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2022 United States Senate elections

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2022 United States Senate elections

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

35 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate
51 seats needed for a majority
 
Leader Chuck Schumer Mitch McConnell
Party Democratic Republican
Leader since January 3, 2017 January 3, 2007
Leader's seat New York Kentucky
Last election 48[a][b] 50
Seats needed Steady Increase 1
Seats up 14 21

 
Party Independent
Current seats 2[a]
Seats up 0

2022 United States Senate elections in California2022 United States Senate special election in Oklahoma2022 United States Senate election in Alabama2022 United States Senate election in Alaska2022 United States Senate election in Arizona2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas2022 United States Senate elections in California2022 United States Senate election in Colorado2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut2022 United States Senate election in Florida2022 United States Senate election in Georgia2022 United States Senate election in Hawaii2022 United States Senate election in Idaho2022 United States Senate election in Illinois2022 United States Senate election in Indiana2022 United States Senate election in Iowa2022 United States Senate election in Kansas2022 United States Senate election in Kentucky2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana2022 United States Senate election in Maryland2022 United States Senate election in Missouri2022 United States Senate election in Nevada2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire2022 United States Senate election in New York2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina2022 United States Senate election in North Dakota2022 United States Senate election in Ohio2022 United States Senate election in Oklahoma2022 United States Senate election in Oregon2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania2022 United States Senate election in South Carolina2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota2022 United States Senate election in Utah2022 United States Senate election in Vermont2022 United States Senate election in Washington2022 United States Senate election in Wisconsin
Map of the incumbents:
     Democratic incumbent running      Democratic incumbent retiring
     Republican incumbent running      Republican incumbent retiring
     No election
Rectangular inset (Oklahoma): both seats up for election

Incumbent Majority Leader

Chuck Schumer
Democratic



The 2022 United States Senate elections will be held on November 8, 2022 (Election Day), with 34 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections, the winners of which will serve six-year terms in the United States Congress from January 3, 2023, to January 3, 2029. Senators are divided into three groups, or classes, whose terms are staggered so that a different class is elected every two years. Class 3 senators, who were last elected in 2016, will be up for election again in 2022.

All 34 Class 3 Senate seats are up for election in 2022; Class 3 currently consists of 14 Democrats and 20 Republicans. Two special elections will also be held—in California, to fill the final weeks of Kamala Harris' term,[1] and in Oklahoma, to serve the four remaining years of Jim Inhofe's term.

Six Republican senators, Richard Shelby (Alabama), Roy Blunt (Missouri), Richard Burr (North Carolina), Rob Portman (Ohio), Jim Inhofe (Oklahoma), Pat Toomey (Pennsylvania), as well as one Democratic senator, Patrick Leahy (Vermont), have announced that they are not seeking re-election; 15 Republicans and 13 Democrats are running for re-election.

Numerous other federal, state, and local elections, including the 2022 House elections, will also be held on this date. The winners of these elections will serve beginning in the 118th United States Congress. Democrats have held a majority in the Senate since January 20, 2021, following the party's twin victories in the runoffs for Georgia's regularly-scheduled and special 2020 Senate elections, and the inauguration of Democrat Kamala Harris as vice president. There are 48 Democratic senators and two independent senators who caucus with them; with Harris' tie-breaking vote, the Democrats hold an effective 51-seat majority in the chamber.

This will be the first time in U.S. history in which multiple Senate races in the same year are contested between two African-American nominees (Georgia and South Carolina). Three previous elections[c] have taken place with two major-party African-American candidates.

Partisan composition

Parties Total
Democratic Independent Republican
Last election (2020) 48 2 50 100
Before these elections 48 2 50 100
Not up 34 2 29 65
Class 1 (20182024) 21 2 10 33
Class 2 (20202026) 13 0 19 32
Up 14 0 21 35
Class 3 (2016→2022) 14 0 20 34
Special: Class 2 & 3 1 1 2
General election
Incumbent retiring 1 6[d] 7
Incumbent running 13[e] 15 28
Special elections
Appointee running 1 0 1

In contrast to 2018, when Democrats were defending 10 seats in states that Donald Trump won in 2016, Democrats hold no seats in any state that was won by Trump in 2020. Meanwhile, the Republicans are defending two seats (Wisconsin and Pennsylvania) in states President Joe Biden won in 2020, compared to one seat (Nevada) in a state that Hillary Clinton won in 2016 and was held by Republicans.

Change in composition

Each block represents one of the one hundred seats in the U.S. Senate. "D#" is a Democratic senator, "I#" is an Independent senator, and "R#" is a Republican senator. They are arranged so the parties are separated and a majority is clear by crossing the middle.

Before the elections

Each block indicates an incumbent senator's actions going into the election.

