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2018 United States Senate elections

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United States Senate elections, 2018
← 2016 November 6, 2018 2020 →
Class 1 (33 of the 100) seats in the United States Senate and 1 mid-term special election
51 seats needed for a majority
  Majority party Minority party
 
Leader Mitch McConnell Chuck Schumer
Party Republican Democratic
Leader since January 3, 2007 January 3, 2017
Leader's seat Kentucky New York
Seats before 52 46
Seats up 9 23
  Third party
 
Party Independent
Seats before 2
Seats up 2

     Democrat running      Republican running      Independent running
     Democrat undeclared      Republican undeclared      No election

Majority Leader before election

Mitch McConnell
Republican

Elected Majority Leader

TBD
TBD

Elections to the United States Senate will be held on November 6, 2018, with 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections whose winners will serve six-year terms from January 3, 2019, until January 3, 2025. Currently, Democrats are expected to have 23 seats up for election along with 2 independents who caucus with them. Republicans are expected to have 9 seats up for election (including a special election in Alabama). The seats up for election in 2018 were last up for election in 2012, although some seats may have special elections if incumbents die or resign. Democrats gained a net 2 seats in the 2016 Senate elections.

The United States House of Representatives elections, 39 gubernatorial elections, and many other state and local elections will also be held on this date.

Partisan composition

Among the 33 Class I Senators up for regular election in 2018, there will be 23 Democrats, 2 independents who caucus with the Senate Democrats, and 9 Republicans. If a Senate vacancy occurs between 2016 and 2018, there may be special elections before or during the 2018 election, depending on state law.

Parties style="background-color:Template:Democratic Party (United States)/meta/color" | style="background-color:Template:Republican Party (United States)/meta/color" | style="background-color:Template:Independent Party (United States)/meta/color" | Total
Democratic Republican Independent
Last election (2016) 46 52 2 100
Before this election 46 52 2 100
Not up 23 44 0 66
Class 2 (2014→2020) 11 21 0 32
Class 3 (2016→2022) 12 22 0 34
Up 23 9 2 34
Class 1 (2012→2018) 23 8 2 33
Special: Class 2 & 3[1] 0 1 0 1
Incumbent retiring 0 0 0 0
Incumbent running 18 5 2 25
Intent undeclared 5 4 0 9

Most recent election predictions

Democrats are expected to target the Senate seats in Nevada and Arizona.[2] Democrats could also target Texas.[3] Republicans are expected to target Democratic-held seats in Indiana, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, and West Virginia, all of which voted for Mitt Romney in the 2012 election and Donald Trump in the 2016 election,[4] as well as seats in Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, all of which voted for Donald Trump in the 2016 election.[5] Republicans could also target seats in Minnesota, Virginia, Maine, and New Jersey.[2] Other races may also become competitive.

State 2014 PVI Incumbent 2012
result 		Cook
Feb. 9
2017[6] 		Roth.
Feb. 10
2017[7] 		Sabato
Feb. 16
2017[8]
Alabama R+14 Luther Strange (R) 97% R[9] Safe R Safe R Safe R
Arizona R+7 Jeff Flake (R) 49% R Lean R Likely R Lean R
California D+9 Dianne Feinstein (D) 63% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Connecticut D+7 Chris Murphy (D) 55% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Delaware D+8 Tom Carper (D) 66% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Florida R+2 Bill Nelson (D) 55% D Lean D Tilt D Lean D
Hawaii D+20 Mazie Hirono (D) 63% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Indiana R+5 Joe Donnelly (D) 50% D Lean D Tossup Tossup
Maine D+6 Angus King (I) 53% I Lean D Safe D Lean D/I
Maryland D+10 Ben Cardin (D) 55% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Massachusetts D+10 Elizabeth Warren (D) 54% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Michigan D+4 Debbie Stabenow (D) 59% D Likely D Safe D Likely D
Minnesota D+2 Amy Klobuchar (D) 65% D Safe D Safe D Likely D
Mississippi R+9 Roger Wicker (R) 57% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Missouri R+5 Claire McCaskill (D) 55% D Lean D Tossup Tossup
Montana R+7 Jon Tester (D) 49% D Likely D Tilt D Lean D
Nebraska R+12 Deb Fischer (R) 56% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Nevada D+2 Dean Heller (R) 46% R Lean R Lean R Lean R
New Jersey D+6 Bob Menendez (D) 59% D Likely D Safe D Likely D
New Mexico D+4 Martin Heinrich (D) 51% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
New York D+11 Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 72% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
North Dakota R+10 Heidi Heitkamp (D) 50% D Likely D Tossup Tossup
Ohio R+1 Sherrod Brown (D) 51% D Lean D Lean D Lean D
Pennsylvania D+1 Bob Casey (D) 54% D Likely D Lean D Likely D
Rhode Island D+11 Sheldon Whitehouse (D) 64% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
Tennessee R+12 Bob Corker (R) 65% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Texas R+10 Ted Cruz (R) 57% R Safe R Safe R Likely R
Utah R+22 Orrin Hatch (R) 65% R Safe R Safe R Safe R
Vermont D+16 Bernie Sanders (I) 71% I Safe D Safe D Safe D/I
Virginia Even Tim Kaine (D) 53% D Likely D Likely D Likely D
Washington D+5 Maria Cantwell (D) 61% D Safe D Safe D Safe D
West Virginia R+13 Joe Manchin (D) 61% D Likely D Tossup Lean D
Wisconsin D+2 Tammy Baldwin (D) 51% D Likely D Tilt D Lean D
Wyoming R+22 John Barrasso (R) 76% R Safe R Safe R Safe R

