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2024 Republican Party presidential primaries

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2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
← 2020 February to June 2024[1] 2028 →
2,433 delegates (2,340 pledged and 93 unpledged) to the Republican National Convention[2][a]
1,217[2] votes needed to win
2024 U.S. presidential election
Democratic Party
Republican Party
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Related races
← 2020 2024 2028 →

Presidential primaries and caucuses are being organized by the Republican Party to select the delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention scheduled to be held between February and June 2024, to determine the party's nominee for president in the 2024 United States presidential election. The elections will take place in all 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and five U.S. territories.

On November 15, 2022, at Mar-a-Lago, Donald Trump announced that he would run again in 2024. He is seeking to become the second president after Grover Cleveland to serve two non-consecutive terms since the 1892 United States presidential election.[3][4] Trump is considered the early frontrunner for the Republican presidential nomination.[5] However, the hearings held by the United States House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack have damaged public opinion towards him. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis raised more campaign funds in the first half of 2022,[6] Democrats may attempt to invoke the 14th Amendment to prevent Trump from being eligible,[7] and in 2022 the FBI searched Trump's estate at Mar-a-Lago, and Trump is currently the subject of no fewer than four distinct criminal investigations into his alleged criminal activities while in office.[8][9][10]

Trump announced in March 2022 that if he runs for re-election and wins the Republican presidential nomination, his former vice president Mike Pence will not be his running mate.[11] If Trump runs against Biden again, it will be the first presidential rematch since 1956, and if Trump wins, he will be the first person to lose a presidential election and then win a rematch of that election since Grover Cleveland in 1892, as well as the first president since Cleveland to serve two nonconsecutive terms. The last president to run after leaving office was Theodore Roosevelt, who came in second in the 1912 election as the presidential nominee of the Progressive Party, although Herbert Hoover did briefly seek the Republican presidential nomination at several national conventions subsequent to leaving office in 1933. If Trump wins, he will be the first Republican president to serve two non-consecutive terms, and the second overall after Cleveland, a Democrat. Trump would also be the first person to win the Republican presidential nomination three consecutive times, and the first to win it three times since Richard Nixon.[b]

Candidates

Declared

Name Born Experience Home state Campaign
Announcement date 		Ref
File:Coreystapleton6.jpg
Corey Stapleton 		September 17, 1967
(age 56)
Seattle, Washington 		Secretary of State of Montana (2017–2021)
Member of the Montana Senate from the 27th district (2001–2009)
Montana
FEC filing[12] 		[13][better source needed]

Donald Trump 		June 14, 1946
(age 78)
Queens, New York 		President of the United States (2017–2021)
Florida
Campaign
Announced: November 15, 2022
FEC filing[14] 		[15]


Publicly expressed interest

As of November 2022, the following individuals have expressed an interest in running for president within the previous six months.

Potential candidates

As of November 2022, the following individuals have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months. Most of these candidates were viewed as potential replacements if Donald Trump had chosen not to run again, while some are viewed as potential primary challenges.

Declined to be candidates

The following individuals have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have publicly denied interest in running.

Vice presidential speculation

Main article: 2024 Republican Party vice presidential candidate selection

Many reporters, political experts, and political commentators have strongly noted that Trump selecting Pence to be his running mate once again would be very unlikely following rifts between the two over the future of the Republican Party and Pence's attempts to distance himself from the former president.[60][61][62] In June 2022, the House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack found that Trump said Pence "deserved" calls to be hanged on the day of the attack.[63]

Several individuals have received speculation about possible selection as vice presidential nominee in 2024 including Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina, Governor Glenn Youngkin of Virginia, former Ambassador Nikki Haley of South Carolina, Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, Governor Ron DeSantis of Florida, Governor Kim Reynolds of Iowa, Senator Joni Ernst of Iowa, Senator Rick Scott of Florida, and Lieutenant Governor Jeanette Nuñez of Florida.[64][65]

Reportedly, Trump has "repeatedly" discussed the possibility of choosing United States Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene as his running mate.[66] Greene has claimed that she is in talks with Trump to become his running mate.[67]

Endorsements

Ron DeSantis
U.S. Senators
Federal officials
State officials
Individuals
Donald Trump
Executive officials
U.S. Representatives
State executive officials
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations

