2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
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2,433 delegates (2,340 pledged and 93 unpledged) to the Republican National Convention[2][a] 1,217[2] votes needed to win | ||
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Presidential primaries and caucuses are being organized by the Republican Party to select the delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention scheduled to be held between February and June 2024, to determine the party's nominee for president in the 2024 United States presidential election. The elections will take place in all 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and five U.S. territories.
On November 15, 2022, at Mar-a-Lago, Donald Trump announced that he would run again in 2024. He is seeking to become the second president after Grover Cleveland to serve two non-consecutive terms since the 1892 United States presidential election.[3][4] Trump is considered the early frontrunner for the Republican presidential nomination.[5] However, the hearings held by the United States House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack have damaged public opinion towards him. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis raised more campaign funds in the first half of 2022,[6] Democrats may attempt to invoke the 14th Amendment to prevent Trump from being eligible,[7] and in 2022 the FBI searched Trump's estate at Mar-a-Lago, and Trump is currently the subject of no fewer than four distinct criminal investigations into his alleged criminal activities while in office.[8][9][10]
Trump announced in March 2022 that if he runs for re-election and wins the Republican presidential nomination, his former vice president Mike Pence will not be his running mate.[11] If Trump runs against Biden again, it will be the first presidential rematch since 1956, and if Trump wins, he will be the first person to lose a presidential election and then win a rematch of that election since Grover Cleveland in 1892, as well as the first president since Cleveland to serve two nonconsecutive terms. The last president to run after leaving office was Theodore Roosevelt, who came in second in the 1912 election as the presidential nominee of the Progressive Party, although Herbert Hoover did briefly seek the Republican presidential nomination at several national conventions subsequent to leaving office in 1933. If Trump wins, he will be the first Republican president to serve two non-consecutive terms, and the second overall after Cleveland, a Democrat. Trump would also be the first person to win the Republican presidential nomination three consecutive times, and the first to win it three times since Richard Nixon.[b]
Candidates
Declared
Name | Born | Experience | Home state | Campaign Announcement date |
Ref |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
File:Coreystapleton6.jpg Corey Stapleton |
September 17, 1967 (age 56) Seattle, Washington |
Secretary of State of Montana (2017–2021) Member of the Montana Senate from the 27th district (2001–2009) |
![]() Montana |
![]() FEC filing[12] |
[13][better source needed] |
![]() Donald Trump |
June 14, 1946 (age 78) Queens, New York |
President of the United States (2017–2021) | ![]() Florida |
![]() Campaign Announced: November 15, 2022 FEC filing[14] |
[15] |
Publicly expressed interest
As of November 2022[update], the following individuals have expressed an interest in running for president within the previous six months.
- Liz Cheney, United States Representative from WY-AL (2017–present)[16]
- Chris Christie, 55th Governor of New Jersey (2010–2018), candidate for president in 2016[17]
- Ted Cruz, United States Senator from Texas (2013–present), candidate for president in 2016[18]
- Larry Elder, radio host, author, attorney, and candidate in the 2021 California gubernatorial recall election[19]
- Nikki Haley, 29th United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018), 116th Governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)[20]
- Larry Hogan, 62nd Governor of Maryland (2015–present)[21]
- Asa Hutchinson, 46th Governor of Arkansas (2015–present), Administrator of Drug Enforcement (2001–2003), United States Representative from AR-03 (1997–2001)[22]
- Mike Pence, 48th Vice President of the United States (2017–2021), 50th Governor of Indiana (2013–2017), United States Representative from IN-02 (2001–2003) and IN-06 (2003–2013)[23]
- Mike Pompeo, 70th United States Secretary of State (2018–2021), 6th Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (2017–2018), United States Representative from KS-04 (2011–2017)[24]
- Francis X. Suarez, 43rd Mayor of Miami (2017–present)[25]
Potential candidates
As of November 2022[update], the following individuals have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months. Most of these candidates were viewed as potential replacements if Donald Trump had chosen not to run again, while some are viewed as potential primary challenges.
- Greg Abbott, 48th Governor of Texas (2015–present), 50th Texas Attorney General (2002–2015), Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of Texas (1996–2001)[26][27]
- Ron DeSantis, 46th Governor of Florida (2019–present), United States Representative from FL-06 (2013–2018)[28][29]
- Brian Kemp, 83rd Governor of Georgia (2019–present); 27th Georgia Secretary of State (2010–2018); Georgia State Senator (2003–2007)[30][31]
- Marco Rubio, United States Senator from Florida (2011–present), 94th Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives (2006–2008), Member of the Florida House of Representatives from the 111th district (2000–2008), Member of the West Miami City Commission (1998–2000), candidate for president in 2016[32][33]
- Glenn Youngkin, 74th Governor of Virginia (2022–present)[34][35]
Declined to be candidates
The following individuals have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have publicly denied interest in running.