Race summaries

Elections during the 115th Congress

In this election, the winner will be seated during 2018 or in 2019 before January 3.

State
(linked to
summaries below) 		Incumbent Intent / Results Candidates
Senator Party Electoral history
Alabama
(Class 2) 		Luther Strange Republican 2017 (Appointed) Interim appointee running.
Special election scheduled November 6, 2018. 		Luther Strange (Republican)[10]

Elections leading to the 116th Congress

In these general elections, the winners will be elected for the term beginning January 2019.

All of the elections involved the Class 1 seats; ordered by state.

State
(linked to
summaries below) 		Incumbent Intent / Results Candidates
Senator Party Electoral history
Arizona Jeff Flake Republican 2012 Incumbent running. Jeff Flake (R)[11]
Kelli Ward (R)[12]
California Dianne Feinstein Democratic 1992 (Special)
1994
2000
2006
2012 		Incumbent running. Michael Eisen (I)[13]
Dianne Feinstein (D)[14]
Connecticut Chris Murphy Democratic 2012 Incumbent running. Chris Murphy (D)[15]
Delaware Tom Carper Democratic 2000
2006
2012 		Incumbent's intent unknown. None declared yet.
Florida Bill Nelson Democratic 2000
2006
2012 		Incumbent running. Bill Nelson (D)[16]
Hawaii Mazie Hirono Democratic 2012 Incumbent running. Mazie Hirono (D)[17]
Indiana Joe Donnelly Democratic 2012 Incumbent running. Joe Donnelly (D)[18]
Mark Hurt (R)[19]
Maine Angus King Independent 2012 Incumbent running. Angus King (I)[20]
Maryland Ben Cardin Democratic 2006
2012 		Incumbent's intent unknown. None declared yet.
Massachusetts Elizabeth Warren Democratic 2012 Incumbent running. Elizabeth Warren (D)[21]
Michigan Debbie Stabenow Democratic 2000
2006
2012 		Incumbent running. Debbie Stabenow (D)[22]
Minnesota Amy Klobuchar Democratic 2006
2012 		Incumbent running. Amy Klobuchar (D)[23]
Mississippi Roger Wicker Republican 2007 (Appointed)
2008 (Special)
2012 		Incumbent's intent unknown. None declared yet.
Missouri Claire McCaskill Democratic 2006
2012 		Incumbent running. Claire McCaskill (D)[24]
Montana Jon Tester Democratic 2006
2012 		Incumbent running. Jon Tester (D)[25]
Nebraska Deb Fischer Republican 2012 Incumbent's intent unknown. None declared yet.
Nevada Dean Heller Republican 2011 (Appointed)
2012 		Incumbent running. Dean Heller (R)[26]
New Jersey Bob Menendez Democratic 2006 (Appointed)
2006
2012 		Incumbent's intent unknown. None declared yet.
New Mexico Martin Heinrich Democratic 2012 Incumbent running. Martin Heinrich (D)[27]
New York Kirsten Gillibrand Democratic 2009 (Appointed)
2010 (Special)
2012 		Incumbent running. Kirsten Gillibrand (D)[28]
North Dakota Heidi Heitkamp Democratic 2012 Incumbent's intent unknown. None declared yet.
Ohio Sherrod Brown Democratic 2006
2012 		Incumbent running. Sherrod Brown (D)[29]
Josh Mandel (R)[30]
Pennsylvania Bob Casey Democratic 2006
2012 		Incumbent running. Bob Casey Jr. (D)[31]
Dale Kerns (L)
Rick Saccone (R)[32]
Rhode Island Sheldon Whitehouse Democratic 2006
2012 		Incumbent running. Sheldon Whitehouse (D)[33]
Tennessee Bob Corker Republican 2006
2012 		Incumbent's intent unknown. Larry Crim (R)[34]
Texas Ted Cruz Republican 2012 Incumbent running. Ted Cruz (R)[35]
Utah Orrin Hatch Republican 1976
1982
1988
1994
2000
2006
2012 		Incumbent running. Orrin Hatch (R)[36]
Vermont Bernie Sanders Independent 2006
2012 		Incumbent running. Bernie Sanders (I)[37]
Virginia Tim Kaine Democratic 2012 Incumbent running. Tim Kaine (D)[38]
Washington Maria Cantwell Democratic 2000
2006
2012 		Incumbent's intent unknown. None declared yet.
West Virginia Joe Manchin Democratic 2010 (Special)
2012 		Incumbent running. Joe Manchin (D)[39]
Wisconsin Tammy Baldwin Democratic 2012 Incumbent running. Tammy Baldwin (D)[40]
Wyoming John Barrasso Republican 2007 (Appointed)
2008 (Special)
2012 		Incumbent's intent unknown. None declared yet.
State Senator Party Electoral
history 		Intent / Results Candidates
Incumbent