D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8 D9 D10
D20 D19 D18 D17 D16 D15 D14 D13 D12 D11
D21 D22 D23 D24 D25 D26 D27 D28 D29 D30
D40
Hawaii
Running
D39
Ga.
Running
D38
Conn.
Running
D37
Colo.
Running
D36
Calif.
Running[f]
D35
Ariz.
Running
D34 D33 D32 D31
D41
Ill.
Running
D42
Md.
Running
D43
Nev.
Running
D44
N.H.
Running
D45
N.Y.
Running
D46
Ore.
Running
D47
Vt.
Retiring
D48
Wash.
Running
I1 I2
Majority (with Independents and Vice President) ↑
R41
N.C.
Retiring
R42
N.D.
Running
R43
Ohio
Retiring
R44
Okla. (reg)
Running
R45
Okla. (sp)
Resigning
R46
Pa.
Retiring
R47
S.C.
Running
R48
S.D.
Running
R49
Utah
Running
R50
Wisc.
Running
R40
Mo.
Retiring
R39
La.
Running
R38
Ky.
Running
R37
Kans.
Running
R36
Iowa
Running
R35
Ind.
Running
R34
Idaho
Running
R33
Fla.
Running
R32
Ark.
Running
R31
Alaska
Running
R21 R22 R23 R24 R25 R26 R27 R28 R29 R30
Ala.
Retiring
R20 R19 R18 R17 R16 R15 R14 R13 R12 R11
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10

After the elections

D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8 D9 D10
D20 D19 D18 D17 D16 D15 D14 D13 D12 D11
D21 D22 D23 D24 D25 D26 D27 D28 D29 D30
Ark.
TBD
Ariz.
TBD
Alaska
TBD
Ala.
TBD
I2 I1 D34 D33 D32 D31
Calif.
TBD[f]
Colo.
TBD
Conn.
TBD
Fla.
TBD
Ga.
TBD
Hawaii
TBD
Idaho
TBD
Ill.
TBD
Ind.
TBD
Iowa
TBD
Majority TBD →
Kans.
TBD
N.D.
TBD
N.C.
TBD
N.Y.
TBD
N.H.
TBD
Nev.
TBD
Mo.
TBD
Md.
TBD
La.
TBD
Ky.
TBD
Ohio
TBD
Okla. (sp)
TBD
Okla. (reg)
TBD
Ore.
TBD
Pa.
TBD
S.C.
TBD
S.D.
TBD
Utah
TBD
Vt.
TBD
Wash.
TBD
R21 R22 R23 R24 R25 R26 R27 R28 R29 Wisc.
TBD
R20 R19 R18 R17 R16 R15 R14 R13 R12 R11
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10
Key:
D# Democratic
R# Republican
I# Independent, caucusing with Democrats

Predictions

Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election) and the other candidates and the state's partisan lean (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assign ratings to each seat, indicating the predicted advantage that a party had in winning that seat. Most election predictors use:

