2021 New York City mayoral election
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Elections in New York State |
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The 2021 New York City mayoral election will consist of Democratic and Republican primaries on June 22, 2021, followed by a general election on November 2, 2021. The primaries will be the first New York City mayoral election primaries to use ranked-choice, instant-runoff voting, as opposed to the plurality voting of previous primaries.[1]
Incumbent New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio is barred from running for a third term by term limits.[2]
Notable candidates include Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams, former Director of the U.S. OMB Shaun Donovan, former Commissioner of the NYC Dept. of Sanitation Kathryn Garcia, former Citigroup executive Raymond McGuire, former social services non-profit CEO Dianne Morales, Guardian Angels founder Curtis Sliwa, NYC Comptroller Scott Stringer, former counsel to Bill de Blasio Maya Wiley, and entrepreneur and former presidential candidate Andrew Yang. A number of other members of the New York City business and political communities are also running.
Democratic primary
Background
In 2019, journalists and political commentators predicted several potential candidates, including Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams, Bronx Borough President Rubén Díaz Jr., NYC Council Speaker Corey Johnson, NYC Comptroller Scott Stringer, and NYC Public Advocate Jumaane Williams.[3][4] By 2021, a number of candidates had declared themselves; most were first-time candidates who had never held political office, rather than sitting elected officials.
Polling in late January and early February showed entrepreneur Andrew Yang as the frontrunner, with Adams in second and Stringer in third place.[5][6] As of January 20, 2021, of the major declared candidates, New York City councilmember Carlos Menchaca and former Commissioner of the NYC Dept. of Veterans' Services Loree Sutton were considered the weakest candidates and most likely to drop out, as both of them posted very poor fundraising numbers.[7] Sutton withdrew from the race on March 10, 2021[8] and Menchaca withdrew on March 24, 2021.[9] By the middle of March, three candidates, Stringer, Dianne Morales, and Maya Wiley, were widely considered to be the chief competitors for the progressive vote.[10]
Candidates
Major declared candidates
The following candidates (listed alphabetically) have held office, have been included in polls, or have been the subject of significant media coverage.
Other declared candidates
- Art Chang, former JPMorgan Chase managing director, founder of NYC Votes[30]
- Aaron Foldenauer, attorney, candidate for NYC Council's Manhattan District 1 in 2017[31][32]
- Paperboy Love Prince, Brooklyn rapper and candidate for New York's 7th congressional district in 2020[33]
- Isaac Wright Jr., lawyer[34][35]
Major withdrawn candidates
- Rubén Díaz Jr., Bronx Borough President (2009-present), former NY State Assemblyman (1997-2009)[36][37]
- Zach Iscol, entrepreneur, United States Marine Corps veteran (Running for NYC Comptroller)[38][39]
- Corey Johnson, Speaker of the NYC Council, NYC Councillor for the 3rd district (Running for NYC Comptroller)[40][22][41]
- Carlos Menchaca, NYC Councillor for Brooklyn's 38th district (2013–present)[42]
- Loree Sutton, former Commissioner of the NYC Department of Veterans' Services (2016-2019), former U.S. Army brigadier general[43][44][45][8]
Other withdrawn candidates
- Michael DeName, formerly independent perennial candidate[46][47]
- Julia Qing Reaves, LGBT activist[46][48]
- Stephen Bishop Seely, actor[19]
Failed to qualify for ballot access
- Eddie Cullen, technology entrepreneur and professor at Purdue University[49][35]
- Ävatar Daví, tech entrepreneur and artist[50][51][35]
- Thomas Downs, advocate[52][35]
- Guiddalia Emilien, real estate agent and small business owner[53][35]
- Cleopatra Fitzgerald, activist[53][35]
- Garry Guerrier, paramedic and nurse[19][35]
- Max Kaplan, director of social media at Talent Resources[50][46][35]
- Barbara Kavovit, CEO of Evergreen Construction and former Real Housewives of New York City cast member[54][35]
- Ira Seidman, data scientist[53][35]
- Ahsan Syed, candidate for NYC Mayor in 2017[19][35]
- Joycelyn Taylor, CEO of TaylorMade Contracting[31][55]
Formed exploratory committee but did not run
- Max Rose, former U.S. Representative for New York's 11th congressional district (2019–2021)[56][57][58][59]
Declined
- Andy Byford, former President of the NYC Transit Authority[60]
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. Representative for New York's 14th congressional district[61][62]
- Christine Quinn, former NYC Council Speaker and mayoral candidate in 2013[63][64]
- Ritchie Torres, U.S. Representative for New York's 15th congressional district (endorsed Andrew Yang)[65][66]
- Jumaane Williams, NYC Public Advocate (running for re-election)[67][68]
- Jeff Zucker, Chairman of Warner Media News & Sports[69][70]
Endorsements
- U.S. Representatives
- Thomas Suozzi, U.S. Representative from New York's 3rd congressional district (2017–Present), County Executive of Nassau County (2002-2009) [71]
- State legislators
- Peter J. Abbate Jr., NY State Assemblymember for the 49th district (1987–present) [72]
- Rodneyse Bichotte, NY State Assemblymember for the 42nd district (2015–present)[73]
- Inez Dickens, NY State Assemblymember for the 70th district (2017–present)[74]
- Erik Dilan, NY State Assemblymember for the 54th district (2015–present)[75]
- Andrew Gounardes, NY State Senator for the 22nd district (2019–present)[75]
- Roxanne Persaud, NY State Senator for the 19th district (2015–present)[75]
- Jenifer Rajkumar, NY State Assemblymember for the 38th district (2021–present)[75]
- José Rivera, NY State Assemblymember for the 78th district (2001–present)[75]
- Diane Savino, NY State Senator for the 23rd district (2005–present)[72]
- Jaime Williams, NY State Assemblymember for the 59th district (2016–present)[75]
- Local officials
- Alicka Ampry-Samuel, NYC Councilmember (2018–present)[75]
- Justin Brannan, NYC Councilmember (2018–present)[72]
- Laurie Cumbo, NYC Councilmember (2014–present)[75]
- Darma Diaz, NYC Councilmember (2021–present)[75]
- Peter Koo, NYC Councilmember (2010–present)[76]
- Farah Louis, NYC Councilmember (2019–present)[75]
- Alan Maisel, NYC Councilmember (2014–present)[75]
- Daneek Miller, NYC Councilmember (2014–present)[75]
- Francisco Moya, NYC Councilmember(2018-present)[77]
- Ydanis Rodríguez, NYC Councilmember (2010–present)[78]
- Labor unions
- District Council 37[79][80]
- New York State Court Officers Association[75]
- Public Employees Federation[81]
- SEIU 32BJ[82]
- Uniformed Firefighters Association[83]
- Individuals
- Karim Camara, former NY State Assemblymember for the 43rd district (2005–2015)[75]
- Fernando Ferrer, Vice Chairman of the Metropolitan Transportation Authority, former Borough President of The Bronx (1987-2001), 2005 Democratic nominee for Mayor[84]
- Dwight Gooden, former professional baseball player[85]
- Aurelia Greene, former NY State Assemblymember for the 77th district (1982–2009)[75]
- Larry Holmes, former professional boxer[85]