Complete list of races

Thirty-three seats are up for election in 2018:

  • Eighteen Democrats are running for re-election.
  • Five Democrats may seek re-election.
  • Two independents are running for re-election.
  • Five Republicans are running for re-election.
  • Four Republicans may seek re-election.

Alabama (special)

Main article: United States Senate special election in Alabama, 2018

With the appointment of Jeff Sessions as U.S. Attorney General, Alabama Attorney General Luther Strange was appointed by Governor Robert J. Bentley to the seat on February 9, 2017.[41] He had declared his candidacy for the seat before the election. He will be 65 years old in 2018.[10]

Arizona

Main article: United States Senate election in Arizona, 2018

One-term Republican Senator Jeff Flake was elected with 49% of the vote in 2012. He will be 55 years old in 2018. He is running.[11]

Former state senator Kelli Ward[12] is running as a Republican.

California

Main article: United States Senate election in California, 2018

Four-term Democratic Senator Dianne Feinstein won a special election in 1992 and was elected to full terms in 1994, 2000, 2006, and 2012. She won re-election in 2012 with 63% of the vote, taking the record for the most popular votes in any U.S. Senate election in history, having received 7.75 million votes.[42] Feinstein is the Ranking Member of the Select Committee on Intelligence. She will be 85 years old in 2018. She is running for re-election.[14]

Independent candidate biologist Michael Eisen[13] is running.

Connecticut

Main article: United States Senate election in Connecticut, 2018

One-term Democratic Senator Chris Murphy was elected with 55% of the vote in 2012. He will be 45 years old in 2018. He is running for reelection.[15]

Delaware

Main article: United States Senate election in Delaware, 2018

Three-term Democratic Senator Tom Carper won re-election with 66% of the vote in 2012. He will be 71 years old in 2018.

Florida

Main article: United States Senate election in Florida, 2018

Three-term Democratic Senator Bill Nelson was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2012. Nelson is the Ranking Member of the United States Senate Committee on Commerce, Science and Transportation. Nelson will be 76 years old in 2018. He has strongly hinted he will seek re-election to a fourth term in office.[43][16]

Hawaii

Main article: United States Senate election in Hawaii, 2018

One-term Democratic Senator Mazie Hirono was elected with 63% of the vote in 2012. She will be 71 years old in 2018.

Indiana

Main article: United States Senate election in Indiana, 2018

One-term Democratic Senator Joe Donnelly was elected with 50.04% of the vote in 2012. He will be 63 years old in 2018. He is running.[18]

Attorney Mark Hurt[19][44][45] is running for the Republican nomination.