- Tucker Carlson, host of Tucker Carlson Tonight (2016–present) and co-founder of The Daily Caller[36][37]
- Tom Cotton, United States Senator from Arkansas (2015–present), United States Representative from AR-04 (2013–2015)[38]
- Dan Crenshaw, United States Representative from TX-02 (2019–present)[39][40]
- Joni Ernst, United States Senator from Iowa (2015–present)[41][42]
- Josh Hawley, United States Senator from Missouri (2019–present)[43][44]
- Kristi Noem, 33rd Governor of South Dakota (2019–present), United States Representative from SD-AL (2011–2019)[45][46]
- Dan Patrick, 42nd Lieutenant Governor of Texas (2015–present)[47][48]
- Mitt Romney, United States Senator from Utah (2019–present), 70th Governor of Massachusetts (2003–2007), candidate for president in 2008, Republican presidential nominee in 2012[49][50]
- Paul Ryan, 54th Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (2015–2019), United States Representative from WI-01 (1999–2019) and Republican vice presidential nominee in 2012[51][52]
- Rick Scott, Chair of the National Republican Senatorial Committee (2021–present), United States Senator from Florida (2019–present), 45th Governor of Florida (2011–2019)[53] (running for reelection)[54]
- Chris Sununu, 82nd Governor of New Hampshire (2017–present), Member of the New Hampshire Executive Council (2011–2017)[55]
- Ivanka Trump, Advisor to the President of the United States (2017–2021)[56][57]
- Scott Walker, 45th Governor of Wisconsin (2011–2019), 5th Executive of Milwaukee County (2002–2010), member of the Wisconsin State Assembly from the 14th district (1993–2002), candidate for president in 2016[58][59]
Vice presidential speculation
Many reporters, political experts, and political commentators have strongly noted that Trump selecting Pence to be his running mate once again would be very unlikely following rifts between the two over the future of the Republican Party and Pence's attempts to distance himself from the former president.[60][61][62] In June 2022, the House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack found that Trump said Pence "deserved" calls to be hanged on the day of the attack.[63]
Several individuals have received speculation about possible selection as vice presidential nominee in 2024 including Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina, Governor Glenn Youngkin of Virginia, former Ambassador Nikki Haley of South Carolina, Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, Governor Ron DeSantis of Florida, Governor Kim Reynolds of Iowa, Senator Joni Ernst of Iowa, Senator Rick Scott of Florida, and Lieutenant Governor Jeanette Nuñez of Florida.[64][65]
Reportedly, Trump has "repeatedly" discussed the possibility of choosing United States Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene as his running mate.[66] Greene has claimed that she is in talks with Trump to become his running mate.[67]
Endorsements
- U.S. Senators
- Cynthia Lummis, U.S. Senator from Wyoming (2021–present); U.S. Representative from WY-AL (2009–2017)[68]
- Federal officials
- Mick Mulvaney, White House Chief of Staff (2019-2020)[69]
- State officials
- Dov Hikind (Democratic), Member of the New York State Assembly from the 48th district (1983-2018)[70]
- Evan Vickers, Majority Leader of the Utah Senate (2019–present) from the 28th district (2013–present); Member of the Utah House of Representatives from the 72nd district (2009–2012)[71]
- Todd Weiler, Member of the Utah State Senate from the 23rd district (2012–present)[71]
- John Dougall, Auditor of Utah (2013–present)[72]
- Individuals
- Kenneth C. Griffin, hedge fund manager, entrepreneur and investor[73]
- Meghan McCain, political commentator[74]
- Rupert Murdoch, chairman and CEO of News Corporation and Fox Corporation[75]
- Elon Musk, CEO of SpaceX[76]
- Executive officials
- Katie Arrington, Chief Information Security Officer for the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition and Sustainment (2019–2022) and Member of the South Carolina House of Representatives from the 94th district (2017–2019)[77]
- Kash Patel, Chief of Staff to the Secretary of Defense (2020–2021)[78]
- U.S. Representatives
- Andy Biggs, U.S. Representative from AZ-05 (2017–present)[79]
- Mike Carey, U.S. Representative from OH-15 (2021–present)[80]
- Madison Cawthorn, U.S. Representative from NC-11 (2021–present)[81]
- Russell Fry, U.S. Representative-elect from SC-07 (2023–present) and Member of the South Carolina House of Representatives from the 106th district (2015–present)[77]