- Charles Rangel, former U.S. Representative from New York's 13th congressional district (1971–2017)[74]
- Edolphus Towns, former U.S. Representative from New York's 10th congressional district (1983–2013)[75]
- Angela Yee, radio personality[86]
- Newspapers and media
- Executive Branch officials
- Jay Carney, White House Press Secretary (2011–2014)[87]
- Anthony Foxx, US Secretary of Transportation (2013–2017); Mayor of Charlotte (2009–2013)[88]
- U.S. Senators
- John Hickenlooper, US Senator from Colorado (2021–present), Governor of Colorado (2011–2019), Mayor of Denver (2003–2011)[89]
- Individuals
- Manny Diaz, Mayor of Miami (2001–2009)[90]
- Mitch Landrieu, Mayor of New Orleans (2010–2018)[90]
- Edward Norton, actor[75]
- Michael Nutter, Mayor of Philadelphia (2008–2016)[90]
- Ashley Swearengin, Mayor of Fresno (2009–2017)[90]
- Executive Branch officials
- Valerie Jarrett, Director of the Office of Public Engagement and Intergovernmental Affairs (2009-2017); Senior Advisor to the President (2009-2017)[91][92]
- State legislators
- Vivian E. Cook, NY State Assemblymember for the 32nd district (1991–present)[75]
- Robert J. Rodriguez, NY State Assemblymember for the 68th district (2011–present)[75]
- Individuals
- Tiki Barber, former football player[75]
- Gwen Carr, activist, author, and mother of Eric Garner[93]
- Sean Combs, rapper and record executive[94]
- Patrick Ewing, former basketball player[75]
- Steve Israel, former U.S. Representative from New York's 3rd congressional district (2001–2017)[75]
- Samuel L. Jackson, actor[75]
- Jay-Z, rapper and record executive[94]
- Spike Lee, filmmaker and actor[95]
- LL Cool J, rapper[75]
- Steve Martin, actor[75]
- Nas, rapper[94]
- Charles Oakley, former basketball player[75]
- Charles Phillips, businessman[92]
- State legislators
- Jabari Brisport, NY State Senator for the 25th district (2021-present) (First choice)[75]
- Harvey Epstein, NY State Assemblymember for the 74th district (2018-present)[75]
- Jessica González-Rojas, NY State Assemblymember for the 34th district (2021-present)[75]
- Gustavo Rivera, NY State Senator for the 33rd district (2011-present) (Second choice)[96]
- Political Parties
- Working Families Party (Second choice)[97]
- U.S. Representatives
- Jamaal Bowman, U.S. Representative from New York's 16th congressional district (2021–present)[75]
- Adriano Espaillat, U.S. Representative from New York's 13th congressional district (2017–present)[98]
- Jerry Nadler, U.S. Representative from New York's 10th congressional district (1992–present)[99]
- State legislators
- Alessandra Biaggi, NY State Senator for the 34th district (2019–present)[75]
- Jabari Brisport, NY State Senator for the 25th district (2021-present) (Second choice)[75]
- Robert Carroll, NY State Assemblymember for the 44th district[100]
- Catalina Cruz, NY State Assemblymember for the 39th district[75]
- Maritza Davila, NY State Assemblymember for the 53rd district[75]
- Carmen De La Rosa, NY State Assemblymember for the 72nd district and candidate for district 10 of the NYC Council in the 2021 NYC Council election[101]
- Mathylde Frontus, NY State Assemblymember for the 46th district (2018–present)[75]
- Richard N. Gottfried, NY State Assemblymember for the 75th district (1971–present)[99]
- Robert Jackson, NY State Senator for the 31st district (2019–present)[75]
- Brian P. Kavanagh, NY State Senator for the 26th district (2017–present)[75]
- Yuh-Line Niou, NY State Assemblymember for the 65th district[102]
- N. Nick Perry, NY State Assemblymember for the 58th district (1993–present)[75]
- Jessica Ramos, NY State Senator for the 13th district (2019–present)[102]
- Diana Richardson, NY State Assemblymember for the 43rd district (2015–present)[103]
- Gustavo Rivera, NY State Senator for the 33rd district (2011-present) (First choice)[96]
- Linda Rosenthal, NY State Assemblymember for the 67th district (2006–present)[75]
- Nily Rozic, NY State Assemblymember for the 25th district (2013–present)[75]
- Julia Salazar, NY State Senator for the 18th district (2019–present)[100]
- Rebecca Seawright, NY State Assemblymember for the 76th district (2015–present)[75]
- Amanda Septimo, NY State Assemblymember for the 84th district (2021–present)[75]
- José M. Serrano, NY State Senator for the 29th district (2005–present)[75]
- Al Taylor, NY State Assemblymember for the 71st district (2017–present)[75]
- Local officials
- Diana Ayala, NYC Councilmember (2018–present)[75]
- Costa Constantinides, NYC Councilmember (2014–2021) (First choice)[104]
- Mark Levine, NYC Councilmember (2014–present)[75]
- Jimmy Van Bramer, NYC Councilmember (2010–present)[75]
- Individuals
- Phil Goldfeder, former NY State Assemblymember for the 23rd district (2011–2016)[75]
- Scarlett Johansson, actress[76]
- Bill McKibben, environmental activist[75]
- Labor unions
- Communications Workers of America District 1[75]
- IBEW Local 3[75]
- Laborers' International Union of North America[105]
- Retail, Wholesale and Department Store Union[75]
- Sheet Metal Workers Local 28[75]
- Teamsters Joint Council 16[75]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 1500[106]
- Political Parties
- Working Families Party (First choice)[107]
- Organizations
- Individuals
- Kenneth Fisher, businessman[108]
- U.S. Representatives
- Nydia Velázquez, U.S. Representative from New York's 7th congressional district (1993-present)[109]
- Yvette Clark, U.S. Representative from New York's 9th congressional district (2006-present)[110]
- State legislators
- Khaleel Anderson, NY State Assemblymember for the 31st district (2020-present)[111]
- Michael Gianaris, NY State Senator for the 12th district (2011–present)[112]
- Deborah Glick, NY State Assemblymember for the 66th district (1991-present)[75]
- Latoya Joyner, NY State Assemblymember for the 77th district (2015-present)[111]
- Local officials
- Stephen Levin, NYC Councilmember for the 33rd district (2010–present)[113]
- Helen Rosenthal, NYC Councilmember for the 6th district (2016–present)[75]
- Individuals
- Tichina Arnold, actress[75]
- Michael Blake, former NY State Assemblymember for the 39th district (2015–2021)[75]
- Yvette Nicole Brown, actress[75]
- Chris Evans, actor[76]
- Jonathan Frakes, actor[75]
- Kathy Griffin, comedian and actress[75]
- Melissa Harris-Perry, writer, television host, and political commentator[93]
- Rosie O'Donnell, comedian and actress[76]
- Patton Oswalt, actor[75]
- Alyssa Milano, actress[75]
- Gabrielle Union, actress[75]
- James Vacca, former NYC Councilmember for the 13th district (2006-2017)[111]
- Political Parties
- Working Families Party (Third choice)[114]
- Organizations
- Democracy for America[115]
- Freelancers Union (co-endorsed with Yang)[116]
- Labor unions
- Executive Branch officials
- Anthony Scaramucci, White House Communications Director (2017) (Republican)[118]
- U.S. Representatives
- Ritchie Torres, U.S. Representative from New York's 15th congressional district (2021–present), NYC Councilmember (2014-2020)[119][120]
- State legislators
- Ron Kim, NY State Assemblymember from the 40th District (2013–present)[121][75]
- Daniel Rosenthal, NY State Assemblymember from the 27th District (2017-present)[122]
- Local officials
- Margaret Chin, NYC Councilmember for the 1st district (2010−present)[75]