Polling

Nationwide polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Ted
Cruz 		Ron
DeSantis 		Nikki
Haley 		Mike
Pence 		Mike
Pompeo 		Marco
Rubio 		Tim
Scott 		Donald
Trump 		Other/Undecided
[c] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics June 28 – August 10, 2022 August 12, 2022 3.0% 25.3% 2.0% 6.0% 1.7% 2.0% 0.5% 50.3% 9.2% 25.0%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[d] 		Margin
of error 		Ted
Cruz 		Ron
DeSantis 		Nikki
Haley 		Larry
Hogan 		Mike
Pence 		Mike
Pompeo 		Mitt
Romney 		Marco
Rubio 		Tim
Scott 		Donald
Trump 		Donald
Trump Jr. 		Other Undecided
November 15, 2022 Trump declares his candidacy
Legér November 11-13, 2022 1,007 (A) – – 45% – – – – – – – 42% – – 13%
YouGov November 9-11, 2022 1,500 (A) – – 42% – – – – – – – 35% – 10% 13%
November 8, 2022 2022 midterm elections
Politico/Morning Consult September 16-18, 2022 2005 (RV) ±2.0% 2% 19% 2% – 9% 1% – 1% 0% 49% – 3%[e] –
Politico/Morning Consult August 10, 2022 2004 (RV) ±2.0% 2% 18% 2% – 8% 1% – 1% 1% 56% – 1%[f] –
Harvard/Harris July 27–28, 2022 1885 (RV) – 3% 19% 5% – 7% 1% – 1% 1% 52% – 2%[g] 9%
Suffolk University July 22–25, 2022 414 (RV) – – 34% 3% – 7% 1% – – – 43% – 5%[h] 8%
Politico/Morning Consult July 15–17, 2022 2005 (RV) ±2.0% 3% 23% 2% 0% 7% 1% 1% 1% 1% 53% – – –
Politico/Morning Consult July 8–10, 2022 2005 (RV) ±2.0% 2% 21% 3% 1% 8% 1% 1% 1% 0% 52% – – –
The New York Times/Siena College July 5–7, 2022 849 (RV) ±4.1% 7% 25% 6% – 6% 2% – – – 49% – 1% 5%
McLaughlin & Associates January 13–18, 2022 468 (LV) – – 13% 4% 1% 9% – 3% 2% 1% 53% – – 8%
John Bolton Super PAC January 6, 2022 501 (LV) – 5% 19% 4% – 4% 1% – 2% – 36% – – 22%
UMass Amherst December 14–20, 2021 306 (A) – 6% 20% 7% – 6% 2% – – 4% 55% – – –
McLaughlin & Associates November 11–16, 2021 450 (LV) – 2% 15% 3% – 7% 1% 2% 1% 1% 55% – 6% 8%
Zogby Analytics November 8–10, 2021 371 (LV) – 2% 7% 5% – 12% 2% – 1% – 59% – 6%[i] 4%
YouGov/Yahoo News November 4–8, 2021 559 (A) – – 21% 5% – 4% – – 3% – 44% – 1%[j] 19%
Harvard/Harris October 26–28, 2021 490 (LV) ±4.0% – 10% – – 9% – – – – 47% – 15% 19%
YouGov/Yahoo News October 19–21, 2021 629 (A) – – 18% – 5% – – 2% 2% 41% – 2%[k] 24%
Echelon Insights (Archive) Archived October 20, 2021, at the Wayback Machine October 15–19, 2021 476 (RV) – – – – – – – – – – 66%[l] – 31% 4%
– 22% – – – – – – – 62%[l] – – 16%
McLaughlin & Associates October 14–18, 2021 463 (LV) – 3% 10% 4% – 9% 1% 4% 2% 1% 53%[l] – 9%[m] 6%
Morning Consult October 8–11, 2021 803 (RV) – 3% 12% 3% 0% 12% 0% 3% 3% 1% 47% 6% 6%[n] 4%