- Matt Gaetz, U.S. Representative from FL-01 (2017–present); member of the Florida House of Representatives from the 4th district (2010–2016)[82]
- Paul Gosar, U.S. Representative from AZ-04 (2013–present) and AZ-01 (2011–2013)[83]
- Tony Gonzales, U.S. Representative from TX-23 (2021–present)[84]
- Marjorie Taylor Greene, U.S. Representative from GA-14 (2021–present)[85]
- Wesley Hunt, U.S. Representative-elect from TX-38 (2023–present)[86]
- Ronny Jackson, U.S. Representative from TX-13 (2021–present); Chief Medical Advisor to the President (2019); Physician to the President (2013–2018)[87]
- Jim Jordan, U.S. Representative from OH-04 (2007–present)[80]
- Mary Miller, U.S. Representative from IL-15 (2021–present)[87]
- Max Miller, U.S. Representative-elect from OH-07 (2023–present)[87]
- Troy Nehls, U.S. Representative from TX-22 (2021–present)[79]
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative from NY-21 (2015–present); chair of the House Republican Conference (2021–present)[88]
- Jeff Van Drew, U.S. Representative from NJ-02 (2019–present)[89]
- State executive officials
- Adam Laxalt, Attorney General of Nevada (2015–2019)[90]
- Henry McMaster, Governor of South Carolina (2017–present)[77]
- Sid Miller, Agriculture Commissioner of Texas (2015–present)[91]
- Ken Paxton, Attorney General of Texas (2015–present)[84]
- State legislators
- Mark Finchem, Member of the Arizona House of Representatives from the 11th district (2015–present)[92]
- Wendy Rogers, Member of the Arizona Senate from the 6th district (2021–present)[93]
- Anthony Sabatini, Member of the Florida House of Representatives from the 32nd district (2016–present)[94]
- Individuals
- Kari Lake, news anchor and nominee for Governor of Arizona in 2022[95]
- Dick Morris, political author and commentator[96]
- Roger Stone, conservative political consultant and lobbyist[97]
- Organizations
Polling
Nationwide polling
- Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Ted Cruz |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Mike Pence |
Mike Pompeo |
Marco Rubio |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other/Undecided [c] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | June 28 – August 10, 2022 | August 12, 2022 | 3.0% | 25.3% | 2.0% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 50.3% | 9.2% | 25.0% |
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[d] |
Margin of error |
Ted Cruz |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Larry Hogan |
Mike Pence |
Mike Pompeo |
Mitt Romney |
Marco Rubio |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Donald Trump Jr. |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump declares his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Legér | November 11-13, 2022 | 1,007 (A) | – | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | – | – | 13% |
YouGov | November 9-11, 2022 | 1,500 (A) | – | – | 42% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | 10% | 13% |
2022 midterm elections | ||||||||||||||||
Politico/Morning Consult | September 16-18, 2022 | 2005 (RV) | ±2.0% | 2% | 19% | 2% | – | 9% | 1% | – | 1% | 0% | 49% | – | 3%[e] | – |
Politico/Morning Consult | August 10, 2022 | 2004 (RV) | ±2.0% | 2% | 18% | 2% | – | 8% | 1% | – | 1% | 1% | 56% | – | 1%[f] | – |
Harvard/Harris | July 27–28, 2022 | 1885 (RV) | – | 3% | 19% | 5% | – | 7% | 1% | – | 1% | 1% | 52% | – | 2%[g] | 9% |
Suffolk University | July 22–25, 2022 | 414 (RV) | – | – | 34% | 3% | – | 7% | 1% | – | – | – | 43% | – | 5%[h] | 8% |
Politico/Morning Consult | July 15–17, 2022 | 2005 (RV) | ±2.0% | 3% | 23% | 2% | 0% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 53% | – | – | – |
Politico/Morning Consult | July 8–10, 2022 | 2005 (RV) | ±2.0% | 2% | 21% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 52% | – | – | – |
The New York Times/Siena College | July 5–7, 2022 | 849 (RV) | ±4.1% | 7% | 25% | 6% | – | 6% | 2% | – | – | – | 49% | – | 1% | 5% |
McLaughlin & Associates | January 13–18, 2022 | 468 (LV) | – | – | 13% | 4% | 1% | 9% | – | 3% | 2% | 1% | 53% | – | – | 8% |
John Bolton Super PAC | January 6, 2022 | 501 (LV) | – | 5% | 19% | 4% | – | 4% | 1% | – | 2% | – | 36% | – | – | 22% |
UMass Amherst | December 14–20, 2021 | 306 (A) | – | 6% | 20% | 7% | – | 6% | 2% | – | – | 4% | 55% | – | – | – |
McLaughlin & Associates | November 11–16, 2021 | 450 (LV) | – | 2% | 15% | 3% | – | 7% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 55% | – | 6% | 8% |
Zogby Analytics | November 8–10, 2021 | 371 (LV) | – | 2% | 7% | 5% | – | 12% | 2% | – | 1% | – | 59% | – | 6%[i] | 4% |
