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2021 New York City mayoral election

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2021 New York City mayoral election

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Incumbent mayor

Bill de Blasio
Democratic



The 2021 New York City mayoral election will consist of Democratic and Republican primaries on June 22, 2021, followed by a general election on November 2, 2021. The primaries will be the first New York City mayoral election primaries to use ranked-choice, instant-runoff voting, as opposed to the plurality voting of previous primaries.[1]

Incumbent New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio is barred from running for a third term by term limits.[2]

Notable candidates include Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams, former Director of the U.S. OMB Shaun Donovan, former Commissioner of the NYC Dept. of Sanitation Kathryn Garcia, former Citigroup executive Raymond McGuire, former social services non-profit CEO Dianne Morales, Guardian Angels founder Curtis Sliwa, NYC Comptroller Scott Stringer, former counsel to Bill de Blasio Maya Wiley, and entrepreneur and former presidential candidate Andrew Yang. A number of other members of the New York City business and political communities are also running.

Democratic primary

Background

In 2019, journalists and political commentators predicted several potential candidates, including Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams, Bronx Borough President Rubén Díaz Jr., NYC Council Speaker Corey Johnson, NYC Comptroller Scott Stringer, and NYC Public Advocate Jumaane Williams.[3][4] By 2021, a number of candidates had declared themselves; most were first-time candidates who had never held political office, rather than sitting elected officials.

Polling in late January and early February showed entrepreneur Andrew Yang as the frontrunner, with Adams in second and Stringer in third place.[5][6] As of January 20, 2021, of the major declared candidates, New York City councilmember Carlos Menchaca and former Commissioner of the NYC Dept. of Veterans' Services Loree Sutton were considered the weakest candidates and most likely to drop out, as both of them posted very poor fundraising numbers.[7] Sutton withdrew from the race on March 10, 2021[8] and Menchaca withdrew on March 24, 2021.[9] By the middle of March, three candidates, Stringer, Dianne Morales, and Maya Wiley, were widely considered to be the chief competitors for the progressive vote.[10]

Candidates

Major declared candidates

The following candidates (listed alphabetically) have held office, have been included in polls, or have been the subject of significant media coverage.

Democratic primary candidates
Candidate Experience Announced Ref

Eric Adams
Brooklyn Borough President (2014–present)
Former NY State Senator from the 20th district (2007–2013)
Former NYPD officer
Candidate for NY-11 in 1994
November 17, 2020

(Website)
[11][12][13][14]

Shaun Donovan
Former Director of the U.S. Office of Management and Budget (2014–2017)
Former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (2009–2014)
Former Commissioner of the NYC Department of Housing Preservation and Development (2004–2008)
February 3, 2020

(Website)
[15]

Kathryn Garcia
Former Commissioner of the NYC Department of Sanitation (2014–2020)
Former Interim Chair and Chief Executive Officer of the NYC Housing Authority (2019)
Former Chief Operating Officer of the NYC Department of Environmental Protection (2012–2014)
December 10, 2020

(Website)
[16][17]

Raymond McGuire
Former Citigroup executive October 15, 2020

(Website)
[18][19]
File:DM4NYC 032 RGB 300.jpg
Dianne Morales
Former social services non-profit CEO November 19, 2020

(Website)
[20][21]

Scott Stringer
NYC Comptroller (2014–present)
Former Manhattan Borough President (2006–2013)
Former NY State Assemblyman for the 67th district (1993–2005)
September 8, 2020

(Website)
[22][23][24]

Maya Wiley
New School professor
Former chair of the NYC Civilian Complaint Review Board (2016–2017)
Former counsel to Bill de Blasio
Former ACLU and NAACP Legal Defense Fund attorney
October 8, 2020
(Website)
[22][23][24][25]

Andrew Yang
Entrepreneur
Former Presidential Ambassador for Global Entrepreneurship (2015–2017)
Candidate for President of the United States in 2020
January 13, 2021

(Website)
[26][27][28][29]

Other declared candidates

Major withdrawn candidates

Other withdrawn candidates

  • Michael DeName, formerly independent perennial candidate[46][47]
  • Julia Qing Reaves, LGBT activist[46][48]
  • Stephen Bishop Seely, actor[19]
Failed to qualify for ballot access

Formed exploratory committee but did not run

Declined

Endorsements

Eric Adams
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Labor unions
Individuals
Newspapers and media
Shaun Donovan
Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
Individuals
Kathryn Garcia
Local officials
Labor unions
Raymond McGuire
Executive Branch officials
State legislators
Individuals
Dianne Morales
State legislators
Political Parties
Scott Stringer
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Political Parties
Organizations
Loree Sutton (withdrawn)
Individuals
Maya Wiley
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Political Parties
Organizations
Labor unions
Isaac Wright Jr.
Individuals
Andrew Yang
Executive Branch officials
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Declined to endorse

Polling

Graphical summary (first-past-the-post polls)

Graphical summary (first-past-the-post polls)

Among those supporting a candidate (first-past-the-post polls)

Ranked-choice polls

First-past-the-post polls

Notes
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u First-choice results from a ranked-choice poll