  • "tossup" / "battleground": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used by some predictors): minimal, smallest advantage
  • "lean": slight advantage
  • "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
  • "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
Constituency Incumbent 2022 election ratings
State CPVI[2] Senator Last
election[g]
Cook
Oct 26,
2022
[3]
IE
Oct 7,
2022
[4]
Sabato
Oct. 19,
2022
[5]
CBS
Oct, 20
2022
[6]
Politico
Oct 26,
2022
[7]
RCP
Oct 26,
2022
[8]
Fox
Oct 25,
2022
[9]
DDHQ
Oct 25,
2022
[10]
538[h]
Oct 25,
2022
[11]
Econ.
Oct 16,
2022
[12]
Alabama R+15 Richard Shelby
(retiring)
64.0% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Alaska R+8 Lisa Murkowski 44.4% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Arizona R+2 Mark Kelly 51.2% D
(2020 sp.)[i]
Tossup Tilt D Lean D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D Lean D Likely D
Arkansas R+16 John Boozman 59.8% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R Solid R Safe R
California[f] D+13 Alex Padilla Appointed
(2021)[j]
Solid D Solid D Safe D Likely D Solid D Safe D Solid D Solid D Solid D Safe D
Colorado D+4 Michael Bennet 50.0% D Lean D Likely D Likely D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D
Connecticut D+7 Richard Blumenthal 63.2% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Likely D Likely D Lean D Likely D Solid D Solid D Safe D
Florida R+3 Marco Rubio 52.0% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Likely R Lean R
Georgia R+3 Raphael Warnock 51.0% D
(2021 sp. runoff)[k]
Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean D
Hawaii D+14 Brian Schatz 73.6% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Likely D Solid D Safe D Solid D Solid D Solid D Safe D
Idaho R+18 Mike Crapo 66.1% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Illinois D+7 Tammy Duckworth 54.9% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Likely D Solid D Safe D Solid D Solid D Solid D Safe D
Indiana R+11 Todd Young 52.1% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Iowa R+6 Chuck Grassley 60.1% R Likely R Solid R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Kansas R+10 Jerry Moran 62.2% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Kentucky R+16 Rand Paul 57.3% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Louisiana R+12 John Kennedy 60.7% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Maryland D+14 Chris Van Hollen 60.9% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Likely D Solid D Safe D Solid D Solid D Solid D Safe D
Missouri R+10 Roy Blunt
(retiring)
49.2% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Likely R Likely R Solid R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Nevada R+1 Catherine Cortez Masto 47.1% D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup
New Hampshire D+1 Maggie Hassan 48.0% D Lean D Tilt D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup Lean D Lean D Likely D Likely D
New York D+10 Chuck Schumer 70.6% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Likely D Solid D Likely D Solid D Solid D Solid D Safe D
North Carolina R+3 Richard Burr
(retiring)
51.1% R Lean R Tilt R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Tossup
North Dakota R+20 John Hoeven 78.5% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Ohio R+6 Rob Portman
(retiring)
58.0% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Tossup
Oklahoma
(regular)
R+20 James Lankford 67.7% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Oklahoma
(special)
R+20 Jim Inhofe
(resigning)
62.9% R
(2020)
Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Oregon D+6 Ron Wyden 56.6% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Likely D Solid D Safe D Solid D Solid D Solid D Safe D
Pennsylvania R+2 Pat Toomey
(retiring)
48.8% R Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Likely D (flip)
South Carolina R+8 Tim Scott 60.6% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R Solid R Safe R
South Dakota R+16 John Thune 71.8% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Utah R+13 Mike Lee 68.2% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R Solid R Solid R Safe R
Vermont D+16 Patrick Leahy
(retiring)
61.3% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Likely D Solid D Likely D Solid D Solid D Solid D Safe D
Washington D+8 Patty Murray 58.8% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Lean D Solid D Solid D Solid D Likely D
Wisconsin R+2 Ron Johnson 50.2% R Tossup Tilt R Lean R Tossup Tossup Tossup Lean R Likely R Likely R Lean R
Overall[l] D – 47
R – 48
5 tossups
D – 48
R – 49
3 tossups
D – 49
R – 49
2 tossups
D – 48
R – 48
4 tossups
D – 48
R – 48
4 tossups
D – 46
R – 48
6 tossups
D – 47
R – 49
4 tossups
D – 48
R – 49
3 tossups
D – 48
R – 49
3 tossups
D – 50
R – 47
3 tossups

Retirements

One Democrat and six Republicans have announced their retirement.

State Senator Ref
Alabama Richard Shelby [13]
Missouri Roy Blunt [14]
North Carolina Richard Burr [15]
Ohio Rob Portman [16]
Oklahoma Jim Inhofe [17]
Pennsylvania Pat Toomey [18]
Vermont Patrick Leahy [19]

Race summary

Special elections during the preceding Congress

In each special election, the winner's term begins immediately after their election is certified by their state's government.

Elections are sorted by date then state.

State
(linked to
summaries below)
Incumbent Status Candidates
Senator Party Electoral history
California
(Class 3)
Alex Padilla Democratic 2021 (appointed) Interim appointee nominated
Oklahoma
(Class 2)
Jim Inhofe Republican 1994 (special)
1996
2002
2008
2014
2020
Incumbent resigning January 3, 2023[17]

Elections leading to the next Congress

In these general elections, the winners will be elected for the term beginning January 3, 2023.