- Matthew W. Daus, Commissioner and Chairman of the New York City Taxi and Limousine Commission (2001-2010)[123]
- Michael Tubbs, Mayor of Stockton, California (2017-2021)[124]
- Individuals
- Naked Cowboy, street performer[125]
- Baron Davis, former professional basketball player[126]
- ASAP Ferg, rapper[126]
- Charlamagne tha God, radio presenter and television personality[127]
- MC Jin, rapper, actor[128]
- Cameron Kasky, activist, advocate against gun violence[129]
- Dara Kass, physician and professor[130]
- Daniel Dae Kim, actor, producer[75][131]
- Martin Luther King III, civil rights activist, President of the Southern Christian Leadership Conference (1997–2004)[132]
- John Leguizamo, actor and comedian[75][133]
- Bernard McGuirk, radio personality[134]
- David S. Rose, entrepreneur[135]
- Andrew Schulz, stand-up comedian, actor, producer and podcaster[127]
- Amy Schumer, stand-up comedian and actress[75]
- Lis Smith, communications director for Pete Buttigieg's 2020 presidential campaign[135]
- Bradley Tusk, businessman, philanthropist, political strategist[136]
- Daniel Wu, actor, director and producer[137]
- Organizations
- Freelancers Union (co-endorsed with Wiley)[116]
- Organization
Polling
Graphical summary (first-past-the-post polls)
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Graphical summary (first-past-the-post polls)
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
- Among those supporting a candidate (first-past-the-post polls)
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Ranked-choice polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[A] |
Margin of error |
RCV count |
Eric Adams
|
Shaun Donovan
|
Kathryn Garcia
|
Raymond McGuire
|
Dianne Morales
|
Scott Stringer
|
Maya Wiley
|
Andrew Yang
|
Others | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) | Jun 18–20, 2021 | 1,354 (LV) | ± 3.0% | BA[B] | 26% | 3% | 18% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 21% | 12% | 2% | 6% |
1 | 28% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 22% | 13% | 3% | – | ||||
2 | 28% | 3% | 20% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 23% | 13% | – | |||||
3 | 28% | 3% | 20% | 4% | – | 6% | 24% | 14% | – | |||||
4 | 29% | – | 21% | 4% | – | 6% | 25% | 14% | – | |||||
5 | 30% | – | 24% | – | – | 6% | 25% | 14% | – | |||||
6 | 32% | – | 26% | – | – | – | 27% | 15% | – | |||||
7 | 38% | – | 31% | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | |||||
8 | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | 46% | – | – | |||||
8[C] | 48% | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Citizen Data[D] | Jun 14–17, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 1 | 32% | 5% | 18% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 11% | 2% | – |
2 | 32% | 5% | 18% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 12% | – | |||||
3 | 33% | 5% | 18% | – | 6% | 7% | 19% | 12% | – | |||||
4 | 34% | – | 19% | – | 6% | 7% | 20% | 13% | – | |||||
5 | 36% | – | 20% | – | – | 8% | 21% | 15% | – | |||||
6 | 37% | – | 22% | – | – | – | 26% | 15% | – | |||||
7 | 44% | – | 28% | – | – | – | 28% | – | – | |||||
8 | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | – | – | |||||
8[E] | 54% | – | 46% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
8[E] | 67% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | – | |||||
8[E] | – | – | 51% | – | – | – | 49% | – | – | |||||
8[E] | – | – | 60% | – | – | – | – | 40% | – | |||||
8[E] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | 41% | – | |||||
Ipsos | Jun 10–17, 2021 | 702 (LV) | ± 5.7% | BA[B] | 28% | 5% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 13% | 20% | – | 6% |
1 | 29% | 5% | 16% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 13% | 21% | – | |||||
2 | 29% | 5% | 16% | 5% | – | 8% | 14% | 22% | ||||||
3 | 31% | 7% | 16% | – | – | 9% | 14% | 22% | ||||||
4 | 34% | – | 17% | – | – | 12% | 15% | 23% | ||||||
5 | 36% | – | 20% | – | – | – | 16% | 27% | ||||||
6 | 43% | – | 25% | – | – | – | – | 31% | ||||||
7 | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | ||||||
Emerson College[F] | Jun 15–16, 2021 | 664 (LV) | ± 3.7% | BA[B] | 23% | 2% | 17% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 14% | 1%
Chang: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% |
10% |
2 | 26% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 20% | 15% | 1%
Chang: 1% Prince: 0% |
– | ||||
3 | 26% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 20% | 15% | 1%
Chang: 1% | |||||
4 | 26% | 3% | 20% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 21% | 15% | – | |||||
5 | 26% | 3% | 20% | 4% | – | 10% | 22% | 15% | – | |||||
6 | 27% | – | 21% | 5% | – | 10% | 22% | 15% | – | |||||
7 | 29% | – | 21% | – | – | 11% | 22% | 17% | – | |||||
8 | 32% | – | 25% | – | – | – | 26% | 18% | – | |||||
9 | 41% | – | 30% | – | – | – | 29% | – | – | |||||
10 | 52% | – | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Change Research (D)[G] | Jun 11–14, 2021 | 822 (LV) | ± 3.4% | BA[B] | 23% | 4% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 12% | 0%
Chang: 0% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% |
10% |
2 | 26% | 4% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 21% | 13% | 1%
Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Prince: 0% |
– | ||||
3 | 26% | 4% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 21% | 13% | 1%
Wright: 1% Chang: 0% | |||||
4 | 26% | 4% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 21% | 13% | 1%
Wright: 1% | |||||
5 | 26% | 5% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 21% | 13% | – | |||||
6 | 26% | 5% | 22% | 3% | – | 9% | 22% | 13% | – | |||||
7 | 27% | 5% | 22% | – | – | 10% | 23% | 14% | – | |||||
8 | 28% | – | 23% | – | – | 10% | 23% | 16% | – | |||||
9 | 30% | – | 27% | – | – | – | 26% | 17% | – | |||||
10 | 37% | – | 33% | – | – | – | 30% | – | – | |||||
11 | 49% | – | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Schoen Cooperman Research (D)[H] | Jun 10–13, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA[B] | 22% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 18% | 0% | 7% |
1 | 24% | 7% | 15% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 17% | 19% | – | |||||
2 | 24% | 7% | 16% | 5% | – | 10% | 18% | 20% | ||||||
3 | 24% | 8% | 17% | – | – | 10% | 19% | 22% | ||||||
4 | 26% | – | 18% | – | – | 11% | 21% | 24% | ||||||
5 | 31% | – | 20% | – | – | – | 23% | 26% | ||||||
6 | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | 28% | 32% | ||||||
7 | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | ||||||
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[I] | Jun 9–13, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | BA[B] | 21% | 4% | 20% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 13% | 2%
Chang: 1% Taylor: 1% Prince: <1% Foldenauer: 0% Wright: 0% |
9% |
1 | 24% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 20% | 14% | 3%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Taylor: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Wright: 0% |
– | ||||
2 | 24% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 20% | 14% | 3%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Taylor: 1% Foldenauer: 0% | |||||
3 | 24% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 20% | 14% | 2%
