2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries

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2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
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2024 U.S. presidential election
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Presidential primaries and caucuses are being organized by the Democratic Party to select the delegates to the 2024 Democratic National Convention, to determine the party's nominee for president in the 2024 United States presidential election. The elections will take place in all 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, five U.S. territories, and Democrats Abroad, and will be held between February and June that year.[1]

While President Joe Biden has consistently stated that he plans to run for re-election and keep Vice President Kamala Harris as his running mate,[2] he has yet to officially declare his candidacy. Throughout 2022, as Biden was suffering from low approval ratings, there was speculation that he would not seek re-election,[3] and some prominent Democrats have publicly urged Biden not to run.[4][5][6] In addition to Biden's unpopularity, many are concerned about his age; he was the oldest person to assume the office at age 78 and would be 82 at the end of his first term. If re-elected, he would be 86 at the end of his second term.[7] There has also been speculation that Biden may face a primary challenge from a member of the Democratic Party's progressive faction,[8][9] an opinion that has proven to be vindicated with author, progressive activist and 2020 candidate Marianne Williamson declaring a primary challenge in March 2023.[10] However, Biden's approval rating slowly recovered by the end of 2022.[11] Additionally, after Democrats outperformed expectations in the 2022 midterm elections, many believed the chances that Biden would run for and win his party's nomination had increased.[12]

Candidates

Declared major candidates

The candidates in this section have declared their candidacies and received substantial media coverage, hold or have held significant elected office, and/or have been included in at least five national polls.


Name Born Experience Home state Campaign
Announcement date 		Ref

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 		January 17, 1954
(age 70)
Washington, D.C. 		Environmental lawyer
Author and anti-vaccine activist
California
Campaign
April 5, 2023
FEC filing[13] 		[14]

Marianne Williamson 		July 8, 1952
(age 71)
Houston, Texas 		Author
Founder of Project Angel Food
Candidate for President in 2020
California
March 4, 2023
FEC filing[15] 		[10]

Other declared candidates

The candidates in this section are otherwise noteworthy, but have not met the requirements to be considered major candidates.

  • Jerome Segal, research scholar and Bread and Roses Party nominee for president in 2020[16]


Decision pending

As of April 2023, the following notable individuals are expected to make an announcement regarding their official candidacy within a set timeline.

Publicly expressed interest

As of April 2023, the following notable individuals have expressed an interest in running for president within the previous six months.

Potential candidates

As of April 2023, the following notable individuals have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months. Most of these candidates are viewed as potential replacements if President Biden does not seek re-election, while some are viewed as potential primary challenges even if he does.

Declined to be candidates

The following notable individuals have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have publicly denied interest in running.

Vice presidential speculation

On January 19, 2022, Biden confirmed that Harris would be his running mate in 2024 in his likely re-election campaign.[83]

Some Democrats have been skeptical about Biden choosing Harris again as his running mate, as she has also seen similar low approval ratings to Biden. U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren said in a radio interview that she supported Biden's reelection, but stopped short of supporting Harris.[84] She later reverted her decision, saying she supported the Biden-Harris ticket.[85]

Timeline

Marianne Williamson 2024 presidential campaignRobert F. Kennedy Jr. 2024 presidential campaign
Active campaign Exploratory committee Withdrawn candidate
Midterm elections Primaries

Biden declared his intent in January 2022 to run for re-election, keeping vice president Kamala Harris as his running mate.[2] On September 15, he told Scott Pelley in a CBS 60 Minutes interview that he has not yet committed to run.[86] In a private conversation with civil-rights activist Al Sharpton on October 3, he reportedly told Sharpton that he is seeking re-election.[87] On October 11, he told Jake Tapper in an interview on CNN that he would decide whether or not to seek re-election after the 2022 midterm elections.[88]

Throughout 2022, several prominent Democrats publicly urged Biden not to run for a second term. On June 23, shortly after winning the Democratic nomination in the South Carolina gubernatorial race, former U.S. Representative Joe Cunningham told CNN that he believed Biden would be too old by the end of his second term and should not run in 2024. CNN pointed out that Biden had endorsed Cunningham in his 2018 and 2020 campaigns.[5] In July, U.S. Representative Dean Phillips of Minnesota said he believed that Democrats should nominate someone from a younger generation in 2024, and fellow Minnesota Representative Angie Craig agreed with him the following week.[6] On August 1, then-U.S. Representative Carolyn Maloney told The New York Times that she thought Biden should not run in 2024 and that she believed he would not run. She later apologized and said that he should run again, though she reiterated her belief that he would not.[4] In September, U.S. Representative and Ohio U.S. Senate nominee Tim Ryan similarly called for a "generational move" away from Biden during an interview with a local TV station; Forbes Magazine noted that Biden, who had endorsed Ryan, headlined a rally with him just hours after the interview aired.[6]

On February 4, 2023, the Democratic National Committee approved a new 2024 primary calendar, moving South Carolina to hold its race first on February 3, followed by Nevada and New Hampshire on February 6, Georgia on February 13, and Michigan on February 27. Iowa, which traditionally goes first, would then be held later in the primary season. This vote was preceded by a December 2022 vote of the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee, held after a letter from President Biden requesting the change was released.[89] DNC members who supported this new plan say this will give a better representation of Democratic voters' preference during the early months of the campaign. Members of the Iowa Democratic Party and the New Hampshire Democratic Party opposed the move since they would no longer be the first two states to hold their races, respectively. Democratic officials from New Hampshire and Georgia also note that moving their primaries to comply with the new calendar would require changing their respective state laws (New Hampshire state law mandates them to hold the first primary in the country, while Georgia state law requires them to hold both the Democratic and Republican primaries on the same day), which is unlikely to happen since both states have governors and state legislatures controlled by Republicans.[90][91] New Hampshire governor Chris Sununu in particular criticized the DNC's plan as an "absolute joke ... It's just based on a personal preference of a candidate".[92] The DNC has given Georgia and New Hampshire until June to change their primary dates, but it is unclear how they will proceed if these Republican-controlled legislatures fail to change their state laws to comply.[93]

