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2020 United States presidential election in Colorado

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2020 United States presidential election in Colorado

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout86.87%Increase
 
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence
Electoral vote 9 0
Popular vote 1,804,352 1,364,607
Percentage 55.40% 41.90%


President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Colorado was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[1] Colorado voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump from Florida, and his running mate Vice President Mike Pence from Indiana, against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden from Delaware, and his running mate, Senator Kamala Harris from California. Colorado had nine electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

The Democratic National Committee (DNC) proposed Denver as a finalist to host the 2020 Democratic National Convention, but the city declined, citing conflicts.[3] The Democrats had met in Denver in 1908 and 2008 Democratic National Convention. The DNC ultimately decided to hold the convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Prior to the election, all 14 news organizations considered Colorado a state Biden would win, or a likely blue state. On the day of the election, Biden won Colorado with over 55% of the vote, and by a victory margin of 13.50%, an 8.6 percentage point improvement on Clinton's victory in the state four years prior, the strongest Democratic performance since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964, and the first time that it voted for a presidential candidate of either major party by a double-digit percentage since Ronald Reagan in 1984. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, changing demographics made Colorado more favorable to Democrats, with Latinos backing Biden with 68%, including Latinos of Mexican heritage with 75%. Biden also carried whites with 53%. 69% of voters favored increasing federal government spending on green and renewable energy, and they favored Biden by 76%–23%.[4]

Biden flipped three counties in the Centennial State: Pueblo County, which had been reliably Democratic before narrowly backing Trump in 2016; Chaffee County, one of the few counties to flip from John McCain to Obama in 2012; and Garfield County, which had last voted Democratic when Bill Clinton won it in 1992. Biden also significantly closed the gap in the GOP's two largest remaining strongholds in the state, El Paso County and Douglas County, becoming the first Democrat to win more than 40% of the vote in the former since 1964[5] and closing the gap in the latter to single digits for the first time since 1964. Trump became the first Republican since William McKinley in 1900 to lose Colorado in multiple presidential elections. Nevertheless, Biden became the first Democrat since Grover Cleveland in 1892 to win the White House without carrying Conejos County, as well as the first since Woodrow Wilson in 1912 to do so without carrying Huerfano or Las Animas Counties. Trump also narrowly flipped Alamosa County, one of only fifteen counties nationwide that flipped from Hillary Clinton in 2016 to Trump in 2020, thereby making Biden the first Democrat to win the White House without carrying this county since Jimmy Carter in 1976.

This marked the first time since 1968 that Colorado voted more Democratic than neighboring New Mexico. The margin of victory for Biden in New Mexico was 10.79%, 2.71% lower than Colorado.

Primary elections

The primary elections were held on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.

Republican primary

The Republican primary was due to be canceled until Robert Ardini, a retired advertising executive, decided to submit his name for the ballot. Several others subsequently joined him.

2020 Colorado Republican presidential primary[6][7]
Candidate Votes % Estimated
delegates[8]
Donald Trump (incumbent) 628,876 92.26 37
Bill Weld 25,698 3.77 0
Joe Walsh (withdrawn) 13,072 1.92 0
Matthew John Matern 7,239 1.06 0
Robert Ardini 3,388 0.50 0
Zoltan Istvan 3,350 0.49 0
Total 681,623 100% 37

Democratic primary

The results were certified on March 30.[9][10] The race was called for Bernie Sanders[11] who won a plurality of votes and delegates.

2020 Colorado Democratic presidential primary[12]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[13][14]
Bernie Sanders 355,293 37.00 29[a]
Joe Biden 236,565 24.64 21[b]
Michael Bloomberg 177,727 18.51 9[c]
Elizabeth Warren 168,695 17.57 8[d]
Tulsi Gabbard 10,037 1.05
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 3,988 0.42
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[e] 3,323 0.35
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 1,276 0.13
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 1,086 0.11
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 227 0.02
Other candidates 1,911 0.20
Total 960,128 100% 67

Libertarian nominee

  • Jo Jorgensen, Psychology Senior Lecturer at Clemson University

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[15] Likely D November 3, 2020
Inside Elections[16] Solid D November 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Likely D November 3, 2020
Politico[18] Likely D November 3, 2020
RCP[19] Lean D November 3, 2020
Niskanen[20] Safe D November 3, 2020
CNN[21] Lean D November 3, 2020
The Economist[22] Safe D November 3, 2020
CBS News[23] Likely D November 3, 2020
270towin[24] Likely D November 3, 2020
ABC News[25] Solid D November 3, 2020
NPR[26] Likely D November 3, 2020
NBC News[27] Likely D November 3, 2020
538[28] Solid D November 3, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[f]
Margin
270 to Win October 15 – November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 52.0% 40.6% 7.4% Biden +11.4
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 53.6% 41.1% 5.3% Biden +12.5
Average 52.8% 40.8% 6.4% Biden +12.0

