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| align=center| 10%{{efn|group=senatepoll|John Melendez* (D) with 4%, Other with 2%. *Withdrawn.}}
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| align=center| 10%{{efn|group=senatepoll|David Hildebrand (D) 2%; Donald Adams (R), Jerry Leon Carroll (NPP), Pat Harris (D), Richard Mead (NPP), Douglas Howard Pierce (D), Steve Stokes (D), and Michael Ziesing (G) with 1%; Clifton Roberts (H) 0%; Other 1%.}}
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| align=center| 5%{{efn|group=senatepoll|Pat Harris (D), David Hildebrand (D), Clifton Roberts (H), Steve Stokes (D), and Michael Ziesing (G) with 1%; Donald Adams (R), Jerry Leon Carroll (NPP), Michael Eisen (NPP), Tim Gildersleeve (NPP), Charles Junior Hodge (NPP), Richard Mead (NPP), and Douglas Howard Pierce with 0%}}
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| align=center| 14%{{efn|group=senatepoll|Stephen Schrader (R) 4%; Pat Harris (D), Alison Hartson (D), John Melendez (D), and Michael Ziesing (G) with 2%; David Hildebrand (D) and Steve Stokes (D) with 1%; Donald Adams (R), Jery Leon Carroll (NPP), Michael Eisen (NPP), Tim Gildersleeve, Charles Junior Hodge (NPP), Richard Mead (NPP), Douglas Howard Pierce (D), and Clifton Roberts (H) with 0%}}
| align=center| 14%{{efn|group=senatepoll|Stephen Schrader (R) 4%; Pat Harris (D), John Melendez (D), and Michael Ziesing (G) with 2%; David Hildebrand (D) and Steve Stokes (D) with 1%; Donald Adams (R), Jery Leon Carroll (NPP), Michael Eisen (NPP), Tim Gildersleeve, Charles Junior Hodge (NPP), Richard Mead (NPP), Douglas Howard Pierce (D), and Clifton Roberts (H) with 0%}}
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Revision as of 16:12, 10 May 2018

United States Senate election in California, 2018

← 2012 November 6, 2018 2024 →


Incumbent U.S. senator

Dianne Feinstein
Democratic



The 2018 United States Senate election in California will take place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of California, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

Under California's non-partisan blanket primary law, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the primary, voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. In the California system, the top two finishers—regardless of party—advance to the general election in November, even if a candidate receives a majority of the votes cast in the primary election. Washington, Louisiana, and Mississippi have similar "jungle primary" style processes for Senators.

The candidate filing deadline was March 8, 2018, and the primary election will be held on June 5, 2018.[1]

Four-term Democratic incumbent Dianne Feinstein won re-election in 2012 with 63% of the vote, taking the record for the most popular votes in any U.S. Senate election in history with 7.86 million votes.[2] Feinstein is the ranking member of the Senate Judiciary Committee. She will be 85 years old in 2018, leading to speculation that she would retire in January 2019,[3][4] as her long-time colleague Barbara Boxer did in January 2017. A poll from 2017 conducted by Berkeley IGS found that a slim majority of California voters would prefer her to retire due to her advanced age, with individual interviews citing a desire to let younger politicians stand for election instead.[5][6] Despite these concerns, she has declared that she will run for re-election to a fifth full term.[7]

Candidates

Democratic Party

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Republican Party

Declared

Withdrawn

  • Donald R. Adams, businessman[37]
  • Gary Coson[38]
  • John Estrada[39]
  • Timothy Charles Kalemkarian, perennial candidate[40]
  • Caren Lancona, businesswoman[41]
  • Jazmina Saavedra, businesswoman and activist[42]
  • Stephen James Schrader, veteran[43]

Declined

Libertarian Party

Declared

  • Derrick Michael Reid, retired attorney and engineer and candidate for President in 2016[50]

Peace and Freedom Party

Declared

  • John Thompson Parker[31]

No party preference

Declared

Withdrawn

Notes

  1. ^ a b No ballot access: Constitution Party and Socialist Equality Party. Appears on ballot as "No party preference".[31]

Primary election

Endorsements

Dianne Feinstein (D)
Presidents of the United States
Vice Presidents of the United States
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State-level officials
Local-level officials
Organizations
Newspapers

[85]

Erin Cruz (R)
Notable individuals
Organizations
Kevin de León (D)
Individuals
  • Tom Steyer, billionaire, hedge fund manager, philanthropist, environmentalist, liberal activist, and fundraiser[90]
U.S. Representatives
State-level officials
Local-level officials
Organizations
Pat Harris (D)
Organizations
  • Tri-Valley Democratic Club
  • F.U.N Progressives
Individuals
Alison Hartson (D)
Individuals
Organizations
David Hildebrand (D)
Local-Level Officials
Professionals
  • Stephen Jaffe, Employment Attorney, candidate for U.S. Congress[111]
  • Michael Bracamontes, Civil Rights Attorney, former candidate for California Governor[111]
  • Stephen Seager, Mental Health Expert, Author, Documentary Filmmaker[111]
  • Kevin Murray, Professor of Politics, Humboldt State University[111]
Organizations
Patrick Little (R)
White nationalists
  • David Duke, white nationalist, conspiracy theorist, and former Louisiana State Representative[113]
John Thompson Parker (PFP)