YouGov/Yahoo News | November 4–8, 2021 | 559 (A) | – | – | 21% | 5% | – | 4% | – | – | 3% | – | 44% | – | 1%[j] | 19% |
Harvard/Harris | October 26–28, 2021 | 490 (LV) | ±4.0% | – | 10% | – | – | 9% | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | 15% | 19% |
YouGov/Yahoo News | October 19–21, 2021 | 629 (A) | – | – | 18% | – | 5% | – | – | 2% | 2% | 41% | – | 2%[k] | 24% | |
Echelon Insights (Archive) Archived October 20, 2021, at the Wayback Machine | October 15–19, 2021 | 476 (RV) | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 66%[l] | – | 31% | 4% |
– | 22% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 62%[l] | – | – | 16% | ||||
McLaughlin & Associates | October 14–18, 2021 | 463 (LV) | – | 3% | 10% | 4% | – | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 53%[l] | – | 9%[m] | 6% |
Morning Consult | October 8–11, 2021 | 803 (RV) | – | 3% | 12% | 3% | 0% | 12% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 47% | 6% | 6%[n] | 4% |
Echelon Insights | September 17–23, 2021 | 479 (RV) | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 59%[l] | – | 32% | 9% |
John Bolton Super PAC | September 16–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 5% | 25% | 6% | – | 3% | – | – | 2% | 2% | 26% | – | 10%[o] | 20% |
Harvard/Harris | September 15–16, 2021 | 490 (LV) | ±4.0% | – | 9% | 3% | – | 13% | – | – | 3% | – | 58% | – | 0% | 14% |
McLaughlin & Associates | September 9–14, 2021 | 456 (LV) | – | 3% | 8% | 2% | – | 10% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 59%[l] | – | 7%[p] | 4% |
Emerson College | August 30 – September 1, 2021 | 395 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 2% | 10% | 7% | – | 6% | – | 3% | – | – | 67% | – | 5%[q] | 1% |
McLaughlin & Associates | July 29 – August 3, 2021 | 467 (LV) | – | 3% | 11% | 4% | – | 8% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 54%[l] | – | 7%[r] | 6% |
YouGov/Yahoo News | July 30 – August 2, 2021 | 518 (A) | – | – | 13% | 4% | – | 3% | – | – | 1% | 1% | 58% | – | 1%[s] | 17% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | July 6–8, 2021 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 2% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 47%[l] | - | 2%[t] | 13% |
– | 31% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 58%[l] | – | – | 11% | ||||
John Bolton Super PAC | July 8, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 5% | 13% | 5% | – | 6% | – | – | 3% | 0% | 46% | – | 22% | – |
Echelon Insights | June 18–22, 2021 | 386 (RV) | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 59%[l] | – | 35% | 6% |
McLaughlin & Associates | June 16–20, 2021 | 444 (LV) | – | 4% | 9% | 3% | – | 8% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 55%[l] | – | 8%[u] | 7% |
YouGov/Yahoo News | May 24–26, 2021 | 378 (A) | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 65% | – | 19%[v] | 16% |
Quinnipiac | May 18–24, 2021 | ~290 (A)[w] | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 66% | – | 30%[x] | 4% |
McLaughlin & Associates | May 12–18, 2021 | 444 (LV) | – | 3% | 8% | 5% | – | 10% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 57%[l] | – | 7%[y] | 7% |
Echelon Insights | May 14–17, 2021 | 479 (RV) | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 63%[l] | – | 31% | 6% |
Morning Consult/Politico | May 14–17, 2021 | 782 (RV) | ± 2% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 0% | 13% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 48% | 7% | 9%[z] | – |
YouGov/Yahoo News | May 11–13, 2021 | 348 (A) | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 68% | – | 22%[aa] | 10% |
Trafalgar Group | Apr 30 – May 6, 2021 | – (LV)[ab] | –[l] | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 62% | – | 27%[ac] | 11%[ad] |
Echelon Insights | Apr 16–23, 2021 | 440 (RV) | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 59%[l] | – | 35% | 6% |
McLaughlin & Associates | Apr 8–13, 2021 | 441 (LV) | 1% | 3% | 7% | 2% | – | 10% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 55%[l] | – | 8%[ae] | 9% |
PEM Management Corporation | Apr 3–7, 2021 | 494 (LV) | – | 7% | 9% | 9% | – | 6% | – | – | 3% | – | 44% | – | 1%[af] | – |
Echelon Insights | March 15–21, 2021 | 1,008 (RV) | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 60%[l] | – | 30% | 10% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/The Hill | Feb 20 – March 2, 2021 | 1,264 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 9% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 51%[l] | - | 3%[ag] | 12% |
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 57%[ah] | – | 16%[ai] | 27% | ||||