Echelon Insights September 17–23, 2021 479 (RV) – – – – – – – – – – 59%[l] – 32% 9%
John Bolton Super PAC September 16–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 5% 25% 6% – 3% – – 2% 2% 26% – 10%[o] 20%
Harvard/Harris September 15–16, 2021 490 (LV) ±4.0% – 9% 3% – 13% – – 3% – 58% – 0% 14%
McLaughlin & Associates September 9–14, 2021 456 (LV) – 3% 8% 2% – 10% 1% 3% 2% 1% 59%[l] – 7%[p] 4%
Emerson College August 30 – September 1, 2021 395 (RV) ± 4.9% 2% 10% 7% – 6% – 3% – – 67% – 5%[q] 1%
McLaughlin & Associates July 29 – August 3, 2021 467 (LV) – 3% 11% 4% – 8% 1% 3% 3% 0% 54%[l] – 7%[r] 6%
YouGov/Yahoo News July 30 – August 2, 2021 518 (A) – – 13% 4% – 3% – – 1% 1% 58% – 1%[s] 17%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates July 6–8, 2021 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 2% 19% 3% 1% 8% 0% 3% 1% 1% 47%[l] - 2%[t] 13%
– 31% – – – – – – – 58%[l] – – 11%
John Bolton Super PAC July 8, 2021 1,000 (LV) – 5% 13% 5% – 6% – – 3% 0% 46% – 22% –
Echelon Insights June 18–22, 2021 386 (RV) – – – – – – – – – – 59%[l] – 35% 6%
McLaughlin & Associates June 16–20, 2021 444 (LV) – 4% 9% 3% – 8% 1% 3% 1% 1% 55%[l] – 8%[u] 7%
YouGov/Yahoo News May 24–26, 2021 378 (A) – – – – – – – – – – 65% – 19%[v] 16%
Quinnipiac May 18–24, 2021 ~290 (A)[w] – – – – – – – – – – 66% – 30%[x] 4%
McLaughlin & Associates May 12–18, 2021 444 (LV) – 3% 8% 5% – 10% 1% 2% 0% 1% 57%[l] – 7%[y] 7%
Echelon Insights May 14–17, 2021 479 (RV) – – – – – – – – – – 63%[l] – 31% 6%
Morning Consult/Politico May 14–17, 2021 782 (RV) ± 2% 4% 8% 4% 0% 13% 1% 4% 1% 2% 48% 7% 9%[z] –
YouGov/Yahoo News May 11–13, 2021 348 (A) – – – – – – – – – – 68% – 22%[aa] 10%
Trafalgar Group Apr 30 – May 6, 2021 – (LV)[ab] –[l] – – – – – – – – – 62% – 27%[ac] 11%[ad]
Echelon Insights Apr 16–23, 2021 440 (RV) – – – – – – – – – – 59%[l] – 35% 6%
McLaughlin & Associates Apr 8–13, 2021 441 (LV) 1% 3% 7% 2% – 10% 1% 3% 1% 1% 55%[l] – 8%[ae] 9%
PEM Management Corporation Apr 3–7, 2021 494 (LV) – 7% 9% 9% – 6% – – 3% – 44% – 1%[af] –
Echelon Insights March 15–21, 2021 1,008 (RV) – – – – – – – – – – 60%[l] – 30% 10%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/The Hill Feb 20 – March 2, 2021 1,264 (LV) ± 2.7% 3% 7% 6% 1% 9% 1% 5% 2% 0% 51%[l] - 3%[ag] 12%
– – – – – – – – – 57%[ah] – 16%[ai] 27%
McLaughlin & Associates Feb 24–28, 2021 448 (LV) – 5% 4% 3% – 8% – 3% 1% – 54%[l] – 9%[aj] 10%
Harvard/Harris Feb 23–25, 2021 546 (RV) – 5% – 7% – 18% – – – 2% 52%[l] – 13%[ak] –
