2008 United States House of Representatives elections

United States House of Representatives elections, 2008

November 4 2008
All 435 seats to the United States House of Representatives
Party Democratic Republican Last election 233 seats, 53.6% 202 seats, 46.4% Seats needed 16
Incumbent Speaker Nancy Pelosi Democratic

This article discusses contested races. For a complete list of all seats, see United States House of Representatives elections, 2008 - complete list

The 2008 U.S. House of Representatives elections will be held on November 4, 2008, to elect members to the United States House of Representatives to serve in the 111th United States Congress from January 3, 2009 until January 3, 2011. All 435 seats are up for election. Democrats, who regained a majority in the 2006 elections hope to retain or expand their control of Congress. Republicans hope to regain the majority it lost in the 2006 elections or at least add to their numbers. Turnout likely will be increased due to the 2008 presidential election. The presidential election, 2008 Senate elections, and 2008 state gubernatorial elections, as well as many other state and local elections, will occur on the same date.

Composition going into the elections

The House currently has 236 Democrats and 199 Republicans.

Special elections in 2008 for the 110th Congress

See also: United States House of Representatives special elections, 2007

Completed special elections

• California's 12th congressional district: Tom Lantos (D) died February 11, 2008. In this heavily Democratic district, Jackie Speier (D) was elected to succeed him on April 8, 2008.

• Illinois's 14th congressional district: Former House Speaker Dennis Hastert (R) resigned November 26, 2007. In a surprising upset, Bill Foster (D) defeated Jim Oberweis (R) in a special election on March 8, 2008. The two will likely face each other again in November for a full term.

• Indiana's 7th congressional district: Julia Carson (D) died December 17, 2007. André Carson (D), Julia's grandson, won the special election on March 11, 2008.

• Louisiana's 1st congressional district: On January 14 2008, Bobby Jindal (R) resigned to become Governor of Louisiana. The special election primary was held on March 8, 2008; it was the first closed primary in recent Louisiana history. For the Democrats, Gilda Reed defeated Vinny Mendoza with 69.75% of the vote to 30.25%. Since Reed received more than 50% of the vote, no runoff was necessary. On the Republican side, Steve Scalise received 48.34%, and Tim Burns was second with 27.72% meaning that a runoff was required. Scalise defeated Burns 58.08% to 41.92% in the primary runoff on April 5, 2008, and defeated Reed 75%-22% in the special general election on May 3, 2008.

• Louisiana's 6th congressional district: On February 2, 2008, Richard Baker (R) resigned to become Director of the Managed Funds Association. The special election primary took place on March 8, 2008. For the Democrats, Don Cazayoux and Michael Jackson were the top two finishers with 34.93% and 27.17% respectively, but since no candidate received more than 50% of the vote, a runoff was scheduled for April 5, 2008. On the Republican side, Woody Jenkins barely missed avoiding a runoff with 49.87% of the vote. Laurinda Calongne finished second with 25.47%. In the runoff, Cazayoux defeated Jackson 56.80% to 43.20%, and Jenkins defeated Calongne 61.94% to 38.06%. Cazayoux (D) and Jenkins (R) faced each other in the special election on May 3, 2008. Cazayoux (D) defeated Jenkins (R) 49-46%.

• Mississippi's 1st congressional district: On December 31, 2007, Roger Wicker (R) was appointed to the U.S. Senate. No one received more than 50% in the special election on April 22, 2008. Prentiss County Chancery Court Clerk Travis Childers (Democrat) defeated Southaven, Mississippi mayor Greg Davis (Republican) in the runoff special election on May 13.

• Maryland's 4th congressional district: Incumbent Albert Wynn (D), who lost his battle for renomination to Donna Edwards (D) in Maryland's March primary, resigned his seat on May 31, 2008. Donna Edwards also won the special election on June 17.

Incumbents who chose not to run for re-election

Thirty-three incumbents are voluntarily retiring from the House.

Democratic incumbents

1. Alabama's 5th congressional district: Bud Cramer
2. Colorado's 2nd congressional district: Mark Udall: Retiring to run for U.S. Senate
3. Maine's 1st congressional district: Tom Allen: Retiring to run for U.S. Senate
4. New Jersey's 1st congressional district: Rob Andrews: Retiring to run for U.S. Senate (lost)
5. New Mexico's 3rd congressional district: Tom Udall: Retiring to run for U.S. Senate
6. New York's 21st congressional district: Michael McNulty
7. Oregon's 5th congressional district: Darlene Hooley

Republican incumbents

1. Alabama's 2nd congressional district: Terry Everett
2. Arizona's 1st congressional district: Rick Renzi
3. California's 4th congressional district: John Doolittle
4. California's 52nd congressional district: Duncan Hunter: Retiring to run for President (lost)
5. Colorado's 6th congressional district: Tom Tancredo: Retiring to run for President (lost)
6. Florida's 15th congressional district: Dave Weldon
7. Illinois's 11th congressional district: Jerry Weller
8. Illinois's 18th congressional district: Ray LaHood
9. Kentucky's 2nd congressional district: Ron Lewis
10. Louisiana's 4th congressional district: Jim McCrery
11. Minnesota's 3rd congressional district: Jim Ramstad
12. Missouri's 9th congressional district: Kenny Hulshof: Retiring to run for Governor
13. Mississippi's 3rd congressional district: Chip Pickering
14. New Mexico's 1st congressional district: Heather Wilson: Retiring to run for U.S. Senate (lost)
15. New Mexico's 2nd congressional district: Steve Pearce: Retiring to run for U.S. Senate
16. New Jersey's 3rd congressional district: Jim Saxton
17. New Jersey's 7th congressional district: Mike Ferguson
18. New York's 13th congressional district: Vito Fossella
19. New York's 25th congressional district: Jim Walsh
20. New York's 26th congressional district: Tom Reynolds
21. Ohio's 7th congressional district: Dave Hobson
22. Ohio's 15th congressional district: Deborah Pryce
23. Ohio's 16th congressional district: Ralph Regula
24. Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district: John Peterson
25. Virginia's 11th congressional district: Tom Davis
26. Wyoming's at-large congressional district: Barbara Cubin

Defeated incumbents

Incumbents defeated for renomination

1. Maryland's 1st congressional district: Wayne Gilchrest (R)
2. Maryland's 4th congressional district: Albert Wynn (D-subsequently resigned May 31, 2008)

Incumbents defeated in general election

• TBD

Predictions

Shortly after the November 2006 election, Scott Elliott of ElectionProjection.com said that the Democratic majority would be tough to beat - at most the GOP could take back fourteen House seats - two short of a majority.

On April 8th, 2008, analyst Stuart Rothenberg of The Rothenberg Political Report (who bills himself as non-partisan) stated that the fight for the House would be a "one-sided battle, with Democrats having most of the targets." He points to a list of one dozen seats (out of all 435 seats in the House) that are most likely to change hands, of those twelve, ten are open seats, seats which Republicans won by 3% or less in 2006 or otherwise endangered GOP seats.

In May 2007, conservative columnist Robert Novak wrote that he believed there were at least a few House seats that were won by Democrats in 2006 "solely because of GOP corruption," and that such seats would be "the most likely to return to the Republican column in 2008." He also said that "a continued sour mood over the Iraq War could produce another massive Republican defeat in 2008 that makes 2006 look tame by comparison. Republicans in Washington generally concede that the continued presence of U.S. troops in Iraq by next November could mean disaster for the party;" Novak qualified this by saying that in "previous elections, major House gains by either party have always been followed by losses in the next election."

InTrade.com, the only betting site currently offering odds on control of the House, puts the likelihood of the Democrats retaining control at about 89% as of early February 2008.

There have been three special elections for open Republican seats, IL-14 (formerly held by Dennis Hastert), LA-06 (formerly held by Richard Baker) and MS-01 (formerly held by Roger Wicker). Democrats won all three elections. After the MS-01 loss, Ron Gunzburger wrote, "GOP insiders in DC now privately acknowledge the Democratic victory in this seat likely foreshadows a dismal general election ahead for congressional Republicans."

Race ratings

The following table rates the competitiveness of selected races from around the country according to noted political analysts. Races not included should be considered "safe" for the incumbent's party. (Incumbents not running for reelection have parentheses around their name.)

District	Incumbent	Cook	Rothenberg	CQ Politics
AL-2	(Everett) (R)	Leans R	R Favored	Leans R
AL-5	(Cramer) (D)	Tossup	Pure Tossup	No Clear Favorite
AK-AL	Young (R)	Tossup	Pure Tossup	No Clear Favorite
AZ-1	(Renzi) (R)	Tossup	Pure Tossup	Leans D
AZ-3	Shadegg (R)	Likely R	Limited Risk	R Favored
AZ-5	Mitchell (D)	Leans D	Leans D	Leans D
AZ-8	Giffords (D)	Leans D	Leans D	Leans D
CA-4	(Doolittle) (R)	Likely R	R Favored	Leans R
CA-11	McNerney (D)	Tossup	Pure Tossup	Leans D
CA-50	Bilbray (R)	Likely R	Limited Risk	Safe R
CO-4	Musgrave (R)	Tossup	Tossup/Tilts R	Leans R
CT-2	Courtney (D)	Safe D	Limited Risk	D Favored
CT-4	Shays (R)	Tossup	Leans R	Leans R
CT-5	Murphy (D)	Likely D	Limited Risk	Leans D
FL-8	Keller (R)	Likely R	R Favored	R Favored
FL-13	Buchanan (R)	Likely R	R Favored	Leans R
FL-15	(Weldon) (R)	Likely R	Limited Risk	R Favored
FL-16	Mahoney (D)	Leans D	Pure Tossup	No Clear Favorite
FL-21	Diaz-Balart (R)	Likely R	Limited Risk	R Favored
FL-22	Klein (D)	Safe D	Limited Risk	D Favored
FL-24	Feeney (R)	Leans R	Leans R	R Favored
FL-25	Diaz-Balart (R)	Likely R	Limited Risk	R Favored
GA-8	Marshall (D)	Leans D	Tossup/Tilts D	Leans D
GA-12	Barrow (D)	Likely D	Limited Risk	Leans D
ID-1	Sali (R)	Safe R	Limited Risk	R Favored
IL-6	Roskam (R)	Likely R	R Favored	R Favored
IL-8	Bean (D)	D Favored	D Favored	Leans D
IL-10	Kirk (R)	Tossup	Tossup/Tilts R	Leans R
IL-11	(Weller) (R)	Leans D	Leans D	D Favored
IL-14	Foster (D)	Leans D	D Favored	Leans D
IL-18	(LaHood) (R)	Likely R	Limited Risk	R Favored
IN-2	Donnelly (D)	Safe D	Limited Risk	D Favored
IN-7	Carson (D)	Safe D	Limited Risk	D Favored
IN-8	Ellsworth (D)	Likely D	Limited Risk	D Favored
IN-9	Hill (D)	Leans D	Leans D	Leans D
KS-2	Boyda (D)	Tossup	Pure Tossup	No Clear Favorite
KS-3	Moore (D)	Likely D	Leans D	D Favored
KY-2	(Lewis) (R)	Safe R	R Favored	Safe R
KY-3	Yarmuth (D)	Leans D	Leans D	Leans D
LA-4	(McCrery) (R)	Tossup	Tossup/Tilts R	Leans R
LA-6	Cazayoux (D)	Leans D	Pure Tossup	No Clear Favorite
ME-1	(Allen) (D)	Safe D	Limited Risk	D Favored
MD-1	(Gilchrest) (R)	Likely R	Limited Risk	R Favored
MI-7	Walberg (R)	Tossup	Leans R	Leans R
MI-9	Knollenberg (R)	Leans R	Leans R	Leans R
MN-1	Walz (D)	Likely D	Leans D	Leans D
MN-3	(Ramstad) (R)	Tossup	Pure Tossup	No Clear Favorite
MN-6	Bachman (R)	Likely R	R Favored	R Favored
MS-1	Childers (D)	Tossup	Leans D	No Clear Favorite
MO-6	Graves (R)	Leans R	Leans R	Leans R
MO-9	(Hulshof) (R)	Likely R	R Favored	Leans R
NV-2	Heller (R)	Safe R	Limited Risk	R Favored
NV-3	Porter (R)	Leans R	Leans R	Leans R
NH-1	Shea-Porter (D)	Leans D	Tossup/Tilts D	Leans D
NH-2	Hodes (D)	Likely D	Limited Risk	D Favored
NJ-3	(Saxton) (R)	Tossup	Tossup/Tilts D	Leans R
NJ-5	Garrett (R)	Safe R	Limited Risk	R Favored
NJ-7	(Ferguson) (R)	Tossup	Pure Tossup	No Clear Favorite
NM-1	(Wilson) (R)	Tossup	Pure Tossup	No Clear Favorite
NM-2	(Pearce) (R)	Leans R	R Favored	R Favored
NY-13	(Fossella) (R)	Tossup	Pure Tossup	No Clear Favorite
NY-19	Hall (D)	Likely D	Limited Risk	Leans D
NY-20	Gillibrand (D)	Leans D	Leans D	Leans D
NY-24	Arcuri (D)	Likely D	Limited Risk	D Favored
NY-25	(Walsh) (R)	Tossup	Leans D	No Clear Favorite
NY-26	(Reynolds) (R)	Tossup	Pure Tossup	Leans R
NY-29	Kuhl (R)	Tossup	Tossup/Tilts R	Leans R
NC-8	Hayes (R)	Tossup	Tossup/Tilts R	No Clear Favorite
NC-11	Shuler (D)	Safe D	Limited Risk	D Favored
OH-1	Chabot (R)	Tossup	Leans R	Leans R
OH-2	Schmidt (R)	Likely R	Leans R	Leans R
OH-14	LaTourette (R)	Safe R	Limited Risk	R Favored
OH-15	(Pryce) (R)	Tossup	Pure Tossup	No Clear Favorite
OH-16	(Regula) (R)	Tossup	Pure Tossup	No Clear Favorite
OH-18	Space (D)	Likely D	D Favored	D Favored
OR-5	(Hooley) (D)	Leans D	Tossup/Tilts D	No Clear Favorite
PA-3	English (R)	Likely R	Limited Risk	Leans R
PA-4	Altmire (D)	Leans D	Leans D	Leans D
PA-6	Gerlach (R)	Likely R	R Favored	Leans R
PA-7	Sestak (D)	Likely D	Limited Risk	Safe D
PA-8	Murphy (D)	Likely D	D Favored	D Favored
PA-10	Carney (D)	Tossup	Pure Tossup	Leans D
PA-11	Kanjorski (D)	Likely D	D Favored	Safe D
PA-15	Dent (R)	Safe R	Limited Risk	R Favored
PA-18	Murphy (R)	Likely R	R Favored	R Favored
TX-22	Lampson (D)	Tossup	Tossup/Tilts R	Leans D
TX-23	Rodriguez (D)	Likely D	Limited Risk	Leans D
VA-2	Drake (R)	Leans R	R Favored	R Favored
VA-11	(Davis) (R)	Leans D	Leans D	No Clear Favorite
WA-8	Reichert (R)	Tossup	Tossup/Tilts R	No Clear Favorite
WV-2	Capito (R)	Likely R	R Favored	R Favored
WI-8	Kagen (D)	Leans D	Leans D	Leans D
WY-AL	(Cubin) (R)	Safe R	Limited Risk	Leans R

