2018 United States Senate election in New York
Appearance
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Turnout | 47.99% | |||||||||||||||||||
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Gillibrand: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Farley: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in New York State |
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The 2018 United States Senate election in New York took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand was re-elected to a second full term, defeating Republican Chele Chiavacci Farley with over 67% of the vote. Gillibrand carried a majority of the state's counties and 26 of the state's 27 congressional districts, including five that elected Republicans the same night.
Democratic primary
Kirsten Gillibrand ran unopposed in the primary and automatically became the Democratic nominee.
Candidates
Nominee
- Kirsten Gillibrand, incumbent U.S. Senator[1][2]
Failed to file
Declined
- Chelsea Clinton, daughter of former senator Hillary Clinton[5]
- Andrew Cuomo, incumbent New York Governor
- Caroline Kennedy, former United States Ambassador to Japan, daughter of former president John F. Kennedy and member of the Kennedy family[6]
- Andrew Yang, entrepreneur (ran for Democratic presidential nomination in 2020)[7]
Republican primary
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/a7/Chele_Farley_for_Senate.png/220px-Chele_Farley_for_Senate.png)
The Republican Party had nominated private equity executive Chele Chiavacci Farley.[8]
Candidates
Nominee
- Chele Chiavacci Farley, private equity executive[9]
Failed to file
- Rocky De La Fuente, businessman and perennial candidate[4]
- Patrick John Hahn, civic activist[4]
- Rafael Arden Jones Sr.[4]
- David A. Webber[4]
Declined
- Chris Gibson, former U.S. Representative[10]
- Joseph Holland, former Commissioner of the Department of Housing and Community Renewal[11] (running for Governor)
General election
Endorsements
Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
- Individuals
- Amy Schumer, actress[12]
- Organizations
- AFL-CIO[13]
- CSEA[14]
- EMILY's List[15]
- End Citizens United[16]
- Giffords[17]
- Human Rights Campaign[18]
- National Organization for Women[19]
- Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund[20]
- New York State United Teachers[21]
- PSC (Professional Staff Congress) CUNY[22]
- Sierra Club[23]
- Working Families[24]
- Newspapers
Chele Farley (R)
- U.S. President
- U.S. Senators
- Al D'Amato, former U.S. Senator (R-NY)[31]
- U.S. Representatives
- Chris Collins, U.S. Representative (R-NY-27)[32]
- Dan Donovan, U.S. Representative (R-NY-11)[33]
- John Faso, U.S. Representative (R-NY-19)[34]
- John Katko, U.S. Representative (R-NY-24)[35]
- Peter King, U.S. Representative (R-NY-2)[36]
- Tom Reed, U.S. Representative (R-NY-23)[37]
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative (R-NY-21)[38]
- Claudia Tenney, U.S. Representative (R-NY-22)[39]
- Lee Zeldin, U.S. Representative (R-NY-1)[40]
- Governors
- Mike Huckabee, former Governor of Arkansas[41]
- George Pataki, former Governor of New York[42]
- Individuals
- Rudy Giuliani, former Mayor of New York City[43]
- Sean Hannity, conservative talk radio host and host of Hannity[44]
- Organizations
- Crown Heights PAC[45]
- Newspapers
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[48] | Safe D | October 26, 2018 |
Inside Elections[49] | Safe D | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[50] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[51] | Likely D | July 9, 2018 |
CNN[52] | Safe D | July 12, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[53] | Safe D | June 7, 2018 |
†Highest rating given
Polling
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Chele Chiavacci Farley (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 60% | 32% | – | 8% |
Siena College | October 28 – November 1, 2018 | 641 | ± 3.9% | 58% | 35% | 0% | 8% |
Quinnipiac University | October 10–16, 2018 | 852 | ± 4.4% | 58% | 33% | 0% | 8% |
Siena College | September 20–27, 2018 | 701 | ± 3.9% | 61% | 29% | 0% | 9% |
Liberty Opinion Research (R-Reform Party) | August 29–30, 2018 | 2,783 | ± 1.9% | 51% | 36% | – | 13% |
Quinnipiac University | July 12–16, 2018 | 934 | ± 4.1% | 57% | 30% | 1% | 10% |