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of April 23, 2018
Candidate Total receipts Total disbursements Cash on hand
Dianne Feinstein (D) $9,441,041 $1,512,994 $10,352,401
Kevin de León (D) $1,012,004 $339,672 $672,330
Pat Harris (D) $638,184 $353,336 $263,027
Alison Hartson (D) $298,296 $189,652 $108,643
Douglas Howard Pierce (D) $15,215 $62,392 $11,200
Erin Cruz (R) $16,923 $10,324 $6,599
Paul Allen Taylor (R) $8,493 $6,100 $2,392
David Hildebrand (D) $24,806 $22,590 $2,216
Tom Palzer (R) $0 $45 $45
David Moore (SEP) $3,480 $3,480 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[115]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
James P.
Bradley
(R)
Erin
Cruz
(R)
Rocky De
La Fuente
(R)
Kevin
de León
(D)
Dianne
Feinstein
(D)
Alison
Hartson
(D)
Patrick
Little
(R)
Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing May 4–5, 2018 525 ± 4.3% 19% 13% 8% 32% 6% 5%[a] 16%
SurveyUSA April 19–23, 2018 520 ± 5.5% 8% 8% 38% 4% 18% 6%[b] 17%
UC Berkeley April 16–22, 2018 1,738 ± 3.5% 10% 11% 28% 14%[c] 35%
Public Policy Institute of California March 4–13, 2018 1,706 ± 3.4% 16% 42% 2% 39%
Public Policy Institute of California January 21–30, 2018 1,705 ± 3.2% 17% 46% 3% 33%
UC Berkeley December 7–16, 2017 672 ± 3.8% 27% 41% 32%
Public Policy Institute of California November 10–19, 2017 1,070 ± 4.3% 21% 45% 1% 33%
Sextant Strategies & Research September 2017 1,197 ± 3.4% 15% 38% 29%[d] 17%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[116] Solid D November 14, 2017
Rothenberg Political Report[117] Solid D November 14, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[118] Safe D November 15, 2017

Polling

with Feinstein and de León
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kevin
de León (D)
Dianne
Feinstein (D)
Not
voting
Other Undecided
Probolsky Research (R) April 16–18, 2018 900 ± 3.3% 27% 38% 35%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times October 27 – November 6, 2017 949[h] ± 4.0% 31% 58% 31%[h] 10%
Sextant Strategies & Research September 2017 1,197 ± 3.4% 17% 36% 28% 19%

Notes

  1. ^ John Melendez* (D) 3%, David Hildebrand (D) 2%. *Withdrawn.
  2. ^ John Melendez* (D) with 4%, Other with 2%. *Withdrawn.
  3. ^ Other Republicans 8%, Other non-Republicans 6%
  4. ^ 29% not voting
  5. ^ David Hildebrand (D) 2%; Donald Adams (R), Jerry Leon Carroll (NPP), Pat Harris (D), Richard Mead (NPP), Douglas Howard Pierce (D), Steve Stokes (D), and Michael Ziesing (G) with 1%; Clifton Roberts (H) 0%; Other 1%.
  6. ^ Pat Harris (D), David Hildebrand (D), Clifton Roberts (H), Steve Stokes (D), and Michael Ziesing (G) with 1%; Donald Adams (R), Jerry Leon Carroll (NPP), Michael Eisen (NPP), Tim Gildersleeve (NPP), Charles Junior Hodge (NPP), Richard Mead (NPP), and Douglas Howard Pierce with 0%
  7. ^ Stephen Schrader (R) 4%; Pat Harris (D), John Melendez (D), and Michael Ziesing (G) with 2%; David Hildebrand (D) and Steve Stokes (D) with 1%; Donald Adams (R), Jery Leon Carroll (NPP), Michael Eisen (NPP), Tim Gildersleeve, Charles Junior Hodge (NPP), Richard Mead (NPP), Douglas Howard Pierce (D), and Clifton Roberts (H) with 0%
  8. ^ a b c d 949 likely primary voters out of 1,504. MoE out of 1,504: ± 3.0. 31% out of 1,504 not voting.

References

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  103. ^ "Gavin Newsom, Kevin de León win backing of major California labor group". sfchronicle.com.
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  105. ^ "JOINT COUNCIL 42 ENDORSES KEVIN DE LEON FOR U.S. SENATE SEAT". Retrieved March 9, 2018.
  106. ^ "UFCW Western States Council Endorses Kevin De Leon for U.S. Senate". Retrieved March 9, 2018.
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  108. ^ justicedemocrats.com. "Justice Democrats Candidates". now.justicedemocrats.com. Retrieved November 2, 2017.
  109. ^ "The Young Turks on Twitter: "Who Will Alison Hartson Represent?: https://t.co/rJNHTB1mSV via @YouTube"". Twitter.com. November 5, 2017. Retrieved April 4, 2018. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
  110. ^ "Lt. Governor Candidate Gayle McLaughlin Announces 2018 Endorsements". HighlandNews.net. Retrieved January 20, 2018.
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  112. ^ "California - CWAC". candidateswithacontract.com.
  113. ^ "I've Been Busy". wordpress.com. April 22, 2018.
  114. ^ Richard, Bob. "Election 2018: Greens Endorse Four Statewide Peace and Freedom Candidates - Peace and Freedom Party". www.peaceandfreedom.org.
  115. ^ "Campaign finance data". Retrieved April 23, 2018.
  116. ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  117. ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  118. ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.

External links

Official campaign websites