Echelon Insights Feb 12–18, 2021 430 (RV) – – – – – – – – – – 55%[l] – 32% 14%
Morning Consult/Politico Feb 14–15, 2021 645 (RV) ± 4% 4% – 6% 1% 12% 2% 4% 2% 1% 54% 6% 10%[al] –
Echelon Insights Jan 20–26, 2021 – (RV)[am] – – – – – – – – – – 48%[l] – 40% 11%
Léger Jan 15–17, 2021 1,007 (A)[an] ± 3.09% 6% 2% 7% 6% 13% 2% 19% 3% 3% 29%[l] 2% 6%[ao] –
Ipsos/Axios Jan 11–13, 2021 334 (A) ± 5.8% – – – – – – – – – 57% – 41% 1%[ap]
Morning Consult/Politico Jan 8–11, 2021 702 (RV) – 7% – 6% 0% 18% 1% 5% 2% 1% 40% 6% 15%[aq] –
McLaughlin & Associates Dec 9–13, 2020 442 (LV) – 5% 1% 3% – 11% 1% 4% 1% 1% 56% – 5%[ar] 10%
Fox News Dec 6–9, 2020 ~ 413 (RV) ± 4.5% – – – – – – – – – 71% – 21%[as] 8%
McLaughlin & Associates/Newsmax Nov 21–23, 2020 442 (LV) ± 3.1% 4% 2% 4% – 9% 1% 4% 2% 1% 53%[l] – 6%[at] 15%
Morning Consult/Politico Nov 21–23, 2020 765 (RV) ± 2% 4% – 4% 0% 12% – 4% 2% 1% 53% 8% 11%[au] –
HarrisX/The Hill Nov 17–19, 2020 599 (RV) ± 2.26% – – – – – – – – – 75% – 25% –
Seven Letter Insight Nov 10–19, 2020 ~555 (V)[av] ± 2.5% 6% – 7% – 19% – – 4% 2% 35% 11% 4%[aw] –
Léger Nov 13–15, 2020 304 (A)[ax] ± 3.09% 7% – 4% – 22% 2% 8% 5% – 45%[l] – 5%[ay] –
YouGov/Washington Examiner October 30, 2020 – (RV)[az] – – – – – – – – – – 38% – 43%[ba] –
Polls without Donald Trump
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[d] 		Margin
of error 		Tucker
Carlson 		Ted
Cruz 		Ron
DeSantis 		Nikki
Haley 		Josh
Hawley 		Larry
Hogan 		Mike
Pence 		Mike
Pompeo 		Mitt
Romney 		Marco
Rubio 		Tim
Scott 		Donald
Trump Jr. 		Other Undecided
Harvard/Harris July 27–28, 2022 1885 (RV) – – 7% 34% 7% – – 19% 3% – 3% 1% – 3%[bb] 22%
NewsStation/Decision Desk HQ July 22–24, 2022 1,000 (RV) ±3.0% – 5% 23% 5% – – 20% – – – – – 44%[bc] –
Echelon Insights June 17–20, 2022 409 (LV) – – 6% 39% 3% 1% 0% 18% 0% 3% 2% 0% 7% 5%[bd] 15%
Echelon Insights[1] November 12–18, 2021 435 (RV) – – 10% 26% 6% 1% 0% 15% 1% 3% 1% 1% 13% 5%[be] 20%
Harvard/Harris October 26–28, 2021 490 (LV) ±4.0% – 12% 21% – – – 23% – – – – – 0% 43%
Echelon Insights[2] October 15–19, 2021 476 (RV) – 2% 8% 22% 5% 0% 0% 8% 2% 3% 4% 2% 13% 8%[bf] 22%
McLaughlin & Associates October 14–18, 2021 463 (LV) – – 5% 24% 5% – – 14% 1% 5% 2% 2% 18% 11%[bg] 13%
Echelon Insights[3] September 17–23, 2021 479 (RV) – 2% 9% 22% 6% 1% 1% 15% 2% 4% 2% 1% 9% 11%[bh] 21%
Harvard/Harris September 15–16, 2021 490 (LV) ±4.0% – 14% 20% – – – 32% – – – – – 0% 38%
McLaughlin & Associates September 9–14, 2021 456 (LV) – – 7% 22% 4% – – 15% 2% 4% 2% 2% 19% 12%[bi] 11%