Endorsements

Main article: List of Joe Biden 2024 presidential campaign primary endorsements
Joe Biden[b]
U.S. Cabinet officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Governors
Mayors
Marianne Williamson
State Representatives
  • Maria Perez, New Hampshire Representative, Hillsborough District 43[103]
State Officials
Individuals

Polling

Template:Import-blanktable

Polls with Biden
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Joe
Biden 		Pete
Buttigieg 		Kamala
Harris 		Amy
Klobuchar 		Gavin
Newsom 		Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez 		Bernie
Sanders 		Elizabeth
Warren 		Other/
Undecided[c] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics February 6 – March 23, 2023 March 31, 2023 36.5% 8.8% 10.3% 3.3% 2.7% 3.0% 8.8% 5.0% 21.6% 26.2%
Nationwide polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Stacey
Abrams 		Joe
Biden 		Pete
Buttigieg 		Kamala
Harris 		Amy
Klobuchar 		Gavin
Newsom 		Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez 		Bernie
Sanders 		Elizabeth
Warren 		Other
Big Village March 29–31, 2023 445 (A) – 36% 7% 15% 2% 4% 5% 13% 8% 7%[d]
Harris Poll & HarrisX March 22–23, 2023 2,905 (RV) 2% 41% 5% 11% 2% 3% 3% 7% 4% 10%[e]
Big Village March 15–17, 2023 434 (A) – 33% 5% 17% 5% 5% 6% 15% 7% 4%
McLaughlin & Associates February 17–23, 2023 442 (LV) – 26% 7% 6% 2% 3% 3% 8% 4% 41%[f]
Big Village February 15–17, 2023 437 (A) – 34% 9% 13% 3% 6% 7% 13% 7% 8% [g]
Harris Poll February 15–16, 2023 – 2% 36% 6% 15% 2% 4% 4% 8% 3% 20% [h]
Léger February 10–13, 2023 354 (A) – 25% 10% 10% 1% 6% – 14% 4% 30% [i]
Ipsos February 6–13, 2023 1,786 (RV) – 35% 10% 12% – 5% – 13% 5% 20% [j]
McLaughlin & Associates January 19–24, 2023 442 (LV) – 25% 7% 6% 2% 7% 5% 5% 4% 39%[k]
Big Village January 18–20, 2023 447 (A) – 34% 9% 14% 4% 5% 5% 13% 6% 9%[l]
Harris Poll January 18–19, 2023 – 3% 35% 5% 12% 3% 3% 3% 11% 3% 25%[m]
YouGov January 14–17, 2023 570 (LV) – 40% 10% 9% – 7% – 12% – 22%[n]
YouGov January 14–17, 2023 618 (A) – 39% 10% 8% – 6% – 13% – 24%[o]
YouGov January 5–9, 2023 442 (A) – 31% 11% 9% 4% 6% – 14% 9% 9%[p]
Big Village January 4–6, 2023 477 (A) – 32% 8% 18% 3% 9% 8% 12% 4% 4%[q]
Big Village December 16–18, 2022 466 (A) – 37% 8% 18% 3% 4% 5% 11% 5% 9%[r]
Harris Poll December 14–15, 2022 685 (RV) 3% 36% 6% 10% 3% – 5% 7% 3% 27%[s]
Harris Poll December 14–15, 2022 685 (RV) 3% 36% 6% 10% 3% – 5% 7% 3% 27%[t]
McLaughlin & Associates December 9–14, 2022 455 (RV) – 22% 6% 8% 2% 3% 4% 8% 2% 42%[u]
Marist College December 6–8, 2022 519 (RV) – 35% 16% 17% – – – – – 32%
Big Village November 30 – December 2, 2022 452 (A) – 35% 9% 15% 4% 4% 5% 13% 7% 4%[v]
Cornell University Collaborative Midterm Survey October 26 – November 25, 2022 4,079 (A) – 27% 14% 15% 6% 11% 8% 12% – 7%[w]
Ipsos November 9–21, 2022 569 (LV) 5% 15% 10% 11% 3% 5% 4% 7% 5% 35%[x]
Emerson College November 18–19, 2022 591 (RV) – 42% 9% 17% – 6% – 12% 7% 4%[y]
Big Village November 16–18, 2022 454 (A) – 39% 8% 14% – – – 11% 6% –
Harris Poll November 16–17, 2022 – 3% 35% 6% 13% 3% – 4% 9% 3% 24%[z]
Zogby Analytics November 9–11, 2022 859 (LV) 2% 41% 9% 11% – 10% 6% 13% 9% –
Big Village November 9–10, 2022 446 (A) – 39% 16% 25% – – – 16% – –
November 8, 2022 2022 midterm elections
Big Village November 2–4, 2022 356 (LV) – 42% 19% 19% – – – 16% – –
