United States presidential election in Nevada, 2016

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United States presidential election in Nevada, 2016

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout 76.83% Decrease

 
Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Hillary Clinton Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state New York New York
Running mate Tim Kaine Mike Pence
Electoral vote 6 0
Popular vote 539,260 512,058
Percentage 47.92% 45.50%

Nevada Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
County results


Nevada 2016 presidential results by county.png
Results by county with size showing number of votes[1]

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Nevada of November 8, 2016 was part of the 2016 General Election, and was won by Hillary Clinton with a 47.92% popular vote plurality over Donald Trump's 45.50%.[1] All of Nevada's 6 electoral votes were assigned to Clinton. Donald Trump became the first Republican since Taft to win the presidency without Nevada.

Primary elections[edit]

Democratic caucuses[edit]

Democratic caucus results by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders
  Tie

The 2016 Nevada Democratic caucuses took place on February 20 in the U.S. state of Nevada, traditionally marking the Democratic Party's third nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

With all other candidates having dropped out of the race ahead of the Nevada caucuses, the two remaining candidates were Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton.[2]

Process[edit]

Of the total number of 43 delegates the Nevada Democratic Party may send to the 2016 Democratic National Convention, 35 are pledged and 8 are unpledged.

The delegate selection process is a system with three levels:

  1. The first step in the delegate selection process were the precinct caucuses on February 20, which elected about 12,000 delegates to the county conventions.
  2. At the county conventions on April 2, the county delegates selected about 4,000 delegates to the state convention.
  3. At the state convention on May 14–15, the final 35 pledged delegates to the National Convention will be selected. 23 of them are allocated proportionally based on congressional district results, whereas the remaining 12 are allocated based on the state convention as a whole.

A majority of participants at the February caucuses supported Hillary Clinton. However, the county conventions on April 2, 2016, resulted in more Sanders delegates than Clinton delegates being sent to the state convention in May.

Debates and forums[edit]

October 2015 debate in Las Vegas

On October 13, 2015, the Democratic Party's first debate was held at the Wynn Hotel in Las Vegas. Hosted by Anderson Cooper, it aired on CNN and was broadcast on radio by Westwood One. Participants were the candidates Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Jim Webb, Martin O'Malley, and Lincoln Chafee. It was the only debate appearance of Chafee and Webb, who ended their campaigns on October 23 and October 20, respectively.

February 2016 forum in Las Vegas

On February 18, MSNBC and Telemundo hosted a forum in Las Vegas.

Caucus Results[edit]

Nevada Democratic caucuses, February 20, 2016
Candidate County delegates Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 6,440 52.64% 20 4 24
Bernie Sanders 5,785 47.29% 15 1 16
Uncommitted 8 0.07% 0 3 3
Total 12,233 100% 35 8 43
Source: The Green Papers

County Conventions[edit]

The County Conventions were marked by bickering between Clinton and Sanders supporters, most notably in Clark County,[3] which had been won by Clinton during the caucuses and led to the attempted arrest of the head of the credentials committee, Sanders supporter Christine Kramar, after the Clinton supporters on the Clark Country Democratic committee attempted to depose her from her position. Kramar had discovered that the Clark County Democratic Party had been having private correspondence with only Clinton's campaign, as opposed to both campaigns.

The results statewide goes as follows:[4] Sanders 3846 (55.23%) Clinton 2124 (44.77%)

Sanders won most of the northern counties in Nevada, including Washoe County, and Clinton won most of the southern counties, including Clark County.

State Convention[edit]

The state convention was held in May as the final stage of the delegate selection process. Supports of Senator Sanders were angered when Party officials declined to accept the credentials of close to 60 pro-Sanders delegates. Nevada Democratic Party Chairwoman, Roberta Lange allegedly received numerous death threats and threats to the lives of her family and grandchildren, a criminal investigation has yet to confirm these claims or the identities of those allegedly involved. At the convention, Sanders supporters protested until the staff cancelled the event.[5][6] The event was later criticized as being violent, although there is no evidence that violence occurred.[7]

Despite charges by Sanders supporters that the Convention was rigged against their candidate, according to Jon Ralston,[6] "the facts reveal that the Sanders folks disregarded rules, then when shown the truth, attacked organizers and party officials as tools of a conspiracy to defraud the senator of what was never rightfully his in the first place."[6][8] After Sanders campaign Chair Jeff Weaver repeated assertions of process-rigging by Democratic Party officials, Politifact examined the evidence and concluded that, while the Party's selection process was "arcane" and "incredibly confusing", the fact is that "Clinton’s supporters simply turned out (attended the Convention) in larger numbers and helped her solidify her delegate lead." Moreover, according to Politifact: "There’s no clear evidence the state party 'hijacked' the process or ignored 'regular procedure.'"[9]