Factors

The Democrats control the 110th United States Congress and the House of Representatives.

Factors that could make the races seen below competitive include:

Factor	Reason	Example
Age	The incumbent will be at least 70 years of age on Election Day 2008, and may opt to retire rather than run for another term, leaving their seat open.	Several representatives are at least 70 years of age, with the oldest being Ralph Hall (R-TX), age 85. So far, three representatives 70 years of age or older, all Republicans, have decided not to seek re-election.
District demographics	The incumbent represents a district that leans or strongly favors the opposing party. For example, an incumbent Republican representing a district that went to John Kerry or barely went to George W. Bush in 2004 could be vulnerable, especially if the incumbent received no more than 55% of the vote. There are, as of the 2006 elections, about 70 Democratic seats won by Bush in 2004, compared to 4 Republican seats won by Kerry. This is a change from (as of 2004) 44 Democrats in seats Bush won in both 2000 and 2004, as opposed to 11 Republicans in districts won by Gore and Kerry.	Christopher Shays (R-CT) and Chet Edwards (D-TX) represent districts that favor the opposing party. Additionally, Tom Davis (R-VA) represents a swing (but Democratic-trending) district while Brad Ellsworth (D-IN) represents a district that is politically balanced and known for competitive races.
Governor controversies	Some House races could also be affected by an unpopular governor if the incumbent's party is the same as that of the governor. For example, some Indiana and Missouri races involving incumbent Republicans could be affected by the unpopularity of their Republican governors.
Health issues	The incumbent has constant health issues and could either be forced into early retirement, forgo plans for a re-election bid, or die during their term in Congress.	Elton Gallegly (R-CA) and Bill Young (R-FL) pondered retirement for health reasons before running for re-election 2006. Additionally, six members of the House (3 Republicans, 3 Democrats) died during the 110th Congress.
Higher office aspirations	The incumbent might consider running for higher political office, whether it is for a U.S. Senate seat, the governor's mansion, or for mayor of a major city.	Mark Udall (D-CO) will run for the U.S. Senate seat of retiring Senator Wayne Allard (R-CO). Bobby Jindal (R-LA) was elected governor of Louisiana. Anthony Weiner (D-NY) is rumored to be considering a run for mayor of New York City in 2009.
Redistricting	Some incumbents could become vulnerable if redistricting affects their districts to the point that it favors the opposing party. For example, a Democrat could become vulnerable if his Democratic-leaning district becomes more Republican.	Two recent redistrictings, in Texas in 2003 and in Georgia in 2005, have made some Democratic districts more vulnerable. In 2006, Georgia Democrats John Barrow and Jim Marshall faced tough re-election bids.
Scandals	The incumbent is involved in a highly publicized political scandal or whose district was previously represented by a scandal-plagued representative from the opposing party.	The Jack Abramoff Indian lobbying scandal affected several members of Congress, many of whom were defeated in 2006. Some key Abramoff donor recipients, such as John Doolittle (R-CA) are still in office. Additionally, Democrats Nick Lampson (D-TX) and Tim Mahoney (D-FL) took the respective districts of Tom DeLay (R-TX) and Mark Foley (R-FL), both of which heavily favor Republicans, in the previous election.
Presidential coattails	The 2008 presidential campaign could have positive or negative effects on the chances of election for some House candidates if the background, home state or region, ideology/policies or general perception of their party's 2008 candidate affect party support or turnout in their particular district.	See coattail effect.

Races by state

Alabama

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama, 2008

• Alabama's 2nd congressional district: Incumbent Terry Everett (R), 71, is retiring. This district covers southeastern Alabama, including Dothan and Montgomery. The Republican nominee will be favored to hold this district — George W. Bush won 67% in 2004 here (CPVI=R+13).On the Republican side, State Sen. Harri Anne Smith and State Rep. Jay Love are going to a runoff, with Love being the strong favorite to be the nominee. The Democratic nominee is Montgomery Mayor Bobby Bright.

• Alabama's 5th congressional district: In a surprise, incumbent Bud Cramer (D) will retire after 18 years. This northern tier district usually votes Republican in national elections, giving Republicans a chance of a pick-up. On the Republican side, Madison County Commissioner Morris Brooks, State Senator Tom Butler and state Sen. Arthur Orr surprised some by announcing that they wouldn't run. On the Republican side; Insurance Agent and 1994 and 1996 nominee Wayne Parker and attorney Cheryl Baswell Guthrie are going to a runoff, with Parker considered the strong favorite to be the nominee. The Democratic nominee is state Senator Parker Griffith. Cramer originally indicated that he doesn't have a preferred successor and has not entirely ruled out endorsing a Republican, but on April 8, he endorsed Griffith.

Alaska

Main article: United States House of Representatives election in Alaska, 2008

• Alaska's at-large congressional district: Incumbent Don Young (R), who is often referred to as "Alaska's third Senator" since the district he represents covers the entire state, will most likely stand for reelection. Young will be 75 in 2008. Once considered politically secure, Young recently became the target of a serious corruption investigation involving the misuse of campaign funds. Young's age, alleged corruption, and stance on federal pork has now made him a likely target for both parties. Recently, State Representative Gabrielle LeDoux has announced she will challenge Young in the GOP primary. Lt. Governor Sean Parnell will also challenge Young in the primary. A strong primary challenge was once rumored from State Sen. Lesil McGuire until McGuire became the target of an ethics investigation as well. Among Democrats, former state Representative Ethan Berkowitz, the 2006 nominee for Lieutenant Governor, has announced, as has 2006 Democratic Party nominee Diane Benson who received over 40% of the vote (93,879) in the last election against Young's 56% (132,743). Bush won 61% of the vote here in 2004 (CPVI=R+14). A December 11, 2007 poll has Young trailing Berkowitz 49% to 42%.

Arizona

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona, 2008

• Arizona's 1st congressional district: In August 2007, incumbent Rick Renzi (R) announced he would not seek re-election, four months after the FBI raided Renzi's family business as part of a federal investigation. Renzi received only 52% of the vote against his Democratic opponent – Sedona civil rights attorney Ellen Simon – in 2006; George W. Bush won 54% of the vote in this northern Arizona district in 2004 (CPVI=R+2). So far, Winslow Mayor Allan Affeldt, attorney Howard Shanker, state Representative Ann Kirkpatrick and publisher and former Phoenix TV newscaster Mary Kim Titla are declared candidates. (Simon had announced her intention to run again, but then dropped out in May 2007, citing personal reasons.) The DCCC has talked with attorney Jim Ledbetter. Other potential Democratic candidates include Arizona Department of Environmental Quality director Steve Owens; 2006 U.S. Senate candidate and wealthy real estate developer Jim Pederson, former Casa Grande mayor Bob Mitchell, who is the brother of Democratic Congressman Harry Mitchell; and Pinal County attorney Carter Olson. On the Republican side of the aisle, public affairs consultant Sydney Ann Hay, who ran unsuccessfully in 2002, has announced her candidacy, as has state Representative Lucy Mason. Other potential Republican candidates include state Corporation Commissioner Kristen Mayes, state Senator Tom O'Halloran, and former Navajo County Supervisor Lewis Tenney.

• Arizona's 3rd congressional district: Outspoken conservative John Shadegg (R) had announced that he would not be a candidate for reelection, however, ten days later, announced that he would seek reelection. The district votes Republican in most elections. Democratic tax attorney Bob Lord outraised Shadegg in the first quarter of 2007 and even has more cash on hand than Shadegg, which could result in an unusually competitive race. Shadegg is being challenged in the primary by former State Representative Steve May. Shadegg's 2006 opponent, consultant Herb Paine, has announced his support for Independent candidate Annie Loyd. Libertarian Mark Yannone is also running.

• Arizona's 5th congressional district: Freshman Harry Mitchell (D) unseated conservative J.D. Hayworth (R) by 50% to 47% in this Republican-leaning district (CPVI=R+4) in the northeastern Phoenix suburbs that gave George W. Bush 54% of the vote in 2004. The largely Republican nature of this district make a tough 2008 race likely, though Mitchell, who has a government complex in Tempe named after him, has won a lot of tough elections in the past. He will be seriously opposed in 2008. Former state Representative Laura Knaperek, Maricopa County Treasurer David Schweikert, state Representative Mark Anderson and attorney Jim Ogsbury have announced their candidacies.

• Arizona's 8th congressional district: Gabrielle Giffords (D) defeated conservative Randy Graf (R) by a 54% to 42% margin in 2006. Giffords could have a difficult re-election bid now that State Senate President Tim Bee has announced his candidacy and is supported by moderate former Rep. Jim Kolbe. Bush narrowly won here with 52% to 47% for John Kerry in 2004 (CPVI=R+1). Afghanistan Veteran Derek Tidball is also running as an Independent.

