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A week after the 2022 midterm elections, Trump initiated his run for president on the third Tuesday of November, two years ahead of the 2024 election, unusually early especially after launching his 2016 and 2020 campaigns both on the third Tuesday of June in the year before. Nikki Haley became the first to follow him on February 14, followed by Vivek Ramaswamy one week later, Larry Elder on April 20, and Asa Hutchinson on April 26. Ron DeSantis has said his public decision will come in mid May following the adjourning of his state's legislative session on May 5; on which day he disassociated himself from his state [[Political action committee|PAC]], a necessary step ahead of his anticipated run for president.<ref>{{cite web |last1=Fineout |first1=Gary |title=DeSantis takes major step ahead of expected presidential bid|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2023/05/09/desantis-2024-campaign-political-committee-00095947 |website=Politico |publisher=Axel Springer SE |access-date=2023-05-09}}</ref> Mike Pence has taken fundraising and political steps indicating he will launch a campaign in the "coming weeks."<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/15/us/politics/pence-2024-preparations.html|title=Pence Looks Toward 2024 Run, Using Reagan’s Playbook, Not Trump's|work=New York Times|date=May 15, 2023|author1=Swan, Jonathan|author2=Haberman, Maggie|author3=Goldmacher, Shane}}</ref>
A week after the 2022 midterm elections, Trump initiated his run for president on the third Tuesday of November, two years ahead of the 2024 election, unusually early especially after launching his 2016 and 2020 campaigns both on the third Tuesday of June in the year before. Nikki Haley became the first to follow him on February 14, followed by Vivek Ramaswamy one week later, Larry Elder on April 20, Asa Hutchinson on April 26, and Tim Scott on May 19. Ron DeSantis has said his public decision will come in mid May following the adjourning of his state's legislative session on May 5; on which day he disassociated himself from his state [[Political action committee|PAC]], a necessary step ahead of his anticipated run for president.<ref>{{cite web |last1=Fineout |first1=Gary |title=DeSantis takes major step ahead of expected presidential bid|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2023/05/09/desantis-2024-campaign-political-committee-00095947 |website=Politico |publisher=Axel Springer SE |access-date=2023-05-09}}</ref> Mike Pence has taken fundraising and political steps indicating he will launch a campaign in the "coming weeks."<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/15/us/politics/pence-2024-preparations.html|title=Pence Looks Toward 2024 Run, Using Reagan’s Playbook, Not Trump's|work=New York Times|date=May 15, 2023|author1=Swan, Jonathan|author2=Haberman, Maggie|author3=Goldmacher, Shane}}</ref>


As of May 2023 the exact dates of many primaries are still uncertain, however they will be finalized in the summer as GOP rules mandate that changes to dates and delegate allocation methods must happen by October 1.<ref>{{cite web |url=https://prod-static.gop.com/media/Rules_Of_The_Republican_Party.pdf}}</ref> They also specify that all primaries occur between March and June 11, 2024. Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina will be the first, in February and that order currently, as they are exempted and allowed to occur early due to a tradition of allowing them to influence the rest. However, the first two appear to be scheduled in late January in some sources. The bulk will be concentrated in [[Super Tuesday|March]], as usual in presidential primaries. By March 19, most delegates will have been awarded, making the eventual winner already predictable by this time if there is a great enough lead. The process will conclude with the formal adoption of the nominee by a majority of delegates at the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, which will be held from July 15–18.<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.uspresidentialelectionnews.com/2024-primary-schedule/}}</ref>
As of May 2023 the exact dates of many primaries are still uncertain, however they will be finalized in the summer as GOP rules mandate that changes to dates and delegate allocation methods must happen by October 1.<ref>{{cite web |url=https://prod-static.gop.com/media/Rules_Of_The_Republican_Party.pdf}}</ref> They also specify that all primaries occur between March and June 11, 2024. Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina will be the first, in February and that order currently, as they are exempted and allowed to occur early due to a tradition of allowing them to influence the rest. However, the first two appear to be scheduled in late January in some sources. The bulk will be concentrated in [[Super Tuesday|March]], as usual in presidential primaries. By March 19, most delegates will have been awarded, making the eventual winner already predictable by this time if there is a great enough lead. The process will conclude with the formal adoption of the nominee by a majority of delegates at the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, which will be held from July 15–18.<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.uspresidentialelectionnews.com/2024-primary-schedule/}}</ref>