Maine

Main article: United States Senate election in Maine, 2018

One-term Independent Senator Angus King was elected in a three-way race with 53% of the vote in 2012. King has caucused with the Democratic Party since taking office in 2013, but he has left open the possibility of caucusing with the Republican Party in the future.[46] This Senate election is scheduled to be the first in Maine to be conducted with ranked choice voting, as opposed to a simple plurality, after voters passed a citizen referendum approving the change in 2016.[47] King has indicated he will seek reelection.[48] [20]

Former Democratic State Representative Diane Russell is considering running. [49]

Republican Governor of Maine Paul LePage has stated he will run unless hired by Donald Trump's administration.[50]

Maryland

Main article: United States Senate election in Maryland, 2018

Two-term Democratic Senator Ben Cardin was re-elected with 56% of the vote in 2012. He will be 75 years old in 2018.

Massachusetts

Main article: United States Senate election in Massachusetts, 2018

One-term Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren was elected with 54% of the vote in 2012. She will be 69 years old in 2018. In January 2017, Warren announced through her Facebook page that she will seek reelection in 2018.[21]

Michigan

Main article: United States Senate election in Michigan, 2018

Three-term Democratic Senator Debbie Stabenow was re-elected with 59% of the vote in 2012. Stabenow is Ranking Member of the Senate Agriculture Committee. She will be 68 years old in 2018. She is running.[22]

Minnesota

Main article: United States Senate election in Minnesota, 2018

Two-term Democratic Senator Amy Klobuchar was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2012. She will be 58 years old in 2018. She is running.[23]

Mississippi

Main article: United States Senate election in Mississippi, 2018

One-term Republican Senator Roger Wicker won re-election with 57% of the vote in 2012. He was appointed in 2007 and won a special election in 2008 to serve the remainder of Trent Lott's term. He will be 67 years old in 2018.

Missouri

Main article: United States Senate election in Missouri, 2018

Two-term Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2012. She will be 65 years old in 2018. She is running.[24]

Montana

Main article: United States Senate election in Montana, 2018

Two-term Democratic Senator Jon Tester was re-elected with 49% of the vote in 2012. He will be 62 years old in 2018. He is running.[25]

Ryan Zinke resigned from the House of Representatives to become United States Secretary of the Interior. He could step down from that position to run for the Senate seat.

Nebraska

Main article: United States Senate election in Nebraska, 2018

One-term Republican Senator Deb Fischer was elected with 56% of the vote in 2012. She will be 67 years old in 2018.

Nevada

Main article: United States Senate election in Nevada, 2018

One-term Republican Senator Dean Heller was elected with 46% of the vote in 2012. He had been appointed to the seat in 2011. He will be 58 years old in 2018. Heller considered running for governor, but has since chosen to seek reelection.[51][52][26]

New Jersey

Main article: United States Senate election in New Jersey, 2018

Two-term Democratic Senator Bob Menendez was re-elected with 59% of the vote in 2012. Menendez was originally appointed to the seat in January 2006. He will be 64 years old in 2018.

New Mexico

Main article: United States Senate election in New Mexico, 2018

One-term Democratic Senator Martin Heinrich was elected with 51% of the vote in 2012. He will be 47 years old in 2018. He is running.[27]

New York

Main article: United States Senate election in New York, 2018

One-term Democratic Senator Kirsten Gillibrand was elected with 72% of the vote in 2012. She had previously been appointed to the seat in 2009, and won a special election to remain in office in 2010. She will be 51 years old in 2018. She is running.[28]

Former United States Ambassador to Japan Caroline Kennedy, daughter of former President John F. Kennedy[53] is reportedly considering running as a Democrat, 9 years after declining to replace Hillary Clinton's vacant seat after becoming U.S. Secretary of State.

North Dakota

Main article: United States Senate election in North Dakota, 2018

One-term Democratic Senator Heidi Heitkamp was elected with 50% of the vote in 2012. She will be 63 years old in 2018.

Ohio

Main article: United States Senate election in Ohio, 2018

Two-term Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown was re-elected with 51% of the vote in 2012. He will be 65 years old in 2018. He is running.[29]

Ohio State Treasurer Josh Mandel is running for the Republican nomination.[30]

Many Conservative groups are urging Ohio Governor John Kasich to run. [54]

Pennsylvania

Main article: United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2018

Two-term Democratic Senator Bob Casey, Jr. was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2012. He will be 58 years old in 2018. He is running.[31]

Republican candidates include Pennsylvania House of Representatives member Rick Saccone[32]

In addition, Libertarian candidate Dale Kerns has announced his candidacy for this seat.