California

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2008

• California's 4th congressional district: On January 10 2008, nine-term incumbent John Doolittle (R) announced he would retire when his term expires in 2009, to the relief of his fellow Republicans. He has been associated with the corruption scandals of Jack Abramoff and defense contractor Brent Wilkes. In 2006, Doolittle received only 49% of the vote compared to 46% for his opponent, retired Lt. Colonel and War Veteran Charlie Brown (D). Brown is again the Democratic nominee. The FBI raided Doolitte's home in April 2007 in search of incriminating evidence, and speculation abounds that Doolittle will be indicted. This district leans Republican - George W. Bush won 61% here in 2004 (CPVI=R+11) - and normally could be expected to be a safe seat for the GOP. However, many pundits believed Doolittle faced almost certain defeat if he ran again. The Republican nominee is State Senator Tom McClintock, a conservative who was ran near-successful races for state Controller in 1994 and 2002.

• California's 8th congressional district: This seat, held by house Speaker Nancy Pelosi, is considered relatively safe for the Democrats in any election year. The Republican nominee is Businesswoman and community leader Dana Walsh. However, prominent anti-war activist and "Peace Mom" Cindy Sheehan has declared as a "People before Politics" Independent candidate and will be challenging Pelosi this fall. It is unclear what impact this will have on the race, but many believe this will be an interesting race to watch. Pelosi is very popular and most pundits believe Sheehan has little to no chance of winning.

• California's 11th congressional district: Republicans will look to oppose Jerry McNerney (D), who defeated scandal-plagued incumbent Richard Pombo in 2006 with 53%. The district includes portions of the rural Sacramento Valley, as well as parts of the East Bay. It has a slight Republican lean (CPVI=R+3), but has become more Democratic recently with the arrival of transplants from the Bay Area. Pombo has ruled out a rematch. Former Assemblyman Dean Andal is the Republican nominee. Bush won here with 54% to 46% in 2004.

• California's 46th congressional district: Incumbent Dana Rohrabacher has won by wide margins in past elections and represents a fairly safe district. The district covers parts of Orange County and Los Angeles County including the cites of Huntington Beach, Rancho Palos Verdes and Costa Mesa. In 2008 however he faces a potentially formidable opponent in Huntington Beach Mayor Debbie Cook, who is well known throughout the district.

• California's 52nd congressional district: This race is for an open seat, being vacated by former Republican presidential nominee, Representative Duncan Hunter. The Republican nominee is Iraq War Veteran C.P.T. Duncan Duane Hunter Jr. The Democratic nominee is Iraq War Veteran C.M.D.R. Mike Lumpkin. The Libertarian nominee is 2002 congressional candidate Mike Benoit.

Colorado

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections in Colorado, 2008

• Colorado's 2nd congressional district: With the retirement of Senator Wayne Allard, popular incumbent Mark Udall (D) will run for Senate, which will leave an open seat in this district. However, Democrats hold a strong edge in this district (John Kerry won 59% here, CPVI=D+8), as it is centered around heavily Democratic Boulder. Announced candidates include state Senate President Joan Fitz-Gerald, Colorado Conservation Trust Director Will Shafroth, and businessman Jared Polis. Among Republicans, former Eagle County Commissioner Tom Stone is a possible candidate. Boulder Mayor Mark Ruzzin may choose to run as the Green Party candidate. Internet Businessman Bill Hammons is also running as the Unity Party candidate.

• Colorado's 3rd congressional district: Incumbent John Salazar (D) could face a tough reelection race this year. The district leans Republican and George W. Bush received 55% of the vote here in 2004 (CPVI=R+4). Salazar defeated Republican Scott Tipton in the Democratic landslide in 2006. Delta County Commissioner Wayne Wolf (R) dropped his bid for the U.S. Senate and has decided to run for the Republican nomination to face Salazar, although he faces an uphill battle.

• Colorado's 4th congressional district: Conservative Marilyn Musgrave (R), known for her staunch opposition to gay marriage, won only after winning a plurality (46%) of the vote against Angie Paccione (D) and a strong Reform Party challenge from Eric Eidsness, who got 11% of the vote. That, along with her 51% showing in 2004 despite George W. Bush winning 58% of the vote in this eastern Colorado district that includes the Fort Collins area (CPVI=R+9), could make her vulnerable in 2008. Democrats suffered a setback when state Sen. Brandon Schaffer dropped out, citing his party's failure to clear the field. The only declared Democratic candidate is Betsy Markey, businesswoman and regional director for U.S. Sen. Ken Salazar . Also, Eidsness recently switched again (life-long Republican to Reform Party last year) and became a Democrat, which could have fueled a potential rematch with Musgrave in 2008 but he announced he would not run. 2006 nominee Angie Paccione briefly launched a campaign as well, but left the race in September 2007.

• Colorado's 5th congressional district: Freshman Doug Lamborn (R) could face a primary challenge from a more moderate Republican with similarities to the district's previous representative, Joel Hefley. Lamborn narrowly won a nasty multi-candidate primary in 2006 and despite worries of vulnerability (Hefley did not endorse Lamborn citing his "sleazy" campaign), still won by a 59% to 41% margin, less than normal for a Republican in that area, but still comfortable. The district is based in heavily Republican Colorado Springs (CPVI=R+16). Jeff Crank, who (in 2006) very narrowly lost the GOP primary to Lamborn despite Hefley's endorsement, might challenge Lamborn in the 2008 primary for this seat. Recently, Lamborn got bad press when two constituents accused him of making a threatening phone call in response to a critical letter they wrote. In early October 2007, retired Major General Bentley Rayburn, who finished third place in the 2006 Republican primary, announced that he would also run again in 2008. Independent Rich Hand is also running.

• Colorado's 6th congressional district: This seat will become open in 2008 as Tom Tancredo (R) is retiring to run for president. The district includes suburbs of Denver. However, Tancredo's seat is considered to be the most Republican-dominated district of the Denver-area seats (CPVI=R+10) (and also one of the wealthiest in the nation). Tancredo was the second highest vote getter for a Republican congressional candidate statewide (59%-40%) in 2006, just behind Doug Lamborn in the 5th district. The district includes Columbine High School, which was devastated in a tragic 1999 school massacre, although Democratic attempts to target him on his outspoken views on gun rights in the 2000 election came up short (he prevailed 53% to 44%). Colorado Secretary of State Mike Coffman (R) and businessman Will Armstrong have announced their candidacy. Other Republican candidates include state Sen. Ted Harvey, state Sen. Tom Wiens, and possibly state House Minority Leader David Balmer and former Lieutenant Governor Jane Norton.

• Colorado's 7th congressional district: Freshmen Ed Perlmutter (D) won 55% of the vote in this suburban Denver district that narrowly went to John Kerry with 52% in 2004 (CPVI=D+2). The district's voter registration is split, with independents constituting a slim plurality of 35% compared to Democrats (34%) and Republicans (31%). In spite of the marginal nature of the district, no Republican has announced yet.

Connecticut

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut, 2008

• Connecticut's 2nd congressional district: In one of the closest U.S. House races of 2006, Joe Courtney (D) unseated three-term incumbent Rob Simmons by 82 votes. Courtney's chance at reelection increased when Simmons decided against a rematch. Republicans mentioned as possible challengers include Bozrah First Selectman Keith Robbins. Former Groton sub base commander Sean Sullivan has announced his candidacy. However, John Kerry won 55% here in 2004 (CPVI=D+8), so Courtney may be hard to unseat, especially in a presidential year. Former State Department Of Environmental Protection scientist Scott Deshefy is running as a Green Party candidate, Todd Vachon as a Socialist Party candidate, and Dan Reale as a Libertarian.

• Connecticut's 4th congressional district: Chris Shays (R) won 51% of the vote in 2006 and 52% in 2004 in a district that went to John Kerry with 53% in 2004 (CPVI=D+5). In September, 2007, Shays indicated that if he was not given the top Republican seat on the Governmental Oversight Committee, he would retire. The only Republican House member in New England, he will likely be a top target of Democrats if he runs in 2008. Former Goldman Sachs executive and community activist Jim Himes announced his candidacy in April 2007. 2006 U.S. Senate candidate Ned Lamont may run, although he lost in this district to incumbent Senator Joe Lieberman, whom Shays had endorsed. Other possible Democratic candidates include state Senators Bob Duff and Andrew MacDonald. Former professional hockey player Mike Richter, once considered a possible candidate, has announced that he is not interested in running in 2008. Lowell P. Weicker, Jr. may also try to reclaim his old seat. Richard Z. Duffee is running again as the Green Party Candidate after withdrawing form the 2006 race.

• Connecticut's 5th congressional district: Arguably the most conservative district in Connecticut - although it went to John Kerry with 50% to 48% in 2004 (CPVI=D+4). Freshman Chris Murphy (D) could be vulnerable, despite having unseated 24-year incumbent Nancy Johnson with 56% of the vote in 2006. State Senator David Cappiello (R) has announced that he will run, and state Senator Sam Caligiuri may run as well. GOP state chairman Chris Healy dismissed claims that Murphy's large campaign warchest of $420,000 in the first quarter of 2007 may scare off potential challengers, as Cappiello filed as a candidate in April 2007. National Republicans have begun running radio ads in the summer of 2007 claiming Murphy has adopted special interest fundraising politics he had claimed to oppose. In addition, Cappiello has accused Murphy of missing important votes. Canton, Attorney Harold Burbank is running as a Green Party candidate.

Florida

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2008

• Florida's 5th congressional district: Moderate Ginny Brown-Waite (R) has attracted a serious primary challenger in this sprawling Nature Coast district. As of November, Jim King has already begun a media campaign attacking Brown-Waite from the right and appealing to the conservative Christians who exert a serious influence in the local Republican Party. While King remains a longshot to unseat Brown-Waite, a lengthy and divisive primary campaign of this sort has the potential to drain the incumbent's campaign resources, splinter her support, and cause her to take up more conservative stances that would appeal less to moderate voters in the general election. Of the three Democrats who have filed to challenge Brown-Waite in November, health care worker and local activist John Russell, who received 40% against Brown-Waite in the 2006 election, will likely be the nominee, hoping to capitalize on Brown-Waite's difficult primary, her modest fundraising, and recent demographic changes in this high-growth area. (CPVI=R+5)

• Florida's 8th congressional district: In 2006, incumbent Ric Keller (R), author of the "Cheeseburger Bill", was reelected by less than expected. Orlando businessman Charlie Stuart, who polled 46%, is running again in 2008. After the November 2006 election, Keller announced that he would break his 2000 pledge to serve only four terms. Because of this, conservative radio host Todd Long is challenging Keller in the Republican primary, as is retired Marine Corps officer Bob Hering and Republican candidate Greg Lewis. Former state prosecutor Mike Smith (D) is also challenging Keller. George W. Bush won the district in 2004 with 55% of the vote (CPVI=R+3).

• Florida's 13th congressional district: Freshman Vern Buchanan (R) was certified as having won his first term by a 369-vote margin over banker Christine Jennings, but Jennings challenged the election in court. Although Buchanan was seated by the House, the House has made no final decision on the matter. Regardless, this is expected to be a competitive race in 2008, though Buchanan is far ahead of Jennings in fundraising and is favored to win by political pundits. In mid-July, Jennings announced she would run again in 2008. To further complicate matters for Jennings, former Democratic Congressional candidate Jan Schneider has filed to run as an Independent. George W. Bush won 56% of the district's vote in 2004 (CPVI=R+4).

• Florida's 15th congressional district: Seven-term incumbent Dave Weldon had easily won re-election contests for a decade. Weldon is retiring in 2008. This will likely be a competitive race. The only announced Democratic candidate is physician Steve Blythe. Among Republicans, state Sen. Bill Posey has announced his candidacy and has been endorsed by Weldon and the Florida Republican Party. Libertarian Jeffrey Bouffard a Computer Engineer & Army Veteran has also filed to run. Bush won 57% of the vote here in 2004 (CPVI=R+4).

• Florida's 16th congressional district: This is normally a solidly Republican district, so consensus is that Tim Mahoney's 50% to 48% win in 2006 can be attributed to the Mark Foley scandal. The Republican nominee Joe Negron's campaign was harmed by the fact that Foley's name remained on the ballot even though he was not a candidate. Thus Mahoney may have a competitive race in 2008. George W. Bush won this district by a 10-point margin in 2004 (CPVI=R+2). Negron has announced that he will not run again. State Rep. Gayle Harrell (R) has announced her candidacy but faces conservative primary opposition from Palm Beach Gardens City Councilman Hal Valeche, and attorney Tom Rooney. Mahoney has raised about $400,000 for his re-election in the first quarter of 2007.