Emerson College August 30 – September 1, 2021 395 (RV) ± 4.9% – 13% 32% 10% 6% – 24% – 6% – – – 9%[bj] 0%
McLaughlin & Associates July 29 – August 3, 2021 467 (LV) – – 9% 23% 4% – – 11% 2% 4% 4% 1% 12% 16%[bk] 14%
Echelon Insights[4] July 19–23, 2021 421 (RV) – 1% 9% 32% 4% 1% 0%[bl] 17% 1% 3% 2% 1% 10% 6%[bm] 13%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates July 6–8, 2021 800 (RV) ± 3.5% – 7% 39% 4% 0% 1% 15% 1% 3% – 2% – 4%[bn] 24%
Echelon Insights[5] June 18–22, 2021 386 (RV) – 1% 6% 21% 6% 0%[bo] 0%[bp] 14% 0%[bq] 4% 3% 2% 7% 7%[br] 26%
McLaughlin & Associates June 16–20, 2021 444 (LV) – – 6% 24% 4% – – 19% 1% 5% 2% 1% 15% 13%[bs] 11%
McLaughlin & Associates May 12–18, 2021 444 (LV) – 1% 12% 18% 5% – – 19% 2% 3% 1% 2% 13% 13%[bt] 12%
Echelon Insights[6] May 14–17, 2021 479 (RV) – 2% 9% 22% 5% 1% 0%[bu] 14% 1% 4% 1% 3% 6% 9%[bv] 19%
Trafalgar Group Apr 30 – May 6, 2021 – (LV)[bw] – – 15% 35% 6% 1% – 10% – 10% – – – 21%[bx] –
Echelon Insights[7] Apr 16–23, 2021 440 (RV) – 2% 8% 20% 6% 1% 0%[by] 16% 1% 4% 2% 0%[bz] 9% 3%[ca] 28%
McLaughlin & Associates Apr 8–13, 2021 441 (LV) – 3% 10% 14% 3% – – 19% 2% 3% 3% 1% 15% 13%[cb] 14%
Echelon Insights March 15–21, 2021 1,008 (RV) – 4% 5% 17% 4% – – 16% 4% 3% 2% – 3% 7%[cc] 35%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/The Hill[8] Feb 20 – March 2, 2021 1,264 (LV) ± 2.7% – 13% 17% 8% 2% 1% 19% 4% 5% 4% 1% – 7%[cd] 20%
McLaughlin & Associates Feb 24–28, 2021 448 (LV) – 1% 9% 9% 5% – – 15% – 6% 2% – 21% 16%[ce] 17%
RMG Research/Just the News Feb 25–27, 2021 363 (RV) – 8% 18% 21% 10% 2% – – 9% – – – – 33%[cf] –
Harvard/Harris Feb 23–25, 2021 546 (RV) – – 16% – 10% 6% – 41% – – – 7% – 19%[cg] –
Echelon Insights Feb 12–18, 2021 430 (RV) – 1% 10% 8% 6% ≤1% 1% 21% 1% 4% ≤1% ≤1% 8% 12%[ch] 26%
Echelon Insights Jan 20–26, 2021 – (RV)[ci] – 2% 8% 2% 9% 0% 0% 21% 1% 3% 2% 1% 10% 10%[cj] 30%
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
Léger Jan 15–17, 2021 1,007 (A)[ck] ± 3.09% – 9% 3% 8% 2% 7% 22% 3% 20% 4% 3% 11% 8%[cl] –
McLaughlin & Associates/Newsmax Nov 21–23, 2020 442 (LV) ± 3.1% 1% 7% 2% 6% – – 20% 1% 5% 3% 2% 20% 13%[cm] 22%
Léger Nov 13–15, 2020 304 (A)[cn] ± 3.1% 6% 14% – 6% – – 44% 3% 11% 6% – – 7%[co] –
November 3, 2020 2020 presidential election
McLaughlin & Associates Nov 2–3, 2020 449 (LV) – 2% 5% 2% 8% – – 30% – 5% 2% 1% 20% 5%[cp] 21%
Echelon Insights Aug 14–18, 2020 423 (LV) – 2% 4% – 7% 0% 1% 26% – – 5% 1% 12% 11%[cq] 29%
Léger Aug 4–7, 2020 309 (LV) ± 2.8% 7% 8% – 11% – – 31% 3% 9% 5% – 17% 9%[cr] –