Chang: 1% Taylor: 1% | |||||
4 | 24% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 20% | 14% | 1%
Chang: 1% | |||||
5 | 25% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 21% | 14% | – | |||||
6 | 25% | 4% | 22% | – | 3% | 9% | 21% | 15% | – | |||||
7 | 26% | 4% | 23% | – | – | 9% | 22% | 15% | – | |||||
8 | 27% | – | 25% | – | – | 10% | 23% | 15% | – | |||||
9 | 29% | – | 28% | – | – | – | 25% | 17% | – | |||||
10 | 38% | – | 33% | – | – | – | 29% | – | – | |||||
11 | 48% | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Honan Strategy Group (D)[J] | May 26 – Jun 10, 2021 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.2% | BA[B] | 28% | 9% | 13% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 7% | 19% | – | 16% |
1 | 33% | 11% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 9% | 23% | – | |||||
2 | 33% | 11% | 16% | 1% | – | 7% | 9% | 23% | ||||||
3 | 34% | 11% | 16% | – | – | 7% | 9% | 23% | ||||||
4 | 35% | 12% | 17% | – | – | – | 11% | 25% | ||||||
5 | 39% | 13% | 19% | – | – | – | – | 29% | ||||||
6 | 44% | – | 24% | – | – | – | – | 33% | ||||||
7 | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | ||||||
Marist College[K] | Jun 3–9, 2021 | 876 (LV) | ± 3.8% | BA[B] | 24% | 3% | 17% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 13% | 2%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Foldenauer: <1% Taylor: <1% Wright: <1% |
13% |
1 | 28% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 2%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Foldenauer: <1% Taylor: <1% Wright: <1% |
– | ||||
2 | 28% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 2%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Taylor: <1% Wright: <1% | |||||
3 | 28% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 2%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Taylor: <1% | |||||
4 | 28% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 2%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% | |||||
5 | 28% | 3% | 20% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 1%
Prince: 1% | |||||
6 | 28% | 4% | 20% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | – | |||||
7 | 29% | – | 20% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 17% | 16% | – | |||||
8 | 30% | – | 21% | – | 5% | 9% | 18% | 17% | – | |||||
9 | 31% | – | 22% | – | – | 9% | 20% | 17% | – | |||||
10 | 34% | – | 24% | – | – | – | 22% | 19% | – | |||||
11 | 43% | – | 30% | – | – | – | 27% | – | – | |||||
12 | 56% | – | 44% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Emerson College[F] | Jun 7–8, 2021 | 725 (LV) | ± 3.6% | BA[B] | 23% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 15% | 4%
Taylor: 2% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Wright: 0% |
12% |
2 | 26% | 4% | 14% | 3% | 2% | 11% | 19% | 17% | 5%
Taylor: 2% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% |
– | ||||
3 | 26% | 5% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 11% | 19% | 17% | 4%
Taylor: 2% Chang: 2% | |||||
4 | 26% | 5% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 18% | 2%
Taylor: 2% | |||||
5 | 26% | 5% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 19% | – | |||||
6 | 26% | 5% | 14% | 4% | – | 11% | 21% | 19% | – | |||||
7 | 28% | 5% | 15% | – | – | 11% | 21% | 20% | – | |||||
8 | 29% | – | 15% | – | – | 12% | 22% | 22% | – | |||||
9 | 33% | – | 19% | – | – | – | 26% | 23% | – | |||||
10 | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | 27% | – | |||||
11 | 59% | – | – | – | – | – | 41% | – | – | |||||
Ipsos[L] | May 17–31, 2021 | 906 (LV) | ± 4.5% | BA[B] | 24% | 4% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 10% | 10% | 17% | – | 11% |
1 | 27% | 5% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 19% | – | |||||
2 | 28% | – | 16% | 5% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 20% | ||||||
3 | 30% | – | 17% | – | 7% | 13% | 13% | 20% | ||||||
4 | 32% | – | 18% | – | – | 14% | 16% | 21% | ||||||
5 | 37% | – | 22% | – | – | – | 19% | 23% | ||||||
6 | 42% | – | 29% | – | – | – | – | 28% | ||||||
7 | 60% | – | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||||
7[M] | 58% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | ||||||
Emerson College[F] | May 23–24, 2021 | 570 (LV) | ± 4.1% | BA[B] | 20% | 5% | 21% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 16% | 2%
Foldenauer: 1% Prince: 1% Chang: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% |
9% |
2 | 22% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 17% | 2%
Foldenauer: 1% Prince: 1% Chang: 0% |
– | ||||
3 | 22% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 17% | 2%
Foldenauer: 1% Prince: 1% | |||||
4 | 22% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 17% | 1%
Foldenauer: 1% | |||||
5 | 22% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 8% | 12% | 10% | 17% | – | |||||
6 | 24% | 6% | 24% | – | 8% | 12% | 10% | 17% | – | |||||
7 | 25% | – | 26% | – | 8% | 12% | 10% | 19% | – | |||||
8 | 25% | – | 27% | – | – | 13% | 15% | 19% | – | |||||
9 | 28% | – | 31% | – | – | – | 20% | 22% | – | |||||
10 | 34% | – | 40% | – | – | – | – | 26% | – | |||||
11 | 45% | – | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | May 17–20, 2021 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | BA[B] | 16% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 13% | 8% | 19% | 7%
Foldenauer: 4% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% "Other": 0% |
13% |
1 | 18% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 21% | 8%
Foldenauer: 5% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% "Other": 0% |
– | ||||
2 | 18% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 21% | 8%
Foldenauer: 5% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% Taylor: 0% | |||||
3 | 18% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 21% | 8%
Foldenauer: 5% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% | |||||
4 | 18% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 21% | 7%
Foldenauer: 5% Chang: 2% | |||||
5 | 19% | 5% | 12% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 10% | 22% | 5%
Foldenauer: 5% | |||||
6 | 19% | 5% | 12% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 11% | 22% | – | |||||
7 | 20% | – | 13% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 11% | 23% | – | |||||
8 | 21% | – | 14% | – | 9% | 19% | 13% | 24% | – | |||||
9 | 22% | – | 14% | – | – | 22% | 17% | 25% | – | |||||
10 | 25% | – | – | – | – | 25% | 21% | 29% | – | |||||
11 | 33% | – | – | – | – | 31% | – | 36% | – | |||||
12 | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 51% | – | |||||
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[I] | May 14–17, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | BA[B] | 18% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 19% | 2%
Prince: 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Foldenauer: 0% Taylor: 0% |
14% |
1 | 21% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 22% | 2%
Prince: 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Taylor: 0% |
– | ||||
2 | 21% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 22% | 2%
Prince: 1% Wright: 1% Taylor: 0% | |||||
3 | 21% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 23% | 2%
Prince: 1% Wright: 1% | |||||
4 | 21% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 23% | 1%