• Florida's 18th congressional district: Incumbent Ileana Ros-Lehtinen could face a difficult race as her district has been trending Democratic. The district contains many Miami suburbs and the entire Florida Keys. Founder and CEO of LanguageSpeak and Chair of the Women's Enterprise National Council's Leadership Forum Annette Taddeo has announced she will run as a Democrat and has been raising significant sums of money.

• Florida's 21st congressional district: Incumbent Lincoln Diaz-Balart (R) has faced nothing more than token opposition since his first election. But this year, he faces the toughest race of his career. Former Hialeah Mayor Raul L. Martinez (D) is running and he is very well-known in the area. Bush won 57% of the vote here in 2004 (CPVI=R+4).

• Florida's 22nd congressional district: First-term incumbent Ron Klein (D) might face a challenge in this Fort Lauderdale area district that barely went to John Kerry in 2004 (CPVI=D+4). Republicans suffered a setback when Boca Raton Mayor Steven Abrams announced he would not run. Former Army officer and Iraq War veteran Allen West and former Navy pilot Mark Flagg both have announced they are running. Neurosurgeon Robert Brodner and 2006 Connecticut U.S. senatorial candidate Alan Schlesinger are also potential candidates. Mike Prysner an Iraq War veteran, peace activist, and college student is running on the Party for Socialism and Liberation ticket.

• Florida's 24th congressional district: Tom Feeney (R) could have a challenging race in 2008. Feeney's district includes the Orlando suburbs as well as the Space Coast of Florida. Feeney was reelected by 58% to 42%, less than expected especially considering that Feeney reportedly drew the district for himself while serving as speaker of the state house. Democrats have recruited former State Rep. Suzanne Kosmas to challenge Feeney in 2008 . 2006 challenger Clint Curtis will run again. George W. Bush won 55% here in 2004 (CPVI=R+3).

• Florida's 25th congressional district: Incumbent Mario Diaz-Balart (R) faces a challenge from the Miami-Dade County Democratic Party chairman, Joe Garcia, a former executive director of the Cuban American National Foundation (CANF).

Georgia

• Georgia's 8th congressional district: Jim Marshall (D) survived a challenge from former Republican congressman Mac Collins in 2006 by 1,752 votes and will face a tough re-election bid in 2008, which might prompt him to challenge U.S. Senator Saxby Chambliss for his U.S. Senate seat instead. Marshall faces a primary challenge from music teacher Robert Nowak. On the Republican side, retired Air Force Major General Rick Goddard has announced that he would run, and his background may have great appeal in a district with a large number of veterans, though Marshall's own military background and well-established credibility on military issues may cancel this out somewhat. The present district, which was implemented starting with the 2006 election, would have given George W. Bush 61% of the vote in 2004 (CPVI=R+8). Other potential Republican candidates are state Senator Ross Tolleson, state Senator Cecil Staton and former congressman Mac Collins.

• Georgia's 10th congressional district: In a 2007 special election, physician Paul Broun, a Republican with libertarian views, won a stunning upset in a non-partisan runoff. Now Broun will face a July 17 Republican primary field and has drawn strong opposition. State Representative Barry Fleming has announced his candidacy and has raised more money than the incumbent. Democrat/Iraq War Veteran Bobby Saxon is challenging Broun. An independent candidate, James P. Mason, needs over 17,000 petitions to qualify.

• Georgia's 12th congressional district: John Barrow (D) may face a tough challenge from Republicans in 2008 after an 864-vote win over former Rep. Max Burns (R) in their 2006 rematch. Barrow had defeated then-incumbent Burns in 2004 with 52% of the vote, but in 2007 Burns accepted a job with North Georgia College and State University, making a second rematch unlikely. The present district, which was implemented starting with the 2006 election, would have given John Kerry 51% in 2004 (CPVI=D+2). Barrow is facing a primary challenge from State Senator Regina Thomas. Republican former Augusta Mayor Bob Young may challenge Barrow. Iraq War veteran Chris Edenfield, lobbyist and former congressional aide Karen Bogans, mechanical engineer and former presidential candidate Ray McKinney and radio announcer and former congressional aide John Stone have all announced their candidacies.

Idaho

• Idaho's 1st congressional district: Conservative Republican Bill Sali won this open seat race with 49.9 percent of the vote in 2006, a mediocre showing at best in this heavily Republican district that gave Bush 68 percent in 2004 (CPVI=R+19). Also, as a member of the Idaho Legislature Sali caused considerable controversy by repeatedly citing a link between breast cancer and abortion without being able to provide evidence. Although Sali was elected the GOP freshman leader in the House, his term in Washington thus far has been relatively quiet. Sali defeated Iraq War veteran Matt Salisbury in the March 27 primary.. Walt Minnick, an Army Veteran Boise businessman and the Democratic Idaho U.S. Senate nominee in 1996 is the Democratic nominee. All this, combined with a more competitive political landscape in the rapidly growing Boise area (where Democrats picked up five seats in the Idaho Legislature in 2006), may make this race worth watching in 2008.

Illinois

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections in Illinois, 2008

• Illinois's 6th congressional district: Freshman Peter Roskam (R) won his first term in Congress by a close 51% to 49% margin. This west suburban district was once solidly Republican, but has become more Democratic in recent years. It narrowly went to George W. Bush with 53% to 47% in 2004 (CPVI=R+3). Roskam will face Democrat Jill Morgenthaler, a retired U.S. Army Reserve Colonel and Iraq war veteran.

• Illinois's 8th congressional district: Melissa Bean (D) gained national attention by toppling longtime incumbent Phil Crane in 2004. However, the 8th is considered the most Republican of the Chicago suburban districts (and by some accounts, all of Illinois), and Bean has had a perennial spot on Republican target lists. Bean will face at least two challengers, Republican businessman, and former professional hockey player Steve Greenberg and Green Party candidate Iain Abernathy in the general election.

• Illinois's 10th congressional district: Mark Kirk (R) survived a surprisingly close race in 2006, winning by 53% to 47%. The district, the state's wealthiest, went for John Kerry with 54% in 2004 (CPVI=D+4). In December 2006, Kirk disclaimed any interest in the 2008 U.S. Senate race against the Democratic incumbent, Dick Durbin. Kirk will again face his 2006 opponent, Dan Seals, who won the Democratic primary with 81% against a credible opponent. David Kalbfleisch the founder of the Arlington Heights chapter of the Green Party has announced that he will run for the seat. Kalbfleisch is a Navy veteran and member of Iraq Veterans Against the War.

• Illinois's 11th congressional district: Jerry Weller will be retiring at the end of his seventh term. Weller (R) won 55% of the vote in a district that narrowly went for George W. Bush in 2004 with 53% to 47% for John Kerry (CPVI=R+1). The Republican nominee was New Lenox Mayor Tim Baldermann, but he announced in February that he was dropping out of the race. Local businessman Martin Ozinga was chosen to replace Baldermann as the Republican candidate. State Senate Majority Leader Debbie Halvorson is the Democratic nominee. Jason Wallace, a veteran of the Iraq War and chair of the IBHE-SAC, is running as a Green Party candidate.

• Illinois's 14th congressional district: Democrat Bill Foster won this seat in a special election after former Republican Speaker of the House Dennis Hastert resigned. The Republican nominee is businessman Jim Oberweis, whom Foster defeated in the special election 53%–47%. Robert Hill is also running as the nominee of the Green Party. George W. Bush won this district with 55% of the vote in 2004 (CPVI= R+5).

See also: Illinois's 14th congressional district special election, 2008

• Illinois's 16th congressional district: Donald Manzullo (R) defeated a one-term Democratic incumbent in 1992 and has not had a difficult contest since. However, he may face a serious opponent in Robert G. Abboud (D), the Village President of Barrington Hills, a wealthy Chicago suburb. Abboud is the president of RGA Labs Inc. and reportedly quite wealthy. Bush won here with 55% to 45% in 2004 (CPVI=R+4). Scott Summers who was elected as a trustee of McHenry County College in 2005 is running as the Green Party candidate..

• Illinois's 18th congressional district: Ray LaHood (R) has announced that he will not seek reelection in 2008 The district, based in Peoria, was once represented by former House Minority Leader Bob Michel. The district leans Republican, but not overwhelmingly so (CPVI=R+5). State Representative Aaron Schock (R) won the Republican nomination. The Democratic nominee is news personality Colleen Callahan. The Green Party candidate is Sheldon Schafer.

Indiana

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana, 2008

• Indiana's 2nd congressional district: In 2006, Joe Donnelly (D) won by 54% to 46% in this swing district that went to Bush with 55% of the vote in 2004 (CPVI=R+4), largely as a result of displeasure with the GOP both nationally and at the state level. Small business owner Luke Puckett, is the Republican nominee.

• Indiana's 7th congressional district: On December 15, 2007, incumbent Julia Carson (D) died. Carson's grandson and Indianapolis City-County Council member André Carson, was elected to fill this seat. (See Indiana's 7th congressional district special election, 2008). The district is centered around urban Indianapolis and leans Democratic, however, Republicans scored a major upset in last year's Indianapolis mayoral election with Greg Ballard defeating eight year incumbent Bart Peterson. Kerry won 58% here (CPVI=D+9). Carson defeated Democratic challengers, State Representative David Orentlicher, State Representative Carolene Mays, and former State Health Commissioner Woodrow Myers in the primary. Carson is currently running unopposed.

• Indiana's 8th congressional district: In 2006, freshman Brad Ellsworth (D) unseated John Hostettler (R) by 61% to 39%, surprising even his fellow Democrats by the margin. He will be a formidable candidate for reelection, but no incumbent can rest easy in this district, known as "The Bloody 8th" for its history of rejecting incumbents and hotly contested races. Greg Goode, a government affairs official at Indiana State, is the Republican nominee. Bush won 61% here to 39% in 2004 (CPVI=R+9).

• Indiana's 9th congressional district: Baron Hill (D) narrowly won his old job back by 50% to 46% in 2006. The district went to George W. Bush with 59% of the vote in 2004 (CPVI=R+7). Hill and Mike Sodrel (R) have faced off in three consecutive elections, Hill winning the first and third and Sodrel the second on a recount, so the outcome in 2008 is anything but certain. To the delight and relief of his fellow Republicans, Sodrel is running again. Eric Schansberg the 2006 Libertarian candidate has announced he is again seeking his party's nomination.

Iowa

• Iowa's 1st congressional district: Liberal incumbent Bruce Braley won this northeastern Iowa district in 2006, winning by 55% to 43% after incumbent Republican Jim Nussle ran unsuccessfully for Governor. The district, which includes the communities of Dubuque, Waterloo, and Davenport, leans slightly to the Democrats, but elected Republicans for 28 years before Braley's election. The Republican nominee is state Senator David Hartsuch.

• Iowa's 2nd congressional district: In 2006, David Loebsack (D) unseated thirty-year incumbent Jim Leach to win by just over 5,000 votes. Loebsack will be challenged this year, although his popularity remains high, in this Democratic-leaning district. In the Republican primary, opthamologist and veteran Mariannette Miller-Meeks appears to have defeated conservative funeral director Peter Teahen by 109 votes, but a recount looks likely.

• Iowa's 3rd congressional district: In 2006, incumbent Democrat Leonard Boswell had a surprisingly difficult reelection, winning reelection by 52% to 46%. In the primary, Boswell defeated Liberal former state Representative Ed Fallon, who ran for Governor in 2006, by a 60% to 40% margin. Former Congressional aide Kim Schmett (R) is the Republican nominee.

• Iowa's 4th congressional district: Tom Latham (R) Despite the ever-so-slight Democratic advantage in the district, Republican incumbent Tom Latham has never experienced any particular difficulty getting reelected. This time around is shaping up to be more of the same. Community and party activist Becky Greenwald is the Democratic nominee.

Kansas

• Kansas's 2nd congressional district: Nancy Boyda (D) narrowly upset Jim Ryun (R) in 2006. Her district gave Bush 58% to 40% in 2004 (CPVI=R+7), and she could be vulnerable, as her victory was aided by infighting between the moderate and conservative factions of the state GOP, which hurt turnout for Ryun. On January 29, 2007, Ryun announced that he would challenge Boyda for his old seat in 2008. However, in 2006, Ryun was damaged over a Washington, D.C. real estate purchase and Boyda may very well revive the issue. More recently, state Treasurer Lynn Jenkins (R) announced that she would also run, but conservatives dislike her. Another possible candidate is state Rep Lee Tafanelli (R), an Iraq War veteran. The campaign for the GOP nomination has already turned nasty, with Jenkins accusing Ryun of having ties to convicted lobbyist Jack Abramoff.