Revision as of 23:06, 19 May 2023

2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
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1,234[2] votes needed to win
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Presidential primaries and caucuses are being organized by the Republican Party to select the delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention scheduled to be held between February and June 2024 to determine the party's nominee for president of the United States in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. The elections will take place in all 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and five U.S. territories (these territories do not participate in the presidential election, although Guam does hold a straw poll). On November 15, 2022, at Mar-a-Lago, former president Donald Trump announced that he would run again in 2024. He is seeking to become the second president after Grover Cleveland to serve two non-consecutive terms.[3]

On February 14, 2023, former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley, who served as U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations during the Trump administration, announced her candidacy for president, making her the second major candidate in the race.[4]

On February 21, 2023, executive chairman of Strive Asset Management and former CEO of Roivant Sciences, Vivek Ramaswamy, an activist against environmental, social and corporate governance initiatives, announced his candidacy for the presidency on Tucker Carlson Tonight.[5]

On April 2, 2023, former governor of Arkansas Asa Hutchinson, who also served as chairman of the National Governors Association and was George W. Bush's Administrator of Drug Enforcement, announced his candidacy during an interview with ABC News' Jonathan Karl.[6]

On April 20, 2023, Larry Elder, former radio personality and candidate in the 2021 California gubernatorial recall election, announced his campaign on Tucker Carlson Tonight.[7]

On May 19, 2023, after forming an exploratory committee on April 12, 2023, Tim Scott, a Senator and former Representative from South Carolina submitted FEC paperwork to run, and is expected to make a formal declaration on Monday May 22.[8]

Candidates

Declared major candidates

The candidates in this section have declared their candidacies and meet one or more of the following criteria: campaign has received substantial major media coverage; current or previous holder of significant elected office; have been included in at least five national polls.

Name Born Experience Home state Campaign
Announcement date 		Ref.

Larry Elder 		April 27, 1952
(age 72)
Los Angeles, California 		Host of The Larry Elder Show (1993–2022)
Candidate for Governor of California in 2021
California
Campaign
April 20, 2023
FEC filing[9] 		[10]
File:Nikki Haley 2020 Portrait Cropped.jpg
Nikki Haley 		January 20, 1972
(age 52)
Bamberg, South Carolina 		Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018)
Governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)
South Carolina State Representative (2005–2011)
South Carolina
Campaign
February 14, 2023
FEC filing[11] 		[12]
File:Asa Hutchinson Judiciary Comittee Portrait Cropped.jpg
Asa Hutchinson 		December 3, 1950
(age 73)
Bentonville, Arkansas 		Governor of Arkansas (2015–2023)
Under Secretary of Homeland Security (2003–2005)
Administrator of Drug Enforcement (2001–2003)
U.S. Representative from AR-03 (1997–2001)
U.S. Attorney for the Western District of Arkansas (1982–1985)
Arkansas
Campaign
April 26, 2023
FEC filing[13] 		[14]

Vivek Ramaswamy 		August 9, 1985
(age 39)
Cincinnati, Ohio 		Executive chairman of Strive Asset Management (2022–present)
CEO of Roivant Sciences (2014–2021)
Ohio
Campaign
February 21, 2023
FEC filing[15] 		[16]
File:Donald Trump AFPI Portrait Cropped.jpg
Donald Trump 		June 14, 1946
(age 78)
Queens, New York 		45th President of the United States (2017–2021)
Chairman of The Trump Organization (1971–2017)
Florida
Campaign
November 15, 2022
FEC filing[17][18] 		[19]

Tim Scott 		September 19, 1965
(age 59)
Charleston, South Carolina 		U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2013-present)
U.S. Representative from SC-01 (2011-2013)
South Carolina State Representative (2009-2011)
Member of the Charleston County Council (1995-2009)
South Carolina
Campaign
May 19, 2023
FEC filing[20] 		[21]

Other declared candidates

The candidates in this section are otherwise notable, but have not met the criteria outlined above.


Announcement pending

As of May 2023, the following individuals have planned an announcement declaring whether they will run for president.


Decision pending

As of May 2023, the following notable individuals are expected to make a decision regarding their official candidacy within a set timeline.