McLaughlin & Associates | Feb 24–28, 2021 | 448 (LV) | – | 5% | 4% | 3% | – | 8% | – | 3% | 1% | – | 54%[l] | – | 9%[aj] | 10% |
Harvard/Harris | Feb 23–25, 2021 | 546 (RV) | – | 5% | – | 7% | – | 18% | – | – | – | 2% | 52%[l] | – | 13%[ak] | – |
Echelon Insights | Feb 12–18, 2021 | 430 (RV) | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 55%[l] | – | 32% | 14% |
Morning Consult/Politico | Feb 14–15, 2021 | 645 (RV) | ± 4% | 4% | – | 6% | 1% | 12% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 54% | 6% | 10%[al] | – |
Echelon Insights | Jan 20–26, 2021 | – (RV)[am] | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 48%[l] | – | 40% | 11% |
Léger | Jan 15–17, 2021 | 1,007 (A)[an] | ± 3.09% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 13% | 2% | 19% | 3% | 3% | 29%[l] | 2% | 6%[ao] | – |
Ipsos/Axios | Jan 11–13, 2021 | 334 (A) | ± 5.8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 57% | – | 41% | 1%[ap] |
Morning Consult/Politico | Jan 8–11, 2021 | 702 (RV) | – | 7% | – | 6% | 0% | 18% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 40% | 6% | 15%[aq] | – |
McLaughlin & Associates | Dec 9–13, 2020 | 442 (LV) | – | 5% | 1% | 3% | – | 11% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 56% | – | 5%[ar] | 10% |
Fox News | Dec 6–9, 2020 | ~ 413 (RV) | ± 4.5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 71% | – | 21%[as] | 8% |
McLaughlin & Associates/Newsmax | Nov 21–23, 2020 | 442 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 4% | 2% | 4% | – | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 53%[l] | – | 6%[at] | 15% |
Morning Consult/Politico | Nov 21–23, 2020 | 765 (RV) | ± 2% | 4% | – | 4% | 0% | 12% | – | 4% | 2% | 1% | 53% | 8% | 11%[au] | – |
HarrisX/The Hill | Nov 17–19, 2020 | 599 (RV) | ± 2.26% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 75% | – | 25% | – |
Seven Letter Insight | Nov 10–19, 2020 | ~555 (V)[av] | ± 2.5% | 6% | – | 7% | – | 19% | – | – | 4% | 2% | 35% | 11% | 4%[aw] | – |
Léger | Nov 13–15, 2020 | 304 (A)[ax] | ± 3.09% | 7% | – | 4% | – | 22% | 2% | 8% | 5% | – | 45%[l] | – | 5%[ay] | – |
YouGov/Washington Examiner | October 30, 2020 | – (RV)[az] | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 38% | – | 43%[ba] | – |
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[d] |
Margin of error |
Tucker Carlson |
Ted Cruz |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Josh Hawley |
Larry Hogan |
Mike Pence |
Mike Pompeo |
Mitt Romney |
Marco Rubio |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump Jr. |
Other | Undecided | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harvard/Harris | July 27–28, 2022 | 1885 (RV) | – | – | 7% | 34% | 7% | – | – | 19% | 3% | – | 3% | 1% | – | 3%[bb] | 22% | ||||||||
NewsStation/Decision Desk HQ | July 22–24, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ±3.0% | – | 5% | 23% | 5% | – | – | 20% | – | – | – | – | – | 44%[bc] | – | ||||||||
Echelon Insights | June 17–20, 2022 | 409 (LV) | – | – | 6% | 39% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 18% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 7% | 5%[bd] | 15% | ||||||||
Echelon Insights[1] | November 12–18, 2021 | 435 (RV) | – | – | 10% | 26% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 15% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 13% | 5%[be] | 20% | ||||||||
Harvard/Harris | October 26–28, 2021 | 490 (LV) | ±4.0% | – | 12% | 21% | – | – | – | 23% | – | – | – | – | – | 0% | 43% | ||||||||
Echelon Insights[2] | October 15–19, 2021 | 476 (RV) | – | 2% | 8% | 22% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 13% | 8%[bf] | 22% | ||||||||
McLaughlin & Associates | October 14–18, 2021 | 463 (LV) | – | – | 5% | 24% | 5% | – | – | 14% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 18% | 11%[bg] | 13% | ||||||||
Echelon Insights[3] | September 17–23, 2021 | 479 (RV) | – | 2% | 9% | 22% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 15% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 9% | 11%[bh] | 21% | ||||||||
Harvard/Harris | September 15–16, 2021 | 490 (LV) | ±4.0% | – | 14% | 20% | – | – | – | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | 0% | 38% | ||||||||
McLaughlin & Associates | September 9–14, 2021 | 456 (LV) | – | – | 7% | 22% | 4% | – | – | 15% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 12%[bi] | 11% | ||||||||
Emerson College | August 30 – September 1, 2021 | 395 (RV) | ± 4.9% | – | 13% | 32% | 10% | 6% | – | 24% | – | 6% | – | – | – | 9%[bj] | 0% | ||||||||
