators (R)[BT] January 9–12, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 45% 48% 7%
Emerson College October 27–29, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 40% 9%
Public Policy Polling (D) October 7–8, 2022 606 (RV) 44% 44% 12%
SurveyUSA September 28 – October 2, 2022 918 (RV) ± 3.9% 43% 45% 12%
Emerson College September 15–16, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 42% 11%
East Carolina University September 7–10, 2022 1,020 (LV) ± 3.6% 46% 45% 9%
Blueprint Polling (D) August 4–6, 2022 656 (LV) ± 3.8% 45% 39% 17%
PEM Management Corporation (R)[AC] July 22–24, 2022 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 48% 41% 11%
East Carolina University May 19–20, 2022 635 (RV) ± 4.5% 46% 37% 16%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] July 17–20, 2024 573 (RV) ± 4.1% 48% 42% 2% 2% 6%
Emerson College[D] July 15–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 38% 6% 1% 1% 7%[bn]
YouGov[P] July 4–12, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.7% 44% 40% 4% 0% 1% 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 1–5, 2024 696 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% 40% 7% 1% 1% 9%[bo]
North Star Opinion Research (R)[F] May 29 – June 2, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 32% 9% 3% 2% 10%
Prime Group[H] May 9–16, 2024 472 (RV) 45% 42% 11% 2% 1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 704 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 38% 7% 1% 1% 7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) May 6–13, 2024 601 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 36% 8% 3% 1% 8%
Emerson College April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 37% 6% 1% 1% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024 703 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 38% 5% 1% 0% 8%
Quinnipiac University April 4–8, 2024 1,401 (RV) ± 2.6% 41% 38% 12% 3% 3% 3%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% 34% 10% 2% 1% 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–12, 2024 699 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 39% 7% 1% 0% 8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024 704 (RV) ± 5.0% 45% 35% 9% 1% 1% 9%
Emerson College February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 37% 5% 1% 1% 10%
East Carolina University February 9–12, 2024 1,207 (LV) ± 3.3% 47% 44% 2% 1% 1% 5%
Fox News February 8–12, 2024 1,099 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 37% 8% 1% 2% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024 706 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 32% 9% 1% 1% 12%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023 704 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 34% 8% 1% 1% 11%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Spry Strategies June 7–11, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 37% 8% 10%
Change Research (D)[BO] May 13–18, 2024 835 (LV) ± 3.8% 41% 38% 11% 10%
Cygnal (R)[BU] May 4–5, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 38% 9% 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies May 2–4, 2024 700 (LV) 44% 37% 7% 12%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[BV] April 25–28, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 40% 35% 11% 14%[bp]
Meredith College April 11–17, 2024 711 (LV) ± 3.5% 41% 39% 9% 11%
Cygnal (R)[BQ] April 7–8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 39% 7% 11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies March 14–17, 2024 642 (LV) 43% 39% 8% 10%
Marist College March 11–14, 2024 1,197 (RV) ± 3.6% 46% 43% 11%
North Star Opinion Research[BW] January 30 – February 4, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 32% 16% 13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies December 28–30, 2023 1,220 (LV) 37% 33% 11% 19%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023 620 (LV) 44% 35% 8% 13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023 736 (LV) 41% 38% 9% 14%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023 702 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% 33% 9% 2% 14%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Donald Trump vs. Roy Cooper vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Roy
Cooper
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] July 17–20, 2024 573 (RV) ± 4.1% 45% 41% 3% 2% 9%
Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Gavin
Newsom
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 34% 17%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Fox News February 8–12, 2024 1,099 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 41% 13%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
East Carolina University February 9–12, 2024 1,207 (LV) ± 3.3% 32% 40% 10% 2% 0% 16%
Fox News February 8–12, 2024 1,099 (RV) ± 3.0% 31% 33% 19% 2% 2% 13%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023 620 (LV) 36% 33% 12% 18%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Opinion Diagnostics June 5–7, 2023 902 (LV) ± 3.3% 46% 40% 13%
Cygnal (R)[BQ] March 26–27, 2023 605 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 41% 15%
Differentiators (R)[BT] January 9–12, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 49% 44% 7%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023 620 (LV) 38% 34% 12% 4% 12%
Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[BQ] March 26–27, 2023 605 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 41% 20%

North Dakota

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies[bq] June 15–19, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 62% 28% 10%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 419 (RV) ± 4.8% 54% 17% 28%
Key
  • A – all adults
  • RV – registered voters
  • LV – likely voters
  • V – unclear

Ohio

[edit]
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[BE] July 23–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 42% 6%
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president.
Ohio Northern University March 6–11, 2024 1,241 (LV) ± 3.3% 51% 38% 11%
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr., vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[BE] July 23–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 39% 9% 1% 1% 2%
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Remington Research Group (R) June 29 – July 1, 2024 611 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 41% 8%
National Public Affairs May 28–29, 2024 801 (LV) ± 3.5% 54% 46%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University March 13–15, 2024 818 (RV) ± 3.4% 51% 40% 9%
Ohio Northern University March 6–11, 2024 1,241 (LV) ± 3.3% 50% 38% 12%
Emerson College[BX] March 7–10, 2024 1,300 (RV) ± 2.6% 55% 45%
Emerson College[BX] January 23–25, 2024 1,844 (RV) ± 2.3% 47% 36% 17%
Emerson College/WJW-TV November 10–13, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 38% 12%
Data for Progress (D) October 31 – November 2, 2023 597 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 43% 6%
Ohio Northern University October 16–19, 2023 668 (RV) ± 3.8% 45% 40% 15%[br]
Emerson College October 2–4, 2023 438 (RV) ± 4.5% 45% 33% 23%
Change Research/Future Majority (D) September 16–19, 2023 1,559 (RV) 48% 43% 9%
Ohio Northern University July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 49% 39% 12%
Targoz Market Research November 2–6, 2022 505 (LV) ± 4.3% 57% 40% 3%
Emerson College October 30 – November 1, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 38% 12%
Ohio Northern University/Lucid October 11–15, 2022 668 (LV) 55% 35% 10%
Emerson College October 6–7, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 40% 12%
Emerson College September 12–13, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 40% 10%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 831 (LV) ± 4.3% 49% 41% 10%
Emerson College August 15–16, 2022 925 (LV) ± 3.2% 53% 39% 8%
PEM Management Corporation (R)[AC] July 22–24, 2022 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 42% 44% 14%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr., vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Marist College June 3–6, 2024 1,137 (RV) ± 3.6% 48% 41% 5% 1% 1% 4%
National Public Affairs May 28–29, 2024 801 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 40% 7% 2% 3%
East Carolina University March 8–11, 2024 1,298 (LV) ± 3.2% 48% 38% 5% 1% 1% 7%
Emerson College[BX] March 7–10, 2024 1,300 (RV) ± 2.6% 47% 38% 6% 1% 1% 7%
Emerson College/WJW-TV November 10–13, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 31% 8% 1% 2% 13%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden. vs. Robert F Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University March 6–11, 2024 1,241 (LV) ± 3.3% 44% 32% 13% 11%
Ohio Northern University October 16–19, 2023 668 (RV) ± 3.8% 42% 35% 11% 12%[bs]
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Cornel
West
Green
Other /
Undecided
Change Research/Future Majority (D) September 16–19, 2023 1,559 (RV) 45% 36% 9% 10%
Suffolk University July 9–12, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 38% 2% 16%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Joe
Manchin
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Change Research/Future Majority (D) September 16–19, 2023 1,559 (RV) 42% 34% 6% 6% 12%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Donald Trump vs. Gretchen Whitmer
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Gretchen
Whitmer
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University March 6–11, 2024 1,241 (LV) ± 3.3% 51% 34% 15%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University October 16–19, 2023 668 (RV) ± 3.8% 34% 36% 30%[bt]
Ohio Northern University July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 38% 38% 24%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University October 16–19, 2023 668 (RV) ± 3.8% 38% 41% 21%[bu]
Ohio Northern University July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 41% 39% 20%
Emerson College October 6–7, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 38% 13%
Emerson College September 12–13, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 38% 14%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 831 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 40% 14%
Ron Desantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
Desantis
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Cornel
West
Green
Other /
Undecided
Suffolk University July 9–12, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 39% 37% 2% 22%
Chris Christie vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Chris
Christie
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 33% 39% 28%
Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University October 16–19, 2023 668 (RV) ± 3.8% 38% 38% 24%[bv]
Ohio Northern University July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 37% 38% 25%
Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Tim
Scott
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 38% 39% 23%
Generic Republican vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Causeway Solutions May 19–27, 2023 1,639 (RV) ± 2.5% 45% 33% 22%
Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Gavin
Newsom
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University March 6–11, 2024 1,241 (LV) ± 3.3% 51% 33% 16%