Statewide polling

Statewide polling
Maryland primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[d] 		Margin
of error 		Ted
Cruz 		Ron
DeSantis 		Nikki
Haley 		Larry
Hogan 		Mike
Pence 		Donald
Trump 		Undecided
OpinionWorks May 27 – Jun 2, 2022 428 (LV) ± 4.7% 1% 12% 5% 25% 6% 48% 3%
Virginia primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[d] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump 		Glenn
Youngkin 		Undecided
Roanoke College Aug 7–16, 2022 640 (A) ± 4.5% 62% 28% 10%
Texas primary
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[d] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis 		Tim
Scott 		Mike
Pompeo 		Nikki
Haley 		Mike
Pence 		Donald
Trump 		Undecided
CWS Research Nov 12–13, 2022 1,099 (LV) ± 2.96% 43% 1% 1% 4% 5% 32% 13%

See also

Notes

  1. ^ This delegate count is accurate as of November 2022. Delegate counts are subject to change based on the number of Republicans elected to the State Legislatures, Governors chairs, U.S. House seats, and U.S. Senators seats through 31 December 2023.
  2. ^ Nixon won the nomination three non-consecutive times, in 1960, 1968, and 1972. The 1964 Republican nominee was Barry Goldwater.
  3. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. ^ a b c d e Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  5. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%, Chris Christie with 1%
  6. ^ Chris Christie and Josh Hawley with 1%
  7. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  8. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Chris Christie with 1%
  9. ^ "Someone else" with 4%; Greg Abbott with 2%
  10. ^ Glenn Youngkin with 1%, Tucker Carlson with 3%
  11. ^ Tucker Carlson, Josh Hawley, Tom Cotton, and Kristi Noem with 1%
  12. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x Standard VI response
  13. ^ Candace Owens with 3%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  14. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  15. ^ Chris Christie with 7%; Kristi Noem with 3%, Josh Hawley with 1%
  16. ^ Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Candace Owens and Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  17. ^ "Someone else" with 5%; Josh Hawley with 1%, Tom Cotton with 0%
  18. ^ John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Candace Owens with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 0%
  19. ^ Tucker Carlson wiith 2%, Kristi Noem with 1%; Tom Cotton with 0%
  20. ^ Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%
  21. ^ Candace Owens with 4%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, John Kasich and Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  22. ^ "Trump should not run again in 2024" as opposed to "Trump should run again in 2024" with 19%
  23. ^ 22% of a full sample of 1,316 adults
  24. ^ "Do not want Trump to run" as opposed to "want Trump to run" with 30%
  25. ^ Candace Owens with 3%; John Kasich, Liz Cheney, Tucker Carlson, Rick Scott, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Tom Cotton with 0%
  26. ^ Would not vote with 4%; "Someone else" with 2%; Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  27. ^ "Trump should not run again in 2024" as opposed to "Trump should run again in 2024" with 22%
  28. ^ Republican subsample of total sample of 1574 likely voters
  29. ^ "Unlikely or very unlikely to vote for Trump" as opposed to "Absolute will or likely to vote for Trump" with 24%; Would not vote with 3%
  30. ^ "Consider voting for Trump" with 8%; Undecided with 4%
  31. ^ John Kasich with 3%; Candace Owens with 2%; Tom Cotton, Rick Scott with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  32. ^ Kristi Noem with 1%
  33. ^ Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%
  34. ^ On whether voters thought they'd support a Trump primary campaign if he ran
  35. ^ "Would definitely not vote for Trump" with 16%
  36. ^ Candace Owens with 3%; Tom Cotton and John Kasich with 2%; Kristi Noem, Tucker Carlson, and Tim Scott with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  37. ^ "Someone else" with 12%; Josh Hawley with 2%, Tom Cotton with 1%
  38. ^ Would not vote with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  39. ^ GOP and GOP-leaning subsample of a full sample of 1,006 registered voters
  40. ^ Among all adults (no Republican crosstab published). The same pollster showed 25% for Trump and 19% for Romney in November, when taking into account all voters and not only Republicans.[100]
  41. ^ Ben Sasse with 3%; Rick Scott with 2%; Josh Hawley, Ivanka Trump with 1%
  42. ^ Listed as "Skipped"
  43. ^ Would not vote with 6%; "Someone else" with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley, and Rick Scott with 1%
  44. ^ Tucker Carlson with 3%, John Kasich and Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  45. ^ "Would not like to see Trump run for president in 2024" with 21%