Big Village November 2–4, 2022 444 (A) – 40% 16% 21% – – – 18% – –
Big Village October 31 – November 2, 2022 378 (LV) – 41% 13% 21% – – – 19% – –
Big Village October 31 – November 2, 2022 488 (A) – 39% 12% 22% – – – 22% – –
YouGov October 11–26, 2022 1,860 (RV) – 42% 14% 14% – 7% 12% – – 1%[aa]
YouGov October 17–19, 2022 – – 29% 13% 9% – – 7% 14% 8% 10%[ab]
McLaughlin & Associates October 12–17, 2022 474 (LV) 3% 27% 4% 9% 1% 3% 3% 8% 2% 40%[ac]
Harris Poll October 12–13, 2022 744 (RV) 3% 37% 6% 13% 1% – 4% 6% 3% 13%[ad]
Big Village October 5–7, 2022 362 (RV) – 44% 15% 17% – – – – 20% –
Big Village October 5–7, 2022 453 (A) – 40% 15% 20% – – – – 21% –
Big Village September 21–23, 2022 397 (RV) – 48% 16% 14% – – – – 15% –
Big Village September 21–23, 2022 434 (A) – 47% 16% 15% – – – – 15% –
McLaughlin & Associates September 17–22, 2022 471 (LV) 4% 27% 5% 6% 1% 2% 3% 7% 2% 43%[ae]
TIPP Insights September 7–9, 2022 596 (RV) 3% 34% 4% 10% 1% 4% 2% 7% 3% 32%[af]
Big Village September 7–9, 2022 492 (A) – 43% 14% 22% – – – – 27% –
Harris Poll September 7–8, 2022 672 (RV) 4% 37% 6% 13% 3% – 3% 8% 2% 12%[ag]
Big Village August 24–26, 2022 487 (A) – 40% 16% 19% – – – – 19% –
McLaughlin & Associates August 20–24, 2022 468 (LV) 3% 23% 5% 8% 1% 5% 1% 6% 3% 45%[ah]
Big Village August 10–12, 2022 465 (A) – 37% 14% 20% – – – – 22% –
TIPP Insights August 2–4, 2022 576 (RV) 4% 30% 4% 8% 1% 6% 3% 8% 4% 32%[ai]
Harris Poll July 27–28, 2022 697 (RV) 4% 31% 5% 12% 3% – 3% 8% 4% 14%[aj]
Harris Poll June 29–30, 2022 484 (RV) 4% 30% 6% 18% 2% – 4% 8% 3% 8%[ak]
McLaughlin & Associates June 17–22, 2022 456 (LV) 5% 23% 5% 5% 2% 2% 6% – – 40%[al]
TIPP Insights June 8–10, 2022 509 (RV) 2% 24% 4% 7% 2% 2% 3% 9% 3% 30%[am]
Polls without Biden
Nationwide polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Stacey
Abrams 		Cory
Booker 		Pete
Buttigieg 		Kamala
Harris 		Amy
Klobuchar 		Joe
Manchin 		Gavin
Newsom 		Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez 		JB
Pritzker 		Bernie
Sanders 		Elizabeth
Warren 		Gretchen
Whitmer 		Other
Big Village March 29–31, 2023 445 (A) – – 11% 28% 4% – 7% 7% – 18% 11% 4% 7%[an]
Echelon Insights March 27–29, 2023 530 (RV) 2% 4% 8% 27% 2% – 9% 6% – – 7% 5% 7%[ao]
Harris Poll & HarrisX March 22–23, 2023 2,905 (RV) 5% – 8% 22% 3% 4% 6% 4% – 10% 8% – 19%[ap]
Big Village March 15–17, 2023 434 (A) – – 7% 31% 4% – 8% 8% – 21% 10% 3% 2%
Yahoo News February 23–27, 2023 450 (LV) – – 12% 25% 5% – 12% – – 12% 8% 5%
Echelon Insights February 21–23, 2023 499 (LV) 3% 5% 14% 27% 5% 0% 6% 6% 1% – 8% 3% 22%[aq]
McLaughlin & Associates February 17–23, 2023 442 (LV) – 3% 11% 11% 3% 2% 5% 5% 0% 9% 6% – 37%[ar]
Big Village February 15–17, 2023 437 (A) – – 11% 27% 5% – 9% 8% 0% 18% 10% 5% 3%[as]
Harris Poll February 15–16, 2023 – 3% – 8% 22% 4% 5% 7% 7% – 12% 3% – 19%[at]
Ipsos February 6–13, 2023 1,786 (RV) – – 15% 27% – – 10% – 0% 18% 8% 4% 3%[au]
Echelon Insights January 23–25, 2023 467 (LV) 4% 4% 11% 23% 4% – 8% 9% 3% – 8% 3% 6[av]
McLaughlin & Associates January 19–24, 2023 442 (LV) – 2% 8% 15% 2% 2% 7% 6% 0% 5% 5% – 34%[aw]
Big Village January 18–20, 2023 447 (A) – – 14% 29% 5% – 8% 6% 0% 19% 8% 4% 3%[ax]
Harris Poll January 18–19, 2023 – 5% – 7% 26% 5% 4% 6% 4% – 12% 5% – 13%[ay]
Big Village January 4–6, 2023 477 (A) – – 11% 30% 5% – 11% 9% 0% 17% 7% 2% 4%[az]