McLaughlin & Associates | July 29 – August 3, 2021 | 467 (LV) | – | – | 9% | 23% | 4% | – | – | 11% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 12% | 16%[bk] | 14% | ||||||||
Echelon Insights[4] | July 19–23, 2021 | 421 (RV) | – | 1% | 9% | 32% | 4% | 1% | 0%[bl] | 17% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 10% | 6%[bm] | 13% | ||||||||
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | July 6–8, 2021 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | – | 7% | 39% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 15% | 1% | 3% | – | 2% | – | 4%[bn] | 24% | ||||||||
Echelon Insights[5] | June 18–22, 2021 | 386 (RV) | – | 1% | 6% | 21% | 6% | 0%[bo] | 0%[bp] | 14% | 0%[bq] | 4% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 7%[br] | 26% | ||||||||
McLaughlin & Associates | June 16–20, 2021 | 444 (LV) | – | – | 6% | 24% | 4% | – | – | 19% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 13%[bs] | 11% | ||||||||
McLaughlin & Associates | May 12–18, 2021 | 444 (LV) | – | 1% | 12% | 18% | 5% | – | – | 19% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 13% | 13%[bt] | 12% | ||||||||
Echelon Insights[6] | May 14–17, 2021 | 479 (RV) | – | 2% | 9% | 22% | 5% | 1% | 0%[bu] | 14% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9%[bv] | 19% | ||||||||
Trafalgar Group | Apr 30 – May 6, 2021 | – (LV)[bw] | – | – | 15% | 35% | 6% | 1% | – | 10% | – | 10% | – | – | – | 21%[bx] | – | ||||||||
Echelon Insights[7] | Apr 16–23, 2021 | 440 (RV) | – | 2% | 8% | 20% | 6% | 1% | 0%[by] | 16% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0%[bz] | 9% | 3%[ca] | 28% | ||||||||
McLaughlin & Associates | Apr 8–13, 2021 | 441 (LV) | – | 3% | 10% | 14% | 3% | – | – | 19% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 15% | 13%[cb] | 14% | ||||||||
Echelon Insights | March 15–21, 2021 | 1,008 (RV) | – | 4% | 5% | 17% | 4% | – | – | 16% | 4% | 3% | 2% | – | 3% | 7%[cc] | 35% | ||||||||
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/The Hill[8] | Feb 20 – March 2, 2021 | 1,264 (LV) | ± 2.7% | – | 13% | 17% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 19% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | – | 7%[cd] | 20% | ||||||||
McLaughlin & Associates | Feb 24–28, 2021 | 448 (LV) | – | 1% | 9% | 9% | 5% | – | – | 15% | – | 6% | 2% | – | 21% | 16%[ce] | 17% | ||||||||
RMG Research/Just the News | Feb 25–27, 2021 | 363 (RV) | – | 8% | 18% | 21% | 10% | 2% | – | – | 9% | – | – | – | – | 33%[cf] | – | ||||||||
Harvard/Harris | Feb 23–25, 2021 | 546 (RV) | – | – | 16% | – | 10% | 6% | – | 41% | – | – | – | 7% | – | 19%[cg] | – | ||||||||
Echelon Insights | Feb 12–18, 2021 | 430 (RV) | – | 1% | 10% | 8% | 6% | ≤1% | 1% | 21% | 1% | 4% | ≤1% | ≤1% | 8% | 12%[ch] | 26% | ||||||||
Echelon Insights | Jan 20–26, 2021 | – (RV)[ci] | – | 2% | 8% | 2% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 21% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 10% | 10%[cj] | 30% | ||||||||
Inauguration of Joe Biden | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Léger | Jan 15–17, 2021 | 1,007 (A)[ck] | ± 3.09% | – | 9% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 7% | 22% | 3% | 20% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 8%[cl] | – | ||||||||
McLaughlin & Associates/Newsmax | Nov 21–23, 2020 | 442 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 6% | – | – | 20% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 13%[cm] | 22% | ||||||||
Léger | Nov 13–15, 2020 | 304 (A)[cn] | ± 3.1% | 6% | 14% | – | 6% | – | – | 44% | 3% | 11% | 6% | – | – | 7%[co] | – | ||||||||
2020 presidential election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
McLaughlin & Associates | Nov 2–3, 2020 | 449 (LV) | – | 2% | 5% | 2% | 8% | – | – | 30% | – | 5% | 2% | 1% | 20% | 5%[cp] | 21% | ||||||||
Echelon Insights | Aug 14–18, 2020 | 423 (LV) | – | 2% | 4% | – | 7% | 0% | 1% | 26% | – | – | 5% | 1% | 12% | 11%[cq] | 29% | ||||||||
Léger | Aug 4–7, 2020 | 309 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 7% | 8% | – | 11% | – | – | 31% | 3% | 9% | 5% | – | 17% | 9%[cr] | – |
Statewide polling
- Maryland primary
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[d] |
Margin of error |
Ted Cruz |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Larry Hogan |
Mike Pence |
Donald Trump |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OpinionWorks | May 27 – Jun 2, 2022 | 428 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 1% | 12% | 5% | 25% | 6% | 48% | 3% |
- Virginia primary
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[d] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump |
Glenn Youngkin |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Roanoke College | Aug 7–16, 2022 | 640 (A) | ± 4.5% | 62% | 28% | 10% |
- Texas primary
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[d] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis |
Tim Scott |
Mike Pompeo |
Nikki Haley |
Mike Pence |
Donald Trump |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CWS Research | Nov 12–13, 2022 | 1,099 (LV) | ± 2.96% | 43% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 32% | 13% |
See also
- United States presidential election
- 2024 Republican National Convention
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
Notes
- ^ This delegate count is accurate as of November 2022. Delegate counts are subject to change based on the number of Republicans elected to the State Legislatures, Governors chairs, U.S. House seats, and U.S. Senators seats through 31 December 2023.
- ^ Nixon won the nomination three non-consecutive times, in 1960, 1968, and 1972. The 1964 Republican nominee was Barry Goldwater.
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b c d e Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Liz Cheney with 2%, Chris Christie with 1%
- ^ Chris Christie and Josh Hawley with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Chris Christie with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 4%; Greg Abbott with 2%
- ^ Glenn Youngkin with 1%, Tucker Carlson with 3%
- ^ Tucker Carlson, Josh Hawley, Tom Cotton, and Kristi Noem with 1%
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x Standard VI response
- ^ Candace Owens with 3%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
- ^ Chris Christie with 7%; Kristi Noem with 3%, Josh Hawley with 1%
- ^ Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Candace Owens and Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" with 5%; Josh Hawley with 1%, Tom Cotton with 0%
- ^ John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Candace Owens with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 0%
- ^ Tucker Carlson wiith 2%, Kristi Noem with 1%; Tom Cotton with 0%
- ^ Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%
- ^ Candace Owens with 4%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, John Kasich and Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ "Trump should not run again in 2024" as opposed to "Trump should run again in 2024" with 19%
- ^ 22% of a full sample of 1,316 adults
- ^ "Do not want Trump to run" as opposed to "want Trump to run" with 30%
- ^ Candace Owens with 3%; John Kasich, Liz Cheney, Tucker Carlson, Rick Scott, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Tom Cotton with 0%
- ^ Would not vote with 4%; "Someone else" with 2%; Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
- ^ "Trump should not run again in 2024" as opposed to "Trump should run again in 2024" with 22%
- ^ Republican subsample of total sample of 1574 likely voters
- ^ "Unlikely or very unlikely to vote for Trump" as opposed to "Absolute will or likely to vote for Trump" with 24%; Would not vote with 3%
- ^ "Consider voting for Trump" with 8%; Undecided with 4%
- ^ John Kasich with 3%; Candace Owens with 2%; Tom Cotton, Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Kristi Noem with 1%
- ^ Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%
- ^ On whether voters thought they'd support a Trump primary campaign if he ran
- ^ "Would definitely not vote for Trump" with 16%
- ^ Candace Owens with 3%; Tom Cotton and John Kasich with 2%; Kristi Noem, Tucker Carlson, and Tim Scott with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" with 12%; Josh Hawley with 2%, Tom Cotton with 1%
- ^ Would not vote with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
- ^ GOP and GOP-leaning subsample of a full sample of 1,006 registered voters
- ^ Among all adults (no Republican crosstab published). The same pollster showed 25% for Trump and 19% for Romney in November, when taking into account all voters and not only Republicans.[100]
- ^ Ben Sasse with 3%; Rick Scott with 2%; Josh Hawley, Ivanka Trump with 1%
- ^ Listed as "Skipped"
- ^ Would not vote with 6%; "Someone else" with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley, and Rick Scott with 1%
- ^ Tucker Carlson with 3%, John Kasich and Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
- ^ "Would not like to see Trump run for president in 2024" with 21%
- ^ John Kasich with 3%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem, Tucker Carlson, and Rick Scott with 1%