State
(linked to
summaries below)
Incumbent Status Major candidates[m][n]
Senator Party Electoral history
Alabama Richard Shelby Republican 1986
1992
1998
2004
2010
2016
Incumbent retiring[22]
Alaska Lisa Murkowski Republican 2002 (appointed)
2004
2010
2016
Incumbent renominated
Arizona Mark Kelly Democratic 2020 (special) Incumbent renominated
Arkansas John Boozman Republican 2010
2016
Incumbent renominated
California Alex Padilla Democratic 2021 (appointed) Interim appointee nominated
Colorado Michael Bennet Democratic 2009 (appointed)
2010
2016
Incumbent renominated
Connecticut Richard Blumenthal Democratic 2010
2016
Incumbent renominated
Florida Marco Rubio Republican 2010
2016
Incumbent renominated
Georgia Raphael Warnock Democratic 2021 (special) Incumbent renominated
Hawaii Brian Schatz Democratic 2012 (appointed)
2014 (special)
2016
Incumbent renominated
Idaho Mike Crapo Republican 1998
2004
2010
2016
Incumbent renominated
  • Scott Cleveland (Independent)[33]
  • Mike Crapo (Republican)[33]
  • David Roth (Democratic)[33]
  • Idaho Sierra Law (Libertarian)[33]
  • Ray Writz (Constitution)[33]
Illinois Tammy Duckworth Democratic 2016 Incumbent renominated
Indiana Todd Young Republican 2016 Incumbent renominated
Iowa Chuck Grassley Republican 1980
1986
1992
1998
2004
2010
2016
Incumbent renominated
Kansas Jerry Moran Republican 2010
2016
Incumbent renominated
Kentucky Rand Paul Republican 2010
2016
Incumbent renominated
Louisiana John Kennedy Republican 2016 Incumbent running
  • Beryl Billiot (Independent)[39]
  • Gary Chambers (Democratic)[39]
  • Devin Graham (Republican)[39]
  • Xan John (Independent)[39]
  • John Kennedy (Republican)[39]
  • Thomas La Fontaine Olson (Independent)[39]
  • Bradley McMorris (Independent)[39]
  • Vinny Mendoza (Democratic)[39]
  • Luke Mixon (Democratic)[39]
  • Salvador Rodriguez (Democratic)[39]
  • Aaron Sigler (Libertarian)[39]
  • Syrite Steib (Democratic)[39]
  • Thomas Wenn (Independent)[39]
Maryland Chris Van Hollen Democratic 2016 Incumbent renominated
Missouri Roy Blunt Republican 2010
2016
Incumbent retiring[41]
  • Trudy Busch Valentine (Democratic)[42]
  • Jonathan Dine (Libertarian)[42]
  • Eric Schmitt (Republican)[42]
  • Paul Venable (Constitution)[42]
Nevada Catherine Cortez Masto Democratic 2016 Incumbent renominated
New Hampshire Maggie Hassan Democratic 2016 Incumbent renominated
New York Chuck Schumer Democratic 1998
2004
2010
2016
Incumbent renominated
North Carolina Richard Burr Republican 2004
2010
2016
Incumbent retiring[46]
North Dakota John Hoeven Republican 2010
2016
Incumbent renominated
Ohio Rob Portman Republican 2010
2016
Incumbent retiring[50]
Oklahoma James Lankford Republican 2014 (special)
2016
Incumbent renominated
Oregon Ron Wyden Democratic 1996 (special)
1998
2004
2010
2016
Incumbent renominated
Pennsylvania Pat Toomey Republican 2010
2016
Incumbent retiring[53]
South Carolina Tim Scott Republican 2013 (appointed)
2014 (special)
2016
Incumbent renominated
South Dakota John Thune Republican 2004
2010
2016
Incumbent renominated
Utah Mike Lee Republican 2010
2016
Incumbent renominated
Vermont Patrick Leahy Democratic 1974
1980
1986
1992
1998
2004
2010
2016
Incumbent retiring[19]
Washington Patty Murray Democratic 1992
1998
2004
2010
2016
Incumbent renominated
Wisconsin Ron Johnson Republican 2010
2016
Incumbent renominated

Alabama

Alabama election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Katie Britt Will Boyd
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Richard Shelby
Republican



Six-term Republican Richard Shelby was re-elected in 2016 with 64% of the vote. On February 8, 2021, Shelby announced that he would not seek re-election to a seventh term.[61]

Katie Britt, Shelby's former Chief of Staff,[62] defeated six-term U.S. representative Mo Brooks in the runoff Republican primary election. Britt and Brooks defeated businesswoman Karla DuPriest, former Army pilot and author Michael Durant and author Jake Schafer in the initial primary election.[63]

Perennial candidate Will Boyd[64] defeated former Brighton mayor Brandaun Dean[65] and Lanny Jackson[66][67] in the Democratic primary.

Alaska

Alaska election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Candidate Lisa Murkowski Kelly Tshibaka Pat Chesbro
Party Republican Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Lisa Murkowski
Republican



Three-term Republican Lisa Murkowski was re-elected in 2016 with 44.4% of the vote. Alaska adopted a top-four jungle primary system through the passage of a ballot initiative in 2020, with the ultimate winner being decided via ranked-choice voting. Characterizations of the state as a "Safe" or "Solid" Republican stronghold may change if Murkowski decides to change her party affiliation to Independent as she suggested after the Capitol attack. If she does so, she would most likely continue to caucus with Republicans in the Senate.[68] On March 30, former Alaska Department of Administration commissioner Kelly Tshibaka announced that she was running against Murkowski following the state's GOP decision to censure her, with Tshibaka later receiving former President Donald Trump's endorsement.[69] Republican Governor Mike Dunleavy has announced that he will not run, opting to run for re-election.[70]

Murkowski and Tshibaka advanced to the general election, along with fellow Republican Buzz Kelley and leading Democratic candidate Pat Chesboro.[71] Kelley suspended his campaign in September and endorsed Tshibaka, although he will still remain on the ballot.[72]

Arizona

Arizona election

 
Nominee Mark Kelly Blake Masters
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Mark Kelly
Democratic



Incumbent Democrat Mark Kelly took office on December 2, 2020, after winning a special election with 51.2% of the vote.