• Kansas's 3rd congressional district: Dennis Moore (D) represents a district that voted for Bush with 55% to 45% in 2004 (CPVI=R+7). It is centered around the western suburbs of Kansas City, including Overland Park, and heavily Democratic Lawrence, home of the University of Kansas. Moore won easily in 2006, but had difficulty in winning his previous four terms. He faces another tough race in 2008. State Senator Nick Jordan (R), who is supported by both conservatives and moderates, announced on August 21 that he will run.

Kentucky

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky, 2008

• Kentucky's 2nd congressional district: Incumbent Ron Lewis withdrew his reelection bid hours before the filing deadline, to the surprise of many in his party. It was believed that he intended to be succeeded by his Chief of Staff, Daniel London. However, state Senator Brett Guthrie learned of Lewis's retirement just before the deadline, and filed himself . After Guthrie won some key endorsements, London withdrew from the race. leaving Guthrie unopposed for the Republican nomination. State Senator David Boswell is the Democratic nominee.

• Kentucky's 3rd congressional district: Incumbent Democrat John Yarmuth narrowly unseated Republican Anne Northup in 2006 with 51%. Northup will try to regain this Louisville-centered district she held for 10 years. John Kerry won this district with 52% in 2004 (CPVI=D+2).

Louisiana

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana, 2008

• Louisiana's 2nd congressional district: Incumbent Bill Jefferson has been indicted on 16 counts of corruption, and as a result it is possible that he will not seek reelection. Even if he does seek reelection, he may face serious opposition in the Democratic primary. The district includes nearly all of New Orleans and some of its suburbs. Possible Democratic candidates include State Senator and Speaker Pro Tempore of the Louisiana House of Representatives Karen Carter and New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin.

• Louisiana's 4th congressional district: Incumbent Jim McCrery is retriring. The district contains northwestern Louisiana, including the cities of Shreveport, DeRidder, and Natchitoches. The district usually, but not reliably, votes Republican, as Bill Clinton won it comfortably in 1996. Republican candidates include former Webster Perish coroner, businessman, physician John Fleming, Attorney Jeff Thompson and trucking company executive Chris Gorman. On the Democratic side, Patti Cox, local party organizer and environmental consultant and 2006 candidate, might run again. The Democratic candidates are Caddo Parish District Attorney Paul Carmouche, Attorney Willie Banks Jr., and John Milkovich, an attorney from Shreveport, who took almost 30% for the votes in 2002 against McCrery.

• Louisiana's 6th congressional district: Democrat Don Cazayoux defeated Republican Woody Jenkins 49%–46% in a special election in order to succeed Republican Richard Baker. Given Cazayoux's narrow margin of victory and the Republican-leaning nature of the district (Bush won 59% here in 2004), it is expected that Cazayoux will be a GOP target as he runs for his first full term. It is unclear whether Jenkins will seek a rematch. Other possible Republican candidates include State Representative Hunter Greene, former Baker aide Paul Sawyer, Navy veteran Michael Cloonan, Baton Rouge Metro Council members David Bonero and Mike Walker and Livingston Parish Assessor Jeff Taylor. Democratic state representative Michael Jackson announced that he would run as an independent after Cazayoux defeated him in the primary.

Maine

• Maine's 1st congressional district: Incumbent Tom Allen is running for the U.S. Senate seat held by Republican Susan Collins in 2008. Democrats would be favored to hold this seat but would not be assured of victory; John Kerry won 55% here in 2004 (CPVI=D+6). Former Common Cause President and Fmr. Maine Senate Majority Leader Chellie Pingree, who ran against Collins in 2002 is the Democratic nominee On the Republican side, former state Senator, Northeast Small Business Administration Director and Iraq War veteran Charlie Summers, who ran against Allen in 2004 is the Republican nominee.

Maryland

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland, 2008

• Maryland's 1st congressional district: In a surprise, Wayne Gilchrest (R) was defeated in the Republican primary by conservative state Senator Andy Harris. Gilchrest is a liberal to moderate Republican and voted for the bill to set a timetable on the Iraq War. Only 2 Republicans voted for the bill, which passed 218-to-212, and also voted on April 25, 2007 for another Democratic Iraq War bill which passed 218-208. State Senator Andrew P. Harris was endorsed by the Club for Growth, former Governor Bob Ehrlich seven of eight state senators who represent parts of the district, and House Minority leader Anthony J. O'Donnell. The Democratic nominee is Queen Anne's County State Attorney Frank Kratovil Jr., who was endorsed by Governor Martin O'Malley, and Maryland Comptroller Peter Franchot. George W. Bush won with 62% here in 2004 (CPVI=R+10). A 2008-02-14 poll found Harris with a 37%-to-22% lead over Kratovil.

• Maryland's 4th congressional district: After edging out political upstart Donna Edwards in 2006, Democratic Congressman Al Wynn (D) was soundly defeated by her in the Democratic primary in 2008. The primary had become increasingly negative, with Edwards accusing Wynn of supporting special interest legislation and Wynn accusing Edwards of failing to pay taxes during the 1990s. Wynn resigned in June to take up a job at a lobbying firm. Edwards was then elected in a special election for the seat. In the November general elections, Edwards will face Republican Peter James and Green Party candidate Brian Crider though the district is overwhelmingly Democratic (CPVI=D+30).

Massachusetts

• Massachusetts's 5th congressional district: Martin T. Meehan (D) resigned on July 1, 2007, leaving vacant the seat that he had held since January 1993. A special election was held on October 16, 2007. Niki Tsongas (D), widow of former Congressman and Senator Paul Tsongas, faced Republican Jim Ogonowski, brother of 9/11 Pilot John Ogonowski, Kurt Hayes (U, Independent), Patrick Murphy (U, Independent), and Kevin Thompson (Constitution Party). Tsongas won by 51% to Ogonowski with 45%. Kurt Hayes is running for the Republican nomination and Eileen Donoghue (D) who has been mentioned as running an independent campaign.

Michigan

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan, 2008

• Michigan's 7th congressional district: Tim Walberg (R) won this Republican-leaning district (which went to Bush with 54% to 45% in 2004) (CPVI=R+2) with 49.93% of the vote in 2006 after defeating freshman incumbent Joe Schwarz in the Republican primary with financial backing from the conservative Club for Growth. Walberg faces a tough race in 2008 as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has targeted his seat. 2006 nominee Sharon Reiner is running again. State Senate Minority Leader Mark Schauer will also run.

• Michigan's 9th congressional district: In January 2006, Joe Knollenberg (R) announced his intent to seek re-election in 2008. Knollenberg spent $2.7 million to keep his seat in the House. Although his past Democratic opponents have not received support from the national party, the seat has now been identified as a "target" for the Democrats in 2008, as the DCCC is targeting districts where Republicans garnered less than 55% of the vote. Knollenberg, who will be 75 in 2008, won only 52% of the vote in 2006 in this eastern Oakland County district that gave George W. Bush only 50% of the vote in 2004 (CPVI=R+0) and is far from the Republican stronghold it once was. The district was once the most Republican in Metro Detroit, having sent Knollenberg's predecessor, Republican Bill Broomfield, to Congress for 36 years. The only Democrat to officially run is state Lottery Commissioner Gary Peters, the 2002 Democratic nominee for state Attorney General and former State Senator. Radio talk show hostess Nancy Skinner, who was Knollenberg's 2006 opponent, decided not to run. Controversial and well known pathologist Dr. Jack Kevorkian announced he is running as an independent candidate.
• Michigan's 13th congressional district: In the only race in Michigan with an incumbent facing a strong party primary challenge, Democrat Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick is facing two challengers in the Michigan party primary to be held on August 5. One is state senator Martha Scott and the other is former state senator Mary Waters. The competitive party primary race is due to complications Cheeks Kilpatrick is facing due to the legal problems of her son, Detroit mayor Kwame Kilpatrick.

Minnesota

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, 2008

• Minnesota's 1st congressional district: Bush barely won this southern Minnesota district with 51% to 48% for John Kerry in 2004 (CPVI=R+0), which DFLer Tim Walz won in 2006. Walz could face a tough race, as he unseated 12-year incumbent Republican Gil Gutknecht by 53% to 47%. Another potential Republican candidate is Lieutenant Governor Carol Molnau. Former state Senate Minority Leader Dick Day and state Representative Randy Demmer have announced their candidacies.

• Minnesota's 3rd congressional district: Jim Ramstad (R) is retiring and will not seek a tenth term; this is likely to be a very tough race as George W. Bush barely won with 51% to 49% for John Kerry in 2004 (CPVI=R+1). Ramstad was reelected in 2006 with 65% to Democrat Wendy Wilde's 35%. Some Democrats think that Ramstad had managed to keep his seat for so long (since 1991) because he had never faced a strong opponent and because of his very moderate social positions. Both parties have rallied around consensus candidates. In a major surprise, Iraq War veteran/Marine Corp Vet Ashwin Madia has won the Democratic nomination. Republican state Representative and former state house majority leader Erik Paulsen has announced his candidacy. This will be a top priority for both Democrats and Republicans. David Dillon of the Independence Party is also running.

• Minnesota's 6th congressional district: Michelle Bachman (R) was one of the GOP's success stories in 2006, defeating Patty Wetterling (DFL) by a larger-than-expected margin. But she recently got bad press when she claimed that Iran had a secret plan to partition Iraq, but was unable to produce evidence. This has won her the attention of the Democrats, who have now targeted her for defeat. One Democrat thinking of running is former state Transportation Commissioner Elwyn Tinklenberg, a moderate who ran in 2006 but lost the nomination to the more liberal Wetterling. Bush won here by 56% to 44% in 2004 (CPVI=R+6). Democrats are trying to recruit State Senator Tarryl Clark or Stearns County Attorney Janelle Kendall to run.

Mississippi

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi, 2008

• Mississippi's 1st congressional district: When incumbent Republican Roger Wicker was appointed to the U.S. Senate, a special election was held to succeed him. In a major upset, Prentiss County Clerk Travis Childers defeated Southaven Mayor Greg Davis by a 52% to 48% margin. In the general election, there will be a rematch. Bush won 62% here in 2004.

• Mississippi's 3rd congressional district: Incumbent Chip Pickering is retiring. The district includes the cities of Meridian, Starkville, Pearl, and Natchez, as well as a portion of Jackson. Bush won the district with 65% of the vote in 2004 (CPVI=R+14). In a surprise result, Rankin County Republican Chairman Gregg Harper defeated former state Senator Charlie Ross in the Republican runoff election. Harper will face Democratic nominee, Pickens Alderman Joel Gill (however, Pickens is actually in the 2nd distict and the Republican will be the favorite to win).

Missouri

• Missouri's 6th congressional district: Democrats hope to wage a competitive campaign against Republican U.S. Representative Sam Graves in a politically varied North Kansas City/St. Joseph district. They have recruited former Kansas City Mayor Kay Barnes, who refused to run in 2006. Barnes announced her candidacy on May 13, 2007. Bush won 57% here in 2004 (CPVI=R+5).

• Missouri's 9th congressional district — Incumbent Kenny Hulshof is retiring to run for Governor of Missouri, after having not faced a serious Congressional challenger in the past five election cycles. The district leans Republican but was Democratic until Hulshof's election in 1996, although redistricting in 2000 made the district slightly more Republican-leaning than it was in the 90s. It includes several western St. Charles County suburbs of St. Louis and a large amount of rural areas (which are normally Republican) but also the Democratic leaning college town of Columbia. State Representative Judy Baker declared first for the seat in December, and was later joined by Marion County Commissioner Lyndon Bode, former state Public Service Commissioner Steve Gaw, and former state Senator Ken Jacob as Democratic candidates upon Hulshof's retirement. On the Republican side, former University of Missouri football star Brock Olivo , state Representative Danielle "Danie" Moore, state Representative Bob Onder, state Tourism Director Blaine Luetkemeyer have announced their candidacies. Bush won 58% here in 2004 (CPVI=R+7).