- ^ Would not vote with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; Kristi Noem, Josh Hawley, and Rick Scott with 1%; Charlie Baker with 0%
- ^ 37% of the full sample of 1,500 2020 general election voters
- ^ Ivanka Trump and Tucker Carlson with 2%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Ben Sasse with 1%
- ^ Among 304 republican adults as opposed to all adults
- ^ Tucker Carlson with 4%, John Kasich and Rick Scott with 2%; Rick Santorum with 1%
- ^ Republican subsample of 1,200 registered voters
- ^ Respondents who think Trump should do something other than running for president in 2024 with 43%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" with 38%; Greg Abbott with 4%; Tom Cotton with 2%.
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%.
- ^ Liz Cheney, Greg Abbott, Chris Christie, Glenn Youngkin, Rick Scott, and "Someone else" with 1%; Larry Hogan, Tom Cotton, Ben Sasse, and Kristi Noem with 0%.
- ^ Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 2%; "Someone else", Greg Abbott, Chris Christie and Tom Cotton with 1%; Josh Hawley, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%
- ^ Candace Owens with 5%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 2%; Tom Cotton with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott and Marjorie Taylor Greene with 0%
- ^ Candace Owens with 5%; Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 8%; Tom Cotton with 1%
- ^ Candace Owens with 6%; Ivanka Trump with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton and John Kasich with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
- ^ No voters
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%
- ^ Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%; Chris Christie with 0%
- ^ No voters
- ^ No voters
- ^ No voters
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Ben Sasse with 0%
- ^ Ivanka Trump with 4%; Candace Owens with 3%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
- ^ Candace Owens with 5%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; John Kasich with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
- ^ No voters
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and "Someone else" with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%; Dave Portnoy with no voters
- ^ Republican subsample of total sample of 1574 likely voters
- ^ "Someone else" with 19%; Kristi Noem and Ben Sasse with 1%
- ^ No voters
- ^ No voters
- ^ Kristi Noem and "Someone else" with 1%; Greg Abbott, Dave Portnoy and Rick Scott with 0%; Tom Cotton and Ben Sasse with no voters
- ^ Candace Owens with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich with 2%; Rick Scott and Kristi Noem with 1%
- ^ Greg Abbott with 2%; "Someone else," Tom Cotton, Tim Scott, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott, Josh Hawley, and Dave Portnoy with 1% or less
- ^ Kristi Noem with 4%; Chris Christie, Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%
- ^ Candace Owens with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem, and Tim Scott with 2%; Rick Scott with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 21%; Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 4%; Greg Abbott and Devin Nunes with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 16%; Tom Cotton with 3%
- ^ Dan Crenshaw, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and "Someone else" with 2%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Rand Paul with 1%; Greg Abbott, Dave Portnoy, and Elise Stefanik with 1% or less
- ^ GOP and GOP-leaning subsample of a full sample of 1,006 registered voters
- ^ Rand Paul with 3%; John Kasich and "Someone else" with 2%; Dan Crenshaw and Tom Cotton with 1%; Greg Abbott, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%
- ^ Among all adults (no Republican crosstab published). The same pollster showed 25% for Trump and 19% for Romney in November, when taking into account all voters and not only Republicans.[100]
- ^ Ben Sasse and Ivanka Trump with 3%; Rick Scott with 2%
- ^ Ivanka Trump with 4%; John Kasich with 3%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem with 2%; Rick Scott with 0%
- ^ Among 304 republican adults as opposed to all adults
- ^ Rick Santorum with 3%; John Kasich and Rick Scott with 2%
- ^ John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Tom Cotton, Dan Crenshaw, Lindsey Graham and John Kasich with 2%; Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%
- ^ Paul Ryan with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Kevin McCarthy with 2%
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