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[g]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 2,991 (LV) ± 2.5% 44%[h] 55%
Keating Research/Onsight Public Affairs/Colorado Sun Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020 502 (LV)[i] ± 4.4% 41% 53%
Data for Progress Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020 709 (LV) ± 3.7% 42% 54% 3% 1% 0%[j]
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 455 (LV) ± 6% 41% 55% 3% 1%
Morning Consult Oct 22–31, 2020 727 (LV) ± 4% 41% 54%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 5,925 (LV) 40% 59%
Morning Consult Oct 11–20, 2020 788 (LV) ± 3.5% 39% 55%
RBI Strategies Oct 12–16, 2020 502 (LV) ± 4.4% 38% 55% 3% 1% 1%[k] 1%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Oct 9–15, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 43% 51% 1%[l] 3%
Civiqs/Daily Kos Oct 11–14, 2020 1,013 (LV) ± 3.6% 42% 53% 3%[k] 1%
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson Oct 8–13, 2020 519 (LV) ± 4.3% 39% 54% 3%[m] 4%
Morning Consult Oct 2–11, 2020 837 (LV) ± 3.4% 40% 54%
YouGov/University of Colorado Oct 5–9, 2020 800 (LV) ± 4.64% 38% 47% 3% 11%
SurveyUSA/9News/Colorado Politics Oct 1–6, 2020 1,021 (LV) ± 3.9% 40% 50% 5%[n] 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 2,717 (LV) 41% 57% 2%
Morning Consult Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 657 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 43%[o] 49%
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 40% 50% 2%[p] 8%
Global Strategy Group/Progress Colorado[A] Aug 28 – Sep 1, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 39% 50% 4% 1% 1%[q] 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 2,385 (LV) 41% 57% 2%
Morning Consult[1] Aug 21–30, 2020 638 (LV) ± 4% 41%[o] 51%
Morning Consult Aug 16–25, 2020 ~600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 51%
Morning Consult[2] Aug 7–16, 2020 601 (LV) ± 4% 41%[r] 51%
Morning Consult Aug 6–15, 2020 ~600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 51%
Morning Consult Jul 7 – Aug 5, 2020 ~600 (LV) ± 4.0% 40% 52%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 2,337 (LV) 40% 58% 2%
Morning Consult Jul 17–26, 2020 616 (LV) ± 4.0% 39%[o] 52%
Morning Consult Jul 13–22, 2020 ~600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 51%
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME[B] Jul 23–24, 2020 891 (V) 41% 54% 5%
Public Policy Polling/End Citizens United Jun 29–30, 2020 840 (V) ± 3.4% 39% 56% 5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 1,088 (LV) 42% 57% 2%
Morning Consult May 17–26, 2020 572 (LV) 42% 50%
Global Strategy Group (D) May 7–11, 2020 700 (RV) ± 3.5% 40% 53% 7%
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson/Colorado Politics May 1–3, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 36% 55% 3%[m] 6%
Montana State University Bozeman Apr 10–19, 2020 379 (LV) 35% 53% 3% 8%
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 485 (RV) ± 4.5% 43% 46% 11%
Emerson College Archived August 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Aug 16–19, 2019 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 55%
Fabrizio Ward/AARP Jul 29–31, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 51% 1%[s] 5%
Former candidates
Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[g]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Undecided
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 485 (RV) ± 4.5% 42% 45% 13%
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[g]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 485 (RV) ± 4.5% 42% 45% 13%
Emerson College Archived August 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Aug 16–19, 2019 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 55%
with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[g]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Undecided
Emerson College Archived August 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Aug 16–19, 2019 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 51%
Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[g]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Undecided
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 485 (RV) ± 4.5% 43% 43% 14%
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[g]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 485 (RV) ± 4.5% 43% 48% 9%
Emerson College Archived August 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Aug 16–19, 2019 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 55%
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[g]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020 485 (RV) ± 4.5% 45% 44% 11%
Emerson College Archived August 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Aug 16–19, 2019 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 54%
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[g]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Democrat
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies Jul 15–17, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 32% 44% 15% 9%
Magellan Strategies Mar 11–13, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 33% 40% 16% 10%
Global Strategy Group Jan 31 – Feb 4, 2019 818 (RV) ± 3.4% 40% 52% 8%
DFM Research Archived January 10, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Jan 2–5, 2019 550 (A) ± 4.2% 36% 50% 14%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Colorado[29]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
1,804,352 55.40% +7.28%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
1,364,607 41.90% −1.41%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
52,460 1.61% −3.56%
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker
8,986 0.28% −1.09%
Independent Kanye West
Michelle Tidball
8,089 0.25% N/A
American Constitution Don Blankenship
William Mohr
5,061 0.16% −0.26%
Unity Bill Hammons
Eric Bodenstab
2,730 0.08% N/A
American Solidarity Brian Carroll
Amar Patel
2,515 0.08% +0.05%
Independent Mark Charles
Adrian Wallace
2,011 0.06% N/A
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva
Sunil Freeman
1,035 0.03% +0.01%
Independent American Kyle Kopitke
Nathan Sorenson
762 0.02% −0.02%
Alliance Rocky De La Fuente
Darcy Richardson
636 0.02% −0.02%
Independent Joe McHugh
Elizabeth Storm
614 0.02% N/A
Independent Brock Pierce
Karla Ballard
572 0.02% N/A
Prohibition Phil Collins
Billy Joe Parker
568 0.02% +0.01%
Independent Princess Khadijah Jacob-Fambro
Khadijah Jacob Sr.
495 0.02% N/A
Progressive Dario Hunter
Dawn Neptune Adams
379 0.01% N/A
Approval Voting Blake Huber
Frank Atwood
355 0.01% ±0.00
Socialist Workers Alyson Kennedy
Malcolm Jarrett
354 0.01% −0.01%
Socialist Equality Joseph Kishore
Norissa Santa Cruz
196 0.01% N/A
Independent Jordan "Cancer" Scott
Jennifer Tepool
175 0.01% N/A
Independent Tom Hoefling
Andy Prior
24 0.00% N/A
Independent Todd Cella
Timothy Cella
4 0.00% N/A
Total votes 3,256,980 100.00%