Six-term senator and 2008 Republican presidential nominee John McCain was re-elected to this seat in 2016. However, he died on August 25, 2018, and former U.S. senator Jon Kyl was appointed to replace him. Kyl resigned at the end of 2018 and was succeeded by outgoing U.S. representative Martha McSally, who lost the 2020 special election to complete the term.

In the Republican primary, Blake Masters, the chairman of the Thiel foundation, defeated Jim Lamon, chair of the solar power company Depcom,[73] and Arizona Attorney General Mark Brnovich.[74]

Arkansas

Arkansas election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee John Boozman Natalie James
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

John Boozman
Republican



Two-term Republican John Boozman was re-elected in 2016 with 59.8% of the vote. Boozman has announced that he is running for a third term.[75]

Boozman defeated former NFL player and U.S. Army veteran Jake Bequette, gun range owner and 2018 gubernatorial candidate Jan Morgan, and pastor Heath Loftis in the Republican primary.[76][77][78][79] A fourth challenger, corporate analyst Michael Deel withdrew prior to the primary election citing a lack of viability.[80]

Natalie James, a real estate broker from Little Rock,[81] defeated Dan Whitfield, who attempted to run as an independent for Arkansas' other U.S. Senate seat in 2020 but failed to meet the ballot access requirements,[82] and former Pine Bluff City alderman Jack Foster for the Democratic nomination.[83]

California

California election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Candidate Alex Padilla Mark Meuser
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Alex Padilla
Democratic



Incumbent Democrat Alex Padilla took office on January 20, 2021. He was appointed by Governor Gavin Newsom following the resignation of incumbent Democrat Kamala Harris on January 18, 2021, in advance of her swearing-in as Vice President of the United States.[84]

Due to a rule change, there will be two ballot items for the same seat: a general election, to elect a Class 3 Senator to a full term beginning with the 118th United States Congress, sworn in on January 3, 2023, and a special election, to fill that seat for the final weeks of the 117th Congress. Padilla is running to fill the seat for the remainder of the current term, and for election to a full term,[1] and the Republican nominee is attorney Mark Meuser.

Colorado

Colorado election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Michael Bennet Joe O'Dea
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Michael Bennet
Democratic



Two-term Democrat Michael Bennet took office on January 21, 2009, after being appointed by then Colorado Governor Bill Ritter to replace outgoing Democrat Ken Salazar, who was nominated by President Barack Obama to serve as United States Secretary of the Interior. He has narrowly won reelection bids, in 2010 to his first full term, with 48.08% of the vote, and, in 2016 to his second, with 49.97% of the vote.

In the Republican primary, construction company owner Joe O'Dea defeated state representative Ron Hanks.[85][86]

Connecticut

Connecticut election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Richard Blumenthal Leora Levy
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Richard Blumenthal
Democratic



Two-term Democrat Richard Blumenthal was re-elected in 2016 with 63.2% of the vote.

Former state House Minority Leader Themis Klarides ran for the Republican nomination,[87] but lost to commodities trader Leora Levy.

Florida

Florida election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Marco Rubio Val Demings
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Marco Rubio
Republican



Two-term Republican Marco Rubio was re-elected in 2016 with 52% of the vote. He announced on November 9, 2020, via Facebook, that he is running for re-election.[88]

U.S. representative Val Demings is the Democratic nominee.[89]

Ivanka Trump, daughter and former Senior Advisor to former President Donald Trump, was seen as a potential candidate to challenge Rubio for the Republican nomination.[90] However, on February 18, 2021, it was confirmed that she would not seek the nomination.[91]

Georgia

Georgia election

 
Nominee Raphael Warnock Herschel Walker
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Raphael Warnock
Democratic



Incumbent Democrat Raphael Warnock won the 2020–2021 special election against incumbent Republican Kelly Loeffler to fill the remainder of former senator Johnny Isakson's term. Isakson had resigned at the end of 2019 due to health problems, and Loeffler was appointed by Governor Brian Kemp following Isakson's resignation. No candidate in the open election on November 3 received the 50% required by Georgia law to avoid a run-off, a type of election colloquially known as a "jungle primary"[92]—Warnock received just 32.9% of the vote—and so, a run-off election between Warnock and Loeffler was held on January 5, 2021, which Warnock won with 51% of the vote.

Former Republican senator David Perdue, who narrowly lost his race to Democratic challenger Jon Ossoff in 2021,[93] and former U.S. representative Doug Collins[94] both considered challenging Warnock, but eventually announced they were not running.[95]

Former NFL player Herschel Walker,[96] who has been endorsed by former President Donald Trump,[97] defeated banking executive Latham Saddler[98] and others in the Republican primary.