Big Village December 16–18, 2022 466 (A) – – 10% 35% 5% – 7% 6% 0% 16% 8% 3% 19%[ba]
Harris Poll December 14–15, 2022 685 (RV) 3% – 9% 23% 4% 4% – 5% – 11% 5% – 16%[bb]
Echelon Insights December 12–14, 2022 523 (RV) 3% 3% 11% 24% 6% – 5% 5% 3% – 5% 3% 9%[bc]
476 (LV) 3% 3% 12% 26% 5% – 6% 5% 2% – 5% 3% 8%[bd]
McLaughlin & Associates December 9–14, 2022 455 (LV) – 1% 6% 13% 3% 2% 4% 4% 0% 9% 5% – 41%[be]
YouGov December 1–5, 2022 588 (RV) – – 14% 19% – – 10% 6% – 13% 7% 7% –
724 (A) – – 12% 18% – – 9% 7% – 11% 7% 6% –
Big Village November 30 – December 2, 2022 452 (A) – – 13% 32% 6% – 5% 6% 0% 17% 9% 3% 2%[bf]
Echelon Insights November 17–19, 2022 496 (RV) 3% 4% 13% 21% 2% – 6% 7% 0% – 7% 4% 7%[bg]
496 (LV) 2% 4% 12% 23% 4% – 6% 7% 0% – 8% 3% 7%[bh]
Harris Poll November 16–17, 2022 – 4% – 8% 24% 4% 3% – 6% – 11% 6% – 3%[bi]
Zogby Analytics November 9–11, 2022 859 (LV) 5% – 10% 32% – – 6% 10% – 13% 9% – 38%
November 8, 2022 2022 midterm elections
Echelon Insights October 24–26, 2022 475 (LV) 5% 4% 11% 27% 3% – 4% 7% 1% – 6% 1% 11%[bj]
475 (LV) 5% 3% 14% 26% 4% – 6% 5% 1% – 7% 1% 10%[bk]
McLaughlin & Associates October 12–17, 2022 474 (LV) 3% 2% 6% 16% 2% 2% 5% 5% 0% 8% 2% 0% 49%[bl]
Harris Poll October 12–13, 2022 744 (RV) 3% – 10% 25% 2% 4% – 5% – 11% 4% – 20%[bm]
Morning Consult September 23–25, 2022 893 (RV) – 4% 13% 26% 4% – 5% 8% 1% – 7% 1% 3%[bn]
McLaughlin & Associates September 17–22, 2022 471 (LV) 4% 1% 6% 11% 2% 1% 5% 2% 1% 7% 4% 0% 54%[bo]
Echelon Insights September 16–19, 2022 509 (LV) 8% 3% 11% 28% 5% – 6% 7% 1% – 5% 2% 7%[bp]
Harris Poll September 7–8, 2022 672 (RV) 6% – 9% 26% 2% 2% – 5% – 10% 5% – 17%[bq]
McLaughlin & Associates August 20–24, 2022 468 (LV) 4% 2% 6% 15% 2% 2% 4% 2% 0% 7% 5% 2% 49%[br]
Echelon Insights August 19–22, 2022 515 (RV) 6% 3% 12% 22% 2% – 6% 9% 0% – 5% 2% 8%[bs]
505 (LV) 7% 4% 14% 21% 3% – 6% 5% 0% – 6% 2% 8%[bt]
Harris Poll July 27–28, 2022 697 (RV) 5% – 8% 23% 4% 4% – 5% – 8% 4% – 4%[bu]
Suffolk University July 22–25, 2022 440 (RV) – – 16% 18% 11% – 8% 10% – 18% – – 8%[bv]
Echelon Insights July 15–18, 2022 500 (RV) 7% 4% 10% 27% 3% 0% 7% 5% 2% – 7% 1% 8%[bw]
493 (LV) 6% 5% 13% 26% 3% 0% 7% 5% 2% – 7% 1% 7%[bx]
Harris Poll June 29–30, 2022 484 (RV) 4% – 6% 25% 4% 1% – 4% – 12% 6% – 14%[by]
McLaughlin & Associates June 17–22, 2022 456 (LV) 6% 3% 8% 13% 3% 2% 3% 7% 0% – – – 40%[bz]
Echelon Insights June 17–20, 2022 489 (RV) 5% 5% 11% 30% 3% 0% 5% 6% 2% – 6% 2% 6%[ca]
484 (LV) 6% 6% 12% 27% 4% 0% 5% 7% 1% – 6% 2% 7%[cb]
Polls taken between 2020 and June 2022
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[cc] 		Stacey
Abrams 		Cory
Booker 		Pete
Buttigieg 		Andrew
Cuomo 		Kamala
Harris 		Amy
Klobuchar 		Gavin
Newsom 		Michelle
Obama 		Beto
O'Rourke 		Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez 		Bernie
Sanders 		Elizabeth
Warren 		Andrew
Yang 		Other Undecided
Zogby Analytics May 23–24, 2022 554 (LV) 5% – – – 19% – 5% 21% – – 8% 4% – 28%[cd] 10%
Echelon Insights May 20–23, 2022 474 (LV) 7% 7% 12% – 30% 2% 4% – – 4% – 5% – 8%[ce] 21%
480 (RV) 7% 5% 11% – 31% 2% 3% – – 8% – 5% – 8%[cf] 20%
Harvard/Harris May 18–19, 2022 – 3% – 7% – 19% 3% – – – 4% 10% 4% – 20%[cg] 28%
McLaughlin & Associates April 22–26, 2022 463 (LV) 6% 3% 9% 2% 17% 4% 2% 23% 1% 4% – – – 13%[ch] 17%
Harvard/Harris April 20–21, 2022 727 (RV) 5% – 8% – 31% 3% – – – 6% 10% 5% – 18%[ci] 14%