Results by county

County Joe Biden
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Jo Jorgensen
Libertarian
Howie Hawkins
Green
Other votes Margin Total
votes
% # % # % # % # % # % #
Adams 56.69% 134,202 40.41% 95,657 1.58% 3,731 0.31% 744 1.02% 2,406 16.28% 38,545 236,740
Alamosa 48.14% 3,759 48.83% 3,813 1.15% 90 0.29% 23 1.57% 123 -0.69% -54 7,808
Arapahoe 61.00% 213,607 36.36% 127,323 1.55% 5,423 0.26% 926 0.83% 2,904 24.64% 86,284 350,183
Archuleta 40.88% 3,738 56.75% 5,189 1.31% 120 0.21% 19 0.85% 78 -15.87% -1,451 9,144
Baca 14.25% 317 83.91% 1,867 1.17% 26 0.13% 3 0.53% 12 -69.66% -1,550 2,225
Bent 32.19% 732 66.09% 1,503 0.66% 15 0.26% 6 0.79% 18 -33.90% -771 2,274
Boulder 77.19% 159,089 20.62% 42,501 1.23% 2,539 0.34% 697 0.62% 1,285 56.57% 116,588 206,111
Broomfield 62.35% 29,077 34.94% 16,295 1.66% 772 0.22% 104 0.83% 384 27.41% 12,782 46,632
Chaffee 52.19% 7,160 45.36% 6,222 1.38% 189 0.34% 46 0.74% 101 6.83% 938 13,718
Cheyenne 11.53% 131 87.41% 993 0.53% 6 0.00% 0 0.52% 6 -75.88% -862 1,136
Clear Creek 55.04% 3,604 42.06% 2,754 1.73% 113 0.35% 23 0.82% 54 11.98% 850 6,548
Conejos 45.21% 1,959 52.76% 2,286 0.78% 34 0.21% 9 1.05% 45 -7.55% -327 4,333
Costilla 62.61% 1,311 35.39% 741 0.72% 15 0.19% 4 1.12% 23 27.22% 570 2,094
Crowley 24.97% 437 72.63% 1,271 1.26% 22 0.00% 0 1.14% 20 -47.66% -834 1,750
Custer 30.59% 1,112 68.06% 2,474 0.80% 29 0.14% 5 0.43% 15 -37.47% -1,362 3,635
Delta 30.39% 5,887 67.53% 13,081 1.13% 218 0.23% 45 0.76% 139 -37.14% -7,194 19,370
Denver 79.55% 313,293 18.19% 71,618 1.24% 4,870 0.31% 1,230 0.72% 2,818 61.36% 241,675 393,829
Dolores 23.53% 341 75.16% 1,089 0.35% 5 0.07% 1 0.91% 13 -51.63% -748 1,449
Douglas 45.19% 104,653 52.36% 121,270 1.60% 3,715 0.19% 432 0.66% 1,535 -7.17% -16,617 231,605
Eagle 63.79% 18,588 33.95% 9,892 1.29% 377 0.27% 78 0.70% 205 29.84% 8,696 29,140
El Paso 42.75% 161,941 53.54% 202,828 2.45% 9,264 0.30% 1,135 0.97% 3,683 -10.79% -40,887 378,851
Elbert 23.65% 4,490 73.89% 14,027 1.61% 306 0.16% 31 0.69% 129 -50.24% -9,537 18,983
Fremont 28.83% 7,369 68.54% 17,517 1.55% 397 0.23% 59 0.82% 215 -39.71% -10,148 25,557
Garfield 49.92% 15,427 47.62% 14,717 1.37% 424 0.32% 99 0.77% 237 2.30% 710 30,904
Gilpin 53.11% 2,223 43.79% 1,833 1.67% 70 0.41% 17 1.03% 43 9.32% 390 4,186
Grand 47.72% 4,710 49.47% 4,883 1.76% 174 0.31% 31 0.73% 72 -1.75% -173 9,870
Gunnison 63.74% 7,132 33.38% 3,735 1.88% 210 0.35% 39 0.66% 74 30.36% 3,397 11,190
Hinsdale 40.35% 255 55.85% 353 1.58% 10 0.16% 1 2.05% 13 -15.50% -98 632
Huerfano 47.12% 2,076 50.00% 2,203 1.61% 71 0.27% 12 1.00% 44 -2.88% -127 4,406
Jackson 19.98% 175 77.74% 681 1.37% 8 0.23% 2 0.68% 6 -57.76% -506 876
Jefferson 57.88% 218,396 39.33% 148,417 1.69% 6,394 0.29% 1,089 0.81% 3,062 18.55% 69,979 377,358