Head-to-head polls

Polling key and sponsors
  1. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x Before allocation (including undecided respondents)
  3. ^ Hypothetical scenario with Wiley eliminated instead of Garcia after round 7
  4. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by FairVote
  5. ^ a b c d e Hypothetical scenario based on FairVote's RCV simulations with various permutations of candidates
  6. ^ a b c d e f g h i This poll was sponsored by WPIX and NewsNation
  7. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by New Generation of Leadership PAC, which supports Garcia for mayor
  8. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Strong Leadership NYC, Inc., which supports Adams for mayor
  9. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by the Manhattan Institute for Policy Research
  10. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by the NYC-based lobbying group Capalino & Company, which is not working on behalf of any candidates
  11. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by WNBC, WNJU, and Politico
  12. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Spectrum News NY1
  13. ^ Hypothetical scenario with Garcia eliminated instead of Yang after round 6
  14. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n This poll was sponsored by Yang's campaign committee
  15. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by New Yorkers for a Better Future, Inc.
  16. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Future Forward NYC, Inc., which supports Yang for mayor
  17. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by StudentsFirstNY, a pro-charter schools group, which released this poll just before its executive director formed a pro-Adams PAC
  18. ^ Hypothetical scenario with all candidates eliminated but Donovan and Yang
  19. ^ Hypothetical scenario with all candidates eliminated but Stringer and Yang
  20. ^ Hypothetical scenario with all candidates eliminated but Wiley and Yang
  21. ^ This poll was sponsored by the New York Post, whose editorial board endorsed Adams
  22. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Univision 41 Nueva York (WXTV)
  23. ^ a b c This poll was conducted by Core Decision Analytics, which is working with Garcia's campaign, and was sponsored by the NYC-based lobbying group Fontas Advisors, which is not working on behalf of any candidates
  24. ^ Hypothetical scenario excluding Stringer
  25. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Hotel Workers for Stronger Communities, which supports Adams for mayor
  26. ^ This poll was sponsored by Corey Johnson's comptroller campaign committee
  27. ^ This poll was sponsored by Democrats for Education Reform, a pro-charter schools group

Debates

First debate

The first debate in the Democratic primary was sponsored by the Brooklyn Democratic Party and held on January 31, 2021. Nine candidates met the qualifications to participate in the debate, though former non-profit CEO Dianne Morales boycotted the debate following comments perceived as sinophobic by a former Brooklyn Democratic Party official.[139] Those who participated were Yang, Stringer, Adams, businessman Raymond McGuire, former director of the U.S. OMB Shaun Donovan, former counsel to Bill de Blasio Maya Wiley, Sutton and former commissioner of the NYC Dept. of Sanitation Kathryn Garcia.[140]

2021 New York City mayoral election Democratic primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
 P  Participant    A  Absent    N  Non-invitee    I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Eric Adams Shaun Donovan Kathryn Garcia Raymond McGuire Carlos Menchaca Dianne Morales Scott Stringer Loree Sutton Maya Wiley Andrew Yang
1[139] Feb. 1, 2021 Kings County
Democratic Committee
Errol Louis Video P P P P N A[a] P P P P
2[141] May 13, 2021 NYC Votes TBA TBA TBA TBA TBA W TBA TBA W TBA TBA
3[141] June 2, 2021 NYC Votes TBA TBA TBA TBA TBA W TBA TBA W TBA TBA
4[141] June 16, 2021 NYC Votes TBA TBA TBA TBA TBA W TBA TBA W TBA TBA

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Round 1
Votes %
style="background-color:Template:Democratic Party (United States)/meta/color" | Democratic Eric Adams
style="background-color:Template:Democratic Party (United States)/meta/color" | Democratic Art Chang
style="background-color:Template:Democratic Party (United States)/meta/color" | Democratic Shaun Donovan
style="background-color:Template:Democratic Party (United States)/meta/color" | Democratic Aaron Foldenauer
style="background-color:Template:Democratic Party (United States)/meta/color" | Democratic Kathryn Garcia
style="background-color:Template:Democratic Party (United States)/meta/color" | Democratic Raymond McGuire
style="background-color:Template:Democratic Party (United States)/meta/color" | Democratic Dianne Morales
style="background-color:Template:Democratic Party (United States)/meta/color" | Democratic Paperboy Love Prince
style="background-color:Template:Democratic Party (United States)/meta/color" | Democratic Scott Stringer
style="background-color:Template:Democratic Party (United States)/meta/color" | Democratic Maya Wiley
style="background-color:Template:Democratic Party (United States)/meta/color" | Democratic Isaac Wright Jr.
style="background-color:Template:Democratic Party (United States)/meta/color" | Democratic Andrew Yang
Total active votes 100.0%
Exhausted ballots -
Total votes 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Major declared candidates

The following candidates have held office, have been included in polls, or have been the subject of significant media coverage.

Republican primary candidates
Candidate Experience Announced Ref
File:Fernando Mateo Headshot.jpg
Fernando Mateo
Founder of the New York State Federation of Taxi Drivers February 4, 2021

(Website)
[142][143]

Curtis Sliwa
Founder of Guardian Angels
Radio talk show host
March 8, 2020

(Website)
[144]

Failed to qualify for ballot access

  • Adam Oremland, attorney and social media personality[145]
  • Abbey Laurel-Smith, businessman and perennial candidate[46]
  • Bill Pepitone, retired NYPD officer[146]

Withdrawn

  • Cleopatra Fitzgerald (running in Democratic primary)
  • Sara Tirschwell, CFO of Foundation House (endorsed Curtis Sliwa)[147][148]

Declined

Endorsements

Curtis Sliwa
Individuals
Organizations
Fernando Mateo
Party officials
Organizations
Bill Pepitone

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Round 1
Votes %
style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (United States)/meta/color" | Republican Fernando Mateo
style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (United States)/meta/color" | Republican Curtis Sliwa
Total active votes 100.0%
Exhausted ballots -
Total votes 100.0%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Independent

Candidates

Declared

  • Vitaly Filipchenko, small business owner[161]
  • Quanda Francis, President of Sykes Capital Management[19][35]
  • Christopher Krietchman, founder and CEO of Wellvyl and former owner of Fresh Grill Cafe[162]

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Morales was invited to the debate, but decided to boycott it in protest of actions within the Kings County Democratic Committee.[139]

References

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