Oklahoma

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R) April 11–12, 2024 615 (LV) ± 3.83% 61% 30% 9%
Emerson College October 1–3, 2023 447 (RV) ± 4.6% 55% 27% 18%
Emerson College October 25–28, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 59% 30% 11%
SoonerPoll October 4–6, 2022 301 (LV) ± 5.7% 53% 41% 6%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 522 (LV) ± 6.3% 63% 30% 7%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R) April 11–12, 2024 615 (LV) ± 3.83% 56% 24% 7% 2% 1% 10%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 522 (LV) ± 6.3% 53% 28% 19%

Oregon

[edit]
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Hoffman Research July 24–26, 2024 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 44% 7%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Hoffman Research July 24–26, 2024 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 45% 40% 7% 1% 7%
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 31 – November 1, 2022 975 (LV) ± 3.1% 51% 35% 14%
Emerson College September 30 – October 1, 2022 796 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 41% 9%

Pennsylvania

[edit]
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[BY] July 29 – August 1, 2024 600 (LV) 48% 48% 4%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 29–30, 2024 627 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 48% 5%
GQR Research (D) July 26–30, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 46% 4%[bw]
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[B] July 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 45% 7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 24–28, 2024 804 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 50% 4%
The Bullfinch Group[BZ] July 23–25, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 47% 5%
Fox News July 22–24, 2024 1,034 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 49% 2%
Emerson College July 22–23, 2024 850 (RV) ± 3.3% 46% 48% 6%
850 (RV) ± 3.3% 49%[d] 51%
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for President.
North Star Opinion Research[CA] July 20–23, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 47% 9%
SoCal Research[X] July 20–21, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 50% 4%
InsiderAdvantage (R) July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% 47% 13%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 11–12, 2024 537 (RV) 45% 51% 4%
New York Times/Siena College July 9–11, 2024 872 (RV) ± 3.7% 46% 48% 6%
872 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 48% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 812 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 50% 7%
Emerson College February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 49% 11%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 600 (RV) ± 4.6% 44% 47% 9%
600 (LV) ± 4.6% 44% 48% 8%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 31 – August 3, 2024 743 (LV) 44% 46% 3% 0% 0% 7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 24–28, 2024 804 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 46% 3% 1% 4% 2%
The Bullfinch Group[BZ] July 23–25, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 44% 6% 1% 1% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 22–24, 2024 851 (LV) 42% 46% 5% 0% 0% 7%
Fox News July 22–24, 2024 1,034 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 43% 7% 1% 1% 3%
Emerson College July 22–23, 2024 850 (RV) ± 3.3% 44% 46% 3% 1% 1% 0% 5%
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for President.
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] July 17–18, 2024 624 (RV) ± 3.8% 43% 45% 4% 2% 6%
New York Times/Siena College July 9–11, 2024 872 (RV) ± 3.7% 40% 42% 7% 0% 3% 8%
872 (LV) ± 3.7% 42% 43% 6% 0% 2% 7%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[BY] July 29 – August 1, 2024 600 (LV) 45% 45% 4% 6%
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R) July 22–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 43% 3% 7%
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for President.
Civiqs[AL] July 13–16, 2024 536 (RV) ± 4.7% 44% 46% 5% 5%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
SoCal Research[X] July 20–21, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 50% 4%
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] July 17–18, 2024 624 (RV) ± 3.8% 44% 49% 7%
InsiderAdvantage (R) July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 49% 6%
Emerson College[D] July 15–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 48% 9%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 11–12, 2024 537 (RV) 44% 47% 9%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[E] July 5–12, 2024 1,041 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% 9%
New York Times/Siena College July 9–11, 2024 872 (RV) ± 3.7% 44% 48% 8%
872 (LV) ± 3.7% 45% 48% 7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 1–5, 2024 794 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 51% 5%
Emerson College[D] June 30 – July 2, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 48% 9%
Remington Research Group (R) June 29 – July 1, 2024 673 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 48% 9%
Cygnal (R) June 27–28, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 44% 48% 8%
Commonwealth Foundation June 14–19, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.46% 45% 44% 12%
Emerson College June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 47% 8%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 49%[d] 51%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University May 30–31, 2024 1,012 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 45% 12%
923 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 47% 8%
KAConsulting (R)[AN] May 15–19, 2024 600 (RV) 44% 44% 12%
Prime Group[H] May 9–16, 2024 487 (RV) 51% 49%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 812 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) May 6–13, 2024 730 (LV) ± 3.6% 45% 48% 7%
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer April 28 – May 9, 2024 1,023 (RV) ± 3.6% 44% 47% 9%
1,023 (LV) ± 3.6% 45% 48% 7%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[CB] April 24–30, 2024 1,398 (LV) ± 3.0% 45% 49% 6%
Emerson College April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 47% 8%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 49%[d] 51%
CBS News/YouGov April 19–25, 2024 1,288 (LV) ± 3.1% 49% 50% 1%
Muhlenberg College April 15–25, 2024 417 (RV) ± 6.0% 41% 44% 15%
Fox News April 11–16, 2024 1,141 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024 803 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 47% 7%
The Bullfinch Group[CC] March 29 – April 3, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 38% 44% 18%[bx]
Franklin & Marshall College March 20–31, 2024 870 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 38% 14%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 47% 9%
Echelon Insights[CD] March 12–19, 2024 400 (LV) ± 5.5% 45% 49% 6%
CNN/SSRS March 13–18, 2024 1,132 (RV) ± 3.8% 46% 46% 8%
Emerson College March 10–13, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 47% 10%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48%[d] 52%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–12, 2024 807 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 45% 10%
Fox News March 7–11, 2024 1,149 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 49% 4%
Susquehanna Polling & Research February 27 – March 7, 2024 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 50% 45% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024 803 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 49% 8%
Emerson College February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 45% 12%
Chism Strategies February 6–8, 2024 500 (RV) ± 5.0% 32% 40% 28%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) January 22–25, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 48% 10%
Franklin & Marshall College January 17–28, 2024 507 (RV) ± 5.0% 43% 42% 15%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024 795 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 48% 7%
Susquehanna Polling & Research January 15–21, 2024 745 (RV) ± 3.7% 47% 39% 14%
Quinnipiac University January 4–8, 2024 1,680 (RV) ± 2.4% 49% 46% 5%[by]
The Bullfinch Group December 14–18, 2023 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 45% 45% 10%
Change Research/Future Majority (D) December 3–7, 2023 (RVs) 40% 46% 14%