Kiowa 10.85% 98 88.04% 795 1.00% 9 0.00% 0 0.11% 1 -77.19% -697 903
Kit Carson 17.10% 662 81.22% 3,144 0.88% 34 0.05% 2 0.74% 29 -64.12% -2,482 3,871
La Plata 57.61% 20,548 39.91% 14,233 1.49% 530 0.36% 128 0.64% 228 17.70% 6,315 35,667
Lake 58.14% 2,303 37.79% 1,497 2.55% 101 0.58% 23 0.93% 37 20.35% 806 3,961
Larimer 56.22% 126,120 40.78% 91,489 1.82% 4,089 0.32% 727 0.85% 1,913 15.44% 34,631 224,338
Las Animas 43.93% 3,497 53.81% 4,284 1.08% 86 0.21% 17 0.96% 77 -9.88% -787 7,961
Lincoln 17.73% 470 80.54% 2,135 0.98% 26 0.04% 1 0.72% 19 -62.81% -1,665 2,651
Logan 21.06% 2,218 76.79% 8,087 1.32% 139 0.15% 16 0.70% 72 -55.73% -5,869 10,532
Mesa 34.80% 31,536 62.78% 56,894 1.44% 1,306 0.21% 188 0.78% 699 -27.98% -25,358 90,623
Mineral 41.93% 317 56.48% 427 0.40% 3 0.00% 0 1.18% 9 -14.55% -110 756
Moffat 17.12% 1,203 80.70% 5,670 1.38% 97 0.10% 7 0.69% 49 -63.58% -4,467 7,026
Montezuma 37.65% 5,836 60.04% 9,306 1.24% 192 0.21% 33 0.86% 133 -22.39% -3,470 15,500
Montrose 30.84% 7,687 67.29% 16,770 1.14% 285 0.20% 49 0.53% 131 -36.45% -9,083 24,922
Morgan 28.20% 3,876 69.80% 9,593 1.10% 151 0.19% 26 0.71% 98 -41.60% -5,717 13,744
Otero 37.65% 3,605 60.11% 5,756 0.92% 88 0.17% 16 1.15% 111 -22.46% -2,151 9,576
Ouray 58.83% 2,365 39.23% 1,577 1.14% 46 0.30% 12 0.50% 20 19.60% 788 4,020
Park 39.89% 4,903 56.88% 6,991 1.94% 238 0.46% 56 0.84% 103 -16.99% -2,088 12,291
Phillips 19.56% 486 78.79% 1,958 0.97% 24 0.28% 7 0.40% 10 -59.23% -1,472 2,485
Pitkin 75.18% 8,989 23.25% 2,780 0.79% 94 0.34% 41 0.44% 53 51.93% 6,209 11,957
Prowers 26.22% 1,458 72.07% 4,008 0.70% 39 0.16% 9 0.84% 47 -45.85% -2,550 5,561
Pueblo 49.57% 43,772 47.85% 42,252 1.36% 1,200 0.23% 205 0.99% 872 1.72% 1,520 88,301
Rio Blanco 15.20% 561 82.93% 3,061 1.14% 42 0.08% 3 0.65% 24 -67.73% -2,500 3,691
Rio Grande 39.57% 2,495 58.05% 3,660 1.05% 66 0.17% 11 1.17% 73 -18.48% -1,165 6,305
Routt 62.70% 10,582 35.11% 5,925 1.40% 236 0.22% 37 0.58% 96 27.59% 4,657 16,876
Saguache 55.59% 1,884 41.69% 1,413 1.15% 39 0.38% 13 1.18% 40 13.90% 471 3,389
San Juan 60.85% 342 35.94% 202 1.25% 7 0.36% 2 1.61% 9 24.91% 140 562
San Miguel 76.24% 3,924 22.07% 1,136 1.01% 52 0.27% 14 0.41% 21 54.17% 2,788 5,147
Sedgwick 20.82% 301 77.52% 1,121 0.55% 8 0.07% 1 1.04% 15 -56.70% -820 1,446
Summit 68.35% 12,631 28.80% 5,322 1.91% 353 0.32% 60 0.61% 113 39.55% 7,309 18,479
Teller 31.16% 5,278 66.36% 11,241 1.58% 267 0.15% 25 0.78% 128 -35.20% -5,963 16,939
Washington 12.27% 369 86.27% 2,595 0.83% 25 0.17% 5 0.47% 14 -74.00% -2,226 3,008
Weld 39.56% 66,060 57.58% 96,145 1.73% 2,895 0.20% 340 0.93% 1,534 -18.02% -30,085 166,974
Yuma 15.76% 785 82.45% 4,107 1.04% 52 0.04% 2 0.70% 35 -66.69% -3,322 4,981