  46. ^ John Kasich with 3%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem, Tucker Carlson, and Rick Scott with 1%
  47. ^ Would not vote with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; Kristi Noem, Josh Hawley, and Rick Scott with 1%; Charlie Baker with 0%
  48. ^ 37% of the full sample of 1,500 2020 general election voters
  49. ^ Ivanka Trump and Tucker Carlson with 2%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Ben Sasse with 1%
  50. ^ Among 304 republican adults as opposed to all adults
  51. ^ Tucker Carlson with 4%, John Kasich and Rick Scott with 2%; Rick Santorum with 1%
  52. ^ Republican subsample of 1,200 registered voters
  53. ^ Respondents who think Trump should do something other than running for president in 2024 with 43%
  54. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  55. ^ "Someone else" with 38%; Greg Abbott with 4%; Tom Cotton with 2%.
  56. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%.
  57. ^ Liz Cheney, Greg Abbott, Chris Christie, Glenn Youngkin, Rick Scott, and "Someone else" with 1%; Larry Hogan, Tom Cotton, Ben Sasse, and Kristi Noem with 0%.
  58. ^ Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 2%; "Someone else", Greg Abbott, Chris Christie and Tom Cotton with 1%; Josh Hawley, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%
  59. ^ Candace Owens with 5%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 2%; Tom Cotton with 1%
  60. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott and Marjorie Taylor Greene with 0%
  61. ^ Candace Owens with 5%; Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  62. ^ "Someone else" with 8%; Tom Cotton with 1%
  63. ^ Candace Owens with 6%; Ivanka Trump with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton and John Kasich with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  64. ^ No voters
  65. ^ "Someone else" with 1%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%
  66. ^ Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%; Chris Christie with 0%
  67. ^ No voters
  68. ^ No voters
  69. ^ No voters
  70. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Ben Sasse with 0%
  71. ^ Ivanka Trump with 4%; Candace Owens with 3%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  72. ^ Candace Owens with 5%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; John Kasich with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  73. ^ No voters
  74. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and "Someone else" with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%; Dave Portnoy with no voters
  75. ^ Republican subsample of total sample of 1574 likely voters
  76. ^ "Someone else" with 19%; Kristi Noem and Ben Sasse with 1%
  77. ^ No voters
  78. ^ No voters
  79. ^ Kristi Noem and "Someone else" with 1%; Greg Abbott, Dave Portnoy and Rick Scott with 0%; Tom Cotton and Ben Sasse with no voters
  80. ^ Candace Owens with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich with 2%; Rick Scott and Kristi Noem with 1%
  81. ^ Greg Abbott with 2%; "Someone else," Tom Cotton, Tim Scott, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott, Josh Hawley, and Dave Portnoy with 1% or less
  82. ^ Kristi Noem with 4%; Chris Christie, Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%
  83. ^ Candace Owens with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem, and Tim Scott with 2%; Rick Scott with 1%
  84. ^ "Other" with 21%; Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 4%; Greg Abbott and Devin Nunes with 2%
  85. ^ "Someone else" with 16%; Tom Cotton with 3%
  86. ^ Dan Crenshaw, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and "Someone else" with 2%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Rand Paul with 1%; Greg Abbott, Dave Portnoy, and Elise Stefanik with 1% or less
  87. ^ GOP and GOP-leaning subsample of a full sample of 1,006 registered voters
  88. ^ Rand Paul with 3%; John Kasich and "Someone else" with 2%; Dan Crenshaw and Tom Cotton with 1%; Greg Abbott, Larry Hogan, Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%
  89. ^ Among all adults (no Republican crosstab published). The same pollster showed 25% for Trump and 19% for Romney in November, when taking into account all voters and not only Republicans.[100]
  90. ^ Ben Sasse and Ivanka Trump with 3%; Rick Scott with 2%
  91. ^ Ivanka Trump with 4%; John Kasich with 3%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem with 2%; Rick Scott with 0%
  92. ^ Among 304 republican adults as opposed to all adults
  93. ^ Rick Santorum with 3%; John Kasich and Rick Scott with 2%
  94. ^ John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  95. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Tom Cotton, Dan Crenshaw, Lindsey Graham and John Kasich with 2%; Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%
  96. ^ Paul Ryan with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Kevin McCarthy with 2%

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