Muhlenberg College November 20 – December 13, 2023 421 (RV) ± 6.0% 42% 41% 17%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023 799 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 46% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023 805 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% 9%
Emerson College October 30 – November 4, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 46% 11%
816 (LV) 45% 49% 6%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 600 (RV) ± 4.6% 44% 48% 8%
Franklin & Marshall College October 11–22, 2023 873 (RV) ± 4.1% 44% 42% 14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 5–10, 2023 807 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 46% 9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023 900 (LV) 43% 42% 15%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 430 (RV) ± 4.7% 36% 45% 19%
Quinnipiac University September 28 – October 2, 2023 1,725 (RV) ± 2.4% 45% 47% 8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[CE] September 25–26, 2023 673 (RV) ± 3.8% 48% 45% 7%
Prime Group[CF] June 14–28, 2023 500 (RV) 50% 50%
500 (RV) 38% 43% 19%[bz]
Quinnipiac University June 22–26, 2023 1,584 (RV) ± 2.5% 46% 47% 7%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 11–13, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 42% 12%
Franklin & Marshall College March 27 – April 7, 2023 643 (RV) ± 4.9% 36% 35% 29%
Susquehanna Polling & Research February 19–26, 2023 800 (RV) ± 3.2% 48% 41% 11%
Targoz Market Research November 2–6, 2022 631 (LV) ± 3.8% 46% 52% 2%
Emerson College October 28–31, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 44% 12%
Emerson College September 23–26, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 45% 46% 9%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 828 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 43% 9%
Emerson College August 22–23, 2022 1,034 (LV) ± 3.0% 42% 47% 11%
PEM Management Corporation (R)[AC] July 22–24, 2022 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 42% 44% 14%
Blueprint Polling (D) July 19–21, 2022 712 (LV) ± 3.7% 42% 41% 17%
Blueprint Polling (D) February 15–16, 2022 635 (LV) ± 3.9% 45% 40% 15%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[I] November 11–16, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 51% 4%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[D] July 15–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 46% 4% 1% 1% 8%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[E] July 5–12, 2024 1,041 (LV) ± 3.0% 42% 46% 6% 1% 2% 3%
YouGov[P] July 4–12, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.4% 40% 43% 3% 1% 1% 12%
New York Times/Siena College July 9–11, 2024 872 (RV) ± 3.7% 38% 41% 8% 0% 2% 11%
872 (LV) ± 3.7% 40% 42% 7% 0% 2% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 1–5, 2024 794 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 44% 7% 1% 1% 6%
Cygnal (R) June 27–28, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 38% 42% 9% 2% 2% 7%
Emerson College June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 45% 5% 0% 1% 12%
Marist College June 3–6, 2024 1,181 (RV) ± 3.6% 45% 47% 3% 1% 1% 3%[ca]
KAConsulting (R)[AN] May 15–19, 2024 600 (RV) 39% 41% 9% 1% 3% 7%[cb]
Prime Group[H] May 9–16, 2024 487 (RV) 45% 42% 9% 2% 2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 812 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 45% 7% 2% 1% 3%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) May 6–13, 2024 730 (LV) ± 3.6% 40% 43% 7% 2% 2% 6%
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer April 28 – May 9, 2024 1,023 (RV) ± 3.6% 36% 40% 10% 0% 1% 13%[cc]
1,023 (LV) ± 3.6% 37% 41% 9% 0% 1% 12%[cc]
Emerson College April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 45% 6% 1% 1% 7%
Fox News April 11–16, 2024 1,141 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 44% 8% 1% 2% 3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024 803 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 43% 8% 0% 1% 6%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 38% 41% 7% 3% 1% 10%
Emerson College March 10–13, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 44% 5% 1% 1% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–12, 2024 807 (RV) ± 3.0% 38% 44% 7% 0% 1% 10%
Fox News March 7–11, 2024 1,149 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 42% 9% 2% 2% 3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024 803 (RV) ± 3.0% 36% 45% 8% 1% 1% 9%
Emerson College February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 42% 8% 2% 1% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024 795 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 43% 7% 1% 1% 8%
Quinnipiac University January 4–8, 2023 1,680 (RV) ± 2.4% 41% 39% 11% 2% 4% 3%[cd]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023 799 (RV) ± 3.0% 38% 39% 9% 1% 1% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] July 17–18, 2024 624 (RV) ± 3.8% 42% 46% 4% 2% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies May 2–4, 2024 635 (LV) 41% 43% 7% 0% 9%
Franklin & Marshall College March 20–31, 2024 870 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% 40% 9% 3% 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies March 14–17, 2024 775 (LV) 41% 44% 7% 1% 7%
Franklin & Marshall College January 17–28, 2024 494 (RV) ± 5.0% 42% 37% 8% 2% 11%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Civiqs[AL] July 13–16, 2024 536 (RV) ± 4.7% 42% 46% 6% 6%
1983 Labs June 28–30, 2024 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 41% 46% 3% 10%[ce]
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University May 30–31, 2024 1,012 (RV) ± 3.1% 41% 39% 8% 12%
923 (LV) ± 3.1% 43% 42% 7% 8%
Muhlenberg College April 15–25, 2024 417 (RV) ± 6.0% 35% 35% 18% 12%
The Bullfinch Group[BZ] March 22–26, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 41% 7% 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies December 28–30, 2023 1,069 (LV) 39% 40% 9% 12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023 887 (LV) 37% 44% 7% 10%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.6 35% 35% 23% 7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023 900 (LV) 39% 39% 9% 13%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
CNN/SSRS March 13–18, 2024 1,132 (RV) ± 3.8% 38% 40% 16% 4% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023 805 (RV) ± 3.0% 38% 41% 8% 1% 12%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 11–12, 2024 537 (RV) 42% 51% 7%
Emerson College February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 33% 48% 19%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Gretchen
Whitmer
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Fox News July 22–24, 2024 1,034 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 49% 3%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 11–12, 2024 537 (RV) 42% 50% 8%
JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
JB
Pritzker
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 11–12, 2024 537 (RV) 37% 50% 13%
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Josh
Shapiro
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Fox News July 22–24, 2024 1,034 (RV) ± 3.0% 54% 44% 2%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 11–12, 2024 537 (RV) 47% 46% 7%
Muhlenberg College November 20 – December 13, 2023 421 (RV) ± 6.0% 48% 37% 15%
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Josh
Shapiro
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] July 17–18, 2024 624 (RV) ± 3.8% 47% 43% 3% 1% 6%
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Pete
Buttigieg
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 11–12, 2024 537 (RV) 41% 50% 9%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Muhlenberg College November 20 – December 13, 2023 421 (RV) ± 6.0% 33% 38% 29%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 600 (RV) ± 4.6% 39% 49% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023 887 (LV) 36% 26% 18% 7% 13%


Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Muhlenberg College November 20 – December 13, 2023 421 (RV) ± 6.0% 41% 39% 20%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 600 (RV) ± 4.6% 43% 47% 10%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) May 2–8, 2023 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 39% 12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 11–13, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 45% 13%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 828 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 42% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023 887 (LV) 37% 34% 13% 3% 12%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) May 2–8, 2023 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 42% 38% 20%