Rhode Island

Main article: United States Senate election in Rhode Island, 2018

Two-term Democratic Senator Sheldon Whitehouse was reelected with 64% of the vote in 2012. He will be 63 years old in 2018. He is running.[33]

Tennessee

Main article: United States Senate election in Tennessee, 2018

Two-term Republican Senator Bob Corker was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2012. Corker is the Chairman of the United States Senate Committee on Foreign Relations. He will be 66 years old in 2018. Corker may run for Governor of Tennessee in 2018.[55][56][57] Senator Corker has also filed his Statement of Candidacy with the Secretary of the U.S. Senate to run for reelection to the U.S. Senate seat he currently holds in 2018.[58]

Larry Crim, a perennial candidate, is running for the Republican nomination.[34]

Texas

Main article: United States Senate election in Texas, 2018

One-term Republican Senator Ted Cruz was elected with 57% of the vote in 2012. Cruz is running for re-election. He will be 48 years old in 2018.[35][59]

Utah

Main article: United States Senate election in Utah, 2018

Seven-term Republican Senator Orrin Hatch was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2012. Hatch is the President pro tempore of the United States Senate, as well as the second most-senior Senator. Hatch is the chairman of the Senate Finance Committee. He will be 84 years old in 2018. Before the 2012 election, Hatch said that he would retire at the end of his seventh term if he was re-elected.[60] However he has since "left the door ajar", but denied that he had changed his mind until March 9, 2017, when he announced his re-election campaign.[61][36]

Former Governor of Massachusetts and 2012 presidential nominee Mitt Romney is reportedly considering running as a Republican, should Senator Hatch retire by 2018. Romney will be 71 years old in 2018.[62]

Vermont

Main article: United States Senate election in Vermont, 2018

Two-term Independent Senator Bernie Sanders was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2012. Sanders, one of two independent members of Congress, is a self-described democratic socialist.[63][64] Sanders has caucused with the Democratic Party since taking office in 2007, and he is the Ranking Member of the Budget Committee. In November 2015, Sanders announced his plans to run as a Democrat rather than an Independent in all future elections. He will be 77 years old in 2018.[65] On July 28, 2016, Sanders announced he would return to the Senate as an Independent and two days later in an interview on Real Time with Bill Maher that he would run for re-election.[37]

Activist and journalist Al Giordano has stated he intends to challenge Sanders for the Democratic nomination to protest Sanders' 2016 presidential campaign, which Giordano claims has divided the Democratic Party.[66][67][68]

Virginia

Main article: United States Senate election in Virginia, 2018

One-term Democratic Senator Tim Kaine was elected with 53% of the vote in 2012. He is running for re-election.[69][38]

Washington

Main article: United States Senate election in Washington, 2018

Three-term Democratic Senator Maria Cantwell was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2012. Cantwell is the Ranking Member of the Committee on Energy and Natural Resources. She will be 60 years old in 2018.

West Virginia

Main article: United States Senate election in West Virginia, 2018

One-term Democratic Senator Joe Manchin was elected with 61% of the vote in 2012. He originally won the seat in a 2010 special election. Manchin is running for re-election.[39][70]

Wisconsin

Main article: United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2018

One-term Democratic Senator Tammy Baldwin was elected with 51% of the vote in 2012. She is the first openly gay Senator in U.S. history.[71] She will be 56 years old in 2018. She is running.[40]

Wyoming

Main article: United States Senate election in Wyoming, 2018

One-term Republican Senator John Barrasso was elected with 76% of the vote in 2012. Barrasso was appointed to the seat in 2007, and won a special election in 2008. Barrasso is the Chairman of the Senate Committee on Indian Affairs. He will be 66 years old in 2018.[72]

See also

References

  1. ^ Subject to change if vacancies occur in Class 2 or Class 3 Senate seats.
  2. ^ a b Dick, Jason (January 20, 2016). "Senate Democrats, 2018 Math Is Not Your Friend". Roll Call. Retrieved August 2, 2016.
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  8. ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved February 16, 2017.
  9. ^ This is the result the of the 2014 election There was no major-party opposition.
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