Hawaii

Hawaii election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Brian Schatz Bob McDermott
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Brian Schatz
Democratic



One-term Democrat Brian Schatz was appointed to the Senate in 2012, following the death of incumbent Daniel Inouye. He won a special election to finish Inouye's term in 2014, and won his first full term in 2016 with 73.6% of the vote. Republican state representative Bob McDermott is challenging Schatz.[99]

Idaho

Idaho election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Mike Crapo David Roth
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Mike Crapo
Republican



Four-term Republican Mike Crapo was re-elected in 2016 with 66.1% of the vote. He is running for re-election to a fifth term.[100] Democrat David Roth will face Crapo in the general election after defeating Ben Pursley in the primary.[101]

Illinois

Illinois election

← 2016
2028 →
  File:KathySalviWikiPhoto (Cropped) (crop 2).jpg
Nominee Tammy Duckworth Kathy Salvi
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Tammy Duckworth
Democratic



One-term Democrat Tammy Duckworth was elected in 2016 with 54.9% of the vote. She will face Republican attorney Kathy Salvi in the general election.[102]

Indiana

Indiana election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Todd Young Thomas McDermott Jr.
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Todd Young
Republican



One-term Republican Todd Young was elected in 2016 with 52.1% of the vote. He announced on March 2, 2021, that he is running for re-election.[103] Democratic Hammond mayor Thomas McDermott Jr. has announced that he is running.[104] James Sceniak, a behavior therapist, is the Libertarian candidate running.

Iowa

Iowa election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Chuck Grassley Michael Franken
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Chuck Grassley
Republican



Seven-term Republican Chuck Grassley was re-elected in 2016 with 60.1% of the vote. He is seeking re-election to an eighth term.[105]

State senator Jim Carlin was defeated in the Republican primary by Grassley.[106]

Retired admiral and former aide to U.S. Senator Ted Kennedy, Michael Franken,[107] is the Democratic nominee. Franken defeated former U.S. Representative Abby Finkenauer in the primary in what was seen as a major upset.[108][109]

Kansas

Kansas election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Jerry Moran Mark Holland
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Jerry Moran
Republican



Two-term Republican Jerry Moran was re-elected in 2016 with 62.2% of the vote. He has announced that he will be seeking re-election.[110] Democratic United Methodist pastor and former Kansas City mayor Mark Holland is challenging Moran.[111]

Kentucky

Kentucky election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Rand Paul Charles Booker
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Rand Paul
Republican



Two-term Republican Rand Paul was re-elected in 2016 with 57.3% of the vote. He is running for re-election to a third term.[112]

Former Democratic state representative and 2020 runner-up in the Democratic U.S. Senate primary Charles Booker won the Democratic primary.[113]

Louisiana

One-term Republican John Kennedy was elected in 2016 with 60.6% of the vote and has announced his intention to run for a second term.[114] Civil rights activist Gary Chambers and U.S. Navy veteran Luke Mixon are running as Democrats.[115][116]

Maryland

Maryland election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Chris Van Hollen Chris Chaffee
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Chris Van Hollen
Democratic



One-term Democrat Chris Van Hollen was elected in 2016 with 60.9% of the vote, and is running for a second term.[117]

Despite previously indicating that he had no interest in pursuing the Republican nomination for the U.S. Senate, incumbent Governor Larry Hogan, who is term-limited and will leave office in 2023, told conservative talk radio host Hugh Hewitt in October 2021 that he was considering challenging Van Hollen. Hogan ultimately decided not to challenge Van Hollen on February 8, 2022.[118][119][120]

Van Hollen and construction company owner Chris Chaffee won their respective primaries on July 19.[121]

Missouri

Missouri election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Eric Schmitt Trudy Busch Valentine
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Roy Blunt
Republican



Two-term Republican Roy Blunt was re-elected in 2016 with 49.2% of the vote. He is not seeking re-election.[14]

State attorney general Eric Schmitt defeated former Governor Eric Greitens,[122] and U.S. representatives Vicky Hartzler[123] and Billy Long[124] in the Republican primary.[125]

Anheuser-Busch heiress Trudy Busch Valentine[126] defeated Marine veteran Lucas Kunce[127] in the Democratic primary.[125]

Nevada

Nevada election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Catherine Cortez Masto Adam Laxalt
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Catherine Cortez Masto
Democratic



One-term Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto was elected in 2016 with 47.1% of the vote. She is seeking re-election.[128]

Former state attorney general Adam Laxalt is running against Cortez Masto for the seat once held by his maternal grandfather Paul Laxalt.[129]

New Hampshire

New Hampshire election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Maggie Hassan Don Bolduc
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Maggie Hassan
Democratic



One-term Democrat Maggie Hassan was elected in 2016 with 48% of the vote. She is running for re-election.[44]

Governor Chris Sununu, who was re-elected in 2020 with 65.2% of the vote, will not be running.[130]

Republicans who have declared their candidacies included retired U.S. Army Brigadier General Don Bolduc, state senator Chuck Morse, former Londonderry town manager Kevin Smith, and Tejasinha Sivalingam.[44]

New York

New York election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Chuck Schumer Joe Pinion
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Chuck Schumer
Democratic