Rhode Island

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire May 16–20, 2024 538 (LV) ± 4.2% 60% 40%
Fleming & Associates September 29 – October 2, 2022 402 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 32% 19%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 373 (LV) ± 6.1% 51% 37% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire May 16–20, 2024 538 (LV) ± 4.2% 52% 33% 6% 1% 0% 8%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Embold Research[CG] June 5–14, 2024 1,450 (LV) ± 2.8% 40% 33% 12% 15%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 373 (LV) ± 6.1% 47% 36% 17%

South Carolina

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College February 14–16, 2024 1,197 (RV) ± 3.0% 51% 37% 12%
The Citadel February 5–11, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 4.1% 54% 35% 11%
Winthrop University February 2–10, 2024 1,717 (RV) ± 2.4% 50% 35% 15%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University February 1–8, 2024 679 (RV) ± 3.8% 52% 34% 14%
643 (LV) ± 3.8% 54% 36% 10%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 5.1% 51% 39% 10%
Blueprint Polling (D) August 24–25, 2022 721 (LV) ± 3.7% 46% 34% 20%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Joe Manchin
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Joe
Manchin
Independent
Other /
Undecided
The Citadel February 5–11, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 4.1% 49% 32% 9% 3% 4% 3%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
The Citadel February 5–11, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 4.1% 50% 28% 22%
Winthrop University February 2–10, 2024 1,717 (RV) ± 2.4% 47% 29% 24%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Joe Manchin
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Joe
Manchin
Independent
Other /
Undecided
The Citadel February 5–11, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 4.1% 41% 25% 20% 3% 4% 7%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 5.1% 42% 42% 16%

South Dakota

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College January 23–28, 2024 1,777 (RV) ± 2.2% 55% 26% 18%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 432 (RV) ± 4.7% 50% 28% 22%
Emerson College October 19–21, 2022 1,500 (LV) ± 2.4% 53% 33% 14%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Mason-Dixon[CH] May 10–13, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.5% 50% 31% 11% 8%

Tennessee

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Targoz Market Research[CI] March 15 – April 2, 2024 974 (LV) ± 2.8% 55% 31% 14%
Targoz Market Research[CI] December 14–28, 2023 929 (LV) ± 2.7% 63% 31% 5%
Siena College[CJ] November 5–10, 2023 805 (A) 49% 20% 31%
Targoz Market Research[CI] October 5–16, 2023 872 (LV) ± 2.8% 61% 30% 9%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 410 (RV) ± 4.8% 55% 22% 23%
Targoz Market Research[CI] June 14–22, 2023 1,046 (V) ± 2.9% 54% 34% 11%
SSRS/Vanderbilt University April 19–23, 2023 502 (RV) 42% 26% 31%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
SSRS/Vanderbilt University April 26 – May 9, 2024 1,003 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 29% 8% 16%[cf]
Targoz Market Research[CI] March 15 – April 2, 2024 974 (LV) ± 2.7% 47% 28% 15% 10%
Targoz Market Research[CI] December 14–28, 2023 933 (LV) ± 2.7% 51% 25% 16% 8%
SSRS/Vanderbilt University November 14 – December 2, 2023 1,005 (RV) ± 3.4% 45% 26% 12% 17%
Targoz Market Research[CI] October 5–16, 2023 872 (LV) ± 2.8% 48% 23% 19% 10%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin as an Independent
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Joe
Manchin
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Targoz Market Research[CI] October 5–16, 2023 844 (LV) ± 2.8% 53% 23% 6% 18%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Targoz Market Research[CI] June 14–22, 2023 977 (V) ± 2.9% 52% 36% 11%
SSRS/Vanderbilt University April 19–23, 2023 502 (RV) 33% 24% 40%

Texas

[edit]
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
YouGov[CK] January 11–24, 2024 1,500 (RV) ± 2.5% 52% 39% 9%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation May 8–17, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 2.9% 46% 39% 15%[cg]
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
ActiVote June 25 – July 18, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54% 46%
Remington Research Group (R) June 29 – July 1, 2024 589 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 39% 12%
Manhattan Institute June 25–27, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 41% 7%
UT Tyler June 11–20, 2024 1,144 (RV) ± 3.7% 46% 40% 14%
931 (LV) ± 3.8% 48% 43% 9%
YouGov[CL] May 31 – June 9, 2024 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 46% 39% 15%[ch]
YouGov[CL] April 12–22, 2024 1,200 (RV) ± 3.3% 48% 40% 12%[ci]
Cygnal (R) April 4–6, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 2.9% 51% 42% 7%
Marist College March 18–21, 2024 1,117 (RV) ± 3.8% 55% 44% 1%
UT Tyler February 18–26, 2024 1,167 (RV) ± 3.2% 46% 42% 12%
YouGov[CL] February 2–12, 2024 1,200 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 41% 11%[cj]
University of Houston January 11–24, 2024 1,145 (LV) ± 2.5% 49% 40% 11%
Emerson College[CM] January 13–15, 2024 1,315 (RV) ± 2.6% 49% 41% 10%
YouGov[CL] December 1–10, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 39% 16%
YouGov[CL] October 5–17, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 37% 18%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation May 8–17, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 2.9% 44% 42% 14%[ck]
CWS Research (R) April 17–21, 2023 677 (LV) ± 3.8% 45% 42% 13%
Emerson College October 17–19, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 40% 13%
Emerson College September 20–22, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 40% 11%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 813 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 43% 9%
Blueprint Polling (D) June 8–10, 2022 603 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 38% 17%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
YouGov[CN] June 20 – July 1, 2024 1,484 (LV) ± 2.5% 49% 40% 5% 2% 4%[cl]
Manhattan Institute June 25–27, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 36% 7% 1% 0% 11%[cm]
UT Tyler June 11–20, 2024 1,144 (RV) ± 3.7% 46% 38% 12% 1% 3%[cn]
931 (LV) ± 3.8% 47% 41% 8% 1% 3%[co]
YouGov[CL] May 31 – June 9, 2024 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 43% 34% 8% 2% 2% 11%
YouGov[CL] April 12–22, 2024 1,200 (RV) ± 3.3% 45% 36% 8% 2% 2% 7%
Texas Lyceum April 12–21, 2024 926 (RV) ± 3.2% 41% 31% 11% 1% 1% 15%[cp]
Cygnal (R) April 4–6, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 2.9% 46% 37% 8% 1% 2% 6%
UT Tyler February 18–26, 2024 1,167 (RV) ± 3.2% 41% 37% 13% 6% 3%
YouGov[CL] February 2–12, 2024 1,200 (RV) ± 3.4% 45% 36% 6% 3% 2% 8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies February 1–3, 2024 605 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 35% 6% 1% 1% 13%
Emerson College[CM] January 13–15, 2024 1,315 (RV) ± 2.6% 46% 36% 5% 1% 1% 11%
YouGov[CL] December 1–10, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 42% 34% 8% 3% 2% 12%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation April 5–10, 2024 1,600 (LV) ± 2.45% 46% 34% 9% 11%[cq]
Marist College March 18–21, 2024 1,117 (RV) ± 3.8% 48% 36% 15% 1%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation April 5–10, 2024 1,600 (LV) ± 2.45% 48% 36% 3% 13%[cr]
YouGov[CK] January 11–24, 2024 1,500 (RV) ± 2.5% 49% 40% 3% 8%[cs]
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Joe
Manchin
No Labels
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
National Public Affairs February 6–8, 2024 807 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 35% 6% 4% 3% 9%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
UT Tyler February 18–26, 2024 1,167 (RV) ± 3.2% 42% 36% 22%
YouGov[CL] February 2–12, 2024 1,200 (RV) ± 3.4% 31% 40% 29%[ct]
YouGov[CK] January 11–24, 2024 1,500 (RV) ± 2.5% 43% 39% 18%
YouGov[CL] December 1–10, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 33% 36% 31%
YouGov[CL] October 5–17, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 32% 34% 34%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
UT Tyler February 18–26, 2024 1,167 (RV) ± 3.2% 33% 36% 20% 7% 3% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies February 1–3, 2024 605 (LV) ± 4.0% 30% 32% 14% 0% 0% 24%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
YouGov[CL] December 1–10, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 39% 37% 24%
YouGov[CL] October 5–17, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 39% 38% 24%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation May 8–17, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 2.9% 44% 42% 14%[cu]
CWS Research (R) April 17–21, 2023 677 (LV) ± 3.8% 44% 40% 16%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 813 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 41% 15%
Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation May 8–17, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 2.9% 45% 40% 15%[cv]
Vivek Ramaswamy vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
YouGov[CL] December 1–10, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 34% 37% 30%
YouGov[CL] October 5–17, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 33% 36% 32%
Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Mike
Pence
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
YouGov[CL] October 5–17, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 29% 36% 36%
Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Tim
Scott
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
YouGov[CL] October 5–17, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 33% 34% 33%

