2016 United States presidential election in Oregon
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Elections in Oregon |
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The 2016 United States presidential election in Oregon will take place on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participate. Oregon voters will choose seven electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote.
On May 17, 2016, in the presidential primaries, voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican and Constitution parties' respective nominees for President (The Green primary was on May 21 and the Libertarian primary was on May 27, with the Independent primary on July 18.) [1] The Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated were unable to vote.
The Democratic candidate has carried the state every year since 1988.
Background
The incumbent President of the United States, Barack Obama, a Democrat and former U.S. Senator from Illinois, was first elected president in the 2008 election, running with former Senator Joe Biden of Delaware. Defeating the Republican nominee, Senator John McCain of Arizona, with 52.9% of the popular vote and 68% of the electoral vote,[2][3] Obama succeeded two-term Republican President George W. Bush, the former Governor of Texas. Obama and Biden were reelected in the 2012 presidential election, defeating former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 51.1% of the popular vote and 61.7% of electoral votes.[4] Although Barack Obama's approval rating in the RealClearPolitics poll tracking average remained between 40 and 50 percent for most of his second term, it has experienced a surge in early 2016 and reached its highest point since 2012 during June of that year.[5][6] Analyst Nate Cohn has noted that a strong approval rating for President Obama would equate to a strong performance for the Democratic candidate, and vice versa.[7]
Following his second term, President Obama is not eligible for another reelection. In October 2015, Obama's running-mate and two-term Vice President Biden decided not to enter the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination either.[8] With their terms expiring on January 20, 2017, the electorate is asked to elect a new president, the 45th President and 48th Vice President of the United States, respectively.
Political landscape in Oregon
Besides Lyndon Johnson's landslide victory in 1964, the Republican party's candidate won Oregon in every year from 1948 to 1984. Since then, however, the Democratic candidate has carried the state in every election, including a narrow victory in the 2000 election. The last statewide election won by a Republican candidate was in the 2002 Senate election, and all current statewide officials are Democrats. Barack Obama defeated John McCain by 16.35% in 2008 and Mitt Romney by 12.09% in 2012.
Primary Elections
Democratic primary
Two candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:
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Oregon results by county Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton |
Oregon Democratic primary, May 17, 2016 | |||||
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Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
Bernie Sanders | 360,829 | 56.24% | 36 | 3 | 39 |
Hillary Clinton | 269,846 | 42.06% | 25 | 7 | 32 |
Misc. | 10,920 | 1.70% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
(available) | — | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
Total | 641,595 | 100% | 61 | 13 | 74 |
Source: [9][10] |
Republican primary
Six candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:
- Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
- Ben Carson (withdrawn)
- Ted Cruz (withdrawn)
- John Kasich (withdrawn)
- Marco Rubio (withdrawn)
- Donald Trump
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Oregon results by county Donald Trump (Note: Italicization indicates a withdrawn candidacy) |
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
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Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 252,748 | 64.16% | 18 | 0 | 18 |
Ted Cruz (withdrawn) | 65,513 | 16.63% | 5 | 0 | 5 |
John Kasich (withdrawn) | 62,248 | 15.80% | 5 | 0 | 5 |
Write-in | 13,411 | 3.40% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Total: | 393,920 | 100.00% | 28 | 0 | 28 |
Source: The Green Papers |
Green Primary
This state's Green Party held its presidential preference vote on May 21.
On May 22, it was announced that Jill Stein had won the preference vote.[11]
Oregon Green Party presidential convention, April 17, 2016 | |||
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Candidate | Votes | Percentage | National delegates |
Jill Stein | - | - | 6 |
Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza Curry | - | - | 1 |
Uncommitted | - | - | 1 |
Total | - | - | 8 |
Libertarian primary
The Oregon primary is scheduled to be completed on May 27, 2016, the last day to receive mail-in ballots. |
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Independent Party of Oregon primary
The Independent Party held a primary election on July 18. The party's ballot included Bernie Sanders (D), Hillary Clinton (D), Donald Trump (R), Ted Cruz (R), John Kasich (R), Gary Johnson (L), Jill Stein (G) and a "none of these candidates" choice.[14] Bernie Sanders won the primary election with 31.5% of the vote, narrowly defeating Donald Trump's 30.08%. Hillary Clinton came in third with 24.02% of the vote.[15]
Polling
See also
- Democratic Party presidential debates, 2016
- Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
- Republican Party presidential debates, 2016
- Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016
References
- ^ "*** 2016 ELECTION NOTICE *** | Independent Party of Oregon". www.indparty.com. Retrieved 2016-06-18.
- ^ "United States House of Representatives floor summary for Jan 8, 2009". Clerk.house.gov. Retrieved January 30, 2009.
- ^ "Federal elections 2008" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
- ^ "President Map". The New York Times. November 29, 2012. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
- ^ "Election Other – President Obama Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved December 24, 2015.
- ^ Byrnes, Jesse (2016-06-15). "Poll: Obama approval rating highest since 2012". TheHill. Retrieved 2016-06-19.
- ^ Cohn, Nate (2015-01-19). "What a Rise in Obama's Approval Rating Means for 2016". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2016-06-19.
- ^ "Joe Biden Decides Not to Enter Presidential Race". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved October 21, 2015.
- ^ The Green Papers
- ^ Oregon Secretary of State - Official Election Results
- ^ "Stein wins six Oregon delegates, Moyowasifza-Curry one – Green Party Watch". Retrieved 2016-06-18.
- ^ "2016 Election Rules". The Libertarian Party of Oregon. Retrieved 19 March 2016.
- ^ "Oregon Libertarian Primary Raw Results". Independent Political Report. Retrieved 8 June 2016.
- ^ "Independent Party of Oregon". Retrieved 23 July 2016.
- ^ "2016 IPO PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT & MEMBER SURVEY RESULTS (UNOFFICIAL)" (PDF). Retrieved 31 July 2016.