Four-term Democrat and U.S. Senate majority leader Chuck Schumer was re-elected in 2016 with 70.6% of the vote. He is seeking re-election.[131] Schumer was the only candidate to qualify for the ballot.[132][133]

Newsmax TV host Joe Pinion is the Republican nominee.[134][133]

North Carolina

North Carolina election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Ted Budd Cheri Beasley
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Richard Burr
Republican



Three-term Republican Richard Burr was re-elected in 2016 with 51.0% of the vote. Burr has pledged to retire in 2023.[15]

Veteran and senior fellow at the Center for International Policy, Mathew Hoh is running for senate with the Green Party.[47]

Lara Trump, daughter-in-law of former President Donald Trump, and Lieutenant Governor Mark Robinson briefly considered running for U.S. Senate, but both decided not to run.[135][136][137][138]

U.S. representative Ted Budd, who was endorsed by former President Donald Trump, easily defeated former Governor Pat McCrory in the Republican primary.[139][140][137]

Former Chief Justice of the state Supreme Court Cheri Beasley[141] easily defeated Beaufort Mayor Rett Newton[142] in the Democratic primary.[143]

North Dakota

North Dakota election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee John Hoeven Katrina Christiansen
Party Republican Democratic–NPL

Incumbent U.S. senator

John Hoeven
Republican



Two-term Republican John Hoeven was re-elected in 2016 with 78.5% of the vote. On February 4, 2021, Hoeven campaign spokesman Dan Larson indicated that Hoeven was running for re-election in 2022.[144][145] University of Jamestown engineering professor Katrina Christiansen defeated businessman Michael Steele in the Democratic primary election.[146] Former state representative Rick Becker challenged Hoeven in the Republican primary but withdrew after losing the convention.[147]

Hoeven and Christiansen won their respective primaries on June 14.[148]

Ohio

Ohio election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee J. D. Vance Tim Ryan
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Rob Portman
Republican



Two-term Republican Rob Portman was re-elected in 2016 with 58% of the vote. On January 25, 2021, he announced that he would not be running for re-election.[50]

Venture capitalist and author J. D. Vance was nominated in a crowded and competitive Republican primary, defeating USMCR veteran and former state treasurer Josh Mandel, state senator Matt Dolan, investment banker Mike Gibbons, and former Ohio Republican Party chair Jane Timken, among others.[149] Vance was endorsed by former President Donald Trump late in the primary.[150]

U.S. representative and 2020 presidential candidate Tim Ryan is the Democratic nominee.

Oklahoma

There will be two elections in Oklahoma, due to the pending resignation of Jim Inhofe.

Oklahoma (regular)

Oklahoma regular election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee James Lankford Madison Horn
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

James Lankford
Republican



One-term Republican James Lankford won the 2014 special election to serve the remainder of former U.S. senator Tom Coburn's term.[151] Lankford won election to his first full term in 2016 with 67.7% of the vote. He announced that he would be running for re-election on April 6, 2021. Two Democratic candidates were competing in the runoff Democratic primary election.[152][153]

Jackson Lahmeyer, pastor for Sheridan Church and former Oklahoma State coordinator for the Billy Graham Evangelistic Association, challenged Lankford in the Republican primary.[154]

Oklahoma (special)

Oklahoma special election

← 2020
2026 →
 
Nominee Markwayne Mullin Kendra Horn
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Jim Inhofe
Republican



Five-term incumbent Republican Jim Inhofe had been re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2020, and was not scheduled to be up for election again until 2026. However, Inhofe announced his intention to resign at the end of the 117th Congress. A special election to fill his seat will take place in November 2022, concurrent with the other Senate elections.[17] U.S. representative Markwayne Mullin defeated state House speaker T. W. Shannon in the runoff Republican primary election. Mullin and Shannon defeated Inhofe's Chief of Staff Luke Holland and others in the initial Republican primary election.[155][156][157] Additionally, former U.S. representative Kendra Horn is the Democratic nominee, being her party's only candidate.[21][158]

Oregon

Oregon election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Ron Wyden Jo Rae Perkins
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Ron Wyden
Democratic



Four-term Democrat Ron Wyden was re-elected in 2016 with 56.6% of the vote. He is seeking re-election.[52]

Republican former financial advisor Jo Rae Perkins, a perennial candidate and the 2020 nominee for U.S. Senate, won the Republican primary.[159]

Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Mehmet Oz John Fetterman
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Pat Toomey
Republican



Two-term Republican Pat Toomey was re-elected in 2016 with 48.8% of the vote. On October 5, 2020, Toomey announced that he will retire at the end of his term.[18]

Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman[160] easily defeated state representative Malcolm Kenyatta and U.S. representative Conor Lamb in the Democratic primary.[161]

Mehmet Oz, host of The Dr. Oz Show and cardiothoracic surgeon,[162] narrowly defeated business executive David McCormick, 2018 U.S. Senate candidate Jeff Bartos,[163] 2018 candidate for Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district Sean Gale,[164] political commentator Kathy Barnette,[165] former U.S. ambassador to Denmark Carla Sands,[166] after a bitter Republican primary.