Utah

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics June 4–7, 2024 857 (RV) ± 3.4% 57% 25% 18%
Noble Predictive Insights April 8–16, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 54% 26% 20%
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics January 16–21, 2024 801 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 33% 24%
Emerson College October 25–28, 2022 825 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 34% 19%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics June 4–7, 2024 857 (RV) ± 3.4% 49% 20% 21% 11%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights April 8–16, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 23% 13% 1% 1% 15%

Virginia

[edit]
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College July 14–15, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 47% 8%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University July 12–13, 2024 617 (RV) ± 3.9% 45% 41% 14%
544 (LV) ± 3.9% 46% 42% 12%
New York Times/Siena College July 9–12, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.2% 48% 44% 8%
661 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 44% 7%
SoCal Research[X] July 6–11, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 2.1% 47% 47% 6%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College July 9–12, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.2% 41% 38% 9% 0% 1% 11%
661 (LV) ± 4.4% 43% 39% 7% 0% 1% 10%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University July 12–13, 2024 617 (RV) ± 3.9% 41% 37% 10% 12%
544 (LV) ± 3.9% 43% 38% 10% 9%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College July 14–15, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 45% 12%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 50%[d] 50%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University July 12–13, 2024 617 (RV) ± 3.9% 45% 41% 14%
544 (LV) ± 3.9% 47% 42% 11%
New York Times/Siena College July 9–12, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.2% 46% 44% 10%
661 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 45% 7%
SoCal Research[X] July 6–11, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 2.1% 47% 44% 9%
Fox News June 1–4, 2024 1,107 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%
Roanoke College May 12–21, 2024 711 (LV) ± 4.2% 42% 42% 16%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[I] April 29 – May 1, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 44% 8%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[CO] April 26–28, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 43% 42% 16%
Virginia Commonwealth University December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024 812 (A) ± 5.4% 43% 40% 17%
Mason-Dixon December 15–19, 2023 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 43% 8%
Roanoke College November 12–20, 2023 686 (A) ± 4.3% 48% 44% 8%
Change Research/Future Majority (D) September 16–19, 2023 1,437 (RV) 47% 42% 11%
Research America Inc.[CP] September 5–11, 2023 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 37% 37% 26%
Roanoke College August 6–15, 2023 702 (A) ± 4.2% 51% 42% 17%
Virginia Commonwealth University July 14–25, 2023 804 (A) ± 5.4% 43% 40% 17%
Roanoke College May 14–23, 2023 678 (A) ± 4.4% 54% 38% 8%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 7–9, 2023 500 (LV) 48% 41% 11%
Roanoke College February 12–21, 2023 590 (RV) ± 4.2% 47% 46% 6%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College July 14–15, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 38% 43% 8% 2% 2% 7%
New York Times/Siena College July 9–12, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.2% 38% 36% 9% 0% 2% 15%
661 (LV) ± 4.4% 40% 38% 7% 0% 2% 13%
Virginia Commonwealth University June 24 – July 3, 2024 809 (A) ± 4.8% 36% 39% 9% 1% 2% 13%[cw]
Fox News June 1–4, 2024 1,107 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 41% 9% 2% 2% 4%
Roanoke College May 12–21, 2024 711 (LV) ± 4.2% 40% 38% 8% 1% 3% 10%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[I] April 29 – May 1, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 40% 37% 8% 1% 2% 12%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University July 12–13, 2024 617 (RV) ± 3.9% 41% 38% 11% 10%
544 (LV) ± 3.9% 42% 39% 10% 9%
co/efficient (R) June 11–12, 2024 851 (LV) ± 3.4% 41% 41% 7% 11%
Mason-Dixon December 15–19, 2023 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% 36% 14% 8%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Change Research/Future Majority (D) September 16–19, 2023 1,437 (RV) 40% 39% 7% 14%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Manchin
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Change Research/Future Majority (D) September 16–19, 2023 1,437 (RV) 37% 37% 7% 5% 14%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Virginia Commonwealth University December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024 812 (A) ± 5.4% 38% 43% 19%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Virginia Commonwealth University December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024 812 (A) ± 5.4% 42% 39% 19%
Research America Inc.[CP] September 5–11, 2023 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 39% 30% 31%
Virginia Commonwealth University July 14–25, 2023 804 (A) ± 5.46% 41% 41% 18%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 7–9, 2023 500 (LV) 44% 44% 12%
Roanoke College February 12–21, 2023 590 (RV) ± 4.2% 43% 48% 8%
Joe Biden vs. Glenn Youngkin
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Glenn
Youngkin
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Research America Inc.[CP] September 5–11, 2023 1,000 (A) ± 3.0% 37% 34% 29%
Virginia Commonwealth University July 14–25, 2023 804 (A) ± 5.46% 37% 44% 19%
Roanoke College February 12–21, 2023 590 (RV) ± 4.2% 39% 55% 6%

Vermont

[edit]
Hypothetical polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample

size[c]

Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Other / Undecided
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research February 29 – March 3, 2024 117 (RV) ± 4.6% 58% 28% 14%
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research February 29 – March 3, 2024 111 (LV) ± 4.5% 59% 28% 13%

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample size[c] Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies April 13 – 21, 2024 272 (LV) ± 4.6% 47% 42% -

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample

size[c]

Margin
of error
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies April 13 – 21, 2024 272 (LV) ± 4.3% 52% 29% -

Washington

[edit]
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA[cx] July 10–13, 2024 708 (LV) ± 5.0% 51% 36% 13%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[CQ] July 24–25, 2024 581 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 38% 6% 4%
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA[cy] July 10–13, 2024 708 (LV) ± 5.0% 50% 36% 14%
Public Policy Polling (D)[CQ] May 15–16, 2024 615 (LV) ± 4.0% 55% 39% 6%
The Independent Center April 16–23, 2024 250 (RV) ± 6.2% 45% 46% 9%
Echelon Insights[CR] March 18–21, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.7% 48% 37% 15%
Public Policy Polling (D)[CQ] February 13–14, 2024 797 (LV) ± 3.5% 54% 38% 8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[CQ] November 14–15, 2023 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 52% 38% 10%
Crosscut/Elway October 30 – November 3, 2023 403 (RV) ± 5.0% 39% 29% 31%[cz]
Public Policy Polling (D)[CQ] June 7–8, 2023 773 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 36% 11%
Emerson College September 30 – October 1, 2022 782 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 39% 12%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) August 15–17, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 54% 41% 6%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Crosscut/Elway October 30 – November 3, 2023 403 (RV) ± 5.0% 37% 25% 9% 3% 26%[da]
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Cascade PBS/Elway Research May 13–16, 2024 403 (RV) ± 5.0% 42% 34% 3% 1% 0% 17%
The Independent Center April 16–23, 2024 250 (RV) ± 6.2% 35% 40% 13% 1% 4% 8%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[CQ] June 7–8, 2023 773 (LV) ± 3.5% 51% 39% 10%