Prince: 1% | |||||
5 | 21% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 23% | – | |||||
6 | 23% | – | 13% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 24% | – | |||||
7 | 24% | – | 15% | 10% | – | 11% | 16% | 24% | – | |||||
8 | 27% | – | 16% | – | – | 12% | 18% | 26% | – | |||||
9 | 30% | – | 20% | – | – | – | 21% | 29% | – | |||||
10 | 36% | – | – | – | – | – | 30% | 34% | – | |||||
11 | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 48% | – | |||||
Emerson College[F] | May 13–15, 2021 | 631 (LV) | ± 3.8% | BA[B] | 18% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 15% | 4% | 15% | 3%
Chang: 2% Taylor: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Wright: 0% |
23% |
2 | 23% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 20% | 5% | 20% | 3%
Chang: 2% Taylor: 1% |
– | ||||
3 | 23% | 7% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 20% | 5% | 20% | 3%
Chang: 3% | |||||
4 | 23% | 7% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 20% | 5% | 22% | – | |||||
5 | 24% | 7% | 13% | 6% | 8% | 20% | – | 23% | – | |||||
6 | 26% | 9% | 13% | – | 9% | 20% | – | 23% | – | |||||
7 | 27% | 9% | 18% | – | – | 22% | – | 24% | – | |||||
8 | 29% | – | 21% | – | – | 24% | – | 26% | – | |||||
9 | 36% | – | – | – | – | 31% | – | 33% | – | |||||
10 | 53% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | |||||
Change Research (D) | May 11–12, 2021 | 418 (LV) | ± 4.8% | BA[B] | 21% | 6% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 18% | 2%
"Would not vote": 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% |
18% |
2 | 26% | 7% | 14% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 22% | 1%
Wright: 1% Chang: 0% |
– | ||||
3 | 26% | 7% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 22% | 1%
Wright: 1% | |||||
4 | 26% | 7% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 22% | – | |||||
5 | 26% | 7% | 16% | 8% | – | 11% | 10% | 23% | – | |||||
6 | 27% | – | 17% | 9% | – | 12% | 11% | 25% | – | |||||
7 | 28% | – | 18% | – | – | 14% | 11% | 28% | – | |||||
8 | 31% | – | 21% | – | – | 17% | – | 31% | – | |||||
9 | 37% | – | 26% | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | |||||
10 | 50% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 50% | – | |||||
Change Research (D) | May 6–12, 2021 | 1,422 (LV) | ± 2.6% | BA[B] | 19% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 16% | 2%
"Would not vote": 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% |
20% |
2 | 24% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 21% | 1%
Wright: 1% Prince: 0% |
– | ||||
3 | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 9% | 21% | 1%
Wright: 1% | |||||
4 | 25% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 21% | – | |||||
5 | 26% | 9% | 9% | 9% | – | 12% | 13% | 22% | – | |||||
6 | 27% | – | 11% | 11% | – | 14% | 13% | 24% | – | |||||
7 | 30% | – | 12% | – | – | 15% | 15% | 28% | – | |||||
8 | 34% | – | – | – | – | 18% | 18% | 31% | – | |||||
9 | 41% | – | – | – | – | 23% | – | 37% | – | |||||
10 | 53% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | |||||
Schoen Cooperman Research (D)[O] | May 4–9, 2021 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA[B] | 17% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 21% | 1% | 17% |
1 | 21% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 12% | 12% | 26% | – | |||||
2 | 22% | 7% | 10% | 9% | – | 13% | 13% | 26% | ||||||
3 | 23% | – | 10% | 10% | – | 15% | 14% | 28% | ||||||
4 | 25% | – | 12% | – | – | 17% | 16% | 30% | ||||||
5 | 28% | – | – | – | – | 19% | 20% | 33% | ||||||
6 | 36% | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | 40% | ||||||
7 | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | ||||||
Mercury Public Affairs (D)[P] | Apr 26 – May 1, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | BA[B] | 14% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 14% | 6% | 21% | – | 26% |
1 | 15% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 18% | 8% | 35% | – | |||||
2 | 15% | 8% | 5% | 6% | – | 19% | 11% | 36% | ||||||
3 | 15% | 8% | – | 7% | – | 20% | 12% | 36% | ||||||
4 | 17% | 9% | – | – | – | 21% | 13% | 40% | ||||||
5 | 19% | – | – | – | – | 24% | 14% | 43% | ||||||
6 | 23% | – | – | – | – | 28% | – | 48% | ||||||
7 | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | 61% | ||||||
Benenson Strategy Group (D)[Q] | Apr 16–21, 2021 | 1,558 (LV) | ± 2.5% | BA[B] | 17% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 22% | 1% | 14% |
1 | 20% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 12% | 10% | 26% | – | |||||
2 | 21% | 8% | – | 10% | 9% | 14% | 11% | 27% | ||||||
3 | 22% | – | – | 11% | 10% | 16% | 12% | 30% | ||||||
4 | 23% | – | – | 12% | – | 18% | 15% | 32% | ||||||
5 | 27% | – | – | – | – | 20% | 18% | 36% | ||||||
6 | 31% | – | – | – | – | 26% | – | 43% | ||||||
7 | 44% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 56% | ||||||
Ipsos[L] | Apr 1–15, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.7% | BA[B] | 13% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 14% | 8% | 23% | – | 21% |
1 | 17% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 17% | 10% | 29% | – | |||||
2 | 18% | 7% | – | 7% | 8% | 19% | 11% | 30% | ||||||
3 | 18% | – | – | 9% | 8% | 21% | 12% | 32% | ||||||
4 | 20% | – | – | 10% | – | 22% | 15% | 34% | ||||||
5 | 23% | – | – | – | – | 25% | 16% | 36% | ||||||
6 | 27% | – | – | – | – | 30% | – | 43% | ||||||
7 | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | – | 57% | ||||||
Data for Progress (D) | Mar 21 – Apr 5, 2021 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.0% | BA[B] | 13% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 26% | 5%
"A different candidate": 4% Menchaca: 1% |
14% |
8 | 41% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | |||||
8[R] | – | 27% | – | – | – | – | – | 73% | ||||||
8[S] | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | 61% | ||||||
8[T] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 32% | 68% | ||||||
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | Mar 12–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA[B] | 15% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 7% | 25% | 3%
Menchaca: 2% "Other": 1% |
20% |
1 | 18% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 15% | 9% | 31% | 4%
Menchaca: 3% "Other": 1% |
– | ||||
2 | 18% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 15% | 9% | 31% | 3%
Menchaca: 3% | |||||
3 | 18% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 10% | 32% | – | |||||
4 | 19% | 6% | 10% | 6% | – | 16% | 11% | 32% | – | |||||
5 | 20% | – | 10% | 7% | – | 18% | 11% | 33% | – | |||||
6 | 22% | – | 11% | – | – | 19% | 12% | 35% | – | |||||
7 | 24% | – | – | – | – | 22% | 15% | 39% | – | |||||
8 | 28% | – | – | – | – | 26% | – | 46% | – | |||||
9 | 41% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | |||||
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | Jan 15–19, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA[B] | 17% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 8% | 25% | 1%
"Other": 1% Iscol: <1% Menchaca: <1% Sutton: <1% |
32% |
1 | 26% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 18% | 11% | 37% | 2%
Sutton: 1% "Other": 1% Iscol: <1% Menchaca: <1% |
– | ||||