The Nevada Democratic Party wrote to the Democratic National Committee accusing Sanders supporters of having a "penchant for extra-parliamentary behavior — indeed, actual violence — in place of democratic conduct in a convention setting."[10] Sanders responded by denouncing the alleged use of violence while asserting that they were not treated with "fairness and respect" in a statement.[10]

In a TV segment, comedian Samantha Bee reported on the fracas,[11][12] as did Last Week Tonight with John Oliver[13] and Late Night with Seth Meyers in "A Closer Look" segment.[14]

Republican caucus[edit]

Republican caucus results by county.
  Donald Trump
  Ted Cruz

Delegates from Nevada to the Republican National Convention were allocated proportionally based on the caucus results.

Nevada Republican precinct caucuses, February 23, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump 34,531 45.75% 14 0 14
Marco Rubio 17,940 23.77% 7 0 7
Ted Cruz 16,079 21.30% 6 0 6
Ben Carson 3,619 4.79% 2 0 2
John Kasich 2,709 3.59% 1 0 1
Invalid 266 0.35% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 170 0.23% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 64 0.08% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 50 0.07% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 22 0.03% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 21 0.03% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 11 0.01% 0 0 0
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn) 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 75,482 100.00% 30 0 30
Source: The Green Papers

General election[edit]

Polling[edit]

Predictions[edit]

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Nevada as of Election Day.

  1. Los Angeles Times: Leans Clinton[15]
  2. CNN: Tossup[16]
  3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Clinton[17]
  4. NBC: Leans Clinton[18]
  5. Electoral-vote.com: Tossup[19]
  6. RealClearPolitics: Tossup[20]
  7. Fox News: Leans Clinton[21]
  8. ABC: Leans Clinton[22]

Results[edit]

Presidential general election, November 8, 2016[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Hillary Clinton 539,260 47.92%
Republican Donald Trump 512,058 45.50%
Libertarian Gary Johnson 37,384 3.32%
None of these candidates 28,863 2.56%
Constitution Darrell Castle 5,268 0.47%
Reform Rocky de la Fuente 2,552 0.23%
Total votes 1,125,385 100.00%

On the congressional district level, Hillary Clinton won the 1st district and the 4th district, and Donald Trump won the 2nd district and the 3rd district.[23]

Results by county[edit]

Tree map showing number of votes by size, Donald Trump (red), Hillary Clinton (blue) and all other candidates grouped (gray). Counties are grouped by candidate.[1]

Preliminary results by county, as of 22 November 2016.[1]

County Candidate
Clinton Trump Johnson Castle De La Fuente None Of These Total
Carson City percent 38.42% 52.47% 4.63% 0.61% 0.24% 3.63% 100.00%
votes 9,610 13,125 1,159 153 60 909 25,016
Churchill percent 20.20 71.59 4.11 0.84 0.23 3.03 100.00%
votes 2,210 7,830 450 92 25 331 10,938
Clark percent 52.43 41.72 2.93 0.42 0.22 2.28 100.00%
votes 402,227 320,057 22,453 3,213 1,720 17,486 767,156
Douglas percent 30.32 62.45 3.60 0.39 0.18 3.06 100.00%
votes 8,454 17,415 1,004 108 50 854 27,885
Elko percent 18.33 73.02 4.46 1.01 0.34 2.84 100.00%
votes 3,401 13,551 828 187 64 528 18,559
Esmeralda percent 15.37 77.78 3.55 0.71 0.00 2.60 100.00%
votes 65 329 15 3 0 11 423
Eureka percent 8.67 84.66 2.22 0.94 0.12 3.40 100.00
votes 74 723 19 8 1 29 854
Humboldt percent 21.55 70.28 4.18 1.15 0.23 2.61 100.00%
votes 1,386 4,521 269 74 15 168 6,433
Lander percent 16.70 75.76 3.27 0.66 0.41 3.19 100.00%
votes 403 1,828 79 16 10 77 2,413
Lincoln percent 13.37 78.38 2.91 1.17 0.23 3.94 100.00%
votes 285 1,671 62 25 5 84 2,132
Lyon percent 25.86 67.36 3.42 0.67 0.27 2.42 100.00%
votes 6,146 16,005 813 159 64 575 23,762
Mineral percent 31.90 59.04 4.41 0.95 0.75 2.95 100.00%
votes 637 1,179 88 19 15 59 1,997
Nye percent 26.00 68.00 2.82 0.84 0.24 2.11 100.00%
votes 5,094 13,324 552 164 47 414 19,595
Pershing percent 21.70 70.79 2.93 1.46 0.30 2.83 100.00%
votes 430 1,403 58 29 6 56 1,982
Storey percent 29.40 63.17 3.91 0.35 0.23 2.93 100.00%
votes 752 1,616 100 9 6 75 2,558
Washoe percent 46.39 45.14 4.42 0.46 0.21 3.37 100.00%
votes 97,379 94,758 9,284 969 450 7,069 209,909
White Pine percent 18.74 72.17 4.00 1.06 0.37 3.66 100.00%
votes 707 2,723 151 40 14 138 3,773
Total percent 47.92 45.50 3.32 0.47 0.23 2.56 100.00%
votes 539,260 512,058 37,384 5,268 2,552 28,863 1,125,385