West Virginia

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 539 (RV) ± 4.2% 59% 23% 18%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Jill
Stein
Mountain
Other /
Undecided
Kaplan Strategies June 4, 2024 464 (LV) ± 4.6% 55% 28% 2% 15%

Wisconsin

[edit]
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[B] July 23–29, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 46% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 24–28, 2024 700 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 47% 4%
Fox News July 22–24, 2024 1,046 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 50% 1%
Emerson College July 22–23, 2024 845 (RV) ± 3.3% 47% 47% 6%
845 (RV) ± 3.3% 51%[d] 49%
July 21, 2024 Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for President.
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 10–11, 2024 548 (RV) 48% 49% 3%
North Star Opinion Research[CA] July 6–10, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 48% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 693 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 49% 10%
Emerson College February 20–24, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% 9%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 603 (RV) ± 4.8% 46% 47% 7%
603 (LV) ± 4.8% 46% 48% 6%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Chase
Oliver
Libertarian
Other /
Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 31 – August 3, 2024 597 (LV) 43% 43% 3% 0% 0% 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 24–28, 2024 700 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 45% 6% 0% 3% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 22–24, 2024 523 (LV) 44% 44% 5% 1% 1% 5%
Fox News July 22–24, 2024 1,046 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 46% 5% 1% 1% 1%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College July 22–23, 2024 845 (RV) ± 3.3% 45% 45% 3% 1% 6%
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Civiqs[AL] July 13–16, 2024 514 (RV) ± 4.8% 48% 48% 2% 2%


Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College[D] July 15–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 48% 9%
Public Policy Polling (D)[CS] July 11–12, 2024 653 (V) ± 3.8% 47% 46% 7%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[E] July 5–12, 2024 1,020 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 6%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 10–11, 2024 548 (RV) 47% 47% 6%
North Star Opinion Research[CA] July 6–10, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 46% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 1–5, 2024 695 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 44% 9%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[BE] June 28 – July 2, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 50% 5%
Emerson College[D] June 30 – July 2, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% 9%
Remington Research Group (R) June 29 – July 1, 2024 593 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 49% 8%
Marquette University Law School June 12–20, 2024 871 (RV) ± 4.6% 44% 44% 12%
871 (RV) ± 4.6% 50%[d] 50%
784 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 44% 9%
784 (LV) ± 4.9% 51%[d] 49%
Emerson College June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% 9%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 49%[d] 51%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University May 30–31, 2024 338 (RV) ± 5.3% 40% 38% 22%[db]
290 (LV) ± 5.3% 40% 41% 19%[dc]
KAConsulting (R)[AN] May 15–19, 2024 600 (RV) 45% 45% 10%
Prime Group[H] May 9–16, 2024 488 (RV) 51% 49%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 693 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 47% 7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) May 6–13, 2024 503 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 45% 9%
New York Times/Siena College April 28 – May 9, 2024 614 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 45% 8%
614 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 47% 7%
Quinnipiac University May 2–6, 2024 1,457 (RV) ± 2.6% 50% 44% 6%
Emerson College April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 47% 8%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48%[d] 52%
CBS News/YouGov April 19–25, 2024 1,226 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 50% 1%
Fox News April 11–16, 2024 1,198 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 48% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024 702 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 48% 8%
Marquette University Law School April 3–10, 2024 814 (RV) ± 4.8% 49% 51%
736 (LV) ± 5.0% 49% 51%
North Star Opinion Research[L] April 6–9, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 45% 10%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 46% 8%
Echelon Insights[CT] March 12–19, 2024 400 (LV) ± 5.5% 47% 46% 7%
Emerson College/The Hill March 14–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 46% 11%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48%[d] 52%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–14, 2024 697 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 45% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024 702 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% 46% 12%
Emerson College February 20–24, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 45% 13%
Kaplan Strategies February 23, 2024 941 (RV) ± 3.2% 39% 41% 20%
Marquette University Law School January 24–31, 2024 930 (RV) ± 4.2% 49% 49% 2%
808 (LV) ± 4.2% 49% 50% 1%
Fox News January 26–30, 2024 1,172 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 47% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024 697 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 49% 7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023 681 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 45% 14%
J.L. Partners November 27 – December 1, 2023 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 45% 41% 14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023 675 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 47% 7%
Emerson College October 30 - November 4, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 44% 13%
819 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 45% 10%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 603 (RV) ± 4.8% 47% 45% 8%
Marquette University Law School October 26 – November 2, 2023 908 (RV) ± 4.5% 50% 48% 1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 5–10, 2023 700 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 46% 10%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 532 (RV) ± 4.2% 40% 42% 19%
Public Policy Polling (D)[CU] September 25–26, 2023 673 (RV) ± 3.8% 48% 44% 8%
Prime Group[CV] June 14–28, 2023 500 (RV) 53% 47%
500 (RV) 37% 40% 23%[dd]
Marquette University Law School June 8–13, 2023 913 (RV) ± 4.3% 52% 43% 4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 17–20, 2023 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 43% 9%
Emerson College October 27–29, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 43% 13%
Emerson College September 16–18, 2022 860 (LV) ± 3.3% 45% 44% 11%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[I] November 11–16, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 52% 6%
Marquette University Law School October 26–31, 2021 805 (RV) ± 3.9% 45% 41% 14%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) July 15–17, 2024 1,087 (LV) ± 2.9% 43% 46% 3% 0% 1% 7%
Emerson College[D] July 15–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 46% 4% 0% 1% 6%[de]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[E] July 5–12, 2024 1,020 (LV) ± 3.0% 42% 45% 7% 0% 1% 5%[df]
YouGov[P] July 4–12, 2024 900 (RV) ± 4.1% 38% 43% 4% 1% 1% 13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 1–5, 2024 695 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 39% 10% 1% 1% 8%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[BE] June 28 – July 2, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 38% 44% 9% 3% 6%[dg]
Marquette University Law School June 12–20, 2024 871 (RV) ± 4.6% 40% 43% 8% 4% 2% 3%[dh]
784 (LV) ± 4.9% 42% 44% 7% 3% 2% 2%[di]
Emerson College June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 44% 6% 0% 1% 7%
J.L. Partners June 5–10, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 44% 44% 5% 0% 0% 6%
KAConsulting (R)[AN] May 15–19, 2024 600 (RV) 42% 42% 7% 1% 2% 6%[dj]
Prime Group[H] May 9–16, 2024 488 (RV) 44% 44% 7% 3% 2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 693 (RV) ± 4.0% 42% 43% 6% 1% 1% 7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) May 6–13, 2024 503 (LV) ± 4.4% 41% 41% 9% 1% 1% 7%
New York Times/Siena College April 28 – May 9, 2024 614 (RV) ± 4.0% 38% 38% 9% 0% 1% 14%[cc]
614 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 40% 8% 0% 0% 13%[cc]
Quinnipiac University May 2–6, 2024 1,457 (RV) ± 2.6% 40% 39% 12% 1% 4% 4%
Emerson College April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 45% 6% 1% 1% 7%
Fox News April 11–16, 2024 1,198 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 41% 9% 2% 2% 3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024 702 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 44% 8% 1% 1% 5%
Marquette University Law School April 3–10, 2024 814 (RV) ± 4.8% 40% 41% 13% 3% 2% 1%
736 (LV) ± 5.0% 41% 42% 12% 3% 1% 1%
North Star Opinion Research[L] April 6–9, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 36% 37% 13% 2% 4% 9%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 38% 10% 1% 1% 9%
Emerson College/The Hill March 14–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 43% 6% 1% 1% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–14, 2024 697 (RV) ± 4.0% 39% 41% 10% 1% 1% 8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024 702 (RV) ± 4.0% 35% 41% 10% 1% 1% 12%
Emerson College February 20–24, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 41% 7% 1% 1% 13%
Marquette University Law School January 24–31, 2024 930 (RV) ± 4.2% 37% 40% 16% 2% 4% 1%
808 (LV) ± 4.2% 39% 41% 13% 2% 4% 1%
Fox News January 26–30, 2024 1,172 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 42% 7% 1% 2% 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024 697 (RV) ± 4.0% 35% 43% 10% 0% 2% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023 681 (RV) ± 4.0% 34% 40% 10% 1% 3% 13%
J.L. Partners/Daily Mail November 27 – December 1, 2023 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 42% 37% 7% 1% 1% 12%[dk]
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Civiqs[AL] July 13–16, 2024 514 (RV) ± 4.8% 47% 47% 3% 3%
North Star Opinion Research[CA] July 6–10, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 36% 38% 11% 15%[dl]
P2 Insights[R] June 11–20, 2024 650 (LV) ± 3.8% 42% 45% 4% 9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University May 30–31, 2024 338 (RV) ± 5.3% 38% 31% 13% 18%
290 (LV) ± 5.3% 40% 35% 12% 13%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 603 (LV) ± 4.8% 37% 35% 22% 6%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent
Cornel
West
Independent
Other /
Undecided
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023 675 (RV) ± 4.0% 36% 38% 13% 2% 11%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Jill
Stein
Green
Other /
Undecided
CBS News/YouGov April 19–25, 2024 1,226 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 48% 8% 0%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Newsom
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 10–11, 2024 548 (RV) 48% 48% 4%
Emerson College February 20–24, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 36% 45% 19%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Gretchen
Whitmer
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Fox News July 22–24, 2024 1,046 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 50% 4%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 10–11, 2024 548 (RV) 47% 46% 7%
JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
JB
Pritzker
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 10–11, 2024 548 (RV) 47% 47% 6%
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Josh
Shapiro
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Fox News July 22–24, 2024 1,046 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 49% 5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 10–11, 2024 548 (RV) 46% 44% 10%
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Pete
Buttigieg
Democratic
Donald
Trump
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] July 10–11, 2024 548 (RV) 47% 46% 7%
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Other /
Undecided
Marquette University Law School January 24–31, 2024 930 (RV) ± 4.2% 41% 57% 2%
808 (LV) ± 4.2% 42% 57% 1%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 603 (RV) ± 4.8% 39% 53% 8%
Marquette University Law School October 26 – November 2, 2023 908 (RV) ± 4.5% 44% 53% 3%
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Other /
Undecided
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 603 (RV) ± 4.8% 44% 48% 8%
Marquette University Law School October 26 – November 2, 2023 908 (RV) ± 4.5% 48% 50% 1%
Marquette University Law School June 8–13, 2023 913 (RV) ± 4.3% 49% 47% 4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 17–20, 2023 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 45% 45% 10%