Echelon Insights April 18–20, 2022 469 (RV) 5% 6% 10% – 31% 3% 1% – – 6% – 6% – 11%[cj] 19%
456 (LV) 6% 7% 11% – 30% 4% 1% – – 5% – 6% – 10%[ck] 20%
Harvard/Harris March 23–24, 2022 740 (RV) 6% – 8% – 28% 4% – – – 4% 9% 4% – 18%[cl] 19%
Echelon Insights March 18–21, 2022 472 (LV) 6% 4% 9% – 26% 5% 2% – – 7% – 8% – 9%[cm] 24%
490 (LV) 6% 4% 11% – 26% 6% 2% – – 6% – 8% – 7%[cn] 22%
McLaughlin & Associates March 17–22, 2022 466 (LV) 5% 3% 7% 1% 18% 2% 2% 20% 3% 6% – – – 15%[co] 18%
Harvard/Harris February 23–24, 2022 750 (RV) 5% – 8% – 29% 3% – – – 5% 9% 6% – 18%[cp] 17%
Echelon Insights February 19–23, 2022 543 (RV) 8% 6% 9% – 29% 3% 2% – – 10% – 6% – 8%[cq] 21%
McLaughlin & Associates February 16–22, 2022 453 (LV) 6% 4% 10% 1% 15% 2% 4% 22% 3% 6% – – – 16%[cr] 13%
Echelon Insights January 21–23, 2022 477 (RV) 6% 5% 12% – 30% 3% 2% – – 5% – 8% – 8%[cs] 21%
Harvard/Harris January 19–20, 2022 672 (RV) 6% – 7% – 23% 2% – – – 6% 12% 7% – 20%[ct] 17%
McLaughlin & Associates January 13–18, 2022 463 (LV) 6% 4% 6% 2% 16% 3% 2% 22% 2% 9% – – – 13%[cu] 15%
Morning Consult December 11–13, 2021 916 (RV) – 5% 11% – 31% 3% 3% – – 8% – 8% – 3%[cv] 16%
Echelon Insights December 9–13, 2021 479 (RV) 5% 6% 7% – 33% 3% 1% – – 5% 14% 8% – 6%[cw] 8%
Harvard/Harris November 30 – December 2, 2021 1,989 (RV) 5% 5% 8% – 31% 5% – – – 7% 15% 7% – 16%[cx] –
Hill-HarrisX November 18–19, 2021 939 (RV) 4% 3% 5% – 26% 3% 4% 15% 2% 5% 7% 2% 1% 8%[cy] 16%
Echelon Insights November 12–18, 2021 458 (LV) 6% 6% 8% – 29% 2% 2% – – 5% 16% 6% – 1%[cz] 16%
McLaughlin & Associates November 11–16, 2021 450 (LV) 5% 3% 8% 2% 22% 5% – 23% 3% 5% – – – 29% –
YouGov/Yahoo News October 19–21, 2021 671 (A) 7% – 9% – 22% – – – – 7% 12% 8% – 4%[da] 31%
Echelon Insights October 15–19, 2021 533 (LV) 5% 4% 9% – 23% 4% 3% – – 5% 16% 6% – 3%[db] 20%
McLaughlin & Associates October 14–18, 2021 473 (LV) 5% 3% 9% 2% 29% 3% 2% 18% 3% 7% – – – 7%[dc] 14%
McLaughlin & Associates September 9–14, 2021 476 (LV) 5% 4% 7% 2% 29% 3% 2% 17% 3% 7% – – – 3%[dd] 17%
Echelon Insights August 13–18, 2021 514 (RV) 6% 6% 11% – 33% 2% 2% – 2% 8% – 5% 2% 5%[de] 18%
McLaughlin & Associates July 29 – August 3, 2021 467 (LV) 4% 5% 8% 4% 28% 2% 2% 16% 2% 7% – – 4% 4%[df] 14%
YouGov/Yahoo News July 30 – August 2, 2021 697 (A) 4% – 6% – 44% – – – – 4% 10% 6% – 18%[dg] 20%
McLaughlin & Associates June 16–20, 2021 463 (LV) 5% 3% 4% 2% 31% 3% 1% 19% 3% 5% – – 3% 5%[dh] 16%
McLaughlin & Associates May 12–18, 2021 459 (LV) 4% 4% 6% 1% 35% 3% 2% 16% 2% 7% – – 2% 7%[di] 13%
Trafalgar Group Apr 30 – May 6, 2021 – (LV)[dj] – – 9% – 41% 5% – – 4% 8% – – 3% 29%[dk] –
McLaughlin & Associates Apr 8–13, 2021 458 (LV) – 4% 5% 2% 34% 4% 2% 20% 2% 3% – – 4% 7%[dl] 12%
McLaughlin & Associates Feb 24–28, 2021 443 (LV) – 4% 7% 1% 28% 3% – 23% 2% 8% – – 4% 6%[dm] 14%
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
McLaughlin & Associates Dec 9–13, 2020 445 (LV) – 3% 5% 5% 25% 2% – 29% – 7% – – – 8%[dn] 18%
McLaughlin & Associates/Newsmax Nov 21–23, 2020 445 (LV) – 2% 6% 5% 29% 2% – 23% – 6% – – – 5%[do] 23%
November 3, 2020 2020 presidential election
McLaughlin & Associates Nov 2–3, 2020 461 (LV) – 2% 8% 8% 18% – – 25% – 6% – – – 6%[dp] 28%
Léger Aug 4–7, 2020 1,007 (LV) 6% 7% 14% 20% 13% 6% 8% – 6% 9% 6% – 14% 4%[dq]
390 (LV) 6% 6% 16% 21% 19% 6% – – 6% 9% – – 8% 3%[dr] –