Publicly expressed interest

As of May 2023, the following notable individuals have expressed an interest in running for president within the previous six months.

Potential candidates

As of May 2023, there has been speculation about the potential candidacy of the following notable individuals within the previous six months.

Vice presidential speculation

Main article: 2024 Republican Party vice presidential candidate selection

Multiple reporters, political analysts and commentators have noted that Trump selecting his former Vice President Mike Pence to be his running mate once again would be highly unlikely following rifts between the two over the future of the Republican Party and Pence's attempts to distance himself from the former president.[88][89][90] On March 15, 2022, Trump announced that if he runs for re-election and wins the Republican presidential nomination, Pence will not be his running mate.[91] In June 2022, the House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack found that Trump said Pence "deserved" calls to be hanged on the day of the attack.[92] Pence has similarly stated that he has no interest in accepting the vice presidential nomination again.[93]

Several individuals have received speculation about possible selection as vice presidential nominee in 2024 including Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina, Governor Kristi Noem of South Dakota, Governor Glenn Youngkin of Virginia, Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, Governor Ron DeSantis of Florida, Governor Kim Reynolds of Iowa, Senator Joni Ernst of Iowa, Senator Rick Scott of Florida, and Lieutenant Governor Jeanette Nuñez of Florida.[94][95] There has been speculation that former U.S. Representative Lee Zeldin of New York could become DeSantis' running mate after his strong performance in the 2022 New York gubernatorial election.[96] and both holding several rallies before and after the election together.[97][98] Some have speculated that former United Nations Ambassador and former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley could be Trump's running mate.[99]

On March 6, 2023, multiple sources close to Donald Trump, the current Republican front-runner, as reported by Axios, ran the list down to four major contenders. These were Haley; Sarah Huckabee Sanders, former White House press secretary for Trump and recently elected governor of Arkansas, who has received media attention for her executive orders; Kristi Noem, governor of South Dakota; and Kari Lake, candidate for Arizona governor in 2022 who lost narrowly to Katie Hobbs. According to Axios, Trump's major factor in the race is loyalty, something he sees strongly in Lake given her reiterations of the claims of a stolen 2020 election.[100]

Timeline

A week after the 2022 midterm elections, Trump initiated his run for president on the third Tuesday of November, two years ahead of the 2024 election, unusually early especially after launching his 2016 and 2020 campaigns both on the third Tuesday of June in the year before. Nikki Haley became the first to follow him on February 14, followed by Vivek Ramaswamy one week later, Larry Elder on April 20, Asa Hutchinson on April 26, and Tim Scott on May 19. Ron DeSantis has said his public decision will come in mid May following the adjourning of his state's legislative session on May 5; on which day he disassociated himself from his state PAC, a necessary step ahead of his anticipated run for president.[101] Mike Pence has taken fundraising and political steps indicating he will launch a campaign in the "coming weeks."[102]

As of May 2023 the exact dates of many primaries are still uncertain, however they will be finalized in the summer as GOP rules mandate that changes to dates and delegate allocation methods must happen by October 1.[103] They also specify that all primaries occur between March and June 11, 2024. Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina will be the first, in February and that order currently, as they are exempted and allowed to occur early due to a tradition of allowing them to influence the rest. However, the first two appear to be scheduled in late January in some sources. The bulk will be concentrated in March, as usual in presidential primaries. By March 19, most delegates will have been awarded, making the eventual winner already predictable by this time if there is a great enough lead. The process will conclude with the formal adoption of the nominee by a majority of delegates at the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, which will be held from July 15–18.[104]

Overview

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Active campaign Exploratory committee Withdrawn candidate
Primaries Midterm elections Republican National Convention

Background

Despite losing his re-election bid in 2020, Trump remained the main front-runner of the GOP by endorsing challengers to several House members who had voted to impeach him, as well as pushing several candidates through for open races. These candidates had a lackluster performance resulting in the Republicans taking control of the house with only a small majority and causing a dip in Trump's popularity within the party.[105] At the same time Ron DeSantis, the Governor of Florida, won nearly 60% of the vote in a landslide victory in his gubernatorial re-election.[106] Media coverage consistently portrayed DeSantis as Trump's main rival, despite DeSantis not having announced a presidential run.[107][108]