By congressional district[edit]

Clinton and Trump each won 2 of the state's 4 congressional districts, with Trump carrying a district that elected a Democrat in the same cycle. [24]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 33% 62% Dina Titus
2nd 52% 40% Mark Amodei
3rd 48% 47% Joe Heck
Jacky Rosen
4th 45% 50% Cresent Hardy
Ruben Kihuen

Analysis[edit]

Hillary Clinton won the state over nationwide winner Donald Trump, marking the third presidential election in a row that Nevada has voted Democratic. Most counties in the state of Nevada are rural, and voted heavily for Trump. As a whole, the rural counties outside of Las Vegas and Reno gave Donald Trump a 66-27 margin. However, Clinton won the state's two most populous counties, Clark County and Washoe County, which contain about 85% of the state's population, and thus won the state's electoral votes. Compared to the 2012 election, Clinton's margin of victory was narrower in these two counties and statewide.

This is the second time since 1908, and first time since 1976, that Nevada voted for a candidate who did not win the general election. However, despite its streak ending, Nevada was actually the closest state in the nation to the national popular vote, as the state was 0.3% more Democratic than the nation as a whole.[original research?]

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b c d e US Presidential Race results, Nevada Secretary of State, November 22, 2016 
  2. ^ [1][dead link]
  3. ^ "Bernie vs. Hillary boils over in Nevada before Clark convention". Ralston Reports. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  4. ^ "Sanders likely flips two delegates after dominating Clark convention". Ralston Reports. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  5. ^ Rappeport, Alen (17 May 2016). "Bernie Sanders Supporters Voice Ire at Nevada Democratic Party". The New York Times. Retrieved 17 May 2016. 
  6. ^ a b c Benen, Steve (17 May 2016). "The fallout from Nevada's Democratic unrest". MSNBC. Retrieved 17 May 2016. 
  7. ^ LaCapria, Kim (19 May 2016). "The Chair Thrown 'Round the World". Snopes. Retrieved 23 May 2016. 
  8. ^ Ralston, John (16 May 2016). "The sour grapes revolution that rocked the Paris Hotel". Ralston Reports. Retrieved 17 May 2016. 
  9. ^ Snyder, Riley (18 May 2016). "Allegations of fraud and misconduct at Nevada Democratic convention unfounded". Politifact. Retrieved 19 May 2016. 
  10. ^ a b Werner, Erica (17 May 2015). "Sanders Issues Defiant Statement Under Pressure Over Ruckus". ABC. AP. Retrieved 17 May 2016. 
  11. ^ Luna, Jenny (24 May 2016). "Samantha Bee Smacks Down Angry Bernie Supporters; A night of bro-bashing". Mother Jones. Retrieved 24 May 2016. 
  12. ^ Leeds, Sarene (24 May 2016). "Samantha Bee Takes Down Bernie Sanders Supporters Following the Nevada Democratic Convention". Wall Street Journal. Retrieved 24 May 2016. 
  13. ^ Primaries and Caucuses on YouTube Last Week Tonight with John Oliver May 22, 2016
  14. ^ Democrats Divided on Hillary and Bernie on YouTube Late Night with Seth Meyers May 19, 2016
  15. ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  16. ^ "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  17. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  18. ^ Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  19. ^ "ElectoralVote". ElectoralVote. 2000-12-31. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  20. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  21. ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  22. ^ "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13. 
  23. ^ https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2012/11/19/1163009/-Daily-Kos-Elections-presidential-results-by-congressional-district-for-the-2012-2008-elections
  24. ^ https://www.cookpolitical.com/introducing-2017-cook-political-report-partisan-voter-index

External links[edit]