Siena College | June 4–7, 2018 | 745 | ± 3.7% | 61% | 28% | 0% | 8% |
Quinnipiac University | April 26 – May 1, 2018 | 1,076 | ± 3.7% | 58% | 23% | 1% | 16% |
Siena College | April 8–12, 2018 | 692 | ± 4.3% | 58% | 27% | 0% | 13% |
Siena College | March 11–16, 2018 | 772 | ± 4.0% | 60% | 24% | 0% | 14% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kirsten Gillibrand | 3,755,489 | 62.02% | −4.36% | |
Working Families | Kirsten Gillibrand | 160,128 | 2.64% | −1.12% | |
Independence | Kirsten Gillibrand | 99,325 | 1.64% | −0.43% | |
Women's Equality | Kirsten Gillibrand | 41,989 | 0.69% | N/A | |
Total | Kirsten Gillibrand (incumbent) | 4,056,931 | 67.00% | −5.21% | |
Republican | Chele Chiavacci Farley | 1,730,439 | 28.58% | +5.86% | |
Conservative | Chele Chiavacci Farley | 246,171 | 4.07% | +0.46% | |
Reform | Chele Chiavacci Farley | 21,610 | 0.35% | N/A | |
Total | Chele Chiavacci Farley | 1,998,220 | 33.00% | +6.66% | |
Total votes | 6,055,151 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Cattaraugus (largest municipality: Olean)
- Chautauqua (largest municipality: Jamestown)
- Chemung (largest municipality: Elmira)
- Chenango (largest municipality: Norwich)
- Delaware (largest municipality: Sidney)
- Essex (largest municipality: Ticonderoga)
- Fulton (largest municipality: Gloversville)
- Genesee (largest municipality: Batavia)
- Greene (largest municipality: Catskill)
- Hamilton (largest municipality: Long Lake)
- Herkimer (largest municipality: German Flatts)
- Jefferson (largest municipality: Le Ray)
- Lewis (largest municipality: Lowville)
- Livingston (largest municipality: Geneseo)
- Madison (largest municipality: Oneida)
- Montgomery (largest municipality: Amsterdam)
- Niagara (largest municipality: Niagara Falls)
- Orleans (largest municipality: Albion)
- Oswego (largest municipality: Oswego)
- Putnam (largest municipality: Lake Carmel)
- Steuben (largest municipality: Corning)
- Schoharie (largest municipality: Cobleskill)
- Schuyler (largest municipality: Watkins Glen)
- Tioga (largest municipality: Waverly)
- Wayne (largest municipality: Newark)
- Yates (largest municipality: Penn Yan)
References
- ^ Madina Toure (December 4, 2016). "Gillibrand Wants More Federal Funds to Protect Religious Institutions". Observer. Retrieved February 20, 2018.
- ^ "Gillibrand accepts nomination for another term, promises to serve all of it". Politico.com. February 16, 2018. Retrieved February 20, 2018.
- ^ "DR SCOTT NOREN FOR US SENATE - committee overview". Retrieved March 16, 2018.
- ^ a b c d e "Filings received for the June 26, 2018 Federal Primary Election". NY Board of Elections. April 12, 2018. Archived from the original on May 4, 2016. Retrieved June 26, 2018.
- ^ Beavers, Olivia (March 29, 2017). "Chelsea Clinton dismisses rumors she'll run for public office: report". The Hill. Retrieved March 18, 2023.
- ^ Oppenheimer, Jerry (January 22, 2017). "Could Caroline Kennedy be the baggage-free Hillary Clinton?". New York Post. Retrieved January 24, 2017.
- ^ Bernstein, Jonathan (February 16, 2018). "The 2020 Democratic Primary Is Already Out of Hand". www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ Jimmy Vielkind (March 2, 2018). "Republicans nominate Chele Farley to make their case against Gillibrand". Politico. Retrieved March 20, 2018.
- ^ Zremski, Jerry (February 2, 2018). "GOP fundraiser Chele Chiavacci Farley to run against Gillibrand". The Buffalo News. Retrieved February 2, 2018.
- ^ Hamilton, Matthew (October 1, 2017). "Gibson talks book, Trump". Times Union. Retrieved February 20, 2018.
- ^ Lovett, Kenneth (January 7, 2018). "George Pataki aide considers run against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand". New York Daily News. Retrieved January 10, 2018.
- ^ @amyschumer (October 23, 2018). "Tweet" (Tweet) – via Twitter. [dead link]
- ^ "New York State AFL-CIO Announces the Endorsement of Senator Kirsten Gillibrand and Endorsements In Congressional Races". New York State AFL-CIO. August 21, 2018.
- ^ "CSEA's 2018 Endorsements". cseany.org.
- ^ "EMILY's List Endorses Nine Democratic Women Senators for Re-Election in 2018". EMILY's List. February 10, 2017. Retrieved February 13, 2017.
- ^ Tiffany Muller (February 13, 2018). "Gillibrand Pledges to Reject Corporate PAC Money; End Citizens United Endorses Re-election". End Citizens United.