Nebraska

• Nebraska's 2nd congressional district: In 1999, then freshman incumbent Republican Lee Terry announced that he would break the term-limits pledge he made in his 1998 campaign. This garnered some bad press, but he won three more terms with little trouble. However, in 2006, he won by 55% to 45%, much less than expected in a solidly Republican district. His Democratic opponent in that race, Omaha businessman Jim Esch, is the Democratic nominee to face Terry.

Nevada

• Nevada's 2nd congressional district: Republican Dean Heller was elected to this seat with 50% of the vote in 2006. University of Nevada Regent Jill Derby, his 2006 opponent, who has since become Chair of the Nevada Democratic Party will run again. Bush won 57% here in 2004.

• Nevada's 3rd congressional district: Republican Jon Porter won by only 48% to 46% in 2006 against a former aide to U.S. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, and 54% in 2004. Porter could face another tough race in this suburban Las Vegas district. George W. Bush barely won this district with 50% to 49% for John Kerry in 2004 (CPVI=D+1). Leading Democratic candidates included Fraud Examiner Andrew Martin and Clark County prosecutor Robert Daskas, but Daskas dropped out in late April, citing family concerns. After losing their top candidate, the Democratic Party has quickly recruited Nevada Senate Minority Leader Dina Titus. Also running are Bob Giaquinta of the Green Party, Floyd Fitzgibbons of the Independent American Party, Joseph P. Silvestri of the Libertarian Party, and independent Jeffrey C. Reeves.

New Hampshire

• New Hampshire's 1st congressional district: Democrat Carol Shea-Porter squeaked into Congress by a 51% to 49% margin against incumbent Republican Jeb Bradley in one of the greatest upsets of the 2006 election cycle. In January 2007, Bradley announced his intent to seek a rematch in 2008, and will face Former Assistant Attorney General and Department of Health and Human Services commissioner John Stephen in the Republican primary and businessman, engineer and Iraq Veteran Jim Forsythe. George W. Bush narrowly won her district with 51% to 49% for John Kerry in 2004 (CPVI=R+0). Shea-Porter has continued her very vocal anti-war stance in office and may be fueling Republican interest in regaining the seat.

• New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district: Democrat Paul Hodes upended Republican incumbent Charlie Bass in 2006, taking a 53% to 45% victory in a district John Kerry narrowly won with 52% in 2004 (CPVI=D+3). Given that New Hampshire has traditionally leaned Republican – though it has been trending more Democratic recently – the GOP might look to oppose Hodes. Three Republicans who have announced are radio talk show hostess Jennifer Horn, former Congressional Aide Grant Bosse, state Senator Bob Clegg, and Businessman Jim Steiner. Other possible candidates include former state Senators Bruce Keough and Chuck Morse, venture capitalist Stephen Gray, and former state Representative and 2006 gubernatorial candidate Jim Coburn.

New Jersey

• New Jersey's 1st congressional district: Incumbent Democrat Rob Andrews, in a surprise move on April 2, 2008, announced that he would be challenging incumbent Sen. Frank Lautenberg in the Democratic primary in June. As such, he will no longer be a candidate for his House seat, which is reliably Democratic (CPVI: D+14). Since the filing deadline for primary candidates was April 7th, there was virtually no time for candidates to declare. Camille Andrews, wife of Rob Andrews is the Democratic nominee. The Saints Prison Ministry founder Dale Glading is the Republican nominee.

• New Jersey's 3rd congressional district: Incumbent Republican Jim Saxton has announced that he will retire at the end of his current term.. This district is historically Republican, but George W. Bush barely won with 51% to 49% for John Kerry in 2004 (CPVI=D+3). Also, Al Gore won his district by a significant margin in 2000. Some Democrats think that Saxton had managed to keep his seat for so long (since 1984) because he rarely faced credible opposition. The Republican nominee is Medford Mayor, VP of Lockheed Martin, and Gulf War veteran Chris Myers. State Senator John Adler is the Democratic nominee and could be a formidable candidate.

• New Jersey's 5th congressional district: Incumbent Scott Garrett has been elected by safe margins in the past but in 2006 he only won by 10 points aganist Paul Aronsohn the lowest of his career.The district contains most of Northern New Jersey including the cities of Paramus and Ridgewood. The Democratic nominee is rabbi Dennis G. Shulman.

• New Jersey's 7th congressional district: Republican Mike Ferguson barely won his re-election bid in 2006, edging state Assemblywoman Linda Stender by 50% to 48%. In a major surprise, Ferguson recently announced that he will not run for reelection. George W. Bush narrowly won this district with 53% to 46% for John Kerry in 2004 (CPVI=R+1). The Republican nominee is state Senator (and outgoing Senate Minority Leader) Leonard Lance of Hunterdon County. Assemblywoman Linda Stender is again the Democratic nominee.

New Mexico

• New Mexico's 1st congressional district: The 2006 race between incumbent Republican Heather Wilson and Democratic state Attorney General Patricia Madrid was a cliffhanger, with Wilson being reelected by 861 votes. John Kerry narrowly won this Albuquerque-based district with 52% in 2004 (CPVI=D+2). With the retirement of longtime U.S. Senator Pete Domenici, Wilson is now a candidate for the U.S. Senate. The Democratic nominee is Martin Heinrich (Albuquerque City Councilor). The Republican nominee is Bernalillo County Sheriff Darren White.

• New Mexico's 2nd congressional district: Republican incumbent Steve Pearce has announced his candidacy for the U.S. Senate. This district, covering roughly southeastern New Mexico, is usually Republican-voting, but Democrats sometimes win elections here. The Democratic nominee is Hobbs businessman, civic leader, and former Lea County Commissioner Harry Teague. Bush won here with 58% to 42% for John Kerry in 2004 (CPVI=R+6). The Republican nominee is restaurateur Ed Tinsley,.

Main article: 2008 New Mexico Congressional Election, District 3

• New Mexico's 3rd congressional district: Democratic incumbent Tom Udall has announced he is running for Pete Domenici's open Senate seat, despite earlier ruling it out. The race to fill Udall's House seat could become competitive under certain circumstances, but the Democrats would have the advantage: John Kerry won 54% here (CPVI=D+6). The Democratic nominee is State Public Regulation Commissioner Ben R. Lujan. Lujan's father serves as Speaker of the state House of Representatives. The Republican nominee is small business owner Dan East. Carol Miller a 1997/1998 Green Party candidate is seeking the seat as an independent.

New York

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections in New York, 2008

• New York's 13th congressional district: This Staten Island district is by far the most conservative part of New York City, but it still votes for Democrats in many elections. Republican incumbent Vito Fossella has won by solid margins since first being elected in a 1997 special election. But he was recently arrested on drunk driving charges, which led to the revelation that he had an illegitimate child by a mistress. On May 20, 2008, Fossella announced he would not seek another term, giving ample time for others to decide to run by the September primary. Other local Republicans are already taking a look at running, including NY1 Newsanchor Lisa Giovinazzo , City Councilman Vincent Ignizio and Fmr. Rep. Susan Molinari. Among Democrats, attorney Steve Harrison and City Councilman Domenic Recchia are running. Other potential Democratic candidates New York State Assembly members Janele Hyer-Spencer and Mike Cusick.

• New York's 19th congressional district: Populist folk singer John Hall (D) won a major upset by some 6,000 votes in 2006, defeating long time incumbent Sue Kelly (R) in this historically Republican district by 51% to 49%. George W. Bush won this district in the Hudson Valley that is home to West Point with 53% of the vote to 45% of the vote for John Kerry in 2004 (CPVI=R+1). Republicans thought they had an excellent chance at unseating Hall with the candidacy of Federal Retirement Thrift Investment Board Chairman Andrew Saul, a wealthy businessman who had outraised Hall during the second quarter of 2007. Saul, later dropped out of the race in November of 2007. Westchester County Legislator George Oros announced that he would be a candidate, and noted his history of winning elections in a Democratic-leaning constituency since 1995. Iraq War veteran Kieran Lalor, a conservative and strong proponent of the war in Iraq, was also running for the Republican nod, and ex-Congressman and perennial candidate Joseph J. DioGuardi threw his hat into the ring a week prior to the Republican convention. On May 22, 2008, Republican delegates from each of the five counties represented in the 19th district met in Mahopac, New York to endorse a candidate, and chose candidate Lalor. The NRCC has had difficulty recruiting a top-tier candidate for this historically Republican district.

• New York's 20th congressional district: Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand defeated Republican incumbent John Sweeney in 2006 by 53% to 47%, the same margin with which George W. Bush won this district, which includes the north Hudson Valley and Saratoga Springs, in 2004 (CPVI=R+3). Republicans have identified Gillibrand as a top target for 2008, as they believe that Sweeney's personal issues caused his defeat, not a change in voter behavior in this traditional GOP stronghold. Also, Gillibrand's victory was the 15th Democratic pickup that resulted in the Democrats' takeover of the House, as her party needed 15 seats to take over. Gillibrand is drawing a primary challenge from Democrat Morris Guller. Her vulnerability has drawn numerous potential candidates to challenge her in the general election. Former New York Secretary of State Alexander Treadwell who also served as Chairman of the state GOP, and former Army speical forces member Michael R. Rocque have announced their candidacies. Gillibrand has raised over half a million dollars so far for her re-election, a total matched by Treadwell, who will have a difficult campaign ahead of him to stand out amongst a crowded field. Matt Funicello of the Green Party has also filed to run.

• New York's 21st congressional district: Incumbent Mike McNulty (D) announced in October of 2007 that he is retiring after 10 terms. This predominately urban district includes the cities of Albany, Schenectady, Troy, Amsterdam, Green Island, Gloversville and Johnstown. John Kerry won by 54% to 44% here in 2004 (CPVI=D+8). In a surprise, Schenectady Mayor Brian Stratton, whose father, Sam Stratton was McNulty's predecessor in Congress, will not be a candidate. The only announced Democratic candidates are Capitol Region Director for Sen. Clinton Tracey Brooks, who has been endorsed by Green Island Mayor and sister of Mike McNulty, Ellen McNulty, as well as his father Jack McNulty. Albany County Legislator Phillip Steck is also running as well as the Coordinator of the Equal Employment Opportunity program in Albany Lester Freeman. Several Democrats have been mentioned as possible successors to McNulty, including state Assemblyman Ron Canestrari, state Senator Neil Breslin, Two possible Republican candidates are prominent Capital District businessman Steven Vasquez, owner and founder of ReQuest, and former Saratoga County Treasurer Chris Callaghan, who was the Republican nominee for New York State Comptroller in 2006. In March of 2008, Callaghan announced that he would not seek the seat and would support Jim Buhrmaster, a businessman from Scotia.

• New York's 24th congressional district: Mike Arcuri (D) won his first term with 54% of the vote in a marginal but Democratic-trending district which includes Utica. The district gave George W. Bush 50% of the vote in 2000 and 52% of the vote in 2004 (CPVI=R+1). Contractor Richard Hanna is seriously thinking of running.

• New York's 25th congressional district: Incumbent Jim Walsh (R) won by 51% to 49% in 2006 in this district that includes Syracuse. On January 23, 2008, The Politico reported that Walsh would not seek reelection. Walsh's 2006 opponent, Dan Maffei (D) will run again. On the Republican side, former Onondaga County Legislature Chairman Dale Sweetland, who is endorsed by Jim Walsh, is considered the presumptive nominee, with his major opponents leaving the race. Manlius councilman Mark-Paul Serafin and Ron Paul campaign chair David Gay have also announced their candidacies. John Kerry won 53% here in 2004 (CPVI=D+3).

• New York's 26th congressional district: Tom Reynolds (R), the head of the National Republican Congressional Committee and a key player in the Mark Foley scandal, won by 52% to 48% in 2006. His challenger, frequent candidate Jack Davis, was not considered an especially strong opponent. This historically Republican district, nestled in the wealthy suburbs of Buffalo and Rochester, gave George W. Bush 55% of the vote (CPVI=R+3); however Reynolds has decided to retire in 2008 after nearly losing in 2006. The seven Republican county chairman in the district, the state GOP, and Reynolds have all endorsed millionaire businessman Chris J. Lee. Lee faces a possible Republican primary from Iraq Veterans for Congress member David Bellavia. A Democratic candidate who is held to be stronger than Davis is Iraq War Veteran Jonathan Powers, although he has been the subject of an April 2008 Federal Elections Commission complaint regarding his campaign finance activities. In November 2007 Buffalo attorney Alice Kryzan announced she will run. County Legislator Kathy Konst will also run.