Results by congressional district

Biden won 4 out of the 7 congressional districts in Colorado.

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 22.1% 75.6% Diana DeGette
2nd 33.6% 63.7% Joe Neguse
3rd 51.6% 46.1% Scott Tipton
Lauren Boebert
4th 56.6% 40.8% Ken Buck
5th 54.7% 41.8% Doug Lamborn
6th 39.3% 58.2% Jason Crow
7th 37.1% 60% Ed Perlmutter
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Analysis

In this election, Colorado weighed in as 9.1% more Democratic than the nation as a whole. The results established Colorado as a Democratic stronghold, rather than the Democratic-leaning battleground state it had been for the past three election cycles and previously a Republican leaning state, as Trump became the first Republican incumbent since William Howard Taft to consecutively lose the state between elections.[30] With Biden's win, Colorado voted Democratic at the presidential level four times in a row for the first time since statehood, the state having previously voted for Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012 and for Hillary Clinton in 2016.

Notes

  1. ^ 24 delegates, if Bloomberg's and Warren's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
  2. ^ 17 delegates, if Bloomberg's and Warren's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
  3. ^ 14 delegates, if Bloomberg's and Warren's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
  4. ^ 12 delegates, if Bloomberg's and Warren's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
  5. ^ Candidate withdrew shortly before the primary and after the start of early in-person voting.
  6. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  7. ^ a b c d e f g h Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  8. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  9. ^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  10. ^ "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
  11. ^ a b "Someone else" with 3%
  12. ^ "Some other candidate" with 1%
  13. ^ a b "Other candidate" with 3%
  14. ^ "Some other candidate" with 5%
  15. ^ a b c Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  16. ^ Would not vote with 2%
  17. ^ West (B) with 1%
  18. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous and subsequent Morning Consult polls, but more information available regarding sample size
  19. ^ Would not vote/would not vote for president with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
  2. ^ AFSCME endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period

See also

References

  1. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
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Further reading