2 | 26% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 11% | 37% | 1%
Sutton: 1% Iscol: <1% Menchaca: <1% | |||||
3 | 26% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 11% | 37% | 1%
Sutton: 1% Menchaca: <1% | |||||
4 | 26% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 11% | 37% | 1%
Sutton: 1% | |||||
5 | 26% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 12% | 37% | – | |||||
6 | 26% | – | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 12% | 37% | – | |||||
7 | 26% | – | 2% | – | 2% | 20% | 12% | 38% | – | |||||
8 | 27% | – | 3% | – | – | 20% | 12% | 39% | – | |||||
9 | 27% | – | – | – | – | 20% | 13% | 39% | – | |||||
10 | 30% | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | 46% | – | |||||
11 | 39% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 61% | – | |||||
Slingshot Strategies (D) | Nov 30 – Dec 6, 2020 |
1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA[B] | 11% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 11% | 7% | 17% | 20%
Quinn: 7% Rose: 5% Menchaca: 3% Iscol: 2% Sutton: 2% "Other": 1% |
25% |
1 | 15% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 23% | 25%
Quinn: 10% Rose: 6% Menchaca: 3% Iscol: 2% Sutton: 2% "Other": 2% |
– | ||||
2 | 15% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 23% | 26%
Quinn: 10% Rose: 7% Menchaca: 4% Iscol: 3% Sutton: 2% | |||||
3 | 16% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 15% | 9% | 23% | 24%
Quinn: 10% Rose: 7% Menchaca: 4% Iscol: 3% | |||||
4 | 16% | 3% | 5% | 3% | – | 15% | 9% | 24% | 24%
Quinn: 10% Rose: 7% Menchaca: 4% Iscol: 3% | |||||
5 | 16% | 3% | 6% | 3% | – | 15% | 9% | 24% | 22%
Quinn: 11% Rose: 7% Menchaca: 4% | |||||
6 | 16% | – | 6% | 4% | – | 16% | 10% | 24% | 24%
Quinn: 11% Rose: 8% Menchaca: 5% | |||||
7 | 17% | – | 6% | – | – | 17% | 10% | 25% | 25%
Quinn: 11% Rose: 9% Menchaca: 5% | |||||
8 | 18% | – | 7% | – | – | 18% | 11% | 26% | 21%
Quinn: 12% Rose: 9% | |||||
9 | 19% | – | – | – | – | 18% | 12% | 27% | 23%
Quinn: 13% Rose: 10% | |||||
10 | 21% | – | – | – | – | 21% | 14% | 29% | 14%
Quinn: 14% | |||||
11 | 26% | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | 33% | 17%
Quinn: 17% | |||||
12 | 30% | – | – | – | – | 29% | – | 41% | – | |||||
13 | 42% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 58% | – |
First-past-the-post polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[A] |
Margin of error |
Eric Adams
|
Shaun Donovan
|
Kathryn Garcia
|
Raymond McGuire
|
Dianne Morales
|
Scott Stringer
|
Maya Wiley
|
Andrew Yang
|
Others | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) | Jun 18–20, 2021 | 1,354 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 26% | 3% | 18% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 21% | 12% | 2% | 6% |
Citizen Data[D][a] | Jun 14–17, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 32% | 5% | 18% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 11% | 2% | – |
Ipsos | Jun 10–17, 2021 | 702 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 27% | 4% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 12% | 20% | <1% | 7% |
Emerson College[F][a] | Jun 15–16, 2021 | 664 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 23% | 2% | 17% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 14% | 1%
Chang: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% |
10% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[U] | Jun 10–15, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 21% | 3% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 17% | 10% | 1% | 21% |
Change Research (D)[G][a] | Jun 11–14, 2021 | 822 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 23% | 4% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 12% | 0%
Chang: 0% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% |
10% |
Schoen Cooperman Research (D)[H][a] | Jun 10–13, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 22% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 18% | 0% | 7% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[I][a] | Jun 9–13, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 21% | 4% | 20% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 13% | 2%
Chang: 1% Taylor: 1% Prince: <1% Foldenauer: 0% Wright: 0% |
9% |
Data for Progress (D) | Jun 7–13, 2021 | 998 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 26% | 2% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 20% | 16% | 3% | 4% |
Honan Strategy Group (D)[J] | May 26 – Jun 10, 2021 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 31% | 9% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 7% | 21% | – | 9% |
Marist College[K][a] | Jun 3–9, 2021 | 876 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 24% | 3% | 17% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 13% | 2%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Foldenauer: <1% Taylor: <1% Wright: <1% |
13% |
Emerson College[F][a] | Jun 7–8, 2021 | 725 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 23% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 15% | 4%
Taylor: 2% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Wright: 0% |
12% |
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N][a] | Jun 1–6, 2021 | 1,191 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 17% | 3% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 16% | 7%
Foldenauer: 4% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Wright: 1% Taylor: 0% "Other": 0% |
12% |
Media Predict[V] | May 27 – Jun 6, 2021 | 501 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 20% | 4% | 15% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 19% | – | 20% |
Ipsos[L] | May 17–31, 2021 | 906 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 22% | 3% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 10% | 9% | 16% | <1% | 16% |
Emerson College[F][a] | May 23–24, 2021 | 570 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 20% | 5% | 21% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 16% | 2%
Foldenauer: 1% Prince: 1% Chang: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% |
9% |
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N][a] | May 17–20, 2021 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 16% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 13% | 8% | 19% | 7%
Foldenauer: 4% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% "Other": 0% |
13% |
Core Decision Analytics[W] | May 15–19, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 18% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 1% | 26% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[I][a] | May 14–17, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 18% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 19% | 2%
Prince: 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Foldenauer: 0% Taylor: 0% |
14% |
Emerson College[F][a] | May 13–15, 2021 | 631 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 18% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 15% | 4% | 15% | 3%
Chang: 2% Taylor: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Wright: 0% |
23% |
Change Research (D)[a] | May 11–12, 2021 | 418 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 21% | 6% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 18% | 2%
"Would not vote": 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% |