Head-to-head polling

Joe Biden vs. Marianne Williamson
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Joe
Biden 		Marianne
Williamson 		Other
Echelon Insights March 27–29, 2023 370 (LV) 73% 10% 17%
Morning Consult March 3–5, 2023 826 (LV) 77% 4% 9%
Joe Biden vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Joe
Biden 		Kamala
Harris 		Other
Yahoo! News Survey/You Gov February 23–27, 2023 1,516 (LV) 53% 22% 25%

See also

Notes

  1. ^ 2,260 of 4,518 delegates needed to win any subsequent ballots at a contested convention. As of May 2024, the number of extra unpledged delegates (superdelegates), who after the first ballot at a contested convention participate in any subsequently needed nominating ballots (together with the 3,770 pledged delegates), is expected to be 744, but the exact number of superdelegates is still subject to change due to possible deaths, resignations, accessions, or potential election as a pledged delegate.
  2. ^ Has not formally declared their candidacy
  3. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. ^ Whitmer with 3%; Williamson and Shapiro with 1%
  5. ^ Hillary Clinton with 6%; Joe Manchin with 2%; Andrew Cuomo and Marianne Williamson with 1%
  6. ^ Michelle Obama with 14%; Hillary Clinton with 4%; Beto O'Rourke, Phil Murphy and Cory Booker with 2%; Manchin, Kaine, Hickenlooper, Gillibrand, Steyer and Polis with 1%; Adams and Patrick with 0%
  7. ^ Gretchen Whitmer with 4%; Josh Shapiro with 1%
  8. ^ Hillary Clinton with 8%; Andrew Cuomo with 2%; Manchin with 1%
  9. ^ Cory Booker with 6%; Gretchen Whitmer with 2%
  10. ^ Gretchen Whitmer with 3%; Josh Shapiro with 2%
  11. ^ Michelle Obama with 14%; Hillary Clinton with 6%; O'Rourke and Polis with 2%; Booker, Manchin, Kaine and Gillibrand with 1%; Phil Murphy, Adams, Hickenlooper, Patrick, Steyer and Markle with 0%
  12. ^ Gretchen Whitmer and Josh Shapiro with 3%
  13. ^ Hillary Clinton with 8%; Manchin and Cuomo with 1%
  14. ^ Gretchen Whitmer with 3%
  15. ^ Gretchen Whitmer with 3%
  16. ^ Gretchen Whitmer with 5%; Raphael Warnock with 4%
  17. ^ Josh Shapiro with 2%; Whitmer with 1%
  18. ^ Gretchen Whitmer with 2%; Shapiro with 1%
  19. ^ Hillary Clinton with 7%; Michael Bloomberg with 3%; Joe Manchin and Andrew Cuomo with 2%
  20. ^ Hillary Clinton with 7%; Michael Bloomberg with 3%; Joe Manchin and Andrew Cuomo with 2%
  21. ^ Michelle Obama with 18%; Hillary Clinton with 6%; O'Rourke with 3%; Booker with 2%; Winfrey and Manchin with 1%; Phil Murphy, Kaine, Adams, Hickenlooper, Patrick, Gillibrand, Steyer and Polis with 0%
  22. ^ Gretchen Whitmer with 3%; Shapiro with 1%
  23. ^ Hillary Clinton with 7%
  24. ^ Gretchen Whitmer with 3%; Polis with 1%; Cooper with 0%
  25. ^ Gretchen Whitmer and Jared Polis with 2%
  26. ^ Hillary Clinton with 6%; Joe Manchin and Michael Bloomberg with 2%
  27. ^ Hochul with 1%
  28. ^ Hillary Clinton with 10%
  29. ^ Michelle Obama with 12%; Hillary Clinton and O'Rourke with 5%; Winfrey and Booker with 2%; McConaughey, Manchin, Cuomo, Phil Murphy and Adams with 1%; Kaine, Hickenlooper, Patrick, Gillibrand, Steyer and Polis with 0%
  30. ^ Hillary Clinton with 9%; Michael Bloomberg and Joe Manchin with 2%
  31. ^ Michelle Obama with 16%; Hillary Clinton with 6%; Beto O'Rourke with 3%; Matthew McConaughey with 2%; Booker, Winfrey, Manchin, Kaine, Hickenlooper, Steyer and Polis with 1%; Cuomo, Murphy, Adams, Patrick and Gillibrand with 0%
  32. ^ Michelle Obama with 11%; Hillary Clinton with 5%; Kennedy, Whitmer, Booker, Pritzker, Adams, Manchin, Bennet, Inslee and Lujan Grisham with 1%; Gabbard with 0%
  33. ^ Hillary Clinton with 7%; Michael Bloomberg with 3%; Joe Manchin with 2%
  34. ^ Michelle Obama with 13%; Hillary Clinton with 6%; Beto O'Rourke with 4%; Cory Booker and Joe Manchin with 2%; Winfrey, McConaughey, Cuomo, Murphy and Adams, Hickenlooper, Gillibrand and Steyer with 1%; Kaine and Polis with 0%
  35. ^ Michelle Obama with 10%; Hillary Clinton with 5%; Cory Booker with 3%; Gretchen Whitmer and Kennedy with 2%; Pritzker and Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Lujan Grisham, Manchin, Inslee and Adams with 0%
  36. ^ Hillary Clinton with 9%; Joe Manchin with 3%; Michael Bloomberg with 2%
  37. ^ Hillary Clinton with 6%; Manchin and Bloomberg with 1%
  38. ^ Michelle Obama with 18%; Hillary Clinton with 5%; Beto O'Rourke with 4%; Cory Booker with 3%; Oprah Winfrey with 2%; Manchin, McConaughey, Cuomo, Murphy, Kaine and Adams with 1%; Hickenlooper, Patrick, Gillibrand and Steyer with 0%