• New York's 29th congressional district: Randy Kuhl (R) had a close race in 2006, surviving a challenge from Eric Massa (D) by a 52% to 48% margin. His Elmira and suburban Rochester district gave Bush 56% in 2004 (CPVI=R+5). Kuhl is running for reelection. Massa has also said he will run again in 2008. Despite his district being the most Republican in New York, Kuhl has had multiple difficult reelections in the past.

North Carolina

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina, 2008

• North Carolina's 3rd congressional district: Incumbent Walter Jones, Jr., a conservative former Democrat, represents a solidly Republican-voting coastal district. However, his increasingly outspoken opposition to the Bush Administration's policy regarding the Iraq War has angered some pro-Iraq War conservatives. Jones defeated Onslow County Commissioner Joseph R. McLaughlin, a former infantry officer who had denounced the incumbent's anti-war stance, believing it isn't helpful to the war effort. Jones will likely be a shoo-in for the general election (George W. Bush won here by a wide margin in both 2000 and 2004). The Democratic nominee is 2006 nominee Craig Weber.

• North Carolina's 7th congressional district: Incumbent Democrat Mike McIntyre could face a tough race in this Republican-leaning district that Bush carried by a 14-point margin in 2004 (57% for Bush to 43% for John Kerry). Republican Iraq War veteran Will Breazeale announced his candidacy. McIntyre has been re-elected overwhelmingly in each election since 1998.

• North Carolina's 8th congressional district: Republican Robin Hayes barely hung on in his 2006 re-election bid against Democrat Larry Kissell by a 329-vote margin. This seat likely will be competitive again in 2008 because of Hayes' vote for CAFTA, which he first opposed but voted for because of pressure from House Republican leaders. Kissell has already declared his candidacy for the 2008 race, and his most well-known potential opponent, state Rep. Rick Glazier, opted not to run. Bush carried this district by a 10-point margin in 2004 (55% for Bush to 45% for John Kerry).

• North Carolina's 10th congressional district: Incumbent Republican Patrick McHenry is the favorite to win the general election in this heavily Republican district. McHenry defeated retired Air Force Lt. Col. Lance Sigmon in the primary. Democrat and Navy vet Daniel Johnson raised $123,000 during the fourth quarter of 2007. A wild card is an attempted independent run by Constitution Party-supported Bryan Greene of Lenoir, NC. It is unclear what effect, if any, the indictment of a former McHenry campaign aide for election fraud will have. In 2006, McHenry defeated Democrat Richard Carsner by a smaller margin than the margin in his 2004 win.

• North Carolina's 11th congressional district: Democrat Heath Shuler won 54% to 46% against scandal-plagued incumbent Charles Taylor in 2006, in a district that gave 57% of its vote to George W. Bush and 43% of its vote to John Kerry in 2004. The district includes the western areas of North Carolina, including Asheville. This race could be competitive, but Shuler's social conservatism and economic populism should help his chances at reelection, even in a GOP-leaning district. Taylor has decided against a rematch. Asheville City Councilman Carl Mumpower is the Republican nominee. Mumpower defeated Henderson County Republican Party chairman Spence Campbell and attorney John Armor in the Republican primary.

North Dakota

Main article: United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota, 2008

• North Dakota's at-large congressional district: Democrat Earl Pomeroy, North Dakota's sole congressman, won by 65% to 34% over Republican Matthew Mechtel in 2006, compared to 59% to 40% in 2004. George W. Bush won in this district 63% to 36% for John Kerry in 2004. His Republican opponent is Duane Sand, who ran in 2004.

Ohio

• Ohio's 1st congressional district: Republican Steve Chabot won by 52% to 48% in 2006, compared to 60% to 40% in 2004. His district barely went to George W. Bush with 50% to 49% for John Kerry in 2004 and includes the western portion of the Cincinnati area. State House Democratic Whip Steve Driehaus is the Democratic nominee. Driehaus' FEC report at the end of the second quarter of 2007 showed contributions from political committees linked to a large number of national leaders of the Democratic Party.

• Ohio's 2nd congressional district: Republican Jean Schmidt barely held on by a 51% to 49% margin against Democratic physician Victoria Wulsin. Her district is a heavily Republican one, covering the eastern portions of Greater Cincinnati, but she has never had an easy primary or general election. This year, she defeated state Representative Tom Brinkman in the Republican primary by 57% to 40%. Wulsin is running again in 2008. Bush won 64% here in 2004.

• Ohio's 7th congressional district: Republican Dave Hobson will retire at the age of 71. Hobson's district stretches from Springfield in the Dayton area eastward to several outer southern areas of Columbus. Bush won 57% here. The Democratic nominee is business attorney Sharen Neuhardt. State Senator Steve Austria is the Republican nominee and has Hobson's support.

• Ohio's 12th congressional district: Republican Pat Tiberi faced an expensive race in 2006 against one of this district’s former representatives, Democrat Bob Shamansky, who briefly served in the early 1980s, but survived with 58% of the vote. Tiberi will face Democratic nominee David Robinson in 2008. George W. Bush barely won this district with 51% to 49% for John Kerry in 2004.

• Ohio's 14th congressional district: Republican Steve LaTourette, whose district is centered around the eastern suburbs of Cleveland, won 58% of the vote in 2006 against a weak opponent. He represents a swing district where no party has a clear advantage over the other. Bush won here with 52% to 47% for John Kerry. Appeals Court Judge William O'Neill won the Democratic nomination.

• Ohio's 15th congressional district: Republican Deborah Pryce survived the toughest race of her career against Democratic Franklin County Commissioner Mary Jo Kilroy by 1,062 votes. Pryce is not running for reelection in 2008. Kilroy is again the Democratic nominee. Republican state Senator and Iraq War veteran Steve Stivers is the Republican nominee, winning his party's primary with 65%. George W. Bush barely won here in 2004 with 50.3% to 49.7% for John Kerry.

• Ohio's 16th congressional district: Republican Congressman Ralph Regula, whose district includes the Canton area, will retire after 36 years in Congress cleveland.com. State Senator Kirk Schuring won a close Republican primary and faces Democratic state Senator/Iraq War Veteran John Boccieri in the general election. This district went for Bush with 53% to 46% for Kerry in 2004.

• Ohio's 18th congressional district: Democrat Zack Space may be vulnerable in 2008 as his district, located in southeastern Ohio, went to George W. Bush with 57% to 43% for John Kerry in 2004, although Space won his first term in 2006 with 62% of the vote. Republicans were forced to select a new candidate — state Senator Joy Padgett — after Rep. Bob Ney dropped out of the race following his conviction in the Jack Abramoff lobbying scandal. It turned out that Padgett had financial controversies of her own, and local voters were in no mood to tolerate more scandal. The Republican nominee is former state Agriculture Director Fred Dailey, who won a four-candidate primary with 39%.

Oregon

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon, 2008

• Oregon's 5th congressional district: Democrat Darlene Hooley announced February 7, 2008 that she will not seek re-election. This district will be competitive given that, in this Willamette Valley district, George W. Bush took 50% to 49% for John Kerry in 2004 (CPVI=D+1). Hooley was reelected in 2006 with 54% to her closest opponent's 43%. Hooley's 2006 Republican opponent, businessman Mike Erickson, defeated former state Representative and gubernatorial candidate Kevin Mannix in the Republican primary. Among Democrats, Kurt Schrader, an Oregon State Senator from Canby, defeated several candidates to win his party's nomination. Alex Polikoff of the Pacific Green Party has also announced his candidacy for the general election.

Pennsylvania

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania, 2008

• Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district: Phil English (R) could have a test in 2008, as he represents an Erie-based district that gave George W. Bush 53% of the vote and 47% of its vote to John Kerry in 2004. Also, in 2006, English received 54% of the vote against a political newcomer with no political experience. Despite the presence of heavily Democratic Erie, only two Democrats have represented the district and its predecessors since 1893, and the district has historically been friendly to moderate Republicans. Civic Leader,Erie Arboretum director, and Businesswoman Kathy Dahlkemper is the Democratic candidate.

• Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district: Jason Altmire (D) defeated incumbent Melissa Hart (R) in a 52% to 48% upset, as Hart had won 63% of the vote in 2004, when George W. Bush carried this suburban Pittsburgh district with 53% to 45% for John Kerry. In 2006, Pennsylvania was perhaps the most disastrous state for incumbent GOP House members, who lost four seats here. Hart has announced she will run again and Republicans have high hopes for her campaign.

• Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district: Incumbent John E. Peterson (R) is retiring. Pennsylvania's fifth district is currently the largest of all of Pennsylvania's congressional districts. It contains a large portion of north-central Pennsylvania. Bush won 61% of the vote here in 2004. The Republican nominee is Centre County Republican Committee Chairman Glenn "G.T." Thompson. The Democratic nominee is Clearfield County Commissioner Mark B. McCracken. Donald Wilson of the Green Party is also running.

• Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district: Jim Gerlach (R) survived threats from wealthy attorney Lois Murphy in 2004 and 2006 with 51% each year and could face another for his suburban Philadelphia district in 2008, which went to John Kerry with 51% in 2004. The Democratic nominee is former Businessman Bob Roggio.

• Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district: Freshman Joe Sestak (D) won this district in 2006 by winning 56% against 20-year Republican incumbent Curt Weldon, whose reelecion bid was destroyed by ethics charges and an FBI investigation. This year, his Republican opponent is former Assistant U.S. Attorney Craig Williams, a veteran of the Persian Gulf War.

• Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district: This Bucks County district voted for John Kerry with 51% in 2004 and was narrowly won by Democrat Pat Murphy in 2006, when Murphy unseated one-term Mike Fitzpatrick (R) by 1,521 votes. Fitzpatrick has ruled out running for his old seat after announcing he would be running for the Pennsylvania House of Representatives. Pharmaceutical executive and U.S. Marines Colonel Tom Manion, the father of a slain Iraq War soldier is the Republican candidate.

• Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district: Chris Carney (D) may face a difficult reelection bid in this district that he won after widely-publicized allegations of incumbent Republican Don Sherwood’s extramarital affair with and alleged abuse of Cynthia Ore, who later settled for an undisclosed amount. Carney defeated Sherwood 53% to 47%. However, the district has a considerable Republican tilt. Chris Hackett, a successful CPA, is the Republican nominee. Hackett defeated Dan Meuser, the head of Pride Mobility in the April 22 Republican primary. Meuser was recently embarrassed when it was revealed that his business was fined for employing illegal aliens in 1997. Bush won here 60% to 40%.

• Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district: Incumbent Paul Kanjorski (D) has seldom had difficulty at the polls, but this year could be different. He faces a challenge from Hazleton Mayor Lou Barletta. Barletta ran against Kanjorski in 2002, losing by 14 points, but then he was not widely known and was heavily outspent. Now, he's a nationally recognized opponent of illegal immigration, which gives him name recognition and a potential fundraising base he didn't have before.

• Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district: Charlie Dent (R) could face a tough race in 2008. He won 53% of the vote against a political newcomer with no political experience in a district that narrowly went to John Kerry with 50% in 2004. His district covers the Lehigh Valley region and is politically marginal. Allentown Democratic Party chairwoman Sam Bennett is the Democratic nominee.

• Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district: Tim Murphy (R) was reelected in 2006 with 58% of the vote against a little-known Democrat in this suburban Pittsburgh district that George W. Bush won here with 54% to 46% for John Kerry in 2004, an indication that Murphy could be vulnerable against a stronger opponent. The Democratic nominee is self-funding Businessman Steve O'Donnell.

South Dakota

• South Dakota's at-large congressional district: Democrat Stephanie Herseth Sandlin, South Dakota's sole congresswoman, could be a potential target for Republicans. George W. Bush won in this district 61% to 39% for John Kerry in 2004. The Republican nominee is businessman and attorney Chris Lien.