18% |
Change Research (D)[a] | May 6–12, 2021 | 1,422 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 19% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 16% | 2%
"Would not vote": 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% |
20% |
Schoen Cooperman Research (D)[O][a] | May 4–9, 2021 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 17% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 21% | 1% | 17% |
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N][a] | Apr 20–27 and May 3–6, 2021 |
1,393 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 10% | 6% | 15% | 7% | 21% | 6%
Foldenauer: 3% Chang: 1% Wright: 1% "Other": 1% Prince: 0% |
13% |
275 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 9% | 4% | –[X] | 8% | 27% | 9%
"Other": 4% Foldenauer: 3% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Wright: 0% |
15% | ||
Honan Strategy Group (D)[Y] | Apr 24 – May 2, 2021 | 1,100 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 22% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 12% | 13% | 3% | 20% | 1% | 25% |
Mercury Public Affairs (D)[P][a] | Apr 26 – May 1, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 14% | 6% | 21% | – | 26% |
GQR Research (D)[Z] | Apr 27–29, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 21% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 15% | 7% | 18% | 1% | 11% |
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N][a] | Apr 20–27, 2021 | 824 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 16% | 6% | 24% | 5%
Foldenauer: 3% Chang: 1% "Other": 1% Prince: 0% Wright: 0% |
14% |
Benenson Strategy Group (D)[Q][a] | Apr 16–21, 2021 | 1,558 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 17% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 22% | 1% | 14% |
Ipsos[L] | Apr 1–15, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 11% | 7% | 22% | <1% | 26% |
Data for Progress (D) | Mar 21 – Apr 5, 2021 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 26% | 5%
"A different candidate": 4% Menchaca: 1% |
14% |
Core Decision Analytics[W] | Mar 15–18, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 16% | 1% | 50% |
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N][a] | Mar 12–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 15% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 7% | 25% | 3%
Menchaca: 2% "Other": 1% |
20% |
Emerson College[F] | Mar 4–6, 2021 | 644 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 19% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 32% | 2%
Chang: 1% Menchaca: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Kavovit: 0% Sutton: 0% Taylor: 0% |
17% |
Media Predict[V] | Feb 12–25, 2021 | 894 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 11% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 27% | 2%
Menchaca: 2% |
34% |
Core Decision Analytics[W] | Jan 20–25, 2021 | 842 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 17% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 13% | 8% | 28% | 1%
Iscol: 1% |
19% |
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N][a] | Jan 15–19, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 17% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 8% | 25% | 1%
"Other": 1% Iscol: <1% Menchaca: <1% Sutton: <1% |
32% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[AA] | Dec 16–17, 2020 | 755 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 16% | – | – | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 17% | 6%
Quinn: 6% |
40% |
Slingshot Strategies (D) | Nov 30 – Dec 6, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 11% | 7% | 20% | 17%
Quinn: 7% Rose: 6% Menchaca: 2% Iscol: 1% Sutton: 1% "Other": 0% |
20% |
Data for Progress (D) | Jan 13–19, 2020 | 366 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 9% | – | – | – | 2% | 5% | – | – | 38%
Johnson: 10% Díaz Jr.: 8% Liu: 7% Quinn: 6% Brewer: 2% Mark-Viverto: 2% Taylor: 2% Foldenauer: 1% Sutton: 0% |
46% |
- Notes
Head-to-head polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[A] |
Margin of error |
Eric Adams
|
Kathryn Garcia
|
Raymond McGuire
|
Dianne Morales
|
Scott Stringer
|
Maya Wiley
|
Andrew Yang
|
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | Jun 1–6, 2021 | 1,191 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | 15% |
– | 41% | – | – | – | – | 45% | 14% | ||||
– | – | – | – | 36% | – | 46% | 18% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 32% | 51% | 17% | ||||
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | May 17–20, 2021 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | 18% |
– | – | – | – | 36% | – | 44% | 21% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 34% | 45% | 21% | ||||
Honan Strategy Group (D)[Y] | Apr 24 – May 2, 2021 | 1,100 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | – | 12% | – | – | – | – | 37% |
44% | – | – | – | 33% | – | – | 24% | ||||
50% | – | – | – | – | 19% | – | 31% | ||||
39% | – | – | – | – | – | 38% | 23% | ||||
30% | – | – | 19% | – | 5% | 22% | 23% | ||||
31% | – | – | – | 20% | 8% | 26% | 16% | ||||
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | Apr 20–27, 2021 | 824 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 31% | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | 25% |
– | – | – | – | 33% | – | 47% | 21% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 25% | 51% | 24% | ||||
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | Mar 12–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | 20% |
– | – | – | – | 27% | – | 52% | 21% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 20% | 54% | 26% | ||||
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | Jan 15–19, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 27% | – | – | – | – | – | 48% | 25% |
– | – | – | – | 27% | – | 49% | 24% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 20% | 50% | 30% |
- Polling key and sponsors
- ^ a b c Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x Before allocation (including undecided respondents)
- ^ Hypothetical scenario with Wiley eliminated instead of Garcia after round 7
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by FairVote
- ^ a b c d e Hypothetical scenario based on FairVote's RCV simulations with various permutations of candidates
- ^ a b c d e f g h i This poll was sponsored by WPIX and NewsNation
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by New Generation of Leadership PAC, which supports Garcia for mayor
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Strong Leadership NYC, Inc., which supports Adams for mayor
- ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by the Manhattan Institute for Policy Research
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by the NYC-based lobbying group Capalino & Company, which is not working on behalf of any candidates
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by WNBC, WNJU, and Politico
- ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Spectrum News NY1
- ^ Hypothetical scenario with Garcia eliminated instead of Yang after round 6
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n This poll was sponsored by Yang's campaign committee
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by New Yorkers for a Better Future, Inc.