  39. ^ Michelle Obama with 14%; Hillary Clinton with 6%; Cory Booker with 3%; Kennedy, Whitmer, Bennet, Lujan Grisham and Gabbard with 1%; Manchin, Inslee and Pritzker with 0%
  40. ^ Marianne Williamson with 3%; and Josh Shapiro with 4%
  41. ^ Marianne Williamson with 4%; and Roy Cooper, Phil Murphy, and Rapheal Warnock with 1%
  42. ^ Hillary Clinton with 13%; Andrew Cuomo with 2%; Marianne Williamson with 1%
  43. ^ Raphael Warnock with 2%; Beshear, Cooper and Raimondo on 0%
  44. ^ Michelle Obama with 19%; Hillary Clinton with 6%; Beto O'Rourke with 3%; Phil Murphy with 1%; Gillibrand, Adams, Patrick, Hickenlooper, Steyer, and Polis with 1%; Kaine with 0%
  45. ^ Josh Shapiro with 3%
  46. ^ Hillary Clinton with 16%; Andrew Cuomo with 3%
  47. ^ Josh Shapiro with 3%
  48. ^ Raimondo, Polis and Warnock with 1%; Beshear, Cooper, Murphy, Adams and Landrieu with 0%
  49. ^ Michelle Obama with 15%; Hillary Clinton with 8%; Beto O'Rourke with 3%; Gillibrand, Adams, Patrick, Murphy, Hickenlooper, Steyer, Markle and Polis with 1%; Kaine with 0%
  50. ^ Josh Shapiro with 3%
  51. ^ Hillary Clinton with 11%; Andrew Cuomo with 2%
  52. ^ Josh Shapiro with 4%
  53. ^ Hillary Clinton with 14%; Josh Shapiro with 3%; Andrew Cuomo with 2%
  54. ^ Hillary Clinton with 14%; Andrew Cuomo with 2%
  55. ^ Raphael Warnock with 3%; Beshear, Raimondo, Murphy, Adams and Polis with 1%; Landrieu and Cooper with 0%
  56. ^ Raphael Warnock with 2%; Cooper, Murphy, Polis and Adams with 1%; Beshear, Landrieu and Raimondo with 0%
  57. ^ Michelle Obama with 21%; Hillary Clinton with 8%; Beto O'Rourke with 4%; Oprah Winfrey with 3%; Kaine and Gillibrand with 1%; Adams, Patrick, Murphy, Hickenlooper, Steyer and Polis with 0%
  58. ^ Josh Shapiro with 2%
  59. ^ Phil Murphy with 2%; Beshear and Warnock with 1%; Sinema, Cooper, Landrieu, Raimondo, Adams and Polis with 0%
  60. ^ Phil Murphy with 2%; Beshear and Warnock with 1%; Sinema, Cooper, Landrieu, Raimondo, Adams and Polis with 0%
  61. ^ Michael Bloomberg with 3%
  62. ^ Andy Beshear with 3%; Raphael Warnock with 2%; Sinema, Cooper, Landrieu, Murphy and Adams with 1%; Raimondo and Polis with 0%
  63. ^ Andy Beshear and Raphael Warnock with 2%; Sinema, Cooper and Adams with 1%; Landrieu, Raimondo, Murphy and Polis with 0%
  64. ^ Michelle Obama with 17%; Hillary Clinton with 6%; Beto O'Rourke with 5%; Oprah Winfrey and Andrew Cuomo with 2%; McConaughey, Polis, Patrick, Hickenlooper and Steyer with 1%; Adams, Kaine, Murphy and Gillibrand with 0%
  65. ^ Hillary Clinton with 17%; Michael Bloomberg with 3%
  66. ^ Adams and Raimondo with 1%; Cooper with 0%
  67. ^ Michelle Obama with 18%; Hillary Clinton with 11%; Beto O'Rourke with 5%; Oprah Winfrey with 3%; Matthew McConaughey and Jared Polis with 2%; Adams, Cuomo, Murphy, Gillibrand, Patrick, Hickenlooper and Steyer with 1%; Omar with 0%
  68. ^ Murphy, Polis and Warnock with 1%; Raimondo, Beshear, Sinema, Cooper and Landrieu with 0%
  69. ^ Hillary Clinton with 14%; Michael Bloomberg with 3%
  70. ^ Michelle Obama with 16%; Hillary Clinton with 7%; Beto O'Rourke with 3%; Tim Kaine, Oprah Winfrey and Matthew McConaughey with 2%; Adams, Cuomo, Murphy, Gillibrand and Steyer with 1%; Patrick, Hickenlooper, Omar and Polis with 1%
  71. ^ Phil Murphy and Kyrsten Sinema with 2%; Beshear, Adams, Polis and Warnock with 1%; Cooper, Landrieu and Raimondo with 0%
  72. ^ Phil Murphy with 2%; Beshear, Sinema, Adams, Polis and Warnock with 1%; Cooper, Landrieu and Raimondo with 0%
  73. ^ Michael Bloomberg with 4%
  74. ^ Hillary Clinton with 8%
  75. ^ Raphael Warnock with 2%; Murphy, Adams, Raimondo and Polis with 1%; Beshear, Sinema, Cooper and Landrieu with 0%
  76. ^ Murphy, Adams, Polis and Warnock with 1%; Beshear, Sinema, Cooper, Landrieu and Raimondo with 0%
  77. ^ Michael Bloomberg with 3%
  78. ^ Michelle Obama with 19%; Hillary Clinton with 7%; Beto O'Rourke with 4%; Oprah Winfrey and Matthew McConaughey with 2%; Adams, Kaine, Patrick, Cuomo and Murphy with 1%; Gillibrand, Hickenlooper and Steyer with 0%
  79. ^ Sinema, Murphy and Warnock with 1%; Beshear, Raimondo, Adams, Polis, Cooper and Landrieu with 0%
  80. ^ Kyrsten Sinema, Phil Murphy and Raphael Warnock with 1%; Beshear, Raimondo, Adams, Polis, Cooper and Landrieu with 0%
  81. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  82. ^ Hillary Clinton with 21%; Jill Biden with 7%