Wyoming

[edit]
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 478 (RV) ±4.5% 68% 15% 18%

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c Unlike the other 48 states and Washington, D.C., which award all of their electors to the candidate who receives the most votes in that state, Maine and Nebraska award two electors to the winner of the statewide vote and one each to the candidate who receives the most votes in each congressional district.
  2. ^ The boundaries of Nebraska's 2nd congressional district have since changed due to redistricting.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu bv bw bx by bz ca cb cc cd ce cf cg ch ci cj ck cl cm cn co cp cq cr cs ct cu cv cw cx cy cz da db dc dd de df dg dh di dj dk dl dm dn do dp dq dr ds dt du dv dw dx dy dz ea eb ec ed ee ef eg eh ei ej ek el em en eo ep eq er es et eu ev ew ex ey ez fa fb fc fd fe ff fg fh fi fj fk fl fm fn fo fp fq fr fs ft fu fv fw fx fy fz ga gb gc gd ge gf gg gh gi gj gk gl gm gn go gp gq gr gs gt gu gv gw gx gy gz ha hb hc hd he hf hg hh hi hj hk hl hm hn ho hp hq hr hs ht hu hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik il im in io ip iq ir is it iu iv iw ix iy iz ja jb jc jd je jf jg jh ji jj jk jl jm jn jo jp jq jr js jt ju jv jw jx jy jz ka kb kc Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  5. ^ Independent/Third party candidate with 13%
  6. ^ "Someone else" with 15%
  7. ^ No Labels candidate
  8. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  9. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
  10. ^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 3%
  11. ^ Joe Manchin with 4%
  12. ^ "Someone else" with 12%
  13. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
  14. ^ Jill Stein (G) with 2%
  15. ^ "Someone else" with 11%
  16. ^ "Someone else" with 13%
  17. ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
  18. ^ a b Poll conducted for WTVT
  19. ^ "Another candidate" with 7%
  20. ^ "Another candidate" with 3%
  21. ^ Cornel West & Jill Stein with 1%
  22. ^ a b Poll conducted for WAGA-TV
  23. ^ No Labels candidate
  24. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
  25. ^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
  26. ^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 2%
  27. ^ "Someone else" with 10%
  28. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  29. ^ "Someone else" with 15%
  30. ^ Archived February 28, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
  31. ^ "Someone else" with 3%, "would not vote" with 1%
  32. ^ "Another Candidate" with 1%
  33. ^ Other candidate with 21%
  34. ^ Other candidate with 10%
  35. ^ Other candidate with 23%
  36. ^ Other candidate with 19%
  37. ^ a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  38. ^ "Someone else" with 14%
  39. ^ "Someone else" with 14%
  40. ^ No Labels candidate
  41. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  42. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  43. ^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
  44. ^ a b Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
  45. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  46. ^ "Other" with 4%
  47. ^ "Other" with 6%
  48. ^ "Other" with 9%
  49. ^ "Other" with 11%
  50. ^ "Someone else" with 7%
  51. ^ "Someone else" with 11%
  52. ^ "Someone else" with 12%
  53. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
  54. ^ No Labels candidate
  55. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  56. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  57. ^ a b c Lars Mapstead (L) with 2%
  58. ^ Donald Trump with 10%; "Another candidate" with 5%
  59. ^ Donald Trump with 9%; "Another candidate" with 6%
  60. ^ Donald Trump with 10%; "Another candidate" with 4%
  61. ^ Donald Trump with 16%; "Another candidate" with 11%
  62. ^ Donald Trump with 15%; "Another candidate" with 10%
  63. ^ Kennedy or other third-party candidate with 7%; Undecided with 13%
  64. ^ "Someone else" with 17%
  65. ^ No Labels candidate
  66. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  67. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  68. ^ Jill Stein (G) with 2%; Charles Ballay (L) with 2%
  69. ^ Poll sponsored by Brighter Future Alliance
  70. ^ Some Other Candidate at 5%; Undecided at 10%
  71. ^ Some Other Candidate at 2%; Undecided at 10%
  72. ^ Some Other Candidate at 8%; Undecided at 22%
  73. ^ Some Other Candidate at 5%; Undecided at 16%
  74. ^ Some Other Candidate at 8%; Undecided at 16%
  75. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
  76. ^ Independent/Third party candidate with 12%
  77. ^ "Undecided" & "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  78. ^ No Labels candidate
  79. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with >1%
  80. ^ Lars Mapstead with 1%
  81. ^ a b c d Lars Mapstead (L) with 0%
  82. ^ "Undecided" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  83. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  84. ^ "Some other candidate" with 8%
  85. ^ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  86. ^ "Someone else" with 9%
  87. ^ "Someone else" with 6%
  88. ^ "Someone else" with 7%
  89. ^ "Don't know" with 8%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  90. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
  91. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  92. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
  93. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
  94. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
  95. ^ Jill Stein (G) with 2%; Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  96. ^ Undecided with 10%; Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
  97. ^ Libertarian candidate with 1%
  98. ^ "Someone else" with 21%
  99. ^ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  100. ^ "Don't know" with 10%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  101. ^ "Undecided" with 6%; "Wouldn't vote" with 3%; "Someone else" & "Refused" with 2%
  102. ^ Poll sponsored by The Seattle Times, KING-TV, & University of Washington Information School
  103. ^ Poll sponsored by The Seattle Times, KING-TV, & University of Washington Information School
  104. ^ "Someone else" with 22%; "Undecided" with 8%; "I would not vote" with 1%
  105. ^ "Undecided" with 14%; "Someone else" with 11%; "I would not vote" with 2%
  106. ^ "Another candidate" with 12%
  107. ^ "Another candidate" with 11%
  108. ^ No Labels candidate
  109. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  110. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  111. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  112. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
  113. ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
  114. ^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
  115. ^ "Someone else" with 12%
  116. ^ Jill Stein (G) with 3%; Chase Oliver (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
  2. ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC Cite error: The named reference "DNext" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
  6. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by American Greatness
  7. ^ Poll commissioned by AARP
  8. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump
  9. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
  10. ^ Poll sponsored by Independent Center