- ^ "RELEASE: Giffords Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Senate in New York". Giffords. August 17, 2018. Archived from the original on November 5, 2018. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- ^ "HRC Endorses New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand for Re-Election". Human Rights Campaign. Archived from the original on March 7, 2018. Retrieved December 15, 2018.
- ^ "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees". nowpac.org. August 23, 2017. Archived from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
- ^ "NRDC Action Fund announces first wave of 2018 Senate endorsements". www.nrdcactionfund.org. January 5, 2018.
- ^ 2018 Final Endorsements Retrieved February 20, 2023
- ^ tbrown (September 6, 2018). "PSC Endorsements 2018". PSC CUNY. Archived from the original on December 15, 2018. Retrieved December 15, 2018.
- ^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club Voter Guide. July 16, 2012.
- ^ "New York". Working Families.
- ^ The Editorial Board (October 16, 2018). "amNewYork endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Senate". amNewYork.
- ^ "Newsday endorses Gillibrand for Senate". Newsday.
- ^ Board, Daily News Editorial (November 2018). "Vote for Gillibrand: New York's junior senator deserves reelection - NY Daily News". nydailynews.com.
- ^ Editorial Board (November 2018). "Editorial endorsement: Kirsten Gillibrand for U.S. Senate". syracuse.com.
- ^ "Endorsement: Gillibrand has right stuff for Senate". Glens Falls Post-Star. October 7, 2018.
- ^ McPherson, Lindsey (August 14, 2018). "Trump Touts New York GOP Senate Candidate at Fundraiser for Vulnerable House Republican" – via www.rollcall.com.
- ^ Lovett, Kenneth (April 9, 2018). "LOVETT: Al D'Amato blasts former pal Kirsten Gillibrand, says she 'doesn't care two s--ts in a bucket' about New Yorkers". New York Daily News.
- ^ Whalen, Ryan (July 26, 2018). "Rep. Collins Endorses Farley For U.S. Senate". NY State of Politics. Archived from the original on August 7, 2018. Retrieved August 6, 2018.
- ^ "Dan Donovan Endorses Chele Farley for US Senate". Chele Farley for US Senate. May 18, 2018. Archived from the original on August 6, 2018. Retrieved August 6, 2018.
- ^ Reisman, Nick (May 1, 2018). "Faso For Farley". NY State of Politics. Archived from the original on May 4, 2018. Retrieved May 4, 2018.
- ^ Harding, Robert (May 31, 2018). "Rep. John Katko backs Chele Farley in race against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand". The Citizen.
- ^ Chele Farley for Senate. "I'm thrilled to announce that Congressman Peter King has endorsed our campaign for US Senate!". Facebook.
- ^ Pascocello, Dain (July 10, 2018). "Congressman Reed Endorses Farley for U.S. Senate; NY-23 Rep Says Gillibrand 'Out of Touch with Our Values'". NewsLI.com.
- ^ Harding, Robert (March 28, 2018). "Rep. Elise Stefanik endorses Chele Farley for Senate against Gillibrand". The Citizen.
- ^ Chele Farley. "Thank you, @claudiatenney, for your endorsement! #Farley4NY". Twitter.
- ^ "Zeldin Strongly Endorses Chele Farley for US Senate; Calls Successful Businesswoman, Gillibrand Opponent an "Effective Leader, Proven Problem-Solver"". Long Island Exchange. August 28, 2018.
- ^ "Gov. Mike Huckabee on Twitter". Twitter. Retrieved July 1, 2018.
- ^ Chele Farley for Senate. "Proud to have the endorsement of Governor George E. Pataki in my bid to represent New York in the US Senate! #Farley4NY #Farley4Senate". Facebook.
- ^ Chele Farley. "I've been endorsed by America's Mayor! Thank you to @RudyGiuliani for his support at yesterday's #Ohel visit. Let's #PutNYFirst on Tuesday! #Farley4NY". Twitter.
- ^ Reisman, Nick (June 26, 2018). "Farley Touts Support From Hannity". NY State of Politics. Archived from the original on August 7, 2018. Retrieved August 6, 2018.
- ^ "Crown Heights PAC Endorses". COLlive.com. November 5, 2018. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
- ^ "Endorsements For New York November 6 General Elections". The Jewish Press. October 24, 2018.
- ^ "GOP moderate Farley is better for New York than 'poser' Gillibrand". New York Post. October 27, 2018. Retrieved October 28, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News. Retrieved July 10, 2018.
- ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ^ "Certified Results from the November 6, 2018 General Election for U.S. Senator" (PDF). elections.ny.gov. Retrieved February 20, 2023.
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
- Official campaign websites