South Carolina

South Carolina election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Tim Scott Krystle Matthews
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Tim Scott
Republican



One-term Republican Tim Scott was appointed in 2013 and won election to his first full term in 2016 with 60.6% of the vote. He said that while he is running for re-election in 2022, it would be his last time.[167] In the Democratic primary, state representative Krystle Matthews defeated author and activist Catherine Fleming Bruce in a runoff.[168] Angela Geter, chairwoman of the Spartanburg County Democratic Party, also ran in the primary.[169][170][171]

South Dakota

South Dakota election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee John Thune Brian Bengs
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

John Thune
Republican



Three-term Republican and U.S. Senate minority whip John Thune was re-elected in 2016 with 71.8% of the vote and is running for reelection to a fourth term.[172] Thune has been subject to some backlash from former President Trump and his supporters in the state of South Dakota, leading to speculation of a potential primary challenge.[173] He defeated Bruce Whalen, an Oglala Sioux tribal administrator and former chair of the Oglala Lakota County Republican Party in the Republican primary.[174]

The Democratic candidate is author, navy veteran, and assistant Professor of Criminal Justice at Northern State University, Brian Bengs, who won the Democratic primary unopposed.[175]

Utah

Utah election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Mike Lee Evan McMullin
Party Republican Independent

Incumbent U.S. senator

Mike Lee
Republican



Two-term Republican Mike Lee was re-elected in 2016 with 68.2% of the vote. He defeated former state representative Becky Edwards as well as businessman and political advisor Ally Isom in the Republican primary.[176]

The Utah Democratic Party has declined to field their own candidate against Lee, and has instead endorsed independent Evan McMullin, a political activist, former Republican, former CIA operations officer, and 2016 presidential candidate.[177]

Vermont

Vermont election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Peter Welch Gerald Malloy
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Patrick Leahy
Democratic



The most senior senator, eight-term Democrat and president pro tempore Patrick Leahy, was re-elected in 2016 with 61.3% of the vote. On November 15, 2021, Leahy announced that he is not seeking re-election to a ninth term.[19]

Vermont's at-large representative, Democrat Peter Welch, is running to succeed Leahy.[58]

Former military officer Gerald Malloy is the Republican nominee, having narrowly defeated former United States attorney for the District of Vermont Christina Nolan in the primary. [58]

Washington

Washington election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Candidate Patty Murray Tiffany Smiley
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Patty Murray
Democratic



Five-term Democrat Patty Murray was re-elected in 2016 with 58.8% of the vote. She is running for re-election to a sixth term.[178]

Republican nurse Tiffany Smiley is running.[179]

Wisconsin

Wisconsin election

← 2016
2028 →
 
Nominee Ron Johnson Mandela Barnes
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Ron Johnson
Republican



Two-term Republican Ron Johnson was re-elected in 2016 with 50.2% of the vote. He had pledged to serve only two terms,[180] but announced in January 2022 that he would run for reelection to a third term.[181]

Former Governor Scott Walker has said that he will not run.[182]

Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes[183] is the Democratic nominee.

Notes

  1. ^ a b The two independent senators, Bernie Sanders and Angus King, have caucused with the Democratic Party since joining the Senate, thus increasing the size of the Democratic caucus in the 117th United States Congress to 50.
  2. ^ The Democrats lead the Senate, since Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris has the ability to break ties.
  3. ^ They were in Illinois in 2004 and in South Carolina in 2014 and 2016.
  4. ^ In Oklahoma, Jim Inhofe's resignation prompting a special election.
  5. ^ Includes the interim appointee running for election.
  6. ^ a b c In both the regular election and the special election.
  7. ^ The last elections for this group of senators were in 2016, except for those elected in a special election or who were appointed after the resignation or passing of a sitting senator, as noted.
  8. ^ FiveThirtyEight has three separate models for their House and Senate ratings: Lite (polling data only), Classic (polls, fundraising, and past voting patterns), and Deluxe (Classic alongside experts' ratings). This table uses the Deluxe model.
  9. ^ Republican John McCain won with 53.7% of the vote in 2016 but died on August 25, 2018.
  10. ^ Democrat Kamala Harris won with 61.6% of the vote against another Democrat in 2016, but resigned on January 18, 2021, to become Vice President of the United States.
  11. ^ Republican Johnny Isakson won with 54.8% of the vote in 2016, but resigned on December 31, 2019.
  12. ^ Democratic total includes two independents who caucus with the Democrats
  13. ^ Major candidates include those who have previously held office and/or those who are the subject of media attention.
  14. ^ Those who have filed paperwork but have not declared their candidacy are not listed here.

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