In March 2023, as DeSantis rose in the polls, Trump attacked him with nicknames like "Meatball Ron" and "Ron DeSanctimonious". Trump then rose in the polls,[109] even as the nation anticipated his indictment in a hush money case regarding his 2016 campaign. Trump was indicted on March 30[110][111] and arrested on April 4.[112] On April 25, he said he did not want to be "libeled and abused" in Republican debates and boasted that he already had a "seemingly insurmountable" lead.[113] On May 10, Trump conducted a live town hall with CNN, his first time with a major network other than Fox News since storming off an interview with 60 Minutes in October 2020.[114]

Trump also faces challenges from Democrats who may attempt to invoke the Fourteenth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution to prevent Trump from being eligible;[115] and he is currently the subject of four distinct criminal investigations into his activities while in office.[116][117][118]

Debates

The Republican National Committee (RNC) has announced that the first primary debate will be held in August 2023 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, and hosted by Fox News.[119][120] The second Republican primary debate will take place at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley.[121] On April 25, 2023, Trump raised uncertainty about his participation in the debates on Truth Social due to his large polling lead at the time.[122]

Endorsements

Main article: Endorsements in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries

Polling

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries

Campaign finance

This is an overview of the money used by each campaign as it is reported to the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Totals raised include individual contributions, loans from the candidate, and transfers from other campaign committees. Individual contributions are itemized (catalogued) by the FEC when the total value of contributions by an individual comes to more than $200. The last column, Cash On Hand (COH), shows the remaining cash each campaign had available for its future spending as of March 31, 2023.

Overview of campaign financing for candidates in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries through March 31, 2023
Candidate Total raised Individual contributions Debt Spent COH
Total Unitemized Pct
Elder not a candidate as of March 31, 2023
Haley[123] $5,125,431 $3,283,822 $798,184 24.3% $0 $1,055,881 $4,069,549
Hutchinson[124] not a candidate as of March 31, 2023
Ramaswamy[125] $11,406,212 $851,637 $415,580 48.8% $10,250,000 $2,038,924 $9,367,288
Trump[126] $18,272,903 $16,361 $4,911 30.0% $255,109 $4,340,955 $13,931,948

See also

Notes

  1. ^ This delegate count is accurate as of November 2024. Delegate counts are subject to change based on the number of Republicans elected to the state legislatures, governorships, U.S. House, and U.S. Senate through December 31, 2023.
  2. ^ Texas state law allows Cruz to run for both a party's presidential nomination and his current Senate seat.[50]

References

  1. ^ "The Rules of the Republican Party" (PDF). gop.com. April 14, 2022. p. 22. Archived (PDF) from the original on August 30, 2022. Retrieved November 16, 2022.
  2. ^ a b "The Green Papers". Archived from the original on November 5, 2022. Retrieved November 5, 2022.
  3. ^ D'Antonio, Michael (November 27, 2020). "Trump 2024? It could happen". CNN. Archived from the original on November 27, 2020. Retrieved December 16, 2020.
  4. ^ Kinnard, Meg (February 14, 2023). "Nikki Haley announces run for president, challenging Trump". Associated Press. Archived from the original on February 21, 2023. Retrieved February 16, 2023.
  5. ^ Binnie, Isla (February 22, 2023). "Anti-ESG crusader Ramaswamy launches U.S. presidential bid". Reuters. Archived from the original on March 9, 2023. Retrieved March 9, 2023.
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  43. ^ Fausset, Richard; Lerer, Lisa (December 8, 2022). "The Georgia Republican Unscathed by Walker's Defeat". The New York Times. Archived from the original on January 5, 2023. Retrieved January 5, 2023.
  44. ^ Kilgore, Ed (January 26, 2023). "Brian Kemp for President Makes a Lot of Sense". New York Magazine. Archived from the original on February 1, 2023. Retrieved February 1, 2023.
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  46. ^ Diamante, Reena (February 17, 2023). "Will Texas Gov. Greg Abbott run for president in 2024?". spectrumlocalnews.com. Retrieved February 22, 2023.
  47. ^ Svitek, Patrick (April 4, 2023). "Gov. Greg Abbott is turning up the pressure on passing school choice. Will it pay off?". Texas Tribune. Retrieved April 27, 2023.
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