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Future Forward NYC, Inc., which supports Yang for mayor
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by StudentsFirstNY, a pro-charter schools group, which released this poll just before its executive director formed a pro-Adams PAC
- ^ Hypothetical scenario with all candidates eliminated but Donovan and Yang
- ^ Hypothetical scenario with all candidates eliminated but Stringer and Yang
- ^ Hypothetical scenario with all candidates eliminated but Wiley and Yang
- ^ This poll was sponsored by the New York Post, whose editorial board endorsed Adams
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Univision 41 Nueva York (WXTV)
- ^ a b c This poll was conducted by Core Decision Analytics, which is working with Garcia's campaign, and was sponsored by the NYC-based lobbying group Fontas Advisors, which is not working on behalf of any candidates
- ^ Hypothetical scenario excluding Stringer
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Hotel Workers for Stronger Communities, which supports Adams for mayor
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Corey Johnson's comptroller campaign committee
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Democrats for Education Reform, a pro-charter schools group
Debates
First debate
The first debate in the Democratic primary was sponsored by the Brooklyn Democratic Party and held on January 31, 2021. Nine candidates met the qualifications to participate in the debate, though former non-profit CEO Dianne Morales boycotted the debate following comments perceived as sinophobic by a former Brooklyn Democratic Party official.[139] Those who participated were Yang, Stringer, Adams, businessman Raymond McGuire, former director of the U.S. OMB Shaun Donovan, former counsel to Bill de Blasio Maya Wiley, Sutton and former commissioner of the NYC Dept. of Sanitation Kathryn Garcia.[140]
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn |
||||||||||||||
Eric Adams | Shaun Donovan | Kathryn Garcia | Raymond McGuire | Carlos Menchaca | Dianne Morales | Scott Stringer | Loree Sutton | Maya Wiley | Andrew Yang | |||||
1[139] | Feb. 1, 2021 | Kings County Democratic Committee |
Errol Louis | Video | P | P | P | P | N | A[a] | P | P | P | P |
2[141] | May 13, 2021 | NYC Votes | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | W | TBA | TBA | W | TBA | TBA | |
3[141] | June 2, 2021 | NYC Votes | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | W | TBA | TBA | W | TBA | TBA | |
4[141] | June 16, 2021 | NYC Votes | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | TBA | W | TBA | TBA | W | TBA | TBA |
Results
Republican primary
Candidates
Major declared candidates
The following candidates have held office, have been included in polls, or have been the subject of significant media coverage.
Candidate | Experience | Announced | Ref |
---|---|---|---|
File:Fernando Mateo Headshot.jpg Fernando Mateo |
Founder of the New York State Federation of Taxi Drivers | February 4, 2021 (Website) |
[142][143] |
Curtis Sliwa |
Founder of Guardian Angels Radio talk show host |
March 8, 2020 (Website) |
[144] |
Failed to qualify for ballot access
- Adam Oremland, attorney and social media personality[145]
- Abbey Laurel-Smith, businessman and perennial candidate[46]
- Bill Pepitone, retired NYPD officer[146]
Withdrawn
- Cleopatra Fitzgerald (running in Democratic primary)
- Sara Tirschwell, CFO of Foundation House (endorsed Curtis Sliwa)[147][148]
Declined
- Nicole Gelinas, fellow at the Manhattan Institute[147]
- Andrew Giuliani, son of former Mayor Rudy Giuliani, and former Special Assistant to the President and Associate Director of the Office of Public Liaison for former U.S. President Donald Trump[149] (running for Governor in 2022)[150]
- Randy Levine, president of the New York Yankees[151]
- Kelly Kennedy Mack, president of Corcoran Sunshine Marketing Group[147]
- Scherie Murray, businessperson, candidate for NY State Assembly in 2015, candidate for NY District 14[152]
- David B. Samadi, urologist[153]
- Eric Ulrich, NYC Councillor[154]
Endorsements
- Party officials
- Andrea Catsimatidis, Chair of the Manhattan Republican Party (2017-present) and socialite[158]
- Organizations
- Organizations
Results
Republican primary results | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Round 1 | ||||||||||
Votes | % | |||||||||||
style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (United States)/meta/color" | | Republican | Fernando Mateo | ||||||||||
style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (United States)/meta/color" | | Republican | Curtis Sliwa | ||||||||||
Total active votes | 100.0% | |||||||||||
Exhausted ballots | - | |||||||||||
Total votes | 100.0% |
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
- Stacey Prussman, activist and comedian[160]
Independent
Candidates
Declared
- Vitaly Filipchenko, small business owner[161]
- Quanda Francis, President of Sykes Capital Management[19][35]
- Christopher Krietchman, founder and CEO of Wellvyl and former owner of Fresh Grill Cafe[162]
See also
- 2021 New York City Public Advocate election
- 2021 New York City Comptroller election
- 2021 New York City Council election
- 2021 New York City borough president elections
- List of mayors of New York City
Notes
References
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{{cite web}}
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