  11. ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  12. ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
  13. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Americas PAC
  14. ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
  15. ^ Poll sponsored by College Republicans United
  16. ^ a b c d e f g Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
  17. ^ Poll commissioned by AARP
  18. ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates
  19. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  20. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by ProgressNow Colorado
  21. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Colorado Polling Institute
  22. ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  23. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Florida Chamber of Commerce
  24. ^ a b c d e f g Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
  25. ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
  26. ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  27. ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
  28. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Hardworking Americans PAC
  29. ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
  30. ^ a b c d e f This poll was sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation
  31. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register & Mediacom Iowa
  32. ^ a b Poll commissioned by The Times-Picayune/The New Orleans Advocate
  33. ^ This poll was commissioned by EMILY's List, which supports Biden.
  34. ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Boston Globe
  35. ^ Poll sponsored by the University of Massachusetts Amherst Department of Political Science & WCVB
  36. ^ Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics
  37. ^ a b c d e f Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV
  38. ^ a b c d e f Poll conducted for Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democratic candidates
  39. ^ a b c d e f g h Poll commissioned by MIRS
  40. ^ a b c d e f Poll conducted for Vapor Technology Association
  41. ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  42. ^ Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
  43. ^ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
  44. ^ a b c d Poll commissioned by Citizens Awareness Project
  45. ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
  46. ^ Poll sponsored by Progress Michigan, a sponsor for the Democratic Party
  47. ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by KSTP-TV, WDIO-TV, & KAAL-TV
  48. ^ Poll sponsored by KARE11, Minnesota Public Radio & the Star Tribune
  49. ^ Poll commissioned by Common Sense for America PAC, which supports Republican candidates
  50. ^ Poll sponsored by the Montana Republican Party
  51. ^ Poll conducted by More Jobs, Less Government which supports Republican candidates
  52. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  53. ^ Poll sponsored by KULR-TV
  54. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the campaign of U.S. Senator Deb Fischer, who has endorsed Trump
  55. ^ Poll sponsored by Nebraska Railroaders for Public Safety
  56. ^ Poll commissioned by League of American Workers
  57. ^ a b c d e f Poll commissioned by AARP
  58. ^ Poll sponsored by Breaking Battlegrounds
  59. ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  60. ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
  61. ^ Poll sponsored by Capitol Resource Institute
  62. ^ Poll sponsored by Breaking Battlegrounds
  63. ^ Poll commissioned by League of American Workers
  64. ^ a b Poll commissioned by the National Republican Senatorial Committee
  65. ^ Poll commissioned by the New Mexico Political Report
  66. ^ Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
  67. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward
  68. ^ Poll sponsored by WRAL-TV
  69. ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by the John Locke Foundation
  70. ^ Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward
  71. ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
  72. ^ a b Poll sponsored by NC Values Coalition, a sponsor of the Republican Party
  73. ^ Poll sponsored by The Carolina Journal
  74. ^ Poll sponsored by Carolina Partnership for Reform & Carolina Leadership Coalition
  75. ^ Poll sponsored by the League of American Workers
  76. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  77. ^ a b Poll commissioned by Early Vote Action PAC
  78. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Commonwealth Foundation
  79. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by American Greatness
  80. ^ Poll commissioned by AARP
  81. ^ Poll sponsored by Independent Center
  82. ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  83. ^ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
  84. ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
  85. ^ Poll sponsored by Salve Regina University
  86. ^ Poll sponsored by South Dakota News Watch & Chiesman Center for Democracy at the University of South Dakota
  87. ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee
  88. ^ Poll sponsored by The Tennessean
  89. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston
  90. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas
  91. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  92. ^ Poll sponsored by the University of Houston and Texas Southern University
  93. ^ Poll sponsored by Virginians Against Neighborhood Slot Machines
  94. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington
  95. ^ a b c d e f This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute
  96. ^ Poll sponsored by Concerned Taxpayers of Washington State PAC
  97. ^ Poll conducted for Protect Our Care
  98. ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  99. ^ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
  100. ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Montanaro, Domenico (2024-08-05). "Harris has momentum, but the race is still tight. Here are the paths to the presidency". NPR. Retrieved 2024-08-06.
  2. ^ "2022 Cook PVI: State Map and List". Cook Political Report. December 15, 2017. Archived from the original on July 13, 2022. Retrieved July 12, 2022.
  3. ^ "Federal Elections 2020" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. July 2023.
  4. ^ Gonzales, Nathan. "2024 Presidential Ratings (May 8, 2024)". Inside Elections. Retrieved May 26, 2024.
  5. ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". Cook Political Report. July 9, 2024. Retrieved July 9, 2024.
  6. ^ "2024 CNalysis Pres. Forecast". CNalysis. July 15, 2024. Archived from the original on December 25, 2023. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
  7. ^ Kondik, Kyle (August 6, 2024). "Electoral College Rating Changes". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
  8. ^ "Road to 270". CNN. January 31, 2024. Archived from the original on January 30, 2024. Retrieved January 31, 2024.
  9. ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". Decision Desk HQ/The Hill. Retrieved July 10, 2024.
  10. ^ Morris, G. Elliott (July 4, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved July 19, 2024.
  11. ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved July 19, 2024.
  12. ^ a b Illinoisans Share Who They Support for President (Republican & Democrat Poll), retrieved 2023-09-02