  83. ^ Whitmer, Cooper, Raimondo and Pritzker with 1%; Beshear, Sinema, Landrieu, Murphy, Adams, Polis and Warnock with 0%
  84. ^ Whitmer, Cooper, Raimondo and Pritzker with 1%; Beshear, Sinema, Landrieu, Murphy, Adams, Polis and Warnock with 0%
  85. ^ Hillary Clinton with 10%; Joe Manchin with 6%; Michael Bloomberg with 4%
  86. ^ Hillary Clinton with 9%; Eric Adams, Tim Kaine, Joe Manchin, and Tom Steyer with 1%; Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Phil Murphy, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 0%
  87. ^ Hillary Clinton with 14%; Joe Manchin with 4%
  88. ^ Tulsi Gabbard with 2%; Whitmer, Manchin, Cooper and Murphy with 1%; Beshear, Sinema, Landrieu, Adams, Polis, Raimondo and Pritzker with 0%
  89. ^ Tulsi Gabbard with 2%; Whitmer, Manchin, Cooper and Murphy with 1%; Beshear, Sinema, Landrieu, Adams, Polis, Raimondo and Pritzker with 0%
  90. ^ Hillary Clinton with 15%; Joe Manchin with 3%
  91. ^ Eric Adams with 2%; Whitmer, Cooper, Raimondo, Murphy, Pritzker and Polis with 1%; Landrieu, Beshear, Raimondo and Sinema with 0%
  92. ^ Whitmer, Cooper and Adams with 1%; Sinema, Beshear, Landrieu, Raimondo, Pritzker, Murphy and Polis with 0%
  93. ^ Hillary Clinton with 7%; Joe Manchin and Tom Steyer with 2%; Eric Adams, Tim Kaine, and Deval Patrick with 1%; Kirsten Gillibrand and Ilhan Omar with 0%
  94. ^ Hillary Clinton with 13%; Joe Manchin with 5%
  95. ^ Roy Cooper with 2%; Beshear, Sinema, Raimondo and Murphy with 1%; Landrieu, Whitmer, Pritzker and Adams with 0%
  96. ^ Hillary Clinton with 9%; John Hickenlooper and Joe Manchin with 2%; Tim Kaine, Deval Patrick, and Tom Steyer with 1%; Eric Adams, Kirsten Gillibrand, and Ilhan Omar with 0%
  97. ^ Beshear, Whitmer, Sinema, Cooper, Landrieu, Raimondo, Pritzker and Adams with 1%; Murphy with 0%
  98. ^ Hillary Clinton with 17%; Joe Manchin with 3%
  99. ^ Hillary Clinton with 9%; Joe Manchin with 2%; Eric Adams and John Hickenlooper with 1%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Tim Kaine, Ilhan Omar, Deval Patrick, and Tom Steyer with 0%
  100. ^ Cooper, Adams and Raimondo with 3%
  101. ^ Joe Manchin and Gretchen Whitmer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; Beshear and Sinema with 0%
  102. ^ Gretchen Whitmer with 2%; Other/Don't know with 14%
  103. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Michael Bloomberg with 2%; Sherrod Brown, Gretchen Whitmer, and Katie Porter with 1%
  104. ^ Joe Manchin with 1%; "Someone else", Andy Beshear, Tulsi Gabbard, Kyrsten Sinema and Gretchen Whitmer with 0%
  105. ^ Sherrod Brown with 4%
  106. ^ "Someone else", Tulsi Gabbard and Joe Manchin with 1%; Andy Beshear, Kyrsten Sinema and Gretchen Whitmer with 0%
  107. ^ Joe Manchin with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine, Deval Patrick and Tom Steyer with 1%; Ilhan Omar with 0%
  108. ^ Kirsten Gillibrand, Deval Patrick and Tom Steyer with 1%; John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine and Ilhan Omar with 0%
  109. ^ Besehar, Whitmer, Gabbard and Gillibrand with 1%; Sinema with 0%
  110. ^ John Hickenlooper with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand and Tim Kaine with 1%; Ilhan Omar with 0%
  111. ^ Sherrod Brown with 2%
  112. ^ John Hickenlooper with 2%; Tim Kaine, Deval Patrick and Ilhan Omar with 1%
  113. ^ Tim Kaine and Deval Patrick with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper and Ilhan Omar with 1%
  114. ^ Democratic subsample of full sample of 1,574 likely voters
  115. ^ "Someone else" with 26%; Julian Castro with 2%; John Bel Edwards with 1%
  116. ^ Kirsten Gillibrand and John Hickenlooper 2%; Tim Kaine, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%
  117. ^ John Hickenlooper with 2%; Tim Kaine, Kirsten Gillibrand, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%; Gavin Newsom with 0%
  118. ^ John Hickenlooper with 3%; Tim Kaine with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Ilhan Omar and Deval Patrick with 1%
  119. ^ Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%
  120. ^ John Hickenlooper with 3%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Tim Kaine and Deval Patrick with 1%
  121. ^ Kirsten Gillibrand with 4%
  122. ^ Kirsten Gillibrand with 3%

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External links

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