Tennessee

• Tennessee's 1st congressional district: Incumbent David Davis won this stronghold Republican district in 2006 following the retirement of Bill Jenkins, first defeating Johnson City Mayor and physician Phil Roe in the Republican primary. Roe has announced he will challenge Davis in the primary again. In November, 2007, Davis made some statements to the Mountain Press about supporting amnesty for illegal immigrants rather than deporting them which could have some backlash among conservatives. Bush won this district 68% to Kerry's 32% in 2004.

• Tennessee's 9th congressional district: Incumbent Steve Cohen, who is white, won a close primary in this heavily African American district which includes most of Memphis in 2006 when Harold Ford retired to run for Senate. The seat is safely Democratic but he faces a potenially tough primary challenge from Attorney Nikki Tinker who is African American. She narrowly lost to him in the primary in 2006.

Texas

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections in Texas, 2008

• Texas's 17th congressional district: Republican Rob Curnock will look to unseat Chet Edwards (D) in this heavily Republican district that covers Waco and the Bryan-College Station area. Also running for the seat are Libertarians Gardner Osborne and Robert Allan Vernon. The district gave George W. Bush 70% of the vote in 2004 and includes Crawford, the home of Bush’s ranch. Edwards was the sole survivor among the Texas Democrats targeted by the mid-decade redistricting effective in 2004, reelected that year with just 51%, but easily defeated Iraq War veteran Van Taylor (who was highly touted as a top-flight candidate by the GOP) by 40% to 58% respectively, in 2006.

• Texas's 22nd congressional district: This seat was vacated by former House Majority Leader Tom DeLay, who resigned amid reports over his campaign finance activities. Democrat Nick Lampson won the general election, facing only a Libertarian and write-in opposition from Republicans. Republican Shelley Sekula-Gibbs, a dermatologist and former Houston City Councilwoman, won the special election held on the same day and in which Lampson did not run, and she served as a member of congress for almost two months before Lampson was sworn in. Lampson is running for re-election but is expected to face a difficult race in 2008, as he represents a heavily Republican constituency that voted for George W. Bush over John Kerry by a 2 to 1 (66% to 33%) margin (CPVI=R+15), more than any other district that fell to the Democrats in 2006. In an added development, Lampson has had serious health problems, including recent quadruple heart bypass surgery. The district takes in several wealthy and conservative suburbs south of Houston, including Sugar Land, Pasadena, Pearland, and the Clear Lake area of Houston. This district also includes the NASA Johnson Space Center and Ellington Field. Lampson won the Democrat nomination. The Republican nominee is Pete Olson, who defeated Sekula-Gibbs in a primary runoff. Libertarian John Wieder and Joel West of the Green Party are also running

• Texas's 23rd congressional district: Former Democratic Representative Ciro Rodriguez won a 54% to 46% victory in a runoff against Republican incumbent Henry Bonilla on December 12, 2006. Rodriguez was aided by low turnout, especially in the conservative areas of the district. His seat is a natural target for Republicans in 2008. The district, which is a majority Hispanic one to the south and west of downtown San Antonio, stretching across West Texas into Del Rio and other towns along the Mexican border and Big Bend National Park, reaching all the way to just east of El Paso, is politically marginal. Bexar County Commissioner Lyle Larson won the Republican primary by a 63% to 37% margin, larger than expected. Libertarian Lani Connolly is also running.

• Texas's 27th congressional district: Moderate Democrat Solomon Ortiz, the Dean of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, will turn 71 in 2008. Ortiz received 57% of the vote in 2006, a six-point decline from his 2004 performance, which was somewhat of an anomaly given the strong anti-Republican voting mood of 2006, where Democrats either performed above their 2004 performance or ran without opposition. In 2004, George W. Bush carried this South Texas district, which includes Corpus Christi as well as Brownsville and South Padre Island. Former Ingleside, Texas Mayor Willie Vaden is the Republican nominee and Robert Powell is the Libertarian candidate. Republicans may try to target this seat given its vulnerability.

Utah

• Utah's 2nd congressional district Democratic incumbent Jim Matheson has survived Republican challenges by increasing margins, even though his Salt Lake City based district votes Republican in most elections. Republicans have held the seat before and Bush won here by a wide margin in 2004, 66% to Kerry's 31% (CPVI=R+17). He will face Republican nominee Bill Dew in the general election.

• Utah's 3rd congressional district In 2006, Republican incumbent Chris Cannon survived a diffucult Republican primary against businessman John Jacob, who vigorously attacked Cannon's support of amnesty for illegal aliens. Cannon won 56% due mainly to Jacob's last-minute errors. Jacob is not running again in 2008. At the 2008 Utah State Convention, one of Cannon's primary challengers, gubernatorial chief of staff Jason Chaffetz, defeated Cannon, but did not receive a supermajority of the vote thus Cannon and Chaffetz will face off in a runoff primary on June 24, 2008. Juab County Prosecutor David Leavitt, another Republican challenger who came in third place at the convention, endorsed Cannon.

Virginia

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia, 2008

• Virginia's 2nd congressional district: Republican Thelma Drake survived a bid from Democrat Phil Kellam by only 51.3% to 48.5% in 2006. In 2004, Drake received 55% of the vote in this Virginia Beach-based district, which was won by George W. Bush with 57% to 42% for John Kerry in 2004. But in 2005 Democrat Tim Kaine won the district by 50% to 47% in his gubernatorial election. In 2006 Drake may have been hurt by the downfall of Republican U.S. Senator George Allen, who narrowly lost to Democrat Jim Webb, an ex-Republican and former Navy Secretary under Ronald Reagan. Diplomat Glenn Nye will run as a Democrat. CQ Politics rates the seat "Republican favored". The Cook Political Report rates it "Likely Republican". The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) names Drake a "targeted Republican".

• Virginia's 10th congressional district: Republican incumbent Frank Wolf could face a tough race. The Democratic nominee is Professor of Public Policy at Georgetown University and Dean of their Georgetown Public Policy Institute Judy Feder In 2004 George W. Bush won 55% of this district, which covers Loudoun, Prince William and part of Fairfax counties, as well as Manassas. Wolf defeated Feder in 2006, 57%–41%. That year Democrat Webb won the district 50.0%–48.8% in his Senate race. In 2005 Democrat Tim Kaine won the district by 50% to 46% in his gubernatorial race. CQ Politics rates seat "safe Republican". The DCCC names Wolf a "targeted Republican".

• Virginia's 11th congressional district: Incumbent Tom Davis (R) toppled one-term Democrat Leslie Byrne in 1994 and rarely faced serious opposition in intervening years. However, his district, located in the wealthy Northern Virginia suburbs of Washington, DC, has become increasingly Democratic over the years. Now it will definitely be a top Democratic target, given Davis's January 30, 2008, announcement that he will not seek re-election. George W. Bush barely won this district with 50% to 49% for John Kerry, which includes part of Fairfax and Prince William counties, in 2004. The Republican nominee is Keith Fimian, business magnate and former CPA, who has personal wealth that he could draw upon. The Democratic nominee is Gerald Connolly, Chairman of the Fairfax County Board of Supervisors. CQ Politics rates seat "no clear favorite". The Cook Political Report rates it a "toss up". The Rothenberg Political Report scores it "lean Democratic".

Washington

Main article: United States House of Representatives elections in Washington, 2008

• Washington's 2nd congressional district In 2006, incumbent Rick Larsen (D) was reelected with no trouble. However, the district he represents is not reliably Democratic, and he had trouble winning in the past. In addition, former Snohomish County Sheriff Rick Bart is running as a Republican challenger to Larsen.

• Washington's 3rd congressional district Incumbent Brian Baird (D) has won reelection by decisive margins since his first election in 1998. However, he recently irked liberals in his party when he said in an editorial for the Seattle Times that the surge strategy in the Iraq War was working. As a result, he faces a primary challenge from anti-military activist Cheryl Crist Crist ran against Baird in the 2006 primary, with poor results, but this year, her campaign is attracting attention from opponents of the Iraq War.

• Washington's 8th congressional district: Dave Reichert (R) won a close 51% to 49% re-election bid against Democratic former Microsoft product manager Darcy Burner in 2006. Burner has declared her intention to run against Reichert in 2008. Al Gore and John Kerry narrowly won this suburban Seattle district with 52% in 2000 and 2004, respectively. Burner caught a big break when state Senator Rodney Tom, who announced his candidacy, dropped out of the race and endorsed her. This race will be a top priority for both parties. Burner has received nationwide attention for her work on the Responsible Plan to End the War in Iraq, and is considered a leader among anti-war Democrats.

West Virginia

• West Virginia's 2nd congressional district: In 2006, incumbent Shelley Moore Capito (R) was reelected with 57%, a solid margin, but not a sign of political security. She faced a potentially difficult challenge from state Sen. John Unger (D), but Unger surprised many when he dropped out of the race. The DCCC had called this race " a top target," and insist that it is still winnable. The Democratic nominee is Anne Barth, a longtime former aide to U.S. Sen. Robert Byrd . Bush won 57% here in 2004.

Wisconsin

• Wisconsin's 8th congressional district: Steve Kagen (D) won by a 51% to 49% margin his first term in this Republican-leaning district that went fairly easily to President George W. Bush with 55% to 45% for John Kerry in 2004. Kagen will likely face a serious threat from Republicans, who had held this seat since 1999. He recently garnered bad press when he bragged about speaking rudely to the President and First Lady at a White House function and then retracted this claim. He was the subject of controversy when the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) investigated his clinic for selling allergy vaccines without a valid license, although his clinic stopped the practice. Kagen's predecessor, Mark Green, who ran unsuccessfully for governor in 2006, has been nominated by Bush to be Ambassador to Tanzania, ruling out his running. His Republican opponent, as in 2006, will be former state Assembly Speaker John Gard. The 2006 opponent Republican candidate; state Rep. Frank Lasee of Bellevue; and former Republican Green Bay Mayor Paul Jadin were mentioned as potential candidates but did not seek the office.

Wyoming

• Wyoming's at-large congressional district: Six-term Barbara Cubin (R) is retiring. She had beaten her Democratic opponent, Teton County School Board Chairman Gary Trauner, by only 1,012 votes in 2006. She sought reelection in a district – coterminous with the state of Wyoming – that gave George W. Bush an overwhelming margin of 69% in 2004 but whose governor, Dave Freudenthal (D), was reelected with 70% of the vote in 2006. Cubin has been a lightning rod for controversy over a number of incidents that ranged from receiving money from ARMPAC, to distributing penis-shaped cookies to male colleagues while in the Wyoming Legislature, to even an incident after a televised debate in which she remarked that if the Libertarian candidate, Thomas Rankin, who has multiple sclerosis and must use a wheelchair, "weren’t sitting in that chair," she would have slapped him in the face. So few were surprised when Cubin announced that she would retire from Congress. Gary Trauner has already said that he will run again in 2008. State House Majority Leader Colin M. Simpson, son of former U.S. Sen. Alan Simpson, had announced he will run; however, he later withdrew from the race. Cheyenne substitute teacher Swede Nelson was the first to announce his candidacy for the seat on September 8, 2007. Other Republicans running include conservative former state Treasurer Cynthia Lummis, state Rep. Dan Zwonitzer, rancher and businessman, Mark Gordon, who is from Buffalo, and retired naval captain and 2006 candidate Bill Winney, who garnered 40% of the vote against Cubin in the primary. As of April, Nelson and Zwonizter withdrew their candidacies. Lummis and Gordon are considered the frontrunners in the Primary, with Lummis' immense experience and name id, and Gordon's massive war chest, and already aired TV ads. A February 2008 poll showed this race in a dead heat with Trauner slightly edging Lummis 41% to 40%.

Races of non-voting members

Northern Mariana Islands

• Established by Pub. L.Tooltip Public Law (United States) 110–229 (text) (PDF), the new non-voting delegate for the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands (CNMI) will replace the CNMI-paid, non-Congressional Resident Representative position. Incumbent Resident Representative Pedro A. Tenorio (Republican) has declared his intention to run, and several other CNMI politicians have also declared candidacy. Since the CNMI traditionally has general elections in odd-numbered years, the November 2008 ballot will contain only this office.

Puerto Rico

• Puerto Rico's at-large congressional district: 1-term Resident Commissioner (same as non-voting territorial delegate) Luis Fortuño (NPP/R) is retiring from his House seat to run for Governor of Puerto Rico. Former PR Secretary of Justice Pedro Pierluisi (NPP/D) is the favorite to succeed Fortuño.